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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-19-23 | Montreal v. Ottawa +1.5 | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ottawa plus the points over Montreal at 7 pm et on Saturday. The Alouettes have won consecutive meetings in this series but haven't notched three straight victories over the RedBlacks since 2021. Here, they're in a tough spot noting they've gone a woeful 13-26 ATS in their last 39 games following consecutive ATS victories as a favorite, as is the case here. Montreal will get QB Cody Fajardo back on the field this week but this is an offense that is predicated on running the football effectively. Note that Ottawa has been stout against the run this season, especially by CFL standards, allowing just 3.6 yards per rush. The previous two times the RedBlacks played at home off a loss this season they delivered a 26-7 win over Edmonton and a 31-28 victory over Winnipeg. Take Ottawa (8*). |
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08-11-23 | Saskatchewan +5.5 v. Montreal | Top | 12-41 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
Game of the Week. My selection is on Saskatchewan plus the points over Montreal at 7:30 pm et on Friday. No one wanted any part of Saskatchewan last week at home against Ottawa after it had lost three games in a row including a 31-13 beatdown against Toronto in its Touchdown Atlantic game. The Roughriders didn't turn in a perfect performance but they did snap their skid with a 26-24 win. Here, I like their chances of staging the upset as they head on the road to face the upstart Alouettes on Friday. Montreal has posted back-to-back win (and covers) against the Stampeders and Tiger-Cats. Note that the Als are a long-term 37-63 ATS when coming off consecutive ATS victories, outscoring opponents by an average margin of only 1.6 points in that situation. The Riders are coming off somewhat of an outlier performance as they didn't force a single turnover against the RedBlacks. They were fortunate to pull out that win despite losing the turnover battle 3-0. The last time they failed to turn their opponent over even once they proceeded to force three in their next game - a 29-26 road win over Calgary back in Week 3. The Als are dealing with injury concerns on offense with both QB Cody Fajardo and RB William Stanback limited in practice this week but expected to suit up. Take Saskatchewan (10*). |
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08-05-23 | Montreal v. Hamilton +3 | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Hamilton plus the points over Montreal at 7 pm et on Saturday. The Tiger-Cats bounced back with a win in Ottawa last week, as did the Alouettes as they got past Calgary by a touchdown. Here, I look for Hamilton to get its revenge for an earlier 38-12 beatdown at home against the Als earlier this season. The Ti-Cats defense stepped up as expected in a tough road environment last week and I’m confident they can do so again with Montreal dealing with a cluster of injuries on the offensive side of the football. I haven’t been all that high on Als QB Cody Fajardo and certainly not away from home with a depleted supporting cast. On the flip side, the Ti-Cats will be without QB Bo Levi Mitchell after he excelled last week. The good news is they’re accustomed to playing without him. A dialed-back offensive gameplan may actually serve them well against a middling Als defense. While I can understand the logic behind Montreal being favored in this spot that doesn’t mean I agree with it. Take Hamilton (8*). |
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08-04-23 | Toronto v. Calgary +8.5 | Top | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
Non-Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Calgary plus the points over Toronto at 9 pm et on Friday. The Argonauts remain undefeated at 6-0 SU and ATS on the season while the Stampeders have been a major disappointment going 2-5 SU and ATS. So it might be a bit perplexing but Calgary could very well be happy to see Toronto on Friday. The Stamps are an incredible 15-2 in the last 17 meetings in this series and haven't lost a game by more than six points against the Argos since way back in 2012. Also note that while things haven't gone well for Calgary so far this season it can take solace in the fact that it is on a long-term 56-33 ATS run in the month of August. It also checks in 13-4 ATS when coming off an ATS loss over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 8.0 points in that situation. The Argos are currently dealing with a cluster of injuries on their offensive line. Despite winning 31-13 against Saskatchewan last week, Toronto completed just 13-of-21 passes for 122 yards. Meanwhile, Calgary dropped a 25-18 decision in Montreal last Sunday but limited the Alouettes to 16-of-29 passing for 158 yards. Take Calgary (10*). |
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07-28-23 | Hamilton +2 v. Ottawa | 16-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on Hamilton plus the points over Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Friday. The RedBlacks have reeled off consecutive wins in thrilling fashion with both of those victories coming in overtime against the Blue Bombers and Stampeders. Here, I look for Ottawa's run of success to come to an end against the division rival Tiger-Cats, however. A big part of the RedBlacks recent success has been QB Dustin Crum's performance on the ground. The good news for the Ti-Cats is that they've already seen him as he came on in relief back on July 8th - a game Hamilton held on to win by a 21-13 score. You would have to go all the way back to November of 2018 to find the last time Ottawa defeated Hamilton. Tonight, the Ti-Cats will finally welcome back prized offseason acquisition QB Bo Levi Mitchell after he suffered an injury in their season-opener. Noting that the RedBlacks are a long-term 4-13 ATS when playing at home after winning two of their last three games, outscored by an average margin of 5.6 points in that situation, we'll back the visitors here. Take Hamilton (8*). |
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07-21-23 | Toronto v. Hamilton +9.5 | Top | 31-15 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
Game of the Week. My selection is on Hamilton plus the points over Toronto at 7:30 pm et on Friday. The Argos are off to a perfect 4-0 start to the season, both SU and ATS, and most project this as a layup on the road against the 2-4 Tiger-Cats on Friday. I'm not so easily convinced. Toronto has gotten off to a red hot start on the strength of forcing a whopping 13 turnovers. Of note, the Argos won the turnover battle by a whopping 6-0 margin two games back against B.C. but still won that game by 'only' 21 points (and it was an 11-point game before Toronto tacked on a pair of scores in the game's final minute-and-a-half). I actually think the fact that the Ti-Cats will be giving rookie Taylor Powell his first career start at quarterback might work in their favor here to some extent. While QB Matt Shiltz performed admirably in place of an injured Bo Levi Mitchell, he often tried to do too much, ultimately tossing just two touchdowns compared to four interceptions. Powell is more of a pocket-passer than Shiltz and I do think he can find some success with a somewhat conservative gameplan that will undoubtedly lean heavily on RB James Butler, who not only thrives as a runner but also as a receiver in the short passing game. The Ti-Cats defense has made positive strides over the last couple of weeks, first holding the RedBlacks out of the end zone until the final two minutes of the first half (and then for the rest of the game) two weeks ago before allowing only one touchdown in the game's first 48 minutes in Edmonton last week. While they'll undoubtedly be taking a step up in class on Friday, I do think the Argos offense is in line for some regression following four straight 32+ point performances to open the campaign. This is of course a revenge spot for the Ti-Cats after they dropped a 32-14 decision in Toronto earlier this season. Note that the Argos have now won three straight meetings in this series going back to last season and that's worth mentioning as they haven't won four straight matchups with the Ti-Cats since 2012-13. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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07-20-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Winnipeg -14.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Edmonton at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. The Blue Bombers defense should be in a foul mood after coughing up a late lead in last Saturday's overtime loss to the RedBlacks. It was a perplexing 31-28 final score as Winnipeg actually led that game 25-6 entering the fourth quarter. Ottawa's offense didn't reach the end zone until there were nine seconds remaining in the fourth quarter (the tide essentially turned on a Zach Collaros pick-six with less than three minutes remaining). This is an ideal 'get-right' spot for the Winnipeg defense as it faces an Edmonton squad that remains winless six games into the season. The Elks did score 29 points in last week's home loss to the Tiger-Cats. With that said, they didn't find the end zone until the third quarter and ultimately padded their numbers with a couple of meaningless scores (touchdown and a field goal) in the game's final minute when the result was already all but decided. The Elks defense has actually shown a pulse this season, particularly on the road where they've allowed just 22, 26 and 12 points with all three of those contests staying 'under' the total. This will be their first of three games against the Blue Bombers this season, however, and this hasn't been a favorable matchup by any means with Winnipeg scoring 37, 30, 26, 24 and 48 points in five meetings going back to the start of the 2021 season. To make matters worse, the Elks will be missing their leading tackler LB Nyles Morgan along with space-eating DL J-Min Pelley, both due to injuries suffered in practice this week. On the other side of the football, Edmonton has had a very low floor-low ceiling scoring combination in this matchup, producing only 22, 3, 16, 10 and 11 points in the last five meetings. Here, we'll note that the Elks are a woeful 4-12 ATS against the West Division over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 18.3 points in those matchups. Take Winnipeg (8*). |
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07-15-23 | Calgary +1.5 v. Saskatchewan | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 84 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary plus the points over Saskatchewan at 7 pm et on Saturday. While it's still early in the season, the Stampeders are in desperate need of a victory on Saturday to avoid a 1-4 hole that could potentially drop them eight points (four wins) back of the Blue Bombers and Roughriders at the top of the West Division. This is also a key revenge spot for Calgary after it dropped a 29-26 overtime decision against the Riders earlier in the campaign. Keep in mind, the Stamps were favored in that contest. They've fared much better as an underdog in this series in recent years, going 3-0-1 ATS the last four times they've caught points against the Riders, as is the case here. Saskatchewan has posted mixed results so far this season but has managed to win three of four games. Last week, the Riders won ugly, pulling out a 12-11 victory over the lowly Elks. Note that Saskatchewan didn't find the end zone until their was just over a minute remaining in that game. I didn't like what I saw from the Riders defense the last time they faced the Stamps as they couldn't make a 10-point lead stand up with less than a quarter remaining. Calgary was without key WR Luther Hakunavanhu in last week's disappointing 24-11 loss in Winnipeg but he is expected back for Saturday's game. QB Jake Maier can use all the weapons he can get at his disposal as he's endured somewhat of a sophomore slump so far this season. I do think this is a spot to 'buy low' with a Stamps squad that is better than its record indicates in my opinion. Note that Calgary is 15-4 ATS in all road contests over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 7.5 points, and also 32-17 ATS in the long-term picture when playing on the road off a division loss, as is the case here. Saskatchewan, meanwhile, has covered the spread only once in its last 11 home games against divisional foes, outscored by 5.9 points on average in that situation. Take Calgary (8*). |
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07-15-23 | Winnipeg -9.5 v. Ottawa | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Ottawa at 4 pm et on Saturday. The RedBlacks are just one game removed from their first victory of the season but they're going to be in tough moving forward as they're down to their fourth option at quarterback in Dustin Crum. He was the Ottawa offense, mostly with his legs, after taking over for an injured Jeremiah Masoli last week in Hamilton. I don't expect Crum to catch an elite Blue Bombers defense off guard with his running ability this week, however. There's a reason why the former Kent State standout wasn't able to overtake the likes of Nick Arbuckle or Tyrie Adams for the QB job earlier this season. Now with Arbuckle having proven ineffective and Adams and Masoli injured, it's Crum's time. I look for a 'baptism by fire' of sorts in his first start on Saturday. Winnipeg is rolling right now, fresh off back-to-back double-digit victories over Montreal and Calgary. Since suffering a humbling 30-6 home loss against B.C. on June 22nd, the Blue Bombers have allowed just one touchdown in their last eight quarters of action. On the flip side, Winnipeg has displayed a balanced offensive attack, running for 100+ yards in four of five games so far this season. While Ottawa's run defense has been stout this season, it has also benefited from facing a manageable schedule. The toughest ground game the RedBlacks have faced would be Calgary and they did so with the Stamps missing starter Ka'Deem Carey. In that contest, Stamps backup RB Dedrick Mills ran for 102 yards on 19 carries. This is Winnipeg's sweet spot as it has gone a perfect 6-0 in Weeks 5 through 9 going back to last season, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 12.9 points along the way. Meanwhile, Ottawa checks in 0-8 ATS when returning home off a road loss over the last three seasons, outscored by 10.6 points on average in that spot. Take Winnipeg (8*). |
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07-14-23 | Toronto v. Montreal +5.5 | Top | 35-27 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 18 m | Show |
Game of the Week. My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Toronto at 7:30 pm et on Friday. The Alouettes were in an awful spot last Sunday as they travelled across the country to take on a Lions squad that had just suffered its first loss of the campaign in embarrassing fashion (QB Vernon Adams Jr. threw six interceptions) less than a week earlier. Montreal couldn't match B.C.'s intensity in a double-digit loss. That makes two straight defeats for the Als and that's worth noting as they've gone a perfect 6-0 ATS when coming off consecutive losses over the last three seasons, outscoring foes by an average margin of 12.2 points in that situation. The Argos are off to a 3-0 start, scoring a whopping 120 points in the process. They've benefited from playing two of their three games at home with their lone road tilt coming against the 0-5 Elks. Note that Toronto did deliver a 34-27 victory in the most recent meeting between these East Division rivals last November but the Argos haven't posted back-to-back wins by more than a field goal against the Als since back in 2017. Incredibly, Toronto hasn't won a game by more than single point in Montreal since October of 2015. Take Montreal (10*). |
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07-08-23 | Ottawa v. Hamilton -1.5 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
East Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Hamilton minus the points over Ottawa at 7 pm et on Saturday. The Tiger-Cats will look to finally pick up their first win of the season on Saturday as they host the Redblacks. Ottawa will welcome back QB Jeremiah Masoli after he started the year on the injured list. I do wonder whether he's being rushed back with last week's starter, Tyrie Adams sidelined with a knee injury and few other viable options at the position. While the Redblacks did pick up their first win of the season last week, it came against the lowly Elks. Hamilton has faced an extremely difficult schedule to open the campaign, going up against Winnipeg, Toronto and Montreal - those three teams have lost just two games combined so far this season. Note that you would have to go back eight meetings in this series - all the way to 2018 - to find the last time Ottawa won a game in this series. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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07-07-23 | Calgary +8.5 v. Winnipeg | 11-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary plus the points over Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Friday. The Blue Bombers enter the first meeting between these West Division rivals this season having won three straight matchups in the series - matching their longest such streak in an eternity. Note that none of those victories came by more than a touchdown. To find the last time they've defeated the Calgary by more than a touchdown you would have to go back to 2019. Given they're north of a touchdown underdog in this one, the Stampeders may face long odds to break that series losing streak but I do expect them to at least give Winnipeg a serious fight on Friday. The Bombers benefited from four Alouettes turnovers but could only produce 17 points, albeit in a lopsided 14-point victory last week. They've now scored just 23 points over their last two games. Calgary turned in a rather sloppy performance the last time we saw it take the field two weeks ago as it turned the football over three times in an eventual 29-26 overtime loss to Saskatchewan. That loss came as a home favorite and that's notable as the Stamps are a perfect 7-0 ATS when coming off an upset home loss against a division opponent over the last 2+ seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 11.0 points in that situation. They're also an identical 7-0 ATS when playing on the road off a loss over the same stretch, outscoring foes by 11.7 points on average in that spot. Take Calgary (8*). |
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07-03-23 | BC v. Toronto +3 | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over B.C. at 7 pm et on Monday. This is the ultimate letdown spot for the 3-0 B.C. Lions as they come off a stunning 30-6 rout of the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, on the road no less, and head East to face the 2-0 Toronto Argonauts on Monday. Note that B.C. hasn't taken the field since June 22nd while the Argos dusted the lowly Edmonton Elks by a 42-31 score last Sunday (June 25th). I do think the rest vs. rust factor comes into play at this early stage of the season. The Lions defense has been lights out in the early going this season but I don't think their success on that side of the football will prove sustainable. The Argos are still figuring things out with Chad Kelly at quarterback but he's shown a nice mix of passing and running ability and Toronto also boasts one of the league's best running back tandems in Andrew Harris and A.J. Ouelette. We'll grab the points with the Argos here as I do think Toronto has to feel somewhat disrespected being considered the underdog at home in this early season showdown of undefeated teams. Take Toronto (8*). |
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07-01-23 | Winnipeg -6 v. Montreal | 17-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Montreal at 7 pm et on Saturday. The Alouettes have drawn a favorable schedule to open the season, starting with a home game against the RedBlacks - projected to be one of the weaker teams in the league - followed by a bye week and then a road game against the reeling Tiger-Cats (now 0-3 on the campaign). Here, Montreal will take a step up in class against the Blue Bombers, who are coming off a miserable showing, at home no less, in a 30-6 loss to the B.C. Lions last week. That was an extremely difficult spot for Winnipeg as it returned home and played on just five days' rest after a 45-27 rout of the Roughriders in Regina. Now the Bombers have had time to regroup having not played since last Thursday and I expect a much better showing. Note that the straight-up winner has gone 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings in this series with the only exception being a Bombers 10-point victory as an 11.5-point home favorite back in 2021. Montreal checks in a long-term 37-62 ATS when coming off consecutive ATS victories, as is the case here. Take Winnipeg (8*). |
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06-23-23 | Montreal +3 v. Hamilton | Top | 38-12 | Win | 100 | 34 h 15 m | Show |
Game of the Month. My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Hamilton at 7:30 pm et on Friday. While the Tiger-Cats are licking their wounds following their second straight loss to open the season, the Alouettes are fresh off their bye week, which came on the heels of a season-opening victory over Ottawa. Als QB Cody Fajardo didn't look great in his regular season debut with his new team, which perhaps was to be expected. I do expect a better showing from him following an extra week of practice and perhaps taking a step down in class against a Ti-Cats defense that hasn't shown a pulse through two games. Back in Week 1, Hamilton allowed three Winnipeg touchdowns in less than an eight-minute stretch in the first quarter. Last Sunday, the Ti-Cats yielded three touchdowns in just over a 17-minute stretch in the first half against Toronto. You have to wonder whether the Hamilton offense is capable of keeping up here as it deals with a number of key injuries. QB Bo Levi Mitchell isn't expected to play on Friday. It will also be missing three offensive linemen, with a fourth - Dayton Black - suiting up but not 100% healthy. As you would expect, the Als are at virtually full strength following an early season bye week. Only DB Nafees Lyon checks in as questionable for Friday's game. Here, we'll note that the Ti-Cats are now 0-6 ATS in the month of June going back to last season, outscored by an average margin of 11.2 points in those games. Meanwhile, the Als are 9-2 ATS when involved in games where the line settled between +3 and -3 since the start of last season, which is likely to be the case here, outscoring foes by 7.0 points on average in that situation. Take Montreal (10*). |
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06-16-23 | Winnipeg -6.5 v. Saskatchewan | 45-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Saskatchewan at 9 pm et on Friday. Mosaic Stadium in Regina has traditionally been tough on opposing teams but perhaps not so much in recent years as the Roughriders have struggled to find consistency with plenty of turnover in terms of their roster. QB Trevor Harris seemed to be developing a good chemistry with WR Derek Walker but now Walker is sidelined with a knee injury while Harris battles through a hip injury of his own. Note that after Walker hauled in a touchdown in the game's first six minutes against Edmonton last week, the Riders never reached the end zone the rest of the way in an eventual 17-13 victory. That was against what projects to be one of the league's weakest teams in the Elks. The Riders will face a much tougher test against the Blue Bombers here. Winnipeg did pull out a 42-31 victory over Hamilton last week but it will likely still be in a foul mood after allowing the Tiger-Cats to claw their way back from a 29-4 halftime deficit. Note that Winnipeg found the end zone three times in the first quarter alone and didn't allow an offensive touchdown until the game was well in hand ahead 32-10 with less than four minutes remaining in the third quarter. Hamilton ultimately made the final score a little more flattering than it probably should have been thanks to a blocked punt returned for a touchdown in the third quarter and an interception return for another score in the fourth quarter. I'm confident we'll see the Bombers clean things up this week. Winnipeg has reeled off seven straight wins in this series going back to 2019 with those victories coming by an average margin of 14.9 points. Take Winnipeg (8*). |
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10-21-22 | Ottawa v. Hamilton -6 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Hamilton minus the points over Ottawa at 7 pm et on Friday. We successfully faded the RedBlacks last week but needed a late Alouettes go-ahead score to get there. I expect this week's contest to be a little more straight-forward as Ottawa makes the trip to Hamilton to take on the Tiger-Cats. Note that this will be the second meeting between these two teams this season after Hamilton escaped with a 25-23 victory back in mid-July. It's worth noting that the RedBlacks didn't commit a single penalty in that game and won the turnover battle 4-2 yet still lost. Banged-up and simply playing out the string at this point, I don't expect Ottawa to pick itself up off the mat following last week's loss. The Ti-Cats check in playing some of their best football in an otherwise disappointing season, reeling off consecutive wins over Saskatchewan and Calgary. With Ottawa going completely one-dimensional on offense (it has run the football 21 or fewer times in five straight games), I expect the Ti-Cats defense to feast in this one. Note that the RedBlacks are a woeful 16-30 ATS the last 46 times they've come off a high-scoring game that totalled 60+ points, as is the case here, while the Ti-Cats are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of a touchdown or less. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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10-14-22 | Montreal -3.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
East Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Montreal minus the points over Ottawa at 7 pm et on Friday. The RedBlacks sold out to stop the run and ultimately pulled off a 24-18 upset victory in Montreal on Monday afternoon (we won with the 'under' in that game). Now it's the Als turn to make the necessary adjustments and get back in the win column with a quick rematch on Friday night in Ottawa. I like their chances of doing just that against a banged-up RedBlacks squad. Ottawa will be without WRs Jaylon Acklin and DeVonte Dedmon after both contributed to Monday's victory in Montreal. That's not the worst news as it will also be missing a pair of key defenders in Patrick Levels and Praise Martin-Oguike. Montreal will obviously have a chip on its shoulder entering this game having dropped two straight meetings against Ottawa. Remember, the Als lost a 38-24 decision at home against the RedBlacks in early September as well. They had no answer for the aforementioned Acklin in that contest as he went off for seven catches and 159 yards. While Ottawa QB Nick Arbuckle has been efficient in those last two matchups against Montreal, he's been more of a 'game manager' than anything else, throwing for 542 yards but just one touchdown. I don't think there's any intimidation factor at play here as Montreal won the lone previous matchup between these two teams in Ottawa by a 40-33 score back in July. Look for the Als to bounce back on Friday. Take Montreal (10*). |
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10-08-22 | Edmonton Elks +13 v. Winnipeg | 11-48 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Edmonton plus the points over Winnipeg at 7 pm et on Saturday. We'll back the Elks and the 'under' in this contest as I expect points to come at a premium, similar to the most recent meeting between these two teams when the Blue Bombers prevailed by a 24-10 score back on July 22nd. You would have to go back eight games to find the last time Edmonton allowed 300+ passing yards in a game. Meanwhile, the Blue Bombers have yielded 330+ passing yards in each of their last two games but draw a 'get right' spot defensively against the offensively-challenged Elks here. Note that Winnipeg has held all but one of its seven opponents to 20 points or less at home this season. That being said, the Elks have limited five of their last six opponents to 26 points or less during a strong stretch since late August. They've also gained 100+ rushing yards in each of their last three games and will look to effectively shorten proceedings for their best shot at an upset win here. Note that the 'under' is 22-10 the last 32 times the Blue Bombers have played at home after winning three out of their last four contests, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of 49.7 points. Take Edmonton (8*). |
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09-10-22 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks +10 | Top | 56-28 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Edmonton plus the points over Calgary at 8 pm et on Saturday. The Elks have very little left to play for as they sit in last place in the West Division. A home game against the rival Stampeders, playing with triple in-season revenge, should get their juices flowing, however. Edmonton kept things close in Monday's matchup between these two teams in Calgary, ultimately losing by just eight points. Note that the Stampeders defense has sagged as the season has gone on. They've now allowed 20+ pass completions in 10 consecutive games. On the flip side, the Stamps have scored 20+ points in four straight contests. They accomplished that feat only once previously this season and went on to score just 19 points in their next game. I saw some positives from the Elks offense on Monday as they gained 74 yards on 18 rush attempts and QB Taylor Cornelius completed 22-of-33 passes for 257 yards - the second straight games in which the Elks threw for 250+ yards. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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08-26-22 | Hamilton +2.5 v. Toronto | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 42 m | Show |
East Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Hamilton plus the points over Toronto at 7:30 pm et on Friday. These two teams have split a pair of meetings this season with both successfully defending their home field. Here, I look for a reversal of sorts as the Ti-Cats look to take a step toward taking control of the lowly East Division with a key road victory. Hamilton's offense has shown flashes of brilliance to be sure. The Tiger-Cats ground attack has led the way at times but last week they threw for over 300 yards for the second time in three games. All indications are that QB Dane Evans will be good to go for this one and I expect him to step in and perform well against an Argos defense that has been inconsistent at best. Note that teams that have chosen to run on the Argos have been successful, including the Ti-Cats, who gained 149 yards on just 21 attempts against them just two games back. Offensively, it seems as if Toronto has gone off a cliff. Yes, the Argos scored 34 points in a win over these same Ti-Cats earlier this month but that had more to do with Hamilton's inability to keep its offense on the field than anything else. Note that the Argos have gained fewer than 70 yards rushing in four straight games and now face a Ti-Cats squad that hasn't yielded more than 90 yards rushing since way back in Week 1. I get the feeling that Hamilton's defense will make life miserable on Argos QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson after getting torched for 382 yards through the air against Montreal last week. Hamilton has still held all seven opponents to 25 or fewer pass completions this season. Toronto needed a whopping 43 pass attempts to get to just 276 passing yards against Calgary last week. Here, we'll note that the Ti-Cats are a perfect 6-0 ATS when coming off two losses in their last three games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 11.1 points on average in that situation. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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08-13-22 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton Elks +5.5 | Top | 34-23 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
CFL West Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Edmonton plus the points over Saskatchewan at 10 pm et on Saturday. This will be a rematch of a Week 1 clash between these two teams that saw Saskatchewan prevail by a 26-16 score. The Elks certainly weren't without their opportunities in that game as they were afforded 36 pass attempts in the loss. That's been a common theme for the Riders as they've struggled mightily to contain opposing passing games, yielding 33, 37, 38 and 33 pass attempts over their last four games with those four opponents completing 21, 26, 30 and 20 passes. Meanwhile, the Riders offense has seemingly gotten worse with each passing week, going from 24 to 21 to 17 points over their last three games. While on paper, the Elks defense should offer a reprieve, I'm not convinced it will play out that way on the field. It's worth noting that Edmonton is as healthy as any team in the league right now. The Elks are just one game removed from holding Winnipeg to just 274 total yards (including 7-of-16 passing). They'll be out for revenge here and it's worth noting that prior to that first meeting between the teams this season, last year's two matchups were settled by just two and five points. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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08-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +6 | 35-20 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Winnipeg at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. We might have been a week early fading the Blue Bombers last Saturday as they were entrenched in a battle with the Stampeders but ultimately came away with a seven-point victory. Here, I expect them to have their hands full with the Alouettes in Montreal. The Als check in 2-5 on the season although all but one of their losses could have gone either way. Last week they couldn't muster enough offense in a 24-17 loss to the Ti-Cats (we won with the 'under' in that game). Keep in mind, they're just one game removed from putting up 40 points in a road victory in Ottawa. While Montreal checks in as healthy as it has been all season, Winnipeg continues to deal with some nagging injuries to key players. While all indications are that the Blue Bombers key cogs will be 'full go' for this one, there's no denying it's a tough scheduling spot playing on a short week after that hard-fought battle against Calgary last Saturday. Montreal, on the other hand, has been idle since last Thursday. The Als are 3-2 ATS in an underdog role this season and defeated the Bombers by 14 points as a 3.5-point underdog in their home matchup last year. Take Montreal (8*). |
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07-30-22 | Winnipeg v. Calgary +1.5 | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary plus the points over Winnipeg at 7 pm et on Saturday. I expect the Blue Bombers undefeated start to the season to finally come to an end on Saturday in Calgary. This is a quick revenge spot for the Stampeders after they dropped a 26-19 decision in Winnipeg two weeks ago. Calgary couldn't have played much worse in that game - on either side of the football - but still lost by just a touchdown, on the road no less. I certainly anticipate a sharper performance here at home, especially given they've had an extra week to prepare. Since that last meeting, the Blue Bombers rolled to a two-touchdown victory in Edmonton (we won with the 'under' in that game) while the Stamps enjoyed their bye week. Note that Winnipeg WR Greg Ellingson is banged-up and remains questionable to play on Saturday. Here, we'll note that the Stamps are a long-term 111-89 ATS when coming off an ATS loss and I look for them to improve on that mark on Saturday. Take Calgary (10*). |
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07-15-22 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -3.5 | 19-26 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Calgary at 8:30 pm et on Friday. This is the game of the season so far as the undefeated Stampeders travel to Winnipeg to face the 5-0 Blue Bombers. Calgary is coming off a 49-point explosion against the rival Edmonton Elks. It's worth noting that the Stamps didn't reach the end zone until just over four minutes remaining in the first half in that contest and that came on a complete defensive breakdown from the Elks defense as Malik Henry hauled in an 89-yard touchdown pass. From there, the Stamps returned a missed field goal for a touchdown less than two minutes into the second half and the rest was history as they routed the Elks by 43 points. The Blue Bombers aren't likely to be nearly as forgiving on Friday. Winnipeg is coming off a blowout win of its own but it was arguably more impressive as it came against the then-undefeated B.C. Lions, on the road no less. The Bombers are healthy and putting it all together right now as they've looked terrific on both sides of the football. They should have no trouble getting up for this game as they look to remain atop the West Division standings. While Calgary is on an impressive run, keep in mind, its four wins have come against the Alouettes (who just lost to the lowly Elks last night), the Ti-Cats (who are still winless at 0-4) and the aforementioned Elks (they check in 2-4 off last night's win). Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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07-09-22 | Winnipeg +3.5 v. BC | Top | 43-22 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
CFL West Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over B.C. at 7 pm et on Saturday. The Lions have arguably been the most impressive team in the CFL through the first month of the season, reeling off three straight wins while scoring a whopping 137 points. It's worth noting, however, that they've yet to play a team outside the East Division. There's no question, the West is best when it comes to the CFL - at least so far this season. The Lions should find that out on Saturday as they host 4-0 Winnipeg. The Blue Bombers are the two-time defending Grey Cup champions and look every bit the part of a championship contender again this year. Winnipeg is playing on a very short week here after dispatching the Argos by a score of 23-22 on Monday. I don't mind that though as I think it helps the Bombers stay focused on this business-like two-game road trip. The Lions were barely able to escape with a 34-31 win over the still-winless RedBlacks in Ottawa last week. We saw some regression from the B.C. defense in that game and now I think we see it from its offense as it takes on arguably the best defense in the CFL. This matchup was no contest last season as the Bombers swept the two-game series, including a 30-9 victory here in B.C. While the Lions are certainly a better team in 2022 I'm not convinced they've completely closed the gap. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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07-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +5.5 | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Winnipeg at 7:30 pm et on Monday. While the two-time defending champion Blue Bombers are off to a perfect 3-0 start it's important to keep things in perspective as those three victories came against the RedBlacks and Tiger-Cats - two teams that have combined to go 0-7 to start the season. The Argos are coming off an embarrassing 44-3 road defeat at the hands of the red hot Lions. I'm confident they can make amends for that poor performance back home, where they opened the campaign with a narrow one-point win over the Alouettes. I had the Argos rated as one of the league's best defensive teams entering the season and saw nothing to change my mind in their season-opener. After getting blasted by the Lions there's certainly reason for pause, but I'm willing to give them a 'mulligan' for that poor effort and look for a positive response here. The Blue Bombers offense hasn't looked the same without RB Andrew Harris (who now plays for Toronto but is listed as questionable for this game due to injury). They've scored just 64 points through three games with QB Zach Collaros topping out at 21 pass completions (he's completed just 54-of-80 pass attempts so far this season). WR Nic Demski hauled in six catches for 96 yards last time out against Hamilton but he's now sidelined with an injury. As the two-time defending champs, Winnipeg is going to get every opponents' best punch and I expect nothing different on Monday. Take Toronto (8*). |
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06-09-22 | Montreal +3.5 v. Calgary | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 37 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Calgary at 9 pm et on Thursday. While the Alouettes reached the East semis against Hamilton last year, optimism isn't particularly high heading into the 2022 campaign, with more of the talk surrounding who isn't back rather than who is. Regardless, I like their opening week matchup as they head west to face a Calgary squad that many seem to be high on, but I'm not so easily convinced. QB Bo Levi Mitchell is one of the league's biggest stars but at 32 years old and coming off another injury-plagued season, I question whether he's all the way back. We saw him appear in just one preseason game, completing 3-of-10 passes for 37 yards. I realize preseason results can be taken with a grain of salt but that performance certainly wasn't all that encouraging. The Stamps offense will go as far as RB Kadeem Carey can take them - I'm just not sure there's enough there at the skill positions to provide a great deal of support. The addition of LB Cameron Judge from Toronto is intriguing but I would rate the Stamps defense as average at best, and then enter Week 1 missing a number of key cogs in the secondary due to various injuries, including newly-acquired DB Elie Bouka. It's also worth noting that Calgary is expected to be without punter Cody Grace for this game as well as he deals with a groin injury. Specials teams are an often overlooked but particularly important part of the game when handicapping the CFL and its unique rules. I'm high on the Als offense once again this year with RB William Stanback and WRs Eugene Lewis and Jake Weineke. The offense has the potential to be quite versatile once again with Trevor Harris capable of stepping in for Vernon Adams Jr. under centre should the latter falter. Take Montreal (10*). |
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11-19-21 | Ottawa +14 v. Montreal | Top | 19-18 | Win | 100 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Ottawa plus the points over Montreal at 7:30 pm et on Friday. We've cashed a number of tickets backing the RedBlacks this season, in spite of their awful overall record. This is another favorable spot to back Ottawa as it wraps up its season by making the short trip to Montreal to face the Alouettes. Note that while the RedBlacks haven't won a game since September 28th, during their current six-game slide they've lost only twice by more than 13 points. Here, they face an Als squad that is playoff-bound and not likely to move out of the third spot in the East Division with Hamilton hosting a Saskatchewan team that has nothing to play for locked into the second spot in the West Division on Saturday. Got all that? Montreal has some injury concerns to deal with here as well. Top wide receiver Eugene Lewis has been limited at practice all week so it remains to be seen how many snaps he'll see on Friday. Meanwhile, Ottawa has actually gotten healthier down the stretch, recently welcoming back one of its best defensive players in Praise Martin-Oguike. Take Ottawa (10*). |
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11-06-21 | Toronto v. Ottawa +10.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 51 h 46 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Year. My selection is on Ottawa plus the points over Toronto at 4 pm et on Saturday. I love the way this one sets up for the RedBlacks who understandably find themselves as double-digit underdogs at home against the Argos on Saturday. When these two teams last met on October 6th in Toronto the Argos rolled to a 35-16 victory. Keep in mind, 21 of Toronto's points came on special teams or defensive touchdowns. Ottawa actually led that contest at halftime. The RedBlacks did a pretty good job of keeping the Argos offense in check in that game and I'm confident they can do so again here. Simply put, I haven't been high on the Argos offense since they dealt QB Nick Arbuckle to move forward with McLeod Bethel-Thompson. Note that Bethel-Thompson has thrown for just six touchdowns compared to seven interceptions this season. Now the Argos are dealing with some key injuries as well, including one to RB D.J. Foster. We'll make this play on the assumption that he's good to go but it's worth noting nonetheless. The RedBlacks are starting to get healthier. While QB Caleb Evans has done as much as he can running the offense, getting back Dominique Davis wouldn't hurt and he's got some limited work in at practice this week and is eligible to come off the injured list for Saturday's game. WR and KR DeVonte Dedmon is expected to return after a full week of practice as well. Defensively, DL and key pass rusher Praise Martin-Oguike has returned to practice this week as well. It remains to be seen whether he can play this week but if he can that's an added bonus as well. Note that there are a couple of trends supporting Ottawa here as well. CFL home teams that have lost five or six of their last seven games ATS, and have a losing record are on a long-term 82-45 ATS run. Better still, home teams off 5+ consecutive losses in Weeks 10 through 15 are on a long-term 33-10 ATS run. Too many points here as the RedBlacks show some pride and hand Toronto its third straight ATS loss. Take Ottawa (10*). |
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10-16-21 | Montreal -5.5 v. Ottawa | 27-16 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal minus the points over Ottawa at 4 pm et on Saturday. We won with the RedBlacks in this same matchup on Monday but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Alouettes in Saturday's rematch in Ottawa. Montreal jumped out to a quick 7-0 lead less than three minutes into Monday's contest. I think at that point the Als thought the game was going to be a cake-walk. It wasn't. Ottawa battled but ultimately fell short once again, dropping to 2-7 on the season. Note that the RedBlacks didn't score a single touchdown in that loss. In fact, you would have to go back nine quarters to find the last time Ottawa registered an offensive touchdown. Defense is where I expect the RedBlacks to struggle in this one, noting that they'll be without a pair of key defenders due to injuries in Avery Williams and Praise Martin-Oguike. Williams has been one of the team's top tacklers all season while Martin-Oguike has led their limited pass rush. For Montreal, all indications are that QB Vernon Adams Jr. will be good to go after leaving Monday's game with a shoulder injury. The Als will also welcome back RB William Stanback after he missed Monday's contest. Take Montreal (10*). |
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10-11-21 | Ottawa +9.5 v. Montreal | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
East Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Ottawa plus the points over Montreal at 1 pm et on Monday. Caleb Evans had his 'welcome to the CFL' moment in last Wednesday's 35-16 rout at the hands of the Argos. In fact he had two. Evans threw a pair of costly pick-sixes that turned that game from a competitive affair into a blowout. I'm still high on Evans and expect him to bounce back and take better care of the football in Monday's Canadian Thanksgiving showdown in Montreal. The RedBlacks fall into an excellent situation here as underdogs off a division loss have gone 67-32 when facing an opponent coming off an outright underdog win, as is the case with Montreal following its overtime victory in Hamilton last week. The Als crushed the RedBlacks the last time these two teams met back on September 3rd. Montreal gained 183 yards on the ground in that game but will be hard-pressed to repeat that performance without RB William Stanback on Monday (he's been ruled out due to injured ribs). QB Vernon Adams is playing through a nagging foot injury as well. Take Ottawa (10*). |
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09-11-21 | Calgary +1.5 v. Edmonton Elks | 32-16 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary plus the points over Edmonton at 7 pm et on Saturday. Barring any late setbacks, the Stampeders will welcome back QB Bo Levi Mitchell for Saturday's rematch with the Elks. I don't believe the Stamps would rush Mitchell back if he wasn't ready, noting that backup Jake Maier has performed admirably in his absence, throwing for over 300 yards in three straight games. Here, Calgary will be looking for quick revenge after suffering what ended as a lopsided result at home against the Elks on Monday. At 1-4 and given this is a shorter than usual season due to Covid, the Stamps need to turn things around in a hurry and I'm confident they will. Edmonton QB Trevor Harris has put up some terrific numbers over the last couple of games but I haven't been overly impressed by his play. Too many short passes only reaching the line of scrimmage, not really taking advantage of a terrific wide receiving corps. We did see the Elks open things up a bit on offense in the latter stages of Monday's contest but I'm not convinced we'll see a similar gameplan right out of the gate here. Note that the Stamps are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games when playing on the road off an upset loss against a division opponent, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 3.4 points on average in that situation. Take Calgary (8*). |
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08-19-21 | Edmonton Elks +4.5 v. BC | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 38 h 25 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Month. My selection is on Edmonton plus the points over B.C. at 10 pm et on Thursday. The Elks are off to a very disappointing 0-2 start, especially considering their first two games were played at home, against seemingly inferior East Division opponents no less. Expect them to bounce back on Thursday as they hit the road for the first time this season and play their first division game. In Week 1, it was all about a lack of execution for Edmonton as it marched up and down the field but simply couldn't finish drives with touchdowns against the RedBlacks. Last week, the Elks were simply overmatched by an Alouettes squad that came out firing on all cylinders on both sides of the football, but particularly on defense as they were all over Elks QB Trevor Harris all night long. I think the case can certainly be made that the Elks overlooked the Als. They won't make the same mistake against the Lions, who are coming off an upset win on the road against the Stampeders. The news has now come out that Stamps QB Bo Levi Mitchell has a broken fibula and all indications are that he was playing hurt in last week's game against B.C. Credit for the Lions for coming up with the win, but let's not get too excited. They're still dealing with injury issues to starting QB Mike Reilly with reports from practice this week indicating that he is still having trouble pushing the football down the field. While he is expected to start on Thursday night you can take that news with a grain of salt as we've seen plenty of mystery around the QB position in B.C. already this season. While the Lions offensive line held up well last week, I still think it's an area of concern with big offseason acquisition Ryker Matthews sidelined due to a head injury. He isn't expected to be cleared to play this Thursday night. This one really comes down to whether we can trust the Elks offense. If Edmonton is going to turn things around, that's the area that needs to improve the most and I'm confident we'll see just that on the fast track at B.C. Place on Thursday. This is an ultra-talented group led by veteran QB Trevor Harris and WR Greg Ellingson. After being held to just one catch for one yard last week, I believe we can bank on a big bounce-back performance from Ellingson in particular. Harris was given no time to operate against the Als retooled pass rush but should find the going a little easier against the Lions this week. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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08-13-21 | Toronto +6.5 v. Winnipeg | 7-20 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Friday. The Argos are coming off a stunning 23-20 win over the Stampeders on a last-minute field goal last week. Of course, that victory doesn't look quite as impressive after Calgary dropped a 15-9 decision at home against B.C. last night. With that being said, I do expect Toronto to once again turn in a quality performance away from home against the defending champion Blue Bombers on Friday night. I'm confident we'll see Toronto effectively shorten this game by pounding away with top-flight RB John White. Keep in mind, the Bombers will be without their best run stopped in Steve 'Stove' Richardson for this one while stud edge rushers Willie Jefferson and Jackson Jeffcoat are also questionable to suit up (I'm making this play with the expectation that both do play). Winnipeg got a tremendous performance from veteran QB Zach Collaros in last week's win over Hamilton. Collaros was comfortable in the pocket all night long thanks to a strong effort from the Winnipeg o-line. I do think we'll see him under duress far more often in this one, however. I still rate the Bombers as having one of the league's weaker wide receiving corps, especially with Darvin Adams and Ardarius Stewart sidelined due to injury. Take Toronto (8*). |
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08-12-21 | BC v. Calgary -7 | 15-9 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
CFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Calgary minus the points over B.C. at 9:30 pm et on Thursday. Our two losses in CFL action last week came on plays involving these teams as we suffered an epic bad beat with the Riders in B.C.'s incredible comeback loss (but cover) while the Stampeders blew a second half lead (and cover) in a field goal loss to the Argos. Here, I like the way this one sets up as a big bounce-back game for the Stamps at home. B.C. had a miserable 2019 season and it might be in for a similar fate here in 2021 if Week 1 was any indication. Yes, give the Lions credit for not quitting and rallying back to nearly steal a win after falling behind 31-0 in the first half in Saskatchewan. However, the fact that it dug such a hole was telling. The Lions defense is saying all the right things heading into this one as it did hold an excellent Riders offense to just one second half point in last week's 33-29 loss, however that had everything to do with game flow. The Riders offense quite simply took its foot off the gas after building that 31-0 lead. B.C. won't be so fortunate here as the Stampeders come into this one in a foul mood after a disappointing season-opening loss at home. There were a lot of positives for Calgary to take away from last week's game. The offense was able to march the football up and down the field and just as easily could have put up 30+ point were it not for some miscues at the end of drives. That probably should have been expected with QB Bo Levi Mitchell missing considerable time in the 2019 season and then having no preseason games to get back in rhythm here this year. I do expect to see progression from the Calgary offense this week. Defensive, the Stamps were terrific last week, making a number of splash plays. Now they get too tee off on a weak Lions offensive line that will be without big offseason acquisition OL Ryker Matthews. Rookie QB Nathan Rourke is expected to start under center but don't be surprised if we see plenty of Michael Reilly as well. I'm not sure either are a great option at this point with Rourke still trying to learn the CFL game and Reilly clearly playing at less than 100%. Take Calgary (10*). |
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08-07-21 | Toronto v. Calgary -5 | 23-20 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary minus the points over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. Full writeups will return for Week 2. I’ll give the Stamps the benefit of the doubt in their home opener and feel this line will prove too short. With a healthy Bo Levi Mitchell the Stamps are eager to put the 2019 season behind them. While there are plenty of new faves, the cupboard is always well stocked in Calgary. Toronto has the potential to make some noise in the East Division this season but this is a tough Week 1 road matchup against one of the West Division’s perennially elite teams. Take Calgary (6*). |
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08-06-21 | BC v. Saskatchewan -6.5 | 29-33 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Saskatchewan minus the points over B.C. at 9:30 pm et on Friday. I actually thought we'd see an opening line closer to double-digits for this one as the Lions travel to Regina to face the Riders. The Lions have high hopes coming off a disastrous 2019 campaign where they simply couldn't keep veteran QB Mike Reilly upright due to major issues in pass protection. However, Reilly is already dealing with shoulder issues and while he's likely to start on Friday night, whether he can finish the game probably depends on how well the Lions new-look offensive line holds up. While I absolutely love the make up of the Lions receiving corps, I have questions whether they can hit the ground running against a terrific Roughriders secondary led by Ed Gainey on Friday night. RB Shaq Cooper was B.C.'s big offseason acquisition but he isn't expected to play in this game leaving backfield duties in the hands of ex-XFL RB James Butler. If the Lions aren't able to consistently run the football there's little reason to expect anything other than for the Riders defense to pin back its ears and tee off on Reilly. Offensively, the Riders return virtually all of the key pieces from their West Division-winning roster two years ago. QB Cody Fajardo is one of the CFL's stars but perhaps doesn't get talked about enough. With aggressive play-caller Jason Maas taking over offensive coordinator duties, the sky should be the limit for the Riders passing game. With that being said, Saskatchewan also boasts one of the league's best running backs in William Powell and I expect him to find plenty of room to run against an average Lions defensive front. While the Riders defense loses four starters from the 2019 edition - mostly up front - the cupboard is by no means bare and defensive coordinator is a true up-and-comer in CFL coaching ranks after taking over for Chris Jones two years ago. Take Saskatchewan (8*). |
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11-17-19 | Winnipeg +3.5 v. Saskatchewan | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 79 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over Saskatchewan at 4:30 pm et on Sunday. The Riders miserable 1-3 start to the season has long been forgotten as they've been one of the best teams in the CFL for months now, doing it largely on the strength of a stellar defense that has come up big time and time again. Here, however, I believe they're up against it facing a Blue Bombers squad that has really come together over the course of three consecutive battles with the Stampeders, culminating with last week's stunning 35-14 rout in Calgary. QB Zach Collaros has stepped in and given the offense a nice balance with Chris Streveler still contributing as well. Defensively, it doesn't get much better than holding Stamps QB Bo Levi Mitchell to 12-of-28 passing for 116 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions last week. I'm anticipating a tightly-contested affair all the way on Sunday and will gladly take the points with the Bombers. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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11-17-19 | Edmonton v. Hamilton -5 | 16-36 | Win | 100 | 75 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Hamilton minus the points over Edmonton at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Eskimos have gone winless in two meetings with the Tiger-Cats this season and while it's awfully tough to beat any opponent three times in the same season, I do think Hamilton will be up for the challenge on Sunday. The Ti-Cats defense has really stepped up down the stretch, allowing fewer than 20 points in seven of their last 10 games. With Edmonton struggling to finish drives with touchdown all season long, there's reason to believe the Hamilton defense will thrive once again on Sunday afternoon. Eskimos QB Trevor Harris was afforded a clean pocket all afternoon long in Montreal last week but won't be so fortunate here. The Ti-Cats have proven to have the ability to not only score on offense, but on special teams and defense as well. That could prove to be the difference here. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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08-24-19 | Hamilton v. BC +4 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 85 h 20 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Week. My selection is on B.C. plus the points over Hamilton at 10 pm et on Saturday. We won with the Lions in the first matchup between these two teams this season and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play as the scene shifts to Vancouver on Saturday night. There's no question the Lions have had this rematch circled after blowing a huge fourth quarter lead in that narrow 35-34 loss in Hamilton two weeks ago. The Lions were in a tough spot last week, playing on limited rest, and ultimately fell in blowout fashion, but not before putting up a fight for a half. B.C. gave up an early first quarter touchdown in that game but actually held the Bombers out of the end zone until late in the third quarter after that. Here, they'll face a Ti-Cats offense that is still without its best player in QB Jeremiah Masoli. Backup Dane Evans has done an admirable job filling in for Masoli, but has also been turnover prone, tossing four interceptions compared to five touchdowns. Hamilton has played it fairly close to the vest with Evans under center and that doesn't work particularly well here in a road favorite role traveling across the country off an easy win in Ottawa. Take B.C. (10*). |
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08-23-19 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton -6.5 | 34-28 | Loss | -107 | 60 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Edmonton minus the points over Winnipeg at 9 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the Eskimos as they host the banged-up Blue Bombers on Friday night. Winnipeg will be forced to go without QB Matt Nichols after he suffered an injury in last week's win over B.C. While Chris Streveler is a fine backup and more of a dual-threat, much of his success came when opponents didn't have tape on him early last season. I'm confident the Eskimos will come up with a gameplan to slow Streveler and the Bombers offense here. It's also worth noting that Bombers RB Andrew Harris is dealing with an elbow injury. Edmonton had a true 'get right' performance last week, as its offense finally broke out in a 41-26 win over the Argos. Expect some carry-over from that game here as the Esks roll past the Bombers. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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08-10-19 | BC +11 v. Hamilton | 34-35 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on B.C. plus the points over Hamilton at 7 pm et on Saturday. The Lions have been absolutely dreadful this season but I believe they're being given way too many points as they travel across the country to face the Ti-Cats on Saturday. Keep in mind, Hamilton has already lost its starting QB Jeremiah Masoli to injury. Without him, it struggled to accomplish anything offensively last week in Calgary. Now the Ti-Cats are being asked to lay double-digits. The Lions are actually one of the healthiest teams in the league and they're coming off their bye week. RB Brandon Rutley will miss, but other than that, they've got away generally unscathed. We don't need an outright win from the Lions here, or anything close. I believe QB Mike Reilly will will them into a ball game on Saturday night. Take B.C. (10*). |
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08-09-19 | Ottawa v. Edmonton -8.5 | Top | 12-16 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Month. My selection is on Edmonton minus the points over Ottawa at 10 pm et on Friday. Bettors will likely be hesitant to back the Eskimos here after they fell as a road favorite in Calgary last week, not to mention the Redblacks overtime victory in Montreal. With that being said, I see this as a smash spot for the Eskimos offense against a very beatable Redblacks defense. Edmonton QB Trevor Harris continues to light it up even if his offense has been somewhat snake-bitten as far as finding the end zone goes. Harris threw for 373 yards and two touchdowns in last week's narrow loss to the Stamps. The Redblacks didn't score an offensive touchdown until the third quarter against the Alouettes last week. They've had a tough time with consistency on offense due in large part to a depleted backfield that has seen a lot of moving parts. RB Mossis Madu remains sidelined. When these two teams squared off in Edmonton last year, the Eskimos pasted the Redblacks 34-16. Trevor Harris will certainly be highly-motivated to hand it to his former squad. The Eskimos are 3-4 ATS on the season but 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS at home, where they've won their last two games by a combined 65-23 score. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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07-27-19 | Saskatchewan v. BC +3.5 | Top | 45-18 | Loss | -114 | 97 h 59 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Year. My selection is on B.C. plus the points over Saskatchewan at 7 pm et on Saturday. Saskatchewan defeated B.C. just last week but that was a strange game as the Lions actually outgained the Riders in terms of total yardage and had a decisive edge in first downs as well. Save for a stinker against the Eskimos two weeks ago, Lions QB Mike Reilly has looked more and more comfortable running the offense, last week completing 31-of-40 passes for 346 yards while also running for 32 yards and a score. RB Brandon Rutley enjoyed a breakout performance of sorts against the Riders, running for 73 yards on 13 carries. While the Lions did give up a whopping 38 points in last week's loss, they actually held the Riders offense out of the end zone from just over midway through the first quarter until the final two minutes of the third quarter. Things came unglued in the fourth quarter but B.C. can hang its hat on the fact that it allowed Riders QB Cody Fajardo to complete only 17 passes and picked him off twice. Outside of that victory, Saskatchewan's only other win this season came against the lowly Argos, who are arguably worse than the Lions. B.C. has now outgained three of its last four opponents and I believe it's only a matter of time before it all comes together for this squad. While Saskatchewan has owned this series recently, it's been a long time since the Riders were last favored in a game played here in Vancouver. I simply feel the oddsmakers are undervaluing what will be a desperate Lions squad on Saturday. Take B.C. (10*). |
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07-18-19 | Toronto v. Calgary -11.5 | 16-26 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Calgary minus the points over Toronto at 9 pm et on Thursday. The Argos are off to one of the worst starts we've seen in recent CFL memory and I don't envision a turnaround in Calgary on Thursday night. Toronto lost by "only" 27 points last week in Winnipeg but the damage could have been far worse were it not for the Blue Bombers taking their foot off the gas at halftime. Winnipeg jumped ahead 31-0 before the Argos staged a mini-rally (if we can even call it that) in that game. While Toronto's offense has shown some improvement, it will run into a tough opponent in Calgary this week. The Stampeders have been doing an excellent job of getting after opposing quarterbacks, racking up nine sacks over their last two games alone. While they did give up 30 points in a loss in Hamilton last week, they actually held Ti-Cats Jeremiah Masoli to under 200 yards passing and limited the Hamilton ground game to fewer than 70 rushing yards. They should feast on a one-dimensional Argos offense that hasn't shown any ability whatsoever to run the football. Offensively, the Stamps aren't at full strength with QB Bo Levi Mitchell and RB Don Jackson sidelined. QB Nick Arbuckle did settle in last week, however, throwing for 368 yards on 24 pass completions. There's reason to believe they'll be able to get their ground game going here as well, considering Toronto is allowing over six yards per rush this season. Take Calgary (10*). |
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07-13-19 | Calgary v. Hamilton -4 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Hamilton minus the points over Calgary at 7 pm et on Saturday. It's been a long time since the Ti-Cats defeated the Stampeders but it's also been a long time since they've been favored in this matchup. Injuries on Calgary's side have opened the door for the Ti-Cats to be favored here, and I look for them to take advantage. The Stampeders are coming off a blowout win in Saskatchewan last week as they caught the Riders flat-footed. Keep in mind, QB Nick Arbuckle completed just 19 passes in that victory. The defense did most of the heavy-lifting. The Ti-Cats are coming off a tough loss in Montreal last week. They certainly weren't sharp in that one, perhaps suffering a letdown following three straight wins to open the season. I do look for them to bounce back here. It's worth noting that they're expected to have WR Bralon Addison back on the field. He's been a breakout star this season but was injured and missed last week's loss. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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07-11-19 | Edmonton v. BC +3.5 | Top | 33-6 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Week. My selection is on B.C. plus the points over Edmonton at 10 pm et on Thursday. I'll grab the points with the Lions in this one as they look to avenge a 39-23 loss suffered against the Eskimos earlier this season (we won with Edmonton in that game). We successfully faded the Lions last week as well, grabbing the points with the Argos in a game that went right down to the wire. It wasn't a stellar performance from B.C., but it did manage to string together a pair of second half touchdown drives and didn't allow an offensive touchdown until the final minute of the fourth quarter. Now the Lions return home for the first time since their season-opening loss to the still-undefeated Blue Bombers. I'm not sure the Eskimos bye week came at the best time as they were off their first loss of the season - a game in which they failed to score an offensive touchdown. Keep in mind, Edmonton hasn't won here in Vancouver since October of 2017, when it needed overtime to secure the victory. QB Mike Reilly is getting more comfortable in the Lions offense with each passing week. I like the Lions chances here. Take B.C. (10*). |
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07-06-19 | BC v. Toronto +8 | 18-17 | Win | 100 | 33 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over B.C. at 7 pm et on Saturday. We cashed a ticket fading the Argos on Monday in Regina but I won't hesitate to go the other way and back Toronto as it returns home to host winless B.C. The Lions should bounce back here, but should is the operative word. The transition to Mike Reilly hasn't really been a smooth one and let's face it, the B.C. defense has been awful when it's mattered most. Last week the Lions gave up two touchdowns in the final two minutes to fall by a 36-32 score in Calgary, after the Stamps lost QB Bo-Levi Mitchell to injury earlier in the game. Toronto hasn't looked good through two games and now it will have to go without QB James Franklin for a while. I still think the Argos have enough talent to compete, however, and it's surely worth noting that they were at least competitive here at home last season, going 4-5 SU. That included a victory over the Lions in an underdog role. The underdog has gone 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings in this series. Take Toronto (10*). |
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07-05-19 | Winnipeg +4 v. Ottawa | 29-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Friday. I think the Redblacks will be hard-pressed to win this game let alone cover the number. Both teams check in with flawless records but the Blue Bombers have a lot more upside in my opinion. I actually think Winnipeg could have inflicted a lot more damage against Edmonton last week but because it succeeded in holding the Eskimos to field goals on most drives, it didn't need to really keep its foot on the gas offensively. QB Matt Nichols didn't have a great game, completing only 13 passes, but again he didn't need to be perfect. I expect a much bigger game from him stat-wise on Friday night. The Redblacks two victories have masked the fact that they've allowed a whopping 69 points through two games. They've allowed at least 29 points in four of their last five meetings with the Bombers and haven't defeated Winnipeg here at home since 2015. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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07-04-19 | Hamilton v. Montreal +12.5 | 29-36 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Hamilton at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. This line hasn't budged here on gameday so I'll go ahead and jump in with a play on the Alouettes now as I do expect them to turn in a far better showing than we saw last week in Hamilton. The Tiger-Cats haven't started a season with four straight wins since way back in 1989. The Als will certainly be highly-motivated to keep that streak going, noting that they're off to an 0-2 start and playing their home opener here on Thursday. Of note, the Ti-Cats will be without one of their best weapons on offense in WR Bralon Addison. Look for the Als to show up and hang inside the inflated number. Take Montreal (10*). |
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07-01-19 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan -10 | 7-32 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Saskatchewan minus the points over Toronto at 7 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with the Riders as they aim for their first win of the season against Toronto on Monday. The Riders may be 0-2 but they've been competitive in both losses, both coming on the road against quality opponents in Hamilton and Ottawa. Now they get a chance to face one of the East's weakest teams in the Argos. Toronto was handed a 64-14 beatdown against the rival Ti-Cats last week. It was a truly terrible showing for the Argos in their home-opener and while they'll undoubtedly turn in a better effort on Monday, I'm still not sure it will be enough to stay inside the number. The Riders simply have more upside on both sides of the football right now, even with QB Zach Collaros sidelined. Cody Fajardo is no rookie north of the border, and he certainly showed his ability in last week's shootout with the Redblacks. Take Saskatchewan (10*). |
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06-27-19 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg -4.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Edmonton at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. We've cashed tickets with both the Eskimos and Blue Bombers this season but I believe Winnipeg is the way to go as it hosts Edmonton on Thursday night. The Blue Bombers were certainly undervalued entering the season as they were installed as short underdogs in B.C. to open the campaign. The Bombers turned in about as complete of an effort as you could possibly expect in that game. After enjoying their bye week, they'll have no shortage of motivation here as they face the 2-0 Eskimos. Edmonton has had the benefit of playing its first two games at home, and against a pair of squads working out some major kinks in the Alouettes and Lions. In their lone previous contest, we didn't see the Bombers allow an offensive touchdown until well into the third quarter. Look for another superb effort from Winnipeg here. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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06-22-19 | Hamilton v. Toronto +4.5 | 64-14 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Hamilton at 4 pm et on Saturday. The Argos have undergone a lot of change since last season but that's not a bad thing as their 2018 campaign was an absolute train-wreck. I expect them to take the field with renewed optimism in their 2019 opener and I can't help but think this line has gotten out of whack. The Ti-Cats are coming off a win over the Roughriders in their opener last week but it's worth noting they didn't find the end zone until the second quarter, and then never scored another offensive touchdown in the game. Just not sure we ever see them pull away in this one. Take Toronto (10*). |
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06-21-19 | BC v. Edmonton -4 | Top | 23-39 | Win | 100 | 47 h 27 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Month. My selection is on Edmonton minus the points over B.C. at 9 pm et on Friday. The Mike Reilly era in B.C. got off to a tough start last week as the Lions fell by a 33-23 score at home against the Blue Bombers (we won with Winnipeg in that game). While most expect the Lions to bounce back here with Reilly facing his former team, the line tells a different story with the Eskimos favored. I believe the oddsmakers have got it right as Edmonton looks to make it two in a row at home to open the season. I really think that the Eskimos are a bit of an overlooked commodity at this point. QB Trevor Harris always seems to carry a big chip on his shoulder and got his campaign off to a tremendous start last week, throwing for 447 yards and three touchdowns. He also ran for the game-winning touchdown. Keep in mind, it wasn't until the third quarter that the Lions actually scored an offensive touchdown last week against Winnipeg. That proved to be their only offensive touchdown of the game. There are going to be some kinks to work out as Reilly learns the B.C. offense (he threw a pair of interceptions last week). The Eskimos gave up only one touchdown in the first three quarters of last week's game against the Alouettes. While they'll be facing a much tougher challenge here, I'm confident they'll be up for it. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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06-15-19 | Winnipeg +1 v. BC | 33-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over B.C. at 10 pm et on Saturday. I'll fade the big offseason signing made by the Lions in QB Mike Reilly. The Blue Bombers have a pretty good QB of their own in Matt Nichols. I simply feel that Winnipeg is further along in its progression right now. The Bombers didn't exactly live up to expectations a year ago but I'm willing to 'buy low' on them here as they open their season in Vancouver. Look for a big game from the Bombers ground attack with their defense taking care of the rest. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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07-27-18 | Toronto +10.5 v. Winnipeg | 14-40 | Loss | -117 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Winnipeg at 8:30 pm et on Friday night. The Argos have a shot at some fast revenge against the Blue Bombers on Friday night, after falling by 18 points at home against Winnipeg last time out. I certainly feel that the Argos are better on both sides of the football than they've shown so far this season. QB James Franklin has made some progress since taking over for veteran Ricky Ray. Keep in mind, he guided the Argos to a victory over the Eskimos before falling by a single point against them on the road one week later. The Blue Bombers have alternated good and bad performances this season. They'll be looking to string together back-to-back victories for the first time. I'm just not sure they're any better than a .500 team at this point. Take Toronto (10*). |
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07-12-18 | Calgary v. Ottawa +3.5 | 27-3 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ottawa plus the points over Calgary at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. I’ll grab the points with the Redblacks on Thursday night as they aim to get back at the Stampeders after falling by 10 points in Calgary two weeks ago. Since that loss, the Redblacks have rebounded with a 10-point win of their own in Montreal last week. The loss to the Stamps remains the one blemish on their record so far this season. Meanwhile, Calgary remains undefeated but I believe they’re in a bit of a tough spot here, traveling off their bye week, and facing a non-division opponent. I am a believer that there is some parity in the CFL and that any team can win or lose in any given week. With that said, the Stamps have reeled off three straight ATS victories to open the campaign. At the very least I expect the Redblacks to take this one down to the wire on Thursday night. Take Ottawa (10*). |
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07-07-18 | BC v. Winnipeg -6 | 19-41 | Win | 100 | 33 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over B.C. at 8:30 pm et on Saturday. It's worth noting that the straight-up winner has gone an incredible 40-3-1 ATS in the Lions last 44 games overall, including a perfect 2-0 mark so far this season. In this spot, I like the Bombers to prevail as they welcome QB Matt Nichols back from injury. Given they had a true rookie in there for the first three games, the return of Nichols is big, and all indications are that he's 100% healthy and has looked sharp in practice this week. The Lions have been inconsistent out of the gate this season and that's the type of play I would expect from them throughout the campaign. B.C. did prevail in its last trip to Winnipeg last season but I expect a different story to unfold here. The Bombers hung tough in their home opener against Edmonton, even without Nichols. Look for them to even their record at 2-2 on Saturday night. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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06-30-18 | Montreal +10 v. Saskatchewan | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 48 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Saskatchewan at 9 pm et on Saturday. Consider this line an overreaction to the Alouettes dreadful start this season. Montreal has looked rather lifeless in suffering back-to-back losses to open the campaign but can’t feel too terrible about its chances as it heads to Regina to face a Riders squad reeling after a blowout loss in Ottawa last week. I really thought we would see a different Riders team show up against the Redblacks last week, but that wasn’t the case as they were caught flat-footed and ultimately steamrolled. Maybe they bounce back here, but I’m not sure they’ll be able to win by margin against what will certainly be a hungry and focused Als squad. Remember, prior to last week’s beatdown against the Blue Bombers, the Als did lose by only 12 points in their season opener against the Lions in B.C. They have the pieces to stick around in a matchup like this (and no shortage of motivation following last week’s embarrassing loss in their home opener) as far as I’m concerned. Take Montreal (10*). |
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06-28-18 | Ottawa +8 v. Calgary | 14-24 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ottawa plus the points over Calgary at 9 pm et on Thursday. The Stampeders are coming off back-to-back SU and ATS wins to open the season but what else is new? The Stamps are widely considered to be the favorite to win the Grey Cup, seemingly on an annual basis. This year is no different. With that being said, Ottawa just got its season underway last week and did a nice job making up for lost time, rolling past Saskatchewan by a 40-17 margin. I think this quote from Stamps head coach Dave Dickenson this week was telling, "They always start out the year, in my opinion, super-fast because it seems like their offence is clicking and they've been running the same type of stuff." The Redblacks have gone a perfect 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings in this series - cashing in an underdog role on all three occasions. Take Ottawa (10*). |
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06-22-18 | Winnipeg -3 v. Montreal | 56-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Montreal at 7 pm et on Friday. The Blue Bombers have been installed as road favorites for a reason in this one. Winnipeg battled hard but ultimately fell short in a wild, high-scoring affair against Edmonton last week. The good news is, Winnipeg has had a couple of extra days off to recover from that minor setback (it wasn’t a game it was expected to win) and should respond favorably here. The Alouettes weren’t close in a double-digit loss to the Lions in Vancouver last weekend. Simply put, it’s going to be a long season in Montreal. While I don’t love the prospect of backing a rookie quarterback in his first road start north of the border, I’m willing to make an exception here as I just think the Als are that bad. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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06-21-18 | Saskatchewan +2.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 17-40 | Loss | -106 | 47 h 56 m | Show |
CFL Non-Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Saskatchewan plus the points over Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. The Riders are off to a perfect start this season, defending their home field in an impressive 27-19 win over Toronto last week. They'll hit the road to face another East Division opponent this week and I look for a similar result. Note that the Riders are now 10-5 SU over their last 15 games going back to last season. They have a pretty solid track record against the Redblacks, having won four of five meetings since the start of the 2016 season. They won both games in Ottawa last season by a combined 49-37 score and have reeled off three straight victories in the nation's capital. I simply feel that Saskatchewan has more upside in this early stage of the 2018 season. Take Saskatchewan (10*). |
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09-03-17 | Winnipeg +3 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 51 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Month. My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over Saskatchewan at 4 pm et on Sunday. I really like the way this one sets up for the red hot Blue Bombers. Winnipeg is now 7-2 SU and ATS on the season after outlasting Montreal in overtime last time out. We cashed with the Bombers in that game and I won't hesitate to go back to the well in this spot. Yes, Saskatchewan has turned its campaign around, securing back-to-back wins over the Lions and Eskimos in the last two weeks. But let's face it, Edmonton handed that game to the Riders last week. The Eskimos were simply a no-show after suffering their first loss of the season the previous week (against the Bombers). I expect the Riders to face much more resistance in this matchup, noting that the Bombers have come away victorious in their last two trips to Saskatchewan. In fact, the Bombers haven't lost to the Riders since September of 2015. I can't help but feel the wrong team is favored in this matchup. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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08-24-17 | Winnipeg v. Montreal | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg over Montreal at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. The Blue Bombers are rolling right now, winners of four games in a row. I don't see the Alouettes standing in their way on Thursday night, even with home field advantage. Winnipeg has actually scored in incredible 33 points or more in six consecutive games. Meanwhile, the Als have managed only 27 points in their last two contests. They've yet to win consecutive games this season and while they're not aiming for back-to-back victories here, I still don't like the spot. After facing the Argos in each of the last two weeks, they're taking a considerable step up in class here. The Bombers certainly won't overlook the Als, and they've enjoyed considerable success in Montreal. That success continues on Thursday. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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08-18-17 | Ottawa v. Hamilton +3.5 | Top | 37-18 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
CFL East Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Hamilton plus the points over Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Friday. Let's try this again. We missed the mark with the Ti-Cats last week as they simply couldn't hang with the Blue Bombers, but as we saw last night, Winnipeg is quickly becoming one of the league's elite teams. While the Redblacks are the defending Grey Cup champions, they're by no means an elite squad this season. Frustration continues to mount following a tough 27-20 home loss to the Eskimos last week and I'm not even sure that a date with the lowly Ti-Cats can help the Redblacks cause this week. At 1-6-1 on the campaign, there's little reason for Ottawa to be laying more than field goal (at the time of posting) on the road against anyone. Maybe the Redblacks right the ship, but I believe this is the spot where the Ti-Cats finally find the win column. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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08-17-17 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg +1 | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show |
CFL West Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over Edmonton at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. The Eskimos remain undefeated on the season but after watching them narrowly escape with a win in Ottawa last week, I'm not so sure they're playing their best football this season. Playing their second of back-to-back road games for the first time this season, I look for them to suffer their first defeat of the campaign in Winnipeg on Thursday night. The Blue Bombers are coming off a blowout win over a desperate Ti-Cats squad in Hamilton last week. They've now won three games in a row, scoring at least 33 points in each of their last five games. This is a team that is brimming with confidence and seems to be getting stronger with each passing week. The Eskimos may own the better overall record, but the Bombers have been the far better bet, going 5-2 ATS. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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08-12-17 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +2.5 | Top | 39-12 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
CFL Non-Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Hamilton plus the points over Winnipeg at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. Winnipeg is coming off a thrilling 33-30 win in Ottawa last week but let's face it, that was no real accomplishment as the Redblacks have really struggled to close out games this season. The Bombers have now won back-to-back games, but I believe three wins in a row may be a bit of a stretch. The Ti-Cats have yet to record a victory this season but did bounce back nicely from a disastrous 60-1 loss to the Stampeders with a narrow 33-28 loss on the road against the undefeated Eskimos last week. That marked Hamilton's first ATS victory on the campaign. This will be the Ti-Cats first home game since July 20th and I'm confident they'll bring their best effort. While Winnipeg has won the last two games in this series I don't believe that is a sustainable trend. The Ti-Cats are desperate and they get their first win in this spot. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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07-27-17 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -3 | 40-41 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Montreal at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. A big spot for the Blue Bombers here on Thursday night as they come off a narrow three-point loss in B.C. last week and look ahead at four of their next five games coming on the road. Winnipeg has alternated wins and losses so far this season but I've come away mostly impressed by their performance. While the Als will be hungry to get back in the win column following a loss in Ottawa last week, I'm not convinced their defense will hold up against a steadily improving Blue Bombers offense. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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07-24-17 | Ottawa +3.5 v. Toronto | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ottawa plus the points over Toronto at 7:30 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the points with the Redblacks as they shoot for their second victory in less than a week on Monday night in Toronto. You would have to go back to August of 2015 to find the last time the Argos defeated the Redblacks by more than a field goal at home. We saw Ottawa tighten things up considerably on defense against the Alouettes last Wednesday night, and I expect to see some carry-over from that performance here. This is a quick revenge spot after the Argos eked out a one-point win in Ottawa earlier this season. The fact is, the Argos haven't looked all that impressive save for their opener against the Ti-Cats. Take Ottawa (10*). |
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07-21-17 | Winnipeg +4 v. BC | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over B.C. at 10 pm et on Friday. The Lions are on a serious roll right now, fresh off three consecutive wins, on the road no less. I believe they'll be in tough as they return home to host the Blue Bombers on Friday, however. Winnipeg is coming off a 33-25 win over the Argos last week. There's still plenty of room for improvement, however, as the Bombers have been outgained in terms of total yardage in each of their last two games. I look for them to turn in a sharper effort, particularly on the defensive side of the football this week. Note that you only have to go back to October of last year to find the last time the Bombers won a game in Vancouver. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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07-19-17 | Montreal +5 v. Ottawa | 19-24 | Push | 0 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Ottawa at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday. I'll grab the points with the Alouettes in Ottawa on Wednesday night. I believe the best is still yet to come from the Als, even after a respectable 2-2 start to the campaign, including an impressive home win over the Stampeders last week. Meanwhile, the defending Grey Cup champion Redblacks are off to a winless 0-3-1 start. It hasn't been for lack of trying, as Ottawa has been outscored by just seven points total through four games. I'm just not sure the Redblacks have the running game or defense to be laying this many points in this division game. Note that Ottawa only defeated Montreal by more than five points once in three matchups last season. There was a greater disparity between those two squads as far as I'm concerned. Take Montreal (10*). |
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07-01-17 | Winnipeg -1 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 43-40 | Win | 100 | 49 h 50 m | Show |
My selection is on Winnipeg minus the points over Saskatchewan at 9 pm et on Saturday. The Riders put forth a solid showing in their season debut last week, pushing the Alouettes to the limit in a game that came down to a last second missed field goal by Saskatchewan. Of course, the Riders have traditionally owned one of the strongest home field edges in the CFL and will open brand new Mosaic Field on Saturday night so emotions will be running high. With that being said, I believe things are going to get worse before they get better for the rebuilding Riders. While there is plenty of talent in place, I’m not sure they have the right mix and will suffer plenty of growing pains this season. The Blue Bombers will be eager to get started after sitting idle last week. With 10 of 12 starters on offense back in the fold, this group has the potential to put up some big numbers. There are some question marks on defense, but I’m not sure those issues will be brought to the forefront against the Riders on Saturday. While playing in Saskatchewan is always a challenge, the Bombers certainly won’t overlook the Riders in their season-opener. Take Winnipeg (10*). |
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06-30-17 | Montreal +9.5 v. Edmonton | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Edmonton at 10 pm et on Friday. We won with the Eskimos in their victory in B.C. last Saturday but that was in an underdog role. I won’t hesitate to switch gears and back the Alouettes as they travel to Edmonton to face the Eskimos this week. Montreal certainly wasn’t firing on all cylinders but still managed to eke out a win over the Roughriders in its home opener last week. Of course, an uneven performance was to be expected from an Als squad that has seen a lot of turnover since last season. QB Darian Durant wasn’t in sync with his new receiving corps for four quarters but did enough to guide his team to a much-needed victory over a beatable opponent. He’ll need to be sharper if the Als are going to contend with one of the league’s best teams in Edmonton on Friday, but I believe he’ll be up to the task. The Eskimos lost one of their best players to injury in J.C. Sherritt last week, an injury that I don’t believe is being properly reflected in this line. Edmonton may win this game, but I’m not sure its victory will come by a lopsided margin. Take Montreal (10*). |
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06-25-17 | Hamilton -3.5 v. Toronto | 15-32 | Loss | -105 | 68 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Hamilton minus the points over Toronto at 4 pm et on Sunday. I don't believe this line has been set nearly high enough in favor of the Tiger-Cats. Toronto remains in a state of transition. Last year, the Argos were supposed to get a boost from moving to BMO Field. It didn't exactly play out that way, however. Yes, the Argos still have a number of solid pieces in place, but they're not at the same level as the Ti-Cats, who remain a true Grey Cup contender. The Argos got the better of the Ti-Cats the last time these two teams met last September. Expect a different story to unfold in Toronto this time around. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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06-24-17 | Edmonton +4 v. BC | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 50 h 39 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Edmonton plus the points over B.C. at 10 pm et on Saturday. I absolutely love the way this one sets up for the visiting Eskimos on Saturday night. I'm anticipating a back-and-forth affair all the way, and simply don't feel that the Lions are deserving of a favorite price tag north of a field goal. The Eskimos are of course led by one of the most dynamic playmakers in the CFL in QB Mike Reilly. In a game that oddsmakers are tabbing as a high-scoring shootout, Reilly is a guy I want in my corner. Don't sleep on an Eskimos receiving corps that is among the deepest in the league. The Lions enjoyed a breakout campaign from QB Jonathan Jennings last season, moving veteran Travis Lulay into a backup role. I won't be surprised if Lulay is pressed back into action as the starter at some point this season, however. The Lions are good. I'm just not sure they're great. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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06-22-17 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal -6.5 | 16-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal minus the points over Saskatchewan at 7:30 pm et on Thursday. Both of these teams have made wholesale changes entering the 2017 campaign but I believe it is the Alouettes that are better positioned to get off to a strong start on Thursday night. The Riders will turn to veteran Kevin Glenn under center after losing walking enigma Vince Young to a hamstring injury. Glenn is likely the better option but that's not saying much. Yes, the Riders have a lot of solid pieces in place to take a step forward this season, including WR Duron Carter but I'm not sure it comes together for them here, right out of the gate. The Als will have former Rider Darian Durant as the new face of the franchise and while he won't admit it, you can be sure he has an extra chip on his shoulder against his former squad. Take Montreal (10*). |
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10-22-16 | Montreal +7 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
My selection is on Montreal plus the points over Saskatchewan at 4 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the Als on Saturday as they try to bounce back following consecutive blowout losses. Of course, the Riders are red hot right now, having won four games in a row. They're a perfect 7-0 ATS over their last seven games. Now things get serious as Saskatchewan continues to make a late push. I don't expect to see the Als roll over for the Riders here though. Note that the Als remain a solid 3-1 ATS over their last four contests. They scored just eight points in last week's loss in Calgary, but that was against the league's best team. Montreal actually crushed Saskatchewan 41-3 in the first meeting this season. The last time they met on this field, the Riders won by 12, but that was in an underdog role last season. This is a much different scenario as Saskatchewan comes in as a considerable favorite. Take Montreal (10*). |
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10-07-16 | Saskatchewan v. Ottawa -6.5 | Top | 32-30 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
My selection is on Ottawa minus the points over Saskatchewan at 7 pm et on Friday. There was no shame in the Redblacks 40-33 loss on the road against the Lions last week. Ottawa was in that one from start to finish but ultimately fell short. I'm confident we'll see the Redblacks bounce back strong with a convincing win over the Riders on Friday night in Ottawa. The Riders are actually coming off back-to-back wins, but both of those came at home. They remain winless on the road this season and I'm not convinced they can keep up with the Redblacks offensively in this one. Ottawa swept the season series against Saskatchewan last year but suffered a tough 30-29 loss in their first meeting this year. I like the confidence the Redblacks have shown in recent weeks, particularly on the offensive side of the football and I'm confident that carries over in this one. It's getting down to crunch time as the regular season winds down and for a team like Ottawa that sits at .500 on the campaign, it's time to step it up a notch. I like the Redblacks chances of doing just that on Friday. Take Ottawa (10*). |
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09-23-16 | BC v. Edmonton | Top | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
My selection is on Edmonton over B.C. at 10:00 pm et on Friday. Enough is enough. Look for a positive response for the Eskimos on Friday coming off three straight crushing defeats. The last two losses the Eskimos suffered were close ones - in fact, both games were decided in overtime. Two weeks ago it seemed that the Esks were frustrated as a team, but last week may just have been rock bottom as they fell against one of the league's worst teams in the Riders. There will be no shortage of motivation for the Esks here as they host the Lions. B.C. has won three games in a row and five of its last six overall. But the Lions have also faced a very manageable schedule. Two of their most recent wins came against the reeling Als. Two others came against the struggling Redblacks and Argos. The Lions are a tremendous 5-1 on the road this season but I anticipate some regression as the regular season winds down. This is an ideal spot to back the Eskimos at a reasonable price here at home. Take Edmonton (10*). |
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09-11-16 | Hamilton -6.5 v. Toronto | Top | 21-33 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
My selection is on Hamilton minus the points over Toronto at 4:30 pm et on Sunday. The Ti-Cats are brimming with confidence on the offensive side of the football right now and I simply don't see the Argos standing in their way in this quick rematch on Sunday afternoon. Remember last Monday night, Hamilton pulled off a thrilling come-from-behind victory at home. The Ti-Cats were terrible in the first half - particularly on the defensive side of the football - but they came out strong in the final 30 minutes and ultimately secured a big win to pull back to .500 on the season. Look for them to come out much sharper this time around, and ultimately pull away for a decisive victory in TO. Take Hamilton (10*). |
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09-09-16 | Montreal v. BC -9.5 | Top | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
My selection is on B.C. minus the points over Montreal at 10:00 pm et on Friday. We cashed a 10* top play with the 'under' in the Alouettes last game against Ottawa last week but I'll switch gears and focus on the side here, fading the Als as they head west to take on the Lions in Vancouver. Montreal actually won its most recent game here in B.C. by a 23-13 score. That was an outlier, however, as the Lions have generally taken care of business against Montreal, particularly here at home. Note that B.C. dominated Montreal to the tune of a 38-13 rout at McGill Stadium back in early August. The Als are struggling mightily on the offensive side of the football right now, and this doesn't appear to be a favorable spot to 'get right'. B.C. checks in 8-2 ATS on the campaign, and it cashes again here. Take B.C. (10*). |
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09-04-16 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +4.5 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Saskatchewan plus the points over Winnipeg at 3 pm et on Sunday. The Riders have endured a miserable campaign thus far, but I do look for them to rise to the occasion in a winnable Labor Day weekend matchup at Taylor Field in Regina. The Bombers are red hot, winners of four games in a row on the heels of consecutive losses. But this will be their third straight road tilt, and coming off back-to-back blowout wins in enemy territory I believe they'll have a tough time turning the trick again. The Riders battled last week in Edmonton and they'll do the same here. I'll grab all the points I can get in what should be a tight contest. Take Saskatchewan (10*). |
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