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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 34 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC. Here is what I said prior to the Tar Heels Final Four win: "Duke will be the favorite in their Final Four matchup versus North Carolina, and the question is how much better than the Tar Heels is this team. They finished with one more win in the ACC, and they both got eliminated by Virginia Tech in the ACC Tournament. The Tar Heels upset Duke in Coach K's final home game at Cameron Indoor Stadium, and they have been lighting it up in the NCAA Tournament. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%." As good as Kansas is, they aren't unbeatable. They had their hands full with Creighton and Providence in the tournament, and it seems like a big ask to cover and handful of points here in the Final. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Duke | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 58 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC. Duke will be the favorite in their Final Four matchup versus North Carolina, and the question is how much better than the Tar Heels is this team. They finished with one more win in the ACC, and they both got eliminated by Virginia Tech in the ACC Tournament. The Tar Heels upset Duke in Coach K's final home game at Cameron Indoor Stadium, and they have been lighting it up in the NCAA Tournament. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%. The Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite, and I am not sure they are 4.5 points better than UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-22 | St. Peter's v. North Carolina -8 | 49-69 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC. There isn't a lot of room left on the St. Peters bandwagon, as it seems that everyone is a die hard Peacocks fan these days. It's impossible not to give them credit for making the Elite-8, but the road to the Final Four has a major obstacle ahead. North Carolina has scored an average of 87 points per game in the tournament so far, including a 93-86 win over defending champs and #1 seed Baylor. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%. Everyone loves a Cinderella Story, but we all know how it ends. The clock is about to strike midnight for the Peacocks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL +6.5 v. Kansas | 50-76 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami. While the Hurricanes are one of the few remaining teams that were not projected to be here, keep in mind that they finished just two games behind Duke and a game back of North Carolina in the ACC this year. They beat Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium and won at home versus the Tar Heels. The were bounced from the ACC Tournament in an 80-76 loss to Duke. Kansas survived close games against Creighton and Providence, and they can expect to be challenged once again in the Elite-8 versus Miami. The Hurricanes are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog, and the Jayhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule  |
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03-25-22 | North Carolina +2.5 v. UCLA | 73-66 | Win | 100 | 140 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on UNC. The Tar Heels scored 90+ points in both their first two games of the tournament. UCLA struggled on offense in their first round matchup versus Akron, scoring just 57 points, and they have averaged less than 70 points over their last five games. The Tar Heels are 8-1 in their last nine games overall, and that includes a win at Duke in Coach K's last home game. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%. I will take the hot team as an underdog here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-22 | Providence +7.5 v. Kansas | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 55 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Providence. I bet on the Friars in their win over Richmond, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Friars finished first in the Big East this season with a 14-3 record, half a game ahead of Villanova. The Wildcats are favored by 15 in their first round matchup versus a 15 seed. The Friars are just a slight favorite here against 12 seed Richmond." They won the game by 28 points, and they look good as a big underdog here versus Kansas. The Friars are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog, and the Jayhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova -4.5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 31 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Villanova. Michigan has got off to slow starts in both their first two games at the NCAA Tournament, but they have manged to come back and win. That might not be so easy in the Sweet-16 versus Villanova. The Wildcats are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 NCAA Tournament games, and they are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. They beat Ohio State by double digits in their last game, and they have won 12 of their last 13 overall. The Wolverines are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-22 | Notre Dame v. Rutgers | 89-87 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ND. The Irish won 22 games this season, and finished 15-5 in the ACC (tied with North Carolina for 2nd). The shot over 38 percent from beyond the arc, ranking 2nd in the ACC in three points field goal percentage. They also shot 75.7 percent from the free throw line, second best in the ACC behind the Tar Heels. Rutgers ranked near the bottom of the BIG10 in both three point shooting as well as free throw percentage. The Scarlett Knights struggle to score at the best of times, and they averaged just 64.4 points per game over their last five. The Scarlet Knights are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall, while the Fighting Irish are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-22 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina | 72-59 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 27 m | Show | |
5* |
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03-06-22 | Michigan v. Ohio State -3.5 | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Ohio State. Michigan is 2-2 since the loss to Wisconsin that resulted in the suspension of head coach Juwan Howard for the remainder of the season. This will be their first road game since that loss, and they are just 4-7 on the road this season. The Buckeyes have won 13 of 15 home games this season, and they have outscored opponents by an average margin of 12 points per game on their home court. The Buckeyes are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they seem to draw a favorable matchup in their final home game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-22 | Fresno State v. Wyoming -4 | Top | 64-68 | Push | 0 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys were in first place in the Mountain West a couple weeks ago, but after losing four of their last six overall they sit in fourth. So what happened? Well they had a tough schedule, facing Colorado State and UNLV on the road, and losing a close home game against long time Mountain West powerhouse San Diego State. They are still 15-1 at home, with the only loss coming to the Aztecs. They beat Boise State, Colorado State and Utah State at home, and tonight's game against Fresno State will be their final home game. The Bulldogs have lost five of their last seven, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-22 | Iowa v. Michigan -1 | 82-71 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan. Iowa might be the hottest team in the BIG10. They come into Ann Arbor as winners of seven of their last eight overall. The one loss came at home to the Wolverines. Three of those seven wins came on the road, and all three came against teams in the bottom four in the conference standings. While the Hawkeyes have look great lately, the majority of those wins came against mediocre opposition. Only one of their last seven wins came against a ranked team. They have lost five straight road games at Michigan, and the Wolverines look good as a pickem here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-22 | Minnesota v. Maryland -5 | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Maryland. The Terrapins have won three of their last four, and they play their final home game Wednesday versus Minnesota. The Gophers have lost nine of their last 11 overall, and there isn't much reason to expect them to go all out here on the road at the end of the season. Maryland has won and covered in each of their last six meetings versus Minnesota. The Gophers are coming off back to back 20+ point losses in their last two road games, scoring just 45 and 46 points in those losses. The Gophers have averaged just 61.4 points per game on the road, and I expect them to struggle here at College Park. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-22 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -3.5 | 53-36 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ISU. The Cyclones have won four straight, and their final home game comes against Oklahoma State on Wednesday. The Cowboys have lost eight of 10 road games this season, and they are 6-14-2 ATS in their last 22 games overall. The Cyclones are 14-4 at home, and they have allowed just 59.4 points per game at home. Izaiah Brockington has been on a tear, averaging over 24 points per game in his last five starts. He scored 26 points in a win over the Cowboys earlier this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-22 | San Diego State v. Wyoming +2 | 73-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wyoming. Nobody has won at Wyoming this season. Not Boise State, not Colorado State, and not Utah State. San Diego State has lost five of eight road games, losing at Colorado State, Utah State and Boise State. Given their resume, the Cowboys deserve to be a favorite here at home. The Aztecs will come in as a road favorite despite averaging just 60..5 points per game on the road. Wyoming has averaged 82.2 points per game at home. Expect a close game and I got my money on the home team plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-22 | Auburn v. Tennessee -3 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tennessee. The Vols and the Tigers are two of the top dogs in the SEC, and between the two of them they are 29-0 at home. Auburn has a decent road record (7-2), but a close examination of their last four road games suggests they are in big trouble here at Knoxville. They lost at Florida and Arkansas, and prior to that wins at Georgia and Missouri came by a combined three points. History favors the Vols, as the home team is 17-8 ATS in the last 25 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-22 | Northwestern v. Penn State -1.5 | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Penn State. Penn State will host Northwestern Friday, and these two teams have plenty in common. They each have six wins in the BIG10. and both these teams are far better at home than they are on the road. The home team has won six of the last eight head to head meetings, and the Wildcats are 0-4 at Penn State during that span. The Nittany Lions are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games, and they have covered in four of their last five as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-22 | Wyoming +6.5 v. Colorado State | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-23-22 | West Virginia v. Iowa State -5 | 81-84 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa State. The West Virginia Mountaineers have lost 11 of their last 12 games, and that one win came in a home game against Iowa State. Well it's payback time for the Cyclones, who are 13-4 at home. The Mountaineers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, and they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a losing record. The Mountaineers might be looking ahead to a home game against Texas this Saturday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-22 | Penn State v. Maryland -2.5 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MD. Maryland only has four wins in the BIG10, but they have lost a couple big games that could have gone either way. Losing by two versus Michigan State, and losing to Purdue by one point doesn't show up in the standings. They host a Penn State team that has lost seven of eight road games, with the one win coming at Northwestern in a close game. Penn State won at College Park last March (rallying from a double digit halftime deficit), but the home team is 8-1 straight up in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-22 | Washington State v. USC -5.5 | 60-62 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on USC. The Cougars come into this game as losers of four straight, while USC has won five of six. The Trojans are 12-2 at home, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. The favorite has covered in seven of the last nine meetings. USC has averaged over 77 points per game at home, and they have won 10 straight versus Washington State. The Cougars only covered in two of those 10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Utah State v. Boise State -4.5 | Top | 57-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Boise State. Boise State sits at the top of the Mountain West, with just a half game lead over Wyoming. They have a home game against Utah State Saturday, and I like the Broncos to win big. The Broncos have won four of the last five meetings versus the Aggies, and Utah State has struggled on the road this season. The Aggies are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Utah State has covered in just one of their last five games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-22 | Wright State v. Oakland -3 | 78-74 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Grizzlies, Oakland is still undefeated at home, and they host the Wright State Raiders on Friday night. This will be a revenge game for the Grizzlies, who lost by double digits at Wright State a few weeks ago. The Grizzlies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 as a home favorite. The Raiders are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six as an underdog. Oakland has score an average of just 75.9 points per game this season, but they have scored a whopping 87.5 points per game at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-22 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -1 | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tennessee. The Vols host Kentucky in a revenge game in Tennessee tonight, and this looks like a good spot to back the home team. Tennessee is 13-0 at home, and yet just a slight favorite here versus the Wildcats. They have held opponents to fewer than 60 points per game during their unbeaten run at home. The Wildcats are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Volunteers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-22 | Arkansas v. Missouri +8 | 76-57 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Missouri. The Razorbacks will be a well deserved favorite here at Missouri, coming into this game as winners of nine of their last 10 overall. Missouri has lost two of their last three at home, but those losses each came by a single point versus #1 ranked Auburn and the Florida Gators. The Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog, and they have covered in each of their last five home games. The home team has been the better bet in this series, covering in seven of the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-22 | Wyoming -5.5 v. New Mexico | 66-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys are now in first place in the Mountain West, and they come into tonight's game at New Mexico with a 10-1 conference record. The Lobos are just 2-6 in conference play. While New Mexico has won three of their last four, those wins came against weaker opposition (0-12 San Jose State and Northern New Mexico. The Cowboys are 28-9 ATS in their last 37 road games, and they are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The Lobos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a winning road record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-22 | St Bonaventure v. St. Louis -5 | 68-61 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bilikens. The Bonnies are an underdog on the road at Saint Louis tonight, and this looks like a good spot to back the home team. The hosts have won four of the last five meetings, and the Bonnies are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a road underdog. The Bonnies were briefly in the Top 25 early in the season, but the have struggled in conference play sitting in the middle of the pack in the A-10. Saint Louis is 11-3 at home, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. The favorite has covered in five of the last seven head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-22 | Tenn-Martin +3 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 63-71 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UT Martin. The Cougars are the last place team in the OVC, and yet they are a favorite here in a home game against UT Martin. This would be a tough ask at the best of times, but they haven't won a game since losing leading scorer Ray'Sean Taylor for the rest of the season. They scored just 47 points in a home loss to SEMO in their last game. Home court hasn't been an advantage in this series, as the road team is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The Cougars have failed to cover in six straight overall. Looks like the wrong team is favored here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-22 | Alabama v. Ole Miss +5.5 | 97-83 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ole Miss. The Rebels will be an underdog at home versus Alabama, and the Crimson Tide have lost four of their last five road games outright. Alabama scores plenty on the road (averaging over 80 points per game) but they have struggled defensively (allowing over 85 points per game). The Crimson Tide are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. The Rebels are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-22 | Kansas +1.5 v. Texas | 76-79 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kansas. The Jayhawks are 19-3 overall and 8-1 in the BIG12 heading into tonight's game at Texas. The Longhorns are 5-4 in their last nine overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven. The Longhorns are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Home court hasn't been much of an advantage in this series, the road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Kansas has faced top 25 teams in each of their last four games, winning three of those. They are coming off a 24-point win over #8 ranked Baylor. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-22 | Arizona v. Arizona State +13.5 | 91-79 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. The Sun Devils have played back to back home games against UCLA and USC, and both games were close, decided by a combined eight points. They will be a double digit underdog once again tonight when they host Arizona. They lost 67-56 at Arizona last week, and another close, low scoring game seems likely. The under is 9-2 in the Sun Devils last 11 overall, and they have gone under in 11 of their last 12 home games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-22 | Houston v. Cincinnati +6.5 | 80-58 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cincinnati. The Houston Cougars are cruising, coming into Cincinnati with a 19-2 overall record, and they are undefeated in conference play. The Bearcats are just 5-3 in the AAC, but they are 11-2 at home. They have won outright in three of their last four home games versus Houston. They will be getting a bunch of points here as the home underdog. Cincinnati is allowing just 60.2 points per game, and scoring an average of 74.5 points at home. This is a tough spot for the Cougars, with another road game against second place SMU coming up next. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-22 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arkansas. The Razorbacks have won seven in a row, and they have scored over 78 points per game in their last five. The Bulldogs are 0-4 on the road, and they have averaged just 67 points in those games. Mississippi State is coming off a home win over South Carolina, and they are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. The home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 head to head meetings, and this looks like a potential double digit win for Arkansas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-22 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary +8 | Top | 84-61 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWM. |
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01-29-22 | Indiana v. Maryland +1.5 | 68-55 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MD. Maryland will be a home underdog versus Indiana on Saturday, and they are coming off back to back big wins. The Terps shot 12-of-25 (48%) from beyond the arc in a win over Rutgers in their last game. Indiana has lost four of five road games so far this season, and the one win came at last place Nebraska. The Hoosiers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 road games. The home team has won outright in nine of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Hoosiers have no business being a road favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-22 | Maryland v. Rutgers -3 | 68-60 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. Rutgers is 38-6 straight up at home over the last three seasons, and they are 10-1 at home so far this season. Maryland has lost six of eight BIG10 games so far, and they have lost thee of four road games. Their last road game was a 19-point loss at Michigan. Maryland has allowed an average of 81.5 points on the road, while Rutgers has held opponents to just 58.3 points per game at home. Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings versus Maryland, and they appear to be undervalued as the home favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State +5.5 v. Illinois | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Sparty. Michigan State is in first place in the BIG10, and they come into Illinois as winners of 10 of their last 11 overall. The one loss came in a game decided by just two points. The Spartans have won five of their last six versus Illinois, and the one loss came in a game decided by five points. Michigan State has cashed a winning ticket in five straight road games, and they catch Illinois off back to back losses. The Illini leading scorer Kofi Cockburn didn't play on Friday at Maryland, and he's listed as questionable with a concussion. I expect him to play, but whether or not he's at full speed is another question. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-22 | Iowa v. Rutgers +3 | 46-48 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. Iowa has won four of the last five meetings in this series, with two of those wins coming at Rutgers. Those wins each came in games decided by a single bucket. So what will be different about this game? For starters all time great Luka Garza is no longer playing for the Hawkeyes. He scored 25 points in the win at Rutgers last year. The Scarlet Knights are in good shape, with both Geo Baker and Ron Harper Jr. averaging double figures. Rutgers is 9-1 at home, and they have held opponents to an average just 59.5 points in those games. The Hawkeyes are 2-3 on the road, and while they are averaging over 86 points per game, they have averaged just 71.4 points per game on the road. Rutgers is 37-6 straight up at home over the last three seasons, while Iowa is 12-14 straight up on the road over the last three seasons. The underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-22 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -7.5 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. The Cyclones won 51-47 at home versus Texas Tech just before Christmas, and I was fortunate that I got a good line. Many people would have pushed or lost depending on when they played that game. One of the reasons I decided to bet against Texas Tech in that spot, was that they were missing leading scorer Terrance Shannon. He played 18 minutes in a loss to Kansas State over the weekend, and he should be ready to take on more minutes here in a revenge game against the Cyclones. Texas Tech is 10-0 at home, and the Cyclones have lost two of three on the road. The Red Raiders are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they won their last home game against Iowa State by 27 points. This smells like a double digit win for the Red Raiders. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-22 | Utah State v. Colorado State -4.5 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on CSU. The Colorado State Rams are coming off their first loss of the season against San Diego State, but they look to bounce back in a home game versus Utah State. The Aggies have failed to cover in four of their last five road games, and they scored an average of just over 75 points in those games. That might not be enough against a Rams team that averages over 86 points per game at home. The Rams have won 17 of their last 18 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-22 | Cornell v. Pennsylvania -3.5 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Penn. The Quakers are 4-10, and they have lost six of their last seven games. They have played a tough schedule, and their last three losses came in games decided by single digits. They are the favorite in a home game against Cornell tonight, and the Big Red are coming off a 79-71 win over Dartmouth. Penn is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Quakers have covered in five straight as a favorite, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-22 | Providence -2 v. Marquette | 56-88 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Providence. The Friars are in first place in the Big East, and they play on the road at last place Marquette. The Golden Eagles are coming off a double overtime loss at home to Creighton, and they should be overmatched here. The Friars have some big road wins already this season, winning at Wisconsin, UCONN and DePaul. Marquette has lost some big games at home, losing to UCLA, UCONN and Marquette. The Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, and the Friars are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-21 | Utah State v. Iowa -5 | 75-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes have lost three straight, but two of those losses came against ranked teams on the road. They also lost at home to an Illinois team that is tied for first place in the BIG10. I like their chances of snapping this losing skid against Utah State. The Aggies have only faced one ranked opponent this season, and they lost by double digits at BYU. They have lost four of their last five versus ranked teams, by an average margin of over 10 points. The Hawkeyes held their own in a 77-70 loss at #2 ranked Purdue. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-21 | Arizona State v. Creighton -6.5 | 58-57 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Creighton. Arizona State has failed to impress, losing six of their first eight games. They come into Nebraska as winners of back to back games over Oregon and Grand Canyon, but they appear to be over-matched versus the Blue Jays. Creighton has won four of five home games, and they are coming off a double digit win over a ranked BYU team. The Sun Devils are 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog, and they are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Sun Devils have really missed starting forward Marcus Bagley, who has not played since mid November. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-21 | Iowa v. Iowa State +4.5 | 53-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Iowa State. The Cyclones are 8-0, and they have a pair of wins over ranked teams and a road win at Creighnton. They host the Hawkeyes tonight, and Iowa has lost back to back games. The Hawkeyes are averaging over 90 points per game, but they rank at the bottom of the BIG10 allowing over 70 points per game. The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings straight up, and the Cyclones are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. They underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-21 | Northwestern v. Maryland -4.5 | 67-61 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-01-21 | Washington State v. Arizona State +1.5 | 51-29 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. |
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11-22-21 | Ohio State v. Seton Hall +1 | 79-76 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seton Hall. The Pirates are off to a 3-0 start despite losing their leading scorer from last season to the NBA draft. They still have three seniors in the starting lineup, and that experience has been paying dividends early in the season. They come off an upset win at #4 ranked Michigan, and they are the underdog here in a neutral site game against #19 ranked Ohio State. The Buckeyes are coming off a 71-65 loss to Xavier, in a game that they trailed from start to finish. This came after they narrowly avoided losing their season opener to Akron by hitting a game winning shot at the buzzer. The Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss, and the Pirates are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-21 | Villanova +4.5 v. UCLA | 77-86 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-10-21 | Buffalo +16 v. Michigan | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Buffalo. The #6 ranked Wolverines will open their season as a double digit favorite against an unranked team from the MAC, but don't for a second think this game will be easy. Buffalo finished second in the MAC last season, and they are bringing back their leading scorer, their leading rebounder, and their assist leader. The Bulls are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and they have covered in six straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-21 | Kentucky +1.5 v. Duke | 71-79 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on UK. Kentucky comes in ranked #10, and Duke #9, with the line close to a pickem for the season opener. There isn't much recent history between these teams, with Duke winning the last meeting 118-84 back in 2018. Things change fast for college basketball blue bloods like Duke and Kentucky, with freshmen phenoms arriving year after year, and departing shortly then after. It's the talent that is left behind that should favor Kentucky here this early in the season. Leading scorer Davion Mintz returns with junior Kion Brooks and Oscar Tshiebwe coming over from West Virginia. The Wildcats are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 neutral site games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-21 | UCLA v. Gonzaga -13.5 | 90-93 | Loss | -105 | 92 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Gonzaga. The UCLA Bruins played well enough to win in the Elite 8 versus Michigan, but keep in mind they scored just 51 points and Michigan was playing without their best player. Gonzaga on the other hand scored 85 points in a blowout win over USC. The Trojans were far better than UCLA in the PAC12 this season, beating them in both meetings by a combined 19 points. I'll have to make this analysis brief, because we want to get this bet in quick before the line inevitably gets bet up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-21 | UCLA +7 v. Michigan | 51-49 | Win | 100 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA. |
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03-28-21 | Florida State +3 v. Michigan | 58-76 | Loss | -118 | 87 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on FSU. The Wolverines have cruised into the Sweet 16 with back to back wins over Texas Southern and LSU. They will be a favorite against Florida State, but I think the Seminoles have looked like the better team lately. BIG10 teams have disappointed so far, and Michigan is the last of nine teams in the tournament. Michigan will be shorthanded after Isaiah Livers suffered a stress fracture that has him listed as "out indefinitely". The Seminoles are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog, and they appear to be peaking at the right time. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-28-21 | Creighton v. Gonzaga -13 | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 109 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Gonzaga. The Bulldogs are the biggest favorite in any of the Sweet 16 games, but I am not sure the bookmakers can set a line high enough. Gonzaga is undefeated (28-0), and the majority of those wins came by double digits. They beat Oklahoma by 16 points in their last game, and the Sooners actually played a helluva game. Even shooting 50% from the field and scoring 71 points wasn't enough to keep that game close. The Bluejays are 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games, and they have failed to cover in six straight as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-21 | Oral Roberts +11.5 v. Arkansas | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 90 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oral Roberts. After betting on Oral Roberts in their upset win over Florida, I have to like them as a double digit dog verus Arkansas in the Sweet 16. Here is what I said prior to their game against the Gators: "Oral Roberts was more impressive in their first round upset over Ohio State. Max Abmas scored 29 points on 10-of-24 shooting. He leads the nation in scoring averaging 24.2 points per game. The Golden Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog." They played at Arkansas during the regular season, and that was quite a competitive game. The Golden Eagles have covered in five straight games played at a neutral site. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-21 | Ohio +5.5 v. Creighton | 58-72 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ohio. I had Ohio in their first round upset win over Virginia, and I like them again here against a Creighton team that just barely avoided a first round upset. The Blue Jays defeated UCSB by a score of 63-62, hitting a pair of free throws in the dying seconds. The Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last six neutral site games, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. The Bluejays are 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-21 | Abilene Christian v. UCLA -4.5 | 47-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA. The Bruins are coming off consecutive impressive wins over Michigan State and BYU, and they will face Abilene Christian in the second round. The Wildcats are coming off a 53-52 upset win over Texas, and I expect them to suffer a let down here in their next game. They beat Texas with a pair of free throws with two seconds on the clock, but I doubt they will be as fortunate here against UCLA. The public will be quick to back the underdogs after so many early upsets in this year's tournaments, but the favorite appears to be the play here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-21 | Oregon State +6.5 v. Oklahoma State | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 28 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oregon State. I had the Beavers in the first round versus Tennessee, and this is what I said before that game: "The Beavers finished the season hot, winning the Pac12 Tournament and they won six of their last seven overall. The Beavers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog, and they are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall." They didn't just beat the Vols, they spanked them by double digits. Oregon State was 10-of-21 from beyond the arc, and shot 48.2 percent from the field. Who in their right mind would bet against The Beavers as a 6.5 point dog in this spot? GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-21 | Ohio +8 v. Virginia | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 126 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ohio. The thing about the Virginia Cavaliers is that they can beat anybody on any given day, as evidenced by finishing first in the ACC. They can also lose to anybody on any given day, as evidenced by their loss to San Francisco in non conference play. The Cavs were on the wrong end of one of the biggest upsets in NCAA Tournament history just a few years ago. Ohio is a good team out of the competitive MAC Conference, and they should have good chance to pull off a first round upset. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-21 | Rutgers v. Clemson +1 | 60-56 | Loss | -102 | 117 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Clemson. The Tigers were undefeated in non-conference play, and two of those wins came against Big10 teams (Purdue and Maryland). They are the underdog in the first round versus Rutgers, and the Scarlet Knights pick up most of their wins at home. The Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Clemson has covered in six of their last seven neutral site games, and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 neutral site games as an underdog. There is a lot of talk of all the Big10 teams in the Tournament, but they are already 0-1 after the Spartans lost to UCLA last night. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-21 | Georgia Tech +3 v. Loyola-Chicago | 60-71 | Loss | -108 | 67 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GT. The Loyola Chicago Ramblers have been lights out all year long. They won 18 of their last 19 games overall, and there is no doubt in my mind that they can play with anybody. That being said, I am not convinced that they are better than a Georgia Tech team that won the ACC Tournament, and finished with eight straight wins. The Yellow Jackets finished two games out of first place in the ACC standings, and they won some big games against the best teams in the country. The Yellow Jackets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-21 | Utah State v. Texas Tech -4.5 | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 68 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas Tech. The Utah State Aggies had won six straight heading into the Mountain West Tournament Final, but they really struggled offensively in a loss to San Diego State. It won't get any easier against one of the top defensive teams from the BIG12 Conference. Texas Tech has allowed opponents to average just 63 points per game this season, and the Aggies only scored an average of 64 points in their last five games overall. The Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games. The Aggies defense looks great on paper, but they gave up 80+ points in losses to VCU, Boise State and Colorado State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-21 | Cincinnati +13.5 v. Houston | 54-91 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cincinnati. We've seen a lot of shockers in the conference tournaments so far. Georgetown winning the Big East, Oregon State winning the Pac12, and Ohio State knocking Michigan out of the Big Ten tournament. So it seems a little surprising to see Cincinnati getting a double digit spread in the final of the American Athletic Conference. It's the largest spread we've seen in any of their previous 10 meetings versus Houston. This comes after they knocked off the first place Wichita State Shockers on Saturday. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-21 | Oregon State +9 v. Colorado | 70-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oregon State. The Colorado Buffaloes are better team on paper, but at this time of the year you can't underestimate the power of momentum. The Beavers are on a roll, coming off upset wins over UCLA and Oregon. They have already proved they can compete with Colorado, losing at home to the Buffaloes by just four points earlier this season. The Beavers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-21 | Oregon State v. UCLA -5 | 83-79 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA. The Bruins have lost three straight, and we are often hesitant to back teams that appear to be slumping at this time of year. Those losses came to USC, Oregon and Colorado. The Beavers aren't exactly the same quality of opposition. UCLA has won four of their last five against Oregon State, and seven of the last 10 meetings. Oregon State just lost by 13 at Oregon, and another double digit loss could be in the cards here against UCLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-21 | Michigan State +1 v. Maryland | 57-68 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MSU. The Spartans have won five of their last seven, and both losses during that span came on the road. There is no doubt they have been the hotter team here as they get set to face Maryland in the conference tournament. Maryland is coming off back to back losses to Penn State and Northwestern. The Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last seven neutral site games, and they have struggled offensively during that span. The timing is right to back Sparty as the underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-21 | Miami-FL v. Pittsburgh -3 | 79-73 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Pitt. The Miami Hurricanes are thin in the backcourt with a pair of starting guards sidelined by injury. The Canes faced Pittsburgh twice in 2020, losing both those games. The Hurricanes are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games, and the Panthers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Pittsburgh has lost six of it's last seven games overall, but what is significant about that run is that five of those six losses came in games decided by single digits. Two losses to NC State came by a combined four points, and losses to Virginia and Florida State each came by seven points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-21 | Virginia v. Louisville +2 | 68-58 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Louisville. Virginia has lost three of their last four overall, and back to back games on the road. The Cavs have struggled to score, averaging just 61.6 points per game over their last five overall. This is reminiscent of the Cavs team that was bounced from the NCAA Tournament by UMBC in one of the biggest upsets in history. Louisville has won nine of 10 home games, and they beat the Cavs at home last season by a score of 80-73. The Cardinals are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games, while the Cavs have failed to cover in four of their last five on the road. The home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. I'll take the home dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-21 | Rhode Island v. Dayton -4 | 72-84 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dayton. |
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03-03-21 | UCLA v. Oregon -4 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Ducks. First place UCLA is just a half game up on Oregon in the PAC12, and they play at Eugene as a four point underdog tonight. The Ducks are tough at home, with a 10-2 home record. The Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Ducks are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 home games. Oregon shot 12-of-22 from beyond the arc in an 80-69 home win over Arizona in their last game. They beat the Bruins by 21 points in Eugene last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-21 | Indiana v. Michigan State -2.5 | 58-64 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. The Spartans last two home games were wins over ranked teams, beating Illinois and Ohio State. They are coming off a road loss at Maryland, but back in East Lansing they should be able to handle Indiana. The Hoosiers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall, and they are 3-5 on the road. The Indiana offense has struggled, averaging just 66.4 points per game in their last five overall. Indiana has lost four of their last five overall, including a home loss to the Spartans. Aaron Henry scored 27 points on 9-of-17 shooting in that game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-21 | Texas v. Iowa State +12 | 81-67 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ISU. The Cyclones have lost 14 straight overall, but their last three losses came in games decided by 10 points or less. They already lost at Texas earlier this year, but they easily covered the spread losing by six as a 12 point underdog. The Longhorns are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and the home team has won outright in seven straight head to head meetings. Expecting Texas to win by double digits on the road here seems to be a bit of a tough ask. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-21 | Iowa v. Ohio State -2 | 73-57 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ohio State. The Iowa Hawkeyes are coming off a 22 point road loss at Michigan, and they have lost three of their last five road games. Losses came at Indiana, Illinois and Michigan. The Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. The Buckeyes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. The home team has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-21 | Northwestern v. Minnesota -5 | 67-59 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota. Two struggling teams meet in the BIG10 tonight, but the Gophers appear to be a well deserved home favorite. Here is what I said prior to their last home win: "The Gophers have been world beaters at home, with wins over Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State and Iowa. Overall they have won 12 of their 13 home games this season. The home team has won five of the last six head to head meetings, and the Gophers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. Minnesota scores an average of over 81 points per game at home, while conceding just 68 points per game." The Wildcats are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they are just 1-8 on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-21 | Clemson -3.5 v. Wake Forest | 60-39 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Clemson. The Tigers aren't ranked in the Top 25, but they sure have proved that they can play with the top teams in the country. They've beaten Alabama, Florida State, Louisville and North Carolina (all ranked). They come into today's game as winners of four of five, while Wake Forest is a bottom feeder with just a 3-11 conference record. The Deacons have lost back to back home games by a combined margin of more than 40 points. Clemson has won outright in seven of the last eight meetings, winning three of their last four at Wake Forest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-21 | Davidson v. St Bonaventure -4.5 | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on St. Bonaventure. The Davidson Wildcats come into Sunday's game at Saint Bonaventure as winners of five in a row, but they might struggle against the first place Bonnies. The Bonnies are undefeated at home so far, and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Bonnies are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 home games. The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-21 | Maryland v. Rutgers -4 | 68-59 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights were 18-1 at home last year, and they have won nine of 12 at home this season. They host Maryland Sunday, and the home court should be a big factor. The Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six when coming off a win. The Scarlet Knights are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 home games. Rutgers won by a score of 78-67 at home versus Maryland last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-21 | Cincinnati +13.5 v. Houston | 52-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bearcats. Cincinnati comes into Houston as winners of four straight, but they are just 7-7 overall. Six of their seven losses have come in games decided by single digits, so the double digit cushion here against Houston looks generous. The Cougars are a strong team that have struggled a bit lately. They are coming off a loss at Wichita State, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record. The underdog has covered in five of the last seven head to head meetings, so I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-21 | California v. Washington | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Huskies. Washington and California are both sitting at the bottom of the PAC12 with just three conference wins. The Bears beat the Huskies in Berkeley earlier this year, but I expect the Huskies to get revenge here in Washington. The Golden Bears are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 road games, and the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. California was an 8.5 point dog at Washington last year, and they lost by 35 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-21 | Auburn v. LSU -4.5 | 80-104 | Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LSU. Auburn has lost four of their last five games, and the one win came against last place Vanderbilt. Playing on the road at third place LSU Saturday, I don't expect this game to be close. LSU is 9-2 at home, averaging 84.4 points in those games. Auburn has lost six of eight on the road, averaging 71.9 points per game. LSU is coming off a 78-65 home win over Tennessee, shooting 51.9 percent from the field. Auburn won't likely be able to match the Tigers (LSU) scoring. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-21 | Illinois v. Minnesota +5.5 | 94-63 | Loss | -102 | 21 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota. The Gophers are coming off back to back road losses, but they have been an absolute monster at home. They are 13-1 overall at home, and they have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games. The home team has covered in five straight head to head meetings, so getting 5.5 points seems like a helluva bargain. Illinois has won six straight, but three of their last five wins have come by five points or less. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-21 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -7 | 70-55 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vols. The Kentucky Wildcats are coming off back to back wins, but neither of those were particularly impressive. I bet on them in their home win over Auburn, and they just barely hung on winning that game by two points. They followed that up with a narrow win on the road at last place Auburn, and that inspires little confidence as they head to Knoxville to take on the #19 ranked Vols. The Wildcats are 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven coming off a win. Tennessee has won four of the last five head to head meetings, and the average margin of victory was far greater than seven points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-21 | Minnesota v. Indiana -4.5 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. I bet against the Gophers in their last road game at Maryland, and they got clobbered. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Minnesota Golden Gophers are a real Jeckyll and Hyde team. They are world beaters at home (13-1) but they can't win a road game to save their lives. Maryland has been tough both on the road as well as at home, and they won't make life easy for Minnesota Sunday. They are the only team to beat the Gophers in Minnesota this season, and they are 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings. The Golden Gophers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they shot just 30.4 percent from the field in the loss to home loss to Maryland last month." The Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-21 | DePaul +13.5 v. Seton Hall | 52-60 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on DePaul. The Blue Demons are just 1-9 in the BIG EAST, and they will be a 13.5 point underdog at Seton Hall Wednesday. DePaul has been perhaps more competitive than you would expect for a team with a 1-9 conference record. Their last three losses came by 10 or fewer points to Creighton, Butler and Providence. Seton Hall has failed to cover in four straight home games, and seven of their last eight games against De Paul have been decided by a single digit margin. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-16-21 | Michigan State v. Purdue -5 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Purdue. The Spartans are struggling, coming into Tuesday's road game at Purdue as losers of five of their last seven overall. They have lost all three road games during that span, and they lost at home by a score of 55-54 to Purdue. That was the only time the road team won in the last six head to head meetings. The Spartans have lost their last three at Purdue by double digits. The Spartans are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall, and they are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-16-21 | Providence +5.5 v. Connecticut | 61-73 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play Providence. The Huskies will be a pretty sizeable favorite here at home against Providence, but I think this looks like a tough spot for the home team. The Huskies got off to a strong start, but they have lost four of their last six. Their leading scorer James Bouknight remains sidelined with an elbow injury. They have missed his 20 points per game. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have been decided by fewer than five points. The Friars have played well on the road, going 2-2 in their last four away from home. They won outright at Creighton and lost by a single point to Georgetown. Don't be suprised if they give the Huskies all they can handle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-21 | Marquette v. Seton Hall -7.5 | 51-57 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seton Hall. The Pirates are 8-5 in the Big East, but they are 8-1 against everyone other than Creighton and Villanova. They host Marquette Sunday, and these teams are trending in opposite directions. The Golden Eagles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in five straight road games. Marquette has lost five in a row to Seton Hall, and the average margin of defeat in those games is over eight points. This should be a comfortable win for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-21 | Colorado v. Stanford +1.5 | 69-51 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Stanford. Stanford was forced to play home games off campus for a while, but they are back on their home court for tonight's game against Colorado. The home team has won six of the last seven head to head meetings outright, and I don't think the Buffaloes should be laying points on the road in this spot. The Buffaloes are 16-42 ATS in their last 58 road games, and they are 12-39 ATS in their last 51 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Cardinal are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 home games, and the home team has covered in five of the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-21 | Utah v. California +5.5 | 76-75 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cal. The Golden Bears are sitting in dead last in the PAC12 Conference, and they have lost six game in a row. They have been competitive, losing at home to UCLA by four points, and losing their last game by five points at Stanford. The Golden Bears are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games. The Utes are only 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games. Cal has just two win in conference play, but one of those wins came on the road at Utah. The Bears won outright as a home underdog versus Utah last February. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-21 | LSU v. Mississippi State -1 | 94-80 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Mississippi State. The Tigers have struggled on the road, and they come into tonight's game in Starkeville as losers of four of their last five overall. The Bulldogs have been solid at home, with an overall home record of 8-3. The home team has won five of the last six head to head meetings, and the igers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. The have covered the spread just twice in their last eight road games. The Bulldogs are playing well as evidenced by covering in four of their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-21 | West Virginia +5.5 v. Texas Tech | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WVU. The Mountaineers won at home by a score of 88-87 versus the Red Raiders a few weeks ago, and another close game should be expected here in Lubbock. Texas Tech has their fair share of wins, but they aren't exactly a good bet to cover points. The Red Raiders are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite, and they have failed to cover in seven straight as a home favorite. They are 0-8 ATS in their last eight home games. The line of 5-6 seems a little high. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-21 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -4.5 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kansas. The Jayhawks have lost five of their last seven overall, but all five of those losses came on the road. They are still one of the toughest home teams in the country, and a home game against Oklahoma State figures to be a good spot to get back on track. The Cowboys have lost their last three visits to Kansas all by double digits. The home team has covered the spread in six of the last seven head to head meetings, and the Jayhawks are 46-21-3 ATS in their last 70 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-21 | Drexel v. Hofstra -3 | 73-71 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on Hofstra. The Pride bring a five game winning streak into Saturday's home game against Drexel, and history tells us the home team should be a big favorite here. Drexel has lost eight straight to Hofstra dating back to 2017. The Dragons are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 road games, and they are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Pride are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 Saturday games, and they are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and the favorite has covered in six of the last seven. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-21 | George Mason v. Dayton -6 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dayton. The Flyers are no longer the top team in the A-10, but they are still one of the big boys in this conference. They proved that by winning their last home game by double digits against Rhode Island. Their previous two home games were nine point wins over Duquesne and George Mason. The Patriots are coming off a 17 point road loss to St. Bonaventure, and they had previous lost by 20 at Rhode Island. Another double digit loss looks likely here against Dayton. The Flyers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, while the Patriots are 16-37-1 ATS in their last 54 games versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-21 | Minnesota v. Rutgers -5 | 72-76 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights are a beast at home, and I don't think five points should be tough to cover against a Minnesota team that isn't that strong on the road. The Gophers are 0-5 on the road, and they have failed to cover in six straight road games. The home team has covered in four of the last five meetings and the favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. This should be a double digit win for Rutgers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-21 | LSU v. Alabama -8.5 | Top | 60-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Alabama. The Crimson Tide are undefeated in the SEC, and they spanked LSU by a score of 105-75 in Baton Rouge a few weeks ago. After losing by 30 points at home, you might figure this would be a revenge spot for the Tigers. They might not have a lot of fight in them though, losing their leading rebounder Darius Days to a knee injury in a loss to Texas Tech. Day played 21 minutes in Sunday's game, scoring 11 points and pulling in nine rebounds before suffering a knee injury that will keep him out for at least a month. LSU has lost three of their last four overall, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road. The Crimson Tide are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have covered in five of their last six at home. This should be a double digit win for the Tide. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-21 | North Carolina v. Clemson +4 | Top | 50-63 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Clemson. The Tigers have lost four of their last five, but three of those losses came on the road. The other was a home loss to first place Virginia, the defending national champions. The Tar Heels on the other hand have won six of seven, but four of those wins came at home. None of those six wins came against teams with a winning record in the ACC. Historically these teams have played close games in recent seasons, and last year Clemson won 79-76 in overtime at Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels last win at Clemson came by just two points, and their previous win at Clemson (2015) came in overtime by three points. The Tigers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-21 | St. John's +4.5 v. Marquette | 75-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-30-21 | Ball State v. Akron -4.5 | 42-74 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Akron. The Zips already beat Ball State by 15 points on the road earlier this season, and they look like a bargain as a small favorite at home here on Saturday. Akron has won five straight overall, and they are just 1.5 games out of first place in the MAC. They are undefeated at home so far, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Cardinals are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games. Gimme the home favorite all day! GL, Jesse Schule |
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