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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-04-16 | Broncos v. Jaguars +3.5 | 20-10 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
This is the lowest total on the Week 13 NFL betting board. So taking more than a field goal is huge even though it's with Jacksonville. |
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12-01-16 | Cowboys v. Vikings +3 | Top | 17-15 | Win | 103 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Dallas is on a tremendous roll, but that stops here. The Cowboys aren't that strong to be laying this number on the road against this classy of a defense and against this strong of a home field, which ranks among the best in football. |
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11-28-16 | Packers +4 v. Eagles | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
Talent-wise the Packers are better than the Eagles. Philadelphia is tough at home, but Green Bay is way overdue to play better. I see that occurring here as the Packers are improved on offense and their defense is getting key players back. Clay Matthews played last week and cornerback Damarious Randall and linebacker Jake Ryan are expected back Monday. |
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11-27-16 | Panthers +3 v. Raiders | 32-35 | Push | 0 | 88 h 15 m | Show | |
Credit Jack Del Rio with doing a great job this season with the Raiders. Having said that, though, I believe the Raiders are very overrated. Yes, they are 8-2. But they've also been outgained on the season, have committed the most penalties in the league by far and are 1-3 ATS in games played in Oakland. |
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11-27-16 | Bengals +4 v. Ravens | 14-19 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 43 m | Show | |
You have to go back to the opening game of the 2012 season to find the last time Baltimore beat Cincinnati by more than four points. Since then the Bengals have dominated this series winning the past five times. |
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11-27-16 | Cardinals +5 v. Falcons | 19-38 | Loss | -105 | 63 h 12 m | Show | |
Arizona is better than its 4-5-1 record. The Cardinals are in must-win mode and the pointspread has become inflated. |
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11-27-16 | Titans -3 v. Bears | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 136 h 40 m | Show |
The answer is yes I can trust the Titans on the road - against this battered foe whose season is shot. |
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11-24-16 | Vikings +2.5 v. Lions | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
Minnesota owned the best defense in the NFL during the first five weeks holding opponents to 12.6 points per game in opening 5-0. |
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11-20-16 | Patriots -11 v. 49ers | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 43 h 22 m | Show |
I consider the Patriots to be the team to beat in the Super Bowl. At the other end, I consider the 49ers right there with the Browns as the worst team in the NFL. |
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11-20-16 | Jaguars +6.5 v. Lions | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 51 m | Show | |
The Lions haven't won a game by more than six points all season. They have a six-point overtime victory. Their other four victories were by a combined 11 points. |
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11-20-16 | Ravens +7.5 v. Cowboys | 17-27 | Loss | -117 | 41 h 54 m | Show | |
It's tough to step in against the Cowboys, who have won and covered every game since opening week. But Dallas' line is inflated here. The Ravens are well-coached and strong defensively allowing 17.8 points a game. Only three teams give up fewer points per game. No team yields fewer yards and rushing yards per game than Baltimore. |
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11-13-16 | Seahawks v. Patriots -7.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -100 | 95 h 33 m | Show | |
At first this spread may seem a little high. But New England is the best team in football while Seattle is down from past seasons and caught in a horrendous situational spot. |
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11-13-16 | Broncos +3 v. Saints | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm not buying the Saints being favored against the defending world champions whose defense remains elite. |
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11-10-16 | Browns +10 v. Ravens | Top | 7-28 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
Rarely, if ever, am I going to recommend playing the Browns this season. Cleveland's talent level isn't better than expansion level and its priority this season is playing for the future not necessarily winning games. |
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11-07-16 | Bills v. Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 25-31 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Count me among those not impressed by Buffalo. I think the Bills' coaching is below par, their passing game is weak and the defense not nearly as good as it was two years ago when Jim Schwartz was the defensive coordinator and before Rex Ryan came on board. |
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11-06-16 | Titans +5 v. Chargers | Top | 35-43 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 27 m | Show |
Love the Chargers as 'dogs, hate them as favorites where they are 1-5 ATS the past six times in that role losing straight-up in four of those games. |
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11-06-16 | Jaguars +8 v. Chiefs | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 96 h 1 m | Show | |
The Chiefs are a conservative, grind-out team not built to cover margins past a touchdown. Now the Chiefs will be without Alex Smith. The Chiefs already are thin at running back and have an overrated defense that doesn't apply much of a pass rush. That problem isn't likely to be corrected until Justin Houston returns to the lineup and he's not ready this week. |
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11-06-16 | Lions v. Vikings -6 | 22-16 | Loss | -102 | 93 h 36 m | Show | |
In Mike Zimmer we trust. The Vikings are coming off two terrible offensive performances. Their vaunted defense didn't cover themselves with glory either in an embarrassing Monday night road loss to the Bears. |
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10-31-16 | Vikings -4 v. Bears | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -102 | 93 h 11 m | Show |
The Vikings are vastly superior to the Bears, a true Super Bowl contender. Chicago is one of the five worst teams in the NFL. |
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10-30-16 | Eagles +5 v. Cowboys | 23-29 | Loss | -115 | 149 h 57 m | Show | |
This is too many points for the Cowboys to lay in this fierce division rivalry. |
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10-30-16 | Patriots -5.5 v. Bills | Top | 41-25 | Win | 100 | 147 h 36 m | Show |
It's rare to get Bill Belichick and his Patriots in a same season revenge game. But that's the case here as the Bills shut out the Patriots, 16-0, in Week 4. New England was forced to play third-string rookie quarterback Jacoby Brissett in that game. |
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10-23-16 | Chargers +6.5 v. Falcons | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 76 h 9 m | Show |
The Falcons are playing well, but face both a physical and mental letdown returning home from back-to-back road games against the bruising Broncos and Seahawks. |
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10-16-16 | Colts v. Texans -3 | Top | 23-26 | Push | 0 | 125 h 45 m | Show |
This line is off. These teams aren't even, which the oddsmaker is insinuating opening the game Houston minus 3 with home-field usually worth a field goal. |
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10-16-16 | Chiefs +1.5 v. Raiders | Top | 26-10 | Win | 100 | 127 h 17 m | Show |
I like the Chiefs a lot here for three main reasons: They are the superior team. The situation. And the line value with the Raiders opening the favorite. |
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10-13-16 | Broncos -3 v. Chargers | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -123 | 57 h 54 m | Show |
San Diego has lost its last 10 AFC West matchups. I don't see that streak ending with this game. |
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10-09-16 | Bengals v. Cowboys | 14-28 | Loss | -115 | 77 h 26 m | Show | |
The Bengals are at least a whole another tier higher than Dallas. The Cowboys are thrilled when they beat the lowly 49ers. The Bengals - who have made the playoffs five straight years - expect to the beat the 49ers. That's a huge difference between these two. |
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10-09-16 | Chargers +4 v. Raiders | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 140 h 15 m | Show |
The Chargers are 1-3, but have outscored their opponents by 13 points. The Raiders are 3-1 and have outscored their foes by two points. |
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10-09-16 | Texans +6.5 v. Vikings | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 16 m | Show | |
This is going to be a defensive, grind-it-out type of game as reflected in the total, which is the second-lowest on the Week 5 menu. So taking a lot of points makes sense especially given the matchup and spot. |
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10-03-16 | Giants v. Vikings -4 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 174 h 56 m | Show |
Maybe the oddsmaker hasn't caught on yet. But the Vikings' home field advantage, with their new indoor $16 billion stadium, is worth four points right there and these teams are not even. The Vikings are much better. |
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10-02-16 | Broncos -3 v. Bucs | 27-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
Let's not overthink this game. Tampa Bay is 3-15 SU, 5-13 ATS in its last 18 home games. The Buccaneers don't know how to beat a good opponent such as the Broncos and this isn't a good fundamental matchup either for them. |
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10-02-16 | Panthers -3 v. Falcons | Top | 33-48 | Loss | -120 | 122 h 31 m | Show |
Carolina already has more regular season losses than it did during last year's regular season. That's because the Panthers have gone against two of the top defenses in the NFL - Broncos and Vikings. |
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09-29-16 | Dolphins v. Bengals -7 | Top | 7-22 | Win | 100 | 44 h 22 m | Show |
There is more than a touchdown class difference here factoring in Cincinnati's home field advantage. This is made more by the Dolphins traveling on a short week and their multiple injuries. |
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09-25-16 | Bears +6.5 v. Cowboys | 17-31 | Loss | -102 | 22 h 59 m | Show | |
I believe the Bears will respond better with Brian Hoyer under center than Jay Cutler, who isn't a popular teammate. The Bears have more talent than their 0-2 record indicates. |
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09-25-16 | Steelers -3.5 v. Eagles | 3-34 | Loss | -100 | 46 h 49 m | Show | |
The Eagles have looked surprisingly good so far. But look at whom they have beaten - the winless Browns and winless Bears. |
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09-25-16 | Browns v. Dolphins -10 | 24-30 | Loss | -100 | 139 h 26 m | Show | |
The Dolphins are 0-2 and playing their first home game. They are in a kill spot. Except for a bad first half against New England, the Dolphins' defense has looked solid especially their front. The Browns are forced to go with third-string rookie quarterback Cody Kessler because of injuries to Robert Griffin III and Josh McCown. Kessler isn't nearly ready. He looked bad during preseason - overmatched - and he's not helped by the Browns' offensive line being much inferior to the Dolphins' defensive front. The Browns also may be without their best defensive back, Joe Haden. Miami's offense should pick up having gotten more in tune with offensive guru Adam Gase's system. The Dolphins step way down in class having opened on the road against Seattle and New England. Those two teams can make any team look bad. The Browns also aren't used to playing in South Florida kind of heat. Look for their depth-shy team to wear down in the second half. |
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09-25-16 | Redskins +4.5 v. Giants | Top | 29-27 | Win | 100 | 109 h 50 m | Show |
I want desperate teams, especially taking this many points in a division matchup. It's circle-the-wagons time for the 0-2 Redskins. |
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09-19-16 | Eagles v. Bears -3 | Top | 29-14 | Loss | -125 | 154 h 58 m | Show |
This line is too short. The Bears are much superior to the Eagles. The line doesn't reflect that because it's just Week 2 and the oddsmaker is swayed by how well Eagles rookie quarterback Carson Wentz looked opening week and the Bears losing and not covering versus the Texans. |
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09-18-16 | Titans +6 v. Lions | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Tennessee is a much improved team. The oddsmaker is a beat slow in realizing this based on the line. |
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09-18-16 | 49ers v. Panthers -13 | Top | 27-46 | Win | 100 | 110 h 21 m | Show |
I see this as a clear kill spot for the Panthers and I want to lock in now before the number hits 14 - which it will and then probably still go higher. Â |
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09-11-16 | Lions +3.5 v. Colts | 39-35 | Win | 100 | 65 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm not sure if the Colts would win this game if they were healthy - which they are not. Indy, in fact, is heavily banged-up. Out are the Colts' best defensive back, Vontae Davis, best defensive lineman, Henry Anderson, and one of their few decent offensive linemen left guard Jake Mewhort. |
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09-11-16 | Chargers +6.5 v. Chiefs | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show | |
The Chargers will be seeing blood here in a double revenge spot. This year the Chargers are healthy in the offensive line, improved defensively and have Ken Whisenhunt back as their offensive coordinator, a huge plus for Philip Rivers. |
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09-11-16 | Vikings -3 v. Titans | Top | 25-16 | Win | 100 | 1078 h 8 m | Show |
Minnesota is much superior to Tennessee in all facets except quarterback and that includes coaching. The Vikings have their sights set on reaching the Super Bowl. Their roster is very strong with lots of young defensive talent, Adrian Peterson to take the pressure off Shaun Hill, more wide receiving threats and an upgraded offensive line. |
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09-11-16 | Bears +4.5 v. Texans | Top | 14-23 | Loss | -110 | 1078 h 51 m | Show |
I'm skeptical of Brock Osweiler and a banged-up offensive line that is likely to be without star left tackle Duane Brown. I'm certainly not swallowing the hype on Osweiler. |
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09-08-16 | Panthers -3 v. Broncos | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 276 h 26 m | Show |
I see the Panthers getting their revenge on the Broncos after losing to Denver in the Super Bowl. Carolina didn't lose the Super Bowl based on talent. The Panthers out-gained the Broncos by 121 yards and had 10 more first downs than Denver. |
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02-07-16 | Panthers v. Broncos +4.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 324 h 5 m | Show |
Five times Denver has been an underdog this season. Five times the Broncos have covered winning four of those games straight-up. |
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01-24-16 | Cardinals v. Panthers -3 | 15-49 | Win | 100 | 156 h 27 m | Show | |
Carolina is a rising power that is ready to make the next leap having made the playoffs a third straight season. This is the Panthers' best team as evidenced by 16-1 record and eight players being named to either the first or second team Pro Bowl squad. |
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01-24-16 | Patriots -3 v. Broncos | Top | 18-20 | Loss | -115 | 153 h 10 m | Show |
Both defenses are very good. The difference - and it's huge - is quarterback. Tom Brady is 38, but remains in the argument for best quarterback in the league. No quarterback threw for more touchdowns. |
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01-09-16 | Chiefs -3 v. Texans | Top | 30-0 | Win | 100 | 125 h 44 m | Show |
Kansas City is the hottest team in the NFL winning 10 in a row. The Chiefs beat the Texans by a touchdown at Houston in Week 1 and nothing has changed. The Chiefs still are the superior team. The Texans are just thrilled to have reached the playoffs courtesy only of being in the worst division. Prop Bet (Taken from Westgate) |
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01-03-16 | Raiders +7.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 35 h 44 m | Show |
The Raiders have a history of playing their long-time hated division rival tough and I expect that to be the case again. Oakland has covered seven of the past nine times playing in Kansas City. The teams are 5-5 during their past 10 meetings. Only once in the last eight years have the Chiefs swept the Raiders. Unlike previous seasons, the Raiders under their first-year coach Jack Del Rio have showed resolve while playing much better on the road. They have a winning away mark and have covered in four of their last five road matchups. Not once have the Raiders lost by more than five points on the road this season. The Chiefs realize that Denver isn't going to lose to San Diego so they won't be winning the AFC South Division title. Both their game and the Broncos game kick off late so the Chiefs will be distracted doing some scoreboard watching. If the Broncos break out early against the Chargers - and they are double-digit favorites at some books - it wouldn't be surprising if Andy Reid starting resting starters in order to have them fresh for next week's playoffs. The Raiders really want to finish 8-8. All of their quotes this week point to that - and those quotes come across to me as sincere. I see the Raiders playing with a lot of energy and emotion. They are fortified with extra rest having played last Thursday. The Chiefs are banged up with their two best edge pass rushers, Justin Houston and Tamba Hali, questionable. Oakland led Kansas City by six points in the fourth quarter when they met four weeks ago. But Derek Carr had a meltdown with three turnovers and the Chiefs won by a misleading 34-20 score. Carr has proven himself this season making giant steps going from game manager to dangerous playmaker. I like him far more than Alex Smith. The Chiefs are 9-0 in their last nine games, 7-2 ATS. They also are plus 19 in turnover ratio during this time. They are more about precision and takeaways than some dominant opponent. The Raiders can definitely hang with them if not pull the outright upset. |
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12-27-15 | Packers v. Cardinals -4 | Top | 8-38 | Win | 100 | 145 h 9 m | Show |
Given Arizona's home field advantage, the line is short here. Arizona ranks with Carolina and New England as one of the three best teams in football. Those three teams are complete teams without a weakness. The Packers are at a "B" level closer to "C" than "A" with their struggling passing attack. The Packers have been outgained on the season. |
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12-27-15 | Steelers -10 v. Ravens | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 35 m | Show | |
Surprised to see Pittsburgh a double-digit favorite at Baltimore? Don't be. Oh, the Ravens will play hard. John Harbaugh will see to that. But the Ravens simply don't have nearly enough healthy talent to compete against elite level competition. |
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12-27-15 | Browns +11.5 v. Chiefs | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 71 h 33 m | Show | |
On paper it seems hard to go against the Chiefs. They've won eight in a row outscoring their foes by an average of 17 1/2 points during their win streak. |
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12-20-15 | Cardinals -3.5 v. Eagles | Top | 40-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 34 m | Show |
Only once in seven games have the Cardinals lost on the road. They have the passing attack and pass defense to easily cover this number against the Eagles and win their eighth consecutive game. |
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12-20-15 | Packers -3 v. Raiders | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 97 h 36 m | Show | |
The Packers are playing very good defense and their offense is back in sync with Eddie Lacy running well - like he usually does late in the season - and Mike McCarthy calling plays again. |
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12-20-15 | Bears +5.5 v. Vikings | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 59 m | Show | |
The Vikings are much improved under Mike Zimmer, but they are not an elite team and they are not built to cover margins of more than a field goal - especially against division foes - with a passing attack that ranks 31st. Only once has Teddy Bridgewater thrown for more than one touchdown pass in a game. |
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12-19-15 | Jets -3 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-16 | Push | 0 | 103 h 22 m | Show |
Dallas can't win with a quarterback as bad as Matt Cassel under center against a quality opponent such as the Jets. The Cowboys are 1-6 in Cassel's seven starts. All of the losses except one have been by more than three points. |
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12-13-15 | Patriots -3 v. Texans | 27-6 | Win | 100 | 135 h 21 m | Show | |
This game has been moved to Sunday night. The Texans are not prime time ready. New England certainly is. It's rare to get the Patriots off a loss. It's near impossible to ever get Bill Belichick and Tom Brady off consecutive losses. The last time that happened was 2002! |
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12-13-15 | Raiders +8.5 v. Broncos | 15-12 | Win | 100 | 83 h 58 m | Show | |
The Raiders have actually played better on the road where there is less of a winning expectation. Apparently this, perhaps subconsciously, has removed some of the pressure from their young players. |
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12-13-15 | Steelers +3 v. Bengals | 33-20 | Win | 100 | 80 h 54 m | Show | |
The Bengals took advantage of a rusty Ben Roethlisberger when they beat the Steelers, 16-10, in Week 8. Roethlisberger threw three interceptions in his first game back after missing four games because of a knee injury. |
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12-13-15 | Redskins v. Bears -3 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -125 | 105 h 22 m | Show |
Chicago is fired-up and angry after blowing a home game to San Francisco this past Sunday. I like the Bears' coaching edge and situation advantage against Washington, which is traveling on a short week following a home loss on Monday night to division rival Dallas. |
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12-10-15 | Vikings v. Cardinals -7.5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 10 m | Show |
It's difficult enough being the road team for a Thursday night game. It's especially difficult for the Vikings traveling to the desert following a mentally and physically draining 38-7 home loss to Seattle this past Sunday. |
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12-06-15 | Colts v. Steelers -7 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 54 h 54 m | Show | |
The Colts couldn't win a shootout last year against Ben Roethlisberger losing 51-34 at Pittsburgh. That was with Andrew Luck. I don't see the Colts keeping up with Roethlisberger and Pittsburgh's high-scoring offense this year with Matt Hasselbeck and a having a worse team than from a year ago. |
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12-06-15 | Broncos v. Chargers +4.5 | 17-3 | Loss | -115 | 103 h 28 m | Show | |
Denver is in a prime letdown spot traveling to sunny San Diego after upsetting New England at home in a prime time Sunday night victory at home in frigid conditions. The Broncos won in overtime exerting a lot of energy in coming back from two touchdowns down in the final quarter. |
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12-06-15 | Ravens v. Dolphins -4 | 13-15 | Loss | -105 | 100 h 7 m | Show | |
It's not that I'm in love with Miami. This handicap is far more of a fade on Baltimore. The Ravens are decimated without their quarterback, top running back, top wide receiver, top pass rusher and perhaps three starting offensive linemen. All together, the Ravens have lost a staggering 17 players for the season. |
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12-06-15 | Cardinals -5.5 v. Rams | Top | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 148 h 30 m | Show |
The Cardinals have revenge for a frustrating 24-22 loss to the Rams in Week 4 when they had to settle for four field goals in four touchdown-less red zone trips. |
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11-29-15 | Rams v. Bengals -8 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 58 h 49 m | Show | |
The Bengals are anxious to return to their winning ways after losing the past two weeks in nationally televised losses to the Texans and Cardinals. Cincinnati is very tough at home where they have covered 17 of their past 22 games. |
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11-29-15 | Bills +6.5 v. Chiefs | 22-30 | Loss | -105 | 58 h 45 m | Show | |
The Bills are a gritty team whose defense has improved as the season winds down with the players becoming more familiar with Rex Ryan's schemes. |
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11-29-15 | Chargers +4.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 31-25 | Win | 100 | 58 h 44 m | Show |
So why back a San Diego team that is 2-8 and has lost six in a row as a monster 50-Dime play? A combination of Philip Rivers, a due factor and the Jaguars being overpriced. |
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11-26-15 | Panthers +1 v. Cowboys | Top | 33-14 | Win | 100 | 41 h 2 m | Show |
Sometimes the best handicap formula is just the most obvious. Carolina is better than Dallas and it's not even close. |
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11-22-15 | Bengals +5 v. Cardinals | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 32 h 10 m | Show | |
Aside from the Patriots, the Bengals shouldn't be more than a field goal underdog to any team. The Bengals will be especially fired up to redeem themselves after being upset on Monday night at home by Houston. |
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11-22-15 | 49ers v. Seahawks -12 | 13-29 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
No, the 49ers can't stay within two touchdowns of Seattle. Not with Blaine Gabbert and not down to street free agents at running back. |
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11-22-15 | Jets -3 v. Texans | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
Not only are the Texans on a short week in an emotionally distracting week following their Monday road upset win against the Bengals, but backup T.J. Yates is their quarterback for this game. |
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11-15-15 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 39-32 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 8 m | Show |
The Seahawks haven't lost a game coming off a bye since 2012. I don't see them losing at home either in this matchup. Seattle is 4-4. Arizona is 6-2. Obviously this is a must-win spot for Seattle. |
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11-15-15 | Cowboys +2 v. Bucs | 6-10 | Loss | -108 | 58 h 45 m | Show | |
The good news for the Cowboys is they finally get back Tony Romo next week. |
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11-15-15 | Browns +5.5 v. Steelers | 9-30 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 40 m | Show | |
I can't see Ben Roethlisberger playing in this game. That puts the Steelers in peril for this heated, division rivalry game because the Browns, while not talented, can be ornery. They have an excellent track record as underdogs, too, 10-5-1 ATS since Mike Pettine became coach in 2014. |
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11-09-15 | Bears +4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
San Diego isn't nearly good enough to overcome its multitude of injuries to beat many teams by more than a field goal, including the Bears. |
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11-08-15 | Eagles -2.5 v. Cowboys | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 58 h 55 m | Show | |
Dallas beat the Eagles, 20-10, back in Week 2. It was a costly victory as the Cowboys lost Tony Romo. They haven't won since going 0-5, 1-4 ATS. Dallas is averaging less than 15 points a game during its last four games. |
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11-08-15 | Raiders v. Steelers -4 | 35-38 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 25 m | Show | |
Bad spot for Oakland. Near desperation time for Pittsburgh. |
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11-08-15 | Titans +8.5 v. Saints | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 50 h 57 m | Show | |
Look for the Titans to come out fired-up playing harder and with more intelligence under new coach Mike Mularkey. |
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11-05-15 | Browns v. Bengals -11 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
I can't see anything but a lopsided Bengals victory here. |
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11-01-15 | Packers -2.5 v. Broncos | Top | 10-29 | Loss | -123 | 105 h 38 m | Show |
Both teams are 6-0 and off byes. The Packers' 6-0 is real. The Broncos' 6-0 is bogus. |
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10-25-15 | New Orleans Saints v. Indianapolis Colts -4 | 27-21 | Loss | -102 | 51 h 34 m | Show | |
The Saints have the worst defense in the league and are on the road. Not a good combination. |
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10-25-15 | Houston Texans +5 v. Miami Dolphins | 26-44 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
Miami got a boost with a new head coach and defensive coordinator last week steamrolling Tennessee. But the Dolphins are as mediocre as Houston and the Texans will be far better prepared now that they have film on what the Dolphins did under interim coach Dan Campbell and defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo. |
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10-25-15 | Cleveland Browns v. St Louis Rams -5.5 | Top | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 82 h 56 m | Show |
This is my Favorite's Play of the Month. I'm not surprised the line has gone up since I released the play as the Rams clearly are the right side. The Browns have gone hard three straight weeks losing 30-27 to the Chargers, beating Baltimore in overtime and losing in overtime last week to the Broncos. Cleveland doesn't have an abundance of talent. The Browns' skill position players are among the weakest in the league. It takes a supreme effort for the Browns to hang in against most opponents. |
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10-18-15 | New England Patriots v. Indianapolis Colts +10 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 40 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm fully aware of New England's strong history against the Colts during the past three years - a 4-0 record with four blowouts. |
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10-18-15 | Chicago Bears v. Detroit Lions -3 | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
The Lions are at low ebb right now. But they finally are in a good spot. |
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10-18-15 | Arizona Cardinals -3.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 13-25 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
Much credit to the Steelers for upsetting San Diego this past Monday. But I don't see the Steelers minus Ben Roethlisberger pulling off a second consecutive upset. |
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10-18-15 | Denver Broncos -3.5 v. Cleveland Browns | 26-23 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
This line has come down enough where I'm going to get involved with the Broncos. |
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10-18-15 | Houston Texans +1.5 v. Jacksonville Jaguars | Top | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
Now that Bill O'Brien has figured out what everybody else knew that Brian Hoyer is his best quarterback, the Texans are ready to improve. They start here against one of the worst teams in the NFL - the Jaguars. |
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10-12-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. San Diego Chargers -3 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -119 | 98 h 26 m | Show |
The oddsmaker considers these teams even with this point spread factoring in the Chargers' home field advantage being worth a field goal. |
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10-11-15 | St Louis Rams +10 v. Green Bay Packers | 10-24 | Loss | -123 | 67 h 35 m | Show | |
The Rams have that winning combination with the best pass rushing defensive front in football and potential franchise back Todd Gurley to run the ball. |
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10-11-15 | Chicago Bears v. Kansas City Chiefs -9 | Top | 18-17 | Loss | -105 | 86 h 55 m | Show |
This is a kill spot for the frustrated Chiefs, who are much better than their 1-3 record indicates. The Chiefs have already gone against three undefeated teams - Broncos, Packers and Bengals. |
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10-05-15 | Detroit Lions v. Seattle Seahawks -9.5 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
Seattle's defense is rounding into championship form with the arrival of safety Kam Chancellor last week.Â
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10-04-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. New Orleans Saints -3 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 47 h 11 m | Show |
The Saints are desperate at 0-3. They'll receive a huge lift with Drew Brees returning to the lineup. It's a Sunday night nationally televised game at home so the Saints will be super pumped. |
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10-04-15 | Cleveland Browns +7.5 v. San Diego Chargers | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 42 h 27 m | Show | |
Granted San Diego has a big edge at the skill positions. But the Browns have five Pro Bowl players combined in their offensive line and secondary. |
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10-04-15 | Houston Texans +7 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 21-48 | Loss | -130 | 143 h 19 m | Show |
Atlanta is a surprising 3-0. The Falcons are fat and happy right now. |
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09-27-15 | Denver Broncos -3 v. Detroit Lions | Top | 24-12 | Win | 100 | 47 h 3 m | Show |
There are reasons why Detroit is 0-2. Namely the Lions' offense isn't clicking and their defense is much worse than last season. |
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09-27-15 | Indianapolis Colts -3 v. Tennessee Titans | 35-33 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 24 m | Show | |
The Colts are out of the gates slow. But keep in mind they faced two of what I consider to be the top four defenses in football the Bills on the road and Jets where they suffered a turnover festival. |
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09-20-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. Green Bay Packers -3 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 146 h 43 m | Show |
This isn't just a normal game for the Packers. It's their Revenge Game of the Century. And that's saying a lot since they've been in the NFL since 1921! I've personally closely followed the Packers since 1963, being a native of Wisconsin, and have never seen a bigger revenge game. |
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09-20-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles -5 | 20-10 | Loss | -107 | 119 h 50 m | Show | |
The Eagles finally got their offense in gear during the second half against Atlanta. Unfortunately for the Eagles, they had dug themselves into too big of a hole to recover. Still, they could have taken a late lead if not for a missed 44-yard field goal. |
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