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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-14-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers OVER 10 | 6-4 | Push | 0 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
The Rangers have won 11 of their last 17 and scored 11 or more runs six times during that positive span. I know Corbin the Backs starter is in top form, but Texas in their current form can light up the best of pitching staffs and today I'm betting on them doing exactly that. It must also be noted that  Rangers starter  Yovani Gallardo is getting a whopping 9.78 per game in run support.  Meanwhile, Arizona has not always been able to get runs on the board easily this season, but with an extra hitter in the lineup in an AL park, Im expecting they do some damage here today, against a pitcher in Gallardo , who despite of notching wins behind amazing run support still owns a 4.97 ERA in 9 starts. Gollardos last 3 wins have been by 11-7, 17-8 and 11-2, with each easily eclipsing the number. GALLARDO is 16-4 OVER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 13.2 rpg scored. GALLARDO is 13-4 OVER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. Over is 13-5-2 in Rangers last 20 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 during game 2 of a series.Over is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 games vs. a left-handed starterOver is 5-0 in Gallardos last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 5-0-1 in Gallardos last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0-1 in Gallardos last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 8-1 in Gallardos last 9 starts on grass.Over is 8-1-1 in Gallardos last 10 starts overall.Over is 4-1 in Gallardos last 5 home starts. Over is 25-6-1 in Corbins last 32 road starts vs. a team with a losing recordOver is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.CORBIN is 17-6 OVER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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08-14-18 | Indians v. Reds OVER 8.5 | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
 Indians RH Corey Kluber (14-6, 2.74 ERA) vs. Reds RH Sal Romano (7-9, 4.94) Kluber the Tribes starter has put up some great numbers this season, but has also gotten good run support, which has added the OVER on the Totals scoreboard.Meanwhile, Romano the Reds starter despite of some decent efforts of late, still showed his inconsistencies by posting a 6.23 ERA through to early and middle part of June and according to my matchup stats, and power rankings does not matchup well vs the Indians 9. Im betting he is in trouble vs a Tribes offence that  has produced 19 runs and 32 hits the last two contests. Over is 4-0 in Klubers last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-0-1 in Klubers last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.Over is 5-0 in Klubers last 5 road starts.Over is 5-0-1 in Klubers last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 10-1 in Klubers last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-1-1 in Klubers last 7 starts during game 2 of a series KLUBER is 8-0 OVER  vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. KLUBER is 10-1 OVER  when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.4 rpg going on the score board. ROMANO is 7-0 OVER  as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored.CINCINNATI in 31 games when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season have seen a combined average of 10.3 rpg go on the board.CINCINNATI is 20-9 OVER (+9.8 Units) as an underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons with a combine average of 11.2 rpg going on the board.CINCINNATI is 8-0 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 13.2 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 12-1 OVER  vs. a team with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 12.9 rpg scored. Over is 16-7-1 in Reds last 24 home games.Over is 13-6-1 in Reds last 20 games following a loss.Over is 69-33-8 in Reds last 110 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 5-0 in Romanos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 3-0-2 in Romanos last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0 in Romanos last 4 interleague starts.Over is 4-0-2 in Romanos last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-0-2 in Romanos last 7 home starts.Over is 4-0 in Romanos last 4 starts vs. American League Central.Over is 6-1-1 in Romanos last 8 starts on grass.Over is 6-1-1 in Romanos last 8 starts overall.Over is 4-1-2 in Romanos last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1-2 in Romanos last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-0 in Reds last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 interleague games.Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 vs. American League Central.Over is 10-2-1 in Reds last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 on grass.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 overall. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Cincinnati. The Reds are 21-1 OVER as a 170+ dog after a game in which they used 5+ pitchers with a combined average of 13.41 RPG scored , with just one game seeing less than 9 total runs scored. ( they got shellacked yesterday by a 10-3 count and used a lot of arms in the process) Play OVER |
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08-13-18 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (4-4, 2.69 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (5-5, 2.58) This will be the 11th matchup all time between the top tier left-handers Bumgarner and Kershaw. The Dodgers Kershaw has a 2.00 ERA with an 0.81 WHIP. Bumgarner has a 2.56 ERA, with a 1.14 WHIP 71 strikeouts. All time, Bumgarner is 15-20 with a 2.60 ERA against the Dodgers, and Kershaw is 22-10 with a 1.60 ERA against the Giants. Kershaw enters Monday's game with a stingy 2.58 ERA this season and Bumgarner a solid 2.69 ERA. In both starters most recent outing they have come close to averaging around 7 innings a game. With that said, Im betting on a pitchers duel here tonight and a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. BUMGARNER last 6 games when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) have seen a combined average of 4.3 rpg scored.BUMGARNER is 12-3 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored. Under is 8-1 in Bumgarners last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1-1 in Bumgarners last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 12-3-1 in Bumgarners last 16 starts vs. National League West.Under is 19-7-1 in Bumgarners last 27 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 18-7-3 in Bumgarners last 28 starts on grass.Under is 18-7-3 in Bumgarners last 28 starts overall.Under is 5-2-1 in Bumgarners last 8 road starts.  Under is 4-0 in Bumgarners last 4 road starts vs. Dodgers. LA DODGERS are 29-12 UNDER against left-handed starters this season. Under is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts on grass.Under is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts overall. Under is 25-7-2 in Kershaws last 34 starts vs. Giants.Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 11-4-1 in Kershaws last 16 home starts vs. Giants. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 or less (SAN FRANCISCO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or less ) (NL), in the second half of the season are 74-33 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-13-18 | Indians -158 v. Reds | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
 Indians RH Mike Clevinger (7-7, 3.38 ERA) vs. Reds RH Homer Bailey (1-9, 6.19) Cincinnati Reds starter BAILEY is 1-13  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.Team's Record) and is 2-15 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BAILEY  is 1-10 against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 0-9  against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 50-17  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Reds are 9-23 in their last 32 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. The Reds have lost 26 straight on the moneyline as a dog of more than 145 after a game as a home dog in which they did not hit a home run and struck out more than six times. Cleveland has won 5 of the L/ 6meetings in this series in Cincinnati and get the nod here again. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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08-12-18 | A's +108 v. Angels | 8-7 | Win | 108 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Trevor Cahill (4-2, 3.12 ERA) vs. Angels RH Taylor Cole (0-2, 1.59) Cahill the As starter has won three consecutive starts and gone unbeaten in eight straight and has done well against the Angels in his career, going 5-3 with a 2.07 ERA in 10 starts and one relief appearance. He will face a relief pitcher in Taylor Cole  who is making his first MLB start. Athletics are 5-0 in Cahills last 5 starts.Angels are 5-11 in their last 16 during game 3 of a series.Angels are 16-36 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Angels are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starterOAKLAND is 35-18 against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season OAKLAND is 13-3  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season.LA ANGELS are 8-23  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season. Athletics have won 17 straight on the moneyline as a favorite in the last game of a series after a road win in which they had 12+ hits. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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08-12-18 | Phillies -109 v. Padres | 3-9 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
 Phillies RH Jake Arrieta (9-6, 3.11 ERA) vs. Padres LH Joey Lucchesi (5-6, 3.70) Arrieta enters this tilt unbeaten in seven starts. He did not get the win last time out because his teams bull pen blew a two-run lead after he threw eight scoreless innings.  Arrietta  is 4-0 with a 2.28 ERA since the beginning of July and has not allowed more than three runs six times over that span. I like Arrieta against any pitcher the Padres trot out here this afternoon. SAN DIEGO is 13-33  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. SAN DIEGO is 7-27 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.. Padres are 4-17 in their last 21 home games. The Phillies have won 15 straight on the moneyline  in the last game of a series as a favorite after a game in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline |
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08-12-18 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (7-2, 3.17 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Wei-Yin Chen (4-8, 5.48) Syndergaard the NY Mets starter gave up four runs over 6 1/3 innings of a rare victory against Cincinnati on Monday, ending a amazing run  of 13 straight starts in where he allowed three runs or fewer. I'm betting on him bouncing back here and holding the light hitting Marlins to limited run production in this spot.The hard throwing righty  owns  a 1.62 ERA in six career starts against the Marlins. Meanwhile, Chen his pitching opponent from the Marlins , permitted just one hit in 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a victory vs St. Louis in his last trip to the hill, and is 2-2  along with a stingy 1.52 ERA over his last five home starts. Chen has pitched his best ball at home this season and owns a stingy 1.94 ERA in 9 starts.  I expect both hurlers to once again provide us with a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. SYNDERGAARD is 8-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. The Marlins have gone under 12 straight times as a home 140+ dog off a home game in which their starter went less than eight innings and their bullpen did not allow a run and it is post All-Star break. the average score of these tilts was 4.33 rpg, with no game seeing more than 7 runs scored ( 1 game). The other 11 games had no more 5 combined runs scored. Play on the UNDER |
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08-12-18 | Mets v. Marlins +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (7-2, 3.17 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Wei-Yin Chen (4-8, 5.48) Syndergaard the NY Mets starter gave up four runs over 6 1/3 innings of a rare victory against Cincinnati on Monday, ending a amazing run  of 13 straight starts in where he allowed three runs or fewer. I'm betting on him bouncing back here and holding the light hitting Marlins to limited run production in this spot.The hard throwing righty also owns  a 1.62 ERA in six career starts against the Marlins. Meanwhile, Chen his pitching opponent from the Marlins , permitted just one hit in 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a victory vs St. Louis in his last trip to the hill, and is 2-2  along with a stingy 1.52 ERA over his last five home starts. Chen has pitched his best ball at home this season and owns a stingy 1.94 ERA in 9 starts.  I expect both hurlers to once again provide us with a tightly contested low scoring affair that makes taking the runline a very viable option. MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +160 to +115) (NY METS) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL) are 17-56 L/21 seasons for a go against  77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (NY METS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 29-70 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Miami on the runline +1.5 |
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08-12-18 | Rangers v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Rangers LH MartÃn Pérez (2-4, 6.15 ERA) vs. Yankees LH CC Sabathia (6-4, 3.49) New York has scored at least five runs in 13 straight home games and I'm betting they equal or eclipse that number here today, vs a hurler in Perez that they matchup well against. Perez owns a bloated 5.68 ERA on the road this season, and in three starts versus the Yankees as garnered a bloated 8.53 ERA. Meanwhile, the Yankees starter Sabathia, despite of pitching decently has not been able to make it past the 6th inning of late, ( 5 straight starts) and maybe starting to show some late season fatigue, which makes his susceptible to being lit up by what has been a fairly hot hitting Texas team of late scoring an average 8 rpg in their L/10 trips to the diamonds. In 23 career starts vs the Rangers he owns a less than impressive 5.46 ERA . I'm betting we see this total eclipsed today, by two viable offences. Over is 10-1-2 in Perezs last 13 starts vs. American League East.Over is 12-2-2 in Perezs last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 4-0-1 in Sabathias last 5 home starts vs. Rangers.Over is 9-1-1 in Sabathias last 11 starts vs. Rangers.Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.TEXAS is 21-10 OVER  vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season with the combined average score of those games clicking in at  11.2 rpg. The Yankees have gone OVER 12 straight times  in the last game of a series as a 175-plus favorite after a game in which they scored in more innings than their opponent and it is post All-Star break. The average combined score clicked in at 14.4 rpg. Play on the OVER |
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08-11-18 | Dodgers v. Rockies +127 | 2-3 | Win | 127 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Rockies    left-hander starter Freeland  is 7-2 with a 2.81 ERA in 10 starts at Coors Field this season and is a viable underdog pitcher to back here vs the Dodgers. FREELAND is 8-2 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 5-0 in Freelands last 5 home starts.Rockies are 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts.Rockies are 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts on grass.Rockies are 5-1 in Freelands last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rockies are 5-1 in Freelands last 6 starts with 4 days of rest. Meanwhile, the Dodgers starter Buehler does not have a decision against the Rockies in six appearances over the past two seasons (two starts) but has garnered a hefty  5.71 ERA against Colorado in 17 1/3 innings of work and is fade material , as he could be in a huge letdown situation after defeating Houston in his last effort. MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, after 2 straight games where their bullpen blew a save are 55-112 L/21 seasons for a long term 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Rockies to cash on the moneyline |
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08-11-18 | Indians v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Indians RH Trevor Bauer (11-6, 2.25 ERA) vs. White Sox RH James Shields (4-13, 4.50) The Cleveland Indians offence has been streaky this season and are off their  sixth shutout loss of the season yesterday to the White Sox. Im betting that they will once again exhibit problems getting runs across the plate and for their own pitching to keep a White Sox offence that averages 4 rpg vs a batting average below the Mendoza line to be equally inept. Clevelands starting pitcher Bauer is 10-1 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.BAUER is also  on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Under is 40-9-6 in Bauers last 55 road starts.Under is 11-1-1 in Bauers last 13 starts during game 2 of a series.CLEVELAND is 15-4 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. Bauer has started two games against the White Sox this season and is 1-1 with a 1.84 ERA in those games. Meanwhile Shields the White Sox starter in his only start against the Indians this season, allowed just one run in seven innings and picked up the win in Chicago's 5-1 victory on June 12. My power rankings suggest me matches up well vs the Tribes 9. Under is 4-0 in Shields' last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 6-1-1 in Shields' last 8 starts vs. American League Central.Under is 9-2 in Shields' last 11 home starts.Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.Under is 4-0 in Shields' last 4 starts vs. Indians.Under is 5-1 in Bauers last 6 road starts vs. White Sox.MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 148-85 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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08-11-18 | Twins -138 v. Tigers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Twins RH Kyle Gibson (5-9, 3.60 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Francisco Liriano (3-6, 4.37) Gibson the Twins starter is under rated according to my power rankings, and matches up well vs the Tigers. It must be noted the righty is 3-4 with a 3.23 ERA in 12 road starts  keeping  opponents guessing as is evident by permitting  a .210 batting average.GIBSON is 12-5 in his career against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season .Team Record) and is 12-5 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record( Meanwhile, Liriano is winless in his last 13 appearances and I'm betting against him here again today. The tigers ended a 6 game win streak, yesterday vs the Twins with a 5-3 win but are 0-8 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Tigers have lost 19 straight as a home dog after they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Twins to win on the moneyline |
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08-11-18 | Rangers v. Yankees -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Rangers RH Drew Hutchison (1-2, 6.29 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Lance Lynn (8-8, 4.58) Insults were flying, after the Rangers hammered the Yankees last night in their own diggs. Here a sample of the dialogue: "I want to kill them every time I go out there, to be honest," Guzman said regarding the Yankees after becoming the youngest player to homer three times in the Bronx since a 23-year-old Mickey Mantle did it on May 13, 1955. "I never liked the Yankees growing up." END QUOTE: Im sure the Yanks are aware of the kids statements, and also will be looking for a quick turnaround here in redemption vs a over confident Rangers group. Note: NY YANKEES are 18-3 against the money line after allowing 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of almost 3 rpg. The Yankees have won 18 straight  as a favorite of more than 130 when they are off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 12+ hits with 16 of those games coming by multiple runs with the average margin of victory clicking in at 4 rpg. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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08-11-18 | Rangers v. Yankees OVER 10 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
Rangers RH Drew Hutchison (1-2, 6.29 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Lance Lynn (8-8, 4.58) After getting clobbered yesterday by the Rangers, 12-7 Im betting the Yankees respond with some offensive fireworks of their own and could come close to eclipsing the this Total all by themselves . The Rangers bats have been hot for a while, and I'm betting they also do some damage, and for this  combined score to eclipse the Total. It must be noted that the Yankees have averaged 5.6 rpg at home this season. HUTCHISON the Rangers starter is 21-6 OVER  in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career. (Team's Record). HUTCHISON is 21-6 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career  (Team's Record) with the combined average scores averaging out above 11 rpg and just under 12 rpg. Note:The Rangers have gone OVER 8 straight times when their opponent's starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 2 on the season with a combined average of 15.9 rpg scored. Lance Lynn the Yankees starter qualifies. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.Play OVER |
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08-10-18 | Phillies v. Padres OVER 8 | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Zach Eflin (8-3, 3.61 ERA) vs. Padres RH Jacob Nix (NR) Nix the Padres 22 year old starter looked good in the minors this season with 10 starts split between Double-A San Antonio and Triple-A El Paso, but now he's in the big leagues, and the learning curve is steep, and can be dangerous to a young hurlers mind set. With that said Im expecting he learns a few lessons here today vs a sometimes explosive Philadelphia batting order. Meanwhile, the Padres bats are on fire of late, scoring 33 runs in theirL/4 titsl overall and Eflin despite of looking viable on the hill, has given up some long balls, and is susceptible to being lit up in this spot. Eflin owns a 5.62 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and has allowed 6 HRs. EFLIN is 11-0 OVER  against NL West opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored. SAN DIEGO is 27-17 OVER  in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season with a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 Friday games.Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games following a win.Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 home games.Over is 5-1 in Padres last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 13-3 in Padres last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 8-2-2 in Padres last 12 during game 1 of a series.Over is 7-2 in Padres last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 15-5-1 in Padres last 21 overall.Over is 6-2-1 in Padres last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 15-5-1 in Padres last 21 on grass. Over is 15-3 in the last 18 meetings in San Diego. Play OVER |
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08-10-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 19-12 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Red Sox RH Nathan Eovaldi (5-4, 3.38 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (7-10, 4.38) Nathan Eovaldi the BoSox starter is in top form and  was dominant in his first two starts, throwing 15 shutout innings while walking one and Striking out nine.He's the first Boston starter since the late Vaughn Eshelman in '95 to have turn in consecutive scoreless starts to begin his Sox career. QUOTE: "His stuff is probably some of the best in the big leagues. The fact that he can use his stuff on the edges of the strike zone is impressive," manager Alex Cora :END QUOTE. Meanwhile, Bundy the Orioles starter tonight vs the Red Sox loves to pitch against them, as is evident by posting a 2.29 ERA in three starts against Boston this season. He enters this game in good form and off a quality start last time out, holding a formidable Rangers offence to two runs (one earned) over six innings this past Saturday. Under is 5-1-1 in Bundys last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 7-1-2 in Bundys last 10 starts vs. Red Sox.Under is 4-1 in Bundys last 5 home starts vs. Red Sox. BALTIMORE is 19-4 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less  SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG  .265 to .279) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 59-29 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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08-10-18 | Rangers v. Yankees -1.5 | 12-7 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Rangers LH Mike Minor (8-6, 4.53 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (9-2, 3.76) Tanka the Yankees starter is in top form and has held his L/3 opponents to 1 ER on 12 hits in 19.7 innings of stellar work for a minuscule 0.46 ERA. Needless to say he is sharp and will be a handful for a streaky Texas nine that could be slowing down scoring just 3 runs yesterday after a torrid offensive run. Note:  Texas 3B Adrian Beltre was hitless in four at-bats on Thursday and is 2-for-20 over his last five contests., Minor the Rangers starter despite of pitching well of late, has  struggled on the road this season as he is 3-4 with a 6.50 ERA in nine trips to the hill. Rangers are 1-6 in Minors last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 5-0 in Tanakas last 5 starts vs. American League West.TANAKA is 17-2 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with average margin of victory coming by 3 rgg. TANAKA is 15-2  against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average margin of victory coming by 3 rpg. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (NY YANKEES) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less  over his last 10 games are 37-4 L/5 seasons with the average victory coming by 3.1 rpg making this a viable runline investment option. Play on the NY Yankees on the runline -1.5 |
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08-09-18 | Dodgers -124 v. Rockies | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Dodgers RH Ross Stripling (8-3, 2.68 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (6-4, 4.05) Colorados offence has been very inconsistent this season, and have struggled to bring runs across the plate of late as evident by scoring three or fewer in 11 of the past 16 games, including each of their last three tilts, which included yesterdays 4-3 loss to visiting Pittsburgh. I know that the Dodgers bats are slumbering as well right now, but they have shown a lot more consistency on offence then the Rockies. Also from a head to head pitching perspective my power rankings suggest that Ross Stripling has the edge over Tyler Anderson. ANDERSON is 0-6 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. (Team's Record) .COLORADO is 3-10 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season this season. Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 17-4 in their last 21 during game 1 of a series.Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.Dodgers are 58-26 in their last 84 games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 24-11 in their last 35 road games.Dodgers are 5-0 in Striplings last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Dodgers are 4-0 in Striplings last 4 starts vs. National League West.Dodgers are 4-1 in Striplings last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Dodgers are 4-1 in Striplings last 5 starts. Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-7 in Andersons last 9 home starts.Rockies are 1-4 in Andersons last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 1-4 in Andersons last 5 starts. Rockies are 1-5 in Andersons last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Rockies are 0-4 in Andersons last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Dodgers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.Dodgers are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.Rockies are 1-6 in Andersons last 7 starts vs. Dodgers. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL are 79-33 L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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08-08-18 | Yankees v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Luis Severino (14-5, 3.08 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (7-8, 5.97) Severino the Yankees starter hit a season-high pitch count vs. the Red Sox lsat time out , with a high pitch count of 115 while allowing four runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings. Severino has looked ragged of late  as is evident by a  8.28 ERA his last five starts. Meanwhile White Sox Giolito despite of pitching decently of late , has had problems at home where he owns a ugly 7.76 ERA. Today I expect both hurlers problems will continue and the total combined score of this tilt will be eclipsed. SEVERINO is 14-3 OVER L/17 vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average or 11.1 rpg scored. CHI WHITE SOX are 16-4 OVER in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 89-41 OVER L/5 seasons and 6-0 OVER this season. Play OVER |
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08-08-18 | Red Sox -134 v. Blue Jays | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Brian Johnson (2-3, 3.74 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Mike Hauschild (1-0, 0.00) Boston came from behind to defeat the Blue Jays yesterday and are on a roll entering this game. It must also be noted that the the Red Sox have won 12 straight as a road favorite after a comeback win and it is post All-Star break. Johnson the BoSox hurler is a left hander, which is a disadvantage for a Blue Jays side, that is  14-26 against the money line against left-handed starters this season.Johnson owns a 2-0 mark with a 3.94 ERA in three career starts at Toronto. Red Sox are 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts vs. American League East.  BOSTON is 17-6 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Blue Jays are 4-17 in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. BOSTON is 24-5 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. BOSTON is 25-9 against the money line in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Boston has won 11 of the 14 games these teams have played this season, and another win I'm betting on todays agenda. Red Sox are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Toronto. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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08-08-18 | Pirates v. Rockies -125 | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
 Pirates RH Chris Archer (3-5, 4.40 ERA) vs. Rockies RH German Marquez (9-8, 4.70)  A blown save with 2 outs in the ninth on Friday in Milwaukee cost Marquez his fifth consecutive victory after the right-hander pitched well once again. In 7 innings, he allowed 2 runs and struck out 9, lowering his ERA to 2.95 over his last 6 starts.Marquez is 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA in three career starts versus Pittsburgh.He is in top form and gives the Rockies the advatangte here on the mound .Meanwhile, the Pirates starter Archer allowed five runs (four earned) with six strikeouts in 4 1/3 innings on Friday, in Pirates debut. He looked tired in that game and here in the high altitude of Coors Field exhaustion may rear its ugly head. The Pirates won yesterday but are recently just 1-4 after a victory. Pirates are also 21-47 in their last 68 road games vs. a team with a winning record.PITTSBURGH is 3-17 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. The Rockies have won 10 straight on the moneyline by multiple runs at home off a game as a dog in which they did not hit a home run and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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08-07-18 | Cubs v. Royals +1.5 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Cubs LH Mike Montgomery (3-4, 3.90 ERA) vs. Royals RH Brad Keller (4-4, 3.39) Brad Keller KCs starting hurler has done some very good work at home this season going 2-0 along with a stable 3.11 ERA at home, in five starts, allowing just 11 hits in 27 plus innings of solid work. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Chicago cubs Montgomery , has seen his team lose his L/5 home starts and not score more than 3 runs in any of them. MONTGOMERY is 3-8  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 7-14  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the Cubs scoring 4.5 runs and their opposition 4 rpg. I know their is more to baseball than starting pitching but there is an advantage here, at least on the runline  considering the matchup ,for me to back KC +1.5. I've also isolated a viable situation listed below. The Royals are 15-1 on the moneyline and perfect 16-0 L/16 on the run line  as a home dog after a game as a home dog in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times and it is post All-Star break. which. happened in their last trip to the diamonds. Play on the KC Royals +1.5 on the runline |
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08-07-18 | Mariners v. Rangers UNDER 11 | 4-11 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (8-9, 5.49 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Bartolo Colon (5-10, 5.18) Hernandez has struggled a bit of late, and their are rumours the former ace of the staff could be put into the bullpen and pulled from the starting rotation. With that said, I'm betting the former Cy Young award winner will be primed to prove his detractors wrong and come out here on fire. Meanwhile,Colon the Rangers starter despite of looked a little ragged of late himself, has pitched well against the Mariners this season and matches up well against them as is evident by his 1-0 record and very stable 2.70 ERA in two outings this year. I'm betting both these maligned pitcher do just enough to help keep this game on the low side of the number. SEATTLE is 12-4 UNDER  after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. Under is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 games following a win.Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 Tuesday games.Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 during game 2 of a series.Under is 35-16-1 in umpire Hamaris last 52 games behind home plate. Play UNDER |
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08-07-18 | Twins v. Indians OVER 8.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Twins LH Adalberto Mejia (1-0, 2.60 ERA) vs. Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (13-5, 3.66) Mejia the Twins starter will be pitching for the third time in the last 10 days, the last of which resulted in five scoreless innings against Cleveland on Wednesday. But be warned with this much work, and the revenge minded Tribes ability to adjust to opposing hurlers Im betting he won't have  the same success in the rematch . Meanwhile,  Carrasco the Indians starter despite of a solid record has not performed all that well at home despite of a positive W/L record as is evident by garnering a 5.10 ERA. It must be noted that despite of Carrasco pitching well vs Minnesota last week, he was  was lit up by Twins for 10 runs in five combined innings back in June. These starters are backed with sub par bullpens, and both have sometimes explosive offences. The above combinations I'm betting result in a fairly big scoring affair that eclipses this Total. Over is 3-1-1 in Mejias last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 3-1-1 in Mejias last 5 road starts.Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Carrascos last 6 starts overall.Over is 4-1 in Carrascos last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-2-1 in Carrascos last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 6-2 in Carrascos last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 36-14-1 in Carrascos last 51 home starts. CARRASCO is 8-0 OVER  in home games after giving up 1 or less  earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.5 rpg scored. CARRASCO is 9-1 OVER in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 12.5 rpg going on the board. CLEVELAND is 13-3 OVER  at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season with a combined average of 116 rpg going on the board.  Over is 5-1 in Indians last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 9-2-1 in Indians last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 19-6-1 in Indians last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 8-3 in umpire Gibson IIIs last 11 games behind home plate.Play OVER |
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08-06-18 | Astros v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Astros RH Charlie Morton (12-2, 2.90 ERA) vs. Giants RH Dereck Rodriguez (5-1, 2.59) Rodriguez has entered the National League Rookie of the Year discussion after going 3-0 with a 1.49 ERA over his last seven games (six starts) Houston can be intimidating for most pitcher in this league, but this kid looks stoic and not easily intimidated. I'm betting he continues his fine work here in this spot. Meanwhile,Morton the Astros starter is 5-1 with a 3.02 ERA in his past eight starts, allowing 37 hits and striking out 63 batters in 47 2/3 innings. Since joining the Astros prior to last season, he’s 26-9 with a 3.29 ERA in 46 regular-season starts. Needless to say this hurler is consistent and should once again provide quality work here on the road in AT& T Park. Under is 10-1-1 in Astros last 12 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-1-1 in Astros last 10 interleague road games.Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-1 in Astros last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 12-3-2 in Astros last 17 road games. Under is 8-2-1 in Astros last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 15-4-2 in Astros last 21 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 28-10-1 in Astros last 39 Monday games.Under is 18-7-2 in Astros last 27 interleague games.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 on grass.Under is 25-10-3 in Astros last 38 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4-2 in Astros last 16 games following a loss.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 overall.Under is 25-10-2 in Astros last 37 vs. National League West.Over is 14-6-2 in Astros last 22 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 7-3-1 in Astros last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 35-16-2 in Astros last 53 during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Mortons last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mortons last 4 interleague starts.Under is 4-0 in Mortons last 4 starts vs. National League West.Under is 6-1 in Mortons last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Mortons last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Mortons last 5 road starts.Under is 5-2 in Mortons last 7 Monday starts.Under is 5-2 in Mortons last 7 starts overall.Under is 9-4 in Mortons last 13 starts with 5 days of rest. HOUSTON is 8-1 UNDER  vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 10-2 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season with a combined score of 6.5 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 10-2 UNDER against NL West opponents this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-2-2 in Giants last 12 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 5-1 in Rodriguezs last 6 starts on grass.Under is 5-1 in Rodriguezs last 6 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-06-18 | Pirates v. Rockies -135 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Joe Musgrove (4-5, 3.63 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (9-7, 3.20) Colorado snapped a 4 game losing streak last time out, and enter this game having won 9 straight off a win when playing at home. The Rockies are also 13-3 in their last 16 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and are 12-2 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Rockies starter Freeland being one of the few pitchers in this league that has flourished in the launching pad known as Coors Field as is evident by his  6-2, 2.45 record in nine starts at Coors Field this season, I'm betting we have a viable pitcher to back. It must also be noted that Freeland last bad start this season came against Pittsburgh, but since that game his catcher Chris Iannetta, determined that Freeland wasn't throwing his four-seam fastball inside enough to right-handed hitters. Since that loss to the Bucks Freeland  has gone 9-4 2.73 in 18 starts and should be primed to keep things going with revenge on his mind here. PITTSBURGH is 8-24  against the money line in road games against left-handed starters  like Freehand over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Musgrove the Pirates young starter despite of pitching well of late has never pitched at Coors Field in could easily find himself over whelmed vs a Colorado Rockies team scoring 5.3 rpg at home this season via a hefty .283 team batting average. Pirates are 0-4 in Musgroves last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.The Pirates have lost 12 straight on the moneyline as a road 130-plus dog off a home game in which they had more strikeouts than hits.Which happened yesterday.  In the last 9 losses the Pirates have scored 1 or less runs 7 times and scored 3 and 2 runs in the other 2, with a combined 10 runs crossing the plate for the Pirates in those 9  tilts. The average deficit of defeat for the Pirates in the 12 games comes in at just under 4rpg. PITTSBURGH is 8-18 against the money line against NL West opponents this season. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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08-05-18 | Yankees +109 v. Red Sox | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (9-2, 3.84 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH David Price (11-6, 3.97) Price the BoSox stater is just 2-6 with an 8.43 ERA in nine starts against the Yankees since he joined the Red Sox in 2016 and is 0-2 with a 24.52 ERA this season. The Yankees have his number, and I'm betting nothing changes here tonight. Meanwhile,Tanaka (9-2, 3.84) the Yanks starter has not lost since April 17, going 7-0 with six no-decisions since. In his last two starts, he has worked 15 scoreless innings, yielding six hits while striking out 17.He is 8-4 with a 4.18 ERA lifetime against the Red Sox, 4-2 with a 4.09 ERA at Fenway, and despite of some struggles this season vs the Red Sox won his only start and is well equipped to turn things around in this spot and notch another win. BOSTON is a below .500 team at 15-19  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. NY YANKEES are 11-1 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. NY YANKEES are 86-56  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Yankees are 5-1 in Tanakas last 6 starts vs. American League East.Yankees are 17-4 in Tanakas last 21 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 7-2 in Tanakas last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 17-5 in Tanakas last 22 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 8-3 in Tanakas last 11 road starts.Yankees are 20-8 in Tanakas last 28 starts.Yankees are 45-21 in Tanakas last 66 starts on grass.Yankees are 53-26 in Tanakas last 79 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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08-05-18 | Astros v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Astros RH Gerrit Cole (10-3, 2.55 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Walker Buehler (4-4, 3.65) A UCLA product, Cole the Astros starter today  makes his first start at Dodger Stadium since Aug. 13, 2016, while he was with the Pirates. In five starts in July, Cole recorded a very stable 2.73 ERA, striking out 43 batters and allowing  just 23 hits in 29 2/3 innings. I'm betting he will primed to pitch well here and continue his current top form performances. COLE is 19-6 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.4 rpg scored in those 25 tilts. COLE is 24-9 UNDER in road games in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined 7.4 rpg scored.  Buehler the Dodgers starter tossed seven innings of one-run ball in his last trip to the hill, striking out seven and walking none. He's owns a solid 2.70 ERA in eight appearances (seven starts) at Dodger Stadium this year. LA DODGERS are 13-5 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. Under is 9-1-1 in Astros last 11 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 interleague road games.Over is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 during game 3 of a series.Under is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-1 in Astros last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 12-3-2 in Astros last 17 interleague games.Under is 12-3-2 in Astros last 17 vs. National League West.Under is 11-3-2 in Astros last 16 road games.Under is 7-2-1 in Astros last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 5-2-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2-1 in Astros last 8 vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 3-0-1 in Coles last 4 road starts.Under is 4-1-1 in Coles last 6 starts overall.Under is 4-1-2 in Coles last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Coles last 5 starts on natural surface. Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 7-2 in Dodgers last 9 interleague games.Under is 7-2 in Dodgers last 9 vs. American League West.Under is 6-2 in Dodgers last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 10-4-1 in Dodgers last 15 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-1 in Buehlers last 7 home starts. Play UNDER |
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08-05-18 | Tigers v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
It seems like it does not matter who will be on the hill today for both teams as both consistently exhibit bouts of offensive inconsistency. The As at home have averaged just 3.9 rpg at home this season via a lowly .230 BA, with the combined average score of home games clicking in at 7.8 rpg scored. . Meanwhile, the visiting Tigers are averaging just 3.4 rpg on the road this season via a BA of .231 with them in their opponents combining to average 8.1 rpg. With both teams hitting well below the Mendoza line it won't be difficult to expect a total score that does not eclipse number. LIRIANO the Tigers well rested starter is 31-15 UNDER in his career on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. DETROIT is 14-5 UNDER  vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 11-1 UNDER  in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 11-3 UNDER in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored.DETROIT is 23-11 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this seasonDETROIT is 14-2 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combine average of 5.5 rpg scored Under is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.Under is 23-9 in Tigers last 32 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 23-9 in Tigers last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4-1 in Tigers last 15 vs. American League West.Under is 36-16 in Tigers last 52 games following a loss.Under is 20-9 in Tigers last 29 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 35-17-2 in Tigers last 54 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-2-1 in Lirianos last 9 road starts Under is 4-1-1 in Cahills last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1-2 in Cahills last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Cahills last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 25-9-4 in Cahills last 38 home starts.Under is 5-0 in Athletics last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 3-0-1 in Athletics last 4 vs. American League Central.Under is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 games following a win.Under is 8-2 in Athletics last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 17-5 in Athletics last 22 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 10-3-1 in Athletics last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-2 in Athletics last 8 overall.Under is 6-2 in Athletics last 8 on grass.Under is 8-3 in Athletics last 11 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Under is 4-0 in Cahills last 4 starts vs. Tigers.Play UNDER |
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08-05-18 | Royals +142 v. Twins | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Royals LH Danny Duffy (7-9, 4.50 ERA) vs. Twins RH Ervin Santana (0-0, 6.10) Duffy the ace of the KC Royals rotation  will close out the Royals' road trip in Minnesota.  In his last outing 5 days ago he became the first AL pitcher in the live-ball era to allow one run or fewer in six straight starts on the road.  The veteran has won three of his last four trips to the hill and held the opposition without a run in six of his L/ 23 outings overall. Duffy permitted one run over seven innings of quality work  to grab  the victory versus the Twins back In late July, which gives him a 1-0 record along with a 0.95 ERA in three meetings this season. Needless today he matches up well vs the Twins 9 and gives them a great chance for a underdog victory here today. Royals are 5-1 in Duffys last 6 road starts . Royals are 11-4 in Duffys last 15 starts vs. Twins. Duffy is 24-13  against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Santana the Twins starter despite of pitching a little betterin his second start of the season than his first, he still gave up four runs in 5 1/3 innings against the Indians. His average fastball velocity remains around 90 mph and very seeable and hittable.  Santana, is just 7-10 with a 4.71 ERA in 25 career starts versus Kansas City. Twins are 1-4 in Santanas last 5 home starts vs. Royals.Twins are 2-9 in Santanas last 11 starts vs. Royals. MINNESOTA is 10-15  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline |
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08-04-18 | Blue Jays v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (4-8, 4.90 ERA) vs. Mariners LH James Paxton (9-4, 3.49) James Paxton tossed a no-hitter when he faced Toronto earlier this season and matches up well vs this group and Im expecting another top tier effort from him here. Meanwhile, Estrada the Jays starting hurler seems to being his best stuff against winning sides, as is evident by going  21-7 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in his career (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Under is 21-10-1 in Estradas last 32 starts during game 3 of a series. .Under is 15-7-1 in Mariners last 23 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 5-1 in Paxtons last 6 starts on grass.Under is 5-1 in Paxtons last 6 starts overall.Under is 4-0 in Paxtons last 4 starts vs. Blue Jays. Under is 7-2 in Paxtons last 9 starts vs. American League East. SEATTLE is 20-10 UNDER  in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. SEATTLE is 11-2 UNDER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. Play on the UNDER |
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08-04-18 | Tigers v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
 Tigers RH Jordan Zimmermann (4-3, 4.44 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Edwin Jackson (2-2, 3.32) Yesterday the As took out the Tigers by a 1-0 score, and today Im betting on another lower scoring affair.   Zimmermann the Tigers starter today has shown sign of brilliance this season, as well as looking a little putrid. But overall according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Athletics 9 and should do just fine today. The Righty hurler is 1-0 with a 2.60 ERA in three career starts against Oakland, including a no-decision on June 25 where he allowed just  four hits over five scoreless innings of top quality work. Meanwhile, Jackson the As starter  is off a top tier scoreless effort last time out, and is  4-2 with one shutout and a 3.23 ERA in 11 starts and five relief appearances against the Tigers in his career, including a no-decision at Detroit in his first outing with Oakland on June 25  where permitted just  up one run and six hits over six innings. The As are hitting just .232 at home this season while averaging just under 4 rpg. Meanwhile, Detroit is averaging just 3.5 rpg on the road vita  lowly .233 BA. JACKSON is 11-2 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average 7.6 rpg scored. DETROIT is 12-2 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 9-1 UNDER  in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season wit a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 21-12 UNDER  vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored.  DETROIT is 18-6 UNDER  as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season with a combined average of 7.5 rg scored. Under is 12-4-1 in Tigers last 17 during game 2 of a series.Under is 22-9 in Tigers last 31 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 22-9 in Tigers last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 21-9-1 in Tigers last 31 road games.Under is 18-8-2 in Tigers last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4-1 in Tigers last 14 vs. American League West.Under is 11-5 in Tigers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 35-16 in Tigers last 51 games following a loss.Under is 19-9 in Tigers last 28 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous gameUnder is 5-2 in Zimmermanns last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-4 in Zimmermanns last 13 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-0 in Athletics last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 4-0-1 in Athletics last 5 Saturday games.Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Athletics last 21 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-3-1 in Athletics last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-2-1 in Athletics last 9 vs. American League Central.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 overall.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 on grass.Under is 5-2-1 in Athletics last 8 during game 2 of a series.Under is 7-3 in Athletics last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1-2 in Jacksons last 7 starts on grass.Under is 4-1-2 in Jacksons last 7 starts overall Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-04-18 | Braves v. Mets UNDER 8 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Braves RH Kevin Gausman (5-8, 4.43 ERA) vs. Mets RH Zack Wheeler (5-6, 4.11) Gausman makes his Braves debut after being acquired from Baltimore at Tuesday’s trade deadline, after 6 years with the  Orioles during which he posted a 4.22 ERA in 150 career appearances. Coming over to the NL should give him the opportunity for a fresh start, and opposing batters should  of balance against him , especially a struggling inconsistent group of Mets batters that are deal last in the league with a ugly .228 BA. Meanwhile the Mets starter Wheeler has steadily got better as the season has progressed, and has held opponents to a .234 batting average while going 3-3 with a 3.28 ERA in 13 trips to the hill. Everything points to a lower scoring affair here today. GAUSMAN is 34-12 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 23-7 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)NY METS are 31-14 UNDER  at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games following a loss.Under is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 overall Under is 19-7 in Mets last 26 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 15-6-1 in Mets last 22 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-4-1 in Mets last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 4-0 in Wheelers last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 21-8 in Braves last 29 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in New York. Play UNDER |
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08-04-18 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Marlins RH Jose Urena (3-10, 4.40 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Zach Eflin (7-3, 3.64) Urena  pitched  six scoreless innings against Washington on Sunday and shutout Philadelphia through seven innings  earlier in the year and I'm betting he does just fine here today. Meanwhile, Eflin the Phillies starter owns a 4-1 record with a 3.18 ERA at home  this season  and frustrated  the Marlins through six innings in his season debut and will once again be a hand full for a Miami side that has averaged just 3.8 rpg and hit under the Mendoza line for the entire season. URENA is 12-2 UNDER  as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.6 rpg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 14-3 UNDER  in home games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season over with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 18-6 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 rpg. Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 on grass.Under is 5-1-1 in Marlins last 7 Saturday games.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. National League East.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 overall.Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 on grass.Under is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 Saturday games.Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Play UNDER |
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08-04-18 | White Sox v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
White Sox LH Carlos Rodon (3-3, 3.24 ERA) vs. Rays LH Blake Snell (12-5, 2.27) Snell the Pirates starter  has been brilliant in eight home starts, while garnering  a 6-1 record and a minuscule 0.87 ERA - and the only loss via  a 1-0 setback on May 8. He lost his last start, but previous to that during a four start run,  he allowed  a combined two runs while striking out 35 in 28 2/3 innings. I'm expecting he will frustrate the Pale Hose hitters today. Meanwhile, Rodon the ChiSox stater has pitched into the 8th inning in 3 straight starts, and has now made  four quality starts in row - where he has  permitted just  six runs. More of the same action from Rodon is on board for this tilt. SNELL is 9-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 18-6 UNDER  after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 5-2-1 in Rodons last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 23-11-2 in Rodons last 36 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 18-6-2 in Rays last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 11-4 in Rays last 15 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 18-7-1 in Rays last 26 during game 2 of a series.Under is 5-2-1 in Rays last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 10-4-1 in Rays last 15 home games vs. a left-handed starter Under is 5-1 in Snells last 6 starts overall. Play UNDER |
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08-04-18 | Reds v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
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08-03-18 | Blue Jays v. Mariners -155 | 7-2 | Loss | -155 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
RYAN BORUCKI (L) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L) Marco Gonzales has notched a victory in each of his last five starts, pitching to a 1.57 ERA over 34 1/3 innings in that span. The righty pitched six viable innings last time out after the Mariners put up seven runs in the first inning. He gets my support here again today vs a poor travelling Toronto Blue Jays side that has gone 12-26 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. It must noted that the  Mariners are a perfect 11-0 on the moneyline in franchise history with Marco Gonzales on the hill when he went at least five innings gave up fewer that three runs in his last start. GONZALES is 10-1 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record)GONZALES is 9-0  against the money line after giving up 2or less  earned runs in his last 2 outings this season.(Team Record) TORONTO is 8-23  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 30-71 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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08-02-18 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -163 | 8-1 | Loss | -163 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (3-4, 3.06 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (12-5, 2.96) Greinke a former Cy Young award winner is currently in top form as is evident by striking  out 48 while issuing just 5 walks in his last seven starts.His current run is at  6-0 in those 7 trips to the hill along with a minuscule 1.16 ERA . When this top tier hurler is hitting on all cylinders he's a night mare for opposing batters. GREINKE is 98-27 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more in his career.(Team's Record)GREINKE is 12-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 1.043. This line has steamed form around -149 on the opener and rightly so. Meanwhile, Bumgarner the Giants starter is off a loss last time out, and despite of looking better since coming of the DL has not done well against the Backs  from a W/L perspective as his team is 0-5 in his last five battles with Arizona. Giants are 0-4 in Bumgarners last 4 road starts.Diamondbacks 1B Paul Goldschmidt is 18-for-43 with three homers, nine RBIs and eight runs scored versus the Giants this season and Im betting he will be a key proponent in them winning here tonight. The Giants have lost 19 straight on the moneyline  as a 140+ underdog after they allowed 5+ walks and it is post All-Star break and are also 0-15 on the moneyline on the road after the All-Star break when they score three or less runs and still won which happened yesterday. MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, after 2 straight games where their bullpen blew a save are 51-111 L/21 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/star are 37-100 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona Backs to win on the moneyline |
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08-02-18 | Reds v. Nationals OVER 8 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Reds RH Tyler Mahle (7-8, 4.53 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.30) Mahle the Reds starter is in a funk right now and is  0-2  his last three trips to the hill while permitting 16 runs on 20 hits , including five homers . His ERA in his L/3 overall starts is a ugly 14.00 , along with a nasty looking 2.889 WHIP. The way Mahle is pitching, and the way the Nats are hitting having scored 30 runs in their L/2 games, I won't be surprised if the Nats eclipse this number all by themselves. Meanwhile, Scherzer the Nats ace, is in top form at the moment, but despite of winning his L/3 games, has still seen each game go over the number, as his team continually backs him with run support, something that I'm betting happens again today.  Note: SCHERZER is 9-1 OVER  with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 10.9 rpg scored.  Over is 8-0 in Reds last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-1 in Reds last 10 road games.Over is 9-1-1 in Reds last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-1-1 in Mahles last 6 starts overall.Over is 4-1-1 in Mahles last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 home games.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 1 of a series. Over is 4-0 in Scherzers last 4 starts overall.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.Over is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings. The Reds are 21-1 OU as a 170+ dog after a game in which they used 5+ pitchers.The only game in the L/21 that finished under was their last game, where a total of 7 runs were scored. Previous to that tilt no game had seen less than 9 runs scored. The average combined score of the 21 games clicks in at 13.38 rpg. Play OVER |
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08-01-18 | Brewers +150 v. Dodgers | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Chase Anderson (7-7, 3.69 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Rich Hill (4-4, 3.82) Anderson the Brewers starter is off a win last time out and has allowed fewer than three runs in seven straight outings and is a viable pitcher to back here in this spot in his current form. It must also be noted that the Dodgers have lost 3 straight and have scored just 3 runs and look to be in a down mode at the moment , making them fade material vs a side that matches up well agains them. Meanwhile, the Dodgers starter Hill has seen his team lost 4 of his L/5 home starts. Brewers are 4-0 in Andersons last 4 starts vs. National League West.Brewers are 8-2 in Andersons last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Brewers are 4-0 L/4 in LA vs the Dodgers.Milwaukee is 17-5 playing against the NL West this season, including a 3-2 record vs the Dodgers. The Dodgers have lost 12 straight on the moneyline at home after a game in which they had more strikeouts than hits and it is post All-Star break. LA scored an average of 1.17 runs per game in those above mentioned games. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline |
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08-01-18 | Astros v. Mariners +132 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (8-9, 3.60 ERA) vs. Mariners LH Wade LeBlanc (6-1, 3.51) Keuchel is currently a below .500 pitcher, off a loss in his last game and this season is 0-2 against Seattle accumulating a 5.52 ERA.Astros are 2-5 in Keuchels last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Mariners have won all 15 games in franchise history when Wade LeBlanc starts at home and look like viable underdogs vs a Houston team that has lost 5 of their L/6 overall. Anomaly or not Im going to ride Wade LeBlanc here at home behind a Seattle team that is 35-20 at home this season and that have won 26 of their L/36 on their own field. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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08-01-18 | Blue Jays v. A's -127 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (4-7, 5.20 ERA) vs. Athletics LH Sean Manaea (9-7, 3.46) The As 29-10 L/39 overall are for the most part playing some great ball , especially against lower tier teams like Toronto. OAKLAND is 9-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 13-2  against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season.OAKLAND is 30-9  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Today Im betting they have the edge on the struggling Blue Jays behind their starter MANAEA who is 9-0  against the money line in day games this season. (Team's Record). the southpaw  is also 14-4  against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Blue Jays are 2-14 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Athletics are 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 home starts.Blue Jays are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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08-01-18 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
 Last night the Yankees beat the Orioles 6-3 but previous to that game, the Os bats were on fire scoring 15,11,11 runs in the last three consecutive games of their series vs the TB Rays. They did not matchup all that well against Tanaka yesterday, but todays pitching matchup vs Gray suits this current Os batting lineup much better and my projections estimate they should flourish this afternoon offensively. Gray the Yankees starter has pitched his very worst at home this season as is evident by his 6.80 ERA at Yankees stadium over 10 starts . Meanwhile, the Yankees have been consistent all season long with their offence, and have scored 5 runs or more in 7 of their L/9 including 4 straight, and have averaged 5.6 rpg at home this season, and here today vs Cobb the Orioles struggling righty and bullpen the Yanks  should once again come close to putting at least that many runs on the board. Cobb has pitched his worst ball on the road this season where he has garnered a ugly 6.20 ERA. Over is 5-2 in Cobbs last 7 starts vs. American League East.Everything points to this Total be eclipsed. GRAY is 15-4 OVER in home games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game since 1997. (Team's Record).GRAY is 18-8 OVER  in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Over is 7-1 in Grays last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-3 in Grays last 13 home starts.Over is 25-4-1 in the last 30 meetings.Over is 18-3 in the last 21 meetings in New York.Over is 20-7-1 in Yankees last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Yankees have gone OVER 12 straight times  in the last game of a series as a 175-plus favorite after a game in which they scored in more innings than their opponent and it is post All-Star break with a combined average of 14.5 rpg going on the board with no game seeing less than 10 combined runs go on the scoreboard. Play OVER |
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07-31-18 | Indians -150 v. Twins | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
 Indians RH Trevor Bauer (9-6, 2.32 ERA) vs. Twins RH Kyle Gibson (5-7, 3.42) Bauer registered his ninth quality start in 10 outings last time out and according to my power rankings matches up very well vs the Twins 9 despite getting roughed by them the last time they met. The righty hurler is 2-0 with a 1.87 ERA in four starts this month . I know the Twins  have won seven of their 10 meetings with Cleveland this season after recording a walk-off 5-4 victory in the series , but now in a bounce back situation and a surge towards the play offs of ultimate importance I expect we see the Tribe at their best tonight in Minnesota. The Indians have won 20 straight on the moneyline as a 140+ favorite after All-Star break when they are facing an AL opposition and they are off a one-run loss with the average margin of victory coming by more than 5.5 rpg. Indians are 51-18 in their last 69 vs. American League CentralIndians are 4-1 in Bauers last 5 starts.Twins are 0-5 in Gibsons last 5 starts during game 2 of a seriesTwins are 1-7 in Gibsons last 8 home starts vs. Indians. MINNESOTA is 9-24  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CLEVELAND) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 43-9 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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07-31-18 | Phillies v. Red Sox UNDER 10 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Jake Arrieta (8-6, 3.45 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-4, 6.91) Neither of these pitchers inspire me, but both are capable hurlers that can do their part in help keep this tilt on the low side of the number. PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start this season with a combined average of 4.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. POMERANZ is 28-9 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Note:Red Sox starting pitchers have allowed just 11 earned runs over 70 1/3 innings (1.41 ERA) in their last 12 contests. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0-1 in Phillies last 7 interleague games.Under is 6-0-1 in Phillies last 7 vs. American League East.Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous gameUnder is 10-4-1 in Phillies last 15 road games. Under is 35-15-4 in Phillies last 54 games following a loss.Under is 9-4 in Phillies last 13 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 32-15-5 in Phillies last 52 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Arrietas last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Arrietas last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 3-1-1 in Arrietas last 5 road starts.Under is 5-2 in Arrietas last 7 starts on grass.Under is 5-2 in Arrietas last 7 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 games following a win.Under is 9-3 in Red Sox last 12 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 18-7-1 in Red Sox last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 5-2-1 in Red Sox last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Red Sox last 13 interleague gamesUnder is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 12-2 in Red Sox last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 home games.Under is 9-2 in Red Sox last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.Under is 4-1-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Boston. Under is 4-0-2 in the last 6 meetings. Under is 12-3 in umpire Nelsons last 15 games behind home plate and his last 4 games behind home plate have gone under. BOSTON is 9-1 UNDER at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season and is 22-7 UNDER  at home when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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07-31-18 | Cubs +100 v. Pirates | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
The Cubs starter tonight John Lester has struggled a bit of late, but Im expecting a bounce back by the veteran hurler here today. The Cubs southpaw has pitched his best ball on the road this season where he has garnered a 7-1 record along with a solid 3.16 ERA in in 10 trips to the hill and repeat performance vs Pittsburghs up and down 9 according to my power ranking pitcher vs offence numbers. Cubs are 6-0 in Lesters last 6 road starts. Cubs are 6-0 in Lesters last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Cubs are 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Cubs are 23-4 in Lesters last 27 starts during game 1 of a series. Cubs are 4-0 in Lesters last 4 starts vs. Pirates.LESTER is 12-1 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) LESTER is 11-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) The Cubs have won 15 in a row on the moneyline  when Jon Lester starts as a favorite and he gave up no walks in his last start. Meanwhile, Taillon despite of pitching well of late, has not pitched well enough at home to get wins, as the Pirates are 1-4 in Taillons last 5 home starts and where he has allowed 8 of the 11  HRs he has given up this season. MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 61-95 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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07-31-18 | Mets +170 v. Nationals | 4-25 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. TANNER ROARK (R) The Nationals starter Roark  has lost all three of his starts against the Mets this season, with the right-hander allowing 11 runs in 17 innings of sub par work and is fade material here in this spot as a over valued favorite. ROARK is 0-5 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) The Nationals have lost 6 straight on the moneyline with Tanner Roark as a home favorite when they scored more than six runs in his last start.ROARK is 0-6 against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) Nationals are 0-4 in Roarks last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Nationals are 0-5 in Roarks last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Nationals are 0-5 in Roarks last 5 starts vs. National League East.Mets are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Matz from the Mets has allowed six earned runs in 15 innings of three starts against Washington this season. Matz is only 1-3 vs the Nats in his career but has posted a solid 2.64 ERA in seven starts against the Nationals. Mets are 4-1 in Matzs last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Mets are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.WASHINGTON is 4-11 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline |
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07-30-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers -146 | 5-2 | Loss | -146 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
FREDDY PERALTA (R) vs. KENTA MAEDA (R) |
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07-30-18 | Blue Jays v. A's -145 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R) Estrada is set to return after missing the last four weeks with a strained glute and I won't be surprised if he exhibits some rust here in this spot vs the Athletics. Blue Jays are 1-7 in Estradas last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 0-4 in Estradas last 4 starts vs. American League West.The Jays did win yesterday, by a 7-4 count, but in the recent past have not done well after garnering a victory as is evident by a 2-7 mark after a win, and when they scored 5 or more runs in a previous game they are a lowly 8-23 so  expecting another negative outcome here tonight in Oakland is likely considering the pitching matchup and overall play both teams over the long haul. Meanwhile, the As lost yesterday, and will now be primed to recover quickly, after also being swept in their previous series vs the red hot Rockies. Athletics are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a loss. JACKSON the As starter is 15-4  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season JACKSON is 11-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 23-9  against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this .OAKLAND is also 12-2  against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season and is 32-11  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.OAKLAND is 29-9  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Blue Jays are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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07-30-18 | Rockies +135 v. Cardinals | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (6-3, 3.57 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Carlos Martinez (6-6, 3.39)  Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Martinez, has lost his last two starts, and despite of a 3-1 record vs the Rockies in his career owns a nasty looking 6.35 ERA in 5 starts and 4 relief appearances.  Note:Martinez has allowed nine runs (eight earned) on 13 hits his past couple starts and is not looking like an ace right now, and may also not be 100% healthy. Cardinals are 1-4 in Martinezs last 5 home starts.Cardinals are 1-6 in Martinezs last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. TYLER ANDERSON is  a perfect 7-0 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. COLORADO is 16-4 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.COLORADO is 22-13  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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07-30-18 | Indians -117 v. Twins | 4-5 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R Ervin Santana (0-0, 5.40 ERA) is scheduled to make his second start of the season -  - when he goes against the Indians' rookie Shane Bieber (5-2, 4.80 ERA) in a battle of right-handers.  My own  power ranking suggest we have  value with the visiting Tribe and Bieber.Santana is 7-11 with a 3.70 ERA in 25 career starts against the Indians. Bieber is 1-0 with a 3.97 ERA in two career starts against the Twins. Twins are 9-21 in Santanas last 30 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 4-0 in Biebers last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.MINNESOTA is 9-24  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB teams like (CLEVELAND) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 80-40 L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Mariners v. Angels -115 | 8-5 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
MARCO GONZALES (L) vs. FELIX PENA (R) The Angels have looked explosive offensively of late and have scored 14, 11, 11, 12 runs in 4 of their 7 games, and roughed up the visiting Mariners yesterday by a 11-5 count. The way the Halos are swinging the bats of late, it does not matter who the Mariners send to the hill. Yes, I know Gonzales the Ms starter has been in good form but, Angels center fielder Mike Trout is 7-for-15 in his career against Gonzales, shortstop Andrelton Simmons is 6-for-13, and backup first baseman Jefry Marte is 3-for-10 with two home runs and I'm betting on them continuing to heat up here. Mariners are 3-13 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning record and have lost 6 straight on the road overall. Mariners are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.The Angels have won 21 straight on the moneyline  as a favorite in the last game of a series when they are off a five-plus run win as a favorite and they are not on a wining streak of more than five games.The Mariners have lost 14 straight on the moneyline  after the All-Star break as a dog in the last game of a series when they are off a game in which their opponent scored first. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Blue Jays v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 7-4 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
RYAN BORUCKI (L) vs. CARLOS RODON (L) These teams have struggled against LHP starters this season, with the Blue Jays averaging 3.8 rpg via a lowly .234 BA, while the White Sox have averaged 3.6 rpg via a ugly .226 BA vs southpaws. I'm betting their struggles continue today vs two viable hurlers Rodon and Borucki, which help keep this combined score on the low side of the Total. CHI WHITE SOX are 30-14 UNDER after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored.  WHITE SOX are 25-11 UNDER  after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Under is 4-1 in Boruckis last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-2 in Rodons last 10 Sunday starts.Under is 4-1 in Rodons last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous gameUnder is 17-8-2 in White Sox last 27 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Rodons last 6 starts during game 3 of series. Play UNDER |
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07-29-18 | Rangers +220 v. Astros | 4-3 | Win | 220 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
The Astros have had their hands full with the Texas Rangers this weekend and lost the first two games of this 3 game series. I know the Astros will be primed to avert a embarrassing sweep at home but I'm betting that won't be an easy proposition vs vs a Rangers teams playing loose. It must also be noted that Astros starter McCullers has struggled of late , permitting 11 runs on 10 hits and 10 walks with only four strikeouts over 8 1/3 innings in consecutive losses . McCullers is also just  1-3 with a 5.72 ERA over six career starts against the Rangers and is far from being a solid pitcher to back in this spot play. Astros are 0-7 in McCullers Jr.s last 7 starts with 6 days of rest.MCCULLERS JR. is 2-9  against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team Record) MCCULLERS JR. is 1-6  against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Rangers have won 9 in a row as a 170-plus underdog after All-Star break when seeking same-season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher for a loss in which they had at least five hits. MLB team (HOUSTON) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 19-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 18-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Mets v. Pirates -135 | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. JOE MUSGROVE (R) New York right-hander Zack Wheeler (4-6, 4.33 ERA) is scheduled to face righty Joe Musgrove (4-4, 3.90 ERA). The Pirates after yesterdays shut out win vs the Mets have won 13 of their past 15 games after picking up their league-leading 12th shutout . It must be noted that the Mets have lost 22 of their L/26 when they have failed to score at least 2 runs. The momentum is very much on the Pirates side, and I'm betting they feed off what have been packed houses in Pittsburgh this weekend. Mets are 0-4 in Wheelers last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Mets are 4-12 in Wheelers last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Pirates are 11-1 in their last 12 games following a win.Pirates are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in Pittsburgh. The Pirates have won 11 straight on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a home 135-plus favorite after a game in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Mets v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh recent resurgence has been predicated on strong two way play, but their defense has really stood out, as was the case yesterday when they shutout the Mets. The Pirates have allowed 2 runs or less in 5 of their L/9 games and have only allowed more than 4 runs , one time during their L/9 tilts. Today Im betting on the Mets offence struggling vs a hurler in Musgrove that my own current power rankings suggest matches up well vs the Mets current 9, and for Wheeler the Mets hurler to do just enough vs the Pirates offence to help keep this total combined score on the low side of the number.  Add to that we have a home plate umpire in Bellinno that has only seen 13 of his L/53 games eclipse the Total. Under is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 during game 4 of a series.Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 during game 4 of a series.Under is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2-2 in Mets last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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07-29-18 | Dodgers v. Braves +130 | 1-4 | Win | 130 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Stripling has been a quality hurler for the Dodgers , but was  kicked around  in the All-Star game and in his first start after the break his confidence looked wobbly as he suffered in that game as well, giving up 5 runs in less than 5 innings of sub par work. I know it might seem like the Braves won't be able to take advantage of any issues Stripling might have right now because of their recent offensive struggles it must be noted the Braves are 7-0  against the money line after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. On the flip side Newcombe the Braves starter is looking better of late, after some recent struggles, and took a 12-1 win allowing 4 hits in his last start.Newcombe has also pitched well at home this season , garnering a stable 3.19 ERA and should once again keep his team in this tilt and help us cash a value line underdog ticket.  Braves Manager SNITKER is 11-4 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% as the manager of ATLANTA. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Phillies v. Reds -110 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R) Phillies RH Zach Eflin (7-2, 3.41 ERA) vs. Reds RH Luis Castillo (5-8, 5.30) The Philadelphia Phillies are in first place in the  National League East, but  have struggled against lower tier teams away from home this season, and have lost consecutive series to the Mets and Marlins on the road and are fade material in this spot play. I know the Phillies starter Eflin is a strong hurler, but Reds starter Castillo has allowed a total of seven runs over his last four trips to the hill and must be respected in his ability to slow the Phillies here. Phillies are 1-6 in Eflins last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Phillies are 0-4 in Eflins last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Reds are 6-1 in Castillos last 7 home starts.Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings in Cincinnati.  PHILADELPHIA is 25-41 against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 22-37 (-14.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CINCINNATI) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or worse), playing on Sunday are 98-39 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Cincinnati Redsto win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) Cleveland ace right-hander Corey Kluber (12-6, 2.88 ERA) pitches on an extra day of rest Sunday and will extremely dangerous in this spot.Kluber beat the Tigers in his two starts against them this year, allowing two runs in 16 innings.Meanwhile, Right-hander Jordan Zimmermann (4-2, 3.97 ERA) makes his second post All-Star game start for Detroit,  Over his career, Zimmermann is 0-4 with a 10.57 ERA when facing the Indians . Im betting Zimmerman and the Tigers are big time fade material in this spot. The Indians have won 21 straight in franchise history when Corey Kluber starts as a 160-plus favorite in an afternoon game. with the average margin of victory coming by more than 6 rpg. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the run-line |
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07-29-18 | Twins v. Red Sox -147 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Twins RH Jose Berrios (10-7, 3.48 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Nathan Eovaldi (3-4, 4.26) The Twins enter this game losing 12 of their L/14 vs an above .500 team, and have lost 15 of their L/21 on the road with Barrios on the hill. The Twins have also lost 14 of their L/19 road games overall, and are in a bad spot vs a hot hitting BoSox crew.  The Red Sox have been solid finishing off opponents as well, and are 6-0 in game 4 of series, and have cashed in 16 of their L/21 at home vs a below .500 team like Minnesota.  These two teams are playing with different emotional mind sets, and at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, giving us an advantage with the home side. MINNESOTA is 8-21 against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season.BOSTON is 22-8 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.BOSTON is 51-19  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season.BOSTON is 23-8 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.BOSTON is 25-5  against the money line in day games this season. HC MOLITOR is 8-33 L/41 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season .  favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 42-9 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-28-18 | Brewers v. Giants -106 | 7-1 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R) The Brewers beat the Giants yesterday 3-1 and have now lost 7 of their L/8 games, but it must be noted that SAN FRANCISCO is 11-1against the money line after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. SAN FRANCISCO is also 27-16  against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. With San Francisco hurler Johnny Cueto 11-1 at home in his career team starts against the Brewers, including 11-0 the last eleven overall I'm betting on the Giants bouncing back here and getting us a win. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start 62-156 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 37-100  L/5 seasons for go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline |
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07-28-18 | Mariners +115 v. Angels | 5-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JAIME BARRIA (R) Barria the Angels starter has gone 0-6 L/6 in seven starts and his team has lost all 7 starts .Barria has made three of his last seven starts against Seattle, losing all three despite allowing three runs or fewer in each outing. Meanwhile, Hernandez the Mariners veteran starter owns a solid 2.99 career ERA at Angel Stadium and is the best ERA among pitchers who haven't played for the Halos and gets my support in this road spot. The Angles beat the Mariners yesterday 4-3, but the Mariners have proven resilient after a 1 run loss.SEATTLE is 11-1 against the money line after a one run loss this season and once again look like viable investment proposition. Note: Angles have lost 7 of their L/10 after a victory. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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07-27-18 | Blue Jays v. White Sox +125 | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) STROMAN Toronto's starter  is 1-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.303 and his team has lost 5 of his lifetime appearances. Meanwhile, Lopez, the Pale Hose starter  loves pitching in Southside Chicago and has recorded a a 3.17 ERA and .209 batting average against as opposed to 4.95 and .275 on the road.  The Blue Jays have really been going  deep into their bullpen of late and this I'm betting that  will effect them going forward. Note:  TORONTO is 2-10 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.TORONTO is 18-32  against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Blue Jays have lost 11 straight on the moneyline  on the road off a game as a dog in which they scored in at least four separate innings and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-27-18 | Dodgers v. Braves +145 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Kershaw despite of throwing the ball well still does not look 100% as was evident against Milwaukee this past  Saturday .Kershaw pitched six innings and gave up four runs. He only threw 88 pitches and struck out five. The Dodgers lost the game 4-2  and I'm betting he won't lead his team to victory here as well. Kershaw has battled injuries all season. He missed 21 games with left biceps tendinitis in May and missed 18 games with a lower back strain in June, so he's far from healthy as he try to adjust to nagging injuries. KERSHAW is 0-5  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 16-9  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - average hitting team (AVG. 255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 163-87 L/5 seasons for a long 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-27-18 | Mets v. Pirates -152 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. IVAN NOVA (R) |
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07-26-18 | A's -130 v. Rangers | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Trevor Cahill (1-2, 2.95 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Bartolo Colon (5-8, 4.85) Cahill the As starter tonight vs the Texas Rangers is 10-4 with a 2.81 ERA in 18 career starts against the Rangers, including a no-decision at Texas this season, with the 10 victories he has earned are the most versus any MLB team. Athletics are 6-1 in Cahills last 7 road starts vs. Rangers.Meanwhile, Rangers starter Colon is a down turn as is evident by a  0-3 record along with a slightly bloated 5.30 ERA in three starts this month . He looked like a tired 45 year old middle aged man in his last effort , allowing  five runs and eight hits over 4 2/3 innings in a loss to Cleveland on Saturday. With that said Im betting the starting pitching matchup favours the As in this tilt. From a offensive perspective it must be noted that the Athletics have averaged 5.7 rpg on the road this season, and have scored 19 runs in the last two games of this series, and are in top form now and hitting on all cylinders and must be respected here as short favorites. The As look like a viable investment option to sweep this 4 game series with a victory here. Note: The Athletics have won 16 straight on the moneyline  as a favorite in the last game of a series after a road win in which they had 12+ hits. Athletics are 24-8 in their last 32 road games.Athletics are also 26-7 in their last 33 overall. Rangers are 1-8 in their last 9 home games.Rangers are 0-8 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rangers are 6-21 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 OAKLAND is 10-3  against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 33-21 against the money line in road games this season.OAKLAND is 41-26 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. TEXAS is 7-21 against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasonsTEXAS is 5-18  against the money line in home games against division opponents this season. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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07-26-18 | Twins v. Red Sox -145 | 2-1 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Twins RH Kyle Gibson (4-7, 3.57 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Brian Johnson (1-3, 3.81) The Twins play their best ball at home, but here on the road where they are tonight, their poster boys for futility as is evident by losing 20 of their L/28 away games. Tonight against a rested Boston team off a cancelled game yesterday I'm betting their in trouble. Note: BOSTON is 13-1 against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. The Red Sox have also won 15 straight on the moneyline as a rested favorite in the first game of a series after a loss as a road favorite in which they held the lead. (Which happened the day before yesterday in a 7-6 loss to Baltimore as -155 chalk)  The Twins starting pitcher Gibson despite of a being in good form , immolates his teams lack of success on the road as is evident by the Twins going 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 road starts. Twins are 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 starts vs. Red Sox. Meanwhile, the RedSox starter Johnson has seen his team win his last 5 home starts. The Twins have lost 20 straight on the moneyline  in the first game of a series with no rest as a dog of more than 120 after a game in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter. MINNESOTA is 1-11  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.MINNESOTA is 7-20 against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. JOHNSON is 9-1  against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (MINNESOTA) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 40-129 L/21 season for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-26-18 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
 Milone Nats vs Marlins RH Dan Straily (4-4, 4.02) WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. |
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07-26-18 | Rays v. Orioles +110 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Alex Cobb has been a good pitcher most of his career, but this season in Baltimore has been night mare as it has been for the entire team. Cobb has however, pitched well of late , and has garnered a stable 3.86 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill despite of losing all 3 games. His close but no cigar outings, Im betting come to an end today vs a TB side in a letdown situation and now using to their bullpen to start,  after taking the finale of a 3 game set vs the Yankees last time out which cliched the series. Im betting they will now over look this downtrodden opponent to their own detriment. QUOTE:"I know that there's a lot of discussions about wins and losses and how they don't matter," Cobb said after the game. "But I worked really hard my whole career to try and have a real nice-looking record because whether you're a casual fan or real in-depth into the numbers, the first thing you see on the back of your (baseball) cards is your win-loss. I've always taken pride in that in my whole career. I think I've always had a winning record. It sucks. END QUOTE: Rays are 4-15 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Note:The Rays have lost 26 straight  on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits , which happened against the Yankees last time out. The Rays have also lost 14 straight on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had fewer than five team-left-on-base. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline |
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07-26-18 | White Sox +177 v. Angels | 8-12 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Covey (4-5, 4.95 ERA) the Pale Hose Hurler should be primed and ready to pitch well in front of family and friends,  after coming off the best effort of his short career. The young right hander  took a no-hitter into the sixth inning against the Seattle Mariners on Saturday  going into the 9th inning. The White Sox went on to win 5-0. LA ANGELS are 5-14 (against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. Meanwhile, Halos right-hander , Tropeano (3-5, 4.58) will make his second start since missing nearly six weeks with inflammation in his throwing shoulder and I'm betting he is still not 100%.  In his L/3 starts overall he owns a ugly looking 7.07 ERA  and is fade material here this afternoon. Note: The White Sox have won 6 straight on the moneyline after they had six or fewer hits and it is post All-Star break.  The Pale hose were a +200 underdog on average. MLB Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts are 35-22 L/21 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-25-18 | Astros v. Rockies +112 | 2-3 | Win | 112 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. JON GRAY (R) Morton is 2-2 with a 4.53 ERA in eight career starts against the Rockies and 1-1, 6.97 in four starts at Coors Field and is fade material according to my power rankings in this spot. In his last start before the All-Star break on July 12, Morton allowed six hits and three runs in 4 1/3 innings against Oakland and ended up with a no-decision in Houston's 6-4 loss and overall allowed 8 runs and 11 hits  in his L/2 starts before the break spanning just 10 innings. Astros are 1-4 in Mortons last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Gray, the Rockies starter permitted the Mariners to just five hits and one run in a season-high 7 1/3 innings with one walk and six strikeouts last time out in comes in this tilt brimming with confidence and has the added incentive of facing the defending world champs.  That above mentioned effort was an efficient outing for Gray, who threw 64 of 93 pitches for strikes. GRAY is 8-2  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)GRAY is 7-0 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Gray has recorded a 5-1 record and 3.42 ERA in nine career interleague starts. Rockies are 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. The Rockies have won 10 straight on the moneyline at home off a game as a dog in which they did not hit a home run and it is post All-Star break with all 10 victories coming by multiple runs. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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07-25-18 | Tigers v. Royals -115 | 8-4 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
MATT BOYD (L) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L) The Royals grabbed a win this series vs the Tigers yesterday, and have proven to be a solid side to back in this situation as they are  14-2  against the money line in home games off a one run win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons.  The Tigers will start left-hander Matthew Boyd, who is 4-9 with a 4.62 ERA in 19 starts. He went 6-11 with a 5.27 ERA in 25 starts last season and is one of the Tigers least consistent options for victory. Boyd has made 11 career starts against the Royals, recording a 2-6 record with a bloated 6.79 ERA. He is 0-2 with a 3.46 ERA in two starts this season against Kansas City. Tigers are 0-6 in Boyds last 6 starts.Tigers are 2-12 in Boyds last 14 road starts. Meanwhile, KCs starter Duffy's  is currently in top form garnering aminsucle 0.45 ERA in his L/3 starts. After beginning the season 1-6 with a 6.88 ERA in his first 10 starts, Duffy is 5-2 with a 2.58 ERA in his past 11 starts and is a dangerous opponent for a inconsistent Tigers batting order. Royals are 5-1 in Duffys last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Royals are 11-0 L/11 on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a home favorite off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent.The Royals are also  14-1 L/15 on the moneyline  when Danny Duffy starts at home when they won his last two starts. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - after a one run loss against opponent after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 49-120 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors on the blind. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline |
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07-25-18 | Pirates +172 v. Indians | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) Pittsburgh enters this game on fire, having won 11 straight games, while putting up huge offensive numbers in the process. Instead of going against the flow like the lines makers are suggesting Ill ride the wave until it crashes and suggest we back them in this spot play vs the Cleveland Indians. Meanwhile, Pirates starter Taillon has been in top form  in his last two trips to the hill ,  as is evident by giving up two runs on 10 hits and three walks over 11 1/3 innings with 16 strikeouts .  The Bucks hurler has also limited 16 opponents to three or fewer runs in his 20 starts this season  and  has garnered a 3.02 ERA since the beginning of June.  Meanwhile, the Indians starter Bauer struggled in his first appearance after the All-Star break, allowing four runs on nine hits and five walks across just  four innings of a no-decision at Texas and in his L/3 starts overall has shown sudden command issues permitting 10 walks during that span.  He has good numbers but currently looks vulnerable at the worst possible time vs a Pittsburgh batting order that is seeing the ball very well at the moment. Note:Bauer has been the Tribes version of  a hard-luck starter when it comes to run support. In his six losses, the Indians have scored a total of seven runs.Indians are 2-9 in Bauers last 11 interleague starts. PITTSBURGH is 9-1  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 12-2  against the money line in an inter-league game this season . Indians are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Pirates are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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07-24-18 | Cardinals -117 v. Reds | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
The Cards lost a heartbreaker yesterday, 2-1 as the Reds rallied late to win, but it must be noted that ST LOUIS is 12-2  against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season. Bailey the Reds starter vs the cards tonight is a ugly  1-7 with a 6.68 In his L/9 starts, and has  allowed16 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings over his last three starts, the last coming May 28. He was then sent to Triple-A Louisville to rehabilitate a right knee injury and get himself back on track , but only looked average recording a  2-2 record with a slightly bloated 4.78 ERA in seven games, six of them starts. Whatever his issues were, they still don't look fixed and is fade material here in this spot. BAILEY is 1-9  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Cardinals haven 20 straight as a moneyline favorite off a game as a dog when their opponent's starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 2.15 on the seasons and it is post All-Star break.  CINCINNATI is 8-21  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season and 8-21 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts 36-91 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the moneyline |
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07-24-18 | Red Sox -142 v. Orioles | 6-7 | Loss | -142 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-3, 6.81 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Yefry Ramirez (0-3, 3.09) Pomeranz the BoSox starter comes off the disabled list fresh and ready to get back on track this Tuesday vs the lowly Baltimore Orioles. Pomeranz  owns a 1.80 ERA in four career games (two starts) at Camden Yards.The Orioles are 0-4 since trading away All-Star shortstop Manny Machado. and Boston is perfect 9-0 L/9 games played at Camden Yards. The negative trends I'm betting continue for the Orioles tonight. BALTIMORE is 6-32  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. Red Sox are 17-4 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. The Red Sox have cashed 22 straight times as a road 140+ favorite off a contest as a chalk when their oppositions starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.62 on the season and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener. Also 20 of those 22 victories came by multiple runs. MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are  42-15 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-24-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles UNDER 10 | 6-7 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-3, 6.81 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Yefry Ramirez (0-3, 3.09) Pomeranz the BoSox starter comes off the disabled list fresh and ready to get back on track this Tuesday vs the lowly Baltimore Orioles. Pomeranz owns a 1.80 ERA in four career games (two starts) at Camden Yards. meanwhile, Orioles rookie Ramirez, despite of being a hard luck pitcher and not garnering enough support for wins, is a solid hurler who began his career in the majors with 4 1/3 innings of three-run ball against  the  BoSox on June 13 this season.  Ramirez is allowing opposition batters to a .224 average and has 24 strikeouts through his first 23 1/3 innings. I'm betting the kid does just enough to limit the explosive Boston offence from bombing away and  embarrassing him in this spot. With that said, look for a combined score that fails to eclipse the bloated number. POMERANZ is 11-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.POMERANZ is 13-2 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. BOSTON is 23-8 UNDER  when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. .BALTIMORE is 18-3 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Under is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 3-1-2 in Orioles last 6 on grass.Under is 9-3 in Orioles last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 3-1-2 in Orioles last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 14-5 in Orioles last 19 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 19-7-3 in Orioles last 29 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 18-7-3 in Orioles last 28 home games.Under is 25-10-2 in Orioles last 37 games following a loss.Under is 35-16 in Orioles last 51 during game 2 of a series.Under is 33-16-2 in Orioles last 51 Tuesday games. Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games following a win.Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 overallUnder is 5-2 in Pomeranzs last 7 road starts.Under is 5-2 in Pomeranzs last 7 starts overall. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.Under is 4-1-1 in Pomeranzs last 6 starts vs. Orioles. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a terrible starting pitcher (WHIP 1.700 or better ) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 31-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.800 or worse on the season-AL are 52-18 UNDER L/21 season for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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07-23-18 | Braves v. Marlins +123 | 12-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
Braves LH Sean Newcomb (8-5, 3.51 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Jose Urena (2-9, 4.39) Newcomb struggled just before the All-Star break by losing each of his last three outings, posting a 9.75 ERA with 12 walks and four homers allowed in 12 innings of sub par work. I originally thought he should be refreshed after the break, but reports out of Atlanta ...accurate or not have suggested he already has some dead arm issues, and or some discomfort in his throwing arm. Whether their is accuracy to these reports I don't know but their question marks, that could get answered today vs a Miami team that on occasion have proven golden in this role when playing with same season revenge for a walkoff loss which happened the last time these teams met. The Marlins have won 12 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a home series when seeking same season revenge for a walk-off loss.. Braves are 0-5 in Newcombs last 5 starts.Marlins are 4-0 in Urenas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - horrible team, outscored by opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 39-20 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline |
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07-23-18 | Cardinals +118 v. Reds | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Cardinals RH Daniel Poncedeleon (ML debut) vs. Reds RH Luis Castillo (5-8, 5.49 ERA) Poncedeleon the Cards starter is 9-3 with a 2.15 ERA and 103 strikeouts in 92 innings at Triple-A Memphis. He has worked 20 frames over his last three outings without allowing an earned run. This hurler underwent  brain surgery this past year, after being hit in the temple by a line drive , since than it looks like a miraculous situation unfolded. I'm betting on more wow , action in his big league debut vs a Reds team that was destroyed Reds,  ( outscored ) by a 27-5 count during a three-game sweep at the hands of Pittsburgh over the weekend. Castillo the Reds starter  is 0-3 with a 5.24 ERA in four career starts against St. Louis in his career. iThe Cardinals have won 12 straight on the moneyline  in the first game of a road series with no rest when they are off a loss in which they held the lead and it is post All-Star break. Which was the case yesterday. Cardinals are 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in Cincinnati.Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the moneyline Play on the St.Louis Cards on the moneyline |
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07-23-18 | Dodgers -134 v. Phillies | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
ROSS STRIPLING (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R) Ross Stripling owns a 4-2 record along with a stingy 1.81 ERA on the road while allowing  opposition batters to a .235 batting average. He and the Dodgers get my backing here today. EFLIN the Phillies starter despite of a good season is 0-2 in 3 career starts when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.500. His team lost all three of his trips to the hill vs the Dodgers, including a 8-2 blasting earlier this season. The Phillies have lost 17 straight as a 125+ dog off a home game in the first game of a series when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss. Dodgers are 14-2 in their last 16 during game 1 of a seriesDodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 road gamesDodgers are 14-3 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Phillies are 1-5 in Eflins last 6 starts vs. National League West. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 61-154 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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07-22-18 | Astros -117 v. Angels | 5-14 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L) |
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07-22-18 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (7-5, 2.66 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Max Scherzer (12-5, 2.41) Both teams decided not to go with Saturday's starters after yesterdays cancellation/postponement -- Atlanta's Sean Newcomb (8-5, 3.51 ERA) and Washington's Gio Gonzalez (6-6, 3.72) -- and instead stay with Sunday's scheduled pitchers.All-Stars Mike Foltynewicz (7-5, 2.66 ERA) of the Braves and Max Scherzer (12-5, 2.41) of the Nationals. Scherzer the Nationals starter today is 1-1 against the Braves this season and has allowed two earned runs in 14 innings. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz the Braves man on the hill owns a decent achievement chart against the Nationals this season, allowing three earned runs in 10 1/3 innings for a stingy 1.40 ERA . The Braves righty ranks fourth in the NL in ERA and fifth in strikeouts per nine innings (10.6), pitched to a 0.87 ERA while holding opposition batters to a .146 average in nine tries. I expect after yesterdays day off, that the offences could find themselves starting slow while the pitchers dominate, as they are well rested and rejuvenated after the break. Under is 7-2-3 in Foltynewiczs last 12 starts vs. National League East.Under is 7-2 in Scherzers last 9 starts overall.Under is 6-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 home starts.Under is 6-2 in Braves last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 22-6 in Nationals last 28 during game 2 of a series.Under is 7-2 in Nationals last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 20-7 in Nationals last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 40-15-3 in Nationals last 58 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game . WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg going on the board.
Play UNDERÂ |
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07-22-18 | Braves +195 v. Nationals | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
 MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs M.SCHERZER Foltynewicz the Braves starter had a couple of down efforts before the all star break, but Im expecting he will be  refreshed after the break and ready return to the form that has him ranked 4th fourth in the NL in ERA and fifth in strikeouts per nine innings (10.6), pitched to a 0.87 ERA while allowing opposition batters to hit  a lowly .146 average in nine tries before his final two outings. Foltynewicz is 2-1 with a 1.40 ERA in three starts against the Nationals this season and matches up very well against them. I'm betting on his out duelling Nats starter Scherzer today. The Braves have defeated Washington five times in the last six meetings and from a team to team matchup perspective are the superior side according to my power rankings. Nationals are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. National League East.Braves are 9-4 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The Braves have won 8 straight on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a dog of more than 150 when they are off a game in which they had 12+ hits and scored five-plus runs.Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-21-18 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R) These teams took part in a 11-10 slugfest yesterday with Colorado winning. I'm betting on more of the same action in this spot. Arizona's starter Godley (11-6, 4.61 ERA) has been ingot form of late, but has been inconsistent this season, as is evident by his slightly bloated ERA.  His 1.56 WHIP is the highest among the 39 NL qualifiers, but he has been supported by 4 1/2 runs per game. I expect Colorado's sometimes explosive bats to do some damage against him here today. Over is 8-1-2 in Rockies last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Freeland the Rockies starter  is 1-2 with a 4.07 ERA in five career starts against Arizona and despite of being a quality pitcher my own power rankings suggest the Backs should do well against him here today in the desert heat. He is backed by a bullpen that owns a bloated 5.82 ERA and a 4.58 ERA away from Coors Field. Over is 5-1-1 in Godleys last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.The Diamondbacks have gone OVER 11 straight times after a game as a home favorite in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break with a combined average of 15.08 rpg scored, with no game seeing less than 10 runs scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 37-12 OVER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-21-18 | Rockies +140 v. Diamondbacks | 6-5 | Win | 140 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R Godely is a decent pitcher but it must be noted COLORADO is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season averaging 5.6 rpg .With Colorado heating up winning 11 of their L/14 their  a dangerous opponent for all comers and a value option on a underdog line.  FREELAND is 9-3  against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Rockies are 11-0 L/11 on the moneyline  as a UNDERDOG off a road game in which they left 18+ men on base , which happened yesterday and were an average of 148 + dogs on the line in those 11 tilts. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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07-21-18 | Astros -168 v. Angels | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. NICK TROPEANO (R) Verlander the Astros starter after some bad breaks before the all star game, and some down efforts compared to his usual self should be revitalized by the break and continue his domination of the Angels. Verlander owns a 2-0 record with a shutout and a 1.13 ERA in two turns this year vs the Halos and gets the nod here in this spot play. Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. American League West.Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. Angels. The Astros have won 10 of their L/14 and I'm betting they will also capture their 4th straight road win vs a inconsistent and banged up Angels team. Angels are 7-21 in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. LA ANGELS are 1-11  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 2-12 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons. The Astros have won 13 straight on the moneyline  as a favorite off a road game in which they did not score after the third inning and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener. HOUSTON is 21-4 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. LA ANGELS are 1-7  against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (LA ANGELS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75or less), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.50or worse over his last 3 starts are 10-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettorsHOUSTON is 20-3  against the money line in road games against division opponents this season Play on Houston to win on the moneyline |
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07-21-18 | Red Sox -158 v. Tigers | 0-5 | Loss | -158 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
BRIAN JOHNSON (L) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R) Johnson makes his fourth start on Saturday, coming off strong showing against the Blue Jays during which he held Toronto to two runs over 4 1/3 innings. Red Sox are 9-0 in Johnsons last 9 starts and get my support again in this spot. BOSTON is 14-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. The Red Sox have won 15 straight as a favorite off a game as a 130-plus favorite in which their opponent left 18-plus men on base. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (DETROIT) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 18-53 L/5 seasons for a 82% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-20-18 | Pirates v. Reds -108 | 12-1 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. TYLER MAHLE (R) Reds right-hander Tyler Mahle (7-7) was 4-0 with a 2.04 ERA in his previous seven starts before making his worst start of the season, a 19-4 loss to the Cleveland Indians on July 11 in which he gave up five earned runs and six hits in 2 1-3 innings. Im betting on him rebounding here vs the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight. Note: The Reds have won 16 in a row when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after playing as a road dog when their starter went less than four innings in his last start. Reds are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Meanwhile, the Reds batting order matches up well vs Pirates starter Taillon.  The Pirates right-hander  (6-7), who  was roughed up for six runs and eight hits in six innings the last time he faced the Reds, in May and is my go against hurler in this spot. Pirates are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Cincinnati.PITTSBURGH is 21-45  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline |
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07-20-18 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -140 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (6-9, 4.35 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Sam Gaviglio (2-3, 4.58)  Bundy the the Orioles starter  Is  0-2 in his L/2 trips to the hill along with a ugly 12.27 ERA and is fade material here vs a Toronto side that outscored Baltimore 27-11 while sweeping four game series at home back in June. Orioles are 1-10 in Bundys last 11 starts vs. American League East Meanwhile,Gaviglio,  the Jays starter, has a 1.97 ERA in seven games (five starts) at home and looks like a viable pitcher to back here this evening. Blue Jays are 4-0 in Gaviglios last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.Orioles are 11-40 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.Note:The Orioles have lost 15 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a series with rest on the road after they scored in at most two separate innings, which happened before the break. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline |
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07-20-18 | Cardinals v. Cubs -132 | 18-5 | Loss | -132 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
JACK FLAHERTY (R) vs. JON LESTER (L) The Cubs have won 13 of their last 16 games and own a  three-game lead over Milwaukee in the National League Central. Meanwhile, the Cards have lost 4 of their L/5 , and 8.5 games behind the Cubs, and once again look like fade material, as they go with Flaherty on the hill who is winless in his last six starts. Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. , Cubs sud starter Lester hasn’t lost since May 23, and has recorded  8-0 record along with a 2.80 ERA in nine starts over that stretch and once again I'm betting on nothing changing here vs the Cards. Cubs are 5-0 in Lesters last 5 home starts vs. Cardinals. LESTER is 11-0 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record)LESTER is 11-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)LESTER is 16-3 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ST LOUIS) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), after allowing 9 runs or more are 19-61 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of  76% for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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07-15-18 | Mariners +145 v. Rockies | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L) The Mariners starter LEAKE is 7-2  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) I know Colorado bats have been on fire of late, but in the past they have proven less than productive going forward, as is evident by the following trend  that shows COLORADOs won loss futility as being 4-16 against the money line after batting .333 or better over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons. It also seems the Rockies start to get a little to comfortable when playing on extended home stands, as they are  is 9-21 against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last couple seasons. Meanwhile, Anderson the Rockies starter is in good form, but lost his last trip to the hill, 5-3 to Arizona, and in his career is just  0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 2.600 in his career. COLORADO is 10-16  against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. SEATTLE is 17-3  against the money line after 5 or more consecutive road games this season.SEATTLE is  also 9-1 against the money line in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a decent NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 28-12  L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL is 19-37 L/22 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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07-15-18 | Yankees v. Indians OVER 9 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) We have two strong pitchers on the mound today, but we also have two sometimes explosive offences going against these hurlers Tanka of the Yankees and Bauer of the Indians.I'm betting on the offences finding a way to so some damage here today and for this Total to be eclipsed. TANAKA is 13-2 OVER  in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 23-8 OVER  in home games against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.  Cleveland is 15-4 OVER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg being scored. CLEVELAND is 10-2 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 11-1 OVER  at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. The Yankees have gone OVER 6 straight times on the road with Masahiro Tanaka when their starter went fewer than six innings in each of their last two games. The average final score in these six games was 15 rpg , with none of those tilts failing to hit the 9 run plateau. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) -  (AVG or less .260) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or better, WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 82-44 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-15-18 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -142 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. BRIAN JOHNSON (L)  The pitching matchup might seem to favour the Blue Jays, but the Jays starter JOHNSON is 7-0  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Jays flounder a lot at the plate and must not be overestimated here and have struggled against LHP like Johnson , going just 11-23  against the money line against left-handed starters this season. It must also be noted that the the Blue Jays have lost 10 straight on the moneyline with Marcus Stroman as a road dog when they won in his last start. JOHNSON is 8-0  against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 22-7 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.BOSTON is 23-5 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season. The Blue Jays have lost 19 straight on the moneyline  in the last game of a series as a underdog of more than 130 when they are off a defeat in which they held the lead which happened yesterday at Fenway. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-14-18 | Cubs v. Padres OVER 8 | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. LUIS PERDOMO (R) Padres starter Perdomo's will make his  third start since he returned from Triple-A El Paso on July 4. He is 0-1 in his first two outings back, allowing eight runs on 14 hits and seven walks with three strikeouts over 12 2/3 innings and could easily get lit up by the Cubs batting order here today.PERDOMO is 10-1 OVER  in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the scoreboard. Meanwhile, Cubs starting hurler  Hendricks is 1-2 with a 5.20 ERA during the past month and has given up 17 runs (16 earned) on 30 hits and 12 walks in 27 2/3 innings.I expect the Padres 9 will also do some damage here and will help to contribute to this total being eclipsed. SAN DIEGO is 10-0 OVER in home games after a one run loss over the last 2 seasons, (which happened yesterday ) with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. CHICAGO CUBS are 21-9 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 10.3 rpg scored. MLB Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  of 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 64-35 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. The Cubs have gone OVER the Total 7 straight times as a road 160-plus favorite off a game as a favorite that was tied at the end of the sixth inning. The average final score  averaged out to 12.28 rpg. Play OVER |
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07-14-18 | Angels v. Dodgers -154 | 5-4 | Loss | -154 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Heaney (5-6, 3.84) has been one of the rare Angels pitchers to avoid injury. He is one of three Angels starters to make at least 16 starts. He has proved resilient but has not been fortunate enough to garner more wins than losses, and I'm betting he will be on the wrong side of W/L her/his Saturday evening. Note: Heaney yielded three runs over seven innings in his last start against the Dodgers on Sunday. He is 1-2 with a 5.19 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers. HEANEY is 1-10  against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Angels are 0-6 in Heaneys last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, Wood enters the rematch hoping to pick up a winning decision after not factoring in the decision vs. the Angels on Sunday. The lefty has tossed six-plus innings in each of his past four starts, a stretch during which he’s 3-0 with a 2.88 ERA. He gets my support here tonight. Dodgers are 17-4 in their last 21 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter. LA ANGELS are 8-17  against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Angels are 2-12 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Angels are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles. Angels are 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.LA ANGELS are 10-25  against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seasons.  Manager ROBERTS of LAD  is 54-18 against the money line in home games after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games . Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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07-14-18 | Diamondbacks v. Braves OVER 8 | 3-0 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L) Newcomb (8-4, 3.44 ERA)  Is struggling of late as is evident by going a  combined 6 1/3 innings and giving up 10 runs in his last two trips to the hill. I'm betting the Backs bats don't let him off easily and accumulate some runs here that will help get us over the total. Meanwhile, Zack Greinke (9-5, 3.39 ERA) comes into the start with momentum, having won six of his past seven , but has still not been his usual dominant self despite of getting all star allocation this season. I expect the Braves a team that have averaged 4.9 rpg this season do also do some damage with this total getting eclipsed.  ATLANTA is 10-2 OVER  revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. (Arizona beat the Braves yesterday 2-1) Over is 9-4-1 in Diamondbacks last 14 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 15-7-1 in Diamondbacks last 23 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Newcombs last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 4-0 in Newcombs last 4 starts overall. Over is 5-2 in Braves last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (ARIZONA) - with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or less  over his last 3 starts are 42-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. The Diamondbacks have gone OVER 11 straight times  when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a road game in which they scored 3 runs or fewer and won with a combined average of 10.28 rpg scored, with no game failing to reach the 8 point totals plateau. Play OVER |
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07-14-18 | Reds +130 v. Cardinals | 8-2 | Win | 130 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
The Cards looked completely asleep at the wheel yesterday losing by a 9-1 count, and that does not bode well for them here this afternoon. The Cardinals  have lost 14 of their last 23 home games and are far from solid favs as a host.  Im betting things don't get much better,  with Cards rookie right-hander Jack Flaherty (3-4, 3.34)  on the hill to face the surging Reds (42-52), who have won 20 of their last 29 games . .Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Reds Manager RIGGLEMAN is 10-3  against the money line in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities  .  The Cardinals has lost 5 straight  as a 130-plus home favorite after a game in which they had more strikeouts than hits.The Cincinnati Reds has won 6 straight  as a moneyline dog after a game in which they scored in at least three innings and hit multiple home runs.  Every win was by 2 or more  runs. ST LOUIS is 15-20 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ST LOUIS) - off a loss by 8 runs or more to a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are just 16-26 L/21 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline |
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07-14-18 | Diamondbacks v. Braves +100 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Greinke, whose road ERA is 4.31 in nine starts, looks susceptible to being lit up here today, vs a Atlanta team that has proven itself dangerous this season offensively. The Diamondbacks have lost  19 straight when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a game as a dog when their opponent's starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 1.97 on the season and it is not a series opener , which NewCombe the Braves starterhas. Diamondbacks are 6-14 in their last 20 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 8-22 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.Diamondbacks are 5-14 in their last 19 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a winDiamondbacks are 7-16 in the last 23 meetings in Atlanta. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-14-18 | Royals v. White Sox -126 | 5-0 | Loss | -126 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
The White Sox  are well prepared for their third straight win as they send Reynaldo Lopez (4-6, 3.77 ERA)  to the hill . The hurler  will be looking for his third victory in his past four outings. The 24-year-old right-hander had won back-to-back starts before he allowed three runs and six hits in just 4 2/3 innings last week against the Houston Astros. I'll forgive that effort vs a side that could easily be World Series Champs this season. Lopez is 2-0 with a 3.28 ERA in four career starts against the Royals and gets my support in this spot. White Sox are 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts vs. Royals.Meanwhile, the Royals starter DUFFY is 4-15  against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KANSAS CITY is 7-25  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. RENTERIA is 31-18 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in all games he has managed since 1997. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-13-18 | Reds v. Cardinals -148 | 9-1 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Reds RH Matt Harvey (4-5, 4.80 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Carlos Martinez (6-4, 3.05) Martinez won his third straight start Saturday after allowing one run on six hits over seven innings in a 3-2 victory at San Francisco and enters tis game as solid option in top form. The  righty thrower owns a 1-1 record along  with a stable 2.70 ERA in three starts against Cincinnati this season,  and has over powered the Reds batting order recording 23 strikeouts (16 2/3 innings).Reds are 25-55 in their last 80 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Cardinals are 34-16 in Martinezs last 50 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Cardinals are 8-3 in Martinezs last 11 starts vs. Reds. Meanwhile, the Reds starter Harvey  is 8-20 L/28 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in his career. (Team's Record) Reds are  also 1-4 in Harveys last 5 road starts and are fade material here, where Harvey has pitched his worst ball this season recording a bloated .5.21 ERA in 9 away starts and does not matchup well vs this Cards batting order according to my power rankings data. CINCINNATI is 5-20  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. After exploding for 14 runs in win on Wednesday the Cards followed that up with a clunker and lost a 4-0 decision, but in the recent past have proven resilient off a loss going 4-0 after a defeat  the last four times it happened. I'm betting they bounce back today. Note: Reds are 4-17 in the last 21 meetings.Play on the St.Louis Cardinals on the moneyline to win |
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07-13-18 | Rangers -109 v. Orioles | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. ALEX COBB (R) Cobb will make his scheduled start after a blister forced him to leave his previous start early. He took the loss in that outing after allowing five earned runs on seven hits and one walk in five innings and is fade material here in this spot. Cobb is 0-4 at home this season along with a bloated 5.71 ERA.  Meanwhile, Cole Hamels the Rangers hurler, despite of struggling of late, is still a decent pitcher, who has his pitched his best ball on the road garnering a steady .2.57 ERA in 9 trips to the hill. Rangers manager Jeff Banister is confident Hamels will bounce back. "Very uncharacteristic," Banister said after the latest poor outing. "For me, Cole looked as strong as he's been all year long. ... Cole will be all right." Rangers are 33-12 in Hamels' last 45 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 20-9 in Hamels' last 29 starts during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.COBB is 0-10 L/10 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record).HAMELS is 11-2 against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB team (BALTIMORE) - bad offensive team (4.2or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70)-AL, in July games are 26-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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