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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-05-16 | Heat v. Raptors -4.5 | Top | 92-96 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
The Raptors find themselves in a must-win spot here by virtue of losing Game 1, 102-96, in overtime at home this past Tuesday. A Toronto loss to Miami in this Game 2 could set up a Heat sweep with Games 3 and 4 in Miami. |
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05-02-16 | Hawks v. Cavs UNDER 200.5 | Top | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
First off, these are two outstanding defensive teams. Cleveland gave up the fourth-fewest points per game in the NBA while the Hawks ranked first in defensive field goal percentage and was the top-ranked defensive team since the All-Star break. |
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05-01-16 | Blazers v. Warriors -8 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
A mere 12 hours after dispatching the Chris Paul and Blake Griffin-less Clippers in six games, the Trail Blazers left for the Bay Area to meet Golden State for this Sunday matinee. |
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04-29-16 | Clippers +10 v. Blazers | Top | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
No Chris Paul, no Blake Griffin. No chance for the Clippers. We know this. They know this. But the Clippers still have enough pride and talent to not go gently into the night against one of the weaker and more inexperienced playoff teams. |
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04-29-16 | Heat v. Hornets -121 | 97-90 | Loss | -121 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
Charlotte has won three in a row. The Hornets are playing far better right now than the Heat. Charlotte has confidence and is the fresher, deeper team. The Hornets also have home-court advantage and a chip on their shoulder, a hungry bunch determined to earn respect and attention, which they haven't gotten yet. This is their chance - and everything lines up in their favor, including a fair price in which to back them. |
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04-29-16 | Heat v. Hornets OVER 190 | 97-90 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
The last three games in this series have all gone under. Miami hasn't broken 90 points during these past three games. The result is the lowest opening total of the series - down some nine points from the closing Game 1 total. |
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04-28-16 | Hawks -123 v. Celtics | Top | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
Boston has a strong home-court. Granted. But the Hawks are the better - and healthier - team. That matters the most here. Stephen Nover's NFL Draft Props Usually you're paying high juice. But NFL draft props are beatable. The books are sitting ducks as updated - and key - information becomes available leading up to the event.Â
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04-27-16 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 212.5 | 81-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
A lot changes with Stephen Curry out. The Warriors know they have to tighten their defense and change their style. Steve Kerr is a sharp enough coach and has the pieces to make the necessary adjustments with his team's versatility and depth. |
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04-27-16 | Hornets v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 90-88 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
I don't see upstart Charlotte beating the veteran Heat three straight times. Charlotte got back into the series by winning the last two - both at home.
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04-26-16 | Pacers v. Raptors OVER 191.5 | Top | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
The first four games of this series have all gone under. The highest combined score between the two teams was 190 points in Game 1. So why buck the odds and go over for this Game 5?Â
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04-25-16 | Mavs +14.5 v. Thunder | Top | 104-118 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
Down 3-1 to the Thunder, I don't see the Mavericks' proud veterans mailing in this game. Dirk Nowitzki and Co. have a lot of pride and are much better coached under Rick Carlisle than Oklahoma City is under rookie NBA coach Billy Donovan.Â
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04-24-16 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 217 | 121-94 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 54 m | Show | |
Things are back to normal for Golden State with the return of Stephen Curry. That means a high-scoring game. |
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04-24-16 | Warriors -8 v. Rockets | Top | 121-94 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show |
I expect Stephen Curry to play - and play well. He has recovered from his sprained ankle. The Warriors are due for a good shooting game. They averaged an NBA-best 48.7 percent from the floor during the regular season, but have shot just 42.9 percent in Game 1 and 43 percent in Game 3. Houston is not a strong defensive club. Only five clubs gave up more points per game than the Rockets. The Warriors received their wake-up call and the Rockets got their measure of respect during Thursday night's 97-96 Houston victory. Despite that loss, Golden State still has defeated Houston 14 of the past 16 times. The Rockets are 2-7 ATS following a victory. |
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04-22-16 | Spurs -11.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 96-87 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
No home-court isn't going to matter. Neither is better execution. The crippled Grizzlies are simply totally overmatched by the Spurs. It's not a fluke San Antonio has held the Grizzlies to an average of 71 points in jumping out to a 2-0 series lead. The Spurs are one of the greatest defensive teams ever.Â
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04-21-16 | Raptors -115 v. Pacers | Top | 101-85 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
Paul George can't play any better. Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan can't play any worse going a combined 17-for-63 shooting from the floor for 27 percent. |
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04-19-16 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 205.5 | Top | 72-89 | Loss | -102 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
Boston and Atlanta put up a combined 203 points in the Hawks' 102-101 Game 1 victory this past Saturday. Those teams reached that figure despite missing 116 field goal attempts and going 16-for-62 from 3-point range. The Celtics shot just 23.1 percent in the first half and didn't score a single fast-break basket.Â
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04-17-16 | Pistons +11 v. Cavs | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
This isn't your normal No. 1 versus No. 8 seed matchup. Cleveland has the big names - LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love - but the talent gap between these two clubs isn't as large as perceived. |
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04-16-16 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 204.5 | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
Atlanta is underrated defensively. The Hawks were No. 1 defensively following the All-Star break in surrendering the fewest points (96.8) per 100 possessions. They have the defense and preparation to effectively stop Isaiah Thomas, the Celtics' major offensive weapon. |
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04-16-16 | Celtics v. Hawks -5 | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 26 m | Show |
Brad Stevens has gotten as much of his limited Celtics team as possible. The Celtics lack Atlanta's front-line talent - especially dealing with Al Horford and Paul Millsap - and lack the size to take advantage of the Hawks' rebounding weakness.Â
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04-16-16 | Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 195 | 100-90 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show | |
It's easy to envision offense when thinking about Toronto because of DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowery. But only San Antonio and Utah surrendered fewer points per game than the Raptors. Indiana is no slouch defensively, either, ranking eighth in fewest points per game. |
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04-13-16 | Spurs v. Mavs -4.5 | 96-91 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The Spurs have no incentive to win here and will be holding out their main players, including LaMarcus Aldridge, Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Kawhi Leonard. |
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04-11-16 | Kings v. Suns -6 | Top | 105-101 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
Phoenix actually is playing well winning back-to-back road games and covering four of its last five. |
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04-10-16 | Hornets v. Wizards UNDER 207 | Top | 98-113 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
Charlotte ranks eighth defensively. Only seven teams give up fewer points per game than the Hornets. If you discount the Cavaliers scoring 112 points on them, the Hornets are giving up an average of 93.1 points per game during their last six games. They've held their past three opponents to 97 or fewer points. |
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04-08-16 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 183 | Top | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
At last look the Jazz were favored by a dozen points against the Clippers. No, Karl Malone and John Stockton haven't suddenly been transported in time. Doc Rivers has said he'll be resting Clipper starters. Blake Griffin didn't even make the trip. Hence, such an out of whack point spread. |
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04-06-16 | Nets +15 v. Wizards | Top | 103-121 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
We know the Nets are playing the string out. But let's be realistic about the Wizards, too. They are three games below .500 and 3 1/2 games out of the final playoff spot in the East behind Detroit with five games remaining. |
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04-05-16 | Spurs v. Jazz OVER 184.5 | Top | 88-86 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Sure on paper, this low total seems right where it should be. San Antonio is the best defensive team in the NBA and Utah is giving up less than 89 points per game during its last 13 matchups. |
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04-03-16 | Blazers v. Warriors -12 | Top | 111-136 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
After 54 consecutive regular-season home victories, the Warriors finally lost at Oracle Arena knocked off by the Celtics, 109-106, in their last game two nights ago. How will Golden State respond? I believe they respond in a big way with a blowout home victory against Portland, a team that dealt the Warriors their most lopsided loss of the season back in February. |
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04-01-16 | Raptors v. Grizzlies OVER 197 | Top | 99-95 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Minus Marc Gasol and Mike Conley, the Grizzlies aren't the elite defensive team of past seasons. They have allowed at least 100 points in 11 of their last 14 games and an average of 104.2 points during their past four games. |
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03-31-16 | Celtics v. Blazers -3 | Top | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
Since Jan. 10, only Golden State and San Antonio own better home records than Portland's 16-3 mark. Not only do I believe the Trail Blazers are better than the Celtics, but they are home and in a better spot. |
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03-30-16 | Warriors -5 v. Jazz | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
The Warriors are chasing the 1995-96 Bulls for best record in a season. They are far superior to Utah. The spread is low enough to back Golden State. |
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03-28-16 | Lakers +14 v. Jazz | 75-123 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
So when did the Utah Jazz turn into the Golden State Warriors? I haven't seen the Jazz laying this many points since the days of John Stockton and Karl Malone. |
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03-27-16 | Wizards -6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Absolutely must-win spot. Revenge angle. Better team. All of those fit why I like the Wizards to steamroll the Lakers. |
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03-26-16 | Spurs v. Thunder OVER 204 | 92-111 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
These teams met just two weeks ago and the line was 211 1/2. The Spurs won 93-85 at home. Now the total has been adjusted downward way too much - especially considering how many key players the Spurs will be missing. |
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03-26-16 | Pacers -4.5 v. Nets | 110-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Paul George is iffy, but even if it doesn't play I like the Pacers to cover this number against the Nets. Brooklyn still could be in the clouds after upsetting the Cavaliers two nights ago. |
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03-25-16 | Magic +10 v. Heat | 97-108 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
Early marketplace activity has been on the Heat here, which is understandable since the perception is Miami will be fired-up after an embarrassing 112-88 road loss to the Spurs. The Magic should be up for this game, the last of a four-game road trip, against an in-state rival that has bullied them through the years. Orlando is 10-4 ATS following a defeat. The Magic also are 8-4 ATS in their past 12 games at this spread. |
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03-24-16 | Cavs v. Nets +8 | Top | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
I'm going to fire now on the Nets anticipating that Tyronn Lue is going to rest some of his key Cavaliers, maybe even LeBron James, which would likely result in a lower number. The Cavaliers are playing for the fifth time in seven days and off a hard-fought 113-104 home win against Milwaukee last night with James and Kyrie Irving each logging at least 37 minutes. |
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03-22-16 | Hornets v. Nets +6 | Top | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
This is a natural letdown spot for the Hornets traveling to play a weak foe less than 24 hours after a stunning 91-88 home victory against San Antonio last night. The Hornets came from 23 points down to pull out the improbable win against the Spurs. There is a fatigue factor, too, for the Hornets playing for the fifth time in seven days. |
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03-21-16 | Bucks v. Pistons -7 | Top | 91-92 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
A 94-85 home loss to Utah last night puts the Bucks 10 games under .500 and six games out of the last playoff spot in the East with a dozen games left. So, no, the Bucks aren't going to make the playoffs. |
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03-21-16 | Nuggets v. Cavs UNDER 213.5 | 91-124 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
This is too high of a total with Cleveland involved. The Cavaliers rank No. 3 defensively in fewest points allowed. Denver is minus its top scorer and go-to-guy Danilo Gallinari. |
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03-20-16 | Clippers -7 v. Pelicans | Top | 105-109 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
The Clippers are in angry mood after Doc Rivers justifiably ripped his team following a 113-102 road loss to Memphis last night. The Clippers were beaten straight-up as double-digit favorites.Â
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03-19-16 | Warriors v. Spurs -3 | 79-87 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
As great as the Warriors are, they are trumped in this spot by San Antonio. |
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03-19-16 | Clippers v. Grizzlies +10.5 | Top | 102-113 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
The Clippers are less awesome minus Blake Griffin. They don't have the star power to cover double-digit type road spreads in letdown spots, which this matchup is for them.Â
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03-18-16 | Blazers -110 v. Pelicans | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
The record shows a 2-6 mark for Portland in its last eight games and just a 1 1/2 game lead for the Trail Blazers over Utah for the final playoff spot in the West. |
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03-16-16 | Clippers +3.5 v. Rockets | 122-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
The Rockets are playing better. But don't put much stock in their 130-81 burial of the Grizzlies this past Monday in their last game. The Grizzlies are just a shell of themselves with multiple key injuries. The Rockets' history is to fall back once they start looking good. |
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03-16-16 | Clippers v. Rockets OVER 215.5 | Top | 122-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
The Rockets are giving up the most points per game since 1988-89. But their offense is rolling averaging 114.4 points in the last five games while reaching triple digits in eight straight games. |
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03-14-16 | Pelicans v. Warriors -15 | Top | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
Short-handed New Orleans is way overmatched to begin with and the situation makes it worse. |
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03-14-16 | Mavs v. Hornets OVER 209 | 107-96 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
The over has cashed in 11 of the Mavericks' last 14 games. The Mavericks have an old roster and their wearing down on the defensive end surrendering triple-digits during each of their last 14 games.
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03-13-16 | Cavs v. Clippers UNDER 207 | Top | 114-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
It's easy to think star power with the Cavaliers and Clippers with names such as LeBron James, Chris Paul and Kyrie Irving. But these two teams actually are underrated defensively. Cleveland ranks fourth in fewest points allowed while only seven teams give up fewer points per game than the Clippers. |
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03-12-16 | Thunder +8.5 v. Spurs | 85-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
OK here are the facts regarding San Antonio at home. The Spurs have won 40 in a row at AT&T Center, including 31 games this season. San Antonio has covered 67 percent of its last 43 home contests.
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03-12-16 | Pelicans v. Bucks -5 | Top | 92-103 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
Nearly decimated New Orleans gave it all it had before losing in overtime to Memphis last night. The Pelicans have lost five players for the season, including key cogs Tyreke Evans and Eric Gordon. All but one of New Orleans' starters played at least 41 minutes last night. Anthony Davis logged 47 minutes. Top reserve Ryan Anderson went nearly 37 minutes. Point guard Norris Cole didn't play and is questionable for this matchup. |
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03-11-16 | Wizards v. Jazz OVER 197.5 | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
The Wizards have been a strong over team on the road. They've gone above the total in 15 of their last 22 away contests. The Wizards also have gone over the total in 20 of their last 26 games when having two days rest. |
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03-11-16 | Heat v. Bulls UNDER 201.5 | 118-96 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
There is a lot of star power missing here. Chris Bosh is out and Dwayne Wade is questionable for Miami. On the Chicago side, Jimmy Butler is out and Derrick Rose could sit out, too. |
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03-10-16 | Suns +8.5 v. Nuggets | 98-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm not buying the Nuggets as this big of a favorite when they don't have their best player, injured Danilo Gallinari. You have to go back to Dec. 11-15 to find the last time Denver won three in a row. |
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03-09-16 | Knicks +2.5 v. Suns | Top | 128-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Phoenix is 3-2 in its last five games and coming off an impressive 109-100 road win against the Grizzlies this past Sunday. But don't for an instant think the Suns are any good. They aren't. Neither are the Knicks. This is bad on bad and the point spread has become out of whack here. |
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03-08-16 | Nets v. Raptors OVER 207 | 99-104 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
The Nets are playing up-tempo and at a faster pace since getting rid of Joe Johnson. The over has cashed in 14 of the Nets' last 20 games. The Nets, though, rank last in defensive field goal percentage and just allowed the Timberwolves to shoot a team-record 68.4 percent from the floor in a 132-118 loss this past Saturday. |
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03-07-16 | Magic v. Warriors -14 | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
I want the Warriors off their most shocking and worst-played game of the season, a 112-95 road loss to the Lakers Sunday afternoon. The Warriors haven't shot as bad from 3-point range as they did against the Lakers - 4-for-30 - since December of 2013. |
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03-07-16 | Grizzlies +12.5 v. Cavs | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are being undervalued in this spot. It's understandable. They just lost to the Suns, 109-100, on Sunday while the Cavaliers are coming off a hugely-satisfying 17-point home victory against the Celtics this past Saturday in a big revenge spot. |
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03-06-16 | Blazers v. Pistons | Top | 103-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
Detroit played last night, but it's Portland that carries a high fatigue rating in this matchup. The Pistons were idle for two days before losing to the Knicks, 102-89, on Saturday. Now they return home where they have covered 64 percent of their games at The Palace of Auburn Hills. |
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03-06-16 | Mavs -3 v. Nuggets | 114-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Dallas can't afford to slip up here in its quest for a playoff quest. The Nuggets weren't good to begin with and they are not nearly as good now minus their top player Danilo Gallinari. He was the one player they couldn't afford to lose. The Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. |
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03-05-16 | Nets v. Wolves -5 | 118-132 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
Rarely do I care to lay points with the Timberwolves. This is one of those times. |
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03-05-16 | Celtics v. Cavs -7 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
A month ago Avery Bradley hit a buzzer beater as the Celtics upset the Cavaliers in Cleveland, 104-103. The Cavaliers haven't forgotten. Not only is this a huge revenge spot for them, but it's a great situation, too. |
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03-04-16 | Jazz v. Grizzlies OVER 192.5 | Top | 88-94 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
Down big men Marc Gasol and Brendan Wright, the Grizzlies have altered their style. They are more up-tempo and giving extra minutes to wing players P.J. Hariston and Lance Stephenon. Gasol and swingman Tony Allen, who is likely to miss a seventh straight game due to a sore knee, are Memphis' top defenders. The Grizzlies are weaker defensively without those two. The Jazz are averaging only 95 points during their last three games. But all three of those matchups were against Eastern Conference foes. If you discount their last Western Conference game against San Antonio, the league-leader in defense, the Jazz have averaged 105.7 points in their last four contests versus Western Conference foes. |
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03-03-16 | Suns +14 v. Heat | 92-108 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
It's not so much the Suns that the Heats are dealing with today. It's a battle against human nature. After just facing the Warriors, Celtics, Knicks and Bulls - the last two of whom they beat - the Heat now draw the Suns at home. That's followed by consecutive games against the 76ers. Can you say letdown? |
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03-03-16 | Suns v. Heat UNDER 211 | 92-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Miami has been playing at a faster tempo since losing Chris Bosh. But that could start to change now that veteran Joe Johnson has become a primary addition. |
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03-02-16 | Lakers +7.5 v. Nuggets | 107-117 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
No. Denver, at 14 games below .500, can't lay this many points especially minus its best player and maybe missing its second-best player, too. |
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03-02-16 | Pacers -130 v. Bucks | Top | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Indiana is in stop-the-pain mode with four losses in its last five games, including the last three. Those defeats occurred to the Heat in overtime on the road, a one-point home loss to the Hornets, a nine point-home loss to the red-hot Trail Blazers - winners of 14 of their last 16 - and this past Monday to the Cavaliers, 100-96, on the road in a game that featured 25 lead changes, 17 ties and tough official's calls that went against Indiana. |
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03-01-16 | Nets v. Lakers -117 | Top | 101-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Yes, the Lakers are in tank mode. But eight losses in a row are enough for them. They don't want to be embarrassed at home by the Nets. |
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03-01-16 | Magic v. Mavs OVER 212.5 | 108-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Orlando is averaging 111 points in its last eight games. Dallas is averaging 117 points in its last seven games. Both teams are mediocre on defense ranking 14th and 15th, respectively, in points allowed per game.
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02-29-16 | Grizzlies -2 v. Nuggets | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
Memphis is 10 games above .500 and 4-2 since losing its best player, Marc Gasol, to a broken right foot. The Grizzlies are still a borderline playoff team without Gasol, at their best versus lower tier opponents such as the Nuggets. The Grizzlies have defeated Denver four straight times and are in a great spot to continue that streak. |
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02-28-16 | Heat +1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 98-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
The Heat have dominated the Knicks, winning eight of the past nine times, including going 4-0 SU and ATS at Madison Square Garden. |
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02-27-16 | Spurs v. Rockets +6 | Top | 104-94 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Even a well-coached, veteran team such as the Spurs can be excused if they are anxious to finally get home. This marks the final game of the Spurs' annual "Rodeo Road Trip." They are 6-1 in their last seven games, all on the road. |
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02-27-16 | Wolves +5 v. Pelicans | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
New Orleans could be in for a letdown facing the lowly Timberwolves after upsetting the Thunder at home on Thursday. The Pelicans are 7-13 ATS as chalk while the Timberwolves have covered 13 of their last 18 on the road when facing a foe with a winning home mark. |
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02-26-16 | Hornets v. Pacers -3 | Top | 96-95 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
This is a big revenge spot for Indiana. The Hornets whipped the Pacers by 23 points on Feb. 10. That was the game, though, where the Hornets lost Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, their best defender, for the season.Â
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02-25-16 | Spurs -3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 96-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
San Antonio is a very good team without Kawhi Leonard. But when they have Leonard, the Spurs rank with the Warriors as the top team in the NBA. Leonard came back last night after missing three games with a calf injury and helped spark the Spurs to an easy 16-point win against the Kings. Leonard will be less rusty now that he's had a game. Considering the class difference and matchup - the Spurs are 2-0 versus the Jazz this season winning by 25 and 37 points - San Antonio should easily be able to cover this number. |
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02-24-16 | Spurs -7 v. Kings | 108-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
The Spurs haven't been real sharp coming out of the All-Star break. The Clippers destroyed them by 19 points and they only beat the Lakers by six points and Suns by seven points. San Antonio failed to cover any of these three road games. Up until the All-Star break the Spurs had never gone more than two straight games without covering the spread. They still have a winning road spread mark and have had two full days off to regroup and get motivated for this matchup. |
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02-24-16 | Wolves v. Raptors OVER 211.5 | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Discount a 95-point performance against the Knicks two games ago and Minnesota is scoring an average of 111.7 points per game during its last seven games. The over is 12-3-1 in the Timberwolves' last 16 games. |
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02-23-16 | Kings v. Nuggets UNDER 223 | 114-110 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
OK, at this high of a total I'll hold my nose and go under with these two teams. They just met Friday and the final score totaled 226. But I see the Nuggets holding the Kings to fewer than 116 points unlike in the last meeting. |
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02-23-16 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 203.5 | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Only four teams score more points than the Rockets. But the Rockets rank 27th defensively. Houston has yielded triple digits in 10 of its last 11 games. The over has cashed in 15 of Houston's last 18 Western Conference games. James Harden is on a hot streak averaging better than 32 points during his last four games. |
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02-23-16 | Magic -5.5 v. 76ers | 124-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Adding veteran Ersan Ilyasova and Brandon Jennings while getting rid of Channing Frye has made Orlando a better team. The Magic came back from All-Star break by defeating Dallas after falling 21 points behind. The Magic then lost a close game to Indiana, 105-102. |
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02-22-16 | Warriors -7 v. Hawks | Top | 102-92 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
The Warriors aren't just great at home. They also are an NBA-best 25-5 on the road, including 18-11-1 (62 percent) ATS on the road. The Warriors also are 12-5 following a non-spread cover. |
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02-21-16 | Hornets v. Nets OVER 203 | 104-96 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
Charlotte is more of an over team after losing Michael Kidd- Gilchrist for the season with another shoulder injury. The Hornets have inside scoring with Al Jefferson back from injury to complement Kemba Walker from the perimeter. Walker is having a big season and is hot averaging nearly 25 points per game during his last five games. New pick-up Courtney Lee is more offensive-minded than Gilchrist. |
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02-21-16 | Pelicans v. Pistons -5 | Top | 111-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
The Pistons have covered 64 percent of their home games this season and have revenge for an embarrassing 115-99 road loss to New Orleans from last month. |
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02-20-16 | Warriors -4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 115-112 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
Golden State is the best team in basketball. The Warriors haven't dropped two in a row all season - and I don't see it happening here. The Warriors should be extremely focused and fired-up following a shocking 137-105 road loss to Portland Friday night. The Trail Blazers are tough at home and brought their "A" game. The Warriors were rusty and not as focused as they should have been coming off All-Star break. |
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02-19-16 | Nuggets v. Kings UNDER 218.5 | Top | 110-116 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
The oddsmaker has to set a high total like this because Sacramento gives up the most points per game in the NBA at 109.1. Denver is a below average defensive team, too, surrendering 103.4 points a game. |
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02-18-16 | Jazz v. Wizards UNDER 199 | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
We know Utah is strong defensively. The Jazz rank No. 3 in scoring defense holding foes to 96.4 points a game. The Jazz are particularly tough on Eastern Conference foes who rarely see them. That's born out in the under cashing 21 of the past 30 times the Jazz have met an Eastern Conference opponent. |
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02-18-16 | Jazz v. Wizards | Top | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
The Wizards started slow last season, but ended up finishing 10 games above .500, earned the No. 5 spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs and swept the Raptors in the first round. |
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02-14-16 | West -5 v. East | Top | 196-173 | Win | 100 | 57 h 47 m | Show |
Normally I don't get involved with All-Star games, but this game is an exception. |
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02-11-16 | Pelicans v. Thunder -11.5 | Top | 95-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
New Orleans doesn't have the defense to control the Thunder. The Pelicans rank 24th both in points allowed and defensive field goal percentage. Oklahoma City ranks No. 2 in the NBA in scoring at 109.9 points a game and has been averaging 112.4 points during its last 15 games. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook are each playing at high levels and the Thunder have the big bodies in Serge Ibaka and Steven Adams to slow down Anthony Davis. Durant is averaging 36.3 points during his last three games. |
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02-10-16 | Warriors v. Suns +16 | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
If the Warriors ever are going to have a letdown this is the game. This is Golden State's final game before All-Star break. During the past four days, the Warriors beat the Thunder and Rockets last night in a rematch of the Western Conference finals. Three Golden State players will be heading out to play in the All-Star Game. At 47-4, the Warriors have set the record for best 51-game record in NBA history. This is a fun spot and a well-deserved rest stop for the Warriors. |
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02-10-16 | Grizzlies -155 v. Nets | 109-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
OK, no Marc Gasol. Out with a broken bone in his right foot following Monday's overtime loss to Portland, which was the Grizzlies' second consecutive home overtime loss having also fallen to Dallas this past Saturday. This is the first time the Grizzlies have lost consecutive games in six weeks. |
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02-10-16 | Clippers +1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 134-139 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
I like Brad Stevens a lot. But there exits a huge talent gap between Stevens' Celtics and the Clippers. LA has enough star power to go 18-4 despite not having Blake Griffin the last 22 games. The Clippers don't need Griffin to beat Boston on the road especially given the circumstances of the matchup. |
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02-09-16 | Wizards +2 v. Knicks | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
The Knicks are broke and interim coach Kurt Rambis isn't going to fix them. Rambis was horrible when he coached the Timberwolves from 2009 to 2011 and he takes over a bad situation that isn't likely to get resolved until next season, certainly not during the brief period before All-Star break. |
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02-08-16 | Pelicans +1.5 v. Wolves | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Just last week the Pelicans were talking playoffs three games out of the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference. Now New Orleans trails Utah by seven games for that final playoff seed having lost four in a row. Three of those defeats were to the Grizzlies, Spurs and Cavaliers, though. |
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02-08-16 | Bulls +6 v. Hornets | 91-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
The Bulls are in stop-the-pain mode going 2-4 heading into this their final matchup of a seven-game road trip. Chicago has tumbled all the way to being the sixth-seed in the Eastern Conference. |
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02-08-16 | Clippers v. 76ers +9 | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
The 76ers opened 1-30. They are not that team anymore. The 76ers are 7-13 in their last 20 games. It's not a coincidence the 76ers have picked up their game since veteran point guard Ish Smith joined the team. Philadelphia also has gotten healthier. That combination has made the 76ers semi-respectable, capable of springing upsets at home against a fat and happy opponent in a flat spot. |
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02-07-16 | Clippers +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 100-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Miami is playing well and is healthier than it has been. However, the Clippers are a level higher and have been in Florida since Friday when they defeated the Magic, 107-93. So the Clippers shouldn't be bothered by the early start and difference in time. |
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02-06-16 | Jazz v. Suns +6 | 98-89 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
The Suns are 2-0 ATS since Earl Watson replaced Jeff Hornacek as head coach. The Suns should provide a strong home effort here, too, in what shapes up to be a low-scoring game. |
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02-06-16 | Bulls +4 v. Wolves | 105-112 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
At plus 4 I'm going to get involved with the Bulls. Chicago is short-handed and playing without rest. But I like the Bulls' bench and don't see them losing by this big of a margin to the Timberwolves, who are 7-17-1 ATS at home. |
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02-06-16 | Nets v. 76ers -118 | Top | 98-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
The spot sets up well for the 76ers catching the Nets off their finest game of the season. Brooklyn just upset the Kings, 128-119, at home Friday night shooting a season-high 55.8 percent from the floor and a stunning 18 of 28 (64%) from 3-point range. |
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02-05-16 | Kings v. Nets +5.5 | 119-128 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
As bad as the Nets are, the Kings can't be supported laying this many points on the road. |
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