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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-16-17 | Kentucky +7 v. South Carolina | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 57 h 3 m | Show | |
This game features 2 teams Kentucky and South Carolina both 2-0 and looking to keep the winning going. South Carolina has played tougher team but I like the grit of Kentucky on the road they are 4-1 75% in their last 5 road games and I think they keep this close throughout. Grab Kentucky plus the points for a 15* winner. |
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09-16-17 | Notre Dame v. Boston College +14 | 49-20 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
This game features the 1-1 Irish at the 1-1 Boston College we won with Wake last week over B.C. but will back B.C. as they got beat bad at home possibly looking ahead to this game and their hated rival the Irish. Notre Dame just is not coached well that was evident last season and is this season as well as they are coming off a crushing loss last week. I expect them to struggle to win this game and they have little chance of covering such a big number. Take B.C. for a 15* winner |
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09-16-17 | Utah State +11.5 v. Wake Forest | 10-46 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 29 m | Show | |
This game has the 1-1 Utah State and the 2-0 Wake Forest. We played on Wake Forest last week and won and this week we will fade them. Wake has some big games on deck so I see them looking past this talented Utah State team. I wanted to lock in on this Thursday when it was available at +14 but will lock it down now at +11.5 still a nice line for a team that IMO can beat Wake outrite. Take Utah State plus the points for a 15* winner. |
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09-15-17 | Illinois v. South Florida -17 | Top | 23-47 | Win | 100 | 54 h 12 m | Show |
This game features the 2-0 Illinois and the 2-0 South Florida. South Florida will come in ranked 22nd in the nation and had off last week due to hurricane Irma look for them to want to win one big on national T.V. ESPN and impress the nation with their team so they can move up in the rankings. Illinois shocked a'lot of people beating Western Kentucky as a 5.5 point dog. Illinois is 17 point dogs for a reason in this one and the public early on is all over Illinois as 61% are betting them early. I have spoke too 2 of my offshore and Vegas contacts all 4 say South Florida will roll Friday and I agree. USF is also 10-4-1 71% ATS in their last 16 home games. They get it done tonight easy for a 20* cover. |
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09-14-17 | Texans +5.5 v. Bengals | 13-9 | Win | 100 | 57 h 50 m | Show | |
This game features the 0-1 Texans at the 0-1 Bengals. I think we have the two teams that looked the absolute worst weak one. Texans defense was put into a bad spot all day by their offense and the same can be said for the Bengals. I think you will see a huge game from the Texans defense who will be out for blood Thursday on a short week. I think this game comes down to a field goal and there is just so much public money here on the Bengals as we speak 73% are betting them. I hope the Texans start Watson but either way I think the game is close take the  points and the Texans here 15* |
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09-14-17 | New Mexico +15.5 v. Boise State | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
This game features the 1-1 New Mexico at the 1-1 Boise State. New Mexico had a crushing loss to rival New Mexico State and will come into this game against Boise State very angry. New Mexico is 5-1 in their last 6 ATS versus Boise. Boise is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games. Only 27% of bets so far have come in on the road Lobos yet this line is dropping I have spoken to 2 of my Las Vegas contacts both are going New Mexico large and so am I for a 20* winner. |
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09-11-17 | Saints v. Vikings -3 | Top | 19-29 | Win | 100 | 35 h 6 m | Show |
This game features the New Orleans Saints at the Minnesota Vikings. Saints have covered 7 of the last 8 games against the Vikings and have won SU 4 straight since 2010 but this is not your average Vikings team they play a very tough brand of defense and the Saints always have problems on the road. Willie Snead will miss this game due to suspension which will hurt the Saints offense. Look for the Vikings to shut down Michael Thomas and make the Saints run the ball. This game will be won by defense where the Vikings are worlds ahead of New Orleans. Take the Vikings minus the points for a big 20* winner. |
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09-10-17 | Giants v. Cowboys -4 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 36 h 52 m | Show | |
This game features the Giants at the Cowboys. What a great way to start Sunday Night Football then with a great rival game in the NFC East. Dallas will want to show the country just how good they are and with Elliot back and back for the future this team is very good on both sides of the ball. A'lot of questions around Beckham and his health and I think he will play but will be limited this week. Cowboys come in much higher on the power rating scale and they know how well the Giants have played them in the last 2 years. This is a statement game for Dallas look for them to blow them out at home. Public is all over the Giants yet this line is moving the other way telling us the sharps are backing the Cowboys and so will we for a Sunday Night winner. Cowboys 15* |
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09-10-17 | Cardinals v. Lions +2.5 | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show | |
This game features the Arizona Cardinals at the Detroit Lions. Really underrated Lions team here as there is no way they should be the dog at home. I love to bet against west coast teams traveling east playing at 1pm I know this is game one but there is still a time adjustment. Only 35% of the public is betting the Lions here and this line is holding tight at 2 I think the Books make out huge week 1 and make up for some of the College Football losses from week one. Cardinals have won 7 straight versus the Lions stretching back to 2006 look for the Lions to end that and win outright today I love them plus or minus points here for a 15* winner. |
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09-10-17 | Raiders v. Titans -1.5 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -120 | 71 h 35 m | Show |
This game features the Oakland Raiders at the Tennessee Titans. I think you will see an improved Titans team this year and that will all circle around Marcus Mariota who I think will have a huge season. Oakland might be without their best defensive player in Khalil Mack who is having knee issues and that is a big deal since the Titans really love to run the ball. Love the Titans minus the points for a 20* play this is my big play Sunday |
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09-09-17 | UTSA v. Baylor -16.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 3 m | Show |
This game features the UTSA at the 0-1 Baylor. Now next to UNLV who were 45 point favorites and lost Baylor was about a 34 point favorite and they lost outrite at home to Liberty University. It's always a good time to play a team after such a bad loss and you have a new head coach in Baylor and I am sure he rode this team hard this week. I spoke to my top Vegas guy and he's putting a huge portion of his bankroll on Baylor and so will we as we go with a 20* big winner on Baylor minus the points. |
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09-09-17 | Rice +1.5 v. UTEP | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 32 h 15 m | Show |
This game features two off the radar team in 0-1 Rice and 0-1 UTEP. UTEP got crushed 56-7 week 1 and Rice got man handled by Stanford 62-7. Rice comes in 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. Rice blew this team out last year 44-24 at home their is no reason we won't see a similar result Saturday. Only 25% of the bets have gone on Rice and this line has not moved and if anything is moving toward a pick. Take Rice for a 20* selection. |
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09-09-17 | Auburn +6 v. Clemson | Top | 6-14 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 34 m | Show |
This game features the 1-0 Auburn at the 1-0 Clemson. Clemson has won 26 of their last 27 games at home this season but Auburn has all the talent and motivation to really give Clemson a run for the money and Ultimately knock them off. Last year Clemson won 19-13 in a close game so Auburn will look to avenge that loss Saturday. Over the past ten years these two teams have faced off the average margin of victory has been under 10 points. Heavy public action on the home Clemson as 68% of bets have come in on them and I spoke to two of my offshore guys both guys say Auburn best value on the board and their upset pick week one. Love the points here take them for a huge 20* play on Auburn. |
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09-09-17 | Wake Forest +100 v. Boston College | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
This game features the 1-0 Wake Forest at the 1-0 Boston College. Wake comes in with revenge on their mind as they lost last season 17-14 at their home and now they look to give it back to Boston College on the road this season. Wake is a much more talented team if you look at their roster and power rating. This line opened with Wake getting 3 points and is now down to a pickem even with basically even money on both sides. I see Boston College as the worst team in the ACC Atlantic and if Wake wants to do anything in the division this is a must win. Love the revenge factor take Wake plus or minus the spread for a 15* winner. |
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09-09-17 | Florida Atlantic +32.5 v. Wisconsin | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
This game has the Florida Atlantic Owls at the Wisconsin Badgers. This game is watchable on the BIG TEN network. Wisconsin is a huge public play this week as of right now they have 86% of the bets coming in on them and this line has pretty much held around 32. Books got crushed last week expect a big week for sharps. Easy call here take the points and FAU for a 15* early cover. |
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09-08-17 | Ohio +4.5 v. Purdue | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -115 | 55 h 11 m | Show |
This game features the 1-0 Ohio and the 0-1 Purdue. I really think Purdue is getting way to much love from the books coming off their good showing versus Louisville where they hung with them for most of the game only losing 35-28 and even leading in the 4th quarter. So it will be hard to get up for a team from the Mac East in Ohio U. Books got crushed last week and I think they will get a'lot back this week. 78% of the bets are down on the home Purdue mostly due to last weeks game I think. i spoke to two of my Las Vegas guys they are telling me to go big on Ohio. Ohio has a very winnable schedule with Kansas on deck before they take on a conference schedule they should dominate. Ohio is projected as the best team by far in the Mac East and I believe they will win this game outrite but take the points for a 20* big winner. |
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09-07-17 | Chiefs +9 v. Patriots | Top | 42-27 | Win | 100 | 251 h 5 m | Show |
This game features the Chiefs at the Patriots in a really great game to start off the season. Patriots were a huge money maker last year and they are always the biggest square play on the board. Last season they were 16-3 84% ATS and I can guarantee you the books will cover their butts this season and pad the lines on Patriots games. I have been eyeing this game since the line has come out love the Chiefs at anything over a touchdown. Chiefs have the talent to win this game but either way it will be close to the end. Take the Points and the Chiefs for a big 20* winner. |
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09-07-17 | Idaho State +30 v. Utah State | 13-51 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
This game features 1-0 Idaho State at 0-1 Utah State. Now I know Idaho State is division 2 but 30 points is a'lot for a limited team like Utah State to cover. They got waxed by Wisconsin in Week 1 and this game is huge for Idaho State can't see them getting blown out here. Big game for Utah State next week at Wake Forest I can also see a look ahead here. Love all the money coming in on Utah State as they are getting 63% of the bets. This line should keep going up until kickoff but 28.5 should be more then enough so take the points and take Idaho State 15*. |
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09-04-17 | Tennessee v. Georgia Tech +4 | Top | 42-41 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Big time neutral site game as the Tennessee Vols take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech was 7-4-1 last season ATS and has covered 4 straight games. I think they are generally under rated team and they do play the Navy style of offense which can be a chore to handle. The Stadium that they are playing in is brand new in Atlanta but these two teams have battled it out on many occasions in the past in the deep south. These two teams have not met since 1987 and the Vols hold a 24-17-2 lifetime lead in the series. I think this line would be closer to a PK if a starter had been named for the Yellow Jackets. Both teams have questions at QB right now and the public is betting the Vols at a 62% clip and this line is holding tight at 3.5. Books got crushed this weekend even though they didn't make much with the VTech cover or Texas A&M cover. This game will stay close throughout and these teams are so close I have to take the points but look for an out rite Georgia Tech win. 20* Georgia Tech 20* |
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09-03-17 | West Virginia v. Virginia Tech -4 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 59 h 18 m | Show |
This game features the West Virginia at Virginia Tech. The Mountaineers are no where near the team they were a year ago when they went 10-3 and lost to Miami in their bowl game. The Hookies come into this season even better and ready to improve on that 10-4 mark but that means winning this one and making a statement. After this game they have Delaware,ECU and Old Dominion on deck 3 easy wins so this one here is vital. Virginia Tech has covered 4 straight games and will keep that streak going WVU was a money burning 5-8 last season. Take V-Tech minus the points for a big 20* winner. |
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09-02-17 | Florida State +7.5 v. Alabama | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 40 m | Show |
This is the best of the best of week one match-ups as we have Florida State at Alabama. Now I spoke to both my offshore guys and Vegas contacts late Thursday and all 4 love FSU Saturday this will be the game that is most bet and the books will pull in the most cash. As we speak Alabama is getting 62% of the bets. This line will probably hold at 7 or dip to 6.5 by kickoff depending on how the books do earlier in the day. FSU covered 4 straight games to end the season. This game takes place in Atlanta Georgia so at a neutral site so expect a split crowd. Florida State is coming in ranked 3rd in the country and the season is on the line from the first game even more so for them as Alabama could run the table in their conference in still get a top 4 spot. I expect FSU to lay everything on the line to knock off Alabama but will gladly take the points for a 20* win and cover. |
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09-02-17 | Appalachian State +15 v. Georgia | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 52 m | Show | |
Plain and simple here guys Georgia has Notre Dame on deck on the road. Tremendous look ahead here I'll take the points all day with App State try and get atleast 14 here. 15* Appalachian State |
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09-02-17 | Temple +14 v. Notre Dame | Top | 16-49 | Loss | -110 | 606 h 54 m | Show |
This game features the Temple Owls and Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Love Temple in this one I got off the phone pretty much when this line came out and we discussed how much all 3 of us loved the Owls here. The Irish have a huge game at home versus Georgia in week 2 that will make or break their season. I didn't see anything that would make the Irish such heavy favorites in this game. Only 26% of the bets have come in on Temple and yes this line has risen since it's opening but that is not scarring me off. This is Temple's big game this season and a chance to make a name for themselves. Last time they played in Philly in 2015 the game was a 24-20 game where Temple had shots to knock them off and the same will happen this Sunday. Take Temple and grab as many points as you can I wouldn't be shocked if they knocked off the Irish week one. 20* Temple |
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09-02-17 | Bowling Green +17.5 v. Michigan State | 10-35 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 39 m | Show | |
This game features Bowling Green at Michigan State. Rare horrible season for MSU as they went 3-9 and were crushed by Penn State in their last game of the season. Bowling Green was basically just as horrible but this is a ton of points for MSU to cover. Bowling Green went through a bad stretch where they lost 7 games straight but this team looks like a slightly improved team headed for a .500 record and could possibly get a bowl bid. Falcon have some returning age on the team with the focus on their star running back Josh Cleveland. Take Bowling Green plus the points for a 15* early winner Saturday. ***BE SURE YOU ARE ON CHASE'S 20* CFB GOW THAT GOES OFF AT NOON*** |
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09-02-17 | Ball State +7 v. Illinois | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 45 h 56 m | Show |
This game features the Ball State Cardinals at the Illinois. If I had to pick the one plus money upset this week this would be the game. Illinois was 3-9 last year Ball State was bad as well finishing at 4-8. We have seen a huge 2 point line shift in this game the opposite way of the money as only 40% of public bets have gone on Illinois as it moved off a key number of 8.5 to 6.5 in most spots. Ball State was a money making 6-1 86% ATS on the road last season. Look for them to cover again grab Ball State for a 20* winner. |
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09-01-17 | Utah State +28 v. Wisconsin | Top | 10-59 | Loss | -115 | 107 h 9 m | Show |
This game features Utah State at Wisconsin. The Badgers have been hit hard by injury's. Just recently they lost Zack Baun who was going to counted on as a key contributor this season on defense. Utah State comes in very healthy in contrast. These two teams met in 2012 to a final of 16-14 while I don't expect it to be that close we do get tons of value here getting 4 touchdowns against a weakened Wisconsin team. Take the points here and play Utah State for a 20* winner. |
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09-01-17 | Washington v. Rutgers +27.5 | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 103 h 41 m | Show | |
This game features the Washington Huskies at the Rutgers Knights. Watch this game on fox sports 1. Last year Washington simply man handled Rutgers 48-13 but that was a far different Huskies team as a'lot has changed and a'lot of stars have moved on to the NFL. I believe this line is super inflated due to how good Washington was last season and how bad Rutgers was. Last year Rutgers was just 4-8 ATS and losses their last 3 ATS look for Vegas to correct that going forward. Love Rutgers plus the points for a 15* winner. |
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08-31-17 | TULSA v. OKLAHOMA STATE -17.5 | 24-59 | Win | 100 | 32 h 40 m | Show | |
This game features Tulsa at Oklahoma State. These two schools are very close to each other as they are separated by just 69 miles. So this is not your normal big team versus small team the Cowboys would love to stick it good to their neighbors up the road. These teams have not played since 2011. The Cowboys come in ranked #10 in the nation. Cowboys return much of their highly ranked offense which will be on display tonight. Tulsa who had a nice team last year lost most of their top talent so the first time starters in my eyes will struggle against this big league Cowboys offense and atmosphere. Take Oklahoma State to blow out and cover against Tulsa for a 15* winner. |
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08-31-17 | Buffalo +24 v. Minnesota | Top | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 32 h 30 m | Show |
This game has Mac East Buffalo at Minnesota. We got burned Saturday by U-Mass as we had the cover and it slipped away late. I love Thursday's card and this is the best play on the card. Early in College Football season A'lot of time you have to hold your noses on teams and that is exactly what we are doing tonight. I talked to two of my offshore guys who are in love with Buffalo tonight and looking at the money movement so do I. 59% of bets have gone on the Golden Gophers yet this line has dropped 2 points and should stick at 24 untill kickoff. Minnesota was just 2-5 ATS at home last season and I expect similar results from this overrated team this season. Take Buffalo and the points for a 20* big winner. |
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08-26-17 | Hawaii v. UMass +1 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 1137 h 9 m | Show |
This game features Hawaii playing at U-Mass. U-Mass finished off it's regular season with a loss in Hawaii against this team 46-40 in a hard fought game. They finished last season just 2-10. Hawaii became bowl eligible beating this team. Look for U-Mass to be looking to extract revenge here and Hawaii traveled a long way to play this game so keep that in mind. Look for a more inspired U-Mass team and for them to finally start the a season with a big win. Take U-Mass plus or minus the spread for a 20* winner. |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons UNDER 58.5 | 34-28 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
15* |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -100 | 80 h 51 m | Show |
This game for all the marbles features the Atlanta Falcons and the New England Patriots. I was wrong on my Steelers play in the Championship week but I feel like this one will be a easy cover. Frankly we don't need the points the Falcons are the best team but you would be hard pressed to find a guy on the streets to say the Patriots are gonna lose Sunday it's just assumed they will. I love getting points with such a non public team right now 67% are betting the Patriots and this line has held at 3 since it came out some sites are paying plus money for Pats bets. Last time I checked Vegas does not hand out money. I have reached out to both my Vegas and offshore guys all 4 are betting Falcons big and so will we. 20* Falcons plus points. |
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01-29-17 | AFC v. NFC UNDER 81 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
15* |
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01-22-17 | Steelers +6 v. Patriots | Top | 17-36 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 27 m | Show |
This huge game has the Pittsburgh Steelers at the New England Patriots. Before the Playoffs started I locked in on the Steelers to win the Superbowl at 8-1 odds and Love them straight up here but getting points that's a no brainer for me. Steelers have won 9 straight games and are healthy and for me have more weapons on offense and are just as good if not better on defense. Steelers are 7-1-1 88% ATS last 9 games. Pats come in 1-6 ATS in there last 7 playoff games as they are always over rated by the books especially in the playoffs. Only 44% are backing the Steelers here and this line is holding tight at 5.5 or so. Take the points and the Steelers for a 20* winner and my biggest NFL playoff play in years. 20* Steelers |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons UNDER 61.5 | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
15* |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons -4 | Top | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
This game has the Green Bay Packers at the Atlanta Falcons this game will have the Atlanta crowd rocking as it had been years since they were in the playoffs and now the Super Bowl bid is up for grabs. The Falcons are stronger in almost every position and only giving up less then a touchdown is a bargain. My top source in Vegas said the Falcons are the best on the board today and looking at numbers I agree.  Only 38% are betting the home Falcons yet this line is heading upwards. I want all clients on the Falcons minus the points for a 20* winner. |
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01-15-17 | Steelers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 58 h 17 m | Show |
If you don't know from my previous post my futures pick to win the Super Bowl is the Steelers I just think they are the best suited to go into New England and beat the Patriots. Big Ben comes into this game 6-1 85% ATS lifetime off a playoff win by more then 10 points which is what we have here. Yes the public is backing the Steelers here but I love them this year and think they are far and away the better team and will gladly take any plus points in this match-up* 20* Steelers. |
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01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys UNDER 52.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
15* |
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01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
I had liked the Packers in this game up until yesterday and as you break down the numbers it's a clear Cowboy cover here. Plus my top contact in Vegas emailed me that he is on the Cowboys big time and if you dive in even deeper in the numbers you will see.  The public bets are all over the road Packers at 62% and even with that you will see this line go up and up so clearly the sharps have taken position on the Cowboys and so will we for a 20* winner. |
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01-14-17 | Texans +16 v. Patriots | Top | 16-34 | Loss | -105 | 77 h 32 m | Show |
This game features the Texans playing at the Patriots. We cashed on the Texans pretty easy last week as they beat the Raiders. Let's not Kid ourselves it's highly unlikely the Patriots lose this game but I don't see them coming close to covering. The Texans have the 2nd best pass defense in the NFL and that's what the Patriots do and now without Gronk I think you will see two teams that will struggle to score. This line is super high probably due to the fact that the Texans were beat by the 3rd string qb of the Patriots but I think that will motivate them and put that together with the amount of public bets on the Pats I see a public slaughter Saturday Night. 75%  of bets are in on the Patriots but we will hold our nose and bet the Texans big here for a 20* winner. |
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01-14-17 | Seahawks v. Falcons -5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 78 h 45 m | Show |
Big time playoff game as the 10-5-1 Seahawks take on the 11-5 Falcons. Over their history the Seahawks have never been much of a road team and that lends true this season too as they are 3-4-1 this year and Atlanta though just 5-3 at home has a huge advantage it's crowd will be electric as they have not seen a playoff win in years. Falcons lost to this Seahawks team by 2 points earlier this year but that sets us up for a great angle going forward. But NFL teams with a win percentage between .600 and .750 that are playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the year have cashed  a perfect 14-0 ATS if they lost by 3 points or less in that earlier game and the Falcons lost 26-24 earlier this year. Falcons are a public supported play but I love them this week for a huge 20* winner. Take the Falcons 20* |
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01-09-17 | Clemson v. Alabama -6 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -125 | 130 h 47 m | Show |
This game for all the marbles features the 13-1 Clemson Tigers versus the 14-0 Alabama. I don't think you could of seen a worse game from Alabama Quarterback Jalen Hurts and I think you will see a huge bounce back this week for him also Lane Kiffin was let go Monday I think his play calling effected the play of Jalen and I think he will want to show he is as good as Clemson star Deshaun Watson who I see throwing a'lot of interceptions. I've spoken to my offshore and Vegas guys they all like Alabama big again this year and so do I. Get a big 20* play on Alabama asap and try to get this line under 7 points. 20* Alabama***********Also for free I'd like to toss out my futures play as I think the Steelers are the best value for you money to win the Superbowl get your bet  in asap as I have them at 8-1 odds. |
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01-08-17 | Giants v. Packers -5.5 | Top | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
This big game for us features the 11-5 Giants at the 10-6 Packers. Packers have won 6 straight games going into this one with Aaron Rodgers playing some of his best football of his career. My top adviser in Vegas got back on track yesterday with a huge win with the Seahawks and now he says he's all in on the Packers today and looking into the info I can see why. Giants played their last two regular season games on the road which triggered a great angle for us to use today. Since 1984 teams that ended the season on the road in the last 2 games have gone 3-14 SU and are just 4-17 ATS. Public is 50/50 on this game with a slight edge in bets to the Giants yet this line has gone from 4 to 5.5. Take the Packers here minus the points for a big 20* selection. 20* Packers |
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01-08-17 | Dolphins v. Steelers -12 | Top | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
Possible the two hottest teams in the NFL square off as the 10-6 Dolphins take on the 11-5 Steelers. Big difference here as the Steelers had a virtual bye week and the Dolphins are down to back up QB Matt Moore. Steelers are playing with revenge from a earlier season loss to the Dolphins where they were favored by 7 points so this Steelers teams will not take them lightly. Since 1980 NFL favorites of -8 or more points playing with revenge like the Steelers are have gone a money making 15-0 ATS if their opponent's offensive scoring average was less than 23.7 ppg. We see the cash is 50/50 on this game but this line is really moving the opposite way. We will take the Steelers for a big 20* selection. I have spoken to both my offshore and Vegas contacts all 4 love Pittsburgh big. |
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01-07-17 | Lions v. Seahawks -8 | Top | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This game features the 9-7 Lions at the 10-5-1 Seahawks. I was very happy to get a email from my top Vegas source telling me he's going very big on the Seahawks today and looking into it I can see why. Lions limped there way into the playoffs losing there last 3 games it's usually a wild card team that surprises people in the playoffs year to year but it won't be the Lions. 57% of the public are betting the road Lions only because of the way Seattle has looked this season but make no mistake about it that crowd will be loud and the Seahawks will cash easy today. 20* Seahawks minus the points |
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01-07-17 | Raiders v. Texans -3.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 104 h 38 m | Show | |
15* |
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01-02-17 | Auburn +3 v. Oklahoma | Top | 19-35 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
We hit our Bowl total of the year with a easy cover with Clemson under now for our overall GOY. These next to Alabama are two of the hottest teams in College Football. Auburn lost last time they played to Alabama and will come into tonight's game with a bad taste in their mouth that I am sure they want to get rid of. Most importantly in this game their is a huge gap in defense. For the season Auburn gave up about 13 less ppg then the Sooners and that leads us into a great trend for this game. Big 12 Conference teams are just 6-23 in their last 29 Bowl games against SEC teams including a money burning 0-8 ATS since 2007 if the Big 12 Conference team's defense gave up 25+ ppg and the Sooners give up 28.1 ppg. The public is all over the Sooners probably because of their long win streak as 69% have bet the Sooners yet this line has gone from 6 to 3 so we will follow the super sharp money with my biggest play this College Football season with a play on the Tigers plus the points. 20* Auburn. |
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01-02-17 | USC v. Penn State +8 | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Almost a perfect match-up here as we have Penn State who won it's last 9 straight including the Big Ten Title and USC who won 8 straight and closed out with a easy win over the Irish. I think PSU will go in with a chip on their shoulder that they feel they should've been the team to take on Alabama as winners of the Big Ten but that did not happen. Then they come into this game with Vegas telling them they are 7 point dogs. Penn State does well in the dog roll and I think they will shock the world tonight and win outright but let's take the touchdown and PSU for a 15* winner. |
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01-02-17 | Western Michigan v. Wisconsin -8.5 | 16-24 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
15* |
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01-01-17 | Packers v. Lions +3.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This Sunday Night we have the 9-6 Packers at the 9-6 Lions. Was happy that my top Vegas contact has a play on today games and he said he is all over the Lions today and looking at some stats I can see why. Not sure why the Lions are dogs at home it really seems off to me but gives us tremendous value. This crowd will be going nuts tonight as they have not seen a division title since 1993 and that is what is on the line tonight in prime time. 76% of the public are betting the road Packers and yet this line seems to be moving the other way. We will follow the sharps and take the Lions big here for a 20* winner. 20* Lions |
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01-01-17 | Bills v. Jets +3.5 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
15* |
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01-01-17 | Browns +5.5 v. Steelers | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
15* |
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01-01-17 | Jaguars +5 v. Colts | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
This game has the 3-12 Jags at the 7-8 Colts. I think the Jags finally figured it out last week as they beat the Titans bad 38-17 but the Jaguars have been on the other end of some bad luck this year losing a'lot of close games and speaking of Luck I have my doughts on how much he actually plays today if at all. Take the Jags I think the Colts coaching staff is gone after this game and I think the players have given up and have their bags packed. Take the Jags plus the points for a 15* winner. |
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01-01-17 | Cowboys v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
This game features the 13-2 Cowboys and the 6-9 Eagles. This game means everything to the Eagles and nothing to the Cowboys who will be resting the bulk of their team by halftime.  Dating back to 1990 NFL teams with a win percentage of .750 or better have been a money burning 7-22-1 24% ATS on the road in their final regular season game. 62% of the public are betting on the Cowboys yet this line just goes up and up giving them more points and lining up the public for the slaughter. Take the Eagles minus the points for a 20* winner. |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson UNDER 59 | Top | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
Big time game with the 11-1 Ohio State and the 12-1 Clemson Tigers. I really think Clemson's defense is getting zero respect in this game as you look back they have given up 35,7,13,42,0 so as you can see it's either feast or famine for their defense but with weeks to play and so much on the line I think you will see a very hard hitting game on their part. Ohio State's defense has been strong all year and will continue today. Take the Under here for my 20* Bowl total of the year and this one will be easy. |
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12-31-16 | Washington +14.5 v. Alabama | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
What a great match-up we have here in the 12-1 Washington and the 13-0 Alabama. Alabama has won all 13 games this season and has won 26 games straight but I think they will be put to the test against Washington today. I have spoken to both my Vegas and offshore contacts all 4 love Washington today more then any play out there and I agree. Defending national champions are 3-7 30% ATS as bowl favorites of more than 8 points and even more damning Chris Peterson is 6-0 ATS versus greater then a .800 team. The public is crushing on Alabama as per usual as 65% are betting them. I see a public slaughter on this one. Take the Huskies plus the points for a 20* play but I'm gonna sprinkle some on them winning outrite here. 20* Washington |
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12-30-16 | Florida State +7 v. Michigan | 33-32 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
This game features two teams with major disappointments this season as the 10-2 Michigan takes on the 9-3 FSU. Florida State has so much talent but they just didn't seem to be able to stay consistent and Michigan losing their QB really sunk them this season. I just think 6-7 points is way to much to give FSU a super talented team. FSU comes into this game on a 4 game win streak and Michigan off a loss to their biggest rival OSU. FSU is 8-0 ATS as a bowl team versus .910 or less opponents. Money is 50/50 with the public but we are starting to see this game drop below a key number of 7. Take FSU plus the points for a 15* winner. |
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12-30-16 | Nebraska +10.5 v. Tennessee | 24-38 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
15* |
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12-30-16 | North Carolina +3 v. Stanford | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
15* |
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12-30-16 | TCU -3 v. Georgia | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
Here in the Liberty Bowl we have the 7-5 Georgia and the 6-6 TCU. I've talked to sources in Vegas and offshore all 4 love TCU as the play of the day today and it's hard to disagree with them. Only 35% of the public have bet TCU yet this line has gone from +1 to -3 in most spots telling us the sharp money is in fact on the Horned Frogs early today. Take TCU minus the points for a 20* winner. |
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12-29-16 | Arkansas +7.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Today we look for back to back Platinum Club wins as the 7-5 Arkansas take on the 9-4 Virginia Tech. Both teams come into this game dropping there last game of the year I was a little surprised today when my top Vegas source laid this on me but looking into it more I can see why. Arkansas is a money making 9-0 100% ATS their last nine games off an upset loss if they are put up against a team off a loss which is the case here. Yes Arkansas is a public play but I simply love them to cover easy and maybe win here outrite. Take Arkansas plus the points for a 20* winner. 20* Arkansas |
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12-29-16 | South Florida -10 v. South Carolina | 46-39 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
This early game features the 10-2 South Florida at the 6-6 South Carolina. Honestly I don't know how South Carolina won 6 games this season and South Florida though playing in a weak conference has some very talented players. They won their last 4 games beating Navy,and Memphis in those 4 games. South Carolina finished out there season with a 56-7 loss to Clemson. Public is siding with the SEC team in this one but I see a big blowout as South Florida looks to make a statement today. Take South Florida minus the big points for a 15* winner. |
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12-28-16 | Kansas State v. Texas A&M -3 | 33-28 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
15* |
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12-28-16 | Indiana +6 v. Utah | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Always love getting a message from my top adviser in Vegas and he is all over Indiana tonight and I agree with him for many reasons but lets list a few below. First off it seems like the Big 10 gets zero respect in Bowl games. I expect Indiana who was 6-6 last season to come out angry and ready to prove they belong in a bowl game. I've seen them play and hang with PSU,OSU and Michigan so this team has talent. If you go back to 2002 non-winning bowl teams have been a money maker 66% of the time against winning opposition that includes 5-1 83% ATS this season. 65% of the public have bet Utah and I'm sure that's them betting strictly looking at the record of these two teams big mistake. Take Indiana plus the points for a big 20* winner. 20* Indiana |
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12-27-16 | Washington State v. Minnesota +9.5 | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
15* |
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12-27-16 | Wake Forest v. Temple -11 | Top | 34-26 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
This big early game has 10-3 Temple versus the 6-6 Wake Forest. Temple had a super weak schedule I remember us fading Temple first game of the season versus Army and winning easy. I got a email from my top offshore and Vegas contacts all saying get on Wake big today. The only reason Wake is getting so many points is it dropped the last 3 games of the season. Temple actually won 7 straight and covered 5 in a row and that sets us up for a great bow betting angle. Since 1980 teams that are favored off 3 ATS wins in a row the last by 6 or more points ATS  0-20 ATS in bowl games since 1980 when facing a team that both scored 21 or less points in its last game and allows 22 or less points on the season. We have great info and a great angle at our side today early. Only 44% so far are betting Wake Forest but this line has moved from 13 to 11 in most spots. Take Wake Forest plus the points for a 20* winner. |
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12-26-16 | Lions v. Cowboys -6 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This game in prime time features the 9-5 Lions at the 12-2 Cowboys. Cowboys will be looking will be looking to lock things up tonight with a win over the Lions. Public is jumping all over the Lions but this line is set up high for a reason to keep people off the Cowboys and on the Lions. Dallas comes in off a big win over Tampa and the Lions dropped a big one to the Giants and this set off a 100% ATS winning angle for us. Winning teams like the Cowboys who are priced from -3 to -12 points are 17-0 ATS at home on Monday Night Football against non division teams if the team lost its previous game by 7+ points. Take the Cowboys minus the points for a big 20* winner. 20* Cowboys |
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12-26-16 | Vanderbilt v. NC State -5.5 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Both teams come into the game at 6-6 as the NC State Wolfpack take on the Vanderbilt Commodores. N.C. State has had a up and down year beating talented teams like the Irish and North Carolina and keeping FSU close so they have big talent on NC State. Vandy looked pretty bad all year but got in by beating Tenn and Ole Miss who really under performed ever since they're opening loss to FSU where they blew a huge lead. Only 43% of public cash going on NC State here but this line has moved from -4 to -5.5 so the sharps are really backing NC State and so will we for a 15* winner. NC State 15* |
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12-25-16 | Broncos +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 10-33 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Huge game into my office today as both my offshore and Vegas contacts agree on the Broncos tonight as an absolute huge play tonight 3 out of 4 telling me this is their biggest play this year. Broncos come in licking their wounds from the Patriots beating them at home now it's do or die time for the Broncos and their defense will be in full force tonight. Broncos come in 14-3 82% ATS in their last 17 road division games. Just 31% of the bets have been placed on the road Broncos so far and this line is moving the other way telling us indeed the sharps are big on the Broncos and so are we. 20* Broncos |
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12-24-16 | Middle Tennessee State v. Hawaii +7.5 | 35-52 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
This game features the 6-7 Hawaii at home to play the 8-4 Middle Tennessee. Yes it's rare for a 7 loss team to get a bowl but Hawaii has a big advantage playing at home in this game and I am sure that the players on Middle Tennessee might be a little distracted being in Hawaii for Christmas and getting 7 points here seems to easy. Only 25% of public bets have gone on the home Hawaii team. We will go sharp and play on Hawaii for a 15* winner. |
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12-24-16 | Dolphins v. Bills -4.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
15* |
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12-24-16 | Chargers v. Browns +4.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
This game features the 5-9 Chargers at the 0-14 Browns. I think this Saturday the Browns will win their first game of the season all the elements are in play for Cleveland. You have a west coast team playing at 1pm and on a short week. Chargers will be without star Melvin Gordon and I believe they will have major problems winning this game not to mention cover. 76% of the bets have come in on the road Chargers yet this line has dipped from 6 to 4 I talked to 2 offshore and 2 Vegas contacts all 4 tell me Browns big Saturday. Take the Browns for a 20* winner. Â |
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12-24-16 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 51 | Top | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
This big game for us has the 6-8 Panthers and the 9-5 Atlanta Falcons. The Panthers are playing much better defense last two weeks only giving up 15 and 16 points. The Falcons defense also has been very top notch only giving up 13 and 14 points. 63% of the public are betting on the over here yet this line seems to be dropping lower and lower. Prior to the last game where these two teams played a game that went over we had seen 6 straight unders by these two teams when they play. The Falcons have gone over 4 straight games  teams off 4+ 'overs' have gone 'under' in 18 straight games vs. division rivals if they were not favored by 7 or more points which is the case here today as the Falcons come in as 3 point favorites. I think the Public goes down big in this one so we will take the Under for a 20* winner. |
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12-23-16 | Louisiana Tech v. Navy +7 | 48-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Armed forces bowl has the 8-5 La Tech taking on the 9-4 Navy. Navy is off an emotional loss to Army but I think that will really get this team motivated. LA Tech also finished off the season with 2 straight losses so why they are a touchdown favorite is beyond me. Conference USA bowl teams off consecutive losses are 0-4 Straight up and ATS since 2001 Navy beat the Irish,Memphis and Houston all talented teams. LA Tech has a much weaker schedule. Only 37% are backing Navy giving us the most bang line wise for our buck grab the 7 points and Navy for a nice 15* winner. |
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12-22-16 | Giants v. Eagles +2 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
Big game for the 10-4 Giants as they take on the 5-9 Eagles. Eagles have been fighting hard the last two weeks and last week went for 2 and came up short beating the Ravens. Giants have won 2 straight but are pretty much locked into the number 1 wild card spot. The Eagles are 13-4 76% ATS the last 17 meetings against the Giants and they are 7-0 100% ATS off a spread win which they covered easy versus the Ravens. I have spoken to 2 of my offshore and 2 of my Vegas guys all 4 contacts are big on the Eagles tonight. The public is all over the road Giants as 81% of the bets have come in on them I see a public slaughter tonight take the Eagles plus the points for a big 20* win. 20* Eagles |
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12-21-16 | BYU -10 v. Wyoming | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Two solid College Football teams square off tonight as the 8-4 BYU take on the 8-5 Wyoming. BYU heads into this game on a 4 game win streak and Wyoming has lost two very tough games in a row. BYU has been strong all season even their losses to Utah 20-19 and UCLA have been close games that they could've won. This is a trap line imo as Vegas try to get as much cash on Wyoming as possible and so far it's working as 57% are betting Wyoming yet this line has gone from +8.5 to some spots +10.5. We will go sharp here with a play on the BYU Cougars. 15* BYU |
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12-20-16 | Memphis +7 v. Western Kentucky | 31-51 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Two solid small school face off as the 8-4 Memphis Tigers take on 10-3 Western Kentucky. Memphis beat some solid teams this year yes I know Houston got exposed by SD State but they were still a quality team this year they also beat Temple. Western Kentucky played a far weaker schedule and making them a 7 point favorite I think is pushing it a bit and giving us big bettors a chance to make some green tonight. In 4 games that Western Kentucky was favored by less then 11 points they went 0-4 ATS. Pretty obvious play take Memphis plus the points here for a 15* winner. |
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12-19-16 | Panthers v. Redskins -6.5 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
Prime time game tonight between the 5-8 Panthers and the 7-5-1 Redskins. Carolina is all but eliminated and tonight will do that for them as the Redskins are a far better team this year top to bottom. Washington comes in holding on to the last playoff spot but only if they win and they are finally at home off a long 3 game trip and they are going to be facing these Panthers then a bad Bears team and finish off with the Giants in what could be a battle for the playoffs. Washington is also playing with revenge in mind from last seasons big loss to Carolina 44-16. Washington has won it's last 4 games at home also covering all 4 games. A great trend is to play on any Monday Night Football home team if it's off back to back games on the road and is playing a team with a worse record then them and if our team is playing with revenge the trend goes to 13-1 ATS. Big amount of public money comes to rest on the road Panthers as 57% of the bets are coming in on them I love the sharp money and the home Skins. Take the Redskins for a 20* winner. |
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12-19-16 | Central Michigan +13.5 v. Tulsa | Top | 10-55 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
Interesting game between the 6-6 Central Michigan and the 9-3 Tulsa. Tulsa comes into this game heavily favored but I think this is way to many points for a team that played their opponent close in almost every game this year. Remember this Central Michigan beat a very good Oklahoma State team ranked 22nd in the country so Central Michigan is used to going into the game as a heavy dog in that game they were 17.5 point dogs. Tulsa's defense is horrific and I just don't think they can cover this big number and the public is all over them at a rate of 69% for me it's a easy call take Central Michigan for a big 20* winner. |
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12-18-16 | Bucs v. Cowboys -7 | Top | 20-26 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This game in prime time features the 8-5 Tampa Bay Bucs and the 11-2 Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys are probably the 2nd most overrated team but luckily for us they are playing they most overrated team tonight in Tampa. Yes Tampa is young and getting better but they are not a playoff caliber team. Tampa has won 5 straight games and are 5-1 on the road and yet the books are giving them zero respect and that's for multiple reasons. First off the Cowboys will be playing at home and mad as a disturbed hornets nest after taking their first loss of the season. Tampa has covered 5 straight games and Vegas has adjusted the line in this even in some places this line is creeping to 7.5 this despite 68% of the action bets going on the Bucs. Teams at home off an upset loss on the road have covered 73% over the past 37 years against a winning team off 3 or more ATS covers this number grows to 13-1 ATS if our home team is playing with revenge which the Cowboys lost last season to Tampa 10-6. Take the Cowboys minus the points for a big 20* winner. |
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12-18-16 | Packers v. Bears +4.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
15* |
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12-18-16 | Eagles +5.5 v. Ravens | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
15* |
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12-18-16 | Steelers v. Bengals +3.5 | 24-20 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
This game has two hated rivals playing as the 8-5 Steelers visit the 5-7-1 Bengals who look to avenge an earlier season loss to the Steelers at Pittsburgh 24-16. 3 points almost always decides these two teams and if the Bengals can get some help from the Eagles today and they pull off the upset win they are not out of the Division here. 78% are backing the Steelers here on the road that's no surprise but if anything this line is moving down to 3 points across the board as this game screams trap to me. I will go with the sharps here with a 15* play on the Bengals. 15* Bengals |
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12-18-16 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Texans | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 0 m | Show |
There are a few teams that have let us down this season betting wise the Cleveland Browns and the Jacksonville Jaguars but as a handicapper you can not ignore the value today with the Jags. I reached out to two of my Vegas and two of my offshore guys all 4 say the same team as their best bet and that is the Jaguars. Road dogs on a 7 or more game loss streak are a money making losing streak have actually been terrific wagers over the past 27 years, as they've cashed 54-25 68% winners. Only 21% of the public betting on the road Jags here but I love them plus the points for a 20* winner. |
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12-17-16 | Dolphins v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
Big game in prime time for us tonight as the 8-5 Dolphins take on the 4-9 Jets. My top Vegas adviser sent me the Jets and he is going very big on them tonight. Yes he's not covered his last 2 but make me like this game all the more. speaking of Moore Matt Moore starts at QB for the Dolphins and his rust will show tonight in prime time he has not started a game for 5 years, yes that's right 5 years. This Dolphins team is off an emotional upset over the Cardinals at home last week. This team has won 7 of it's last 8 but I think that all comes to a end tonight. Home dogs or a pick-em off upset wins on the road and then matched up against a team also off a win. Home dogs in that situation are 147-105 58% ATS since 1980. The public well they are all over the road Dolphins here as 68% are betting them. We will follow my top guy and the rest of the sharps and back the Jets plus the points big tonight. Jets 20* |
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12-17-16 | Youngstown State v. Eastern Washington -10 | 40-38 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
15*Â |
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12-17-16 | Arkansas State +5.5 v. Central Florida | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
The Cure Bowl has the 7-5 Arkansas State versus the 6-6 UCF. UCF has the natural home field advantage as this game takes place in Orlando but I really think that will have zero effect on the game and the line is way to high on this one. Arkansas State destroyed a very good Troy team this year and won 7 of their final 8 games a very hot team coming in. UCF has gone 2-4 SU in their last 6 bowl games and they also went 0-6 SU this year when playing other teams that made bowl games so this team does not play well against good teams. Money is about 50/50 on this game but even saying that this line has dropped a point since opening and might go down more closer to game time. Take Arkansas State plus the points for a 20* winner. |
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12-15-16 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 39 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
Tonight's prime time game has the 4-9 Rams at the 8-4-1 Seahawks. Both teams gave up a ton of points last week as the Rams gave up 42 and Seattle 38 points. I think you will see a huge effort by both defenses. First off rookie QB Goff has never faced a defense like Seattle they are at home and off a terrible game I think the Seahawks defense might score enough to beat the Rams tonight. Seahawks have had issues on their offense and off last weeks game the Rams normally signature defense should be back this week. Take the Under for a massive 20* winner. |
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12-12-16 | Ravens +6.5 v. Patriots | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This game features the 7-5 Ravens at the 10-2 Patriots. Sure the Patriots are 7-1 all time against these Ravens in the regular season but if you look at this game from other angles you will see the Ravens have the advantage as they excel in prime time Monday Night football over the year ATS where as the Pats struggle. Ravens are 10-2 83% ATS on Monday Night Football. My top Vegas sources emailed me and said he is going huge tonight on the Ravens for many reason. If you look at public money it's almost 50/50 but this line is really showing the sharps are backing the Ravens tonight as this line has gone from a key number of 7 to 6 in some spots. Let's take the Ravens plus the points for a big 20* winner. |
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12-11-16 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
This prime time game features the 11-1 Cowboys at the 8-4 Giants. This is a must win game for the Giants as a loss here would clinch the division for the Cowboys. Cowboys have won 11 straight but a'lot were close and very lucky wins. I love getting a home team with points in a must win game. 65% of the public are taking the road Cowboys we will go sharp and play the Giants plus the points for a 15* winner. |
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12-11-16 | Saints +2 v. Bucs | Top | 11-16 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
This big game for us has the 5-7 Saints at the 7-5 Buccaneers. Tampa is one of the hottest teams in Football having won 4 straight games but I am not all in on them like some Football experts are in my view the Saints are better on both sides of the ball. Tampa is just 2-4 SU this year at home which is very poor. Tampa has covered 4 straight games but  We will take the Saints today as division dogs of 6 points or less and off a upset loss as a big favorite of over 6 points have covered the spread 76% over the last 37 years when playing a team off a upset win as Tampa Bay had last week. I've spoken to 2 of my Vegas contacts and 2 of my offshore guys all 4 love the Saints today and so do I. Looking at the public they are pounding Tampa with 62% of the bets. We will go sharp with a play on the Saints for 20* |
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12-11-16 | Bears +8.5 v. Lions | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
15* |
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12-11-16 | Steelers v. Bills +3 | 27-20 | Loss | -130 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
This game features the 7-5 Steelers at the 6-6 Bills. Buffalo got knocked out in Oakland last week but are back at home and are in a must win game against the Steelers. No one is really giving the Bills a chance in this one as 74% have put bets down on the road Steelers. You gotta love the Bills as a motivated home dog getting 3 points in most spots. Bills are a super 28-5 85% ATS at home off a straight-up and against-the-spread loss if the team they are playing is off a win and is not in their division. I love the Bills take them plus the points here for a big 15* winner. |
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12-11-16 | Bengals v. Browns +5.5 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
Here it is my biggest Game of the year in the NFL and really out of any GOY play in any sport this is my most confident. This game features the 4-7-1 Bengals and the 0-12 Browns. The Bengals are off a big blowout of the Eagles but that does not change the fact that this team is dead in the water and they are facing a Browns team that is determined to get their first win and they have Robert Griffin back who is a big improvement on what they had at QB and I feel he will we pushing it the rest of the season to prove he is a starter we are getting a'lot of points here. We will have 15-20 mph win and snow I just believe the Browns have the better offense and determination Sunday. We have a awesome trend favoring us teams that are 0-5 or worse teams in the NFL are 10-0-1- ATS in division games when playing with a week of rest since 1980. Add in the Public is all over the road Bengals and I mean all over as 73% are backing them. Take the Browns plus the points for a huge 20* winner |
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12-10-16 | Army +7 v. Navy | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 96 h 43 m | Show |
This big rival game has the 9-3 Navy and the 6-5 Army. Navy look ahead lost week cost Navy a nice bowl and now they have to take on a ultra determined Army team that for the first time in many years has a shot at knocking off Navy. I've spoken to many offshore and Vegas sources all 4 tell me Army will be one of their biggest plays in 2016 that they think Army wins without the points and I agree. But in terms of putting ourselves in the past possible position we will take any points given in this game and getting 7 would be optimal. 68% of the public is pounding Navy yet this line is dropping rapidly from the 8.5 it opened at. Take Army plus the points for a 20* winner. |
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12-08-16 | Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
Huge match-up in prime time as the 10-2 Raiders take on the 9-3 Chiefs. No real public and sharp side tonight as the money is breaking down 50/50 but if the Chiefs want to win the division they have to get a win tonight as the Raiders even though they lost the first run in with the Chiefs they hold a 1 game lead and have won 6 straight and aside from the Cowboys are the hottest team in the NFL. Looking at both sides I think the sharpest play out there is on the Under look this line opened at 47.5 the total is now down to 45.5 in most spots and this with around 56% betting the over, and division games like this are hard fought and tight and I believe the game goes under rather easily. Raiders have averaged around 32 points a game so the public seeing the scoring will naturally go on the over. We will follow the sharps with a play on the under tonight. 20* Under |
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12-05-16 | Colts -2 v. Jets | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
This big game has the 5-6 Colts at the 3-8 Jets. Andrew Luck is 0-2 career versus the Jets and typically this team gives him a hard time but Luck is rested and back from a injury that held him out Thanksgiving day and the Colts team is also on extended rest. Andrew Luck 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS following a Colts’ loss. The Colts can not afford another loss especially to a team that is as beatable as the Jets are. Normally I hate taking publicly bet sides but this is one I have to be on. Take the Colts for a 15* winner. |
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12-04-16 | Panthers v. Seahawks -7.5 | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
This game is a big rematch of a playoff game the Seahawks lost at home last year so to say they will be out for revenge int he National T.V. spotlight is a understatement. Panthers come in 4-7 and really out of it in terms of playoffs so how much effort will we see here tonight from them? Panthers are a money burning 1-8 12% ATS with a losing record off an away game versus non-division foe with revenge off an away game. Sounds complicated but it turns out to mean easy cash in our pocket. Take the Seahawks minus the points for a 15* winner. |
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12-04-16 | Bills +3 v. Raiders | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
For the first time since 1999 the Bills will enter December with a winning record But they face off with a Raider team that has won 5 straight games and sits in first place in the AFC West. Bills are really playing better on Defense and this is a must win for them in the fight for the playoffs. Rex Ryan is a money making 5-0-1 100% ATS in his NFL career in games off a win but no cover. Only 39% of the public is betting the Bills here yet we are seeing little to no line moves. I reached out to both Vegas and offshore guys and this is there gem today. Take the Bills plus the points. 20* Bills |
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12-04-16 | Lions v. Saints -7 | 28-13 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
15* |
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