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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-08-21 | Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 231.5 | 131-118 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY I like the Utah Jazz to win and cover in a relatively low-scoring affair. Milwaukee is coming off a couple of blowout wins over Detroit, but the Jazz are a far tougher team to beat than the Pistons. Sure, Utah is coming off back-to-back losses as road favorites at Brooklyn and New York, but this team is at its best when catching points on the road (Jazz are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog). Milwaukee averages more points per game than any other team in the NBA, but I think regression is coming and Utah is not a team known for giving up easy buckets. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-08-21 | Suns v. Pistons UNDER 218 | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* SUNS @ PISTONS NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Detroit Pistons are winless through their last three games and gave up 130 points to the Bucks last time out. However, note that the under is 16-4 in Pistons' last 20 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game, and in this one, they'll face a Phoenix Suns team that owns the no. 1 scoring defense in the NBA, holding opponents to 102.4 ppg. Last time out, Phoenix knocked down 21-of-40 three-point attempts in a 123-115 win over Toronto, far above its season average, and the Suns are still 6-2 to the under on the season and average only 98.7 possessions per game, dead last in the NBA.  10* play on UNDER. |
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01-07-21 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 223 | 124-117 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 15 m | Show | |
MAVS @ NUGGETS 8* NBA ATS BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL The Dallas Mavericks have won two of their last three games, but this looks like a potential flat spot after defeating in-state rival Houston Rockets on the road last time out. The Denver Nuggets are coming off a two-game sweep of Minnesota, but they failed to cover the spread in the last game. The Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss, and for this one, Michael Porter Jr. will be back in action after missing the last three games due to a seven-day Covid-19 quarantine. Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up win of more than 10 points. Mavericks are 8-22-2 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight-up win. Mavericks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games. In addition to Denver winning and covering the spread, I also like the under. The Nuggets defenes has not been great, but this looks like a good spot to get back on track against a Dallas team that has averaged only 103 ppg through its last four games. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-06-21 | Bulls v. Kings OVER 229.5 | 124-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
 *LATE BAILOUT PLAY* BULLS @ KINGS 8* NBA TOTAL - 10:05 PM ET TIPOFF The Chicago Bulls will be playing on no rest after defeating the Blazers 111-108 at Portland on Tuesday. While I do think the Kings win this game, I'm not so sure they'll cover the number and I like the over a lot better. The Kings should be looking forward to playing at home following a three-game trip (all losses), and they could be due for a breakout game after shooting only 38% from the field and 29% from three-point range in a 137-106 loss at Golden State last time out. In their last home game, the Kings put 125 points on the board against Denver and the Bulls have scored a lot of points through their last five games (four wins). 8* play on OVER. |
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01-06-21 | Pistons v. Bucks UNDER 226.5 | 115-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
PISTONS @ BUCKS 8* NBA BOOKIE BOMBER TOTAL The Detroit Pistons are 4-3 to the over on the season while the Milwaukee Bucks are 5-2 to the over. This is a very big number for a game involving the Pistons, and I think we'll see this one sneak under the total. Sure, the Bucks are averaging a league-best 124.6 ppg and the first game of this two-game series saw a total of 140 points scored, but the Bucks shot 58% from the field (and 41% from the perimeter) while Detroit made 17-of-40 (42%) three-point attempts, far over their season average, both for attempts and shots made.  Expect this one to be played at a slower pace and the shooting to cool off. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-05-21 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | Top | 116-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* WOLVES @ NUGGETS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Denver Nuggets are 5-1 to the over on the season. I think this total looks high though considering the Wolves offensive struggles. Sure, the first game of this two-game det saw 233 points, but I expect a lower-scoring affair here as the teams are more familiar with each other's offensive schemes. 10* top play on UNDER. |
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12-31-20 | Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 217 | 99-119 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY The Cleveland Cavaliers have opened the season surprisingly well, coming into this contest with a 3-1 record SU and ATS on the season. They defeated Charlotte, Detroit and Philadelphia as underdogs, before losing as a favorite against the Knicks last time out. I think they'll be a handful for the Pacers who are coming off two tough games against the Celtics. Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Pacers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. In addition to Cleveland covering the spread, I also like the under. The Cavs have a top 5 scoring defense on the season while Indiana ranks #9. 8* play on UNDER. |
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12-30-20 | Blazers v. Clippers OVER 225 | 105-128 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show | |
BLAZERS @ CLIPPERS 8* NBA TOTAL The Blazers are shooting the ball well, but they have struggled on the defensive end. I think the Clippers will get easy buckets and Portland's three-point shooting will help to push the final score over the posted total. 8* play on OVER. |
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12-25-20 | Mavs v. Lakers UNDER 227.5 | 115-138 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
MAVS @ LAKERS 8* NBA BOOKIE BOMBER The Los Angeles Lakers fell into a big hole early in a loss to the Clippers on opening night, possibly distracted by the pregame ring ceremony pregame. I think LeBron and A.D will make sure to have the team more focused for this one, particularly on the defensive end where the Lakers can be extremely dominant when they turn it up. Dallas is coming off a low-scoring 106-102 loss at Phoenix. Under is 8-3 in Mavericks last 11 road games. Under is 12-4 in Lakers last 16 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 8* play on UNDER. |
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12-22-20 | Warriors v. Nets UNDER 231.5 | 99-125 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
WARRIORS @ NETS 8* NBA OPENING NIGHT TOTAL The 2020/21 NBA season tips-off with the Golden State Warriors @ Brooklyn Nets matchup at 7:00 PM ET Tuesday. Sure, the Warriors’ best defensive player, Draymond Green, is out, but I still think this game goes under the total as the shooting is likely to be off as players shake off the rust from the offseason. Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games as a road underdog. Under is 8-3 in Nets last 11 games as a favorite. 8* play on UNDER. |
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09-19-20 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 206.5 | 117-106 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
CELTICS VS HEAT ECF GAME 3 BOOKIE BREAKER The Boston Celtics are 9-2 to the under in their last 11 games, both games that went over the total doing so because of overtime. The Miami Heat are 7-4 to the under in the playoffs. The Celtics have managed to fall behind 2-0 in the Eastern Conference finals after late collapses in both games. I think they'll make it a point to stay consistent on defense through the whole game in this one. 8* play on UNDER. |
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09-18-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 211.5 | Top | 114-126 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) - NUGGETS VS LAKERS WCF GAME 1 TOP PLAY The Denver Nuggets held the Clippers to 96, 105, 98 and 89 points through the last four games of their Western Conference semi-finals series. The LA Lakers also stepped up defensively in their series with Houston, holding the Rockets to 102, 100 and 96 points through the last three games. Denver ranked second to last for pace during the regular season and will surely be looking to slow down the tempo in this one. Under is 6-0-2 in Nuggets last 8 overall. Under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-09-20 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 210 | Top | 125-122 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NBA) - RAPTORS VS CELTICS MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY This might look like a low number at first glance, but note that through the first five games of this series, the most points scored were 107 points. These two division rivals know each other very well, and both have proven themselves more than capable of playing lockdown defense. The over/under is 24-32-2 in the NBA playoffs so far. Celtics won the last game 111-89 and the under is 18-7-1 in Raptors last 26 games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points and 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 10-1 in Celtics last 11 overall. 10* play on UNDER 210. |
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09-06-20 | Rockets v. Lakers UNDER 224 | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
ROCKETS VS LAKERS GAME 2 TOTAL The Houston Rockets limited the Lakers to 97 points on 42% shooting from the field and 11-of-38 (29%) from behind the arc. The Rockets have really stepped it up on the defensive end lately and the Lakers have trouble countering Houston's small ball approach. "The playoffs (are) about making adjustments," Harden said after Game 1. " ... We've got to be even better in Game 2, because the principles and the schemes and all that stuff will ramp up, so guys gotta be even more engaged." I think the Rockets will give the Lakers all they can handle once again here in Game 2 of this Western Conference semi-finals series. In addition to the Rockets to cover the spread, I also like this contest to go under the total. 8* play on UNDER. |
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09-06-20 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 219 | 118-115 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
BUCKS VS. HEAT TOTAL I really thought the Milwaukee Bucks would show their teeth and edge their way back into the series with a win in Game 3. Instead, they once again folded in the fourth quarter, and I just don't see any other outcome than a Miami sweep now. The Milwaukee players and coaches surely must know that history is against them and looked absolutely deflated and helpless after the most recent setback. The Heat on the other hand must feel invincible but also know they have to be cautious to not let anything disturb their momentum.  Heat are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 playoff games as a favorite. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Additionally, I like the under as Giannis Antetokounmpo twisted his right ankle early in Friday's loss and is questionable heading into Sunday's Game 4. The Bucks scored just 100 points last time out, and scoring won't be any easier without their superstar. 8* play on UNDER. |
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09-04-20 | Rockets v. Lakers UNDER 226 | 112-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
ROCKETS VS LAKERS NBA BOOKIE BLA$TER The Houston Rockets clamped down on defense in three games of their Western Conference first-round series against Oklahoma City Thunder, allowing just 80, 104, and 102 points respectively. The Lakers last two games against Portland both saw 250+ points, but the first three went under the total. Under is 7-2 in Rockets last 9 playoff games as an underdog and 10-4 in Rockets last 14 overall. The over/under us 22-25-1 in the playoffs and I can't help but think the total for this contest is inflated. 8* play on UNDER 226. |
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09-03-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers OVER 223 | Top | 97-120 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
NUGGETS VS CLIPPERS GAME 1 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Denver Nuggets defeated the Utah Jazz 80-78 in Game 7 of their first-round series a couple of days ago. That was one of only two contests to go under the total in that series, and I think we'll see a high-scoring affair when they take on the LA Clippers in the opener of round 2. The Clippers showed they can score in their first-round series with Dallas, averaging 126.6 ppg. Four of six games went over the total, and while they were clutch offensively, the Mavs showed the Clips are vulnerable on the defensive end. The Nuggets have the weapons to hurt them in Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic. The last two head-to-head meetings have both seen 230+ points, most recently a 124-111 Clippers win in the Orlando bubble on Aug 12. 10* play on OVER 223. |
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09-02-20 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 216.5 | Top | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
THUNDER VS ROCKETS WEDNESDAY NIGHT NBA BEST BET The Houston Rockets and the Oklahoma City Thunder have combined for 204 points in each of the last two games of the series. The scoring has gone down significantly, which shouldn't come as a surprise as teams tend to step up defensively deep into close series, and it doesn't get any deeper or closer than this Game 7 of this Western Conference first-round playoff series. I expect another low-scoring affair. Under is 5-2 in Rockets last 7 games as a favorite. Under is 48-21-1 in Thunder last 70 games as an underdog. 10* play on UNDER 216.5. |
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08-25-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets OVER 220.5 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
JAZZ VS NUGGETS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The first four games of this series have seen the totals closing in the range of 214-216 points with all but one of those games going over the number. The bookmakers have made a fairly big adjustment for Game 5 Tuesday night, but I still think we'll see another shootout in this one. The Nuggets are in desperation mode heading into the contest 3-1 down in the series. They've struggled defensively and know they need to put up plenty of points to have a chance of winning. Denver has not had an answer on how to stop Utah guard Donovan Mitchell who has had two 50-point games in the series, but the good news is that the Nuggets own PG Jamal Murray came out in Sunday's 129-127 loss, finishing with 50 points. Over is 8-2 in Jazz last 10 overall. Over is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games as a favorite. Over is 8-1 in Nuggets last 9 games as an underdog. 10* play on OVER 220.5. |
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08-23-20 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 217.5 | Top | 150-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) - RAPTORS VS NETS MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Raptors have played lockdown defense since allowing the Nets to shoot 47 percent from the field in a 134-110 Toronto win in Game 1 of this best-of-seven first-round playoff series. The last two games have seen 203 and 209 points respectively, and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair here in Game 4. The Raptors need only one more win to clinch the series, so why not come up with a massive effort today to maximize the rest until the next round? The Nets entered the Orlando bubble banged up, and it's not surprising to see them running out of steam, especially against the Raptors high-intensity defense. Under is 9-3 in Raptors last 12 overall. Under is 9-2 in Raptors last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games. Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. 10* play on UNDER 217.5. |
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08-17-20 | Nets v. Raptors UNDER 222 | Top | 110-134 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
NETS VS RAPTORS NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY We have seen plenty of high-scoring games in the Orlando bubble, but the Toronto Raptors' games have consistently been an exception to the rule. The Raptors had played seven straight unders prior to a 125-121 win over Philadelphia in their last regular-season game, and I expect the final score of this contest to stay under the posted total. The Raptors own the No. 1 scoring defense in the NBA allowing only 106.5 ppg, and scoring won't come easy for a Brooklyn team without several of its key pieces. 10* play on UNDER 222. |
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08-04-20 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 222.5 | 106-112 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
CELTICS VS HEAT NBA HARDWOOD HAMMER The Boston Celtics have already been involved in two shootouts in the NBA Bubble, first when they took a 119-112 loss to Milwaukee and then when defeating Portland 128-114 last time out. I expect to see them involved in another high-scoring contest as they take on the Miami Heat Tuesday night. The Celtics have a lot of scoring depth, and Miami is more than capable of heating up from behind the arc like it did in its 125-115 win over Denver the other night when it shot 45 percent from 3-point land. Over is 8-2 in Celtics last 10 games as a favorite. Over is 10-4 in Heat last 14 overall. 8* play on OVER 222.5. |
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08-04-20 | Suns v. Clippers OVER 230 | Top | 117-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
SUNS VS CLIPPERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY The Phoenix Suns are one of the few teams still undefeated in the NBA bubble following impressive wins over Washington and Dallas. They are still a long-shot to make the playoffs, but they've certainly not given up. The LA Clippers are looking to defend their No. 2 seed in the West with Nuggets, Rockets and Thunder, but I think the motivational advantage goes to Phoenix. All that being said, I have my eyes on the total in this one. Both teams rank inside the top-10 for pace of play and in the top half for offensive efficiency. Additionally, the Clippers have been red hot from behind the arc and Phoenix is also capable of lighting it up from deep. 10* play on OVER 230. |
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08-01-20 | Pelicans v. Clippers OVER 226.5 | 103-126 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show | |
PELICANS VS CLIPPERS SATURDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL Every single game on Friday's NBA card went over the total as shooters look more relaxed and there is no crowd to hype up a strong defensive effort. Whether this is a trend that will continue throughout the regular season remains to be seen, but I expect this matchup between the Pelicans and the Clippers to go over the total. Additionally, with both teams in action for the first time recently, we might see some stiff legs which usually reflects in poor defensive efforts. Note that Over is 9-4 in the Pelicans last 13 games as an underdog and 4-1 in their last five head-to-head meetings with the Clippers. 8* play on OVER. |
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07-30-20 | Clippers v. Lakers UNDER 216.5 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 65 h 10 m | Show |
CLIPPERS @ LAKERS THURSDAY NIGHT NBA BEST BET The NBA players have been training inside the Disney World bubble for a while now, but I still don't think they'll be completely up to speed. We should see poor shooting to start off with as the players shake off the rust, and playing without fans in the stadium to hype up the teams. Additionally, can note that each of the first three head-to-head matchups of the season went under the total (215p, 214p, 217p). I expect this to be another relatively low-scoring affair. Under is 24-9 in Clippers last 33 games as a road underdog. Under is 15-5-1 in Lakers last 21 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 10* play on UNDER 216.5. |
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03-11-20 | Knicks v. Hawks OVER 230 | 136-131 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK - KNICKS @ HAWKS TOTAL The Hawks are 20-12 ATS in all home games on the season and 5-2 SU and ATS as home favorites, including a 140-135 win over the Knicks on Feb 9. They've had a day off since defeating Charlotte in double overtime on Monday while the New York Knicks were in action last night when they took a 122-115 loss at Washington. The Knicks are 2-7 ATS when playing on back-to-back nights this season and 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. I don't think the visitors will stand much of a chance in this one. Additionally, I also like the over as: Over is 6-2 in Knicks last 8 overall. Over is 18-8 in Hawks last 26 overall. Over is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta. 8* play on OVER. |
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03-10-20 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 215.5 | Top | 114-111 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA) - TOP RATED TOTAL *MAJOR WAGER* The Boston Celtics have allowed just 102 points per game over their last two contests, but they still lost both averaging 95 ppg. Bad time to run into an Indiana Pacers team that boasts a top 5 scoring defense while holding opponents to 105.4 ppg home at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. One of the few teams playing better D than the Pacers are the Celtics, limiting opponents to 106.8 ppg overall on the season. The Celtics are 21-13 to the under in games with a total of fewer than 118 points. 10* play on UNDER. |
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03-07-20 | Kings v. Blazers OVER 230 | 123-111 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK - KINGS @ BLAZERS The Sacramento Kings have split their last two games despite giving up 125 and 126 points respectively. Here they'll face a Portland team that took a 127-117 loss at Phoenix last time out and it is 3-1 to the over in its last four games. We saw a total of 243 points scored when these two teams clashed back in December, and I expect another run-and-gun type of game tonight. 8* play on OVER. |
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03-07-20 | 76ers v. Warriors OVER 226.5 | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK - 76ERS @ WARRIORS The Golden State Warriors took a 121-113 loss to Toronto last time out, but it's not all doom-and-gloom in the Warriors camp at the moment. Steph Curry was back in action for the first time since suffering a broken hand on Oct. 30, and he contributed a team-high 23 points in 27 minutes. Here they'll host a Philadelphia team that is without star players Joel Embiid (shoulder) and Ben Simmons (back), but it still managed to defeat Sacramento 125-108 last time out. Each of the Sixers last four games has gone over the total, and I think this will be another relatively high-scoring affair. 8* play on OVER. |
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03-07-20 | Rockets v. Hornets OVER 221.5 | 99-108 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 46 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK - ROCKETS @ HORNETS The Houston Rockets have allowed 120+ points in back-to-back games, both losses to NY Knicks and the LA Clippers. Over is 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, and the 21-41 Charlotte Hornets fit that bill. Charlotte has dropped three in a row but, it put up a decent performance offensively with 49 percent shooting from the field in a 114-112 loss to Denver last time out. It did allow Denver to shoot 51 percent though, and I expect both teams to put up plenty of points in this one. 8* play on OVER. |
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03-05-20 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 226 | 121-113 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY This looks like a good spot to back the Toronto Raptors who will be looking to build on the momentum of a 123-114 win at Phoenix. The triumph put an end to a three-game losing streak for the Raptors, and they need to go on a run to keep the other contenders at bay at the top of the division. As for the Golden State Warriors, while they've won two of their last three, the team they put on the floor those days lacks talent. Big letdown spot for the Warriors in this one following a 16-point win over Denver, and we can note that Golden State is just 4-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog and 11-19 ATS in all home games this season. Additionally, note that over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings. 8* play on OVER. |
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03-04-20 | Grizzlies v. Nets OVER 224.5 | 118-79 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The energy levels in the Brooklyn Nets camp can't be all the high following a 129-120 OT win at Boston last night. I think the Memphis Grizzlies will make sure to drive up the tempo, forcing the Nets to run up and down the floor with them. Both teams rank in the top 10 for tempo (possessions per game) so playing slow is not the preference of either team anyhow. Over is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 4-1 in Nets last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 8* play on OVER. |
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03-04-20 | Jazz v. Knicks UNDER 220 | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK Both the Utah Jazz and the New York Knicks are playing at a tempo that ranks in the bottom third of the league. Additionally, while the Knicks are coming off back-to-back 125 point games, note that they're 28th on the season at just 105.4 ppg on average. Utah has been involved in several high-scoring affairs of late, most recently a 126-113 triumph at Cleveland, but I think this contest will stay under the posted total. 8* play on UNDER. |
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03-04-20 | Pacers v. Bucks OVER 222 | 100-119 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Milwaukee Bucks have been held to fewer than 94 points in back-to-back games, but I think they'll break out of the scoring funk in this matchup with Indiana. The over is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 games as an underdog and 15-6 in their last 21 games playing on 1 days rest, which they will be at here following a 116-11 triumph at San Antonio Monday night. 8* play on OVER. |
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03-03-20 | Wizards v. Kings OVER 232.5 | 126-133 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT WIZARDS @ KINGS TOTAL The Washington Wizards are 14-2 to the over in road games where the total is greater than or equal to 230 points this season. This is the final stop of a three-game road trip, with the first two games both going over the total (129-119 loss at Utah, 124-110 win at Golden State). The Sacramento Kings are coming off a low-scoring 106-100 win over Detroit, but note that over still is 7-3 in Kings last 10 home games. 8* play on OVER. |
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03-03-20 | Warriors v. Nuggets UNDER 216.5 | 116-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
WARRIORS @ NUGGETS TOTAL The depleted Golden State Warriors have struggled with their points production all season, and that has certainly also been the case during their current 1-9 stretch. They're 7-3 to the under in those games and here they'll run into an elite Denver team that sure knows how to play defense and will be looking for a more complete performance after giving up 118 to Toronto last time out. While the Nuggets have been involved in mostly high-scoring games lately, I expect this one to stay under the posted total. 8* play on UNDER. |
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03-02-20 | Jazz v. Cavs UNDER 219 | Top | 126-113 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
TOP RATED NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY *MAJOR WAGER* The Utah Jazz have struggled on the defensive end lately and they were forced to put up a ton of points in order to snap a four-game skid with a 129-119 win over Washington last time out. Facing the Cleveland Cavaliers could be just what the doctor ordered to get back on track, considering the Cavs average just 106.5 ppg (26th) and have been held to 104 points in back-to-back losses. Both teams rank in the bottom-third for pace (the number of possessions a team uses per game) and while this will be the first meeting of the season, note that the under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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03-01-20 | Pistons v. Kings UNDER 217 | Top | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
PISTONS @ KINGS NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The Detroit Pistons have struggled to put points on the board lately and they had averaged just 98.4 ppg through a seven-game slide prior to a 113-11 win at Phoenix last time out. As for the Sacramento Kings, they defeated Memphis 104-101 last time out and they've held three of their last five opponents to 103 points or fewer. Under is 8-3 in Kings last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings. Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings in Sacramento. 10* play on UNDER. |
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02-28-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 218.5 | Top | 103-132 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): TOP RATED NUGGETS @ CLIPPERS TOTAL The Denver Nuggets and the LA Clippers are involved in a battle for the second seed in the Western Conference and I expect a playoff-like and low-scoring affair when they clash at Staples Center Friday night. Additionally, both teams are more than capable of playing lockdown defense. The Clippers have allowed an average of just 94.5 ppg over their last two games while Denver held Detroit to 98 points last time out. Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games as a home favorite and 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 games as a road underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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02-27-20 | Blazers v. Pacers UNDER 219 | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
BLAZERS @ PACERS THURSDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Portland Trail Blazers are struggling without injured All-Star point guard Damian Lillard (groin). They've dropped four of their last five games, and here they'll face an elite defensive team in the Indiana Pacers that held Charlotte to 80 points last time out. Indiana is 4-1 to the under in its last five overall and 2-0 to the under after allowing 85 points or fewer on the season. 8* play on UNDER. |
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02-24-20 | Magic v. Nets UNDER 212.5 | Top | 115-113 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 16 m | Show |
MONDAY NIGHT MAGIC @ NETS TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The Orlando Magic are 29-24-1 to the under overall this season, no surprise considering their top-ranked scoring defense in combination with one of the worst scoring averages in the league. Additionally, they play at a very slow tempo (only 100.1 possessions/game) and I think they'll be allowed to dictate a slow pace for this contest. Note that the under is 22-7-2 in Magic's last 31 vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 11-5 in their last 16 games playing on two days rest. The Nets are coming off a 115-86 triumph at Charlotte; under is 7-2 in their last nine games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and 7-1 to the under in their last eight overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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02-23-20 | Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 219.5 | Top | 81-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED SUNDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Indiana Pacers won 106-98 at New York in their first game back from the All-Star break while the Toronto Raptors defeated Phoenix 118-101. Two relatively low-scoring affairs, and I think the same will hold true for this one. The Raptors own the fourth-best scoring defense in the league allowing just 106.5 ppg, and Indiana is also in the top 10 holding opponents to 107.4 ppg. Under is 30-12-1 in Pacers last 43 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 10* play on UNDER. |
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02-12-20 | Wizards v. Knicks OVER 228.5 | Top | 114-96 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED MIDWEEK TOTAL The Washington Wizards are one of the worst teams in the NBA on the defensive end, giving up 120.3 points per game on average. Last night they defeated Chicago 126-114, and I predict another high-scoring affair when they visit the NY Knicks Wednesday night. The Knicks have one of the worst offenses in the league, but even they should be able to put up points against a drained Wizards team that has seen 47 of its last 68 games when playing on no rest go over the total. You never have to worry about Washington putting points on the board (5th in the NBA) and note that the over is 17-5-1 in the Wizards last 23 games as a road underdog and 3-1 in Knicks games with a total of 227 points or higher on the season. 10* play on OVER. |
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02-11-20 | Bulls v. Wizards OVER 229.5 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
BULLS @ WIZARDS NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The Chicago Bulls are 7-0 to the over in their last seven games and the total for this matchup with the Washington Wizards look a bit light to me. The Wizards have one of the absolute worst defenses in the league, but they're top 5 for points scored with 115.5 ppg. Last time out they took a 106-99 loss to Memphis but they're still 7-2 to the over in their last nine games. Chicago has allowed an average of 124.6 ppg through a five-game skid so I'm not concerned about the Wizards bouncing back putting points on the board, and even though the Bulls are among the lowest-scoring teams in the league I think they'll get plenty of open looks in this one. The Wizards are 17-9 to the over when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. 10* play on OVER. |
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02-10-20 | Kings v. Bucks OVER 227 | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
KINGS @ BUCKS MONDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Sacramento Kings are coming off a 122-102 win over San Antonio. The over/under is 16-8 in Kings' games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 on the season and 11-3 in their last 14 overall. Here they'll face a Milwaukee side that is averaging more points per game than any other team in the league and the over is 16-5 in the Bucks' last 21 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee. 8* play on OVER. |
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02-09-20 | Jazz v. Rockets OVER 232 | 114-113 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
JAZZ @ ROCKETS SUNDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Houston Rockets had averaged 122.8 ppg through a four-game winning streak before coming out flat in a 127-91 loss at Phoenix last time out. Here they'll face a Utah Jazz team that just snapped a four-game skid with a 117-114 triumph over Portland and will be looking to keep the momentum going. Over is 7-1 in Jazz last 8 road games and 18-6 in their last 24 Sunday games. Over is 15-6 in Jazz games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 points and 2-0 when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 8* play on OVER. |
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02-08-20 | Spurs v. Kings OVER 224.5 | Top | 102-122 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT SPURS @ KINGS TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The San Antonio Spurs are coming off three straight defeats, and they've allowed 125+ points in each of the last two. The bookmakers expect the Spurs to end the skid as a small favorite at Sacramento Saturday night, and we can note that the Over is 7-3 in Spurs last 10 games as a favorite and 6-1 in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. As for the Kings, they're 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games as an underdog and 10-2 to the over in their last 12 overall. Over is 12-6-1 in Kings' games with a total closing at 223 points or more this season while the Spurs are 16-8 to the over in such games. 10* play on OVER. |
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02-07-20 | Blazers v. Jazz OVER 226.5 | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
BLAZERS @ JAZZ LATE NIGHT TOTAL The Portland Trail Blazers have played four straight overs following a 125-117 win over San Antonio Thursday night. Facing a defensively challenged Portland side with heavy legs just might be what Utah needs to break out of its five-game slump. Last time out, the Jazz were held to 95 points by Denver, but note that over is 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 6-1 in Trail Blazers last seven games as an underdog. 8* play on OVER. |
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02-07-20 | Raptors v. Pacers OVER 218.5 | Top | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
TOP RATED TGIF NBA PLAY OF THE DAY Both the Indiana Pacers and the Toronto Raptors are very accomplished on the defensive end, but note that they're both 27-23-1 to the over on the season. The Raptors defeated Indiana 119-118 in Toronto just a couple of days ago (total closed at 216) to push their winning streak to 12 games, and I expect this to fly over as well. Over is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 road games. Over is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 home games and 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog. 10* play on OVER. |
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02-06-20 | Pelicans v. Bulls OVER 231 | Top | 125-119 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
PELICANS @ BULLS THURSDAY NIGHT TOTAL *TOP PLAY* While the Chicago Bulls are on the lower end for offensive efficiency, I think they should be able to put up a fair amount of points against a New Orleans Pelicans side that is allowing 117.2 ppg on the season and took a 120-108 loss to Milwaukee last time out. The Pels are 14-5 to the over in their last 19 overall and 7-2 to the over in their last nine games as a favorite. As for the Bulls, they've allowed an average of 131 points through their last two games and each of their last five has gone over the total. 10* play on OVER. |
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02-05-20 | Grizzlies v. Mavs OVER 228.5 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
GRIZZLIES @ MAVS NBA TOP RATED TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 96-82 win over Detroit. I think buckets will come a lot easier for both sides when they take on the Memphis Grizzlies Wednesday night. Memphis is 6-2 to the over through its last eight on the road and the over is 6-1-1 in its last eight vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Additionally, the Grizzlies are 12-7 to the over in games with a total of 225 points or higher while the Mavs are 11-6 to the over in such games. 10* play on OVER. |
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02-04-20 | Spurs v. Lakers OVER 228.5 | 102-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT SPURS @ LAKERS $20 TUESDAY SPECIAL The San Antonio Spurs let us down on Monday as we lost with the under in their 108-105 loss at LA Clippers. The over is 18-6 in Spurs last 24 games playing on no rest, and that's a trend I expect to continue here at the Clippers cross-town rival Tuesday night. The LA Lakers are coming off a 129-113 triumph over Sacramento and they're 9-2 to the over through their last 11 games. Additionally, the over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Los Angeles. 8* play on OVER. |
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02-03-20 | Spurs v. Clippers OVER 227.5 | 105-108 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT SPURS @ CLIPPERS BOOKIE BREAKER The San Antonio Spurs managed just 90 points in a home loss to Charlotte last time out but they average 110.0 points per 100 possessions (5th) on the season. They're however almost as poor on the defensive end as they're prolific when on the ball. Here they'll visit an LA Clippers team that averages a healthy 115.4 ppg and just put a 118-106 beating on Minnesota and I predict a high-scoring affair. Over is 6-2 in Spurs last 8 games as a road underdog, 7-2-1 in Clippers last 10 games as a home favorite and 7-0-1 in their last 8 games following a straight-up win of more than 10 points. Additionally, the over is 20-8-2 in Clippers last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 8* play on OVER. |
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02-02-20 | Nuggets v. Pistons UNDER 216 | 123-128 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY NUGGETS @ PISTONS TOTAL The Detroit Pistons are 31-19 to the over on the season, but I think they'll be involved in a relatively low-scoring contest when hosting the Denver Nuggets Sunday afternoon. Denver owns a top-five scoring defense in the league, and while it picked up a 127-115 victory at the NBA-best Milwaukee Bucks on Friday, note that under is 9-3 in Nuggets last 12 after allowing 100 points or more in its previous game. Additionally, note that under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. 8* play on UNDER. |
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02-01-20 | Knicks v. Pacers UNDER 212.5 | 92-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
SATURDAY NIGHT KNICKS @ PACERS NO BRAINER The New York Knicks rank near the bottom of the league for most offensive categories. Points won't come easy for the Knickerbockers in this one, facing an Indiana team that ranks top 10 for points allowed and that limited the Bulls to 106 points last time out, despite going to overtime. Both teams have pace factors that rank in the bottom-third of the league and three of the last four head-to-head meetings have gone under the total, including a 104-103 Indiana win in New York on Dec 7. Under is 6-2 in Knicks last 8 overall. Under is 13-5 in Pacers last 18 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 8* play on UNDER. |
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02-01-20 | Wolves v. Clippers OVER 229.5 | Top | 106-118 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
WOLVES @ CLIPPERS TOTA *MATINEE MASSACRE* The over is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings at Staples Center and the posted total for today's matinee matchup looks a little light. Minnesota has been abysmal on the defensive end all season long and it has surrendered 130+ points in two of its last three games. The Clippers have the fifth-best points per game average in the league and should be well up for this contest after taking a 103-124 loss to Sacramento last time out. Over is 7-1-1 in Clippers last 9 games as a home favorite. Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 games as a road underdog. 8* play on OVER. |
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01-31-20 | Raptors v. Pistons OVER 222.5 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): TOP RATED TOTAL *MAJOR WAGER ALERT* The Toronto Raptors will be playing on no rest following a 115-109 win at Cleveland on Thursday. We were on the wrong side of the total backing the under in that game, and I expect to see this contest fly over the total as well. The Raptors are now 7-1 to the over in their last eight on the road, and while they're one of the best defensive teams in the league, heavy legs could become an issue in this one. As for the Detroit Pistons, they're 8-1 to the over in their last nine overall and 7-0 to the over in their last seven home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-30-20 | Raptors v. Cavs UNDER 220.5 | 115-109 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
RAPTORS @ CAVS NBA TOTAL While the Toronto Raptors are more than capable of putting up a ton of points, I don't see them going crazy here with a matchup with the Pistons at Detroit on deck tomorrow. The Raptors have the fifth-best scoring defense, and here they'll take on a Cleveland team that has one of the worst points per game averages in the league. Toronto is good at shutting down poor teams as proven by the fact that it is 22-8-1 to the under in its last 31 vs. a team with a losing straight up record while the Cavs are 6-2 to the under in their last eight home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-28-20 | Knicks v. Hornets UNDER 210 | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
$20 TUESDAY SPECIAL NBA TOTAL The Charlotte Hornets and the New York Knicks are both among the worst offensive teams in the NBA. Additionally, no team in the NBA has a lower pace factor than the Hornets who average just 98.9 possessions per game and I think they'll be particularly interested to keep the tempo down in this one, just coming back home from a trip across the pond after battling Milwaukee in Paris, France, Friday night. Over their last three games, the Hornets have averaged 90.6 ppg and they're 5-1 to the under through their last six games. As for the Knicks, they're 27-20 to the under on the season and the under is 11-5 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-27-20 | Mavs v. Thunder OVER 225 | 107-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY The Dallas Mavericks have one of the best road records in the league at 15-6, and I like their chances to win and cover the small number when visiting Oklahoma City Monday night. The Thunder have admittedly played pretty well of late, coming off five straight wins with underdog wins against Houston, Orlando, and Minnesota during that stretch. This is a tough spot though as they'll be playing their third game in four nights and note that the Mavs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite and 6-2 ATS in the last eight head-to-head meetings with OKC. Additionally, I also like this contest to go over the total. Over is 7-2 in Thunder last 9 overall. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City. 8* play on OVER. |
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01-26-20 | Raptors v. Spurs OVER 223 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
RAPTORS @ SPURS NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The Toronto Raptors recorded a 118-112 win at Madison Square Garden on Friday and they're 5-1 to the over through their last six games. Here they'll face a San Antonio team that is 27-17 to the over on the season and 8-2 to the over through its last 10 games following a straight up loss, which the Spurs are after taking a 103-99 loss to Phoenix Friday night. Toronto owns the third-best three-point shooting percentage in the league while San Antonio ranks seventh. I think we can count on a high-scoring contest at AT&T Center on Sunday. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-25-20 | Mavs v. Jazz OVER 226 | Top | 107-112 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED MAVS @ JAZZ TOTAL The Utah Jazz are one of the best defensive teams in the league, but note that the over is 5-1 in their last six games overall and 4-1 in their last five after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Last time out, Utah put a 129-96 beating on Golden State and I predict a high-scoring affair when they host the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. The Mavs have scored 120+ points in four of their last five games and won 133-125 at Portland on Thursday. They have the third-best scoring average in the league and are 27-17 to the over on the season. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-24-20 | Suns v. Spurs OVER 229 | Top | 103-99 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
LATE SUNS @ SPURS TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The San Antonio Spurs are 27-16 to the over on the season and both of their last two games have seen a total of 238 points scored. Here they'll host a Phoenix Suns team that took an 112-87 loss to Indiana last time out, but it had been involved in a couple of high-scoring contests prior to that. Over is 6-2 in the Suns last 8 games as an underdog and 18-6 in Spurs last 24 games as a favorite. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-23-20 | Wizards v. Cavs OVER 231.5 | Top | 124-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
THURSDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* Two of the worst teams in the league will battle it out at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland Thursday night, but I think they'll entertain the crowd with a high-paced high-scoring contest. The Washington Wizards rank dead last for points allowed with 120.1 ppg, but they're also top five for points scored. They should be particularly poor on defense here, playing on no rest after taking a 134-129 OT loss at Miami last night. As for the Cleveland Cavaliers, they're 8-3 to the over in their last 11 overall and 9-4 to the over in their last 13 as a home favorite while the over is 8-2 in the Wizards last 10 games as a road underdog. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-22-20 | Wolves v. Bulls UNDER 219.5 | 110-117 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
MIDWEEK MADNESS 3-PACK OF NBA WINNERS The Chicago Bulls have one of the worst offensive efficiency ratings in the league at just 102.6 points per 100 possessions. They're 5-1 to the under in their last six overall and 6-2 to the under in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, which they are after taking a 111-98 loss at Milwaukee on Monday. As for the Minnesota Timberwolves, they've struggled to score points during a six-game slide and the under is 9-4 in the Wolves last 13 games following a straight up loss. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-22-20 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 218.5 | 95-107 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
MIDWEEK MADNESS 3-PACK OF NBA WINNERS The Toronto Raptors are coming off four straight overs, but I expect to see a relatively low-scoring contest when they host the Philadelphia 76ers Wednesday night. The Raptors are 7-2-1 to the under in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and the 29-16 Sixers fit that bill. Additionally, we can note that Philly is 5-1 to the under in its last six games on the road and that both teams have a top 5 defensive efficiency rating for the season. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-22-20 | Thunder v. Magic UNDER 209 | 120-114 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
MIDWEEK MADNESS 3-PACK OF NBA WINNERS The Orlando Magic have one of the lowest pace factors in the league and they're 11-3-1 to the under in their last 15 overall. Here they'll host an OKC Thunder team that is 37-14-1 to the under in its last 52 games as an underdog and held the Rockets to 107 points in a win at Houston last time out. Orlando is holding opponents to a league-best 103.9 ppg, but it ranks near the bottom of the NBA for points scored. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-20-20 | Magic v. Hornets UNDER 207.5 | 106-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
MAGIC @ HORNETS MONDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Orlando Magic and the Charlotte Hornets are both among the lowest-scoring teams in the league and I have no doubt that this one will go under the total. Orlando has scored 95 points in back-to-back games while Charlotte was held to 86 in 1 loss at Denver last time out. Additionally, note that Orlando owns the best scoring defense in the NBA. Under is 10-3-1 in Magic last 14 overall. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-18-20 | Magic v. Warriors UNDER 212 | Top | 95-109 | Win | 100 | 24 h 47 m | Show |
MAGIC @ WARRIORS SUNDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* Only three teams in the NBA have a lower pace factor than the Orlando Magic who average only 100.5 possessions per game while the Golden State Warriors are second to last for offensive efficiency. Last time out, Orlando was held to 95 points on 39 percent shooting from the field in a loss at LA Clippers while Golden State has been held to 104 points or fewer in seven of its last eight games, the lone exception a 134-131 OT loss to Denver on Thursday. Under is 9-3 in Magic last 12 games as a road favorite. Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games as an underdog and 9-2 in their last 11 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-17-20 | Blazers v. Mavs OVER 228.5 | 112-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Dallas Mavericks have the best offensive efficiency score in the league at 114.4 points per 100 possessions and they're coming off a 127-123 win at Sacramento. Over is 7-2 in Mavericks last 9 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and they'll face a Portland team that scored 117 points in a win at Houston last time out. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings and 14-6 in Mavericks last 20 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, which Portland is at 9-14 away from home. 8* play on OVER. |
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01-17-20 | Wolves v. Pacers UNDER 216.5 | 114-116 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Indiana Pacers are one of the slowest teams in the league at just 100.7 possessions per game. Here they'll take on a Minnesota team that ranks near the bottom of the league for shooting from the field and from three-point range. The teams combined for 203 points in a 104-99 Indiana win at Minnesota a couple of days ago, and I expect this to be another low-scoring affair. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-17-20 | Wizards v. Raptors OVER 228.5 | Top | 111-140 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show |
WIZARDS @ RAPTORS FRIDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The Toronto Raptors are coming off a 130-21 win at OKC. The over is 20-7 in their last 27 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and I think they'll be involved in another high-scoring contest when they host the Washington Wizards Friday night. The Wizards are 22-17-1 to the over on the season and 6-2 to the over in their last eight games as a road underdog. They love to push the tempo and Toronto should be confident enough in its scoring ability to not mind a shootout. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-15-20 | Raptors v. Thunder UNDER 213.5 | 130-121 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
RAPTORS @ THUNDER WEDNESDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Toronto Raptors boast one of the best defensive efficiency ratings in the NBA and they are 6-2 to the under through their last eight games. They are very effective defending the perimeter, which will spell big trouble for the OKC Thunder who struggle to shoot the three-ball as it is. We can also note that both neither team likes to push the pace, with OKC particularly slow at just 100.5 possessions per game which ranks 24th in the league. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-14-20 | Knicks v. Bucks OVER 225.5 | Top | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
TUESDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The New York Knicks have been involved in several high-scoring affairs lately. They've surrendered an average of 124.8 points over their last five games and five of their last six have gone over the total. The Milwaukee Bucks have scored 122+ points in back-to-back games and they average a solid 119.2 ppg on the season. I don't see how the Knicks will be able to slow down arguably the best team in the league, and I think the final scoreline for this contest will fly over the total with ease. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-13-20 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 215.5 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
BULLS @ CELTICS MONDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Boston Celtiocs snapped a three-game losing streak with a dominant 140-105 rout of New New Orleans on Saturday. The under is 4-1 in the Celtics last five after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 5-2 in their last seven games as a favorite, which they clearly will close as when hosting the Chicago Bulls Monday night. Chicago ranks near the bottom of the league for offensive efficiency, but the team has done a fairly good job on the defensive end, ranking just outside top 10 for defensive efficiency. The Celtics enter the week top five in the latter category, and I think this will be a relatively low-scoring game. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-12-20 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 223 | Top | 102-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
WARRIORS @ GRIZZLIES TOP PLAY The Golden State Warriors have dropped seven straight games and they've been held to 100 points or fewer in five of their last four. A date with Memphis could be just what they need to get on track offensively with the Grizzlies allowing 116.4 ppg (27th) on the season. The Grizzlies have been red hot on the offensive end in recent games, averaging 125.7 ppg through their last seven games. Over is 10-1 in Grizzlies last 11 home games and 6-1 in their last 7 overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-11-20 | 76ers v. Mavs OVER 223 | Top | 91-109 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 0 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED NBA TOTAL The Dallas Mavericks took a 129-114 loss at LA Lakers Friday night. Heavy legs won't do them any favors on the defensive end here, and I think this will be another high-scoring contest for the Mavs who are 23-14 to the over on the season. As for the Philadelphia 76ers, they limited the Celtics to 98 points in a triumph last time out, but note that the over is 4-0 in the Sixers' last four trips to Dallas. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-10-20 | Magic v. Suns UNDER 217 | 94-98 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Orlando Magic own the best scoring defense in the NBA, allowing just 103.4 ppg. They're one of the worst teams on the offensive end though and the Magic are 4-0 to the under through their last four games. As for the Phoenix Suns, they were held to 103 points in a loss to Sacramento last time out. Orlando has one of the slowest pace factors in the NBA, and I don't think they'll slow down the tempo in this one. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-10-20 | Hornets v. Jazz UNDER 213 | 92-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Charlotte Hornets have the lowest pace factor in the NBA with 99.2 possessions per game. The Utah Jazz are not likely to drive up the tempo, and scoring on the Jazz with their feisty defense is never easy. The Jazz held the Knicks to 104 points last time out and they're 7-2 to the under in their last nine against a team with a losing straight up record. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-10-20 | Spurs v. Grizzlies OVER 231.5 | Top | 121-134 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
FRIDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* Only three teams in the NBA have a higher pace factor (105.5 possessions per game) than the Memphis Grizzlies. They've averaged 126.7 ppg through a three-game winning streak and here the Grizzlies will host a San Antonio team that ranks in the bottom third for defensive efficiency with 109.5 points allowed per 100 possessions. The Spurs are still in the middle of the pack in the conference due to their success on the offensive end, ranking sixth in the league for points scored and third-best in field goal percentage. Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 overall. Over is 8-0 in Grizzlies last 8 home games. Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings at FedexForum. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-09-20 | Blazers v. Wolves UNDER 224.5 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY The Portland Trail Blazers look like solid road favorite at Minnesota Thursday night. They're a perfect 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS) as a road favorite of three points or fewer on the season and they'll be looking to close out a five-game road trip with a win after splitting the first four games. As for the Timberwolves, they took a 119-112 loss at Memphis last time out and they miss All-Star center Karl-Anthony Towns who has been out for 11 straight games due to a knee injury. In addition to the Blazers winning, I also like the under. Note that the Blazers are 6-0 to the under in their last 6 as a road favorite and the under is 8-3 in the Timberwolves last 11 overall. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-08-20 | Knicks v. Jazz UNDER 218.5 | 104-128 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The New York Knicks average of 104.2 ppg is one of the absolute worst marks in the NBA, and points will be particularly hard to come by in this one against a Utah defense that is among the best in the league. Additionally, we can note that the under is 11-2 in Knicks last 13 games playing on no rest (they took a 117-87 loss to the Lakers in LA last night) and 21-10-1 in their last 32 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-08-20 | Heat v. Pacers UNDER 209.5 | 122-108 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
WEDNESDAY NIGHT NBA 3-PACK Both the Miami Heat and the Indiana Pacers rank in the top 10 for points allowed per game on the season. Additionally, we can note that Miami will be playing on two days rest (Under is 9-3 in its last 12 games playing on two days rest) while the under is 25-11 in Pacers last 36 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-08-20 | Raptors v. Hornets UNDER 208.5 | 112-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Charlotte Hornets have the lowest pace factor in the NBA with just 100.9 possessions per game. They took a 115-104 loss to Indiana on Monday and the under is 7-2 in the Hornets last 9 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. As for the Toronto Raptors, they fell 101-99 to Portland on Tuesday. Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games playing on no rest and 10-2-1 in their last 13 games as a road favorite. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-06-20 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 229 | 104-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT BUCKS @ SPURS BOOKIE BLASTER The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging a league-best 119.6 ppg, and here they'll face a San Antonio side that has had major issues to stop teams from scoring all season long. These two teams battled it out in Milwaukee just a couple of days ago, a contest the Bucks won 127-118 and I expect to see another shootout here in the second leg of the home-and-home series. The Spurs are 9-5 and the Bucks 13-8-1 to the over in games with a total of 225 points or higher this season. Over is 15-5-1 in Spurs last 21 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game and 6-2 in their last 8 overall. 8* play on OVER. |
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01-06-20 | Pacers v. Hornets UNDER 209.5 | Top | 115-104 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
MONDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The Indiana Pacers will be looking to get back on track defensively after giving up an average of 120 points in back-to-back losses. They still boast one of the best defensive efficiency ratings in the league, and here they'll face a Charlotte team that has been held to 104 points or fewer in four of its last six games. Under is 14-5-1 in Pacers last 20 vs. a team with a losing straight up record, 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games as a road favorite and 8-3 in Hornets last 11 games as a home underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-05-20 | Grizzlies v. Suns OVER 234 | Top | 121-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
TOP RATED NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Phoenix Suns and the Memphis Grizzlies are both among the worst teams in the league for points allowed. Both teams have been heating up on the offensive side of the hardwood lately as well with Memphis scoring 117+ points in three straight games (won 140-114 at LA Clippers on Saturday) and Phoenix scoring 120+ in two of its last three games. Over is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games playing on no rest and 8-2 in Suns last 10 games as a home favorite. The over/under is 25-11 in all NBA games with a total of more than 233 points this season. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-04-20 | Jazz v. Magic UNDER 206.5 | 109-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
SATURDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL *BOOKIE BLASTER* The Orlando Magic will be playing on no rest following a 105-85 win over Miami on Friday. They held the Heat to six points in the final quarter of that contest and the Magic have held five of their last six opponents to 101 points or fewer. On the season, they rank second in the league for points allowed and you always know that the Utah Jazz will bring it on the defensive end of the hardwood.  Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 games as a road favorite. Under is 7-2-1 in Magic last 10 games as a home underdog. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-03-20 | Blazers v. Wizards OVER 235 | Top | 122-103 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
Top rated nba The bookmakers expect the Portland Trail Blazers and the Washington Wizards to run up and down the court and score at will in this matchup, and it's hard to disagree. While casual bettors might be discouraged by the big number, I'm not. Note that the over is 30-10 in NBA games with a total of 235 points or more this season and I doubt these two teams will disappoint. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-02-20 | Grizzlies v. Kings OVER 222.5 | Top | 123-128 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED GRIZZLIES @ KINGS TOTAL The Memphis Grizzlies have one of the worst defensive efficiency ratings in the league and the Sacramento Kings are also in the bottom half in that category. Additionally, only a handful of teams have a higher pace-factor than Memphis which is 8-2 to the over through its last 10 games. As for the Kings, they've seen the majority of their games going under the total this season, but I think we'll see points come fast and easy in this matchup between two defensively challenged teams. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-02-20 | Nuggets v. Pacers UNDER 209 | 124-116 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
NUGGETS @ PACERS TOTAL The Denver Nuggets and the Indiana Pacers are both among the best defensive teams in the NBA. That's also the reason why the bookmakers are giving us such a low total on this game, but I don't think they can make it low enough. Note that Indiana ranks 23rd for pace while only the Kings have a lower pace factor than Denver. Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 25-10 in Pacers last 35 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-01-20 | Blazers v. Knicks UNDER 223 | Top | 93-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 47 m | Show |
BLAZERS @ KNICKS NEW YEARS DAY *TOP PLAY* The Portland Trail Blazers enter this contest as losers of four straight and they've allowed 120+ points in each of their last three games. This looks like a good spot to get back on track defensively against a Knicks team that is one of the worst in league with its 43 percent shooting from the field. Defensively, the Knicks have been solid over their last couple of games, first holding the Nets to 82 points and the Wizards to 100 points even last time out. Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings and I think this will be another relatively low-scoring affair. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-31-19 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 220 | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
NEW YEARS EVE NBA 3-PACK The San Antonio Spurs are 4-1 to the over through their last five games and they defeated Detroit 136-109 on Dec 28. The Golden State Warriors saw a four-game winning streak come to an end with a 141-121 loss to Dallas on the same night. New Years Eve games are 17-4 to the over over the last three seasons. 8* play on OVER. |
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12-31-19 | Clippers v. Kings OVER 222.5 | 105-87 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
NEW YEARS EVE NBA 3-PACK The Los Angeles Clippers have seen four of their last five games go over the total following a 120-107 loss to Utah last time out. Over is 8-3 in Clippers last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite. As for the Sacramento Kings, they're 4-1 to the over in their last five as underdogs and they gave up 120 points in a loss at Denver last time out. New Years Eve games are 17-4 to the over over the last three seasons. 8* play on OVER. |
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12-31-19 | Celtics v. Hornets OVER 208.5 | 109-92 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
NEW YEARS EVE NBA 3-PACK The Boston Celtics took a 113-97 loss to Toronto last time out. They had played three straight overs prior to that and they're 20-8 to the over through their last 28 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Over is 5-1 in Hornets last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and New Years Eve games are 17-4 to the over over the last three seasons. 8* play on OVER. |
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12-30-19 | Suns v. Blazers OVER 231 | Top | 122-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
SUNS @ BLAZERS LATE NIGHT NBA *TOP PLAY* Both teams rank in the top 10 for points scored per game and bottom 10 for points allowed. Last time out Portland took a 128-120 loss to the Lakers and Phoenix has seen four of its last five overall go over the total. Over is 17-6-1 in Trail Blazers last 24 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 23-11-1 in their last 35 games as a home favorite and 4-0 in Suns last 4 games as an underdog. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Portland. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-29-19 | Thunder v. Raptors UNDER 212 | Top | 98-97 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show |
THUNDER @ RAPTORS *TOP PLAY* The Toronto Raptors have one of the best defensive efficiency ratings in the league, and they showed why in a 113-97 win at Boston last night. Playing on no rest, a low tempo game will be in the interest of the Raptors and I think the OKC Thunder will oblige as they average just100.9 possessions per game (25th in the league) anyhow. OKC is coming off a 104-102 win at Charlotte, a low-scoring game despite going to OT.  Under is 36-15-1 in Thunder's last 52 games as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 games as a favorite. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-27-19 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 217 | 117-129 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
EARLY CAVS @ CELTICS NBA NO BRAINER - 4 PM ET START The Cleveland Cavaliers have one of the worst offensive efficiency ratings in the NBA, and here they'll run into a Boston team that is boasting one of the best defenses in the league. Over their last four games, the Celtics have allowed 103, 93, 93 and 102 points and it defeated Cleveland 110-88 on Dec. 3 in the last matchup in this series. 8* play on UNDER. |
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12-26-19 | Knicks v. Nets UNDER 222.5 | 94-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
KNICKS @ NETS - BATTLE OF NEW YORK The Brooklyn Nets are coming off a 122-112 victory over the Atlanta Hawks, but I think we'll see a lower scoring contest when they host their in-city rival New York Knicks on Thursday. The Knicks offense is one of the worst in the league, and Brooklyn ranks 5th in the NBA holding opponents to 43.3 percent shooting from the field. Each of the last seven meetings in this series has gone under the total.  8* play on UNDER. |
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12-25-19 | Pelicans v. Nuggets UNDER 218.5 | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT PELICANS @ NUGGETS XMAS DAY *TOP PLAY* Last year the 10 NBA games on Christmas Day went 6-2-2 to the under, and I think this late matchup between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Denver Nuggets will follow that trend.. Only three teams own a better defensive efficiency rating than Denver and the same is true for its pace factor. The New Orleans Pelicans have their struggles on the defensive end but note that the under is 7-2 in their last 9 games as an underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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