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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-26-16 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 221 | Top | 111-120 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-25-16 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 198.5 | Top | 78-116 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@CLE to go OVER the total. After the first three games of this series went under, the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower total for Game 4 in Toronto. I think this was an over-correction, and this of all games looked like one that should see more scoring. Sure enough Game 4 went over (105-99). None of the first two games in Clevleand were close, but I expect a better effort from a confident Raptors team here in Game 5. The Raptors should continue to play well, behind the solid play of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, and the dominance on the boards by "Big Business" (Bizmack Biyombo). Many betters will be taking the Cavs to bounce back after a pair of losses, but I think the better bet is on the total. The trends show that the over is 8-3 in Cavaliers last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 12-5 in their last 17 Conference Finals games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-16 | Cavs v. Raptors OVER 196.5 | Top | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@CLE to go OVER the total. After the first three games of this series went under, the bookmakers have adjusted with a much lower total for Game 4 in Toronto. I think this is an over-correction, and this of all games looks like one that should see more scoring. None of the first three games were close, but I expect the Cavs to respond after an embarrassing loss in Game 3. The Raptors should continue to play well, behind the solid play of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, and the dominance on the boards by "Big Business" (Bizmack Biyombo). Many betters will be taking the Cavs to bounce back after a double-digit loss (the Zig Zag Theory), but I think the better bet is on the Cavs to simply be more competitive, thus pushing the total over. The trends show that the over is 9-3-1 in Cavaliers last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-22-16 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 220.5 | Top | 105-133 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@OKC to go UNDER the total 1st half. Do you remember when the Thunder upset the Warriors in Game 1? Perhaps the Warriors convincing 118-91 win in Game 2 has made us forget about how well the Thunder have played. Oklahoma City returns home with the series tied 1-1, and they are an underdog in Game 3. We've seen the Warriors deal with their fair share of adversity in this post-season, and they've made a habit of playing poorly in the first half on the road. They trailed at the half in both of their games in Portland, and they failed to get to the locker room with a lead at the half in both road games in their first round series versus Houston . Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-18-16 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 222 | Top | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total. The Warriors got off to a great start in Game 1, but they struggled in the second half allowing Oklahoma City to come from behind to record the upset. Stephen Curry still isn't 100%, and he was just 1-of-1 from the field in the fourth quarter. The Warriors have a habit of slow starts to games, and I really think these teams will struggle to reach this enormous number in the first half of Game 2.
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05-17-16 | Raptors v. Cavs UNDER 202.5 | Top | 84-115 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-16-16 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 223.5 | Top | 108-102 | Win | 100 | 43 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total. |
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05-13-16 | Raptors v. Heat UNDER 190 | Top | 91-103 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIA to go UNDER the total. |
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05-11-16 | Heat v. Raptors UNDER 188.5 | Top | 91-99 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@TOR to go UNDER the total. The Raptors blew a late lead in Game 4 in Miami, and they return home deadlocked at 2-2 in their series versus the Heat. Coming off such a tough loss, I expect Toronto to come out strong with a big first half in Game 5. Both teams have lost their starting center, but Toronto is in far better shape with Bizmack Biyombo scoring 13 points and pulling in 13 rebounds in 31 minutes in Game 4. The Raptors are also getting big minutes off the bench from Cory Joseph and Terrence Ross, who combined to score 28 points in the loss at Miami. With DeMar DeRozan battling a thumb injury, the pressure is on Kyle Lowry to carry the load. He scored 33 points on 11-of-19 shooting in Game 3, but he fouled out with just 10 points in Game 4. Expect a bounce back performance from the Raptors PG at home tonight. Four of five games in this series have gone to overtime, and still the total has gone under in each of the last three games. The Heat have gone under in eight of their last nine overall, and Toronto has failed to reach the total in 10 of it's last 12. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-09-16 | Raptors v. Heat UNDER 190 | Top | 87-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIA to go UNDER the total. |
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05-06-16 | Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 200 | Top | 121-108 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@ATL to go UNDER the total. |
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05-03-16 | Heat v. Raptors UNDER 191 | Top | 102-96 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@TOR to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-02-16 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 202.5 | Top | 98-97 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total. "The Oklahoma City Thunder had little trouble getting past the Mavs in the first round, winning the series in five games. The final three games in that series all went over, and the Thunder averaged 122 points in those games. They can't expect to enjoy that same success in San Antonio, where they lost both meetings during the regular season. Three of the four games in the season series went under, and the Spurs won 102-98 in overtime in the last meeting. San Antonio is by far the best defensive team in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just 92.9 points per game. They only allowed the Grizzlies to average 71 points in their two home games in the first round. The Thunder played well defensively in the first round, holding the Mavs to 93.8 points per game." |
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05-02-16 | Hawks v. Cavs UNDER 200.5 | Top | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-01-16 | Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 189.5 | Top | 84-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@TOR to go UNDER the total. This series has seen more than it's fair share of low scoring games, with five of the six games going under the total. We saw just 184 points scored in Game 6, and I really don't think we can expect more than that tonight in Game 7. Toronto did a decent job defending Paul George, holding him to 21 points on 5-of-14 shooting in Game 6. Indiana scored just nine points in the fourth quarter in Toronto in Game 5, but the total did go over for the first time in the series. Despite a heavy trend of low scoring games in these playoffs, and five of six games going under in this series, we still saw a higher total in Game 6 than we saw in Game 5. DeMar DeRozan is averaging just 15.8 points per game on 32.8 percent shooting in this series, while Kyle Lowry has shot just 27 percent from the field in three home games against the Pacers. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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04-30-16 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 201.5 | Top | 92-124 | Loss | -107 | 67 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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04-29-16 | Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 195 | Top | 83-101 | Win | 100 | 58 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@IND to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-27-16 | Blazers v. Clippers OVER 196.5 | Top | 108-98 | Win | 102 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@LAC to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-26-16 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 199 | Top | 83-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@ATL to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-24-16 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 217 | Top | 121-94 | Win | 100 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@HOU to go UNDER the total. |
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04-23-16 | Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 194.5 | Top | 83-100 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@IND to go UNDER the total. |
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04-22-16 | Spurs v. Grizzlies OVER 181.5 | Top | 96-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@MEM to go OVER the total. |
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04-22-16 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 200.5 | Top | 103-111 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@BOS to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-22-16 | Cavs v. Pistons UNDER 200.5 | Top | 101-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@DET to go UNDER the total. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Pistons made 15 three-pointers in Game 1, shooting a staggering 51.7 percent from beyond the arc. They shot better than 50% from the field, hanging around in a close game decided by just five points. I don't like their chances of scoring 100 here in Game 2, or for the rest of the series for that matter. The Cavs were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season, holding opponents to well below 100 points per game. The trend so far in these playoffs has been that points have been hard to come by. The under is 9-4 through the first 13 post-season games, and only one of five Game 2s has gone over. In fact, we've seen fewer points scored in Game 2 than in Game 1 in all five series that have played twice so far. The Pistons led by seven points early in the fourth quarter of Game 1, and that should be enough to convince the Cavs that they need to be a lot better defensively here in Game 2. The Pistons still think they can win this series: "We don't care who you put in front of us," Reggie Jackson said. "We fear nobody and experience is going to be our best teacher. We're going to learn on the fly. We think we have a chance." I expect a battle here in Game 2, with both teams grinding it out for every possession." The Pistons three-point shooting cooled off significantly in Game 2, hitting just 4-of-17 from beyond the arc. They were held to just 37 points in the second half, and I expect another defensive battle in the Motor City tonight. Jesse Schule |
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04-20-16 | Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 201 | Top | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-19-16 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 205.5 | Top | 72-89 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@ATL to go UNDER the total. |
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04-17-16 | Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 203.5 | Top | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-13-16 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 206.5 | Top | 88-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@BOS to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-13-16 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 201.5 | Top | 97-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@MIL to go UNDER the totaL. The Indiana Pacers have nothing to prove in their final game of the season, as they already know where they will play in the first round of the playoffs. We should expect the Pacers to rest their starters here in Milwaukee, but don't expect the Bucks to treat this like a meaningless game. After a frustrating season, finishing at home on a positive note would be big for the Bucks. They have a solid 23-17 home record, and should be more than capable of beating the Indiana bench players. Even at full strength, the Pacers aren't a great road team with a record of 18-22 outside Indiana. They've failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games, and they have gone under in six straight when playing on back to back nights. The Bucks have gone under in seven of their last nine in Milwaukee. |
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04-12-16 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 205 | Top | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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04-09-16 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 207 | Top | 107-118 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@ATL to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. |
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04-08-16 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 194.5 | Top | 93-103 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@DAL to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-07-16 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 206 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* (GOW) play on CHI@MIA to go UNDER the total. Last week's big bet in the NBA was on the under in a game between the Bulls and the Pistons, and that Bulls lost that game at home by a score of 94-90. They now sit 2.5 games back of the eighth and final playoff spot in the East, and whatever slim hopes they have will end tonight if they lose in Miami. The Heat are in a battle for one of the top four spots, trailing Boston by just half a game. Miami is coming off a 107-89 home win over the Pistons, putting on another defensive clinic. The Heat rank 4th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, surrendering just 98.3 points per game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in six of the last eight. Nine of those 10 games saw a total below 200, and tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those previous games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-16 | Rockets v. Mavs UNDER 208.5 | Top | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@DAL to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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04-06-16 | Pistons v. Magic UNDER 208.5 | Top | 108-104 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@ORL. Jesse Schule |
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04-05-16 | Pistons v. Heat UNDER 204 | Top | 89-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@MIA to go UNDER the total. |
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04-04-16 | Villanova v. North Carolina UNDER 151.5 | Top | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 45 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VILL@UNC to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-03-16 | Celtics v. Lakers UNDER 209.5 | 107-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BOS@LAL to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-03-16 | Mavs v. Wolves UNDER 207.5 | 88-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DAL@MIN to go UNDER the total. |
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04-02-16 | Pistons v. Bulls UNDER 205.5 | Top | 94-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* (GOY) play on DET@CHI to go UNDER the total. |
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04-01-16 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 194.5 | Top | 85-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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03-31-16 | Bulls v. Rockets UNDER 214.5 | Top | 103-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@HOU to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-30-16 | Heat v. Lakers UNDER 207 | Top | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@LAL to go UNDER the total. After a string of uncharacteristically high scoring games, the Miami Heat got back to business on Friday, defeating the Orlando Magic by a score of 108-97. They followed that up with another under in a home win over Brooklyn three days later. I cashed in with the winning total in both those games, and I still think bookmakers are offering an inflated total in tonight's game at LA. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in four of the last five meetings, and nine of the last 11. Most of those games saw a total below 200, and only once did we see a number as high as we see tonight. They've failed to reach the total in four straight meetings at the Staples Center, and the Lakers failed to score 100 points in all of those games. The Heat only broke the century mark once during that span, and that was a 101-95 win on Christmas Day 2013. Miami's defense is ranked 4th in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just over 98 points per game. The Lakers offense is ranked 29th, and they scored just 70 points on 30.6 percent shooting in a home loss to the Wizards on Monday. Rumors of a divided locker room have surfaced, and a rookie PG DeAngelo Russell is at the center of the controversy. The 19 year old appears to be responsible for secretly recording a private conversation with a teammate, and the embarrassing contents of that conversation have since become public. This is a complete disaster for the Lakers, and a situation that isn't going to go away any time soon. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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03-29-16 | Rockets v. Cavs UNDER 214 | Top | 106-100 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-29-16 | Bulls v. Pacers UNDER 202 | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NBA play on CHI@IND to go UNDER the total. The Bulls are coming off a heartbreaking 102-100 home loss to Atlanta last night, which puts them 2.5 games back of the Pistons, who currently hold the eighth and final playoff spot in the East. They have nine games left two play, but six of those will be played on the road. Tonight's game at Indiana looks like a let down spot for the banged up Bulls, and the Pacers are one of the teams they are trying to catch. The Pacers have won three straight home games, limiting opponents to an average of just 86 points in those victories. Jesse Schule |
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03-28-16 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 193 | Top | 75-123 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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03-28-16 | Nets v. Heat UNDER 211.5 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BKN@MIA to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-26-16 | Hornets v. Bucks UNDER 204 | 115-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NBA play on CHA@MIL to go UNDER the total. Ladies and gentlemen.. it's DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN this March. If anyone thinks for even a second that The Iceman's recent success is the product of "luck", "chance" or "coincidence"... THINK AGAIN! - March 2013: 89-60 +$10,549 The Milwaukee Bucks will return home after three straight losses on the road, and they host the red hot Charlotte Hornets. While the Hornets came up just short in Detroit last night, they've won 17 of their last 22 overall. One reason for Charlotte's success in it's top 10 ranked defense, that allows opponents to average just 101 points per game. The Bucks don't often reach the century mark, and they come in averaging just 92.5 points per game while losing five of their last six overall. |
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03-25-16 | Gonzaga v. Syracuse OVER 135 | 60-63 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GONZ@SYR to go OVER the total. The Orange faded at the end of the regular season, losing five of their last eight (before the tournament). They allowed opponents to average 71.5 points during that span, and now they will face a Gonzaga team that has been an offensive juggernaut of late. The Bulldogs come in averaging a whopping 83 points on 51.8 percent shooting over their last five games. Gonzaga's inexperienced guards have grown a lot since the beginning of the season, and now this team is firing on all cylinders. Senior guard Eric McClennan scored 22 points in the win over Utah, hitting both his three-point attempts. While he doesn't take a lot of shots, he's a sizzlin' 9-of-16 from beyond the arc in his last five games. The Bulldogs are hitting a staggering 42.6 percent from beyond the arc during that span. While Syracuse is a team known to play solid defense, it's allowing almost 70 points per game at neutral sites this season. The Orange have gone over the total in 12 of their last 15 at neutral sites. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-16 | Magic v. Heat UNDER 211 | Top | 97-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ORL@MIA to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-23-16 | Jazz v. Rockets OVER 199.5 | 89-87 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@HOU to go OVER the total. |
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03-23-16 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 209.5 | Top | 122-101 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@WAS to go UNDER the total. |
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03-22-16 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 202 | 100-107 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MEM@LAL to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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03-21-16 | Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 206 | Top | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@DET to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-20-16 | Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 192 | Top | 94-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@MIL to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are back on track, coming into tonight's game versus the Bucks in Milwaukee as winners of four of their last five. They've played stellar defense, allowing an average of 87.6 points per game during that span. The Jazz own the league's 2nd ranked defense, allowing an average of 96.7 points per game. They face a Milwaukee team that averages under 100 points per game, ranking 23rd in the NBA in scoring. The Bucks are much better defensively than they are on offense, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. Utah's leading scorer Gordon Hayward has missed two of the last three games with plantar fasciitis. He played 37 minutes against the Bulls last night, scoring just nine points on 4-of-13 shooting. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last nine head to head meetings, and the Bucks lost 84-81 at Salt Lake City in the most recent meeting. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-16 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 217 | Top | 79-87 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
his is a 10* play on GS@SA to go UNDER the total. The Spurs are the NBA's best defensive team, holding opponents to an average of just 92.5 points per game. They are still undefeated at home, and they host the League's top team in a marquee matchup on Saturday night. This is a revenge spot for the Spurs, who lost 120-90 at Golden State earlier this year. Note that even that high scoreline wasn't enough to reach the total for tonight's game. In fact, not one of the last 10 meetings between the two teams has seen enough points to reach this inflated number The Warriors are gunning for a record, but this might be one game that they are willing to concede. If things get out of hand early, I think it would be wise for Steve Kerr to rest his starters here in the second game of a back-to-back. If the roles were reversed, you can bet that's would Greg Popovich would do. The under is s 9-3 in Spurs last 12 overall, and four of the Warriors last five visits to San Antonio have failed to reach the total. The Warriors have failed to reach the total in five straight versus teams with a winning record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-16 | Suns v. Jazz UNDER 198 | Top | 69-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHX@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are back on track, coming into tonight's home game versus Phoenix off three consecutive wins. They've played stellar defense, allowing an average of 92 points per game during that span. The Jazz own the league's 2nd ranked defense, allowing an average of 97 points per game. The Suns aren't exactly a prolific scoring team, ranking 22nd in the NBA in scoring. Three of the last four meetings between these two teams have failed to reach the total, and the under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. The Jazz may need to be even better defensively tonight, missing their leading scorer Gordon Hayward. The under is 27-13-1 in Jazz last 41 home games versus teams with a losing road record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schue |
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03-14-16 | Cavs v. Jazz OVER 194.5 | Top | 85-94 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@UTAH to go OVER the total. I bet on last night's Jazz game to go over in Sacramento, and here is what I had to say prior to tip off: "Because the Jazz are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, we often see the bookmakers adjust with a lower number, even in games against teams like Sacramento that tend to play a lot of high scoring games. I don't think they have paid enough attention to Utah's home/away splits though, as clearly their road record of 10-22 would indicate that their defense isn't that strong away from Salt Lake City." The Jazz return home to play their second game of a back to back against the surging Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs have won six of their last seven overall, scoring an average of 114 points in those victories. They've won five of their last six versus the Jazz, and they've scored an average of 108 points in those five wins. These two teams have gone over the total in eight of the last 10 overall meetings, and eight of the last 10 at Salt Lake City. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-16 | Jazz v. Kings OVER 204.5 | 108-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@SAC to go OVER the total. Because the Jazz are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, we often see the bookmakers adjust with a lower number, even in games against teams like Sacramento that tend to play a lot of high scoring games. I don't think they have paid enough attention to Utah's home/away splits though, as clearly their road record of 10-22 would indicate that their defense isn't that strong away from Salt Lake City. They catch the Kings in a slump, coming in as losers of eight of their last nine overall. During that span they played a tough schedule though, facing the Spurs twice, the Thunder, Grizzlies, Cavs, Clippers and Pelicans in New Orleans. Even in those losses they still averaged well over 100 points per game. Defense is the problem for Sacramento, ranking dead last in the NBA allowing opponents to average almost 110 points per game. The Jazz have lost seven of their last eight road games, and they allowed opponents to average well over 100 points in those games. The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the two teams, and 5-1 in the last six meetings in Sacramento. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-16 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 207 | Top | 94-115 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@GS to go OVER the total. The Warriors are by far the highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging over 115 points per game. They've scored significantly more points at home, while remaining undefeated at 27-0. They scored 119 points in a win over Orlando in their last game, and have averaged 117.6 points in their last five at Oracle Arena. They host the Jazz tonight, and Utah has lost six of it's last seven on the road. The Jazz will be playing a quick turnaround in a back to back after a home loss to the Hawks last night, a tough spot to face Steph Curry and The Warriors. Curry dropped 41 points (seven three-pointers) in the win over Orlando. These two teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings, and the Jazz have gone over in nine of their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record. The Warriors have gone over in six of their last eight when playing on one day's rest. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-16 | Pistons v. Spurs UNDER 202 | Top | 81-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@SA to go UNDER the total. The Spurs are by far the best defensive team in the NBA, and they host a Detroit Pistons team tonight that is quite content to play a defensive style. The Pistons have held their last five opponents to an average of just 95 points. They've failed to reach the total in six of their last eight overall, and four of their last five road games. The Spurs are 28-0 at home, and they've been dominant defensively in the majority of those games. They tend to step up the defensive intensity against better teams, failing to reach the total in eight of their last 10 against teams with a winning record. They have just come back from a long road trip, and the under is 16-7-1 in their last 24 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-16 | Jazz v. Raptors OVER 193 | Top | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@JAZZ to go OVER the total. The Utah Jazz are a prime example of a Jekyll and Hyde team, playing great defense at home, but really struggling on the road. They've lost six of their last eight overall, and four straight on the road. They have not been a good bet in previous meetings with the Raptors, failing to cover in five straight versus Toronto. The Raptors scored an average of 106.4 points in those games, and they averaged 113 points in their home games during that span. The Jazz have surrendered 100 points or more in each of their last five road games. The Raptors have won 11 straight at home, covering the spread in eight of those games. Six of the last eight in this series have gone over the number. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-29-16 | 76ers v. Wizards UNDER 214.5 | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@WAS to go UNDER the total. The Washington Wizards have won five of seven since the All Star break, much because of an improved defense. They've held their opponents to fewer than 100 points in each of the wins in that span, and odds are we'll see a low-scoring contest when they host the woeful Philadelphia 76ers Monday night. Philly has lost eight straight since a 103-98 win against the Nets on Feb. 6. It lost 130-116 at Orlando yesterday when it scored a season high while shooting 53.2% from the field. We're unlikely to see as many points tonight though as the the under is 4-1 in its last five games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and meetings with the Wizards generally have been low-scoring affairs. The Wizards defeated the 76ers 106-94 on Feb. 5 and 103-94 last Friday. Six of the last eight meetings in this series have stayed under the total with both teams playing on a back-to-back we're unlikely to see either team looking to drive up the tempo. The Wizards defeated a Cleveland team without the rested Lebron James 113-99 last night, allowing the talented Cavaliers to shoot just 40.0% from the field. The 76ers are the league's lowest-scoring team at 96.2 points per game and should pose little offensive threat. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-16 | Heat v. Knicks UNDER 198.5 | Top | 98-81 | Win | 100 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@NYK to go UNDER the total. |
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02-27-16 | Nets v. Jazz UNDER 195 | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BKN@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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02-26-16 | Wizards v. 76ers UNDER 214 | 103-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Wizards have been playing a little better defensively lately, holding four of five opponents under 100 points before their loss at Chicago on Wednesday. They've had little trouble shutting down the Sixers, holding Philly to an average of just 88 points in the last five meetings in this series. The most recent meeting was a 106-94 home win just a few weeks ago. The Under is 13-5 in Wizards last 18 games playing on 1 days rest, and the total for tonight's game looks particularly high when you consider how poor the Sixers are offensively. Philly ranks dead last in the league averaging just over 95 points per game. They scored just 91 points on 39.8 percent shooting in a loss to Detroit in their last game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-16 | Jazz v. Wizards UNDER 199 | Top | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@WAS to go UNDER the total. |
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02-10-16 | Jazz v. Pelicans OVER 195 | Top | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@NO to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule. |
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02-09-16 | Jazz v. Mavs OVER 184.5 | 121-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NBA play on UTAH@DAL to go OVER the total. The Utah Jazz come into Dallas riding a six game win streak, but five of those six wins came at home. The exception was a 98-89 win at Phoenix on Saturday. The Jazz are dominant on defense, ranking second in the NBA allowing just 95.9 points per game. They aren't nearly as successful on the road though, where they have an 8-15 record. Even Saturday's win over the Suns saw a total of 187 points, enough to go over the number here tonight. Jesse Schule |
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02-06-16 | Pelicans v. Cavs OVER 209.5 | Top | 84-99 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@CLE to go over the total. |
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02-05-16 | Spurs v. Mavs UNDER 197 | 116-90 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NBA play on SA@DAL to go UNDER the total. The Spurs are still the top defensive team in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just over 90 points per game. They've been involved in plenty of high scoring games lately, but I am expecting a more defensive battle in Texas tonight. These state rivals have failed to reach the total in each of the last six meetings, and the Mavs have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. Jesse Schule |
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02-05-16 | Grizzlies v. Knicks UNDER 197 | Top | 91-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@NYK to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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02-05-16 | 76ers v. Wizards UNDER 215 | Top | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@WAS to go UNDER the total. The Philadelphia 76ers have dropped four of their last five and the Washington Wizards have managed only one win over their last six. Odds are we'll see a low-scoring encounter when the two struggling teams match up at Verizon Center Friday night. Five of the last seven meetings in Washington have gone under the total and the 76ers were held to 87.0 points through four meetings overall last season. They've struggled on the ball all season and managed just 86 points in a home loss to the Hawks Wednesday. The Wizards are off a real high-scoring affair as they fell 134-121 to the Warriors two days ago. The under is interestingly enough 8-1-1 in their last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game though and 10-4 in their last 14 at home. John Wall scored a season-high 41 points against Golden State, but Philly managed to contain him pretty well last season holding the point guard to only 15.0 points per game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-16 | Knicks v. Pistons UNDER 202.5 | Top | 105-111 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYK@DET to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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02-03-16 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 195.5 | Top | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN@UTAH to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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02-02-16 | Heat v. Rockets OVER 204 | Top | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@HOU to go OVER the total. |
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02-01-16 | Bulls v. Jazz UNDER 193.5 | Top | 96-105 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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01-31-16 | Celtics v. Magic OVER 204.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@ORL to go OVER the total. The Orlando Magic and the Boston Celtics will take each other on for the back end of a home-and-home series Sunday night. The surging Celtics are riding a five-game winning streak and defeated Orlando 113-94 home at Boston Friday. They've averaged 113.0 points per game in that span and reached triple digits in each of their last 11 contests. The Magic have lost eight consecutive games while surrendering an average of 112.0 points per game in their last four. The Magic are far more effective on offense home at Amway Center than on the road, averaging close to 2.5 points more per contest in front of the home town crowd than their overall season average. Orlando's Tobias Harris was held to 10 points Friday but he is averaging 19.0 points in his last five home matchups against the Celtics. The over is 4-0 in Orlando's last four overall and 4-0 in Boston's last four when visiting a team with a winning home record. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-16 | Spurs v. Cavs UNDER 205.5 | Top | 103-117 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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01-30-16 | Kings v. Grizzlies UNDER 203.5 | Top | 117-121 | Loss | -102 | 19 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@SAC to go UNDER the total.
They've lost four straight at Memphis, and they've failed to score more than 90 points in seven of their last 10 games against the Grizzlies. The Kings come in as losers of three straight, and another road loss looms large here in Memphis. Rudy Gay has missed the last two games with an eye injury, and he's likely to sit out again tonight. The Grizzlies have won six of their last seven overall, and five straight at home. They've gone under in six straight against teams with a sub .500 record. |
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01-30-16 | Pistons v. Raptors UNDER 204.5 | Top | 107-111 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@TOR to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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01-29-16 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 194 | Top | 90-103 | Win | 100 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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01-28-16 | Bucks v. Grizzlies UNDER 196 | Top | 83-103 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Milwaukee Bucks ended a two-game skid with a 107-100 win against the Magic two days ago. They'll visit the Memphis Grizzlies Thursday night in what should shape up to be a low-scoring contest. Five of the Bucks last six away from home have failed to go over the total and they're averaging two points fewer per game on the road than home in Milwaukee. They'll be put to the test here by a Grizzlies side that has been very efficient on defense in recent games. Good news for the Bucks is that Jason Kidd is back on the bench again as he's now recovered since undergoing hip surgery. He led the team for the first time in 17 games Tuesday when the Bucks held Orlando to 41.3% shooting from the field in a 107-100 win. Eight of the last nine meetings in the series have gone under the total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-16 | Wizards v. Raptors UNDER 205 | Top | 89-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@TOR to go UNDER.
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01-25-16 | Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 210 | Top | 90-120 | Push | 0 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@GA to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER |
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01-25-16 | Wolves v. Cavs OVER 203 | 107-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NBA play on MIN@CLE to go OVER the total. The Cavs are the top team in the Eastern Conference, and under David Blatt they had one of the NBA’s best defenses. Blatt was 83-40 overall during his tenure in Cleveland, and still he was given his marching orders. LeBron denies having anything to do with the decision, but a source close to Cavs has said: “Ty wanted the job from the beginning, and LeBron wanted him to have it,’’ “There was a division within the players, but J.R. [Smith], [Iman] Shumpert, even [Kevin] Love sided with LeBron. Kyrie [Irving] was supportive of Dave, but there were a group the last two weeks trying to get him fired.’’ Cleveland’s first game in the Tyronn Lue era was nothing short of a disaster, losing by double digits at home to the Bulls. After the game Lue questioned his team’s conditioning: “I think we have to play faster,” Lue told the team’s official website. “I think we have to utilize Kyrie and LeBron’s one-on-one ability in transition to open the floor more and run in more drags. We just haven’t been accustomed to playing that way …” They shouldn’t have any trouble picking up the pace against Minnesota, a team that is among the league’s worst defensively. The Wolves have allowed over 100 points in six of their last seven overall. These teams have scored plenty of points in recent meetings, with three of the last four going over the total. Only one of those games was played in Cleveland, and the Cavs that contest by a score of 125-104. They scored an average of 113 points in those games. The over is 6-1-1 in Timberwolves last 8 road games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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