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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-19-21 | Edmonton Elks +4.5 v. BC | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 38 h 25 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Month. My selection is on Edmonton plus the points over B.C. at 10 pm et on Thursday. The Elks are off to a very disappointing 0-2 start, especially considering their first two games were played at home, against seemingly inferior East Division opponents no less. Expect them to bounce back on Thursday as they hit the road for the first time this season and play their first division game. In Week 1, it was all about a lack of execution for Edmonton as it marched up and down the field but simply couldn't finish drives with touchdowns against the RedBlacks. Last week, the Elks were simply overmatched by an Alouettes squad that came out firing on all cylinders on both sides of the football, but particularly on defense as they were all over Elks QB Trevor Harris all night long. I think the case can certainly be made that the Elks overlooked the Als. They won't make the same mistake against the Lions, who are coming off an upset win on the road against the Stampeders. The news has now come out that Stamps QB Bo Levi Mitchell has a broken fibula and all indications are that he was playing hurt in last week's game against B.C. Credit for the Lions for coming up with the win, but let's not get too excited. They're still dealing with injury issues to starting QB Mike Reilly with reports from practice this week indicating that he is still having trouble pushing the football down the field. While he is expected to start on Thursday night you can take that news with a grain of salt as we've seen plenty of mystery around the QB position in B.C. already this season. While the Lions offensive line held up well last week, I still think it's an area of concern with big offseason acquisition Ryker Matthews sidelined due to a head injury. He isn't expected to be cleared to play this Thursday night. This one really comes down to whether we can trust the Elks offense. If Edmonton is going to turn things around, that's the area that needs to improve the most and I'm confident we'll see just that on the fast track at B.C. Place on Thursday. This is an ultra-talented group led by veteran QB Trevor Harris and WR Greg Ellingson. After being held to just one catch for one yard last week, I believe we can bank on a big bounce-back performance from Ellingson in particular. Harris was given no time to operate against the Als retooled pass rush but should find the going a little easier against the Lions this week. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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08-19-21 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 45.5 | 21-16 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Edmonton and B.C. at 10 pm et on Thursday. The 'under' has gone 7-1 so far this CFL season and that's affording us with a very low total (relatively speaking) in Thursday's Week 3 opener between the Elks and Lions. The Elks offense has been non-existent so far this season. That's certainly surprising as they opened with a pair of home dates against East Division opponents in the RedBlacks and Alouettes. We did see Edmonton march the football up and down the field against Ottawa but it simply wasn't able to finish drives with 7's rather than 3's. Last week, the Elks certainly appeared to overlook the Als, and paid the price, unable to contend with Montreal's aggressive pass rush. Here, I do expect to see the Elks offense come alive on the fast track at B.C. Place. This is still an offense that features capable leaders at the skill positions on offense in QB Trevor Harris, WR Greg Ellingson and RB James Wilder. With Ellingson in particular coming off a brutal one-catch, one-yard performance last week, I expect a big bounce-back effort here. The Lions, like the Elks, boast incredible talent at the skill positions on offense but QB Mike Reilly's injury issues have held them back so far. They will welcome RB Shaq Cooper to the fold for the first time this season on Thursday, adding another level to what has the potential to be an explosive offense should Reilly be given time in the pocket to operate. As I said, I expect the Elks to break out offensively in this one while the Lions have already shown the ability to thrive in a catch-up role back in Week 1 (they nearly came all the way back from 31-0 down in a 33-29 loss). We don't need a true shootout to cash this ticket as we've been given a low total to work with. Take the over (9*). |
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08-14-21 | Montreal v. Edmonton Elks OVER 46.5 | Top | 30-13 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
CFL o/u Premier Play. My selection is on the 'over' between Montreal and Edmonton at 7 pm et on Saturday. We've seen plenty of low-scoring games to open this CFL season - likely a product of their being no preseason this year. Here, I do think we'll see a little more offense as the Elks already have a game under their belts while the Als had an extra week of practice, and I expect them to be considerably stronger offensively than defensively once again. The Als certainly improved their pass rush in the offseason, with their big acquisition being former Elk Almondo Sewell. However, I do feel that Elks QB Trevor Harris should be able to get the ball out quickly enough to his talented group of wide receivers to find some offensive success in this one. There was plenty of rust last week as the Elks moved the football but couldn't finish drives with touchdowns. Against a weak Als secondary, there's reason to believe some of those field goal drives will turn into touchdowns here. The Als offense is virtually intact from 2019. There is top talent at all the skill positions, led by QB Vernon Adams Jr. and RB William Stanback. While the RedBlacks below average offense wasn't able to do much against Edmonton last week, I'm confident we'll see the Als open things up here. Keep in mind, when these two teams last met in the 2019 playoffs, we saw 66 total points scored. Take the over (10*). |
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08-13-21 | Toronto +6.5 v. Winnipeg | 7-20 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Friday. The Argos are coming off a stunning 23-20 win over the Stampeders on a last-minute field goal last week. Of course, that victory doesn't look quite as impressive after Calgary dropped a 15-9 decision at home against B.C. last night. With that being said, I do expect Toronto to once again turn in a quality performance away from home against the defending champion Blue Bombers on Friday night. I'm confident we'll see Toronto effectively shorten this game by pounding away with top-flight RB John White. Keep in mind, the Bombers will be without their best run stopped in Steve 'Stove' Richardson for this one while stud edge rushers Willie Jefferson and Jackson Jeffcoat are also questionable to suit up (I'm making this play with the expectation that both do play). Winnipeg got a tremendous performance from veteran QB Zach Collaros in last week's win over Hamilton. Collaros was comfortable in the pocket all night long thanks to a strong effort from the Winnipeg o-line. I do think we'll see him under duress far more often in this one, however. I still rate the Bombers as having one of the league's weaker wide receiving corps, especially with Darvin Adams and Ardarius Stewart sidelined due to injury. Take Toronto (8*). |
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08-13-21 | Toronto v. Winnipeg UNDER 47.5 | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Friday. We've seen four of the first five CFL games this season stay 'under' the total - partly due to the fact that there were no preseason games this year. I expect that trend to continue for at least one more night on Friday. Look for Toronto to make every effort to effectively shorten this game by leaning on their rushing attack led by standout RB John White. With the Bombers missing elite run-stopper Steve 'Stove' Richardson, there's reason to believe the Boatmen can find some success moving the chains on the ground and ultimately putting together long, clock-churning drives. However, Toronto does have a relatively limited passing attack right now. Despite last week's victory, we didn't really see many big splash plays from QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson and the pass game. While the Bombers do employ an inexperienced secondary, I'm not convinced the Argos are well-equipped to take advantage. Winnipeg turned in a sharp offensive performance against Hamilton last week but should have its hands full against a revamped Argos defense that held Calgary to only 20 points last week, and has gotten healthier since. Take the under (8*). |
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08-12-21 | BC v. Calgary -7 | 15-9 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
CFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Calgary minus the points over B.C. at 9:30 pm et on Thursday. Our two losses in CFL action last week came on plays involving these teams as we suffered an epic bad beat with the Riders in B.C.'s incredible comeback loss (but cover) while the Stampeders blew a second half lead (and cover) in a field goal loss to the Argos. Here, I like the way this one sets up as a big bounce-back game for the Stamps at home. B.C. had a miserable 2019 season and it might be in for a similar fate here in 2021 if Week 1 was any indication. Yes, give the Lions credit for not quitting and rallying back to nearly steal a win after falling behind 31-0 in the first half in Saskatchewan. However, the fact that it dug such a hole was telling. The Lions defense is saying all the right things heading into this one as it did hold an excellent Riders offense to just one second half point in last week's 33-29 loss, however that had everything to do with game flow. The Riders offense quite simply took its foot off the gas after building that 31-0 lead. B.C. won't be so fortunate here as the Stampeders come into this one in a foul mood after a disappointing season-opening loss at home. There were a lot of positives for Calgary to take away from last week's game. The offense was able to march the football up and down the field and just as easily could have put up 30+ point were it not for some miscues at the end of drives. That probably should have been expected with QB Bo Levi Mitchell missing considerable time in the 2019 season and then having no preseason games to get back in rhythm here this year. I do expect to see progression from the Calgary offense this week. Defensive, the Stamps were terrific last week, making a number of splash plays. Now they get too tee off on a weak Lions offensive line that will be without big offseason acquisition OL Ryker Matthews. Rookie QB Nathan Rourke is expected to start under center but don't be surprised if we see plenty of Michael Reilly as well. I'm not sure either are a great option at this point with Rourke still trying to learn the CFL game and Reilly clearly playing at less than 100%. Take Calgary (10*). |
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08-07-21 | Ottawa v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 46.5 | 16-12 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘under’ between Ottawa and Edmonton at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. Full writeups will return for Week 2. I’m not expecting a lot of offensive fireworks as the RedBlacks travel to Edmonton to face the Elks on Saturday. There are virtually no household names on the RedBlacks offense and while new head coach Paul LaPolice will squeeze all he can out of this group, it won’t happen in Week 1 off no preseason. Edmonton has an explosive offense led by QB Trevor Harris but again, with no preseason games I’m not convinced we’ll see the offense come out firing on all cylinders here. The Elks defense should be better than most expect and they can certainly handle this matchup on Saturday. Take the under (6*). |
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08-07-21 | Toronto v. Calgary -5 | 23-20 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary minus the points over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. Full writeups will return for Week 2. I’ll give the Stamps the benefit of the doubt in their home opener and feel this line will prove too short. With a healthy Bo Levi Mitchell the Stamps are eager to put the 2019 season behind them. While there are plenty of new faves, the cupboard is always well stocked in Calgary. Toronto has the potential to make some noise in the East Division this season but this is a tough Week 1 road matchup against one of the West Division’s perennially elite teams. Take Calgary (6*). |
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08-06-21 | BC v. Saskatchewan -6.5 | 29-33 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Saskatchewan minus the points over B.C. at 9:30 pm et on Friday. I actually thought we'd see an opening line closer to double-digits for this one as the Lions travel to Regina to face the Riders. The Lions have high hopes coming off a disastrous 2019 campaign where they simply couldn't keep veteran QB Mike Reilly upright due to major issues in pass protection. However, Reilly is already dealing with shoulder issues and while he's likely to start on Friday night, whether he can finish the game probably depends on how well the Lions new-look offensive line holds up. While I absolutely love the make up of the Lions receiving corps, I have questions whether they can hit the ground running against a terrific Roughriders secondary led by Ed Gainey on Friday night. RB Shaq Cooper was B.C.'s big offseason acquisition but he isn't expected to play in this game leaving backfield duties in the hands of ex-XFL RB James Butler. If the Lions aren't able to consistently run the football there's little reason to expect anything other than for the Riders defense to pin back its ears and tee off on Reilly. Offensively, the Riders return virtually all of the key pieces from their West Division-winning roster two years ago. QB Cody Fajardo is one of the CFL's stars but perhaps doesn't get talked about enough. With aggressive play-caller Jason Maas taking over offensive coordinator duties, the sky should be the limit for the Riders passing game. With that being said, Saskatchewan also boasts one of the league's best running backs in William Powell and I expect him to find plenty of room to run against an average Lions defensive front. While the Riders defense loses four starters from the 2019 edition - mostly up front - the cupboard is by no means bare and defensive coordinator is a true up-and-comer in CFL coaching ranks after taking over for Chris Jones two years ago. Take Saskatchewan (8*). |
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08-05-21 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg UNDER 51.5 | Top | 6-19 | Win | 100 | 32 h 40 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Hamilton and Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. The 2021 CFL opener features a rematch of the last CFL game that was played - the 2019 Grey Cup between the Blue Bombers and Tiger-Cats. I'm expecting a lower-scoring affair than most as these two offenses take some time to settle into a groove after no preseason games and no real game action since that title showdown in 2019. The Blue Bombers return most of the key pieces from that Grey Cup winning squad. With that being said, they're the underdog for a reason in this one. RB Andrew Harris isn't expected to play on Thursday and while he is supported by a couple of capable backs, his absence certainly can't be overlooked. Keep in mind the Bombers are ushering in a new offensive era in some respects with former CFL quarterback Buck Pierce taking over the offensive coordinator reins from Paul LaPolice, who has moved on to Ottawa to take on a head coaching role. LaPolice squeezed every bit of potential he could out of this offense as the season went on in 2019. I simply question whether we'll see an explosive attack right out of the gates here in 2021 with what I would consider a less-than-imposing wide receiving corps at Collaros' disposal. Defensively, the Bombers are set up well with a cohesive unit that boasts plenty of returning starters keyed by Willie Jefferson - the league's reigning Most Outstanding Defensive Player. This is a group that enters the new season with a chip on its shoulder after some felt it 'fluked' its way to a Grey Cup championship. I'm not on board with that line of thinking - this defense absolutely terrorized Dane Evans in the 2019 Grey Cup, camping out in the backfield and will now face a Hamilton offensive line that no longer has Ryker Matthews protecting Jeremiah Masoli's blind side. With many of the Bombers defensive players training together in the offseason (a long one at that), this is a group that should hit the ground running on Thursday night. The Tiger-Cats need to restock the cupboard in some sense defensively but there's still plenty of talent to go around, and I don't think this is a bad opening night matchup for them to get their legs back under them. Simoni Lawrence is still on board to lead the defense - we're talking about perhaps the best-coached defense in the entire CFL so I certainly wouldn't expect it to lay an egg on Thursday. Offensively, there's not a true QB controversy in Hamilton but starter Jeremiah Masoli has to feel a bit of pressure as he opens the campaign with backup Dane Evans breathing down his neck. While the duo of Brandon Banks and Bralon Addison is electric, I expect the Blue Bombers to do what they can to take away the big hitters down the field and Hamilton won't shy away from pounding the football with newly-acquired feature back Don Jackson and Sean Thomas-Erlington back healthy. There's a lot of familiarity between these two teams with both rosters remaining relatively intact and with so much time to gameplan for the season-opener following no preseason games, I think we'll see a tightly-contested, relatively low-scoring affair on Thursday night. Take the under (10*). |
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11-24-19 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg UNDER 52 | 12-33 | Win | 100 | 58 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Hamilton and Winnipeg at 6 pm et on Sunday. We missed with the 'under' in the Ti-Cats blowout win over the Eskimos last week (but won with Hamilton) and cashed with the Blue Bombers in their minor upset win over the Riders in Saskatchewan. Here, I see value in the 'under' as the Ti-Cats and Bombers do battle with the Grey Cup on the line in Calgary. The Ti-Cats exploded for 36 points in last week's victory, although it's worth noting that QB Dane Evans actually completed only 21-of-36 passes while throwing only one touchdown and one interception. Their leading rusher in that game was Cameron Marshall with just 31 yards on the ground. They'll be facing a much tougher defense this week. The Bombers have turned the offensive reins over to former Ti-Cats QB Zach Collaros and while he has played well, I really feel he's more of a game manager than the dynamic Chris Streveler, who is still a big part of the offense. Note that it was Streveler who completed 31-of-42 passes for over 300 yards the last time these two teams met. If you've followed my plays regularly, you know that I'm high on the Ti-Cats defense - arguably the best in the CFL. I'm confident they can keep the Bombers offense in check on Sunday. Note that two regular season meetings between these teams totaled just 38 and 46 points. Take the under (10*). |
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11-17-19 | Winnipeg +3.5 v. Saskatchewan | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 79 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over Saskatchewan at 4:30 pm et on Sunday. The Riders miserable 1-3 start to the season has long been forgotten as they've been one of the best teams in the CFL for months now, doing it largely on the strength of a stellar defense that has come up big time and time again. Here, however, I believe they're up against it facing a Blue Bombers squad that has really come together over the course of three consecutive battles with the Stampeders, culminating with last week's stunning 35-14 rout in Calgary. QB Zach Collaros has stepped in and given the offense a nice balance with Chris Streveler still contributing as well. Defensively, it doesn't get much better than holding Stamps QB Bo Levi Mitchell to 12-of-28 passing for 116 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions last week. I'm anticipating a tightly-contested affair all the way on Sunday and will gladly take the points with the Bombers. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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11-17-19 | Edmonton v. Hamilton UNDER 50.5 | Top | 16-36 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 36 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Hamilton at 1 pm et on Sunday. Both regular season meetings between these two teams went 'over' the posted total we're dealing with on Sunday and the Eskimos are coming off a wild, high-scoring 37-29 win over Montreal last week to earn a spot in this Grey Cup semi-final matchup. I'll gladly take the contrarian route, however, and call for a lower-scoring game than expected as the Eskimos and Tiger-Cats do battle on Sunday afternoon in Hamilton. Eskimos QB Trevor Harris has appeared in just two games since the first week of September but certainly looked to be in excellent form in last week's win over the Alouettes. He was afforded a clean pocket for much of the afternoon and took full advantage, completing 36-of-39 passes for 421 yards and a touchdown. The fact that he was only able to throw one touchdown was telling, however, as the Eskimos have struggled to finish drives with 7's on the board for much of the season. Here, look for Harris to be under duress all afternoon long as the Esks take a big step up in class against the Ti-Cats defense. Hamilton QB Dane Evans has done a tremendous job leading the offense since taking over the starting job for an injured Jeremiah Masoli, but I do wonder how he'll handle the big stage on Sunday. Note that the Eskimos defense will be getting their third look at Evans since September 20th. Take the under (10*). |
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11-17-19 | Edmonton v. Hamilton -5 | 16-36 | Win | 100 | 75 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Hamilton minus the points over Edmonton at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Eskimos have gone winless in two meetings with the Tiger-Cats this season and while it's awfully tough to beat any opponent three times in the same season, I do think Hamilton will be up for the challenge on Sunday. The Ti-Cats defense has really stepped up down the stretch, allowing fewer than 20 points in seven of their last 10 games. With Edmonton struggling to finish drives with touchdown all season long, there's reason to believe the Hamilton defense will thrive once again on Sunday afternoon. Eskimos QB Trevor Harris was afforded a clean pocket all afternoon long in Montreal last week but won't be so fortunate here. The Ti-Cats have proven to have the ability to not only score on offense, but on special teams and defense as well. That could prove to be the difference here. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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08-25-19 | Montreal v. Toronto UNDER 55 | Top | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Toronto at 12 noon et on Sunday. I really like the way this total sets up as the Alouettes and Argos do battle in a neutral site game in Moncton, New Brunswick Canada on Sunday. The Als are coming off a wild, high-scoring affair in Calgary last week, ultimately pulling out a 40-34 win in overtime. Keep in mind, Montreal didn't score a touchdown until the third quarter in that game and ultimately scored just two offensive touchdowns in regulation time. In its three previous games it had scored a grand total of just 57 points so this is by no means an offensive juggernaut. Likewise, the Argos failed to score a touchdown until the third quarter in last week's 41-26 loss to the Eskimos. We have seen some positive signs from the Toronto offense in recent weeks but I believe it will be in tough against a somewhat underrated Als defense that has held the opposition to just 26.5 points per game on 313 passing yards and 95 rushing yards per contest. Take the under (10*). |
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08-24-19 | Hamilton v. BC +4 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 85 h 20 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Week. My selection is on B.C. plus the points over Hamilton at 10 pm et on Saturday. We won with the Lions in the first matchup between these two teams this season and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play as the scene shifts to Vancouver on Saturday night. There's no question the Lions have had this rematch circled after blowing a huge fourth quarter lead in that narrow 35-34 loss in Hamilton two weeks ago. The Lions were in a tough spot last week, playing on limited rest, and ultimately fell in blowout fashion, but not before putting up a fight for a half. B.C. gave up an early first quarter touchdown in that game but actually held the Bombers out of the end zone until late in the third quarter after that. Here, they'll face a Ti-Cats offense that is still without its best player in QB Jeremiah Masoli. Backup Dane Evans has done an admirable job filling in for Masoli, but has also been turnover prone, tossing four interceptions compared to five touchdowns. Hamilton has played it fairly close to the vest with Evans under center and that doesn't work particularly well here in a road favorite role traveling across the country off an easy win in Ottawa. Take B.C. (10*). |
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08-23-19 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton -6.5 | 34-28 | Loss | -107 | 60 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Edmonton minus the points over Winnipeg at 9 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the Eskimos as they host the banged-up Blue Bombers on Friday night. Winnipeg will be forced to go without QB Matt Nichols after he suffered an injury in last week's win over B.C. While Chris Streveler is a fine backup and more of a dual-threat, much of his success came when opponents didn't have tape on him early last season. I'm confident the Eskimos will come up with a gameplan to slow Streveler and the Bombers offense here. It's also worth noting that Bombers RB Andrew Harris is dealing with an elbow injury. Edmonton had a true 'get right' performance last week, as its offense finally broke out in a 41-26 win over the Argos. Expect some carry-over from that game here as the Esks roll past the Bombers. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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08-23-19 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton OVER 46 | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Winnipeg and Edmonton at 9 pm et on Friday. The last time these two teams met in late June, we saw a closing total in the high-50's. Now we're dealing with a much lower number - too low in my opinion. The big reason for the total drop is the injury to Blue Bombers QB Matt Nichols. Backup Chris Streveler is certainly capable even if he hasn't passed the ball as well this season as he did a year ago when he was pressed into action early in the season. Note that Streveler has 15 rushing touchdowns going back to the start of last season. The Eskimos offense finally exploded, just as we've been expecting them to for weeks, in last week's blowout win over the Argos. Now they're back home eager to exact a little revenge against the Bombers after settling for seven field goals in their last meeting. Eskimos QB Trevor Harris continues to march the football up and down the field and last week he finally started connecting in the end zone. Expect some carry-over from that performance. Take the over (10*). |
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08-16-19 | Edmonton v. Toronto OVER 50.5 | Top | 41-26 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Edmonton and Toronto at 7:30 pm et on Friday. We missed the mark with the 'over' the last time these two teams met back on July 25th but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play in the rematch. Since posting that 26-0 win over the Argos, the Eskimos have struggled to put points on the board, scoring just 34 points in splitting games against the Stampeders and Redblacks. With that being said, they do continue to march the football up and down the field with QB Trevor Harris completing 62-of-82 passes for over 700 yards over the last two games alone. I'm confident the Eskimos can get their groove back offensively against a weak Argos defense here. On the flip side, we saw Toronto gain a ton of confidence in a come-from-behind 28-27 win over the Blue Bombers two weeks ago. QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson broke loose in that game, throwing for 343 yards and three touchdowns while also rushing for 44 yards. There's no question the Eskimos are a formidable defensive opponent, but are they as good as they've been in the last three games, where they have given up just 36 points? I'm not so sure. Take the over (10*). |
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08-15-19 | BC v. Winnipeg UNDER 53.5 | 16-32 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between B.C. and Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. We're working with a higher total than the last time these two teams met back in June, due in part to 56 points being scored in that contest, and also the fact that the Lions are coming off a wild 35-34 loss in Hamilton last week (we won with B.C. in that game). Here I'm anticipating a lower-scoring game than most are expecting. B.C. has actually fared well defensively for extended stretches lately. Last week we saw the Lions give up an early first quarter touchdown, but then didn't allow another offensive touchdown until the final four minutes of the fourth quarter. The Blue Bombers offense has been lagging a bit lately. Despite pulling out a 26-24 win over Calgary last week, they didn't score a single offensive touchdown. While the Winnipeg defense has also let up somewhat in recent weeks, it catches a favorable matchup here as the Lions have never really figured things out with Mike Reilly at the helm. He continues to pad the stat sheet but too many mistakes have kept the Lions from truly breaking out offensively. The last time B.C. faced Winnipeg it didn't manage an offensive touchdown until three minutes into the third quarter and then never found the end zone again. Take the under (10*). |
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08-10-19 | BC +11 v. Hamilton | 34-35 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on B.C. plus the points over Hamilton at 7 pm et on Saturday. The Lions have been absolutely dreadful this season but I believe they're being given way too many points as they travel across the country to face the Ti-Cats on Saturday. Keep in mind, Hamilton has already lost its starting QB Jeremiah Masoli to injury. Without him, it struggled to accomplish anything offensively last week in Calgary. Now the Ti-Cats are being asked to lay double-digits. The Lions are actually one of the healthiest teams in the league and they're coming off their bye week. RB Brandon Rutley will miss, but other than that, they've got away generally unscathed. We don't need an outright win from the Lions here, or anything close. I believe QB Mike Reilly will will them into a ball game on Saturday night. Take B.C. (10*). |
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08-09-19 | Ottawa v. Edmonton OVER 47.5 | 12-16 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Ottawa and Edmonton at 10 pm et on Friday. We missed the mark with the 'over' in the Eskimos loss in Calgary last week but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. Edmonton actually marched the football up and down the field at times in that game, with QB Trevor Harris throwing for 373 yards and a pair of touchdowns. This is an offense that has been somewhat snake-bitten this season with a number of potentially game-changing plays called back due to penalties, as well as drives ending with untimely turnovers. Here, I do see this as a smash spot for the Eskimos offense against a weak Redblacks defense. Ottawa has proven it can hang, however, and welcomed QB Dominique Davis back from injury in last week's overtime win over the Alouettes. That victory snapped a four-game skid in which the Redblacks hadn't scored 20 points. Needless to say, they should enter this game with a renewed sense of confidence. The 'under' has cashed in each of Edmonton's last five games, but that only serves to give us a more reasonable total to work with here. Take the over (10*). |
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08-09-19 | Ottawa v. Edmonton -8.5 | Top | 12-16 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Month. My selection is on Edmonton minus the points over Ottawa at 10 pm et on Friday. Bettors will likely be hesitant to back the Eskimos here after they fell as a road favorite in Calgary last week, not to mention the Redblacks overtime victory in Montreal. With that being said, I see this as a smash spot for the Eskimos offense against a very beatable Redblacks defense. Edmonton QB Trevor Harris continues to light it up even if his offense has been somewhat snake-bitten as far as finding the end zone goes. Harris threw for 373 yards and two touchdowns in last week's narrow loss to the Stamps. The Redblacks didn't score an offensive touchdown until the third quarter against the Alouettes last week. They've had a tough time with consistency on offense due in large part to a depleted backfield that has seen a lot of moving parts. RB Mossis Madu remains sidelined. When these two teams squared off in Edmonton last year, the Eskimos pasted the Redblacks 34-16. Trevor Harris will certainly be highly-motivated to hand it to his former squad. The Eskimos are 3-4 ATS on the season but 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS at home, where they've won their last two games by a combined 65-23 score. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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08-03-19 | Edmonton v. Calgary OVER 46 | 18-24 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Edmonton and Calgary at 7 pm et on Saturday. I can't help but think this low posted total is an overreaction to some low-scoring games involving these two teams lately. The Eskimos cruised to a 26-0 win over the Argos last week and have seen each of their last three games total less than 40 points. Last week, the Edmonton offense really didn't have to force the issue at all, jumping ahead early and never looking back. I'm not sure that will be the case here. The Stampeders are coming off back-to-back wins - games that totaled just 42 and 33 points. QB Nick Arbuckle has seemed a little tentative at times in place of the injured Bo Levi Mitchell but he undoubtedly has big shoes to fill. I do think we'll see a better performance from the Stamps offense playing on an extra long week here, having not played since last Thursday. This isn't the same explosive Calgary offense we've seen in years' past, but it is still capable of busting out here at home. Keep in mind, while the Stamps managed only 17 points last week, Arbuckle did complete 30-of-37 passes for 370 yards while RB Kadeem Carey rushed for 70 yards on only nine carries. Take the over (10*). |
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08-01-19 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan UNDER 50.5 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 34 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Hamilton and Saskatchewan at 9:30 pm et on Thursday. I really like the way this one sets up as a relatively low-scoring affair in Regina on Thursday night. The Riders have seen back-to-back games play 'over' the total, scoring 83 points themselves in the process. Keep in mind, those two contests came against the one-win Lions (their only victory came against winless Toronto). Here, the Riders face a much tougher challenge as they welcome the Ti-Cats. Hamilton absolutely manhandled a previously rolling Blue Bombers offense last week, holding them to only 15 points in a hard-fought victory. I don't envision much of a letdown here as Saskatchewan will certainly have the Ti-Cats attention off back-to-back strong offensive showings. Note that Hamilton lost QB Jeremiah Masoli to injury last week so it will be up to Dane Evans to steer the offense now. Playing on a short week I can't see Hamilton really opening up the playbook for Evans. The Riders defense hasn't been great by any means, but they do catch the Ti-Cats in a favorable spot after losing Masoli. Saskatchewan, of course, lost its starting QB Zach Collaros in the first game of the season and has been going with Cody Fajardo ever since. He has been good, but not great, throwing seven touchdowns compared to four interceptions. The Riders have faced a rather soft schedule with three of their first six games coming against the Argos and Lions. Take the under (10*). |
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08-01-19 | Winnipeg v. Toronto OVER 48 | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 30 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Winnipeg and Toronto at 7 pm et on Thursday. The first meeting between these two teams totaled 69 points in Winnipeg back on July 12th. We're actually dealing with a lower posted total than we saw for that one, largely due to the ineptitude of the Argos offense. Toronto's last two games have totaled just 42 and 26 points with the Argos held off the scoreboard entirely in their loss in Edmonton last week. The Argos were able to move the football somewhat consistently in their first matchup against the Blue Bombers, however, and I do feel they catch Winnipeg in a letdown spot here, coming off its first loss of the season in a showdown with the Ti-Cats last week. Toronto's defense has seemingly gotten better lately, but it also hasn't really been involved in any close games to really test its mettle. Winnipeg had no trouble at all terrorizing the Argos defense earlier in the season and while I'm not counting on the Bombers to hang another 40+ spot on the board, I am confident they can have continued success. The 'over' has cashed in seven straight meetings and this is the lowest posted total we've seen over that stretch. Take the under (10*). |
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07-27-19 | Saskatchewan v. BC +3.5 | Top | 45-18 | Loss | -114 | 97 h 59 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Year. My selection is on B.C. plus the points over Saskatchewan at 7 pm et on Saturday. Saskatchewan defeated B.C. just last week but that was a strange game as the Lions actually outgained the Riders in terms of total yardage and had a decisive edge in first downs as well. Save for a stinker against the Eskimos two weeks ago, Lions QB Mike Reilly has looked more and more comfortable running the offense, last week completing 31-of-40 passes for 346 yards while also running for 32 yards and a score. RB Brandon Rutley enjoyed a breakout performance of sorts against the Riders, running for 73 yards on 13 carries. While the Lions did give up a whopping 38 points in last week's loss, they actually held the Riders offense out of the end zone from just over midway through the first quarter until the final two minutes of the third quarter. Things came unglued in the fourth quarter but B.C. can hang its hat on the fact that it allowed Riders QB Cody Fajardo to complete only 17 passes and picked him off twice. Outside of that victory, Saskatchewan's only other win this season came against the lowly Argos, who are arguably worse than the Lions. B.C. has now outgained three of its last four opponents and I believe it's only a matter of time before it all comes together for this squad. While Saskatchewan has owned this series recently, it's been a long time since the Riders were last favored in a game played here in Vancouver. I simply feel the oddsmakers are undervaluing what will be a desperate Lions squad on Saturday. Take B.C. (10*). |
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07-25-19 | Toronto v. Edmonton OVER 52.5 | Top | 0-26 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 55 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Edmonton at 9:30 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'under' in the Eskimos 20-10 loss in Montreal last Saturday but I expect a different story to unfold as Edmonton returns home to host the winless Argos on Thursday night. Edmonton has been held out of the end zone in each of its two losses this season but that hasn't been for lack of trying. The Eskimos had plenty of opportunities to punch it in last week and even had a touchdown called back due to a holding penalty. QB Trevor Harris threw an uncharacteristic two interceptions in last week's loss but should bounce back against a weaker opponent here. Note that Harris threw for nearly 400 yards and a pair of touchdowns the last time he faced the Argos as a member of the Redblacks last season. He's had plenty of success against Toronto over the course of his career. On the flip side, the Argos came up short once again last week, falling by a 26-16 score in Calgary. QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson did march the football up and down the field in that game, throwing for 343 yards and a pair of touchdowns, but also turned the football over a whopping four times. The Eskimos defense can get after opposing quarterbacks but certainly isn't the same type of ball-hawking unit as the Stamps possess. With RB James Wilder Jr. injured, Brandon Burks will take over backfield duties for Toronto and I do feel he's better-suited for the CFL game as a true scat back. We saw a pair of low-scoring games between these two squads last year but prior to that their last four meetings had reached 57 points or more. Expect a return to 'normal' in this series here. Take the over (10*). |
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07-25-19 | Calgary v. Ottawa UNDER 51 | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 49 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Calgary and Ottawa at 7 pm et on Thursday. I'm not anticipating a lot of offensive fireworks when the injury-plagued Stampeders and Redblacks do battle on Thursday night in Ottawa. Calgary's offense continues to lag with elite QB Bo Levi Mitchell sidelined. Keep in mind, they're still missing their best running back in Don Jackson as well. If anything, we've seen regression from the Stamps offensive unit over the last couple of weeks, after QB Nick Arbuckle had shown some flashes of brilliance in his first appearance this season. As much as they would like to open up the offense here, I'm still not sure Arbuckle has a complete grasp of the playbook. The Redblacks put up just a single point in last week's loss against arguably the best team in the league in Winnipeg. QB Jonathan Jennings was truly awful in his first start in the absence of Dominique Davis. Ottawa got off to a tremendous start this season but that was largely due to the arm (and legs) of Davis. Here, I expect the Redblacks to take a rather conservative approach against a Stampeders defense that leads the league in turnovers and racked up four interceptions last week. These two teams combined to put up 60 points back in Week 1 but the key players in that game were Davis, Mitchell and Redblacks RB Mossis Madu, who is also now sidelined due to injury. None of last year's three meetings between these two teams, including the Grey Cup, reached more than 43 total points. Take the under (10*). |
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07-20-19 | Edmonton v. Montreal UNDER 54.5 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 27 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Montreal at 4 pm et on Saturday. This is a bit of a tough spot for the Eskimos as they stay on the road for a third straight game and travel east to face the upstart Alouettes in Montreal. Having allowed 28 points or less in all four games so far this season, I do expect the Esks defense to hold up well. The Als are fresh off back-to-back breakout offensive performances, scoring exactly 36 points in wins over the Ti-Cats and Redblacks. I do think the Als offense caught both of those defenses flat-footed, but that isn't likely to be the case against a better defensive squad in the Eskimos here. Note that Edmonton held Mike Reilly and the B.C. Lions to only six points in last week's blowout victory. Much of the Montreal's offensive success has come on the legs of RB William Stanback. With that being said, Edmonton has done a tremendous job of keeping its opponent's top rushers at bay, holding John White (twice) and Andrew Harris under 50 yards on the ground in its last three contests. The Esks did allow Stanback to gain 76 rushing yards in their first meeting with the Als this season but that was on the strength of one 42-yard run. You can be sure they'll be keying on slowing down the Als lead back this week. Montreal is certainly familiar with Eskimos QB Trevor Harris from his days with the Redblacks. Note that the Als three games against Ottawa last year totaled just 46, 41 and 32 points. Montreal has certainly improved defensively as this season has gone on with a knack for turning the football over. With that in mind, we can expect Edmonton to employ a smart offensive gameplan with a focus on taking care of the football. The first matchup between these two teams totaled 57 points this season, but it's worth noting that game saw a wild 31-point fourth quarter. We're dealing with a considerably higher posted total this time around, and I'm not sure the shift is warranted. Take the under (10*). |
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07-18-19 | Toronto v. Calgary -11.5 | 16-26 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary minus the points over Toronto at 9 pm et on Thursday. The Argos are off to one of the worst starts we've seen in recent CFL memory and I don't envision a turnaround in Calgary on Thursday night. Toronto lost by "only" 27 points last week in Winnipeg but the damage could have been far worse were it not for the Blue Bombers taking their foot off the gas at halftime. Winnipeg jumped ahead 31-0 before the Argos staged a mini-rally (if we can even call it that) in that game. While Toronto's offense has shown some improvement, it will run into a tough opponent in Calgary this week. The Stampeders have been doing an excellent job of getting after opposing quarterbacks, racking up nine sacks over their last two games alone. While they did give up 30 points in a loss in Hamilton last week, they actually held Ti-Cats Jeremiah Masoli to under 200 yards passing and limited the Hamilton ground game to fewer than 70 rushing yards. They should feast on a one-dimensional Argos offense that hasn't shown any ability whatsoever to run the football. Offensively, the Stamps aren't at full strength with QB Bo Levi Mitchell and RB Don Jackson sidelined. QB Nick Arbuckle did settle in last week, however, throwing for 368 yards on 24 pass completions. There's reason to believe they'll be able to get their ground game going here as well, considering Toronto is allowing over six yards per rush this season. Take Calgary (10*). |
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07-13-19 | Calgary v. Hamilton -4 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Hamilton minus the points over Calgary at 7 pm et on Saturday. It's been a long time since the Ti-Cats defeated the Stampeders but it's also been a long time since they've been favored in this matchup. Injuries on Calgary's side have opened the door for the Ti-Cats to be favored here, and I look for them to take advantage. The Stampeders are coming off a blowout win in Saskatchewan last week as they caught the Riders flat-footed. Keep in mind, QB Nick Arbuckle completed just 19 passes in that victory. The defense did most of the heavy-lifting. The Ti-Cats are coming off a tough loss in Montreal last week. They certainly weren't sharp in that one, perhaps suffering a letdown following three straight wins to open the season. I do look for them to bounce back here. It's worth noting that they're expected to have WR Bralon Addison back on the field. He's been a breakout star this season but was injured and missed last week's loss. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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07-13-19 | Calgary v. Hamilton UNDER 55.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Calgary and Hamilton at 7 pm et on Saturday. Calgary is missing a number of key cogs on offense right now but its defense has certainly stemmed the tide, including a stellar performance last week in Saskatchewan - a game in which it allowed just 10 points. The Stamps defense will need to be good again this week as I'm not sure it's offense is good enough right now to win a shootout with the Ti-Cats. Hamilton did not play well on either side of the football in last week's loss in Montreal. I look for the Ti-Cats to bounce back here, noting their defense catches a break not having to face Stamps QB Bo Levi Mitchell or RB Don Jackson. In their two previous home games this season, the Ti-Cats gave up a grand total of just 27 points. Take the under (10*). |
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07-11-19 | Edmonton v. BC +3.5 | Top | 33-6 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Week. My selection is on B.C. plus the points over Edmonton at 10 pm et on Thursday. I'll grab the points with the Lions in this one as they look to avenge a 39-23 loss suffered against the Eskimos earlier this season (we won with Edmonton in that game). We successfully faded the Lions last week as well, grabbing the points with the Argos in a game that went right down to the wire. It wasn't a stellar performance from B.C., but it did manage to string together a pair of second half touchdown drives and didn't allow an offensive touchdown until the final minute of the fourth quarter. Now the Lions return home for the first time since their season-opening loss to the still-undefeated Blue Bombers. I'm not sure the Eskimos bye week came at the best time as they were off their first loss of the season - a game in which they failed to score an offensive touchdown. Keep in mind, Edmonton hasn't won here in Vancouver since October of 2017, when it needed overtime to secure the victory. QB Mike Reilly is getting more comfortable in the Lions offense with each passing week. I like the Lions chances here. Take B.C. (10*). |
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07-06-19 | BC v. Toronto +8 | 18-17 | Win | 100 | 33 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over B.C. at 7 pm et on Saturday. We cashed a ticket fading the Argos on Monday in Regina but I won't hesitate to go the other way and back Toronto as it returns home to host winless B.C. The Lions should bounce back here, but should is the operative word. The transition to Mike Reilly hasn't really been a smooth one and let's face it, the B.C. defense has been awful when it's mattered most. Last week the Lions gave up two touchdowns in the final two minutes to fall by a 36-32 score in Calgary, after the Stamps lost QB Bo-Levi Mitchell to injury earlier in the game. Toronto hasn't looked good through two games and now it will have to go without QB James Franklin for a while. I still think the Argos have enough talent to compete, however, and it's surely worth noting that they were at least competitive here at home last season, going 4-5 SU. That included a victory over the Lions in an underdog role. The underdog has gone 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings in this series. Take Toronto (10*). |
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07-05-19 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa OVER 53 | Top | 29-14 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 12 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Winnipeg and Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'under' in Winnipeg last week as the Blue Bombers defeated the Eskimos. I won't hesitate to switch gears here as the Bombers play outside the West Division for the first time this season, traveling to Ottawa to face the upstart Redblacks. The Bombers are in midseason form offensively, having scored 61 points through their first two games with QB Matt Nichols throw for six touchdowns and just one interception. Last week against Edmonton they scored a pair of offensive touchdowns in both the first and third quarter. They did let the Eskimos back in the game in the fourth quarter but I look for them to do a better job of keeping their foot on the gas offensively on the road this week. The Winnipeg defense bent but didn't break against Edmonton, allowing a whopping seven field goals. It has actually allowed just one offensive touchdown through two games, but keep in mind, the Bombers season-opener came against a Lions offense that was still working out the kinks with new QB Mike Reilly. Ottawa has come storming out of the gates offensively this season, scoring 76 points in wins over Calgary and Saskatchewan. Unlike the Eskimos, who ran the football just four times on the Bombers last week, we can expect the Redblacks to pound the football with some success on Friday night. Dual-threat quarterbacks have long had success in this league and now it's Boston College alum Dominique Davis' turn. After a shaky debut that saw him throw four interceptions against Calgary, he bounced back to throw for 354 yards and three touchdowns (and no interceptions) last time out. I'm not sure the Bombers defense is as good as it has shown so far. The Redblacks won't shy away from a shootout here. Take the over (10*). |
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07-05-19 | Winnipeg +4 v. Ottawa | 29-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Friday. I think the Redblacks will be hard-pressed to win this game let alone cover the number. Both teams check in with flawless records but the Blue Bombers have a lot more upside in my opinion. I actually think Winnipeg could have inflicted a lot more damage against Edmonton last week but because it succeeded in holding the Eskimos to field goals on most drives, it didn't need to really keep its foot on the gas offensively. QB Matt Nichols didn't have a great game, completing only 13 passes, but again he didn't need to be perfect. I expect a much bigger game from him stat-wise on Friday night. The Redblacks two victories have masked the fact that they've allowed a whopping 69 points through two games. They've allowed at least 29 points in four of their last five meetings with the Bombers and haven't defeated Winnipeg here at home since 2015. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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07-04-19 | Hamilton v. Montreal OVER 56.5 | 29-36 | Win | 100 | 22 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Hamilton and Montreal at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'under' in this matchup last week but I'll go the other way and back the 'over' as the scene shifts to Montreal this week. The Tiger-Cats scored 41 points in that rout but the damage could have been far worse were it not for three interceptions thrown by QB Jeremiah Masoli. The Ti-Cats have now put up a whopping 105 points through two games and while they're not going to keep up that torrid pace I do believe they can hang another crooked number on the board against an undermanned Alouettes defense here. On the flip side, the Als offense was stymied last week but has the potential to bounce back here with QB Vernon Adams Jr. making his second consecutive start. It's easy to forget that two weeks ago the Als did put up 25 points against a good defense in Edmonton. RB Will Stanback has been a bright spot for the Als, gaining seven yards per rush through two games. Take the over (10*). |
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07-04-19 | Hamilton v. Montreal +12.5 | 29-36 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Hamilton at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. This line hasn't budged here on gameday so I'll go ahead and jump in with a play on the Alouettes now as I do expect them to turn in a far better showing than we saw last week in Hamilton. The Tiger-Cats haven't started a season with four straight wins since way back in 1989. The Als will certainly be highly-motivated to keep that streak going, noting that they're off to an 0-2 start and playing their home opener here on Thursday. Of note, the Ti-Cats will be without one of their best weapons on offense in WR Bralon Addison. Look for the Als to show up and hang inside the inflated number. Take Montreal (10*). |
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07-01-19 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan -10 | 7-32 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Saskatchewan minus the points over Toronto at 7 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with the Riders as they aim for their first win of the season against Toronto on Monday. The Riders may be 0-2 but they've been competitive in both losses, both coming on the road against quality opponents in Hamilton and Ottawa. Now they get a chance to face one of the East's weakest teams in the Argos. Toronto was handed a 64-14 beatdown against the rival Ti-Cats last week. It was a truly terrible showing for the Argos in their home-opener and while they'll undoubtedly turn in a better effort on Monday, I'm still not sure it will be enough to stay inside the number. The Riders simply have more upside on both sides of the football right now, even with QB Zach Collaros sidelined. Cody Fajardo is no rookie north of the border, and he certainly showed his ability in last week's shootout with the Redblacks. Take Saskatchewan (10*). |
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06-29-19 | BC v. Calgary OVER 52.5 | 32-36 | Win | 100 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between B.C. and Calgary at 7 pm et on Saturday. We're getting a discounted total here thanks to the fact that these two teams have looked unimpressive in dropping their first three games combined. The Lions have yet to top 23 points, scoring that identical total in each of their first two contests. I do think it's only a matter of time before their offense gets rolling, however. Keep in mind, they brought in one of the league's best quarterbacks in Mike Reilly during the offseason. There were going to be some kinks to be worked out to be sure. Defensively, the Lions have certainly struggled. Last week they allowed four offensive touchdowns against the Eskimos - a team we saw Winnipeg hold at bay last night. The Stampeders fell by a 32-28 score at home against the Redblacks in their season-opener two weeks ago. They gave up north of 30 points in that contest despite racking up four interceptions which is more than a little concerning. The Stamps offense will be fine, even after losing some key pieces from last year's team. Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 275 yards and a score against Ottawa, but didn't get much help at all from the ground game. I'm confident we'll see RB Don Jackson bounce back with a big performance here. Take the over (10*). |
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06-28-19 | Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 58.5 | Top | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Montreal and Hamilton at 7:30 pm et on Friday. Coming off a 64-point explosion against the Argos last week, the Ti-Cats enter this game with some serious momentum. Keep in mind, that was a complete collapse from the Argos. In Hamilton's first game this season it scored just one offensive touchdown in a relatively low-scoring 23-17 win over Saskatchewan. We've only seen the Alouettes play one game - a 32-25 loss in Edmonton. In that game, Montreal scored a touchdown late in the first quarter but then didn't find the end zone again until the game was already out of hand in the fourth quarter. It wasn't a great defensive showing from the Als, but they did turn in a couple of solid stretches in the game, not allowing the Eskimos to score a touchdown until over midway through the second quarter and then giving up just a safety in the entire third quarter. I don't expect the Als offensive to thrive in this contest, noting that the Ti-Cats have allowed just three offensive touchdowns through their first two games. Take the under (10*). |
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06-27-19 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg -4.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Edmonton at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. We've cashed tickets with both the Eskimos and Blue Bombers this season but I believe Winnipeg is the way to go as it hosts Edmonton on Thursday night. The Blue Bombers were certainly undervalued entering the season as they were installed as short underdogs in B.C. to open the campaign. The Bombers turned in about as complete of an effort as you could possibly expect in that game. After enjoying their bye week, they'll have no shortage of motivation here as they face the 2-0 Eskimos. Edmonton has had the benefit of playing its first two games at home, and against a pair of squads working out some major kinks in the Alouettes and Lions. In their lone previous contest, we didn't see the Bombers allow an offensive touchdown until well into the third quarter. Look for another superb effort from Winnipeg here. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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06-27-19 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg UNDER 58 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. Most are expecting a shootout between the Eskimos and Blue Bombers on Thursday night and why not after we saw a ton of points scored with all three games going 'over' the total last week. I simply have a lot of respect for both of these defenses and believe we'll see this one played a little closer to the vest with both Edmonton and Winnipeg checking in undefeated - even if it is still very early in the season. The Eskimos have benefited from playing their first two games at home. Meanwhile, the Bombers will be suiting up for the first time in two weeks. It all adds up to a lower-scoring affair than most are anticipating on Thursday. Take the under (10*). |
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06-22-19 | Hamilton v. Toronto +4.5 | 64-14 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Hamilton at 4 pm et on Saturday. The Argos have undergone a lot of change since last season but that's not a bad thing as their 2018 campaign was an absolute train-wreck. I expect them to take the field with renewed optimism in their 2019 opener and I can't help but think this line has gotten out of whack. The Ti-Cats are coming off a win over the Roughriders in their opener last week but it's worth noting they didn't find the end zone until the second quarter, and then never scored another offensive touchdown in the game. Just not sure we ever see them pull away in this one. Take Toronto (10*). |
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06-22-19 | Hamilton v. Toronto UNDER 53 | 64-14 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Hamilton and Toronto at 4 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' at BMO Field on Saturday afternoon. We don't have a lot to go on as far as the Argos offense is concerned as they've yet to play a game this season and underwent lots of changes across the board in the offseason. With that being said, I do expect to see their defense come out with a lot of energy as they look to put a dismal 2018 season behind them. Note that the Ti-Cats didn't reach the end zone until the second quarter in last week's game against Saskatchewan, and after that didn't score another offensive touchdown in the game. Meanwhile, the Ti-Cats defense got better as that game went on, giving up a pair of first half touchdowns before keeping the Riders out of the end zone the rest of the way (that game reached only 40 total points). We've seen lots of offense in the first two games this week but I expect a different story to unfold on Saturday. Take the under (10*). |
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06-21-19 | BC v. Edmonton -4 | Top | 23-39 | Win | 100 | 47 h 27 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Month. My selection is on Edmonton minus the points over B.C. at 9 pm et on Friday. The Mike Reilly era in B.C. got off to a tough start last week as the Lions fell by a 33-23 score at home against the Blue Bombers (we won with Winnipeg in that game). While most expect the Lions to bounce back here with Reilly facing his former team, the line tells a different story with the Eskimos favored. I believe the oddsmakers have got it right as Edmonton looks to make it two in a row at home to open the season. I really think that the Eskimos are a bit of an overlooked commodity at this point. QB Trevor Harris always seems to carry a big chip on his shoulder and got his campaign off to a tremendous start last week, throwing for 447 yards and three touchdowns. He also ran for the game-winning touchdown. Keep in mind, it wasn't until the third quarter that the Lions actually scored an offensive touchdown last week against Winnipeg. That proved to be their only offensive touchdown of the game. There are going to be some kinks to work out as Reilly learns the B.C. offense (he threw a pair of interceptions last week). The Eskimos gave up only one touchdown in the first three quarters of last week's game against the Alouettes. While they'll be facing a much tougher challenge here, I'm confident they'll be up for it. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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06-21-19 | BC v. Edmonton UNDER 56 | 23-39 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between B.C. and Edmonton at 9 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in Edmonton on Friday night. This is being pegged as a shootout with two QBs in new placed as Mike Reilly returns to Edmonton as a member of the Lions to square off against former-Redblack Trevor Harris. While the Eskimos did put up 32 points in a win over the Alouettes last week, keep in mind they didn't score a touchdown until midway through the second quarter. In fact they were held to just two points in the first and third quarters and that was against a below-average Als defense. It's going to take some time for Reilly to get a real handle on the Lions offense and we certainly saw that on display last week as B.C. managed just one offensive touchdown in a 33-23 loss to the Blue Bombers. The Eskimos defense knows Reilly well and will certainly be amped up to spoil his return on Friday. Take the under (10*). |
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06-20-19 | Saskatchewan v. Ottawa UNDER 45 | Top | 41-44 | Loss | -124 | 61 h 36 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Saskatchewan and Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. Bettors are lining up to back the 'under' in the CFL Week 2 opener but that doesn't mean it's the wrong play. We won with the 'under' in the Roughriders season-opening loss in Hamilton and I won't hesitate to go right back to the well with the same play here. The Riders scored a touchdown just over three minutes into the game against the Ti-Cats last week, and added a rushing touchdown late in the first half. However, from there they could only muster a fourth quarter field goal and rouge, ultimately putting up just 17 points in the loss. Things don't figure to get much better as they stay on the road to face the Redblacks on Thursday. On a positive note, the Riders did hold a pretty good Ti-Cats offense to only one offensive touchdown in the loss (they also gave up a punt return TD). Ottawa was involved in a wild game in Calgary last week, putting up a whopping 32 points against a good Calgary defense. I expect the scoring to settle down here, however. Note that the Redblacks didn't find the end zone between 3:57 of the second quarter and 1:15 of the fourth quarter in that game. All of their touchdowns came by way of QB Dominique Davis runs. There's no question the Riders will look to take that away here. Despite allowing 28 points, the Redblacks actually limited the vaunted Stampeders offense to only one touchdown in the win. Take the under (10*). |
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06-15-19 | Winnipeg +1 v. BC | 33-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over B.C. at 10 pm et on Saturday. I'll fade the big offseason signing made by the Lions in QB Mike Reilly. The Blue Bombers have a pretty good QB of their own in Matt Nichols. I simply feel that Winnipeg is further along in its progression right now. The Bombers didn't exactly live up to expectations a year ago but I'm willing to 'buy low' on them here as they open their season in Vancouver. Look for a big game from the Bombers ground attack with their defense taking care of the rest. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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06-13-19 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton UNDER 49 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 70 h 59 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Saskatchewan and Hamilton at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. I absolutely love the way the total sets up in the opening game of the 2019 CFL season. The Roughriders welcome back oft-injured QB Zach Collaros but with a re-tooled running game and a banged-up receiving corps, I don't have high hopes for the Riders offense - at least not early in the season, and especially not against a solid Tiger-Cats defense that welcomes back plenty of talent. Saskatchewan's defense might have to carry the load early on this season and I believe this unit is being underrated. Don't sleep on the presence of NFL veteran punter, and Saskatchewan-native, Jon Ryan who is still capable of flipping the field. The Ti-Cats are brimming with talent on both sides of the football, with their offense gaining much of the attention. Don't count on them displaying mid-season form here in Week 1, however. QB Jeremiah Masoli turned in an up-and-down half of football in the Ti-Cats preseason finale against the Argos last week. The Hamilton secondary should be especially motivated for this one after a poor showing in that loss to Toronto. The Ti-Cats have the potential to have one of the best defenses in the CFL this season and I look for them to get off to a strong start with a favorable matchup here. Take the under (10*). |
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08-09-18 | Edmonton v. BC OVER 53.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
CFL West Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Edmonton and B.C. at 10 pm et on Thursday. The last meeting between these two teams produced 63 points back on June 29th in Edmonton. I don't expect much different on Thursday as the Eskimos and Lions renew acquaintances in Vancouver. B.C. continues to struggle to find the win column but has covered the spread in three straight games and its offense has slowly been rounding back into form with QB Travis Lulay back in the fold. Note that the Lions have scored at least 22 points in nine straight meetings in this series, which is no small feat against an always solid Eskimos defense. Edmonton has absolutely torched the Lions defense, scoring at least 30 points in four straight meetings in the series. The Eskimos roll into this matchup having won three games in a row, scoring 70 points in their last two games. Take the over (10*). |
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07-27-18 | Toronto +10.5 v. Winnipeg | 14-40 | Loss | -117 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Friday night. The Argos have a shot at some fast revenge against the Blue Bombers on Friday night, after falling by 18 points at home against Winnipeg last time out. I certainly feel that the Argos are better on both sides of the football than they've shown so far this season. QB James Franklin has made some progress since taking over for veteran Ricky Ray. Keep in mind, he guided the Argos to a victory over the Eskimos before falling by a single point against them on the road one week later. The Blue Bombers have alternated good and bad performances this season. They'll be looking to string together back-to-back victories for the first time. I'm just not sure they're any better than a .500 team at this point. Take Toronto (10*). |
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07-21-18 | Montreal v. Calgary OVER 48.5 | 8-25 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Montreal and Calgary at 9 pm et on Saturday. All of the trends point to the 'under' in this one but I'm going to go the other way and back the 'over'. The Als have been trending up offensively, scoring 23 and 18 points in their last two games. Meanwhile, the Stampeders have been playing outstanding football defensively, but I'm not sure how long they can keep it up. In fact, I'm anticipating a bit of a letdown here. Offensively, the Stamps continue to roll along and while QB Bo Levi Mitchell's health is a bit of a question mark here, I'm not sure it matters who is under center, they'll produce against the Als porous defense. Take the over (10*). |
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07-20-18 | BC v. Ottawa OVER 53 | Top | 25-29 | Win | 100 | 47 h 13 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between B.C. and Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Friday. With both teams coming off relatively low-scoring affairs last week I absolutely love the way the 'over' sets up on Friday night. B.C. welcomed back QB Travis Lulay and eked out a 20-17 home victory over Winnipeg. That put an end to a string of back-to-back 'over' results for the Lions. Lulay certainly didn't hold anything back in his return, airing out 41 passes and throwing for 326 yards, one touchdown and one interception. A key here is the fact that the Lions will be without one of the league's best defenders in LB Solomon Elimimian. Ottawa put forth a dreadful offensive performance last week, scoring just three points in a rout at the hands of the Stampeders. Keep in mind, just two games back, the Redblacks scored 28 points against Montreal. Calgary has really been the only opponent to keep the Ottawa offense in check this season. Note that the 'over' has gone 2-0-1 in the last three meetings in this series with each of those games reaching at least 55 total points. Take the over (10*). |
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07-12-18 | Calgary v. Ottawa +3.5 | 27-3 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ottawa plus the points over Calgary at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. I’ll grab the points with the Redblacks on Thursday night as they aim to get back at the Stampeders after falling by 10 points in Calgary two weeks ago. Since that loss, the Redblacks have rebounded with a 10-point win of their own in Montreal last week. The loss to the Stamps remains the one blemish on their record so far this season. Meanwhile, Calgary remains undefeated but I believe they’re in a bit of a tough spot here, traveling off their bye week, and facing a non-division opponent. I am a believer that there is some parity in the CFL and that any team can win or lose in any given week. With that said, the Stamps have reeled off three straight ATS victories to open the campaign. At the very least I expect the Redblacks to take this one down to the wire on Thursday night. Take Ottawa (10*). |
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07-07-18 | BC v. Winnipeg -6 | 19-41 | Win | 100 | 33 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over B.C. at 8:30 pm et on Saturday. It's worth noting that the straight-up winner has gone an incredible 40-3-1 ATS in the Lions last 44 games overall, including a perfect 2-0 mark so far this season. In this spot, I like the Bombers to prevail as they welcome QB Matt Nichols back from injury. Given they had a true rookie in there for the first three games, the return of Nichols is big, and all indications are that he's 100% healthy and has looked sharp in practice this week. The Lions have been inconsistent out of the gate this season and that's the type of play I would expect from them throughout the campaign. B.C. did prevail in its last trip to Winnipeg last season but I expect a different story to unfold here. The Bombers hung tough in their home opener against Edmonton, even without Nichols. Look for them to even their record at 2-2 on Saturday night. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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07-06-18 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 48.5 | 28-18 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between Ottawa and Montreal at 7:30 pm et on Friday. We won with the Alouettes last weekend as they pulled out a double-digit underdog victory over Saskatchewan. I won’t hesitate to switch gears and look at the total this week as they return home to host the Redblacks. The Montreal offense has stumbled out of the gate this season. That’s probably an understatement. With that being said, I don’t believe the Als defense is as good as it showed last week, and think the offense will do a good job picking up the slack against a middle of the road Ottawa defense on Friday. The Redblacks will be playing just their third game of the season on Friday and it’s been a mixed bag so far – particularly on offense. This is certainly a favorable bounce-back spot following a loss in Calgary last week and I’m confident we’ll see the Ottawa offense perform well. QB Trevor Harris wasn’t able to follow up on a strong season debut but there’s a big difference between facing the Stampeders and Alouettes. I believe the oddsmakers have this total set a shade too low. Take the over (10*). |
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07-05-18 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan UNDER 51 | 13-18 | Win | 100 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Hamilton and Saskatchewan at 9 pm et on Thursday. Both of these teams check in with identical 1-2 o/u records and I look for that early season trend to continue on Thursday night in Regina. Hamilton is coming off back-to-back 30+ point performances but I look for that streak to end here. Jeremiah Masoli is certainly playing well right now under center, and doing an excellent job of keeping Johnny Manziel on the sidelines. With that being said, I'm not sure this is an elite Ti-Cats offense and they'll be facing a Riders defense that knows it has to step up its game with the offense hindered without QB Zach Collaros. The Saskatchewan defense didn't give up much but the Riders still fell by a 23-17 score at home against the Alouettes last week. I'm not sure we're going to see much improvement from the Riders offense here with Brandon Bridge getting another start at QB. Take the under (10*). |
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06-30-18 | Montreal +10 v. Saskatchewan | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 48 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Saskatchewan at 9 pm et on Saturday. Consider this line an overreaction to the Alouettes dreadful start this season. Montreal has looked rather lifeless in suffering back-to-back losses to open the campaign but can’t feel too terrible about its chances as it heads to Regina to face a Riders squad reeling after a blowout loss in Ottawa last week. I really thought we would see a different Riders team show up against the Redblacks last week, but that wasn’t the case as they were caught flat-footed and ultimately steamrolled. Maybe they bounce back here, but I’m not sure they’ll be able to win by margin against what will certainly be a hungry and focused Als squad. Remember, prior to last week’s beatdown against the Blue Bombers, the Als did lose by only 12 points in their season opener against the Lions in B.C. They have the pieces to stick around in a matchup like this (and no shortage of motivation following last week’s embarrassing loss in their home opener) as far as I’m concerned. Take Montreal (10*). |
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06-29-18 | BC v. Edmonton UNDER 55.5 | Top | 22-41 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
CFL West Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the ‘under’ between B.C. and Edmonton at 10 pm et on Friday. Edmonton has been involved in a couple of high-scoring affairs to open the season, splitting those two games. I look for the Eskimos defense to step up on Friday night, however, as they welcome the Lions to Commonwealth Stadium. There’s no question the Eskimos defense is better than it has shown in the early going this season. This looks like a fine ‘get right’ game at home against a Lions offense that the jury is still out on, having only played one game – a 22-10 victory over a bad Alouettes squad back in Week 1. On the flip side, I’m confident the Lions defense can hold its own against an Edmonton offense that has yet to find its groove. The Eskimos scored points in bunches against Winnipeg in a wild season-opener but stumbled last week. It’s hard to say which offense we see on Friday night, but I do feel we’re dealing with an inflated total based on the Eskimos high-scoring contests so far. Take the under (10*). |
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06-28-18 | Ottawa +8 v. Calgary | 14-24 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ottawa plus the points over Calgary at 9 pm et on Thursday. The Stampeders are coming off back-to-back SU and ATS wins to open the season but what else is new? The Stamps are widely considered to be the favorite to win the Grey Cup, seemingly on an annual basis. This year is no different. With that being said, Ottawa just got its season underway last week and did a nice job making up for lost time, rolling past Saskatchewan by a 40-17 margin. I think this quote from Stamps head coach Dave Dickenson this week was telling, "They always start out the year, in my opinion, super-fast because it seems like their offence is clicking and they've been running the same type of stuff." The Redblacks have gone a perfect 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings in this series - cashing in an underdog role on all three occasions. Take Ottawa (10*). |
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06-22-18 | Winnipeg -3 v. Montreal | 56-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Montreal at 7 pm et on Friday. The Blue Bombers have been installed as road favorites for a reason in this one. Winnipeg battled hard but ultimately fell short in a wild, high-scoring affair against Edmonton last week. The good news is, Winnipeg has had a couple of extra days off to recover from that minor setback (it wasn’t a game it was expected to win) and should respond favorably here. The Alouettes weren’t close in a double-digit loss to the Lions in Vancouver last weekend. Simply put, it’s going to be a long season in Montreal. While I don’t love the prospect of backing a rookie quarterback in his first road start north of the border, I’m willing to make an exception here as I just think the Als are that bad. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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06-21-18 | Saskatchewan +2.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 17-40 | Loss | -106 | 47 h 56 m | Show |
CFL Non-Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Saskatchewan plus the points over Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. The Riders are off to a perfect start this season, defending their home field in an impressive 27-19 win over Toronto last week. They'll hit the road to face another East Division opponent this week and I look for a similar result. Note that the Riders are now 10-5 SU over their last 15 games going back to last season. They have a pretty solid track record against the Redblacks, having won four of five meetings since the start of the 2016 season. They won both games in Ottawa last season by a combined 49-37 score and have reeled off three straight victories in the nation's capital. I simply feel that Saskatchewan has more upside in this early stage of the 2018 season. Take Saskatchewan (10*). |
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06-16-18 | Hamilton v. Calgary UNDER 55 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Hamilton and Calgary at 7 pm et on Saturday. The Stampeders are certainly familiar with this Ti-Cats offense run by QB Jeremiah Masoli. Last year, Calgary took both meetings by a combined 88-26 score. Masoli didn't throw a single touchdown while tossing a pair of interceptions in those two contests. Obviously, the Ti-Cats QB will be feeling some heat here with Johnny Manziel waiting in the wings. I'm not sure Manziel's presence on the bench is a good thing for this Ti-Cats offense. Calgary is of course one of the league's elite teams and a serious Grey Cup contender. However, it's the opening week of the season. I'm just not sure we'll see the Stamps come out all guns blazing in their opener. Note that the 'under' has gone 16-5-1 in the Stamps last 22 season-openers. Take the under (10*). |
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06-14-18 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg UNDER 50 | 33-30 | Loss | -107 | 47 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. It's been years since these two West Division rivals have met this early in the season - in fact, they've never met this early as far as the calendar goes as the CFL is kicking off earlier than it ever has before in 2018. That aside, the last time the Eskimos and Blue Bombers met anywhere close to this early in the campaign was 2016 when they hooked up in Week 3 and the result was a 20-16 Eskimos victory here in Winnipeg. I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair to kick off the CFL season on Thursday night. The big news ahead of this one is the injury to Blue Bombers QB Matt Nichols. He is going to miss at least the first month of the season, leaving Winnipeg with Chris Streveler to start - a rookie out of the University of South Dakota. He'll be the first rookie out of college to start since Anthony Calvillo did so back in the early 90's. Don't count on the Bombers opening up the playbook for their unseasoned signal-caller. There's obviously a steep learning curve going from American to Canadian football. The good news for the Bombers is they do possess one of the league's best defenses, on paper at least. The addition of Adam Bighill is big (no pun intended) and I'm confident this unit will perform well in Thursday's opener, even as they face a tall task against arguably the best quarterback in the league in Mike Reilly. Take the under (10*). |
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09-03-17 | Winnipeg +3 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 51 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Month. My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over Saskatchewan at 4 pm et on Sunday. I really like the way this one sets up for the red hot Blue Bombers. Winnipeg is now 7-2 SU and ATS on the season after outlasting Montreal in overtime last time out. We cashed with the Bombers in that game and I won't hesitate to go back to the well in this spot. Yes, Saskatchewan has turned its campaign around, securing back-to-back wins over the Lions and Eskimos in the last two weeks. But let's face it, Edmonton handed that game to the Riders last week. The Eskimos were simply a no-show after suffering their first loss of the season the previous week (against the Bombers). I expect the Riders to face much more resistance in this matchup, noting that the Bombers have come away victorious in their last two trips to Saskatchewan. In fact, the Bombers haven't lost to the Riders since September of 2015. I can't help but feel the wrong team is favored in this matchup. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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08-25-17 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton OVER 53.5 | Top | 54-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 57 m | Show |
My selection is on the 'over' between Saskatchewan and Edmonton at 9:30 pm et on Friday. With Edmonton coming off its first loss of the season last week, I look for it to come out as the aggressor on Friday night as it welcomes the Riders to town. That should lend itself to a relatively high-scoring affair as the Riders have certainly shown they can put points on the board in a hurry with a pass-heavy offensive attack of late. Yes, Saskatchewan has struggled on the road this season, dropping double-digit decisions in Calgary and B.C. over its most recent stretch. However, the Riders are playing with some confidence after trouncing aforementioned B.C. last week and I think they may be catching the Eskimos at the right time. Edmonton wasn't going to keep up its undefeated season forever. After suffering its first loss I won't be surprised if we see it let down its guard a little in this spot, opening the door for the Riders offense. Defensively, I'm not sure Saskatchewan will have many answers for Eskimos QB Mike Reilly. Take the over (10*). |
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08-24-17 | Winnipeg v. Montreal | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg over Montreal at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. The Blue Bombers are rolling right now, winners of four games in a row. I don't see the Alouettes standing in their way on Thursday night, even with home field advantage. Winnipeg has actually scored in incredible 33 points or more in six consecutive games. Meanwhile, the Als have managed only 27 points in their last two contests. They've yet to win consecutive games this season and while they're not aiming for back-to-back victories here, I still don't like the spot. After facing the Argos in each of the last two weeks, they're taking a considerable step up in class here. The Bombers certainly won't overlook the Als, and they've enjoyed considerable success in Montreal. That success continues on Thursday. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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08-18-17 | Ottawa v. Hamilton +3.5 | Top | 37-18 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
CFL East Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Hamilton plus the points over Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Friday. Let's try this again. We missed the mark with the Ti-Cats last week as they simply couldn't hang with the Blue Bombers, but as we saw last night, Winnipeg is quickly becoming one of the league's elite teams. While the Redblacks are the defending Grey Cup champions, they're by no means an elite squad this season. Frustration continues to mount following a tough 27-20 home loss to the Eskimos last week and I'm not even sure that a date with the lowly Ti-Cats can help the Redblacks cause this week. At 1-6-1 on the campaign, there's little reason for Ottawa to be laying more than field goal (at the time of posting) on the road against anyone. Maybe the Redblacks right the ship, but I believe this is the spot where the Ti-Cats finally find the win column. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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08-17-17 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg +1 | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show |
CFL West Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over Edmonton at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. The Eskimos remain undefeated on the season but after watching them narrowly escape with a win in Ottawa last week, I'm not so sure they're playing their best football this season. Playing their second of back-to-back road games for the first time this season, I look for them to suffer their first defeat of the campaign in Winnipeg on Thursday night. The Blue Bombers are coming off a blowout win over a desperate Ti-Cats squad in Hamilton last week. They've now won three games in a row, scoring at least 33 points in each of their last five games. This is a team that is brimming with confidence and seems to be getting stronger with each passing week. The Eskimos may own the better overall record, but the Bombers have been the far better bet, going 5-2 ATS. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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08-12-17 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +2.5 | Top | 39-12 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
CFL Non-Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Hamilton plus the points over Winnipeg at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. Winnipeg is coming off a thrilling 33-30 win in Ottawa last week but let's face it, that was no real accomplishment as the Redblacks have really struggled to close out games this season. The Bombers have now won back-to-back games, but I believe three wins in a row may be a bit of a stretch. The Ti-Cats have yet to record a victory this season but did bounce back nicely from a disastrous 60-1 loss to the Stampeders with a narrow 33-28 loss on the road against the undefeated Eskimos last week. That marked Hamilton's first ATS victory on the campaign. This will be the Ti-Cats first home game since July 20th and I'm confident they'll bring their best effort. While Winnipeg has won the last two games in this series I don't believe that is a sustainable trend. The Ti-Cats are desperate and they get their first win in this spot. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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08-10-17 | Edmonton v. Ottawa UNDER 56 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. Don't be fooled by last week's wild 33-30 shootout loss to the Blue Bombers - the Redblacks offense hasn't been able to truly get rolling this season. Things won't get any easier as the undefeated Eskimos roll into town on Thursday night. On the flip side, Ottawa's defense is far better than it showed against Winnipeg last week. Look for the Redblacks defense to make a statement here. Edmonton hasn't allowed more than 28 points in a game this season, which is impressive considering this is the CFL after all. Having scored over 30 points in three straight games, I look for the Eskimos offense to take a step back this week. Take the under (10*). |
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08-04-17 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa UNDER 58.5 | 33-30 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and Ottawa at 7 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'under' in Ottawa on Friday night. We're dealing with a high total here largely due to the fact that the Blue Bombers have been involved in some absolute track meets lately, with their last two games totaling 87 and 81 points. I expect a different story to unfold here. Ottawa has reeled off three straight ATS wins, but still has just one SU victory on the season. The Redblacks have been idle since July 24th so they've had plenty of time to gameplan for the Bombers. Winnipeg certainly hasn't proven capable of slowing opposing offenses but this might be the right matchup as Ottawa has never really been able to get rolling offensively this season, scoring 25 points or less in each of its last four contests. Also note that the 'under' is 3-1 in the last four meetings in this series. Take the under (10*). |
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08-03-17 | Calgary v. Toronto UNDER 54.5 | Top | 41-24 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 47 m | Show |
CFL Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Calgary and Toronto at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Toronto on Thursday night. This play is as much about the number we're working with than anything else. It's simply too high. The Stampeders ran roughshod over the Ti-Cats at home last week, scoring a whopping 60 points in an absolute rout. Don't count on them enjoying the same level of success against an Argos squad that will be eager to bounce back following a tough road loss in Saskatchewan last Saturday. Not sure the short turnaround helps either team's cause in this non-division matchup. Toronto scored 32 points in its season-opener against Hamilton. It hasn't eclipsed 27 points since. After a rough start defensively, the Stamps have allowed just 51 points over their last four games. Last week was the first time in four games Calgary scored more than 29 points. Take the under (10*). |
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07-29-17 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan UNDER 53.5 | 27-38 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Saskatchewan at 6:30 pm et on Saturday. I'm not sure where all of the offense is going to come from in this matchup on Saturday. Neither team has much of a running game and while we'll see a battle between two veteran quarterbacks that have accomplished a lot in this league, both are on the downside of their careers and have what I would call average receiving corps to work with. The first two CFL tilts this week cruised 'over' the total but I believe we're working with a high total in this one on Saturday. The side call is virtually a coin flip, but I see value playing the 'under'. Take the under (10*). |
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07-28-17 | BC v. Edmonton UNDER 54.5 | 26-37 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between B.C. and Edmonton at 9:30 pm et on Friday. We're dealing with a lower posted total than we saw in the season opener between these two teams, but that shift is warranted in my opinion. The Eskimos remain undefeated on the season but have gone just 1-2-1 ATS. They've gotten the job done with defense for the most part and I expect them to perform well once again here, against a Lions squad that has scored a whopping 86 points over their last two contests. The 'under' has gone a perfect 3-0 in the last three meetings in this series. It's early in the campaign but there's a lot on the line here. I'm anticipating a tightly-contested affair. Take the under (10*). |
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07-27-17 | Montreal v. Winnipeg OVER 51 | Top | 40-41 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* CFL Non-Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Montreal and Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in Winnipeg on Thursday night. The Alouettes were held to just 19 points in a narrow loss in Ottawa last week. That was a tough spot for the Als as they ran into a highly-motivated Redblacks squad that at the time remained winless on the young campaign. Montreal still did some good things offensively in that one, with Darian Durant completing 35-of-45 passes for well over 400 yards. Remember, just two weeks ago the Als put up 30 points in an impressive win over Calgary. We won with the Blue Bombers in a close loss in B.C. last Friday night. Winnipeg lit up the scoreboard in that one, scoring 42 points against a quality Lions defense. I'm confident Matt Nichols and co. will find continued success against an Als defense that has proved vulnerable at times this season. Take the over (10*). |
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07-27-17 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -3 | 40-41 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Montreal at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. A big spot for the Blue Bombers here on Thursday night as they come off a narrow three-point loss in B.C. last week and look ahead at four of their next five games coming on the road. Winnipeg has alternated wins and losses so far this season but I've come away mostly impressed by their performance. While the Als will be hungry to get back in the win column following a loss in Ottawa last week, I'm not convinced their defense will hold up against a steadily improving Blue Bombers offense. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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07-24-17 | Ottawa +3.5 v. Toronto | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ottawa plus the points over Toronto at 7:30 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the points with the Redblacks as they shoot for their second victory in less than a week on Monday night in Toronto. You would have to go back to August of 2015 to find the last time the Argos defeated the Redblacks by more than a field goal at home. We saw Ottawa tighten things up considerably on defense against the Alouettes last Wednesday night, and I expect to see some carry-over from that performance here. This is a quick revenge spot after the Argos eked out a one-point win in Ottawa earlier this season. The fact is, the Argos haven't looked all that impressive save for their opener against the Ti-Cats. Take Ottawa (10*). |
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07-22-17 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary OVER 55.5 | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Saskatchewan and Calgary at 9 pm et on Saturday. The Stamps should have little trouble running up the score against the Riders on Saturday night but I'm also confident we'll see Saskatchewan find plenty of success through the air. The Riders saw plenty of turnover in the offseason and while they're expected to bring up the rear in the West Division they do have the potential to be a fun team to watch thanks to a terrific receiving corps. We're dealing with a high total on Saturday but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the over (10*). |
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07-21-17 | Winnipeg +4 v. BC | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over B.C. at 10 pm et on Friday. The Lions are on a serious roll right now, fresh off three consecutive wins, on the road no less. I believe they'll be in tough as they return home to host the Blue Bombers on Friday, however. Winnipeg is coming off a 33-25 win over the Argos last week. There's still plenty of room for improvement, however, as the Bombers have been outgained in terms of total yardage in each of their last two games. I look for them to turn in a sharper effort, particularly on the defensive side of the football this week. Note that you only have to go back to October of last year to find the last time the Bombers won a game in Vancouver. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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07-20-17 | Edmonton v. Hamilton UNDER 53.5 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Hamilton at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Hamilton on Thursday night. The Ti-Cats are off to a terrible start this season, having lost three games in a row, allowing a whopping 110 points in the process. Things won't get any easier against the Eskimos, but the good news for Hamilton is that Edmonton - despite its perfect 3-0 record - isn't exactly firing on all cylinders offensively. The Eskimos have scored 30, 23, and 23 points in winning their first three contests. Their defense might just be the best in the league right now, allowing only 67 points through three games. They held the Ti-Cats to just 21 points in last year's playoff meeting and I anticipate a similar outcome here. Take the under (10*). |
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07-19-17 | Montreal +5 v. Ottawa | 19-24 | Push | 0 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. I'll grab the points with the Alouettes in Ottawa on Wednesday night. I believe the best is still yet to come from the Als, even after a respectable 2-2 start to the campaign, including an impressive home win over the Stampeders last week. Meanwhile, the defending Grey Cup champion Redblacks are off to a winless 0-3-1 start. It hasn't been for lack of trying, as Ottawa has been outscored by just seven points total through four games. I'm just not sure the Redblacks have the running game or defense to be laying this many points in this division game. Note that Ottawa only defeated Montreal by more than five points once in three matchups last season. There was a greater disparity between those two squads as far as I'm concerned. Take Montreal (10*). |
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07-14-17 | Calgary v. Montreal OVER 48.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
My selection is on the 'over' between Calgary and Montreal at 7 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Montreal on Friday night. We missed the mark with the 'over' in the Als 23-16 loss to the Lions last week. I did see some positive signs from the Montreal offense in that game, however, it simply couldn't find the end zone. Expect QB Darian Durant to do a much better job of finishing drives this week. Calgary keeps rolling along, having scored 103 points over its first three contests. We saw a strong performance from the Stamps defense last week in Winnipeg but can they do it again in a second straight road game? I'm not so sure. We saw two extremely low-scoring games between these two teams last season, but we're working with a lower total as a result here. Take the over (10*). |
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07-13-17 | Toronto v. Winnipeg OVER 52 | 25-33 | Win | 100 | 48 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in Winnipeg on Thursday night. The Argos are off to a somewhat surprising 2-1 start to the campaign. Their offense has looked disjointed at times, but they managed to get going late in their last game against the Redblacks. Toronto isn't going to surprise anyone here, it will continue to air it out with veteran QB Ricky Ray and that serves us well with the 'over' against a vulnerable Blue Bombers defense. Winnipeg lit up the scoreboard in its season opener in Saskatchewan but struggled when stepping up in class against the Stampeders last week. After that ugly 10-point performance, I look for the Bombers to respond favorably here. The last time these two teams hooked up they combined to score 75 points. I'm anticipating another high-scoring affair here. Take the over (10*). |
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07-08-17 | Toronto v. Ottawa OVER 55.5 | 26-25 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Ottawa at 7 pm et on Saturday. In keeping with what seems to be this week's theme, I'll back the 'over' in Ottawa on Saturday. The Argos were a no-show, at least offensively, in last week's loss to the Lions. That was against one of the leagues toughest defenses, however. Different story this time around as they head to Ottawa to face the Redblacks. Yes, the Redblacks can score points with the best of them, but their defense leaves something to be desired. Sure they've been in tough out of the gate with back-to-back games against the Stampeders but their defense has been spotty at best. This was an 'under' series last year with the 'under' cashing in all three meetings. That only serves to give us value backing the 'over' this time around. As high as this total seems, I believe it could be even higher. Take the over (10*). |
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07-07-17 | Calgary v. Winnipeg OVER 58.5 | Top | 29-10 | Loss | -111 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
CFL West Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Calgary and Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Winnipeg on Friday night. We've won with the 'over' in each of Calgary's first two games. While we're dealing with a higher posted total this time around, I believe it's warranted. Note that the most recent meeting between the Stampeders and Blue Bombers totaled 70 points last September. Like the Stamps, the Bombers are off to a strong start to the campaign, fresh off a wild 43-40 overtime win in Saskatchewan last Saturday. Things will obviously get much tougher here, but in their home opener, I don't expect the Bombers to hold anything back. Winnipeg hasn't defeated Calgary in years. Look for it to throw everything it has at the Stamps on Friday night, leading to a high-scoring affair. Take the over (10*). |
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07-06-17 | BC v. Montreal OVER 49.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between B.C. and Montreal at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. We've seen the 'under' go a perfect 4-0 in games involving the Lions and Alouettes this season but I look for that trend to change on Thursday night. Simply put, I feel that this total has been set too low noting that the last two meetings in this series have played 'over' the total. The Lions offense has been in top form so far this season, scoring 55 points through two games. They'll face a tougher challenge than they went up against last week in Toronto, but I'm confident they'll be up for it. The Als know they need to sharpen things up offensively, and they need to do so quickly if they're to avoid suffering a second straight loss. There have been some positive signs and a return home should help their cause on Thursday. I like the Als ground game and receiving corps and it's only a matter of time before veteran QB Darian Durant gets up to speed with the playbook. Take the over (10*). |
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07-01-17 | Winnipeg -1 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 43-40 | Win | 100 | 49 h 50 m | Show |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Saskatchewan at 9 pm et on Saturday. The Riders put forth a solid showing in their season debut last week, pushing the Alouettes to the limit in a game that came down to a last second missed field goal by Saskatchewan. Of course, the Riders have traditionally owned one of the strongest home field edges in the CFL and will open brand new Mosaic Field on Saturday night so emotions will be running high. With that being said, I believe things are going to get worse before they get better for the rebuilding Riders. While there is plenty of talent in place, I’m not sure they have the right mix and will suffer plenty of growing pains this season. The Blue Bombers will be eager to get started after sitting idle last week. With 10 of 12 starters on offense back in the fold, this group has the potential to put up some big numbers. There are some question marks on defense, but I’m not sure those issues will be brought to the forefront against the Riders on Saturday. While playing in Saskatchewan is always a challenge, the Bombers certainly won’t overlook the Riders in their season-opener. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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06-30-17 | Montreal +9.5 v. Edmonton | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Edmonton at 10 pm et on Friday. We won with the Eskimos in their victory in B.C. last Saturday but that was in an underdog role. I won’t hesitate to switch gears and back the Alouettes as they travel to Edmonton to face the Eskimos this week. Montreal certainly wasn’t firing on all cylinders but still managed to eke out a win over the Roughriders in its home opener last week. Of course, an uneven performance was to be expected from an Als squad that has seen a lot of turnover since last season. QB Darian Durant wasn’t in sync with his new receiving corps for four quarters but did enough to guide his team to a much-needed victory over a beatable opponent. He’ll need to be sharper if the Als are going to contend with one of the league’s best teams in Edmonton on Friday, but I believe he’ll be up to the task. The Eskimos lost one of their best players to injury in J.C. Sherritt last week, an injury that I don’t believe is being properly reflected in this line. Edmonton may win this game, but I’m not sure its victory will come by a lopsided margin. Take Montreal (10*). |
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06-29-17 | Ottawa v. Calgary OVER 55.5 | 39-43 | Win | 100 | 48 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Ottawa and Calgary at 9 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'over' in this same matchup last week and I won't hesitate to go back to the well in this Thursday's rematch in Calgary. The Redblacks have had no answers for the Stampeders offense in Calgary in recent years, giving up 48, 48 and 38 points in their last three meetings on this field. While I'm not sure they can do much more to slow the Stamps down this week, I do expect their own offense to show up. Ottawa didn't play particularly well offensively in last week's season-opener as QB Trevor Harris struggled at times in his first game since taking over the reins from a retired Henry Burris. With that being said, Harris still threw for 300 yards and three touchdowns. Look for both offenses to look sharper than they did a week ago as we see another shootout in Calgary. Take the over (10*). |
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06-25-17 | Hamilton -3.5 v. Toronto | 15-32 | Loss | -105 | 68 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Hamilton minus the points over Toronto at 4 pm et on Sunday. I don't believe this line has been set nearly high enough in favor of the Tiger-Cats. Toronto remains in a state of transition. Last year, the Argos were supposed to get a boost from moving to BMO Field. It didn't exactly play out that way, however. Yes, the Argos still have a number of solid pieces in place, but they're not at the same level as the Ti-Cats, who remain a true Grey Cup contender. The Argos got the better of the Ti-Cats the last time these two teams met last September. Expect a different story to unfold in Toronto this time around. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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06-24-17 | Edmonton +4 v. BC | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 50 h 39 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Edmonton plus the points over B.C. at 10 pm et on Saturday. I absolutely love the way this one sets up for the visiting Eskimos on Saturday night. I'm anticipating a back-and-forth affair all the way, and simply don't feel that the Lions are deserving of a favorite price tag north of a field goal. The Eskimos are of course led by one of the most dynamic playmakers in the CFL in QB Mike Reilly. In a game that oddsmakers are tabbing as a high-scoring shootout, Reilly is a guy I want in my corner. Don't sleep on an Eskimos receiving corps that is among the deepest in the league. The Lions enjoyed a breakout campaign from QB Jonathan Jennings last season, moving veteran Travis Lulay into a backup role. I won't be surprised if Lulay is pressed back into action as the starter at some point this season, however. The Lions are good. I'm just not sure they're great. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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06-23-17 | Calgary v. Ottawa OVER 55.5 | 31-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Calgary and Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Ottawa on Friday night. This is of course a rematch of last year's Grey Cup showdown, which the Redblacks won by a 39-33 score. I'm expecting another relatively high-scoring affair here, and like the fact that the total hasn't moved much at all since opening. The Stampeders will have little trouble marching the football up and down the field this season, plain and simple. While I don't love the Redblacks stable of running backs, they should make up for it with outstanding QB Trevor Harris, who takes over the reins full-time from retired Henry Burris. This one is being tabbed as a shootout and that's precisely how I look for it to play out on the field. Take the over (10*). |
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