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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-14-22 | A's v. Red Sox -1.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Boston starter Nick Pivetta (5-5, 3.78 ERA) who is 5-1 with a 1.96 ERA over his past seven starts go to the hill today to take on a very inconsistent Oakland batting order that my own power rankings suggest he matches up well against. Pivetta has pitched seven shutout innings in each of his two career starts against Oakland (last two seasons). PIVETTA is 2-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.571. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. Athletics are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East. OAKLAND is 1-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at - 3.7 .KOTSAY is 2-25 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start as the manager of OAKLAND with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.7. Play on Boston Red Sox -1.5 runline |
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06-12-22 | Pirates v. Braves -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Braves took a 10-4 win yesterday and my projections estimate another lopsided victory today. The Braves are red hot having won 10 straight while the Pirates are in a slump as is evident by 5 straight losses. ' PITTSBURGH is 9-34 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.8. Note: Pirates starter Quintana owns a 8.68 ERA in four career starts against Atlanta. Quintana is coming off a poor start against the Detroit Tigers on Tuesday when he permited four runs in 3 1/3 innings of a 5-3 loss. Pirates are 3-9 in their last 12 games after losing the first 3 games of a series. Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 overall. Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 overall. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL are 8-61 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.3. Play on Atlanta to win |
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06-11-22 | Pirates v. Braves -1.5 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
PITTSBURGH is 9-34 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a rpg diff clicking in at -2.8. Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL are 8-61 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.3 . |
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06-11-22 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
The Phillies are red hot and with Zack Wheeler on the hill at home wheres he’s been over powering this season they have a definitive edge. Wheeler in 36 1/3 innings of work as a host has recorded a minuscule  1.73 ERA and a 2.21 FIP. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 against the money line in June games this season winning by an average of 4.9 rpg ( Phillies 7.6 Opponent 2.7) Dbacks starter BUMGARNER is 0-11 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a average rpg diff clicking in at -2.5 rpg. ARIZONA is 7-36 against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons with the average run diff clicking in at -2 which qualifies on this runline offering. Play on Philadelphia Phillies to win |
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06-07-22 | A's v. Braves -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
The A's are 16 games under .500 for the first time since Sept. 18, 2017 and are off a 1-9 home stand. Needless to say the As are not in good form and susceptible to be blown out against a Braves side that is one of the best in baseball vs LHP like Irvin averaging 6.1 rpg in production. Atlanta ranks #1 vs LHP pitching with isolated power and No.4 in OPS vs southpaws. Note:Irvin has made five career relief appearances against Atlanta, all while he played for Philadelphia, and posted an 11.32 ERA in 10 1/3 innings. OAKLAND is 0-11 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.5 rpg. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 57-5 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.8 which qualifies on the RL offering. Play on Atlanta Braves to win -1.5 |
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06-05-22 | Tigers v. Yankees -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
 Detroits offense on the road has really been struggling averaging just 2.1 RPG via a lowly .197 BA. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggests Montgomery matches up very well here and that the Yankees top tier offense also matches up well vs Garcia who is a right-hander (0-1, 4.70 ERA). Yankees team ERA is a major-league-best 2.73. Montgomery has allowed three runs or fewer in each start this year. Yanks have won all 5 games this season by 2 runs or more vs Detroit. NY YANKEES are 19-2 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. NY YANKEES are 15-1 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season with the average rpg diff coming in at +3.8. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (DETROIT) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 37-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.7. Play on NYY -1.5 |
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05-25-22 | Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Detroit has averaged just 2.3 rog on the road this season behind a lowly .209 BA. The Tigers have lost 9 of their L/11 games by 2 runs or more and Im expecting similar results here vs a Minnesota side that is averaging 6.6 rpg in their L/7 tilts with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.9 . DETROIT is 2-14 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season this season with the average of 2 rpg diff clicking in which qualifies on this runline offering. MINNESOTA is 21-6 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2 rpg. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (DETROIT) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games are 6-37 L/25 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate. Play on the Minnesota Twins -1.5 runline |
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05-21-22 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Texas will send Jon Gray (1-1, 5.73 ERA) to the mound while Houston will counter with fellow right-hander Justin Verlander (5-1, 1.38). The pitching advantage obviously resides with the Astros . Verlander has won his last four starts, has pitched at least five innings in each of his seven starts this season and has not allowed more than five hits in any tilt he has pitched in . His most recent outing was on Sunday when he gave up just two hits and three walks in five innings in an 8-0 Houston win in Washington. HOUSTON is 30-10 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.8 . MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (HOUSTON) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 49-5 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with a average of +3.2 which qualifies on this runline offering. Play on the Astros to win -1.5 |
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05-19-22 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Houston left-hander Framber Valdez (2-2, 2.93 ERA) will start the opener against Texas on Thursday. He is coming off his longest outing of the season: stretching out for 7 2/3 innings during which he allowed one run on seven hits and two walks with six strikeouts in a 6-1 win over the Washington Nationals on Friday. Im betting the momentum of his last effort continues here . Meanwhile,Right-hander Glenn Otto (1-1, 6.38 ERA) goes to the hill for the Rangers. He matched his career high for hits (eight), walks (four) and earned runs (eight) allowed in his latest start, an 11-3 loss to the Red Sox on Saturday. His form in that game is a pretest to what Im betting his fate is here today vs a consistent Houston Astors squad. Otto owns a 6.39 ERA against Houston -- all at Globe Life Field. WOODWARD is 10-40 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of TEXAS with a rpg diff average of -2. Play on Houston to win -1.5 runline |
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05-16-22 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Los Angeles starter right-hander Tony Gonsolin (3-0, 1.33),has limited the opposition to a .168 batting average through his first six starts covering 27 innings and gives the an edge to the Dodgers on the runline. I know the DBacks have played well ,but they now go against a Dodgers side that will want to keep momentum going after a win vs the Phillies on Sunday. If this game is close, in the later innings and even if the Dbacks have a improbable lead it must be noted that DBacks closer, Mark Melancon has an 8.49 ERA with five losses. ARIZONA is 2-27 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.6. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 31-2 L/25 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.7 which qualifies on the ATS line. Play on LA Dodgers to win -1.5 |
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05-13-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers -1.5 | 12-10 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw (4-0, 1.80 ERA has given up one run or none in four of his five starts. In three lifetime appearances (two starts) against the Dodgers, Phillies starter Gibson is 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA. Advantage Dodgers in bounce back mode from a loss yesterday. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 90-10 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with a rpg diff clicking in at +3.7 which qualifies on a run-line betting option. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 31-1 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on the run-line. Play on LA Dodgers on the Runline -1.5 |
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05-11-22 | Orioles v. Cardinals -1.5 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have lost three straight games but will be ready to bounce back behind Miles Mikolas (2-1, 1.53 ERA) and will primed for a strong effort here vs a side that they can handle.   BALTIMORE is 7-24 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with the rpg diff clicking in at -2.1. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 55-5 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicks in at +3.7 which qualifies on a runline wager. Play on Cardinals -1.5. |
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04-12-22 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | 8-9 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
04-09-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
New Jays pitching acquisition Gausman will face right-hander Dane Dunning, who earned the win in his Rangers debut April 6, 2021, against the Blue Jays. He allowed one run, three hits and no walks while striking out six in five innings. Im betting Gausmans opening day jitters in a new uniform make him a vulnerable target and Dunning positive previous matchup add to the Rangers underdog status. Alot is being said about the potency of the Blue Jays offense but the Rangers are vastly underrated offensively and that will aid them in keeping this close enough for us to get a runline ticket cashed today. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line of +135 to -190) (TORONTO) - American League team with a good starting pitcher whose ERA was 4.20 to 4.70 last season are 19-66 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas Rangers to cover +1.5 |
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08-16-21 | Mets +1.5 v. Giants | 5-7 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
  SFG starter GAUSMAN is 22-35 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)GAUSMAN is 0-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.320.  . Play on the Mets to cover +1.5 |
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08-15-21 | Dodgers v. Mets +1.5 | 14-4 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
These teams bullpens in Major League Baseball and despite of how hot the dodgers are Im betting we have value with the Mets on the run-line in this spot. I know Dodgers Scherzer is hotter than Carrasco the Mets starter but from a matchup perspective , and how both pitchers approach hitters my projections tell me this will be a closer game than many might expect. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate . Play on the Mets to cover +1.5 |
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07-19-21 | Orioles v. Rays -1.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Rays / Orioles have met six times this season with three contests at each venue. The Rays have taken all six meetings, outscoring the Os by a 48-21 count while holding the Orioles to two runs or fewer three times and Im betting on a decisive rinse and repeat situation here today. Note: TAMPA BAY is 21-3  against the money line in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin rpg diff clicking in 2.6 rpg. MLB underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (BALTIMORE) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 1-37 L/5 seasons for a 98% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.63 rpg. Play on the Rays to win -1.5 |
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06-30-21 | Orioles v. Astros -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -143 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Im expecting the Astros will beat up on Baltimores starting pitcher Harvey who has garnered a 8.10 ERA in his last 3 starts. HARVEY is 0-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 12.79 and a WHIP of 2.052. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (HOUSTON) - after a game without an extra base hit are 53-4 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. Play on the Astros to win on the RL -1.5 |
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06-26-21 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -1.5 | 10-1 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
These two teams are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum. The Diamondbacks are 0-24 SU L/24 on the road and are 4-20 on the runline. While the Padres have won 8 straight games and running hot.Â
Play on San Diego Padres |
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04-08-21 | Cubs v. Pirates +1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL), after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 32-4 L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. |
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04-04-21 | White Sox +1.5 v. Angels | 4-7 | Loss | -168 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
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04-04-21 | Indians v. Tigers +1.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Tigers starter  Skubal, one of baseball’s top pitching prospects, won a rotation spot in Detroit based on his impressive Spring Training performance and a focus that impressed manager A.J. Hinch. He faced Cleveland once last year, striking out five over 2 1/3 innings of one-run ball and gets my support here today vs the Indians on the RL/ MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - off 2 straight upset losses to division rivals as a road favorite, vs. division opponents are 11-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CLEVELAND) - off 2 straight upset losses to division rivals as a road favorite, vs. division opponents are L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Tigers to cover +1.5 |
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09-09-20 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +1.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -129 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
NYY starter Deivi Garcia ( 0-1, 3.38 ERA, 12 SO)GarcÃa is making third big league start. The 21-year-old took the loss in his Friday start, permitting four runs to the Orioles over 4 2/3 innings, though he departed with a lead. My power rankings suggest the Blue Jays explosive offence matches up well against this young hurler giving us an edge on this value runline. Meanwhile, Blue Jays starter ROARK is 15-8 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)NY YANKEES are 3-12 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. Â
MLB Road teams against a run line of (+1.5, -210) to (-1.5, -255) (NY YANKEES) - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games are 2-35 L/23 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. |
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08-19-20 | Astros v. Rockies +1.5 | 13-6 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Rockies starter Castellani threw four scoreless innings in his debut at Seattle on Aug. 8, and allowed just one run in 4 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers on Friday. Castellani (0-0, 1.04 ERA) has struck out 10 and walked three in his two starts. He gets my support here to keep his team in this game, and for us to cash a ticket on the runline. MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +160 to +115) (HOUSTON) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 1 run or less 2 straight games are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate! Play on the Rockies on the runline |
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07-28-20 | Mariners +1.5 v. Angels | 2-10 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
Im not liking the way the Angels have looked early on this season, and Im fading them here today, with a +1.5 runline cushion. |
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07-26-20 | Tigers v. Reds -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
The Cinncinnati Reds lineup was up- graded in offseason with the additions of Nick Castellanos, Mike Moustakas and Shogo Akiyama and are a dangerous group that matchup well vs the Detroit Tigers pitching staff.  Tigers are 16-36 in their last 52 interleague games. Tigers are 9-45 in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.Play on the Cincinnati Reds -1.5 |
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10-22-19 | Nationals v. Astros -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Astros will send starter Gerrit Cole to the hill to face the Nationals in game one of this series.  Cole (20-5, 2.50 ERA, 326 SO)who has been near-unhittable this postseason, with a 0.40 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his three starts has a big edge vs this Nats batting order according to my power rankings. His 358 strikeouts entering the World Series are the most by anyone in a single year since Randy Johnson in 2001 (419). Im betting on More of the same here today, while the Astros over powering batting order does more than damage against Nats starter Scherzer and his bullpen accomplices. Note:   Nationals are 2-8 in Scherzers last 10 starts during game 1 of a series. MLB home favorites since the 2005 season are 16-3 SU in Games 1 and 2 of the World Series, winning by an average of 2.5 runs per game. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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10-10-19 | Rays v. Astros -1.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
ALDS - Best of 5 - Game 5 - Tied 2-2 Gerrit Cole the Astros starter  (20-5, 2.50 ERA, 326 SO)A third straight trip to the ALCS for Houston hinges on Cole, who was historically dominant in Game 2 when he struck out 15 -- an Astros franchise playoff record -- in his 118-pitch outing across 7 2/3 inning. Im betting on Cole to shut down the upstart Rays and for the Astros to make a statement here.Cole is , unbeaten over his last 23 starts. Note: Eight different pitchers have worked at least three innings for the Rays in the ALDS, four out of the bullpen and fatigue may play a factor here vs an explosive Houston team that has alot of pent up energy to get rid of here tonight. It was interesting while it lasted, but now with their backs up against the wall Im betting on Houston keeping their World Series hopes alive in convincing fashion. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (HOUSTON) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 50-5 SU L/5 seasons with the average run per game diff clicking in at +3 runs per game. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +100 or higher) (TAMPA BAY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 17-57 on the +RL for a go against 77% conversion rate fro bettors over the L/22 seasons. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the -1.5 RL |
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09-17-19 | Royals v. A's -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The As were upset yesterday by the Royals and will be ready for big bounce back here today. Note: The Athletics have won 7 straight as a 140-plus favorite after they lost by one run, winning by an average of 8.43 runs per game qualifying as a strong runline situation. OAKLAND is 31-7 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.3 rpg. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +100 or higher) (KANSAS CITY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 15-43 L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As on the runline -1.5 |
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09-15-19 | Pirates v. Cubs -1.5 | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Jose Quintana (13-8, 4.15 ERA, 143 SO) has seen his team supply him with a average seven runs a game in all his starts since the All-Star break, helping him to a 7-1 record in the second half. Today Im betting on more huge run support. Note:The Cubs are 8-0 on the ML as a home 200+ favorite after they won by five-plus runs and it is not a series opener. winning by an average of 6.4 runs per game and thus qualify as a solid runline favs in a favourable matchup vs the Pirates. Cubs are 8-0 in Quintanas last 8 starts vs. National League Central.Cubs are 59-19 in their last  home games vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 5-0 in Quintanas last 5 starts vs. Pirates.Pirates are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. Play on the Chicago Cubs -1.5 runline |
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09-02-19 | Twins -1.5 v. Tigers | 4-3 | Loss | -126 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
Jake Odorizzi (14-6, 3.55 ERA), is 5-1 with a 3.05 ERA in 10 starts. He's 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA in four career outings at Comerica Park and gets my support here today. He has allowed one run in 13 innings against the Tigers in 2019. Meanwhile, the Home Run heavy Twins look well equiped to beat up on a 2 seam fastball hitter in Zimmerman who is  1-9, along with a bloated 6.24 ERA. MINNESOTA is 13-1 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse this season with the average run diff clicking in at 5 rpg. DETROIT is 3-22 SU in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season with the average run diff clicking at at 4.6 rpg. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the RL -1.5 |
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08-29-19 | A's -1.5 v. Royals | 9-8 | Loss | -135 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Athletics starter Chris Bassitt has seen (9-5, 3.59 ERA, 117 SO) has een Left-handed batters hitting .198 off him compared to .255 against righties. He's close to averaging one strikeout per inning (117 in 125 1/3 innings) and his 1.18 WHIP is solid. Athletics are 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts vs. American League Central. Meanwhile,Royals right-handed starter Glenn Sparkman (3-9, 5.52 ERA), has gone 0-4 with a 7.50 ERA in his past seven starts and is fade material here. Royals are 0-8 in Sparkmans last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. OAKLAND is 30-8 SU vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 3.4 rpg.OAKLAND is 28-5 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 3.4 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 2-13 against the money line in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season losing by an average of 3.9 rpg. Play on the Oakland AS on the runline -1.5 |
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08-27-19 | Orioles v. Nationals -1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Washington Nationals starter Patrick Corbin(10-5, 3.17 ERA, 184 SO) ranked fifth in the NL in strikeouts, joining teammates Max Scherzer (second) and Stephen Strasburg (third) in the top five. His 1.76 ERA at home this year (12 starts) is the second-best home ERA in the NL and deserves his big chalk status here today. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Brooks despite of coming off a good effort vs a struggling team in KC, is just 1-4 with an 8.07 ERA in eight starts for Baltimore overall and fade material in this spot on the runline. Home favorites with a money lines of -200 or more (WASHINGTON) - in an inter-league game, in August games are 50-4 L/21 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average score of 6.1 to 2.9 - with a diff of +3.2 rpg qualifying as a solid run-line situation. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the RL -1.5 |
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08-13-19 | Dodgers v. Marlins +1.5 | 15-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
 The LA Dodgers travelled from the West Coast to the East coast yesterday, and after a gruelling overall schedule should show some jet lag here tonight in Miami and be at a disadvantage. It must be noted that over the L/5 seasons , teams travelling from west coast or mountain west and than playing in the visitors role in Miami have not been a very bad bet going just 3-15 (SU/ML).  |
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08-11-19 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-9 | Win | 105 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
RYU the Dodgers starter is 17-2 SU in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Dodgers 5.2 Opp 1.9 ...3.3 rpg average deficit diff. RYU is 18-2 SU in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a average rpg diff of 3.5 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Mike Leake(9-8, 4.24 ERA, 103 SO) pitched around a lot of traffic on the bases in his D-backs debut. He allowed 11 hits and walked one in 5 1/3 innings and to me looks like cannon fodder vs a sometimes explosive Dodgers batting order making this a viable runline wagering opportunity. Dodgers are 7-0 in Ryus last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 4-0 in Ryus last 4 starts vs. Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks are 0-17 SU a road dog of more than 160 off a loss as a underdog in which they never led and it is not a series opener losing by an average of 2.78 rpg. The Dodgers are 28-0 SU in the last game of a series as a 200+ chalk after they won and never trailed winning by an average of 4.4 rpg. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the -1.5 RL |
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08-03-19 | White Sox v. Phillies -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
 The Phillies send their ace on Saturday when Aaron Nola takes the mound. Nola is 9-2 with a 3.72 ERA and over his past eight starts, he is 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA. He has never faced the White Sox , however , my power rankings suggest he matches up vs well vs this inconsistent Pale Hose batting order that is averaging just 3.8 rpg vs righty pitching this season and that overall has scored two runs or less in 9 of their L/13 games. NOLA is 11-1 SU when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with the average score deferential clicking in at 2.9 rpg. CHI WHITE SOX are 9-33 SU after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons with a rpg differential of 2.8 rpg registering on the final scoreboard. Home favorites with a money line of -200 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - in an inter-league game, in August games are 42-4 SU L/22 seasons with a +3 rpg score differential making this a viable RL trend. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies on the -1.5 RL |
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07-19-19 | White Sox v. Rays -1.5 | 9-2 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Rays starter Brendan McKay 1-0, 1.69 ERA, 13 SO in his fourth career start comes after a seven-strikeout performance against Baltimore on July 13. In two of his three starts, he held the opposing lineup scoreless. Meanwhile, Pale Hose starter Lopez is 0-2 with a 9.58 ERA in two career starts against the Rays, with four home runs allowed in 10 1/3 innings. Also after being swept by the Yankees in a double header yesterday to team will have a sense of urgency here and come out and play hard for us im betting vs a White Sox team on an ugly 7 game losing streak. Rays are 51-22 in their last 73 vs. a team with a losing record.MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (TAMPA BAY) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 465-3 L/5 seasons with the average run differential clicking in at 3.4 rpg which qualifies under my perimeters for a value run line selection in this spot play. Play on TB Rays on the RL -1.5 |
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07-06-19 | Marlins v. Braves -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Atlanta is 9-1 on the ML against the Marlins this season, including three shutout victories. Miami has scored more than two runs in only three of the 10 games against the Braves and are fade material on the runline here this afternoon. Note:Â Atlanta Braves left-hander Max Fried will be making his first start Saturday since the death of his close friend, Los Angeles Angels left-hander Tyler Skaggs. The Braves have had their way with lower tier teams:ATLANTA is 13-1Â against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less) this season with the average run differential clicking in a +3 per game. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the RL -1.5 |
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07-05-19 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 0-8 | Win | 107 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
 The DBacks are on a 3 game losing streak but with their stopper Greinke on the hill Im betting they end their mini slump today. It must be noted that  the Diamondbacks are 8-0 on at least a three-game losing streak, beating their opponents by 2.6 runs per game when Greinke goes to the hill.  ARIZONA is 25-11 SU revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent over the last 3 seasons winning by an average of 2,2 rpg. GREINKE is 45-12 against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a run diff of 2.1 rpg. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ARIZONA) - very good offensive team (5.0 runs/game or more) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors are 102-25 SU L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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07-01-19 | Orioles v. Rays -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
In 23 opener starts this season, Stanek is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA. The Rays are 15-8 in games started by the right-hander this season. Ryan Yarbrough is likely to get the bulk of the innings on Monday. This combination of pitchers Im betting trumps the Orioles pitching options. BALTIMORE is 3-22 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season with the average run per game diff clicking in at -2.2 rpg. BALTIMORE is 1-18 SU after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with the average run diff clicking in at -3.6 rpg. HYDE is 3-23 SU vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of BALTIMORE with a average rpg diff of -3.0 rpg. TAMPA BAY is 20-4 SU when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons with a average run per game differential of +2.7 rpg. Orioles are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.Orioles are 3-14 in the last 17 meetings in Tampa Bay. MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (TAMPA BAY) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320) against a team with a bad bullpen (WHIP 1.550 or better ), cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games are 42-16 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors and a perfect 4-0 100% this season. Play on TB on the -1.5 runline |
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06-26-19 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
 Blue Jays RH Trent Thornton (2-5, 4.25 ERA) vs. Yankees LH James Paxton (5-3, 3.75) James Paxton the Yankees stater has won back-to-back starts, combining to permit three runs and 13 hits over 11 innings (2.45 ERA). He has walked four against 14 strikeouts in those outings. His current form and the fact they he is backed by one of baseballs most explosive offences averaging 5.7 rpg vs righties like the Jays starter Thornton makes this a viable runline option this afternoon favoring the Yankees. Note: The Jays offence has struggled in day games this season averaging just 3.1 rpg, while the Yankees offence has averaged 6.5 rpg in day tilts. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season are 13-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees on the RL -1.5 |
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06-15-19 | Blue Jays v. Astros -1.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Astros will send left-hander Framber Valdez (2-2, 2.73 ERA) to the hill. He hd a quality outing last time in his previous start, allowing one run on five hits with seven strikeouts over seven innings Valdez, who made his big-league debut Aug. 21, 2018, went 4-1 as a rookie and is 6-1 with a 2.30 ERA over six career starts for Houston. Meanwhile,Left-hander Clayton Richard (0-2, 7.04 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays in the middle game of the series. HOUSTON is 20-6 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with the average margin of victory coming by 2.4 rpg. TORONTO is 7-20 against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season with the average run differential clicking in at 2.7 rpg. MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 12-37 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the RL
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06-10-19 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Charlie Morton the Rays starter owns a 7-0 record along with a , 2.30 ERA, and 91 SO this season. Morton is a prime candidate to remain undefeated in his 14th start of the season. He has thrown 7.0 innings in each of his last two starts, including a scoreless outing against the Tigers on Wednesday in which he had eight strikeouts and zero walks. Meanwhile, the Rays, get to bat against a hurler that has spent most of his time on the minors .Anderson in his 11 games for the Triple-A club garnered a 6.26 ERA and could easily get lit up today by a sometimes explosive and more importantly consistent offence. Athletics are 0-9 in their last 9 vs. American League East.Athletics are 0-5 in their last 5 games on astroturf.Rays are 14-2 in their last 16 vs. American League West.Whether this is an anomaly or not its interesting to note that TB is 19-3 against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons with the run diff clicking in at +2.9 rpg.ÂPlay on Tampa Bay to win on the RL -1.5 |
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06-09-19 | Pirates v. Brewers -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Milwaukee enters Sunday with eight wins in its last 12 games to improve to 37-28. Five of those wins are against the Pirates, whom they have scored 46 runs and hit 16 of their 112 homers against. In the 6 games the Pirates have played vs Milwaukee this season the pitching staff has garnered 7.23 ERA and once again suceptiable to being beat up on again with starter Brault on the hill. The southpaw is 1-0 with a 4.76 ERA as a starting pitcher this season and 3-4 with a 4.76 ERA in 20 career starts and does matchup well vs Brewers team averaging 4.8 rpg vs LHP this season. Anderson the Brewers starter today is 8-4 with a 3.61 ERA in 15 career starts against the Pirates. He held Pittsburgh to two runs on six hits in five innings in Milwaukee's 11-5 win on May 30 and gets my support in this spot play on the runline. PITTSBURGH is 1-11 against the money line revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years this season with the average loss coming by 4 rpg game. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 runline |
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06-01-19 | Tigers v. Braves -1.5 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
DANIEL NORRIS (L) vs. MIKE SOROKA (R) Tigers left-hander Daniel Norris (2-3, 4.18 ERA) goes to the hill for the Tigers this Saturday against the Braves. Detroit has lost six of his last seven starts. Meanwhile Mike Soroka (5-1, 1.07 ERA, 46 SO) Atlanta's rookie hurler continues to build a strong All-Star resume, as he has allowed one earned run or less in each of his first eight starts. He posted a 0.79 ERA and limited opponents to a .145 batting average over five May starts and get my support here on the runline. Detroit has averaged just 3 rpg vs righty hurlers like Soroka this season via a lowly .220 BA. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ATLANTA) - after a game without an extra base hit are 50-5 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.9 rpg which qualifies on a runline wager. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the RL |
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05-31-19 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Rockies | 6-13 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Edwin Jackson (0-2, 9.00 ERA) vs. Rockies RH German Marquez (5-2, 3.56) These teams the Rockies and the Blue Jays are operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum entering this game with Colorado having won 6 of their L/7 with 4 walk off victories. The Jays meanwhile, have lost 12 of their 16 overall. From a cursory look at this matchup Colorado looks to be a viable favorite. But the RL offering does not take into consideration, what could easily be a letdown scenario for a Rockies team vs a sub par side that has spent alot of energy with hard fought victories. We have a tremendous amount of hedging power here as compared to what fair value should be considering the outliner circumstances, especially on the runline . Note: There is value laying both the runline and moneyline , but our best aggregated investment option sits with a run-line proposition. Blue Jays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Rockies are 12-26 in their last 38 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rockies are 21-46 in their last 67 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. I know the Blue Jays starting veteran hurler Edwin Jackson is struggling, but he  9-2 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is  14-6 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. JACKSON is 9-1 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (COLORADO) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring 10 runs or more are 25-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - after being swept in a 3 game series by a division rival, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings re 60-38 L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays on the +1.5 runline |
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05-29-19 | Blue Jays v. Rays -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -117 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Snell, the American League Cy Young Award winner in 2018, will be facing the Blue Jays for the second time this season. The left-hander was on the hill in the Blue Jays' 3-1 victory on April 13 at Toronto. Snell pitched six scoreless innings, allowing only a walk and a single.Snell has had success vs the Jays in the recent past and is  4-2 with a 2.63 ERA in nine career starts against the Blue Jays and 2-0 with a 0.40 ERA in his last four starts against them. Today against a Jays team that has loss 19 of 26 in May and struggling to find ways to win look to be at a big time disadvantage tonight. THORNTON the Jays starter is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 15.00 and a WHIP of 3.333. TORONTO is 12-35 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better over the last 2 seasons with the average diff clicking in at -2.7 rpg. TORONTO is 3-16 (against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2.8 rpg. MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better ) (AL), with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games are 15-52 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin diff clicking in at 2.1 rpg. Play on TB Rays on the -1.5 runline |
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05-28-19 | Mets v. Dodgers -1.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. RICH HILL (L) After allowing five runs in his season debut, although only one was earned, the Dodgers starter Hill has continued to get better as the season progresses. In his past two starts, Hill has allowed just one run with 17 strikeouts across 12 innings and gets my support here tonight on the 1.5 runline. Dodgers are 4-0 in Hills last 4 starts vs. Mets.LA DODGERS are 23-4 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season by an average of 2.9 rpg. NY METS are 0-8 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season with the losses coming by an an average of 2.3 rpg. NY METS are 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season losing by an average of 2.8 rpg. Mets are 4-17 in their last 21 road games.Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the LA Dodgers -1.5 runline |
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05-10-19 | Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
In his past four starts,Twins starter Odorizzi is 4-0 with a 1.11 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 24 1/3 innings. He has a 3-1 record and 3.77 ERA in eight career starts against the Tigers and gets the nod tonight on this runline wager. Meanwhile,Tigers starter Tyson Ross (1-4, 5.34 ERA), gave up five runs on seven hits in 1 1/3 innings in a 15-3 loss to Kansas City this past Saturday, will make his second start of the season against the Twins. Ross, is 0-4 with a 5.30 ERA in six games and four career starts against Minnesota and is fade material in his current form. JAKE ODORIZZI is 13-5 against the run line in home games over the last 2 seasons. The Twins are in top form and 11 games over .500 (23-12) and swept the Tigers in an abbreviated 2 game sweep earlier this season, and matchup well vs Motown , especially here tonight in a game that Im betting ends in a 2+ run or more positive deficit for them. Play on the Minnesota on the -1.5 RL |
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05-08-19 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
 KC Right-hander Jorge Lopez (0-3, 5.09 ERA) will make his first career appearance against the Astros in the series finale. Lopez is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA on the road this season and does not matchup well according to my power rankings vs this Houston batting order. Note:HOUSTON is 53-14 SU vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 2.7 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 9-33 SU against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 1.8 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 2-17 SU in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 2.3 rpg. Houston is in revenge mode today after being embarrassed by the Royals yesterday losing by a 12-2 count. Note: MLB chalk of more than -200 coming off a 10+ run loss are 22-3 SU in their followup game winning by an average of 3 rpg .  Play on Houston Astros RL -1.5 to win and cover |
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04-19-19 | Astros -1.5 v. Rangers | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. DREW SMYLY (L) With a 2-1 loss at Oakland on Wednesday, Houston saw its 10-game winning streak come to an end, but that game was a blip on an upward momentum chart and Im betting they rebound in a big way here today with Verlander on the hill for them. DREW SMYLY the Texas starter is 0-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.741 he has seen his team lose all 4 of his career starts vs the ASTROS. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (HOUSTON) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 42-1 L/5 seasons winning by an average of 3.7 rpg. Play on Houston on the -1.5 RL |
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04-14-19 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L) Houstons Cole (0-2, 3.32 ERA) is still searching for his first victory of the season, while Seattles starter Gonzales (4-0, 3.16) has won each of his starts and offers us value on the runline . SEATTLE is 11-3 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. MLB team (SEATTLE) - excellent speed team - averaging 1 or more SB's/game on the season, on a streak where they have hit a home run in 10 consecutive games and are 48-17 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line 190 to +165) (SEATTLE) - good hitting team (AVG .285 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL 38-6 L/22 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle on the RL |
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04-12-19 | Phillies v. Marlins +1.5 | 9-1 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. SANDY ALCANTARA (R) Friday's pitching matchup features a pair of right-handers: Miami's Sandy Alcantara (1-0, 1.50 ERA) against Philadelphia's Jake Arrieta (1-1, 2.77).Friday's pitching matchup features a pair of right-handers: Alcantara is overpowering at times with a fastball that averages 95.8 mph and has hit 100 mph and gets my support here on a +1.5 runline. Meanwhile, Arrietas looks to be down trending, as his ERA has gone up in each of his last three seasons (from 3.10 to 3.53 to 3.96) and in his most recent start, he got just one swing-and-miss in seven innings of a loss to the Minnesota Twins and is fade material here in this spot play. PHILADELPHIA is 11-18 against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 season.
MLBÂ Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (MIAMI) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season are 43-10 L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Miami Marlins on the RL |
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04-09-19 | Rangers +1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rangers LH Mike Minor (1-1, 4.63 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (1-1, 9.31) MINOR the Rangers starter is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.23 and a WHIP of 1.022. GREINKE is 3-6 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.092. GREINKE DBacks starter is 50-66 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 21-10 L/31 against the money line in road games after scoring 2 runs or less 3 straight games. Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (ARIZONA) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 4-36 on the RL L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams (ARIZONA) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 16-45 SU for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas on the RL |
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04-09-19 | Twins +1.5 v. Mets | 14-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Twins RH Kyle Gibson (0-0, 9.64 ERA) vs. Mets RH Jacob deGrom (2-0, 0.00) DeGrom has pitched well out of the gate , picking up where he left off last season, but according to my matchup pitcher vs batting order stats does not matchup well here.DEGROM is 5-10 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 2-9  against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CALLAWAY is 5-16 ( against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of NY METS. MLB teams (NY METS) - team who had a poor bullpen last season with an ERA of 4.50 or worse, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 8.00 the last 5 games are 27-66 L/22 seasons for ago against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Twins RL |
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04-07-19 | Dodgers v. Rockies +1.5 | 12-6 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Dodgers LH Julio Urias (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Chad Bettis (0-1, 9.53) Urias, despite of good spring training and good start to his season, is just 11.57 ERA in two career games (one start) at Coors Field. We all know some hurlers don't do well here and Urias looks like one of them. BETTIS the Rockies starter is 9-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (LA DODGERS) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games are 22-79 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado +1.5 runline |
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04-04-19 | Yankees v. Orioles +1.5 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Yankees LH James Paxton (0-1, 1.59 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Alex Cobb (2018: 5-15, 4.90) Baltimore has come flying out of the gate this season and have now won 4 straight games and are currently playing with a lot of confidence Meanwhile, the Yankees are looking a little unstable, and have a boatload full of injuries, that is effecting their flow. Note:Â Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. ( Cobb)Yankees are 8-23 in their last 31 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 4-12 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line 120 to +115) (NY YANKEES) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities against opponent with a terrible bullpen whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse on the season are just 16-43 L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the RL |
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03-28-19 | Red Sox -1.5 v. Mariners | 4-12 | Loss | -117 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
Red Sox starter Sale (12-4, 2.11 ERA in 2018) is 6-1 with a 1.88 ERA in 11 career appearances against the Mariners. Seattles starter Gonzales (13-9, 4.00 last season) lost his only previous start against the Red Sox, allowing five runs and seven hits in six innings and is fade material here tonight.  The Mariners are 0-7 SU since Jul 28, 2018 after they played extra innings which happened in their 2nd game in the series at Japan and they were out scored 66 -22 in those 7 tilts. BOSTON is 61-18 against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 3 seasons with average margin of victory coming by 2 rpg. BOSTON is 35-10 against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2.3 rpg. Play on Boston to cover -1.5 |
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10-05-18 | Braves v. Dodgers -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
Clayton Kershaw was little upset he did not get the start in game 1 of this series, and suggested to those listening he does not need to prove himself to anyone. Now a little cranky and with a lot to prove, after a couple of down performances to finish his season, Kershaw should be ready to make believers of his detractors. Right now I believe in Kershaw and the rest of the Dodgers as believe they are the superior side. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL are 13-91 L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory defeat coming by  2.4 rpg, which qualifies via a runline wager at -1.5 on the Dodgers. MLB Road teams against a 1.5 run line (ATLANTA) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 19-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers on the runline -1.5 |
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09-29-18 | Tigers v. Brewers -1.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -135 | 23 h 51 m | Show | |
Detroit’s  starter Daniel Norris (0-5, 5.22 ERA) is having a horrendous time trying to find a win. Meanwhile, Milwaukee’s Wade Miley (5-2, 2.32 ERA) has won three straight decisions and has been hot for a while now allowing two runs or less in seven of his last eight trips to the hill and is 6-0 in his last six starts overall. Needless to say Milwaukee has the edge here with Miley on the hill. Add to that the Brewers are brewing big time right now, winning four in a row while scoring at least 6 runs in three of those tilts, and should be ready to unload here and keep the gravel train flowing towards the play offs. Note:Detroit manager Ron Gardenhire said earlier this month that his team was focused more on building for the future than it was playing a potential spoiler role, so Im not looking for a lot of effort from the manager to try to derail Milwaukee in this spot. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the runline |
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09-28-18 | Nationals v. Rockies -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 110 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
The Rockies enter this tilt against Washington with a half-game lead in the NL West and are rumbling towards the playoffs as they are currently on a 6 game win streak behind a red hot offence that has accumulated at least 10 runs or more  in their last three trips to the diamonds. Im betting Freeland the Rockies starter (16-7, 2.84 ERA) who has won seven straight decisions gets his team to the promised land in what Im betting will be a one side affair that features a hot team looking for a play off spot and a team that is just playing out the string. FREELAND is 14-2 SU in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average margin of victory coming by 2.3 rpg. Pitching matchup discrepancy : Freeland is 1-0, 3.72 in two starts against Washington. Ross is 0-0, 9.64 in one four-inning relief appearance against the Rockies on April 25, 2017, at Coors Field. The Nationals have lost 17 straight in the first game of a series with rest as dog of more than 130 vs a team that has won at least their last two games with the last 7 coming by multiple runs , as they have been outscored 53 to 13, which is a 5.71 rpg average deficit. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the runline |
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09-24-18 | Astros v. Blue Jays +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Keuchel  did not look good in his most recent trip to the hill, as  loss as well as taking a first-inning comebacker to the head , which ended in a 9-0 loss to Seattle. Keuchel lasted five innings, giving up five runs and six hits.KEUCHEL the Astros starter  is 7-12 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Estrada despite of dealing with some back problems recently has looked good on the hill. In his last outing, he battled through his pain to allow just one run over six innings during a start vs. Baltimore.ESTRADA is 7-2 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Im betting on the Jays to be competitive here today and to cover on the runline. Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts is 37-13 on the RL last 21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. The Astros are 0-15 straight up on the road off a home game in which they left 16-plus men on base and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 runline |
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09-22-18 | Twins v. A's -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
De Jong will make his third start of the season after giving up five runs (three earned) in his last start against the Royals and owns a 8.11 road ERA. The 24-year-old was recalled from Triple-A Rochester on Sept. 3. Im betting the welcome wagon won't be a friendly one here today as the As light him up and notch a win behind their starter Fiers (12-7, 3.38) a hurler who has done best work at home for the A's. He's gone 3-0 with a 3.21 ERA in five home starts since being acquired last month from Detroit.Fiers is 6-1 with a 2.91 ERA in 10 career head-to-heads, including nine starts, against the Twins. FIERS is 9-0  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) by a average of 3.1 rpg. MINNESOTA is 2-18  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season losing by an average of 2.9 rpg. OAKLAND is 25-7  against the money line against AL Central opponents this season by an average of 2.2 rpg.  Twins have not won a series at Oakland since 2011, and have gone just 4-17 at the Northern California site since the start of the 2012 season. The Athletics have won 16 in a row as a moneyline favorite off a game as a favorite in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener and 14 of those games on the runline. Play on the Oakland As to win on the runline |
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09-05-18 | Phillies -1.5 v. Marlins | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The fresher bullpen today Im betting will be a big difference maker in this tilt between Miami and visiting Philadelphia. Philadelphia's relievers have pitched 8 innings in the last 3 games.Miami's relievers have pitched 15.2 innings in the last 3 games. The Marlins have lost 19 straight in franchise history as a 150-plus underdog when they off a game as a underdog in which Starlin Castro had multiple hits. losing by an average of more than 5 rpg. .The Phillies have won 8 straight in  franchise history as a favorite with Nick Pivetta when he averaged more than four pitches per batter in his last start. The Phillies have won these eight tilts by an average  5.5 rpg. Phillies are 4-0 in Pivettas last 4 starts vs. Marlins Miami is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia and 1-5 ATS L/6 overall. Play on the Phillies on the runline -1.5 |
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09-03-18 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Plutko the Tribes starter will take the mound for the first of three games against the Royals at Progressive Field. Last time out, he allowed two runs, five hits and struck out five in 5 1/3 innings against the Twins.Junis'  KCs starter last start against Cleveland was a 9-3 loss on July 2. He pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing nine runs (eight earned). In two starts against the Indians this year, Junis is 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA. In four career appearances (three starts) vs. Cleveland, he is 0-2 with an 8.05 ERA he is a candidate to take part in a one sided loss vs the Indians again today. KC is 12-50 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with the combined average loss coming by 2.2 rpg.CLEVELAND is 34-8 SU  in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average win coming by 2.9 rpg.KANSAS CITY is 4-25 SU in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the losses coming by an average of 2.2 rpg. The Indians have won 20 straight as a home 130-plus favorite off a home game when they lost by one run in their starter's last start and it is post All-Star break. Cleveland has outscored their opposition by an average of 4.75 runs per game.The Indians have also  won 8 straight in the first game of a home series when they are off a home series and they are facing a team that is seeking same season revenge. Cleveland has won these eight tilts by an average of more than  7 runs per game. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a rested bullpen - threw 5 innings or less over last 3 games are 13-64 L/5 seasons. Teams 6.4 Opponent 3.5. Play on the Cleveland Indians on the runline -1.5 |
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08-31-18 | Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 | 5-12 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. AUSTIN GOMBER (L) Veteran right-hander Homer Bailey (1-12, 6.17 ERA) will start the series opener, for the Reds vs the steaming hot St.Louis Cardianls.  BAILEY is 0-11  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)with the average margin of defeat coming by 3.4 rpg which qualifies this trend as a runline edge. The Cardinals counter with rookie left-hander Austin Gomber (4-0, 2.79), who has allowed just  four runs in his last four starts, covering 22 innings.GOMBER is 6-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with the average win coming by 4.4 rpg which qualifies under a runline premier wager. The Reds have lost 28 straight on the moneyline  as a dog of more than 145 after a game as a home dog in which they did not hit a home run and struck out more than six times with 20 of those games won by multiple runs.  MLB Chalk with a money line of -175 to -250 (ST LOUIS) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after 2 straight one run losses are 71-14 L/21 seasons with the average margin victory coming by 2.3 rpg. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the runline -1.5 |
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08-29-18 | White Sox v. Yankees -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L) The Yankees starter tonight, vs the White Sox owns a 19-6 career record along with a 3.73 ERA in 36 starts against Chicago. His .760 winning percentage against Chicago is Sabathia's highest against any American League team. He had a couple sub par efforts vs them recently but is rated after coming off the DL a week ago and primed to finished he is season strong. The White Sox have struggled vs lefties this season going just 11 -22 and have been outscored by an a average of 2.1 rpg in those tilts. Yankees are 23-6 in Sabathias last 29 home starts. Meanwhile, Reynaldo Lopez (4-9, 4.66)  the Pale Hose starter is  winless for the White Sox. Since winning at Texas on July 1, he is 0-4 with a 6.70 ERA in his last nine starts and is fade material here today.Yankees are 14-3 in their last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Yankees have won 17 straight as a moneyline favorite of 200+  after they had a comeback victory  and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener. The Yankees have won  all 17 games  by  multiple runs which makes this a viable run-line wagering situation. Play on the NY Yankees on the runline -1.5 |
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08-26-18 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Erlin the Padres stater is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) against Los Angeles - with one of the losses coming in a start on April 16, when he was tagged for six runs in three innings of sub par work. The Dodgers 9 see this guys stuff well, and now with another look could easily light him up again. Ryu his Dodgers pitching opponent is 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA in eight career starts versus the Padres, including a victory at San Diego opposite Erlin in April when he gave up just two runs and three hits with a season-high nine strikeouts over six innings. |
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08-25-18 | Astros -1.5 v. Angels | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. JAIME BARRIA (R) Verlander the Astros starter has won all five starts against the Angels since he was acquired from the Detroit Tigers on Sept. 1 of last season, allowing two earned runs in 36 innings of magnificent work.He has thrown 23 consecutive scoreless innings over his past three starts at Angel Stadium.QUOTE: "I like the aesthetic of pitching here," Verlander said after shutting out the Angels on five hits over six innings in a 7-0 win on July 21. END QUOTE. Im betting he leads his team to a conclusive victory here today behind what I expect will be solid run support behind a offense that is finally almost 100% healthy. HOUSTON is 33-10 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season winning by an average of 2.4 rpg. LA ANGELS are 1-9 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game, losing by an average of 4.2 rpg. HOUSTON is 12-1 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season winning by an average of 3.8 rpg. HOUSTON is 21-4  against the money line in road games after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 4.1 rpg. The Angels have lost 34 straight on the moneylline as a dog of more than 135 when they are off a game as a dog and their opponent's starter has a strike-per-ball ratio better than 1.89 on the season and it is not a series opener and have lost 11 of their L/12 games in this trend by multiple runs. Play on Houston Astros on the Runline -1.5 |
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08-23-18 | Indians v. Red Sox -1.5 | 0-7 | Win | 105 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
 ADAM PLUTKO (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L) Plutko the Indians starter today is 4-3 with a 4.62 ERA in 10 games -- including seven starts and looks very hittable in his current form.The Boston offense  after a short drought woke up against 15-game winner Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland bullpen yesterday and took a 10-4 win and I'm betting they will honed in on doing some repeat damage in this spot. It must be noted that the Indians have lost 21 straight on the moneyline as a 110+ dog in the last game of a road series after a game in which they had multiple multiple-run innings, as long as they did not win by 7-plus runs which obviously not the case yesterday as they lost in a big way. The Tribe lost 19 of those 21 games by multiple runs, with the average margin of defeat coming by 3.9 rpg. Meanwhile, Price the BoSox Starter is 8-1  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) with the average margin of victory coming by 1.9 rpg. Price is currently in top form and has won 2 straight outings while garnering a stingy 1.89  ERA on his L/3 starts.PRICE is 10-3 in his career when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.202.Red Sox are 6-0 in Prices last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. BOSTON is 28-6 SU in day games this season with the average margin of victory coming by 2.2 rpg. Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 during game 4 of a series. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the runline -1.5 |
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08-21-18 | Yankees v. Marlins +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 130 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. PABLO LOPEZ (R) Masahiro Tanaka (9-4, 4.03) the NYY starter today has looked a little tired of late as his team has lost his last three trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Lopez the Marlins start makes his second interleague start. The righty won at Tampa Bay on July 21, permitting  one run on two hits and a walk, with six strikeouts, over 6.0 innings of quality ball. With Didi Gregorius injured  .270 / 22 homers/  74 RBIs and super star Aaron Judge still on the DL, the Yanks are not as formidable offensively, so Lopez looks like who could have a solid outing. Miami already shocked the Marlins this season by a 9-1 count, the last time Tanaka faced them, and the Japanese right  hander is just 0-2 in 2 career starts vs the Marlins, and must not be over estimated here vs a young team playing with very little to lose. NY YANKEES are 14-15  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season and are are 14-17  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. The Yankees have lost 11 straight on the road after playing as a home favorite when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start and it is post All-Star break. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line.(Money Line +100 or higher) (MIAMI) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 39-16 L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins on the RUNLINE +1.5 |
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08-19-18 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -1.5 | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
 Blue Jays starter Borucki  has not performed very well in his  the last two  trips to the hill and is fade material here according to my power rankings.  Boroucki allowed four runs and six hits in four innings of a no-decision Tuesday in Kansas City, and was said to be dealing with a toe blister and that probably still has not healed and could effect his delivery . Meanwhile, The Yankees starter Happ faces his former Toronto teammates for the first time since the trade and is coming off a superb outing last time out vs the Rays.  The veteran southpaw allowed just one hit over seven scoreless innings of top quality work in the 4-1 victory. He has won all 3 of his starts with the Yankees since coming over in the trade and is perfect 3-0 on the RL with his team winning those games by multiple runs.He knows the Jays batting order well, and definitely has an advantage here in this spot. TORONTO is 7-24 SU vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season with the average margin of defeat coming by 2.3 rpg . The Blue Jays have lost 22 straight SU in the last game of a series as a road dog of more than 130 after they lost by three-plus runs losing by ana average of 2.46 rpg, with 7 of the L/8 losses coming by 2 or more runs.The Yankees are 21-1 SU as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 12+ hits winning 17 of the L/20 on the runline and 11 of the L/13. The average margin of victory was by 3.11 rpg. Play on the NY Yankees on the runline |
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08-12-18 | Mets v. Marlins +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (7-2, 3.17 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Wei-Yin Chen (4-8, 5.48) Syndergaard the NY Mets starter gave up four runs over 6 1/3 innings of a rare victory against Cincinnati on Monday, ending a amazing run  of 13 straight starts in where he allowed three runs or fewer. I'm betting on him bouncing back here and holding the light hitting Marlins to limited run production in this spot.The hard throwing righty also owns  a 1.62 ERA in six career starts against the Marlins. Meanwhile, Chen his pitching opponent from the Marlins , permitted just one hit in 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a victory vs St. Louis in his last trip to the hill, and is 2-2  along with a stingy 1.52 ERA over his last five home starts. Chen has pitched his best ball at home this season and owns a stingy 1.94 ERA in 9 starts.  I expect both hurlers to once again provide us with a tightly contested low scoring affair that makes taking the runline a very viable option. MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +160 to +115) (NY METS) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL) are 17-56 L/21 seasons for a go against  77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (NY METS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 29-70 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Miami on the runline +1.5 |
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08-11-18 | Rangers v. Yankees -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Rangers RH Drew Hutchison (1-2, 6.29 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Lance Lynn (8-8, 4.58) Insults were flying, after the Rangers hammered the Yankees last night in their own diggs. Here a sample of the dialogue: "I want to kill them every time I go out there, to be honest," Guzman said regarding the Yankees after becoming the youngest player to homer three times in the Bronx since a 23-year-old Mickey Mantle did it on May 13, 1955. "I never liked the Yankees growing up." END QUOTE: Im sure the Yanks are aware of the kids statements, and also will be looking for a quick turnaround here in redemption vs a over confident Rangers group. Note: NY YANKEES are 18-3 against the money line after allowing 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of almost 3 rpg. The Yankees have won 18 straight  as a favorite of more than 130 when they are off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 12+ hits with 16 of those games coming by multiple runs with the average margin of victory clicking in at 4 rpg. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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08-10-18 | Rangers v. Yankees -1.5 | 12-7 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Rangers LH Mike Minor (8-6, 4.53 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (9-2, 3.76) Tanka the Yankees starter is in top form and has held his L/3 opponents to 1 ER on 12 hits in 19.7 innings of stellar work for a minuscule 0.46 ERA. Needless to say he is sharp and will be a handful for a streaky Texas nine that could be slowing down scoring just 3 runs yesterday after a torrid offensive run. Note:  Texas 3B Adrian Beltre was hitless in four at-bats on Thursday and is 2-for-20 over his last five contests., Minor the Rangers starter despite of pitching well of late, has  struggled on the road this season as he is 3-4 with a 6.50 ERA in nine trips to the hill. Rangers are 1-6 in Minors last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 5-0 in Tanakas last 5 starts vs. American League West.TANAKA is 17-2 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with average margin of victory coming by 3 rgg. TANAKA is 15-2  against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average margin of victory coming by 3 rpg. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (NY YANKEES) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less  over his last 10 games are 37-4 L/5 seasons with the average victory coming by 3.1 rpg making this a viable runline investment option. Play on the NY Yankees on the runline -1.5 |
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08-07-18 | Cubs v. Royals +1.5 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Cubs LH Mike Montgomery (3-4, 3.90 ERA) vs. Royals RH Brad Keller (4-4, 3.39) Brad Keller KCs starting hurler has done some very good work at home this season going 2-0 along with a stable 3.11 ERA at home, in five starts, allowing just 11 hits in 27 plus innings of solid work. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Chicago cubs Montgomery , has seen his team lose his L/5 home starts and not score more than 3 runs in any of them. MONTGOMERY is 3-8  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 7-14  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the Cubs scoring 4.5 runs and their opposition 4 rpg. I know their is more to baseball than starting pitching but there is an advantage here, at least on the runline  considering the matchup ,for me to back KC +1.5. I've also isolated a viable situation listed below. The Royals are 15-1 on the moneyline and perfect 16-0 L/16 on the run line  as a home dog after a game as a home dog in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times and it is post All-Star break. which. happened in their last trip to the diamonds. Play on the KC Royals +1.5 on the runline |
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07-29-18 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) Cleveland ace right-hander Corey Kluber (12-6, 2.88 ERA) pitches on an extra day of rest Sunday and will extremely dangerous in this spot.Kluber beat the Tigers in his two starts against them this year, allowing two runs in 16 innings.Meanwhile, Right-hander Jordan Zimmermann (4-2, 3.97 ERA) makes his second post All-Star game start for Detroit,  Over his career, Zimmermann is 0-4 with a 10.57 ERA when facing the Indians . Im betting Zimmerman and the Tigers are big time fade material in this spot. The Indians have won 21 straight in franchise history when Corey Kluber starts as a 160-plus favorite in an afternoon game. with the average margin of victory coming by more than 6 rpg. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the run-line |
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06-27-18 | Blue Jays v. Astros -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) |
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06-27-18 | Royals v. Brewers -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. BRENT SUTER (L) Brent Suter (8-4, 4.15 ERA) will start for Milwaukee, looking for his fourth consecutive victory. The left-hander has been amazing during his winning streak, recording a 2.84 ERA while holding batters to a .185 average and a .551 OPS.  He is in great form and gets my support to help his team cover on the run-in this afternoon vs a  Royals that are 4-19 since June 1 and have lost 12 of their last 14 games -- six by four or more runs.  It must be noted that the Brewers are 7-0 on the money line in franchise history with Brent Suter as a home favorite when they scored three-plus runs and won in his last start with the victories coming by an average of 5.71 rpg.   KANSAS CITY is 7-31  SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season losing by an average of 2.3 rpg. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the run line -1.5 ( Late update) |
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06-23-18 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -145 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) The lines-makers know well the odds of the Royals winning this game and have the same trends and data that I have on this tilt which I include here below. The Astros are 32-0 SU as a 200+ favorite after they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent and it is not a series opener.Since the start of 2017 campaign, the Astros have won 14 in a row with Lance McCullers as a 125-plus favorite when he went six-plus innings in his last start.As pertains to the run-in it must be noted that Houston has won 7 straight on the money line in this spot this season with every win by multiple runs. Houston Right-hander Lance McCullers (8-3, 3.77 ERA) gets the nod in the middle game of the series for Houston. He is 1-0 with a 2.33 ERA over four career starts against the Royals. Meanwhile,the Royals will answer back right-hander Ian Kennedy (1-7, 5.31 ERA) on Saturday. Kennedy is winless over his last 13 starts, one behind Athletics right-hander Chris Bassitt for the longest active streak in the majors. He is 0-7 with a 6.12 ERA since his only win on April and is fade material inches current form.KENNEDY is 1-10  against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) losing SU by an average of 4 rpg. Play on the Houston Astros on the run-line -1.5 |
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06-18-18 | White Sox +1.5 v. Indians | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
 DYLAN COVEY (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) The Tribe has lost 4 of their L/6 overall and have looked a little wobbly of late. In last weeks series vs the White Sox they lost 2 of 4 games, and had lost five straight to the Minnesota Twins - including the first two in their weekend set - before picking up ad desperation  4-1 win in the finale Sunday afternoon.  The Indians have scored a total of just 18 runs in their L/6 games ( 3rpg) and could find themselves struggling to move runners again vs the Pale Hose starter Covey who is 3-0 with a 1.84 ERA since being recalled from the minors May 19. He was on the hill when the White Sox beat the  Indians in south side Chicago last week by a 3-2 score. Meanwhile, Indians hurler BAUER in his career starts has seen his team go  just 13-19  against the money line in home games against division opponents. Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.White Sox are 4-1 in Coveys last 5 starts. ÂCLEVELAND have lost 14 of their L/21 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the +1.5 runline |
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06-17-18 | Astros -1.5 v. Royals | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. BRAD KELLER (R) Houston is merciless and the Royals are just plain bad. McCullers the Astros starter set a career high in wins (eight) by beating the A’s on Tuesday night in Oakland. He has thrown at least six innings in nine of his 14 starts. Of the 35 earned runs he has allowed, 15 have come in two rough starts and now he gets the nod today. Meanwhile, this is not a good spot vs Brad Keller who is making just his 4th career start. Houston is a mean offensive machine, averaging 6 rpg on the road and could easily beat up on this kid today. HOUSTON is 21-4 SU in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season with the average combined margin of victory clicking in at 4.1 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 6-30  against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 over the last few seasons with the average margin defeat coming by 3.4 rpg. The Royals have lost 15 straight 140+ dog off a home game in which they struck out at least ten times which happened yesterday in a 10-2 loss to the Astros. Actually the L/5 times when this trend is in play the Royals were smashed and lost  by an average of 7.5 rpg. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the runline -1.5 |
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06-16-18 | Padres v. Braves -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L) The Padres ended an eight-game drought in Atlanta on Friday night, beating the National League East-leading Braves 9-3 for their 12th victory in the past 17 games. Those 5 losses, however, have all come by multiple runs.The Braves bullpen blew a lead last night  , but it must be noted that ATLANTA is 6-0 against the money line after a game where their bullpen blew a save this season. Lyles the Padres starter today allowed 11 hits in consecutive starts, and in his outing Monday vs. St. Louis he recorded only three swings and misses on 102 pitches.Lyles has a 6.35 ERA in four games (three starts) against the Braves, with the loss in San Diego last week his only decision, allowing 8 runs in just 4.1 innings of work. LYLES when he starts has seen his team go 10-37 in his career against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 with the average margin of defeat coming by 2 rpg. Meanwhile Sean Newcombe is off a rare bad start last time out and ready to rebound. the southpaw has had a tremendous season overall recording a 2.92 ERA and has been solid at home vs sub par opponents going 5-0 in L/5 starts . Newcombe has not  allowed a run in his 12 career innings against San Diego. I'm betting the Braves have the edge with Newcombe here again. ATLANTA is 21-7 against the money line after a loss this season with the average win coming by more than 2 rpg. Atlantas last 8 wins have all come by 2 runs or more and they once again have the edge here on the -1.5 value runline. Play on Atlanta -1.5 on the runline |
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06-16-18 | Nationals -1.5 v. Blue Jays | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R) Scherzer the Nationals starter has made eight career starts against the Blue Jays, posting a stingy 2.15 ERA and averaging 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. He has thrown at least seven innings and struck out at least nine in three consecutive starts. Needless to say hes owned them and I'm betting nothing will change today. Note: The Nationals have won 15 straight on the money-line by an average of 3.3 rpg with Scherzer as a favorite of more than 135 when they lost his last start.Meanwhile, the Jays starting hurler  Estrada (3-6, 5.09 ERA) is coming off a quality start  but that was against a weak, Baltimore offense .Blue Jays are 0-5 in Estradas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. WASHINGTON is 41-9 lL50 against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more with the average win coming by 2.2 rpg, which qualifies on the runline option.SCHERZER is 23-5  against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game with the average margin of victory coming by 3 rpg. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a very good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 44-10 with the average with the average scores coming by more than -1.5 runline offer. Play on the Washington Nationals -1.5 on the runline |
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06-14-18 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. FRANKIE MONTAS (R) The Astros have owned the first two games of the series between American League West rivals, winning by  6-3 and 13-5 deficits . More of the same one sided action I'm betting is on todays card, as star hurler Justin Verlander goes to the hill for the Astros. Verlander (8-2, 1.45 ERA), has been particularly dominating on the road where he has garnered a 6-1 record and miniscule 0.96 ERA this season. Yes, I know he is going against a As pitcher Montas  getting a lot of accolades for a 3-0 start to his career, but two of those wins came against light hitting KC and one against a Arizona team that was struggling offensively when he faced them. This is a whole different kind of offense he will face today, as he goes against a Astros team that has averaged 6 rpg on the road this season and merciless in their domination of their opposition, putting the pedal to the metal from1 through 9.  It must be noted that Astros have won 18 straight  SU as a 125-plus regular season road favorite when they are off a five-plus run win and it is not a series opener, winning by an average of whopping 6.22 rpg, while the Athletics in their L/9  at home off a home game in which they struck out at least ten times, which happened in yesterdays 13-5 loss  have scored an average of just 1.89 rpg in the follow up. HOUSTON is 18-4 against the money line in road games after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span dating back to last season winning by an average of 4 rpg.  HOUSTON is 17-3 SU in road games against division opponents this season winning by an average of 3.4 rpg.HOUSTON is 19-4 SU in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season with the average margin of victory coming by 4.2 rpg. OAKLAND is 9-24 SU in home games vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last few seasons losing by an average of 2.2 rpg. OAKLAND is 2-12 L/14  SU in home games revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent with the average loss coming by 2.8 rpg. MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (HOUSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 33-14 L/5 seasons winning by an average of 2.8 rpg. Play on the Houston Astros -1.5 Runline |
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06-10-18 | Yankees -1.5 v. Mets | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. SETH LUGO (R) |
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06-06-18 | Tigers v. Red Sox -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
BLAINE HARDY (L) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) Boston's southpaw starter tonight Eduardo Rodrguez is currently in top form and has settled into a nice rhythm , allowing three earned runs or less in his last five starts. He gets the nod from me tonight vs a very inconsistent Detroit Tigers offense These below straight up trends correlate to my -1.5 runline stance. RODRIGUEZ team when he starts  is 14-1  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more dating back to last season with the average margin of victory coming by 2.4 rpg. BOSTON is 32-6 against the money line as a favorite of -200 or more over the last 2 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2.2 rpg. DETROIT is 57-179  against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997 with the average loss coming by more than 2.4 rpg. The Boston Red Sox have won 20 straight games as a home 200+ favorite when they are off two victories in which they never trailed, with the last one coming as chalk, with the average margin of victory clicking in at 5.3 rpg.The Detroit Tigers have lost 28 straight times  as a 125-plus underdog when they are off a game as a dog in which Miguel Cabrera was hitless losing SU with the average loss coming by 3.6 rpg ( 5-23 on the Runline) MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+135 to -190) (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more  runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), playing on Wednesday are 39-14 L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate on the blind with the average margin of victory coming by 2.8 rpg. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the -1.5 runline |
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06-05-18 | Royals v. Angels -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
BRAD KELLER (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L) Heaney the Angles starter gave up three earned runs over five innings, with seven strikeouts, against Kansas City on April 13 and matches up well vs the very inconsistent KC batting order. It must be noted despite of a few struggles of late, Heaney (2-4, 3.66) allowed two earned runs or less in six consecutive starts from April 27 to May 25. . The southpaw gets my backing tonight vs a KC Royals team that ha scored 3 runs or less in 7 of their L/11 overall games. LA ANGELS are 15-2  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. with by an average margin of 3.3rpg game going on the board .LA ANGELS are 12-2  against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less ) this season winning by an average of 3 rpg. Play on the LA Angels on the runline -1.5 |
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06-05-18 | Brewers v. Indians -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
JUNIOR GUERRA (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R) Kluber the Indians starter tonight pitched six brilliant shutout innings against the White Sox on Wednesday, piling up 10 strikeouts with zero walks. The Tribe ace is riding a streak of 112 batters faced with zero walks and has a 0.68 ERA in his past four turns and get the nod here on the -1.5 run line. I know the Tribe have struggled a little bit of late, but it must be noted that CLEVELAND is a perfect 11-0 against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by a whopping 4.1 rpg. ( Indians 7.6 Opp 3.5 which gives credence to my -1.5 runline call this evening.
Play on the Cleveland Indians -1.5 runline |
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05-31-18 | Angels v. Tigers +1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 115 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
ANDREW HEANEY (L) vs. RYAN CARPENTER (L) The Halos starter Hanley has pitched quite well of late, but it must be noted the Angels southpaw has seen his team go  1-5 in his  last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance . He lost a 2-1 decision to the Yanks, last time out and could easily find himself in a natural letdown spot. The Angels are also 1-6 in Heaneys last 7 road starts. He has also walked 9 batters in his L/3 starts which has a way of manifesting itself over time in a negative outcome scenario algorithm according to my power rankings charts.  I know Carpenter his Tigers  pitching opponent may not inspire bettors, but the Angles have been inconsistent of late offensively, scoring 1, 1, 3, 1 runs in 4 of their L/6 games. From my perspective there is enough value here for us to take the underdog on the +1.5 runline based on SU data. DETROIT is 9-3  against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season and is 7-2  against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season.DETROIT is 11-5  against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.DETROIT is 10-4 against the money line in home games in May games this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are not quality bets, going just 60-66 L/21 seasons. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the RUNLINE +1.5 |
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05-29-18 | White Sox v. Indians -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
LUCAS GIOLITO (R) vs. MIKE CLEVINGER (R) My own power ranking suggest this is a huge pitching mismatch, and the runline is a very viable option here in this spot play. I know that the Tribes starting hurler  Clevinger has been a hard luck hurler in his last few efforts, despite of some decent  work, but I look for his team mates to back him up and  buoy him to victory here. It must be noted that the Tribe are a perfect  25-0 on the money-line  as a 120-or more  favorite when they are off a game as home chalk and they lost the last two games their starter started, as long as that thrower went a combined 8-plus innings in those two defeats. It must be noted that the  average margin of victory has come  by a WHOPPING  5.02 rpg and Indians have cashed 11 straight for their backers on the -1.5 runline under those above mentioned parameters. Lucas Giolito the Pale Hose starter owns a ugly 8.31 ERA in his L/3 starts, which is not a good omen for him and his team as the Tribe are heating up offensively and scored 8 and 10 runs vs the vaunted Houston Astros pitching staff this past weekend and scored 9 runs yesterday and the first game of this series in a victory. The Indians are now averaging around 6 rpg this season, at home. CHI WHITE SOX are 3-19 SU vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less  errors/game this season with the average margin loss coming by 2.4 ppg. MLB  Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+100 or higher) (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 8-37 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 82% for bettors, with the average margin loss coming by 3.5 rpg. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the -1.5 runline |
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05-26-18 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
 JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. ALEX WOOD (L) The Dodgers are finally getting over last seasons, play off hangover, and starting to notch wins (7-1 L/8). They were hard luck recipients of a lot of bad breaks earlier this season, as was evident by the Dodgers plus-19 run differential but a below .500 23-27 record. Today the pitching matchup I'm betting favors the Dodgers as Alex  Wood as he  goes to the hill in top form. Wood has garnered  a very viable 3.32 ERA over 10 starts during the season's first two months. He  is 4-2 in 13 appearances (nine starts) over his career against the Padres, while posting a 2.39 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. Meanwhile, the Padres return fire with Lyles who despite of decent starts of late  is just  0-3 with a 6.97 ERA in 15 career appearances against the Dodgers, six of them starts. My own power rankings suggest that the Dodgers nine matchup well vs the righty hurler. Note: LYLES when he starts has seen his team go 2-18 L/20 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 losing SU by an average of 3.1 rpg. LA DODGERS are 13-0 SU in  line in home games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons. which happened last time out, with the average margin of victory coming by 3.3 rpg. MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 8-68 L/21 seasons for a 90% go against conversion rate over the L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2.7 rpg , which makes the runline option here a tangible proposition. Play on the LA Dodgers on the runline -1.5 |
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05-19-18 | Orioles v. Red Sox -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R) Baltimore enters this game as poster boys for road futility in Major League Baseball having garnered 13 straight losses. Tonight I'm betting on their tourist visas getting cancelled again and for the O's to end up on the wrong side of the lopsided score. After three rough starts in a row, Bundy the Os starter rebounded to limit the inconsistent Rays to two hits in seven scoreless innings on Sunday. That I'm betting was an anomaly and he will revert back to his previous form in this spot vs a much more explosive BoSox offense. The righty is 3-5 with a 4.66 ERA in 13 appearances against Boston. Meanwhile, Porecello started his season 5-0 , but has had a couple of down games, but I'm betting he will respond here at Fenway where his  is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA this season. BUNDY the Orioles starter is 3-12 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons with the average margin deficit clicking in at Opp 6.4 Balt 4 BALTIMORE is 1-12 SU in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average loss coming of 2.7 rpg.BALTIMORE is 4-20 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better with the combined average victory coming by 2.2 rpg.BALTIMORE is 7-34 L/31 against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more with the average combined loss coming by a whopping 3.3 rpg. The Red Sox are 10-0 SU as a home favorite off a game as a favorite in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and have won these ten games by an average of 4.90 runs, scoring an average of 7.90 runs per game in those tilts. Play on Boston Red Sox on the -1.5 on the RL |
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05-15-18 | Dodgers v. Marlins +1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
 ALEX WOOD (L) vs. WEI-YIN CHEN (L)   It seems everyone in the media and baseball circles continues to keep crapping on the Marlins . I'm not arguing that  their not bad, but sometimes there is value attached to their games because of these perceptions presented us by the media propagandists. Today is one of those games, as an equally disappointing team the LA Dodgers are being pegged as big favorites. The LA DODGERS are just 3-16 SU as chalk of -125 to -175 this season and are far from viable favorites against any team in MLB in their current form. Meanwhile, Chen the Marlins starter despite of his struggles is 15-6 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher in his career and seems to wake up just long enough to perform at optimal strength before going back to sleep under these types of circumstances. Chen goes against a Dodgers team that struggles against southpaws like him, as is evident by their 3.3 rpg game output and nasty looking .220 team BA. CHEN is 2-0 in his career when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 1.105 and gets the nod today on a value +1.5 RUNLINE situation. |
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05-13-18 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. COREY KLUBER (R) Kluber the Indians starter had a 4 game winning streak snapped last time out, and will be very ready to bounce back in this spot vs the KC Royals. In two starts against Kansas City last year, Kluber was 2-0 with a 0.73 ERA. Meanwhile, Duffy KCs starter . In three starts against the Indians last year, he was 0-3 with a 4.60 ERA. His team has also lost his L/6 starts vs the Tribe. DUFFY is 3-12 L/15 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 2.2 rpg.
MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (CLEVELAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL are 101-20 L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 3 rpg. Play on the Indians on the RUNLINE -1.5 |
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05-12-18 | Rangers +1.5 v. Astros | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
DOUG FISTER (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R) The Astros entered their three-game series with the Texas Rangers at Minute Maid Park averaging just 3.8 runs at home compared with 5.9 runs on the road. Texas has enough offensive fire power to take out a team like the Astros that is struggling with run production at home, making them dangerous underdogs in this spot. Last season, the Astros averaged 4.9 runs at home with an .812 OPS while scoring 6.2 runs per game on the road with an .834 OPS, so their is definitely an issue , and something that must be examined. Tonight I'm betting that Rangers Right-hander Doug Fister (1-3, 4.02) is a capable of giving his team a chance to cash as underdogs in this spot.  Fister is 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA in his four career starts against the Astros.
There is value here on the moneyline but I'm recommedning we take the bonus +1.5 runs for what will still be a plus payday if my betting assumptions on this game are correct . Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the Runline +1.5 |
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05-11-18 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 10-9 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) Hammel the Royals hurler has been what is regarded as a inning filler for his team of late. The right handers performances are less than respectable and in his L/3 trips to the hill he has garnered a bloated 7.00 ERA. Add to that he's backed by a bullpen that owns a ugly 7.37 road ERA and you have a recipe for Cleveland's offense to feast . Meanwhile, Cleveland's starter Bauer has been a steading presence in his teams rotation and owns a 2.52 ERA , and a stingy 1.91 home ERA. He will be backed by a offensive attack that has done his best work at home this season averaging 5.4 rpg via a solid .272 BA. With that said, I'm recommending we lay the lumber with a value -1.5 RL situation here this evening in Ohio with the Indians. HAMMEL is 0-9 L/9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game losing by an average of 3.5 rpg  and is 1-10  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse dating back to last season with the average loss coming by 2.6 rpg. (Team's Record) HAMMEL is also 1-19 against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 in his career with the combined average deficit clicking in at 3.5 rpg (Team's Record) MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (CLEVELAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after a win by 4 runs or more are 41-3 L/21 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 3.7 rpg. Play on the Cleveland Indians -1.5 runline |
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05-08-18 | Indians v. Brewers +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 103 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L) The Indians have a recent history of not playing well enough to win consistently in interleague play . The reasons are complex but the results are obvious. note: Indians are 2-9 in their last 11 interleague road games. Indians are 3-12 in their last 15 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 1-4 in Klubers last 5 interleague starts.Indians are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Not only have the Indians struggled in interleague play in the past,  but so far this season, they have had issues garnering road wins, losing 9 of their 15 games. Needless to say, even though the Indians have a top tier hurler on the mound a win is not a guaranteed thing.  With that said, we have  value taking +1.5 runs on the RL with the Brewers , and that's what I'm recommending we do. MILWAUKEE is 24-14  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start .Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.MILWAUKEE is 9-0 L/9 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite which was the case vs the Pirates last time out on Sunday. CLEVELAND is 0-7 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. CLEVELAND is 1-7 L/8 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs which happened vs the Yankees in their last game. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the RL +1.5 |
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04-29-18 | Rangers +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. J.A. HAPP (L) The Rangers will be going for a three-game sweep of the Blue Jays Sunday afternoon at the Rogers Centre as they try to dig themselves out of a hole created by a 4-11 start.The Rangers now on a huge momentum swing have won three games in a row for the first time this season. The Blue Jays meanwhile, are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum and have lost four straight for the first time since Aug. 27-30 and have dropped seven of their past nine games. I know the Jays go against a struggling pitcher in Perez, but the way their swinging the bat right now especially in clutch situations makes them fade material as nothing comes easy for this group. PEREZ is 7-0 against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 11-4 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.TORONTO is 9-17 against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game. MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line -120 to +115) (TORONTO) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a terrible starting pitcher (WHIP 1.700 or more) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL) are 8-34 L/21 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the RUNLINE +1.5 |
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04-21-18 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 111 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R) |
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