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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-07-21 | Nets v. Raptors +3.5 | 116-103 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Toronto had a 5 game win streak end last time vs Cleveland in a 1 point loss. Now Im betting on a motivated bounce back effort against a Brooklyn side that is on a 4 game win streak, and vulnerable here to being upset by a Raptors side that are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and  4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons here in TO. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 61-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-06-21 | 76ers +3.5 v. Bulls | 114-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
The Sixers will look for a sixth consecutive win they travel to to take on the Chicago Bulls on Saturday.76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall . Meanwhile, the Bulls fell behind by double figures in their last two games. They managed to erase a 19-point deficit vs Boston but against tonights competition the Sixers they could not complete the comeback, and as a result of those two games Im betting the Bulls will be on tired legs and on the flip-side Im betting the Sixers will be more vigilant this time around. Advantage Philadelphia. CHICAGO is 13-25 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Favorites (CHICAGO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better ) are just 14-40 L/25 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 here in Illinois. Play on Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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11-05-21 | Pacers v. Blazers -3 | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
The Pacers have won back-to-back games following a 1-6 start but after watching them I still feel there is not a sufficient amount of flow and team chemistry might be an issue. Its early in the season to make that kind of statement, and things may eventually even out for the Pacers but for now they have alot of wrinkles to iron out, and this is not a good matchup for them according to my power rankings. The Blazers have won 11 of the L/12 meetings here SU with the lone loss coming last season, making this a revenge spot for them.    Trail Blazers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.  INDIANA is 13-26 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons   Pacers are 3-14 ATS in the last 17 overall meetings. NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, first half of the season are 24-1 L/25 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 ppg. Play on Portland to cover |
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11-05-21 | Cavs v. Raptors -5.5 | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
The Raptors are heating up as is evident by 5 straight wins, and matchup well here vs a Cleveland side that despite of up-trending are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 6th road game in their L/7 trips to the hardwood. Toronto has won 5 of the L/6 meetings here at the ACC center in this seres and have covered 4 straight times and tonight Im betting we ride their current momentum to another win and cover.Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Toronto to cover |
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11-05-21 | Nets v. Pistons +10.5 | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
 The Brooklyn Nets haven't gone on the road for nearly two weeks and Im betting they're equilibrium and energy levels will take time to adjust to being-on the road and going without proverbial home cooking. The Pistons got smacked around the when they played  117-91 on Halloween night vs the Nets and now Im betting they get up enough gumption to redeem themselves at least from a competitive standpoint.  DETROIT is 16-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, in November games are 107-61 ATS L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (BROOKLYN) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a struggling team (25% or less) are 125-189 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Motown to cover |
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11-04-21 | Thunder +14.5 v. Lakers | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
The Thunders only win of the season came against the Lakers, and Im betting they wont be taken down easily tonight vs a side that has a tendency of taking nights off vs lower tier sides. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-6 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive road losses. LA LAKERS are 4-14 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.  LA LAKERS are 1-10 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 9-24 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 13-25 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, in November games are 106-61 ATS L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oklahoma City to cover |
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11-03-21 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Grizzlies | 106-108 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Memphis opened the two-game set against the Nuggets with a 106-97 victory on Monday, and now Im betting on the Nuggets to get redemption in this spot play. The Nuggets looked tired last time out QUOTE:  "I didn't think we were ready to play," Malone said. "I think we had some guys that looked like they had no energy out there, just kind of fatigued, tired or whatever you want to call it." END QUOTE: Im expecting a big bounce back effort tonight. Malone is 34-19 ATS in road games off a road loss as the coach of DENVER. Grizzlies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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11-03-21 | Clippers v. Wolves +1 | 126-115 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Neither side is inspiring bettors but home court advantage Im betting will be the difference maker here this evening. Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Timberwolves are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss.Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 29-6 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-02-21 | Kings v. Jazz -9 | 113-119 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
The Jazz are already operating in mid season form as they bring a 5-1 record into this tilt with the 5 wins coming by 9 or more points. The Jazz have defeated Sacramento five times in a row and more importantly have covered the all important number all 5 times including a 110-101 win on the road back on Oct 22. The Kings small ball style of play is something that Utah is and has been prepared to deal with. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening. Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 48-20 ATS L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-02-21 | Heat v. Mavs +2.5 | 125-110 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Mavs are looking like a viable side , especially at home, where they are 3-0, so far on the season , winning 4 of their L/5 tilts. The Mavs in their current form are more than capable of covering and or upsetting the streaking Heat that despite of being on a 4 game win streak, are on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights including their 3rd road game. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 8-28 ATS L/25 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate . NBA Road favorites (MIAMI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 2 days rest are 17-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover |
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11-01-21 | Spurs v. Pacers -2.5 | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
I know Indiana has been struggling of late, but according to my power rankings the Pacers style vs style algorithms matchup well vs San Antonio here at home. Spurs are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 30-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 ppg which qualifies ATS on this offered number. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 62-29 ATS L/25 seasons for 68% conversion rate. Play on Indiana to cover |
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10-31-21 | Pistons +12 v. Nets | 91-117 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Detroit won last night and has some momentum coming into this tilt and now face a Brooklyn side off a win last time out as well, but their play overall has been uneven. Also in the recent past the Nets have used games against lower tier opponents like a defacto night off, and overlooked those sides. Note: BROOKLYN is 0-8 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% or less) over the last 2 seasons. Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 19-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on Detroit Pistons to cover |
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10-31-21 | Jazz v. Bucks +2 | 107-95 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
The loss last night by the Bucks to the Spurs was their second straight defeat at home and now Im betting the Bucks will come in here ready to get some redemption vs one of the NBAs top teams the Milwaukee Bucks. Meanwhile, the Jazz after opening their season with a 4-0 record lost last night in Chicago by a 107-90 score and looked a little wiped as the game progressed, which does not bode well for them here in a tough road environment. Hey I know their host Milwaukee are also on the tired side of the tracks, but overall on younger legs the defending champs have the edge. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. MILWAUKEE is 28-13 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 8-0 ATS in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or more TO's) are 113-67 ATS L/25 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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10-30-21 | Cavs +10 v. Suns | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Cleveland had a 3 game win streak halted vs the Lakers last time out, but I have liked their form this season, and my power rankings have as well, and with that said Im betting we have an edge on the line vs a Suns team that is exhibiting a major Championship finals hangover. as is evident by their 1-4 record to start the season. Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 19-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 PPG or less differential) are 40-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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10-30-21 | Celtics v. Wizards -2 | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The Wizards took out the Celtics 3 days ago in Boston winning by a 116-107 count and are now 4-1 on the season, and in a better flow than the Clovers who are q team that is down trending in my power rankings at the moment . Based on current form the home side has the edge tonight.  Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. WASHINGTON is 14-0 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 9-0 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons here in D.C. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 59-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Celtics are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -5.5 | 104-101 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
This selection is all about momentum and Im betting Golden States 4-0 season stretches to 5 tonight against a tired Memphis team off a DD blowout loss last night in Portland. Memphis now face the daunting task of playing their 4th straight road game against a confident side. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ spread covers in last 10 are 25-2 L/25 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 ppg. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-27 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Warriors to cover |
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10-28-21 | Knicks v. Bulls -2 | 104-103 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Chicago has won their first 4 games of the season, and Im betting they make it 5 in a row here vs the NY Knicks. Lets ride the momentum of a hungry side. Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite are 3-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a win against a division rival against opponent after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite are 8-54 L/25 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bulls to win |
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10-28-21 | Pistons +10.5 v. 76ers | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
I know Motown is not inspiring NBA bettors at the moment but with Ben Simmons out til hes traded and top star Joel Imbiid injured or playing at less than 100% , the Pistons have enough edges here to cover the number. DETROIT is 10-1 ATS (vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39%or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 13-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Detroit to cover |
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10-27-21 | Cavs v. Clippers -8 | 92-79 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
The Clippers have shown they can win without often injured super star Kawhi Leonard in the lineup and tonight Im betting they will prove their abilities again vs a Cleveland side that despite of winning two straight are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 3rd game in 4 nights. Im sure the Cavs are gassed after playing their last game in the high altitude of Denver and are very vulnerable vs a LAC side that has covered 5 straight in this series and 5 straight as hosts. Note: The Cavs are 2-12 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.6 ppg. CLEVELAND is 10-25 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg deficit clicking in at just 11 ppg. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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10-27-21 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -2.5 | 96-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
 This will be the Grizzlies 3rd straight road game all in a 4night period making them. vulnerable on tired legs to a HC Billups coached side that needs to bounce back off a loss to the Clippers last time out. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-27 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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10-27-21 | Hawks -6 v. Pelicans | 102-99 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
New Orleans has alot of problems with offensive flow this season and have scored +107 points just once so far early in this campaign ranking just 26th in offensive rating . Here tonight vs a top flight Hawks D, Im betting those problems continue to fester without the injured Zion Williamson in the lineup.The Pelicans went 2-9 SU and only covered 5 times without Williamson last season and look to be a disadvantage again. Hawks are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.Hawks are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Hawks took both meetings last season by 123-107 and 126-103 counts. Rinse and repeat on the agenda. Play on the Atlanta to win |
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10-26-21 | Lakers -2 v. Spurs | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Whether King LeBron plays or not my power rankings suggest the Lakers matchup very well vs the Spurs and this line is beatable for a cover. Note: Early on this season it has become obvious the Spurs are sharing the ball well, and the Lakers are well built to handle multiple looks form different players which gives them an edge here. SAN ANTONIO is 4-14 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 16-33 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS is 4-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons in Texas . NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Lakers to cover |
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10-25-21 | Blazers v. Clippers -3 | 86-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
The Clippers have proved in the past they can win without their star Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. The Clippers are off two straight losses to begin their season, but from a matchup perspective have an edge here vs a Portland side, that looks to be having some early season chemistry problems under new New Trail Blazers head coach Chauncey Billups . Yes, I know Portland won their last time out, but I watched parts of that game, and there were some definite issues that needed to be ironed out. Note: Portland's Norman Powell exited with a left knee injury on Saturday and will miss Monday's game. Tony Snell (foot) will also sit out the contest and this Im betting will effect the Blazers overall flow. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. LA CLIPPERS are 39-22 ATS ( after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. LA CLIPPERS is 6-0 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game, first half of the season are 17-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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10-25-21 | Bucks v. Pacers +3 | 119-109 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Pacers after starting their season with 2 straight 1 point losses bounced back with a win at home in their opener against the Miami Heat and once again like viable opponents against a Milwaukee side that will be on tired legs as they play their third straight road game. Advantage ride with the home dog. MILWAUKEE is 9-23 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 10-24 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Bucks are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Indiana. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 26-2 L/25 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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10-24-21 | Warriors v. Kings +3.5 | 119-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
The Warriors are much improved but Im also betting the Kings will uptrend as well and deserve respect here as home underdogs as they have thrived overall dating back to last season as underdogs cashing 10 of their L/14 games taking points. The Kings are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and have covered 4 straight vs the Warriors here in Sacramento and overall have cashed 9 of the L/10 tickets for their backers in this series. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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10-23-21 | Bucks v. Spurs +7.5 | 121-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Both San Antonio and Milwaukee are off losses. I expected the Bucks to come out strong in their home opener after their championship season, and they did, beating Brooklyn handily. However, now Im expecting a period of champion ship hangover to permeate for a while. With that said, Im betting on San Antonio giving the Bucks all they can handle tonight. Note: San Antonio is 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series, and it must also be noted MILWAUKEE is 0-10 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons and are 11-24 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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10-23-21 | Pistons v. Bulls -8 | 82-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Bulls cruised to a 128-112 rout of the visiting New Orleans Pelicans on Friday and beat the Pistons by 6 points in their first game of the season in Motown. I know the Bulls have played more game and are off playing last night, but they do matchup up very well against Detroit, and since its still early in the season Im betting they have plenty of energy left to dispatch the visitors here in Chicago tonight and get us the all important cover.Pistons are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings Pistons are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Chicago Bulls to win/cover |
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10-23-21 | Hawks v. Cavs +7.5 | 95-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
 Atlanta defeated the Dallas Mavericks 113-87 on Thursday and are getting alot of accolades. But now in a letdown spot vs a desperate Cavaliers side that is 0-2 and lost their opener, Im betting we have a viable underdog spot to pick on. Atlanta has lost their L/4 trips to Cleveland SU, and are vulnerable here in this pot play.ATLANTA is 8-20 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Cavaliers to cover |
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10-22-21 | Nets -1 v. 76ers | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
Ben Simmons trade demand saga continues to have a demoralizing effect on the 76ers, and here vs a talented Brooklyn team that wants redemption for a beatdown to the defending champion Bucks last time out, Im betting more of the same negative feelings will permeate for them when the final buzzer goes off.  76ers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Nets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. Nets are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. BROOKLYN is 47-28 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games are 37-18 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Brooklyn Nets |
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10-22-21 | Hornets v. Cavs +3 | 123-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Cleveland Im betting will be an upgraded unit this season, and I was personally impressed by them in game 1 of the season vs Memphis despite of losing. Note: Evan Mobley is the real deal and he proved it in his first league game, Also of importance was Jarrett Allen who had a perfect shooting night and Darius Garland and Ricky Rubio who recorded point-assist double-doubles. Meanwhile, Charlotte took an emotional comeback win and now are in a vulnerable letdown spot on the road. They played hard last time out, and Im sure exhaustion will now help us get a cover with the home side. Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Hornets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. CLEVELAND is 24-5 straight up against CHARLOTTE at home since 1996. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off an upset win as a home underdog, first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 4 or more straight losses are 5-24 L/25 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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10-21-21 | Clippers v. Warriors -3.5 | 113-115 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
Golden State behind super star Curry looked good in their opener vs the LA Lakers, and once again are viable side options in this tilt as home favorites according to my projections. Note: Clippers super star Kawhi Leonard is expected out tonight with continued knee issues. What impressed me in the victory vs the Lakers was the defensive play of Stephen Curry and Jordan Poole they set the tone for the Warriors. They did not shoot the ball all that well, but wow were they tenacious. More of those efforts will make the Dubs a hard team to face this season. GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ spread covers in last 10 games, team that had a winning record last season are 24-2 L/25 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 ppg. Play on Golden State Warriors to cover |
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10-20-21 | Kings +5 v. Blazers | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
 .The Trail Blazers biggest problem last season under former coach Terry Stotts was their defense, which was ranked 23rd in scoring defense last season while allowing 114.3 points per game.Now new HC Billups has said he is working to correct that but that in Im betting takes away from the Blazers flow at least for the early part of the season. Meanwhile their opponents tonight the Sacramento Kings have looked good in preseason action and have done well getting their defense in gear by winning all 4 games with a 11 ppg diff. The Kings are now built for the two way game and get the nod tonight. SACRAMENTO is 35-19 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.Kings are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.Kings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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10-19-21 | Nets v. Bucks +1 | 104-127 | Win | 100 | 36 h 36 m | Show | |
There is a-lot of crap currently surrounding the Brooklyn Nets thanks to the spot light put on Kyrie Irving circus. I don't want to get into it here, but it is and will effect performance levels of this talented but some time unfocused team. Chemistry issues were evident during last years play offs and Im betting they wont be rectified at least in the short term, especially in this environment. Meanwhile, I know the Bucks are playing with a proverbial Championship hangover, but I expect they will be juiced to take down the Nets in this spot play. MILWAUKEE is 5-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with or more straight spread covers, team that had a winning record last season are 68-15 L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight spread covers, team that had a winning record last season are 24-4 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bucks to cover |
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07-20-21 | Suns +5 v. Bucks | 98-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
I know the Bucks have now won 3 straight games in this series and now have a chance to grab the league championship with a win at home here tonight. But overall this has been a close series, and the Suns have proven themselves versatile and more than competitive enough during these play offs to justify me recommending we take the points here in this do or die situation.PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS in road games when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is 13-5 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this seasonMILWAUKEE is 6-17 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. NBA team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are -1-6 this season and 18-49 L/5 seasons for a overall go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns -4 | 123-119 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
So far in this series the home team has won all 4 meetings and Im betting on that trend to continue. Note: The Suns have won 5 straight vs the Bucks at home covering all 5 times. I really believe the Suns are the better team, and last time out, were unfortunate to lose as they are the first team in NBA history to lose a Finals game despite shooting better than 50% and holding their opponents below 42%. I know the Bucks have really been reeling in rebounds, but it must also be noted that  PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS  in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 13-26 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. MILWAUKEE is 8-23 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is 18-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.PHOENIX is 12-3 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 61-32 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to win |
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07-11-21 | Suns +4 v. Bucks | 100-120 | Loss | -101 | 33 h 20 m | Show | |
It was obvious to me after monitoring the first two games of this series, that the Suns are the superior side and even in Milwaukee against a hungry and desperate team must be respected getting points. PHOENIX is 7-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Suns are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. MILWAUKEE is 7-15 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.MILWAUKEE is 8-19 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.  PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more this season.   Suns are 27-8-1 ATS in their last 36 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  PHOENIX is 12-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -5.5 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 58 h 4 m | Show | |
The Bucks played a hard fought series against the Hawks in the Eastern Conference final and now go against a well rested Suns team. Im betting the fresher legs of the Suns having a big edge here in game 1 on their own home court vs a exhausted team playing out side of their time zone. PHOENIX is 10-1 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season.  MILWAUKEE is 8-21 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense ( 36.5% or better ) after 42+ games, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 28-3 L24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.1 ppg which qualifies from a ATS standpoint. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks -2.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Its do or die here tonight for the Hawks and Im betting they leave everything on the floor and take this series to a game 7 even if Trae Young cannot go . Note: Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs Atlanta ( Knee )- MILWAUKEE is 14-27 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. McMillan is 9-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less as the coach of ATLANTA. McMillan is 17-3 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game as the coach of ATLANTA.McMillan is 14-2 ATS as a home favorite as the coach of ATLANTA. Bucks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or less) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or moreTO's) after 42+ games are 103-33 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate with a average ppg diff of 6.6 . Play on Hawks to cover |
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07-01-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -2 | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
The Hawks are coming off of a over powering 110-88 win at home despite playing without Trae Young. The Bucks did not have much flow, and without Antetokounmpo who went down in the third quarter were lifeless. Now rejuvenated and ready to rebound at home, Im expecting the Bucks key forward Middletons ability to lead his team to be key here with Antetokounmpo expected to miss. Also without Trae Young in the lineup or him playing at less than 100% the Hawks will take a step back after their adrenalin filled victory in game 4. In other words its my opinion that the Bucks will do what the Hawks did in game 4 ,and that is find a way to win without their super star in the lineup. Milwaukee is 5-1 SU L/6 at home in this series. NBA Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 39-15 ATS L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bucks to cover |
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06-30-21 | Suns v. Clippers | 130-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
 The Clippers cut the Suns' series lead to 3-2 on Monday with a 116-102 triumph in Phoenix as they attempt to overturn a 2-0 deficit for the third straight time this postseason. That was a valiant effort and the Clippers must be respected for fighting back and not succumbing . However, after exerting that much energy and as exhausted as they have looked of late, Im betting the party ends here tonight. Clippers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. PHOENIX is 21-7 ATS L/28 in road games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. Suns are 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 22-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. NBA  Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 22-5 ATS L/5 season for a 82% conversion rate. Play on the Phoenix Suns to win |
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06-29-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +7 | 88-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
After losing the first game in this series SU, the Bucks have bounced back with two straight wins. However, in game 3 last time out, it looked like the Hawks were on their way to a win and cover as underdogs until Trae Young suffered what has now been diagnosed as a foot bruise. Now after training room preparations he should be able to suit up and be effective enough for us to get the cover this time around. McMillan is 9-0 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent as the coach of ATLANTA.ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or better) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 55-21 L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5.5 | 116-102 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
The Clippers look exhausted especially Paul George who has had to play a great deal of hoops and tonight Im betting their viable play off run will come to an end. There will be no Kawhi Leonard in the Clippers lineup tonight, and Im betting the Suns finish the job and get us the cover. Note: Out of the possible 768 minutes in the the postseason, Paul George has played 652 of them. Out of the possible 576 minutes in the last 23 days, George has played 495 of them ( His proverbial tank is empty) PHOENIX is 16-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. Williams is 11-1 ATS after 3 consecutive division games in all games he has coached . NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after allowing 80 points or less are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.7 ppg. NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-10 ATS L/24 seasons are 74% conversion rate. Play on the Suns to cover |
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06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +5 | 113-102 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has not performed optimally on the road , as is evident by a current 17-25 ATS visitors mark this season. Atlanta has proven over and over again they can be competitive against the heavy weights in the Eastern Conference and now after a down effort last time out, Im betting on a big big bounce back here in true zig zag theory evolution. MILWAUKEE is 13-26 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 15-4 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 11-1 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. McMillan is 13-1 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game as the coach of ATLANTA. ATLANTA is 7-0 ATS in home games on Sunday games this season.ATLANTA is 20-7 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or more ) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less ) after 42+ games going 132-30 L/5 seasons for 72% conversion rate. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1 | 84-80 | Loss | -101 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
The Clippers even without Kawhi Leonard looked like they matched up well vs the Suns in the first 3 games of this series, and in game 3 were the far better team. Tonight Im betting on that trend to continue and for the Clippers to tie this series here at home where they have won the L/14 meetings in this series. PHOENIX is 4-16 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 ATS  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Trey Young almost single handily carried the Atlanta Hawks to victory in game 1 of this series. Now I expect Young to be curtailed and regress naturally and for this series to become alot more physical, where Im betting the Bucks have the edge, especially here at home in Milwaukee. Note: Chalk of 4 or more points in Games 2-5 off a playoff series defeat are 170-122-7 (58.2%) ATS in history. ATLANTA is 8-21 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 7-18 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 18-37 ATS L/55 off a road win by 3 points or less . NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 1-6 ATS this season and 15-44 ATS L/24 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate for bettors. Underdogs (ATLANTA) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 20-53 ATS L/24 seasons for go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - when trailing in a playoff series, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 53-9 SU L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average ppf diff clicking in at +7.8 ppg. NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 55-23 ATS L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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06-24-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1.5 | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
The Suns squeezed by the Clippers in game 2 104-103 to take a 2-0 lead in this series. Now in desperation mode I look for the Clippers even without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup to come out here and get the win behind the energy of their home town fans. Note: The Clippers have won 13 straight in LA vs the Suns and get my support to keep that streak alive tonight. LA CLIPPERS are 34-17 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (PHOENIX) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are just 17-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-41 SU L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 77% . Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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06-22-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5 | 103-104 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
The Suns enter into game 2 of this series vs the Clippers off a win in game 1 for their 8th straight play off victory. I know the Clippers have found a way to win without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup but Im betting it will finally start to effect them as early as tonight. PHOENIX is 16-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. PHOENIX is 15-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the Phoenix Suns to win |
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06-20-21 | Hawks +7 v. 76ers | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Its become obvious to me that the Hawks matchup well vs the Sixers and according to my projections this is just to many points here for me not grab the underdog line value. From historical standpoint the 76ers have never won a series when they were down 3-2 (0-14) which was the case last time out, with the Sixers leaving everything on the floor in a 5 point victory that could have gone either way. With that said, I would also not be surprised to see the young Hawks grab this series outright with a win, but more importantly taking the points is a solid option. Key:Young must own this game which Im betting he is capable of. He has been explosive offensively averaging of 30.3 points and 11.0 assists in this series. Interesting anomaly shows the Hawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games. Play on the Hawks to cover |
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06-19-21 | Bucks v. Nets -1.5 | 115-111 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has not played all that well on the road this season which is evident by their 16-25 ATS record as visitors, and are just 5-16 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons and 4-14 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Nash is 12-1 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BROOKLYN. I know Kyrie Irving is not expected to play tonight for the Nets, but they are deep enough to adjust to that loss, and will be ready to compete tonight at home vs a Bucks franchise that is 0-7 in game 7s in their NBA lifetime. Note:HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied WWLLWL:Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team tied WWLLWL irrespective of site order (Brooklyn) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2021 and NBA Preliminary rounds: 22-6 SU Game 7 record. Play on Brooklyn to win |
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06-18-21 | Jazz -1.5 v. Clippers | 119-131 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
With Kawhi Leonard on the sidelines again tonight Im betting on the Jazz finding a way to extend this series with a take no prisoners effort here and take this to a game 7. Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3 | 104-99 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The 76ers held a 26-point lead at home against the Atlanta Hawks in game 5 and took a 18 point lead into the fourth quarter. But however, in miraculous fashion the Hawks scored 40 points in the final quarter  to complete one of the biggest playoff comebacks in league history.In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games beginning in 1947, road teams down 22 points as late as after two quarters had a game record of only 0-19 (.000). Now with huge momentum on their sides Im betting Atlanta has the edge vs a deflated 76ers group that have shown themselves to be less than brilliant on the road this season as is evident by their 19-19 ATS record. ATLANTA is 12-3 ATS in home games after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 9-21 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or better ) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), in a game involving two good ball handling team ( 14.5 or less TO's) after 42+ games are 102-30 L/5 seasons for a 77% SU conversion rate. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. ATLANTA is 6-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons here at home in Georgia. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-17-21 | Nets v. Bucks -5.5 | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Milwaukee plays their best hoops at home where they own a 30-10 SU record with an average 8.1 ppg diff, and tonight Im betting they come out here in a desperation mode and play a start to finish all out energy game . With no tomorrow if they lose you can bet we get the best out of the Bucks tonight vs a Nets side that 21-19 SU on the road this season. Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite. Budenholzer is 35-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots as the coach of MILWAUKEE. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -7.4 ppg. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season, dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game are 169-56 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.4 ppg. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 17-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -2.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
Pivotal game 5 goes tonight in Utah. Each team has won both their home games, and tonight Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation to continue. Advantage. Utah. Jazz are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite. UTAH is 7-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.UTAH is 15-6 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Clippers are 8-22-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Utah. UTAH is 5-0 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons at home . NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on Utah to cover |
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06-16-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -6 | 109-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Philadelphia after exploding out of the gate last time out to take a commanding DD lead, in game 4, feel asleep at the proverbial wheel and ended up losing SU. It was an embarrassing result, that Im sure will have this 76ers crew ready to bounce back with a vengeance and keep the pedal to metal until the final whistle goes off which makes laying points a viable betting option. Note: Sixers star Joel Embiid, went 0 for 12 in the 2nd half, and despite of a light injury to his knee is good to go, and ready to shine up his big ego here tonight in a game his team needs badly to get their mojo back.PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with the ppg differential clicking in at +11 ppg. PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season. ATLANTA is 12-23 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.3 ppg. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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06-14-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3.5 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 Three-time NBA champion Danny Green sustained a strained right calf during Philadelphia's 127-111 win over Atlanta on Friday and will now Im betting have problems adjusting without him and being as fluid. Im also betting on the streaky Trae Young to find his form after a couple crap shooting games in a row. Advantage Atlanta. PHILADELPHIA is 9-27 ATS in road games after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons.  ATLANTA is 19-7 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 14-3 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons . ATLANTA is 20-8 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 16-31 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 76ers are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-13-21 | Suns -3 v. Nuggets | 125-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
it has become obvious to me the Suns are the superior side in this matchup which we see via the 3-0 strangle hold they have in this series that resulted in 3 DD victories. These Suns have morphed into a cohesive machine, with a killer instinct and I cant see them taking their proverbial feet of the pedal as they go for a sweep of the Nuggets. PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season.PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS  in road games after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Suns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games DENVER is 9-19 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 74-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NBA road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 24-8 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +4.5 ppg game. Play on the Suns to win |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Milwaukee plays their best hoops at home, and just like they did in game 3 will try  to produce another strong defensive effort as they try to take the flow away from the explosive Nets. Im betting their physicality will  help them to another victory. Budenholzer is 34-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots as the coach of MILWAUKEE. MILWAUKEE is 4-1 straight in Wisconsin against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons. The home team has won the L/6 meetings. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 90 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 185 points or less are 32-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (BROOKLYN) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-100 ATS L/24 seasons for. ago against 70% conversion rate for bettors.  NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 11-34 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 76% to cover. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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06-11-21 | Suns v. Nuggets -1.5 | 116-102 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
Its never easy for visiting teams like the Suns to play in the high altitudes of the Mile High City and tonight vs a desperate and extremely motivated Nuggets team that will become evident. DENVER is 14-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 32-18 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games. Suns are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Suns are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Denver. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, with a winning record on the season are just 9-26 SU L/24 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks -3.5 | 83-86 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Brooklyn took the first two games of this series, but the Bucks now in desperation mode and playing at home will come out here with all guns blazing. With the Nets Harden expected to miss this tilt Im betting the edge resides with the Bucks. Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bucks have won 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series in Milwaukee.  MILWAUKEE is 12-3 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 16-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 60-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 39-14 ATS L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to win |
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06-06-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -3 | 128-124 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Congratulations to the Hawks for beating the Knicks in the first round of the play offs, but now against a battle hardened and experienced play off team that is playing at home, the Hawks are at a disadvantage vs the 76ers. ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 8-24 ATS in the second round of the playoffs since 1996. Hawks are 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 Conference Semifinals games. Hawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Hawks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia. PHILADELPHIA is 18-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (ATLANTA) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 5-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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06-03-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers -5 | 126-115 | Loss | -103 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
These teams are pretty evenly matched but Denver has found a way to be up 3-2 in this series, and now in pure all out desperation mode Im betting on the Blazers coming out here with all guns blazing and finding a way to get the win and more importantly for us the the cover. DENVER is 7-18 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons NBA Road underdogs (DENVER) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 4-25 ATS L/24 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Blazers to cover |
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06-02-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -6.5 | 105-100 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
The Mavericks looked good in the first two games of this series, as they Clippers looked asleep at the proverbial  wheel. After their slumber the Clippers are now wide awake and will no longer take their opposition for granted and continue on their two recent DD dismantling's of the Mavs and get the win and cover here again in game 5.  DALLAS is 13-24 ATS after playing a home game this season. Carlisle is 40-59 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of DALLAS. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or better on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 27-3 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.8 ppg. NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two teams with a defensive shot conversion rate of (45.5-47.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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06-02-21 | Grizzlies +9.5 v. Jazz | 110-126 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
Despite of being down 3-1 in this series the Grizzlies have been competitive in all 4games and Im betting they don't go down here without an all out dog fight making them viable underdogs taking points. . MEMPHIS is 24-15 ATS in road games this season.Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.Jazz are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite. Play ont he Grizzlies to cover |
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06-02-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -1 | 103-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
NYK in desperation mode (and fear of elimination) Im betting will find a way to stay alive in this series with a victory here tonight. ATLANTA is 18-34 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 18-8 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 12-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. NEW YORK is 26-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NEW YORK is 6-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons. (NYK) NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, playing with 2 days rest are 49-10 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 8-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NYK to cover |
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06-01-21 | Lakers +5 v. Suns | 85-115 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
The defending NBA champs Im betting will be primed to grab back the lead in this series vs the Phoenix Suns and deserve respect getting points in game 5 of this series. LA LAKERS are 24-8 ATS when tied in a playoff series since 1996. LA LAKERS are 19-9 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games. PHOENIX is 0-8 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. Note: I know the Lakers are going to be without Davis , but as long as James is on the court they are golden .... even when Davis sits , as the Lakers recorded a +7.1 point differential per 100 possessions vs opposition this season. Play on the Lakers to cover |
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05-30-21 | Clippers -3 v. Mavs | 106-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 The Clippers finally woke up after looking like they were asleep at the wheel in the first two games of this series back in LA. Now back in a groove Im betting on the Clippers to come right back and tie this series with a win tonight. LA CLIPPERS are 18-7 ATS in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 season  Mavericks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog.Mavericks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 Conference Quarterfinals games.Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home. DALLAS is 0-8 ATS in home games on Sunday games over the last 2 season. Clippers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Dallas. Play on the LA Clippers |
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05-29-21 | Bucks v. Heat +5 | 120-103 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Down 3-0 in this series the Heat excuse the pun, need to bring the Heat and leave everything on the floor tonight. In game 1 they did what I thought they would, but after that heart breaking close loss in the opener, they have suffered and extended emotional letdown. Quote:"Our rhythm is off," Heat guard Goran Dragic said. "It's way off. We lose our confidence." End quote: Needless to say alot of soul searching has been done since that last game, and now Im betting on the Heat coming up big here and getting us the cover in an all out due or die performance. Note: The Heat haven't been swept in the playoffs since 2007 against the Chicago Bulls. Bucks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 road games. MILWAUKEE is 5-16 ATSafter 3 or more consecutive wins this season.MILWAUKEE is 6-21 ATS  after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more over the last 2 seasons. Key Injury :Bucks  starting guard Donte DiVincenzo out for play offs. Bucks are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Miami. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 26-68 L/24 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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05-28-21 | Knicks +4.5 v. Hawks | 94-105 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 From a SRS comparison there is data that suggests these teams being very evenly matched . The Knicks rank 11th at 2.13. Atlanta ranks 10th at 2.14 . Thus getting points for me is a strong option here especially after watching the first two games. Im betting on the Knicks tenaciousness which is unmatched and their top ranked ppd defence to be the difference maker. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average NEW YORK is 23-13 ATS in road games this season NEW YORK is 10-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons including 4-0 ATS L/4 visits to Atlanta. NEW YORK is 18-4 ATS  versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW YORK is 22-8 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 2-12 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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05-27-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers -3.5 | 120-115 | Loss | -114 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
Portland took game 1 in convincing fashion then the Nuggets returned the favor in a DD win in game 2. Now in true zig zag theory convergence we go back to the Blazers tonight here at home. Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. DENVER is 6-17 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. Malone is 26-44 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more as the coach of DENVER. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 61-29 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Trail Blazers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play on the Blazers to win/cover |
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05-27-21 | Suns v. Lakers -7 | 95-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
When the the defending champs are in top form the Lakers are hard to beat as was the case last time out when they took out the Suns by a 109-102 final score. Now with play off action in full swing Im betting we will now see an experienced side take advantage of the young inexperienced Suns behind a defensive style of play that will disrupt the visitors flow. LA LAKERS are 23-8 ATS when tied in a playoff series since 1996. PHOENIX is 7-20 ATS  off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after a game where they covered the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 85-49 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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05-26-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -2 | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
NYK lost a closely contested game last time out vs the Hawks . The Hawks actually kept up with the tenacious work ethic of the Knicks which has been rare this season. The difference maker Im betting will come via the Knicks consistent never say style of play something I believe the Hawks will not be able to contend with in game 2.  NEW YORK is 9-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons NEW YORK is 17-2 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NEW YORK is 11-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 17-4 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.  NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 100-64 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate. Play on the NYK to cover |
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05-25-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -6.5 | 127-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Ok kudos to Dallas in game 1 of this series as they pulled of the upset as dogs. However, now wide awake Im betting on the Clippers coming back here with a huge effort and what Im betting will be a subsequent cover. LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - when trailing in a playoff series, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 47-8 L/24 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.6 ppg. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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05-25-21 | Celtics v. Nets -9 | 108-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Brooklyn took game 1 of this series 103-94 covering as 8.5 point chalk and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation tonight. Note: BROOKLYN is 6-0/SU L/6 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons at home.BOSTON is 3-17 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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05-24-21 | Heat +4.5 v. Bucks | 98-132 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Game 1 was a closely contested tilt , with the lead changing back and forth throughout the contest in a game that was never controlled by either side. Im betting things don't change that much today making the underdog Heat once again a viable wagering opportunity. Spoelstra is 10-1 ATS in road games in the 2nd game of a playoff series as the coach of MIAMI. MILWAUKEE is 9-24 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season and overall have failed to cover 7 of their L/8 overall including game 1 of this series.
No Zig Zag theory in play here. Play on the Miami Heat. |
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05-23-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -1.5 | 107-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The Knicks have shown a great deal of chemistry this season, and have proven themselves disciplined while implementing a top tier brand of defensive hoops that is difficult to play against as is evident by ranking 1st in ppg defense in the NBA behind a deliberate 30th ranked pace. Meanwhile, their first round play off opponents the Atlanta Hawks, own the 23rd ranked offensive deficiency which does not bode well here in what will be a grinding game that will test their will to grind it out in the key in their own zone. Note: The Knicks took all three meetings this season between these teams, once on the road and twice at home by DDs. Rinse and repeat here in game 1.  Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Knicks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games. Knicks are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.NEW YORK is 16-2 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season.NEW YORK is 16-4 ATS versus average to sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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05-22-21 | Blazers +1 v. Nuggets | 123-109 | Win | 101 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 Portland has been on my radar for a while now as the teams chemistry has improved as this season has progressed and look like a viable dark horse entering the play offs. After watching game video of the last time these teams met on May 16th in game the Blazers won 132-116 it became obvious to me that unless the Nuggets made improbable changes that they could find themselves in trouble in this series. Im not counting the Nuggets out in this series, but here in game 1 I am betting they will not make the changes necessary for victory.   PORTLAND is 16-7 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. PORTLAND is 19-7 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. PORTLAND is 10-2 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. DENVER is 16-25 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.DENVER is 5-13 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - off a road loss against a division rival, playing with 3 or more days rest are 12-34 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - playing with 3 or more days rest, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 70-19 L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Portland to win |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -5 | 113-103 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 8 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 From a power ranking and SRS perspective the superior side here is the Clippers. The Clippers rank 2nd in the league in SRS with a 6.02 data point while the Mavericks rank 9th with a 2.26 mark. When factoring in home court advantage for the Clippers laying single digit lumber is a viable betting opportunity. Note: SRS: Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. DALLAS is 1-9 ATS after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season.  Mavericks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 Conference Quarterfinals games.Mavericks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 28-2 L/24 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 ppg which qualifies this trend on a ATS line. (Qualifying factor: Dallas beat the Clippers back in March and LAC lost their last two games this season) NBA Home teams (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 24-6 L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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05-21-21 | Grizzlies +5 v. Warriors | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors put an all out effort vs the La Lakers last time out and still lost , and will now be in a huge letdown situation that will benefit the tenacious and well conditioned Memphis Grizzlies . Advantage Memphis. Grizzlies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. MEMPHIS is 13-5 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.MEMPHIS is 30-16 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.MEMPHIS is 9-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders this season. NBA Road teams (MEMPHIS) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 76-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.  Play on Memphis to cover |
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05-19-21 | Warriors v. Lakers -5 | 100-103 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Play-In Game - Game 1 This was a trigger point of where I wanted to take a stance on this tilt and now at -5 to -6 Im all in here on the defending champion Lakers taking this game and covering the all important number. I know Golden State is red hot and Curry is lighting up the scoreboard for them, but here vs a side that has honed their defensive game (Ranked No.1 in Defensive Efficiency) for much of this season with an eye towards play off hoops, Im betting now with their full compliment of players in the lineup( ie James , Davis ) the Lakers have an advantage with what my power ranking suggest is the superior side.  Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Warriors are also just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. GOLDEN STATE is 1-10 ATSin road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 57-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are just 54-244 L/24 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 81% with the ppg diff clicking in at -9.1 ppg which qualifies on a ATS line. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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05-18-21 | Hornets +3 v. Pacers | 117-144 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 13 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Play-In Game - Game 1 Indiana plays a soft defensive game, and in my humble opinion are not suited well to handle what can be a grinding style of physical play that is often associated with success in the play offs. I know charlotte may not inspire bettors after finishing the season with 5 straight losses, but those loses games against a high level of talented sides, and will have them ready to compete here. .CHARLOTTE is 13-2 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season.  INDIANA is 0-8 ATS in all playoff games over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9 ppg. Bjorkgren is 5-15 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of INDIANA. NBA Home teams (INDIANA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 49-104 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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05-16-21 | Jazz -11 v. Kings | 121-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Sacramento Im betting goes through the motions today as they wont be in the play offs . Meanwhile, for Utah going into the post season with positive momentum is important and even though they will rest players during this game are deep enough to come out of this with a comfortable victory. They smashed the Kings 154-105 in their most recent meeting and have 3 consecutive DD victories in this series. NBA Underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 road covers where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 3-23 ATS L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking at +16 ppg. Play on the Jazz to cover |
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05-16-21 | Cavs v. Nets -14 | 109-123 | Push | 0 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Brooklyn Im betting will want to finish off their season with a-lot of momentum both from a offensive and defensive perspective which Im betting results in a big time DD victory. The Cavaliers are 0-8 ATS/SU after their opponent made at least 10 more free throws than they did last game with each loss coming by 15 or more points with the average ppg diff clicking in by an average of 30.4 ppg. CLEVELAND is 9-23 ATS  as a road underdog this season. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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05-15-21 | Celtics +4.5 v. Wolves | 124-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Boston was locked into a spot in the play-in tournament after its 102-94 loss in Cleveland on Wednesday night and find themselves in that spot because of injuries that have seen them struggle down the stretch. However, Boston is still a viable opponent for this afternoons competition the Minnesota Wolves who despite of playing better are still a non play off side with some major inconsistencies. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.  Timberwolves are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite. Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota. Celtics are 7-0-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Play on Boston to cover |
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05-14-21 | Jazz v. Thunder +14 | 109-93 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Im betting the Jazz will be treating this game like a night off as postseason basketball approaches. Injuries are always a concern so Im expecting we see alot of bench players getting more minutes than usual giving us value with a ugly home dog in Oklahoma City.  The Thunder are 8-1 ATS L/9 overall in this series. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (UTAH) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse ) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are just 45-82 ATS L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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05-14-21 | Nuggets v. Pistons +9.5 | 104-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Utah played last night and are now on tired legs and with the post season almost here will be careful with their existing roster, so some top line players may get more rest than usual. I know Motown may not inspire bettors, but they are capable of a cover here at home, getting points. Note: Detroit got smashed last time out, 119-100 by the Wolves, but the Pistons have proven resilient this season going 11-1 ATS after a 15 point or more loss and is 16-4 ATS off a home loss this season. NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 28-6 SU L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate thus giving us value from a league wide trends perspective getting points. NBA Road teams (DENVER) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 33-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (DENVER) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%). are 24-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit Pistons to cover |
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05-13-21 | Nuggets -4.5 v. Wolves | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Minnesota is a winner in back-to-back contests, including a 119-100 rout of Detroit on Tuesday in which it led throughout and have been playing better of late, but tonight they wont be catching the Nuggets asleep at the proverbial wheel, and will have the full attention of what my power rankings suggest is a superior side. Denvers SRS is 6th in the NBA at +6.03 while the Wolves rank 26th with a -5.41 mark, and even with a recent uptick in positive data are still over matched in general terms. Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. MINNESOTA is 1-11 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 10-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons and 5-0 SU L/5 visits to Minnesota.   Nuggets are 21-4-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Minnesota. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more are 6-26 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-11 ATS L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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05-12-21 | Spurs +5.5 v. Nets | 116-128 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets played last night in a revenge tilt vs the Bulls and got the redemption they wanted. Now on tired legs as they play back to back games the Nets could find their hands full vs a hungry Popivich crew that are vying for a play off appearance, and also in revenge mode for a loss back on March 1st to these same Nets. Note: The Nets are 3-9 ATS with not rest last 12 overall at home and 0-5 ATS vs non conference opposition. Also HC Pop of the Spurs is an astute student of the game, and when given the opportunity to avenge a loss vs a foe is 150-78 SU. Spurs are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 road games.Spurs are 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings in Brooklyn.Nets are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games playing on 0 days rest. Play on the Spurs to cover |
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05-12-21 | Wizards +7 v. Hawks | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
In the Wizards last 16 games they have won 13 times and lost 3 times twice by 1 point margins and once by 3 points. Washington has proved themselves to be a side that deserves respect when taking points and nothing changes tonight in the rematch vs Atlanta from Monday night where they lost a hard fought 125-124 affair. Even with Bradly Beal out there is enough offence off the bench to get the job done. WASHINGTON is 22-10 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 4.1 ppg. WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season and 12-4 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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05-11-21 | Nuggets v. Hornets +6.5 | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
The Hornets are right around the edge of being No. 10 seed in this year’s Eastern Conference playoff chase and cannot afford anymore losses and Im betting that will see them leave everything on the floor here tonight vs the Nuggets giving us an edge taking points. It must also be noted that the Hornets have revenge on board for a beating they took in the Mile High city on March 14 which will add to their motivation factors in this spot play. Note :Denver has lost 3 of their L/4 and are on tired legs after back to back games vs Utah and Brooklyn and now playing their 4th game in 6 nights. The home side is 8-0 ATS L/8 meetings in this series. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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05-10-21 | Bucks v. Spurs +7.5 | 125-146 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
The Spurs are on the tipping point of a play off or new format play in position, and need wins badly and will play with a desperate edge in this tilt. The Bucks are the superior side, but have been less than reliable opposition away from home  as is evident by their 14-19 SU road record would indicate. SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons and are 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 meetings at home in this series. MILWAUKEE is also just 0-9 ATS against Southwest division opponents this season like San Antonio. MILWAUKEE is 4-12 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 29-63 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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05-10-21 | Wizards +7.5 v. Hawks | 124-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Washington is very under rated here from a data standpoint having lost on 3 times in their L/16 games with the 3 defeats coming by 1 point two times and 3 points in the other loss. I know Atlanta has really moved up in their respectability status in NBA play, but they are bering over rate here vs a very tough opponent. With revenge on board for a home loss back in the end of January Im betting we see the Wizards in top form and motivated. The Wizards are 12-0-1 ATS L/13 as a dog off a game as a favorite.  WASHINGTON is 11-0 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 21-47 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. Play on the Washington. Wizards to cover |
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05-09-21 | Thunder +10.5 v. Kings | 98-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Sacramento beat Oklahoma City 103-99 when they met May 4th in a closely contested game. From a mqtch-up perspective the Thunder are more than capable of covering here. I know the Thunder are near or at the bottom of the league in key stats, but its not like they cant be competitive as was the case recently when they went into Boston and upset the Celtics. So with that said lets just plug our noses and pull the trigger. Note: Thunder are 5-1 with 0/1 rest situation while the Kings are 0-5 ATS on Sunday as a host.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-1 ATS on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-26 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.. OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-18 ATS  as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons  SACRAMENTO is 3-11 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 69-109 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate. Play on the Thunder to cover  . |
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05-09-21 | Heat v. Celtics +1 | 130-124 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
This Im betting will be a hard fought affair that will result in a lower scoring style post season style affair. The Celtics own an edge here from a system vs system perspective vs Miami and matchup well here despite of the Heats upward momentum and the Celtics inconsistent efforts. The Celtics are 12-0 ATS /SU at home with rest after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers last game. Play on the Celtics to. cover (LATE STEAM) |
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05-08-21 | Rockets +15.5 v. Jazz | 116-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
The Jazz are off a hard fought affair vs the Nuggets last time out and are now in an emotional letdown state and lacking overall energy and Im sure in some ways they are over looking the Rockets. With that said, there is value taking points here with a Houston side that is 11-1 as visiting underdogs of 4 points or more more vs .700 or better opposition. Meanwhile, the Jazz are just 1-5 ATS L/6 after facing the Nuggets. HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS ( in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBAFavorites of 10 or more points (UTAH) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, playing on back-to-back days are 15-37 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rockets to cover |
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05-08-21 | Grizzlies v. Raptors +5.5 | 109-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The Raptors who are 4-0 ATS L/4 may no long er be a championship calibre side, but they are still no pushovers, and are more than capable of being competitive tonight vs the visiting Grizzlies even with injuries and key players out. Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Raptors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Toronto is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 meetings in this series as hosts. Grizzlies are 1-9-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Nurse is 57-35 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of TORONTO NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 18-65 L/24 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to cover |
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05-08-21 | Wizards v. Pacers +3.5 | 133-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Washington continues to play an all out brand of wide open hoops, but after two exhausting game in a row vs Milwaukee and and Toronto Im betting the Wizards hit the wall here in what will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. The Wizards did beat Indiana 154-141 when they played last week, but the Pacers stayed competitive in that tilt, and are more than capable of upending their opponent in the rematch. The Pacers are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 meetings in Indiana. Wizards are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 18-65 L/24 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pacers to cover |
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05-08-21 | Pistons v. 76ers -10 | 104-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
The 76ers now on a 7 game win streak will be paying attention here tonight, as they are still looking to secure top seed in the east. Add to that revenge for a ugly DD loss to the Pistons in the Motown the last time these teams met and you now have a situation that bodes well for a beatdown scenario. The Seventysixers are 16-0-1 ATS/16-0 SU as a favorite after being outscored in the paint by at least 6 points last game. The Pistons are 0-15-3 ATS /0-18 SU as a dog coming off a 10+ point win. DETROIT is 1-10 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on the 76ers to cover |
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05-07-21 | Knicks v. Suns -6 | 105-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
NY has played some great hoops behind a fantastic work ethic, and chemistry, but the young Suns have matured quickly and have stood up to some of the best teams in the league and prevailed. I know the Knicks are out looking to avenge a 118-110 home loss to the Suns back on April 26th in NY city but my power rankings suggest the Suns are the superior side, and in most circumstances would prevail in a matchup with the Knicks. Also this is NYKs fourth straight road game and they looked pooped last time out in Denver losing 113-97, most probably because of the high octane effort they consistently put out. Meanwhile, the Suns after a night off where they looked asleep at the wheel in a ugly 135-103 loss to Atlanta will be primed to bounce back. Note: NYK is just 1-5 ATS vs Pac division opposition as 8 point underdogs or less. The Suns are 5-0 ATS/SU L/5 in this series.PHOENIX is 11-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. Play on Phoenix to win /cover |
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05-06-21 | Hawks v. Pacers +6 | 126-133 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Atlanta played a hard fought game against a top tier opposition ( Phoenix) last night and are now on tired legs and in emotional letdown spot after recording an all out impressive 135-103 victory. The Hawks never let up and played all out, because of their obvious respect for their opponent which will see them Im betting start slowly tonight vs the Pacers. ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons. Indiana is 3-0 SU L/3 at home in this series.ATLANTA is 24-41 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season. Play on Indiana to cover |
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05-06-21 | Wizards v. Raptors -1 | 131-129 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
The Wizards played a back forth tilt vs the Bucks last night and lost by a 135-134 count and will now both be on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state which makes them susceptible to a down performance vs a Raptors side that has won 8 straight meetings in this series SU. Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on the Toronto Raptors to win |
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