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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-06-18 | Tigers v. Red Sox -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
BLAINE HARDY (L) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) Boston's southpaw starter tonight Eduardo Rodrguez is currently in top form and has settled into a nice rhythm , allowing three earned runs or less in his last five starts. He gets the nod from me tonight vs a very inconsistent Detroit Tigers offense These below straight up trends correlate to my -1.5 runline stance. RODRIGUEZ team when he starts  is 14-1  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more dating back to last season with the average margin of victory coming by 2.4 rpg. BOSTON is 32-6 against the money line as a favorite of -200 or more over the last 2 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2.2 rpg. DETROIT is 57-179  against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997 with the average loss coming by more than 2.4 rpg. The Boston Red Sox have won 20 straight games as a home 200+ favorite when they are off two victories in which they never trailed, with the last one coming as chalk, with the average margin of victory clicking in at 5.3 rpg.The Detroit Tigers have lost 28 straight times  as a 125-plus underdog when they are off a game as a dog in which Miguel Cabrera was hitless losing SU with the average loss coming by 3.6 rpg ( 5-23 on the Runline) MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+135 to -190) (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more  runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), playing on Wednesday are 39-14 L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate on the blind with the average margin of victory coming by 2.8 rpg. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the -1.5 runline |
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06-05-18 | Diamondbacks +128 v. Giants | 3-2 | Win | 128 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
PAT CORBIN (L) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L) Corbin the DBacks starter pitched a one-hit shutout in a 1-0 home win over the Giants in April and matches up well vs this current Giants batting order. He will be opposed by what I'm betting will be a rusty Madison Bumgarner who is coming off the disabled list to make his first start of the season. I know the DBacks have struggled offensively this season, but the Giants veteran hurler has seen his team go 0-5  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season dating back to last year and is 1-9 against the money line against division opponents over the last couple of seasons. Note: ARIZONA is 11-5 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. BUMGARNER is 0-6 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline |
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06-05-18 | Braves -127 v. Padres | 14-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
I did not expect the Braves to be in such a letdown situation yesterday, as they lost 11-4 in their first game out West after taking out the Nationals in 3 of 4 games on the weekend. The good news though for us is that we have an opportunity to now cash on the braves in a bounce back situation this evening. It must be noted that the Braves are 20-6 L/26 after a loss and are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter like  with a WHIP less than 1.15. Meanwhile, I know SD has been playing well but they have had a recent history of sudden catastrophic failure as is evident by a  3-20 record against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last few seasons. and are just  5-16 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. ATLANTA is 10-2 against the money line in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs (lost 11-4 yesterday). Coming off a top tier  May, the Atlanta Braves starter  Newcomb will attempt to enhance what currently stand as strong All-Star credentials. The young southpaw has allowed two earned runs or fewer over at least six innings in seven of his 11 starts and get the nod here tonight against the San Diego Padres in the 2nd game of this series.Newcomb has the 10th-best ERA in the National League and is tied for fifth in wins. He is also riding a six-game winning streak, which is tied for the third longest in the National League this season. Newcomb also ranks among the league leaders in several other categories -- like seventh in opponents' batting average (.204), sixth in road ERA (2.06), third in winning percentage (.857) Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter lie Lyles with a WHIP less than 1.15 MLB Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 14-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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06-05-18 | Royals v. Angels -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
BRAD KELLER (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L) Heaney the Angles starter gave up three earned runs over five innings, with seven strikeouts, against Kansas City on April 13 and matches up well vs the very inconsistent KC batting order. It must be noted despite of a few struggles of late, Heaney (2-4, 3.66) allowed two earned runs or less in six consecutive starts from April 27 to May 25. . The southpaw gets my backing tonight vs a KC Royals team that ha scored 3 runs or less in 7 of their L/11 overall games. LA ANGELS are 15-2  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. with by an average margin of 3.3rpg game going on the board .LA ANGELS are 12-2  against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less ) this season winning by an average of 3 rpg. Play on the LA Angels on the runline -1.5 |
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06-05-18 | Phillies +200 v. Cubs | 6-1 | Win | 200 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (R Zach Eflin has struggled of late and could be replaced in the rotation if he does not turn things around quickly. Its not like this pitcher does have the tools to succeed, and is more than capable of a big performance to save his starting job. Pitchers in these situations have a tendency of giving it their all, and I constantly keep an eye out for these kinds of opportunities,. With that said, I am recommending we take a Phillies side with capabilities to pull an upset on exceptional value line. Note: Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. It must also be noted that Chicago starter Hendricks (4-4, 3.19 ERA) has struggled with inconsistency this season, and has shown a susceptibility to be smashed around. HENDRICKS is 1-7 against the money line after a win this season (team record) and is just is 3-7 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.  Phillies are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. National League Central and are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 42-25 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline |
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06-05-18 | Brewers v. Indians -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
JUNIOR GUERRA (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R) Kluber the Indians starter tonight pitched six brilliant shutout innings against the White Sox on Wednesday, piling up 10 strikeouts with zero walks. The Tribe ace is riding a streak of 112 batters faced with zero walks and has a 0.68 ERA in his past four turns and get the nod here on the -1.5 run line. I know the Tribe have struggled a little bit of late, but it must be noted that CLEVELAND is a perfect 11-0 against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by a whopping 4.1 rpg. ( Indians 7.6 Opp 3.5 which gives credence to my -1.5 runline call this evening.
Play on the Cleveland Indians -1.5 runline |
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06-05-18 | Yankees -135 v. Blue Jays | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R) The Yankees will start left-hander CC Sabathia (2-1, 3.73 ERA) against Blue Jays right-hander Marco Estrada (2-6, 5.68). Sabathia is who I'm backing  as he is in  better form and has an offense backing him that is more consistent than the Blue Jays attack. Eastrada the Jays starter in his last  seven starts  is 0-5 with a 5.89 ERA.Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Yankees did have a 5 game winning streak snapped in the second game of a Double header vs the Tigers last time out, but are a very good bounce back candidate as is evident by their 36-16 record in their last 52 games following a loss.  SABATHIA team  is 23-9 when he starts  against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 16-3  against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season and are 13-3 against the money line rested bullpen - threw 2 innings or less in each of the last 2 games over the last 2 seasons.  The Blue Jays have lost 14 straight  as a home dog vs a southpaw when they lost the last three times they faced a left handed pitcher.  Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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06-04-18 | Braves +106 v. Padres | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L) The Braves just took 3 of 4 games in a weekend series from the Nationals, and are now flying out west feeling pretty good about themselves, standing in first place in the NL East and  and brimming with confidence. Sometimes situations like this can have a team in a letdown spot, but this Braves team has good chemistry and leadership and is taking nothing for granted, especially when they ponder how many struggles the organization has dealt with over the last few seasons. With that said, I'm going to ride the momentum of the Braves from East to West and bet on them to bring home the cash to their backers in the first game of this series. Tonight's pitching matchup features pitchers in good form, but not getting the support they need to get wins of late. But Teheran according to my power rankings matches up better vs the Fathers batting order than Richards does vs the Braves clutch hitters. Teheran is 4-2 with a 3.76 ERA in eight career starts against San Diego, including a win in his lone start against the Padres last season. SD starter Richard has never beaten the Braves and is 0-6 with a 6.75 ERA in nine career games - six starts. Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Braves are 8-3 in Teherans last 11 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Braves are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings. Braves are 9-3 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season doing their best offensive work producing 5.6 rpg and 26 HRS.  Padres are 5-21 in Richards last 26 starts vs. National League East.Padres are 7-23 in their last 30 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. ATLANTA is 23-14 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season and is s 15-9  against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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06-03-18 | Dodgers -127 v. Rockies | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
 ALEX WOOD (L) vs. CHAD BETTIS (R) The Dodgers (28-30) have won 12 of their past 16 games and are currently in good from, and get the nod here today according to my pitcher vs pitcher vs batting order power rankings. it must be noted that the Dodgers starter Bettis has yet to win or have a decision at home this season, going 0-0, 7.06 in four starts. His form has gone down hill of late despite of solid early season numbers, as is evident by his last four consecutive no-decisions covering 22 innings, Bettis has a 6.95 ERA, and opposing hitters are batting .315 with a .869 OPS during that time frame and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, Alex Wood the Dodgers starter has pitched his best ball away from home this season, garnering a solid 2.88 ERA , and despite of pitching here at the launching pad known as Coors Field should do enough to hold the Rockies very inconsistent offense in check. COLORADO is 9-18 L/27 against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games . MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), playing on Sunday ae 95-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers  to win on the moneyline |
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06-03-18 | Pirates v. Cardinals -125 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
 NICK KINGHAM (R) vs. MICHAEL WACHA (R)
The Cards starter Wacha hasn’t lost since his season debut way back in March. He’s completed at least five innings in each of his 10 starts since. Cardinals are 5-0 in Wachas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, Kingman the Pirates starter  since taking a perfect game into the seventh inning in his debut against the Cardinals, he has allowed three or more earned runs in each of his past three starts. Pirates are 6-13 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. ST LOUIS is 16-3 L/19 against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games dating back to last season, which happened yesterday.PITTSBURGH is 19-39  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 dating back to last season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ST LOUIS) - with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL), after a one run win are 97-38 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline |
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06-03-18 | Nationals -106 v. Braves | 2-4 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) Hellickson the Nats starter continues to be a pleasant surprise  since taking over as their No. 5 starter. In his last five outings, he owns a 1.30 ERA and Washington is undefeated in those five games.. In five career starts against Atlanta, Hellickson is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA. HELLICKSON team when he starts is 11-5  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%). Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Sanchez. Atlanta won the first two games of the series between the National League East frontrunners, but Washington won the four-hour marathon Saturday and pulled to within a half game of the Braves and are now my choice to get a split of this 4 game series set. WASHINGTON is 30-15 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 dating back to last season.Nationals are 14-3 in their last 17 road games. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - allowing 3.5 or less runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are 41-13 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline |
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06-03-18 | Blue Jays +110 v. Tigers | 8-4 | Win | 110 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
AARON SANCHEZ (R) vs. MICHAEL FULMER (R) Neither one of these two pitchers inspire me, but baseball is more than a pitching matchup. With that said, and even though the Tigers are in good form and the Jays in a slump, my own power rankings suggest a favorable matchup situation for the desperate Jays here in the final game of this series. The Tigers have struggled against RHP this season like the Jays Sanchez, and are averaging just 3.9 rpg via a below the Mendoza line .244 BA. The Jays are 15-4 L/19 after having lost 6 or 7 of their L/8 games. DETROIT is 61-99 against the money line against right-handed starters dating back to last season. The Tigers took the first two games of this series Note: Blue Jays are 23-10 in their last 33 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline |
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06-03-18 | Cubs -151 v. Mets | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
JON LESTER (L) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L) Lester is coming off a win vs. the Bucs in which he not only struck out 6 over 6 innings but collected 2 hits himself. Even better, the lefty didn't walk a batter. He's 5-1 with a 3.83 ERA in 7 career starts vs. the Mets, including 5 quality starts. . Jon Lester is 17-0 L/17 a favorite of 120+ off a start in which he did not allow a walk. He goes against a  Mets team that has shown no clutch capabilities of late at all as they  stranded 11 runners and left the bases loaded in the 13th and landed their eighth loss in 10 games yesterday. LESTER team when he starts is 36-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse dating back to last season. Meanwhile, Matz the Mets starter left his last trip to the hill after three innings due to a strained left index finger and is less than 100% here, but the Mets need him to start. He went through a throwing program over the week , but that tells me a lot about what could be expected of his here today. Matz is 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA in two starts against the Cubs NY METS are 2-15 L/17 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more . MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY METS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), playing on Sunday are 19-78 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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06-02-18 | Rays v. Mariners UNDER 8 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
CHRIS ARCHER (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L) TBs starter tonight Archer has notched three consecutive quality starts. On Monday, he held the A's scoreless on four hits in six innings, but he came away with a no-decision. Opposition batters are hitting just .204 against Archer in his last six starts. Under is 4-0 in Archers last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 5-1 in Archers last 6 starts overall.Under is 8-1 in Mariners last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. I'm expecting both these pitcher to long and strong and for this Total not to be eclipsed.
Play UNDER |
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06-02-18 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | 8-5 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) Tanaka has won back-to-back starts, and he's coming off an outing against the Angels where he allowed a run on three hits over six innings. Tanaka struck out eight, including Shohei Ohtani twice. He did lose to the Orioles on April 5. and will now be primed for a big bounce back here vs an offense that has averaged just 3.3 rpg vs righties this season via a ugly .217 BA. I'm betting the Os having a hard time getting runs on the board in this spot.Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
BALTIMORE is 8-1 UNDERÂ in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.BALTIMORE is 9-1 UNDERÂ as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. Play UNDER |
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06-02-18 | Pirates v. Cardinals -133 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
CHAD KUHL (R) vs. LUKE WEAVER (R)  Kuhl the Pirates starter has pitched decently of late, but is one of those pitchers that just cant find consistent positive results even when he's in a groove. The righty has given up one run or fewer in three of his last five trips to the hill overall but has only one win to show for it.Pirates are also just 2-7 in Kuhls last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, Weaver after a strong run, has struggled of late, and is on the verge of losing his spot in the rotation. Because of this however, I expect we see him out to prove his detractors wrong and be hell bent on mowing down the Pirates inconsistent offense. Note: The Pirates have  given up 59 runs and have lost 9 of their L/11 and own a lowly.285 OBP in their L/7 games overall. Pirates are 0-4 in Kuhls L/4 starts vs the Cardinals .Pirates are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in St. Louis. Cardinals are 8-2 in Weavers last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game. PITTSBURGH is 18-38  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 dating back to last season. MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - good offensive team ( 4.7 ror more uns/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are not long term good bets going just 44-77 L/5 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline |
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06-02-18 | Brewers -140 v. White Sox | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R) Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline |
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06-01-18 | Brewers -130 v. White Sox | 3-8 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. HECTOR SANTIAGO (L) These are two teams are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. Milwaukee consistently keeps finds ways to win, and the Chicago White Sox keep finding interesting new ways to lose. The Brewers have won 20 of their L/28 overall and  10 of their L/13 away tilts and the Pale hose have now lost 4 straight and are off being swept by the Cleveland Indians. Chase Anderson the Brewers starter today has pitched his best ball away from home this season, garnering a stingy 2.19 ERA and 2-1 record in 4 road starts this season and is my choice today on what my own projections estimate to be a Brewers victory. He will be backed by a top tier bullpen that has registered a equally stingy 2.35 ERA on the road this season. Brewers are 11-4 in Andersons last 15 starts.Brewers are 4-0 in Andersons last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Brewers are 6-1 in Andersons last 7 road starts.White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Southsiders return fire with Hector Santiago a southpaw that has not liked pitching in Chicago this season, as is evident by his nasty looing 10.61 ERA. Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.White Sox are 0-5 in Santiagos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.White Sox are 0-6 in Santiagos last 6 starts during game 1 of a series. CHI WHITE SOX are 3-22 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. White Sox are 0-9 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. MILWAUKEE is 9-0  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.MILWAUKEE is 9-2  against the money line in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. MILWAUKEE is 20-8 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. MILWAUKEE is 19-7  against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less ) dating back to last season. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival, with a losing record are 18-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival are 11-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline |
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05-31-18 | Phillies v. Dodgers -110 | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
AARON NOLA (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) Phillies RH Aaron Nola (6-2, 2.27 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (1-4, 2.86) Kershaw the Dodgers ace struggled earlier this season before going on the disabled list, allowing 7 HRS and offenses to hit .234 against him. He is said, to be healthy and strong again, and I expect he gets back to the form that saw the southpaw hold  opponents below .200 in four straight seasons and a career .206 BA .Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said there isn't a definitive pitch limit for Kershaw, saying, "I think he's fine to go deep, depending on how he's throwing." I know the Phillies starter Nola is a top quality pitcher, and right now looks like one of the betters hurlers in MLB, but he has a recent history of sub par road efforts, and not getting the support he needs from his teams inconsistent offense as is evident by the following trends.Phillies are 1-7 in Nolas last 8 road starts. Phillies are 1-4 in Nolas last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. KERSHAWs team when he starts  is 31-7  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last few seasons. KERSHAWs starts have seen his team go  69-24  against the money line in day games in his career. Dodgers are 15-2 in Kershaws last 17 starts during game 4 of a series. Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games umpire Little behind home plate. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP = 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 35-5 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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05-31-18 | Angels v. Tigers +1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 115 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
ANDREW HEANEY (L) vs. RYAN CARPENTER (L) The Halos starter Hanley has pitched quite well of late, but it must be noted the Angels southpaw has seen his team go  1-5 in his  last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance . He lost a 2-1 decision to the Yanks, last time out and could easily find himself in a natural letdown spot. The Angels are also 1-6 in Heaneys last 7 road starts. He has also walked 9 batters in his L/3 starts which has a way of manifesting itself over time in a negative outcome scenario algorithm according to my power rankings charts.  I know Carpenter his Tigers  pitching opponent may not inspire bettors, but the Angles have been inconsistent of late offensively, scoring 1, 1, 3, 1 runs in 4 of their L/6 games. From my perspective there is enough value here for us to take the underdog on the +1.5 runline based on SU data. DETROIT is 9-3  against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season and is 7-2  against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season.DETROIT is 11-5  against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.DETROIT is 10-4 against the money line in home games in May games this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are not quality bets, going just 60-66 L/21 seasons. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the RUNLINE +1.5 |
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05-30-18 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R) Keuchel is the only Astros starter with a losing record but he leads the American League with a groundball rate of 57.7 percent and never an easy pitcher face for any offense. .The southpaw is also 2-2 with a 2.73 ERA in his last five outings, including May 2 when he was on the losing end of a 4-0 decision to the Yankees in Houston. Meanwhile, the Yankees return fire with starter Luis Severino (7-1, 2.28) who  pitched lights out vs the Astros four weeks ago in Houston. In that tilt he pitched a five-hitter with 10 strikeouts on 110 pitches. The Yankees and Astros took part in a higher scoring game yesterday, which saw the Yanks win 6-5, but this one has the ear markings of a much lower scoring affair. Note: HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER revenging a one run loss to opponent this season with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored , , and overall 9-0 UNDER after a one run loss this season with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. Under is 7-1 in Keuchels last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-2-2 in Keuchels last 13 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 9-3 in Astros last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-0 in Keuchels last 5 starts vs. Yankees. Under is 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. HOUSTON is 12-4 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average 6 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 35-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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05-29-18 | Twins -125 v. Royals | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L) Gibson a usually reliable hurler, who owns a 2.61 ERA on the road this season, but  has struggled a little bit in has last few efforts. However, it must be noted that the Royals are less than capable of taking advantage of pitchers in a funk as they are just 3-23 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 plus they struggle vs orthodox pitchers as is evident by a 2-15 record in their last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Royals starter Duffy despite of a quality effort in his last trip to the hill has seen his team go 0-5 in his followups  after a quality start and 0-5 in his L/5 home starts overall, and is 4-17 in his last 21 starts vs. American League Central . Needless to say Duffys numbers should not inspire anyone, and give credence to me fading him and a KC team that has lost 20 of their L/27 home games. Twins are 6-0 in Gibsons last 6 starts vs. Royals.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League Central Twins are 19-3 in Gibson's last 22 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.GIBSONs team when he starts is 9-1 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last few seasons and is 9-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game during the same time period. GIBSONs team when he starts is also 11-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse dating back to last season. GIBSON is also 25-8 in his career against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season .GIBSON is 11-1 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last few seasons.
Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the moneyline |
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05-29-18 | White Sox v. Indians -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
LUCAS GIOLITO (R) vs. MIKE CLEVINGER (R) My own power ranking suggest this is a huge pitching mismatch, and the runline is a very viable option here in this spot play. I know that the Tribes starting hurler  Clevinger has been a hard luck hurler in his last few efforts, despite of some decent  work, but I look for his team mates to back him up and  buoy him to victory here. It must be noted that the Tribe are a perfect  25-0 on the money-line  as a 120-or more  favorite when they are off a game as home chalk and they lost the last two games their starter started, as long as that thrower went a combined 8-plus innings in those two defeats. It must be noted that the  average margin of victory has come  by a WHOPPING  5.02 rpg and Indians have cashed 11 straight for their backers on the -1.5 runline under those above mentioned parameters. Lucas Giolito the Pale Hose starter owns a ugly 8.31 ERA in his L/3 starts, which is not a good omen for him and his team as the Tribe are heating up offensively and scored 8 and 10 runs vs the vaunted Houston Astros pitching staff this past weekend and scored 9 runs yesterday and the first game of this series in a victory. The Indians are now averaging around 6 rpg this season, at home. CHI WHITE SOX are 3-19 SU vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less  errors/game this season with the average margin loss coming by 2.4 ppg. MLB  Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+100 or higher) (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 8-37 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 82% for bettors, with the average margin loss coming by 3.5 rpg. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the -1.5 runline |
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05-28-18 | Astros -121 v. Yankees | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. DOMINGO GERMAN (R) Verlander the Astros starter has allowed one earned run or less in all five starts this month and gets the nod today for me vs Yankees starting hurler Domingo German who  has given up six runs in each of his last two trips to the hill. I know the Astros blew a 5 run lead yesterday and succumbed to the Tribe in extra innings, but that I'm betting makes this top tier team even hungrier and anxious for redemption. Yes, the Yankees are also a hot team, but the veteran Verlander according to my power rankings is a viable matchup for the pinstripe 9. Note: HOUSTON is 36-14  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 dating back to last season and is 47-18 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 during the same time parameters.  Astros are 8-2 in Verlanders last 10 road starts.Astros are 6-1 in Verlanders last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Astros are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 12-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline |
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05-27-18 | Reds v. Rockies -146 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
MATT HARVEY (R) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) Harvey the Mets starter is 1-2 with a 5.49 ERA overall. He went 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in eight games (four starts) with the New York Mets and is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts for the Reds and is fade material here today in Colorado. Harvery is 0-1, 7.94 in one start at Coors Field in May 2016.COLORADO is 7-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. The Reds have had a hard time vs RHP like Marquez, going  14-31 in their last 45 games vs. a right-handed starter and have lost 12 of 17 on the road vs orthodox pitchers.Rockies are 5-0 in Marquezs last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Reds took out the Rockies yesterday by a 6-5 count ,coming from behind for the win, but it must be noted that the Rockies have won 19 straight games as a favorite of more than 125 when they are off a loss as a favorite in which they led the lead, winning by an average of more than 5 runs per game.Reds are also 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win. Reds are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in Colorado. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (COLORADO) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 51-16 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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05-27-18 | Astros v. Indians +115 | 9-10 | Win | 115 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Astros RH Gerrit Cole (5-1, 1.86 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (4-3, 2.35) Gerrit Cole the Astros starter today is getting all the headlines, because of his top tier start to this campaign (5-1 1.86 ERA), but his pitching opponent and former UCLA teammate Bauer is no pushover and has garnered a stingy 1.93 ERA in his L/3 starts and is every bit as strong looking as Cole is at the moment. Bauer has not allowed  a run in his last two outings, permitting just  11 hits on just two walks and  16 strikeouts in 14 innings of quality work. Yesterday, the Indians showed some positive energy by blasting 4 HRs in a 8-6 win vs the Astros, and I;m betting on them feeding off that today and notch a win. Indians are 29-13 in their last 42 home games vs. a right-handed starter and are 35-16 in their last 51 during game 4 of a series and are also 47-21 in their last 68 home games. BAUERs team  is 14-2 in his starts against the money line in home games against AL West opponents in his career. BAUER is perfect  7-0 in his career when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.076. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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05-26-18 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
 JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. ALEX WOOD (L) The Dodgers are finally getting over last seasons, play off hangover, and starting to notch wins (7-1 L/8). They were hard luck recipients of a lot of bad breaks earlier this season, as was evident by the Dodgers plus-19 run differential but a below .500 23-27 record. Today the pitching matchup I'm betting favors the Dodgers as Alex  Wood as he  goes to the hill in top form. Wood has garnered  a very viable 3.32 ERA over 10 starts during the season's first two months. He  is 4-2 in 13 appearances (nine starts) over his career against the Padres, while posting a 2.39 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. Meanwhile, the Padres return fire with Lyles who despite of decent starts of late  is just  0-3 with a 6.97 ERA in 15 career appearances against the Dodgers, six of them starts. My own power rankings suggest that the Dodgers nine matchup well vs the righty hurler. Note: LYLES when he starts has seen his team go 2-18 L/20 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 losing SU by an average of 3.1 rpg. LA DODGERS are 13-0 SU in  line in home games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons. which happened last time out, with the average margin of victory coming by 3.3 rpg. MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 8-68 L/21 seasons for a 90% go against conversion rate over the L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2.7 rpg , which makes the runline option here a tangible proposition. Play on the LA Dodgers on the runline -1.5 |
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05-26-18 | Astros -101 v. Indians | 6-8 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R) Houston has won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 19-4 and once again look like they matchup very well against the Tribe.On May 20 in Houston, McCullers and the Astros beat Carrasco and the Indians 3-1 and a repeat type performance is a strong possibility. Note: HOUSTON is 15-3 against the money line in road games after a win by 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons which happened yesterday. CLEVELAND is 4-12 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. The Cleveland Indians are 0-9 on the moneyline in franchise history with Carrasco at home when their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday. Carrasco has six straight non-quality starts as the Indians lost by multiple runs. CARRASCO is 1-7 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or less ), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 37-14 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros on the moneyline |
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05-26-18 | Diamondbacks v. A's -150 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. DANIEL MENGDEN (R) Losers of seven straight and 13 of 14 before making the trip to Oakland, Arizona was in a full nose dive entering play here in Oakland yesterday, until a miraculous complete team effort buoyed them to a win yesterday in the the opening game in this series. However, their inconsistency remains an issue, and I'm doubting they have suddenly found their way out of this slump just yet and I'm betting against them here in this spot. The DBacks will send former Boston Red Sox starter out for his  10th career start against the A's. He has a winning record ( 4-2 ) vs the As but has a troubling  6.85 ERA in the first nine.He has not enjoyed pitching at the Coliseum in Oakland, going 1-2 with a 9.58 ERA in three starts. Meanwhile, As starter Mengden (4-4, 3.30) has never faced the Diamondbacks, but h has gone 3-3 with a 3.74 ERA in seven interleague starts. The righty hurler has looked to be in top form in May, allowing just four earned runs in 24 2/3 innings over four starts and get the nod again here. Diamondbacks are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 5-1 in Mengdens last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. OAKLAND is 21-10  against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last couple of seasons. MLB All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (OAKLAND) - starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings, cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games are 45-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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05-25-18 | Braves v. Red Sox OVER 10 | 2-6 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) After a pair of scoreless outings to start May, Teheran has given up 10 runs in his last two starts (11 innings), and his ERA jumped, from 3.14 to 4.17. He allowed a season-worst six runs in five innings against the Marlins during his previous start.He has not been great in two career outings against the Red Sox, one of them at Fenway, going 0-2 with a 4.73 ERA and yielding 19 hits in 13 1/3 innings. His ERA at Fenway is 8.53.The current Red Sox are a collective 14-for-40 (.350) with two homers against Teheran. Mookie Betts is 4-for-8 (.500), Brock Holt 3-for-6 (.500) with a homer and Xander Bogaerts 3-for-7 (.429). look for the BoSox do some damage here in this spot and come close by themselves to eclipsing this Total. TEHERAN in 6 games with when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season has seen a combined average of 13.4 rpg scored. Rodriguez I believe is very over rated as was evident last time out, giving up nine hits but no runs over 5 2/3 innings while throwing 110 pitches. He's not efficient, and teams like Atlanta I'm betting can take advantage of him. The lefty walked none and struck out just seven. In 37 career starts at Fenway, Rodriguez is 10-9 with a 4.64 ERA. Atlanta has done their best offensive work vs LH starters this season averaging 6.3 rpg on a strong .288 team BA which includes 19 HRs and overall vs all pitching 37 HRS on the road so far this season. I'm betting The fans standing on the Green Monster will get a workout here tonight. Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0 in Teherans last 4 starts on grass Over is 4-0 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 5-2 in Rodriguezs last 7 home starts.Over is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Sox have gone OVER 10 straight imes by an average of 6 rpg as an unrested home favorite in a series opener after a loss as a road favorite in which they never led which happened yesterday . Play on the OVER |
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05-25-18 | Blue Jays v. Phillies OVER 9 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
SAM GAVIGLIO (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R) Eflin since being placed in the Phillies rotation has done well , but he showed some chinks in armour last time out as he struggled vs the Cardinals. The Blue Jays have been inconsistent offensively , but according to my power rankings matchup well vs Eflin . Note: The Jays have averaged 5 rpg vs RHP like Eflin this season. It must also be noted that Eflin gave up eight earned runs, nine hits (three homers) and three walks against the Blue Jays on June 14, 2016 in MLB debut. Some of the effects of the PTSD he suffered after that set back might come into his head here this evening. Meanwhile, Gaviglio the Jays pitcher, has to small a sample size to really get a grasp of his overall form, but from scouting reports he is average at best and susceptible to being lit up by a Phillies offense that has scored an average of 5.1 rpg at home this season. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 14-2 in Blue Jays last 16 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 13-3 in Blue Jays last 16 vs. National League East.Over is 16-5 in Blue Jays last 21 interleague road games. Over is 6-0 in Eflins last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. The Phillies have gone over 14 straight times in the first game of a series with rest off a game as a favorite in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent.The Blue Jays have gone OVER 12 straight times as a dog with no rest in a series opener when they are off a game as a dog and facing a team with a better record. Both trends went over by just under 5rpg. TORONTO is 8-0 OVER L/8 in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.TORONTO is 9-1 OVER against NL East opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored.TORONTO is 10-1 OVER  in road games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-24-18 | Orioles v. White Sox +127 | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. LUCAS GIOLITO (R) Baltimore enters this tilt vs the White Sox experiencing a disappointing season to this point, while the Pale Hose have been exhibiting an uptick in their performance date as they shake themselves out a funk off their own after having won 4 of their L/5 games and are off a 11-1 smash down of the O's yesterday. Baltimore will now send the supposed ace of their pitching staff right-hander Dylan Bundy (2-6, 4.70 ERA) out to the hill to make his 11th start of the season. The power pitcher has really struggled of late as he mimics his teams lack of success. Since April 26, Bundy is 1-4 with a 9.41 ERA in five starts. He has allowed 23 earned runs in 22 innings, including 12 home runs and he has given up at least three home runs in three of his past four starts. His mechanics are way off and he is telegraphing his pitches, and once again looks like fade material vs a team that feeling a lot more confident of late and starting to heat up offensively. BALTIMORE is 0-11 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season.BALTIMORE is 0-10 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse this season. BALTIMORE is 0-9 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season. BALTIMORE is 8-23(against the money line against right-handed starters this season like White Sox Starter right-hander Lucas Giolito . MLB All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ER 4.20 to 4.70 or less) -AL, in May games are 44-28 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Any team (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 10 runs or more are 33-15 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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05-23-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Freeland the Rockies starter held the Giants to one run in 6 2/3 innings and notched his fifth straight quality start. He has a 1.59 ERA over that stretch.Freeland has won all three of his starts in May, posting a 1.35 ERA in that stretch. Freeland 4 lifetime starts vs the /dodgers have all gone under the total. FREELAND is 9-1 UNDER L/10 vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse with the average combined score clicking at 6.5 rpg. FREELAND is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season with a combined average of 5.2 rpg scored.FREELAND is 16-2 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. LA DODGERS are 12-3 UNDER against left-handed starters this season with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. Meanwhile, the Dodgers starting hurler Maeda gets an extra day of rest for Wednesday night’s start against the Rockies and Kyle Freeland. He now well rested and fresh and he is coming off his best start of the year -- eight scoreless innings on two hits against Miami. Maeda (3-3, 3.89) and has had plenty of success against the Rockies in seven appearances (five starts), going 4-2 with a 2.56 ERA. Maeda faces a Colorado offense that despite of looking good on paper before the season began, are hitting just .217 on the road as a team. Under is  4-1 in Maedas last 5 starts vs. Rockies.Under is 5-1 in Maedas last 6 home starts. Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings. I'm betting for both of these hurlers to go long and strong tonight and to help keep this score on the low side of the Total. Play UNDER |
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05-23-18 | Braves +111 v. Phillies | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
LUIZ GOHARA (L) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R) Braves starter Gohara, is a big strong 6-foot-3, 265 pounds hurler , that made five starts for Atlanta at the end of the 2017 season . In those efforts he registered 31 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings. The Phillies thrower is under rated according to my own power rankings and matches up well vs this Philly lineup. Meanwhile, Arietta the Phillies starting pitcher, is in top form of late, but  has seen his team lose 12 of his L/19 starts vs divisional opposition and his L/4 starts overall . ARRIETA is 3-10 L/13 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 . ATLANTA is 7-1 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. ATLANTA is 9-3 against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 15-5  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season and is 11-2  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Atlanta has won seven of its first 11 games against the Phillies this season, and the team is 20-10 against divisional opponents. Braves a perfect 8-0 this season in the rubber game of a three-game series this seasons and are 12-1 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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05-23-18 | Angels -115 v. Blue Jays | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Right-hander Aaron Sanchez (2-4, 4.47 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays against Angels left-hander Tyler Skaggs (3-3, 2.88). |
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05-22-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
CHAD BETTIS (R) vs. BROCK STEWART (R) Despite of finding ways to win the Colorado Rockies offense, has really struggled, especially on the road, averaging 3.8 rpg on a lowly .218 BA, and  ranks 26th in K% against RHP (24%), 25th in RPG on the road (3.8), and 27th in WOBA over the last 2 weeks (.269) . the Rockies team OPS of .703 was 23rd in baseball before todays tilt.  I'm betting who ever starts for the Dodgers will find a way to keep their very inconsistent offense from unloading in any big way. Their only saving grace is a pitching staff that has been in top form on the road, and todays starter for the Rockies Bettis is part of this qualifying data as he owns a stingy 1.83 ERA in 6 games a visitor. He will face a Dodgers nine, that owns a equally ugly  .222 BA while scoring an average of 3.6 rpg at home in Chez Ravine. Everything points on a low scoring sleeper that fails to eclipse the number. Under is 4-0-1 in Bettis' last 5 road starts. Under is 20-5-1 in Bettis L/26 starts. Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Rockies starter CHAD BETTIS is 11-0 UNDER  L/11 when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%).  Play UNDER |
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05-22-18 | Braves +114 v. Phillies | 3-1 | Win | 114 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R) I said it before this season started, that the Atlanta Braves would be a dark horse possibility, and I'm now saying that their recent top tier play is not an anomaly, but their opponents the Phillies, strong performance to this point in the season might be. The Braves have been especially strong on the road where they have recorded 17 wins in 26 games. They lost yesterday to the Phillies, by a 3-0 count, but today I expect the Braves to bounce back. Note:Braves are 4-0 in their starters McCarthys last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game . Braves are also 5-1 in McCarthys last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Phillies starter Velasquez has seen his team lose 15 of his last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record like the Braves .Phillies are also just 5-12 in Velasquezs last 17 home starts.VELASQUEZ is 0-8 L/8 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last season.Phillies are 1-5 in Velasquezs last 6 starts vs. Braves. ATLANTA is 6-1 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. ATLANTA is 10-2 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. ATLANTA is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.  Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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05-21-18 | Rockies +162 v. Dodgers | 2-1 | Win | 162 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
 GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R) The Dodgers are on a 5 game win streak, after finishing off a east coast road trip by sweeping the Nationals . But now after travelling all the way back out to  the West coast last night and now tired and in the precarious situation of having to get acclimated to being home again.  I now expect the Dodgers will be prone to a let down situation against a Colorado team that travels well as is evident by their 18-11 away record and are  13-4 record  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season Note: LA DODGERS are 7-13 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season The Rockies will send right-hander German Marquez to the mound Monday . He has pitched his best ball away from the launching pad known as Coors field posting a 2.25 ERA in his five road starts. He is an under rated hurler who gives the Rockies a great opportunity for a outright underdog victory. Dodgers are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter . LA DODGERS are 7-15 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. COLORADO is 8-0 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive overs this season. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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05-20-18 | Dodgers v. Nationals -137 | 7-2 | Loss | -137 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
 ALEX WOOD (L) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) Strasburg the Nats starter today is in top form of late, going 3-0 along with garnering a stingy 2.61 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and gets my support here today vs a LA Dodgers team tht has  lost 19 of their L/27 games vs a RHP starter. Meanwhile, Alex Wood the Dodgers starter is a off a good effort last time out, but that has not been a recipe for continued success as his team is 0-4 when he is  off a quality outing. STEPHEN STRASBURG is 14-0 against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons. WOOD is 6-18 against the money line in day games in his career. Someone seems to like Sunday baseball. STRASBURG teams when he starts are 28-4 against the money line when playing on Sunday .Nationals are 58-18 in Strasburgs last 76 starts. Nationals are 14-3 in game 3 of a series. MLB All favorites with a money line of -150 or more on the opening line (WASHINGTON) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 88-21 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline |
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05-19-18 | Orioles v. Red Sox -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R) Baltimore enters this game as poster boys for road futility in Major League Baseball having garnered 13 straight losses. Tonight I'm betting on their tourist visas getting cancelled again and for the O's to end up on the wrong side of the lopsided score. After three rough starts in a row, Bundy the Os starter rebounded to limit the inconsistent Rays to two hits in seven scoreless innings on Sunday. That I'm betting was an anomaly and he will revert back to his previous form in this spot vs a much more explosive BoSox offense. The righty is 3-5 with a 4.66 ERA in 13 appearances against Boston. Meanwhile, Porecello started his season 5-0 , but has had a couple of down games, but I'm betting he will respond here at Fenway where his  is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA this season. BUNDY the Orioles starter is 3-12 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons with the average margin deficit clicking in at Opp 6.4 Balt 4 BALTIMORE is 1-12 SU in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average loss coming of 2.7 rpg.BALTIMORE is 4-20 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better with the combined average victory coming by 2.2 rpg.BALTIMORE is 7-34 L/31 against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more with the average combined loss coming by a whopping 3.3 rpg. The Red Sox are 10-0 SU as a home favorite off a game as a favorite in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and have won these ten games by an average of 4.90 runs, scoring an average of 7.90 runs per game in those tilts. Play on Boston Red Sox on the -1.5 on the RL |
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05-18-18 | Indians +160 v. Astros | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R) Clevinger the Indians starter is in top form, as is evident by his 3-0 record and stingy 2,70 ERA. He has pitched some of his best ball on the road recording a 10-5 record along with a 3.22 ERA in 24 appearances (19 starts) . The Tribes right hander will now face a Houston team that has been futile at home from a offensive perspective scoring just 3.9 rpg on a nasty looking  .223 team BA. Clevinger, is 1-1 along with a minuscule  1.04 ERA in two starts versus the Astros. It must be noted that HOUSTON is 0-6  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season and is is 0-5  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. Clevinger qualifies under both these trends. Meanwhile, the Astros will return fire with Charlie Morton who is also in top from with a 5-0 record along with a 2.03 ERA. He is looking good , but according to my cross reference pitcher vs Batting order power rankings, does not matchup excessively well vs the Tribes hitters.Edwin Encarnacion and  Jason Kipnis have Homered in a combined nine at-bats versus Morton, who is a lowly  0-2 with a 5.56 ERA in two starts versus Cleveland. Cleveland has won 24 of the 34 meetings since the Astros joined the AL in 2013, including five of six during this campaign. Indians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston. HOUSTON is 9-16 L/25 against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games. MLB Any team (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 43-75 L/5 seasons for a go against  64% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or less ) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games are 21-43 L/5 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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05-18-18 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | 8-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
JON LESTER (L) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R) Bailey the supposed ace of the Reds  is struggling , with a 5.59 ERA and a .285 opponent batting average. He's allowed 12 homers in 48 1/3 innings of sub par work. He got a win last time but gave up 10 hits and is fortunate . Bailey last faced the Cubs in successive starts last season Aug. 16 and 22, allowing six runs in 8 2/3 innings. According to my own cross reference pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Cubs, and could easily get blasted again. Note: Chicago has drawn 47 walks over the past 10 games after earning only 18 free passes in its previous 11 contests and they should continue to get base runners in scoring positon here vs this type of pitcher and score above their season average of 5 rpg, and help eclipse this total.Over is 8-2 in Baileys last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 13-3-1 in Baileys last 17 starts vs. Cubs. I also expect the Reds capable hitters to do just enough damage vs Lester a Cubs hurler that must be respected, but that has also shown some inconsistencies over the last couple of seasons especially against sub par teams.  Over is 7-0 in Lesters last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 12-5 in Lesters last 17 starts overall. Over is 5-0-1 in Lesters last 6 road starts vs. Reds. Over is 5-0 in Lesters L/5 starts overall vs Reds. CINCINNATI is 16-5 OVER   in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 20-7 OVER (+12.9 Units) as a home underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CINCINNATI) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or less ) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse  over his last 3 starts are 36-8 OVER L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-17-18 | Rockies +129 v. Giants | 5-3 | Win | 129 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
CHAD BETTIS (R) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) Right-handers Chad Bettis (4-1, 3.12 ERA) of the Rockies and Jeff Samardzija (1-2, 6.94) of the Giants  are the two starting pitchers in this series opener. Bettis in 5 road starts owns a stingy 1.35 ERA and that is where his 4-1 record has been garnered. Meanwhile, his Giants pitching opponent SAMARDZIJA has not liked pitching at home in AT &T this season as is evident by  recording a ugly 8.30 ERA in two starts, and recently has notched a equally nasty 7.36 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, allowing 12 ERS spanning 14.7 innings of sub par work. Needless to say Bettis is in better form and gets my backing here tonight. Giants are 1-5 in Samardzijas last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 1-4 in Samardzijas last 5 starts vs. Rockies. BETTIS is 30-19  against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. SAMARDZIJA when he starts has seen his team go  15-32 L/47  against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125. COLORADO is 14-1   against the money line after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base dating back to last season, which happened vs SD last time out in a 4-0 loss.  COLORADO is 11-4  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. COLORADO is 10-4  against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season. Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.SAN FRANCISCO is 18-33 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less  errors/game over the last couple of seasons. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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05-17-18 | Padres v. Pirates -155 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
ERIC LAUER (L) vs. CHAD KUHL (R)  To open the series Thursday, the Padres will send out rookie left-hander Eric Lauer (1-2, 8.27 ERA) against Pirates right-hander Chad Kuhl (4-2, 4.17).   I don't regularly lay a lot of lumber, but the averages according to my head to head power rankings are on our side in this spot, and worth the extra outlay. The Pirates have clobbered southpaws like Lauer this season, for an average 5.9 rpg via powerful .286 team BA. Yes, I know the Padres have been playing decently of late, but that has not been a recipe for success for this team In the past as is evident by their  8-25 record against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last couple of seasons.
MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities, in May games are just 18-59 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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05-16-18 | Rays -101 v. Royals | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
JACOB FARIA (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R) Hammel the KC Royals starting pitcher today is currently struggling as is evident by having allowed 20 ERS in L/3 starts spanning 15 innings on 24 hits and 5 HRS. Meanwhile, I know the Rays are dealing with some nagging injuries, but I'm betting they still have enough offensive weapons to get the job done this afternoon vs a Royals team that are ranked last in the majors with a 5.48 ERA, including 5.64 from the bullpen - the second-highest average in mlb.. KANSAS CITY is 5-20 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. KANSAS CITY is 4-13 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERAÂ 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERAÂ 5.00 or worse), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 47-17 L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win on the moneyline |
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05-15-18 | Reds v. Giants UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
TYLER MAHLE (R) vs. TY BLACH (L) |
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05-15-18 | Blue Jays v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 2-12 | Win | 108 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
JAIME GARCIA (L) vs. NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R) Right-hander Noah Syndergaard (2-1, 3.09 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Blue Jays left-hander Jaime Garcia (2-2, 5.40 ERA). These pitchers are being a little over rated here by the linesmakers here tonight, and despite of both the Mets and Jays struggling a bit with their offenses of late , my own power rankings suggest these batting  lineups should under nominal circumstances to do well enough to be breach this total. The Blue Jays have scored an average of 5.2 rpg vs RHP this season, and the Mets have averaged 4.1 rpg overall, but should up these numbers vs a Jays pitcher in Garcia that has garnered a 8.36 road ERA this season, and a ugly 8.10 ERA in his L/3 starts overall allowing 13 runs in 13 unlucky innings. Market moved this Totals line from a 7 to 7.5 very quickly after opening. I'm betting the market has it right. I know we are now dealing with having to win by more run , but in the recent past Toronto is 21-3 OVER when the total is 7 or less . Note: The Blue Jays entered Monday ranked fourth in the majors with 56 homers. TORONTO is 9-1 OVER   in road games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored.  Over is 12-2 in Blue Jays last 14 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 9-2 in Blue Jays last 11 interleague road games.Over is 6-2-2 in Blue Jays last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 17-5 in Mets last 22 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 13-6 in Mets last 19 vs. American League East. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TORONTO) - starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing, ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games are 55-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate on the blind. Play on the OVER |
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05-15-18 | Dodgers v. Marlins +1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
 ALEX WOOD (L) vs. WEI-YIN CHEN (L)   It seems everyone in the media and baseball circles continues to keep crapping on the Marlins . I'm not arguing that  their not bad, but sometimes there is value attached to their games because of these perceptions presented us by the media propagandists. Today is one of those games, as an equally disappointing team the LA Dodgers are being pegged as big favorites. The LA DODGERS are just 3-16 SU as chalk of -125 to -175 this season and are far from viable favorites against any team in MLB in their current form. Meanwhile, Chen the Marlins starter despite of his struggles is 15-6 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher in his career and seems to wake up just long enough to perform at optimal strength before going back to sleep under these types of circumstances. Chen goes against a Dodgers team that struggles against southpaws like him, as is evident by their 3.3 rpg game output and nasty looking .220 team BA. CHEN is 2-0 in his career when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 1.105 and gets the nod today on a value +1.5 RUNLINE situation. |
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05-14-18 | Rockies -101 v. Padres | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
TYLER ANDERSON (L) vs. JOEY LUCCHESI (L) Anderson the Rockies starter has a eight-game unbeaten streak come to an end Wednesday, when he allowed four runs over five innings in an 8-0 set back to the Los Angeles Angels. I'm expecting he will bounce back here today.Anderson is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in five career starts versus San Diego, including a 1.50 ERA with no-decisions in two outings this season.Rockies are 4-0 in Andersons last 4 road starts. Anderson goes against Padres team off a win yesterday, but in the recent past this has not necessarily been a good omen for the Fathers  as they have lost 7 of their L/9 after notching a victory. Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 4-9 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 15-7 in the last 22 meetings and 4-1 L/5 here in beautiful San Diego. COLORADO is 12-3 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. COLORADO is 13-5 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. COLORADO is 11-4 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.COLORADO is 5-0  against the money line in road games in May games this season. Play on the Colorado Rockies to cash on the moneyline |
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05-13-18 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R) Jeremy Hellickson, the Nationals starter is currently in top form, and owns a minuscule 1.02 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and I once again expect he will provide his team, with a another strong effort vs a struggling Arizona offense, that has only twice in their L/9 games scored more than 3 runs, and have averaged just 3.7 rpg at home this season. Hellickson has seen his L/5 starts vs the DBacks stay under the total. HELLICKSON is 20-7 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last few seasons. Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 overall. Meanwhile, the DBacks starter Zack Godely has pitched his best ball at home this season where has garnered a stingy 1.96 ERA in 3 starts, allowing just 4 ERs in more than 18 innings of work. He goes against a Nationals offense that has a .246 BA that registers under the Mendoza line . Under is 3-1-1 in Godleys last 5 home starts..Under is 5-0 in Godleys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. ARIZONA is 15-1 UNDER   in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.  ARIZONA is 13-0 UNDER   in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.  ARIZONA is 12-0 UNDER  in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.  .ARIZONA is 10-0 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. ARIZONA is 15-4 UNDER in home games this season. ARIZONA is 7-0 UNDER in home games in May games this season . Arizona games have seen a combined average 6.8 rpg scored this season. WASHINGTON is 32-14 UNDER against NL West opponents over the last couple seasons. WASHINGTON in 14 games against the  vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season have seen a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Home plate umpire Foster has seen 5 of his L/7 appearances go under the set total. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or better over his last 3 starts are 48-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-13-18 | Cardinals v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L) Wainwright comes off the DL for his first  start since April 17 when he looked great vs the Cubs. His surgically repaired elbow was sore but his effort was a quality one. Wainwright is 6-3 in his career against the Padres with a 2.07 ERA and a .238 opponents' batting average. . His ERA against the Padres is the second lowest among active starters to Clayton Kershaw's 1.94.He is only 1-3 against the Padres at Petco Park, but he does own a stingy 2.63 ERA in those games. Under is 4-0 in Wainwrights last 4 starts vs. National League West. Under is 9-2 in Cardinals last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 8-2-2 in Cardinals last 12 overall. Meanwhile, the Padres starter. Richards despite of a tepid start to his season, has produced top tier results vs the Cards going  3-0 with a miniscule  0.95 ERA in his three starts against the Cardinals at Petco Park. Richards numbers may not be inspirational overall, but the hurler has pitched well outside of the National League West as was evident vs the Washington Nationals when he allowed  three runs on seven hits and no walks with eight strikeouts over eight innings Tuesday for his longest outing the of the season and his best performance since Opening Day. Note: RICHARD is 17-4 UNDER  in his career at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 . RICHARD in his L/25 games overall  when the total is 8 to 8.5 has seen a combined average score of 6.8 rpg scored. Richards L/4 games vs a winning team have gone under. These teams have gone UNDER in 4 of the L/5 meetings here and I'm betting another low scoring affair that fails to eclipse the number. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ST LOUIS) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 125-68 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on UNDER |
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05-13-18 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. COREY KLUBER (R) Kluber the Indians starter had a 4 game winning streak snapped last time out, and will be very ready to bounce back in this spot vs the KC Royals. In two starts against Kansas City last year, Kluber was 2-0 with a 0.73 ERA. Meanwhile, Duffy KCs starter . In three starts against the Indians last year, he was 0-3 with a 4.60 ERA. His team has also lost his L/6 starts vs the Tribe. DUFFY is 3-12 L/15 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 2.2 rpg.
MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (CLEVELAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL are 101-20 L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 3 rpg. Play on the Indians on the RUNLINE -1.5 |
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05-12-18 | Rangers +1.5 v. Astros | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
DOUG FISTER (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R) The Astros entered their three-game series with the Texas Rangers at Minute Maid Park averaging just 3.8 runs at home compared with 5.9 runs on the road. Texas has enough offensive fire power to take out a team like the Astros that is struggling with run production at home, making them dangerous underdogs in this spot. Last season, the Astros averaged 4.9 runs at home with an .812 OPS while scoring 6.2 runs per game on the road with an .834 OPS, so their is definitely an issue , and something that must be examined. Tonight I'm betting that Rangers Right-hander Doug Fister (1-3, 4.02) is a capable of giving his team a chance to cash as underdogs in this spot.  Fister is 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA in his four career starts against the Astros.
There is value here on the moneyline but I'm recommedning we take the bonus +1.5 runs for what will still be a plus payday if my betting assumptions on this game are correct . Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the Runline +1.5 |
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05-12-18 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
 Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (4-3, 3.52 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Troy Scribner (2017: 2-1, 4.18) Strasburg the Nationals starter has recorded back-to-back quality starts after going 0-2 over his previous three trips to the hill. Strasburg owns a 3.59 ERA in 10 career starts. He goes against , a Arizona team that has scored more than 3 runs only twice in their L/8 games, and that averages just 3.8 rpg at home this season. Meanwhile, Scribner the DBacks expected starter at  Triple A-Reno this season has struck out 24 in 25 1/3 innings of work. "I'm anxious to show everybody what I can do," Scribner told reporters, "and hopefully I can show them why I belong here and can stay here to help the team." He will be primed to perform, and should provide a decent deterrent to a struggling  group of hitters that are not accustomed to his stuff. With that said, I'm expecting a total combined score to remain on the low side of the total. ARIZONA is 14-1 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.  ARIZONA is 12-0 UNDER   in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.  ARIZONA is 12-0 UNDER  in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.  ARIZONA is 11-0 UNDER   in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. ARIZONA is 9-0 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. Under is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Strasburgs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-3 in Strasburgs last 10 road starts. Under is 24-11-3 in Nationals last 38 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 7-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 overall. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona. Play UNDER |
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05-12-18 | A's v. Yankees OVER 9 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Andrew Triggs (3-1, 4.41 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Domingo German (0-1, 2.66) These starters today have looked capable this season, but both according to my power rankings are susceptible to being lit up by two explosive offenses. Yesterday, the Athletics smashed  out 14 hits - four home runs - to romp to a 10-5 win in the series opener. I'm expecting more fireworks this afternoon. Note: Oakland has averaged 5 rpg on the road this season , while the Yankees have scored an average of 6.4 rpg at home. The Athletics are 8-0 OVER in franchise history with Triggs on the hill when he had more K's than hits allowed in his last start which happened last time out. NY YANKEES are 9-1 OVER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season with a combined average score of 12.4 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 8-0 OVER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average of 12.8 rpg scored.NY YANKEES are 13-4 OVER in home games against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-11-18 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Max Scherzer (6-1, 1.74 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Matt Koch (2-0, 2.13) Koch the DBacks starter tonight vs the Washington Nationals made his season debut in relief but has made four starts since, allowing fewer than three earned runs in each while working at least six innings three times. Meanwhile, Three time Cy Young award winner Scherzer is in top form and continues to be a strike out king, as is evident by reaching double digits in strikeouts in five of his eight trips to the hill this year, and should once again give his opposition the DBacks fits here tonight. With that said, I'm expecting a pitcher duel in the desert tonight and for this combined score to stay on the low side of the number. ARIZONA is 13-1 UNDER   in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.  ARIZONA is 11-0 UNDER   in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.  ARIZONA is 10-0 UNDER  in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.  ARIZONA is 10-0 UNDER   in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.ARIZONA is 8-0 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. Under is 4-0 in Kochs last 4 home starts.Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-1 in Nationals last 10 during game 2 of a series.Under is 34-16-6 in Nationals last 56 road games.Under is 23-11-3 in Nationals last 37 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings including last nights 2-1 Nationals 11 inning  win. Play UNDER |
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05-11-18 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 10-9 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) Hammel the Royals hurler has been what is regarded as a inning filler for his team of late. The right handers performances are less than respectable and in his L/3 trips to the hill he has garnered a bloated 7.00 ERA. Add to that he's backed by a bullpen that owns a ugly 7.37 road ERA and you have a recipe for Cleveland's offense to feast . Meanwhile, Cleveland's starter Bauer has been a steading presence in his teams rotation and owns a 2.52 ERA , and a stingy 1.91 home ERA. He will be backed by a offensive attack that has done his best work at home this season averaging 5.4 rpg via a solid .272 BA. With that said, I'm recommending we lay the lumber with a value -1.5 RL situation here this evening in Ohio with the Indians. HAMMEL is 0-9 L/9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game losing by an average of 3.5 rpg  and is 1-10  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse dating back to last season with the average loss coming by 2.6 rpg. (Team's Record) HAMMEL is also 1-19 against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 in his career with the combined average deficit clicking in at 3.5 rpg (Team's Record) MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (CLEVELAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after a win by 4 runs or more are 41-3 L/21 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 3.7 rpg. Play on the Cleveland Indians -1.5 runline |
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05-11-18 | Royals v. Indians OVER 8.5 | 10-9 | Win | 104 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) Jason Hammel the Royals starter is in struggling form and has garnered a 7.00 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. He faces a Indians side that has done its best offensive work at home this season, averaging 5.4 rpg via stable .272 BA .It must be noted that the Indians are 7-0 OVER at home after a game in which Francisco Lindor had multiple hits.( He had two vs the Brewers last time out in a 6-2 road win) The Tribe have gone over the total by an average of 7 runs per game in this situation. I'm betting the Indians will do some damage here tonight and almost single handily eclipse this number. CLEVELAND is 31-10 OVER vs. a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. Over is 7-0 in Indians last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 12-1 in Indians last 13 home games.Over is 5-2 in Royals last 7 road games. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start, with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL) are 50-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-10-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees -121 | 5-4 | Loss | -121 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L) Sabathia the Yankees starter  is 2-0 with a 0.39 ERA in four starts since coming off the disabled list April 19, and that includes a top tier effort in his last trip to the hill as threw six scoreless innings and a season-high seven strikeouts against Cleveland on Friday. Sabathia, owned the BoSox last season going  4-0 with a 1.04 ERA in four starts and is my choice tonight vs another strong pitcher in Rodriguez, who despite a s strong start to his campaign has given up 5 runs in back to back trips to the hill. It must be noted that after a strong start to their season , Boston has lost 9 of their L/17 and not operating at a high level , while the Yankees are red hot winning 7 straight and look to be run away freight train that you want to ride and not  stand in front of in their current form. BOSTON is 3-8  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. NY YANKEES are 20-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. NY YANKEES are 12-0 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. NY YANKEES are 9-1 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. SABATHIA team when he starts is 21-9  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game. SABATHIA when he starts has seen his  team go 8-0 L/8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 . Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East. Yankees are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Yankees are 40-13 in their last 53 home games.Yankees are 4-0 in Sabathias last 4 starts.Yankees are 17-4 in Sabathias last 21 home starts.Yankees are 42-17 in Sabathias last 59 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 5-0 in Sabathias last 5 starts vs. Red Sox. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyliine |
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05-09-18 | Pirates -108 v. White Sox | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Trevor Williams (4-2, 2.63 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Reynaldo Lopez (0-2, 2.43) Pirates starter Williams has held opposition hitters to a .193 batting average, and he also owns a viable 3-1 record and an ERA of 1.69 in interleague play, and must be respected here as a short favorite. The Pirates currently own a 7-2 record in interleague play this season, and have the edge vs a struggling  White Sox team has lost 4 straight games and 8 of their L/9 overall. Pittsburgh also owns a  23-9 against the AL Central dating to June 15, 2015. I know the Pale Hose starter Lopez has been very capable this season, but with a offense that is capable of very little run support he is currently fade material. Note: HURDLE is 34-18 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of PITTSBURGH. The White Sox are a team that rarely takes advantage of any teams weaknesses because of a inconsistent offense as is obvious by their  4-16 record against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season and struggle against strong defensive teams like the Pirates as they are 2-13  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 1-9 against the money line in home games in day games this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a very good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 10-41 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors on the blind. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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05-08-18 | Indians v. Brewers +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 103 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L) The Indians have a recent history of not playing well enough to win consistently in interleague play . The reasons are complex but the results are obvious. note: Indians are 2-9 in their last 11 interleague road games. Indians are 3-12 in their last 15 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 1-4 in Klubers last 5 interleague starts.Indians are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Not only have the Indians struggled in interleague play in the past,  but so far this season, they have had issues garnering road wins, losing 9 of their 15 games. Needless to say, even though the Indians have a top tier hurler on the mound a win is not a guaranteed thing.  With that said, we have  value taking +1.5 runs on the RL with the Brewers , and that's what I'm recommending we do. MILWAUKEE is 24-14  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start .Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.MILWAUKEE is 9-0 L/9 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite which was the case vs the Pirates last time out on Sunday. CLEVELAND is 0-7 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. CLEVELAND is 1-7 L/8 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs which happened vs the Yankees in their last game. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the RL +1.5 |
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05-08-18 | Twins v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
JAKE ODORIZZI (R) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) Martinez the Cards starter this afternoon vs the visiting Minnesota Twins has allowed just three runs over 40 2/3 innings in his L/6 starts, and currently is in top form. Meanwhile, Ordizzi the Twins starter despite of some inconsistent efforts is a stable pitcher that can produce quality starts.Odorizzi is 1-1 with a 3.24 ERA in three career starts versus the Cardinals. I'm betting both these starting pitchers go long enough and strong enough to help keep this combined score on the low side of the Total. MARTINEZ is 13-3 UNDER after giving up 1or less  earned runs in his last 2 outings.ST LOUIS is 63-33 UNDER  in home games against AL Central opponents Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 3-0-1 in Martinezs last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 6-1 in Martinezs last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 interleague road games. Under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings in St. Louis. Under is 11-0 in the last 11 meetings. Play UNDER |
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05-07-18 | Giants v. Phillies OVER 9 | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R) I'm betting the San Francisco Giants will continue their dominance against the National League East this week in Philadelphia at least from a offensive output perspective. They just beat up on the Braves scoring 24 runs in a 3 game sweep, and have scored , 9,9, 11, 4 respectively in their L/4 games overall. They go against a starter in Eflin that has looked good in 6 innings of work sicne being recalled from the minors, but Eflin in 22 major league starts before this season as been sub par at best. Three of those games were against the Giants. Eflin is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.438 WHIP in those trips to the hill, and I'm betting he gets beat up on today. Meanwhile, the giants starter Samardzija  who has been injured this season, and still getting 100% healthy has a negative history in this park,  as is evident by a  15.43 ERA in four career appearances (one start) at Citizens Bank Park, allowing 12 hits and 12 runs in seven innings. Samardzija also has an 8.18 ERA against the Phillies in 11 career appearances and could also get roughed up in this spot. Over is 11-4 in Eflins last 15 starts overall.Over is 8-3 in Giants last 11 overall.Over is 8-0 in Eflins last 8 starts vs. National League West.Over is 6-0 in Eflins last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia. Play OVER |
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05-06-18 | Dodgers v. Padres +150 | 0-3 | Win | 150 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
ROSS STRIPLING (R) vs. ERIC LAUER (L)
Dodgers Manager ROBERTS is 14-23 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs which happened yesterday vs the Padres In a loss. LA DODGERS are 6-12 against the money line after a loss this season. LA DODGERS are 3-11 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 15-30 L/5 seasons for a for a go against conversion rate of 68% on the money-line. Play on the SD Padres to win on the moneyline |
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05-05-18 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 6-8 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
TYLER CHATWOOD (R) vs. LUKE WEAVER (R) The Chicago Care struggling to score, and just because they are going against a pitcher in Weaver that is currently not in top form in no way guarantees much in the run production from their end. The Cubs are hitting just under the Mendoza line with a .249 BA vs righty starters this season.  Meanwhile, Tyler Chatwood (2-3, 2.83) takes the ball for the Cubs. He goes against a Cards offense that  hasn't scored more than three runs in five straight games. Note:ST LOUIS is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games and  is 16-3 UNDER ( in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 5 straight games . Chatwood is backed by an bullpen that owns a solid 1.57 ERA in road games this season. Everything points to a combined score that should stay below the posted total. CHICAGO CUBS are 38-19 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 overall. Under is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-2 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1-1 in Cardinals last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1-2 in Cardinals last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 during game 2 of a series.Under is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 overall.Under is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 on grass.Under is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1-2 in Cubs last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 27-12-2 in Cubs last 41 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in St. Louis.Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 17-4 in umpire  Hernandezs last 21 games behind home plate. MLB Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games. are 51-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 runs/game or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 earned runs in his last 2 outings and are 45-19 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-04-18 | Red Sox v. Rangers OVER 9 | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. BARTOLO COLON (R) There were some offensive fireworks in the first game of this series , as Texas took a TEXAS is 20-6 L/26 OVERÂ in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season with an average of 12 rpg scored.TEXAS is 43-20 OVER L/63 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.TEXAS is 17-8 OVERÂ as an underdog of +100 or higher this season with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored. Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 6-0-1 in Rangers last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 6-0-1 in Rangers last 7 overall. Over is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 vs. American League West.Over is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TEXAS) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-03-18 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 9 | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. ERIC SKOGLUND (L) Skoglund KCs starter  is 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA this season, allowing 15 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings. His opponents today the Detroit Tigers have done their best offensive work vs southpaws like himself this season, as is evident by averaging 7.7 rpg vs LHP. Skoglund is backed by a struggling bullpen that owns a bloated 6.33 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, In three career starts at Kauffman Stadium, Fiers the Tigers  starter is 1-1 with a 6.28 ERA, giving up 10 earned runs over 14 1/3 innings.FIERS is 20-8 OVER L/28 when playing against a team with a losing record with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. The tigers have struggled to score of late, but their is just to much offensive talent on this team for them to stay down for long. Note:DETROIT is 8-0 OVER L/8 after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games with a combined average of 13 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-02-18 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks -102 | 2-1 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R) The Arizona Diamondbacks are off to the best start in franchise history, and must be respected a viable investment option on the money-line in this tilt vs the LA Dodgers. Arizona (21-8) has won seven of eight against the Dodgers this season and 13 of the last 14 regular-season games and are my choice again tonight. The Dodgers starter is
MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 15-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline |
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05-02-18 | Blue Jays -102 v. Twins | 0-4 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. FERNANDO ROMERO (R) The Twins are in a horrendous slump and have lost 12 of their L/13 games. They have lost 8 of their 9 vs a right handed starter like Stroman. I know the Twins have called upon their top minor league pitching prospect Romero, but facing a potent Blue Jays lineup in his first big league start does not look like a viable situation for the kid. The Blue Jays have averaged 5.6 rpg on the road this season, and their bull pen has been in good form as is evident by a 2.23 road ERA. I'm betting Stroman who has struggled so far this season gets enough run support and bullpen support for the Jays to come out of this with a win this afternoon. Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 6-0 L/6 vs Central Division teams. MINNESOTA is 4-20 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities dating back to last season.MINNESOTA is 46-76 against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons and is 26-44 against the money line in home games in day games during the same time period. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (WHIP 1.550 or better ), with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 34-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline |
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05-01-18 | Rockies v. Cubs -158 | 3-1 | Loss | -158 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
: Rockies RH Jon Gray (2-4, 5.79 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (2-1, 3.10) Cubs starting pitchers have not allowed an earned run in 33 2/3 innings – and I'm betting on Kyle Hendricks who owns a1.38 ERA at home this season to be in top form here today vs a Colorado Rockies team, that has scored just 4 runs in their L/4 games. I know the Cubs bats have not been much better, but its just a matter of time before they tee off on a pitcher, and today looks like a good opportunity as Jon Gray remains very inconsistent. Note: GRAYs team in his starts is  is 2-15 against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest . CHICAGO CUBS are 14-3 L/17 against the money line after 2 straight games with no home runs. MLB Road teams (COLORADO) - after scoring 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 5 runs or less 4 straight games are 13-38 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 5 runs or less 4 straight games are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the money-line |
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04-29-18 | Rangers +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. J.A. HAPP (L) The Rangers will be going for a three-game sweep of the Blue Jays Sunday afternoon at the Rogers Centre as they try to dig themselves out of a hole created by a 4-11 start.The Rangers now on a huge momentum swing have won three games in a row for the first time this season. The Blue Jays meanwhile, are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum and have lost four straight for the first time since Aug. 27-30 and have dropped seven of their past nine games. I know the Jays go against a struggling pitcher in Perez, but the way their swinging the bat right now especially in clutch situations makes them fade material as nothing comes easy for this group. PEREZ is 7-0 against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 11-4 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.TORONTO is 9-17 against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game. MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line -120 to +115) (TORONTO) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a terrible starting pitcher (WHIP 1.700 or more) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL) are 8-34 L/21 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the RUNLINE +1.5 |
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04-28-18 | Yankees -103 v. Angels | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. GARRETT RICHARDS (R) Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 overall. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - team with a good SLG (.440 or better ) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 41-21 L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. |
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04-28-18 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals OVER 8 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks LH Patrick Corbin (4-0, 1.89 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Jeremy Hellickson (0-0, 4.50) Patrick Corbin the DBacks starting hurler today has been excellent at home, but has not looked good in his one road start this season, allowing 3 runs in 5 1/3 innings of work, while accumulating a 5.07 ERA. He h history of sub par road performances, even against struggling offensive sides like the Nationals. Corbin,is 1-1 with a 5.31 ERA in four career starts against Washington. Meanwhile, Hellickson the Backs starter looked good in his last start, but despite of his vast MLB experience, is highly inconsistent and  is just 0-3 with a 5.32 ERA in four career starts against the Diamondbacks. ARIZONA is 9-1 OVER   in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored. CORBIN is 20-6 OVER   in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 with a combined average of 10.3 rg scored. Over is 23-4-1 in Corbins last 28 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-0 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. team MLB teams like  (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher who is undefeated after 5 or more starts, excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season are 45-14 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the OVER |
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04-27-18 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 8 | 4-6 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L) |
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04-26-18 | Rays v. Orioles OVER 7.5 | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
TB is producing on offense of late and have scored 8 runs or more in 4 of their L/6 games and should be able to do some offensive damage vs the Orioles starting pitcher Bundy. Baltimore has been struggling to score of late, but they go against a pitcher in Archer that is struggling as is evident by a 6.58 ERA on the season. He is backed by a bullpen that owns a 6.11 ERA. I expect they should do enough damage here to help our OVER cause in this spot. Over is 6-2 in Bundys last 8 starts vs. American League East.Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 4-0 in Bundys last 4 starts vs. Rays. Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Archers last 5 starts overall.Over is 7-1 in Rays last 8 overall.
TAMPA BAY is 18-5 OVER L/23 on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 14-4 OVER L/18 vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored. MLBÂ teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (BALTIMORE) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) are 66-30 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-26-18 | Mets v. Cardinals OVER 7 | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) |
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04-25-18 | Mariners v. White Sox +138 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
Former Cy Young award winner Felix Hernandez is not as consistent as he was earlier in his career. Recently he has accumulated a ugly 7.80 ERA in 3 road starts this season, and does not deserve the lofty expectations the public continually expects of him. Don't get me wrong he is still better than 80% of the pitchers in this league, but at the moment in his current form , as a road fav is not a viable option. Yes, not even vs a struggling White Sox side. With that said, I'm betting on this being a good go against value line option this Wednesday afternoon, in the Windy City taking the South Siders to win on the moneyline. CHI WHITE SOX are 19-14 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 dating back to last season. CHI WHITE SOX are 14-6 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game dating back to last season. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 44-18 L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 43-29 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox |
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04-24-18 | Red Sox -117 v. Blue Jays | 3-4 | Loss | -117 | 24 h 45 m | Show | |
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Rick Porcello the BoSox starter has looked to be in top form, to this point in the season, as is evident by recording a 4-0 mark and a stingy 1.40 ERA on the season, and a extremely miniscule 0.79 ERA in his two road starts. I'm betting on him out dueling the Blue Jays starter Happ, and notching the Red Sox 14th win in their L/19 games played at the Rogers Center in Toronto. Whether this is an anomaly or not it must be noted that BOSTON is 23-3 against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last couple of seasons. TORONTO is 0-6 against the money line in home games off 2 straight road losses against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - very good offensive team (5.4or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA3.50 or less) (AL), playing on Tuesday are just 29-65 L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Red Sox |
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04-23-18 | Nationals v. Giants -101 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
  Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 2.49 ERA) vs. Giants RH Chris Stratton (1-1, 2.22) Stratton in just his third career start,  shut out the Nationals on five hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 4-2 win while striking out 10 batters the last time he faced them. I'm betting he turns the trick here again this Monday.STRATTON is 6-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game dating back to last season. STRATTON is 6-0 against the money line in home games over the last couple of seasons. WASHINGTON is 1-7 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.WASHINGTON is 6-11 L/17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two bad teams (38% to 46%), in April games are 13-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win on the money-line |
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04-23-18 | Padres v. Rockies -164 | 13-5 | Loss | -164 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
BRYAN MITCHELL (R) vs. CHAD BETTIS (R) Chad Bettis is in top form and has compiled a minuscule 0.90 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and gets the nod here again in this spot.Rockies are 5-2 in Bettis' last 7 starts vs. Padres. Padres are 0-4 in Mitchells last 4 starts. MITCHELL is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.200. Padres are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 23-8 in Bettis' last 31 home starts. BETTIS team when he starts is 15-3 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record. BETTIS is 17-4 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher over the last few seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) -NL, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 14-80 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - below average hitting team (AVG or less .255) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 19-91 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (COLORADO) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL are 41-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado Rockies to win on the money line |
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04-22-18 | Nationals v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. ALEX WOOD (L) The Nationals offense has averaged 5.9 rpg  on the road this season., while the bullpen has registered a hefty 7.50 ERA. Alex Wood the Dodgers starter owns a bloated 6.00 ERA in his last three trips to the hill and looks like cannon fodder in his current from.  Meanwhile the Dodgers offense has done their best work vs right handed starters like Hellickson averaging 5.4 rpg . Hellickson (1.713 WHIP) has had limited work this season but his L3 starts dating back to last season have seen 14,15,12 combined runs scored in his starts and this tilt looks to be another high scoring affair . LA DODGERS are 9-0 OVER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored.WOOD is 13-1 OVER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored.LA DODGERS are 10-2 OVER against right-handed starters this season with a coined 11.2 rpg scored. PLAY over |
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04-21-18 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 111 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R) |
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04-20-18 | Blue Jays v. Yankees OVER 9 | 8-5 | Win | 102 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R) |
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04-19-18 | Marlins +1.5 v. Brewers | 3-12 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
DILLON PETERS (L) vs. CHASE ANDERSON (R)
Chase Anderson the Brewers starter is 3-12 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career. Marlins are 4-1 in Peters' last 5 starts. MIAMI is 26-16 L/42 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), in April games are 28-51 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (MILWAUKEE) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL are 13-49 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to cover +1.5 on the runline |
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04-19-18 | Pirates +104 v. Phillies | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R) Taillon the Pirates starter has an advantage vs a Philadelphia side that has struggled against right handed starters this season, averaging just 3.7 rpg on a .207 team BA. He gets the nod here tonight. Pirates are 7-0 in Taillons last 7 starts vs. National League East.Pirates are 4-0 in Taillons last 4 road starts. Pirates starter TAILLON is 11-3 l/14 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 . ARRIETA is 8-13 L/21 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 9-2 in their last 11 road games.Phillies are 22-45 in their last 67 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 33-17 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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04-18-18 | Red Sox v. Angels -118 | 9-0 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
 Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (3-0, 1.83 ERA) vs. Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (2-0, 1.69) The Bosox starting pitcher Porcello has looked strong out of the gate this season, but is 6-7 with a 5.67 ERA in 16 career trips to the hill against Los Angeles and despite some quality starts recently at Angel Stadium is just 1-4 with a 5.82 ERA in six career . Note: The Red Sox are 0-9 L/9 when Rick Porcello starts as a dog when they won in his last start. Angels are 5-0 in Skaggs' last 5 starts.
Red Sox are 4-9 in Porcellos last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. I know the Halos got smacked around last night when Japanese Phenom Ohtani faced his first real challenge, but I now expect a red face angels squad to be ready to rebound.The Angels are 13-0 L/13  as a money-line  favorite past the first game of a series after their starter pitched less than 3 innings last game. MLB Home teams (LA ANGELS) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 32-13  L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline |
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04-18-18 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -146 | 4-3 | Loss | -146 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Giants RH Chris Stratton (1-1, 2.60 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks LH Robbie Ray (2-0, 5.74) The Dbacks have been playing great ball  at home to this point in the season, recording a  6-1 overall record along with a 4 straight in the desert. Despite of the DBacks starting pitcher struggling a bit in his first two starts, he has performed well in the past vs the Giants, as is evident by a 4-1 record along  with a 2.82 ERA in nine outings. Ray was  3-0 with a 1.48 ERA in four starts vs the Giants last sseason while striking out 29 in 24 1/3 innings  He goes against a SF side, that  has lost four in a row scoring fewer than two runs in three of the losses. Note: The Diamondbacks are 15-0 with Robbie Ray when he had more strike outs than hits allowed in his last start, and he is not a dog of more than 140.RAY is 15-2 L/17 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record .RAY is 14-1 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. The Giants are 0-15 on the moneyline on the road off a road game when they won the last two games their starter started.( Srtatton has done this) SAN FRANCISCO is 2-15 L/17 against the money line in road games vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better dating back to last season. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ARIZONA) - with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games are 108-33 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ARIZONA) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 49-9 L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona DBacks
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04-18-18 | Royals +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 5-15 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Royals RH Ian Kennedy (1-1, 1.00 ERA) vs. Blue Jays LH J.A. Happ (2-1, 3.94) Kennedy has allowed a total of two runs in 18 innings, but his bull pen his let him down or he would perfect so far. With a little support here or a complete game we have a value RL with taking the Royals hurler this afternoon. I know the Royals have lost 7 straight, so I'm not 100% on the SU win, even tough that's possible, and will instead take the runline option. The Blue Jays are 0-6Â SU in the last game of a series as a 140+ favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they scored first. Toronto was an average of minus 180 on the moneyline in these six multiple-run losses and in each of their last three they were shutout. Play on the KC Royals on the RL +1.5 |
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04-17-18 | Red Sox +154 v. Angels | 10-1 | Win | 154 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH David Price (1-1, 2.40 ERA) vs. Angels RH Shohei Ohtani (2-0, 2.08) On a cold night last time out Price said he lost feeling in his fingertips, and was not in top form, but prior to that allowed just seven hits with 10 strikeouts over 14 innings in his previous two outings and is now motivated for a big time performance  opposite Halos Japanese Phenom Ohtani . Both these quality pitchers face strong offenses, but Price according to my pitcher vs offense power rankings suggests we have enough value to take the  road underdog. The Angels have the best run differential in baseball at plus-48 with the Red Sox second at plus-42. PRICE team when he starts  is 35-13 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game.. whether this is an anomaly or not its still worth mentioning that  BOSTON is 22-3 against the money line when playing on Tuesday dating back to last season.Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 games on natural surface .Angels are 2-12 in their last 14 games following an off day. Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.LA ANGELS are 5-16 L/21 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game The Red Sox are 6-0 on the moneyline L/6 in the first game of a series with rest off a home game in which they had a comeback win, winning by an average of 7.0 runs per game. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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04-17-18 | White Sox +157 v. A's | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
White Sox RH Miguel Gonzalez (0-2, 8.68 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Trevor Cahill (2017: 4-3, 4.93) Neither of these pitchers inspire me. One has struggled and the other has been in the minors to this point in the season. The edge however I'm betting comes via the rested starter Gonzalez who has not pitched in 8 days, and will be very fresh for this tilt. I know the As are expecting a sell out tonight because of a huge promotion, but this only guarantees a festive atmosphere, that both teams will feed off. I have enough edge here to take a swing for the fences via viable underdog investment situation. Athletics are 0-5 in Cahills last 5 starts vs. American League Central.Athletics are 2-11 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Athletics are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. CHI WHITE SOX are 17-7 OVER  L/24 in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last year. The Athletics are 0-13 on the moneyline as a home 120+ favorite after playing as a home favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is not a series opener. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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04-17-18 | Marlins v. Yankees OVER 9 | 9-1 | Win | 102 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Marlins LH Jarlin Garcia (0-0, 1.13 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (2-1, 5.19) The Yankees bats are on fire and have won their second straight by getting 15 hits and going 7 for 18 with runners in scoring position during a 12-1 victory on Monday.Miami allowed double-digit runs for the third time and double-digit hits for the sixth time this season, and I won't be surprised of the Yankees explode here again tonight eclipse this Total all by themselves. Note: NY YANKEES are 10-1 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season like Miami, with the combined average score of 12.6 rpg getting scored.MIAMI is 10-1 OVER in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 11-1 OVER in home games after scoring 9 runs or more with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored.  MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are 36-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 8-2-2 in Marlins last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 10-1-1 in Yankees last 12 overall.Over is 10-4 in Yankees last 14 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Play OVER |
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04-16-18 | Astros -118 v. Mariners | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (0-2, 4.20 ERA) vs. Mariners LH James Paxton (0-1, 5.74) Two viable pitching options go head to head tonight in Seattle as Dallas Keuchel and James Paxton take to the hill for their respective teams. But according to my pitcher vs opposition batting order power rankings the Astros match up well vs the Mariners. Note: Astros are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle and are 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts vs. Mariners. Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Astros are 13-4 in their last 17 vs. American League West.Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Mariners are 2-6 in Paxtons last 8 starts.Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and are 1-7 L/8 at home vs a winning side.Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. KEUCHEL is 8-1 L/9 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better),HOUSTON is 43-14 L/57 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 and is 29-12 L/41 against the money line in road games against division opponents. PAXTON team when he starts  is 13-20 L/33 against the money line in night games. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 44-9 L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline |
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04-15-18 | Pirates -135 v. Marlins | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Miami is expected to start, right-hander Jose Urena (0-2, 5.06 ERA), against Pirates right-hander Ivan Nova (1-1, 5.19 ERA). Nova, Pittsburgh's Opening Day starter, is off a top tier effort vs the  Chicago Cubs' in their  home opener Tuesday notching a  8-5 win, allowing three runs and seven hits in seven innings, with no walks It was Nova's 11th career start of at least seven innings without allowing a walk .Nova's only two career appearances against Miami, both starts in 2017, were victories in which he did not allow a run and he gets the nod again here today. MIAMI is 10-31 L/41 against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last couple of seasons.NOVA is 21-7 l/28 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150. The Pittsburgh Pirates are 15-0 SU as a favorite after they shut out their opponent and it is not a series opener. MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse ), in April games are 27-49 L/5 seasons for a go against  65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates on the moneyline |
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04-15-18 | Orioles v. Red Sox OVER 6.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (0-1, 1.35 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Chris Sale (1-0, 1.06) Boston's bats are on fire averaging 8.9 runs while taking six of the last seven and should do just fine today vs a decent pitcher in Bundy and could easily eclipse this number all by themselves. Bundy has not done that well at Fenway and is  3-4 with a 5.01 ERA lifetime against Boston there. I know Chris Sale the Red Sox ace is always hard to face for any team, but I expect the Orioles to do just enough damage to help this combined score eclipse this total. BOSTON is 17-5 OVER  L/22 in home games after scoring 10 runs or more over the last few seasons. Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 road games.Over is 9-2 in Bundys last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-2 in Orioles last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 6-0-1 in Red Sox last 7 overall.Over is 4-0 in Sales last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-0 in Sales last 7 starts vs. American League East.Over is 7-0 in Sales last 7 starts vs. American League East. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (BALTIMORE) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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04-14-18 | Rangers +1.5 v. Astros | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Rangers LH Mike Minor (1-1, 2.53 ERA) vs. Astros RH Charlie Morton (2-0, 0.00) Charlie Morton is a very good hurler, but he has a history of some below average day time starts in his career as these following numbers suggest. MORTON team is just  17-37  against the money line in day games in his career. Meanwhile, the Rangers starting hurler Minor split his first two starts but has held opponents to a .143 batting average and struck out 12 in 10 2/3 innings while walking just four and is a viable hurler to back on a value RL. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to +165) (TEXAS) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better), after scoring 2 runs or less are 91-27 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers on the +1.5 RL |
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04-13-18 | Rockies v. Nationals UNDER 9 | 2-1 | Win | 107 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (0-2, 5.56 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Tanner Roark (1-0, 4.50) The Nationals are struggling to score runs, and averaging just 2.7 rpg at home this season, and even against an average pitcher look out of sync at the moment. I'm expecting more of the same ineptness today vs Freeland of the Rockies. Meanwhile, Colorado will go against a right handed pitcher in Roarke . The Rockies bats have struggled against orthodox hurlers, this season, averaging just 4.2 rpg via Mendoza line average hitting ( .248). More of the same struggles look to be on todays agenda according to my cross reference power ranking projections Under is 10-3-1 in Roarks last 14 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Roarks last 8 home starts.Under is 21-4-3 in Nationals last 28 vs. National League West.Under is 19-8-3 in Freelands last 30 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Rockies last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 6-1-3 in Freelands last 10 starts with 4 days of rest. FREELAND is 11-2 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 21-8 UNDER L/29 against NL West opponents dating back to last seasons witch a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored.WASHINGTON is 16-3 UNDER after 6 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.2 rpg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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04-12-18 | Angels v. Royals +127 | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Angels RH Nick Tropeano (2016: 3-2, 3.56 ERA) vs. Royals RH Ian Kennedy (1-0, 0.75) Having two way Japanese star Shohei Ohtani in their lineup the Angels are fast becoming a public team. He homered in the first three games he started as the designated hitter, but didn't smack a bleacher smash last time out. He is still however,  hitting .364 with a 1.190 one-base-plus-slugging percentage and has already become the talk  of MLB baseball fans and bettors alike. Because of this the Halos are now a public team, which sometimes could taint their lines , which I;m betting is the case tonight, especially with Royals right-hander Ian Kennedy on the hills for the Royals. The RH, is 1-0 along with a 0.75 ERA in his first two starts. In two starts against the Angels last season, Kennedy was 2-0 with an 0.64 ERA and get the nod again. Angels are 0-5 in Tropeanos last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Angels are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. American League Central.Angels are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Angels are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Kansas City. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline |
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04-12-18 | Rockies v. Nationals UNDER 9 | 5-1 | Win | 102 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Rockies RH Chad Bettis (1-0, 2.53 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (1-0, 1.59) Gonzalez (1-0, 1.59) continues to pitch well  has picked up where he left off in last year's regular season. He took a no-decision a 3-2 loss to the New York Mets, allowing just one  run in 5 1/3 innings on six hits with some solid work.Gonzalez (4-0, 3.58) is unbeaten in five career starts against the Colorado Rockies. I'm betting the Rockies struggle against them here again today. Meanwhile, Right-hander Chad Bettis (1-0, 2.53) was solid for a second straight start, allowing judt one run on just four hits in a no-decision. QUOTE: "There's going to be a consistency to Chad's games," manager Bud Black told the Post. "I suspect Chad's starts, if he makes all 33 or 34, there will be less variability in his outings." END QUOTE: Bettis is 1-0 with a 4.26 ERA in four games -- two starts vs the Nats and should supply stability in this spot.BETTIS is 9-1 UNDER ( vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game like th eNats, with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. COLORADO is 20-8 UNDER  L/28 in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last couple of seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 15-3 UNDER L/18 after 6 or more consecutive home games with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 20-8 UNDER  L/28 against NL West opponents with a combined average of 7.7 rpg going on the board. Under is 5-0 in Bettis' last 5 starts vs. National League East.Under is 3-1-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-1 in Bettis' last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 23-4-5 in Nationals last 32 during game 1 of a series.Under is 20-4-3 in Nationals last 27 vs. National League West.Under is 6-0-1 in Gonzalezs last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 9-3-2 in Nationals last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the UNDER |
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04-11-18 | Mets v. Marlins +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Mets RH Zack Wheeler (2017: 3-7, 5.21 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Jarlin Garcia (0-0, 1.80) After allowing two runs in 10 innings of relief, Garcia will be joining the Marlins rotation. He will be making his first big league start. A year ago, the 25-year-old paced the Marlins in appearances with 68 and is a viable MLB pitcher is must be respected on this value RL. Meanwhile, the Mets will recall Wheeler from Triple-A Las Vegas on Wednesday to make a spot start for Jason Vargas, who is rehabbing from hand surgery. He will face a under rated Marlins lineup, with three .300 hitters . Left fielder Derek Dietrich is hitting .327, rookie third baseman Brian Anderson is hitting .317, and second baseman Starlin Castro is batting .304. Marlins are 21-9 in their last 30 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Mets are 1-4 in Wheelers last 5 road starts. Manager MATTINGLY is 21-13 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of MIAMI. Play on Miami on the RL +1.5 |
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04-10-18 | Padres v. Rockies -152 | 5-2 | Loss | -152 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Padres LH Joey Lucchesi (0-0, 2.79 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (0-0, 7.56) Anderson the Rockies starter did not have good opening day appearance, but bounced back in a big way in his last effort, , scattering four hits over six scoreless innings in a no decision. He looked great last time out, and get my support in this spot vs a inconsistent Fathers offense. Note: Anderson owns a 1-1 record and 1.50 ERA in four career starts against the Padres. Padres are 41-84 in their last 125 road games.Padres are 22-46 in their last 68 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Padres are 9-23 in their last 32 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Padres are 4-11 in the last 15 meetings in Colorado. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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