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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-21-23 | Kansas v. Marquette UNDER 157.5 | 59-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Jazz v. Lakers OVER 235.5 | 99-131 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The last four meetings between the Lakers and Jazz have all eclipsed this total with a combined average of 253.25 oog going on the board. My own projections for this contest come in the high 230s to the low 240s giving us a significant edge to the over. Utah has consistently played run and gun ball with 7 of their L/9 going over the offered number and Im betting they drag the Lakers into a wide open tilt here today that goes over the digits.Hardy is 10-1 OVER vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 239.3 ppg scored.Ham in 36 games when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of LA LAKERS has seen a. combined average of 237.1 ppg go on the board.UTAH in its L/57 as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored.UTAH L/22 against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 242 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-21-23 | Hofstra v. Wright State UNDER 160.5 | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Colorado v. Florida State UNDER 152 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Georgia Southern +5.5 v. Northeastern | 76-93 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgia Southern to cover |
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11-21-23 | Buffalo v. UL - Lafayette UNDER 153.5 | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Marshall v. Oakland UNDER 149.5 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 42 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Prairie View A&M +11 v. Eastern Kentucky | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Prairie View A&M to cover |
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11-21-23 | Binghamton v. Sacred Heart UNDER 146.5 | 75-89 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-20-23 | Kings v. Pelicans +1.5 | 93-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have been an inconsistent commodity this season, but they have recent wins against top tier opponents Denver, and Dallas, and 1 point loss to Minnesota and must be respect as underdogs here at home tonight vs the Sacramento Kings. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less) are 13-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-20-23 | Bucks v. Wizards +9.5 | 142-129 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
The Bucks are off a physical high octane battle against Dallas that they won by a 132-125 count last time out and could easily be vulnerable to being a letdown spot here vs Washington on the road tonight. I know Milwaukee has looked unstoppable of late, but with all the running and gunning their doing , their proverbial tank is probably on empty and it should not come as a surprise that they could also be over looking a lower tier opponent. Note:MILWAUKEE in their L/34  after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games have seen a average ppg diff clicking in at -0.2. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 116-182 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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11-20-23 | St. Joe's v. Kentucky -15 | 88-96 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kentucky basketball is playing with a shortened rotation as their 3 big men are not going to be available to play. But St.Josephs is not a team that can take advantage of this situation. Plus remaining talent on this Kentucky roster is more than capable of controlling play here tonight. Kentucky to cover |
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11-20-23 | Tennessee v. Syracuse +14 | 73-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Syracuse has won their first 3 games of the season, but have failed to cover each time and today Im betting they finally get out of their ATS funk for their betting backers and get us the cover vs Tennessee.Barnes in 9 road games against ACC opponents as the coach of TENNESSEE has seen the average ppg diff click in at +7.6 ppg. SYRACUSE is 44-24 ATS L/68 as a neutral court underdog or pick with the average ppg diff clicking at -0.5.  Play on Syracuse to cover |
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11-19-23 | Suns v. Jazz +5 | 140-137 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
The Jazz, host the Suns again on Sunday night in Salt Lake City, after a hard fought battle that saw them lose 131-128 to Phoenix in an NBA in-season tournament game. Now here at home, in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City where alot of teams have have some problems playing will see the Jazz get revenge or more importantly get us the cover. UTAH is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - after a combined score of 255 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Utah to cover |
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11-19-23 | Northern Iowa v. South Florida UNDER 145.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score to reach the high 130s which give us a solid 2 to 3 possession edge on this totals offering to the under. S FLORIDA is 14-4 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 119.2 ppg scored. Jacobson in 184 road games after 1 or more consecutive wins as the coach of N IOWA ihas seen a verage combined score of 127.9 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N IOWA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 40-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 135.6 ppg. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (S FLORIDA) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 182-95 for a 66% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 139 ppg going on the board. |
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11-19-23 | Mississippi State v. Northwestern +4.5 | 66-57 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Northwestern and Miss State are two evenly matched teams , but Im betting it will Northwestern rebounding abilities that will keep them in this game against their SEC opponents. NORTHWESTERN is 13-5 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion to cover. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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11-19-23 | Connecticut -12 v. Indiana | 77-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. According to my projections this has mismatch written all over it.The defending national champions Connecticut  are loaded and dominating at both ends of the court , They are backed by the back court withTristen Newton and Donovan Clingan at center, and Cam Spencer who can shoot the proverbial lights out.UConn is currently ranked as the No. 1 2-point offense in the country and have covered all 3 of their games in impressive fashion. Meanwhile, Indidana despite of their brand name and expected strong projections, are a one dimensional side, that just dont matchup well vs UConn.UConn is currently ranked as the No. 1 2-point offense in the country. with the average ppg diff clikcing in at 16.6 ppg.CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS ( after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons Play on the UConn to cover |
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11-18-23 | Mavs v. Bucks UNDER 243.5 | 125-132 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks ranked 4th in pace have for most of the season run and gun at a high octane rating and Im sure nothing will change here except their oppositions ability to slow them down and grind away with more physical type of game plan. Im looking for a much more grinding type of affair between two strong teams, and a score that remains on the low side of the offered total. My projections estimate a combined score in the high 230s giving a 2 possession plus edge on the number to the under.  MILWAUKEE in their L/25 games home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in their L/33 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 233 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 29-8 UNDER L/37 in home games off a road blowout win by 20 points or more with a combined average score of 202.8 ppg scored.(Beat Charlotte last time out 130-99)  DALLAS  in their L/33 non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS/ MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 223.2 ppg. NBA eams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more 2 straight games are 39-13 L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score registering at 227.4 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the average combined score of 225.6 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 37-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 229.2 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 31-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 222.8 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-18-23 | Southern Indiana v. La Salle UNDER 144.5 | 78-79 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score ranging from the high 130s to a maximum of 141 which gives us at least a 1 to 2 possession edge on this number. LASALLE is 9-1 UNDER in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 130.6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LASALLE) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-18-23 | Mississippi State -7 v. Washington State | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  KenPom ranks the Cougars 82nd nationally and outside the top 85 in Offensive and Defensive Efficiency despite of 3-0 record to begin this campaign. Yes the Cougars did win last time out in convincing fashion but this is still not a good matchup vs a staunch and physical Mississippi State' defense . The Bulldogs have smashed their opponents by DDs and I wont be surprised by a rinse and repeat situation here in this matchup vs a far less superior side.WASHINGTON ST is 3-11 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season.WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS ( in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on Mississippi State to cover |
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11-18-23 | Sacred Heart v. Loyola Maryland +2.5 | 66-51 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.Â
Loyola to cover |
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11-17-23 | San Diego State v. St. Mary's UNDER 131 | 79-54 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-17-23 | Mercer +30.5 v. Alabama | 67-98 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Tide are one of the best teams in the nation and because of this will be getting a great deal of public money which in turn will bloat this number from where the true market value is. Taking points is the right choice here because of this. The last time Mercer and Alabama met was Dec. 19, 2017 when the Tide held off a late charge by MU before prevailing, 80-79.  MERCER is 9-1 ATS L/10 as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points . ALABAMA is 0-7 ATS after a game where they made 60% of their shots or better which was the case last time out vs South Alabama in a 102-46 victory. CBB favorite (ALABAMA) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 6-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mercer to cover |
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11-17-23 | 76ers +1.5 v. Hawks | 126-116 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers will be primed to snap a two-game skid and a 1-3 ATS run when they face the host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA in-season tournament on Friday night. In the two losses tge 76ers looked tired but now with extra day of rest Im betting they will be good to go. Note: PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Hawks are off a 116-114 home loss to the New York Knicks on Wednesday and are on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 nights. Also key star Trae Youngs wife just had a baby so Im sure life has been hectic for him and it could show on the court tonight at some juncture. ATLANTA is 16-29 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons PHILADELPHIA is 48-32 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 18-34 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 16-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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11-17-23 | St. Thomas v. Cal Poly +7 | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CAL POLY-SLO is 15-3 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.CAL POLY-SLO is 11-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.CAL POLY-SLO is 7-0 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.CAL POLY-SLO is 9-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cal Poly to cover |
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11-17-23 | Holy Cross +11 v. Winthrop | 51-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Holy Cross stands 1-2 so far this year, including a 68-67 victory at Georgetown on Nov. 11 and must not be underestimated in their abilities to compete here vs Winthrop today. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (WINTHROP) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their game are 36-7 ATS L/27 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Holy Cross to cover |
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11-16-23 | Thunder -2 v. Warriors | 128-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder (7-4; 8-3 ATS) have gone 4-1 SU and ATS over their last five trips to the hardwood  and have momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, the Warriors are on a four game losing run and are fade material in their current form especially with the explosive Curry and tough man Green out of the lineup. OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 ATS  revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 3-13 ATS vs. sub pard rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 33-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clikcing in at +14.4. Play on Thunder to cover |
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11-16-23 | Utah v. Wake Forest +5.5 | 77-70 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Demon Deacons are coming off an 80-77 loss at Georgia in their first real raod game this this past Friday (Nov. 10) . Wake Forest went 16-of-18 (88.9 percent) from the free throw line against Georgia. For the season, the Deacs are now a stellar 35-of-39 (89.7 percent) from the charity stripe and Im betting it will be their ability to convert from the FT line will be a key difference maker tonight vs Utah. UTAH is 1-9 ATS  in road games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Smith is 4-17 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds as the coach of UTAH. Forbes is 23-9 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1997. WAKE FOREST is 19-8 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.Forbes is 27-11 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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11-16-23 | College of Charleston v. Vermont UNDER 145.5 | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Myrtle Beach Invitational - HTC Center - Conway, SC My totals projections for this game are in the low 140s giving us a one to two possession edge on this Totals offering. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 10-2 UNDER ) in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5 with a combined average of 128.8 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 10+ wins in last 12 games, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 62-27 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 138 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (VERMONT) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 13+ wins in last 15 games are 54-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 135.5 ppg going on the board. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Long Island v. UCLA UNDER 142 | 58-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. LONG ISLAND is 13-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons. UCLA is 10-2 UNDER after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UCLA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 36-6 UNDER L/26 seasons with a combined average of 137.4 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Stony Brook v. Nebraska UNDER 141 | 63-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the range of 137. Value to the under by 2 possessions. NEBRASKA is 8-1 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 130.9 ppg scored. STONY BROOK is 9-2 UNDER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season with a combined average 131.9 ppg. CBB - Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NEBRASKA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 29-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average score of 137 pp scored. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Bucks v. Raptors +4.5 | 128-112 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS in all games this season and have failed to cover 7 straight games overall. Their marker value has been consistently over rated by the lines-makers and tonight looks to be no different against what looks to be a tenacious hardworking group of Raptors. Key injury Note: Giannis Antetokounmpo (Calf) is not 100% despite of being expected to play tonight. Raptors are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (-19.55 Units / -17% ROI) dating back to last season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (118 PPG or more) are 35-5 L/27 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.6. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-15-23 | Celtics -3.5 v. 76ers | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
The Celtics have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Sixers last week by a 106-103 count, and will be primed for pay back here tonight in the rematch. Meanwhile, on the flipside the Sixers play again tonight after seeing their eight-game winning streak snapped last night vs Indiana . Now on tired legs against a talented and redemption minded squad Im betting the 76ers are in trouble. BOSTON is 21-9 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 15-3 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 125 points or more 2 straight games are 23-5 L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at +13.6. NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 6-40 L/5 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.6. Play on Boston to cover |
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11-15-23 | Evansville v. SE Missouri State -2.5 | 76-57 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Redhawks are 24-8 SU all-time in home- openers since joining the NCAA Division I in 1991-92. Southeast Missouri began its home slate with a win in eight of the last 11 years and posted victories in 15 of its previous 18 home-opening contests. The Redhawks won their home-opener in five of their last seven seasons and according to my projections have the edge again. EVANSVILLE is 0-9 ATS in road games on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons. EVANSVILLE is 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons. CBB road team vs. the money line (EVANSVILLE) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 9-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -6.3. Play on Missouri State to cover |
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11-15-23 | Richmond v. Boston College UNDER 142.5 | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. RICHMOND is 12-2 UNDER L/14 after a blowout win by 30 points or more. RICHMOND is 20-9 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons. CBB  teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 358-249 L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. CBB eams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RICHMOND) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 39-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with a combined average of 136 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-14-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 107-134 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
Lakers are off two straight wins and look to be in sync entering this tilt vs the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. I know the Grizzlies are off a win vs the Clippers on Sunday, but Im not impressed by the Clippers so far this season, so Im betting that the 2-8 bad news Bears revert back to the inconsistent type of play they have exhibited this season. MEMPHIS is 1-18 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 10-28 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an sub par defensive team (45.5-47.5%), good ball handling team 14.5 TO's or less) against a good pressure defensive team (16.5 TO's or more )are 24-2 L/27 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which esaily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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11-14-23 | Iowa v. Creighton UNDER 163.5 | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of 156 to 159 giving us solid value by 2 plus possessions to the under on this offering. I know both these sides have shown huge offensive lower tier competition , but now when facing some decent defensive talent a quick regression must be expected. IOWA in their L/11 against Big East conference opponents have seen a combined average of 155.5 ppg scored. CREIGHTON is 16-3 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 132 ppg going on the board. CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (IOWA) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a blowout win by 30 points or more are 41-18 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (CREIGHTON) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 49-16 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! Play under |
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11-14-23 | Texas A&M v. SMU +5.5 | 79-66 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Big game for SMU at Moody tonight and Im betting their enthusiasm behind the home crowd should help them stay competitive via a havoc style of play that creates alot of turnovers . The Mustangs also exhibit tenacious rebounding on both the defensive and offensive board . With Texas A&M off a Big 10 win on the road, vs Ohio State last time out could find keeping their energy at a high level difficult. The last time SMU played an SEC school at home they upset Vanderbilt, 84-72, back in December of 2021. TEXAS A&M is 0-6 ATS in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. CBB Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SMU) - good offensive rebounding team - averaging 13/game or more on the season, in November games are 26-18 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -0.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on SMU to cover |
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11-14-23 | Boston University +10.5 v. Howard | 53-64 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. According to my projections this line should be closer to -7 giving a solid one possession value to cover this hefty side offering.  BOSTON U is 23-8 ATS L/31 in road games versus sub par passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game. Play on Boston U to cover full game and first half Boston U to cover |
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11-13-23 | Rider v. Nebraska UNDER 149.5 | 50-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections have estimated a combined score in the low to mid 140s range giving us a 2 possession or more edge on this offered totals number. Baggett is 48-34 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of RIDER with a combined average of 144.6 ppg scored. NEBRASKA is 11-2 UNDER in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 134 ppg scored. NEBRASKA is 32-17 UNDER as a home favorite of 10 or more points with a combined average of 134.5 ppg scored.  CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NEBRASKA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 32-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 138 ppg. Play under |
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11-13-23 | Knicks +9 v. Celtics | 98-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Knicks enter this game giving up 103.2 per outing (second in NBA) and here against the explosive Celtics Im betting they will be very physical and tenacious which will in turn take away the home teams positive flow. Based on a short list of early season results the line may not seem out of place, but after watching the Knicks on a few occasions this seasons it become obvious this a proud hard core type of team, that deserves alot more respect than they are getting tonight. NEW YORK is 32-18 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS  after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 29-16 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 38-4 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (BOSTON) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against division rivals, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 19-47 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Knicks to cover |
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11-13-23 | Stephen F Austin v. Northwestern State UNDER 146.5 | 96-70 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the upper 130s to maximum 141 range giving us a 2 to 3 possession value to the under. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NORTHWESTERN ST) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games. are 35-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with as combined average of 135.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Home teams against the total (NORTHWESTERN ST) - excellent ball handling team from last season - committed 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from weak division 1-A conferences are 29-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-13-23 | East Tennessee State v. Butler UNDER 147 | 47-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
  My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BUTLER is 13-2 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 135 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (BUTLER) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 30-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average for a 79% conversion rate. Play under |
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11-13-23 | Villanova v. Pennsylvania +11.5 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This is a Big 5 battle between the Villanova Wildcats and Penn Quakers.  .The +11 line has been covered by Pennsylvania in 14 consecutive games. The -11 line hasn’t been covered by Villanova in any of their last 10 games on the road.The +11 line has been covered by Pennsylvania in 3 of their last 4 games against Villanova.According to my line projections we have the edge with the home side Pennsylvania taking points. Play on Penn to cover |
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11-12-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +2.5 | 136-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans will be primed to bounce back from a 0-3 road trip when they host the Mavericks on Sunday night. Meanwhile, the Mavs are off a hard fought win vs conference rivals the Clippers last time out in what turned into a physical game and could easily be in a emotional let down state here in the Bayou tonight making them vulnerable to a hungry home side. NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 ATS in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.Green is 15-4 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-12-23 | North Carolina Central v. Georgia UNDER 146 | 54-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score that hits in the low 140s, which gives us a 1 to 2 possession edge on this totals offering.Â
White is 20-8 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive overs in all games he has coached with a combined average of 138.1 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGIA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games are 35-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.2 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-12-23 | UABÂ +5 v. Maryland | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Big 10 conference Maryland getting to much respect here vs experienced mid major conference side UAB. My own number makes the Terps just a 2 point fav. Full possession of value makes the Blazers to side to back. Kennedy is 22-12 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of UAB. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARYLAND) - bad pressure defensive team from last season - forced 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 13-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UAB to cover |
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11-11-23 | Raptors v. Celtics -8 | 94-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This will be the final stop on a four-game road trip for Toronto nd Im betting they will be on tired legs in a nasty home environment against a superior side the Celtics. BOSTON is 21-9 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons which is the case here tonight. Note: against this type of team in a cover situation you need to be able to make charity stripe conversion something  Toronto isa not doing well as they rank last in the NBA in free-throw percentage at 69.6 percent. NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 37-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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11-11-23 | Fresno State v. Kent State -2.5 | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kent State had their 23 games win streak abruptly end last time out in OT vs a very good looking James Madison side. However, Im now expecting to rebound vs aFresno State side traveling from West to East and way out of their time zone. CBB road team (FRESNO ST) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 11-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Kent State to cover |
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11-11-23 | Utah Tech v. Jacksonville State UNDER 144.5 | 81-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total out at 139 giving us a 2 to 3 possession value to the under. JACKSONVILLE ST is 21-8 UNDER after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average fo 130.1 ppg scored. Harper is 36-24 UNDER as a home favorite or pick as the coach of JACKSONVILLE ST with a combined average of 139.5 ppg scored.. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (JACKSONVILLE ST) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season with a combined average of 135.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UTAH TECH) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 180-87 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the combined average of 138.5 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-11-23 | NC-Wilmington v. North Carolina-Asheville | 83-66 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Both these programs are ranked in the College Insider Mid-Major Top 25, with the Seahawks checking at seventh on the list and UNC Asheville at 17th Asheville suffered a 99-74 loss to Michigan on Tuesday (Nov. 7), in their season opener, but after playing that type of type tier opponent will be well prepared for a bounce back effort. Meanwhile , UNC Wilmington comes into Saturday's game after defeating Mount Olive 105-66 on Monday (Nov. 6) and this will be a quick up turn in class which will not serve them well in this road game in a hostile foreign environment. UNC-ASHEVILLE is 6-0 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UNC-WILMINGTON) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Asheville to cover |
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11-11-23 | Texas State v. Miami-OH +2.5 | 75-65 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miami Ohio to cover ( LATE STEAM) |
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11-10-23 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 222.5 | 122-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
The Lakers have lost two straight and have allowed 120 or more points in 3 of their L/4 and in 5 road games this season have allowed an average of 221.4 ppg. Meanwhile, the Suns have averaged 120.3 ppg at home this season while allowing 117 ppg. After the recent negative results from the Lakers Im betting on a very aggressive take no prisoners effort from them , and for the Suns to reciprocate with some offense fireworks themselves and for this offered total to be eclipsed.  The suns have gone over in 5 of their L/6 overall NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 60-25 over L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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11-10-23 | Arizona v. Duke UNDER 154.5 | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . My projections for this tilt estimate a combined score that will plateau in the mid to high 140s giving us a two to 3 plus possession edge on this offered total to the under. ARIZONA in their L/152 road games in non-conference games have seen a combined average of 144.4 ppg scored. DUKE in their L/6 home games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 144.7 ppg. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ARIZONA) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower are 41-14 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average combined ppg clicking in at 149.1 ppg. CBB Road teams against the total (ARIZONA) - team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a team that had a winning record, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 101-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 136.1 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (DUKE) - with four starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 10+ wins in last 12 games are 30-10 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average of 146.6 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-10-23 | UMass Lowell v. Dartmouth +2.5 | 81-48 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Duke clobbered Dartmouth last time out which was not a big surprise, but a closer look at the score sheet showed that the Big Green were only outrebounded by four, 33-29, and held a 10-5 edge in offensive boards. This came against a team that finished last season fifth nationally in rebounding margin (+7.9). That was a gritty performance, which bodes well here against Umass Lowell, a side the Big Green have beaten all 3 times they have faced them recently. The Big Green have done well in home-openers as is evident by winning 4 of their L/5 home openers and time in their last six tries and eight of their last 10 opportunities. Meanwhile, the River Hawks reached the America East Championship Game last season, finishing 17-0 at home but barley were a .500 team on road garnering a 9-8 away record. Note: The Big Green beat Princeton (who went on to advance to the Sweet 16) on Feb. 11 then Harvard in the season finale on Mar. 4 here at home and must not be underestimated. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UMASS-LOWELL) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 5-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. CBB road team vs. the money line (UMASS-LOWELL) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 3 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 26-77 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dartmouth to cover |
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11-09-23 | Portland State v. UC-Santa Barbara -7 | 82-76 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UC Santa Barbara Men's Basketball, have been voted to finish first in the conference.The reigning Big West Player of the Year and Big West Tournament MVP returns to the lineup for the Gauchos and earned his spot on the All-Big West Preseason Team. Mitchell's top tier campaign ended with him averaging 16.3 points and 5.1 assists per game while shooting at 50.6 percent from the field. More of the same on tape tonight in the Gauchos opener. Coburn is 8-18 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders as the coach of PORTLAND ST. CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (PORTLAND ST ) - off an upset win as an underdog, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 3-54 L/26 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. UC San Barbara to cover |
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11-09-23 | Stephen F Austin v. Middle Tennessee -2.5 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After entering the season as preseason favorites in the Conference USA coaches poll, the Blue Raiders are coming off a 74-57 home victory over Northern Kentucky on Monday. MTSU over its last 32 home games has limited opponents to 59.6 points per game in regulation, having gone 30-2 in that stretch. The Blue Raiders added six newcomers to the roster to replace its six departing players. The average newcomer is 1.7 inches taller than the player he is replacing (6'8.0" vs. 6'6.3"). Defense remains a staple as does home court advantage. MIDDLE TENN ST is 9-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.MIDDLE TENN ST is 13-1 ATS in home games after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons.MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-0 ATS  in home games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 3 seasons.MIDDLE TENN ST is 10-1 ATS in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover |
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11-09-23 | Howard +12 v. Georgia Tech | 85-88 | Win | 100 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgia Tech did well in their opener, but Im betting they will have their hands full with an explosive Howard group tonight. I know HC Damon Stoudamire bring s a big name with him, but Gtech still has some growing to do, an \d Im betting that will become evident this Thursday night. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (GEORGIA TECH) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 7-35 ATS L/26 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on. Howard to cover |
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11-09-23 | James Madison v. Kent State -3.5 | 113-108 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Golden Flashes began this season full force after a second-half spark that led to a 79-58 win over Malone in their home opener, extending their home game winning streak at home to 23 in a row. Im betting the Flashes continue their home streak. JMU began their season with an exciting overtime 79-76 win over No.4 Michigan State and will be vulnerable as they are in a huge letdown spot here today after that big upset. KENT ST is 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. KENT ST is 6-0 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (JAMES MADISON) - off an upset win as an underdog, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 3-54 L/26 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Kent State to cover |
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11-09-23 | North Florida v. Charleston Southern UNDER 149.5 | 81-70 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the low to mid 140s giving us a 2 to 3 possession edge to the under. N FLORIDA is 14-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 season with a combined average of 140.9 ppg scored. N FLORIDA is 20-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 with a combined average of 143.6 ppg scored. CHARLESTON SO is 22-10 UNDER L/32 after a win by 10 points or more with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (CHARLESTON SO) - excellent ball handling team from last season - committed 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from weak division 1-A conferences are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 132.3 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-08-23 | Pistons +12 v. Bucks | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Detroit had seven players sidelined by injuries or illness on Monday when it faced a fully healthy Golden State squad and still played cohesively for 90% of that game but faded late losing by 11. Im betting their young legs will keep them in this game as well, vs a Milwaukee side that Im sure will be over looking them and or showing less than desirable motivation, especially after taking part in a emotional thriller in Brooklyn last time out as they barley walked away with a  129-125 victory. Advantage Motown on the spread. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 4-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pistons to cover |
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11-08-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is in top form entering this home game against the Celtics as is evident by having won 5 straight games, with four straight coming by DDs. Meanwhile, the Celtics started strong with 5 straight victories , but that was suddenly snapped last time out vs Minnesota. This is obviously going to be a hard fought game between two eastern conference rivals , and for me that means taking points with the side honing home court advantage. PHILADELPHIA is 20-5 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 23-11 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two top-level teams (75% or better ) are 15-42 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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11-08-23 | Western Illinois v. SMU OVER 144.5 | 53-90 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections for this tilt between W. Illinois and SMU are closer to the 150 plateau which gives us some very viable value here with an over wager. SMU is 11-3 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 season with a combined average of 152.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-07-23 | Albany v. Massachusetts UNDER 146.5 | 71-92 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the high 130s, plateauing in around 141 as a expected combined offensive output. CBB Home teams against the total (MASSACHUSETTS) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) from last year are 93-49 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 136..6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MASSACHUSETTS) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 354-222 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-06-23 | Central Arkansas v. Tulsa UNDER 148 | 53-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of 144 points giving us great value on a score that fails ti eclipse this totals offering. Tulsa has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)Central Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI) TULSA is 19-6 UNDER L/25 in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 . CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TULSA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games are 34-9 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 135 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-06-23 | Georgia Southern +10.5 v. Georgia Tech | 62-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 26 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgia Tech has a new coaching staff a new system, and have alot of half backed non substantiated optimism surrounding them.The Yellow Jackets were Picked to finish 13th in the ACC preseason poll with no players receiving All-Conference votes. They also currently have the third-lowest odds to win the conference. This program had a vast amount of turnover following the firing of Josh Pastner. Only four scholarship players remain from last year's team. All in all, there are 10 newcomers on this roster, with 6 of those being transfers. Gtechs new HC Stoudamire did not stand out during his five-year tenure at Pacific and as a assistant with Boston was deemed average at best and with little real quality talent may suffer in his first season at the helm of the Yellowjackets. Georgia Southern Im betting stays within the perimeters of a quality dog. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (GEORGIA TECH) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (GEORGIA TECH) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-35 ATS L/26 seasons for. ago against 86% conversion rate. Play on the GSouthern to cover |
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11-06-23 | Wizards +11 v. 76ers | 128-146 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
 The Sixers will try to land their fifth consecutive victory when they host the Washington Wizards on Monday. Because of thier lofty run they are also being over rated here on this line making the underdog a viable proposition. I know the Wizards have lost 5 of 6 but now in desperation mode against a top tier opponent I expect them to put forward a big effort as they search for early season redemption and momentum. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) - team that had a winning record last season, after 4 or more consecutive wins are 9-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 60% or higher are 26-3 L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.\ Play on Washington to cover |
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11-06-23 | Maine +8.5 v. Charlotte | 52-69 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 26 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My Early season projections for this game come in closer to -6 for /charlotte giving us a full possession edge. Maine is a team that centers around a strong defense, with their top two way player being  Tynes who joins a crew of 10 returning players from a season ago. Lots of experience on the Black Bears side and they deserve respect here as underdogs.Meanwhile, Charlotte win the CBI tourney championship last season with a strong finish, but now are being a little over rated because of that giving us value with the pup. Note: The 49ers were led by the duo of Brice Williams and Aly Khalifa who are gone now. NBA favorite (CHARLOTTE) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) from last year are 3-26 ATS L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on Maine to cover |
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11-06-23 | Niagara v. Notre Dame OVER 125.5 | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the low 130s which qualifies on this Totals offering to the over. I know Notre Dame is expected to play tough D, this season buy Im betting they do some damage offensively tonight against a under rated Niagara team that will also answer back with enough production to help us get this over bet to cash. NBA teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (NOTRE DAME) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 13+ losses in last 15 games, bad team from last season (20% to 40%) playing a team that had a winning record last year are 25-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-05-23 | Hornets +11.5 v. Mavs | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
After a grueling Mile High city trip and loss at Denver Im betting the Mavs are in letdown situation and also gassed after their high altitude track meet. Meanwhile, Charlotte has shown some flashes of brilliance vs Atlanta in. opening season win and a victory vs Indiana as underdogs on the road last time out and are according to my early season power rankings a value underdog option this Sunday. DALLAS is 11-23 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 11-26 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 8-21 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (DALLAS) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 4-27 SU/ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate with the average point per game diff clicking in at -5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering by DDs.  Charlotte is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 overall vs Dallas. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-05-23 | Raptors -3.5 v. Spurs | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Spurs are off a two big upset wins vs the Phoenix Suns and will no be in an emotional letdown spot vs a hungry Toronto team that is playing much better than their record may indicate NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog 1-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clikcing in at -12.3 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Toronto to cover |
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11-04-23 | Lakers v. Magic +4 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
The Lakers started their campaign with a 119-107 road loss in Denver on Oct. 24 before dropping a 132-127 overtime tilt in Sacramento a few days later. Both their road games have ended in defeat and here against a strong/young looking group of Magic Im betting they will also have their hands are full. I know the Magic have a few injuries, but are deeper than many pundits might appreciate. note: Paolo Banchero is healthy and when hes 100% can be a game changers much like he was in Orlandos win at Utah last time out when he poured down 30 points and 8 rebounds. ORLANDO is 21-10 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 35-22 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 3-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate. Play on the Magic to cover |
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11-04-23 | Suns v. 76ers OVER 220.5 | 100-112 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Sometimes afternoon games have a tendency to see teams start slowly which effects offensive production . But according to my projections this line is still off and a tad to low. PHOENIX is 23-12 OVER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. Nurse is 57-34 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in all games he has coached in his career with a combined average of 224.3 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 36-23 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 42-14 OVER L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHOENIX) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots 52-15 OVER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the over |
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11-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Blazers +3 | 113-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies are the lone winless team in the NBA as they start a two-game set in Portland with a 0-5 record. the linesmkaers combination of disrespect for the Blazers and the desperation factor attached to this number make for what I am betting is a viable underdog selection. Note:MEMPHIS is 0-9 ATS in road games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 4-14 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-24 ATS in road games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 5-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Underdogs (PORTLAND) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 64-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Portland is 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series. Play on Portland Blazers to cover |
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11-03-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets -6.5 | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
Dallas has won all 4 of their games this season so far while their opponents tonight the Nuggets had their 4 game win streak end last time out with a DD loss at Minnesota. Im betting the Nuggets here at home off a ugly loss will come out here like gang busters and take down the Dallas Mavericks in the high altitudes of Denver where it is never easy for visitors to play. Malone is 34-17 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of DENVER. DENVER is 11-2 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 18-8 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 41-22 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons DALLAS is 3-12 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. Kidd is 20-45 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins in all games he has coached. NBA Favorites (DENVER) - off a road loss against a division rival, on Friday nights are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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11-03-23 | Wizards v. Heat UNDER 226.5 | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a total combined score that will reach the low 220s which gives us at least a 1 /2 possession edge on this offered number to the under. MIAMI in their L/12 when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving 2 struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 31-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 216 ppg going on the board. Play under |
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11-02-23 | Spurs v. Suns -8 | 132-121 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Spurs a few days ago, upset the Suns after the Suns had taken a big lead before melting down and losing. Now angry and in redemption mode will be ready for a huge bounce back effort. When teams play their opponent a second time in a span of three days in the regular season and are road favorites after losing the last game at home, they are: 20-8 SU at home. Also Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 41-16 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.
Play on Suns to cover |
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11-01-23 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 228 | 109-133 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are having problems scoring, thanks in part the absence of  Morant, Steven Adams (knee), Brandon Clarke (Achilles), Luke Kennard (concussion) and Santi Aldama (ankle). The cohesiveness is just not there and that will once again hamper their point production here in Salt Lake City tonight . The Grizzlies is well aware of this and will be focused on good transitional D instead of trying to run and gun which will effect this total to the under. MEMPHIS is 15-4 UNDER against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored,Â
MEMPHIS in their L/12 games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 50% or worse, has seen a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored, MEMPHIS is 14-3 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving 2 struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 31-2 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-01-23 | Bulls +5.5 v. Mavs | 105-114 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Chicago enters this road game against the Mavs off a upset win in Indiana last time out and have momentum entering this tilt . Note:CHICAGO is 21-9 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, Dallas is off a DD win vs a banged up Memphis side, which was their third straight win to being the season. It must be noted however, that DALLAS is 1-12 ATS L/13 after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games so regression wont come as a surprise.DALLAS is also 1-9 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons which is the case. HC Kidd has had issues against teams like the Bulls in the past going 2-12 ATS versus excellent pressure defensive teams -forcing 17 or more turnovers/game in all games he has coached . DALLAS is 9-23 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 7-21 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Chicago to cover |
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10-30-23 | Wolves v. Hawks UNDER 232.5 | 113-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The Wolves have started out their campaign exhibiting very good defensive posture in transition, and Im betting they will continue that type of play here on the road vs a team that they know like to run and gun. Minnesota has allowed 97 and 90 points in their 2 games , and are more than capable of slowing down a Atlanta side, that Im betting is on tired legs playing their 3rd game in 4 night and that will be in regression mode after a big upset win on the road vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out. It must also be noted that the Hawks HC coach Quinn Snyder, wants to see better defense from his team and has made that clear multiple times in press conferences . With that said, Im betting on a much more defensive affair here than the linesmkaers expect. MINNESOTA is 19-9 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.6 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 17-7 UNDER off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 95 points or less against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 44-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors with a combined 227.4 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ATLANTA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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10-30-23 | Wolves -1.5 v. Hawks | 113-127 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Hawks are off a big underdog road win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time and I expect they will be in a letdown situation here, and are also on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 games. ATLANTA is 7-20 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile,Anthony Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns and Rudy Gobert make Minnesota a contender in the Western Conference and must be respected here as short favs . NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 42-122 L/27 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 73-19 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in +5.7 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Minnesota to cover Play on Minnesota to cover |
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10-29-23 | Spurs v. Clippers UNDER 228.5 | 83-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
I know both these sides have been involved in high scoring games in both times they have been on the court thus far this season, but my own projections based on coaching tendencies and the type of usual hoops implemented Im betting on a more conservative affair. Lue is 34-19 UNDER off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of LA CLIPPERS with a combined average of 217.6 ppg scored. (Clippers lost in Utah last time out as favs118-120 ) LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - off a home win, sub par team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 27-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-29-23 | Blazers +9.5 v. 76ers | 98-126 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Blazers top offensive threat Anfernee Simons will not be in the lineup tonight for the Blazers, and that in part is why we are getting a good number to bet into. Meanwhile, after two hard fought road games vs the Bucks and the Raptors the 76ers return home on tired legs and may not have that extra edge they will need for all out performance. With the negative factor of Harden (who wants out of Philly hanging over the team, Im betting that also effects the Sixers over all play from a subconscious level) Advantage Blazers as they make the needed adjustment to Simons being out.Â
Play on Portland to cover |
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10-28-23 | Pacers v. Cavs -3 | 125-113 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
The Cavaliers last time out looked very much like they were headed for a second straight win to start the season leading Oklahoma City Thunder 100-90 with 2:37 to play on Friday night before falling apart late. Now in redemption mode Im betting on the Cavs to be ready to rebound in a big way. I know the Pacers are more rested and off impressive victory scoring 143 points , but my early season power ranking still suggest the Cavs are superior more motivated side playing with home court advantage. Also major letdown regression from that huge offensive production must be expected against a side that will be focused on playing a much stronger defensive game after the last debacle. CLEVELAND is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a upset loss as a favorite, marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games are 21-4 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 14-39 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
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10-28-23 | 76ers -4 v. Raptors | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Raptors are going to be tired tonight after losing a 104-103 battle vs Chicago last night giving the Philadelphia 76ers an advantage.Also as far as the medias big deal about Harden not accompanying his team , is actually a blessing in disguise as he is a distraction and creates alot of negative energy when he is court-side. Talented player but just causes to much drama. Coaches like Nurse are a down to business type of coach, and Im sure he wont miss his presence . Raptors are expected to be without OG Anunoby and if he plays will be less than 100%. PHILADELPHIA is 38-23 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 2-11 ATS in home games after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-29 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.4. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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10-28-23 | Bulls -1 v. Pistons | 102-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
I know Chicago played a grueling OT game last night, but are one of the better conditioned teams in the NBA. Yes, I know the Motown crew pulled off an upset , last time out against Charlotte and in their first game of the season played the Miami Heat very tough losing by just one point , but according to my early season power rankings do not matchup well against the Bulls. This is the home opener for the Pistons , and they will be motivated but Im betting that wont be enough. Chicago has won 15 consecutive meetings in this series vs Motown, including a sweep of the last four season series qnd nothing should change today even if the oftenr injured Zach Lavine does not play. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (DETROIT) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 10-42 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to win/cover |
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10-27-23 | Warriors +3.5 v. Kings | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
The Warriors cruised to a 120-100 win at Sacramento in Game 7 of their first-round playoff series last season to eliminate the third-seeded Kings and end their surprisingly strong season.But Im betting the revenge card is over blown here and that the Warriors after a ugly game 1 performance of the current season will be ready to make sure of a better performance against a familiar foe that they matchup well against. The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games at home (-24.90 Units / -30% ROI) NBA Favorites vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - good free throw shooting team from last season - made 76% or more of their free throws, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 20-9 L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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10-27-23 | Clippers v. Jazz +4 | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
After a lopsided season-opening loss to the Sacramento Kings, the Utah Jazz will be primed to bounce back against the Los Angeles Clippers this Friday night. Meanwhile, the Clippers because of a strong effort in their opener are now bring over rated in a place where they have not thrived of late (Salt Lake City). UTAH is 30-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.  UTAH is 33-14 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 19-6 ATS  when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. Utah is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 vs the Clippers at home . Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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10-27-23 | Raptors v. Bulls -2 | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
After a deflating season-opening loss that quickly prompted a players-only meeting, the Chicago Bulls will aim to regroup on Friday against the visiting Toronto Raptors. Like Ive said many times before pros dont like to be embarrassed. Remember these individuals have huge egos and have been stars at every level they have ever played at , and now with their egos bruised will be ready to come out with a take no prisoners type of performance. Thats what Im betting the Bulls do tonight and the unfortunate recipients of their redemption tour will be the Raptors. TORONTO is 3-15 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.TORONTO is 10-24 ATS after allowing 100 points or less over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 35-19 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Chicago is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series. NBA  team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 33-14 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +4.3 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Chicago to cover |
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10-27-23 | Knicks v. Hawks -1.5 | 126-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Both these teams are off narrow defeats in their opening games of the current campaign, but I like the odds of the home side Hawks bouncing back. After playing the Celtics in their opener in a game that looked to be hard fought and grueling Im betting the Knicks are in a vulnerable spot here in Atlanta .NBA Favorites (ATLANTA) - off a road loss against a division rival, on Friday nights are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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10-27-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +5.5 | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
I also know the Grizzlies will be without the suspended Ja Morant but the the Grizzlies still retained several key contributors from last year's playoff squad, including Jaren Jackson Jr., Desmond Bane, Brandon Clarke and Xavier Tillman Sr. and now have Marcus Smart in Morant's position and should form themselves into a cohesive unit as this season progresses.  MEMPHIS is also 15-3 ATS as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons.MEMPHIS is 14-2 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons..MEMPHIS is 9-0 ATS in home games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. Memphis is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home vs the Denver Nuggets. Play on Memphis to cover |
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10-27-23 | Pistons v. Hornets UNDER 227 | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that the Pistons will score between 103 and 108 points. Note: CHARLOTTE is 13-0 UNDER when they allow 103 to 108 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.5 ppg scored. Im also projecting that Charlotte will score between 109 and 114 points. DETROIT is 12-2 UNDER  when they allow 109 to 114 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 214.6 ppg scored. Advantage to the under based on my projections NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - off a home win, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 26-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored. Play under |
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10-25-23 | Cavs v. Nets +1.5 | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
The Cavs finished the preseason at just 1-3 and are little banged up with Allen and Garland not 100% with nagging injuries. The Cavs were sub .500 team on the road last season, and dont deserve respect as road favs against a fairly talented Nets team playing in front of their home town fans on opening night. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight ATS losses against opponent first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 6 or more of their last 8 games are 8-28 L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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10-25-23 | Hawks -3.5 v. Hornets | 110-116 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
Atlanta is fairly healthy rolling into the season with the only injured player being Wesley Matthews who will be out with a mild right calf strain. Meanwhile, The Charlotte Hornets released their injury report Tuesday evening and shows guards Cody Martin (left knee soreness), James Bouknight (left knee), and Frank Ntilikina (tibia fracture) have been ruled out for Wednesday's regular season home opener against the Atlanta Hawks. Bryce McGowens (left ankle) is listed as doubtful. Advantage Hawks. The Hornets finished last in the Southeast Division and posted the fourth-worst record (27-55) in the NBA last season and Im betting the upgrades will not help them all that much. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHARLOTTE) - lower tier performing team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 6-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate with the ppg diff clicking in at +7.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Hawks to cover |
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10-25-23 | Rockets +4 v. Magic | 86-116 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
Im betting Houston is being under rated here -but with guard Jalen Green, forward Jabari Smith Jr. and center Alperen Sengun in the mix must not be underestimated in their ability to cover and even pull of the upset. I know the consensus is that the Magic have rebuilt a fine young roster, but their inconsistency remains a concern. Note: Orlando won just 44.4% of the games last season in which it was the moneyline favorite (8-10). NBA home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 4 or more straight losses are 6-20 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. The road team has won the last 2 most recent meetings in this series. Houston Rockets to cover |
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10-24-23 | Suns v. Warriors OVER 232 | 108-104 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 22 m | Show | |
I cannot see alot of defense being played by the Suns this season with Devin Booker, Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal running and gunning with all out wreck-less abandon. Im betting your going to need to score at a high rate to compete with the Suns, and tonight thats what Im betting the capable Golden state offense will be up to doing. My own projections estimate both these sides will score 214 or more points . Note:PHOENIX is 23-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 246.9 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 31-4 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 248.9 ppg scored. Golden State had an average implied point total of 120.1 last season, which is 3.1 points higher than its implied total in Tuesday’s game (117).Last season, Golden State scored more than 117 points in a game 50 times.The 116.1-point average implied total last season for Phoenix is 1.1 more points than the team’s 115-point implied total in this matchup. PHOENIX is 16-5 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241.3 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 30 m | Show | |
Its obvious the Miami Heat are in full regression mode, after a great play off run. Truth is the Heat were a very average team during this campaign, while their opponents the Nuggets have been for the most part very consistent and a top tier group all season long. This particular matchup has proven to me that the Nuggets are the superior side at both ends of the court, and the game 2 hiccup the Nuggets suffered was basically a rust issue after a long lay off leading into these Finals. Now the fresher of both sides, and the more talented side will Im betting get the job, done here at home in front of what will be a lively crowd with the NBA championship on the line.  DENVER is 22-9 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season.Malone is 30-14 ATS after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games as the coach of DENVER. Nuggets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. MIAMI is 19-31 ATS after playing a home game this season. Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.  Denver to cover |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 208.5 | 89-94 | Loss | -114 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Im betting Miami comes out here ready to leave everything on the floor in last ditch effort to stave off elimination and that alone will elevate their expected point total. Meanwhile the capable Nuggets playing on their own home floor with championship aspirations just a victory away will reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own in a game I have pegged to eclipse this total. MIAMI in their L/35 games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 223.3 ppg scored.  NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 26-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 37-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play over |
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06-09-23 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Heat | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
The Nuggets after a long lay off had a rust vs rest situation manifest positively for them in game 1 against a tired group of the Heat. However, in game 2 you could see the Nuggets looked less than cohesive despite of entering the 4th quarter of that tilt up by 8 points before completely falling apart in the 4th quarter for their first loss at home in these play offs. Then came game 3 where the rust was completely off as the Nuggets dominated a Heat side that is now suffering regression after a strong play off run.  Still the fresher of both sides and according to my power rankings the superior side , the Nuggets get the nod again as road favs in game 4. From a overall SRS perspective Denver is the superior side. Note: Denver ranks 6th in the league with a +3.04 mark while Miami ranks 19th with a -0.13 mark. So according to this SIMPLE RATING SYSTEM -a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average the Nuggets are the true favs even with home court advantage taken into consideration. the lines-makers have it right, and with that said, Im also on the Nuggets to pull a game 4 victory out and grab the cover in the process.
DENVER is 21-9 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season. DENVER is 29-12 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being out-rebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 14-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 14-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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06-07-23 | Nuggets -2 v. Heat | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 40 h 34 m | Show | |
The Nuggets after a long lay off had a rust vs rest situation manifest positively for them in game 1 against a tired group of the Heat. However, in game 2 you could see the Nuggets looked less than cohesive despite of entering the 4th quarter of that tilt up by 8 points before completely falling apart in the 4th quarter for their first loss at home in these play offs. Now with this being their 3rd game off extended rest, Im betting we will see the Nuggets at their optimal setting, and with the added incentive of a bounce back performance look like very viable short favs on the road today according to my overall power rankings. From a overall SRS perspective Denver is the superior side. Note: Denver ranks 6th in the league with a +3.04 mark while Miami ranks 19th with a -0.34 mark. So according to this SIMPLE RATING SYSTEM -a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average the Nuggets are the true favs even with home court advantage taken into consideration. the lines-makers have it right, and with that said, Im also on the Nuggets to pull a game 3 victory out. NBA  team (DENVER) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. ( Miami won 111-108) NBA Favorites (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 44-12 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NBA Road favorites (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 29-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Denver has won and covered their L/3 most recent visits to Miami. Play on Denver Nuggets to win/cover |
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