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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut -6.5 | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on UCONN. The Huskies are 36-3 and all three of their losses came on the road. They have been crushing the opposition, winning 11 straight NCAA Tournament games by double digits. Purdue on the other hand has struggled at times against Tennessee and Wisconsin in the BIG10 Tourney. Zack Edey has been dominant, but he draws a tougher matchup here against another 7-foot star in Donovan Clingan. The Huskies held San Diego State to 24 points in the first half of the Natty last year. One of these teams has championship pedigree and the other has a history of choking in big games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-24 | Alabama v. Connecticut UNDER 161.5 | Top | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 162 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. I had the under in the Huskies win over Illinois, and they didn't even come close to the total of 155.5. Here is what I said before tip off: "I had to rub my eyes when I saw that the total for this game opened at 155.5. I think the bookmakers came up with this number based on offensive efficiency numbers, while ignoring pace of play. Illinois may be the most efficient offense in the country, but they scored just 72 points in a low scoring battle versus Iowa State. It won't get any easier against a UCONN team that ranks 307th in pace of play averaging 68 possessions per game. UCONN hasn't seen a combined 155 points in any NCAA Tournament game in 10 years. We saw six of eight games fail to reach the total in the Sweet 16, and there is every reason to expect these teams to tighten up even more as we get closer to the Final." The Crimson Tide scored 89 points and did go over the total in their game against Clemson. That game was on pace to go under with Alabama leading 58-53 with just 8 minutes remaining, but there were 60 points scored in the final eight minutes. These teams played last Novermber, and the total for that game was 148. The Huskies won 82-67 falling well short of 161.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-24 | NC State v. Purdue UNDER 146.5 | 50-63 | Win | 100 | 136 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We have seen nine of the last 12 NCAA Tournament games go under the number, and another low score might be expected in a football stadium when such venues have been known to cause problems for long range shooters. Some would say that the Wolfpack have been lucky that Texas Tech, Marquette and Duke shot poorly from beyond the arc. I think it's naive not to give credit to NC State for their defense. Purdue was just 3-of-15 from beyond the arc in the Elite Eight, but with Zack Edey scoring 40 it didn't matter. The Boilermakers won 72-66 versus Tennessee, and I expect a similar score here in the Final Four. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-24 | Tennessee v. Purdue UNDER 148 | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 37 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The overs might have hit in the first round of the tournament, but seven of the last 10 NCAA Tournament games have gone under the total. Both these teams have a checkered past in the NCAA Tournament, and past failures haunt the likes of Matt Painter and Rick Barnes. The Vols will need to slow Purdue down if they want to advance, and they have been dominant defensively in this tournament. The Vols ranked #1 in the SEC allowing just 67 points per game this season, and they have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 11. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-24 | Illinois v. Connecticut UNDER 155.5 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 37 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. |
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03-29-24 | Creighton v. Tennessee -145 | Top | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 104 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on TENN. There aren't many teams that can shoot 3-of-25 from beyond the arc and salvage a win, but Tennessee did just that against Texas. The Vols scored 79 points per game while winning the SEC, expect them to bounce back with a better offensive performance here against Creighton. The Blue Jays also survived a close call winning in overtime after Oregon failed to win it at the free throw line in regulation. Rick Barnes past failures in the NCAA Tournament are well documented, but I wonder if that has influenced this line. The SEC champs have the horses, they have overcome some adversity, and I think it's wrong to assume past failure will haunt them forever. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-28-24 | San Diego State v. Connecticut UNDER 136.5 | Top | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 78 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. This is a rematch of last year's Natty, and UCONN won that game by a score of 76-59. The Huskies have won nine straight, and five of their last six opponents have scored 60 points or fewer. UCONN prefers to play at a slow pace, ranking 302nd nationally averaging 68 possessions per game. San Diego State averages just 69.6 possessions per game. They have played strong defense in the tournament so far, allowing an average of 61.5 points per game. We should expect a low score here, and I think the Aztecs will be held to 60 or less. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-24 | Northwestern v. Connecticut UNDER 136 | 58-75 | Win | 100 | 43 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Northwestern scored just 19 points in the first half of their first round game against FAU, and it was a late collapse by the Owls that saw them advance. Northwestern ranks 334th in pace of play averaging 67 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the BIG10 in opponent's scoring average allowing 69 points per game. They are missing their best shooter Ty Berry, who hasn't played since early February. The Huskies should completely shut them down, but given the pace of play I expect an overall low score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-24 | Colorado v. Marquette -160 | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MARQ. Colorado needed 102 points and 63 percent shooting from the field to get past Florida in the first round, and I don't like their chances of doing that here against Marquette. The Golden Eagles were 5th in the BIG EAST allowing 69.7 points per game, but they finished second behind only the defending champion UCONN Huskies in the conference standings. Star guard Tyler Kolek missed the last few games of the regular season, but he scored 18 points and had 11 assists in the win over Western Kentucky in the first round. While both teams have 26 wins, the Golden Eagles played a far better schedule, and their NET ranking is 11 spots higher (14) than Colorado (25). GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-24 | Duquesne v. Illinois UNDER 148.5 | 63-89 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Duquesne Dukes have been dominant defensively, which is what got them here to the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Dukes rank 281st nationally averaging just 68.5 possessions per game, but they have only averaged 65.8 possessions in their last three games. Their only hope here is to slow down an Illinois team that averages over 72 possessions per game. The under is 8-1 in the Dukes last nine overall, and that is a trend I expect to continue here against Illinois. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-24 | Michigan State v. North Carolina -168 | Top | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on UNC. Both the BIG10 and the ACC appeared to have an off year, but the Tar Heels finished with the best record in their conference and led the ACC in scoring. The Spartans struggled all season, losing early to JMU and then coming into the Tourney as losers of five of seven. Many pundits asked how this Spartans team even qualified for the Tournament. As impressive as their win over the Bulldogs was on Thursday, it was part of an overall theme of SEC teams getting rolled in the first round. The Spartans shot 50 percent from the field and 43.5 percent from beyond the arc, yet only scored 69 points. Playing the Tar Heels in Charlotte is going to be a far bigger challenge. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Grand Canyon v. St. Mary's UNDER 132.5 | 75-66 | Loss | -125 | 115 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Gaels rank 1st in the WCC in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 58.7 points per game. Grand Canyon ranks 2nd in the WAC allowing 66.9 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Vermont v. Duke UNDER 133 | 47-64 | Win | 100 | 111 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. Duke ranks 3rd in the ACC in opponents scoring average allowing 67.4 points per game. Vermont ranks 338th in pace of play averaging 66.8 possessions per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Northwestern v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 141.5 | 77-65 | Loss | -120 | 104 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. Northwestern ranks 334th in pace of play averaging 67 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the BIG10 in opponent's scoring average allowing 69 points per game. The Owls won their first round matchup by a score of 66-65 versus Memphis last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Northwestern v. Florida Atlantic -140 | Top | 77-65 | Loss | -140 | 92 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on FAU. Northwestern ranks 334th in pace of play averaging 67 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the BIG10 in opponent's scoring average allowing 69 points per game. The Owls won their first round matchup by a score of 66-65 versus Memphis last year. The Owls are not getting much hype for a team that went all the way to the Final Four a year ago, despite returning all their starters from that squad. They won 25 games this season, and I don't see anything stopping them from another impressive showing in the tournament. Northwestern has a few key injuries, with Ty Berry and Matt Nicholson out of the lineup. They come limping into the tournament as losers of three of their last four. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | NC State v. Texas Tech -4.5 | 80-67 | Loss | -120 | 38 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TTU. Congratulations to NC State for doing the impossible and winning five games in five days to win the ACC Tournament and sneak into the NCAA Tourney. When is that last time we saw such a thing? How about two years ago when Virginia Tech did the same thing, only to be knocked out in the first round by a BIG12 team? Yeah it was a down year in the ACC, and the Wolpack had a losing record in conference play. Texas Tech is one of the best teams in the best conference in the country. They are the best in the BIG12 from the free throw line, and right up there in three-point shooting. This is a mismatch and Cinderella is gonna turn into a pumpkin as the clock strikes midnight.... Good Night! GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | South Dakota State v. Iowa State UNDER 133.5 | 65-82 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Cyclones won the BIG12 Tournament with a 69-41 win over Houston. They ranked #2 in the BIG12 allowing just 61.3 points per game. South Dakota ranks 316th nationally averaging just 67.7 possessions per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | Nevada v. Dayton UNDER 136.5 | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 86 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Dayton Flyers rank 347th nationally in pace of play, averaging 66.3 possessions per game. The Wolfpack are not much faster, ranking 274th averaging 68.7 possessions per game. Nevada ranks #2 in the Mountain West in opponent's scoring average allowing 67.1 points per game, while Dayton allowed just 66.3 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | Oregon v. South Carolina UNDER 133.5 | 87-73 | Loss | -115 | 85 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Gamecocks were #1 in the SEC in opponents scoring average, allowing just 67 points per game. That's all the more impressive when you consider they played the likes of Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama and Auburn. The Ducks won the PAC12 Tournament, and they have held four consecutive opponents under 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | Oregon v. South Carolina -110 | Top | 87-73 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SOCAR. The Gamecocks were #1 in the SEC in opponents scoring average, allowing just 67 points per game. That's all the more impressive when you consider they played the likes of Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama and Auburn. The Ducks won the PAC12 Tournament, and they have held four consecutive opponents under 70 points. While it's an impressive run for the Ducks, I think they might have peaked a little early. The Gamecocks don't get much respect from bookmakers, and even less respect from bettors. This is despite the fact that they are a highly profitable 23-10 ATS this season. Dana Altman has an impressive record at the NCAA Tournament as head coach of the Ducks, but I am not sure he has the horses this year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-24 | Colorado v. Boise State UNDER 141.5 | 60-53 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Neither of the first two play-in games saw a combined 140 points, and low scores have long been the trend in these elimination games in the NCAA Tournament. The under was 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament. We see teams play at a slower pace in these tournament games, and Boise comes in ranking 285th in pace of play averaging just 68.5 possessions per game. Colorado plays a bit faster, averaging 71.4 possessions per game, but they have averaged just 65.5 possessions in their last three games. This total is higher than it was in four of the Broncos last five games. i wouldn't be surprised if neither of these teams hit 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-24 | Wagner v. Howard -157 | 71-68 | Loss | -157 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Howard. The Wagner Seahawks are not supposed to be here. They rattled off three straight wins in NEC Tournament, despite finishing 6th in the conference with a losing record of 7-9. They come into this play-in game with a handful of injuries, and appear to be due for a let down. Howard was only the 3rd best team in the MAEC this season, but they finished with a 9-5 conference record and ran the table in the conference tournament. They have a 26 year old Super Senior guard in Seth Towns, while Wagner has only one senior starter and he's sidelined with a wrist injury. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 149.5 | 87-93 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Last year's SEC Final ended with Purdue defeating Penn State by a score of 67-65. Yesterday's game between Wisconsin and Purdue nearly ended with a similar score, but the Badgers forced overtime with a buzzer beater that tied the score at 66-66. We saw the BIG12, PAC12,BIG10, BIG EAST, ACC & A-10 tournament finals all saw scores below 140 last year. We saw 33 of the first 44 games in last year's NCAA Tournament fail to reach the total. The fact is that defensive intensity is increased in elimination games. Illinois was knocked out of the first round of last year's tournament in a 73-63 loss to Arkansas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-24 | UABÂ v. South Florida -155 | Top | 93-83 | Loss | -155 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on USF. South Florida can't be that good! I am sure people been saying that all year, and if you been stepping in front of them they been costing you a ton of money. The Bulls are no bull! The real deal, they didn't win 16 games in the American by accident. The Bulls crushed ECU by 22 yesterday, and their next victim is a UAB team that has been hot and cold. UAB won some big games this season, but down the stretch they folded like a cheap suit. After a three game stretch where they beat FAU and North Texas, they went on a 1-3 run that included home losses to Rice and Wichita State. This game is South Florida's to win, and anything other than a double digit win here will qualify as a choke job IMO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-24 | Colorado State v. New Mexico -135 | 61-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on UNM. The Lobos split the season series versus Colorado State, and both teams have a record of 24-9. They were both 10-8 in the Mountain West, and they are both on the bubble. The Rams have failed to cover in five of their last six, while New Mexico has covered in four of five. The Lobos lead the Mountain West in scoring, averaging 82.1 points per game. Senior Guard Jalen House comes in feeling the hot hand after dropping 29 on Boise State last night. The Lobos come in off back to back double digit wins, and momentum appears to be on their side. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-24 | Wisconsin -160 v. Northwestern | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Whisky. The Badgers took care of business in their win over Maryland Thursday, advancing to take on a wounded Northwestern team in the BIG10 Quarter Finals on Friday. The Wildcats will be without two starters, Ty Berry and Matt Nicholson. Berry is the teams best shooter and Nicholson leads the team in blocks. The Badgers have owned this series, winning eight of the last 10 meetings and covering in all eight wins. Wisconsin ranks 22nd in NET ranking, compared to Northwestern 50th. It's asking a lot of Northwestern to compete with a top tier team in the BIG1O without two of their top players. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-24 | Colorado State v. Nevada -145 | 85-78 | Loss | -145 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Nevada. The Wolfpack have won 10 of their last 11, and finished second in the Mountain West with a record of 13-5. They host the Colorado State Rams in the Conference Tournament tonight, and the Rams lost three of their final six games. All three wins came against teams with a losing record. Nevada ranks #2 in the conference in opponent's scoring average allowing just 66.5 points per game, and they were the only team in the conference averaging in single digits in turnovers. I'll ride the hot team in a matchup of two teams trending in opposite directions. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-24 | Cincinnati -140 v. Kansas | Top | 72-52 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CIN. The Jayhawks come into the Conference Tournament without their top two scorers (Hunter Dickinson and Kevin McCullar). This looks like a clear case of Bill Self waiving the white flag, as they look forward to the NCAA Tournament. Cincinnati will relish an opportunity to take down a blue blood, as the Bearcats need as many wins as they can get. Cinci only lost by five at Kansas during the regular season, and Dickinson and McCullar scored a combined 30 points in that game. Kansas has been average at best away from Lawrence all season, even when at full strength. They lost at UCF and at West Viriginia, and they might not have much fight in them here in a neutral site game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-24 | Oklahoma State v. UCF -188 | 62-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UCF. At a quick glance it looks like a matchup between two of the bottom feeders in the BIG12 might be fairly even. I really don't think that is the case at all. While both teams score an average of 71.3 points per game, Central Florida is one of the best defensive teams in the conference allowing just 67 points per game. The Cowboys rank 13th in the BIG12 allowing 72.6 points per game. Oklahoma State has a NET ranking of 120th while Central Florida ranks 61st. Oklahoma State ranks last in the BIG12 in rebounds per game, and the Knights dominated the boards (40-27) in a win at Stillwater during the season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-24 | Lehigh v. Boston University UNDER 140 | 84-79 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Boston University will host Lehigh in the semifinals of the Patriot Conference tournament, and these teams just played just a couple weeks ago. The Terriers won that game 64-62 in overtime, and neither team has scored 70 in three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams. The Terriers rank 320th nationally, averaging 67.6 possessions per game. They also rank 3rd in the Patriot allowing 66.1 points per game. Lehigh hasn't seen a combined 140 points in any of their last four games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-24 | Florida International v. New Mexico State -145 | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NMSU. These are two of the bottom feeders in the Conference USA, and between the two of them they have lost 24 of 26 road games. The Aggies have been solid at home though, with a record of 11-3. This is a the final home game for the Aggies, a revenge game against Florida International who beat them 77-67 earlier this year. The Panthers are 1-11 on the road, and that win came in non conference pay in November against the Houston Christian Huskies (the minnows of the Southland). GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-24 | Boise State v. San Diego State UNDER 137 | 79-77 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Aztecs are coming off a 62-58 loss at UNLV, and they host Boise State in their final home game Friday. The Aztecs rank 1st in the Mountain West in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 65.8 points per game. Boise State isn't far behind, allowing 66.9 points per game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven straight head to head meetings. Neither team has scored 70 in six of the last seven meetings. Another low score should be expected here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-24 | VCU v. Dayton UNDER 139 | Top | 86-91 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. |
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03-07-24 | Colorado v. Oregon -135 | 79-75 | Loss | -135 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on OREGON. The Ducks are 12-2 at home, with losses to Washington State and Arizona (the top two teams in the PAC12). The Buffaloes are just 2-7 on the road. While Colorado comes in as the hot team, winning four straight, none of those games were against teams with a winning record in conference play. The Buffaloes have a couple key players banged up (Williams and Hammond III), While the Ducks get their best player back. Senior center N'Faly Dante has only played in 15 games this season, but he returned to action against Arizona scoring 16 points and pulling in 10 rebounds. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-24 | Tennessee v. South Carolina UNDER 140 | 66-59 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Tennessee Volunteers are looking to clinch the SEC title on the road at South Carolina tonight. This is a revenge game for Tennessee, after losing 62-59 at home to the Gamecocks in January. I have previously mentioned that defensive intensity increases at this time of year, and that 33 of the first 44 NCAA Tournament games failed to reach the total last season. With a conference title on the line, this is the type of game where you expect to see no easy buckets. The under is 2-2-1 in the last five head to head meetings, but none of those games saw 140 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-24 | Nevada v. Boise State -5.5 | 76-66 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Boise. The Broncos are tied with Utah State for the best record in the Mountain West, and they play their final home game tonight against Nevada. The Wolfpack have won five straight including road wins at Colorado State and UNLV. Their starting PG Kenan Blackshear has missed the last two games with an ankle injury, and he is questionable for tonight's game. The Broncos are 5-1 straight up in the last six head to head meetings and they are 3-0 at home during that span. Both these teams are allowing 66.6 points per game, ranking 2nd in the Mountain West in opponent's scoring. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-24 | Liberty v. Middle Tennessee +5.5 | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on MTSU. The Blue Raiders have won five straight home games, and yet they are an underdog against a Liberty team that is just 2-7 on the road. The Flames have been favored in each of their last five road games, and they lost all five of those. Final home game for Middle Tennessee, getting points... sign me up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-24 | Duke v. NC State UNDER 148.5 | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. Duke will play at NC State on Monday, and this looks like a tough spot to ask the Blue Devils to cover a big spread. The Blue Devils have North Carolina on deck, and could get caught looking ahead here. We look at the history between these teams, and we can see that three of the last four meetings have gone under the total, and Wolfpack have covered in the last two meetings. Duke is ranked 3rd in the ACC in opponent's scoring average, allowing 66.8 points per game. Duke has gone under in eight of their last 10 overall, and they scored just 60 points in a loss in their last game at NC State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-24 | Iona v. Marist -160 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Marist. |
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03-02-24 | Marquette v. Creighton -4.5 | 75-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays are 13-2 at home, and that includes a blowout win over then #1 ranked UCONN. They were catching the Huskies in a tough spot, and they catch Marquette in a similar spot here today. The Blues Jays only home losses came in OT to Villanova, and by one point versus Butler. They were leading at halftime in both those games. Marquette is coming off a big win over Providence, and they are in a sandwich spot here with UCONN on deck. That home game against UCONN is a revenge spot, as well as the Golden Eagles final home game. Then you have starting PG Tyler Kolek likely to miss this game with an oblique injury, and we can expect a let down here at Creighton. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-24 | Illinois v. Wisconsin -155 | 91-83 | Loss | -155 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on WISC. The Badgers have fallen out of the rankings, and here we have another unranked home favorite versus a ranked team. Wisconsin is 13-2 at home, and their only home loss in BIG10 play came in a close game against Purdue. They also lost to Tennessee in non conference play. The Illini are just 4-5 on the road, and this looks like a big look ahead spot as they have Purdue on deck in their final home game. Illinois has lost on the road at Penn State, Michigan State and Northwestern. This looks like a tough spot for the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-24 | Florida v. South Carolina UNDER 145.5 | 76-82 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Gamecocks are #1 in the SEC in opponent's scoring average allowing just 65 points per game this season. They rank 332nd nationally in pace of play, averaging just 66.9 possessions per game. This should be a pace war as Florida ranks among the fastest pace teams in the country. The Gators though haven't had a lot of success on the road. These teams have gone under in two of the last three head to head meetings, and none of those games saw a combined 145 points. This game looks similar to when Florida played at Texas A&M, and lost by a score of 67-66. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-29-24 | Michigan v. Rutgers UNDER 138.5 | 52-82 | Win | 105 | 29 h 30 m | Show | |
 This is a 5* play on Under. Rutgers will be a big favorite at home versus Michigan tonight, despite the fact that they scored just 46 points in a loss to Maryland in their last home game. Rutgers ranks dead last in the BIG10 in scoring, averaging just 66 points per game, and they rank 3rd in the conference in opponent's scoring allowing 66 points per game. The under is 7-1 in the last eight head to head meetings between these teams. Rutgers has gone under in 14 of their last 20 conference games, and they have averaged just 60 points in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-24 | South Carolina +4 v. Texas A&M | Top | 70-68 | Win | 100 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SOCAR. The Gamecocks are just one game out of first place in the SEC, and they are an underdog on the road at Texas A&M. The Aggies have lost four straight, and that includes a home loss to Arkansas. This is a revenge game for the Gamecocks, after losing at home to Texas A&M in January. South Carolina had won eight of the previous nine meetings between the two teams. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, and I'll take the points with the better team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-24 | Georgia v. LSU -175 | 66-67 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LSU. After upsetting Kentucky at home last week, the Tigers suffered a let down in their next game against Mississippi State. They should get back on track here against a Georgia team that has lost seven of their last eight overall. The only win during that span came against Vanderbilt. After beating the Commodores they lost by 21 at home to Auburn. Georgia has lost six of their last seven at LSU, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus the Tigers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-24 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh -140 | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PITT. The Panthers are coming off a blowout loss at Wake, but they had won seven of eight heading into that game. Their only loss during that span was close game at Miami. A home game against Virginia Tech looks like a good bounce back spot, especially considering the Hokies are 1-6 on the road. This is also a let down spot for the Hokies, who are coming off a blowout home win over rivals Virginia. The Hokies have failed to cover in eight of their last nine on the road, while Pittsburgh are 15-5 SU in their last 20 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-24 | South Carolina v. Ole Miss -168 | 72-59 | Loss | -168 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISS. The Rebels are coming off a loss to Mississippi State, but this looks like a good bounce back spot at home against South Carolina. It's also a revenge game, as they lost 68-65 at South Carolina earlier this month. The Gamecocks barely held on in that game after being outscored 34-25 in the second half. The Rebels are 14-1 at home, with the only loss coming against first place Auburn. South Carolina is coming in off back to back losses. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-24 | Duke v. Wake Forest -130 | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WAKE. Wake bounced back from a loss at Virginia with a blowout win at home over Pitt. They are now 14-0 at home, and here comes Duke off a blowout win at Miami. Duke is 12-3 in the ACC and they come in as winners of eight of nine. Duke has won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams, but they lost their last game at Wake by a score of 81-70. Duke's most recent road win came against a Miami team that was missing a pair of starters. Their previous win came at Florida State, making this a third straight road game and a real tough spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-24 | Ohio State v. Minnesota -168 | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MINN. So the Buckeyes are coming off a home win over Purdue, and that puts them in a massive let down spot here on the road at Minnesota. This is an Ohio State team that hasn't won on the road all year, and Minnesota has 14 wins on their home floor. Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings, and they are 22-3 ATS overall this season. The Gophers are 14-1 ATS in their last 15 home games, while the Buckeyes have lost 16 straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-24 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt +1.5 | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Vandy. The Bulldogs bring a six game losing streak into tonight's game at Vanderbilt, and they have struggled against the Commodores in recent seasons. Vanderbilt has won four in a row versus Georgia, covering the spread in three of those four wins. The Commodores have struggled this season, but their last home game was an impressive win over Texas A&M. They have covered the spread in three of their last four home games, and this looks like a good spot to back the home underdog in a very winnable game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-24 | Connecticut v. Creighton UNDER 145.5 | 66-85 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UNDER. The Huskies are the #1 ranked team in the country, 14-1 in the Big East and 24-2 overall. The defending champs are coming off a 28-point win over Marquette, and they could be due for a let down here on the road at Creighton. History suggests that this is a tough spot for UCONN, as they are just 2-6 straight up in the last six head to head meetings, and they have lost four straight at Creighton. History also tells us that when these two teams get together they put on a defensive clinic. This was on full display when the Huskies won 62-48 at home versus Creighton earlier this season. Neither team has scored 70 points in any of the last six head to head meetings, and neither team has scored 70 in regulation in any of the last eight meetings. The Blue Jays won at home by a score of 56-53 versus UCONN last February. Don't be surprised if history repeats itself. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-24 | Utah v. UCLA -140 | 70-69 | Loss | -140 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UCLA. I bet on the Bruins in a home game against Oregon last week, and I said the following: "The Bruins have been futile offensively at times this season, but they come into Saturday's home game against Oregon as winners of four of their last five overall. The one loss came on the road at Arizona in a close game. The Bruins lost 64-59 at Oregon earlier this season, and that sets up a revenge angle here at home. The Ducks have lost three of their last four at UCLA and the one win came in overtime. The Ducks have been hit hard by the injury bug, putting their depth to the test." Now the Bruins are the hottest team in the PAC12, and they should keep rolling in a home game against conference bottom feeder UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-24 | North Texas v. UABÂ -140 | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UAB. The Blazers last two home games were outright wins over ranked teams, beating Memphis and FAU. They host North Texas here on Sunday, after defeating the Mean Green in Texas earlier this season. While you could call this a revenge game, the Mean Green have lost three of their last four road games. UAB is undefeated at home in conference play, and I fully expect them to bring it here on Sunday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-24 | Colorado -125 v. USC | 92-89 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Colorado. The Buffaloes are on the bubble, badly needing a win here on the road at USC. This has been a down year for the Trojans, and they know their season is coming to an end. Colorado is 7-3 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they have won three of their last four at USC. The Buffaloes came up just short at UCLA on Thursday, but a similar performance here would likely be enough to get past the Trojans. Colorado will have a huge edge at the free thrown line, as they rank 1st in the PAC12 hitting 79 percent. The Trojans rank 10th in the conference in free throw percentage. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-24 | Liberty v. Sam Houston State +4.5 | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on SHSU. Sam Houston is a half game out of first place in the C-USA, and they are 9-2 at home. They have beat the best teams in the conference at home (Western Kentucky and LA-Tech). Liberty comes in as a favorite, despite a 2-5 road record. It's fair to say that this Liberty team is overrated. They have been favored in four of their last five road games. They went 0-5 ATS and 1-4 straight up in those games. This looks like a clear case of the wrong team favored, and worthy of a sprinkle on the moneyline. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-24 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +2 | 67-57 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Oklahoma. Kansas is no longer the cream of the crop in the BIG12, and they find themselves in a tough spot here on the road at Oklahoma. Even at full strength, this team has struggled on the road losing five of seven. Their most recent road game was a 29 point loss at Texas Tech. Leading scorer Kevin McCullar Jr. didn't play, and he's still dealing with a bone bruise. Bill Self expressed optimism that McCullar can return to the lineup, but suggested his role might be limited. The Sooners are 13-2 at home, and just a game back of Kansas in the BIG12 standings. No way Kansas should be the favorite in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-24 | New Mexico State v. Western Kentucky -9 | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on WKU. The Hilltoppers host New Mexico State, and this is the ultimate revenge spot. I bet on New Mexico State in the last meeting, and I was fortunate to be on the right side of one of one of the wildest comebacks this conference has ever seen. The Aggies trailed by 23 points five minutes into the second half at home, and rallied to win the game outright. This team is 0-11 on the road, and I don't think they can count on another miracle here in Kentucky. The Hilltoppers are 11-1 at home, and their last home game was a double digit win over UTEP. Western Kentucky has covered in five of six, while the Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-24 | Northwestern v. Rutgers UNDER 131.5 | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. History paints a pretty clear picture that games between these two teams are normally ugly, defensive and low scoring. The under is 7-2 in the last nine head to head meetings, and the two games that went over the number both went to overtime. Last March Northwestern won by a score of 65-53. In six of the last eight meetings neither team reached 70 points. Rutgers ranks dead last in the conference in scoring averaging just 67 points per game, and they rank 2nd in scoring defense allowing 65 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-24 | Massachusetts v. Richmond -168 | 69-59 | Loss | -168 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on RICH. The Spiders are in first place in the A-10 with a 9-1 record in conference play. Their lone loss came on the road at VCU, and they responded with a blowout win at home over LaSalle. Richmond is 12-0 at home while UMASS is 1-5 on the road. History favors the Spiders who have won eight of 10 head to head and all six at home during that span. So what am I missing? Well two of the last three losses for the Minutemen came by one point, but their last game at Richmond was a 33-point loss last March. Hard for me to imagine an upset here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-24 | New Mexico v. Nevada | Top | 83-82 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NEV. The Wolfpack are 12-1 at home, and they have a revenge game on tap against New Mexico on Tuesday. The Lobos crushed Nevada at home earlier this season by a score of 89-55. The Wolfpack had won nine straight versus New Mexico prior to that. Nevada has won four of five, and three of those four wins came against ranked teams (San Diego State, Utah State and Colorado State). New Mexico has lost two of three, with their only win during that span coming at Wyoming. This looks like two teams trending in opposite directions, and a significant edge for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-24 | UABÂ -145 v. Tulsa | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on UAB. The Blazers are quietly one of the top teams in the AAC, winning seven of 10 in conference play. All three losses came on the road, but all three losses came against teams ahead of them in the standings. Tulsa is just 3-7 in the AAC, and they have lost three straight versus UAB including back to back home losses to the Blazers. Tulsa has three wins in conference play, against three teams ranked in the bottom four. Wichita, Rice and UTSA are all bottom feeders in the conference. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-24 | Georgia v. Arkansas -130 | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on ARK. Arkansas lost 76-66 at Georgia earlier this season, setting up a revenge spot here at home. The Bulldogs are 2-6 since that win over Arkansas, and they have struggled in recent games at Arkansas. The Razorbacks have won five straight at home versus Georgia, and all five of those games were 10+ point blowout wins. The Bulldogs built a solid record with a soft schedule early in the season, but reality is starting to set in as they play more tough SEC games. Georgia are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games against Arkansas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-24 | San Diego State v. Nevada -125 | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Nevada. The Aztecs have dominated this series, winning nine of the last 10 meetings. They did lose at Nevada last year though, by a score of 75-66. San Diego State has failed to cover in eight of the last 10 meetings, and their last win at Nevada came by just one point. The Aztecs are 4-5 on the road, and Nevada is 11-1 at home this season. San Diego State is coming off a road win at Air Force, but had lost at New Mexico, Boise State and Colorado State in their previous three road games. I'll take the home team here to get the win over a ranked team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-24 | Dayton v. VCU UNDER 135.5 | 47-49 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Dayton Flyers are first in the A-10 with a 9-1 record, their only loss coming at Richmond by a score of 69-64. The Flyers are one of the slowest paced teams in the country, averaging only 65.9 possessions per game (352nd). VCU ranked 292nd nationally averaging just 68 possessions per game. Both teams allow roughly 65 points per game, ranking as two of the top defenses in the conference. History tells us that the under has cashed in each of the last three head to head meetings. These teams haven't gone over 134 combined points in any of the last five head to head meetings. We expect a slow, defensive game here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-24 | Northeastern v. Campbell UNDER 136.5 | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Campbell Camels will host Northeastern Thursday in a matchup between two of the lowest scoring teams in the CAA. These teams rank 11th and 12th respectively in scoring in the conference. Campbell is also one of the top defensive teams in the CAA, allowing just 67.6 points per game. The Camels rank among the slowest teams in the country, ranking 337th averaging 67 possessions per game. The Huskies only average 67.8 possessions per game. Expect a slow pace and a low score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-24 | Davidson v. Duquesne UNDER 136.5 | 72-59 | Win | 100 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
This is 4* play on Under. The Davidson Wildcats rank 14th in the A-10 Conference in scoring, ahead of only Saint Louis. The Duquense Dukes rank 11th in scoring, averaging less than one point more than Davidson. There are 362 Division 1 teams, and Davidson ranks 359th in pace of play averaging just 64.8 possessions per game. Davidson has failed to score 70 points in three of their last four games. Duquense has gone under the total in all four of their home games in conference play, and their most recent home game was a 65-60 win over Chicago State. Davidson is 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they failed to reach the total in all but one of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-24 | Ole Miss v. South Carolina -175 | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SOCAR. The Gamecocks are 11-1 at home this season, and that includes a win over Kentucky. The Rebels have lost three of four road games in the SEC, and they are 0-3 on the road versus ranked teams. South Carolina ranks #1 in the SEC in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 64 points per game. They have held Kentucky, Missouri and Mississippi State to 64 points or less at home this season. They are coming off back to back road wins at Georgia and Tennessee, allowing 62 points or less in both those games. This looks like a bad spot to back the Rebels. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-24 | UABÂ +7.5 v. SMU | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UAB. The Blazers have won 10 of their last 12 games, and they are coming off an outright win as an underdog at North Texas. They had previously lost on the road at Charlotte by just six, and covered as a double digit underdog at FAU. Overall the Blazers are 4-3 on the road this season, and they have won seven straight against SMU. That includes three outright wins at SMU. The Mustangs are 10-2 at home, but their last home game was a four point win over Tulane. It looks like the home team is asked to cover too many points here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Oregon v. UCLA +1.5 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UCLA. The Bruins have been futile offensively at times this season, but they come into Saturday's home game against Oregon as winners of four of their last five overall. The one loss came on the road at Arizona in a close game. The Bruins lost 64-59 at Oregon earlier this season, and that sets up a revenge angle here at home. The Ducks have lost three of their last four at UCLA and the one win came in overtime. The Ducks have been hit hard by the injury bug, putting their depth to the test. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Liberty v. UTEP +5 | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTEP. The Liberty Flames have struggled in their first year in the C-USA, and after losing five of seven games and going 0-4 on the road, they have no business coming into tonight's game asked to cover a handful of points. UTEP is 11-1 overall at home, and 3-0 at home in conference play. The teams they have beaten at home (WKU, JVST & MTU) all sit higher in the C-USA standings than Liberty. This looks like another clear case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | South Florida +6.5 v. North Texas | 60-55 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USF. The Bulls come into North Texas as winners of 12 of their last 13 overall. That includes upset wins over the likes of Florida State and Memphis. The one game they did lose came on the road at UAB by just four points. UAB just handed North Texas a home loss. I don't think the bookmakers give the Bulls enough credit, and I like their chances of keeping this game within the number if not winning outright. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Houston v. Kansas UNDER 134.5 | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Houston Cougars will be the favorite at Kansas, but I expect this game to be a defensive battle. Houston has held opponents to 52.9 points per game this season, and they rank 349th in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. Kansas can play defense as well, and you look at recent games against top tier opponents and it gives you an idea what to expect. Games against #4 Marquette, #7 Tennessee and #4 UCONN all went under this total. I'd be surprised if either of these teams reaches 70. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Connecticut v. St. John's UNDER 146.5 | 77-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The #1 ranked Huskies might have a battle on their hands here at MSG versus St. John's. These two teams played in December, and UCONN won that game by a score of 69-65 at home. The Huskies are one of the slowest teams in the country, ranking 278th averaging just 68 possessions per game. The Red Storm have failed to reach the total in four of their last five games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-24 | Ohio State v. Iowa -5 | 77-79 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IOWA. These teams both rank near the bottom of the BIG10, but Iowa is still a tough nut to crack when they play at home. They are 9-3 at home, losing to Purdue, Maryland and Michigan. Their wins have all come by five or more points, beating Rutgers by nine and Nebraska by 18. Ohio State is 0-5 on the road, and they are coming off three straight double digit losses. They lost by 25 at Northwestern and by 14 at Nebraska in their last two road games. The Buckeyes are 1-6 straight up in their last seven, and all six losses came by 5+ points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-24 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska OVER 144.5 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OVER. The Badgers beat Nebraska at home by a score of 88-72 earlier this season, going way over the total of 144. The bookmakers haven't adjusted for this game at Nebraska, despite the fact that the Cornhuskers are one of the better offensive teams in the BIG10, and they have scored over 81 points per game at home in conference play. The Badgers have averaged just over 71 points per game on the road in conference play. Wisconsin ranks 1st in the BIG 10 in free throw percentage hitting over 77 percent of their attempts, while Nebraska ranks 3rd hitting better than 75 percent. This number looks like it should be a few points higher. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-24 | Florida v. Kentucky -5.5 | Top | 94-91 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on UK. The Gators lost at home to Kentucky earlier this season, so is this a revenge spot? I don't like the revenge angle here, as Kentucky is the far better team and Florida struggles on the road. The Gators have lost three of four road games this season, and they were 4-7 on the road last year. Kentucky is 9-1 SU in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they have covered in five straight and eight of the last 10 versus Florida. The Gators rank dead last in the SEC in opponent's scoring, and Kentucky ranks second in the conference in scoring averaging over 88 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-24 | Baylor v. UCF UNDER 140 | 77-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. While this might look like an easy game for a ranked Baylor team, let's dig a little deeper. The Central Florida Knights have held five of their last six opponents under 70 points. That includes a 65-60 home win over Kansas. They held BYU to just 63 in a home loss, and held West Virginia to 59 in a win in their most recent home game. Baylor on the other hand scored just 64 in an outright loss at Kansas State last week. Baylor has gone under in six of their last nine road games, and UCF has gone under in six of their last seven overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-24 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss -115 | 82-86 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISS. So the Bulldogs have dominated this rivalry in recent seasons, but perhaps that just pours fuel on the fire adding motivation for the Rebels to win here as a home favorite in a rivarly game. The Rebels are 12-0 at home, and those wins include convincing victories over quality opponents like Florida and Arkansas. The Bulldogs are 0-4 on the road with losses to the likes of Florida and Georgia Tech. The Bulldogs rank dead last in the SEC in three-point shooting hitting just 27 percent of their attempts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-24 | Ohio State v. Northwestern -140 | 58-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NW. The Buckeyes are winless on the road, while Northwestern is 10-1 at home. The Wildcats have beaten Purdue and Illinois on their home floor. Ohio State are 0-13 SU in their last 13 games on the road. While Northwestern is in a bit of a sandwich spot between Illinois and Purdue, they should do enough to rack up another win at home against a below average opponent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-24 | NC State v. Syracuse -130 | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CUSE. The Orange are 9-1 at home this season, and they have won five straight against NC State. They have covered the spread in four of those five games. The Wolfpack are coming off a 59-53 loss at Virginia, and their road wins have come against conference bottom feeders Louisville and Notre Dame. History favors the home team here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-24 | Minnesota v. Penn State -140 | 83-74 | Loss | -140 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PSU. The Gophers have lost three of four on the road, and they are at Penn State and the Nittany Lions are 8-2 at home. History favors the home team, as Penn State is 5-1 in the last six head to head meeting and 4-0 at home during that span. Their last home game was an 87-83 win over 1st place Wisconsin. Minnesota are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-24 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -140 | Top | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Wisconsin. The Badgers as just a slight home favorite has me scratching my head here, but after digging a little deeper I think I can see why that is. Historically the home favorite has not been a good play in this series, as the road team is 6-0 straight up in the last six meetings. This is just one indicator, and the majority of the rest of the data still points me toward Whisky. The Badgers are 10-1 at home, while Sparty has lost three of four on the road. The Badgers are 7-1 in the BIG10, while Sparty is 4-4 with all four wins coming against teams with a losing record. Wisconsin ranks 1st in the BIG10 in free throw percentage (77%) while Sparty ranks 11th (70%). That right there could prove to be the difference in a close game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-24 | Elon v. Campbell UNDER 142.5 | 68-78 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Campbell Camels have played two home games in conference play, and neither team scored 70 points in either of those contests. Campbell is one of the slowest teams in country, ranking 339th out of 362 teams in pace of play. They average just 66 possessions per game, and Elon is also fairly slow averaging just 70 possessions per game. These teams have only met twice in the last five years, but both of those games went under the number and nobody reach the 70 point mark in either game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-24 | Colorado v. Washington +3.5 | Top | 98-81 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WASH. So Colorado might well be the better team here, but they have no business coming in to Seattle as a road favorite. The Huskies only home loss in conference play came by just two points versus Oregon. They beat Gonzaga in a home game outside of the PAC12. Colorado has lost all four road games so far this season, and has dropped four of their last five at Washington. This appears to be a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-24 | Florida State v. Syracuse -150 | 85-69 | Loss | -150 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CUSE. The Seminoles flipped a switch at the start of conference play, winning five straight games. They have since lost at home to Clemson, and they face another tough test here on the road at Syracuse. The Orange are 9-0 at home this season, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus FSU. The Orange are 12-1 SU in their last 13 versus teams not ranked in the Top 25. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-24 | Ohio State v. Nebraska -150 | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NEB. The Cornuskers are 12-1 at home, hosting an Ohio State squad that is 0-3 on the road. The Buckeyes lost 63-60 at Nebraska last year, and these two teams have since trended in opposite directions. This is a Nebraska team that has beaten #1 ranked Purdue at home, and followed up with a home win over Northwestern in their last game. Ohio State are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Nebraska, and has lost 12 straight on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-24 | Richmond v. Davidson UNDER 137 | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Of the 362 Division 1 teams in the country, Davidson ranks 360th in pace of play averaging just 63.8 possessions per game. The Wildcats host Richmond Saturday, and these teams have failed to reach the total in back to back games the last two seasons. Richmond also plays at a slow pace, ranking 282nd nationally averaging 68.8 possessions per game. The Spiders are coming off a 63-61 win at Duquesne, and their previous road game was 58-56 win at Loyala Chicago. I expect both teams to score fewer than 70 points here GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-24 | Virginia Tech v. NC State -150 | 84-78 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NCST. The Wolfpack are 9-1 at home, coming off an 83-76 win over Wake Forest. They are 5-1 in the ACC, and they host the Virginia Tech Hokies Saturday. Virginia Tech comes in winless on the road with an 0-4 record, and they are 2-4 in the ACC. The Wolfpack have won and covered in three of the last four head to head meetings. Virginia Tech are 0-5 ATS in their last five games on the road, while North Carolina State are 18-2 SU in their last 20 games at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-24 | Western Kentucky v. New Mexico State -125 | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NMSU. While Western Kentucky comes into this game with a record of 13-4, their strength of schedule is questionable. According to TeamRank.com they rank 215th nationally in strength of schedule. New Mexico State on the hand has played New Mexico twice, losing by a bucket at home. They lost to Kentucky, Fresno State, Tulsa and Louisville. The Aggies are 7-1 at home, and they have covered the spread in five straight home games. Western Kentucky is 4-2 on the road so far, but they were 4-9 on the road last year. Give me the home team at a pickem! GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-24 | Maryland v. Northwestern -168 | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NW. The Wildcats are 8-1 at home and one of those wins came in overtime against Purdue. They host Maryland tonight, and the Terps are struggling to score. Maryland ranks 13th in the BIG10 scoring just 71 points per game on 41 percent shooting. Maryland are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-24 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia -168 | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UVA. The Cavs are undefeated at home with a 9-0 record, and they have owned rivals Virginia Tech at home winning four straight home games in the series. Virginia Tech are 2-13 SU in their last 15 games on the road, and their last road game was a 77-74 loss at Florida State. They are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games against Virginia, and the Cavs have won 19 straight home games dating back to last season. Virginia are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-24 | Nebraska v. Rutgers -140 | 82-87 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on RUTG. Nebraska suffered a let down after upsetting Purdue at home, losing on the road at Iowa 94-76 in their last game. They have lost three of four on the road, and they face a tough test at Rutgers tonight. The Scarlett Knights are just 1-4 in the BIG10, but three of those four losses came on the road. They are 8-1 at home, with their only loss coming versus #24 ranked Illinois. Nebraska are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-24 | Iowa State v. BYU UNDER 142 | 72-87 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Iowa State Cyclones are scoring just 62 points per game in the BIG12 so far, but they have held opponents to just 55 points per game. The BYU Cougars are scoring just 65 points per game in conference play, and they are allowing 70 points per game. We should see a defensive battle here in Provo and I wouldn't expect both these teams to reach 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-24 | Iowa v. Minnesota -130 | Top | 86-77 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MINN. The Gophers finished dead last in the BIG10 last year, but they are a far better team this season. Iowa on the other hand appears to be trending in the opposite direction. Coming off a big home win over Nebraska, this looks like a let down spot for a Hawkeyes team that is 0-4 on the road. The Gophers are 11-1 at home, and they are looking to bounce back from a road loss at Indiana. Minnesota are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games, and they have covered in nine straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-24 | Washington -1 v. UCLA | 61-73 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WASH. The UCLA Bruins have lost four straight, and eight of their last nine overall. During that span they scored an average of 52 points per game. They haven't given us any indication that they can turn things around, as it's tough to win games when you can't score. Washington comes in off a home win over Arizona State. Washington comes in scoring over 81 points per game on 47 percent shooting, while the Bruins rank dead last in the PAC12 shooting just 41 percent from the field and averaging 64 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-24 | Liberty v. Louisiana Tech -163 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LA-Tech. The Flames haven't received a warm welcome to Conference USA, losing their first two games in conference play to Jacksonville State and Western Kentucky. A road game at LA-Tech isn't a great spot to get back on track. The Bulldogs are 8-0 at home, and the Flames have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. The Bulldogs have an impressive resume, and what stands out perhaps more than their wins is that their losses in tough road games were all close games against mostly tough opponents. New Mexico State, Colorado State and Grand Canyon for example. Their only conference loss came by four points at first place Sam Houston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-24 | Alabama v. Mississippi State -125 | 82-74 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISST. The Crimson Tide are undefeated in conference play, but after a win over South Carolina at home, and a win at Vanderbilt, this will be their toughest test so far. Mississippi State is 6-1 at home, and the Bulldogs are coming off a home win over #5 ranked Tennessee. Alabama has failed to cover in four of their last five on the road and they are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine versus Mississippi State. The Bulldogs have covered in four of their last five home games against Alabama. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-24 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech -140 | 75-71 | Loss | -140 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 3* on VT. The Hokies are undefeated at home, and they will be a small favorite here against Miami. Both teams are 2-2 in the ACC, and both these teams are winless on the road. Virginia Tech was just 2-10 on the road last year, but they were also 13-4 at home. The Canes have lost back to back games since beating Clemson at home, and they are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games in conference play. The Hokies are gunning for 10 straight home wins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-24 | Stony Brook v. Towson UNDER 130.5 | 64-73 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Towson Tigers rank 335th nationally in pace of play, averaging just 66 possessions per game. This is even slower than they played last season, and they host the Stonybrook Seawolves, who also play at a below average pace. When these two teams played last year the Tigers won 67-55, going under the total of 127. The total for tonight's game sits several points higher... and that's hard for me to justify. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-24 | Arkansas v. Georgia -150 | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UGA. |
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