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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-29-19 | Kent State v. Eastern Michigan -4 | 34-26 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 45 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active this week on EMICH |
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11-24-19 | Lions v. Redskins +3.5 | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 46 h 35 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Home dogs of less that 6 points off of road wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Take the Jets
BONUS SYSTEM: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. -- Active to play on the Giants, Steelers, Broncos, BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. - Active this week on the Bills, Browns and Packers ... taking the Packers for now. Will follow up more later this week. The Titans are 0-21 ATS (-11.17 ppg) when they are off a win and they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game.The Saints are 0-15 ATS (-9.37 ppg) at home off a game as a favorite when they are facing a divisional opponent that is committing an average of 1.75-plus turnovers per game.The Giants are 0-14 ATS (-13.93 ppg) off a loss when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 278 offensive yards per game.The Falcons are 0-14 ATS (-11.18 ppg) on turf vs a divisional opponent when they are off a win and had at least 30:30 of possession time in each of their last two games.The Giants are 8-2 ATS (2.70 ppg) since Sep 23, 2018 as a road dog.The Lions are 0-5 ATS (-3.40 ppg) since Oct 20, 2019.The Redskins are 10-0 ATS (+11.10 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a home loss in which they had more penalty yards than rushing yards. |
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11-24-19 | Raiders v. Jets +3 | Top | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 46 h 35 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Home dogs of less that 6 points off of road wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Take the Jets |
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11-17-19 | Bears +7 v. Rams | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -130 | 77 h 45 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active this week on the Raiders
The Cowboys are 0-20 ATS (-10.22 ppg) when the line is within 3 of pick on turf and they are off a home game in which fewer than 36 percent of their opponent?s first downs were from third down.The Bengals are 0-14 ATS (-8.96 ppg) as a road dog by more than a field goal on grass when their quarterback was sacked at least four times in their last game.The Jets are 0-12 ATS (-10.75 ppg) on the road when they are averaging 3.75 yards per rush or worse and they are facing a non-divisional opponent.The Bills are 14-0 ATS (+9.14 ppg) off a loss as a road dog vs a team that has scored on less than 30% of their drives. The Texans are 12-0 ATS (+9.04 ppg) on the road on grass when they are off a win in which they allowed fewer than five third down conversions.The Texans are 11-0 ATS (+8.55 ppg) on the road on grass off a game as a favorite in which they had more third down conversions made than punts.The Texans are 6-1-1 ATS (5.44 ppg) since Sep 30, 2018 as a road dog.The Ravens are 1-8-1 ATS (-5.45 ppg) since Oct 21, 2018 as a home favorite.The Ravens are 3-10-1 ATS (-0.29 ppg) since Oct 21, 2018 as a favorite. |
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11-17-19 | Texans +4.5 v. Ravens | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -115 | 69 h 25 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active this week on the Raiders
The Cowboys are 0-20 ATS (-10.22 ppg) when the line is within 3 of pick on turf and they are off a home game in which fewer than 36 percent of their opponent?s first downs were from third down.The Bengals are 0-14 ATS (-8.96 ppg) as a road dog by more than a field goal on grass when their quarterback was sacked at least four times in their last game.The Jets are 0-12 ATS (-10.75 ppg) on the road when they are averaging 3.75 yards per rush or worse and they are facing a non-divisional opponent.The Bills are 14-0 ATS (+9.14 ppg) off a loss as a road dog vs a team that has scored on less than 30% of their drives. The Texans are 12-0 ATS (+9.04 ppg) on the road on grass when they are off a win in which they allowed fewer than five third down conversions.The Texans are 11-0 ATS (+8.55 ppg) on the road on grass off a game as a favorite in which they had more third down conversions made than punts.The Texans are 6-1-1 ATS (5.44 ppg) since Sep 30, 2018 as a road dog.The Ravens are 1-8-1 ATS (-5.45 ppg) since Oct 21, 2018 as a home favorite.The Ravens are 3-10-1 ATS (-0.29 ppg) since Oct 21, 2018 as a favorite. |
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11-16-19 | Richmond v. James Madison -24 | 6-48 | Win | 100 | 82 h 55 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Plus .600 Road dogs of 57 total points and current opponent just blew out their last opponent 35 points or more. -- Fade VMI , RICH, and USD this week |
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11-16-19 | Navy v. Notre Dame -8 | Top | 20-52 | Win | 100 | 81 h 53 m | Show |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Plus .600 Road dogs of 57 total points and current opponent just blew out their last opponent 35 points or more. -- Fade VMI , RICH, and USD this week
JMAD is 5-0 ATS (6.90 ppg) since Sep 07, 2019 as a home favorite.JMAD is 8-1 ATS (5.89 ppg) since Sep 07, 2019 as a favorite.JMAD is 5-0 ATS (6.90 ppg) since Sep 07, 2019 at home. USD is 0-4 ATS (-5.38 ppg) since Nov 03, 2018 as a road dog.NDST is 18-0 SU since Dec 17, 2011 off a home game off a win. |
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11-10-19 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Bucs | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 116 h 29 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active on the Cardinals this week |
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11-09-19 | Clemson -32 v. NC State | 55-10 | Win | 100 | 99 h 41 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Clemson this week
CLEM is 6-1 ATS (10.64 ppg) since Sep 22, 2018 as a road favorite.NCST is 0-5 ATS (-17.70 ppg) since Nov 18, 2017 as a dog. |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +7.5 | 37-18 | Loss | -125 | 126 h 36 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. -- Now at 11-52-0 for the UNDER -- Active to play on the Under in Arizona
3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191031, 'Cardinals'), (20191103, 'Redskins'), (20191103, 'Ravens'), (20191104, 'Giants') TOP PLAY SYSTEM: All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! -- Take my Bears this week The Titans are 0-21 ATS (-11.17 ppg) when they are off a win and they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game.The Vikings are 14-0 ATS (+11.43 ppg) after a home win in which Adam Thielen didn't have a 22+ yard receptionThe Fortyniners are 15-0 ATS (+10.53 ppg) when they are off a game as a favorite and they are visiting a divisional opponent that has forced fewer than 4.25 punts per game season-to-date and is not 8-plus games below 500.The Ravens are 12-0 ATS (+9.08 ppg) as a dog vs a team that is averaging 13-plus passing first downs per game.The Buccaneers are 0-13 ATS (-9.85 ppg) after a loss as a road dog when they are facing a team with an average turnover margin of minus one-half or better. |
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11-03-19 | Bears +5 v. Eagles | Top | 14-22 | Loss | -108 | 94 h 22 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. -- Now at 11-52-0 for the UNDER -- Active to play on the Under in Arizona
3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191031, 'Cardinals'), (20191103, 'Redskins'), (20191103, 'Ravens'), (20191104, 'Giants') TOP PLAY SYSTEM: All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! -- Take my Bears this week The Titans are 0-21 ATS (-11.17 ppg) when they are off a win and they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game.The Vikings are 14-0 ATS (+11.43 ppg) after a home win in which Adam Thielen didn't have a 22+ yard receptionThe Fortyniners are 15-0 ATS (+10.53 ppg) when they are off a game as a favorite and they are visiting a divisional opponent that has forced fewer than 4.25 punts per game season-to-date and is not 8-plus games below 500.The Ravens are 12-0 ATS (+9.08 ppg) as a dog vs a team that is averaging 13-plus passing first downs per game.The Buccaneers are 0-13 ATS (-9.85 ppg) after a loss as a road dog when they are facing a team with an average turnover margin of minus one-half or better. |
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11-02-19 | Houston v. Central Florida -21.5 | Top | 29-44 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 34 m | Show |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Playing a home favorite of 34 or fewer points off of a 35+ pt. blowout is 107-40-3 ATS (72.8%) facing a sub .660 team off of a high scoring game.-- Active to play on CFL |
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10-27-19 | Eagles +2.5 v. Bills | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 92 h 25 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, teams that put up fewer passing yards than their opp. in a loss last game and fewer rushing yards as well are a solid 123-80-5 (+3.1 ppg, 60.6%) ATS if it is their second or more straight game on the road. -- Take the Eagles
BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active on the AZ Cardinals The Browns are 0-16 ATS (-6.94 ppg) as a dog of more than six points after a game in which less than 22 percent of their first downs were from third down.The Eagles are 13-0 ATS (+11.50 ppg) on turf vs a non-divisional opponent after a game as a road dog in which committed at least two turnovers.The Jets are 0-12 ATS (-10.75 ppg) on the road when they are averaging 3.75 yards per rush or worse and they are facing a non-divisional opponent. |
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10-26-19 | Ohio v. Ball State -2.5 | Top | 34-21 | Loss | -115 | 117 h 3 m | Show |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game.
This system is now at 372-243 ATS and active for next week on: AIR, BALL, and OHST OHU is 0-4 ATS (-8.12 ppg) since Sep 21, 2019.BALL is 4-0 ATS (14.88 ppg) since Sep 21, 2019. |
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10-26-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -14 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 115 h 6 m | Show |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game.
This system is now at 372-243 ATS and active for next week on: AIR, BALL, and OHST OHU is 0-4 ATS (-8.12 ppg) since Sep 21, 2019.BALL is 4-0 ATS (14.88 ppg) since Sep 21, 2019.OHST is 6-0 ATS (21.00 ppg) since Sep 07, 2019 as a favorite. |
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10-20-19 | Texans v. Colts | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 68 h 0 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Active in Week 8 on the Redskins
The Cardinals are 0-14 ATS (-12.50 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that is off two seven-plus point losses.The Raiders are 0-13 ATS (-13.31 ppg) as a TD-plus dog off a win.TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Colts are 12-0 ATS (+6.29 ppg) at home after a game as a road dog in which they converted at least five third downs.The Giants are 0-11 ATS (-14.95 ppg) when the line is within three points of pick on turf after a loss as a road dog.The Lions are 5-0 ATS (10.90 ppg) since Dec 30, 2018 as a dog. |
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10-19-19 | South Dakota +6.5 v. Northern Iowa | 27-42 | Loss | -120 | 49 h 49 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â The OU is 70-159-3 30.6% when a team is off of a game where they rushed for more than 315 yards. In addition, they're not playing a second or more straight game on the road + we're talking about single digit favorite line or the team is a dog. Several other minor filters via the sportsdatabase url. -- Active on the Under in LTCH
BONUS SYSTEM : Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Take WIS, NCAT, WIS is 15-4 ATS (5.68 ppg) since Nov 01, 2014 as a road favorite. |
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10-19-19 | Wisconsin -30.5 v. Illinois | 23-24 | Loss | -111 | 44 h 49 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â The OU is 70-159-3 30.6% when a team is off of a game where they rushed for more than 315 yards. In addition, they're not playing a second or more straight game on the road + we're talking about single digit favorite line or the team is a dog. Several other minor filters via the sportsdatabase url. -- Active on the Under in LTCH
BONUS SYSTEM : Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Take WIS, NCAT, WIS is 15-4 ATS (5.68 ppg) since Nov 01, 2014 as a road favorite. |
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10-13-19 | Steelers +7 v. Chargers | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 73 h 27 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 2004, teams playing a SNF or late games and then playing a game again with less than 6 days rest (facing a team who will have normal rest) are doomed from the start going just 22-40-0 SU and 17-44-1 ATS (27.9%)! -- Fade the Broncos
RUNNER UP SYSTEM: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Take the Saints The Lions are 0-16 ATS (-6.31 ppg) on the road vs a divisional opponent after a game in which they converted at least five third downs and had at least ten first downs through the air.The Fortyniners are 15-0 ATS (+10.53 ppg) when they are off a game as a favorite and they are visiting a divisional opponent that has forced fewer than 4.25 punts per game season-to-date and is not 8-plus games below 500.The Cardinals are 0-14 ATS (-12.50 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that is off two seven-plus point losses.The Steelers are 8-2 ATS (1.25 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog.The Steelers are 6-1 ATS (0.79 ppg) since Oct 14, 2018 as a dog.The Chargers are 0-4-1 ATS (-9.70 ppg) since Dec 09, 2018 as a home favorite.The Broncos are 0-7-1 ATS (-6.31 ppg) since Oct 15, 2017 as a home favorite.The Titans are 13-0 ATS (+9.88 ppg) when the line is within three points of pick, they are off a game as a favorite, and they are facing a team that allowed fewer than 260 total yards in their last game. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week on the Bengals Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Take the Jets |
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10-13-19 | Cowboys v. Jets +8 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 70 h 32 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 2004, teams playing a SNF or late games and then playing a game again with less than 6 days rest (facing a team who will have normal rest) are doomed from the start going just 22-40-0 SU and 17-44-1 ATS (27.9%)! -- Fade the Broncos
RUNNER UP SYSTEM: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Take the Saints The Lions are 0-16 ATS (-6.31 ppg) on the road vs a divisional opponent after a game in which they converted at least five third downs and had at least ten first downs through the air.The Fortyniners are 15-0 ATS (+10.53 ppg) when they are off a game as a favorite and they are visiting a divisional opponent that has forced fewer than 4.25 punts per game season-to-date and is not 8-plus games below 500.The Cardinals are 0-14 ATS (-12.50 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that is off two seven-plus point losses.The Steelers are 8-2 ATS (1.25 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog.The Steelers are 6-1 ATS (0.79 ppg) since Oct 14, 2018 as a dog.The Chargers are 0-4-1 ATS (-9.70 ppg) since Dec 09, 2018 as a home favorite.The Broncos are 0-7-1 ATS (-6.31 ppg) since Oct 15, 2017 as a home favorite.The Titans are 13-0 ATS (+9.88 ppg) when the line is within three points of pick, they are off a game as a favorite, and they are facing a team that allowed fewer than 260 total yards in their last game. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week on the Bengals Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Take the Jets |
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10-13-19 | Titans +2.5 v. Broncos | 0-16 | Loss | -117 | 70 h 32 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 2004, teams playing a SNF or late games and then playing a game again with less than 6 days rest (facing a team who will have normal rest) are doomed from the start going just 22-40-0 SU and 17-44-1 ATS (27.9%)! -- Fade the Broncos
RUNNER UP SYSTEM: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Take the Saints The Lions are 0-16 ATS (-6.31 ppg) on the road vs a divisional opponent after a game in which they converted at least five third downs and had at least ten first downs through the air.The Fortyniners are 15-0 ATS (+10.53 ppg) when they are off a game as a favorite and they are visiting a divisional opponent that has forced fewer than 4.25 punts per game season-to-date and is not 8-plus games below 500.The Cardinals are 0-14 ATS (-12.50 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that is off two seven-plus point losses.The Steelers are 8-2 ATS (1.25 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog.The Steelers are 6-1 ATS (0.79 ppg) since Oct 14, 2018 as a dog.The Chargers are 0-4-1 ATS (-9.70 ppg) since Dec 09, 2018 as a home favorite.The Broncos are 0-7-1 ATS (-6.31 ppg) since Oct 15, 2017 as a home favorite.The Titans are 13-0 ATS (+9.88 ppg) when the line is within three points of pick, they are off a game as a favorite, and they are facing a team that allowed fewer than 260 total yards in their last game. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week on the Bengals Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Take the Jets |
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10-13-19 | Saints +1.5 v. Jaguars | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 97 h 25 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Take the Saints
The Lions are 0-16 ATS (-6.31 ppg) on the road vs a divisional opponent after a game in which they converted at least five third downs and had at least ten first downs through the air.The Fortyniners are 15-0 ATS (+10.53 ppg) when they are off a game as a favorite and they are visiting a divisional opponent that has forced fewer than 4.25 punts per game season-to-date and is not 8-plus games below 500.The Cardinals are 0-14 ATS (-12.50 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that is off two seven-plus point losses. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week on the Bengals |
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10-06-19 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Bengals | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 117 h 19 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week to play on the Jets, Broncos and Cardinals |
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10-05-19 | Purdue v. Penn State -27.5 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 92 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. Active this week on a number of teams. Click through the link for the list.
Since 2003, large favorites between -31 and -20.5 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 37 points or more are 76-38-3 ATS -- LSU |
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10-05-19 | Utah State v. LSU -28 | 6-42 | Win | 100 | 92 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. Active this week on a number of teams. Click through the link for the list.
Since 2003, large favorites between -31 and -20.5 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 37 points or more are 76-38-3 ATS -- LSU |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 100 h 56 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). -- Fade the Broncos, Falcons and Steelers this week
KEY TEAM TRENDS OF THE WEEK:The Ravens are 94-0 ATS in franchise history as a home favorite of fewer than 13 points before week 17 as long as their defense was on the field for less than 35:50.The Chiefs are 37-0 ATS off a win after a game in which they out-gained their opponent.The Chargers are 39-0 ATS when their ATS margin decreased over each of their last two games.The Cowboys are 0-20 ATS (-10.22 ppg) when the line is within 3 of pick on turf and they are off a home game in which fewer than 36 percent of their opponent?s first downs were from third down. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. - Very simple and power: Active to play on the Baltimore Ravens this week |
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09-29-19 | Titans +4 v. Falcons | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 93 h 36 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). -- Fade the Broncos, Falcons and Steelers this week
KEY TEAM TRENDS OF THE WEEK:The Ravens are 94-0 ATS in franchise history as a home favorite of fewer than 13 points before week 17 as long as their defense was on the field for less than 35:50.The Chiefs are 37-0 ATS off a win after a game in which they out-gained their opponent.The Chargers are 39-0 ATS when their ATS margin decreased over each of their last two games.The Cowboys are 0-20 ATS (-10.22 ppg) when the line is within 3 of pick on turf and they are off a home game in which fewer than 36 percent of their opponent?s first downs were from third down. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. - Very simple and power: Active to play on the Baltimore Ravens this week |
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09-28-19 | Ohio State -17 v. Nebraska | 48-7 | Win | 100 | 98 h 21 m | Show | |
EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. OHST |
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09-22-19 | Steelers +7 v. 49ers | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 75 h 47 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! -- This one is active on the Broncos and Steelers this week
The Giants are 6-1 ATS (3.29 ppg) since Sep 23, 2018 as a road dog.The Fortyniners are 1-13-2 ATS (-3.88 ppg) since Dec 08, 2013 as a home favorite.The Steelers are 7-2 ATS (1.33 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog.NFL Key Numbers:Key lines: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 2, 1, 8, 17, 13, 21 Key totals: 44, 41, 37, 51, 43, 40, 47, 33, 48, 30, 45, 55, 34, 27, 36, 52 |
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09-22-19 | Giants +7 v. Bucs | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 74 h 27 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! -- This one is active on the Broncos and Steelers this week
The Giants are 6-1 ATS (3.29 ppg) since Sep 23, 2018 as a road dog.The Fortyniners are 1-13-2 ATS (-3.88 ppg) since Dec 08, 2013 as a home favorite.The Steelers are 7-2 ATS (1.33 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog.NFL Key Numbers:Key lines: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 2, 1, 8, 17, 13, 21 Key totals: 44, 41, 37, 51, 43, 40, 47, 33, 48, 30, 45, 55, 34, 27, 36, 52 |
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09-22-19 | Broncos +9 v. Packers | 16-27 | Loss | -125 | 71 h 22 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! -- This one is active on the Broncos and Steelers this week
The Giants are 6-1 ATS (3.29 ppg) since Sep 23, 2018 as a road dog.The Fortyniners are 1-13-2 ATS (-3.88 ppg) since Dec 08, 2013 as a home favorite.The Steelers are 7-2 ATS (1.33 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog.NFL Key Numbers:Key lines: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 2, 1, 8, 17, 13, 21 Key totals: 44, 41, 37, 51, 43, 40, 47, 33, 48, 30, 45, 55, 34, 27, 36, 52 |
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09-21-19 | Baylor -26 v. Rice | 21-13 | Loss | -109 | 124 h 55 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on MIZ, BAY, and ORE this week
CLEM is 29-0 SU since Oct 08, 2011 at home off a road game.TENT is 0-38 SU since Sep 15, 1984 on the road.MIZ is 8-2 ATS (10.70 ppg) since Nov 04, 2017 as a home favorite.RICE is 7-16 ATS (-7.43 ppg) since Oct 03, 2015 at home. EXTRA SYSTEM: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. Active for Week 4 on TLN, MIAF, and TXAM |
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09-21-19 | South Carolina v. Missouri -9.5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 121 h 57 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on MIZ, BAY, and ORE this week
CLEM is 29-0 SU since Oct 08, 2011 at home off a road game.TENT is 0-38 SU since Sep 15, 1984 on the road.MIZ is 8-2 ATS (10.70 ppg) since Nov 04, 2017 as a home favorite. EXTRA SYSTEM: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. Active for Week 4 on TLN, MIAF, and TXAM |
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09-19-19 | Houston v. Tulane -4.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 77 h 59 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on MIZ, BAY, and ORE this week
CLEM is 29-0 SU since Oct 08, 2011 at home off a road game.TENT is 0-38 SU since Sep 15, 1984 on the road. EXTRA SYSTEM: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. Active for Week 4 on TLN, MIAF, and TXAM |
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09-15-19 | Vikings v. Packers -2.5 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 44 h 53 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Rams and Cowboys this week
The Vikings are 2-7-1 ATS (-2.65 ppg) since Nov 13, 2016 as a road dog.The Vikings are 0-4 ATS (-7.00 ppg) since Oct 28, 2018 as a dog. |
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09-15-19 | Cowboys v. Redskins +6 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 53 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Rams and Cowboys this week |
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09-14-19 | Texas Tech -2 v. Arizona | 14-28 | Loss | -104 | 53 h 17 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active to play on TXT, CFL, and NCST this week
EXTRA SYSTEM: A team that just lost as a dog but got at least 22 first downs chokes are 161-275-8 ATS (36.9%) vs. a team off of a win in which they score 17+ points. -- Fade Stanford this week |
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09-14-19 | Stanford v. Central Florida -7.5 | 27-45 | Win | 100 | 46 h 17 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active to play on TXT, CFL, and NCST this week
EXTRA SYSTEM: A team that just lost as a dog but got at least 22 first downs chokes are 161-275-8 ATS (36.9%) vs. a team off of a win in which they score 17+ points. -- Fade Stanford this week |
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09-09-19 | Texans +7.5 v. Saints | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 100 h 49 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â In week 1, playing road dogs of no more than +6.5 points that finished last regular season with 6 or fewer wins has gone 45-15-5 (75.4%) ATS in database history. -- Active to play on Packers
Not much in the area of supporting SDQL this week so go a bit lighter on the others until we collect some current season statistics for the Raw Number based selections. |
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09-08-19 | Colts +7 v. Chargers | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 73 h 43 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â In week 1, playing road dogs of no more than +6.5 points that finished last regular season with 6 or fewer wins has gone 45-15-5 (75.4%) ATS in database history. -- Active to play on Packers
Not much in the area of supporting SDQL this week so go a bit lighter on the others until we collect some current season statistics for the Raw Number based selections. |
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09-08-19 | Titans +6 v. Browns | 43-13 | Win | 100 | 70 h 42 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â In week 1, playing road dogs of no more than +6.5 points that finished last regular season with 6 or fewer wins has gone 45-15-5 (75.4%) ATS in database history. -- Active to play on Packers
Not much in the area of supporting SDQL this week so go a bit lighter on the others until we collect some current season statistics for the Raw Number based selections. |
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09-07-19 | Arkansas State v. UNLV -1.5 | 43-17 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 3 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:  A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. -- Active on BAY, CLEM, UNLV, NDST
CLEM is 9-1 ATS (12.50 ppg) since Oct 06, 2018 as a favorite.AKST is 0-4 ATS (-13.12 ppg) since Sep 23, 2017 as a dog. |
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09-07-19 | UTSA v. Baylor -25 | 14-63 | Win | 100 | 49 h 58 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:  A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. -- Active on BAY, CLEM, UNLV, NDST
CLEM is 9-1 ATS (12.50 ppg) since Oct 06, 2018 as a favorite.AKST is 0-4 ATS (-13.12 ppg) since Sep 23, 2017 as a dog. |
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09-07-19 | Texas A&M v. Clemson -17 | 10-24 | Loss | -105 | 48 h 30 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:  A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. -- Active on BAY, CLEM, UNLV, NDST
CLEM is 9-1 ATS (12.50 ppg) since Oct 06, 2018 as a favorite. |
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02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams +3 | 13-3 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 7 m | Show | |
01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3 | 26-23 | Loss | -116 | 44 h 22 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, dogs off of two or more straight games where they scored 19 or more points before the half are just 22-72-0 SU (23.4%) and 34-55-5 (38.2%) ATS in their next. - Fade the Rams and Patriots this week.
KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK:Â The Chiefs are 11-35-4 OU (-4.67 ppg) since Nov 06, 2011 as a home favorite Always stay away from a live dog. The Rams are currently backed by over 55% of the public bets as a road dog in the dome. |
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01-13-19 | Eagles +9.5 v. Saints | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 93 h 13 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Play on the Colts, Chargers, Eagles this week
KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Patriots are 23-1 ATS (+14.82 ppg) on turf vs non-divisional opponent that is averaging 13+ passing first downs per game, including last season's super bowl vs the Falcons. The Patriots are 39-15-1 ATS (5.18 ppg) since Sep 22, 2013 at homeThe Chiefs are 18-48-5 OU (-4.38 ppg) since Oct 31, 2010 at homeSince 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. (Fade the Cowboys this week if they're looking beat up as per the concept of this trend)The Chiefs are 0-15ATS (-4.77 ppg) as a home favorite off a win as a favorite when they are facing an opponent that is averaging fewer than 27 rushes per game.The Eagles are 12-0 ATS (+9.96 ppg) as a road dog by more than 4 points when seeking same-season revenge.Key NFL Margins: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 2, 1, 8, 17, 13, 21 Key NFL Totals: 44, 41, 37, 51, 43, 40, 47, 33, 48, 30, 45, 55, 34, 27, 36, 52 |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys +8.5 v. Rams | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 36 h 19 m | Show | |
In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). Fade the Rams |
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01-12-19 | Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | 13-31 | Loss | -109 | 69 h 8 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Play on the Colts, Chargers, Eagles this week
KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Patriots are 23-1 ATS (+14.82 ppg) on turf vs non-divisional opponent that is averaging 13+ passing first downs per game, including last season's super bowl vs the Falcons. The Patriots are 39-15-1 ATS (5.18 ppg) since Sep 22, 2013 at homeThe Chiefs are 18-48-5 OU (-4.38 ppg) since Oct 31, 2010 at homeSince 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. (Fade the Cowboys this week if they're looking beat up as per the concept of this trend)The Chiefs are 0-15ATS (-4.77 ppg) as a home favorite off a win as a favorite when they are facing an opponent that is averaging fewer than 27 rushes per game.The Eagles are 12-0 ATS (+9.96 ppg) as a road dog by more than 4 points when seeking same-season revenge.Key NFL Margins: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 2, 1, 8, 17, 13, 21 Key NFL Totals: 44, 41, 37, 51, 43, 40, 47, 33, 48, 30, 45, 55, 34, 27, 36, 52 |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 99 h 32 m | Show | |
CLEM is 32-13 ATS (5.81 ppg) since Oct 11, 2003 as a dogCLEM is 13-0 since Sep 08, 2018 off a winAlmost 60% of the public bets are on Alabama. Let's take the points on Clemson here.
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01-06-19 | Eagles +7 v. Bears | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 47 h 12 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. - Take the Eagles this week |
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01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens -1 | 23-17 | Loss | -120 | 139 h 24 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2003, sub .500 road teams on a losing ats streak are 562-417-22 ATS (57.4%) against plus.500 teams on a winning ats streak. Play on the Ravens |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Cowboys | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 49 m | Show | |
Since 1998, a team off of a win as a dog by 5 or fewer points and went Over the total is just 70-113-6 38.3% ATS next week. - Fade the Cowboys |
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12-30-18 | Eagles v. Redskins +7.5 | 24-0 | Loss | -139 | 69 h 0 m | Show | |
Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. Play on the Redskins |
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12-30-18 | Panthers +8.5 v. Saints | Top | 33-14 | Win | 100 | 66 h 38 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, Teams on a 7 game or worse losing streak are 97-61-6 61.4% ATS next week. - Panthers this week as Top Play! |
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12-23-18 | Bengals +10 v. Browns | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 91 h 36 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181216, 'Falcons'), (20181216, 'Dolphins'), (20181223, 'Bengals'), (20181223, 'Falcons') |
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12-23-18 | Falcons -3.5 v. Panthers | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 91 h 36 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181216, 'Falcons'), (20181216, 'Dolphins'), (20181223, 'Bengals'), (20181223, 'Falcons') |
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12-23-18 | Giants +10.5 v. Colts | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 67 h 3 m | Show | |
Since 1998, a team off of a win as a dog by 5 or fewer points and went Over the total is just 70-113-6 38.3% ATS next week.The Giants are 9-0 ATS (5.00 ppg) since Sep 23, 2018 as a road dog
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12-22-18 | Ravens +4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 51 h 46 m | Show |
TOP PLAY SYSTEM: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. - Active this week on the Ravens
TOP TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK:Â The Ravens are 17-0 ATS (+7.27 ppg) on the road off a win as a favorite in which their opponent scored first. |
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12-16-18 | Cardinals +10 v. Falcons | 14-40 | Loss | -113 | 68 h 30 m | Show | |
In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). - Fade the Falcons |
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12-15-18 | Browns v. Broncos -2.5 | 17-16 | Loss | -109 | 52 h 51 m | Show | |
The Broncos are 10-0 ATS (+10.35 ppg) after a game in which Demaryius Thomas had fewer than 3 receptions. |
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12-14-18 | South Dakota State v. North Dakota State -7.5 | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 100 h 5 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FORÂ BOWL SEASON: Since 2003, large favorites between -31 and -20.5 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 37 points or more are 76-38-3 ATSÂ Look to play on NDST |
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12-13-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 76 h 26 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004, road teams withing 3.5 pts of pick'em are 32-6 ATS 84.2% after week 9 after two+ straight games allowing zero turnovers. - Active on the Chargers this week
KEY SDQL SYSTEMS AND TRENDS: *The Panthers are 17-0 OU (+12.0 ppg) since Ron Rivera became their coach in 2011 as a dog of more than six points -- hence the nickname '''Riverboat Ron. *The Chargers are 21-1 ATS (+8.50 ppg) when visiting any team with more wins, as long as their opponent is not seeking same-season revenge for a loss by more than a TD. |
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12-09-18 | Bengals +15.5 v. Chargers | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 86 h 22 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181209, 'Bengals'), (20181209, 'Falcons') |
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12-09-18 | Falcons +6 v. Packers | 20-34 | Loss | -120 | 83 h 16 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181209, 'Bengals'), (20181209, 'Falcons') |
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12-03-18 | Redskins +7 v. Eagles | 13-28 | Loss | -130 | 50 h 28 m | Show | |
The Redskins are 14-0 ATS (+6.71 ppg) off a game as a road dog when they are facing a divisional opponent that has allowed a season-to-date average third down conversion percentage of less than 40%.
Since 1989, teams that put up fewer passing yards than their opp. in a loss last game and fewer rushing yards as well are a solid 123-80-5 (+3.1 ppg, 60.6%) ATS if it is their second or more straight game on the road. Take the Redskins this week! |
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12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots -4.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 117 h 39 m | Show | |
KEY SDQL SYSTEMS AND TRENDS: |
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12-02-18 | Bills +3.5 v. Dolphins | 17-21 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
 and margin |
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11-25-18 | Giants +7 v. Eagles | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 115 h 16 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). Active this week on the Giants |
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11-25-18 | Jaguars v. Bills +3 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 45 m | Show | |
The Jaguars are 0-13 ATS (-10.35 ppg) when they are off a loss and facing a non-divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season.The Bills are 13-0 ATS (+6.15 ppg) as a dog vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a road game in which they outgained their opponent.
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11-24-18 | Hawaii v. San Diego State -17 | 31-30 | Loss | -105 | 101 h 54 m | Show | |
Anything but a home dog has gone 25-54-0 ATS (30%) in database history after allowing over 6.5 yards per rush in 2+ straight games. |
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11-24-18 | Temple -29 v. Connecticut | 57-7 | Win | 100 | 94 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FORÂ WEEK 14:Â Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS - Active this week on Temple |
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11-18-18 | Titans v. Colts -1 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 101 h 52 m | Show |
KEY SYSTEMS AND TRENDS: |
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11-17-18 | Indiana v. Michigan -27.5 | 20-31 | Loss | -108 | 132 h 7 m | Show | |
Playing a home favorite of 34 or fewer points off of a 35+ pt. blowout is 107-40-3 ATS (72.8%) facing a sub .660 team off of a high scoring game. |
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11-11-18 | Dolphins v. Packers -10 | 12-31 | Win | 102 | 70 h 17 m | Show | |
11-11-18 | Seahawks +10.5 v. Rams | Top | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 70 h 21 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Not so much a system as a series of powerful coaching trends: |
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11-10-18 | Northwestern +10.5 v. Iowa | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 48 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FOR WEEK 11: In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. Active on NORW, URI, MIS this week.
TENT is 0-36 since Sep 15, 1984 on the roadNORW is 8-0 ATS (14.50 ppg) since Oct 24, 2015 as a road dogURI is 8-2 ATS (6.80 ppg) since Aug 31, 2017 |
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11-10-18 | Ole Miss +13 v. Texas A&M | 24-38 | Loss | -105 | 45 h 31 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FOR WEEK 11: In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. Active on NORW, URI, MIS this week.
TENT is 0-36 since Sep 15, 1984 on the roadNORW is 8-0 ATS (14.50 ppg) since Oct 24, 2015 as a road dogURI is 8-2 ATS (6.80 ppg) since Aug 31, 2017 |
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11-08-18 | Panthers +3.5 v. Steelers | 21-52 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Not so much a system as a series of powerful coaching trends:
*Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. *If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS! EXTRA SYSTEM : Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. Take the Panthers this week. EXTRA SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181111, 'Bengals'), (20181111, 'Falcons') KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season. The Browns are 0-20 since Dec 20, 2015 off a home gameThe Seahawks are 8-0 since Oct 22, 2015 off a home game off a loss |
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11-04-18 | Rams v. Saints +1.5 | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 72 h 25 m | Show | |
Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Saints |
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11-04-18 | Bucs +7 v. Panthers | 28-42 | Loss | -135 | 69 h 3 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. Fade the Panthers |
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11-03-18 | Fresno State -24.5 v. UNLV | 48-3 | Win | 100 | 126 h 18 m | Show | |
Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Ohio U and Fresno |
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11-01-18 | Raiders +3 v. 49ers | 3-34 | Loss | -140 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
The Fortyniners are 0-12-2 ATS (-5.96 ppg) since Dec 08, 2013 as a home favorite |
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11-01-18 | Ohio +2 v. Western Michigan | 59-14 | Win | 100 | 75 h 48 m | Show | |
Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Ohio U and Fresno |
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10-29-18 | Patriots -13 v. Bills | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 171 h 24 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Active this upcoming week on the Broncos, Browns, Saints, Patriots
RUNNER UP SYSTEM:Â The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. Active on the Unders in Buffalo and NY(Jets) KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK:Â *The Jaguars are 16-0 OU (+12.25 ppg)Â in franchise history on grass off a home loss in which they never led and they are facing a team that is averaging less than 1.6 turnovers per game. *The Raiders are 0-18 ATS (-9.03 ppg)Â off a game as a dog when they are on grass vs a non-divisional opponent that has allowed an average of 370-plus yards per game season-to-date. *The Vikings are 15-0 ATS (+7.15 ppg)Â vs a non-divisional opponent after a game in which they had more punts than third downs made. |
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10-28-18 | Saints +1.5 v. Vikings | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 147 h 29 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Active this upcoming week on the Broncos, Browns, Saints, Patriots
RUNNER UP SYSTEM:Â The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. Active on the Unders in Buffalo and NY(Jets) KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK:Â *The Jaguars are 16-0 OU (+12.25 ppg) in franchise history on grass off a home loss in which they never led and they are facing a team that is averaging less than 1.6 turnovers per game. *The Raiders are 0-18 ATS (-9.03 ppg) off a game as a dog when they are on grass vs a non-divisional opponent that has allowed an average of 370-plus yards per game season-to-date. *The Vikings are 15-0 ATS (+7.15 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent after a game in which they had more punts than third downs made. |
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10-28-18 | Packers +10.5 v. Rams | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 69 h 19 m | Show | |
10-28-18 | 49ers v. Cardinals +1.5 | Top | 15-18 | Win | 100 | 48 h 19 m | Show |
KEY SYSTEM:Â *Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20181028, 'Bengals'), (20181028, 'Cardinals'), (20181029, 'Bills') |
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10-28-18 | Seahawks v. Lions -3 | 28-14 | Loss | -104 | 92 h 47 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â In database history, playing on a team with zero turnovers in their last 3 or more games has gone 69-35-4 ATS (66.3%). Active this week to bet on the Lions over the Seahawks this week! |
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10-28-18 | Ravens -2.5 v. Panthers | 21-36 | Loss | -115 | 43 h 16 m | Show | |
All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! (Ravens, Browns this week) |
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10-27-18 | Washington v. California +10.5 | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 124 h 18 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FORÂ WEEK 9:In Database History, the OU is 204-293-1 (41.0%) when a team that just played a game as a favorite with a time of possession over over 22 minutes and less than 30. (Click thru the link to see the actives...quite a few this week)
RUNNER UP KEY SYSTEM: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. KEY TEAM TRENDS FOR WEEK 9: *ORST is 0-22 since Oct 25, 2014 on the road *USC is 19-0 since Oct 24, 2015 at home *KAN is 0-17 since Nov 29, 2014 off a road game off a loss *OHU is 7-2 ATS (8.67 ppg) since Sep 02, 2017 at home *WAS is 3-9 ATS (-3.00 ppg) since Nov 10, 2017 Key CFB ines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20, 31 Key CFB totals: 55, 51, 45, 41, 52, 48, 44, 58, 59, 37, 47, 65, 49, 69, 66, 62, 54, 34, 61, 38, 63 |
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10-21-18 | Saints v. Ravens -2.5 | 24-23 | Loss | -109 | 70 h 34 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. - Fade the Dolphins this week
KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK:Â The Browns are 0-23 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road + The Vikings are 0-15 ATS (-11.67 ppg) on the road when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30. The Eagles are 0-14Â OU (-8.46 ppg) as a favorite off a win as a favorite in which they scored 10+ points more than their season-to-date average.The Broncos are 0-14Â OU (-10.12 ppg) when the line is within three of pick on grass when they are playing a team with a better record.The Broncos are 17-0 OU (+13.12 ppg) as a favorite vs a non-divisional opponent that had less than 26:15 minutes of possession time in their last game.The Broncos are 0-7 since Dec 25, 2016 on the road off a lossThe Broncos are 1-11 ATS (-11.21 ppg) since Dec 11, 2016 on the roadThe Cardinals are 27-13-1 ATS (4.02 ppg) since Oct 08, 2006 as a home dog |
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10-21-18 | Titans +7 v. Chargers | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 63 h 59 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. - Fade the Dolphins this week
KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK:Â The Browns are 0-23 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road + The Vikings are 0-15 ATS (-11.67 ppg) on the road when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30. The Eagles are 0-14Â OU (-8.46 ppg) as a favorite off a win as a favorite in which they scored 10+ points more than their season-to-date average.The Broncos are 0-14Â OU (-10.12 ppg) when the line is within three of pick on grass when they are playing a team with a better record.The Broncos are 17-0 OU (+13.12 ppg) as a favorite vs a non-divisional opponent that had less than 26:15 minutes of possession time in their last game.The Broncos are 0-7 since Dec 25, 2016 on the road off a lossThe Broncos are 1-11 ATS (-11.21 ppg) since Dec 11, 2016 on the roadThe Cardinals are 27-13-1 ATS (4.02 ppg) since Oct 08, 2006 as a home dog |
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10-20-18 | Miami-OH v. Army -7.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -105 | 114 h 21 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: #003 - A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. (Take Army next week!) |
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10-18-18 | Broncos v. Cardinals +2 | 45-10 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 49 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. - Fade the Dolphins this week
KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK:Â The Browns are 0-23 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road + The Vikings are 0-15 ATS (-11.67 ppg) on the road when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30. The Eagles are 0-14Â OU (-8.46 ppg) as a favorite off a win as a favorite in which they scored 10+ points more than their season-to-date average.The Broncos are 0-14Â OU (-10.12 ppg) when the line is within three of pick on grass when they are playing a team with a better record.The Broncos are 17-0 OU (+13.12 ppg) as a favorite vs a non-divisional opponent that had less than 26:15 minutes of possession time in their last game.The Broncos are 0-7 since Dec 25, 2016 on the road off a lossThe Broncos are 1-11 ATS (-11.21 ppg) since Dec 11, 2016 on the roadThe Cardinals are 27-13-1 ATS (4.02 ppg) since Oct 08, 2006 as a home dog |
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10-14-18 | Cardinals +10.5 v. Vikings | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 144 h 12 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Â Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660Â (Active on the Cardinals)
NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK:Â The Steelers are 0-14 OU (-9.86 ppg) on the road facing an opponent that is averaging at least 35 passes per game and they are not a four-plus point underdog. |
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10-14-18 | Steelers v. Bengals -1 | 28-21 | Loss | -125 | 143 h 34 m | Show | |
The Bengals are 9-3 ATS (1.00 ppg) since Nov 12, 2017The Steelers are 2-9 ATS (-3.36 ppg) since Nov 26, 2017
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10-14-18 | Seahawks -2.5 v. Raiders | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 143 h 34 m | Show | |
10-13-18 | Missouri v. Alabama -27.5 | 10-39 | Win | 100 | 49 h 1 m | Show | |
KEY ATS SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. (ALABAMA) |
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10-13-18 | Washington -3.5 v. Oregon | 27-30 | Loss | -100 | 123 h 40 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A road team off of 3+ straight wins playing on a Saturday is 63-31-1 ATS if they played their last game on the road. (Take WAS, and UAB next week) |
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