For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL |Â CFB |Â MLB |Â NBA |Â CBB |Â NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-31-21 | Bengals v. Jets UNDER 43 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets and Cincinnati Bengals UNDER the total. This is the Bengals 3rd straight road game, and they exploded for 34 and 41 points in their first two. Unfortunately that offensive output is unlikely to occur for a 3rd straight road game, as NFL teams that scored more than 28 in back to back road games only average 15.75 ppg in the 3rd road game. And those games have gone 'under' the total by an average of 5.06 ppg. The UNDER also falls into a super 92-46 Totals system of mine, and we'll look for a low-scoring game on Sunday. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-24-21 | Panthers v. Giants UNDER 43 | Top | 3-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers and New York Giants UNDER the total. After giving up 44 points to Dallas and 38 points to the Los Angeles Rams (both of which average more than 400 yards per game), the Giants will no doubt be happy to face a middle-of-the-pack offensive team like Carolina. Over the last 42 years, the Giants have gone 'under' the total 75% of the time after giving up 34+ points in back to back losses. And they've also gone under 59% after a loss by 27+ points. Finally, the Giants have gone 'under' in 19 of 28 games as a home underdog, including the last 6 in a row, while Carolina is 9-2 'under' as a road favorite. This will be a very low-scoring game. Take the under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns UNDER 41 | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in tonight's game between Denver and Cleveland. These two teams were both upset last Sunday. Denver had its worst defensive effort of the season, as it gave up 34 to Las Vegas in a 10-point loss. And Cleveland's defense was even worse, as it was wrecked by Arizona, 37-14, in a 23-point upset home loss. But off those upset losses, I expect both teams to play much better defense tonight. Indeed, Denver is 14-3 UNDER its last 17 off an upset loss, while Cleveland is 23-13 UNDER its last 36 off an upset loss. And matchups between two teams off upset losses, in which they each gave up 28+ points, have gone UNDER the total 77.4% over the past 33 seasons, including a perfect 5-0 UNDER since last season. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-10-21 | Browns v. Chargers OVER 46 | Top | 42-47 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Cleveland Browns/Los Angeles Chargers game. The Browns held their two previous opponents -- Chicago and Minnesota -- to 6 and 7 points, respectively. But neither the Bears nor the Vikings will be in the post-season. Los Angeles, on the other hand, is looking every bit like a Super Bowl contender. The Chargers' offense has tallied 30 and 28 points its last two games, and will put pressure on the Browns' defense. Justin Herbert has completed 69% of his passes for 1178 yards and nine TDs. I also believe Cleveland will find success on the ground behind Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, as the Chargers rank 29th against the run, and are giving up 140 yards per game, on a horrid 5.26 yards per carry! For technical support, consider that NFL teams have gone OVER the total 61.1% of the time when the line was greater than 46 points, if they gave up 15 (or less) points combined over the previous two games. Take the OVER! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-10-21 | Eagles v. Panthers UNDER 45 | Top | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 47 h 30 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Philadelphia Eagles/Carolina Panthers game. After giving up just 6 and 17 points in their first two games, the Eagles' defense has been leaky of late, as it's given up 41 and 42 points the past two weeks -- both double-digit losses. Likewise, Carolina's defense surrendered 36 points last week to Dallas (in a 36-28 loss), after giving up just 7 and 9 its two previous games. I look for both defenses to return to form on this Sunday, and play much better than in recent weeks. For technical support, consider that the Eagles have gone 'UNDER' in 56 of 80 games after playing a game where 58+ points were scored. And NFL games have gone under the total 58% since 1985 if both teams were off a game where more than 60 points was scored. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-10-21 | Broncos v. Steelers OVER 39 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Denver Broncos. After starting the year with an impressive 23-16 win over (arguably) the AFC's most impressive team, the Steelers have stumbled badly, with three consecutive defeats to the Raiders, Bengals and Packers. And they scored just 17, 10 and 17 points in those three games. The good news here is that Pittsburgh tends to bounce back at home off back-to-back losses, as they're 37-17 straight-up, 33-21 ATS, and 34-18-2 OVER the total. Pittsburgh's also 66-40 OVER the total when the line has been less than 40 points. Likewise, the Broncos also stumbled on offense last week, as they lost 23-7 to Baltimore. But the Broncos are 14-1-1 OVER the total after losing a game in which less than 33 total points were scored. Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-10-21 | Patriots v. Texans OVER 38.5 | Top | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New England Patriots/Houston Texans game. The Texans were shut out last week, 40-0, by the Buffalo Bills. So, clearly, their offense behind rookie QB Davis Mills is a mess right now. Of course, the oddsmakers have made their adjustments, and the over/under line for this game is more than 7 points lower than either game each of these teams played last week. From my perspective, the oddsmakers have over-reacted, and there's significant value in taking the OVER in this game. For technical support, consider than NFL games have gone OVER the total 65.5% over the last 42 years, if both teams were coming into the game off an UNDER, and both teams had over/under lines more than 6 points greater in their previous game than the current game. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
10-04-21 | Raiders v. Chargers UNDER 51.5 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Las Vegas Raiders/Los Angeles Chargers game. Each of these two AFC West division rivals has gone 'under' the total a significant amount of the time when playing a division foe. To wit: the Chargers are 80-33-1 UNDER the total when playing at home vs. an AFC West opponent. And the Raiders are 62-37-1 UNDER the total on the road in division games.  And the 'under' also falls into a 20-1 Totals system of mine, as well as a 67-35 Monday Night Football Totals system. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-03-21 | Titans v. Jets OVER 44.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets and Tennessee Titans to go OVER the total. Both of these teams come into this game off low-scoring games. The Jets were shutout, 26-0, as a 10-point road underdog in Denver, while Tennessee won, 25-16, as a 4.5-point home favorite vs. the Colts. New York has played each of its three games under the total, while the Titans have played two of their first three under the total. And this general paucity of scoring in the games played by these teams thus far has led to the number on this game moving 2 to 3 points down from the opener. I think this is a severe over-reaction to the fact that the Jets have scored just 20 points this season. Indeed, New York's first 3 opponents (Denver, Carolina, New England) currently rank #1, #2 and #5 in scoring defense! The Titans, on the other hand, are giving up a whopping 28 points per game, and rank #25 in scoring defense. I fully expect the Flyboys to be able to put up some points here, at home, on this Sunday afternoon. Tennessee has played 7 of its last 8 (and 12 of its last 16) road games over the total, and has surrendered an average of 28.63 ppg in its last eight road games. And it's 9-0-1 'over' the total its last 10 games off a home win. Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-24-21 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 54 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 22 m | Show |
At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills to go 'over' the total. This play is largely technical in nature, as it falls into two very good Playoff totals systems of mine that are 33-15 and 73-38 since 1991. And we'll look for a high-scoring game regardless of who is under center for Kansas City on Sunday. For further technical support, consider that the Chiefs are 19-12 'over' the total in games after both they and their opponent went 'under' in their previous games, while Playoff games have sailed 'over' the total 62% since 1980 when the line was greater than 53 points, and the two teams averaged a combined 59+ points on offense. Finally, NFL Conference Championship games have gone 'over' 63% when the line was greater than 46 points. Take the Bills and Chiefs to go over the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-16-21 | Ravens v. Bills OVER 50 | Top | 3-17 | Loss | -102 | 60 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Buffalo/Baltimore game. Last week, the Ravens were favored by 3.5 points against Tennessee, and won a low-scoring game, 20-13. And that was the eighth straight Playoff game (and 10th of the last 11) where the Ravens went 'UNDER' the total as a favorite. But when the Ravens have been installed as an underdog (as they are, here), then it's been a completely different story, as they've gone OVER in those games 6-3-1. Likewise, the Bills have gone OVER 29-14-1 as a favorite (compared to 18-8 'under' as an underdog). We'll take the OVER on Saturday night, as each of these teams average more than 28 points per game on offense. And in match-ups between two teams that average 28+ points, NFL games have gone 'over' the total 61% of the time since 1985. Take the 'over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers OVER 45.5 | Top | 18-32 | Win | 100 | 56 h 4 m | Show |
At 4:35 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Green Bay/Los Angeles Rams game, as it falls into a 52-24 Totals system of mine. This game has all the earmarks of a high-scoring game. The Packers are averaging 31.8 ppg, and will be playing at home following a Bye week last weekend. And high-octane NFL offenses that average more than 31 ppg have gone 'over' the total 23-11-1 since 1985 when playing at home in the Playoffs. Moreover, in his career, Aaron Rodgers has gone 'over' the total 32-14 when the Packers were favored from -4.5 to -7 points, including 14-2 'over' their last 16. And, with Rodgers at the helm, Green Bay has gone 'over' the total in 12 of 18 playoff games. Take the 'over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans OVER 54.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -106 | 92 h 51 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Baltimore/Tennessee game. The Titans have gone 12-3-1 'over' the total this season, including 3-0 'over' their last three, and 7-1 'over' their last eight. The only game the Titans have played in the season's 2nd half which didn't go 'over' the total was their 31-10 victory over the offensively-challenged Jaguars (who averaged just 19.1 ppg this year). But Tennessee will be playing the Ravens this Sunday afternoon. And John Harbaugh's men have scored 29.25 ppg, including 37.2 ppg over their last five games. For technical support, consider that, over the last 41 seasons, NFL teams that played 80+ percent of their games 'over' the total, have gone 'over' in their Playoff game 71% of the time. Even better: the Titans come into this game off a 41-38 win at Houston last Sunday. And the Titans have now gone 'over' the total 10-0-1 off a win. Finally, NFL Playoff games have gone 'over' the total 80% of the time over the past 20 years if a team's previous game totaled more than 76 points. This will be a high-scoring game. Take the Ravens/Titans 'over' the total. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks OVER 42.5 | Top | 30-20 | Win | 101 | 79 h 32 m | Show |
At 4:40 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Los Angeles Rams/Seattle Seahawks game. These two teams met just two weeks ago, and Seattle held the Rams to just 9 points, in a 20-9 win. But playoff rematches of games involving a team which scored less than 10 points in the previous matchup have gone over the total 61% since 1980 due, in part, to that team's offense being much more productive in the Playoff game. And .600 (or better) teams -- like the Rams -- that managed to score no more than 50 points combined over their three previous games, have gone 'over' the total 59-33, including over the total in 7 of 8 Playoff games! This will be a relatively-high scoring game. Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-03-21 | Jaguars v. Colts UNDER 48.5 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Indianapolis Colts/Jacksonville Jaguars game. This should be one of those games where the Colts can "name their score." Certainly, a blowout at half-time would not surprise. And first-half blowouts often result in the leading team taking its foot off the gas in the 2nd half. Dating back to 1985, NFL games with point spreads of 14+ points have gone 'under' the total 65.7% of the time in the season's final two weeks. Take the 'under.' |
|||||||
01-03-21 | Cardinals v. Rams OVER 41 | Top | 7-18 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Los Angeles Rams/Arizona Cardinals game. These two teams met four weeks ago, and the Rams won a 38-28 shootout. The line for that game was 55 points, so it sailed over the total by 11 points. Yes, a lot of offensive pieces are missing for this game (e.g., Jared Goff, Cooper Kupp, Darrell Henderson, Larry Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk, etc.), but the oddsmakers' movement of this number down to this level was a vast over-reaction. The 'over' falls into a 28-7 Totals system of mine, and we'll look for a relatively-high scoring game on Sunday afternoon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-03-21 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 54 | Top | 37-35 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the under in the Minnesota/Detroit game. Both of these also-rans have dismal defenses. Minnesota gives up 29.3 ppg, while Detroit gives up 32.1 ppg. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a high-scoring game in this meaningless, final game of the season. But final games of the NFL season that involve at least one team with a defense which give up 28+ points have gone 'under' 67.3% since 1981. The 'under' also falls into 113-74 and 103-47 Totals systems of mine. Take the 'under.' |
|||||||
12-27-20 | Broncos v. Chargers UNDER 48 | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the under in the Los Angeles Chargers/Denver Broncos game. These two 5-9 teams are playing out the string at this point after having a disappointing season. Last week, Denver was routed by Buffalo, 48-19, while the Chargers won, 30-27, in overtime against Las Vegas. However, but for the overtime session, the Chargers game would have gone 'under' the total, which would have been its fourth straight 'under.' We'll play on the 'under' in this penultimate game of the season, as the Chargers have gone under 79-33-1 at home vs. division rivals, including each of the last seven vs. the Broncos. Even better: NFL games with O/U lines of 45+ points have gone 'under' 58.2% if one team's most recent game totaled more than 65 points, while its opponent's most recent game totaled 55+ points. Finally, the 'under' also falls into a 129-77 Totals system of mine. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-27-20 | Giants v. Ravens OVER 44 | Top | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens and NY Giants to go OVER the total. Lamar Jackson & Co. have now scored 34, 47 and 40 points in their last three games. Not surprisingly, each went 'over' the total. And that's the way we will look in this game vs. New York, as five of the last six meetings between these teams have sailed 'over' the total. It's true that the Giants' last few games have gone 'under,' but they've now gone 'over' 29-11 in games with O/U lines less than 48 points, if their two previous games went 'under.' This will be a relatively-high scoring game. Take the 'over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-26-20 | Bucs v. Lions UNDER 54.5 | Top | 47-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 'under' the total. Last week, the Buccaneers spotted the Atlanta Falcons 17 points, and trailed 17-0 at the half, before storming back in the 2nd half for a 31-27 victory. They're now installed as a double-digit favorite at Detroit, which lost 46-25 at Tennessee last Sunday. Both of these teams have played their games predominantly over the total this season. Detroit has gone 9-5 'over,' while Tampa has gone 8-6 'over.' The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here. But be careful, as NFL games between two teams whose previous games both totaled 58+ points have also gone 'under' the total 57% over the last 41 years. The 'under' also falls into 102-47, 107-76 and 267-211 Totals systems of mine. This will be a relatively-low scoring game. Take the Lions and Bucs 'under' the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals OVER 40 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals to go 'over' the total. Both of these teams come into this Monday night game off a string of 4 unders in a row. The Steelers' last four games have averaged 36 ppg, while Cincinnati's last four have averaged just 32 ppg. Pittsburgh's problems have largely been on the offensive side of the ball, as they've not scored 20+ points in any of their last 3 games (after scoring 24+ in each of their first 10 games this season). The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here. But consider that NFL games have gone over the total 58% of the time over the last 41 seasons if both teams were riding an 'under' streak of at least four games. That bodes well for the 'OVER' tonight. As does the fact that the Steelers have sailed 'over' the total in 26 of 44 if they were on a 2-game (or worse) losing streak.  Take the Monday Night game 'over' the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-20-20 | Eagles v. Cardinals OVER 49.5 | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Philadelphia/Arizona game. The Cardinals' last four home games vs. non-division foes have gone 'over' the total, as have 29 of Philly's last 44 road games. It's true that the Eagles had played six straight 'unders' before going over the total in last week's 24-21 victory over New Orleans. But I consider that game a harbinger of things to come (at least, from an over/under perspective) as over the last 41 years, teams that finally go 'over' the total after 5+ unders, tend to go over the total a 2nd straight game more often than not. Additionally, the Eagles and Cardinals fall into a Totals system of mine that has cashed 67% since 1980. Take the Philadelphia/Arizona game OVER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-20-20 | Patriots v. Dolphins OVER 41 | Top | 12-22 | Loss | -121 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Miami/New England game. The Patriots have played each of their last five games 'under' the total. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here, especially given that the Patriots scored just three points last week, and that the last meeting between these clubs totaled just 32 points. But teams off 4+ unders have tended to go OVER the total when the line was 42 points or less (349-298 OVER). Moreover, New England has gone over in 11 of 13 after scoring less than 10 points. And division match-ups have gone over 282-231 when the first meeting of the season totaled less than 33 points. Take the Patriots and Dolphins to go OVER the total. |
|||||||
12-17-20 | Chargers v. Raiders UNDER 54 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Las Vegas Raiders/Los Angeles Chargers game. The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the 'over' tonight, given that the previous meeting totaled 57 points, and that each team has played a majority of its games over the total this season. But we're going to run the other way, as six of the last eight (and 20 of the last 31) meetings between these two division rivals have gone 'under' the total. Additionally, in its last game, Las Vegas combined for 71 points with the Indianapolis Colts (a 44-27 defeat). But over the last 41 years, NFL division games have gone 'under' the total 66.1% of the time when the team's previous game totaled more than 58 points, and both the team's games, and its foe's games averaged 50+ points on the season. Finally, the 'under' falls into 18-3, 101-46 and 123-84 Totals systems of mine. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-13-20 | Packers v. Lions UNDER 55 | Top | 31-24 | Push | 0 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Green Bay/Detroit game. The Packers come into this afternoon's game off back to back wins over Chicago (41-25) and Philadelphia (30-16). Meanwhile, Detroit has played back to back high-scoring games its last two outings, as it lost 41-25 to Houston, and then defeated the Bears, 34-30, last week. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here, as Green Bay's scored more than 70 points combined over its last two games, while Detroit's given up more than 70 points over its last two contests. But over the last 41 years, NFL games have gone 'under' the total 58% when the underdog gave up more than 70 points over its last two games, and its opponent scored more than 70 in its last two. Additionally, the 'under' falls into 127-77 and 62-28 Totals systems of mine. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-13-20 | Colts v. Raiders UNDER 52.5 | Top | 44-27 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Las Vegas/Indianapolis game. Through 12 games, both Las Vegas and Indianapolis own winning records, and are in contention for the playoffs. But it's the last few weeks of the regular seasons that separate the contenders from the pretenders. And all the teams understand how important defense is at this time of the year, as that old adage -- defense wins championships -- is actually very true when it comes to the NFL. Not surprisingly, match-ups between winning teams in the final 6 weeks of the NFL season tend to go 'under' the total, and especially if the line is greater than 46 points, as those games have gone 'under' 60% of the time. Take the 'under.' |
|||||||
12-13-20 | Jets v. Seahawks OVER 47.5 | Top | 3-40 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Seattle/New York game. After scoring 10 points or less in four straight games (all of which went 'under' the total), the hapless Jets have quietly scored 27+ points in three of their last four games. Not surprisingly, all three of those games sailed 'over' the total. Now, New York will go up against a below-average Seahawks defense which is giving up 26.8 ppg (against foes that average 24.5). So, New York -- which averages just 15 ppg -- will likely be able to exceed that number. Still, defeating a Seattle team which was upset at home last week by the New York Giants will be a tall order. And, since Pete Carroll was hired almost 11 years ago, the Seahawks have generally won and covered high-scoring games at home off a loss. And 10 of 13 Seattle home games have gone 'over' the total if Seattle lost its previous game, and the line was greater than 43 points. I look for a high-scoring game this afternoon. Take the 'over.' |
|||||||
12-13-20 | Titans v. Jaguars UNDER 52.5 | Top | 31-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Tennessee/Jacksonville game. The Titans have played their last four games 'over' the total, including last week's 41-35 loss to Cleveland. But each of those four games was against a winning, playoff-bound team. Here, they're going to take on a Jacksonville team which has lost 11 straight games, and is averaging less than 21 points per game. And, late in the season (the final four weeks), really bad teams -- with win percentages less than .200 -- have gone 'under' the total 77% of the time over the last 40 seasons when the O/U line has been greater than 46 points. Even better: the Jaguars have gone under in 18 of 29 home games. And road favorites of -3 (or more) points, like Tennessee, have gone 'under' 76% of the time over the last 40 seasons when the line was 51+ points. This will be a relatively-low scoring game. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-06-20 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 51 | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Kansas City Chiefs/Denver Broncos game. The Chiefs have gone 'under' the total in 21 of their last 28 division games with over/under lines of 47+ points, while Denver has gone 'under' in 23 of its last 31 division games with an over/under line greater than 42 points. Not surprisingly, then, this series has gone 8-1-1 'under' the total when the line has been 48+ points. This game, in particular, has all the earmarks of an 'under.' The Chiefs are a double-digit favorite against an offensively-challenged Broncos team, with a high over/under line. And the technicals back this up, as games that involve a 7-point (or greater) underdog which scores less than 19.6 ppg, have gone 'under' 100-65-2 when the line was 47+ points. Even better: The Chiefs have gone 'under' the total in 22 of their last 27 home games against teams with a negative scoring margin of -1.8 (or worse), including 6-0 'under' when KC was favored by more than 11 points. This will be a relatively-low scoring game. Take the Chiefs/Broncos 'under' the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-06-20 | Saints v. Falcons OVER 45.5 | Top | 21-16 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints OVER the total. The Saints have gone 'under' in each of their last four games (after starting the season with seven straight 'overs,' while Atlanta's previous two games have gone 'under.' So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a low-scoring game here. Don't do it. Generally speaking, teams off 4+ unders tend to go 'over' in their next game, including 58.3% since 1980 when the line was greater than 45 points and their opponent was also off an 'under.' Take the 'over' in the Saints/Falcons game. |
|||||||
12-06-20 | Raiders v. Jets OVER 46.5 | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets and Las Vegas Raiders to go OVER the total. The Raiders generally go 'over' the total on the non-division road, including an 18-6-2 Over record when the line has been less than 49 points. Likewise, the Jets have gone 18-8 Over at home in non-division games with lines less than 49 points. Five of the last seven meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and we'll look for another high-scoring game here, as I believe the two teams will bounce back off their poor offensive performances last week. The Jets only scored 3 vs. Miami, while Las Vegas managed just 6 at Atlanta. But NFL games, with lines greater than 40 points, have gone over 62% of the time if the two teams combined for less than 10 points on offense their previous game. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Titans v. Colts UNDER 51.5 | Top | 45-26 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Tennessee Titans/Indianapolis Colts game. These two teams met just two weeks ago, and the over/under line was a couple of points less, at 49, than it is for this game here. Indianapolis won that game, 34-17, so it went over the total by 2 points. Now, for this game, the oddsmakers have adjusted the over/under line. I believe it's an over-adjustment, and will look for a lower-scoring game, especially since this game will be played at Indianapolis. Indeed, the Colts have gone 'under' in 25 of 34 home division contests, including 7-0 'under' when the line was greater than 48 points. And this game also falls into 19-0 and 57-33 Totals systems of mine. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Chiefs v. Raiders UNDER 57 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders to go under the total. The Chiefs were upset at home by Las Vegas, 40-32, as a 10-point favorite back on October 11. Needless to say, Kansas City will be strongly motivated tonight to avenge that defeat. And, generally speaking, NFL teams that were upset earlier in the season, and gave up 28+ points in that loss, do exact revenge, as they've covered the spread 55% of the time since 1984, including 10-0 ATS their last 10. And a primary reason that our revengers do better against the spread in the 2nd meeting is that their defense plays much better. Indeed, our games in this situation have gone 'under' 142-99-6. Before giving up 40 to the Raiders in the last meeting, the Chiefs had allowed just 9, 10 and 3 points to the Raiders in the three meetings previous to that (all 3 went 'under').  Finally, six of KC's last seven road games have gone 'under,' as have 23 of the Raiders' last 30 division contests. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 58.5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals to go UNDER the total. These two teams less than four weeks ago, and the Cardinals came away with a 37-34 victory, in overtime. And the Cardinals have now scored 30+ points in five straight games (33.2 avg.), and have gone 'over' the total in three straight. That has contributed to this over/under being a couple points higher than it was just a few games ago! But consider that Arizona's last three games -- that each went 'over' -- were all at home (where it averages 30.6 ppg (compared to a lower amount on the road)). And also consider that, of Arizona's four road games this season, it has yet to face a team with a winning record! Arizona's four road games have come against teams with a combined record of 9-29. So, this will be a much more difficult test for the 6-3 Cardinals' offense, notwithstanding the fact that Seattle's defense is allowing 28.5 ppg at home this season. The Seahawks should be in an angry mood on Thursday, as they're coming off back to back losses, and will be playing with revenge from that overtime game in Arizona which they led by 10 with less than seven minutes to go. For technical support, consider that the Seahawks have gone under the total 88% of the time since 1980 when playing with revenge from an upset loss in which they gave up 28+ points (holding their opponents to an average of 13.3 ppg in those games). And all four of Arizona's road games this season have also gone UNDER the total. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-15-20 | Seahawks v. Rams UNDER 54.5 | Top | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Los Angeles Rams/Seattle Seahawks game. From an Over/Under perspective, this will be an interesting game, to the extent it features two teams going in opposite directions. The Seahawks own the league's worst pass defense, and have gone 'over' the total in their last three games, and six of their eight on the season. In contrast, the Rams have gone 'under' the total in five straight, and also six of their eight games. Generally speaking, when two teams with contrasting styles like this have met over the past 41 seasons, the 'unders' have cashed more often than not. And that's the way we will play this game, as the 'under' falls into two Totals systems of mine that are 101-40 and 21-4 since 1980, as well as a 3rd Totals system which is 55-29 since 1983. Even better: the Seahawks have gone 'under' in 9 straight (and 17 of 22) after scoring more than 100 points over their three previous games, including 7-0 'under' when the line was greater than 45 points. And the Rams have gone 'under' in 7 straight (and 12 of 14) in competitively-priced games with point spreads less than 4 points, if the O/U line was 50+. Take the Rams/Seahawks UNDER the total. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-15-20 | Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 51 | Top | 12-37 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Las Vegas Raiders/Denver Broncos game. The Broncos come into this AFC West division battle off a 34-27 loss at Atlanta last Sunday. And that was Denver's 3rd straight game that it surrendered 30+ points. Not surprisingly, all three games sailed over the total. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here, especially since Las Vegas checks in off a high-scoring, 31-26 win at the Chargers last Sunday. But consider that teams that gave up 30+ points in each of their three previous games have gone 'under' 57% of the time since 1980, including 33-18 UNDER if their opponent scored 30+ in its last game. Even better: AFC West division games have gone UNDER 26-14 since 2017, while Denver's gone UNDER in nine straight road games after giving up more than 92 points in their three previous games. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always..Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs UNDER 51 | Top | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs and New Orleans Saints UNDER the total. The Saints have played ALL 7 games over the total this season! So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the over in this game tonight. But consider that, at Game 7 forward, in games with an over/under line of 47+ points, NFL teams that had gone over the total in at least 84% of their season's games, have gone UNDER the total 64.2% of the time. Indeed, we saw this last week with the Las Vegas Raiders against Cleveland. Going into that game, Las Vegas had gone OVER the total 5-0-1. But it played its first under of the season last week when that game ended with just 22 points -- 25.5 points below the posted total. I look for the Saints to also play their first under of the season tonight. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Steelers v. Cowboys OVER 44 | Top | 24-19 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the over in the Pittsburgh/Dallas game. The Cowboys have the league's worst defense, as it's giving up more than 33 points per game. It's true that Dallas only gave up 23 and 25 their last two games (vs. Washington and Philadelphia), but the Steelers should do better, as their offense produces north of 30 points per game. I also expect Dallas to do better this week than it did last week behind rookie Ben DiNucci. For this game, Dallas coach Mike McCarthy will start either Garrett Gilbert (6th round pick, 2014) or Cooper Rush (2017), both of whom have more NFL experience than DiNucci. So, even though the Cowboys have been moribund on offense, with just 22 points scored over their previous three games, that doesn't necessarily portend a low-scoring game today. One thing which will help is that Dallas is back home this afternoon. This season, the Cowboys have averaged 31.2 ppg at home, but just 15 ppg on the road. Not surprisingly, three of the Cowboys' four home games have gone over the total (compared to one of their four road games). And, going back further, Dallas has played 14 of its last 20 home games over the total (compared to just nine of its last 25 road games). Additionally, home teams that scored 25 or less combined points in their three previous games, all of which went under the total, have proceeded to go over in their next game 66% of the time since 1989. And Dallas has gone 78-50 'over' at home when the line was greater than 38 and less than 45 points, including 8-1 OVER their last nine if they were off unders in each of their three previous games. Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Raiders v. Chargers UNDER 53 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the under in the LA Chargers/Las Vegas Raiders game. The Raiders are 14-1 UNDER their last 15 division road games (and 62-35 UNDER their last 97). Meanwhile, the Chargers are 79-32 UNDER their last 111 division home games, including 6-0 under their last six. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
11-01-20 | Cowboys v. Eagles OVER 42.5 | Top | 9-23 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Sunday night game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys. It's true that the Cowboys' offense has sputtered without QB Dak Prescott. Dallas' last two games have gone 'under' the total, as they've produced 48 and 28 points. And Dallas' offensive problems is the reason for this relatively-low over/under number. But, by my math, the oddsmakers' adjustment of the over/under number has been an overreaction. The Cowboys' defense is still giving up TONS of points, as it's given up 25 or more points in each of its last six games (37.16 avg). For the season, Dallas has allowed 34.7 ppg (against foes that score 25.6 ppg). Meanwhile, Philly's defense has also been horrible, as it's surrendered 28 ppg (against foes that average 24.4 ppg). Notably, each of Philadelphia's seven games this season have totaled 43+ points (51.2 avg), and five of the Eagles' seven games have soared 'over' the total. Dallas has gone 'over' the total in 11 of 15 after playing an 'under,' while the Eagles have gone 'over' in 24 of 38 off an 'under.' Take the Cowboys + Eagles to go OVER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-01-20 | Vikings v. Packers UNDER 50 | Top | 28-22 | Push | 0 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Minnesota/Green Bay game. This rivalry has typically produced low-scoring games, with nine of the last 12 meetings sailing 'UNDER' the total. I look for another relatively-low scoring game this afternoon, with Minnesota looking to bounce back off its 40-23 upset loss to Atlanta, as a 3.5-point favorite. And NFL teams that get upset, and give up 35+ points in that upset loss, tend to bounce back and cover the spread, while also going 'under' the total -- and especially when the line is greater than 39 points (204-152 under (57.3%)). And Mike Zimmer's Vikings have gone 'under' 28-13 after going 'over' in their previous game. Take the 'under.' |
|||||||
11-01-20 | Jets v. Chiefs OVER 49 | Top | 9-35 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and New York Jets to go OVER the total. The Chiefs are favored by 20 points, which is the largest point spread yet this season. And, over the past 20 years, NFL games with large point spreads tend to go over the total. Indeed, home teams favored by more than 15 points have gone OVER 62.7% of the time. I look for another high-scoring game here, as the Chiefs have also gone 'over' the total 57% of the time in the Patrick Mahomes era, including 6-0-1 OVER after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Of course, it's true that the Jets come into this game off 3 straight unders. But consider that, since 1980, NFL teams off 3 straight unders have proceeded to go OVER the total 60.4% of the time when the line was greater than 48 points! Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-29-20 | Falcons v. Panthers OVER 51 | Top | 25-17 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Thursday Night Football game between Carolina and Atlanta. This match-up pits two losing teams from the NFC South division. Atlanta checks in with a 1-6 record, while Carolina is two games better, at 3-4. The Falcons' problem has been on the defensive side of the football, as they've given up at least 23 points in each of their seven games this season. Overall, their defense gives up 29.57 ppg, and two of their three road games have sailed 'over' the total, including their last road game -- a 40-23 win at Minnesota, in Raheem Morris' first game as Atlanta head coach. We'll look for another high-scoring game tonight, as losing teams, that give up at least 29.5 ppg, have gone 'over' the total in 33 of 44 road games vs. other losing teams, if the line was at least 47 points (including 20-2 'OVER' if the O/U line was greater than 49 points). Additionally, the 'Over' falls into 69-41 and 94-65 Totals systems of mine. Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-25-20 | Bills v. Jets OVER 46 | Top | 18-10 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets to go OVER the total. Buffalo's offense has taken a leap forward this season with 3rd year QB Josh Allen. Buffalo has scored 27, 31, 35, 30, 16 and 17 points in its six games, and only one of the six has gone 'under' the total. The only game which went 'under' was -- not coincidentally -- the only game which Buffalo wasn't favored to win. But when the Bills are favored, they've actually gone 'over' 26 of their last 37 games. In contrast, when the Bills are an underdog, they've gone 'under' 18-4. In this game, the Bills are substantially favored, as they're laying double-digits to the Jets. And Buffalo's 14-0 'over' when laying 4 or more points on the road! These two teams met earlier this season, and that game went 'over' the total by 5 points. And the 'over' also falls into a 164-111 Totals system of mine. We'll look for another 'over' this afternoon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-25-20 | Panthers v. Saints UNDER 50.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Carolina/New Orleans game. The Saints have played all 5 of their games OVER THE TOTAL this season. But something will have to give today, as they'll be playing the Panthers, who have played UNDERS in each of their four previous games. I actually look for a relatively-low scoring game here, as NFL teams have gone UNDER 60% of the time over the past 41 years when the line was greater than 49 points, if they played their previous four games over the total, and were playing an opponent which had played a majority of its games UNDER the total on the season. Even better: Sean Payton's Saints have gone UNDER 63% of the time over the past 13 seasons off 3+ overs. And the UNDER also falls into one of my favorite Totals systems which is 98-59-2 since 1980. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-25-20 | Browns v. Bengals UNDER 51 | Top | 37-34 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cleveland/Cincinnati game. The Cleveland Browns have played three road games this season, and have scored 6, 7 and 49 in those three games. Of course, that 49-point game was vs. the Cowboys, who are giving up 36.3 ppg, so that Browns effort must be taken with a grain of salt. Still, even with that 49-point outburst, the Browns are only averaging 20.66 ppg on the road (compared to 33.66 at home). Likewise, the Bengals have played much better defense at home this season, as they've given up just 20.5 ppg at home (compared to 29 ppg on the road). We'll look for a low-scoring game here in Cincinnati on Sunday, as the 'under' falls into 60-25 and 125-74 Totals systems of mine. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-25-20 | Cowboys v. Washington Football Team UNDER 45.5 | Top | 3-25 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Washington game. The Cowboys' defense has given up 39, 38, 49, 34 and 38 points in their last five games. But those five opponents all had better quarterbacks than does this Washington club. Indeed, Washington has scored just 17, 10 and 19 points over its last three games. And, outside of its first game vs. Philadelphia, where it benefited from three turnovers, it hasn't scored more than 20 points all season. I fully expect Dallas' defense to play a terrific game on Sunday, especially since it will be "stepping down in class" by playing Washington. And, for technical support, consider that teams whose games average 64+ points have gone under the total 57% when the O/U line 45 or less points. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys UNDER 55.5 | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys and Arizona Cardinals to go Under the total. The Cowboys' defense has been a sieve thus far, as it's given up 36 points per game. They've now played their last four games 'over' the total, which has led to an overwhelming majority of the tickets being written on the 'over,' and this number jumping a couple of points from the opener. Certainly, as can be seen by the betting data, the knee-jerk reaction is to play a Cowboys game to go 'over' the total. But consider that NFL teams that give up more than 28 ppg on defense, and have played their previous 4 games 'over' the total, have actually gone UNDER the total 72.5% of the time (29-11). And teams playing on Monday Night Football have gone 9-0 UNDER if the line was at least 50 points, and none of their three previous games went under the total. Take the Cowboys and Cardinals UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-18-20 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 51.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns to go 'under' the total. The posted total for this game is the biggest number in the history of the series. Indeed, until this game, the highest over/under number for this rivalry was 47.5. Last season, these two teams played extremely low-scoring games (21-7, 20-13) that each went 'under' the total. But this year -- so far -- the two teams have been involved in high-scoring affairs. Pittsburgh's last three games have gone 'over' the number (26-21, 28-21, 38-29), while Cleveland's last four have gone 'over' (35-30, 34-20, 49-38, 32-23). However, since 1980, NFL games with over/under lines less than 56 have gone 'under' the total 60% of the time (86-58-6) if both teams played their two previous games 'over,' and each of those games generated more than 47 points. Additionally, the Steelers have gone 'under' 8 straight times after playing a game with 50+ points scored, while Cleveland is 13-4 'under' after a game that produced 50+ points. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-11-20 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 54 | Top | 34-37 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 58 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Under in the New York Giants/Dallas Cowboys game. The New York Giants have scored 9, 9, 13, and 16 points in their four games this season. And three of the four have gone 'under' the total, with the lone game (NYG/SF) going 'over' the total by a single point. But because of the propensity of the Cowboys to play high-scoring games (three of Dallas' four games have gone 'over'), the number for this game is the highest on a New York Giants game in almost two years, and the 2nd-highest in over 12 years. We'll play on this game to go 'under,' as in the past 41 years, teams that have given up more than 31 points in each of their three previous games have gone 'under' the total 62.1% of the time. And the 'under' also falls into 32-15, 69-43, 86-44, 61-28 and 84-41 Totals systems of mine. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets OVER 41 | Top | 37-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the New York Jets/Denver Broncos game. Through the season's first three weeks, the games have gone 'over' in 29 of the 48 games, with overall scoring up this year over last. Neither of these teams has shown a propensity to stop their opponent's offense. The Broncos have allowed 70 points over their first three games (and would have allowed much more, but for Titans' kicker Stephen Gostkowski missing several FGs and XPs in Week 1). Meanwhile, the Jets have given up 27, 31 and 36 in their first three games. This over/under is the 2nd-lowest number of the 64 games scheduled thus far. And, by my math, it's too low. Indeed, the 'over' falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 72% since 1996. Take the 'over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-05-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 45 | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
At 4:40 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Philadelphia/Seattle game. These two teams met earlier this season -- here in Philly -- and the Seahawks won a very low-scoring game, 17-9. And that's been par for the course for Philadelphia here, as the Eagles have now gone 'under' the total in their last six (and in 24 of their last 34) home games. And they've also gone 'under' the total 7-1-1 in their last nine home NFL Playoff games. Additionally, the 'under' is 33-18 in competitively-priced games with point spreads less than 3. And this game (to go 'under') also falls into a 23-3 Totals system of mine, which is statistically-based. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always, Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans OVER 43.5 | Top | 19-22 | Loss | -103 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
At 4:35 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Buffalo/Houston game. The Buffalo Bills have now played six straight games that totaled 41 or less points. And outside of their two games vs. Miami, none of their other 14 games equaled the posted total for this game. And it's not just on the defensive side of the ball where points are hard-earned; the Bills, themselves, have scored just 6, 17, and 17 in their three previous games. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for yet another low-scoring Buffalo game on this Saturday. But knee-jerk reactions are often the wrong move. Indeed, teams (like Buffalo) that scored 42 or less points over their three previous games have gone 'over' the total 75 percent of the time over the last 26 seasons. And these two teams also fall into 57-33 and 53-32 Totals systems of mine. Take the 'over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 39 | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Pittsburgh/Cleveland game. This is a critical game for the AFC Playoff picture. And the victor will be in a very good position to eventually snag the 6th, and final wild card spot. Last week, the Cleveland Browns had their best offensive day of the season, when they scored 41 points vs. Miami. And over his last three games, QB Baker Mayfield has been excellent, with seven touchdowns, and just one interception. Over those three games, the Browns have averaged 27 ppg on offense. The Steelers' offense has sputtered lately, so they've made a change at the quarterback position, and will start Devlin "Duck" Hodges, the former Samford star (and all-time FCS passing leader, with 14,584 career yards). Hodges made one start earlier this season, and it was a positive one, as the Steelers went into Los Angeles, and upset the Chargers, 24-17. I've liked what I've seen of Hodges when he's played this season (both in that start vs. the Charges, and as a relief QB). And he's a definite upgrade over the erstwhile starter, Mason Rudolph. This will be a relatively-high scoring game. Take the 'over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 53 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the KC Chiefs/Los Angeles Chargers game. Kansas City's last three games have each gone 'over' the total, and those three games combined for 171 total points (55, 49 and 67). But I look for a lower scoring game tonight, as NFL games have gone UNDER 167-117 (59%) since 1980, including 15-4 (79%) UNDER on Monday Night Football, when the O/U line was 47+ points -- provided one of the teams was off 3 OVERS, and its previous three games combined to exceed 160 total points. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Bears v. Rams OVER 39 | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Los Angeles Rams/Chicago Bears game. Both of these teams enter tonight's contest off a string of relatively-low scoring games. The Bears' last three games have all gone 'under' the total, while the Rams have gone 'under' in four straight games. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low scoring game here, especially since last season's game between these two teams only produced 21 points (Chicago 15 Los Angeles 6). But, over the last 40 seasons, match-ups between two teams that have each gone 'under' the total in each of their previous three games actually go 'OVER' the total more often than not. Even better: the Rams have gone 'OVER' the total in 12 of their last 13 games when they had gone 'under' in each of their four previous games, and they've also gone 'over' the total 33 of 55 games if their opponent was off three 'unders.' Likewise, since 1980, the Bears have gone 'over' the total 62% of the time if their opponent was off four 'unders.' Finally, the 'OVER' falls into a totals system of mine which is 61-34 since 1980. Take the 'OVER.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants UNDER 48.5 | Top | 37-18 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys Under the total. Each of these two teams come into this game off a string of relatively-high scoring games. Dallas' last three games have produced 58, 46 and 47 points, while the New York Giants' last three games have generated 49, 48 and 57 points.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game, especially since the first meeting (in Week 1) between these two teams resulted in a 52-point game. But match-ups between division rivals -- with Over/Under lines greater than 47 points -- have gone UNDER the total 62% of the time since 1980 if previous three games for each of the two teams resulted in 43+ points being scored. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-20-19 | Chargers v. Titans OVER 41 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 37 h 38 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Tennessee Titans/Los Angeles Chargers game. On the surface, this looks like it will be a very low-scoring game. The Chargers' last five games have averaged 36.8 ppg, while the Titans' last five games have averaged 10 points less, at 26.8 ppg. And each of those 10 games have gone 'under' the total. So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another 'under' here. But such knee-jerk reactions are often wrong. Indeed, over the last 40 years, NFL teams have gone 'over' 65% of the time if one team played its last 5 (or more) games 'under' the total, and its opponent played its last 3 (or more) games 'under' the total, and the Over/Under line was 42 or less points. And the Titans have gone 57-30 'over' the total after scoring less than 14 points in their previous game, if the Over/Under line in their current game was 42 or less points. Take the Chargers and Titans 'over' the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Redskins v. Dolphins OVER 41.5 | Top | 17-16 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Washington/Miami game. These two teams have combined to go 0-9 this season, and are arguably the two worst teams in football. It's true that each team lacks skilled offensive players, which would greatly explain why Miami has yet to score two touchdowns in a game, and why Washington (after QB Case Keenum's injury) has been unable to score twice in either of its two previous games. Of course, it must also be noted that both teams have played strong defenses this season. Washington has faced New England, Chicago, Dallas and Philly, while Miami has also gone up New England and Dallas, and played the Chargers and Baltimore, as well. Thus, today's game is a significant departure for each team, as far as the defense it will face (Washington gives up 30.2 ppg; Miami surrenders 40.7 ppg). I expect both offenses to move the ball, and for this game to be relatively high-scoring. Indeed, since 1986, NFL match-ups (at Game 3 forward) between two teams whose defenses have each given up more than 30 points per game have gone 'over' the total 64.2% of the time. Take the 'over.' NFL Non-Conference Total of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-27-19 | AFC v. NFC OVER 55.5 | Top | 26-7 | Loss | -109 | 69 h 34 m | Show |
At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the "OVER" in the Pro Bowl. The line on this game opened signficantly higher, at 60 points, and has come down. There is rain in the weather forecast for Sunday morning (40% chance), but it is expected to subside by the start of this game. There's great value at this price, as six of the last nine Pro Bowls have gone 'over' the total, with the average combined score equaling 69.67 ppg. Take the Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs OVER 57 | Top | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 155 h 52 m | Show |
At 6:40 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots to go 'over' the total. These two teams played in October, and the over/under was 59.5 points. The Patriots won 43-40, and the game sailed OVER the total by 23.5 points. Now, for this Playoff game, the Over/Under has opened a couple of points lower, which provides us with good value, in my opinion. Moreover, NFL games, like this one, with very high totals (57 points or higher) generally go OVER the number, as they've gone 19-6-1 OVER since 1980, including a perfect 7-0-1 OVER if it's the last 4 weeks of the regular season, or the Playoffs. Also, the Patriots have had a stark tendency to play high-scoring Playoff games. Since 2010, they've gone OVER 14-6-1. Take the OVER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots OVER 47 | Top | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 80 h 3 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New England Patriots and LA Chargers to go 'over' the total, as it falls into Totals systems of mine that are 52-23 and 32-10. After missing the Playoffs following their 2008 season, the Patriots have qualified for the post-season every single year. And, even more impressively, they've owned one of the top 2 seeds (and, thus, at least one home game) in each of these 10 seasons. And they've been a solid bet to go 'over' the total when playing at home, or on neutral fields. And especially when the over/under line was greater than 43 points, as they've gone 'over' the total 13-4-1. It's true that the Chargers have gone 'under' the total their last three games. But they didn't face a quality offense in those three games (Ravens (twice); Broncos). The last two times that the Chargers faced a potent offense (Chiefs, Steelers), they went 'over' the total in both games. Finally, since 1980, in Playoff games between two teams that entered off 'unders' in their previous game, 58% have gone 'over' the total when the over/under line was 43+ points. Take the 'over.' NFL Total of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears OVER 41 | Top | 16-15 | Loss | -104 | 131 h 5 m | Show |
At 4:40 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles OVER the total. The Eagles had a great season last year, and also had a great Playoffs run, as they held the Falcons to 10 points, and the Vikings to just seven points in their two NFC wins before winning the Super Bowl, 41-33, vs. New England. But without a doubt, the fact that they had the #1 seed, and home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs was a major factor in their success (and ability to hold the Falcons and Vikings to 17 points combined). This season, it's a completely different story, as they won't play any of their games at home. And that's problematic, as their defense didn't play well at all this season against teams that are currently in the Playoffs, and especially not on the road. Philly had six regular season games against other current Playoff teams, and 10 games against teams that failed to make the Playoffs. In those 6 games against Playoff competition, the Eagles' defense gave up 173 points for an average of 28.8 per game! And on the road that defensive number ballooned to 33.3 ppg. In contrast, the Eagles' defense gave up just 17.5 ppg vs. non-playoff teams (and just 16.8 in its road games vs. non-Playoff teams). This will be a high-scoring game. Take the 'over.' NFL Conference Playoff Total of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 52.5 | Top | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 66 h 37 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Oakland Raiders to go 'under' the total. Both the Chiefs and Raiders have below average-defenses. The Raiders are giving up a staggering 28.8 ppg, while KC is surrendering 27.9 ppg. The Chiefs, though, have gone 'under' the total 12-0-1 as a home favorite when matched up against a defense which gives up 28.6 or more ppg. And, yes, it's true that the Chiefs have played their last five games 'over' the total. However, since 1980, teams off 5 (or more) straight 'overs' have gone 'under' the total more often than not, including 61.2% in their final regular season game. I also have 166-99, 74-37 and 86-44 Totals systems on the 'under,' and I expect a relatively low-scoring game on Sunday afternoon. Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Jets v. Patriots UNDER 44.5 | Top | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 67 h 56 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the New England/NY Jets game. The last five meetings between these two teams have gone 'under' the total. And that's the way we'll look in this game, as the 'under' falls into a 94-57 Totals system of mine. Additionally, the Jets lost at home last week, in overtime, 44-38, to the Green Bay Packers. The over/under line for that game was 47.5, so it went 'over' the total by 34.5 points. But teams that go significantly 'over' the total one week, tend to play lower-scoring games the next. And especially if they were at home for the (first) higher-scoring game, and are now on the road for the (second) lower-scoring game. Indeed, NFL teams that went 'over' the total at home by more than 31 points in their previous game have gone 'under' the total 69.6% of the time on the road when the line was 42+ points. Take the 'under.' AFC East Total of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Steelers v. Saints OVER 52.5 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Pittsburgh Steelers to go 'over' the total. The Saints scored just 12 points last week. But they generally bounce back on offense after such poor games. And New Orleans has gone 'over' the total 86% under coach Sean Payton after not scoring 14+ points in their previous game. And the Saints have also gone 'over' the total in 30 of 39 non-division home games vs. winning teams off a straight-up win. Take the 'over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 47 | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 93 h 39 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Carolina/Atlanta game. The Panthers have shelved star QB Cam Newton for their final two games of the season and will give backup QB Taylor Heinicke his first two career starts. Heinicke has thrown just five passes in his NFL career, so it's an understatement to say nobody really knows what to expect from him this afternoon. However, one thing I do expect is that Carolina's defense will play very well once again today. Last week, it shut down the high-flying New Orleans offense, and held Drew Brees & Co. to just 12 points. Nine of the last 11 meetings between these two teams have gone 'under' the total, including all five played here in Carolina. And games between two losing teams (with win percentages below .450), in the final two weeks of the season, have gone 'under' the total 95 of 152 games (62.5%) since 1980. Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Bucs v. Cowboys OVER 48 | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys and Tampa Bay Bucs to go 'over' the total. Tampa Bay has generally played high-scoring games away from home, and low-scoring games at home. To wit; Tampa has gone 'over' the total in 13 of its last 16 road games (compared to going under in 14 of its last 18 home games). I look for that trend to continue on this Sunday, and especially given that the Cowboys have gone 'over' the total in five of their last six home games. Take the 'over.' |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 44.5 | Top | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns and Cincinnati Bengals to go 'under' the total. After giving up 134 points in a four-week stretch from October 14 thru November 4, the Browns defense has played very well, and has averaged just 20.2 ppg over their last five games. Not surprisingly, four of those five games went 'under' the total. Additionally, the last five games between these two teams played here in Cleveland have gone 'under.' And the Browns' final home game of the season has gone 'under' 13-4-1 the past 18 seasons. Take the 'under.' |
|||||||
12-13-18 | Chargers v. Chiefs UNDER 54 | Top | 29-28 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Kansas City/Los Angeles game. The Chiefs have gone 'over' the total in their last three games, while the Chargers have gone 'over' in two of their past three. And both teams are scoring a lot of points this year, as the Chargers average over 28 ppg, and the Chiefs average over 36 ppg. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'over,' but consider that NFL games between two teams that each average 28+ ppg on offense have gone UNDER the total 64.8% since 1980, if at least one of the two teams played its three previous games 'over' the total. The 'under' also falls into two other totals systems of mine that have records of 85-43 and 76-36 since 1980. This game will be low-scoring. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-09-18 | Ravens v. Chiefs UNDER 51 | Top | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens under the total. The Chiefs have racked up 37 points per game, which is #1 in the NFL. But they will find it much more difficult to score on Sunday afternoon vs. this Ravens defense, which ranks #1 in both yards (281.7) and points (17.8) per game. To wit: the Chiefs have played only one other team currently ranked among the Top 5 in defensive yards given up (Jacksonville), and that was the 2nd lowest-scoring game (30-14) that KC has played all season, and it easily went 'under' the total. The Chiefs are 3-0-1 'under' the total in their last four home games, 8-1-1 'under' in their last 10 at home, and 19-6-1 their last 26. Finally, the 'under' falls into a 59-27 Totals system of mine. Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-09-18 | Colts v. Texans UNDER 50 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Houston/Indianapolis game. After giving up an average of 27 ppg in their first four contests, the Texans have played MUCH BETTER defense over their last eight games. Houston hasn't given up more than 23 points in any of its last eight, and has averaged just 15.8 ppg on defense. Not surprisingly, five of these eight games have gone 'under' the total. Last week, Indianapolis completely failed to score in a 6-0 shutout loss to Jacksonville. And that was the 3rd straight game the Colts have played 'under' the total. With NFL teams off shutout losses going 'under' in 28 of their last 42 games, I look for a relatively low-scoring game here. Take the 'under.' |
|||||||
12-09-18 | Saints v. Bucs UNDER 54.5 | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Tampa Bay/New Orleans game. After scoring an average of 43.7 points over their previous four games, the Saints' offense sputtered last week, when it tallied just 10 points, in a 13-10 loss at Dallas. And that was the 3rd straight New Orleans game that went 'under' the total. Likewise, Tampa Bay has been playing 'unders' lately, with 3 of its last 4 games going 'under.' I look for a low-scoring game in Central Florida, as Tampa Bay has gone 'under' in 23 of 30 home games with lines of 47+ points, including 13-2 'under' if the Bucs were installed as a home underdog of 3+ points. Additionally, the 'under' falls into a 163-97 Totals system of mine. Take the 'under.' |
|||||||
12-02-18 | Rams v. Lions UNDER 55.5 | Top | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 61 h 25 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Detroit Lions/Los Angeles Rams game. The Rams enter this game off 3 extremely high-scoring games (45-35, 36-31 and 54-51). The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game, given that Detroit has also gone 'over' the total in a majority of its contests. But consider that favorites (like Los Angeles) that gave up 100+ points on defense over their last three games, while going over the total in each by at least 5+ points, have then gone 'under' the total 80 percent (24-6) of the time. Even better: games involving double-digit home underdogs have sailed 'under' the total 24 of the last 31. Take the 'under.' |
|||||||
12-02-18 | Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 54.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 58 h 11 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Tampa Bay/Carolina game. Tampa Bay has played 12 of its last 16 home games 'under' the total, including last week's 27-9 victory over San Francisco. And since 1980, teams that held their previous opponent to less than 10 points have gone 'under' the total 71% of the time when the line was greater than 54 points. Even better: the Panthers have gone 'under' 57-33 when they've been favored by more than 3 points, including 26-9 when playing a division rival. Finally, the 'under' falls into 162-97 and 55-24 Totals Systems of mine. This will be a relatively low-scoring game. Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-22-18 | Falcons v. Saints UNDER 61 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 38 h 0 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons 'UNDER' the total. Both of these teams went UNDER the total last week. And division games have gone UNDER the total 161-118-2 when both teams went 'under' in their previous game, the line was 43+ points. Additionally, the 'under' falls into 70-36 and 79-43 Totals systems of mine. This will be a relatively-low scoring game. Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-22-18 | Bears v. Lions UNDER 44.5 | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our NFC NORTH DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the 'under' in the Chicago/Detroit game. These two teams met just 11 days ago in Chicago. The Bears won a high-scoring contest, 34-22, as a 7-point favorite. In the NFL, when two teams met two games back, and played a high-scoring game that went 'over' the total, the rematch has gone 'under' the total 58% of the time. The Under also falls into a 158-97 Totals System of mine. Take the Bears and Lions UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-18 | Raiders v. Cardinals OVER 41 | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Arizona/Oakland game. Both of these two teams have been hemorrhaging points on defense. In their last four games, the Raiders have given up 27, 42, 34 and 20 points (30.75 ppg), while Arizona has given up 27, 45, 15 and 26 points (28.25 ppg). The over falls into 79-56, 110-73 and 159-108 systems of mine. Take the 'over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-18 | Bengals v. Ravens UNDER 44 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens to go 'under' the total. The Ravens have issues at the quarterback position for this game, as starter Joe Flacco is out with a hip injury. Thus, rookie first-round pick, Lamar Jackson, is going to get the nod, with Robert Griffin III to serve as his back-up. Regardless, though, of who is going to be under center for Baltimore, I love the UNDER. Baltimore has played six of its last seven UNDER the total. And 12 of its last 16 home divisional match-ups have sailed UNDER the total. The Ravens also have gone UNDER in 20 of their last 24 games that were priced between 43.5 and 49.5 points, including 9-1 UNDER if the Ravens were favored in those games by 4+ points. The Bengals also will be without their best offensive player, A.J. Green. Take the Ravens/Bengals UNDER the total. AFC North Total of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-18 | Seahawks v. Rams UNDER 50.5 | Top | 31-36 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 28 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Los Angeles Rams/Seattle Seahawks game. This is the 2nd meeting this season between the Rams and Seahawks. The first meeting was won in high-scoring fashion by the Rams, 33-31. But since that game, the Rams have gone 'under' the total in three of their four games, while Seattle has gone 'under' the total in all three of its games. Moreover, in division games with over/under lines of 47 or more points, the games have gone 'under' 69 percent of the time if both teams scored 28+ points in the season's previous meeting. Finally, nine of Seattle's last 11 road games (and 14 of its last 19 road division games) have gone 'under' the total. Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-18 | Bears v. Bills OVER 37 | Top | 41-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Buffalo Bills/Chicago Bears game. The Bills offense is certainly moribund right now. They've scored just 6 and 5 points in their last two games. And their 87-point total through eight games is the lowest in franchise history. Of course, the over/under line reflects Buffalo's ineptitude. But we're now at the point where there's value in betting on a relatively high-scoring game. Indeed, over the last 31 seasons, NFL teams that scored less than 12 points combined over their two previous games have gone 'over' the total 97-62. Take the 'over' in the Bears/Bills game. NFL Total of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-28-18 | Colts v. Raiders OVER 50.5 | Top | 42-28 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Indianapolis/Oakland game. The Indianapolis Colts' last four games have produced 71, 62, 76 and 42 points. And they've gone 'over' the total by an average of 15.38 points per game. Likewise, Oakland's last four games have gone 'over' the total by an average of 2.75 ppg. Also, the Colts have gone 'over' 28-15-1 in their last 44 road games, while Oakland's gone 'over' 24-12-2 its last 38 home games. This will be very high-scoring. Take the 'over.' NFL Total of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-14-18 | Bucs v. Falcons UNDER 57.5 | Top | 29-34 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 2 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Tampa Bay/Atlanta game. Both of these teams have been involved in very high-scoring games of late, which has helped to move this total to a very high number. The problem for both teams is primarily on defense. The Falcons are off three straight losses, and have surrendered 121 points over their last 3 games, while Tampa is off two straight defeats, and has given up 78 points over those two games. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'over,' but faithful followers know I'm a contrarian at heart. Indeed, NFL teams that gave up 121+ points over their previous three games have gone 'under' the 70.9% over the past 38 years. Last season, for example, the Buffalo Bills gave up 54, 47 and 34 in their previous three games before holding the Chiefs to 10 points, in a 16-10 win (easily going under the 47.5 point total). Likewise, last season, the Broncos had given up 29, 51 and 41 in their previous three games before holding the Bengals to 20, and also going 'under' the total. I look for a similar result, here. Also, Dan Quinn's Falcons have gone 'under' the total in 19 of 29 games off a loss, while the Buccaneers have gone 'under' 31-13-1 off a loss if the line was 46+ points. Take the 'under.' NFL Division Total of the Year. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. And don't miss my NFL Game of the Month, as we're on a 20-4 Run. |
|||||||
10-14-18 | Bills v. Texans OVER 41 | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -104 | 56 h 48 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Buffalo/Houston game. The Texans' quarterback, Deshaun Watson has been upgraded to 'probable,' which was all I needed to pull the trigger on this game to go 'over' the total. Last year, Deshaun Watson made six starts before he suffered a season-ending injury, and the Texans averaged 34.67 points per game. Not surprisingly, the 'over' was 5-1. This season, in five starts, the Texans have gone 'over' in two of the five. Thus, Houston has gone 'over' in seven of his 10 starts. But it must be noted that, in two of the three 'unders,' the games came extremely close to going 'over,' missing by 2.5 and 4 points. Overall, his 10 starts have sailed 'over' the total by an AVERAGE of 11.7 ppg. This will be a high-scoring game. Take the 'over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-07-18 | Raiders v. Chargers UNDER 53 | Top | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 57 h 23 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our NFL Total of the Month is on the 'under' in the Los Angeles Chargers/Oakland Raiders game. This season, the Oakland Raiders' games have averaged 55 points per game (24.25 offense; 30.75 defense), while the Chargers' games have averaged 57.75 points (27.75 offense; 30 defense). The knee-jerk reaction, then, might be to play the 'over' in this contest, but consider that games with Over/Under lines greater than 41 points, between two teams that each average 22.8 ppg, have gone 'under' the total 194 of 337 games, if one or both of the teams have gone 'over' the total in each of their three previous games, including a perfect 5-0 'under' last season. The 'under' has gone 24-6-1 the last 31 times the Raiders have visited the Chargers. Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-30-18 | Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 39 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Seattle/Arizona game. The Seattle Seahawks have played their last two games 'under' the total, while Arizona's gone 'under' in each of its last three games. But we will run the other way, and look for a relatively high-scoring game on Sunday. Indeed, Seattle has gone 'over' the total EIGHT STRAIGHT times off back to back Unders, while Arizona had gone 'over' the total in seven of its last eight (and 16 of its last 21) games after going 'under' in its last three games. That's one reason, I like the 'over' in this game. Another is that the 'over' falls into a Totals System of mine which has cashed 114 of 174 since 1980. Take the 'over.' NFL Total of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
09-23-18 | Bears v. Cardinals OVER 38 | Top | 16-14 | Loss | -109 | 66 h 46 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Chicago Bears/Arizona Cardinals game. The Chicago Bears have scored 23 and 24 points in their first two games, while Arizona has given up 24 and 34 in its first two. Arizona ranks among the bottom 7 teams in defensive efficiency, so I have no doubt the Bears are going to be able to move the ball into the end zone. Arizona also should bounce back on offense after its shutout loss. After all, that shutout was against the Rams, who own the league's very best scoring defense, and who were widely projected going into the season to have the #1 defense this year. And it also was in Arizona's first road game of the year, while this game is at home. Indeed, since 1980, teams that were shut out in their first road game of the season have rebounded to score, on average, 19.93 points per game, if that next game was at home. Finally, teams (like Arizona) off back-to-back unders to start the season tend to go 'over' the total in Week 3, including 82-51 since 1980 if the line was less than 40 points, and 26-12 (regardless of the O/U line) the last five seasons. Take the 'over.' NFL Total of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
|||||||
09-17-18 | Seahawks v. Bears UNDER 43 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Seattle/Chicago game. The Seahawks and Bears both lost their openers last week. Chicago fell, 24-23, to Green Bay, while Seattle lost at Denver, 27-24. Certainly, NFL teams are especially desperate in Week 2 coming off a loss in Week 1, as an 0-2 start to a season is a huge hole out of which to dig, should one aspire to make the Playoffs. So, it's not surprising that match-ups between 0-1 teams have tilted toward the 'under' 57% of the time since 1980 (and 63% if both teams also happened to go 'over' in Week 1). Likewise, Monday Night Football match-ups have also gone 'under' 65.2% since 1980 if both combatants are off a loss, and each went 'over' the total in their previous game. Finally, Chicago's played 19 of its last 30 home games 'under' the total, while Seattle's gone 'under' in seven of its last eight road games off a loss. Take the 'under.' MNF Total of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots OVER 48 | Top | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 325 h 56 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles to go OVER the total. The Over falls into several of my best Totals systems, with records of 49-15, 90-62 and 98-58 since 1980. Also, over the past six Playoff seasons, Bill Belichick's Patriots have gone 'over' the total 9-4-1, including a perfect 5-0 'over' if New England didn't go 'over' in its previous game. Meanwhile, the Eagles have gone 'over' the total in 16 of their last 20 games away from home, including 10-0 'over' if the Eagles were an underdog of +6 points or less. Finally, the Patriots have generally gone 'over' the total when Belichick has had two weeks to prepare, as they've gone 'over' 12-2 the past six seasons in this situation, including 6-0 'over' the past three seasons. Take the 'over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles OVER 38 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 155 h 28 m | Show |
At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Philadelphia/Minnesota game. The Eagles have played three extremely low-scoring games in a row. Last week, they defeated Atlanta, 15-10. Prior to that, they were shut out by Dallas, 6-0, and won 19-10 vs. Oakland. Those three games went 'under' their respective totals by 15, 35 and 17 points. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'under' in this game, but the Over falls into a 65.3% Totals system of mine which plays on certain teams off Unders to reverse course and play a high-scoring game. Also, the Eagles have gone 'Over' 81% since 1999 off 3 or more Unders, while Playoff favorites (like Minnesota) off a high-scoring playoff game in which more than 51 points were scored, have gone 'Over' the total 64% since 1997. Take the Over. NFL Total of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots OVER 46.5 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -105 | 152 h 52 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New England/Jacksonville game. We played on the Over last week in both the New England/Tennessee game, and the Jacksonville/Pittsburgh game, and got the cash in each. And we'll come right back with the Over for this game. The Patriots have now gone 8-0-1 Over in their last nine Playoff games at home or on a neutral field! And the Jaguars are currently riding a 4-2 Over streak. Also, since 1988, NFL Playoff teams have gone 'Over' the total 70% of the time after scoring 44+ points in their previous playoff game (and 79% if the Over/Under line was 45+ points). Take the 'Over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-14-18 | Saints v. Vikings OVER 45.5 | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 108 h 52 m | Show |
At 4:40 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the 'over' in the Minnesota/New Orleans game, as it falls into 46-19, 47-15 and 96-57 Totals systems of mine. The Saints are averaging over 28 points per game this season. And in the NFL playoffs, teams that average more than 27.45 ppg have gone 'Over' the total 62.26% of the time when the over/under line is more than 43 points. Additionally, New Orleans is 9-2 'Over' its last 11 when the line was between 42 and 49 points. And Playoff games where at least one team is rested have gone 'over' the total 57% since 1980. This will be a high-scoring game. Take the 'over.' NFL Total of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-14-18 | Jaguars v. Steelers OVER 41 | Top | 45-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the Pittsburgh/Jacksonville game. In the Jaguars' last game, they managed to score just 10 points, in a 10-3 win. That game's combined point total of 13 points will keep many bettors off the 'Over' here, but that knee-jerk reaction will more than likely be the wrong move. Indeed, NFL games have gone 'Over' in 46 of 70 games, with Over/Under lines less than 43 points, if one of the teams played a game the previous week which didn't total 14+ points. Moreover, the Steelers are 26-8 'Over' the total in the Playoffs when the line was less than 47 points, including 13-0 'Over' since Jan. 11, 1998 when they played at home, or on a neutral field. And the Jags have gone 'Over' the total 44 of 71 when the Over/Under line was 44 or less, and the Jags went 'Under' the total in their previous game. Finally, the Over falls into a 51-24 Playoff Totals system of mine. Take the 'Over.' NFL Elite Info Totals Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-13-18 | Titans v. Patriots OVER 47 | Top | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 65 h 38 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the New England/Tennessee game. The Patriots have played 15 home playoff games over the last 11 seasons. And just three of those 15 games have gone 'Under' the total! That bodes well for this being a high-scoring game. Additionally, the 'Over' falls into a 61-29 Totals system of mine. Take the 'Over.' Good luck, as always…Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles OVER 41 | Top | 10-15 | Loss | -109 | 61 h 48 m | Show |
At 4:35 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the Atlanta/Philadelphia game. The Falcons have gone 'Under' in six straight games. But this should be a relatively high-scoring game, as NFL teams have gone 'Over' in 141 of 250 games off 5+ 'Unders' when the line was 42 or less points. Take the 'Over.' |
|||||||
12-31-17 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 44 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Rams and 49ers to go 'under' the total. These two teams met earlier this season in San Francisco, and the Rams came away with a 41-39 victory. I look for a much lower scoring game on Sunday, as rematches of games where each team scored 28+ points have gone 'under' the total 61.4% since 1980 when the line was greater than 41 points. Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-18-17 | Falcons v. Bucs UNDER 48.5 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs and Atlanta Falcons to go 'under' the total. This play is purely technical in nature, and based on the season stats of Tampa and Atlanta. It falls into 116-60 and 169-111 Totals systems of mine (both of which supported our play last Monday on the 'under' in the Miami/New England game). Interestingly, these two teams have combined for 54, 71 and 55 points in their three previous meetings. The knee-jerk reaction, then, might be to look for another high-scoring game tonight. But consider that division games that have combined for 54+ points in each of the three previous meetings have gone 'under' the total 67.6% of the time over the past 27 years. Finally, Tampa Bay is a solid 19-9 'under' the total its last 28 division games at home (including 8-2 'under' its last 10), while Atlanta is 8-3-2 'under' its last 13 division road games. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-16-17 | Bears v. Lions UNDER 44 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Chicago/Detroit game. Both of these teams went 'under' the total last week. Chicago defeated Cincy, 33-7, and that game went under the posted total of 40.5 by a half-point. Meanwhile, Detroit and Tampa Bay combined for 45 points, which stayed under that game's total of 48. The Bears are 9-4 'under' this season, and have also gone 'under' in 31 of 54 division games. And this game also falls into a 157-94 Totals system of mine. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-14-17 | Broncos v. Colts OVER 40.5 | Top | 25-13 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and Indianapolis Colts Over the total. The Colts lost in overtime to Buffalo last week, 13-7. And that was the fifth straight 'Under' played by the Colts. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play this game 'Under' the total as well, especially since Denver was also involved in a very low-scoring game (23-0) last week vs. the Jets. But consider that NFL teams off 4 straight 'Unders' have gone 'OVER' THE TOTAL 133-86-6 (60.7%) if they scored less than 13 points in their previous game, including 92-46-3 'OVER' if the line was 37+ points! Take the 'Over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-11-17 | Patriots v. Dolphins UNDER 47.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 66 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the 'under' in the Miami/New England game, as it falls into a 90-55 Totals System of mine. Additionally, both of these teams come into Monday's game off stellar defensive performances. The Dolphins held Denver to just 9 points last week, while New England surrendered just 3 points to Buffalo. And NFL match-ups, between two teams that each held their respective previous opponent to less than 10 points, have gone 'Under' 77% of the time since 1980 when the Over/Under line was 45+ points! Moreover, New England is currently on an 8-game win streak keyed by its defense. The Patriots' stop unit hasn't allowed any opponent to score more than 17 points throughout this stretch, and has gone 'Under' in six of the eight games. Take the 'Under.' Monday Night Football Total of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.