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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-23-24 | Predators +114 v. Canucks | Top | 4-1 | Win | 114 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
#77 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Nashville Predators +115 over Vancouver Canucks, Tuesday at 10 PM ET - Demko is the #1 goalie for the Canucks and he made a stellar early save in the Game 1 win. Also, Saros is the #1 goalie for the Predators and the Canucks first goal was a bit of a soft one that normally Saros would save. Even with all this, the Predators still led the game 2-1 mid-way through the final period! Per the above, that score truly could have been 3-0 in favor of Nashville. The fact it was not and the fact the game ended up a 4-2 Vancouver win (Canucks got empty net goal to seal it) has led to line value here. But why did this line come down even more? It is because Demko is out for tonight for the Canucks. DeSmith will get the call instead as Demko is said to have a minor injury and will miss at least this game. DeSmith is just not on the same level as Demko and, before allowing 1 goal in his final regular season start, DeSmith allowed 6 goals in B2B starts! The Predators played very well in Game 1 yet ended up with nothing to show for it. Now you have a superb situation with a highly motivated team down 1-0 in the series and looking to take advantage of a back-up goalie who has played only once in recent weeks. Saros is a veteran who is likely to be even better in Game 2. DeSmith has made only one post-season appearance in his career! On the other hand, Saros has played in 18 post-season games and is playing in his 6th post-season! Take advantage of the line value in this one and grab the small dog money line price with the road team here as the Predators take advantage of the goalie situation and bounce back off the tough game 1 loss. Nashville is the bet here. |
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04-16-24 | Hurricanes v. Blue Jackets OVER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
#7/8 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Hurricanes no longer have to worry about winning the division as the Rangers wrapped that up last night. That is part of the reason Spencer Martin is getting the start in goal tonight and he is sure to be rusty. Even though Martin has had decent numbers since coming to the Hurricanes this season, he has not played since the final day of February! Yes, it is more than a month and a half for Martin. No matter how much one practices and prepares as a goalie, there is still nothing like live game action and Martin could struggle a bit in this one given the rust aspect. Speaking of struggling, Blue Jackets goalie Jet Greaves is 2-6 with a 3.55 GAA this season! He also has allowed 4 or more goals in 3 straight starts! Columbus has been eliminated for quite some time from the post-season and their record is not impressive to say the least. Part of the problem is they allow far too many goals as they are not strong defensively or in goal. We capitalize on that here as Carolina will be looking for one final tune-up before the post-season. The key here though is that the Blue Jackets are likely to give a strong effort in their home ice finale. Generally speaking they do play better on home ice and they will want to go out with a bang to wrap up their season. With nothing to lose there should be quite an emphasis on the offensive zone in this one and plenty of attacking. We do not expect a tight, defensive-minded checking style of game here as this one just does not offer that incentive for either club. The Jackets have allowed 4 goals per game on average over their last 14 games. They have scored 3.5 goals per game in the last 6 games on their home ice The Hurricanes have won 5 straight games and 7 of last 8. Carolina scored an average of 3.5 goals in those 8 games. In a rather loosely played affair, there will be plenty of scoring opportunities and both these goalies are unlikely to be sharp for the reasons we noted above. Look for at least 7 goals in this one!  Over is the play here. |
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04-11-24 | Senators v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
#35/36 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning, Thursday at 7 PM ET - The Senators are off a shutout loss which is certainly a rarity for them, only their 2nd of the season. The other one was recent but was followed by a game that totaled 7 goals. We look for the Senators to again respond off a rare low-scoring loss as they entered that game with 7 of 9 games against Eastern Conference foes totaling at least 7 goals. Ottawa expected to start Anton Forsberg in goal and he has struggled in each of his last 2 appearances and got pulled from his most recent start. On the season Forsberg has an unimpressive 3.36 GAA. He has an .885 save percentage and Lightning goalie Matt Tomkins has a similar unimpressive .883 save percentage this season. Tomkins getting the start here because #1 guy Andrei Vasilevskiy needs a rest and #2 goalie Jonas Johansson has been dealing with a lower-body injury. So TB is using their #3 goalie here and we are sure that the Senators will respond off the shutout loss. Ottawa will struggle, however, on the defensive end as the Lightning continue to pile up goals. Tampa Bay wants to stay sharp offensively heading into the post-season. The Lightning have scored at least 4 goals in 4 straight games. Also, TB has scored an average of 4.4 goals in their current 11-3 run. Considering Tomkins has allowed at least 3 goals in all 4 NHL appearances this season and considering that Tampa is a heavy favorite for a reason, we have this one getting to at least 4-3 and 5-3 is even more likely. Look for at least 7 once again in this one! Over is the play here. |
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04-03-24 | Devils v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
#67/68 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers, Wednesday at 7 PM ET - The Rangers are still trying to hold off the Hurricanes for the top spot in the Metropolitan Division and the Rangers still have a shot at finishing the regular season with the most points in the league and guaranteeing home ice for the entire post-season. Also, the Devils are still mathematically alive for a post-season spot, though struggling in the last two games. Yet, even with these post-season implications a consistent factor for weeks now, both clubs continue to get involved in high-scoring games and we don't see that changing here. The Rangers are starting Igor Shesterkin in goal and he has allowed at least 3 goals in 4 of last 5 starts. The Devils will be starting Kaapo Kahkonen or Jake Allen in goal. Kahkonen is off a strong start but those have been rare this season and he could be rusty if he gets the call here as he has not played in a week and a half. Allen has been the designated #1 since being acquired in a trade last month (Kahkonen also was a recent trade acquisition). All the transition in goal for New Jersey has not gone well as Allen is also struggling. He has allowed an average of 4 goals in his last 4 starts. 8 of 10 Rangers games since mid-March have totaled 7 or more goals. 5 of 7 Devils games - including 3 in a row - have totaled 7 or more goals. Look for at least 7 once again in this one!  Over is the play here. |
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03-26-24 | Bruins v. Panthers OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 102 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
#29/30 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - Huge game at the top of the Atlantic Division and the way these goalies are going coupled with some key players coming back for the Panthers has us liking the over here. Both Aleksander Barkov and Gustav Forsling are coming back for Florida in this one. Forsling had contributed 7 points in his last 8 games for the Panthers before being ruled out recently and Barkov is 2nd on the team in the assists and also a solid goal-scorer. He'll be back on the top line tonight and the first power play unit. As for the goalies here, Florida's Sergei Bobrovsky is winless in 4 straight and has allowed at least 3 goals in all 4 outings. Boston's Jeremy Swayman has lost 2 of his last 3 and he has allowed at least 3 goals in all 3 of those! Both teams have plenty of solid offensive production and, given the above, we expect each team gets to the 3-goal mark here. Florida is off a 4-1 win but allowed 3.6 goals in their 5 games before that. The Panthers have scored at least 3 goals in 10 of the last 13 games. The Bruins have lost B2B games so they are hungry to respond here. Prior to the 3-2 loss to the Flyers, Boston had 5 of the last 6 games total at least 6 goals and we like this one to get there as well! The Bruins and Panthers both have been solid on the power play this season and this huge game could be a bit chippy resulting in even more power plays. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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03-19-24 | Blackhawks v. Kings OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
#21/22 ASA TOP PLAY ON 6* OVER 5.5 Goals - Chicago Blackhawks at Los Angeles Kings, Tuesday at 10 PM ET - We had our eyes on this one since the Blackhawks got embarrassed on home ice by these Kings less than a week ago by a 5-0 count. Chicago, though that game was a rare exception, has been scoring better of late. The Blackhawks have averaged scoring 5 goals per game in their other 5 games the last two weeks! Chicago took advantage of facing some weaker competition in some of those games but still it builds confidence for this team and now they are out for revenge and playing with more confidence in the offensive zone. The issue for the Blackhawks is their defensive play and netminding leaves a lot to be desired. If Soderblom is between the pipes, he is 4-19-1 with a 4.02 GAA this season! If Mrazek is between the pipes he has been solid on home ice but has struggled badly away from home with a 3-15-1 record and a 3.70 GAA this season on the road! So, even though we anticipate a solid effort from Chicago in the offensive zone tonight, we also look for them to continue to struggle in terms of goals conceded. Los Angeles is off a low-scoring loss and the the last 4 times LA was off a defeat they responded with a win each time and scored an average of 4 goals in those victories. The Kings do have an anticipated tougher game tomorrow versus Minnesota and, since they also beat the Blackhawks 5-0 last week, don't be surprised if the defensive intensity of LA is not at its best tonight. That being said, we look for Chicago to score multiple goals but struggle badly to stop the Kings as Los Angeles has another big game on offense. Look for at least 6 in this one!  Over is our play here. |
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03-04-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Flames -121 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -121 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
#24 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Calgary Flames -125 over Seattle Kraken, Monday at 9:30 PM ET - The Kraken are getting some attention here because they have been playing better of late and because goalie Grubauer has been playing well. However, the key with both those things is that the majority of this stretch has been on home ice for the Kraken. This is their first road game since mid-February. That certainly holds some significance here as they have lost 6 of last 8 road games. Also, we are assuming #1 goalie Grubauer plays here. Though he delivered a strong performance in his most recent road start, this followed him allowing at least 3 goals in 6 straight road starts. If Daccord gets the call here in goal for Seattle, he has allowed 4 goals in each of his last two starts and was pulled early from his most recent start. As for the Flames (winners of 5 straight including 4 over teams currently in playoff position!) they have announced Markstrom as the starter tonight. He has allowed an average of just 2 goals in his last 10 starts and has an 8-2 record in these games! Calgary has won 9 of 12 games and allowed just 2 goals per game in the 9 victories. Also, the Flames have won 4 straight on home ice. Seattle's recent little mini run had a lot to do with home ice and now they are on the road and facing a surging Calgary team. Take advantage of the line value in this one and lay the very reasonable money line price with the home favorite here as the Flames win their 6th game in a row and drop Seattle to 2-7 last 9 road games!  |
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02-27-24 | Penguins v. Canucks OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
#21/22 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks, Tuesday at 10 PM ET - The Penguins are coming off a crazy 7-6 win over the division rival Flyers. This continued a high-scoring trend for the Pens as they have now scored at least 4 goals in 4 of their last 5 games. Defensively, if you take out the results against two bottom-dwelling teams (Montreal and Chicago), Pittsburgh has allowed at least 4 goals in 3 of last 4 games against teams with a pulse! Vancouver is a strong team and they will be able to score well here on the Penguins as that trend continues. But right now Pittsburgh is scoring so well that this has the makings of a back and forth 4-3 type affair. Vancouver is off a 3-2 OT win over the Bruins but prior to this they had allowed at least 3 goals in 4 straight games and actually allowed at least 4 goals in 3 of those. Demko has not been at his best lately between the pipes and he is expected to get the call here as he was in the starters' crease at the morning skate. Considering that as well as the Penguins recent knack for giving up too many goals when facing quality opposition and you have a barnburner likely in this one. Each of the last 3 meetings between these teams have totaled at least 6 goals. Both teams are rested here as well as neither was in action yesterday. Fresh legs. Look for at least 7 in this one!  Over is our play here. |
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02-21-24 | Blue Jackets v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
#77/78 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Columbus Blue Jackets at Anaheim Ducks, Wednesday at 10 PM ET - The Blue Jackets are in the 2nd night of a B2B which means, after losing 5-1 to the Kings with Merzlikins in goal for Columbus, Tarasov is likely to get the start tonight. It is either Merzlikins in goal in a B2B (not easy to do) or Tarasov (likely) and both goalies have struggled of late. Tarasov is the likely starter and he is allowing nearly 4 goals per game with a 3.91 GAA this season. Columbus lost 5-1 to LA last night which was the 10th time in last 14 games that the Jackets have allowed at least 4 goals! Columbus has scored an average of 3 goals per game on the season and will bounce back after scoring just 1 goal last night. They face a Ducks team that will likely have John Gibson in goal for this one. He has allowed 8 goals in his last two appearances even though those spanned just 5 periods of hockey. In other words his GAA is above 4 goals per game his last two games. Both these teams struggle on the penalty kill so that should help get the power plays going in this one. On the season the Blue Jackets have allowed the most goals in the league! As for Anaheim, in the Western Conference the Ducks rank 14th out of 16 teams in terms of goals allowed! Anaheim has won 2 of 3 and scored at least 4 goals in each win. They also are happy to be back home after a long road trip. They will take advantage of hosting a team that is very susceptible defensively and in goal. At the same time the Blue Jackets have done a great job in the scoring department this season when coming off a loss by a margin of at least 3 goals! They have averaged scoring 4.3 goals the 13 times that has happened this season! In other words, perfect spot for Columbus to respond in the offensive zone. 5-4 would not surprise us at all here and getting each team to 3-3 here (resulting in a 4-3 final) should not be a problem either! Look for at least 7 in this one!  Over is our play here. |
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02-16-24 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Coyotes | Top | 5-1 | Win | 124 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Carolina Hurricanes Puck Line (-1.5 goals +120) over Arizona Coyotes, Friday at 9:05 PM ET - Carolina is in a great spot here which is why the odds on the Hurricanes have risen to as high as a -225 favorite on the money line. Where the value is here is with the puck line which is in the +120 range on this one. Regardless of the starting goalies here, we are strong on the Canes in this spot. However, we will mention that the expected starters are Karel Vejmelka for the Coyotes and Pyotr Kochetkov for the Hurricanes. Kochetkov allowed 3 goals in the loss to Dallas but had allowed 2 or less goals in each of his 7 road starts since mid-December - and an average of just 1.4 goals ruing this stretch! Arizona is without #1 goalie Connor Ingram as he was hurt in the 3-1 home loss to Minnesota Wednesday. Vejmelka has lost 14 of 20 decisions this season and has a 3.36 GAA on the season. He has allowed 26 goals in his last 6 starts including allowing at least 4 goals in 5 of those 6 starts! Vejmelka is struggling badly and faces a tall order here. The Hurricanes come to Arizona hungry for a win as they are off a 4-2 loss at Dallas. The Canes team is well-coached and is an especially tough team when off a loss. The Hurricanes had won 13 of 17 games prior to that loss. Unlike red hot Carolina, Arizona has been trending in the other direction. The Coyotes have lost 13 of 17 games and that includes 7 in a row! 16 of last 21 Arizona losses have been by a margin of 2 or more goals. The Coyotes are struggling to score goals so another loss by a multi-goal margin appears likely here. Arizona's has averaged just 1.9 goals scored in last 18 losses. Carolina has averaged 4.2 goals scored in last 14 wins. We look for at least a 4-2 final in this one and the rested Hurricanes off a loss coupled with the Coyotes goalie situation makes a win by a 3-goal margin quite possible here. Road team in a blowout has high probability here per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals with road favorite Carolina is the value play here. |
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02-13-24 | Devils v. Predators OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
#25/26 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - New Jersey Devils at Nashville Predators, Tuesday at / PM ET - We like this over even if these goalies do not go but, barring something unforeseen prior to drop of the puck, the expected goalie match-up here is also great news for an over. Because of Nico Daws starting last night coupled with #1 goalie Vitek Vanecek currently out with an injury, the Devils options tonight are Daws again in the 2nd night of a B2B (always tough on a goalie) or go with the #3 guy Akira Schmid (3.38 GAA in 11 night game starts this season) who has been down in the American Hockey League until being called up because of the Vanecek injury. New Jersey expected to go with their third choice, Schmid, and he is expected to be matched up with Juuse Saros of the Predators. Note that Saros is struggling right now. Saros has a modest 2.97 GAA this season but has allowed 11 in his last 3 starts! Saros will face a Devils team that scored 3 early goals in their win last night and could have scored 5 or 6 goals in that game were it not for some great saves from the Kraken goalie. New Jersey looked great on the attack last night and they have scored at least 3 goals in 4 of last 5 games. We expect each team to get to 3 goals here and force this one to get to at least a 4-3 final in Nashville. The Predators have allowed at least 4 goals in 5 of last 6 games. The Predators have scored at least 3 goals in 5 of last 7 home games! The Devils, prior to the 3-1 win over Seattle, had seen 5 of last 7 games total at least 8 goals! Based on all of the above, this is the perfect set-up for a back and forth 4-3 type affair.  We expect at least 7 goals in this one and like the added value here of working with a posted total of 6.5 at low juice across the board in this one!  Over is our play here |
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02-08-24 | Capitals v. Panthers -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Florida Panthers Puck Line (-1.5 goals -100) over Washington Capitals, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET - Florida is in a great spot here which is why they are a -270 favorite on the money line. Where the value is here is with the puck line which is in the even money range on this one. Regardless of the starting goalies here, we love the Panthers in this spot. However, we will mention that the expected starters are Darcy Kuemper for the Capitals and Sergei Bobrovsky for the Panthers. Kuemper lost his starting job to Charlie Lindgren because of performance but now Lindgren is off a rough start so here comes Kuemper again. He has had a very rough season with his performance away from home being particularly bad. Kuemper has lost 8 of 12 road decisions and has a 3.77 GAA away from home this season! Bobrovsky was in the All-Star game so he was given a break in Tuesday's loss to the Flyers. Now he is back for this start and he is having a fantastic season. This is the perfect situation for a big play on the Panthers as they are off a home loss and now can take advantage of a struggling Capitals team. Washington has lost 13 of 18 games and 9 of their last 12 losses have been by 2 or more goals. Already without Backstrom since late October now they are without Kuznetsov and this Capitals team is just not at the same level as the Caps teams of recent seasons. Florida has been trending the opposite direction of Washington as they had won 13 of 17 games prior to the 2-1 loss to the Flyers Tuesday. The Panthers had scored an average of 4 goals per game last 17 games prior to the loss to Philly. The Capitals have had trouble scoring goals for much of this season and enter this game having scored just 19 goals in last 11 road games! Home team in a blowout per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Florida is the value play here. |
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01-31-24 | Sharks v. Ducks OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
#69/70 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks, Wednesday at 10:30 PM ET - We like this over even if these goalies do not go but, barring something unforeseen prior to drop of the puck, the expected goalie match-up here is also great news for an over. Because of Mackenzie Blackwood starting last night, the Sharks options tonight were Blackwood again in the 2nd night of a B2B (always tough on a goalie) or go with the struggling Kaapo Kahkonen. San Jose expected to go with Kahkonen and he is expected to be matched up with John Gibson of the Ducks. Note that Gibson has a 3.09 GAA this season and if they go with Lukas Dostal he has a 3.50 GAA this season. Gibson is slated to start and he has allowed 30 goals in his last 8 starts! Also, he just allowed 4 goals in most recent start and gave up 4 goals to the Sharks in a recent 5-3 loss. As for San Jose goalie Kahkonen, he had a 3.85 GAA last season and is having another rough season including a 3.86 GAA this month! Both these clubs allow a lot of shots on goal and have struggled on the penalty kill this season. San Jose is off a 2-0 win and has won 4 of 5 games! The low-scoring win was a rarity and was the first shutout for Blackwood this season but prior to that, 3 of last 4 Sharks games totaled 7 or more goals! The Ducks are off a 3-2 win but this followed Anaheim allowing 4 goals per game on average over their last 8 games. Anaheim, prior to the 3-2 win, was on a stretch in which 8 of 9 games totaled 6 or more goals. Those 8 games that did had an average of 7.5 goals and, based on all of the above, this is the perfect set-up for a back and forth 4-3 type affair. We expect at least 7 goals in this one and like the added value here of working with a posted total of 6 across the board in this one! Over is our play here |
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01-24-24 | Coyotes v. Panthers OVER 6 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
#69/70 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals -120 - Arizona Coyotes at Florida Panthers, Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET - We like this over even if these goalies do not go but, barring something unforeseen prior to drop of the puck, the expected goalie match-up here is also great news for an over. Sergei Bobrovsky expected to get the call for the Panthers and his last 3 appearances have only lasted about 2 and 1/2 games as he was pulled mid-way in one of the starts. In this 2 and 1/2 game stretch he has allowed 10 goals. He has a GAA in the 4.00 range over his last 6 appearances! The Coyotes, because this is the front end of a back to back and they have Tampa Bay tomorrow, are expected to rest Connor Ingram and go with Karel Vejmelka instead. Vejmelka has not played in over a week and in that one he allowed 4 goals in just 14 minutes! Prior to this he allowed an average of 4 goals over his last 3 games so his form has not been good. The Panthers will take advantage here and are off of a 4-1 victory and that was the 9th time in 12 games that Florida has scored at least 4 goals! The Coyotes enter this one off a 5-2 win and 6 of their last 9 games have totaled 6 or more goals. Arizona has scored 3.4 goals per game in their last 5 games and this one, based on all of the above, is the perfect set-up for a back and forth 4-3 type affair. We expect at least 7 goals in this one! Over is our play here |
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01-16-24 | Coyotes v. Flames OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
#37/38 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Arizona Coyotes at Calgary Flames, Tuesday at 9:07 PM ET - Great set-up for an over here. The Coyotes head to Calgary with plenty of confidence off a 6-0 win. However, Arizona also just got hammered 6-2 at home by these Flames. Something has to give here and we fully expect the Coyotes to be aggressive on the attack as they are out for revenge but they will again struggle to slow down Calgary. The Flames have consistently been involved in high-scoring games of late. Calgary is off a 3-1 win at Vegas but, prior to this, 6 of the last 9 Flames games had totaled at least 6 goals. Those 6 games averaged 8 goals each! The Coyotes have had 5 straight games (and 8 of last 11) total at least 6 goals! Prior to their 6-0 shellacking of the Wild at Minnesota, Arizona had allowed an average of 5 goals per game in their 5 most recent games. The goals should fly here with a strong effort from the revenge-minded Coyotes coupled with Arizona's struggles in keeping the puck out of their own net! The Coyotes are strong on the power play but weak on the penalty kill. Of course this helps lead to some extra scoring overall in Arizona's games. In terms of special teams play, the Flames lead the league in short-handed goals. Don't be surprised if special teams play helps the cause in this one as well as Arizona is one of the most penalized teams in the league. Calgary has scored 26 goals in 6 games and they come out strong here at home but the revenge-minded Coyotes keep this one interesting in what should be a back and forth high-scoring battle. Based on the recent trending for each club, we can't see either team finishing with less than 3 goals in this one given the above and this would translate to at least a 4-3 final. Over is our play here |
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01-09-24 | Senators v. Flames -122 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
#18 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Calgary Flames (-130) over Ottawa Senators, Tuesday at 9 PM ET - The Senators are struggling overall and have struggled on the road this season. Ottawa enters this game having lost 10 of 13 games. They also have lost 11 of 15 games on the road this season. The Flames, on the other hand, have turned things around since goalie Jacob Markstrom came back. He was excellent in a recent road loss at Philadelphia and that tight loss was preceded by a stretch in which Calgary won 6 of 8 games. The Flames enter this game on a 3-1 run last 4 home games and they are certainly happy to be back home in Alberta after their road trip ended with a couple tight losses. This is the perfect spot for a Calgary bounce back against a team that is struggling and has proven to be road-adverse this season. The Flames have allowed just 2.4 goals per game in their last 10 games. The Senators have allowed 4.3 goals in the last 14 games! Also, Calgary is one of the top teams in the NHL for short-handed goals and their penalty kill is much stronger than that of the Santors. In fact, Ottawa is dead last on the penalty kill in the NHL this season. Special teams play and the home/road dichotomy plus the goalie and defensive edges all belong to the host in this one. Looks like a home blowout is on the way in this one!  Home team's money line is our play here. |
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12-21-23 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
#53/54 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Washington Capitals at Columbus Blue Jackets, Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET - Great set-up for an over here. Washington is coming off a 3-2 win in the shootout last night and the back to back is going to stress the goalie situation for the Capitals.  The Blue Jackets are a high-scoring team and the Capitals defense and netminding will be pushed to the limit here.  Columbus has seen 7 straight games total at least 7 goals.  The Blue Jackets have become a more wide-open free-flowing team and the goal-scoring has picked up as a result. Columbus has played .500 hockey for many weeks now and won 7 of 14 games and averaged scoring 4 goals per game in those 14 games.  The issue for the Blue Jackets is that the goal-tending work has really tailed off of late. Columbus has allowed at least 3 goals in 7 of last 8 games.  The Capitals also have a goal-tending concern here as their option would be Kuemper playing a 2nd straight game in a B2B which would not be good. The Caps other option (and the expected option) is that Lindgen will get the start tonight. He has allowed at least 3 goals in 6 of his last 8 games. In those 6 games, Lindgren allowed an average of 3.5 goals. The goals should be flying here as the Caps are facing a high-scoring Jackets team that is surging right now but, at the same time, Washington's confidence is surging with B2B wins and victories in 4 of last 6 games. Based on the above, we can't see either team finishing with less than 3 goals in this one given the above and this would translate to at least a 4-3 final.  Over is our play here |
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12-15-23 | Senators v. Stars OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 102 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
#53/54 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Ottawa Senators at Dallas Stars, Friday at 8:07 PM ET - Great set-up for an over here. Ottawa is coming off a 4-2 loss at St Louis last night and the back to back is going to stress the goalie situation for the Senators. The Stars are a high-scoring team and the Senators defense and netminding will be pushed to the limit here. Dallas has seen 11 of the last 14 games total at least 7 goals. This is not like the Dallas teams of old that played tight defensive-minded hockey. Instead, the Stars have become a more wide-open free-flowing team and the goal-scoring has picked up as a result. Dallas has averaged scoring 4 goals per game in the last 14 games. The issue for the Stars is that the goal-tending work of Jake Oettinger has really tailed off since he had a strong start to the season. Oettinger has allowed at least 3 goals in each of his last 4 games. The Senators are a solid scoring club and will be ready to go strong here after the disappointing result at St Louis last night in which the Blues were ready to respond after firing their head coach. The Senators had averaged 4 goals scored per game in their 4 games prior to the tough result at St Louis last night. They should enjoy success against a Stars club that has allowed 22 goals in the last 5 matches! This is not only a non-divisional but also non-conference match-up and that also lends itself to a more free-flowing affair. Based on the recent trending for each club, we can't see either team finishing with less than 3 goals in this one given the above and this would translate to at least a 4-3 final.  Over is our play here |
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12-07-23 | Maple Leafs -129 v. Senators | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
NHL game rotation #7: ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Toronto Maple Leafs (-130) over Ottawa Senators, Thursday at 7 PM ET - The Senators are off a huge upset win over the Rangers on Tuesday! Speaking of upsets, Ottawa also beat the Maple Leafs in Toronto earlier this season. This is a divisional game and the Leafs are set for revenge here. Toronto enters this game well rested as their last game was a home loss in overtime against the Bruins over the weekend. The Maple Leafs hold the rest edge here and have revenge plus the Senators are dead last in the division even though they have only played 5 true road games out of 20 games this season! No team in the NHL has fewer road games than Ottawa. The Senators are home for this game but the point is we are not convinced the Sens are even as strong as their 10-10 record on the season considering they have had a home-heavy schedule. The Sens only have 5 wins in regulation time in their last 16 games and they are yet to lose in OT or the shootout this season. The point is the Senators have been fortunate in terms of scheduling and in terms of good breaks in tight games. This is a great value spot to back one of the stronger teams in the league at a fair price because the Maple Leafs are on the road for this revenge match-up so the price is held to a reasonable level. Toronto goalie Joseph Woll has allowed 3 or less goals in regulation time of each of his last 5 starts and he is also seeking payback here as his worst start of the season was the game against Ottawa. The Senators won the game 6-3 but it was 3-3 in the 3rd period. The road team has won each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. Toronto had won 6 of last 7 meetings before that loss earlier this season and those 6 wins were by a score of 24-11 for an average score of 4-2. We look for the Leafs to resume their long-term dominance here. Great situation with revenge, rest, and also the better special teams. Toronto has been better on the power play and on the penalty kill this season in comparison with the Senators. Road team money line is our play here. |
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11-28-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -125 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
#40 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Edmonton Oilers (-130) over Vegas Golden Knights, Tuesday at 9 PM ET - We have been waiting for this one since the start of the season and the way it has been set up here is perfect. Vegas is in a B2B spot. The Golden Knights used their top goalie, Hill, last night. That means Thompson will be patrolling the crease tonight. Though Thompson has been okay this season, Hill has been the top guy and the Knights have lost each of Thompson's last 4 starts. This is a huge revenge game for the Oilers as they were eliminated in the Western Conference Semifinals by Vegas in May and the Golden Knights went on to win the Stanley Cup! What has made this situation even stronger (again we had this spot circled BEFORE the season started) is that the Golden Knights have now lost 7 of last 10 games and have been struggling to score goals of late. Now couple that with the fact that Edmonton seems to have turned the corner after a slow start this season. The Oilers just wrapped up a road trip with a much-needed 5-0 blowout win. For an encore, they came home and delivered an 8-2 thrashing to get warmed up for this huge revenge game. Remember it was right here in Edmonton that the Golden Knights ended the Oilers season last May! Now it is time for payback for the home team here. Since Kris Knoblauch took over in Edmonton for the fired Jay Woodcroft two weeks ago, the Oilers have gone a perfect 3-0 here on home ice! Edmonton is well-rested here as they have played only once since Friday while this will be the 3rd game in 4 nights for Vegas and it is a back to back spot. In this stretch of 7 losses in 10 games, Vegas has scored an average of only 1 goal in the 7 defeats! Also, they scored just one goal in regulation time of their most recent win (in OT over Dallas). The Golden Knights have not won a game in regulation time in a week and half! We like the goal-scoring confidence the Oilers have displayed in their last two games and they are getting their swagger back and the set up for this game is perfect. Looks like a solid home win is on the way in this one!  Home team money line is our play here. |
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11-22-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -133 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -133 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
#36 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Dallas Stars (-135) over Vegas Golden Knights, Wednesday at 9:30 PM ET - The Stars have been waiting for this game and are off to a fantastic start this season. The Golden Knights are the defending champs but have been slumping badly. Dallas is hungry for this one in particular because they lost a hard-fought playoff series with Vegas in May. Then, in their first shot at revenge this season the Stars actually never trailed against the Knights in Vegas but they lost in the shootout. The Golden Knights scored the equalizer with just 3 minutes left in regulation or there would have been no shootout in a game that the Stars know they should have taken! Now, entering this game, the set-up is perfect for revenge and the odds makers know that as well. That is why the Stars are priced as a solid -135 favorite here against the defending champs. There is no mistake with this line. The Golden Knights have lost 5 of 7 games and scored a total of just 6 goals in those 5 defeats! The Stars enter this one having won 11 of 15 games. Also, unlike Vegas, Dallas is having no trouble in the goal-scoring department of late. The Stars have scored at least 3 goals in 6 straight games and have averaged scoring 4.7 goals per game in those 6 games.  Keep in mind the Knights were rolling until early November but, since then, the only two wins they have the past few weeks have been against Montreal and San Jose. Those teams have combined for just 10 wins in 36 games this season. The Golden Knights are just not right at the moment and the Stars are rolling with confidence and on home ice here and highly motivated. Looks like a home blowout is on the way in this one! Home team money line is our play here. |
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11-14-23 | Panthers -1.5 v. Sharks | Top | 5-3 | Win | 105 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
#17 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Florida Panthers Puck Line (-1.5 goals +100) over San Jose Sharks, Tuesday at 10:30 PM ET - The Sharks are, by far, the worst team in the league so far this season. San Jose is 2-12-1 but what is particularly alarming about the record is the shots on goal stats in the two wins! The Sharks could easily be winless on the season as their 2-1 win over the Flyers saw the Sharks outshot by a 39-19 margin. The 3-2 win over Edmonton saw San Jose outshot by a 41-18 margin! Also, their 12 losses in regulation have all come by a multi-goal margin! In fact, the average margin of defeat for the Sharks in those dozen losses is 4 goals per game! The Sharks are being outshot 38.4 to 24.1 on the season! This is incredible how they are being outplayed night after night and now they must deal with a red hot Panthers team that has won 4 straight games and 9 of 12. Of course this is why Florida is priced as a heavy money line favorite on the road here but we get the value on the puck line. Remember, San Jose has 13 losses this season and all 12 of the losses that were in regulation were all by at least 2 goals! Florida is scoring 3.14 goals per game this season while the Sharks are averaging just 1.20 goals per game on the season! San Jose has been held to 2 or less goals in 11 of 12 games and Florida is averaging 4 goals per game during their 4-game winning streak. 4 to 2 or 4 to 1 sounds about right here and all signs point to the Panthers handing the Sharks another defeat by a multi-goal margin. Laying the 1.5 goals with road favorite Florida at an even money price in this one is the value play here. |
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11-07-23 | Flyers v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -119 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
#61/62 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Philadelphia Flyers at San Jose Sharks, Tuesday at 10:37 PM ET - Great set-up for an over here. Two teams very hungry for a win and with fresh skating legs (both off since Saturday) and ready to push hard here but both clubs having major issues in goal. The Flyers will still be without top goalie Carter Hart here. That means Cal Petersen or Samuel Ersson will get the call. Petersen was struggling in the AHL so far this season and then he struggled against the Kings Saturday in his first game after being called up. Ersson is off a good start but this was a shock that can not be expected to be repeated here as he allowed 14 goals on just 59 shots in his first three appearances! The Sharks top guy is Kappo Kahkonen but even if he is back now from his upper body injury, he has a 4.30 GAA so far this season. Mackenzie Blackwood has a 4.77 GAA so far this season. Magnus Chrona is a rookie who allowed 4 goals on only 17 shots in relief of Blackwood Saturday in a 10-2 loss to Pittsburgh. Yes, the Sharks lost 10-2 and this was after losing 10-1 to Vancouver! San Jose has tied an NHL record with 11 straight losses to start the season! However, they showed effort early in the loss to the Penguins and then things unraveled. They badly want to win and will keep pushing hard but their defense and goaltending will hold them back. The same can be said of the Flyers who are off their worst game of the season as they just lost 5-0 at LA Saturday. Philly had not only not been shutout this season, they had never been held to less than 2 goals in a game this season and were averaging 3.4 goals scored per game in their first 11 games this season. So Philly can be expected to bounce back here and their power play did look much better but just could not get the finishes. Those will come against this bad Sharks team but, again, San Jose is going to bring it at the other end of the ice. They do not want to set NHL history with a 12th straight loss so SJ pushes hard here but can not stop Philly either. 5-4 would not surprise us in the least but certainly we should see this one get to at least a 4-3 final. 4 of the 5 games not started with Hart in goal for Philly have seen the Flyers allow at least 5 goals each time! The Sharks are allowing 5 goals per game this season! Based on the above, don't be surprised if one of these teams reaches the 5 goal mark here and we can't see either team finishing with less than 3 goals here given the above. Over is our play here. |
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11-01-23 | Sabres v. Flyers -105 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
#32 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Philadelphia Flyers (-105) over Buffalo Sabres, Wednesday at 7 PM ET - The Flyers are off a tight 3-2 loss but that came against a strong Hurricanes team and, overall, Philadelphia again looked solid in that match-up. Philadelphia has been a bit of an early season surprise but the fact is they have a good mix of young talent and veteran presence and also the management and hockey operations changes that were made entering this season are paying immediate dividends. The Flyers right now have looked just as good, if not better, than the Sabres so far this season and also have the home ice edge in this match-up. That being said, the set up here is perfect because Buffalo is off a shocking win over a strong Avalanche team. The Sabres won that game 4-0 behind a shutout performance from Lukkonen between the pipes. However, he had struggled prior to that and Buffalo has been dealing with injuries to goalies Levi and Comrie. The point being, Lukkonen was their #3 choice at goalie! His first two outings were unimpressive so don't be surprised if he quickly regresses after the shocking win over Colorado. As for the Flyers, their #1 goalie is Carter Hart and he is expected between the pipes here and has played very well particularly on home ice. Hart has allowed a total of just 6 goals in his 4 home starts this season! Overall, the Flyers are the deeper team as they are getting more out of their 2nd and 3rd lines than Buffalo has this season. The Sabres have struggled other than their top line. Also, prior to the 4-0 win, Buffalo had lost 5 of 8 games and other than a 3-1 win over the Islanders they were allowing about 4 goals per game in the other 7 games in that stretch. Philly is now off B2B home losses but Hart was in goal for only one of them and this followed the Flyers going a perfect 3-0 in their first 3 home games and winning those games by a combined score of 12 to 3. The Sabres have lost 2 of 3 on the road this season. Home team money line is our play here. |
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10-26-23 | Ducks v. Bruins -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
#42 ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Boston Bruins Puck Line (-1.5 goals -115) over Anaheim Ducks, Thursday at 7:07 PM ET -The Bruins are 6-0 this season and only one of the 6 victories was by less than 2 goals. Boston's average margin of victory this season is exactly 2 goals and they are allowing just 1 goal per game. Conversely, the Ducks are 2-4 this season but, other than 1 high-scoring win, Anaheim has been held to scoring just 1.4 goals per game in their other 5 games. We simply can not envision the Ducks being able to do much in the offensive zone in this one given those numbers plus the way the Bruins have been playing. That said, this one is likely another dominating Boston win and we look for the Bruins to improve to 7-0 with another victory by a multi-goal margin. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Boston at a small money price in this one is the value play here. |
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10-24-23 | Hurricanes v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
#7/8 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals (-110) - Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Lightning simply are not the same team without goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy. He is currently on long-term injured reserve after having back surgery last month. Without Vasilevskiy, the Lightning have already shown a strong trend toward overs this season. It makes sense as their goalie options without him are Jonas Johansson and Matt Tomkins. The Bolts have a goals against average of 4.00 on the season and the Lightning have just 2 wins in 6 games so far. Tampa Bay has scored quite well though and this is particularly true on home ice where they are averaging 4 goals scored per game this season. Overall, 5 of 6 Tampa Bay games have totaled at least 7 goals and the only one that did not was against a Sabres team that has now seen 5 of its 6 games finish under the total this season. Now the Lightning take on a goal-happy Hurricanes team. Indeed Carolina is scoring at a high rate this season as well. The problem for the Canes is they are also conceding goals at a high rate too. This is why all 6 of the Hurricanes games this season have gone over the total! The crazy thing is that Carolina's games are not just going over the total, they are truly flying over the total with authority! Their 6 games have averaged 9.5 goals in regulation time and there is certainly nothing "average" about NHL games averaging 9.5 goals apiece! Look for the high-scoring trend to continue here. We are aware of the Hurricanes having some injury issues but one of those is goalie Frederik Andersen and, even if he plays, he would be rusty here and not 100%! Also, just like the other two Canes goalies this season, Andersen has not been impressive between the pipes. Over is our play here. |
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10-17-23 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Sharks | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
#75 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Carolina Hurricanes Puck Line (-1.5 goals -115) over San Jose Sharks, Tuesday at 10:30 PM ET - The Hurricanes are highly motivated after their first loss of the season and we knew we were going to come with a strong play here after that Canes loss. This Carolina team is again loaded this season while it looks like San Jose will be one of the weakest teams in the league again this season. Last season the Sharks finished with the fewest wins (22 out of 82 games) in the entire league while the Hurricanes were 2nd to only the Bruins in terms of best record in the entire league as the latter had a historical regular season. So far this season the Sharks are 0-1-1 but they should be 0-2-0 with two blowout losses as they lost their opener 4 to 1 and then lost their 2nd game by only 2-1 in the shootout but they were outshot in the game 52 to 21. Complete dominance! Speaking of dominance, a key to this play is that Carolina has already scored an average of 4.3 games in regulation time of their 3 games. This is a dangerous Hurricanes offensive attack once again. The Sharks, on the other hand, have scored just 1 goal in each of their first two games this season! Carolina is sure to respond off the Saturday loss and San Jose had seen 8 of their last 9 losses (dating back to last season) come by 2 or more goals before they were fortunate to hang around in the 2-1 loss to Colorado Saturday. They will not be so fortunate here against a determined and highly motivated road team. The Canes are a massive money line favorite (-300 on the road!) for a reason here and you can also see why the odds suggest a good probability that the winner of this game in San Jose will win it by 2 or more goals. Laying the 1.5 goals with road favorite Carolina at a very reasonable low price in this one is the value play here. |
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06-05-23 | Panthers +124 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
#45 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Florida Panthers +120 over Vegas Golden Knights, Monday at 8 PM ET - If you watched Game 1 you know that there were some fortunate bounces of the puck that favored Vegas. The Golden Knights got some breaks and, overall, we liked what we saw from Florida in that one even though they came up short in game with a deceiving final score of 5-2 as it was certainly much closer than that score would lead you to believe. Florida is now in a strong play on position as they have been so strong off losses including 3-1 in this post-season. Dating back to the regular season, the Panthers went 6-2 last 8 times in the regular season games when on the road and coming off a loss in their prior game. This is a well-coached team with plenty of veteran personnel on its roster too. They will be ready to respond here and we don't expect so much "puck luck" for the Golden Knights in this one as they certainly had some good fortune in Game One. Note that Florida wanted to establish physicality in game one and they did but they took it a little too far and they know they will not win many games when allowing 7 power play opportunities. The Golden Knights converted 2 of them and the Panthers had 0 power plays goals in the game. Certainly this was a big difference in the game. 5 on 5 Florida played very well and Vegas also got some huge saves from goalie Adin Hill. Give him credit as he has been strong in this post-season in a big surprise after other goalies got hurt. However, why was he not the #1 goalie in Vegas before the injuries? Exactly and this is why we feel a breakdown could soon be forthcoming and things start to unravel. All of the above factors are leading to value here. Also, because the Panthers are, of course, on the road for this Game 2 revenge spot in this series we get a great price. Grab the small underdog comeback price with the road underdog here. |
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05-24-23 | Hurricanes +100 v. Panthers | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
#15 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Carolina Hurricanes Money Line (-105) over Florida Panthers, Wednesday at 8 PM ET - The Panthers 1-0 win over Carolina Monday was their first shutout victory of the post-season and the first-ever playoff shutout for Sergei Bobrovsky in his career. The Panthers had only 2 home ice shutouts in the entirety of the regular season. Each time they lost their next game and those defeats were by identical 4-2 scores. All 3 wins in this series for Florida have been by 1 goal and the first two were OT victories. Carolina outshot Florida 32 to 17 in the Game 3 loss. A key player, Barkov, for the Panthers was knocked out of that game early and never returned. He could be back tonight but will not be 100%. The Hurricanes are a determined group with a determined hard-nosed head coach that knows how to get the best out of his players. This series has been tight all the way through and the Panthers are very fortunate to be up 3 games to 0 in this one. The Canes will not quit and have largely avoided losing streaks of more than 2 games this season. This is their first 3-gamer of the post-season and it is the perfect spot to back them for a bounce back. Carolina also won the shots on goal battle in Games 1 and 2 of this series and has had a 70 to 43 edge in shots on goal in games 2 and 3 combined. This has simply been a crazy series as it seems unfathomable that Florida could be up 3 to 0 when you see how this one has played out on the ice. The Hurricanes have to be happy with their level of play yet they have fallen just short of the victory in all 3 games. The determination level and relentlessness of the Canes will be off the charts in this one. Coach Rod Brind'Amour has had his team ready and is one of the best in the business when it comes to preparing his team in the toughest of situations. Down 0-3 but knowing they just need 1 win here and then this series could "turn on a dime", we have no doubt the Hurricanes will be getting some high quality shots and screened shots plus will take advantage of power play chances (likely to get more opportunities tonight), and the result will be a solid road win. Carolina Hurricanes Money Line is the play in this one! |
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05-21-23 | Stars +106 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
#9 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Dallas Stars +105 over Vegas Golden Knights, Sunday at 3 PM ET - If you watched Game 1 you know that there were some fortunate bounces of the puck that favored Vegas. The Golden Knights got some breaks and, overall, we liked what we saw from Dallas in that one even though they came up just short in the 4-3 OT loss. Dallas is now in a strong play on position as they have been so strong off a loss. 22-11 is the combined score of the 5 victories that the Stars have in this post-season when they enter a game off a loss. 18-9 is the combined score of the 4 victories that Dallas had following each of their last 4 regular season losses. We are now moving into the latter third of May and you have to go all the way back to mid-March to find the last time the Stars were dealt B2B losses. We like the Stars to play a very tight-checking game here and be a little more physical than they were in Game 1. The last 9 times they were off a loss they allowed an average of only 2 goals per game while they scored 4.4 goals per game. This is a well-coached team with plenty of veteran personnel on its roster too. They will be ready to respond here and we don't expect so much "puck luck" for the Golden Knights in this one as they certainly had some good fortune in Game One. A key goal also happened for Vegas in the 3rd period on a play when the Stars goalie got bowled over and had no chance on the play. All of these factors are leading to value here. Also, because the Stars are on the road for this Game 2 revenge spot we get a great price. Grab the small underdog price with the road underdog here |
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05-10-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 135 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
#22 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Edmonton Oilers Puck Line (-1.5 goals +130) over Vegas Golden Knights, Wednesday at 10 PM ET - The Golden Knights lost goalie Laurent Brossoit to injury in Game 3 of this series. Vegas then brought in Adin Hill and he was great in relief but the Knights' skaters really came out flying in that game and something seemed amiss with the Oilers all night long even though they were on home ice. That said, now a still-recovering Brossoit (he also had hip surgery recently) will be getting the start for Vegas or Hill will be making the first post-season start of his NHL career. There is a big difference between coming on in relief in a game in which your team also gets a big lead for you versus getting the start. Hill would be entering this game with a 0-0 score of course and having plenty of time to think about making his first-ever playoff start, etc. That is a much different "animal" per se and we know Edmonton is going to bring it on home ice here after the embarrassing Game 3 loss. We like the Oilers no matter who is in goal here as the Knights have the injured Brossoit, first P/O start Hill, or rusty Jonathan Quick as their choices here. The Oilers, when off a loss, are a perfect 7-0 the last 7. As for laying the 1.5 goals here, the Oilers win in this series was by a 5-1 final at Vegas and BOTH their home wins in this post-season (against the Kings) were by multi-goal margins - 10 to 5 aggregate on those two games. The Oilers, dating back to their red-hot close to the regular season as well, were 19-4 last 23 games before that Game 3 loss. This is bounce back time and we expect Edmonton to improve to 8-0 last 8 times when off a loss. Of course the Oilers are a huge money line favorite for a reason and, that being said, we see a lot of value with the puck line in this one. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Edmonton for a plus money return in this one is the value play here. |
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05-04-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 140 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
#56 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Dallas Stars Puck Line (-1.5 goals +140) over Seattle Kraken, Thursday at 9:30 PM ET - Dallas lost Game 1 due to allowing a shocking 4 goals in the 1st period. The Stars entered the 2nd period down 4-2 and battled back to send the game to overtime only to lose in OT. That said, Dallas did build some momentum after the shocking start to that game and we expect a big bounce back effort here. The Stars have been so strong off a loss. In fact, Dallas is a fantastic 9-1 last 10 times when off a loss. Also, 9 of last 12 Stars wins have been by a multi-goal margin. Amazingly, all 9 of those victories - including 3 of them in their first round series win over Minnesota - were by at least a 3 goal margin. Seattle has been exceeding expectations after their huge upset first round series victory over the Avalanche. However, they come back down to earth here in this one as the Stars defensive play and netminding will be on point after that 5-4 OT loss in the first game. 6 of last 7 Kraken losses have been by at least 2 goals. Also, Seattle's last 2 losses in the Colorado series were by a combined score of 10 to 5. We think this one sets up very well for Dallas to respond huge at home after that ugly first period did them in on Tuesday. Of course the Stars a huge money line favorite for a reason but we see a lot of value with the puck line in this one. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Dallas for a plus money return in this one is the value play here.
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04-29-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
#11/12 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* UNDER 6.5 Goals - Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning, Saturday at 7 PM ET - The Maple Leafs have lost 10 straight times when they have a chance to eliminate an opponent in the post-season. The run continued now in this series with the Game 5 loss to the Lightning which has extended this series to Game 6 down in Tampa Bay. However, though that may seem like it would warrant a play on the Bolts here, we like the total so much more. In fact, we love this total. That's because this season's Toronto team was different. They won a lot of tight low-scoring games in the regular season. As for this veteran Lighting team with multiple championships, they certainly know plenty about winning tight low-scoring games. So this one absolutely has the look and feel of a tight low-scoring game. Keep in mind that Game 5 was the first potential elimination game in this series and it was just a 2-1 game in the 3rd period before a Leafs player bumped into his own netminder and that led to the Lightning goal that gave them a 3-1 lead. Then, if not for an empty netter, the game would have ended at a 3-2 final. Of course the 4-2 final we saw Thursday suits our purposes here just fine but the point is that the game could have easily been a 2-1 or 3-2 type final and we are looking for a real grinder here. If Tampa Bay was able to get the kind of game they wanted in Toronto's barn in Game 5 you know they certainly are going to be able to the same down in their own arena tonight. That said, this will be a game all about protecting leads and playing a safe and measured game. It is an elimination game and we saw a real change in the way Game 5 flowed compared to the earlier games in the series. The Lightning eliminated Toronto from the post-season last year so they know how to slow them down and create the game flow they want. That is not to say that it is easy but this Lightning team has proven more than capable on more than one occasion. Tampa is so well coached too. Also, the Maple Leafs are playing with so much pressure to end their playoff series' losing streak. They'll be squeezing the sticks a little too tight again tonight as a result and this one should be quite the low-scoring battle. Because of the current trending of this series, prior to Game 5, the number is just too big here and so we love the value with the total of 6.5 set on this game as that is also based on long-term reputation rather than the current way these teams are playing!  Under is our play here. |
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04-20-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
#1/2 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs, Thursday at 7 PM ET - Toronto needs to respond on home ice here to avoid an 0-2 hole in this series. Certainly the Maple Leafs have the firepower on offense to do just that. The problem is that their goaltending just can not be trusted. Matt Murray is still out (concussion recovery) which means little-used Joseph Woll is the only option behind Ilya Samsonov right now for Toronto. That said, Samsonov is getting the start again tonight but he allowed 6 goals in the Game 1 loss to the high-powered Lightning. This is why we like the over so much here. We are confident that the Leafs are going to come out strong in this critical Game 2 match-up but how can anyone trust their goaltending? Year after year it is a problem for Toronto and ends up being their downfall in the post-season. That said, let's not forget that game one was a 3-2 game with 6 minutes to go in the 2nd period before the Leafs fell apart. The point is they can come out and compete hard here but they are going to have to score plenty to top the Lightning here. Don't be surprised if each club scores at least 3 goals here as this one flies over the total. Tampa Bay has scored an average of 4 goals in last 9 games dating back to late March. 13 of the Maple Leafs last 16 home games have totaled at least 6 goals and those games have averaged 7 goals! Tampa's Andrei Vasilevskiy is a great goalie but he was not as dominant this season and also has allowed 13 goals in his last 3 starts. Over is our play here. |
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04-18-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
#58 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Colorado Avalanche Puck Line (-1.5 goals +140) over Seattle Kraken, Tuesday at 10 PM ET - Every single game between these teams in the regular season was won by the road team as the visitors won all 3. Also, all 3 were decided by just a single goal. So why this play? It is because now the post-season has arrived and the cream rises to the top and we look for Avalanche and their post-season experience plus home ice edge to help lead the way to a big win here over a Seattle club in the post-season for the first time. The Kraken lost their final two games of the regular season each by a multi-goal margin. There were tight games in yesterday's first day of playoff action but the Kraken have had 11 straight games decided by a multi-goal margin and we like Colorado here. The Avalanche have won 8 of last 10 playoff games on home ice. Home team in a blowout per our computer math model as the Avalanche carry their post-season confidence and dominance from last year right into the post-season. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Colorado for a plus money return in this one is the value play here. |
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04-13-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
#13/14 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* UNDER 6.5 Goals - Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers, Thursday at 7 PM ET - This is a huge game in the playoff standings. Carolina needs a win to capture the Metropolitan Division. They control their own destiny since they have one more point than the New Jersey Devils. Florida needs a win to avoid finishing as the 2nd wild card and facing the Boston Bruins in the first round. Like the Hurricanes, the Panthers control their own destiny since they are only one point behind the Islanders and New York played their final game of the regular season last night. So if the Panthers win they avoid facing a Bruins team that had a record-breaking NHL season. That said, this game tonight absolutely should play out as a tight defensive playoff-like battle. The Hurricanes were the 2nd best team this season in terms of goals allowed and have two great goalies in Andersen and Raanta. The Panthers could soon get their top goalie Bobrovsky back but with the way Lyon has been playing, how can Bobrovsky even be re-inserted as the #1? Lyon is a stellar 6-0-1 with a 1.55 GAA and .952 save percentage in his last 7 starts for Florida! The Panthers have allowed just 1.4 goals per game in regulation time of their last 7 games! The Hurricanes 8 of last 9 games have totaled 5 or less goals! Carolina has allowed an average of only 2 goals per game last 7 games! These teams are both already playing play-off hockey! Low-scoring battle should be on tap here as these teams both have been getting strong goaltending and stellar defense of late.  We look for 5 goals here at most but certainly 6 seems like would be the maximum given the importance of this game in the standings and the current trending of these two clubs and so we love the value with the big total set on this game based on Florida's long-term reputation rather than the current way they are playing!  Under is our play here. |
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04-08-23 | Flyers v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
#21/22 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 5.5 Goals - Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting goalies. But we'll start there by mentioning that the Flyers are expected to start Carter Hart here. He has played sparingly the past two weeks and so he could be rusty. This would be just the 2nd start for Hart in two weeks. Also, he is struggling on the road. He is known for being stronger on home ice and that has been the case again with recent road struggles putting a highlight on the home/road dichotomy. Hart has allowed an average of 4 goals per game in his last 6 road starts. The Flyers have been eliminated from post-season contention for quite some time now but Philly would love nothing more than to put a dent in the playoff hopes of the Islanders. To do that though, Philly will have to score well. Their defense has been weak of late overall and it has been part of a rough season for Philadelphia. The Flyers have allowed at least 4 goals in 5 straight games - all losses - and the average allowed was 4.4 goals. This total at 5.5 is just too low. The Flyers will put up a fight and should enjoy some success in the offensive zone but just will not be able to stop the Islanders. New York enters this game off a 6-1 win and has scored at least 5 goals in 3 of last 4 home games. The Islanders averaged 6 goals scored in those 3 home games. They will pressure Philly early and often in this game but should allow a few goals along the way too. Over is our play here.
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03-27-23 | Oilers v. Coyotes OVER 7 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
#51/52 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 7 Goals - Edmonton Oilers at Arizona Coyotes, Monday at 10 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting goalies. But we'll start there by mentioning that the Oilers are expected to start Jack Campbell here as he was in the starters crease at this morning's skate. Campbell has just 1 win in his last 6 starts and has about a 5.00 GAA during this stretch. Campbell has allowed at least 4 goals in all 6 of these starts! The Coyotes have allowed at least 3 goals in 3 straight games and it has not mattered who is in goal. Included in the stretch was a 4-3 OT loss to the Oilers and Edmonton also won the first meeting this season by an 8-2 count. We look for the Coyotes to again struggle to stop the Oilers here but also Arizona is known for competing well at home and will score some goals against an Oilers team known for struggling in its own zone. The Coyotes have scored an average of 4 goals in last 8 home games! 8 of last 12 Arizona games have totaled at least 7 goals. 24 of last 32 Edmonton games have totaled at least 7 goals. The Oilers are off a loss and will be ready to respond here after losing at home to Vegas on Saturday night. Edmonton is off 4-3 OT loss and 4-3 OT win last 2 games and this followed a stretch in which Oilers scored at least 4 goals in 14 of 18 games. One of, if not the, most dangerous teams in the league and coming off a loss, we look for plenty of scoring in this one. The Edmonton offense responds but continues to have some issues keeping the puck out of their own net especially if Campbell gets the start as expected. If he does not start it would be Skinner and he has allowed at least 3 goals in 3 straight games. Over is our play here.
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03-21-23 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
#1/2 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Columbus Blue Jackets at Washington Capitals, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting goalies. But we'll start there by mentioning that the Blue Jackets are expected to start Daniil Tarasov and he has lost 8 of his last 9 starts and is 3-11-1 with a 3.77 GAA this season and is off a start in which he allowed 5 goals. The Capitals are expected to start Charlie Lindgren and he has allowed 4 goals in each of his last two starts. Washington is still mathematically alive but they realize their odds on a wild card spot are slim. The Blue Jackets have already been eliminated from post-season contention. Considering the situation, this game is likely to play out rather wide-open with plenty of open ice. Overall, Washington has seen plenty of that lately too as the Capitals last 4 games have totaled at least 7 goals. Also, the last 11 Caps games have averaged 8 goals. The Blue Jackets also have been trending to overs because their defense is so bad and their goaltending has been subpar. Columbus has lost 8 of 11 games and scored an average of 3.3 goals during this stretch but also allowed an average of 4.8 goals per game. As you can see from these numbers, just like Washington, the Jackets last 11 games averaging 8 goals. You can see why we fully expect to see at least 7 goals in this one! Also, we are aware of the Kuznetsov injury situation for the Capitals but even if he is not back for tonight's game he has been having a very quiet month and yet the Capitals still scoring very well. Also, Washington is getting a boost with the imminent return of John Carslon even though he may not be back until Thursday. Morale is up for the Caps these days. Over is our play here. |
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03-15-23 | Avalanche v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
#79/80 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs, Wednesday at 7 PM ET - We like the over here regardless of the starting goalies. But we'll start there by mentioning that the Maple Leafs are expected to go with Samsonov and he has allowed 8 goals in his last two starts. If Toronto goes with Murray, he has allowed 4 goals in 5 straight starts. As for the Avalanche, Georgiev expected to start and he got pulled against the Maple Leafs when they faced Toronto earlier this season as he allowed 5 goals in less than two periods of work! He also enters this start having allowed 4 goals twice in his last three starts! No matter who is in goal for the Avs this team has allowed 4 goals per game last 7 games! The good news for Colorado fans is that, despite the struggles at times in their own end, this team can pile up goals. The Avalanche are off an 8-4 win at Montreal and their last 6 road games have averaged 7.3 goals. The Maple Leafs have had one low-scoring home game of late but that was because it was against the Wild and Minnesota continues to get involved in low-scoring grinders. But, other than that one exception, if you look at the other recent home games for Toronto they have scored an average of 4 goals last 12. Also, 8 of those 12 totaled at least 7 goals and we look for at least 7 in this one too! Over is our play here. |
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03-07-23 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -129 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Pittsburgh Penguins Puck Line (-1.5 goals -130) over Columbus Blue Jackets, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - Pittsburgh is in a great spot here which is why they are a -300 favorite on the money line. Where the value is here is with the puck line which is in the -130 range on this one. Regardless of the starting goalies here, we love the Penguins in this spot. However, we will mention that the expected starters are Elvis Merzlikins for the Blue Jackets and Tristan Jarry for the Penguins. Merzlikins is having a horrific season and Columbus has lost 19 of his 26 starts and he has a 4.15 GAA which is ridiculously high. Jarry has a solid 2.77 GAA and has a 19-7-5 record overall. The Blue Jackets have lost 22 of 29 road games this season while the Penguins are on home ice where they have been rock solid this season. We love the fact that Pittsburgh is off a 4-1 road loss but now back home and the road loss had followed a 4-game winning streak. Also, the Penguins have won 6 straight over the Blue Jackets by a combined score of 28 to 12. That works out to an average score of 5 to 2 and there is certainly nothing average about that! The fact is the Blue Jackets struggle consistently when facing these Penguins and now Columbus enters this match-up slumping as well. The Blue Jackets have lost 10 of 15 games. The Penguins have averaged scoring nearly 5 goals per game in last 6 wins on home ice and Columbus just will not be able to keep up here. Home team in a blowout per our computer math model.  Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Pittsburgh is the value play here. |
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02-28-23 | Blackhawks v. Coyotes OVER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
#15/16 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Chicago Blackhawks at Arizona Coyotes, Tuesday at 9 PM ET - First off, we'll be clear here that regardless of the goalies that get the start here we like the over in this match-up based on the situation and the recent team trending. However, the expected starting goalie match-up certainly is attractive for an over. It is expected to be Alex Stalock for the Blackhawks and Karel Vejmelka for the Coyotes. Chicago is in the second game of a B2B as they lost 4-2 at Anaheim last night and Petr Mrazek got the start in that one. He is the Blackhawks #1 goalie and so it is unlikely we see him here. Stalock is slated to get the start and he is coming back from a long injury layoff. He has been out since mid-January and did allow at least 3 goals in 4 of last 5 appearances. He could be rusty here and the Chicago defense has not exactly been solid of late. The Blackhawks have allowed 3.6 goals per game last dozen games. Speaking of sub-par defense, the Coyotes have allowed at least 5 goals in 3 of last 4 games! That has included outings from goalie Connor Ingram but Vejmelka has particularly struggled with allowing 5 or more goals in 3 of last 4 appearances. Overall, these clubs both have been trending to higher-scoring games and the value of this total being a 6 is huge as well. The Coyotes have played 8 games since February 10th and 6 of the 8 have totaled at least 6 goals. Chicago has played 7 games the past two weeks and 6 have totaled 6 or more goals. Look for at least 7 in this one!  Over is our play here.
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02-23-23 | Flames v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
#15/16 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights, Thursday at 9 PM ET - This is great set up for an over. The Flames were in Arizona last night where they won 6 to 3. They have goalie issue because Vladar was in goal last night and that means either he goes again in the 2nd game of a B2B or Markstrom gets the call here. Vladar was not overly sharp last night. The Coyotes scored only 3 goals but they actually had very few shots on goal in that game. Vladar has allowed 8 goals on just 38 shots in his last two starts. Markstrom has allowed 4 or more goals in 4 of last 6 games. So you can see why Vegas is expected to score well here. The Golden Knights are off a tough, tight 3-2 shootout loss at Chicago. That should bring a strong effort from a Vegas team that entered that game having won 5 straight games and scoring an average of 5 goals per game in those victories. As for the Golden Knights goalie situation, Hill got hurt in his last start and though it was not a major injury and he could possibly go tonight, he did allow 4 goals in that start and may not be 100 percent here. Thompson has been out since the All-Star game. The Knights had even called up Hutchinson from the AHL to back-up Brossoit Saturday. So, as you can see, both teams have unsettled situations right now at the goalie spot. Brossoit did allow only 2 goals in that start but the Blackhawks are one of the lowest-scoring teams in the league. Now, whoever ends up in goal for this one for Vegas is facing a Flames team that has scored an average of 3.8 goals last dozen games. This one has the makings of a 5-4 battle and yet a 4-3 game also would put is in the winners circle with this one. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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02-21-23 | Ducks v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
#51/52 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Anaheim Ducks at Tampa Bay Lightning, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Lightning are off B2B losses and are a -500 favorite here. Even the puck line at -1.5 is -200 because the Bolts are likely to win this by a 3-goal margin! That is what the oddsmakers expect here as the line at -2.5 goals is -110 and we do expect at least a 5-2 game here totaling 7 goals but really we could see much more scoring in this one. The Ducks are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back after losing 4-3 in OT at Florida yesterday. Anaheim has lost 5 straight games and had allowed at least 6 goals in all 4 losses before yesterday's tighter loss. This is now a very tricky spot for the Ducks goaltending as they used Gibson yesterday and the #2 guy Stolarz is still out with an injury and did not even travel on this road trip. That means Anaheim's choices are a struggling Gibson in a B2B spot or a struggling Lukas Dostal who has surrendered an average of 4 goals in losing 4 straight starts. The Lightning will go with either Elliott, who normally struggles and is the back-up, or with Vasliveskiy here. Though Vasilevskiy is one of the best goalies in the game, he has allowed 7 goals in his last 2 starts and actually allowed 7 goals in a start two weeks ago as well. This one has all the makings of a rather wide-open non-conference match-up with a lot of open ice to make plays on. The fact is the goals should be aplenty in this one. Tampa Bay, when off B2B losses this season, has gone a perfect 5-0 and averaged 4.4 goals scored per victory. Now they are in that same situation and facing a Ducks team that can't stop anyone. The Lightning will have a huge game offensively here. As for Anaheim, as bad as their defensive play, they are still a decently skilled team in the offensive zone. The Ducks have scored an average of 3 goals in their last 18 games. By the way, 15 of those 18 games have totaled at least 7 goals and we feel certain this one will too! Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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02-17-23 | Stars -105 v. Wild | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
#61 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Dallas -105 over Minnesota, Friday at 8 PM ET - The Stars are off B2B losses but they faced Tampa Bay and Boston. The Lightning and Bruins are two of the top teams in the NHL. Dallas is 7-1 this season when entering a game off B2B losses. Indeed, the Stars worst losing streak this season is 3 games and it has happened only one time this season. Dallas is sure to respond here and they are catching a Wild team in a major slump. Overall, Minnesota does not have a single win in regulation last 11 games! The Wild have won only 3 of those games and all 3 were after regulation time. Of the 8 losses, 7 were in regulation time and were by an average margin of 2 goals! Dallas has allowed a total of only 14 goals in regulation time of last 9 games - an average of just 1.6 goals per game! Compare this to a Minny team that is allowing an average of 3.3 goals per game last 11 games. The Wild have scored an average of just 1.8 goals per game in regulation time of last 11 games. Dallas has scored an average of 3 goals per game in regulation time of last 12 games. The Stars have won 2 of last 3 road games and those were each 4-0 wins. They also have knocked off the Wild by 4-1 scores in each of last two meetings. As you can see per the above, the odds in this situation favor another Dallas win yet the game is priced at a pick'em because the Stars are on the road. Grab the excellent line value available here with the pick'em price on the road team in this one. |
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02-14-23 | Panthers v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
#19/20 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Florida Panthers at St Louis Blues, Tuesday at 8 PM ET - The Panthers, prior to a 2-1 SO win at Minnesota last night, 9 of last 10 games had all totaled at least 7 goals.  Florida, yesterday's game notwithstanding, has struggled to stop the opposition for quite some time now. Consider last night's game to be a bit of an aberration. Though Sergei Bobrovksy was in goal last night and has been better of late, he is unlikely to start here in the 2nd game of a B2B. If Bobrovsky did start, note that he has allowed at least 4 goals both times he has started the 2nd night of a B2B this season. The more likely starter would be Spencer Knight and he will be rusty after a long layoff plus he has mostly struggled this season. The Panthers, prior to the 2-1 win over the Wild last night, had allowed at least 4 goals in 11 of last 15 road games.  The strength of Florida however is their potent attack.  The Panthers have scored an average of 4 goals per game last 15 games.  This battle with the Blues should see plenty of goals as St Louis had 3 guys come back in most recent game and that was a 6-5 win and they are finally getting healthy again. Similar to Florida however, the Blues continue to struggle to slow down the opposition. St Louis has allowed at least 4 goals in 6 straight games and 8 of last 10 games.  In those 10 games, the Blues have allowed an average of 4 goals per game.  When these teams met earlier this season in Florida the game totaled 9 goals in a 5-4 thriller!  With the way these teams are trending now, this one has the makings of another shootout.  Look for at least 7 in this one!  Over is our play here. |
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02-13-23 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Predators | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
ASA NHL PLAY ON 8* Arizona Coyotes Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Nashville Predators, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - Nashville is off an OT win but still only 6-5 last 11 games. The big key about the 6 wins, however, is the fact that 4 of the 6 wins were by just a single goal. That means that only twice in last 11 games have the Predators recorded a win by more than a 1-goal margin. Here the Preds are hosting a Coyotes team that has been ultra competitive of late so there is a lot of line value here with the +1.5 goals. Arizona enters this game 3-1-3 last 7 games. Yes, 3 of last 4 losses have been in OT or SO so they were 1 goal defeats. Only once in last seven games have the Coyotes been beaten by more than a 1-goal margin. This should be another ultra-competitive game and we will not pass up on the line value with the big underdog in this match-up. Grabbing the 1.5 goals with the road dog Arizona is the value play here. |
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02-09-23 | Sharks v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -143 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
#35/36 ASA PLAY ON 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 Goals - San Jose Sharks at Florida Panthers, Thursday at 7 PM ET - The Panthers just hammered the Lightning 7-1 on home ice Monday night.  This is a tough spot for the Florida defense and goaltending to be in top form (coming off huge win over in-state divisional rival TB) and they should allow plenty of goals again tonight as a result.  However, they can take advantage of facing a Sharks team that gives up plenty of goals.  San Jose enters this one having allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 20 games.  Sharks have scored 4 goals per game last 4 games too!  San Jose has been on a long stretch in which almost all their games have totaled at least 7 goals.  Sharks 16 of 20 games have totaled at least 7 goals.  Prior to a 4-3 OT win at Tampa Bay Tuesday, 6 of the last 8 Sharks games that did total at least 7 goals did reach the 8-goal mark.  So yes this is a big total with 7 goals being the posted number in most books.  However, don't be surprised if this game gets to 3-3 at some point. Therefore, we look for a final tally of at least 7 in this one!  Of course the goal is never a push with a bet but the fact is we get some added insurance here with 7 being a push rather than a loss.  Given all the numbers involving these clubs once could easily argue the posted total should be 7.5 goals in this one!  Taking a look at Florida's numbers entering this one, the Panthers have had 8 straight games total at least 7 goals and 6 of those 8 did total at least 8 goals! Look for yet another one to reach at least the 8-goal mark here!  Over is our play in this one. |
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01-30-23 | Blues v. Jets -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 117 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
#62 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Winnipeg Jets Puck Line (-1.5 goals +115) over St Louis Blues, Monday at 8:05 PM ET - Both clubs enter this game on losing streaks but there is a big difference between these teams right now. St Louis is banged up with injuries and has been getting blown out on a regular basis. Winnipeg is having a much stronger season under coach Rick Bowness (came over from Dallas before this season) but he just laid into his team after a 4-0 home shutout to the Flyers on Saturday! That was 3rd straight loss for Jets but they have not lost 4 straight games all season long! Also, the Jets have a rock solid goalie in Connor Hellebuyck. Even if David Rittich starts between the pipes that would be fine as he has allowed an average of 2 goals last 2 starts. But Hellebuyck is the expected starter here and he is one of the top goalies in the NHL. Conversely, the Blues have allowed tons of goals as their goaltenders are struggling. Probably it will be Jordan Binnington but whether it is him or Thomas Greiss, both have struggled in recent starts. The Blues have allowed 4 or or more goals in 12 of 18 games. The Jets had given up just 2.3 goals per game last 6 home games before that 4-0 loss to Philadelphia. Coach Bowness got the attention of this team after that loss. To a man, these players have been challenged and they will respond here. Jets on home ice and off a home shutout and this is the final game for these clubs before the All Star break. St Louis is hurting and missing some key guys and other guys banged up. Jets the healthier team and on home ice and they are a big favorite on the money line but priced with value on the puck line. Winnipeg has beaten the Blues five straight times! The two wins this season have both been blowouts! The Jets entered this game with last 7 wins by an average margin of 2.4 goals apiece. St Louis has 24 losses in regulation this season and 23 of the 24 have been by at least a 2-goal margin! Home team in a blowout per our computer math model.  Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Winnipeg is the value play here. |
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01-24-23 | Ducks v. Coyotes OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 101 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
#67/68 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Anaheim Ducks at Arizona Coyotes, Tuesday at 9 PM ET - The Ducks continue to be involved in high-scoring games night after night.  Anaheim has had 8 straight games total at least 7 goals!  Not only that, 6 of the 8 totaled at least 8 goals!  The Ducks are struggling with defense and goaltending too no matter who has been guarding the cage.  Gibson and Stolarz have been the ones in goal throughout this stretch and Anaheim has conceded an average of 5 goals per game in the 8 games.  The Ducks have scored at least 3 goals in 5 of last 7 road games and should give the Coyotes some trouble here.  Arizona could start Connor Ingram in goal here but he has allowed at least 3 goals in 12 of 14 games.  The Coyotes are more likely to start Karel Vejmelka as he is off a strong start and has been getting the majority of work.  One of the keys here is Vejmelka just does not usually come up with back to back strong starts.  You have to go all the way back to mid-November to find the last time he had B2B starts in which he allowed less than 3 goals in each start.  The Coyotes are coming off a big win over the Golden Knights - an upset victory - in which Vejmekla allowed just 1 goal.  But in his 23 starts leading into that, he allowed at least 3 goals 20 times!  In fact, before the strong start versus Vegas, Vejmelka allowed 3.5 goals per game in those 23 starts and 4 goals per game in 8 most recent starts.  The Coyotes have allowed more goals than any of the 8 teams in the Central Division. The Ducks have allowed more goals than any team in the entire 32-team league! Arizona is not known for scoring well overall but on home ice they have averaged 3 goals last 14 games!  Anaheim also not known for scoring but have been better of late on the road as noted above.  Again the key here is you are talking about two teams that are known for surrendering plenty of scoring and the situation is ideal with Arizona off the big upset of Vegas. The Ducks will see plenty of open ice which will lead to scoring chances in this one but the Coyotes will battle back too with solid scoring opportunities of their own against a porous Anaheim defense. Look for at least 7 in this one!  Over is our play here. |
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01-19-23 | Red Wings v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
#77/78 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights, Thursday at 10 PM ET - The Golden Knights are off their first shutout loss of the season on Monday! Vegas will be responding big time here off that rare goose egg on home ice! The Golden Knights are home again for this one and will bounce back but they continue to have shaky goaltending. Thompson has allowed 3.6 gpg in his last 5 home appearances and has given up at least 3 goals in all 5 of those. Hill's last 6 appearances in the crease featured two good ones but in the other 4 he allowed 11 goals on just 60 shots! No matter which goalie goes tonight, the Red Wings should enjoy some success. Detroit has scored an average of 4 goals per game in their last 5 games! Like Vegas, the issue for the Red Wings has been allowing too many goals no matter who is in goal. So we are not overly concerned with who is in goal here because Detroit has given up 4 goals per game last 15 games but we will mention Husso is the expected netminder here. Husso has had one good outing in his last 10 appearances. In the other 9, Husso has allowed 39 goals for an average of 4.33 goals per game! The goalie struggles of both Husso and Hellberg are a big reason that 9 of last 14 Red Wings games have totaled at least 7 goals. Those games have averaged about 8 goals apiece. Considering all the above plus a fired up Vegas team that will be relentless in the attacking zone off a home shutout loss, you have the ideal situation for plenty of goals in this one. Vegas scores well at home but can not stop Detroit either and that leads to a solid win for us here. Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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01-12-23 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Blackhawks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Colorado Avalanche Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Chicago Blackhawks, Thursday at 8:35 PM ET - No matter the goalies who start here we like Colorado strongly in this spot. However, we will note that Petr Mrazek is the expected starter for the Blackhawks. He is 2-10-1 with a 4.19 GAA this season! As for the Avalanche, Pavel Francouz is back and healthy and served as the back-up Tuesday and is likely to start here. He has allowed 2 or less goals in 5 of his last 7 starts. Even if Colorado does start Alexandar Georgiev here, he was showing signs of turning things around before his most recent start. In the 3 starts before that rough one he had allowed 3 or less goals in 3 straight starts. The key here is the team on team situation. Yes, the Blackhawks are off B2B wins but they lost 25 of 29 games prior to this 2-game winning streak. Also the win streak features a win over a bad Coyotes team and a win in overtime against a Flames team that fired 47 shots on goal and had a heavy shot edge. The point is we are not impressed. The Avalanche beat the Blackhawks 5-2 earlier this season. Though the Avs have endured some tough sledding on the ice recently, they are still the vastly superior team in this match-up and this is the perfect "get right" game against an outclassed opponent. Chicago just will not be able to keep up here. The Blackhawks are averaging only 1.8 goals scored per game over the last 30 games! Colorado averages 3 goals per game and this is still a team capable of "pouring it on" against weaker foes. This one should end similarly to their 5-2 meeting earlier this season as Avalanche are angry about rallying to tie their most recent game only to allow a late power play goal in the eventual loss. That said, this Avs team is ready to roll tonight. Road team in a blowout per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals with the road favorite Colorado is the value play here. |
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01-10-23 | Flames v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
#15/16 ASA TOP PLAY ON 6* OVER 6 Goals - Calgary Flames at St Louis Blues, Tuesday at 8 PM ET - It is very likely that Jacob Markstrom will get the start in goal here for the Flames tonight as he was the first one off the ice at this morning's skate. That is noteworthy as he was pulled from his most recent start after allowing 3 goals on just 11 shots. Markstrom has allowed at least 3 goals in 3 of his last 4 road starts. Even if he does not start we would like the over here as the Blues, even without Vladimir Tarasenko, continue to score well. By the way, last time Markstrom faced the Blues they scored 5 times against him. The problem for St Louis, other than the recent rare strong start (shutout!) by Thomas Greiss in most recent game, is that #1 goalie Jordan Binnington has struggled badly. He was in the starters crease at this morning's skate so he is expected to get the start here. Binnington has conceded 17 times in his last 4 starts so the Flames should enjoy success here. If Greiss would happen to start (odds are slim of that) he was not impressive prior to the unlikely shutout versus Wild over the weekend. St Louis is off the 3-0 win but this followed 9 of 11 Blues games totaling at least 7 goals. The Flames are hungry here as they are off a loss and they have scored an average of 3.6 goals per game in regulation time of their last 7 road games! Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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01-03-23 | Coyotes v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 105 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
#55/56 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Arizona Coyotes at Florida Panthers, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - The Panthers have decided to start Knight in goal because Bobrovsky just struggled in the 5-3 loss to the Rangers. The only problem with this logic for Florida is that Knight is also struggling. The young netminder has allowed 14 goals on 75 shots in his last 3 starts. Yes that is an average of about 5 goals per start! The Panthers have allowed an average of 5 goals in their last 5 losses. Florida has scored an average of 4.4 goals in their 16 wins this season. 8 of Florida's last 12 home games have finished with 7+ goals scored. The Coyotes are staring Karel Vejmelka between the pipes tonight. He is their top option in goal but he has struggled of late. He has allowed at least 3 goals in 12 of last 13 starts and is allowing 4 goals per start in his last 7 road starts. The Panthers are angry off losses in 5 of last 6 games and should score very well here on home ice. However, the Coyotes are confident right now as they have scored an average of 5 goals per game last 3 games and we see this one turning into a wild back and forth affair. The key here being Florida's big weakness in terms of allowing too many goals. Florida scores well at home but can not stop Arizona either and that leads to a solid win here. Look for at least 7 in this one!  Over is our play here. |
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12-19-22 | Oilers -117 v. Predators | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -117 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
#17 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Edmonton Oilers -120 over Nashville Predators, Monday at 8 PM ET - The Predators have lost 6 straight games and been outscored 13 to 7 in their two games against the Oilers this season. Nashville started this season 2-0 but has lost 17 of 27 games since then. The Predators have scored an average of only 1.5 goals per game in their current 6-game losing streak and now face one of the most dangerous teams in the league in terms of offensive production. This is a great spot to back Edmonton as they are off B2B losses and have gone 3-1 this season when entering a game on a losing streak. Unlike Nashville, the Oilers have not been prone to long losing streaks this season. Edmonton has scored an average of 4 goals per game last dozen games and will be too much for this struggling Nashville team. The Predators power play converting only 14% of the time and the Oilers are converting 32% of their power play opportunities. We have the better special teams play here, the stronger overall team, the more potent offense, and in terms of streaks we are able to fade a team that is slumping bad. Also, because the Oilers are on the road for this one we get a great price. Lay the very reasonable money line price with the road favorite here |
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12-14-22 | Red Wings v. Wild -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 120 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Minnesota Wild Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Detroit Red Wings, Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET - Plus money is in the +115 range on this one as of early morning Wednesday. The Wild are in a great spot for a home rout here. Detroit is in 2nd game of a B2B and had top goalie Husso in goal last night. The Red Wings lost key player Dylan Larkin to injury in last night's game versus Carolina also. That is a key blow to a team that was already struggling to score goals. Though it is uncertain how much time Larkin will miss it has been announced already that he will not play in tonight's game. This is a revenge game for the Wild as they lost to the Red Wings earlier this season and we expect Minnesota will take full advantage of the situation. Detroit has lost 3 straight games and has scored an average of only 1 goal per game in this 3-game losing streak. The Wild have won 8 of 11 games and have scored an average of 3.7 goals per game during this stretch. This one shapes up to be a complete mismatch which is, of course, the reason the Wild are 2 to 1 favorites on the money line. The value comes into play here by laying the 1.5 goals on the puck line and getting a plus money return as a result. Home team in a blowout per our computer math model.  Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Minnesota is the value play here. |
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12-07-22 | Coyotes v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
#75/76 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6.5 Goals - Arizona Coyotes at Edmonton Oilers, Wednesday at 9:35 PM ET - The Oilers are off a 3-2 loss in which they allowed 50 shots on goal. They continue to struggle defensively but have so much firepower on offense it usually bails them out. Edmonton has now allowed 83 shots on goal the last two games! But the Oilers can score with the best of them and continue to be among the league's most dangerous teams offensively. An added bonus is that Zach Hyman could be back tonight as he did skate yesterday. Even if he is not back the Oilers still have their top guns of Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins. The Oilers scored plenty against the Coyotes last season as they scored at least 5 goals in each of the 3 games and the last two meetings saw the teams combine for 8 and 7 goals respectively. Here Edmonton will be hungry to bounce back on home ice as they continue their mastery of attacking the Coyotes and the Oilers respond off the 3-2 loss to the Capitals. Prior to that defeat Edmonton's last 5 games all totaled 7 or more goals and, in fact, 7 of last 8 games overall had totaled at least 7 goals. The Oilers have allowed at least 3 goals in 10 straight games! But Edmonton is a -300 favorite here for a reason. In other words, it is not a surprise that many of our math models are calling for at least a 4-3 Oilers win and a 5-3 final is the most probable final score that has come up in our math model simulations. Edmonton will again struggle some in their own zone and the Coyotes have some solid scoring threats and are a scrappy team. But ultimately this one will be about the relentless Oilers attack showing no mercy as they again pile up goals against Arizona just like they did in all 3 meetings last season! The Coyotes are struggling this season but have scored an average of 3 goals in their last 7 games and they are scrappy and will fight to be in this one all the way. They'll have to score plenty to stay in it too and they know it. That turns this one into a barnburner! Look for at least 7 in this one!  Over is our play here. |
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11-28-22 | Stars v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
#9/10 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Dallas Stars at St Louis Blues, Monday at 8 PM ET - Watching these teams closely in terms of the way they have been playing and we have liked what we have seen in terms of expecting a high-scoring game here. St Louis has now won 8 of 10 games and the Blues and their opponents have combined to score at least 7 goals in 6 of last 7 games. Before their recent 7-game win streak the Blues had lost 8 in a row and in 5 of the last 6 defeats they allowed at least 5 goals. You can see why we are expecting a lot of goals here no matter which way the ice ends up being tilted in this one! Also, the Blues have had 9 home games this season and all but three of them totaled at least 7 goals and one of the three that did not reach 7 did make it to the 6-goal mark and that is the total posted on this game Monday. Dallas is off a 4-1 loss at Colorado but, prior to this, 12 of 13 Stars games heading into that one had totaled at least 6 goals. The Stars have now played 7 road games this month and 6 of them have reached at least the 6-goal mark. We feel we have excellent line value with this total settling in at 6 goals. Dallas' average total in the last 14 games this season has been 7.8 goals per game. The Blues average home game has totaled 7.1 goals per game this season! Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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11-21-22 | Ducks v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
#45/46 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Anaheim Ducks at St Louis Blues, Monday at 8 PM ET - These teams just met here on Saturday and the game totaled 8 goals and it was no fluke. The game was 5-1 through 2 periods and there were 5 even-strength goals in the game and both teams registered more than 30 shots on goal. The point is we like what we saw and we expect a repeat here in terms of another high-scoring game. St Louis has now won 6 straight games and scored at least 4 goals in 4 of the 6 games. Before the 6-game win streak the Blues had lost 8 in a row and in 5 of the last 6 defeats they allowed at least 5 goals. You can see why we are expecting a lot of goals here no matter which way the ice ends up being tilted in this one! Also, the Blues have had 8 home games this season and all but two of them totaled at least 7 goals and one of the two that did not reach 7 did make it to the 6-goal mark and that is the total posted on this game Monday. Anaheim has a poor record this season but does have some skilled forwards and team speed and will look to utilize that better here than they did in Saturday's road loss. The Ducks have now played 11 road games this season and 8 of them have reached at least the 6-goal mark. We feel we have excellent line value with this total available at 6 goals. Anaheim's average road game this season has totaled 7.6 goals per game. The Blues average home game has totaled 7.5 goals per game! Look for at least 7 in this one! Over is our play here. |
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11-15-22 | Stars v. Lightning OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
#23/24 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals - Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - Brian Elliott is the back-up goalie for the Lightning and he is expected to get the start here. He has not played in a week and a half. Also, he is facing a surging Dallas team that has scored 4 or more goals in 5 of 6 games. During this run, the Stars have averaged 4.7 goals scored per game. Dallas is off a 5-1 win but allowing just 1 goal is very unusual for this Stars team. In fact, Dallas had allowed an average of 3.7 goals per game last 6 games before the big win over Flyers. The last 7 Stars games have totaled at least 6 goals. Dallas has scored an average of 4.4 goals per game in its last 7 games. The Lightning, however, are on home ice and they have been scoring plenty of goals lately too! Tampa Bay has gone 7-4 last 11 games and 9 of their last 10 games have totaled at least 6 goals! Those 10 games have seen the Bolts and their opponents average scoring 7 goals per game. Both teams have been solid on the power play early this season too! Also, Dallas has been scoring about 4 goals per game on the season and 3 of the 4 starts Lightning back-up goalie Elliott has made have totaled at least 8 goals! Tampa Bay has averaged 4 goals scored per game last 6 games at home. Over is our play here. |
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11-08-22 | Golden Knights v. Maple Leafs -117 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
#12 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Toronto Maple Leafs -120 on the Money Line over Vegas Golden Knights, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - This is a great early season set-up filled with value. The Golden Knights are off to a great start this season but that has them over-valued here. Vegas has played a favorable early season schedule with 8 of 13 match-ups against non-playoff teams from last season. The Golden Knights have only 2 losses on the season but of their 5 games against playoff teams one was a win over these Maple Leafs and then the 2 losses came in the other 4 games. The point is that Vegas has not been so "lights out" against playoff teams from last season. The Golden Knights did beat the Leafs in Vegas however and that makes this a revenge game. We love this spot for Toronto to exact revenge. The Knights are on a long road trip and though they have been winning, the past two victories came despite allowing 4 goals in each game! That is not happening against Toronto. The Maple Leafs have been quite stingy this season so if they get to 4 goals scored they are likely winning this game handily. Toronto has won 5 of 6 home games this season and allowed 2 or less goals in all 5 victories! The surprise with Vegas this season is they have been getting better goaltending than expected. However, both Thompson and Hill are limited in NHL career experience and they each have allowed 4 goals in their most recent start on this road trip. That is why, no matter who is in goal for Vegas tonight, we like the home team to get the big win as they have been allowing a lot fewer goals than Toronto teams in the recent past. Lay it! We think we’re getting some nice value getting this revenge-minded home team at a great price of just -120 in this one with the Leafs as it is the perfect set-up for a home win. |
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11-01-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Flames OVER 6 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
#57/58 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 6 Goals (-125) - Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames, Tuesday at 9 PM ET - Daniel Vladar is the back-up goalie for the Flames and he is expected to get the start here. He has not played in a week and a half. Also, he is facing a surging Seattle team that has scored 3 or more goals in 6 straight games. During this run, the Kraken have averaged 3.7 goals scored per game. Seattle is off a 3-1 win but allowing just 1 goal is very unusual for this Seattle team. In fact, this entire season they have not gone consecutive games that have totaled less than 7 goals. Essentially, the Kraken have been alternating high and low-scoring games this season but mostly the lean has been toward the high side. Prior to the 3-1 win, Seattle was 2-5 last 7 games and allowed 3.7 goals per game during this streak. The Kraken have scored an average of 3.8 goals per game on the road this season. The Flames, however, are on home ice and they are looking to rebound off a 3-2 loss to Alberta rival Edmonton. Calgary will not be in a good mood here and will be very aggressive as they look to get right back into the win column. Keep in mind, the Flames had gone 5-1 first 6 games of this season and averaged scoring 3.5 goals per game in those 6 games. Both teams have been solid on the power play early this season but Seattle has struggled on the penalty kill. Also, the Flames are piling up shots on goal so they will pressure the Kraken here early, often and throughout this one. Over is our play here. |
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10-26-22 | Oilers -110 v. Blues | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
#45 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Edmonton Oilers -115 on the Money Line over St Louis Blues, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET - This is a great early season set-up filled with value. Blues got off to a hot start this season and were 3-0 before a shutout loss at Winnipeg in their most recent game. However, here are a couple of keys. St Louis has averaged scoring only 1 goal last two games. The Blue have only played one team that was a playoff team from last season and that was the Oilers at Edmonton last week. Yes, St Louis won that game 2-0 but it included an empty net goal and was truly a game that could have gone either way. It was evenly played 5 on 5 but the Blues got a power play goal. That of course makes this a revenge game and then you look at the Oilers schedule and they have already played 4 playoff teams from last season! Edmonton is off of a big win over Pittsburgh and that is a momentum boost for this club as they now head on the road for the first time this season. The odds makers are sharp, of course, and it is with good reason that Edmonton is favored here on the road for this one! Other than their shutout loss at home to these Blues, the Oilers have scored an average of 4.4 goals per game in their other 5 games. They are so dangerous offensively and they will have a different gameplan here for the rematch and we don't see the Blues as being able to keep up in this one. Look for the firepower (and determination!) of revenge-minded Edmonton to prove to be too much in this one! Lay it! We think we’re getting some nice value getting this revenging road team at a great price of just -115 in this one with the Oilers as it is the perfect set-up for an away win.
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06-26-22 | Avalanche -114 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Colorado Avalanche Money Line -115 over Tampa Bay Lightning, Sunday at 8:05 PM ET - This Avalanche team that lost Game 5 on home ice will bounce back here. That is the kind of loss strong teams bounce back from and certainly the Avs have been the stronger team in terms of how they match up with Tampa Bay in this series. Looking at the shots on goal statistics throughout this series, Colorado continues to be the better of the two teams in generating offense as they have registered 41 more shots on goal in the 5 games thus far and have only been outshot in one of the games. The Avalanche, prior to the Game 5 loss, had won an incredible 15 of their 18 playoff games this season. Also, Colorado started the post-season with a win that was off a loss in their regular season finale. This team knows how to respond off defeat and has won their next game all 3 times this post-season when coming off a loss. The Avalanche set up well for a big bounce back here at a solid money line price because they are on the road here and that keeps the price manageable. Colorado has been a "road warrior" throughout post-season as they have won 8 of their 9 contests away from home. Road team keeps coming up in the modeling run from this one per our computer math model. Look for the Avalanche to hoist the Stanley Cup on Tampa Bay ice by the time the final horn sounds on this one. Lay the short money line price with road favorite Colorado as it is a big value play here. |
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06-05-22 | Rangers v. Lightning OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
#41/42 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 5.5 Goals +110 - New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning, Sunday at 3:05 PM ET – The set-up here is ideal to expect plenty of goals. Lightning are down 2-0 in this series and need to respond on home ice. Trouble is they have had a very hard time stopping a relentless Rangers team that continues to pile up goals. Look for TB to join the goal-scoring party in this one. The Bolts most recent home game was a 2-0 win but each of their first 4 home playoff games before that one totaled at least 6 goals. The Lightning have averaged 4.3 goals in regulation time in their last 4 home games. Here they host the Rangers and it is essentially a do or die game as Tampa can not afford to go down 3 games to 0 in this series. Off back to back losses, Tampa Bay responds here. The Bolts are 3-1 and have averaged 4.3 goals in regulation time in this post-season when they are entering a game off a loss. So TB bounces back here and should be a solid win, right? Not so fast! The reason the play here is the over (rather than Tampa) is because there certainly is support for expecting the Bolts to come up big in the offensive zone but, at the same time, continuing to struggle to slow down a Rangers club playing with a ton of confidence. New York has scored an average of 4.5 goals per game in the 6 wins in their current 6-1 hot streak. The Rangers also have won 6 of last 7 against the Lightning. Game 2 fell just short of an over but the prior game totaled 8 goals and we should easily get to at least 6 here. Rangers goalie Shesterkin has a higher GAA on the road than at home and Lightning goalie Vasilevskiy has not been his typical consistent dominant self so far in this post-season. As you can see per all of the above, plenty of reasons to expect solid goal-scoring from both clubs in this one! Take the OVER here |
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05-27-22 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Blues | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Colorado Avalanche Puck Line (-1.5 goals +155) over St Louis Blues, Friday at 8:05 PM ET - This Avalanche team that blew a 3-0 lead and lost Game 5 on home ice will bounce back here. That is the kind of loss strong teams bounce back from and certainly the Avs are the much stronger team in terms of how they match up with St Louis. The Avalanche, prior to the Game 5 loss, had won 9 of the last 11 meetings between these teams. Also, 8 of last 10 Colorado wins in this series have been by a margin of 2 or more goals. In all games, 9 of last 11 Avalanche wins have come by a margin of 2 or more goals.  Colorado had won 7 of 8 playoff games in this post-season before the Game 5 loss and are set up well for a big bounce back here at a solid comeback price on the puck line with laying the 1.5 goals. The road team has won 4 straight meetings and 8 of the last 10 between these teams and the strong trend away from home ice continues here. Road team in a blowout per our computer math model.  Laying the 1.5 goals with road favorite Colorado at plus money (currently +155 range) is a big value play here. |
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05-10-22 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
#41/42 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 6.5 Goals - Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs, Tuesday at 7:35 PM ET – Amazingly, all 4 games so far in this series as well as 7 straight meetings dating back to the regular season have seen the victorious team score at least 5 goals in each of the games! 6 of those 7 games have gone over the total and the average total goals scored is 8 per game. Given those numbers and the fact that neither goalie has impressed overall in this series, we like the over in this one. Special teams can play a huge role in totals as well and the fact that the last 5 games between these teams have featured a total of 2.6 power play goals scored per game is certainly a big plus for our over tonight. In fact, each team had a power play goal in each of the 2 games in Tampa and the game before that saw the Lightning score 3 power play goals at Toronto. Coming off a 7-3 loss in Game 4 on the road, the Maple Leafs are sure to respond big on home ice here but their struggles to stop the Lightning likely to continue in this one as Tampa Bay has scored an average of 4 goals in the last 7 meetings. As you can see per all of the above, plenty of reasons to expect solid goal-scoring from both clubs in this one!  Take the OVER here
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04-29-22 | Blackhawks v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
#1/2 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 6.5 Goals - Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres, Friday at 7:05 PM ET – This is a fantastic spot for an over. The Blackhawks are off a dramatic high-scoring shootout win over the Golden Knights Wednesday which made sure Vegas was eliminated from the playoff picture. Now the Blackhawks travel to Buffalo to take on the Sabres and Chicago will be flat in terms of defensive intensity after that game. The Blackhawks do still have plenty of talent up front though to insure a solid scoring effort in this one. After all, it is the final game of the season and these are two teams that have long been eliminated from the playoff picture and there should be plenty of open ice in this one as it should be a wide-open affair. The atmosphere in Buffalo for this regular season finale will be a raucous crowd and the Sabres do tend to score very well here. Amazingly, within the month of April, the Sabres allowed an average of 5 goals per game in their 6 losses. So what about Buffalo wins? The Sabres have scored an average of 4.6 goals per game in their 7 victories. All of these are regulation goals too as none of Buffalo's April games have required extra time. As for Chicago, the Blackhawks have allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 10 games but, again, will have no trouble scoring on a porous Buffalo defense in this one either. Plenty of scoring opportunities likely in a game set to be played out with a lack of defense and both teams looking for breakouts and setting up odd man rushes. As you can see per all of the above, plenty of reasons to expect solid goal-scoring from both clubs in this one!  Take the OVER here |
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04-12-22 | Oilers v. Wild OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
#57/58 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 6.5 Goals - Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild, Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET – The set-up here is ideal to expect plenty of goals. The Wild have allowed an average of 4 goals per game the last 3 games but are off a huge 6-3 win over the Kings. In two meetings between Minnesota and Edmonton this season the Wild have scored 11 goals! However, the Oilers outshot Minny by a combined margin of 72 to 48 in those two contests. Edmonton, after losing both those games to the Wild on home ice, are out for revenge here as they look to return the favor at Minnesota. However, the Oilers are going to have to score plenty to do that. The Wild are simply a tough match-up for them in their defensive zone and Minnesota comes into this game rolling with confidence thanks to a run of 10 wins in the last 13 games. Minny's last two home games have each totaled at least 7 goals and they enter this game on an overall run of 3 straight games totaling 7 or more goals. The Oilers are off a rare low-scoring 2-1 loss in the shootout versus Colorado. That ended a 6-game winning streak for Edmonton in which the Oilers scored an average of 4 goals per game. Connor McDavid and company will be back tonight with a special performance but they just will not be able to stop the Wild. Edmonton's 13 games before the loss to the Avalanche featured 10 Oilers wins and those 13 games averaged a total of 7.3 goals! As you can see per all of the above, plenty of reasons to expect solid goal-scoring from both clubs in this one!  Take the OVER here |
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04-05-22 | Wild -102 v. Predators | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Minnesota Wild Money Line -105 over Nashville Predators at 8 PM ET - The Wild are red hot right now and so too is goalie Marc-Andre Fleury. Conversely, the Predators have been scuffling a bit and have been getting shaky goaltending overall. Nashville is 4-4 last 8 games and has given up an average of 4 goals a game during this stretch! Juuse Saros has allowed 4 or more goals in 3 of last 4 starts. The Predators other netminder is David Rittich and he has allowed 4 or more goals in 2 of his last 3 starts. Then you take a look at this Wild team and note they have won 9 of 10 games since a 6-2 home loss to Nashville in mid-March! That's right, this is also a big-time revenge game for Minnesota so this situation is even stronger as a result. The Wild want to return the favor here at Nashville and bring a 9-1 run into this game and Minny has won its last two road games by a combined score of 8 to 2. The Wild continue to get strong goaltending and Fleury plus Cam Talbot have been piling up the wins and strong efforts. So no matter who is in goal here we like Minnesota but it is expected to be Fleury and he has dominated since coming to the Wild from Chicago! Fleury has made 3 starts and gone 3-0 with a 1.34 GAA and a .958 save percentage. Look for Minnesota to stay red hot here. This price is in the -110 range and the "pick 'em ' price is offering great line value! Lay it! Take the WILD |
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03-29-22 | Canadiens v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
#7/8 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 6.5 Goals - Montreal Canadiens at Florida Panthers, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET – The set-up here is ideal to expect plenty of goals and this game is at Florida.  The Panthers are the highest scoring team in the league and 75% of their games since December 29th have totaled at least 7 goals.  Florida has played 36 games in this 3 month stretch and 27 of them finished with a tally of at least 7 goals.  The Panthers enter this game off a 5-2 loss and having scored an average of 5 goals in their last 26 wins. Certainly they should get the win here as they are off a loss and a -400 favorite for a reason. That said, we can also count on the scrappy Canadiens for some goals too. The Habs have won 10 of 18 games and have scored an average of 3.3 goals during this stretch. Montreal has scored multiple goals in all 18 games and we expect them to get to at least 3 here but they will not be able to slow down the best offensive club in the league. 5-3 sounds about right with this one!  As you can see per all of the above, plenty of reasons to expect solid goal-scoring from both clubs in this one!  Take the OVER here |
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03-24-22 | Senators v. Jets OVER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
#13/14 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 6 Goals - Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets, Thursday at 8:05 PM ET – The set-up here is ideal to expect plenty of goals. Winnipeg is likely to have a big game on home ice here as they attack the Ottawa net early and often and enjoy success facing a team that has lost 10 of 13 games and allowed 4.6 goals last 9 defeats. The Jets will need to score plenty here because they had been getting some sub-par goaltending of late before a rare shutout win at Vegas. This season, Winnipeg has lost all 3 times when off a shutout win and each of those games totaled at least 7 goals. Off a shutout win and facing a non-conference opponent that is a non-playoff team sets this one up well for Jets to struggle with focus in the defensive end. Also, prior to shutting out the Golden Knights, Winnipeg had allowed 3.8 goals per game in the last dozen games. Connor Hellebuyck - prior to Tuesday - has not been playing as well between the pipes and, of course, Eric Comrie is the #2 netminder with the Jets for a reason. Overall, though struggling in their own zone, Winnipeg has been scoring quite well and that is why 9 of their past 13 games have totaled 7 or more goals and fully expect this one will too. As you can see per all of the above, plenty of reasons to expect solid goal-scoring from both clubs in this one! Take the OVER here |
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03-15-22 | Golden Knights v. Jets OVER 6 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
#31/32 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 6* Over 6 Goals - Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets, Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET – The set-up here is ideal to expect plenty of goals. The Golden Knights placed their top goalie, Robin Lehner, on injured reserve yesterday. The other two goalies for Vegas right now are Laurent Brossoit and Logan Thompson. Brossoit and Thompson have started 4 of last 6 games for Vegas as Lehner was only able to make two starts. In those 4 starts handled by Brossoit and Thompson, the Golden Knights ended up allowing a total of 18 goals - an average of 4.5 goals per game. Winnipeg is likely to have a big game on home ice here as they attack the Vegas net early and often and enjoy success not having to face the Golden Knights #1 netminder. The Jets will need to score plenty here because Vegas does have a dangerous offense and they got back on track with scoring 4 goals in the loss at Columbus Sunday. Additionally, the Golden Knights can take advantage of a Jets team also getting some sub-par goaltending of late as Winnipeg has allowed 3.7 goals per game last 9 games. Connor Hellebuyck has not been playing as well between the pipes and, of course, Eric Comrie is the #2 netminder with the Jets for a reason. Overall, though struggling in their own zone, Winnipeg has been scoring quite well and that is why 7 of their past 9 games have totaled 7 or more goals and fully expect this one will too. As you can see per all of the above, plenty of reasons to expect solid goal-scoring from both clubs in this one! Take the OVER here |
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03-08-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
#9/10 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 6.5 Goals - Seattle Kraken at Toronto Maple Leafs, Tuesday at 7:35 PM ET – The set-up here is ideal to expect plenty of goals. The Maple Leafs are in the 2nd game of a B2B and off a 5-4 win at Columbus last night. Toronto is expected to start a struggling Jack Campbell between the pipes here because it is a back to back. Campbell has just 1 win in his last 4 starts and has a 5.15 GAA and an ugly .836 save percentage during this very rough stretch. Toronto should bail him out here with plenty of goal-scoring but they'll need it as the Kraken will enjoy plenty of success against a tired Leafs defense and a struggling netminder in Campbell. With their 5-4 win last night, the Maple Leafs have seen 18 of their last 24 games total 7 or more goals! Yes that is a 75% rate over the past two months! As for Seattle, the Kraken are off a 3-2 loss at Carolina which stayed under the total. However, Seattle had seen 8 of last 11 games - before the loss to Hurricanes - total at least 7 goals! The Kraken allowing 4 goals per game last 12 games and when they hosted the Leafs earlier this season it was a 6-2 loss. Seattle will again struggle to stop the Maple Leafs but, keep in mind, Toronto has allowed 5 goals per game last 5 games no matter who has been manning the crease for them so the Kraken will score their fair share here as well! As you can see per all of the above, plenty of reasons to expect solid goal-scoring from both clubs in this one! Take the OVER here |
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03-03-22 | Hurricanes -116 v. Capitals | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Carolina Hurricanes -120 over Washington Capitals, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET - The Capitals are starting Vitek Vanecek in goal for the first time in over a month because Ilya Samsonov is out with an injury suffered in practice yesterday. Though Vanecek played some in the 5-3 loss to Toronto Monday, this is still his first start in 5 weeks and he is facing one of the top teams in the league. We are getting a great price on Carolina here because the Capitals are on home ice but Washington has not been strong at home this season! In fact, the Caps have just 12 wins in 28 games as a host this season! The Capitals enter this game on an overall 3-game losing streak and having lost 11 of last 14 homes games including 6 in a row! Carolina is in a great bounce back spot here as they are off an OT loss which followed a 5-game winning streak. The Hurricanes also have revenge on their minds here as they lost to division rival Washington 4-2 much earlier this season in Carolina. That is one of only 4 regulation losses the Hurricanes have had on home ice this entire season so they have not forgotten! So here you have a Canes team in a bounce back spot and playing with revenge and against a division rival and it is a team that is struggling and you get line value because of that struggling team being on home ice where by the way, that team has lost 6 straight anyway! Value simply off the charts in this one! Take advantage of the low money line price with the road team here for a Top Game.
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02-22-22 | Predators v. Panthers -1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Florida Panthers Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Nashville Predators, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - Florida is an incredible 23-3 on home ice this season. The Panthers are a huge money line favorite here because of their home dominance as well as the fact that the Predators are slumping badly. We can take advantage of this situation by utilizing the puck line and not having to lay any price to have Florida at -1.5 goals. The Panthers have won 17 of 21 games since late December and scoring at an incredible rate of 4.8 goals per game during this red hot stretch! Compare this to the slumping Predators. Nashville has lost 4 straight and 9 of 13 games. Also, the Predators have lost 5 of last 6 road games and we just do not expect the Preds to be able to score enough to keep up with the most dynamic offense in the league! Nashville has scored only 2.2 goals per game during their current 4-game losing streak. Florida, on the other hand, has scored 4 or more goals in regulation time in 15 of the last 21 games. Home team in a blowout per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals with home favorite Florida is the value play here. |
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02-17-22 | Bruins +100 v. Islanders | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Boston Bruins -105 over New York Islanders, Thursday at 7:35 PM ET - The Bruins are off a 2-1 loss in the shootout period at the New York Rangers Tuesday. Boston never trailed in the game and led most of the way as they scored very early and the Rangers did not tie it up until nearly the mid-way point of 3rd period. The Bruins are 8-1 the last 9 times this season they were off a loss in which they were held to 1 goal or shutout. We anticipate another strong bounce back performance here as even though the Bruins are still without Brad Marchand - suspension - they get back Patrice Bergeron tonight as he is listed as probable and is ready to go per inside sources and is one of the best players in the league. Boston was knocked out of the playoffs last season by the Islanders but this is not the same Islanders team by any stretch of the imagination. It has been a bit of a "lost season" for New York that is again spiraling downward. New York did defeat Boston earlier this season but the Bruins outshot the Islanders 41 to 28 in that game and the defeat will only strengthen the resolve of a Bruins team fired up for a big bounce back game and ready to avenge the regular season loss and post-season exit at the hands of the Islanders. New York enters this game having lost 3 straight games and 6 of last 8. The biggest concern for the Islanders is the one thing they had going for them this season was Ilya Sorokin had been so strong between the pipes and now he has been in goal in New York's last two games which were losses by a combined 11-5 score. Sorokin has allowed 15 goals last 4 games! Take advantage of the low money line price with the road team here for a Top Game. |
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02-10-22 | Hurricanes -135 v. Bruins | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Carolina Hurricanes -135 over Boston Bruins, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET - We had our eyes on this spot even before the Patrice Bergeron injury and the Brad Marchand suspension. Now factoring in that Boston will be without two of their top players for this one, we absolutely love this situation! The Hurricanes are one of the best teams in the NHL this season and are off B2B losses. That is a play on situation in and of itself as Carolina has only had one 3-game losing streak this entire season. After a lackluster effort in their most recent game at Ottawa (was 2nd night of B2B and off heartbreaking loss at Toronto), the now-rested Canes will be ready to roll tonight. The Bruins are not only without their two best players, the Hurricanes could get a boost tonight with the return of Teuvo Teravainen as he has been close to returning from injury each of the last two contests and has been a game-time decision in each. Even if he does not play the Hurricanes hold the key personnel edges here with Bergeron and Marchand out for the Bruins. This Boston team has been scuffling for a while now with losses in 4 of their last 6 games. Keep in mind, the Hurricanes had won 16 of 20 games before the B2B losses they just had against the Maple Leafs and Senators. Carolina never should have lost the game at Toronto and then there was a bit of an emotional carry-over into Ottawa that led to them dropping B2B games. Now one of the best teams in the NHL takes advantage of a slumping - and short-handed - Bruins team here. Lay the money line price with the road fave here for a Top Game. |
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02-01-22 | Panthers v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 102 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
#31/32 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 6.5 Goals - Florida Panthers at New York Rangers, Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET – The set-up here is ideal to expect plenty of goals. The Rangers are off a 3-2 win over the Kraken but head coach Gerard Gallant was not happy with his club at all and he let them have it despite the victory. New York was heavily outshot in that game and Gallant is imploring his team to do a much better job of sustained pressure in the offensive end and generating scoring chances. The trouble for the Rangers is that they are facing a Panthers team that is one of the best in the league in that realm. Florida is constantly creating excellent scoring chances game after game and did it again last night at Columbus. Also, because this is a back to back it will likely be Spencer Knight between the pipes for the Panthers in this one. Though Knight has played better in his last two appearances this followed a stretch of 20 goals allowed over 4 starts and he also allowed 4 goals when he faced the Rangers earlier this season. If Bobrovsky starts again it will be the 2nd night of a B2B and he allowed 4 goals in last night's game at Columbus. The Rangers have been getting solid goaltending from Igor Shesterkin and he is likely to get the start here. Trouble is that he will face another barrage of shots and this Panthers team much more highly skilled than the Seattle team the Rangers just barely got by on Sunday. If Georgiev gets the call for Rangers in the crease he has struggled mightily in recent appearances. Though New York off B2B 3-2 games, 4 of 5 Rangers games before that totaled 8 or more goals and actually averaged 9 goals per game! 13 of the Panthers last 17 games have totaled at least 7 goals and Florida has scored a ridiculous average of 5 goals per game during this stretch! As you can see per all of the above, plenty of reasons to expect solid goal-scoring from both clubs in this one!  Take the OVER here |
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01-27-22 | Flames v. Blues -130 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* St Louis Blues -140 over Calgary Flames, Thursday at 8:05 PM ET - We had our eyes on this spot ever since these teams met on Monday at Calgary. That game ended up an embarrassing 7-1 loss for the Blues. Now the rematch is in St Louis and everything is set up perfectly for payback for the home team here. The Blues have been off since Monday's loss so they are well-rested here. The Flames were at Columbus last night so they are in a back to back spot and they used their #1 goalie last night Markstrom. That means it is likely back-up Daniel Vladar will be between the pipes for the Flames tonight. He has allowed 17 goals in his last 4 appearances! As for the Blues, they are expected to have Ville Husso between the pipes for this one as he was the first one to leave the ice at today's game-day skate. Husso has been superb of late with a 5-0 record in January and a sparkling 1.13 GAA in his 6 appearances this month! Prior to losing at Calgary, St Louis had won 13 of 17 games! The Flames, prior to last night's win over a struggling Blue Jackets team, had lost 4 straight road games and 6 of their last 8 away from home. Home ice edge, goalie edge, revenge factor, rest edge...it all combines for a super spot to back the hosts at a reasonable money line price here. Lay the money line price with the home fave here for a Top Game. |
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01-18-22 | Panthers v. Flames OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
#33/34 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 6.5 Goals - Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames, Tuesday at 9:00 PM ET – In hockey, when a team is winning and scoring a lot of goals it tends to build momentum like a snowball picking up more and more snow when rolling down a hill. The Panthers are having a lot of fun right now scoring goals and playing winning hockey and that is why they have not hesitated in piling it on against teams even when up big. Florida recently had a 9-2 win when they caught Columbus on what was a listless night for the Blue Jackets. That big Panthers win is all part of a run of 8 wins in 9 games and all 9 of these games for Florida have totaled at least 7 goals! Yes 9 in a row totaling 7 or more and, in fact, the average score of these games is Florida 6 to 3. We are looking for another wild one tonight because Calgary has allowed 4 or more goals in 7 of the last 9 games. The Flames are off a low-scoring loss but this was following a 5-game stretch in which Calgary averaged 3.4 goals per game. The Flames last 7 games have averaged totaling 7 goals per game and couple that with the crazy run that the Panthers are on right now and we just can not see this game staying under 7 goals. Look for Florida games to make it 10 IN A ROW in terms of games totaling AT LEAST 7 goals! As you can see per all of the above, plenty of reasons to expect solid goal-scoring from both clubs in this one!  Take the OVER here |
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01-13-22 | Sabres v. Predators OVER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
#13/14 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 6 Goals - Buffalo Sabres at Nashville Predators, Thursday at 8:00 PM ET – The set-up here is ideal to expect plenty of goals. The Predators are off a 5-4 OT win over Colorado. That was a big win for Nashville and they have a tough match-up at Boston on deck. That makes this a tricky spot as the Preds take on the lowly Sabres and potentially overlook them which is going to lead to some goal-scoring for Buffalo in this one. The issue for the Sabres though is that they can not stop opponents and they are dealing with a cluster of issues at the goalie position! Luukkonen and Subban have injuries and Tokarski has been out due to covid. Buffalo will turn to Aaron Dell in goal tonight. Dell has received plenty of goal-scoring support in his starts with Buffalo scoring at least 4 goals in 3 of the 4. The problem is that the Sabres have surrendered an average of 5.5 goals in his 4 starts! Now Dell and the Sabres are visiting a Nashville club that has scored an average of 4.20 goals in winning 5 straight games! In fact, over the last 14 games (12-2 stretch for Predators) it has been a scoring average of just under 4 goals per game! The Predators have allowed just under 3 goals per game last 7 games and we fully expect a 5 to 3 type game here. As you can see per all of the above, plenty of reasons to expect solid goal-scoring from both clubs in this one!  Take the OVER here |
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01-04-22 | Flyers +125 v. Ducks | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Philadelphia Flyers +120 over Anaheim Ducks, Tuesday at 10 PM ET - The Flyers are off a 6-3 loss but this was their first loss in regulation time since a shutout loss at New Jersey 4 weeks ago! Not only had Philadelphia been hot, they also are expected to get Scott Laughton and Carter Hart back from covid protocols for this one. The Ducks are trending the other direction of late. Anaheim has lost 4 straight games and have scored an average of only 1.3 goals in the last 3 defeats. Going further back, the Ducks have lost 11 of 18 games. They are favored here in this one because they are on home ice but they have actually lost 5 of last 8 games played in Anaheim. The Ducks have been held to just 1 goal in 3 of those 5 home losses. The Flyers will be rejuvenated by reinforcements tonight and Anaheim still has some key health question marks entering this match-up. This is a case of two teams trending opposite directions right now and the Flyers get it done here!  Take the plus money with the road dog here |
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12-14-21 | Islanders +107 v. Red Wings | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* New York Islanders +105 over Detroit Red Wings, Tuesday at 7:30 PM ET - We think the Islanders are going to be a team that should have the "buy sign" on them in the coming weeks. They had a brutal early season schedule with their first 13 games of the season played away from home. Then their team got ravaged by a combination of injuries and covid-19. However, this team has started to get healthy and get a lot of guys back and they are playing much better this month. We are well aware of the fact that Matthew Barzal has been put into covid protocols and will miss this game but that has flip flopped the line from the Islanders being favored to now being a dog and this is tremendous line value here. Brock Nelson recently returned to the ice so the Islanders had been without him, among many others, and Nelson can fill in nicely on the top line in the absence of Barzal. Certainly Barzal is a special player but the point is that Nelson is back now and a lot of other Islanders players have also made their return in recent weeks. As a result, the Islanders have had only 1 loss in regulation in their 6 games this month and that loss was by a single goal. Yes they have had some OT/SO losses and that won't do us any good here but they are turning the corner and this team is much better than their record shows and they do enter this game off a win and off wins in 2 of their last 3 and they have revenge against the Red Wings from a loss in OT earlier this month at Detroit. The Islanders are a respectable 6-4-3 last 13 road games and the Red Wings are cooling off and have lost 3 straight games all by a margin of 3 or more goals! This is a case of two teams trending opposite directions right now and, even without Barzal, the Islanders get it done here! Take the plus money with the road dog here |
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12-09-21 | Lightning +121 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 5-3 | Win | 121 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Tampa Bay +120 over Toronto, Thursday at 7:00 PM ET - The Maple Leafs are playing well overall and just ahead of the Lightning in the Atlantic Division. However, Tampa Bay is certainly showing signs they are absolutely not ready to be dethroned yet as Stanley Cup Champs after winning each of the last two Cups and continuing to play well this season even without Kucherov for much of it and without Point for the last few weeks - both guys still out. This is also a revenge game for the Bolts after losing 2-1 at Toronto in OT early last month. The Lightning enter this game having won 7 of last 9 games and the big key is they have allowed a total of only 7 goals in their last 6 wins. Their strong defensive play and netminding will be the difference in this one. Toronto enters having lost 2 of last 3 games and having allowed 3 or more goals in 4 straight games. In fact, the Leafs have allowed an average of 4 goals in their last 4 games. This looks like a great spot for Tampa Bay and, while each of these clubs is without a couple players currently, the Lightning could get Cernak back tonight. Just that fact he is so close to returning, whether he plays or not tonight, is also a mental boost for this club. Look for the visitors to get their revenge for that 2-1 OT loss. By the way, Marner assisted on both goals in that game and he is currently out for the Leafs with a shoulder injury and that is a big loss for a team in a big game like this. We don’t see the Maple Leafs winning two in a row over the 2x defending champs.  Take the plus money with the road dog here. |
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11-30-21 | Hurricanes v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
#55/56 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 5.5 Goals - Carolina Hurricanes at Dallas Stars, Tuesday at 8:30 PM ET – The Hurricanes are expected to be without 3 defensemen tonight. DeAngelo, Pesce and Bear are all expected to miss this contest due to covid. This certainly is impacting to the Hurricanes in their own end of the ice in particular and the Stars will look to take advantage. Dallas is known more for defense but the Canes might be the best team in the league in terms of forechecking and Carolina is going to score well here (more on that to follow) but the Stars have been scoring well of late too. Dallas has scored 3 or more goals in 9 of 11 games. Carolina has averaged scoring 3.2 goals per game in their dozen road games this season. Off a rare loss, just their fourth in regulation time this season, you know the Hurricanes are going to bring it here in this one! The problem for Carolina is going to be their lack of healthy defensemen but this team is still loaded up front with talent at the wings and center position. Holtby is expected to start between the pipes for Dallas and he just came back from injury and will face a much tougher test here than the did at Arizona Saturday in his first start since he got back. No matter who is goal for the Stars we expect them to face a barrage of shots as Carolina and coach Rod Brind'Amour fired up after they felt a questionable late penalty call changed their end result against the Capitals on Sunday. This Canes team will show no quit on Tuesday night for sure. The last time they were on the road and coming off a loss they scored 6 goals. As you can see per all of the above, plenty of reasons to expect good goal-scoring from both clubs in this one! Take the OVER here |
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11-24-21 | Bruins -1.5 v. Sabres | Top | 5-1 | Win | 110 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Boston Bruins Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Buffalo Sabres, Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET - Situations just do not come along much stronger than this one. High quality Bruins team off a rare 4-0 shutout loss is facing a slumping Sabres team that can not keep the puck out of their own net. Buffalo has lost 9 of its last 11 games. Also, the Sabres have allowed 5 or more goals in 7 of their last 8 losses. That is just incredibly bad and when you watch this team they just seem so undisciplined and make so many mistakes. A disciplined and focused and angry team like Boston is going to take full advantage of those mistakes no doubt. Bruins come in highly motivated after the 4-0 loss to the Flames. Boston, prior to that defeat, had won 3 straight games and all 3 victories were by identical 5-2 scores. The Bruins are starting to get healthier too while the Sabres are still without injured goalie Craig Anderson and Aaron Dell has been named the starter for this one and he remains winless on the season and Buffalo has allowed at least 5 goals in all 3 of his starts. The Sabres have lost 11 of 15 games since their surprising 5-2 start so they are starting to look like the Sabres of old and that is bad news. The Bruins, on the other hand, before the loss to Calgary, have been looking again like the Bruins of old and that is good news for Boston fans. They are going to pound Buffalo into submission tonight with a convincing win. Road team in a blowout is highly likely per our computer math model. Laying the 1.5 goals (for plus money return currently in the +110 range) with road favorite Boston is a high percentage value play here. |
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11-16-21 | Oilers -108 v. Jets | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Edmonton Oilers Money Line -110 over Winnipeg Jets at 8 PM ET - Oilers not only were eliminated from the post-season in May by Winnipeg - they got swept 4 games to none! Keep in mind, Edmonton was heavily favored entering that series and had won 6 straight regular season meetings over the Jets entering that playoff match-up. Suffice to say, payback is on the minds of the Oilers here but of course one should ever just loosely play revenge situations. The key here is that Edmonton has been playing fantastic hockey early this season and has been phenomenal on special teams too which could be a key here. The Oilers have the league best power play so far this season and and the Jets rank among the league's worst on the penalty kill. That sets this one up well for the Oilers to continue their early season success. Also, at the other end of the ice, Edmonton's long-time weakness has been goaltending but they are finally getting stronger play between the pipes to go along with their, as usual, high powered offensive production. So far this season the Oilers are the highest scoring team in the league! Also, the Oilers catch the Jets off an OT win Saturday that ended the LA Kings 7-game winning streak. Though Winnipeg enters this game off back to back wins this followed winning only 6 of their first 12 games. The Oilers, on the other hand, are a fantastic 11-3 on the season and continue to impress. Look for that to continue here. This price is in the pick'em (-110) range since the Oilers are on the road and that makes this a bargain price to grab the highly motivated team that has been playing the better hockey of the two clubs early this season!  Take EDMONTON |
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11-09-21 | Oilers v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
#15/16 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 6.5 Goals - Edmonton Oilers at Detroit Red Wings, Tuesday at 7:30 PM ET – The Oilers are off of a 6-5 OT win over the Rangers and that means 7 of their last 9 games have totaled at least 7 goals. Edmonton has such a dynamic offense as evidenced by the fact they themselves have scored at least 5 goals in 7 of last 9 games! That said, it may not take much from the home team Red Wings in terms of goal production to get this over the total. However, we actually can expect plenty from Detroit as they have been quite scrappy of late plus the Oilers have allowed an average of 3 goals per game last 8 games. The Red Wings have scored an average of 3.3 goals per game when on home ice this season and have earned at least a point in 4 of those 6 games. Entering this game off B2B wins, Detroit is playing with confidence but so too are the red hot Oilers. That said, this is the type of match-up that tends to lead to plenty of goals and with the Oilers starting the unproven Stuart Skinner in goal, we like our chances. The 23 year old has only one career NHL start and that was last season and he allowed 5 goals in that one. He could struggle a bit but should have plenty of goal support here from the high-flying Oilers. As you can see, plenty of reasons to expect good goal-scoring from both clubs in this one!  Take the OVER here |
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11-03-21 | Predators v. Oilers OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
#3/4 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON Over 6 Goals - Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators, Wednesday at 8:30 PM ET – The Predators have been without David Rittich and #1 goalie Juuse Saros played last night. That means rookie Connor Ingram could be called upon here. He was successful in his first ever NHL start but the Predators gave up him a 3-0 lead and is much easier, as a goalie, to play with a lead like that. Tonight Ingram, or whoever gets the call for Nashville here, is unlikely to enjoy such a huge early lead and this situation has the makings of a very high-scoring game. The Preds have won 4 straight games and have averaged 3.2 goals per game in regulation time of last 5 games and should score well again here as Edmonton has allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 3 home games. The Oilers production in the offensive zone has been the key to their success as Edmonton is 7-1 this season and has scored an average of 4.1 goals per game in regulation time of their 8 games this season. This total is a 6 and 6 of the Oilers last 7 games have totaled at least 6 goals. The Oilers have the #1 power play numbers so far this season with a 46.2% success rate and the Predators power play has also been very strong at 25%. The Nashville penalty kill has not been so strong this season either and the Oilers can take advantage in this tough back to back spot for the Preds. As you can see, plenty of reasons to expect good goal-scoring from both clubs in this one!  Take the OVER here |
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10-28-21 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -130 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Carolina Hurricanes Money Line -130 over Boston Bruins at 7 PM ET - This is a horrible spot for the Bruins. They are in the 2nd night of a back to back situation. Boston has lost 2 of its last 3 road games. The Bruins are off an ugly loss to an undefeated Florida team, now face an undefeated Carolina team, and they have a revenge game against that same 7-0 Panthers team on deck in Boston. This game, as a result, has the makings of one in which the Bruins are going to struggle badly. Carolina is rolling and well-rested and has a winless Blackhawks team on deck for tomorrow night. The full focus for the Hurricanes is this game against Boston. The Canes are a perfect 5-0 this season and 4 of their 5 wins have been by 3 or more goals so they have been quite dominant. This is not the Bruins teams of old when they had goalies Tuukka Rask and Jaroslav Halak both available. In fact, right now the top choice is Linus Ullmark and the back-up is Jeremy Swayman. With Ullmark between the pipes in last night's 4-1 loss at Florida, Swayman expected to get the call tonight. Swayman allowed 5 goals in his most recent start and that was a 6-3 loss at Philadelphia over a week ago. Swayman could be rusty here and though he performed well as a rookie last season he did go only 3-3 in his road starts. He, just like the Bruins, was better at home than on the road. That trend likely to continue here as the rested Hurricanes continue their unbeaten start and take advantage of a Boston team in a tough back to back spot facing an unbeaten team for the 2nd consecutive night and on the road again too! This price is in the -130 range but should prove well worth it! Lay it! Take the HURRICANES |
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07-07-21 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Montreal Canadiens Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Tampa Bay Lightning, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET - The Lightning are on a 13-7 run in the playoffs but 4 of the 13 wins were by just a single goal. That means laying 1.5 goals with Tampa Bay in each of those games would have netted only a 9-11 record. The Canadiens are on a 12-5 run and 1 of the 5 losses was in overtime. That means at +1.5 goals in the last 17 games, Montreal would have a 13-4 record. That is why we're laying the price to have the benefit of having the +1.5 goals on the puck line. While Montreal certainly has a shot at the outright upset here, it is still tough to play against a Cup-winning TB team on their home ice with a chance to hoist the Stanley Cup tonight. However, if the Canadiens do fall short, we are expecting this to be a very close game likely decided by a 1-goal margin. Grabbing the 1.5 goals (and laying about a -140 price in doing so) with road underdog Montreal is the value play here as we expect a huge game from the road team in this one! Note that goalie Carey Price was fantastic in the crease in Game 4 to help the Canadiens fight off elimination and also give them momentum heading into this must win game. |
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07-02-21 | Lightning v. Canadiens +119 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Montreal Canadiens Money Line (+120) over Tampa Bay Lightning, Friday at 8 PM ET - Montreal did everything but win on Wednesday! The Canadiens had 43 shots on goal compared to just 23 for the Lightning. Also, Tampa Bay was held to 0 for 3 on the power play as Montreal continued its stellar play on the penalty kill which has helped jettison their improbable playoff run to the Stanley Cup Finals. The only power play goal in the game came from the Canadiens and they were truly relentless in 5 on 5 hockey throughout the game as well. That is what led to the huge edge in shots on goal after Montreal got shell-shocked in Game 1 of the series. Yes, the Canadiens are down 2-0 in this series but the series now shifts to Montreal. The Lightning have lost each of their last two road games in this post-season. Also, the stonewall that is otherwise known as TB goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy seems to have the majority of his sub-par efforts on the road. Vasilevskiy was fantastic on home ice this season and certainly still respectable on the road but his goals against average was nearly a full goal higher (2.63 vs 1.75) in road games compared to home games. The fact that Montreal made some solid adjustments and controlled the game in many aspects Wednesday bodes well for what to expect from them tonight on home ice. 6 times in the regular season the Canadiens entered a game on home ice on a losing streak of at least 2 games. They only had one regulation loss in those 6 games. Of course we expect a solid regulation win here as Montreal enters this home game off back to back losses but if this is a tight game that goes to OT, note that the Canadiens have been great in OT (5-1) in this post-season. Carey Price has allowed 2 or less goals in 6 straight home games in this post-season! Per our computer math model, a solid home win in the forecast here with the projections reflecting another dominating effort (won Game 2 except on the scoreboard!) for the Canadiens as they drop the Lightning to 0-3 last 3 road games in this post-season. Bet Montreal Canadiens (+120) |
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06-23-21 | Lightning v. Islanders UNDER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
#11/12 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 5 Goals - New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning, Wednesday at 8:00 PM ET – The Islanders just got blasted 8-0 on Monday and are a tough defensive-minded team. In other words, that was an uncharacteristic loss for a Barry Trotz led team and the head coach will have his club ready to respond here. We look for a tight game with an emphasis on protecting their own goal in this game as a result. This is Islanders hockey and they will resume that here after the ugly loss Monday. Only 1 of the last 7 games between these teams, prior to Game 5 in this series, had resulted in a game totaling more than 5 goals. That being said, the Monday result could (and should) be considered a statistical anomaly and tonight's game can (and should) be expected to play out much differently. Islanders have averaged only 1.5 goals per game in the last 8 games against the Lightning. Tampa Bay, prior to the 8-0 win Monday, had been held to 2 or less goals in 5 of last 6 games against the Islanders! As you can see, plenty of reasons to expect goals to be tough to come by for both clubs in this one!  Take the UNDER here |
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06-20-21 | Golden Knights v. Canadiens +159 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Montreal Canadiens Money Line (+160) over Vegas Golden Knights, Sunday at 8 PM ET - The Golden Knights might be starting Robin Lehner in goal tonight. He was the first goalie off the ice at this morning's skate. No matter which goalie Vegas goes with tonight it should be interesting. Lehner would be very rusty as he has not played since Game 1 of the post-season series with Colorado and he allowed 7 goals in that one! If Vegas sticks with Fleury how will his bad error late in Game 3 impact him here? The mentality, overall, of the Golden Knights could be fragile here...they have lost back to back games, there is some confusion about the goalie situation, and they are on the road. The Canadiens are on home ice again, rolling with confidence, and have won 9 of 10 games. Even though Vegas outshot Montreal in Friday's game the Canadiens found a way and they can do so again tonight. Too much value with the big home dog on the money line here per all of the above. Hot team, home ice, big dog line. Bet Montreal Canadiens (+160) |
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06-18-21 | Golden Knights v. Canadiens OVER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
#41/42 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 5 Goals - Montreal Canadiens vs Vegas Golden Knights, Friday at 8:00 PM ET – The Golden Knights lost Game 2 on home ice by a 3-2 count.  The last 10 times that Vegas has entered a game off a loss they have gone a fantastic 8-2.  Of course that is a big part of the reason that the Knights are a sizable money line favorite even though they are on the road in this game.  That being said, where we see the value here is with the total. In those 10 games when off a loss, Vegas has scored an average of 4 goals per game. The Golden Knights should indeed score well in this bounce back spot but they will struggle to stop a Canadiens team that has momentum right now and is also excited to be back on their home ice. Montreal has won 8 of 9 games and, not including OT goals, has averaged scoring 3 goals in those 8 victories! The Canadiens looked very strong in Game 2 and had plenty of good quality chances which helped lead the way to the 3 goals they ended up with. Montreal should again enjoy success as they were creating great chances in Game 2 but the difference here in Game 3 will be a much more aggressive approach in the offensive zone from the hungry Golden Knights. That being said, and with this total sitting at 5 goals, it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is calling for a game in the 6 to 7 goal range here. The Canadiens are on a roll and playing with a lot of confidence as they have won 7 of 8 games. Vegas, in its last 5 games (not including OT goals), has scored an average of 3.8 goals per game!  As you can see, plenty of reasons to expect good goal-scoring from both clubs in this one!  Take the OVER here |
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06-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning OVER 5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
#11/12 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON Over 5 Goals - Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders, Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET – The Lightning lost Game 1 on home ice by a 2-1 count. The last 4 times that Tampa Bay has entered a game off a loss they have gone a perfect 4-0. Of course that is a big part of the reason that TB is a 2 to 1 money line favorite in this game. That being said, where we see the value here is with the total. The Islanders looked very strong in Game 1 and had plenty of good quality chances to score much more than the 2 goals they ended up with. New York should again enjoy success as they were creating great chances in Game 1 but the difference here in Game 2 will be a much more aggressive approach in the offensive zone from Tampa Bay. We mentioned the 4-0 run above when TB is in this situation (off a loss) and the Lightning have scored an average of 5.25 goals in those 4 victories. In fact they scored at least 4 goals all 4 times. That being said, and with this total sitting at 5 goals, it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is calling for a game in the 6 to 7 goal range here. 3 of those 4 TB victories when off a loss resulted in an easy over and this one should as well. The Islanders are on a roll and playing with a lot of confidence as they have won 7 of 9 games. New York, in its last 10 games, has scored an average of 3.8 goals per game! As you can see, plenty of reasons to expect good goal-scoring from both clubs in this one! Take the OVER here |
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06-13-21 | Islanders +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* New York Islanders Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Tampa Bay Lightning, Sunday at 3:05 PM ET - This is a rematch of a playoff series last year and, in that one, New York was tired in Game One and it showed. The Islanders got blasted in that first game 8 to 2 but they were short on rest and off a grueling 7-game series with Philly. This season's set-up is much different and the Islanders are ready to go from the opening drop of the puck in this one. That being said, a ton of line value here in grabbing the +1.5 goals with the Islanders. New York has played 12 games in this post-season and only 1 of them was a loss by more than 1-goal margin! Tampa Bay has played 11 games in the post-season less than half of those games were Lightning wins by more than a 1-goal margin. The road team won each of the last 3 games between these teams in last year's playoffs. Also, the only loss for the Islanders as the designated road team in that bubble format that was by more than 1 goal was the game one loss which was a very tricky scheduling situation for them. Tough defensive-minded team in the Islanders and Tampa Bay will struggle just to win this game let alone win by any kind of margin. While New York certainly has a shot at the outright upset here, it is still tough to play against a Cup-winning TB team on their home ice.  However, if the Islanders do fall short, we are expecting this to be a very close game likely decided by a 1-goal margin.  Grabbing the 1.5 goals (and laying about a -150 price in doing so) with road underdog NY Islanders is the value play here as we expect a huge game from the road team in this one. |
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06-09-21 | Bruins -131 v. Islanders | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -131 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Boston Bruins Money Line (-130) over New York Islanders , Wednesday at 7:30 PM ET - The Bruins suddenly have lost back to back games in this series after taking a 2 to 1 series lead with a road win at New York Thursday which appeared to give them a stranglehold on the series. Now, after back to back losses, Boston finds themselves playing an elimination game but this is a veteran hockey club that will not wilt under pressure. The fact is they have outplayed the Islanders for much of this series and the oddsmakers are well aware of this too as that is why you are seeing the Bruins as a -130 favorite in this one despite having lost 2 straight and despite being on the road. About that home ice edge for the Islanders here, note that the road team has won 3 of the last 4 games in this series. About the 3 to 2 series edge for New York, note that the Bruins have outshot the Islanders by a count of 196 to 143 in this series! The Islanders won Game 5 by a 5-4 count thanks in part to 3 power play goals. However, in the Islanders last 7 games on home ice against the Bruins they are only 2 of 20 (10%) on the power play. The Bruins are 5 of 11 (46%) on the power play in this series and though he was fined for saying it, the fact the Boston head coach criticized the officiating after the Game 5 loss could pay off here. 5 on 5 the Bruins are the better team and we should either see less penalty calls in Game 6 or if there are a fair amount called, don't be surprised if the road team gets at least their fair share in this one. The Bruins are 8-0 this year when entering a game off back to back losses! Bet Boston Bruins (-130) |
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06-07-21 | Islanders v. Bruins -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Boston Bruins Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over New York Islanders, Monday at 6:35 PM ET - Though Saturday's game got away from them late in the game, the Bruins have looked like the better team in this match-up this season including this playoff series too.  Boston, prior to Game 4, had continued to dominate shots on goal statistically over the prior 6 meetings between these teams.  Rather than lay a -185 price on the money line here, the best value is with the puck line which can get you a plus money return in the +150 range.  Though Boston's most recent win was by just a single goal, 4 of the Bruins 5 most recent wins over the Islanders have been by, not only a multiple-goal margin, a margin of 3 or more goals!  The odds of a Bruins win are good here given the money line and you can see why the odds of that win coming by a multi-goal margin are also quite high.  The Bruins can take a 3-2 lead in this series by defending home ice and getting a win in this one, and per our computer math model, Boston is forecast to do just that in convincing fashion.  Look for the Bruins to go up 3-2 in this series.  Laying the 1.5 goals (and getting big plus money in doing so) with home favorite Boston is the value play here. |
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