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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-15-17 | South Dakota +19 v. TCU | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (South Dakota +19) Most will look at the TCU team, which returns all 5 starters from last year's 24-win team that won the NIT and just expect them roll against a team like South Dakota. I don't think that's going to be the case. This Coyotes team is no pushover. South Dakota has 3 starters back from last year's squad that won 22 games and won the Summit League regular-season title. That includes a big time playmaker in junior guard Matt Mooney, who can not only torment teams with his great outside shooting but he's an excellent defender. TCU is also a team that's not built to blow teams out, we saw that in their opener when they only won by 10 at home over ULM as a massive 25-point favorite. I think this one is close the whole way. Give me the Coyotes +19! |
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11-14-17 | Kansas -4.5 v. Kentucky | 65-61 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Kansas -4.5) My money is on the Jayhawks in Tuesday's big showdown between Kansas and Kentucky. No surprise that the Wildcats are getting a lot of love out of the gate, but this is far from the juggernauts that we have seen from Kentucky in years past. The biggest thing is they don't have any experience to fall back on and are starting 5 freshman. They trailed Utah Valley by 9 at the half before eventually winning by 10. That's the same Utah Valley team that lost by 30 to Duke on the road. Kansas also has a ton of young talent, but also bring back some veteran players who played big roles and others who were at least with the program last year. I just think it's going to take some time for Calipari to get this team at the level needed to compete with a team like Kansas. I also think a big thing here is Kentucky has little to no outside shooting and the Jayhawks have the talent inside to not give them easy baskets. Give me Kansas -4.5! |
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11-13-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee +13.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 74-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wisc-Milwaukee +13.5) The Cyclones are getting a little too much respect here to open the season, as they are going to be way down this year after losing 4 double-digit scorers, including one of the best point guards in college basketball in Monte Morris. Just not enough talent left on the roster for this team to be laying this many points against the Panthers, who should be greatly improved with 4 returning starters and several of their top reserves back from last year. Keep in mind ISU lost 59-74 as a short road favorite against Missouri and the Tigers best player and potential No. 1 overall pick in next year's NBA draft, Michael Porter Jr, played just 2 minutes because of an injury. Give me the Panthers +13.5! |
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11-12-17 | Vermont +13.5 v. Kentucky | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Vermont +13.5) I'm just not buying this Kentucky team being as good as previous years and believe we saw a sign of their struggles to come in their opener against Utah Valley State, where they trailed by 9 at the half and needed an 18-0 run in the 2nd half to pull out a 73-63 win as a 20.5-point favorite. The Wildcats are starting 5 freshman and that lack of experience makes them primed for an upset here against an experienced and talented Vermont team that returns 4 starters, including reigning American East Player of the Year Trae-Bell Haynes, who forms quite a 1-2 punch with sophomore Anthony Lamb. Give me the Catamounts +13.5! |
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11-11-17 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Bradley -8.5 | 53-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Bradley -8.5) I think we are getting a great price here on the Braves at home against the Jaguars. Bradley went just 13-20 last year, but finished the season strong and have reason to be excited about the 2017-18 season, as they basically bring everyone back from last year's team, including all 5 starters. I believe this is the year head coach Brian Wardle gets this team to post a winning record. Either way I like them to win by double-digits against IUPUI, who lost 3 starters who combined for over 40 ppg, including leading scorer Darell Combs, who put in 16.8 ppg. This is a rebuilding year for the Jaguars, who are expected to finish at or near the basement of the Horizon League. Give me Bradley -8.5! |
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11-10-17 | Pittsburgh v. Navy -4 | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Navy -4) A lot of people are going to look at this line and wonder how in the world is Navy laying points against a ACC power like Pittsburgh. I believe it's for good reason. The Midshipmen were one of the big surprises of the Patriot League last year and are a serious threat to win the league this year with 4 starters back. As for the Panthers, things aren't looking good for them this season. Pitt lost it's top 5 scorers from last year and only return 3 players and one of them is a walk-on. One of the players the Panthers lost was point guard Cameron Johnson and they really don't have anyone suitable to fill the void at the most important position on the floor. I think a loss to Navy is just the beginning of a miserable season. Give me the Midshipmen -4! |
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04-03-17 | North Carolina -1 v. Gonzaga | Top | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
50* UNC/Gonzaga NCAAB Championship Game of the Year (UNC -1) The public has jumped on the Gonzaga bandwagon and I believe it's created exceptional value here with North Carolina. I firmly believe that the Tar Heels are the more talented team and if they play up to their potential, this could turn into a blowout. The Bulldogs have had the much easier route to the Championship Game and who knows if the beat South Carolina if Thornwell was 100%. North Carolina's size is going to make it tough on Gonzaga's offense to find easy shots and defensively with foul trouble and rebounding. Give me the Tar Heels -1! |
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04-01-17 | Oregon v. North Carolina -4.5 | Top | 76-77 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Final Four Game of the Year (North Carolina -4.5) I'll gladly back the Tar Heels laying at this line against the Ducks. I believe North Carolina is head and shoulders above the rest of the field in terms of talent. On top of that the Tar Heels have experience from last year to fall back on. The biggest factor here in my opinion is the size and depth that North Carolina has. They should be able to abuse the Ducks inside. Oregon's offensive rebounding will be negated and the Tar Heels should get plenty of second chances. I also think the size of North Carolina will force Oregon to be strictly a jump shooting team and really make it tough on them to keep pace with the Tar Heels high-powered offensive attack. Give me North Carolina -4.5! |
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03-26-17 | Kentucky v. North Carolina -2.5 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (North Carolina -2.5) These two teams played earlier this season in a shootout, as the Wildcats won 103-100. The defense will be a lot better this time around and I just trust North Carolina's ability to score a lot more than Kentucky. The Wildcats don't have a lot of great shooters and I just think they are outclassed inside by the Tar Heels. The size of North Carolina will be too much for Kentucky to overcome unless they get another crazy game from Monk like they did in the previous meeting with UNC. Monk had 47 points on 18 of 28 shooting (8 of 12 from 3-pointers). I'm confident he won't put up those same kind of numbers with the Tar Heels defense locked in on him. Give me North Carolina -2.5! |
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03-25-17 | Xavier v. Gonzaga -7.5 | Top | 59-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
50* Elite 8 Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Gonzaga -7.5) I really like this matchup for the Bulldogs. Gonzaga has been pushed to the limit in their last two games against Northwestern and West Virginia. Both of which are excellent defensive teams. Xavier is not all that great defensively and have been playing out of their minds offensively in the tournament, shooting better than 50% from the field in all 3 games. The Musketeers are lucky Arizona choked in the final minutes and I just don't think Gonzaga even lets it get to that point. Not only do I look for the Bulldogs to go off offensively, but I believe this is where their underrated defense will shine. It's been quite a ride for Xavier, but the Cinderella story ends here in a blowout loss. Give me Gonzaga -7.5! |
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03-24-17 | UCLA -1 v. Kentucky | Top | 75-86 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UCLA -1) The Bruins went on the road and beat Kentucky in the regular season 97-92 and believe there's an excellent chance that UCLA knocks off the Wildcats again. Keep in mind that the Bruins shot 53% from the field against Kentucky's defense and held the Wildcats to just 41% from the field. The only thing that kept it from being a blowout was the fact that UCLA turned it over 18 times. Sure a lot of that had to do with Kentucky's defense, but the Bruins should be better prepared this time around. Not to mention they have had a total of 9 turnovers in their first two tournament games. What makes the Wildcats so great is their ability to lock down their opponents, as they can be a bit limited offensively. UCLA just has too much fire-power. Give me the Bruins -1! |
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03-24-17 | Butler v. North Carolina -7 | 80-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (North Carolina -7) As much as I like Butler, I think this is a horrible matchup for the Bulldogs. The Tar Heels are extremely athletic and have a ton of size that Butler won't be able to match. UNC should feast inside on offense and get a number of second chance points with offensive rebounds. The Bulldogs are going to have to work extremely hard on offense for everything they get and would need to shoot lights out just to keep this close. Let's also not overlook the fact that Butler has benefited from getting to play a couple double-digit seeds in Winthrop and Middle Tennessee. I also like the fact that North Carolina got out to a big lead and lost it before pulling out the win against Arkansas. They aren't going to mess around with a lead anymore. Give me the Tar Heels -7! |
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03-23-17 | Michigan -1 v. Oregon | Top | 68-69 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
50* Sweet 16 GAME OF THE YEAR (Michigan -1) I'm not the least bit surprised to see the Wolverines in the Sweet 16. Like with every sport, it's not always about the overall record, but how you are playing when it matters the most. Michigan is without a doubt playing at an elite level right now. They are extremely difficult to stop offensively, as they are efficient and have a number of different players who can beat you. The Wolverines have shot 49% or better from the field in 4 straight and 6 of their last 7. Oregon isn't the same team after losing Boucher and have benefited from getting to play two double-digit seeds to this point. Not that they allowed Rhode Island to shoot 51% from the field. I don't see them being able to slow down this Michigan attack. Give me the Wolverines -1! |
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03-19-17 | Rhode Island +5.5 v. Oregon | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NCAA Tournament ATS Knockout (Rhode Island +5.5) Rhode Island is worth a look here as I actually think this line should be closer to a pick'em. Don't get me wrong, Oregon was an elite team this season. They simply aren't that same elite team after losing Boucher. While the Rams are a No. 11 seed, this team has been playing it's best basketball and not a lot of people realize that there was a lot of big things expected from this Rhode Island team. It's similar to Duke and their emergence down the stretch, just on a much smaller scale. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Rams won this game outright. Give me Rhode Island +5.5! |
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03-19-17 | Wichita State v. Kentucky -4 | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
50* NCAA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kentucky -4) I was on the Shockers in their win over Dayton and while they covered the 5.5 for me, it wasn't the dominant performance I was expecting. Regardless, I think there's been so much talk about how Wichita State got screwed on their seeding that it's got people loading up on them. I don't think that's a wise move, as this not an elite Shockers team. Kentucky on the other hand is elite and are playing their best basketball. The Wildcats are loaded with NBA talent and will be too much for Wichita State to handle. Give me Kentucky -4! |
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03-18-17 | Virginia +2 v. Florida | Top | 39-65 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Virginia +2) I'm shocked that Virginia is getting points here. I'm not buying the Gators as a Sweet 16 team and more than anything I just think the Cavaliers are the much better team here. Virginia played in the much tougher ACC conference and Florida just isn't the same team after losing center John Egbunu. We saw the Gators offense really struggle against a solid Vanderbilt defense in the SEC Tournament, managing just 62 points on 34.4% shooting. Now they face an elite Cavaliers defense and I just don't see them doing enough here offensively to get the win. Virginia is a streaky team offensively and I love the fact that they just shot 50% in their last game. Give me the Cavaliers +2! |
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03-18-17 | St. Mary's v. Arizona -5.5 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB 2nd Round ATS Knockout (Arizona -5.5) St. Mary's is a strong team and looked good in the win over VCU, but I look for them to struggle to keep up with an elite team like the Wildcats, who just might be the best team in the tournament. I have them rated right there with Gonzaga and the Bulldogs beat the Gaels by 10 or more all 3 times they faced off this season. I don't see any reason why the Wildcats won't do the same. Give me Arizona -5.5! |
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03-18-17 | Northwestern +11.5 v. Gonzaga | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB 2nd Round ATS No Brainer (Northwestern +11.5) The Wildcats are worth a look here as a double-digit underdog. Gonzaga struggled out of the gate in their opener before pulling away late. It's not that I don't think the Bulldogs are a good team, I just think they are way overvalued. I don't believe they would be anywhere close to a No. 1 seed if they played in a legit conference. I look for Northwestern to keep this close and wouldn't be shocked if they pulled off the huge upset. Give me the Wildcats +11.5! |
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03-17-17 | Wichita State -5.5 v. Dayton | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Big Money ATS Blowout (Wichita St -5.5) There's been a lot made about Wichita State and their No. 10 seed and for good reason. The committee dropped the ball on this one. I know Dayton is a good team and won't go down without a fight, but the Shockers are the more talented team and have the much better coach, which is a big factor in these tournament games. Wichita State gets it done on both sides of the ball. They are 21st in scoring at 82.1 ppg and 14th in points allowed at 62.4 ppg. Give me the Shockers -5.5! |
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03-17-17 | USC +6.5 v. SMU | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (USC +6.5) The Trojans already beat SMU 78-73 earlier this season and keep in mind that USC was a 3.5-point home favorite in that contest. That suggests that this line should be closer to a pick'em. The Trojans come in off that big win over Providence and I expect them to come out with a chip on their shoulder when they see this line. Don't be fooled by the Mustangs overall record. they padded their resume in a very weak American Athletic Conference. I'll gladly take the points here as I think there's a good chance USC wins outright. Give me the Trojans +6.5 |
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03-17-17 | New Mexico State +12.5 v. Baylor | 73-91 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Early Bird ATS Knockout (New Mexico St +12.5)Â The Aggies are worth a look here as a big dog against the Bears. Baylor got off to a fantastic start this season, but they haven't looked nearly as good down the stretch. The Bears went just 5-6 in their last 11 games and really played poorly in their Big 12 Tournament opener against K-State, losing 64-70 as a 4.5-point favorite. Most haven't had a chance to watch this New Mexico State team, but I have and I like the way they matchup with the Bears. I see this one coming right down to the wire and wouldn't be shocked if the Aggies won this game outright. Give me New Mexico State +12.5! |
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03-16-17 | Vermont v. Purdue -10.5 | Top | 70-80 | Loss | -102 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
50* Vegas NCAA Tourn 1st Round Game of the Year (Purdue -10.5)Â I personally think Purdue should be a No. 3 seed, but the Big Ten is getting no love. The conference as a whole might not be great, but this Boilermakers team is the real deal and I love that they are coming into the tournament with a chip on their shoulder. Purdue won the Big Ten regular season title by a full 2 games and more than proved themselves in non-conference play. On top of the Boilermakers being undervalued, Vermont isn't that good of a team. They lost by 22 to Providence, 18 to South Carolina and 12 to Butler. The size of Purdue will be too much to overcome and I think this one gets ugly in a hurry. Give me the Boilermakers -10.5! |
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03-16-17 | Bucknell v. West Virginia -13.5 | 80-86 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (West Virginia -13.5) I really like this Mountaineers team and think they could do some serious damage and make a deep run in the tournament. West Virginia's pressure is unlike anything most of these teams have seen, especially a team like Bucknell. It's not just the pressure that makes the Mountaineers such a dangerous team. They score close to 82 ppg on a 46% shooting and allow just 66.3 ppg on 42% shooting. I just don't think Bucknell has the talent to handle the press and keep this game close. Keep in my were talking about a Bucknell team that lost by 20 to Wake Forest and 26 to Butler in non-conference play. Give me the Mountaineers -13.5! |
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03-15-17 | Cal-Irvine +10 v. Illinois State | Top | 71-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
50* Vegas NIT Sharp Money Top Play (UC-Irvine +10) Illinois State was one of the last teams left out of the NCAA Tournament and that's a tough pill to swallow. Some might think they will be out to prove something, but I just don't think they were as good as people think. The Missouri Valley was way down this year and while they finished with the same record as Wichita State in the conference, they also lost by 20+ points to the Shockers twice. I just think the line here is way too too many points, as UC-Irvine is a talented team that is more than capable of winning this game outright. Give me the Anteaters +10! |
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03-15-17 | Akron v. Houston -8 | 78-75 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Houston -8) The Cougars are worth a look here at home against the Zips. Houston was very strong at home this year (13-4) and a big part of that was their defense, allowing just 62.4 ppg at home. I look for the Cougars to take the NIT very seriously and I can't say the same for Akron. The Zips had one goal in mind and that was to make the NCAA Tournament. All was good until they blew it in the MAC Tournament. Keep in mind this is a team that finished a full 3-games better than any other team in the MAC regular season standings. I look for Houston to take control early and put this one away by double-digits. Give me the Cougars -8! |
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03-14-17 | Boise State v. Utah -11.5 | Top | 73-68 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
50* Vegas NIT Sharp Money Top Play (Utah -11.5) The Utes finished 4th in the Pac-12 behind the 3-headed monster of UCLA, Oregon and Arizona with a respectable 11-7 record in league play. This is a very talented Utes squad, they just struggled to win on the road and had some bad breaks in close games. I firmly believe they are a lot better than they get credit for, especially on their home floor, where they finished 14-3 with the 3 losses to the likes of Butler, UCLA and Oregon (all by single-digits). Boise is a decent team that finished 3rd in the MWC, but I just think they are outclassed and Utah is too difficult a place to win. Give me the Utes -11.5! |
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03-14-17 | Valparaiso v. Illinois -8.5 | 57-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Illinois -8.5) I believe the fact that Illinois fired head coach John Groce actually works in their favor for this game. The Fighting Illini didn't play well in their final two games, but I expect this team to show up for interim head coach Jamall Walker at home. That's not even the biggest reason to like Illinois in this one. Valparaiso lost their best player and Horizon Player of the Year in Alec Peters. The kid averaged 23 points and 10 rebounds a game and was the heart and soul of this team. Without him there's not a lot to get excited about and I just don't see the Crusaders showing up for this one. Give me Illinois -8.5! |
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03-12-17 | Arkansas v. Kentucky -7.5 | Top | 65-82 | Win | 100 | 1 h 26 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kentucky -7.5) Most are going to stay away from the Wildcats after failing to cover the spread in each of their first two games in the SEC Tournament, but I like the value here with Kentucky in the title game against the Razorbacks. Arkansas was no match for the Wildcats when these two met in the regular season, as Kentucky rolled to a 26-point win, nearly scoring 100 points (97). Simply put, this is a bad matchup for Arkansas. The Wildcats have played much better now that the games mean something and I expect them to play their best with a SEC title on the line. Give me Kentucky -7.5! |
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03-11-17 | Arizona v. Oregon -2 | Top | 83-80 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Oregon -2) Arizona is getting some love here after knocking off UCLA yesterday, but I actually think that games gives the edge to Oregon, who had a much easier go of things against Cal. Not to mention I think the Ducks are the best team in the Pac-12, making this a great price to back them. Keep in mind that Oregon absolutely had their way with the Wildcats earlier this season. The Ducks won 85-58 at home. It figures to be a lot closer at a neutral site, but I don't think it's enough to keep Oregon from pulling out the victory. Give me the Ducks -2! |
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03-11-17 | Vanderbilt -2.5 v. Arkansas | 62-76 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS No Brainer (Vanderbilt -2.5) The Commodores have been playing exceptional basketball in 2017, especially down this stretch run. Vanderbilt is 7-1 in their last 8 and that includes 2 wins over Florida and the only loss coming by just 6-points on the road at Kentucky. As good as Arkansas has been playing, I just don't see them being able to get in the way of the Commodores. Vanderbilt won the most recent meeting by 13 and did so by dominating on both sides of the ball. They shot 52% from the field and held the Razorbacks to just 38%. Arkansas is just 9-22 aTS in their last 31 road games revenging a same season loss. Give me the Commodores -2.5! |
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03-10-17 | California v. Oregon -9.5 | 65-73 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Oregon -9.5) The Ducks are on a mission to win the Pac-12 tournament and hopefully land them a No.1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Oregon absolutely owned Arizona State yesterday and I look for them to do the same here against the Golden Bears. Cal will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days and just won't be able to keep pace. While Oregon only won by 3 points at Cal, they crushed the Golden Bears by 23 at home. I see this one being an easy double-digit win for the Ducks. Give me Oregon -9.5! |
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03-10-17 | TCU v. Iowa State -4.5 | Top | 63-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
50* Conference Tournament Game of the Year (ISU -4.5) This Cyclones team has been flying under the radar in the Big 12 this season and are not getting near enough respect here against an inferior TCU team. The Horned Frogs knocked off No. 1 seed Kansas yesterday, but that was because the Jayhawks didn't have one of their best players. I was a lot more impressed with the way ISU played in their win over a red-hot Oklahoma State team and I think they turn this into a blowout early. The Sprint Center in KC is like a home game for ISU with all the fans that travel down from Ames. Give me the Cyclones -4.5! |
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03-09-17 | Colorado v. Arizona -7.5 | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS Knockout (Arizona -7.5) The fact that Colorado went 9-3 over their last 12 games has this line a lot lower than it should be. There's a big game between the top 3 teams in the Pac-12 (Arizona, UCLA and Oregon) and the rest of the league. During this run by the Buffaloes, only one of those wins came against the Big 3 and that was at home against Oregon, when they caught the Ducks in a bad spot. Arizona is somehow flying under the radar with all the attention to the Ducks and Bruins. I look for them to come out looking to make a statement here. Give me the Wildcats -7.5! |
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03-09-17 | Missouri v. Ole Miss -6 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SEC Game of the Month (Ole Miss -6) Missouri pulled off one of the more surprising wins yesterday, as they upset Auburn 86-83 as a 7.5-point dog. Keep in mind were talking about a Tigers team that had gone just 2-16 in league play during the regular season. Ole Miss isn't a great team by any means, but they did close out the season strong with a 7-3 record over their last 10 games. They have the edge here with them not playing yesterday and Missouri now on no rest. I think this is going to turn into a blowout in a hurry. Give me the Rebels -6! |
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03-09-17 | Rutgers v. Northwestern -7 | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money ATS Blowout (Northwestern -7) Rutgers was without a doubt the worst team in the Big Ten. They were able to upset Ohio State in the first round of the Big Ten tournament, but that only makes me like the Wildcats more in this one, as I just don't see the Scarlet Knights being able to compete at the same level as they did yesterday on no rest. Northwestern didn't finish the season great, going just 3-6 in their last 9, but injuries played a big part of that. They showed signs of getting back to the dominant form from earlier this season and are going to be extremely motivated to perform well here and that's really all it should take for them to win here by double-digits. Give me the Wildcats -7! |
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03-09-17 | California v. Utah -2.5 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Pac-12 Game of the Month (Utah -2.5) Great price here to back the Utes in their Pac-12 Tournament opener against the Golden Bears. Utah got a first round bye, while Cal had to battle their way to a 67-62 win over Oregon State yesterday. This is a much bigger edge than people think and the Utes already were the better team. Note that these two didn't play that long ago and Utah won 74-44 at home. I know this is on a neutral court, but I just don't see it being enough to allow Cal to keep this one close. Note that the Golden Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 tournament games and 0-6 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in a span of 3 or less days. Give me the Utes -2.5! |
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03-08-17 | DePaul +10 v. Xavier | Top | 64-75 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
50* Big East Game of the Month (DePaul +10) It's been a real struggle for Xavier down the stretch run and I just think this is too many points for them to be laying against a team they just played 4 days ago. The Musketeers did beat DePaul 79-65 but played about as well as they could. The books constantly inflate these lines in games where you have a team that just beat the same opponent and covered the spread. DePaul is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 off a loss by 10 or more this season, while the Musketeers are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 after playing a game on the road. Give me the Blue Demons +10! |
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03-08-17 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia -9.5 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Virginia -9.5) I look for the Cavaliers to lay a beating on the Panthers tonight. Virginia closed out the regular season on a roll, knocking of NC State, UNC and Pitt all by double-digits. The win over the Panthers was a 25-point blowout victory and I don't think Pitt will be able to get their revenge here. The Panthers are at a big disadvantage having just played yesterday in a hard fought win over Georgia Tech, while the Cavaliers haven't played since Saturday. Virginia's got the best defense in the country arguably and will be able to take advantage of the tired legs of Pitt on the offensive side of the ball. Give me Virginia -9.5! |
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03-07-17 | Boston College v. Wake Forest -12 | Top | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wake Forest -12) I know this looks like a big number, but I just think it's the right side here. Wake Forest doesn't get the hype as some of the other teams in the ACC, but this team has been playing it's best basketball going into March and are certainly capable of laying a beating on the Eagles, who haven't won a game since beating NC State at home back on Jan. 11th. Sure Wake Forest only won by 5 at BC back on 1/31, but let's not overlook the fact that was a horrible spot for the Demon Deacons. They had just suffered a heartbreaking 83-85 loss at home to Duke 3 days earlier. I also know Wake wasn't a great road team, but BC was a mere 1-12 away from home, where they lost by an average of nearly 13 ppg. Wake Forest needs to win this game to ensure a spot in the Tournament and I expect them to do so in convincing fashion. Give me the Demon Deacons -12! |
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03-04-17 | California v. Colorado -2 | 46-54 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Colorado -2) The Buffaloes are worth a look here at home against the Golden Bears. Cal has the better record in Pac-12 play, but this one comes down to location and the Bears being in a brutal spot having to play back-to-back road games in a span of 3-days at Utah and then Colorado. Not to mention this is the Buffaloes home finale and they are a very respectable 12-4 at home The Golden Bears are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after a loss, while Colorado is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less. Give me the Buffaloes -2! |
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03-04-17 | Kentucky -7.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SEC Game of the Year (Kentucky -7.5) I think this is a prime spot to jump on the Wildcats. Kentucky has covered the spread in just 1 of their last 4 game and were fortunate to rally to win at home against Vandy last time out. I believe all that has the Wildcats undervalued here against a very mediocre Texas A&M team. The big key here is that Kentucky needs to win this game to ensure an outright SEC regular season title and that's not something they are going to let them by with just one game left. Let's also not forget Kentucky didn't have much trouble against the Aggies at home earlier this season, beating them 100-58. It won't be that bad, but I still see Kentucky winning by double-digits. Give me the Wildcats -7.5! |
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03-02-17 | Houston v. Cincinnati -8 | Top | 47-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Cincinnati -8) I expect a big time effort here from the Bearcats in their home finale, as they look to rebound from a 49-53 loss at UCF, only their second conference loss of the season. This might seem like a big number for Cincinnati to be laying against a Houston team that has gone 7-1 in their last 8 games, but the Bearcats own a perfect 17-0 record at home. All but two of their home wins at home have come by double-digits, the only exception a 2-point win over SMU, who is right there with them in the ACC elite and a 7-point win over Temple. Note that while the Cougars have played well on the road, they lost by 9 at home to the Bearcats earlier this season. Houston lost by 21 at SMU and by 10 at home to the Mustangs. I mention this because SMU and Cincinnati are a class above the rest of the conference. This is also a tough spot for Houston, who has played a gauntlet of a schedule of late. Their last 3 games have been at home against SMU, home against UConn and @ Memphis. Give me the Bearcats -8! |
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03-01-17 | Marquette v. Xavier -3 | Top | 95-84 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
50* Big East Game of the Year (Xavier -3) The Musketeers come in having lost 5 straight, but injuries have played a big part in that and they just recently got back Bluiett, who after losing Sumner to a season-ending is one guy they can't afford to be without. I think he's poised to lead Xavier to a big win at home against Marquette. Not only will the Musketeers be out to revenge a recent 22-point loss at Marquette on 2/18, but there's a little extra motivation here with this being their home finale. Note that Bluiett didn't play in that 22-point loss and the Golden Eagles don't figure to get another 34-point effort from Howard, who went a ridiculous 9 of 12 from 3-point land. Marquette is also not a great road team at 4-8 on the year. Give me the Musketeers -3! |
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03-01-17 | Michigan v. Northwestern +1.5 | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (Northwestern +1.5) The Wildcats have struggle to regain the momentum they had going prior to losing Scottie Lindsey or 4 games. They nearly snapped their funk in their last game, but came up just short in a 62-63 loss at Indiana. I believe they are primed for one of their best efforts here at home against the Wolverines, who are getting a little too much respect given their recent run. The Wolverines are not nearly as good on the road as they are at home and I think they struggle to match the intensity of the Wildcats off that huge home win over Purdue this past Saturday. Give me Northwestern +1.5! |
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02-28-17 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -2 | Top | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Georgia Tech -2) I just don't see Pittsburgh being all that interested in this game. The Panthers only hope of making the NCAA Tournament is to somehow win the ACC tournament, as they are just 4-12 in league play. Georgia Tech on the other hand still has an outside shot at sneaking into the field with a couple more wins to close out the regular season and a win or two in the ACC Tournament. Either way, the Yellow Jackets are the only team with something to play for in this one and it only adds more fuel to the fire for Georgia Tech with this being senior night. Note that the Yellow Jackets are a very strong 14-4 at home, while Pitt is a mere 4-8 on the road. Give me Georgia Tech -2! |
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02-27-17 | Oklahoma +14.5 v. Kansas | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Oklahoma +14.5) I'll gladly take my chances with Oklahoma as a massive road dog against the Jayhawks. I know Kansas is playing their home finale, but they just locked up an outright Big 12 title and have to start thinking about resting up some of their key players for what really matters. For Oklahoma this is a game I believe they will desperately want to win and they will come in confident off an 81-51 blowout win at home over Kansas State. Prior to that they had played well on the road against both Oklahoma State (92-96) and Baylor (54-60), plus they have that earlier road win at West Virginia. I don't think they win here, but I see no reason why they can't keep it within 10 points. Give me the Sooners +14.5! |
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02-26-17 | Butler v. Xavier +2 | Top | 88-79 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Xavier +2) Now is the time to jump on Xavier at home, as they are going to be extremely motivated after losing 4 straight. Injuries played a big part of the Musketeers struggles of late, but they just got back Bluiett in their last game at Seton Hall. Butler won at home over Xavier earlier this season, which sets the Musketeers up for revenge here. This is also a bad spot for the Bulldogs going on the road after that huge road win at Villanova. Give me the Muskeeteers +2! |
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02-25-17 | Iowa v. Maryland -7 | 83-69 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas ATS Knockout (Maryland -7) This is a huge bounce back spot for the Terrapins, who were just embarrassed on their home floor by 14 by Minnesota. That came after a loss at Wisconsin. Maryland is primed to get back on track here in a big way against the Hawkeyes, who are due for another letdown on the road after a big 96-90 overtime win at home against Indiana. Iowa is just 2-9 away from home on the season and their only road win inside the Big Ten came against bottom feeder Rutgers. Five of their six conference road losses have been by double-digits. Give me the Terrapins -7! |
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02-25-17 | Kansas v. Texas +8.5 | 77-67 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Dog of the Day (Texas +8.5) The Longhorns covered as a 16-point dog at Kansas earlier this season, as they lost by a final of 67-79. Texas was only down 7 with less than 5 minutes to play, as KU pulled away late to make it look worse than it was. That sets up the Longhorns in a great spot, as they are 10-2 ATS over the last 2 seasons revenging a road loss. They are also 23-10 ATS in their last 33 as a home dog, while KU is a mere 7-15 as a favorite this season and could be in line for a letdown here after securing another Big 12 title last time out against TCU. Give me the Longhorns +8.5! |
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02-25-17 | Mississippi State +8.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 48-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SEC Game of the Month (Mississippi State +8.5) The Bulldogs are worth a look here as a big dog against the Commodores. Mississippi State is undervalued right now, as they have lost 5 straight, but it's not like they haven't been competitive. All 5 losses have been by 6 points or less. Vanderbilt is getting too much love here after winning 3 straight. Keep in mind that the Bulldogs beat the Commodores 75-74 earlier this season. With a huge showdown at Kentucky on deck for Vandy, I wouldn't be shocked if Mississippi State won this game outright. Commodores are just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 and 4-15 ATS in their last 19 home games off a road win by 10 or more points. Give me the Bulldogs +8.5! |
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02-25-17 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State -6.5 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Oklahoma State -6.5) I got no problem laying this number with the Cowboys at home against the Red Raiders. Outside of Kansas, Oklahoma State has been playing the best basketball of any Big 12 team. The Cowboys come in having won 4 straight and 9 of 10 overall. This run includes a 83-64 win at Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are headed in the opposite direction and fresh off a crushing 80-82 home loss to ISU. Texas Tech is also a mere 2-8 ATS away from home this season and 9-26 in their last 35 after allowing 80+ points in 2 straight games. Give me the Cowboys -6.5! |
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02-23-17 | Utah +2.5 v. Colorado | 86-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Late Night ATS Knockout (Utah +2.5) Utah followed up an embarrassing 61-79 loss at Oregon with an even more embarrassing loss at Oregon State just 3 days later. I'm not about to jump off the Utes bandwagon after a couple bad showings. In fact, I think it has Utah in a prime position to win on the road against the Buffaloes. The Utes are the superior team and Colorado isn't exactly feeling good about themselves after a 73-101 loss at Oregon. The Buffs do have a strong home court advantage and a big part of that is teams not use to playing in the thin air of Denver. That's not the case with Utah, who has actually won the last two and 4 of 7 overall at Colorado. Give me the Utes +2.5! |
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02-23-17 | Georgia v. Alabama -5.5 | Top | 60-55 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Alabama -5.5) The Crimson Tide come into this game playing with some confidence after winning their last two. They certainly won't be intimidated by the Bulldogs, who they knocked off 84-64 in Georgia back on 1/25. I know the Bulldogs will want revenge here, but I just don't see it happening. Georgia is off a crushing 77-82 loss at home to Kentucky and will be playing their first game with Yante Maten, who leads the team in scoring at 18.7 ppg and is 2nd in rebounds (6.9) and first in blocks (1.5). The only other player averaging double-figures is J.J. Frazier and you can expect Alabama's defense to lock in on him in this one. Give me the Crimson Tide -5.5! |
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02-22-17 | Connecticut +7.5 v. Houston | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Dog of the Day (Connecticut +7.5) Big time revenge spot for the Huskies, who lost at home to Houston without their best player in Jalen Adamas. On top of that, Connecticut is playing at a whole different level than when these two met up in late December. I'm not saying Houston shouldn't be favored at home, but these are two evenly matched teams. I see this one going right down to the wire and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Huskies won this game outright. UConn has won 7 of their last 8 and are sitting with an identical 9-5 record in the AAC as Houston. Give me the Huskies +7.5! |
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02-22-17 | Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest -7 | Top | 59-63 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wake Forest -7) The Demon Deacons are worth a look at home against the Panthers. Wake Forest is in a prime bounce back spot playing at home after losing their last two on the road, while Pitt is in a prime letdown spot after a huge 80-66 home win over FSU. The Panthers haven't played on the road since 2/8 and are a 4-7 away from home on the season and 1-5 on the road in the ACC with the only win coming at Boston College. Wake is 9-3 at home with two of those losses at the hands of Duke and North Carolina. Last home game the Deacons crushed NC State by 30 and the time before that they won by 12 over Georgia Tech. Give me Wake Forest -7! |
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02-22-17 | Michigan -8.5 v. Rutgers | 68-64 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Michigan -8.5) I know the Wolverines are just 3-7 in road games this season, but this is Rutgers and they don't have the same kind of homecourt edge as the other teams in the Big Ten. That's evident by the fact that they lost by 20 at home to a young an inexperienced Iowa team. Coming off a 78-83 loss at Minnesota and far from being a lock to make the NCAA Tournament, I expect a big time effort here from the Wolverines and I just don't see the Scarlet Knights being able to keep it competitive. Rutgers is a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me Michigan -8.5! |
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02-21-17 | Northwestern -1.5 v. Illinois | Top | 50-66 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Game of the Month (Northwestern -1.5) Northwestern is worth a look here on the road against Illinois. The Wildcats are a team that is going to make the NCAA Tournament for the first time in school history this season. They have hit a bit of a bump in the road of late, but it came with their leading scorer Scottie Lindsey sidelined with mono. He returned in their last game, where they held on for a 69-65 win at home over Rutgers. Only beating the Scarlet Knights by 4 at home doesn't look good on paper, but I believe that's the kind of win that can get this team back to playing at the level they were before Lindsay went out. They were 7-2 in Big Ten play before his injury and are now 9-5. Illinois is a decent team, but not on the same level as the Wildcats and have not played great at home of late. Note that Northwestern has already won at Penn State, Nebraska, Ohio State and Wisconsin. Give me the Wildcats -1.5! |
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02-19-17 | Connecticut +2 v. Temple | Top | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
50* Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Connecticut +2) The Huskies are worth a look here. UConn is playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have won 3 straight and 6 of 7 overall. The only loss coming against Cincinnati, who along with SMU is a class above the rest of the conference. Temple is a quality team, but are just 5-9 in AAC play and don't exactly have a huge home court edge. At least not enough to make up the difference from when these two played at Connecticut. The Huskies won that contest 73-59. They shot 53% from the field and held the Owls to just 36%. They also had a +9 edge in rebounding and +10 advantage in free throws. Last time out the Huskies beat Memphis at home 65-62 and are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 off a close home win by 3 points or less. Give me UConn +2! |
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02-18-17 | Xavier v. Marquette -3.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big East Game of the Month (Marquette -3.5) I think we are still in a position to take advantage of the books not adjusting enough to the injuries that Xavier is dealing with. Sumner is already out for the year and Bluiett is a game-time decision. I would be surprised if Bluiett's ankle is better just 3-days after it was too sore to play against Providence. While the Musketeers are limping into this one, this game means everything to Marquette. If Blueitt doesn't play this could get ugly in a hurry. Give me Marquette -3.5! |
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02-18-17 | Colorado v. Oregon -12 | 73-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Oregon -12) I have no problem laying this big number on the ducks at home against the Buffaloes. Oregon, UCLA and Arizona are clearly a step ahead of the rest of the conference and the Ducks might just be the best of the three. Either way Oregon has been on a mission in Pac-12 play and are 16-0 at home with an average win by 21.1 ppg. The Ducks are also outscoring conference opponents by 15+ ppg. Colorado was able to upset Oregon at home earlier this season, which makes this one mean a little more to the Ducks. I don't see the Buffaloes being able to keep pace with a motivated Oregon team. Give me the Ducks -12! |
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02-18-17 | Florida v. Mississippi State +10.5 | 57-52 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Mississippi State +10.5) The Bulldogs are worth a look here as a big home dog. Florida is getting a ton of respect and are overvalued right now. The Gators have won 7 straight and just won 114-95 at Auburn as a 10-point favorite. Mississippi State on the other hand is undervalued right now. The Bulldogs have lost 3 straight, but the key is they have all been close. IN fact, all 3 losses came by 7 points or less. This is also a tough spot for Florida, who is riding high and has two huge games on deck next week at home against South Carolina and at Kentucky. An outright upset isn't out of the question. Give me Mississippi State +10.5! |
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02-17-17 | Kent State v. Akron -8.5 | 70-67 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Akron -8.5) I like the Zips to win here by at least double-digits at home against the Golden Flashes. Kent State is outclassed here. While they are 3-3 in their last 6 games, two of those wins have come against Miami (OH), which has the worst record of any team in the MAC at 3-10. The other was against Eastern Michigan who is 5-8. Last road game for the Flashes was a 20-point loss at Toledo, which is the same team Akron just took down at home. The Zips are the class of the MAC at 12-1. The next best team is 8-5. It's also worth noting that Akron is a perfect 13-0 at home this season, with the average win coming by 15.1 ppg. Give me the Zips -8.5! |
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02-16-17 | Wisconsin +1.5 v. Michigan | Top | 58-64 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wisconsin +1.5) The Badgers weren't sharp in a few of their wins and it finally caught up to them in their last game, as they were stunned at home by Northwestern, who was without their best player. Sometimes a loss like that is all an elite team like Wisconsin needs to get their attention and re-focus them on the task at hand. I look for one of the Badgers best efforts here against a Michigan team that is getting a little too much respect for blowing out a down Michigan State team and winning at Indiana, who has been in a serious funk. Give me Wisconsin +1.5! |
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02-15-17 | Oklahoma State +2 v. TCU | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Oklahoma St +2) I'll gladly back the Cowboys as a dog in this one. Oklahoma State has won 6 of their last 7 with the only loss being a mere 3-point loss to Baylor. This run includes a 13-point win at home over TCU, where the Cowboys shot 54% from the field and held the Horned Frogs to just 39.3%. TCU is 6-6 in the Big 12, but have not fared well against the upper-level teams. I know Oklahoma State is just 5-7 in the Big 12, but they have been playing like an elite team for almost a month now. Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and TCU is a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against a team with a winning record. Give me Oklahoma State +2! |
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02-15-17 | Duke v. Virginia -4.5 | 65-55 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Big Money ATS Blowout (Virginia -4.5) My money is on the Cavaliers to take care of business at home against the Blue Devils. The public is all over Duke, which has won 5 straight, but the last 3 all came at home and they were fortunate to escape with a 64-62 win at home against Clemson in their last game. Virginia is off a crushing 78-80 loss at in-state rival Virginia Tech and are primed to bounce back with a huge effort here at home, where they are 10-2 on the season. Last home game the Cavaliers cruised to a 71-55 win over a very good Louisville team. Duke is just 2-3 on the road in ACC play. Virginia is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Give me the Cavaliers -4.5! |
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02-15-17 | Indiana +5 v. Minnesota | Top | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big Ten Game of the Month (Indiana +5) I think this is a great time to buy low on the Hoosiers, who are much better than their recent 1-5 run would lead on. At the same time, I think we are catching the Gophers overvalued off 3 straight wins against teams in the bottom half of the league. This has the feeling of a must-win game for Indiana and I expect the Hoosiers to deliver. Minnesota is just 6-6 in league play. Indiana is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 after failing to cover the spread in their last game and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 as a road dog of 6.5 or less. Give me Indiana +5! |
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02-14-17 | Tennessee v. Kentucky -14 | 58-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Kentucky -14) I'm not buying Kentucky's loss at Tennessee a few weeks back being a sign of things to come in the Vols keeping it close on the road against the Wildcats. I don't think Kentucky took that first meeting seriously, as they just played a big home game against South Carolina and had an even bigger game on deck at Kansas. It was the definition of a sandwich/trap game. This time around I think the Wildcats are going to be 100% locked in and out to make a statement against the Vols. I see this getting ugly in a hurry and Kentucky taking this one by 20+ points. Give me the Wildcats -14! |
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02-12-17 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin -11 | 66-59 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Wisconsin -11) This is as talented a team as Northwestern has arguably ever had, as it figures to be the first team in program history to make the NCAA Tournament. I think that has a lot of people drawn to the Wildcats as a double-digit dog here, but my money is on Wisconsin. The big key here is that Northwestern is still without their best player in Scottie Lindsey. Not only does he lead them in scoring (15.4), but he does a little bit of everything (4.3 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.1 spg). Not to mention he's one of their most efficient shooters and leads the team in made 3-pointers. In the two games he's missed, they have lost by 21 at Purdue and fell at home to a pretty bad Illinois team by 7. Wisconsin hasn't looked great of late, but have also played 4 of their last 6 on the road. I expect a big time effort here from the Badgers and expect this one to get ugly in a hurry. Give me Wisconsin -11! |
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02-12-17 | Cincinnati v. SMU -3.5 | Top | 51-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (SMU -3.5) I like the Mustangs to put an end to Cincinnati's perfect run in the AAC and cover this small number at home. When you look at the standings and the numbers, it's pretty clear that these two are head and shoulders above the rest of the conference. SMU's only loss in the AAC is at Cincinnati by a final of just 64-66. Note that the Bearcats jumped to an early lead and led by as many as 15 before SMU figured things out and closed the game strong. Cincinnati is not near the offensive team on the road as they are at home. The Bearcats average 77.0 ppg on the season, yet only average 63.9 ppg on the road. SMU is 14-0 at home and are scoring more and allowing less on their home floor. Give me the Mustangs -3.5! |
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02-11-17 | Arkansas -4.5 v. LSU | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (Arkansas -4.5) The Razorbacks aren't normally a team that I would back as a road favorite, but I like them in this spot. LSU is awful and are just 1-10 in SEC play with their only win coming against Missouri way back on Jan. 4. Arkansas comes into this game off back-to-back losses, which I think is critical. It's going to have he Razorbacks 100% locked in on this game and that should be all it takes to beat the Tigers by 5 or more points. Note that LSU has lost 9 of their last 10 by at least 7 points. This is also a major letdown spot for the Tigers off a shocking close loss at Kentucky. Give me Arkansas -4.5! |
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02-11-17 | Houston v. Tulsa +3 | Top | 73-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
50* NCAAB AAC Game of the Month (Tulsa +3) I believe the Golden Hurricane should be the ones favored in this contest. Tulsa is simply way undervalued after losing their last 3, but two of those were at home against the two best teams in the league in Cincinnati and SMU and the other was a road game against Memphis. On the other side, Houston is overvalued here after winning 4 straight, though 3 of those were at home and the only one away from home was at Tulane, who is 1-11 in AAC play. Prior to the 3-game losing streak, Tulsa had won 4 of 5 and note they only lost at Houston by 3-points earlier this season. Golden Hurricane are 17-7 ATS last 2 seasons at home and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games after failing to cover the spread in their previous contest. Give me Tulsa +3! |
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02-11-17 | Ohio State v. Maryland -7 | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Maryland -7) A lot of things are pointing in the right direction for the Terrapins on Saturday against the Buckeyes. Maryland is playing at home where they are 11-3 on the season and facing an Ohio State team that is a mere 3-6 away from home. They also catch the Buckeyes short-handed, as starting point guard JaQuan Lyle is sitting this one out for personal reasons. That's a huge loss for Ohio State and one I don't think they can overcome on the road. Keep in mind the Terrapins already beat the Buckeyes by 6 on the road. Give me Maryland -7! |
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02-11-17 | Miami (Fla) +10.5 v. Louisville | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ACC Game of the Month (Miami +10.5) I think the books have made a big mistake here making the Hurricanes a double-digit dog against the Cardinals. Miami has had their ups and downs in the ACC, but in good form right now off back-to-back wins. Louisville comes in off a ugly loss at Virginia and the perception here is they are going to bounce back big at home, which I believe has created this inflated line on the Cardinals. Miami's the kind of team that can give Louisville problems. The Hurricanes are hitting 37% from behind the 3-point line and the Cardinals are a mere 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams who make 37% or more of their 3-point shots. Miami is also 30-13 ATS in their last 43 as a dog of 10 or more points. Give me the Hurricanes +10.5! |
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02-09-17 | Purdue v. Indiana +1.5 | Top | 69-64 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Indiana +1.5) My money is on the Hoosiers at home against in-state rival Purdue on Thursday. Indiana is 13-2 at home this season and are desperate for a win here after losing 3 of their last 4. The Boilermakers are well respected and have won 5 of 6, but have had their struggles on the road, losing to the likes of Iowa and Nebraska away from home. They also have mere 1-point wins at Maryland and Ohio State. Part of the Hoosiers problems of late has been injuries, but they are likely to get a key piece back in James Blackmon Jr. Either way I like Indiana in this spot, as they are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 home games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games after playing their previous game on the road. Give me the Hoosiers +1.5! |
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02-08-17 | DePaul +15 v. Xavier | Top | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (DePaul +15) I'm going to take the points here with the Blue Demons against the Musketeers. This is a great spot to go against Xavier as a big favorite. The Musketeers have won 3 straight with the most recent being a win on the road against a ranked Creighton team. Will be hard for them to give DePaul their full attention with a massive home game looming on deck against Villanova, which they essentially have to win if they want a realistic shot at winning the Big East regular season title. I don't think the Blue Demons can pull off the upset, but I think they can keep it close enough to cash. Give me DePaul +15! |
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02-07-17 | Butler +1.5 v. Marquette | 68-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Butler +1.5) Butler is worth a look here as an underdog at Marquette. The Bulldogs beat the Golden Flashes at home earlier this season, turning an 18-point deficit at the half into a 8-point win. That slow start in the first meeting will keep Butler from looking past Marquette in the rematch. I also like that the Bulldogs are coming into this game highly motivated off 2 straight losses and haven't played in a week. Butler is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 with a line of +3 to -3 and 27-12 ATS in their last 39 road games when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest. Give me the Bulldogs +1.5! |
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02-07-17 | Syracuse v. Clemson -4 | Top | 82-81 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Clemson -4) The Tigers are worth a look here at home against Syracuse. It's been a disappointing run for Clemson in ACC play. Just after they win two straight, they go on the road and get embarrassed in a 61-109 loss at Florida State. when ever a team loses like that, I look for them to bounce back in their next game, especially if it's at home. NC State has played much better at home in the ACC and I think they are in a prime spot to knock off an over-confident Orange team that has won 4 straight and fresh off a thrilling 66-62 come from behind win over Virginia at home. Syracuse is a mere 1-7 on the road this season and the lone win came in overtime. Orange are only 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games when they have won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Clemson is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games after trailing by 15 or more at the half in their last game. Give me the Tigers -4! |
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02-05-17 | Colorado v. California -6.5 | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (California -6.5) I'll take the Golden Bears to not only win but win big at home against the Buffaloes. Cal comes in having won 3 straight and 6 of 7 overall, but just don't get a ton of love playing in the same conference as Oregon, Arizona and UCLA. Colorado has won 3 straight, but only one of those was on the road and that was at Stanford, which isn't anything to get excited about. It's the Buffaloes' only win away from home in conference play. Cal is 13-2 at home and last year rolled Colorado by 14 at home as a 7.5-point favorite. Buffaloes are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 after winning 3 of their last 4, while Cal is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after 3 straight conference wins. Give me the Golden Bears -6.5! |
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02-04-17 | Illinois State +11.5 v. Wichita State | 45-86 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational Oddsmakers Error (Illinois St +11.5) You wouldn't think by this line that Illinois State is sitting on top the MVC with a perfect 11-0 record and have already beat the Shockers 76-62 at home this season. The big spread here is a result of the Redbirds losing a key contributor in MiKyle McIntosh. While Illinois State isn't as good without him, there's still a lot of talent on this roster. I don't think it's out of the question that they can win this game outright. I just don't think this line would be this high if it wasn't for the name recognition of Wichita State. Give me the Redbirds +11.5! |
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02-04-17 | Utah -2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 75-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Pac-12 Game of the Year (Utah -2.5) Looking at these two teams, there's no doubt which one is the more talented team. It's not even close. Utah is a legit NCAA Tournament team and one of the better teams in the country. The only reason this line isn't more, is because the Utes have a horrible history playing at Stanford. All streaks aren't bound to come to an end at some points and this is the perfect storm for Utah to get that elusive win at Stanford. The Cardinal are a mere 3-7 in the Pac-12 and the 3 wins have all come against the bottom feeders in Washington St, Washington and Oregon State. Not only do I think the Utes win here and cover, but I'm expecting a blowout. Give me Utah -2.5! |
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02-04-17 | Arizona v. Oregon -3 | 58-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Knockout (Oregon -3) Arizona is sitting at #5 and Oregon is back at #13, which I believe is creating the value here with the Ducks a short home favorite. Oregon is every bit as good as the Wildcats and are simply not getting the respect the deserve at home, where they are a perfect 14-0 this season. I also really like how the Ducks matchup here. Note that Arizona is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after 15+ games against teams that shoot 45% or better from the field and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 after 15+ games against teams who are outrebounding opponents by 4+ rebounds/game. Oregon is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 off a home win conference win and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games off a close home win by 3-points or less. Give me the Ducks -3! |
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02-04-17 | Kansas State +8 v. Baylor | 56-54 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Blowout (K-State +8) The Wildcats are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Bears. I look for Baylor to come out a bit flat here after that crushing loss at Kansas on Wednesday. Kansas State on the other hand is going to be all business. The Wildcats are desperate for a win here after losing their last 3 and will also be out for revenge from a home loss to the Bears. Keep in mind K-State was favored at home and are now a 8-point dog. That's a huge swing and I don't think it's warranted. Baylor is just 4-13 ATS at home in their last 17 when playing only their 2nd game in a week and K-State is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games with a total of 130 to 139.5 and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after playing their previous two games as a favorite. Give me the Wildcats +8! |
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02-02-17 | Memphis University -14.5 v. South Florida | 85-75 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Knockout (Memphis -14.5) Most will have trouble laying this big number on Memphis, as these two teams recently played in Memphis and the Tigers only won by a final of 62-56. That wasn't a great spot for the Tigers, coming off an ugly loss at Tulsa and USF being a team that really doesn't get you excited to play. I think Memphis will take this meeting a little more seriously and win here by 20+ points. USF is awful and just lost at Cincinnati by 41 and there's really nothing to get excited about with this team. Memphis was a double-digit favorite at Tulane (-11) and delivered in a 80-59 win. I expect a similar outcome here. Give me the Tigers -14.5! |
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02-01-17 | Cincinnati v. Tulsa +10 | 57-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational Dog of the Day (Tulsa +10) I don't think the Golden Hurricane are getting near the respect they deserve here against the Bearcats. A big reason for that is the fact that Cincinnati comes in off 12 straight wins and are a perfect 8-0 in the AAC. Not to mention they are getting all kinds of love from their last two games, which saw them rally to beat Xavier at home 86-78 and follow it up with a 41 point win at home over USF. I think it has the Bearcats very vulnerable here on the road against a talented Tulsa team that is 8-2 at home and 6-2 in the AAC. Give me the Golden Hurricane +10! |
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02-01-17 | Texas Tech v. Texas -1 | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Texas -1) The Longhorns are worth a look here at home against in-state rival Texas Tech. The Longhorns are 8-13 overall, but if you have watched this team play, you know they are much better than their record would indicate. The biggest problem for Texas has been closing out games, but I have seen some improvement in that area of late. The Red Raiders are just 2-5 on the road and have not won a road game in Big 12 play. All 8 of the Longhorn's wins have come at home and I think they add to that total with a convincing win here. Give me Texas -1! |
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02-01-17 | Villanova v. Providence +10 | Top | 66-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Providence +10) The Friars are worth a look here as a double-digit home dog against No. 4 Villanova. There's no question this line is inflated because of Villanova. I'll gladly take my chances here with Providence at home off an impressive 79-78 win at Marquette. The Friars believe they can win this game and they hung with the Wildcats on the road, losing 68-78 at Villanova back on 1/21. I also think this is a tough spot for the Wildcats off that crazy win at home over Virginia on Sunday. An outright win isn't out of the question, but I really like Providence to keep this within single-digits, as they are 12-2 ATS when revenging a road loss. Give me the Friars +10! |
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01-31-17 | West Virginia v. Iowa State +3 | Top | 85-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big 12 Game of the Month (Iowa State +3) The Cyclones are 8-2 at home this season and I believe they have the perfect answer to West Virginia full court pressure. That's talented point guard Monte Morris, who rarely gives the ball away. In fact, Morris has committed only 23 turnovers on the season. The other big key here is the Mountaineers pressure isn't the same on the road as it is at home. I look for Iowa State to feed off what is going to be electric crowd that loves nothing more than having a Top 10 team come to Hilton. Cyclones come to play against top teams and are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 against a team with a winning record. Give me Iowa State +3! |
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01-31-17 | Creighton v. Butler -6 | 76-67 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Butler -6) It's been a rough go of things for Creighton since they loss Mo Watson Jr. They lost 94-102 at home to Marquette and the 51-71 at Georgetown. They were able to bounce back with a 83-66 blowout win over DePaul, but that's a team that is 1-7 in Big East play. What it did was keep this line from being to high and created some value with Butler, who is the far superior team with Watson sidelined. The Bulldogs are also going to be a hungry group, as they just lost 81-85 at home as a 8.5-point favorite against Georgetown. Give me Butler -6! |
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01-29-17 | Purdue v. Nebraska +9 | Top | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nebraska +9) The Cornhuskers are worth a look here as a near double-digit home dog. Nebraska is way undervalued right now, as they come in having lost 5 straight. This is still a team that won at both Maryland and Indiana and could easily have a couple more wins. Purdue has won 3 straight and are off a huge win on the road at Michigan State, which I believe has them ripe for the picking here. Best part is we don't nee the Cornhuskers to win outright, just keep it respectable. I believe they can do just that and wouldn't be shocked at all if they won. Give me the Cornhuskers +9! |
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01-28-17 | Texas +5.5 v. Georgia | 57-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Oddsmakers Error (Texas +5.5) The Longhorns are fighting there way through a difficult season, but they are no where near as bad as their 8-12 record would lead on. The problem for Texas has been their inability to close out games. However, they did just that in their last game, taking down Oklahoma 84-83 at home. I don't know that they will need to close out this one, as they could have a big lead against a Georgia team that I don't think is all that great. The Bulldogs just lost by 20 at home to Alabama. Same team Texas beat by 7 in non-conference play. I think the Longhorns win this game outright, but I'll gladly take the points as insurance. Give me Texas +5.5! |
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01-28-17 | Maryland v. Minnesota -4.5 | Top | 85-78 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
50* Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Minnesota -4.5) The Terrapins come in having won 5 straight and are ranked No. 22 in the country, while Minnesota is unranked and comes in having lost 4 straight, yet the Gophers are a decent 4.5-point favorite here. The books are begging for action on Maryland and the public is following suit. I think the value here is with Minnesota, who is a lot better than their record of late would lead on and I'm not sold on the Terrapins being as good as people think. Give me the Gophers -4.5! |
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01-28-17 | Florida -2.5 v. Oklahoma | 84-52 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Florida -2.5) I'll take my chances with the Gators as a short road favorite against the Sooners. Florida is one of the few elite teams in the SEC and Oklahoma is just middle of the pack in the Big 12. The Gators have proven themselves against some good teams outside the conference, playing Gonzaga, Duke and Florida State all tough. The Sooners on the other hand lost to Auburn on a neutral court and the Tigers are middle of the back at best in the SEC. They also got destroyed by 20 at Wisconsin and lost to a Clemson team that's got one win in ACC play. Give me the Gators -2.5! |
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01-28-17 | Clemson -2 v. Pittsburgh | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Early Bird ATS Shocker (Clemson -2) I'm strictly playing the odds here. Clemson comes into this game having lost 6 straight both straight up and against the spread, yet are a road favorite against a Pittsburgh team that despite their recent struggles has some decent wins on their resume. Both teams are better than what they have shown of late, but my more here is on the Tigers, who I feel has played the tougher schedule in the ACC to this point. Give me Clemson -2! |
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01-26-17 | Indiana v. Michigan -3.5 | Top | 60-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Michigan -3.5) The Wolverines are showing some great value here as a short home favorite against Indiana. Michigan is 11-2 at home this season and have really started to come on strong of late. Sandwiched between two comfortable wins at hime over Nebraska and Illinois, was a mere 4-point loss at Wisconsin as a 10.5-point dog. Indiana has won 3 straight, but only one of them came on the road and that was by just 3-points against the likes of Penn State. The Hoosiers simply aren't as good as what they were made out to be and are dealing with some big injuries right now. OG Anunoby was lost for the season on 1/20 and Juwan Morgan is questionable with a foot injury. Give me Michigan -3.5! |
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01-26-17 | Nebraska +8.5 v. Northwestern | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Nebraska +8.5) The Cornhuskers are worth a look here as a decently priced dog against Northwestern. Nebraska will be out for revenge from a 8-point loss at home to the Wildcats earlier this month, plus they want to snap a 4-game losing streak. Something they have been close to doing in each of their last two games, falling 66-67 to Ohio State and 64-65 at Rutgers. While Nebraska is undervalued after a 4-game slide, Northwestern is overvalued after 4 straight wins. I just think these are two more evenly matched teams than this spread would suggest. Give me the Cornhuskers +8.5! |
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01-25-17 | Connecticut -7 v. South Florida | 81-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS Knockout (Connecticut -7) This might seem like a big number for UConn to be laying on the road, but I think they have no problem covering this number. The Huskies have been playing much better of late, but are just 3-6 in their last 9. Each of their last 4 losses came on the road against quality teams in SMU, Georgetown, Memphis and Tulsa. In between those were impressive home wins over UCF (64-49) and Temple (73-59). Now I know this one is away from home, but South Florida doesn't have much of a home court edge and we have already seen the Bulls lose by 15 at home to Tulane. They also just lost by 12 at home to Tulsa. USF is just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 as a home underdog and just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games when playing only the 2nd game in a week span. Give m the Huskies -7! |
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01-25-17 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +10.5 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Dog of the Day (Georgia Tech +10.5) The Yellow Jackets have been up and down this season. The best of example of that, is they knock off North Carolina at home 75-63 as a 17-point dog and then go on the road and lose 67-110 at Duke. They lose by 15 at home to Louisville, rebound with wins at home over Clemson and at NC State. Last time out they got beat pretty bad in a 49-62 loss at Virginia and most are going to just assume FSU rolls them here, but I think this is a prime spot for the Yellow Jackets to poentially pull off an upset. The Seminoles just got done playing a brutal 4-game stretch, where they hosted Duke, were at UNC and then returned home for games against Notre Dame and Louisville. I just don't see a max effort here from FSU. Give me the Yellow Jackets +10.5! |
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01-25-17 | St. John's v. Providence -7 | 91-86 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Blowout (Providence -7) The Friars are worth a look here in a big bounce back spot at home. Providence went on the road and gave Villanova all they could handle in a 10-point loss. Now they are back on their home floor, where they have gone 11-1 this season and will face a St. John's team that hasn't been competitive of late. The Red Storm come in off a 13-point loss at Seton Hall, which is the 5th time in their last 6 games they have lost by 10 or more. The only exception coming at home against a bad DePaul team. I look for the Friars to jump out to a big lead early and cruise to a comfortable win and cover int his one. Give me Providence -7! |
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01-24-17 | Kansas State v. Iowa State -3.5 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Iowa State -3.5) Hilton Coliseum is no easy place for opposing teams to play and this Cyclones team is desperate for wins right now, as they still need to beef up that resume to make the NCAA Tournament. Kansas State is getting way too much respect here against a hungry and motivated ISU team and I think the Cyclones could turn this into a blowout. Give me Iowa State -3.5! |
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01-24-17 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse -3 | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Syracuse -3) The Orange are with a look here as a short home favorite against the Demon Deacons. Syracuse comes into this one off back to back losses at North Carolina and Notre Dame. Those are two elite teams that rarely lose at home. Wake on the other hand comes in off a 93-88 win at home over NC State, but they caught the Wolfpack looking ahead to Duke. Prior to the losses, Syracuse had really been playing a lot better basketball. They had won by 15 at home over Miami and 11 over Pittsburgh. Now it's Wake that has Duke looming next on their schedule. Give me the Orange -3! |
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