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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-26-24 | Canucks v. Predators -106 | 2-1 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL PLAY on the Predators. Nashville got the split in Vancouver, winning Game 2 by a score of 4-1. Vancouver is now forced to move forward with backup goaltender Case DeSmith, who I really respect, but who clearly was a big reason why Vancouver fell apart in Game 2. The advantage now goes to Juuse Saros at home and when you also add in this very fair price, all signs do indeed point to the NASHVILLE as being the savvy wager in Game 3. Good luck, NP |
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04-25-24 | Hurricanes -154 v. Islanders | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ROUT on the Hurricanes. With a chance to take a strangle-hold on this series, I think Carolina will do just that here in New York. Carolina's offense was firing on all cylinders in its come back in Game 2, scoring five unanswered goals and I believe that momentum gets carried over here: “Just the momentum of us tying the game, and the energy that it sends — I don't really know how to describe it, you get a whole juice that just hits you," said Carolina forward Jordan Martinook after. New York is down 0-2 and it's also in a big mental hole after that collapse in Game 2. Caorlina won both regular season games here and I expect that trend to continue. Lay the price, the play is CAROLINA. Good luck, NP |
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04-21-24 | Predators +129 v. Canucks | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* BEST OF THE BEST on the Predators. Nashville finished with 269 total goals, while Vancouver had 277. Nashville goaltender Juuse Saros finished with a 2.86 GAA, while Vancouver netminder Thatcher Demko had a 2.45 GAA. The Predators' top line with Filip Forsberg, Ryan O'Reilly, and Gustav Nyquist is dangerous and Saros has the ability to steal a game himself. I say that comes here now in Game 1. The play is NASHVILLE. Good luck, NP |
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04-15-24 | Predators v. Penguins -121 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF GOM on the Penguins. I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on Pittsburgh. The Predators are already locked into their playoff spot, and this is their final game. They'll simply "go through the motions" here. Pittsburgh not only needs to win its final two games of the regular season, but it also needs some outside help. The Pens play with the added incentive of revenge here as well after falling 3-2 at Nashville at the start of the season. I just don't see Nashville putting up a fight at all here. In fact, the exact opposite. It'll just be hoping to sustain no major injuries as it prepares for the Playoffs. No such luxury for the Pens obviously, who have to do whatever it takes to win this game, and the next one. All things considered, a great situational play here on PITTSBURGH. Good luck, NP |
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04-09-24 | Hurricanes v. Bruins +103 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* BK on the Bruins. Boston lost in the first round last year. It'll be out to make sure that doesn't happen this season. And going into the Playoffs on a high note is the best way to do that. The Bruins just beat the Hurricanes in Carolina last week, and I anticipate a similar outcome here as well now that they're back on home ice. Boston hits the road for two straight after this, so expect it to double down and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. The play is the BRUINS. Good luck, NP |
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04-07-24 | Senators v. Capitals -130 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* EASTERN CONFERENCE NON-DIVISION GAME OF MONTH on the Capitals. Despite an untimely five-game losing streak, the Capitals still have an opportunity to earn the eighth spot in the East with four teams within a game of each other or tied. Note that Washington is 6-2 in its last eight after five or more losses in a row. Ottawa can only play spoiler. It failed to do that in yesterday's 4-3 home loss to New Jersey. I say the Sens come in with "heavy legs" and just go through the motions here vs. this desperate home side. All things considered, I believe this to be the very defintion of "great line value." The play is WASHINGTON. Good luck, NP |
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04-01-24 | Kings v. Jets -117 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Jets. LA is on a two-game losing streak, heading in the opposite direction at the wrong time. Winnipeg though has been trending in the wrong direction for a while now, as it comes in off six straight losses. It's now do or die for the Jets in a sense as they look to stop the bleeding. It's been a tough four-game swing for the Kings, who return home to play Seattle, followed by the Sharks. I say they get caught "looking ahead" here. Winnipeg's schedule doesn't get any easier after this. And so at this price and considering all of the above situational/motivation factors now working for Winnipeg, I'm banking on the Jets taking off and delivering the goods at home. Lay the price, the play is indeed on WINNIPEG. Good luck, NP |
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03-27-24 | Bruins v. Lightning -109 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTROYER on the Lightning. At this time of year, playing the second game of the back-to-back is always difficult. Boston is coming off a big come from behind win at Florida just last night, and suffice it to say, I believe the visitors will be "gassed" here on Wednesday. The Lightning are playing their best hockey of the season right now (won 6 of L7), and have had two nights off after a 4-1 road trip. Great price on a hot team, the play is indeed on TAMPA BAY. Good luck, NP |
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03-26-24 | Golden Knights v. Predators -140 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Predators. Obviously two really good teams here. It would not be too difficult to write a convincing argument for Vegas to win here, but this is a great spot wager on Nashville, and the price is right for sure in my opinion. Las Vegas is off the tight 2-1 win at St. Louis just last night and I believe the Knights will be predictably "gassed" here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Nashville has had two nights off and it enters playing its best hockey of the season right now with five straight wins. This is one of the Predators more difficult opponents with only three weeks remaining in the regular season. Vegas still has two tough games to go on this road trip at Winnipeg and Minnesota. I think they take a mental night off here and the motivated Predators will pounce. All things considered, a great price here on NASHVILLE. Good luck, NP |
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03-17-24 | Devils v. Golden Knights -163 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOWOUT on the Vegas Knights. I have no problem laying this larger price, as I think it could/should in fact be a lot larger. New Jersey has gone just 1-2 on this current road trip after its 4-1 loss at Arizona yesterday. With a night off before three straight at home, I believe the visitors get caught "looking ahead."Â Vegas beat Seattle 5-4 in OT, but then lost 4-1 at a desperate Calgary last time out. With two whole nights off to recover, and with revenge on their minds after a 6-5 OT loss at New Jersey in January, here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against. Considering all of the great "situational" factors working in favor of the home side here, as stated above, this line should in fact be larger. The value swings to the undervalued home side. Lay the price, the play is VEGAS. Good luck, NP |
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03-16-24 | Kings v. Stars -160 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 10* BK on the Stars. Just a really great spot for the Stars here today. The Kings are off the 5-0 win at Chicago just last night, and I expect them to come out fatigued here. And with two nights off before another home game vs. Chicago, not only is this a letdown spot, but a "look ahead" for the visitors. No such luxury for the Stars, who are eager to snap a two-game slide. Lay the price with confidence, the play is DALLAS. Good luck, NP |
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03-14-24 | Capitals v. Seattle Kraken -155 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -155 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GOM on Seattle. Washington is off back-to-back losses, including a 7-2 loss just last night in Edmonton. The Capitals still have two tough upcoming games at Vancouver and Calgary. The Kraken have lost two straight as well, including a 5-4 OT loss to Vegas here last time out. They have some tough teams coming to town after this, so I say they make the most of this opportunity and pounce on this tired visiting side early and often. Lay the price with confidence, the play is indeed on the KRAKEN. Good luck, NP |
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03-12-24 | Panthers v. Stars -107 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE BK on the Stars. This is a great spot for Dallas. Florida has won seven of its last eight. It's coming off a 5-1 home wn over Calgary three nights ago, but with a home game vs. Carolina up next after this, not only does this set up as a potential letdown spot, but also a "look ahead." It's a "trap" for the visitors. Dallas though plays with revenge after a 5-4 loss at Florida in December. The Stars enter on top form having won five straight and they haven't played in three nights either. Look for DALLAS to risk life and limb here to avenge the earlier loss and to take advantage of the home ice. Good luck, NP |
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03-07-24 | Sabres v. Predators -156 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BEATDOWN on the Predators. The great situation that the Predators have in this one makes it a price that I have no issues at all in laying. The Sabres are off a heartbreaking 2-1 OT loss at Toronto just last night. The Predators had their eight-game win streak snapped with a 4-3 OT loss to Montreal, but with a day to absorb that setback, there's no reason not to think that the Preds can't easily bounce back here and continue their overall hot surge right now. And that's how I see this one playing out. Lay the price with confidence, the play is NASHVILLE. Good luck, NP |
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03-04-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Flames -121 | 4-2 | Loss | -121 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT on the Flames. This is just a great spot for the Flames. Yes, at some point their current five-game win streak is going to come to an end, but I say that won't happen here tonight. Calgary plays with revenge after a 2-1 loss to the Kraken here earlier in the year, and note that the Flames are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a fav vs. an opponent. Seattle has a tough look-ahead game at Winnipeg tomorrow as well. All things considered, I believe this to be the very defintion of "great line value." The play is CALGARY. Good luck, NP |
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03-02-24 | Penguins v. Flames -125 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 31 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF GOM on the Flames. Plain and simple, this is a fantastic price for a revenge-minded home side that's had three whole days off and that's won four in a row. Pittsburgh just had its three-game win streak snapped with a 2-0 loss at Seattle, and with an even tougher game at Edmonton tomorrow night, I think the visitors get caught looking ahead. Look for CALGARY to figure out a way to come out on top in this one. Good luck, NP |
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02-26-24 | Kings v. Oilers -146 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* PLAY on the Oilers. I had a great Saturday, but went 0-3 on Sunday. It'll just be a blip on the radar. Time to get back on track with a single play here. I'd say this price is going to go up throughout the day, so the sooner you can get down on this one the better. I don't mind laying chalk on a team when I think it should or could in fact be a much larger favorite. And that's the case with the Oilers. They're obviously a great team, but they've lost four straight. They'll be now desperate to snap the slide after their most recent 6-3 home loss to Calgary. The play with revenge after a 4-0 loss at LA back in early February, and note that the Oilers are 3-1 in their last four in trying to avenge a shutout road loss vs. an opponent. LA has won five of its last six. It barely held on for the 3-2 shootout win over the Ducks last time out. It has a tough game at Calgary tomorrow night. The B2B in Alberta is always tough on every team. All things considered, I think this is great value. Run, don't walk, to get down on EDMONTON tonight. Good luck, NP |
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02-19-24 | Stars v. Bruins -123 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTROYER on the Bruins. I'm a contrarian for sure. But in the NHL, there's fewer people wagering, and so "where the public money is," becomes an almost "non factor." Dallas is a slight dog on the road here, but with a tough game at New York tomorrow night, off the big outdoor OT victory over the Isles, I say this is a classic "look ahead" spot for the visitors, who enter off a 4-3 OT home loss to the Oilers, snapping a three-game win streak. Boston though has lost four straight. Not for a lack of trying though, as evidenced by its most recent 5-4 OT loss here to LA. With a big Western road swing up next for the Bruins, this afternoon's non-conference matchup here vs. Dallas takes on even added importance for the hungry home side. All things considered, I feel this to be the very definition of "great line value." The play is BOSTON. Good luck, NP |
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02-17-24 | Red Wings v. Flames -119 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -119 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GOM on the Flames. Here's a great "situational" play on a hungry home side that plays with revenge and when you take into account those two factors, plus a few others while also considering how great this line is, there's no doubt in my mind that we're getting unreal "line value" here on Calgary. Detroit is off back-to-back losses to kick off this road-trip, allowing 12 goals in the process. Calgary has also lost two straight, most recently falling 6-3 in a humbling setback at home to San Jose. The Flames play with the added incentive of revenge here though as well after a 6-2 loss at Detroit back in October. The Wings get caught looking ahead to their final road game of this trip at Seattle and the desperate home side risks life and limb to avegne the earlier upset. Lay the short price with confidence, the play is indeed on CALGARY. Good luck, NP |
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02-13-24 | Hurricanes v. Stars -121 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GOY on the Stars. Two really good teams, but I think that home ice advantage really will prove to be a difference-maker in this one. Carolina is just 13-10-0-1 on the road, while Dallas is 16-8-2-0 at home. The Hurricanes are off back-to-back wins, but after a 1-0 OT victory at home two nights ago, and with a contest at Arizona in two nights from now, I think the visitors come in flat-footed in this one. Dallas has won five of its last six. It's off a 3-2 victory at Montreal. It plays in Nashville next, making this home contest that much more important. Any time you can get a team of the Stars' calibre here at home at this price, you RUN, don't walk to the counter. The play is indeed on DALLAS. Good luck, NP |
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02-08-24 | Lightning v. Islanders -135 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Islanders. The Lightning are probably the better overall team. They're 27-19-5-0 overall, but just 10-14-2-0 on the road. Tampa is now fatigued after a 3-1 loss at the Rangers just last night. The Isles won their opener in the second half in Toronto by a score of 3-2 and they face Tampa for the first time this season in a great spot and at a great price. Lay the price, the play is indeed on NEW YORK. Good luck, NP |
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01-26-24 | Blues v. Seattle Kraken -142 | 4-3 | Loss | -142 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOP-SHELF DESTROYER on the Kraken. Here's a great spot for the Kraken. St. Louis is just 10-12-0-1 on the road, while Seattle is 10-9-2-1 at home. The Blues have won three straight, but after back-to-back rare road victories, and with a home game vs. the Kings up next, I say this is a classic letdown-look-ahead spot, which = trap game. Seattle plays with revenge after a 2-1 shootout loss in St. Louis back in October. The Kraken just snapped a four-game slide with a convincing 6-2 win over the Hawks and I say they keep that offensive momentum rolling here at home in this revenge scenario. No issues laying this mid-sized price at all, the play is indeed on SEATTLE. Good luck, NP |
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01-02-24 | Flyers v. Oilers -163 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a BIG-CHALK SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Oilers. I really love the way this one sets up for the Oilers as I believe they're well worth the price of admission in this spot. The Flyers come to the end of a long and already successful road trip right over the Holidays. I say they get caught "looking ahead" to a long upcoming home stretch. The Oilers are now playing their best hockey of the season, as they've won five straight. Edmonton plays with revenge as well after a 4-1 loss at Philly earlier in the season, and note that the Oilers are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. All things considered, this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price, the play is EDMONTON. Good luck, NP |
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12-27-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Flames -137 | 2-1 | Loss | -137 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL BEATDOWN on the Flames. I'm expecting the Flames to be fresh out of the break here and to use home ice to their advantage in this matchup. The Kraken won two straight on the road before the X-Mas Break, but I say that momentum is now gone. With a long home stretch upcoming starting with Philadelphia on Friday night, I say the visitors get caught "looking ahead." The Flames had their three-game win streak snapped in a 5-3 loss at LA in their last game, but with three whole nights off after this before a home game vs. Philly on New Year's Eve, the home side can put its full attention onto what it's doing this evening. And I say that'll be more than enough to get the better of the inconsistent Kraken. Lay the price, the play is CALGARY. Good luck, NP |
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12-21-23 | Predators v. Flyers -112 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE BK on the Flyers. Both teams have been great this year, but Philly plays with revenge after a 3-2 OT loss at Nashville two weeks ago, and note that the Flyers are 3-1 in their last four in trying to avenge a road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. Since then the Flyers have won three straight. With a game at Detroit tomorrow, followed by road games after X-Mas at Vancouver and Seattle, tonight's contest takes on added importance for the home side as well. Nashville is off the 5-2 home loss to the Canucks, snapping a four-game win streak. With two upcoming home games over X-Mas vs. Dallas and Carolina, I say this sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the visitors as well. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value." The play is indeed on PHILADELPHIA. Good luck, NP |
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12-18-23 | Wild v. Penguins -115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF GOW on the Penguins. Minnesota is just 5-8-0-2 on the road, while Pittsburgh is 6-6-0-1 at home. The Pens are looking to shake off a 7-0 loss at Toronto last time out, but note that Pittsburgh is 7-2 in its last nine off a shutout road loss. Minnesota enters off three straight victories, including two straight shootout wins at home, but with a game at Boston tomorrow night, I say this is a letdown/look-ahead spot for the visiting side. Look for the humbled, yet hungry PENGUINS to do more than enough to secure the victory here. Good luck, NP |
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12-03-23 | Avalanche v. Kings -125 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Kings. This one sets up well for LA from a number of different angles. First off, the Avs aren't playing that great right now, as they lost their second straight road game in extra time last night, falling 4-3 in a shootout at Anaheim. Now playing the second game of the back-to-back and with a rematch vs. Anaheim at home on Tuesday, not only does this set up as a natural letdown spot for the visitors, but also a "look ahead." And when you add those two factors together, you invariably get a "trap game." LA though also plays with revenge after falling 5-2 here at home to the Avs back in October. Look for the well-rested home side to deliver the goods and as Bob Barker used to say as well: "The Price Is Right!"Â The play is the KINGS. Good luck, NP |
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11-28-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -135 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Oilers. I think this is a great situational wager. Las Vegas has lost four in a row. Normally I wouldn't want to play against the defending champs in this spot, but they're off a tough 2-1 OT loss in Calgary just last night, and I think they'll stumble here in the second game of the back-to-back, before finishing this tough road trip vs. the Canucks two nights from now. Edmonton is in "catch up" mode after a terrible start to the season. The Oilers have won two in a row though, including an 8-2 victory over the Ducks last time out and there's no reason not to think this underachieving Canadian team won't keep that momentum rolling here in front of the home town crowd. The Oilers can smell the blood in the water and they'll be itching to put on a show for the home town faithful. All things considered, this is the very definition of "great line value" in my opinion. The play is EDMONTON. Good luck, NP |
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11-16-23 | Canucks v. Flames -112 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Flames. Calgary is 5-8-0-2, while Vancouver is 12-3-1-0. One of these teams has so far under-achieved, while the other has over-achieved. Either way, this is a great "situational" play. The Canucks come in off a hard-fought 4-3 OT win over the Isles at home just last night and will be fatigued. The Flames are desperate for victories and with nearly 80% of the public money on the visiting side, that definitely swings the pendulum in favor of the hungry home side in my opinion. The play is CALGARY. Good luck, NP |
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11-04-23 | Rangers v. Wild -109 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTROYER on the Wild. Here's a great situational play on Minnesota. New York is 8-2, including 6-1 on the road. It's been fantastic. But it has three whole days off after this, followed by three straight very winnable home games vs. Detroit, Minnesota and Columbus. Off the tight 2-1 home win over Carolina, can anyone finally say "letdown" spot for the Rangers?! And then also combine that with the "look-ahead" scenario as well, that equals "trap game!" Minnesota will be risking life and limb to snap the four-game slide. No looking past anyone here today. As stated off the top, this is a great "situational" play on MINNESOTA. Good luck, NP |
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10-12-23 | Rangers v. Sabres +118 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTROYER on the Sabres. New York went 47-22-13 and lost to the Devils in the first round last year, while Buffalo went 42-33-7 and just missed out on the playoffs. These teams played three times last year, and the Sabres went 2-1. All three games went to OT. The Rangers have a new coach in Peter Laviolette and they also have a few new faces. Igor Shesterkin is an amazing goaltender, but I'm a little unsure if his defense will be as good as it was in front of him last year. New York averaged 3.28 GPG, which was 12th. It's Playoffs or Bust for Buffalo this year. Last year the Sabres were the third-highest scoring team with 3.62 GPG. They allowed 3.58 GPG, but they also have some new faces in the line-up to help goaltender Devon Levi get to the next level this season. I like BUFFALO at home here and believe its superior offense will win the day on Opening Night. Good luck, NP |
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06-10-23 | Golden Knights +101 v. Panthers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 101 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Knights. Las Vegas could easily have had a 3-0 lead in this series, but the bounce finally went the Panthers way in Game 3 in OT. But Las Vegas has done well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 in its last five in trying to avenge a road loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Despite the loss, I felt like Las Vegas looked stronger as the game got into the latter moments in Game 3. I like the KNIGHTS to bounce back here for sure. Good luck, NP |
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06-05-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -131 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knights. We are all contrarian handicappers at heart, but when there are so few games left in a season, at some point, everyone becomes one of the "public." These teams are evenly matched. We could easily come up with a convincing argument to take Florida to bounce back here, but at this price, we just feel that the overall VALUE for sure lies with the home side. The "home ice" was indeed crucial for the Knights in Game 1, and this series could in fact play out like that. That's the way we're seeing this one breaking down, with the Knights taking Game 2 here, and then if that occurs, we'll almost assuredly be on the Panthers in Game 3. So this is 100% purely based upon the fact that we feel we're getting fantastic "line value" on the home side. The play is LAS VEGAS. Good luck, TIR |
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06-03-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -126 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 99 h 29 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knights. Both teams have been great. With a line like this, the oddsmakers obviously believe these teams are very evenly matched, and for the most part they are. Florida likely gets the small nod in the goaltending department, while Las Vegas gets the nod in the "experience" department. Other than that, these sides truly are evenly matched. Las Vegas comes as the "fresher" team, as it hasn't required more than six games to win a series thus far. Vegas was expected to be here before the season started, while Florida has been riding a "Cinderella Wave" ever since their now legendary seven-game come-from-behind series win over the Bruins in the first round. We say that Fairy Tale comes to an end here though. In Game 1 at least. Look for LAS VEGAS to take advantage of "home ice" and lay this price with confidence. Good luck, TIR |
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05-20-23 | Panthers +137 v. Hurricanes | 2-1 | Win | 137 | 30 h 26 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Panthers. The Panthers came out on top in Game 1, and we had a play on them. If you didn't read that analysis, then it's worth doing so now, as the same logic and reasoning behind that winner, directly applies to this Game 2 selection as well in our opinion: This should be a great series. When the Opening line first came out, it was almost a "pick em," but the Hurricanes have slowly been bet up and they're now in the 140 range with nearly 70% of the wagers/money on them. As primarily situational and contrarian style cappers, this automatically makes us really like Florida here. The oddsmakers feel these teams are evenly matched, but now that we're getting some decent "plus money" in return here on the Panthers, we do indeed feel that the best VALUE play here in Game 1 is by taking the underdog. Of course, being successful in the playoffs, both from a handicapping perspective and of the team's playing the actual games is about making adjustments from game to game. And so we'll see what happens here in Game 1, and we'll make some necessary adjustments for Game 2 if we have to, but with these teams being so evenly matched, the value as they say is by grabbing the plus money in our opinion. Florida was an interesting story, favored to come out of the East before the year started, but a lackluster start to the season saw most write off the Panthers as a serious threat. But being successful in the playoffs is a lot about timing, chemistry, and momentum. And there's no question that the Panthers have a ton of that after coming back down 0-2 to the Bruins in their first series to then knock off Boston, which is arguably the biggest NHL Playoff upset in history. After a seven-game series vs. the Bruins, not many gave Florida a chance vs. the Leafs either, myself included. But they destroyed Toronto in five games. They've had almost a week off between games to focus. Carolina has also had a week off to prepare, but the Hurricanes' path to this point has been less impressive I'd say, beating the Islanders in six and then a shaky Devils team in five. Carolina had the better goaltending during the regular season, but these teams are now putting up similar numbers in that department during the Playoffs, so we'll call that area a "wash" in this series. Value, value, value, it's all about that "plus money" return here for us on the Panthers! For all of those same reasons listed above, the play is FLORIDA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-18-23 | Panthers +127 v. Hurricanes | 3-2 | Win | 127 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Florida Panthers. This should be a great series. When the Opening line first came out, it was almost a "pick em," but the Hurricanes have slowly been bet up and they're now in the 140 range with nearly 70% of the wagers/money on them. As primarily situational and contrarian style cappers, this automatically makes us really like Florida here. The oddsmakers feel these teams are evenly matched, but now that we're getting some decent "plus money" in return here on the Panthers, we do indeed feel that the best VALUE play here in Game 1 is by taking the underdog. Of course, being successful in the playoffs, both from a handicapping perspective and of the team's playing the actual games is about making adjustments from game to game. And so we'll see what happens here in Game 1, and we'll make some necessary adjustments for Game 2 if we have to, but with these teams being so evenly matched, the value as they say is by grabbing the plus money in our opinion. Florida was an interesting story, favored to come out of the East before the year started, but a lackluster start to the season saw most write off the Panthers as a serious threat. But being successful in the playoffs is a lot about timing, chemistry, and momentum. And there's no question that the Panthers have a ton of that after coming back down 0-2 to the Bruins in their first series to then knock off Boston, which is arguably the biggest NHL Playoff upset in history. After a seven-game series vs. the Bruins, not many gave Florida a chance vs. the Leafs either, myself included. But they destroyed Toronto in five games. They've had almost a week off between games to focus. Carolina has also had a week off to prepare, but the Hurricanes' path to this point has been less impressive I'd say, beating the Islanders in six and then a shaky Devils team in five. Carolina had the better goaltending during the regular season, but these teams are now putting up similar numbers in that department during the Playoffs, so we'll call that area a "wash" in this series. Value, value, value, it's all about that "plus money" return here for us on the Panthers! Good luck, TIR |
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05-14-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -180 | 5-2 | Loss | -180 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Oilers. We bet underdogs. We bet totals. We bet futures. We bet parlays. We bet half time wagers. We make first half bets. We'll play any type of wager there is if we feel there's "value" in it. And that's the same with playing "favorites." We have no issues at all in laying chalk, especially when we feel that our "play on" side should/could in fact be a larger favorite. And that's the case here in Game 6 for the Oilers in our opinion. Edmonton is a near-perfect 3-1 in its last four in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponet. This series has 7 games written all over it. Lay the price with confidence, the play is EDMONTON. Good luck, TIR |
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05-10-23 | Maple Leafs -117 v. Panthers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Leafs. Toronto finished ahead of the Panthers in the regular season and they were favored to win this series. But here the Leafs are down 0-3 heading into Game 4. We haven't written Toronto off yet though. We can in fact envision a World where the Leafs win the next two games, before Florida wins back here at home in Game 6. Clearly, the Panthers have exceeded expectations after coming from behind against the Bruins to win that series, and now be just one win away from the ECF. Note though that Toronto is a near-perfect 5-1 in its last six in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. The mental "letdown" finally occurs here for Florida. Lay the price, the play is TORONTO. Good luck, TIR |
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05-09-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken +120 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Kraken. If you're new to betting, this may come as a surprise, or it may not, but the bookmakers' job when releasing a line ultimately is to have half the public bet on one side of the wager, and have half the public wager on the other side (or total, etc.) The bookmakers do not care whatsoever who wins or loses, their entire goal is to try their best to get all of the action on a wager to be split down the middle. The house always wins with the vigorish. The Kraken are still a bit of an unknown to the general betting public though, so the majority of the money in Game 4 is on Dallas, as the Stars are once again favored. But we're not buying into Dallas being the better team in this matchup. The Kraken are the better value here at home getting the "plus-money" return, and that's the main part/reason why 6 out of 10 of us are on Seattle this evening. Good luck, TIR |
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05-07-23 | Maple Leafs -130 v. Panthers | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Leafs. We gave out the Leafs to win the Stanley Cup before the season started. Now here they are down 0-2 in the second round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs to the Florida Panthers. Toronto got the monkey off its back with its first playoff series victory since 2004, but note that the Leafs are in fact a near-perfect 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge back-to-back losses against an opponent. Toronto was great on the road in the regular season, and it's do-or-die time here. 6 of 10 Insiders agree that Toronto stands up and draws the line in the sand in Game 3. Lay the price, the play is TORONTO. Good luck, TIR |
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05-06-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights +110 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knights. With a line like this, clearly the oddsmakers feel these teams are very evenly matched. And for the most part they absolutely are. Vegas however is on a roll now after losing its opening game vs. the Jets and at this price at home, we feel the value for sure in Game 2 is on the undervalued home underdog. With the majority of the early money on the Oilers, that pushes the scales in favor of the Knights for us here in the value department. The play is VEGAS. Good luck, TIR |
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05-05-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -110 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Hurricanes. We had a play on Carolina in Game 1, and we felt that the value lay with the "home ice advantage," as it was priced identically to this Game 2 line. And that's once again the case here in Game 2. These teams are evenly matched, so in cases like that, looking for external factors is key in helping find an advantage one way or the other. The Devils were great on the road this year, but that was during the regular season. The Playoffs is an entirely different thing. We expect "home ice" to continue to be a deciding factor in this series, so the play is on CAROLINA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-04-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -183 | 3-2 | Loss | -183 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Leafs. We are going to lay the price and expect Toronto to risk life and limb to secure a victory here in Game 2. The Leafs have in fact responded well in this spot for bettors in the past, going 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Florida suprirsed us in Game 1, as we felt the Panthers would have a letdown after an exhausting seven game upset win over the mighty Bruins. That didn't happen in Game 1, but now we're expecting that to finally happen here. But it's do or die for the Leafs, as this now becomes the most important game of the entire season. A great situational play, and it makes it so we have no issues at all in laying this larger price. That's the read/call in Game 2 here, the play is TORONTO. Good luck, TIR |
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05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -115 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Hurricanes. These teams finished No. 1 and 2 in the Eastern Conference. These teams split four games in the regular season, each winning on the other's ice. Clearly, with a line like this, the oddsmakers feel these teams are very evenly matched. And that's true, so instead of trying to break down individual player matchups, or the strengths and weaknesses of each club (as that's already reflected in this moneyline), we have to find other external factors to work with, and for us, that's going to be the "home ice advantage" here in Game 1. Yes, the Devils were great on the road, but now here in the second round of the playoffs, we feel we're getting great value here on the home side. In our professional opinions, this is in fact the very definition of "great line value." The play is CAROLINA in Game 1. Good luck, TIR |
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05-02-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -155 | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Leafs. Yes, the Leafs finally got the monkey off their backs with a 4-2 series win over Tampa Bay, securing Toronto its first playoff series victory for the first time since 2004, but they were expected to do so. Toronto was favored in that series. Florida's seven-game upset of the Bruins could go down as one of the biggest NHL upsets of all time. Florida comes in fatigued and ready for letdown here. Toronto has had time to absorb its big win and now refocus. Considering all of the situational factors working in favor of the home side today, our belief is that this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price, the play is TORONTO. Good luck, TIR |
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04-29-23 | Devils v. Rangers -120 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Rangers. The Devils have had a great year. They were down 0-2 in this series as well, and are now leading 3-2. Note though that the Rangers are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. They're also 8-3 in their last 11 after three or more straight losses in a row. This is a great series for the league, one that'll be a lot better when it goes to a Game 7. That's what the NHL wants, and while the Devils have in fact garnered most of the early wagers, we feel the value here is on the desperate home side. The play is NEW YORK. Good luck, TIR |
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04-28-23 | Stars v. Wild -107 | 4-1 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Wild. It's do or die for Minnesota. At this price at home and in an elimination contest, we absolutely feel that the value swings to the desperate home side. The Wild have lost two straight, but note that they're 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. They're coming off the 4-0 loss at Dallas, but note that the Wild are also 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a shutout road loss vs. an opponent. Value, value, value is what this play is all about. Lay the price, the play is MINNESOTA. Good luck, TIR |
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04-27-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -150 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Leafs. Before the NHL season started, we released a pick on the Leafs to win the Stanley Cup. Will that prediction come true? That's the million dollar question obviously, but to do that, TO will have to once and for all "get over the hump" here and slay its arch-nemesis in the Lightning. Remember TB eliminated TO in seven games in the first round last year. The Leafs haven't won a playoff series since 2004. The majority of the public money is on Toronto, which isn't our style, but when we get down to so few games at this point of the season, at some point everyone turns into the "public." With that said, Toronto has been the better team in almost every metric and with a chance to get a huge monkey off their collective backs, we do indeed think this is a great price on the Leafs to deliver the goods here in Game 5. Lay the price, the play is TORONTO. Good luck, TIR |
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04-25-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -150 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Hurricanes. Overall we feel this is a great price, on the better team here at home with a chance to close out this series. New York lost 5-2 in Game 4 and the Isles are now on the ropes. They were just 17-19-4-3 on the road. Carolina was one of the best home teams, finishing 30-10-1-2. We're typically contrarian bettors, but despite most of the early money on Carolina, we absolutely feel the correct call is on the Canes to get the job done here in this crucial spot. Lay the price with confidence, the play is CAROLINA. Good luck, TIR |
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04-24-23 | Maple Leafs -105 v. Lightning | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Leafs. Toronto was eliminated by Tampa Bay in seven games in the first round last year. With the majority of the public money and bets on Tampa, we really feel that we're getting great value here on the more motivated side. These teams are very evenly matched, but the Leafs are just the better overall team this season, and much more motivated. Toronto hasn't won a playoff series since 2004, so to get past TB would be a monumental step for the organization. We say the value is once again on the undervalued road dog. The play is TORONTO. Good luck, TIR |
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04-23-23 | Stars v. Wild -109 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Wild. The Wild managed the split in Dallas, and then Minnesota took control with a win at home in Game 3. Now with a chance to put a strangle-hold on the series, we expect the Wild to take advantage. These teams are very evenly matched, and that's a sentiment shared by the oddsmakers with a line like this. But the home ice advantage is just not being taken into account properly. The Wild now have the momentum and in this case, that's going to be the difference. In our opinions, this represents the very definition of "great line value." The play is MINNESOTA. Good luck, TIR |
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04-22-23 | Golden Knights +102 v. Jets | Top | 5-4 | Win | 102 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on Vegas. Winnipeg had to almost win out at the end of the regular season to earn the No. 8 spot. That momentum was then carried over into Game 1, where it inexplicably dominated in the 5-1 victory. The Knights then bounced back as expected with the 5-2 Game 2 win. Vegas was No. 1 in the Pacific, and the Jets were a No. 8 seed. Vegas smashed Winnipeg 3-0 in the regular season, as this is just a big mismatch as far as metrics are concerned. Yes, the Jets did finish 26-13-1-1 at home, but the Knights were 26-7-5-3 on the road. Overall great line value, the play is the GOLDEN KNIGHTS. Good luck, TIR |
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04-21-23 | Hurricanes v. Islanders -115 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Islanders. We're not counting the Islanders out quite yet. The majority of the bets are on Carolina here, but we're expecting the Hurricanes to finally run out of steam here. Conversely, note that the Isles have in fact responded well in this spot for bettors, going 6-2 in their last eight in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. New York was at its best at home this season, finishing 25-13-1-1 on Long Island. We say that "home cooking" is just what the doctor ordered for the Islanders in Game 3. Lay the price, the play is NEW YORK. Good luck, TIR |
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04-20-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -167 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
6 OUT 10 CONSENSUS on the Leafs. Coaching and playing in the Playoffs, is like handicapping the Playoffs. It's about making adjustments from game to game if you suffer a loss. With their backs against the wall as they look to avoid the 0-2 hole before heading to south to Tampa, we're expecting the Leafs to risk life and limb here to secure a victory. Last year Tampa eliminated Toronto in seven games in the first round. The Leafs though are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Situationally, the value here lies with TORONTO. Good luck, TIR |
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04-06-23 | Lightning v. Islanders -115 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Islanders. It's a big game for New York here. I'd argue that it's the biggest game of the season for the Islanders, who currently sit in ninth spot in the Eastern conference standings, two games behind Florida. Tampa is in sixth spot, with four total games remaining. The Lightning have 94 points, while the Rangers are in fifth with 101, tied with Toronto. Pittsburgh is in seventh with 86. The Lightning of course don't want to go into the playoffs on a losing streak, but Tampa is already locked in to a first round matchup with Toronto. But it's do or die time for the Islanders, who are clinging on to a wildcard spot. New York also plays with the immediate revenge factor after losing 5-0 in Tampa Bay on Saturday. The Isles then lost 2-1 at Carolina on Sunday. The Lighting come in fatigued here as well after a 6-2 loss at New York just last night. The Islanders hold the second wild card spot in the East, but barely. I think they can rebound here from that shutout loss in Tampa, as note that New York is 7-3 in in its last ten in trying to avenge a shutout loss against an opponent. In fact, to say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement, as the Lightning have won six straight regular-season meetings in this series. This one means a lot to the Islanders. The Penguins are right behind them and they simply can't afford another loss. I say New York rallies big time at home and the Lighthing throw in the white towel early. Lay the short price, the play is the ISLANDERS. Good luck, NP |
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04-05-23 | Flames +116 v. Jets | Top | 3-1 | Win | 116 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Flames. I lost with Calgary last night, but I expect the Flames to risk life and limb to secure a victory here. These teams have four games left to go in the regualr season, and Winnipeg sits in eighth spot, just two games ahead of Calgary. This is do or die for the Flames tonight, and I expect them to play like it. Of course, Winnipeg won't be rolling over, as it has an opportunity to deliver the knock out blow. The last time these teams got together, Winnipeg earned the 3-2 victory on January 3rd, so the Flames also play with revenge here. In what will be a tight and competitive affair, I like CALGARY to find a way to get the job done. Good luck, NP |
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03-31-23 | Rangers v. Sabres +127 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 127 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Sabres. The Rangers' three-game win streak came to an end in last night's 2-1 loss at New Jersey. I say fatigue plays a factor here at the end of the season and in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Buffalo plays with revenge after a 2-1 OT loss to the Rangers on March 11th, and note that the Sabres are 3-1 in their last four in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. Buffalo had its two game win streak snapped with a 4-3 shootout loss to Montreal, but it's had three whole nights off to regroup here. Great value on the revenge-minded home side, the play is BUFFALO. Good luck, NP |
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03-28-23 | Canucks v. Blues -105 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Blues. Both teams in need of a victory here, but I say that this on favors the home side, especially at this price. Vancouver has won three in a row. It's won the first two games of this three-game trip. After this it returns home for five straight home games, with four of those against Pacific division opponents. I say the Canucks get caught "looking ahead." So the revenge-minded home side takes advantage. St. Louis fell to Vancouver here 3-2 in OT in February, and note that the Blues are 6-2 in their last eight in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent as a favorite. Great value here on the BLUES. Good luck, NP |
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03-27-23 | Devils v. Islanders +110 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-CONFERENCE GOW on the Islanders. We're coming down the home stretch of the regualar season, with just under two weeks to go. Every game counts, as does momentum at this time of year. The Isles are off back-to-back losses, including a 2-0 shutout here at home to Buffalo as a -173 favorite last time out. Note though that New York is 7-2 in its last nine off a shutout home loss as a favorite. New Jersey broke a two-game slide with a 5-3 win at home over Ottawa last time out, but I think the visiting side will have its hands full here. Great line value for sure, the play is New York! Good luck, NP |
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03-25-23 | Blue Jackets v. Canadiens -135 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Montreal. Both teams are playing out the tail end of a terrible season. Columbus though is primed for a letdown here after back-to-back upset OT victories, including a 5-4 victory at home over the Islanders just last night. The Habs will look to take advantage. Montreal is just 28-38-4-2 this year, but a much more respectable 15-17-1-2 at home. Columbus is only 9-21-5-0 on the road. Fatigue plays a factor for the Blue Jackets, and the Canadiens take advantage. Lay the price, the play is MONTREAL. Good luck, NP |
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03-23-23 | Wild -148 v. Flyers | 4-5 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Wild. I just think the Wild will make the most of this favorable matchup and not look past this golden opportunity. Minnesota is off back-to-back wins and returns home after this to face Chicago and Seattle. A possible five-game win streak could be in the cards here for the Wild as long as they don't lose focus. And I don't think they will here. Philadelphia is playing out the tail end of a terrible season. It's off a rare 6-3 win over Florida and I expect an immediate return to mediocrity. This line could/should in fact be a lot higher in my opinion. The play is MINNESOTA. Good luck, NP |
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03-21-23 | Red Wings v. Blues -130 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Blues. The Wings are getting WAY too much respect here in my opinion. They're off a 5-2 home loss to Florida just last night. They've lost three straight. The Blues enter having won two straight. This is the opener of a home-and-home set between the clubs, so we can expect St. Louis to build off its latest 3-0 win over Winnipeg. All things considered, I think this is unbelievable line value here. Lay the short price, the play is the BLUES. Good luck NP |
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03-12-23 | Rangers v. Penguins -117 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOOD-BATH on the Penguins. I think the Pens offer great value here at home. New York has won two straight on the roadl including a 4-0 victory at Buffalo just last night. It's last two road games have gone to extra time, so I say fatigue is a major factor here. The Pens are coming off a 5-1 win here over the Flyers yesterday, and barely broke a sweat. With two games in New York next week on back-to-back nights, I look for the home side to make the most of this opportunity. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." The play is the PENGUINS. Good luck, NP |
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03-06-23 | Capitals v. Kings -155 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOOD-BATH on the Kings. Unlike the Avalanche last night, I think the Kings will go up early and keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Washington is 2-1 on its current trip. It's won two straight though out here on the West Coast, and with two nights off after this before a home game vs. East-leading New Jersey, I say this sets up as a classic "trap" for the visitors. The Kings play with revenge here as well after falling 4-3 in the Nation's capital on October 22nd. Lay the price with confidence, the play is LA! Good luck, NP |
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03-05-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche -160 | 3-2 | Loss | -160 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL on the Avs. Seattle's sure been great this year. Especially on the road where it's 20-9-1-2 so far after three straight victories away from friendly confines. But with a five game home stretch upcoming after this one, I believe the Kraken lose focus here in this difficult road venue. The Avs beat Seattle 2-1 in a shootout back in January. Colorado though has lost back-to-back games after a six-game win streak. After falling 7-3 in Dallas last night, I look for Colorado to bounce back here at home. Lay the price, the play is COLORADO. Good luck, NP |
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02-28-23 | Bruins v. Flames +111 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTROYER on the Flames. Boston won 3-2 in Edmonton last night. I had the Oilers. It was a tight game. Part of my strategy in betting Edmonton last night, was that if the Oilers did lose, that I'd be going against the Bruins here tonight in Calgary as well. The "Alberta back-to-back" is difficult for any team, at any point of the season. Clearly, the Bruins are the "cream of the crop" in the NHL this year, but I finally do expect a bit of a letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back, and the final game of an already great road trip. The Flames play with revenge after falling 3-1 at Boston at the start of the season. Note the Calgary is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. Calgary returns home after a 1-2 road trip. Look for the much more motivated and revenge-minded Flames to dig deep and deliver in this "plus-money" home situation. The play is CALGARY. Good luck, NP |
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02-27-23 | Bruins v. Oilers +130 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GOM on the Oilers. Both teams have been great this season. The Bruins seem unstoppable, as they've already won the first two road games of this current trip, beating Seattle 6-5 and Vancouver 3-1. But now the level of competition and difficulty increases dramatically. And with a really tough game at Calgary tomomorrow, I think that the Bruins finally get caught looking ahead and have a small mental letdown here. I just think that this game means so much more to the Oilers, especially coming off the 6-5 loss at lowly Columbus last time out. This is the start of some really tough upcoming games as well for the Oilers, with games vs. Toronto, Winnipeg twice, Buffalo, at Boston against and then at Toronto. It's "gut check" time for Edmonton. This is a huge "measuring stick" game for the Oilers, as they'll be looking to make this a preview of the Stanley Cup Final. One game at a time though. For me, the value here lies with the "hungrier" home side. The play is EDMONTON. Good luck, NP |
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02-26-23 | Maple Leafs -145 v. Seattle Kraken | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL on the Leafs. Seattle overperformed in the first half, and it's since coming back down to Earth now here in the second. It has a much better road record than at home as well. The Leafs play with revenge here after a 5-1 home loss to Seattle back in January, and that's signficant to note here, as Toronto is 4-1 in its last five in trying to avenge a three goals or greater home loss against an opponent. Seattle has lost its identity it feels of late. It's also lost two straight. It has a five game road trip after this, so I say it gets caught "looking ahead." Lay the price, the play is TORONTO in this revenge-spot. Good luck, NP |
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02-25-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights -118 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -118 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Knights. I really like the way this one sets up for the Knights from a situational standpoint. Dallas is playing terribly right now, as it's lost five straight. It returns home for more "winnable" game vs. Vancouver and Arizona, so I think the Stars get caught looking ahead. Vegas has won six of its last seven, including a come from behind 4-3 OT win over Calgary here last time out. The Knights play with the added incentive of revenge here after a 4-0 loss at Dallas in mid-January, and note that Vegas is 4-1 in its last five in trying to avenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. In my opinion, this represents the very definition of "great line value;" the play is LAS VEGAS. Good luck, NP |
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02-17-23 | Stars v. Wild -103 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* CENTRAL DIVISION GOY on the Wild. Minnesota is just 1-5 in its last six. It's still 28-21 overall and 16-10-0-2 at home though. It's been competitive in its last two losses, falling 2-1 in a shoout to Florida, before dropping a 3-2 game to the defending champs. Minnesota plays with the immediate "revenge" factor though after a 4-1 defeat at Dallas on February 8th. The Wild have done well for bettors in this spot, going 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a two goals or greater loss to a division opponent. Dallas is just 2-5 in its last seven. It's lost two straight as well. It's 30-14 overall, and 15-8-4-0 on the road, but with a home game vs. lowly Columbus tomorrow night, I say the Stars get caught "looking ahead." Great value on what I believe to be the much "hungrier" team in this spot, and which has the benefit of playing at home. The play is MINNESOTA. Good luck, NP |
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02-14-23 | Penguins -143 v. Sharks | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* NHL GOM on the Penguins. San Jose returns home from a seven-game road trip, which was sandwiched around the NHL All Star Game. The Sharks have won three of their last four, but after a 4-1 victory in the Nation's capital on Sunday, I'm expecting a letdown here in their first game back at home in three weeks. It's a classic "letdown" spot for teams after being on the road for an extended time, and especially if the trip was a success. No such luxury for the Penguins though, who had their two-game win streak snapped in a humbling 6-0 loss at LA on Saturday night. But with two whole nights off to digest that pathetic effort, and with a chance to avenge a 6-4 home loss to San Jose on January 28th as a -240 favorite, I think Pittsburgh offers up great value from a "situational" stand point here, despite being a mid-sized favorite on the road. I'm a contrarian at heart, but I don't follow any single methodology when handicapping, and have always felt that being flexible with your approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term. So while this will be a public play, I still really like Pittsburgh here to deliver the goods. This is a play up to -180. Play on PITTSBURGH. Good luck, NP |
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02-09-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Devils -158 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF GOY on the Devils. If any team was "due" for regression in the second half, I think you could make an argument that both of these sides could fit in that category. That said, I think Seattle is STILL getting too much respect here on the road, because of its crazy road record it posted over the first half. Seattle lost 4-0 at the Islanders in its first game back from the break, and I think the Kraken will have their hands full here vs. this revenge-minded Devils side which fell 5-4 in OT in Seattle earlier in the season. New Jersey held on for a 5-4 OT win over the Canucks three nights ago, and I think the well-rested Devils are indeed "undervalued" in this spot here at home. The play is NEW JERSEY. Good luck, NP |
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02-08-23 | Wild v. Stars -131 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Stars. Off a 3-2 loss at Arizona, and with a game at home tomorrow night vs. Vegas, I think Minnesota is ripe for the picking here. Dallas went into the break on a three-game slide, but it opened with a 3-2 shootout victory over the Ducks in the first game back. With a couple nights off after this, before a home game vs. the Lightning, this is one that definitely favors the home side. This line could/should in fact be much larger. Great value here on DALLAS. Good luck, NP |
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02-07-23 | Avalanche v. Penguins -107 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on the Penguins. A "pick em" here, but I think the Avs get caught looking ahead to their matchup in Tampa Bay up next. The Pens come out fired up and ready to make a statement here in the second half vs. the defending champs. Great value here on PITTSBURGH. Good luck, NP |
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01-29-23 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -122 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-CONF GOM on the Hurricanes. Two really good teams here, and it wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these teams to win tonight. Boston though has lost two straight, and with one more home game vs. the Leafs before the All Star break, I say the Bruins come to Carolina deflated after last night's 4-3 OT loss at Boston. Carolina has won four straight, including back-to-back OT contests. The Canes play with revenge after a 3-2 loss to the Bruins in November. I think a great spot for the HURRICANES to exact a little revenge. This is a fantastic price here on Carolina at home and catching Boston in the second game of the B2B scenario. Good luck, NP |
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