For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL | CFB | MLB | NBA | CBB | NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-03-18 | Iowa v. Purdue -2.5 | 36-38 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 18 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Purdue Boilermakers (-) over Iowa Hawkeyes, Saturday at 3:30 ET: Game #324 |
|||||||
11-03-18 | Nebraska v. Ohio State -18.5 | 31-36 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Ohio State Buckeyes (-) over Nebraska Cornhuskers, Saturday at Noon ET: Game #334 |
|||||||
11-02-18 | Colorado +3 v. Arizona | 34-42 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Colorado Buffaloes (+) over Arizona Wildcats, Friday at 10:30 PM ET: Game #319 |
|||||||
11-01-18 | Temple v. Central Florida OVER 60.5 | 40-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER: Temple Owl at Central Florida Knights, Thursday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #313 |
|||||||
10-30-18 | Kent State +1 v. Bowling Green | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Kent State Golden Flashes (+) over Bowling Green Falcons, Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET: Game #303 |
|||||||
10-27-18 | Texas v. Oklahoma State +3.5 | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Oklahoma State Cowboys (+) over Texas Longhorns, Saturday at 8 PM ET: Game #180 |
|||||||
10-27-18 | Washington State v. Stanford -2.5 | Top | 41-38 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Stanford Cardinal (-) over Washington State Cougars, Saturday at 7 PM ET: Game #162 |
|||||||
10-27-18 | South Florida v. Houston -7.5 | 36-57 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Houston Cougars (-) over South Florida Bulls, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #184 |
|||||||
10-27-18 | Georgia -6.5 v. Florida | 36-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Georgia Bulldogs (-) over Florida Gators, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #167 |
|||||||
10-27-18 | Oregon State v. Colorado OVER 62 | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER: Oregon State Beavers @ Colorado Buffaloes, Saturday at 3 PM ET: Game #153 |
|||||||
10-25-18 | Georgia Tech +3 v. Virginia Tech | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+) over Virginia Tech Hokies, Thursday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #111 |
|||||||
10-20-18 | Ohio State v. Purdue +12.5 | 20-49 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Purdue Boilermakers (+) over Ohio State Buckeyes, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #334 |
|||||||
10-20-18 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky -12 | 7-14 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 6 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Kentucky Wildcats (-) over Vanderbilt Commodores, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #312 |
|||||||
10-20-18 | Mississippi State v. LSU OVER 45 | Top | 3-19 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 29 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER: Mississippi State Bulldogs @ LSU Tigers, Saturday at 7 PM ET: Game #403 |
|||||||
10-20-18 | Cincinnati v. Temple -3.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Temple Owls (-) over Cincinnati Bearcats, Saturday at Noon ET: Game #314 |
|||||||
10-19-18 | Air Force -10 v. UNLV | 41-35 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Air Force Falcons (-) over UNLV Rebels, Friday at 10 PM ET: Game #309 |
|||||||
10-18-18 | Stanford v. Arizona State +3 | 20-13 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Arizona State Sun Devils (+) over Stanford Cardinal, Thursday at 9 PM ET: Game #306 |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Colorado v. USC -6.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 20 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* USC Trojans (-) over Colorado Buffaloes, Saturday at 10:30 PM ET: Game #156 |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Georgia v. LSU +7.5 | 16-36 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* LSU Tigers (+) over Georgia, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET Game #198: Many will be set to jump off LSU’s bandwagon after they picked up their first loss of the season last week @ Florida. That result has helped the value here pushing this number above a TD. Last week’s game @ Florida showed a near even stand off on the stat sheet with Florida scoring on an interception return with under 2:00 minutes remaining to salt away the 27-19 win. LSU has been a home dog just 6 times since 2010 and they’ve won half of those games (3) outright. Georgia is a bit overvalued in our opinion. They are undefeated but have yet to be challenged. Their schedule thus far has been fairly weak as this will be by far their toughest test of the season. The Bulldogs have played just 2 road games this year and their most recent one @ Mizzou was a 14 point win with 2 non-offensive TD’s fueling that win in a game that was nearly dead even on the stat sheet. Another key point is UGA has yet to be in a stressful, close game situation due to their fairly easy schedule and we expect them to have some serious adversity for the first time this season in this game. Georgia has never been higher than a 1-point favorite @ LSU and now they are being asked to lay more than a TD. We like LSU to bounce back and play very well this week. We give them a decent shot at the upset so we’ll grab the points. |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Baylor +14.5 v. Texas | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Baylor Bears (+) over Texas Longhorns, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #187 |
|||||||
10-13-18 | Washington v. Oregon OVER 57.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER: Washington Huskies @ Oregon Ducks, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #159 |
|||||||
10-12-18 | Arizona +13.5 v. Utah | 10-42 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
ASA 9* Arizona Wildcats (+) over Utah Utes, Friday at 10:00 PM ET - The Utes are off of a big upset win at Stanford last week. Utah also has USC on deck. From a situational perspective, this game certainly sets up as a flat spot for the Utes. Also, Arizona has revenge from losing each of the last two meetings including last season's game which the Wildcats lost at home. The Cats are getting about two touchdowns in this spot and the big dog is offering significant line value. After dropping their first two games this season, Arizona is 3-1 SU and ATS their last 4 games. Even though Utah won last week at Stanford they were outgained in that game. Also, last season's match-up between these teams saw the Utes get outgained by over 100 yards by the Wildcats in a game that had a deceiving final score. We look for Arizona to improve to 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Cats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games with a total set between 49.5 and 52 points. Utah is 1-3 ATS this season in games played on turf. Bet ARIZONA |
|||||||
10-11-18 | Georgia Southern v. Texas State OVER 49 | 15-13 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
ASA 9* OVER – Georgia Southern @ Texas State, Thursday at 7:30 PM ET - Both teams run the ball very well and we just don't foresee either defense getting many stops in this game as each of these teams is also allowing a lot of yardage on the ground as well. The Bobcats, other than their lone game versus an FCS foe, have allowed an average of over 200 yards per game on the ground. The Eagles have allowed an average of 185 rushing yards per game their last 3 games. With both teams able to establish the run in this game that serves to open up opportunities downfield in the passing game as the front seven of the defense must respect the running game. That being said, there should be plenty of points in this game and we are getting extra value with this total as it has moved down from the low 50s to the upper 40s. In road games with a total between 42.5 and 49 points, Georgia Southern is 5-0 to the over. In games against teams with a losing record, the Eagles are 8-3 to the over. Texas State is 2-0 to the over in home games this season and, in recent seasons, is on a 6-3 run to the over in games played in Weeks 5 through 9 of a season. The Bobcats are scoring an average of 29 points per game their last 4 games. Georgia State, other than their game against Clemson's D (and Texas State D is at the other end of the spectrum compared to Clemson), has averaged 37 points per game in their other 4 games this season. Bet the OVER in Texas State Thursday. |
|||||||
10-09-18 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas State +10.5 | 35-9 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
ASA 9* Arkansas State (+) over Appalachian State, Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET - This is a case where perception doesn't meet reality. Yes Appalachian State is 5-0 on the season but they've played a much weaker schedule than Arkansas State has. Now, on the road, and in a primetime rare national TV game for Arkansas State at home, the Red Wolves are going to be amped up. Getting double digits at home in a situation like this is a great value and the Red Wolves are 7-0-1 ATS in October games. Also, Arkansas State is 3-1 ATS the last 4 times they've been a dog in a range of 3.5 to 10 points. All 3 of those wins were outright upset wins. The Red Wolves pass defense has been great except for when they played Alabama and who stops the Crimson Tide? That said, we feel the Mountaineers are going to struggle to get any type of significant margin in this Tuesday night road game against the Red Wolves. Play ARKANSAS STATE |
|||||||
10-06-18 | Utah v. Stanford -5 | 40-21 | Loss | -106 | 56 h 27 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Stanford Cardinal (-) over Utah Utes, Saturday at 10:30 PM ET: Game #364 |
|||||||
10-06-18 | LSU -115 v. Florida | 19-27 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 5 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* LSU Tigers (-) over Florida Gators, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #333 |
|||||||
10-06-18 | Iowa -7 v. Minnesota | Top | 48-31 | Win | 100 | 39 h 27 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Iowa Hawkeyes (-) over Minnesota Golden Gophers, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #387 |
|||||||
10-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU -2 | 45-20 | Loss | -108 | 57 h 51 m | Show | |
ASA 9* BYU (-) over Utah State, Friday at 9:00 PM ET - The Cougars are off a rough game @ Washington losing 35-7. It was a poor performance on both sides of the ball against one of the top teams in the nation so we expect a big effort at home in a game BYU needs to win. They come in with a 3-2 overall record but they’ve also played one of the toughest schedules in the nation thus far already facing the likes of Wisconsin, Arizona, California, and Washington. They are one of just 6 teams in the nation that have already faced 4 Power Five teams. They beat both Wisconsin & Arizona on the road so this team is definitely capable. The one negative we see with this game is they do catch Utah State off a bye which we’re not crazy about. However, USU has played a MUCH easier schedule. They played Michigan State tough in a 7-point loss to open the season. They were a little lucky to stay close in that game as they were outgained by over 100 yards and benefitted from a interception return for TD. Since that game the Aggies have played New Mexico State, Tennessee Tech, and Air Force. So while BYU has been playing a tough slate of teams to prepare them for this spot, USU has been padding their overall stats vs weak opponents. The Aggies offensive numbers are impressive, but the last 3 games they’ve faced the 103rd ranked defense (NMSU), 70th ranked defense (Air Force) and a Tennessee Tech defense that has allowed 51 PPG this year. These two met last year @ Utah State and BYU was a 1-point favorite in that game. Now a much improved BYU team is laying just 2 points at home. The Aggies won last year 40-26 at home but it was a misleading final score as BYU outgained them 396 to 288. BYU had a ridiculous 7 turnovers in that game which led to the USU win. Now Utah State will attempt to beat BYU in consecutive seasons for the first time since the 1974 season! It won’t happen here as the Cougars will be focused and play very well after their worst outing of the season. Lay this small number at home with BYU |
|||||||
10-04-18 | Georgia State v. Troy OVER 54 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
ASA 9* OVER – Georgia State @ Troy, Thursday at 7:30 PM ET - The Panthers erupted for 46 points in last week's win and will take advantage of a Trojans defense that has allowed nearly 400 yards per game in their 4 match-ups with FBS schools this season. The issue for Georgia State however is that, prior to beating a struggling UL Monroe team, the Panthers had given up over 500 yards in each of their 3 prior games. This Georgia State defense is unlikely to enjoy much success this week either as Troy comes into this one having averaged 41 points per game their past 4 games. Also, the Trojans have totaled over 450 yards of offense in 3 of their last 4 games. Troy is 4-1 to the over this season. Also, their non-road games (home or neutral field) are on a 6-1 run to the over dating back to last season. With the downward line move on this total it has fallen into our play range as we fully expect plenty of points in this one. Bet the OVER in Troy Thursday. |
|||||||
09-29-18 | Stanford v. Notre Dame OVER 52 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 35 h 47 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER – Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Stanford Cardinal, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #207 |
|||||||
09-29-18 | South Carolina +1 v. Kentucky | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 51 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* South Carolina Gamecocks (+) over Kentucky Wildcats, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #141 |
|||||||
09-29-18 | Florida v. Mississippi State -7 | 13-6 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 36 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Mississippi State Bulldogs (-) over Florida Gators, Saturday at 6 PM ET: Game #194 |
|||||||
09-29-18 | Michigan v. Northwestern +15 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 32 h 23 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Northwestern Wildcats (+) over Michigan Wolverines, Saturday at 4:30 PM ET: Game #210 |
|||||||
09-28-18 | Memphis v. Tulane OVER 66 | 24-40 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 23 m | Show | |
OVER – Memphis @ Tulane, Friday at 8:00 PM ET - The Tigers offense has scored at least 52 points in 3 of their 4 games this season. The Green Wave, before facing Ohio State last week, had averaged over 400 yards of offense per game so far this season. The Tulane defense is most certainly a weakness as they have allowed nearly 500 yards of offense per game so far this season. The Tigers D allowed 465 yards last week and 35 points and that was at home. Memphis, when on a SU winning streak of 2 or more games, the over is 28-10 long-term including 10-2 in recent seasons. Tulane, in weeks 5 through 9 in a season, are 6-2 to the over their last 8 games. Last year these teams combined for 82 points. This season Memphis games have totaled more than 80 points in 3 of 4 games. That is why, though this O/U is a big number, it is very likely to prove to not be nearly high enough. The Tigers offense is one of the tops in the nation for efficiency as they are averaging 8.7 yards per play on offense. Bet the OVER in Tulane Friday. |
|||||||
09-27-18 | North Carolina v. Miami-FL -17.5 | 10-47 | Win | 100 | 33 h 27 m | Show | |
Miami Hurricanes (-) over North Carolina Tar Heels at 8 PM ET Thursday - The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these ACC foes. Even though Miami has Florida State on deck, the Hurricanes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 ACC openers. The Canes have been very strong on defense this season and while the North Carolina defense has struggled badly. With the line opening as high as 21.5 and now down to as low as 17.5, there is additional value here as this one does have the makings of a home blowout. The Tar Heels finally got into the win column last week versus Pittsburgh so this is the perfect spot to fade them off of the home dog upset. Combined edges above of 13-2 (87%) ATS in favor of a play on the big home favorite here. Lay the points with Miami |
|||||||
09-22-18 | Air Force v. Utah State -10.5 | Top | 32-42 | Loss | -108 | 36 h 59 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Utah State Aggies (-) over Air Force Falcons, Saturday at 10:15 PM ET: Game #392 |
|||||||
09-22-18 | Stanford v. Oregon OVER 55.5 | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 50 h 10 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER – Oregon Ducks vs Stanford Cardinal, Saturday at 8 PM ET: Game #355 |
|||||||
09-22-18 | Michigan State -4 v. Indiana | 35-21 | Win | 100 | 50 h 46 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Michigan State Spartans (-) over Indiana Hoosiers, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #317 |
|||||||
09-22-18 | Clemson -15 v. Georgia Tech | 49-21 | Win | 100 | 46 h 43 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Clemson Tigers (-) over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #337 |
|||||||
09-21-18 | Penn State v. Illinois OVER 60 | 63-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
OVER – Penn State @ Illinois, Friday at 9:00 PM ET - The Penn State offense is clicking right now to say the least. After struggling a big in their opener vs App State (they still scored 38 points in regulation and 45 points for the game) the Nittany Lions have gone up and down the field at will the last two weeks. They scored 51 points on a solid Pittsburgh defense that allowed just 19 points to Georgia Tech last week with the Jackets scoring their final TD with just 35 seconds remaining in the game. Last week PSU topped that offensive performance by putting up 63 points and 643 yards Kent State. Head coach James Franklin has never been opposed to running up the score as witnessed last week when they scored 28 in the first half and 35 in the second half when the game was already well out of reach. The Illinois defense is allowing 21 PPG through three contests this year but those numbers could and should be much worse. That’s because the Illini are allowing almost 500 YPG and over 6 YPP to opposing offenses this season. Those numbers usually equate to many more points on the board than they have been giving up. On top of that, we’re talking about Kent, Western Illinois and South Florida doing that damage against the Illinois defense. PSU’s offense is on a whole different level. In last week’s 25-19 loss to USF, the Illini defense allowed 626 yards however the Bulls shot themselves in the foot with 3 turnovers, 13 penalties, and 3 missed field goals. Needless to say, USF should have had many more points in that game. The Illinois offense has actually been OK this year. They’ve put up 34,31, and 19 points. Their starting QB AJ Bush should be back this week and even if he doesn’t return his back up Rivers had a decent game last week and was able to get a game under his belt. Either way, we don’t think the Illinois offense will have to do a whole lot for this game to push over the total. PSU has the capability of getting to 50 by themselves. We look for some 2nd half success from the IU offense when the game is most likely out of hand. While we expect Penn State to score a lot, we simply don’t trust laying 4+ TD’s with PSU here, and feel the OVER is the much better play. |
|||||||
09-20-18 | Tulsa v. Temple -7 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
Temple Owls (-) over Tulsa Golden Hurricane at 7:30 PM ET Thursday - Temple off of the big win at Maryland while Tulsa continues to struggle with too many turnovers on offense. Some strong angles support a play on the Owls here. The Golden Hurricane have gone 1-9 ATS when they an underdog versus a team with a losing record that is off of a SU win by 10 or more points. That system fits perfectly with Temple just 1-2 SU on the season but off of a blowout win over the Terrapins. Also, the Owls are 10-0 ATS when they are facing a team that is off of a SU loss as a favorite. Tulsa was favored last week but lost at home versus Arkansas State so that system is also set up perfectly here. We also like the fact that Temple is on a 7-1 ATS run in games against teams with a losing record while the Golden Hurricane have a 1-6 ATS mark in games against teams with a losing record. Long-term the Owls are on a 30-13 ATS run and we expect them to continue their run as a "covering machine" with a very manageable line posted on this Thursday night home game. Taking the best four systems / angles above it combines for a 32-3 (91%) mark in favor of the home favorite. Lay the points with Temple |
|||||||
09-15-18 | Washington -4.5 v. Utah | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 35 h 44 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Washington Huskies (-) over Utah Utes, Saturday at 10 PM ET: Game #205 |
|||||||
09-15-18 | Ohio State v. TCU +13 | 40-28 | Win | 100 | 33 h 50 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* TCU Horned Frogs (+) over Ohio State Buckeyes, Saturday at 8 PM ET: Game #204 |
|||||||
09-15-18 | LSU +10.5 v. Auburn | 22-21 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* LSU Tigers (+) over Auburn Tigers, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET: Game #153 |
|||||||
09-15-18 | Georgia Tech v. Pittsburgh OVER 54 | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 7 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER – Pittsburgh Panthers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, Saturday at 12:30 PM ET: Game #135 |
|||||||
09-14-18 | Georgia State +28 v. Memphis | 22-59 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 37 m | Show | |
Georgia State Panthers (+) over Memphis Tigers at 7 PM ET Friday - With Georgia State off of an embarrassing loss at NC State everyone is jumping on Memphis here. That said, value has been created with the big dog as, keep in mind, the Tigers didn't exactly look sharp in their one point loss as a touchdown favorite at Navy last week. In weekday match-ups, Memphis is on a poor 1-7-1 ATS slide as a home favorite and the Tigers certainly are a pricey home favorite in this one. Also, Georgia State is 6-0 ATS when they are an underdog and facing an opponent that lost outright as a favorite in their prior game! The Panthers are also 6-0 ATS when they're facing a non-conference opponent that is off of a SU loss in their prior game. With this line up around 4 touchdowns the value is with the large underdog in this match-up that, just like the favorite, is looking for a better performance this week. Grab the big points with Georgia State |
|||||||
09-13-18 | Old Dominion v. Charlotte OVER 40 | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
OVER the total – Charlotte vs Old Dominion at 4 PM ET Thursday - The first numbers popping up on this total were in the mid-40s. Now it is down to a 40 as of Wednesday evening. Of course this game was moved up because of the hurricane approaching the Carolinas but that weather event is going to have have no impact on this Thursday game. With that said, the drop on this total likely had a lot to do with some poor performances on offense for these teams. The problem with that analogy is that it is not taking into account that both of these teams have had some major issues on defense. Charlotte has allowed nearly 300 passing yards in EACH of its first two games. Yes 49ers QB Evan Shirreffs is out but he wasn't even expected to be the starting QB for this team as of a few month ago. Also, Charlotte is sure to take advantage of an Old Dominion defense that is allowing 540 yards per game so far this season. The over is on a 19-8 run in Monarchs road games. Also, Old Dominion is on a 10-3 run to the over when they enter a game on a SU losing streak of 2 or more games. Charlotte is 7-3 to the over in September games. OVER is the play. |
|||||||
09-08-18 | Michigan State -6 v. Arizona State | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -102 | 36 h 58 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Michigan State Spartans (-) over Arizona State Sun Devils, Saturday at 10:45 ET: Game #393 |
|||||||
09-08-18 | Virginia +7 v. Indiana | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 32 h 34 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Virginia Cavaliers (+) over Indiana Hoosiers, Saturday at 7:30 ET: Game #369 |
|||||||
09-08-18 | Baylor -15 v. UTSA | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 32 h 52 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Baylor Bears (-) over UTSA Roadrunners, Saturday at 7 ET: Game #349 |
|||||||
09-08-18 | Buffalo +4.5 v. Temple | 36-29 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Buffalo Bulls (+) over Temple Owls, Saturday at 3:30 ET: Game #345 |
|||||||
09-07-18 | TCU v. SMU +23 | 42-12 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 35 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* SMU Mustangs (+) over TCU Horned Frogs, Friday at 8 ET: Game #302 |
|||||||
09-03-18 | Virginia Tech v. Florida State UNDER 55 | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
9* UNDER the total – Florida State vs Virginia Tech at 8 PM ET - When the total was first posted on this one it was a 50. There has been a huge push toward the over because of the change in system that Florida State's offense will display under new head coach Willie Taggart. However, lets not forget this is the first game of the season, Noles QB Deondre Francois missed nearly all of last season, and the Hokies certainly have a respectable defense. Certainly Virginia Tech lost some key players from last year's defense but this now year 3 with Justin Fuente at the helm and he has assembled plenty of talent with the Hokies. That said, this defense has reloaded and certainly is still extremely strong in the trenches. Florida State, as per usual, has plenty of talent and athleticism on defense and these early-season games between some of the nation's best teams have proven again this season to be low-scoring. Comparable match-ups Saturday in terms of ranked foes battling were Washington-Auburn and Michigan-Notre Dame and both of those games resulted in unders. An average of just 39 points was scored in those two contests. While we could see a little more than that here, we've also got more to work with here with the big total posted on this one. Yes, the Noles want to be more up-tempo and aggressive this season but this isn't an easy defense against which to have your first test of the season. As for the Hokies offense, they are making it a point to establish the run more effectively this season. Look for that to be a point of emphasis here and, of course, that is a big help to an under. The under is 6-1 when Florida State is a home favorite in a range of 7.5 to 10 points. The under is a perfect 3-0 under coach Fuente when Virginia Tech is an underdog in a range of 2 to 10 points. Look for the Hokies defense to perform well under long-time defensive coordinator once again here in this season opener. Every time Virginia Tech loses a lot of starters on defense the thought is they will struggle but most recently this happened in 2014 (5 starters back) and the Hokies allowed an average of only 20 points per game. They'll be ready to go here and this game proves to be lower-scoring than the markets are anticipating. UNDER is the play. |
|||||||
09-02-18 | Miami-FL v. LSU UNDER 48 | 17-33 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
9* UNDER the total – LSU vs Miami @ AT & T Stadium, Sunday at 7:30 PM ET - We expect both defenses to dominate this game. The Hurricanes QB struggles were evident as they struggled in the way they closed out last season. The Tigers QB position also has to be considered no better than a question mark considering they are handing the ball to Ohio State transfer Joe Burrow. LSU's strength, as per usual, is expected to be their defense. Miami also is very strong on that side of the ball again this season and returns a ton of talent from last year's unit. The line on this game has been hanging around Miami at -3. The last 4 times the Hurricanes have played in a game with a line between -3 and +3, all 4 stayed under. The last 6 times the Tigers have been in that same line range, all 6 stayed under. That is a combined 10-0 mark of unders and both coaches are likely to be very conservative on offense and rely on their defenses to win this big early season match-up. With consideration to all of the above factors we envision this being a field position, defensive type battle and UNDER is the play. |
|||||||
09-01-18 | Michigan v. Notre Dame UNDER 47 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER the total – Michigan @ Notre Dame, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET We expect both defenses to dominate this game. Michigan had one of the best defenses in the nation last year allowing their opponents just 271 YPG (3rd nationally). The Wolverines held 9 of their 13 opponents last year to 20 points or less. They return nearly everyone on defense including 9 starters and 17 of their top 20 tacklers. Our word from Ann Arbor is their defensive line has been absolutely dominant in practice and we expect them to be the best unit on the field on Saturday. They’ll be facing a Notre Dame offense that likes to run and simply isn’t very good at throwing the football. Irish starting QB Wimbush struggle with accuracy last year hitting under 50% of his pass attempts and those struggles have continued in practice this year per our reports. Notre Dame also had to replace 3 of their 5 starting offensively lineman so they’ll have big problems with this Michigan defense. Offensively, Michigan likes to run the ball more often than not as well. They are breaking in a new QB in Shea Patterson who had some success at Ole Miss but is still learning the ropes with his new offense. Patterson will now be without one of his top wideouts as starter Tarik Black injured his foot and won’t be playing in this game. Expect Harbaugh to be conservative with his offense and lean heavily on his defense in this game. We like the Irish defense, with 9 starters back, much better than their offense going into the season. They also held 9 of their 13 opponents to 20 points or less last season and return 9 of their top 11 tacklers. We envision this being a field position, defensive type battle and UNDER is the play. |
|||||||
09-01-18 | North Carolina v. California -7 | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 50 h 56 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* California Golden Bears (-) over North Carolina Tar Heels, Saturday at 4 PM ET: Game #204 |
|||||||
09-01-18 | Texas -13.5 v. Maryland | 29-34 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 32 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Texas Longhorns (-) over Maryland Terrapins, Saturday at Noon ET: Game #173 |
|||||||
08-31-18 | San Diego State +14 v. Stanford | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 32 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* San Diego State Aztecs (+) over Stanford Cardinal, Friday at 9 ET: Game #149 |
|||||||
08-30-18 | Northwestern v. Purdue -113 | 31-27 | Loss | -113 | 30 h 3 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON Purdue Boilermakers (-) over Northwestern Wildcats, Thursday at 8 ET: Game #136 |
|||||||
08-25-18 | Hawaii +14.5 v. Colorado State | 43-34 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show | |
ASA PLAY ON 9* Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (+) over Colorado State Rams, Saturday at 7:30 ET: Game #293 |
|||||||
01-08-18 | Alabama v. Georgia UNDER 46 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON: UNDER 46 National Championship Game, 8 PM ET - When we crunch the numbers on this game with our predictive Math Model it projects out a total of 38 points being scored. Vegas had this game as low as 44 points but it has now been bet up to 45.5 which makes the key numbers of both 44 and 45 on totals now winning numbers. That move by the oddsmakers gives us the value we needed to make this wager. Both of these teams have been fantastic on defense this season and Georgia's crazy high-scoring win over Oklahoma last week doesn't change the fact that this is an SEC battle in the trenches! Georgia has allowed just 15.7 PPG on the season which ranks them among the best in the Nation and Alabama has done even better having allowed only 11.1 PPG this season. The Bulldogs were able to pile up yardage against a porous Sooners defense but they won't find those same holes against a Crimson Tide defense that just held Clemson under 200 total yards of offense in the Sugar Bowl. Alabama will have problems scoring here too with an offense that averaged only 20.7 PPG in their three games as a single digit favorite this season. The point is that, when challenged (games against Clemson, Auburn, and Florida State), the mighty Tide weren't so mighty on offense. Alabama averaged only 281.3 yards per game in those 3 match-ups. Now the Crimson Tide face a Georgia defense that allowed less than 285 yards in 11 of their 13 games prior to the shootout with OU last week. With an all-SEC Championship final and a game very likely to be a dogfight we like a lower scoring game and side with the UNDER! |
|||||||
01-01-18 | Central Florida v. Auburn -10 | 34-27 | Loss | -109 | 48 h 45 m | Show | |
#268 ASA 9* PLAY ON Auburn (-) over Central Florida, Saturday at 12:30 PM ET – PEACH BOWL To the betting masses, undefeated Central Florida (12-0) will look attractive as a big dog against an Auburn team that finished the season 10-3. However, the Tigers are offering substantial value here because the schedule that Auburn faced was much tougher than what the Golden Knights faced. There really is no comparison in terms of level of opposition. Also, even with the much softer schedule, UCF allowed 25.2 points and 428.5 yards per game. Auburn's defense, despite facing tough opposition in the SEC, allowed only 17.3 points and 312.8 yards per game. Look for the Tigers defense to key this victory. Another big edge here for Auburn is in coaching. Central Florida's Frost and his assistants are staying on board for this bowl game but the fact is that there, of course, is significant distraction here as Frost has taken the Nebraska job. As for Auburn's Gus Malzahn, he just signed a 7-year contract extension so the Tigers are certainly not dealing with the distractions that the Golden Knights have been leading into this game. Above we referenced strength of schedule and it is a real factor here as Central Florida is only 4-8 SU (and 3-8 ATS) when facing teams with a winning record the past 2+ seasons! Auburn is 4-2 SU against teams with a winning record this season. Also, when playing with extra rest (ex. off of a bye week), Auburn is 4-1 SU and 3-1 ATS. The Tigers are the better team across the board and UCF is distracted. We like Auburn to win this game in an absolute rout and we will lay the big points. |
|||||||
01-01-18 | South Carolina v. Michigan -7.5 | Top | 26-19 | Loss | -100 | 46 h 42 m | Show |
#266 ASA 10* TOP PLAY ON Michigan -7.5 over South Carolina, Monday at 12:00 PM ET We feel this is a defense vs offense mismatch in favor of the Wolverines. The Gamecocks offense is not good. They rank 107th nationally in total offense averaging only 341 YPG. The two best defenses they played this year (Clemson & Georgia) both completely shut this team down. In those two games the Gamecocks scored just 10 points in each game and averaged only 237 total YPG in those two games. Now they face a Michigan defense that is every bit as good as those two stop units as they rank 3rd nationally in total defense allowing only 268 YPG. Only 3 teams all season long scored more than 20 points vs Michigan and those were the 3 best teams in the Big Ten (OSU, PSU, and Wisconsin). We expect South Carolina to struggle big time offensively here. The Michigan offense had their issues this year but when they had Peters at QB they were pretty good as they scored 30+ points in 3 of the 4 games he started. He’s back and ready to go which really gives a boost to Michigan’s offense. This gives Michigan an advantage on BOTH sides of the ball in this game. We’ve been anti South Carolina all season long as this is a team that seem to get a bit lucky in some of their wins with defensive and special teams scores. In fact, this team is 8-4 but they were outgained by nearly 40 YPG on the season. The Big Ten has been very successful in this bowl season as of this writing (Saturday afternoon) and we look for that to continue. Michigan is the play. |
|||||||
12-30-17 | Wisconsin -4.5 v. Miami-FL | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 28 m | Show | |
#263 ASA 9* PLAY ON Wisconsin (-) over Miami, Saturday at 8:00 PM ET – ORANGE BOWL The Hurricanes are likely to struggle to move the ball in this match-up. The Badgers are the much better team defensively as they allowed only 253.2 yards per game this season while the Canes allowed 359.8 yards per game this season. Of particular concern for Miami is that Wisconsin held opponents to only 92.6 rushing yards per game and 3 yards per carry. The Hurricanes passing attack was dismal in the latter half of the season as they averaged only 170.8 passing yards per game in their final 5 games. With yards tough to come by on the ground and with an aerial attack that was held to 137 yards or less in 2 of their last 4 games, frustration could set in early for Miami offense. After winning 10 in a row to start the season but then being outscored by a combined 62 to 17 in back to back losses to end the season, the Canes have been on an emotional roller coaster. Rock steady Wisconsin will head to Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens with plenty of fan support in tow as Badger fans are known for traveling very well...especially in December with a chance to enjoy the warmth of Florida. Wisconsin is on an 11-3 ATS run in road games and a perfect 10-0 when those road games have a total set between 42.5 and 49 points as this one does. The Badgers are also on a 6-0 ATS run in games played on grass. Prior to their loss to Ohio State, the Badgers had not only won all 12 games this season, each of the dozen victories came by at least 8 points! With this line moving lower heading toward Saturday, we are happy to grab the small number. Badgers head coach Chryst has a 3-1 SU/ATS mark in bowl games (including his time at Pitt) while the Hurricanes enter this match-up on a 2-7 run straight-up and ATS in bowl games! We like Wisconsin to win this game big and will lay the small points. |
|||||||
12-30-17 | Iowa State +4.5 v. Memphis | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show |
ASA 10* PLAY ON IOWA STATE +4.5 over Memphis, Liberty Bowl, Saturday Dec 30th @ 12:30 PM ET – This was one game we immediately circled when the lines came out and feel the better team is getting points here. Memphis is basically playing a home game here but is that a huge benefit for a Bowl team? Isn't it more fun, exciting and less distracting for the players to travel to someplace new as a reward for qualifying for a Bowl? In this situation we don't feel the home field will hold the advantages it normally does for Memphis. A big factor in handicapping Bowl games is knowing if a team is properly motivated to be there and one thing we know for sure, Iowa State will be ready here. The Cyclones have a hot-shot young coach in Matt Campbell who is going to be on the short list for some big programs in the future. Campbell is a fantastic motivator and tactician and the team loves playing for him. This will be the Cyclones first Bowl game since 2012 so we know they'll be excited to be here. Campbell mentioned earlier this week many key players were was banged up at the end of the season but they now look like they did in early September health wise. That’s bad news for Memphis. The Tigers also has a great young coach in Mike Norvell who guided them to the Boca Raton Bowl last year, a loss to Western Kentucky. Memphis has a fast paced, high octane offense that averaged 47 PPG but their offensive numbers are very misleading. The Tigers faced some of the worst defensive teams in college football as 7 of their opponents ranked 82nd or worse in defensive efficiency ratings, 5 of which were 103rd or worse. In fact, the combined DEFF ratings of all the teams they faced was 81st so they should have great offensive numbers. The defense Memphis will face here has been battle tested and is easily the best they’ve faced this season. The Cyclones finished 2nd in the Big 12 in scoring defense (behind only TCU) and they won’t be fazed by the Tigers offense in this one as they have already faced more potent offenses that this one including Oklahoma (1st in the nation in total offense) and Oklahoma State (2nd in the nation in total offense). Despite facing one of the toughest offensive schedules in the nation, the ISU defense still ranks 31st nationally in DEFF. ISU faced 6 teams that rank in the top 50 in the nation in total offense (4 in the top 20) and won't be 'over their heads' against Memphis. The Cyclones played 7 teams in the top 45 according to Sagarin’s ratings while Memphis played just one, Central Florida, who beat the Tigers twice. ISU has played the 24th toughest schedule while Memphis has played the 86th. Memphis makes a living by turning teams over and that won't happen here as Iowa State has not lost a fumble all season long and they've only thrown 2 INT's in their previous four games. The Clones are no slouch on offense as they averaged 30 PPG this season against the MUCH tougher schedule. They should have a field day here facing a Memphis defense that rates 120th nationally, the worst defense ISU has faced all season long. Not only that, we consider the Tiger defense worse than the actual stats tell due to the fact they played such an easy schedule this season. Memphis is 7-0 SU at home this year but those wins have come against teams with a 29-39 SU record. It's obvious the oddsmakers continue to undervalue Iowa State as they are on a 6-0 ATS run as a dog and 10-1-1 ATS overall this season. They also have some added motivation here as ISU is the Power 5 team in this game yet they are the underdogs. They will be out to prove a point here and let’s not forget this is a very talented team that beat both Oklahoma (on the road) and TCU, the two teams who met in the Big 12 Championship game. We like the Cyclones to win outright! |
|||||||
12-29-17 | USC v. Ohio State OVER 64.5 | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
ASA PLAY OVER 64.5 USC vs Ohio State, 8:30PM ET Cotton Bowl - The metrics say the OVER is worth a small wager today as the numbers suggest 70 or more points in this one. The Buckeyes play faster and average 2.61 plays per minute which is 19th fastest in college football. USC isn't quite as fast, 2.40 PPM which is still in the top half of college football (53rd). Both teams are VERY efficient offensively as the Trojans rank 10th in the country while the Buckeyes are 2nd. Ohio State has the 12th best yards per point offense at 12.26YPPT and score a point in 49.40 percent of their possessions (5th best in CFB). They score a TD on 40.30 percent of their possession (4th). Ohio State averaged 42PPG which was also 5th in the nation. USC doesn't have quite those numbers but they are 35th in percentage of possession with a point and 27th in TD percentage per possession. The Trojans averaged 35PPG which was 24th nationally. Each offense has big play ability too which is proven by their 24th and 30th ranked explosive offensive plays. Granted Ohio State has some great defensive numbers but they didn't play many fast paced, explosive offenses in the Big Ten. The best offenses they faced, Penn State and Oklahoma scored 38 and 31 points against them. USC gives up 26PPG on the year and are prone to big plays (80th in nation) and penalties (103rd). The numbers say this is going to be a shootout! BET OVER! |
|||||||
12-29-17 | NC State v. Arizona State OVER 59 | 52-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
ASA 9* PLAY ON: OVER 59 NC State vs Arizona State, Sun Bowl Friday, 3 PM ET - We expect a shootout here with both offenses putting up plenty of points for an easy Over. Both teams are above average in terms of pace of play and each averages right around 31PPG. NC State is 43rd in points per possession while ASU is 44th and their percentage of possession that end in a TD are 37th (NC St) and 47th (ASU). They both throw the football extremely efficient as the Wolfpack have the 20th best passing completion percentage in college football while the Sun Devils are 22nd. NC State throws for 270 yards per game while ASU throws for 248. In overall efficiency ratings the Wolfpack rank 26th overall versus Arizona State who is 37th. These two teams are nearly identical in terms of total rushing yards per game but NC State does it better at 4.7YPC compared to 4.1YPC for Arizona State. Defensively NC State has some impressive statistics but to be honest they are somewhat misleading based on their strength of schedule. The Wolfpack faced 7 teams this year that were 52nd or worse in offensive efficiency ratings and 4 that were 30th or better. In the four games against good offenses that are similar to ASU they allowed 30, 38, 35 and 25 points for an average of 32PPG, ironically right around ASU's scoring average this year. In their other seven games the Wolfpack allowed just 22PPG which makes their season numbers much better than they are. The Sun Devils come into this game having scored 37 or more points in four straight games and 40+ in 3 of four. Arizona State's defense has allowed some major points this year including 52 to Texas Tech back in week #3. The Sun Devils have allowed 30 or more points in 9 of their twelve games this season. Based on our math model projections this game should end with 68 or more total points. BET OVER! |
|||||||
12-29-17 | Texas A&M v. Wake Forest -3 | 52-55 | Push | 0 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
ASA 9* PLAY ON: Wake Forest (-) vs Texas A & M, Belk Bowl Friday, 1 PM ET - The Aggies finished the season in ugly fashion and now the coaching situation of course is a mess for the bowl game following the firing of head coach Sumlin. His departure was certainly expected and should lead to a brighter future for the Aggies but it certainly won't help them in this match-up with Wake Forest. While Texas A & M wrapped up the season with 3 losses in their last 5 games, the Demon Deacons won 2 of their last 3. Wake Forest was a covering machine as they went 8-3-1 ATS on the year. The Aggies late season slump is unlikely to reverse itself here. Texas A & M is 2-8 ATS when off of a loss versus an SEC foe. The Aggies are also 0-5 SU and ATS when playing with 2 or more weeks between games. The Demon Deacons are a long-term 9-1 ATS in games played on a neutral field. The location here (in Charlotte, NC certainly does favor Wake Forest though. Look for the Demon Deacons to control the ground game in this one as they have averaged only 90 rushing yards per game their last 7 games! Wake Forest averaged 184.2 rushing yards per game on the season! This season, on 4 different occasions. the Demon Deacons put up the most yards their opponent allowed all season! As you can see, the Demon Deacons offense can be quite dynamic and the Aggies are truly trudging into this bowl game. The Aggies went 1-5 SU versus bowl teams this season while the Demon Deacons went 5-4 SU (and 6-2-1 ATS) against bowl teams this season. This one has the makings of a blowout and we'll gladly lay the small points. Bet Wake Forest! |
|||||||
12-28-17 | Michigan State -120 v. Washington State | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show | |
#277 ASA 9* PLAY ON Michigan State (-) over Washington State, Thursday at 9:00 PM ET – HOLIDAY BOWL - This line opened with Wazzou as a 3 point favorite and we immediately felt the wrong team was favored. Big bettors in Vegas agreed with us as this line moved to pick-em and then pushed to MSU as a small favorite. The move is correct here. Michigan State is the better team and will win this game by more than a TD. Sparty’s defense is among the best in the nation ranking 5th in run defense and 12th in pass efficiency defense. They should completely shut down a WSU rushing attack that averages only 71 YPG forcing the Cougs to be one dimensional on offense. While Washington State is a solid passing team, MSU’s top notch pass defenders will know what’s coming. On top of that, The Cougars will be without their top 2 WR’s in this game (Martin & Johnson-Mack) who combined for 1400 yards receiving and 14 TD’s as they have been booted off the team. This passing offense needs to play to click. Their timing has been thrown off each of the last two seasons when going a month without playing heading into a bowl game. Last year they scored just 12 points vs Minnesota and (averaged 38 PPG during regular season) and the year before the put up just 20 (averaged 33 PPG during regular season) facing Miami FL. The only defense Washington State faced this year that was comparable to Michigan State was Washington (Washington ranked 5th in total defense / Michigan State ranked 9th). In that game Wazzou scored just 14 points on only 345 total yards. Sparty’s offense should be much more diverse in this game. They should be able to establish the run vs a WSU defense that ranked 44th nationally vs the run allowing nearly 150 YPG and will be without their top defensive lineman has he is suspended for the first half. MSU QB Lewerke had a very good year (17 TD’s & just 6 interceptions) and is a threat with his legs as well (2nd leading rusher for Spartans). MSU is excited to be back in a bowl game after missing out on the post-season last year, just one season after making college football’s final 4. They lost just 3 games this season and all 3 were vs top notch teams in Ohio State, Notre Dame, and Northwestern (combined 29-8 record). The Cougs were in this bowl last year so maybe not as much excitement. Add that to the fact they were “this close” to bigger things as they were playing in their season finale vs Washington for a spot in the Pac 12 Championship game but were crushed by the Huskies. We highly doubt Wazzou is more excited to be playing in this game than than Michigan State. Head coach Mike Leach has now lost 3 of his last 4 bowl games including last year when they played an average Minnesota team in disarray (Gophs considered boycotting their bowl game) and still lost 17-12. We see Michigan State controlling the majority of this game and picking up a win and cover. |
|||||||
12-28-17 | Stanford v. TCU OVER 48.5 | 37-39 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
ASA FREE PICK: We will PLAY OVER 49 in the TCU versus Stanford game. Alamo Bowl, Thursday 9PM ET - There are some interesting metrics here that suggest a higher scoring game between these two teams on Thursday evening. Both teams check in with offensive units that rank 44th or higher in yards per play and 22nd or better in terms of yards per point. Their percentage of possessions with points being scored is top 50 and percentage of possessions that end with a TD are 38th and 28th. The Horned Frogs average 34 points per game while the Cardinal average 39. Granted, TCU has a fantastic defense and Stanford is good on that side of the football but the 'big play' probability for both offenses negate a lot of those numbers. College games averaged 46 points per game this year and the total on this game is set just a few points higher than that. Easy bet on the OVER! Yes, we like this FREE PICK today but our biggest investments on the day come in two other wagers. Get both here and treat yourself to a 2-0 day! |
|||||||
12-28-17 | Stanford v. TCU -3 | Top | 37-39 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
#246 ASA 10* PLAY ON TCU -3 over Stanford, Thursday at 9:00 PM ET – ALAMO BOWL - TCU gets to play in the state of Texas here so they will have the overwhelming crowd advantage in San Antonio. We love looking for teams with a big defensive edge in the bowl games and that’s what we get here. TCU was the 4th best rush defense in the nation holding teams to just 99 YPG on 2.9 YPC. They ranked 18th in total defense nationally and allowed opposing QB to complete just 52% of their passes this year. They held opposing offenses to 122 yards per game below their season averages. Those are fantastic season long numbers and we view them as even better than they might read as they put up those stats in the offensively stout Big 12 which has 4 of the top 19 offenses in the country. This makes a poor match up for Stanford who has a young QB KJ Costello who has played in only 10 games thus far in his college career. While he has been improving and looks to have a bright future, we highly doubt he can carry the load vs this top notch defense. He might have to as Stanford relies on their running game to free him up to pass and that might not happen here facing TCU’s run defense. The only two defenses the Cardinal faced in the Pac 12 that were semi comparable to TCU were Washington & Washington State who are both top 20 defenses. In those two games Stanford averaged only 300 YPG on offense. The Cardinal defense is normally the staple of their team but they are way down this season. They rank 70th or lower in total defense, rush defense, and passing defense. We expect TCU’s offense, with speed and weapons galore, to do very well in this game. The Frogs put up at least 30 points in half their games this season. We also like the fact that TCU was embarrassed by Oklahoma 41-17 in the Big 12 Championship game so they feel as though they have something to prove on both sides of the ball here. Lay this small number with the superior team in a home type venue. |
|||||||
12-27-17 | Missouri v. Texas +3 | 16-33 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
#240 ASA 9* PLAY ON Texas (+) over Missouri, Wednesday at 9:00 PM ET – TEXAS BOWL Missouri comes in hot winning their final 6 games of the season. However, we also feel that makes them a bit overrated coming into this game as keep in mind those 6 wins came against ZERO teams going to bowl games. Not one winning team in the bunch and the combined record of those 6 teams Mizzou topped to end the season was 23-48! In fact, the Tigers were 0-5 this year vs teams that made it to bowl games this season. Their offense has been humming late in the season vs a number of poor defensive units, however they lost their play caller as OC Heupel took the head job at UCF and will not be with the Tigers for this bowl game. This is definitely a situation where the hot team may not be so hot after taking a closer look. This game is being played in Houston which heavily favors the Texas Longhorns. Just a 160 mile trip for the Longhorn fans as they’ll have a huge edge when it comes to the crowd. Texas has plenty of motivation here as a win gives them a winning season and a loss drops them below .500. They are also coming off a disappointing finale, a game in which they led Texas Tech by 10 points in the fourth quarter and lost 27-23. Their head coach Tom Herman has been a fantastic underdog coming in at 15-1 ATS in that role dating back to when he was the offensive coordinator at Ohio State and then head coach at Houston before taking over the Texas program. The Horns have the much better overall defense in this match up and rank 7th nationally in rush defense. Also, while Mizzou didn’t beat a bowl team the entire season as we mentioned, Texas beat 3 (Iowa State, West Virginia, and Kansas State) and played to the wire with others including losing by 3 vs USC, 5 vs Oklahoma and in OT vs Oklahoma State. We like Texas to win this game outright so we’ll grab the points. |
|||||||
12-27-17 | Boston College v. Iowa -135 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
#238 ASA 9* PLAY ON Iowa (-) over Boston College, Wednesday at 5:15 PM ET – PINSTRIPE BOWL Boston College comes in hot at the betting window covering their final 9 games of the season. However, we also feel that makes them a bit overrated coming into this game as, keep in mind, the only straight up win that the Eagles have had over a non-MAC team that finished the regular season with a winning record was a tight 3-point win over Louisville. Also, the only straight up wins that Boston College has had since October were against a pair of teams with a combined record of 7-17! The Hawkeyes allowed 24 points or less in 10 of their 12 games this season. In fact, in those 10 games Iowa allowed an average of only 16 points per game. Iowa's schedule was just as tough as the Eagles and the Hawkeyes not only rate the defensive edge here, they also have a big special teams edge. Special teams play certainly can be a factor in games projected to be decided by a single possession (line on this game only around a field goal). Iowa's offense got a big boost with a strong effort in their regular season finale as they rolled Nebraska 55-14. Not only did the Hawkeyes put up 505 yards in that game, they also blasted Ohio State for 55 points and 487 yards just 3 weeks prior. The point is that when Iowa comes to play they are certainly capable of an impressive all-around performance and with head coach Ferentz having lost each of his last 5 bowl appearances straight up, you know he's going to have the troops ready here! They will take advantage of an easier match-up than they've often had in recent bowl appearances and certainly Iowa is favored with good reason here! Also noteworthy is that in games with a line ranging from +3 to -3, the Hawkeyes have failed to cover only twice in their last 7 games while the Eagles only have 2 ATS wins in their 7 games played with a line that range! We like Iowa to win this game handily so we’ll gladly lay the small points or, if you have access to the money line, the price is so low that is an even better option! |
|||||||
12-26-17 | Kansas State v. UCLA UNDER 62 | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
We will play UNDER 62 Kansas State vs UCLA, Cactus Bowl, Dec 26th 9PM ET - K-State head coach Bill Snyder has been around for awhile and has figured out that to be successful, you have to exploit your opponents weakness. The Bruins weakness is their rush defense that is one of the WORST in all of college football. UCLA is 129th (out of 130) schools in rushing yards allowed per game at 283 and 126th in rushing yards per attempt at 5.7. The Wildcats are 44th in rushing attempts per game at 40 and 40th in rushing yards per game at 187RYPG. What's significant about that is the more teams run the football the less clock stoppage there is. Kansas State is also 125th in college football in tempo and prefer to play slow. UCLA has a potent offense, ranking 17th in total yards per game and they averaged 34PPG which was 25th. But they were 50th in yards per point offense which is a huge negative here. The Bruins offense is very dependent on their quarterback Josh Rosen, who as of this writing, has not been cleared to play because of a concussion. Why would he jeopardize his multi-million dollar NFL contract for a meaningless Bowl game? Backup QB Modster has thrown for just 376 yards in three games this season. Kansas State has some poor overall defensive statistics but the Big 12 is loaded with some of the best offensive teams in the country (Okie State 2nd, Oklahoma 1st, Texas Tech 19th and West Virginia 14th) so those numbers are skewed. Kansas State controls the pace here and it leads to a lower scoring game. |
|||||||
12-26-17 | Northern Illinois +6 v. Duke | 14-36 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
#231 ASA 3* PLAY ON Northern Illinois (+) over Duke, Tuesday at 5:15 PM ET – QUICK LANE BOWL This line was around as low as a 2.5 when bowl odds were first released. Now the line is as high as a 6 in some spots as of gameday morning. The fact is that the Huskies just aren't getting enough respect here. Duke deserves credit for finishing the season strong with a pair of wins to earn a bowl bid. However, Northern Illinois also sat home last bowl season and so they are just as hungry as the Blue Devils here. Also, before winning their final two games, Duke did lose 6 straight. Certainly their special teams play will be impacted in this game as well as the Blue Devils dismissed Austin Parker from the team. Parker was handling both kicking and punting duties for Duke. With that said, the Blue Devils are certainly going to be impacted by the unsettled situation in the kicking and punting game for this one. This bowl game is being played at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan and certainly this is a venue the Huskies are very familiar with because of playing in the MAC. Northern Illinois went 8-4 this season and the location of this game certainly favors them. The Huskies went 3-0 ATS as an underdog this season, 4-0 ATS in non-conference games, and also they are on a 7-1 ATS run in games against teams from the Power 5 conferences. The Huskies long-term run is 6-1 ATS against ACC opponents specifically. Northern Illinois has a solid run defense allowing just 2.8 yards per carry this season. Comparatively, Duke's run defense allowed 4.1 yards per carry. Also, the Blue Devils rushing attack was held to 111 yards or less in 5 of their last 6 games. Northern Illinois ran for 185 yards or more in 5 of its last 7 games. We like underdogs that hold the edge on both sides of the ground game and that is definitely the case here! The Huskies continue to be undervalued and we like Northern Illinois to win this game outright so we'll gladly grab the points! |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.