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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-04-22 | Chiefs v. Bengals +2.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Bengals 4:25 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Bengals +2.5 (5*) Some will make be a big deal about the revenge factor after Cincinnati knocked of Kansas City twice last season. As a matter of fact, one of the Bengals wins occurred in the AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium. I’ll take the opposite approach and say Cincinnati has the confidence it can beat arguably the most dominant team in the AFC over the past 4 seasons. The Bengals are 3-0 SU&ATS this season in non-division home games. They’re also 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 in that exact role dating back to last season. Cincinnati is currently riding a 3-game win streak with the last 2 of those victories. coming in away games. NFL regular season home underdogs of 3.0 or less that are coming off 3 or more wins in a row with the last 2 coming in away games, and they possess a win percentage of .562 or better, versus an opponent (Chiefs) with a winning record, resulted in those home underdogs of 3.0 or less going a perfect 12-0 SU&ATS. Give me the Bengals plus the small number. |
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12-04-22 | Dolphins v. 49ers -4 | Top | 17-33 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
Dolphins @ 49ers 4:05 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: 49ers -4.0 (10*) Miami is extremely explosive offensively. Nonetheless, this will be that high scoring unit’s toughest task of the season up until now. The 49ers defense has allowed 19 points or fewer in 9 of 11 games this season. They also yielded fewer than 300 yards on 8 separate occasions. Miami is currently on a 5-game win streak but all those beaten opponents currently have a losing record and a cumulative season record of 15-31-1 (.326). The Dolphins are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 this season when facing teams that currently have a winning record. By the way, San Francisco has won its last 4 and outscored those opponents by an average of 16.0 points per game. Give me the 49ers minus the points. |
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12-04-22 | Jets +3 v. Vikings | 22-27 | Loss | -114 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Jets @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Jets +3.0 (5*) This is another line that jump right off the screen at me, and it hasn’t budged all week. The NFL North Division leading Vikings (9-2) as only a 3.0-point favorite against an upstart Jets team (7-4). Public perception will clearly lean toward the Vikings. However, public perception is wrong more times than right. NFL road teams in regular season action Games 12 through 17 who have a point-spread parameter of +3.0 to 2.5 (Jets) and are coming off a home win by 21 points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .538 or better, versus an opponent (Vikings) with a win percentage of .300 or better, resulted in those road teams going 8-0 SU&ATS since 2015. The average victory margin came by 8.8 points per game. It’s a rare but perfect NFL betting angle which makes sense as it applies and aligns to my opening line. |
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11-28-22 | Steelers v. Colts -2 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Indianapolis 8:15 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Indianapolis -2.0 (5*) Pittsburgh is coming off a 37-30 division home loss to Cincinnati in their previous game. That defeat dropped the Steelers season record to 3-7 (.300). Any NFL team (Colts) that’s +2.5 to -2.5, versus an opponent (Steelers) with a win percentage of .250 to .400 that’s coming off a division loss by 7 points or fewer, resulted in those teams like Indianapolis going 12-0 SU&ATS since 2017. The average margin of victory came by 7.8 points per game. Give me Indianapolis minus the small number. |
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11-27-22 | Rams v. Chiefs -15 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
Rams @ Chiefs 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Chiefs 15.0 (5*) The Rams are reeling right now. They’ll be without their starting quarterback Mathew Stafford and all-pro wide receiver Cooper Kupp who will be sidelined by injuries. Los Angeles limps into this contest on a 4-game losing streak in which they were 0-3-1 ATS as well. The Chiefs offense is peaking right now. They have accounted for 319 yards or more passing in each of their previous 5 games. Kansas City’s offense has also amassed 486 yards or more of total offense in each of their previous 3 games. NFL home favorites of 10.5 or more with a winning record, versus teams with a win percentage of .250 to .400 that enter a contest on a on 2 or more game losing streak, resulted in those double-digit home favorites going 20-0 ATS since 2013. The average margin of victory came by an enormous 24.0 points per game. Give me the Chiefs minus the points. |
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11-27-22 | Saints v. 49ers -9 | 0-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
Saints @ 49ers 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: 49ers -9.0 (5*) New Orleans is coming off a 27-20 home win over banged up and struggling Rams team. However, the Saints have failed to win 2 games in a row all season and are 0-3 SU&ATS following a victory. New Orleans is also 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 away games. San Francisco is coming off a 38-10 blowout win over Arizona and has the look of a team that’s primed for an extremely strong finish to their regular season slate. The 49ers defense has been tremendous in 9 of their 10 games played with the only exception coming against Kansas City who is arguably the NFL’s best offensive team. As a matter of fact, the 49ers are #1 in total defense while allowing a mere 283.9 yards per game, #3 in scoring defense at 17.3 points per contest, and has amassed the 4th most sacks at 32. |
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11-27-22 | Bengals v. Titans +1.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
Bengals @ Titans 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Tennessee +1.5 (10*) Under the guidance of head coach Mike Vrabel, and since the start of last season, Tennessee has gone 8-0 SU&ATS as regular season underdog of 1.5 to 6.5. As a matter of fact, since the beginning of the 2020 season, the Titans are 11-1 SU&ATS in that identical role under Vrabel. Lastly, since the start of last season, the Titans are 4-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog. |
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11-24-22 | Giants v. Cowboys -10 | Top | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 18 m | Show |
Game# 107-108 Play On: Dallas -10.0 (10*) Both teams are 7-3 but that’s where the similarity ends. Dallas is a legitimate contender to reach the Super Bowl and is getting better each week as the season has progressed. The Giants have been a nice story as they’ve vastly overachieved and the statistical numbers and analytic convincingly support those statements. Dallas is coming off a 40-3 win at Minnesota (8-2). While the Giants come off a home favorite SU loss to Detroit (4-6). NFL home favorites of 6.5 to 12 after Game 4 and are coming off an away win by 23 or more in which it scored 28 points or greater, versus an opponent (Giants) who is coming off a home favorite SU loss, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The average victory margin came by 22.0 points per game. |
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11-20-22 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show | |
Kansas City @ LA Chargers 8:20 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Chargers +5.5 (5*) Kansas City has ruled the roost in the AFC West for several seasons. Although, the Chargers have enjoyed more success than most against them recently. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Kansas City. They were also 2-3 SU in those contests and their 3 losses came by just a combined 12 points. Los Angeles should also receive a huge boost with the return of starting wide receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams from injuries. The Chargers offense takes on a whole other level when both players have been healthy and on the field at the same time. If the Chargers have any hope of realistically winning the AFC West Division, then this is a must-win game. At the very worse this goes right down to the wire which favors underdogs of better than a field goal. Personally, I believe the Chargers are full capable of pulling off the upset in this spot. Nevertheless, I won’t be greedy and take the points. Give me the LA Chargers plus the points. |
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11-20-22 | Panthers v. Ravens -12.5 | 3-13 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 23 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Baltimore -12.5 (5*) Carolina is coming off a 25-15 home underdog SU win over Atlanta. NFL betting historu throughout the past 29 season has shown that double-digit road underdogs coming off a home underdog SU win don’t fare well at all in the following game. Any NFL home favorite of 11.5 to 16.0 (Baltimore) that’s playing after Game 2, versus an opponent (Carolina) coming off a home underdog upset win, resulted in those home favorites within that point-spread parameter going 26-2 ATS (92.8%) since 1994. The home teams also won all 28 of those games SU and by an enormous average of 23.4 points per game. Give me Baltimore minus the double-digit number. |
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11-20-22 | Bears v. Falcons -2.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Atlanta 1:00 PM ET Game# 465-466 Play On: Atlanta -2.5 (5*) Atlanta is 3-2 at home this season and their 2 losses came by only a combined 4 points. Although the Falcons are an uninspiring 4-6 this season, they still only trail 1st place Tampa Bay by 1.0-game in the NFC South standing. The Falcons enter Sunday on it’s 2nd 2-game losing streak of the season. The last time that occurred, they followed it up with an impressive 27-23 win at Seattle (6-4) who currently is the NFC West Division leader. By the way, Chicago is 5-15 SU and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 away games. Give me Atlanta minus the points. |
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11-17-22 | Titans v. Packers -3 | 27-17 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
Tennessee @ Green Bay 8:15 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Green Bay -3.0 (5*) You may be wondering how 6-3 (.666) Tennessee is an underdog versus a Packers team with an uninspiring 4-6 (.400) record. Well, look inside the numbers and you’ll find that Green Bay despite their losing record has outgained their opponents by an average of 32.0 yards per game. Conversely, Tennessee is somehow 3 games above .500 despite being outgained 76.0 yards per game. The Titans also average a paltry 281.7 yards of total offense per game on the season. We must also keep in mind, that Green Bay is 24-3 in their last 27 home games and that includes 14-0 if after Game 6. The Packers are averaging an impressive 35:17 in time of possession in their 4 home games this season. The Packers are coming off a momentum building 31-28 home overtime win over Dallas in a game they overcame a 14-point 4th quarter deficit. NFL favorites of 9.5 or less that are coming off a SU&ATS win in which they covered by 4.0-points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .428 or better, resulted in those favorites going 14-0 SU&ATS since 2017. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests came by an average of 13.1 points per game. Give me Green Bay minus the points. |
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11-13-22 | Cardinals +3 v. Rams | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
Arizona @ LA Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Arizona +3.0 (5*) This will be a meeting between teams that have played well below expectations thus far. The defending world champion Rams have scored 14 points or fewer in 5 of 8 games this season. Conversely, although Arizona hasn’t exactly accumulated an enormous number of total yards during its past 3 game, they have been extremely opportunistic. Case in point, during that previously mentioned 3- game stretch, Arizona has an excellent 1 point scored per every 10.8 yards gained ratio. It’s also worth noting, that since the start of last season, Arizona is a perfect 7-0 ATS versus opponents that average forcing 1.0 or less turnover per game. The Rams have forced just 8 turnovers in 8 games and 7 of those takeaways occurred in the first 2 weeks of the season. Give me Arizona plus the points. |
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11-13-22 | Cowboys v. Packers +4.5 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Green Bay 4:25 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Green Bay +4.5 (5*) Dallas looks like the sucker bet of the week. The Cowboys are coming off a bye week and their last game resulted in an impressive 49-29 home win over Chicago. On the flip side to this equation is a Green Bay team which has lost 5 straight and has looked pathetic offensively while doing so. However, only 1 of those 5 losses occurred at home. The fact remains, the Packers still possess an extremely strong home field, and couple that with being an underdog, equals betting value. How strong is their home field advantage? I’m glad you asked, Green Bay has gone 23-3 (.885) in their last 26 regular season home games. I’m taking the Lambeau Leap! Give me the Packers plus the points. |
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11-13-22 | Colts v. Raiders -4.5 | 25-20 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
Indianapolis @ Las Vegas 4:05 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Las Vegas -4.5 (5*) The Raiders are in a rare situation in which they’re coming off away favorite SU losses in each of their previous 2 games. NFL betting history on home favorites within the current point-spread parameter have done have never failed to cover in that rarified air. That’s been especially the case of those games took place in the 2nd half of the season. Furthermore, they’ll be facing a Colts team that’s gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and scored a pathetic 9.7 points per game. NFL home favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 like Las Vegas that are coming off back-to-back away favorite SU losses, and they’re playing after Game 8, resulted in those favorites within those point-spread parameters going 11-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory 11 contests came by a convincing 16.2 points per game. Give me Las Vegas minus the points. |
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11-13-22 | Browns +4 v. Dolphins | Top | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 6 m | Show |
Browns @ Dolphins 1:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Browns +4.0 (10*) Miami is currently on a 3-game win streak. However, those 3 victories came against Pittsburgh (2-6), Detroit (2-6), and Chicago (3-6) who have a combined season record of 7-18 (.280). Furthermore, all 3 of those wins came by 6 points or fewer. During their previous game which resulted in a 35-32 win at Chicago, they allowed the Bears to rush for 252 yards and an alarmingly high average of 6.3 yards per attempt. Miami will be facing Cleveland’s #3 rushing offense in the NFL that averages 164.6 yards per game on the ground and 5.0 yards per attempt. The only teams that rank higher than Cleveland in that department are the Bears and Ravens, and both have extremely mobile quarterbacks (Lamar Jackson, Justin Fields) who have combined to rush for 1237 yards thus far this season. So, we can make a strong case that the Dolphins defense will be facing the best conventional rushing attack in the NFL. Cleveland is just 3-5 this season. However, 4 of their 5 losses came by just a combined 9 points. With a little bit of luck, they very easily could be 7-1. My point being, the Browns are a much better team than their record indicates. They’ll also enter this contest off a momentum building 32-13 home win over the defending AFC champion Cincinnati Bengals and did so as a 3.0-point home underdog. Additionally, the Browns are coming off their bye week while Miami played last Sunday. The Browns will be able to run the ball with a high degree of success and in turn dominate time of possession. Hence, limiting an explosive Dolphins offense in terms of number of possessions. By the way, Cleveland has gone 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5 or greater and won 3 of those 7 contests straight up. Their 4 SU losses in that situation all came by 5 points or fewer. Give me the Browns plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-13-22 | Seahawks +3 v. Bucs | 16-21 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
Seattle @ Tampa Bay 9:30 AM ET Game# 241-242 Play On: Seattle +3.0 (5*) Seattle is coming off a 31-21 win over Arizona. The Seahawks have now gone a red-hot 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 with 3 of those coming as an underdog. Conversely, Tampa Bay is coming off a 20-17 home win over the Rams. Prior to that victory, the Bucs were 0-3 SU&ATS in their previous 3 and 1-5 SU&ATS over its last 6. What was perceived to be a potent Tampa Bay offense before the season began has fizzled to the tune of scoring 22 points or fewer in 8 of 9 games. NFL teams like Seattle that are coming off a division SU win by 8 points or greater, versus an opponent (Tampa Bay) with a win percentage of .888 or less and coming off a home win by 3 points or fewer, resulted in those teams like Seattle going 31-0 SU since 1993. If those teams were an underdog in those contests, they were 4-0 SU&ATS. The average point-spread in those 4 contests was 4.3 and the margin of victory came by a decisive 14.7 points per game. Give me Seattle plus the points. |
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11-06-22 | Rams v. Bucs -2.5 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
LA Rams @ Tampa Bay 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Tampa Bay -2.5 (5*) This is a battle of 2 NFC teams who are off to extremely disappointing starts to the season. Keep in mind, these teams are the last 2 Super Bowl winners. The good news, barring a push, 1 of these teams will get an ATS cover. The Rams are coming off a last Sunday’s 31-14 loss to their bitter rival San Francisco 49ers which dropped their season record to 3-4 (.428). The Rams offense has been ineffective over its last 4 contests while averaging only 14.3 points scored and 290.1 yards gained per game. Tampa Bay has gone a shocking 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS in their previous 6. They enter this week with a vastly underachieving 3-5 record. However, Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay offense have still generated an impressive 306.8 yards per game passing throughout their previous 5 contests. The Buccaneers will also be out to revenge a 30-27 home loss to the Rams in the NFC Divisional Round this past January. NFL favorites playing after Game 7, and they’re facing an opponent (Rams) with a win percentage of .400 to .490 that’s coming off a SU favorite loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those favorites going 17-1 SU&ATS (94.4%) since 2013. Give me Tampa Bay minus the points. |
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11-06-22 | Vikings v. Commanders +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Washington 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Washington +3.0 (5*) Minnesota is coming off last Sunday’s 34-26 home win over Arizona. Washington is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 which includes last week’s upset win as an underdog at Indianapolis. NFL home underdogs of 3.5 or less (Washington) playing after Game 6 who have gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3, and their previous win came as an underdog, and they’re facing an opponent (Minnesota) coming off a SU win, resulted in this home underdogs going 16-0 ATS since 1981. The underdogs also went 15-1 SU in those contests. Give me Washington plus the points. |
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11-06-22 | Chargers -3 v. Falcons | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 24 h 54 m | Show | |
LA Chargers @ Atlanta 1:00 PM ET Game#461-462 Play On: LA Chargers -3.0 (5*) The Atlanta Falcons enter Week 9 of the season sitting atop the NFC South standings with a 4-3 record. Yet, they’re a home underdog against a Chargers team which has an identical 4-3 record. The Chargers will be able to move the ball through the air with ease in this matchup. The Chargers are #4 in pass offense through 8 weeks while averaging 279.4 yards per game. Conversely, Atlanta is dead last in the NFL when it comes to pass defense while allowing an alarmingly high 306.9 yards per game. The Chargers are coming off a 37-23 loss to Seattle as a 4.5-point home favorite. NFL away favorites of 7.0 or less (Chargers) coming off a SU favorite upset loss in which they allowed 35 points or greater, resulted in those road favorites going 20-1 ATS and 21-0 SU since 2015. The average victory margin in those 21 contests came by a decisive 13.6 points per game. Give me the Chargers minus the points. |
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10-30-22 | 49ers v. Rams +1 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
San Francisco @ LA Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Rams +1.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off a bye week and were a 24-10 home winner over Carolina in their previous game. San Francisco is coming off an embarrassing 44-23 home loss to Kansas City which dropped their season record to a disappointing 3-4. NFL home teams (Rams) off a home win by 10-points or more, versus an opponent coming off a home loss by 21 points or greater (49ers) and they have a losing season record, resulted in those home teams going 21-0 SU since 1984. The average margin of victory in those 21 contests came by 11.0 points per game. The SU betting angle takes on added significance because it backs the current 1.0-point underdog LA Rams. Give me the LA Rams for a 10* Top Play. |
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10-30-22 | Bears v. Cowboys -10 | 29-49 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Dallas 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Dallas -10.0 (5*) Chicago is coming off a huge 33-14 upset win at New England this past Monday night in a game they closed as a 9.5-point underdog. Since 2020, the Bears have gone 0-5 SU&ATS as an away underdog following an away win in their previous game and lost by an average of 13.4 points per contest. Since the start of last season, Dallas has gone 7-0 SU&ATS as a favorite when facing teams with a losing record. The Cowboys won those 7 contests by an average of 18.6 points per game. The Cowboys lead the NFL in sacks with 29. Conversely, Chicago is dead last in the NFL in sacks allowed with 27, and that’s with an extremely mobile quarterback in Justin Fields. This isn’t exactly a good matchup for a Bears offense against an outstanding Dallas defense that allows just. That’s especially so if they fall behind by more than one score since their passing offense is also dead last in the NFL. NFL home favorites of 7.5 or greater (Dallas) with a win percentage of less than .750, versus an opponent (Chicago) coming off an away underdog of 7.5 to 14.0 ATS win, resulted in those home favorites going 9-0 SU&ATS since 2009. The average victory margin came by an enormous average of 23.9 points per game. Give me Dallas minus the points. |
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10-30-22 | Panthers +4 v. Falcons | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
Carolina @ Atlanta 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Carolina +4.0 (5*) Carolina showed a ton of heart and character in last Sunday’s 21-3 home win over Tampa Bay in a gme they closed as a 13.0-point underdog. Atlanta received a dose of reality in last week’s 35-17 loss at Cincinnati in a game they closed as a 6.5-point underdog. NFL away underdogs of 4.5 or less (Carolina) in Games 2 through 16 with a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Atlanta) coming off an away SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 7.0 or more and they have a win percentage of .400 to .490, resulted in those away underdogs of 4.5 or less going 15-0 ATS since 1981. They also went 13-1-1 SU as well. Give me Carolina plus the points. |
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10-23-22 | Steelers v. Dolphins -7 | 10-16 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Dolphins 8:20 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Dolphins -7.0 (-120) (5*) The Dolphins will be desperate after spoiling their 3-0 start and losing each of their previous 3 games. They will be facing a Steelers team off a huge 20-18 upset win at home versus Tampa Bay and they did so as a 9.5-point underdog. Since 1998, NFL home favorites of 6.5 or greater (Dolphins) playing before Game 14, versus an opponent (Steelers) coming off a SU win by 6 points or fewer and as an underdog ranging from 7.0 to 14.0, resulted in those sizable home favorites going 13-0 SU&ATS. The average victory margin came by an enormous 22.3 points per game. Give me the Dolphins minus the points. |
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10-23-22 | Lions +6.5 v. Cowboys | 6-24 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
Lions @ Cowboys 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Lions +6.5 (5*) NFL away underdogs of between 6.5 and 10.0 (Lions) that are coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they held scoreless, and they’re facing an opponent (Cowboys) with a season win percentage of .800 or less, resulted in those away underdogs going 11-1 ATS since 1984. Furthermore, those underdogs also went 9-3 SU during those contests. Give me the Lions plus the points. |
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10-23-22 | Falcons v. Bengals -6.5 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Bengals 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Bengals -6.5 (5*) NFL home favorites (Bengals) of between 4.5 to 9.5 that are coming off a SU win, versus an opponent (Falcons) with a win percentage ranging from .450 to .550 and they’re coming off an underdog SU win by 14 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 12-1 ATS since 1993. The home favorites also won all 13 of those contests SU and by a decisive margin of 14.8 points per game. Give me the Bengals minus the points. |
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10-23-22 | Packers -4.5 v. Washington Commanders | 21-23 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
Packers @ Commanders 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Packers -4.5 (5*) NFL favorites of 4.0 or greater (Packers) with a win percentage of .538 or worse that are coming off back-to-back SU favorite losses, and they’re playing after Game 5, resulted in those favorites going 12-1 ATS since 2003. Give me the Packers minus the points. |
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10-23-22 | Colts v. Titans -2.5 | Top | 10-19 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show |
Colts @ Titans 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Tennessee -2.5 (10*) Indianapolis is coming off 2 straight wins but there were red flags to take into consideration moving forward. The Colts allowed an average of 184.0 yards rushing per game in those 2 wins, and that doesn’t bode well for this matchup since they’ll be facing a great running back in Derrick Henry. Tennessee is coming off a bye week and that’s a noteworthy from a betting perspective. Since Mike Vrabel has been their head coach, the Titans have gone 4-0 SU&ATS in regular season games following a bye week, and with a substantial average victory margin of 20.5 points per contest. Tennessee has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 versus Indianapolis and that includes a 24-17 road victory on just 3 weeks ago. The Titans were a 21-17 winner at Washington in their previous game and that made them 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3. Since 2014, NFL teams (Titans) with a point-spread ranging from +2.5 to -3.0 with a win percentage of .510 to .600 that’s coming off a SU&ATS win, versus an opponent (Colts) with a win percentage of .571 to .750, resulted in those teams going 10-0 SU&ATS. The average victory margin in those 10 contests was 13.1 points per game. Give me Tennessee minus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
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10-20-22 | Saints +2.5 v. Cardinals | 34-42 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
Saints @ Cardinals 8:20 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: New Orleans +2.5 (5*) Arizona has lost 8 consecutive home games and we’re talking about a team that qualified for the playoffs last season. Furthermore, 5 of those 8 home losses came as a favorite. The Cardinals are also coming off a 19-9 SU favorite loss at Seattle last week that dropped their season record to an extremely disappointing 2-4. Conversely, since 2018, New Orleans has gone 27-8 SU and 24-11 ATS during its last 35 away games. That includes going 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 as an away underdog. The Saints have scored 25 points or more in their last 3 games. On the other hand, Arizona has scored 17 points or fewer in 3 of their last 4 games. Give me the Saints plus the small number. |
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10-17-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -4 | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Broncos @ Chargers 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Chargers -4.0 (5*) The Chargers are coming off back-to-back away favorite ATS covers. Denver is coming off a 12-9 home loss to Indianapolis. NFL home favorites of -4.0 to -15.0 that are coming off 2 consecutive away favorite covers, and they’re facing a team (Broncos) coming off a non-division loss, resulted in those home favorites going 19-3 ATS since 1957. The home favorites also won all 22 of those contests straight up by an average of 17.5 points per game. Give me the Chargers minus the points. |
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10-16-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles -6 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Eagles 8:20 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Eagles -6.0 (10*) Dallas is coming off a 22-10 road win over the Rams. The Eagles are coming off a 20-17 win over Arizona and failed to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. That victory improved the Eagles record to a perfect 6-0. Philadelphia has now gone 16-16 SU in their last 32 games played. NFL home favorites of between 5.5 to 12.0 with a win percentage of better than .600 playing after Game 5 of the season, and they’re coming off an away win in which they scored 13 or more and allowed 24 or less and failed to cover, and they’ve won 24 or fewer of their last 32 games played versus an opponent who scored 31 or less in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 17-0 SU&ATS since 1982. The average margin of victory in those 17 contests came by an enormous 22.2 points per game. Give me the Eagles minus the points. |
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10-16-22 | Cardinals -2 v. Seahawks | 9-19 | Loss | -112 | 25 h 8 m | Show | |
Cardinals @ Seahawks 4:05 PM ET Game#269-270 Play On: Cardinals -2.0 (5*) Arizona has unusual home/away splits to start the season. The Cardinals are 0-3 SU&ATS at home and 2-0 SU&ATS in away games. That road success isn’t out of the ordinary for Arizona. Since the start of last season, Arizona has gone 10-1 SU&ATS during regular season away games. The Cardinals are coming off a 20-17 loss to Philadelphia, but they covered as a home underdog of +5.5. That loss dropped their season record to 2-3 (.400). Conversely, Seattle is coming off a 39-32 loss at New Orleans. NFL road favorites of 3.0 or less (Cardinals) with a win percentage between .250 and .600, and they’re coming off a SU loss but covered as an underdog, versus an opponent (Seahawks) coming off a SU loss by 16 or less in which they also allowed 20 points or more, resulted in the away favorites of 3.0 or less going 12-0 SU&ATS since 1986. The average victory margin came by a decisive 16.1 points per game. Give me the Cardinals minus the small number. |
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10-16-22 | Patriots v. Browns -2.5 | 38-15 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Browns -2.5 (5*) The Browns are coming off a 31-29 home loss to the Chargers. New England is coming off a 29-0 home win over Detroit. New England has gone 1-5 SU and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. That includes 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS as a road underdog. Any NFL team with a point-spread between +3.0 and -3.0 (Browns) that’s coming off a SU loss by 3 or less, versus an opponent (Patriots) that allowed 6 points or fewer in their previous contest, resulted in those teams going 38-11 SU&ATS (77.5%) since 1982. Give me the Browns minus the points. |
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10-16-22 | Ravens v. Giants +6 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Giants 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Giants +6.0 (5*) The Giants are coming off a 27-22 upset win over Green Bay last Sunday. That win improved their season record to a surprising 4-1 (.800). They will be facing a Baltimore team coming off a narrow 19-17 home win over Cincinnati last Sunday. NFL non-division home underdogs playing after Game 3 that are coming off a SU win by 2 points or more, and they have win percentage of .800 or better, versus an opponent coming off a SU win by 28 or less, resulted in those home underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 1986. The average line in those 15 games was +3.1 and the underdogs won 12 of those contests straight up. Give me the Giants plus the points. |
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10-16-22 | Jets v. Packers -7.5 | 27-10 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
Jets @ Packers 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Packers -7.5 (5*) Green Bay is coming off a 27-22 loss to the Giants in their previous game. That defeat dropped their season record to 3-2. The Jets are coming off a division home underdog SU win over Miami. NFL favorites of between 5.0 and 12.0 (Packers) with a winning record, versus an opponent (Jets) with a winning record and coming off a division home underdog SU win, resulted in those NFL favorites going 25-4 ATS (86.2%) since 1990. If those favorites were coming off a loss, this betting angle improves to 9-0 SU&ATS with an average margin of victory coming by 19.0 points per game. Give me the Packers minus the points. |
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10-10-22 | Raiders +8 v. Chiefs | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Raiders @ Chiefs 8:15 PM ET Game# 479-480 Play On: Raiders +8.0 (5*) This sets up as a potential flat spot for Kansas City. They’re coming off a 41-31 win at Tampa Bay in their previous game which avenged their 2021 Super Bowl loss to the Bucs. Next up for the Chiefs is what figures to be a mega-hyped home game versus a Buffalo team which is, and continues to be, the favorite to win the AFC. Sandwiched between those 2 contests is a game versus the 1-3 Las Vegas Raiders who they swept last season by blowout scores of 48-9 and 41-14. By the way, the Chiefs are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 regular season games as a home favorite of 9.0 or less versus an opponent with a win percentage of .750 or less. All 3 of those contests took place last season and Kansas City lost 2 of those games straight up. The Raiders are coming off their first win of the season after last week’s 32-23 win over Denver in a game they covered as a 2.5-point home favorite. Since the start of last season, Las Vegas has gone 4-0 SU&ATS as an away underdog of between 4.0 to 9.5. The average line in those 4 contests was +6.5 and the underdog Raiders won all 4 SU by an average of 6.3 points per game. Any NFL division away underdog of between 5.5 to 9.5 that’s coming off a dive home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 17.5 or less, and they’re facing a team that allowed 13 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those away underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 1994. Those away underdogs also went 8-6-1 SU as well. Give me the Raiders plus the points. |
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10-09-22 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show |
Bengals @ Ravens 8:20 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Bengals +3.5 (10*) Baltimore is a mentality fragile team right now. They’re 0-2 at home this season while blowing leads of 17 versus Buffalo and 21 points against Miami in doing so. This will be their first meeting with Cincinnati this season after losing twice versus the Bengals last year by scores of 41-21 and 41-17. The Ravens defense has looked vulnerable in 3 of their 4 games this season and I look for Cincinnati’s offense to expose them once again. After starting the season with a pair of narrow 3-point losses, Cincinnati has roared back with 2 straight wins and covered both of those contests as a favorite. It worth noting the obvious of Cincinnati having 3 days more rest than Baltimore heading into this matchup. This is a Bengals team that’s also gone an extremely profitable 10-5 SU and 12-3 ATS during its last 15 away games. That includes 9-0 ATS and 7-2 SU if they were an underdog of 2.5 or greater in those contests. Any NFL division road underdog of 3.5 or less that’s playing in Games 3 through 8, and is playing an opponent (Ravens) who will be playing with double revenge, resulted in those away underdogs going 12-0 SU&ATS since 2009. Now only did the away dogs cover all 12 contests but they won all of them SU by an average of 11.0-points per game. Give me the Bengals plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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10-09-22 | Steelers v. Bills -14 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Bills 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Buffalo -14.0 (5*) Since winning at Cincinnati in their season opener, Pittsburgh has lost 3 consecutive games in a row. Rookie 1st round draft choice Kenny Pickett will make his first career NFL start on Sunday. He will be doing so in one of the most hostile environments that NFL visiting teams are subjected to. Pickett came on in relief of Mitch Trurbisky last week and went 10-13 for 120 yards. However, although that performance line looks impressive, he had 0 touchdown passes and his only 3 incompletions were all interceptions. During their 1-3 start to the season, Pittsburgh is being outgained by an average of 104.2 yards per game. Under head coach Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh is 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 on the road following a SU loss in its previous contest and was outscored by an average of 14.7 points per game. The Bills will be missing a minimum 4 starters on Sunday. However, we’ve seen very little if any line movement, and they possess as good or better, quality depth than any team in the NFL. Buffalo is 3-1 thus far and is outgaining opponents by an average of 178.0 yards per game. Under head coach Sean McDermott, Buffalo is 7-0 SU and 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 as a home favorite of 10.0 or more and outscored those opponents by an average of 21.7 points per game. Any NFL home favorite of 10.5 or greater (Buffalo) with a winning record, versus an opponent (Steelers) coming off losses in each of their previous 2 games and they have a win percentage of .250 to .400, resulted in those home favorites going 19-0 SU&ATS since 2013. The average victory margin in those 19 contests came by an average of 23.4 points per game. Give me Buffalo minus the points. |
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10-09-22 | Titans v. Washington Commanders +1 | 21-17 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
Titans @ Commanders 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Commanders +1.0 (5*) Since winning their opening game versus Jacksonville, Washington has gone a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS and lost by an average of 13.3 points per game. Nevertheless, they’re just a 1.5-point underdog versus an opponent that was the #1 seed in the AFC last season, and is coming off wins in their last 2 games. It’s seldom as easy as it looks when it comes to NFL betting. Tennessee is coming of 2 consecutive SU wins, and both came as underdogs. NFL teams haven’t fared well at all when in that exact situation over the past 5 decades. Specifically speaking, NFL teams coming off 2 consecutive SU underdog wins have gone a dismal 39-111-1 SU and 56-95 ATS (37.1%) since 1982 when facing non-division opponents. Give me the Commanders plus the small number. |
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10-02-22 | Patriots +10.5 v. Packers | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
Patriots @ Packers 4:25 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Patriots +10.5 (10*) I may be in the minority, but I’m not as high on New England starting quarterback Mac Jones as most others are. As a matter of fact, I truly believe that there’s very little drop off by going to the veteran Booby Hoyer who will get the start due to Jones being on the shelf with an ankle injury. New England is coming off last Sunday’s 37-26 home loss to Baltimore. Under Bill Belichick, New England has gone 26-6 SU&ATS following a loss in which they allowed 31 points or more. That also includes 13-1 SU in their last 14 if they’re coming off a home defeat. Green Bay is 2-1 thus far but it’s been the Packers defense that has far outplayed their offensive teammates. The Packers are averaging just 16.0 points scored per game. Furthermore, they are averaging 1.0 point scored per 22.2 yards gained which is terrible. They’ll be facing a solid New England defensive unit which is surrendering only 314.7 yards per game. NFL underdogs versus teams that average 17.0 or fewer points scored per game are 21-3 ATS (87.5%) since 2018. They also went 14-11 SU during those contests. Give me the Patriots plus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
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10-02-22 | Cardinals v. Panthers +1 | 26-16 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
Cardinals @ Panthers 4:05 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Panthers +1.0 (5*) Arizona has gone 9-1 SU&ATS during its last 10 regular season away games. Nonetheless, the Cardinals are coming off a 20-12 division home loss to the Rams which left them with a 1-2 record. Arizona is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 away following a division home loss and were outscored by 17.3 points per game. Carolina is coming off a 22-14 home win over New Orleans which improved their season mark to 1-2. The Panthers 2 losses have come by a combined 5 points. So, with a little bit of luck they could very easily be 3-0. The Panthers are a poor 7-22 during their last 29 at home, and last week’s home win over New Orleans snapped an 0-7 SU&ATS skid in games played at Charlotte. Additionally, 6 of those previously mentioned 7 home wins have come when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. Any NFL home team with a win percentage of .250 to .400 that’s coming off a win in which they scored 22 points or more, versus an opponent with a losing record and is coming off a loss in which they scored 21 points or fewer, resulted in those home teams going 17-1 SU (94.4%) since 2016. If those home teams were -2.5 to +4.5, they were a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS with an average victory margin of 8.8 points per game. Give me the Panthers. |
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10-02-22 | Titans v. Colts -3.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
Titans @ Colts 1:00 PM ET Game# 253-254 Play On: Colts -3.5 (5*) Tennessee’s offensive strength is their running game. However, that aspect of their game has been disappointing throughout their first 3 games of the season. It doesn’t get any easier against a Colts defense which has held their first 3 opponents to a mere 77 yards rushing per game and a paltry 2.6 yards per attempt. Furthermore, after trading away start wide receiver A.J. Brown to Philadelphia during the offseason, the Titans sorely are lacking a receiver that can threaten opponents in the deep vertical passing game. Another concern for Tennessee is their defense is allowing 145 yards per game rushing and will have the unenviable task of trying to slow down star Colts running back Jonathan Taylor. Give me the Colts minus the points. |
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10-02-22 | Jaguars v. Eagles -6.5 | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 22 h 38 m | Show | |
Jaguars @ Eagles 1:00 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: Eagles -6.5 (5*) Philadelphia is coming off last Sunday’s 24-8 win over Washington and covered easily as a 6.0-point favorite. Jacksonville is coming off a 38-10 road win over the Los Angeles Chargers in a game they closed as a 6.5-point underdog. This sets up an unbeaten NFL ATS betting angle which is shown below. Any NFL home favorite of 10.5 or less (Eagles) that’s coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 9.5-points or greater, versus an opponent (Jaguars) off an away underdog SU win and has a win percentage of .416 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS. The average victory margin for those home favorites was 15.5 points per game. Give me the Eagles minus the points. |
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09-29-22 | Dolphins v. Bengals -4 | Top | 15-27 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
Dolphins @ Bengals 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Bengals -4.0 (10*) Miami is coming off a physically grueling 21-19 home upset win over Buffalo. That game was played in extremely hot and humid conditions. Now they have a task of facing the AFC defending champion Cincinnati Bengals on the road and with just 3 days of rest. Stop and think for a second, we have a 3-0 Dolphins team that’s better than a field goal underdog, and they’re facing an opponent who’s 1-2. My educated guess is public betting will side with the underdog for just that reason alone. It’s very seldom that simple or easy when it comes to sports betting. Like I’ve said on numerous occasions and it’s worth repeating. Think like an oddsmaker and you will be much better for it. By the way, since the start of last season, Cincinnati has gone 10-3 SU and 11-2 ATS when facing teams with a winning record. This will be their first game of the season versus a team with a winning record. The Bengals are coming off a much-needed 27-12 road win over the Jets while easily covering as a 6.5-point favorite. Any NFL non-division home favorite of 3.0 or more (Bengals) with a win percentage of .900 or less that’s playing after Game 3 of the season, versus an opponent (Dolphins) coming off a division home underdog SU win, resulted in those home favorites going 19-2 ATS (90.5%) since 1985. Give me the Bengals minus the points for my NFL Thursday Game of the Month. |
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09-25-22 | 49ers v. Broncos +2 | Top | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
San Francisco @ Denver 8:20 PM ET Game# 487-488 Play On: Denver +2.0 (10*) Denver has an extremely successful win rate when playing at home during the first 3 games of the season while going 38-9 SU (80.9%). Denver is coming off a 16-9 home win over Houston last Sunday but failed to cover as a sizable 10-5-point favorite. The 49ers are coming off an easy 27-7 home win over Seattle last week. NFL home teams that are coming off a SU win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, and they’re playing in Games 2 through 5, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a division win, resulted in those home teams going 26-3 SU (89.7%) since 1990. If their road opponent’s division win came by 9 points or more, that identical NFL SU betting angle improves to 14-0 SU since 1990. The straight up betting angle takes on added value because it backs the home underdog Denver Broncos in this matchup. Give me the Denver Broncos plus the small number for a 10* Top Play. |
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09-25-22 | Bengals v. Jets +6 | 27-12 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 44 m | Show | |
Bengals @ Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 465-466 Play On: Jets +6.0 (5*) The Bengals find themselves in a rare situation as an away favorite and coming off a pair of 3-point losses. Any NFL away favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming of 2 consecutive losses by 3 points or fewer, resulted in those away favorites going 0-4 SU&ATS since 1980 and were defeated by an average of 10.3 points per game. The Jets are coming off a remarkable and unlikely comeback win last Sunday in Cleveland. They overcame a 30-17 deficit to win 31-30 after scoring 2 touchdowns with less than 2 minutes to play. They closed as a 6.5-point underdog in that contest. Any NFL non-division home underdog of 5.0 to 8.5 that’s coming off an away underdog SU win, and they’re playing in Game 2 through Game 6 of their season, resulted in those home underdogs going 21-1 ATS (95.5%) since 1980. Those underdogs also went a more than respectable 11-11 SU during those contests. Give me the Jets plus the points. |
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09-25-22 | Lions +6 v. Vikings | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
Lions @ Vikings 1:00 ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Lions +6.0 (5*) The Lions are coming off an impressive 36-27 home win over Washington. Conversely, Minnesota is coming off a 24-7 Monday night loss at Philadelphia. The Lions have gone 3-0 ATS in their last 3 versus the Vikings. They went just 1-2 SU in those contests but both losses each came by narrow 2-point margins. Any division away underdog that’s coming off a win in which they scored 35 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a loss by 11 or more and they scored 14 or less, resulted in those division away underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 1986. Those underdogs also went a stellar 10-4 SU as well. Give me Detroit plus the points. |
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09-22-22 | Steelers v. Browns -4.5 | 17-29 | Win | 100 | 34 h 60 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Cleveland 8:15 PM Game# 301-302 Play On: Cleveland -4.5 (5*) Both teams enter today with a 1-1 record, and each is coming off a loss. The Browns managed to squander a 30-17 lead with less than 2 minutes to play in a 31-30 loss to the New York Jets as a closing 6.5-point favorite. Pittsburgh is coming off a disappointing 17-14 home loss to New England. Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 on the road following a SU loss and lost by an average of 15.2 points per game. Any NFL Thursday division home favorite that’s coming off a home favorite loss in which they scored 7 points or more versus an opponent with at least 1 win on the season, resulted in those home favorites going 11-1 ATS since 1980. Those home favorites were also a perfect 12-0 SU in those contests and won by an average of 12.8 points per game. Give me Cleveland minus the points. |
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09-18-22 | Bears v. Packers -10 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 34 h 14 m | Show |
Chicago @ Green Bay 8:20 PM ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Green Bay -10.0 910*) Chicago is coming a 19-10 home win in their season opener last Sunday. However, we must avoid overreacting to that result especially after Green Bay’s double-digit defeat in their opening game. After all, Chicago is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 trips to Green Bay and they were outscored by an average of 13.4 points per game. Green Bay is coming off a 23-7 loss at Minnesota in a game they were thoroughly dominated. Before we stick a fork in the Packers after just 1 game, we must keep in mind how resilient this team has been following a regular season loss. Green Bay is 11-0 SU&ATS in their last 11 regular season games following a loss and won by an average of 13.4 points per contest. Any NFL home favorite of 4.5 or more (Packers) that’s coming off an away underdog ATS loss, and they’re facing a team (Bears) coming off a home underdog SU win, resulted in those home favorite going 39-12 ATS (76.4%) since 1991. Give me the Packers minus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
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09-18-22 | Washington Commanders +1.5 v. Lions | 27-36 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
Washington @ Detroit 1:00 PM ET Game# 267-268 Play On: Washington +1.5 (5*) Detroit of is coming off a season opening 38-35 home loss to Philadelphia. The Lions lost despite rushing for 181 yards and that’s difficult to do in the NFL. However, they also allowed Philadelphia to rush for 216 yards of their own. Detroit is now a dismal 6-22 SU in their last 28 at home. The Lions are also 1-7 SU at home since 2020 when the line is +3.0 to -3.0 and were outscored by an average of 10.6 points per game. Washington has gone a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 regular road games when the line was +3.5 to -3.5 under current head coach Ron Rivera and they won by an average of 9.0 points per game. The Commanders will look to carry the momentum over from last week’s come from behind 28-22 home win over Jacksonville. |
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09-15-22 | Chargers +4 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
LA Chargers @ Kansas City 8:15 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: LA Chargers +4.0 (5*) Since taking over as head coach in Kansas City, Any Reid has gone and outstanding 60-23 at home. However, 4 of those 23 home losses have come to the Chargers. He’s 5-4 SU and 3-6 ATS versus the Chargers at home. The current total in this game is 54.5. The Chiefs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games when the total was 49.5 or greater. That includes 0-3 ATS and 1-2 SU if they were facing a divisional opponent. Both teams are coming off impressive opening game win over opponents that were playoff teams a season ago. Under current head coach Brandon Staley, the Chargers went 3-1 SU&ATS as an away underdog last season which included a 30-24 win at Kansas City as a 7.0-point underdog. Give me the Chargers plus the points. The Chiefs are coming off 44-21 win at Arizona in which they covered as a 6.0-point favorite. They’re now 24-8 in their last 32 games. Since 2003, any NFL away underdog (Chargers) of 6.0 or less, versus an opponent (Chiefs) coming off an away favorite ATS win it covered by 3.0 or more, and they’ve won 18 or more of their last 32 games, resulted in those away underdogs going 22-3 ATS (88%). The away underdog also won 19 of those 25 games straight up. Give me the Chargers plus the points. |
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09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks +6.5 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 81 h 21 m | Show | |
Denver @ Seattle 8:15 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: Seattle +6.5 (5*) Seattle isn’t a very good team at this juncture. Conversely, I believe the Russell Wilson factor in Denver certainly makes Denver better, but not to the point where they’re a better than touchdown road favorite in a season opening nationally televised Monday night game. Besides, under current head coach Pete Carroll, the Seahawks are 13-1 ATS and 10-4 SU in their last 14 as a home underdog of +3.0 or greater. Seattle went 7-10 last season and is also 19-13 during it previous 32 at home. Any Monday night non-division home underdog (Seattle) that won 7 or more games during regular season action the year before and has also won 17 or more of its previous 32 at home, resulted in those home underdogs going 7-0 ATS since 1987. Those underdogs also won 5 of those 7 contests straight up. Give me Seattle plus the points. |
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09-11-22 | Bucs v. Cowboys +3 | 19-3 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 1 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Dallas 8:20 PM ET Game# 481-488 Play On: Dallas +3.0 (-120) (5*) Dallas is coming off last year’s successful 12-5 regular season campaign. Since 1985, NFL Game 1 home teams that won 12 or more regular season games the year before are a superb 55-19 (74.3%) SU. Those SU results take on added betting value since the home team in this instance is an underdog. The Cowboys will also be playing with revenge stemming from last season’s opening game 31-29 loss at Tampa Bay. Tom Brady took a brief sabbatical during training camp to attend to family matters. I am skeptical about how mentally prepared he is going into this season even as great as his illustrious career has been. Since 2018, Dallas is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS as a conference home underdog and averaged outscoring those opponents by a decisive margin of 13.5 points per game. Give me Dallas plus the points. |
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09-11-22 | Packers v. Vikings +1.5 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
Green Bay @ Minnesota 4:25 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Minnesota +1.5 (5*) I am not crazy about the Green Bay Packers wide receiver group and especially when compared to what they had at that position in recent years. The loss of Devante Adams who signed with Las Vegas was a huge blow. Minnesota is coming off a disappointing 8-9 season which ended the 8-year head coaching tenure of Mike Zimmer. However, they still have top shelf offensive skilled players that can create opposing defenses nightmares. Any NFL home team (Minnesota) that’s facing a division opponent in their season opener, and they won 8 or more regular season games the year before, resulted in those home teams going 83-30 SU (73.4%) since 1985. The SU results take on added significance since the Vikings are currently a small underdog. Furthermore, if those home teams were an underdog of +6.0 or less, and they were facing an opponent which won 11 or more regular season games the year before, those home teams went 7-0 ATS and 6-1 SU since 1985. Give me the Vikings plus the small number. |
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09-11-22 | Chiefs v. Cardinals +7 | 44-21 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 35 m | Show | |
Kansas City @ Arizona 4:25 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Arizona +7.0 (-120) (5*) Since Kliff Kingsbury head coaching tenure began in 2019, the Cardinals have been quite successful in getting off to good starts. Specifically speaking, during that time span Arizona has gone 10-2 ATS and 8-3-1 SU as an underdog during its first 8 games of the season. Furthermore, since 2020, Arizona is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS as an underdog in Games 1 through 8 and won by an extremely impressive 19.4 points per contest. The Cardinals franchise has enjoyed much success as a non-conference home underdog by going 21-7 ATS (75%) and 19-8-1 SU. If they were an underdog of 2.5 or greater in those contests, the numbers improve to 18-4 (81.8%) ATS and 16-5-1 SU. Give me the Cardinals plus the points. |
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09-11-22 | Giants +5.5 v. Titans | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
NY Giants @ Tennessee 4:25 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: NY Giants +5.5 (10*) Tennessee has won 11 or more games in each of their previous 3 season. As a matter of fact, they were the AFC #1 seed last year entering the playoffs after recording a 12-5 regular season record. Nonetheless, their regular season win total over or under has dropped to 8.5. That speaks volumes to me regarding how the oddsmakers project the Titans to be a mediocre team at best. The Giants begin the Brian Daboll head coaching era on the road and as an underdog at Tennessee. Daboll inherits a team that went a poor 4-13 a season ago. As a matter of fact, since 2018, the Giants have gone a combined 19-46 and never won more than 6 games in a season. However, New York has gone an extremely profitable 12-2 ATS in their last 14 as an away underdog of 6.5 or less during that same time span. Any NFL Week 1 away underdog of 6.5 or less (Giants) who won 6 games or fewer in the previous season, resulted in those away underdogs going 45-13 (77.6%) since 2000. Give me the NY Giants plus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
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09-11-22 | Steelers +7.5 v. Bengals | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati 1:00 PM ET Game# 461-462 Play On: Pittsburgh +7.5 (5*) Since the start of the 2016 season, when play in games 1 through 9, Pittsburgh has gone an extremely profitable 10-2 ATS (83.3%) and 9-3 SU as an away underdog of 9.5 or less. The Steelers will have revenge on their mind after being swept in both regular season meetings against Cincinnati last season. The Steelers finished an uninspiring 8-8-1 last season but somehow it was good enough for the last Wild Card berth in the AFC. Any Game 1 division away underdog of 7.0 or less that lost both regular season meetings to their current opponent in the previous year, resulted in those away underdogs going 18-6 ATS (75%) since 1998. Furthermore, if those division away teams were an underdog of +3.5 to +6.5, then that exact NFL betting angle improves to 16-2 ATS (88.9%). Give me Pittsburgh plus the points. |
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02-13-22 | Rams -4 v. Bengals | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 28 m | Show |
LA Rams vs. Cincinnati 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: LA Rams -4.0 (10*) Cincinnati allowed 55 sacks of their quarterbacks during regular season action. Only Baltimore and Chicago were worse in that statistical category. Conversely, the Rams defense amassed 50 sacks during regular season which was 3rd best among all NFL teams. The Bengals have allowed 12 more sacks in the postseason, and it includes 9 during their upset win at Tennessee. Cincinnati has rushed for less than 100 yards in all 3 postseason games. On the other hand, Los Angeles has limited their 3 postseason opponents to 61 yards or fewer rushing and permitted a mere 3.1 yards per carry. The Rams are coming off a win over bitter division rival San Francisco in the NFC Championship Game. Since the 2019-2020 season began, the Rams are 15-4 SU&ATS immediately following a division game and includes 7-1 SU&ATS if they played at home. The Rams enter the Super Bowl having won 8 of its last 9 games. Their only loss during that stretch came by 3 to San Francisco in a game they squandered a 17-point lead. The Los Angeles running game is much better than their season statistics indicate. They were without star running back Cam Ackers until their regular season finale. Their passing game has been dynamic this season and ranked #5 during NFL regular season action while amassing 273.1 yards per game. They’ll be facing a Cincinnati defense which was 26th against the pass in allowing 248.1 yards per contest. This is a bad matchup for Cincinnati on both sides of the ball. Cincinnati won’t be able to sustain a consistent running game against a stout Rams defense. Furthermore, the Bengals offensive line will struggle mightily in protecting Joe Burrow. That’s not a winning formula by any stretch of the imagination. Give me the LA Rams minus the points. |
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01-30-22 | Bengals +7.5 v. Chiefs | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 47 h 19 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ Kansas City 3:05 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Cincinnati +7.5 (5*) Kansas City is coming off an emotionally draining 42-36 overtime win versus Buffalo last Sunday. The media has pretty much convinced numerous bettors that the AFC Championship Game versus an upstart Cincinnati team is merely a formality. Granted the Chiefs are 11-1 in their last 12 game. However, their lone loss came to these very same Bengals in a game Cincinnati quarterback Joe Burrow torched the suspect Kansas City secondary for 422 passing yards. If the Bengals defense steps up in this one, they’ll have an opportunity to pull off an upset. Otherwise, there’s an ample amount offensive firepower for Cincinnati to keep this game competitive and inside the number. Bet Cincinnati plus the points. |
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01-23-22 | Bills +2.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 36-42 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 10 m | Show |
Buffalo @ Kansas City 6:30 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Buffalo +2.5 (10*) So, the Kansas City Chiefs are 10-1 in their last 11 games, the higher seed in this matchup, but they’re just a 1.5-point home favorite. The oddsmakers and early sharp money are huge indicators as to who the right side in this contest. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the red-hot Chiefs at this small of a number. Granted Kansas City has been exceptional in the 2nd half of the regular season and into the playoffs. However, Buffalo is currently on a 5-game win streak and held those opponents to 15.4 points and 237.2 yards per contest. By the way, the Chiefs have accumulated 378 yards or more of total offense in each of their previous 5 games. Nonetheless, Kansas City is just 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS at home immediately following 4 straight games in which they had 375 yards or more of total offense. The Bills outgained New England by a massive margin of 177 yards during their 47-17 home blowout win last Saturday. Since the start of the 2019-202 season, Buffalo is 8-0 SU on the road following a game in which they outgained their opponent by 100 yards or more and had a decisive average victory margin of 18.4 points per contest. The Bills are one of just a few NFL teams that can match Kansas City’s offensive explosiveness. Bet Buffalo for a Top Play wager. |
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01-23-22 | Rams v. Bucs -2.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -117 | 46 h 42 m | Show | |
LA Rams @ Tampa Bay 3:00 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Tampa Bay -2.5 (5*) The Rams will receive plenty of public action as an underdog after bettors witnessed last Monday night’s dominating 34-11 win over Arizona. However, they’ll be facing the defending world champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers who are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS at home this season. The Bucs will also be playing with revenge stemming from 34-24 loss at Los Angeles in Week 3 action. Tampa Bay enters this Divisional Round matchup having won 8 of its last 9 games and covered on 6 of those occasions. Furthermore, the Bucs have gone 14-2 SU this season against all teams who are not named the New Orleans Saints, and that includes 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS at home. At this time of year, winning the turnover battle is usually a precursor to who wins and covers. Tampa Bay has an inspiring turnover margin of +6 during their current 4-game win streak. Additionally, they committed only 1 turnover during that stretch. Conversely, the Rams have committed 11 turnovers in their last 5 away games. Bet Tampa Bay minus the small number. |
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01-22-22 | Bengals +3.5 v. Titans | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Tennessee 4:30 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Cincinnati +3.5 (10*) Tennessee star running back Derrick Henry returns from injury after missing 9 games. However, it’s unlikely he will be given a heavy workload after that long hiatus. The Titans went only 4-3 SU in their last 7 games and included a home loss to lowly Houston. The Titans have allowed 280 yards or more passing 8 times this season. This has been an area of concern for 2 years now, and against a talented young quarterback (Joe Burrow) and group of receivers that Cincinnati possesses, there’s a good chance they’ll be further exposed. Cincinnati has gone 5-2 SU this season versus teams that made the playoffs, and their lone 2 losses came in overtime against Green Bay and San Francisco. Give me Cincinnati plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals +4 v. Rams | Top | 11-34 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Cardinals @ Rams 8:15 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Cardinals +4.0 (10*) The Cardinals finished the regular season by losing 4 of its last 5 games. However, Arizona was a terrific 8-1 SU&ATS on the road this season and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS as an underdog. It’s not like they feasted on a bunch of creampuffs. The Cardinals defeated 4 teams that qualified for the playoffs on the road in Dallas, LA Rams, Tennessee, and San Francisco. Conversely, the Rams went just 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS at home this season. Furthermore, Los Angeles was a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home versus teams that finished regular season action with a winning record. The road teams won and covered both games between these division rivals this season. Bet Arizona plus the points. |
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01-16-22 | Steelers v. Chiefs -12.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 55 h 15 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Kansas City 8:15 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Kansas City -12.5 (5*) These teams just met in Kansas City just 3 weeks ago and the Chiefs walked away with a 36-10 blowout win. I look for more of the same on Sunday night. Additionally, the Chiefs are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home with an average victory margin of 22.0 points per game. Conversely, Pittsburgh is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 non-division contest and were outscored by 21.7 points per game. Bet on Kansas City minus the points. By the way, NFL postseason home favorites of 10.5 or more have gone 9-0 SU&ATS since 2011 and outscored their opponents by an average of 18.7 points per game. |
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01-16-22 | 49ers +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 52 h 32 m | Show |
San Francisco @ Dallas 4:30 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: San Francisco +3.0 (10*) Dallas (13-5) is the NFC East champion and finished the regular season going 5-1 SU&ATS in their final 6 regular season contests. Yet, they opened and remain just a 3.0-point favorite versus an opponent that needed to overcome a 17-3 halftime deficit in their final regular season game just to qualify for the postseason. Since 2019, Dallas has gone 4-11 SU and 3-12 ATS when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. The 49ers have been chasing the Rams and Cardinals all season when it comes to the NFC West standing and it became clear their only path to the postseason was a wildcard berth. So, they’ve been in win or go home mode over the final few weeks of regular season action. I look for that to pay dividends in this contest. Furthermore, the 49ers have been better on the road than at home this season. San Francisco is 7-2 SU in away games. Since the 2019-2020 season began, the 49ers are 4-1 SU&ATS in away games when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0. Bet the 49ers plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-16-22 | Eagles +10 v. Bucs | 15-31 | Loss | -120 | 48 h 5 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay 1:00 PM ET Game# 145-146 Play On: Philadelphia +10.0 (5*) I was quite surprised when Tampa Bay opened as just an 8.5-point favorite in this game. My personal power numbers which are usually accurate had Tampa Bay as a 10.5-point chalk. Having said that, you would think I would be all over the Bucs but quite the contrary. Like I’ve said may times over the years, I don’t fear the oddsmakers but genuinely respect their ability to set an accurate line. So, my conclusion is this is a fishy line, and the sportsbooks are begging you to take the defending world champion Bucs versus a Philadelphia team which is 9-8 and failed to beat a team all season that finished with a winning record. Bet Philadelphia plus the points. |
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01-15-22 | Patriots v. Bills -4.5 | Top | 17-47 | Win | 100 | 24 h 29 m | Show |
New England @ Buffalo 8:15 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Buffalo -4.5 (10*) Buffalo has scored 27 points or more in each of their last 5 games. Since Sean McDermott has taken over as head coach in Buffalo, the Bills are an unbeaten 10-0 SU and 8-1-1 ATS at home after scoring 25 points or more in each of their previous 2 games. Since 2009, Wildcard Round teams that win straight up have gone 47-8 ATS (85.4%). Do you see where I am going with this? I hope so. Since Bill Belichick took over as head coach in New England, his Patriots team have gone 36-8 versus Buffalo. However, since the start of last season which coincides with the departure of Tom Brady, New England is 1-3 SU&ATS versus Buffalo. Furthermore, heading into Week 15 of this season, New England held a comfortable 2.0 game lead over Buffalo in the AFC East standings. Then they lost 3 of their last 4 while Buffalo put together a 4-game win streak. One of those defeats was a 33-21 home setback to Buffalo in a game they were outgained 448-288. They will be playing against a Buffalo defense that’s allowed 15 points or fewer and 275 yards or less in each of their last 4 at home. Many people will jump all over a Bill Belichick coached New England team as a playoff underdog. I’m not one of them. Give me Buffalo minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-15-22 | Raiders +6 v. Bengals | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
Las Vegas @ Cincinnati 4:30 PM ET Game# 141-142 Bet On: Las Vegas +6.0 (5*) This is an extremely young and talented Cincinnati team which is way ahead of schedule. Nevertheless, they’ll ne to shake the ghosts of past franchise playoff failures. Cincinnati has lost 8 consecutive playoff games, failed to cover in 7 of those contests, and with 4 of those contests played at home. The Raiders were hanging on by a thread of hope a 5 weeks ago with a 6-7 record with regards to their playoff aspirations. Then they miraculously went on a 4-game win streak and got some help along the way to reach postseason action. They will also be out to avenge a deceiving 32-13 home loss to Cincinnati earlier this season in a contest they were only outgained 288-278. Bet Las Vegas plus the points. |
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01-09-22 | Chargers v. Raiders +3 | Top | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 31 h 5 m | Show |
Chargers @ Raiders 8:20 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: Raiders +3.0 (10*) Whoever wins this game will be in the postseason parade and the loser won’t be a participant. The Chargers are coming off a 34-13 home win over Denver. Nevertheless, the Chargers are 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a win. Additionally, they’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 away games when they’re +3.0 to -3.0 and are coming off a win and were outscored by 12.7 points per contest. The Chargers have scored 28 points or more in each of their last 5 games. However, throughout their previous 3 contests, the Chargers defense has allowed 29.3 points and 417.3 yards per game. Moreover, since 2019, the Chargers are 0-6 SU on the road following a game in which they scored 30 points or more and lost by an average of 10.0 points per game. The Raiders are coming off a huge win at Indianapolis last Sunday which extended their unbeaten streak to 3 games. What’s eye catching to me is they won those 3 games despite being having a combined turnover margin of -7. What’s been their main catalyst is a defense that allowed 15.7 points and 218.7 yards per game during this current win streak. Las Vegas will also be out to revenge a 28-14 road loss to the Chargers earlier this season. I look for the Raiders to come up with a huge effort on Sunday night and give their newly ordained city of Las Vegas a taste of playoff football for a first time. Bet the Raiders plus the points. |
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01-09-22 | Patriots v. Dolphins +6.5 | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show | |
Patriots @ Dolphins 4:25 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Dolphins +6.5 (5*) Miami was eliminated from playoff contention after last week’s extremely poor performance which resulted in a 34-3 loss at Tennessee. However, there’s a high degree of certainty that the Dolphins aren’t going to just lay down on Sunday. Their track record since Brian Flores took over as head coach in 2019 is indicative of such. During Flores rookie campaign, Miami started 0-7 but rallied to go 5-4 over their last 9 contests. Last season, Miami began 1-3 but proceeded to win 9 of their next 11 games. This season, they started 1-7 then when on a 7-game win streak before last Sunday’s loss halted that hot run. For as much success as Bill Belichick has attained since becoming the head coach in New England, his teams have gone just 9-12 SU and 8-13 ATS in their games at Miami. That includes 2-6 SU&ATS in their last 8 trips to South Florida. Bet the Dolphins plus the points. |
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01-09-22 | 49ers v. Rams -4 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
49ers @ Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 479-480 Play On: Rams -4.0 (5*) The 49ers need a win or a New Orleans loss to Atlanta to make the playoffs. Just because they need the game so badly, doesn’t mean the Rams are going to give it to them. Especially after Loss Angeles was embarrassed at San Francisco earlier this season during a 31-10 shellacking in which the 49ers dominating physically on both sides of the ball. They’ll not only be out to avenge that loss but are 0-5 in their last 5 versus their divisional in stater rival. Besides, with a win on Sunday the Rams clinch the NFC West Division and a #2 seed. I’m looking for an inspired effort by the Rams and for even more reasons that I already mentioned. Bet the Rams minus the points. |
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01-09-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals -5.5 | 38-30 | Loss | -102 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ Cardinals 4:25 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Cardinals -5.5 (5*) Arizona is still alive in the NFC West Division title chase and #2 seed but they must win for them to have any chance of that occurring. Regardless is they win the division or not, the Cardinals need to build some momentum and confidence going into the postseason. They took a step in the right direction last week with a huge win at Dallas as a 5.5-point underdog which snapped a 3-game losing skid. Arizona won at Seattle on 11/21 by a score of 23-13 and outgained the Seahawks by a wide 413-266 margin. Seattle is coming off a 51-29 home win over Detroit. Nevertheless, the Seahawks are 1-4 SU&ATS this season following a win with their lone win and cover in that precise situation coming against the hapless 4-12 Houston Texans. Kyler Murray will torch a Seahawks defense that’s allowing 270.4 yards passing per game which is 31st in the NFL. On the other hand, Arizona is #8 in passing offense at 255.6 yards per game. Bet Arizona minus the points. |
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01-09-22 | Packers v. Lions +3.5 | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
Packers @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Lions +3.5 (5*) Green Bay has already clinched the top seed in the NFC and a first-round bye in the upcoming playoffs. Barring something unforeseen, the Packers will rest or give limited playing time to key starters on Sunday in Detroit. Conversely, this is a Lions team that has fought hard this season for head coach Dan Campbell despite their many shortcomings and horrible 2-13-1 record. I don’t expect that kind of effort to wane in their regular season finale at home versus a bitter rival. The Lions are 4-0 ATS and 2-2 SU in its last 4 at home versus Green Bay. Detroit has also lost 5 games this season by 4 points or fewer. The Lions are coming off last week’s 51-29 SU&ATS loss at Seattle. Here’s a hidden gem of a trend, Detroit is 5-0 ATS this season following a game in which they failed to cover. The Lions are also 6-2 SU&ATS in their last 8 games overall. Bet Detroit plus the points. |
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01-09-22 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | 16-13 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
Steelers @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Ravens -3.5 (5*) The Ravens enter this week on a 5-game losing streak and their playoff chances hanging by a thread. Yet, they opened as a 6.5-point favorite versus a division rival who has scant playoff hopes as well. The Steelers did stay alive in the playoff hunt with a 26-14 home win over Cleveland last week. Nonetheless, Pittsburgh hasn’t won 2 in a row in a little over 2 months. The drastic line movement in this game is a result of Lamar Jackson being ruled doubtful to play. However, I have no trouble backing Ravens backup quarterback Tyle Huntley who has shown he’s plenty capable when given the opportunity this season. Public betting has backed the underdog Steelers in this matchup. There are worse ideas than betting against public money. Bet the Ravens minus the points. |
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01-09-22 | Titans -10 v. Texans | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
Titans @ Texans 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Titans -10.0 (5*) I predict that Tennessee will jump on Houston early in this matchup and take the Texans will away. Beside the fact, they should’ve learned their lesson already after losing to Houston earlier this season as an identical 10.0-point favorite they currently are. With a #1 seed on the line, and playing with revenge, the Titans will be plenty motivated against the 4-12 Texans. This is a Houston team that’s scored 14 points or fewer on 9 occasions this season and failed to reach 300 yards of total offense in 9 of its last 14 games. They will be up against a Titans defense which has allowed 9.7 points and 251.3 yards over their previous 4 contests.  Bet Tennessee minus the points. |
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01-08-22 | Cowboys -3.5 v. Eagles | 51-26 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Philadelphia 8:15 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Dallas -3.5 (5*) Both teams will be missing key personnel via COVID protocols, illness, or injury. Philadelphia has clinched an NFL wildcard spot and it’s just a matter if they will be the #6 or #7 seed. The Eagles do head into this matchup on a 4-game win streak. However, those wins came against the Jets, Giants, and Football Team (Twice) who have a current combined record of 14-34. As a matter of fact, the Eagles don’t own a win all season versus a team who currently possesses a winning record. On the other hand, Dallas has clinched the NFC East Division, and they’re currently the #4 seed. They can move up to the #2 or #3 seed but they need to win and get a little bit of help. If the season ended today, Dallas would have a tough 1st round matchup versus either the Arizona Cardinals or Los Angeles Rams. All the Cowboys can do is control what they can control and that’s beating Philadelphia. They will do exactly that and by a decisive margin. Dallas has been a solid road team this season while going 6-2. Even more impressive was that 3 of their road opponents and 2 more are still alive for a postseason berth heading into this week. Furthermore, and most importantly, Dallas is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS as a road favorite this season. Bet Dallas minus the points. |
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01-08-22 | Chiefs v. Broncos +11 | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
Kansas City @ Denver 4:30 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Denver +11.0 (5*) The Broncos limp into this regular season finale with a 7-9 record and have gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. The biggest issue has been an offense that produced 13 points or fewer in each of those defeats. On the other, the Broncos defense has been strong more times than not this season. As a matter of fact, heading into this week, Denver is #9 in total defense (322.1 YPG), #3 in scoring defense (18.4 PPG), and #7 in pass defense (212.3 YPG). If Denver’s offense is every going to get going it would be on Saturday versus a Kansas City defense that’s #26 in total defense, #27 in sacks, and #28 against the pass. The Kansas City defense is also coming off a game at Cincinnati where they allowed the Bengals to rack up 475 yards or total offense in a 34-31 loss. The Broncos lost at Kansas City 41-21 on 12/5. However, that final score is a bit misleading since Denver outgained Kansas City 464-267 in total yards but shot themselves in the foot with a turnover margin of -3. Since that loss, the Broncos have committed just 2 turnovers in 4 games. Bet Denver plus the points. |
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01-02-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -7.5 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
Broncos @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Chargers -7.5 (10*) These teams met just 5 weeks in Denver and the Broncos walked away with an easy 28-10 win. Yet, the oddsmakers weren’t deterred by that result based in this current point-spread. Additionally, Denver is coming off a pir of deflating losses 15-10 versus Cleveland and 17-13 to Las Vegas. That really put a dent into their postseason hopes and their overall confidence level. Los Angeles is also coming off losses to Houston 41-29 as a 13.0-point road favorite and in overtime to Kansas City. As a result, the Chargers are on the outside of the playoff bubble looking in with an 8-7 record. The Chargers will be facing a Denver team which has struggled to score at times this season. As a matter of fact, Denver has scored 13 points or fewer in 6 of their last 12 games. That hasn’t been the Chargers problem of late. During their last 4 outings, Los Angeles has averaged 33.8 points scored and 407.8 yards gained per game. NFL betting history show that teams like the Chargers in this exact situation have passed the test with flying colors. Any division favorite of 4.5 or greater that’s playing with revenge, and they’re coming off a non-division straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those favorites going 16-0 ATS since 1985. Furthermore, they won those contests by an enormous 20.3 points per game and their average line was -7.2. Bet the Chargers minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-02-22 | Falcons v. Bills -14.5 | 15-29 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Buffalo 1:00 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Buffalo -14.5 (5*) Atlanta is coming off a narrow 20-16 home win over hapless Detroit Lions (2-12-1) which improved their season record to 7-8 and still alive for an NFC wildcard spot. However, Atlanta has beaten just 1 team that currently has a winning record, and that was Miami (8-7). The Falcons have gone a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 following a win and were outscored by an average of 19.3 points per game. Buffalo enters this week 9-6, leading the AFC East, and coming off a huge win at New England last Sunday. Some will say they’re vulnerable to a flat spot. I disagree with that idea. It’s not like the Bills win over New England came in Week 8. Heading into their final 2 games both at home knowing with wins they clinch the AFC East Division for a 2nd year in a row. Buffalo also learned their lesson earlier this season when they lost at Jacksonville as a double-digit favorite. Furthermore, all 9 Buffalo wins have come by 12 points or more, and they have outscored their opponents by an average of 10.9 points per game which is #1 in that category amongst all NFL teams. Lastly, Buffalo is 3-0 SU&ATS this season as a double-digit home favorite and with an average victory margin of 24.0 points per game. Bet Buffalo minus the points. |
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01-02-22 | Chiefs v. Bengals +4.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Bengals 1:00 PM ET Game# 115-116 Play On: Bengals +4.5 (5*) Cincinnati will play with a higher degree of urgency and desperation in this contest than Kansas City will display. The Chiefs have won 8 consecutive games and has already clinched the AFC West Division. Yes, they are only 1.0 game ahead of Tennessee for the top AFL seed with the Titans holding the tiebreaker. Nevertheless, the Chiefs have been a great road team in recent seasons and are a much better team than Tennessee at this juncture. The point being, Kansas City comes into this contest knowing they have a lot of room for error and very little to lose. On the other hand, Cincinnati can clinch the AFC North with a win on Sunday. If they lose, then it’s a regular season finale at Cleveland which could hinge on even making the playoffs. Bet the Bengals plus the points. |
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01-02-22 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Titans | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Titans 1:00 PM ET Game# 119-120 Play On: Dolphins +3.5 Tennessee (10-5) may possess the better record in this matchup, but you can make a strong cast that presently Miami (8-7) is the superior team. After a 1-7 start, Miami has won 7 straight games and covered on 6 of those occasions. The Dolphins sizzling hot run has catapulted them to the AFC #7 seed and final wildcard spot. Even with that, Miami knows they have very little if any room for error. I’ve been saying this for weeks now, without Derek Henry, Tennessee is a fraudulent Super Bowl contender. This upcoming result will exemplify just that. Bet the Dolphins plus the points. |
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12-26-21 | Lions +7 v. Falcons | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Atlanta 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Detroit +7.0 (5*) The Falcons are coming off back-to-back road games. The Falcons are 6-8 but a an abysmal 0-5 SU&ATS at home while being outscored by an average of 14.8 points per contest. During the past 3 seasons, Atlanta is 2-14 SU and 3-13 ATS in conference home games. All previously mentioned is hardly a stellar resume for the touchdown home favorite. Detroit looks to continue building on positives in what has been otherwise a terrible season. After beginning the season with 8 straight losses, the Lions are a respectable 2-3-1 SU and more importantly from a betting viewpoint an extremely profitable 5-1 ATS. Furthermore, despite being winless on the road, the Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 away games. Bet Detroit plus the points. |
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12-26-21 | Rams v. Vikings +3.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -114 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
LA Rams @ Minnesota 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Minnesota +3.5 (5*) The Rams are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 and are now tied with Arizona for the NFC West Division lead with both teams at 10-4. However, since 2019, and all under current head coach Sean McVeigh, the Rams are a dismal 1-6 ATS and 2-5 SU in road games following 2 or more consecutive wins. Since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach in Minnesota, the Vikings are 28-11 SU and 26-13 ATS in regular season non-division home games. That team trend with Zimmer takes on even more added significance in this case since the Vikings are an underdog of better than a field goal. Furthermore, I’m of the opinion that this matchup gives a slight edge to Minnesota regarding the degree of urgency and desperation at stake. There’s on thing for certain, with or without Dalvin Cook, this is the best looking 7-7 team I’ve seen in quite some time. Bet Minnesota plus the points. |
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12-26-21 | Bills +2.5 v. Patriots | 33-21 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
Buffalo @ New England 1:00 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Buffalo +2.5 (5*) New England is at home, has a 1.0-game lead over Buffalo in the AFC East, is 7-1 in their last 8, and just won at Buffalo 14-10 during a Week 13 Monday night nationally televised game. Additionally, they embarrassed the Bills by winning despite throwing a mere 3 passes in the contest. Yet, here they are as less than a field goal favorite at home in a game if they win would result in an AFC East title. Think like an oddsmaker in this spot. He’s set the bait for bettors to perceive New England as being a logical pick. I have no problem being illogical just this once (laugh). Bet Buffalo plus the small number. |
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12-23-21 | 49ers -3 v. Titans | 17-20 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
San Francisco @ Tennessee 8:20 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: San Francisco -3.0 (5*) The line at the time of this writing tells me everything I need to know. We have an 8-6 San Francisco team as a road favorite versus 9-5 Tennessee in Week 16 of the season. Let’s face it, Tennessee hasn’t been the same offensively since losing star running back Derek Henry to an injury. The Titans have lost 3 of their last 4 and averaged a mere 14.7 points scored per game during that stretch while also committing an alarming 13 turnovers. San Francisco is playing their best football at the most opportune time. The 49ers are 5-1 SU&ATS in their last 6 and had a +7 turnover margin while doing so. The 49ers are also a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 non-division games with an average victory margin of 12.0 points per contest. Bet San Francisco minus the points. |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks +7 v. Rams | 10-20 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Seattle @ LA Rams 7:00 PM ET Game# 337-338 Play On: Seattle +7.0 (5*) Seattle is 5-8 but unlike some teams with that poor of a record this late in the season they won’t be waving the white flag with Pete Carroll as their head coach. As a matter of fact, the Seahawks have won and covered their last 2 which included an upset of San Francisco. The Rams are coming off a huge Monday night national televised win over NFC West Division leading Arizona. However, the Rams were one of the hardest hit teams by COVID this week which caused this game to be rescheduled from Sunday until today. Their meetings have been held virtually this week since they were 1 of 7 NFL teams placed under the heading of emergency COVID protocol. It would be hard to imaging they will be sharp mentally or physically headed into this matchup. Winning the game is one thing but asking Los Angeles to cover this sizable of a point-spread under their current circumstances is a difficult ask. Bet Seattle plus the points. |
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12-19-21 | Packers v. Ravens +7 | Top | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
Green Bay @ Baltimore 4:25 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Baltimore +7.0 I like the Ravens with or without Lamar Jackson. I assume at +7.0 it will be Tyler Huntley at quarterback. If Lamar gets the green light and get medical clearance on his injured ankle, then we aren’t going to be getting 7.0 points it will be more like 3.5 or 4.0 and that’s still fine. Tyler Huntley has accounted himself well when called upon this season. He was the starter in place of the injured Jackson at Chicago when the Ravens walked away with a 16-13 win. Last week, he just came up short of rallying Baltimore from a 24-6 halftime deficit at Cleveland, but the Ravens fell 24-22. Baltimore has gone 4-0 in non-division home games this season which includes wins Kansas City (10-3), LA Chargers (8-5), Indianapolis (7-6), and the best 6-7 team in years the Minnesota Vikings. Baltimore has gone 8-0 SU&ATS during the last 4 weeks of regular season action over the last 2 years and won by a decisive margin of 17.8 points per game. Additionally, since 2019, Baltimore is a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog and won by an average of 12.0 points per game. All 3 losses by Green Bay this season were sustained away from Lambeau Field. They also escaped with narrow road wins by 3 in overtime versus Cincinnati, by 3 over Arizona, and 2 against San Francisco. It’s inevitable that Green Bay will win the NFC North and that may transpire as soon as the Vikings and Bears Monday night game goes final. I just firmly believe that a Jim Harbaugh coached Ravens team will be difficult for Green Bay to pull away from regardless of the adversity they may be facing. Bet Baltimore plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-19-21 | Jets v. Dolphins -9 | 24-31 | Loss | -114 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
NY Jets @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Miami -9.0 (5*) Miami is coming off their bye week after going 5-0 SU&ATS in the preceding 5 weeks. During this current win streak, the Dolphins allowed 9.0 points per game. Since last season, Miami has gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS versus the Jets and won by an average of 16.0 points per game. Since 2019, Miami is an unscathed 4-0 SU&ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 and won by 13.7 points per game. The Jets offense has averaged a mere 16.7 points scored per game throughout their previous 5 outings. Additionally, New York has averaged just 267.6 total yards of offensive per game over its last 3 contests. Since 2019, the Jets are 1-7 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 9.5, lost all 8 straight up, and were outscored by a sizable margin of 17.7 points per game. Bet on Miami minus the points. |
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12-13-21 | Rams +2.5 v. Cardinals | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Rams @ Cardinals 8:15 PM ET Game# 129-130 Play On: Rams +2.5 (5*) The sportsbooks are giving you the winner based on this current point-spread in my professional opinion. After all, Arizona won at Los Angeles 37-20 earlier this season, leads the Rams by 2-games in the NFC West Standings, and is facing a Los Angeles team that snapped a 3-game losing streak last week with a home win over lowly Jacksonville (2-11). Yet. the Cardinals are a home favorite of less than a field goal. It also must be noted, the Rams are 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games at Arizona and won by an average of 13.5 points per contest. Since 2019, Arizona has gone 0-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3.0 or less. Conversely, since 2019, the Rams are a profitable 13-7 ATS (65%) when their point-spread is between +3.0 to -3.0. Bet the Rams plus the points. |
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12-12-21 | 49ers v. Bengals +2 | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 35 m | Show | |
49ers @ Bengals 4:25 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Bengals +2.0 (5*) Cincinnati is coming off last Sunday’s 41-22 blowout loss to the Cargers in a game they closed as a 3.0-point home favorite. That win dropped their season record to a still respectable 7-5. Any NFL team that’s playing in regular season action only and after Game 4, coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 17 points or more, and they currently have a winning record, resulted in those teams going 16-0 SU and 15-1 ATS since the start of the 2014-2015 season. As impressive as that 93.8% ATS betting angle is, the unbeaten SU record takes on added significance since it backs the underdog in this matchup. Bet the Bengals plus the small number. |
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12-12-21 | Bills +3.5 v. Bucs | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
Bills @ Buccaneers 1:00 PM ET Game# 125-126 Play On: Bills +3.5 (5*) The Bills are coming off an extremely disappointing 14-10 Monday night home loss to New England. They allowed over 200 yards rushing and will down in NFL annals in rare company after losing a game when the opponent had 2 passing days or less. Being that a national television audience witnessed that performance, I fully expect public betting to back Tampa Bay. I never have an issue when it requires going against public betting patterns. This is one of those instances. Bet the Bills plus the points |
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12-12-21 | Lions v. Broncos -10.5 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
Lions @ Broncos 4:05 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Broncos -10.5 (5*) Detroit is coming off their 1st win of the season in last Sunday’s walk off win over Minnesota. However, NFL teams that are playing after Game 11 of their season, and they’re an underdog of from 7.0 to 114.0 points, resulted in those 1st time winners going 0-5 SU&ATS since 1981. They lost those 5 contests by a decisive margin of 24.2 points per game. This is rare air for Denver at home with no pun intended. Since Vic Fangio took over as head coach for the Broncos in 2019, they’ve only been a home favorite of 7.5 or greater twice and covered on each occasion. Denver is coming off last Sunday’s 22-9 loss at Kansas City. During Vic Fangio’s current tenure, Denver has gone 6-0 SU&ATS at home following a game in which they scored 14 points or fewer. Bet the Broncos minus the points. |
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12-12-21 | Raiders v. Chiefs -9.5 | Top | 9-48 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
Raiders @ Chiefs 1:00 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Chiefs -9.5 (10*) After starting the season 5-2, the Raiders have gone on to lose 4 of its last 5 games. Las Vegas scored 16 points or fewer in all 4 of those defeats. Kansas City enters this week on a 5-game win streak in addition to covering each of its last 3. It’s the Chiefs defense and not their offense that has been the catalyst throughout those 5 Kansas City wins. Furthermore, and since 2019, the Chiefs are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in their previous 2 contests while winning by an average of 15.3 points per game. Lastly, Kansas City walloped the Raiders during their earlier season meeting in Las Vegas by a final score of 41-14. The Chiefs had a huge total offense yards edge of 516-299. Bet the Chiefs minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
New England @ Buffalo 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Buffalo -2.5 (-122) (10*) New England has gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and enters this contest the hottest team in the NFL. Additionally, the Patriots have gone 5-0 on the road this season. Yet, here they are as a road underdog versus a Bills team that’s just 3-3 in their last 6 games. Like I said on many occasions, it’s rarely that east when it comes to sports betting and tonight’s game will be a prime example of such. It also must be noted, 4 of the 5 road wins by New England have come over teams that currently have a losing record in the Jets (3-9), Texans (2-10), Panthers (5-7), and Falcons (5-7). The lone exception was their win at the Chargers (7-5). New England is coming off a 36-13 home win over Tennessee last Sunday. However, that final score is a bit deceiving since they only were able to Buffalo is coming off a 31-6 blowout win at New Orleans in a game they held the Saints to a mere 146 passing yards. Since 2019, Buffalo is 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed 150 or fewer passing yards and includes 4-0 SU&ATS (+16.2 PPG) at home. Furthermore, since 2019, Buffalo is 5-0 SU at home following a game in which they allowed 14 points or fewer and they won by an average of 13.8 points per contest. Kudos to the New England Patriots and future Hall of Fame head coach Bill Belichick for the masterful job he’s done so far this season. Nonetheless, Buffalo is the better team in this matchup and they’ll make a huge statement tonight to fulfill that statement. Bet Buffalo minus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs -9.5 | Top | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
Denver @ Kansas City 8:20 ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Kansas City -9.5 (10*) The public has jumped all over Denver to cover this contest as of this writing. Nonetheless, I’m here to tell you they’re dead wrong. Yes, I know the Chiefs have been a terrible play on as a home favorite this season and last. I also know Denver is coming off an impressive 28-13 home win over the Chargers and recently blew out Dallas in Arlington. It doesn’t matter, because I don’t see this as a favorable betting situation for the sizable road underdog. The Chiefs seemed to sleepwalk through the first half of the season and frankly looked uninspired. However, Kansas City has recently caught fire and enter this week on a 4-game win streak. The most encouraging part of that successful run was the play of their defensive unit. The Chiefs have allowed an average of 11.7 points and 294.0 yards per game while also forcing 8 turnovers. Furthermore, they’ve owned the Broncos in recent seasons while going 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS against them. Lastly, Kansas City is just 1.0 game ahead of Denver in the standings, yet they are more than a touchdown favorite. It sure feels like the sportsbooks are baiting to take the road underdog. Thanks, but no thanks. Bet on Kansas City minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-05-21 | Washington Football Team +1.5 v. Raiders | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
Washington @ Las Vegas 4:05 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Washington +1.5 (5*) The only thing consistent about the Raiders this season has been their inconsistency. That’s especially been the case since former head coach Jon Gruden was let go. Which team is going to show up? The one that has wins over the Cowboys, Ravens, and Denver, or losses against the Giants (4-7) and Bears (4-7). My strong feeling is we’ll see the latter. The raiders have lost 3 of their last 4 at home. Don’t look now but after a 2-6 start to the season, Washington has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3.  They currently are holding down the final NFC wildcard position as a result. What’s even more encouraging, the highly touted Washington defense is finally living expectations after floundering through the first 6 games of the season. During the last 5 contests, Washington has allowed 19.0 points and 282.8 yards per game while facing opposing quarterbacks such as Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, and Russell Wilson. Bet the Washington Football Team. |
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12-05-21 | Chargers +3 v. Bengals | 41-22 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
LA Chargers @ Cincinnati 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: LA Chargers +3.0 (5*) Cincinnati has been and will continue to be a heavily bet side in this matchup. Public bettors tend to have a short memory and overreact at times to what has transpired in the last couple of weeks. With that being said, the Chargers are coming off a poor performance in a 28-13 loss at Denver last Sunday. However, it’s worth noting that the Chargers are 3-1 SU following a loss this season and includes 2-0 SU&ATS in away games. Cincinnati is coming off impressive wins over Las Vegas 32-13 and Pittsburgh 41-10. Despite those 2 high scoring outputs, the Bengals averaged just 329.0 yards of total offense per game and benefitted from forcing 5 turnovers. Let us not forgot, Cincinnati is just 3 weeks removed from suffering back-to-back losses to the Jets (3-8) and Browns (5-6) while allowing a combined 75 points during those defeats. The Chargers have failed to cover their previous 3 games. On the other hand, Cincinnati has covered their last 2 contests. Any NFL team that’s +3.0 to -3.0 (Chargers) that failed to cover in 3 more games in a row and is facing an opponent (Bengals) who covered 2 or more games in a row, resulted in those teams on an ATS losing streak to go 35-7 ATS (80%) since 2012, 19-2 ATS since 2017, and 11-0 ATS since 2019. Bet the Chargers plus the points. |
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12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints +6 | 27-17 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Dallas @ New Orleans 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: New Orleans +6.0 (5*) The Dallas Cowboys are coming off 2 straight losses. The latest of which was a 36-33 home loss to Las Vegas on Thanksgiving Day. The Cowboys allowed Las Vegas to amass an alarmingly high 509 yards of total offense in that defeat. That’s far more than their average of 369.5 yards per game for the season. New Orleans defense has been solid this season while allowing a respectable 343.7 yards per game. Taysom Hill will start at quarterback tonight for the Saints. He’ll provide a needed emotional spark for a Saints offense that’s been underwhelming for a better part of this season. New Orleans looked horrible in their Thanksgiving night 31-6 loss to Buffalo. It was just the 7th time since Sean Payton has been the head coach of New Orleans that the Saints scored fewer than 10 points in a game. Nonetheless, the Saints followed those dismal offensive performances by going 6-0 ATS and 5-1 SU in their next game. Those previously mentioned results include a 28-13 win at New England earlier this season that immediately followed a 26-7 loss to Carolina. Despite their home underdog ATS loss to Buffalo, since 2019, New Orleans has gone a very profitable 9-3 ATS as an underdog and even won 8 of those contests straight up. The current total in this contest is 47.0. The reason I bring that up is that since 2017, New Orleans is 14-0 SU at home whenever there was a total of 45.5 to 49.0. Any NFL home team (New Orleans) that’s playing after Game 8 of their season, and they’re facing an opponent that allowed 450 yards or more in their previous game, and both teams allow 335-370 yards per game on the season, resulted in those home teams going 34-6 SU (85%) since 1983. Since this NFL straight up betting angle supports the home underdog in this contest it takes on even more added significance. Bet New Orleans plus the points. |
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11-28-21 | Rams v. Packers +2 | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
Rams @ Packers 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Green Bay +2.0 (5*) The Rams have looked listless in their last 2 games which resulted in SU favorite losses to Tennessee 28-16 and San Francisco 31-10. Green Bay is coming off last Sunday’s 34-31 loss at Minnesota. On a positive note, the Packers have gone 10-0 SU&ATS since 12/9/2018 following a loss and outscored their opponents by an average of 13.9 points per contest. Additionally, Green Bay has gone 4-0 SU&ATS at home this season and allowed 17 points or fewer on each occasion. Bet on Green Bay. |
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11-28-21 | Bucs -3 v. Colts | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay @ Indianapolis 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Tampa Bay -3.0 (5*) Indianapolis’ offense relies heavily on running back Jonathan Taylor who was magnificent in a 41-15 blowout win at Buffalo last Sunday. Specifically speaking, Taylor rushed for 185 yards and added another 30 receiving while scoring 5 touchdowns. Here in lies the problem for Indianapolis, they will be facing a Tampa Bay run defense which has been one of the league’s best over the past 3 season. This year alone, the Buccaneers defense has held opponents to 94 yards or less rushing in 7 of 10 games. Furthermore, the Colts are just 3-3 at home this season. Their 3 home wins came over the Jags, Jets, and Texans who have a combined record of 6-24 (.200) this season. Bet Tampa Bay minus the points. |
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