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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-31-17 | Browns +12 v. Steelers | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. |
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12-25-17 | Steelers v. Texans +10 | 34-6 | Loss | -116 | 171 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Texans.
The Texans have lost four straight, but last week they were crushed in a 45-7 loss at Jacksonville. After the game reporters asked Jadeveon Clowney: "Are they really that much better than you?". Clowney was left speechless, and could only shake his head. I don't think the Texans want to face similar questions this week, playing at home on Christmas Day versus the Steelers. Pittsburgh is coming off a massive loss to New England, and the potential game winning score was overruled by replay officials. This looks like a classic let down spot for Pittsburgh, and they are dealing with a ton of injuries. Antonio Brown is sidelined for the rest of the year, and might be able to return for the playoffs. The Steelers have already clinched the AFC North, so they don't have a lot to gain in these final two games. Their top priority should be to keep their top players healthy, and that might mean cutting back on the workload for players like LeVeon Bell. The Steelers have won eight of their last 10 games, but they only won once by double digits during that span. They won close games to inferior teams such as Green Bay and Indianapolis. Playing on the road on Christmas Day with questionable motivation, I expect a half-hearted effort from Pittsburgh here. The Texans are 3-3 in their last six home games, and not one of those losses came by more than 10 points. Take HOU. GL,  Jesse Schule |
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12-24-17 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -4.5 | Top | 21-12 | Loss | -114 | 139 h 31 m | Show |
10* |
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12-24-17 | Rams v. Titans +7 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 144 h 51 m | Show | |
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12-24-17 | Falcons v. Saints -5.5 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 144 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the New Orleans Saints. |
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12-18-17 | Falcons -6.5 v. Bucs | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Falcons.
The Bucs host the Falcons on Monday Night, and this game will feature a pair of struggling quarterbacks. Jameis Winston threw for 285 yards and a pair of TDs on 26-of-38 passing in a loss to Detroit last week, but he was picked off twice and lost a fumble in that game. He's 0-5 in his last five starts, and he's thrown seven TD passes and five picks during that span. He's facing an Atlanta defense that ranks 3rd in the league against the pass, in a game that the Falcons need to win. Matt Ryan is also struggling, he completed just 55% of his passes for 221 yards with one TD and three INTs against the Saints last week. The Falcons still managed to win that game, and one of the reasons for that is that they have one of the NFL's most talented running back duos. Tampa ranks 23rd in the NFL against the run, and the Falcons ran all over them a few weeks ago. I expect another strong performance from Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman here tonight. The Falcons own Monday Night Football, they are 5-0 ATS in their last five Monday night games. The Bucs have failed to cover in five straight against divisional opponents. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-17 | Rams +1 v. Seahawks | 42-7 | Win | 100 | 158 h 18 m | Show | |
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12-17-17 | Ravens v. Browns +7.5 | 27-10 | Loss | -115 | 39 h 34 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns.  The 0-13 Browns appeared to be well on their way to earning their first "W" of the season last week, but the Packers tied the game with 17 seconds left of the clock, and went on to win in overtime. The Baltimore Ravens suffered a similar fate in Pittsburgh, blowing a double digit lead in the fourth quarter of a 39-38 loss. The Ravens beat Cleveland by a score of 24-10 at home earlier this season, but Cleveland out-gained them 386-337 in total yards. The Ravens have won their last three games at Cleveland, but all three of those wins came in games decided by less than seven points. Josh Gordon doesn't look like a guy that hasn't played football for three years. He's caught seven passes for 154 yards and a TD in two games back. Deshone Kizer had his best game of the season last week, throwing for 214 yards and three TDs on 20-of-28 passing against the Packers, but was also picked off twice. Cleveland's defense has been surprisingly good, ranking 12th in total defense allowing 328.5 yards per game. History tells us that these two teams play close games, and I expect another hard fought battle in bad weather in Cleveland on Sunday.  Take CLE.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-16-17 | Chargers +1 v. Chiefs | 13-30 | Loss | -110 | 139 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Chargers.
The Chargers are on a roll, coming into KC as winners of four straight, and seven of their last nine. I bet on LA last week in their 30-13 home win over the Washington Redskins. Here is what I had to say before the kickoff: "Philip Rivers and the Chargers are back in business after winning six of their last eight games. They are locked in a three way tie for first in the ACF West, with Kansas City and Oakland also at 6-6. The Chargers control their own destiny, with a game against the Chiefs at Arrowhead next week, and a home game against the Raiders in their season finale. Rivers has thrown eight TD passes and just one INT in his last four starts. He's coming off a pair of 300+ yard games against Dallas and Cleveland." Rivers threw for 319 yards and two TDsin the win over Washington. The Chiefs have lost six of their last eight overall, and two of those losses came at home. Last week's win over an Oakland team in disarray does little to convince me that they have solved all of their problems. Alex Smith threw for 268 yards and an INT on 20-of-34 passing, and was sacked four times in the win over Oakland. He faces the league's 3rd ranked pass defense on Saturday, and the Chargers rank 5th in the NFL with 37 quarterback sacks. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-17 | Patriots v. Dolphins +12 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Dolphins.
The Patriots will play at Miami on Monday Night, but they could be looking ahead to next Sunday's game against the Steelers. A win would put them level with Pittsburgh at 11-2, setting up a massive game to decide who finishes with the best record in the AFC, securing home field advantage throughout the playoffs. The good news for New England is, Rob Gronkowski will be well rested for the game against Pittsburgh, as he serves a 1-game suspension this week. They could be thin in the backfield with both Mike Gillislee and Dion Lewis possibly out due to illness. The Dolphins are coming off an impressive 35-9 win over the Broncos. Jay Cutler threw for 235 yards and a pair of TDs, while Kenyan Drake ran for 120 yards and a TD on 23 carries. Cutler didn't play in a 35-17 loss at New England a few weeks ago, and the Dolphins last two losses in this series came with their backup quarterback under center. Prior to that they lost at New England last September by a score of 31-24, and they won outright in three straight home meetings versus the Pats. The home team has covered the spread in 10 of the last 11 meetings between these two teams. I'll take the points. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-17 | Ravens +5 v. Steelers | Top | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens. |
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12-10-17 | Redskins v. Chargers -6 | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 123 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Chargers. |
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12-04-17 | Steelers v. Bengals +6 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
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11-23-17 | Chargers +1 v. Cowboys | Top | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 77 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Chargers. |
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11-23-17 | Vikings v. Lions +3 | 30-23 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Lions.
The Vikings are sitting in first place in the NFC North with an 8-2 record, but I am still a skeptic. This is a team that lost both it's starting quarterback and it's leading rusher early in the year. Veteran backup Case Keenum has done a terrific job, and Latavius Murray and Jerrick McKinnon have done a decent job filling in for Dalvin Cook. But when I look at Minnesota's schedule, I see wins against Cleveland, Tampa, Baltimore, Chicago and Green Bay without Aaron Rodgers. They lost at home to Detroit in October, and now they come into the Motor City asked to cover a handful of points as a road favorite. I look at the Lions, and I see a team that is far better than it's 6-4 record. Three of those four losses came in one possession games, and that includes a controversial 30-26 loss to the Falcons, when Detroit's game winning TD was called back after video review. The Vikings have lost three straight versus the Lions, despite being favored to win in two of those three games. The underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings between the two teams, and the Vikings have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 road games. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-17 | Vikings v. Redskins +1.5 | 38-30 | Loss | -115 | 75 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Redskins.
Washington is just 4-4, but the Skins are coming off an impressive road win at Seattle. This could breath new life into a team that has faced plenty of adversity. The Vikings come into the nation's capital as a favorite, boasting a 6-2 record. You might remember that Minnesota was in a similar spot last seasons, and would go on to lose five of their final eight games, missing the playoffs. If we take a look at the Vikings schedule, it's tough to pick even one impressive win. Wins over the Bears, Browns, Bucs and Baltimore don't hold up to Washington's wins over the Seahawks in Seattle, the Rams in LA, and the Raiders at home. The Redskins have gotten several key players back from injury, and Kirk Cousins finally appears to be developing some chemistry with his new receiving corps. One would have thought that the Vikings would have been in trouble losing their starting quarterback Sam Bradford, and star running back Dalvin Cook. Case Keenum has overachieved, and I expect him to struggle here on the road in a hostile environment against a defense that is far better than the likes of Cleveland who he faced last week. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-17 | Browns v. Lions -11.5 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 75 h 39 m | Show | |
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11-06-17 | Lions v. Packers | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 184 h 18 m | Show |
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10-29-17 | Falcons -4 v. Jets | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 96 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Falcons. Â At 3-4 the Jets have been far more competitive than anybody thought they would be this season. We can't give them too much credit though, as their wins have come against the Browns, Dolphins and Jaguars. Atlanta's offense hasn't been as prolific as it was last year, but this week looks like a good spot for the Falcons to bust loose. The Jets pass defense has surrendered more yards than the Cleveland Browns this season, and in the past two games opponents have thrown for 583 yards and six TDs. Julio Jones is still the most dominant receiver in the game, and the Jets are going to have a tough time keeping him under wraps. "He's going to be a load," Jets head coach Todd Bowles said about Jones. "He's been triple-teamed and quadrupled. ... He's that great." This is a must win game for Atlanta, and with all the talent on both sides of the ball, they should prove to be too much to handle for a below average Jets team. Â Take ATL. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule
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10-23-17 | Redskins v. Eagles -4.5 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
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