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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show | |
49ers vs. Chiefs :630 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 47.5 The Chiefs have played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 and 12-4 under during their previous 16 games. Kansas City hasn’t allowed more than 27 points all season long. Kansas City has played 11-1 to the under this season versus teams like San Francisco that complete 64% or better of their pass attempts and there was only a combined 37.0 points scored per game. The Chiefs have also played 6-0 to the under this season versus teams like San Francisco that average 4.5 or more yards per rush attempt and there was a combined 33.6 points scored per contest. Throughout their 3 postseason games, the Chiefs have run the ball on 46.6% of their offensive plays and that far exceeds their season average of 40.3%. Since Andy Reid has taken over as head coach of the Kansas City Chiefs, his team have played 12-3 to the under immediately following a bye week. Reid’s Chiefs are also 7-0 to the under during his tenure when coming off back-to-back road wins that each came by 7 points or fewer. San Francisco is coming off a 34-31 home win over Detroit in the NFC Championship Game. Kyle Shanahan has seen his 49ers teams play 16-7 to the under immediately following a game in which they allowed 30 points or more. During the previous 3 seasons, the 49ers have played 9-3 to the under in all games not played at home and where their point-spread was between -3.0 to +3.0 and there was a combined 40.5 points scored per game. These teams rank 2nd and 3rd in scoring defense with the Chiefs allowing 17.3 points per gam and San Francisco 17.5. The Chiefs defense ranks 2nd in the NFL with 57 sacks and the 49ers are 7th with 48. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens UNDER 44 | 10-34 | Push | 0 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
Texans @ Ravens 4:30 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Under 44.0 The Ravens have allowed 20 points or fewer in 12 of 17 games this season. Since John Harbaugh has taken over as head coach in Baltimore, his Ravens teams have played 5-0 to the under during postseason home games. The average total in those 5 contests was 42.0 and there were a combined 34.0 points scored per game. Baltimore is a run heavy team by NFL standards. The Ravens have run the ball on 52.4% of their offensive plays. The Texans have allowed less than 100 yards rushing in 12 of their last 14 games. Texan’s rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has enjoyed a stellar NFL debut season and stepped-up big time during last week’s Wildcard Round home win over Cleveland. However, on the road against an experienced defense that ranks #1 in both sacks and points allowed is a whole other animal. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs OVER 43 | 9-32 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Buccaneers 8:15 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Over 43.0 The weather forecast is calling for a 60% chance of rain showers throughout the game. However, the win will be a non-factor. These teams met earlier this season at Tampa Bay and the Eagles won 26-11 while piling up 473 yards of total offense. Philadelphia’s point production was a bit deceiving since they settled for 4 field goals after driving inside the red zone on each occasion. The Eagle defense has been a mess over their last 7 contests while allowing 30.9 points and 401.1 yards per game. During their previous 7 this season versus fellow NFC teams the Tampa Bay Buccaneers averaged a healthy 24.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts OVER 47.5 | 23-19 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Texans @ Colts 8:15 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Over 47.5 Indianapolis has gone over the total in all 4 at home this season when the total was 44.0 or greated and there was a combined average of 54.0 points scored per game. Since the start of last season, all 3 meetings between these division rivals have gone over the total with a combined 51.0 points scored per game. The Colts are #9 in scoring offense but #24 in total defense and are the #27 NFL scoring defense. Houston is the #7 passing offense in the NFL and that’s despite having to play a short stretch without their starting quarterback C.J. Stroud who is an absolute lock for NFL Rookie of the Year. Since the beginning of the 2021-2022 season the Colts quarterback is 22-11 to the over during his 33 starts. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-01-24 | Wisconsin v. LSU OVER 56.5 | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
Wisconsin vs. LSU 12:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Over 56.5 LSU will be without Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Jayden Daniels who opted out of this bowl game. However, they’ll have every other starter on both sides of the ball. The LSU defense has been terrible all season. However, their offense was the top scoring unit in all of College Football and even without Daniels will be able to move the ball consistently with 4* backup quarterback Garrett Nussmeir. Wisconsin has a pretty good quarterback of their own in Tanner Mordecai in addition to a powerful running game at his disposal. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-31-23 | 49ers v. Commanders OVER 49.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
49ers @ Commanders 1:00 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Over 49.5 The Commanders figure to get a much-needed spark with veteran quarterback Jacoby Brissett replacing struggling Sam Howell. Even with Howell, Washington has gone over the total in their last 4 at home with a combined average of 59.7 points scored per contest. On a negative note, the Commanders have allowed 34.7 points and 407.3 yards per game throughout their previous 6 contests. The 49ers are one of if not the best NFL offenses when healthy like they are right now. Throughout their previous 4 on the road, the 49ers averaged 38.0 points scored and 419.0 yards gained per game. They’ve also gone over the total in their last 3 on the road with a combined average of 59.7 points scored per game. The 49ers have a very talented group, but over their previous 3 contests they’re allowing an uninspiring 26.0 points and 367.7 yards per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys OVER 52 | 19-20 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Lions @ Cowboys 8:15 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Over 52.0 Dallas is 7-0 at home this season while averaging a robust 39.9 points per game. The once thought of dominant Dallas defense has been anything but over their previous 4 contests while allowing 25.3 points and 364.0 yards per game. Detroit has gone over the total in their last 6 when the total was 45.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 60.2 points scored per game. The Lions have scored 30 points or more in 5 of their last 7 and 8 of 15 games this season. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Dallas has played 27-12 to the over as a home favorite and with Dak Prescott was their starting quarterback. During those 39 contests Dallas averaged a lofty 33.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State UNDER 50.5 | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Missouri vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Under 50.5 No analysis today due to time constraints. |
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12-29-23 | Notre Dame v. Oregon State OVER 39.5 | 40-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Oregon State vs. Notre Dame 2:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Over 39.5 No analysis today due to time constraints. |
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12-26-23 | Texas State v. Rice OVER 59 | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Texas State vs. Rice 5:30 PM ET Game# 237-238 Play On: Over 59.0 This is a Texas State team that’s #17 nationally in scoring offense at 36 points per game. The Bobcats have scored 30 points or more in 8 of 12 games but also allowed 31 points or greater on 8 occasions as well. As a matter of fact, over their final 3 regular season contests Texas State allowed 50.7 points and 438.7 yards per game. Rice has played 4-1 to the over throughout their previous 5 when the total was 55.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 62.8 points scored per game. The Owls have also allowed 30 points or more 7 times this season. The Owls also average 30 points scored per game this season. Rice began the season with J.T. Daniels, but he was forced to retire from football due to multiple concussions. We’ll most likely see redshirt freshmen A.J. Padgett under center who has thrown for 636 yards and 7 touchdowns versus 3 interceptions in limited playing time. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-24-23 | Lions v. Vikings OVER 47 | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 44 m | Show | |
Lions @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Over 47.0 Both teams are coming off very good offensive performances. The Vikings racked up 424 yards of total offense in last week’s overtime loss at Cincinnati. The Lions had a sizable 448 yards of total in last Sunday’s 42-17 home win over Denver. Detroit has now gone over the total in their last 5 when the number was 45.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 61.6 points scored per game. The last 3 meetings between these NFC North rivals have gone over the total and with a combined average of 55.0 points scored per game. Furthermore, since the start of the 2021-2022 season the Vikings have played 5-0 to the over at home in December and with a combined average of 58.4 points scored per game. Giver me this game to go over the total. |
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12-23-23 | Arkansas State v. Northern Illinois OVER 54.5 | 19-21 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois 12:00 PM ET Game# 223-224 Play On: Over 54.5 Northern Illinois has seen all 6 of their games played away from home go over the total. The last 4 of which averaged a combined 67.3 points scored per game. Arkansas State has amassed 422 yards or more of total offense in 7 of their last 10 games while also scoring 31 points or greater 6 times. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars OVER 41.5 | Top | 23-7 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 9 m | Show |
Ravens @ Jaguars 8:20 PM ET Game# 329-330 Play On: Over 41.5 The weather conditions won’t be ideal, but it won’t automatically make this a low scoring affair. The Ravens offense has been humming which is evidenced by them scoring 31 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games. The Ravens are the #1 running team in the NFL so far this season and are averaging 157.1 yards per game. Baltimore is also #4 in scoring offense at 27.2 points per game. The Ravens have played 5-2 to the over during their previous 7 contests and with a combined average of 52.1 points scored per game. Jacksonville enters this week #11 in total offense, #9 in passing offense, and #9 in scoring offense. Additionally, throughout their previous 4 contests the Jags have averaged 29.0 points scored and 375.8 yards gained per game. Jacksonville has also allowed 26.8 yards and 380.8 yards per contest throughout their previous 5 games. Jacksonville has played 4-0 to the over at home this season when the number was 44.0 or less and there was a combined average of 54.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers OVER 42.5 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 52 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Packers 8:20 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Over 42.5 For starters, the weather in Green Bay shouldn’t be a factor with game time temperatures predicted to be about 34 degrees with light wins of 5 to 7 MPH and a very low probability of any precipitation. The Packers offense has shown dramatic signs of improvement over their last 3 contests while averaging 23.7 points scored and 391.0 yards gained per game. During that same 3-game stretch, the Packers defense allowed a worrisome 165.0 yards per outing. The Chiefs will be able to run the ball effectively on Sunday night which sets up the best play action passer in the NFL Patrick Mahome for a huge day. Since the start of the 2021-2022 NFL season, Kansas City has played 6-1 to the over on the road when the total was between 42.0 to 49.0 and there was a combined average of 55.4 points scored per game. Additionally, the Chies went over the number in both games this season when the total was 43.0 or less. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams OVER 40.5 | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Browns @ Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Over 40.5 The Browns have played 5-0-1 to the under at home this season but 5-0 to the over on the road. Those 5 road contests had a combined average of 54.8 points scored per game. Statistically the Browns are extremely good defensively. But those numbers are askew when comparing their home and away splits. The same can be said for their offense production on the road which has been far better than compared to that on the road. The Rams offense is coming off a confidence building performance during last Sunday’s 37-14 blowout win at Arizona. They massed 457 yards of total offense in that contest with a very balanced attach which sw them gain 228 rushing and 229 passing. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-03-23 | Dolphins v. Commanders OVER 49.5 | 45-15 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Commanders 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Over 49.5 Even the casual NFL fan is aware of how explosive the Miami Dolphins can be. This appears to be a prime spot for them to shine against a porous Washington defense which has allowed 29 points sor more in 8 of their 11 games this season. The Commanders offense has averaged an impressive 407.8 yards gained per game over their previous 5 contests. The only reason they scored just an average of 21.2 points per contest during that stretch is they committed 11 turnovers. They’ll be facing a Dolphins defense that allowed 27.3 points per game in contests played on the road or at a neutral site. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 47 | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ Cowboys 8:15 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Over 47.00 Dallas is 5-0 at home and averaging a massive 41.0 points scored per game. Since the start of the 2021-2022 NFL season. Dallas has played 8-1 to the over at home when the total was between 42.5 to 49.0 with a combined average of 61.3 points scored per game. The Cowboys have scored 33 points or more in each of their previous 3 games. Dallas has played 6-0 to the over throughout the past 3 season following 2 consecutive contests in which they scored 25 points or more and there was a combined average of 60.7 points scored per occurrence. Any NFL away team like Seattle with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 that has a winning record, versus an opponent like Dallas with a win percentage of between .600 to .750 that’s coming off 3 straight covers as a favorite, resulted in those games playing 13-1 to the over since 2014. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-27-23 | Bears v. Vikings OVER 43.5 | 12-10 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Bears @ Vikings 8:15 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Over 43.5 Let’s start with tonight’s quarterbacks. During the past 5 seasons, Joshua Dobbs has made 9 home starts and those games played 7-1-1 to the over with an averaged combined points score of 53.4 per contest. Justin Fields has made 7 starts this season and Chicago played 6-1 to the over in those contests and there was a combined average of 51.6 points scored per game. Both quarterbacks have the ability to extend plays with their mobility and are a legitimate threat to take off and run with positive results. Since the 2021-2022 NFL season began, Minnesota has played 8-0 to the over at home when it’s after Game 8 and there was a combined average of 56.1 points scored per game. The Bears have seen each of their last 4 played in Minnesota go over the total and with a combined average of 49.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks OVER 42.5 | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 49 h 49 m | Show | |
49ers @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Over 42.5 Seattle is coming off an away 17-16 division loss to the Rams which dropped their season record to 6-4 (.600). The 49ers enter this NFL West battle with a record of 7-3 (.700). This sets up a high percentage NFL totals betting angle which is displayed below. NFL teams like Seattle with a win percentage of .727 or worse that are coming off a division loss by 3 points or fewer, and they’re playing after Game 7, versus an opponent with a win percentage of between .153 to .769, and the current total in this identical situation is between 39.0 to 46.5, resulted in those contests playing 34-3 (91.9%) to the over since 2014. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-23-23 | Commanders v. Cowboys OVER 48.5 | Top | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 45 h 1 m | Show |
Commanders @ Cowboys 4:30 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Over 48.5 Washington has played 4-0 to the over this season when the number is 42.5 or greater and there was a combined 62.3 points scored per game. During their previous 3 games, Washington has averaged 24.0 points scored and 415.8 yards gained per contest. They’ll be facing a Cowboys team which has averaged 40.0 points scored and 446.5 yards gained per game at home this season. Both teams have played 3-1 to the over in their last 4 games with averaged combined scores of 55.8 points scored in contests involving Dallas and 52.3 in those Washington outings. Dallas is coming off a 33-10 win at Carolina and covered as an 11.0-point favorite. Washington is coming off a 31-19 home loss to the New York Giants. Any NFL home favorite of -10.0 or greater that’s coming off an away favorite of 10.0 or more ATS cover, versus an opponent that allowed 19 points or more in their previous contest, and the total in this current identical situation is 45.0 or greater, resulted in those games playing 7-0 to the over since 1998. There was a combined average of 65.7 points scored per gane during those 7 contests. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions OVER 47 | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 41 h 2 m | Show | |
Packers @ Lions 12:30 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Over 47.0 The Packers offense has shown substantial signs of improvement of late. Throughout their previous 3 contests Green Bay has 395.7 yards per game. Although their point per game total of 20.7 per game average during that stretch is indicative of failing to cash in on scoring opportunities more than mediocre at best points scored production. The Lions are averaging a robust 30.0 points scored and 395.4 yards gained per game at home. During their previous 3 contests, the Lions are averaging 32.7 points scored and 452.3 yards gained per game. Since head coach Dan Campbell was hired, Detroit has played 10-4 to the over as a favorite. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-19-23 | Seahawks v. Rams OVER 46 | 16-17 | Loss | -118 | 24 h 28 m | Show | |
Rams @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Over 46.0 Mathew Stafford returns to the line after missing the last game at Green Bay due to injury. Stafford has accounted for a trio of 300-yard plus passing games this season which included Week 1 at Seattle. The Seahawks pass defense has been extremely vulnerable in recent seasons and especially when facing upper end quarterbacks like Stafford. This year has been no different which has been proven by them allowing 288 yards or more passing on 4 separate occasions this season. The Seahawks are coming off last Sunday’s 29-26 win over Washington in which they amassed a substantial 489 yards of offense. Quarterback Gino Smith threw for 369 yards and 2 touchdowns in that win. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-19-23 | Chargers v. Packers OVER 44 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 5 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Packers 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Over 44.0 Los Angeles Chargers games have averaged a combined 50.5 points scored per game this season. On a negative note, the Chargers defense surrendered 533 yard in last Sunday’s 451-38 home loss to Detroit. Most notable, they allowed the Lions to rush for 200 yards in that contest and marked the 3rd time this season that they allowed 200 or more yards on the ground. Conversely, the Packers have run for 137 yards or more in 3 of their last 4 games. The Chargers have averaged 31.7 points scored per game in their last 3 contests. The Packers have played 3-0 to the over this season when they’ve been an underdog of 2.0 or more and there was a combined average of 48.3 points scored per game. The weather prediction in Green Bay is pleasant for this time of year and won’t hinder either offense. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-12-23 | Browns v. Ravens OVER 38 | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
Browns @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 243-244 Play On: Over 38.0 We have the top 2 defenses in the NFL when it comes to total yards allowed. This also features 2 of the top 3 scoring defenses in the league. Thus, the low posted total. It’s a no brainer to take the under, right? That would be an emphatic no. I strongly believe there’s ample betting value in going over the number. Cleveland has gone over the total in all 3 road games this season and with a combined average of 56.3 points scored per contest. Additionally, since the start of the 2021-2022 season, Cleveland has played 5-1 to the over in road games where the number was between 35.5 and 42.0 with a combined 49.2 points scored per contest. The Baltimore offense has been on fire during their previous 3 contests while averaging 35.3 points scored and 428.7 yards gained per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-05-23 | Colts v. Panthers OVER 44 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 21 m | Show | |
Colts @ Panthers 4:05 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Over 44.0 The Colts have scored 21 points or more in a66 8 games this season while playing 6-2 to the over. As a matter of fact, Indy has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 with a combined 66.3 points scored per game. The negative aspect of all that for the Colts is their defense is border line atrocious while allowing 28.6 points and 371.3 yards per game. Dring their previous 3 hames they’ve allowed 37, 39, and 38 points respectively. The Panthers are no offensive juggernaut but they have averaged 20.0 points scored per game in their last 5 and look for them to improve on that number versus a Porous Colts defensive unit. The Panthers aren’t without their defensive issues as well while allowing 37 points or more in 3 of their last 5. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-05-23 | Bears v. Saints OVER 41 | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
Chicago @ New Orleans 1:00 PM ET Game# 465-466 Play On: Over 41.0 Since 11/8/2021, Chicago has played 5-0 to the over as a non-division away underdog when the number was between 39.5 and 45.5 and there was a combined average of 60.0 points scored per game. Chicago is coming off last Sunday night’s 30-13 road loss to the Chargers. The Bears are 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when playing the 2nd of back-to-back road games and there was a combined average of 57.5 points scored per game. Chicago has played 6-2 to the over in all games this season and that includes 3-0 when the number is 44.5 or less. New Orleans has gone over the total in their last 2 with a combined 60.0 points scored per game. The New Orleans passing attack is clicking on all cylinders over their previous 3 games while averaging 328.7 yards through the air per contest. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions UNDER 46.5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Raiders @ Lions 8:15 PM ET Game# 279-280 Play On: Under 46.5 The Raiders have scored 18 points or fewer in 6 of 7 games this season. The Las Vegas defense has played very good over their last 4 contests while allowing just 293.0 yards per game. The Raiders are coming off a 30-12 loss at Chicago as a favorite of 2.5 and it went over the total of 38.0. Since 2021, the Raiders have played 7-0 to the under on the road when there was a total of 51.0 or less and they’re coming off an over in their previous game. The average total in those 7 contests was 44.4 and there were 34.6 points scored per game. Detroit is coming off an embarrassing 38-6 blowout loss at Baltimore. Since 2021, the Lions have played 7-0 to the under when the number is between 45.5 and 51.5 all with a combined average of 35.1 points scored per game. |
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10-25-23 | Jacksonville State v. Florida International OVER 49.5 | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State @ FIU 7:00 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Over 49.5 Neither defense has played well in each of their last 4 games. During their last 4 FIU is allowing 31.5 points and 455.0 yards per game. Conversely, Jacksonville State has given up 25.3 points and 439.8 yards per game throughout their previous 4. Each offense has shown improvement over each of their previous 3 contests that exceeds their season offensive numbers. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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10-24-23 | New Mexico State v. Louisiana Tech OVER 54 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
New Mexico State @ Louisiana Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Over 54.0 Since 2021, Louisiana Tech has played 12-2 to the over at home with a combined 66.4 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, they’ve played 3-0 to the over during their last 3 home this year and with a combined average of 70.7 points scored per game. New Mexico State has played an extremely soft schedule this year. However, the 1 qulaity team that faced was Liberty (7-0) and they allowed 33 points and 526 yards. The Aggies have a very good rushing attack that averages a tad over 200 yards per game and better than 6.0 yards per attempt. They’ll be facing a Louisina Tech defense which is allowing 199 yards rushing per game. During their last 3 contests, the Aggies are averaging 29.7 points scored per game, 445.3 yards gained per contest, and an impressive 7.0 yards per offensive play. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 43.5 | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
49ers @ Vikings 8:15 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Under 43.5 The Vikings have gone under in each of their previous 3 with a combined average of 37.7 points scored per game. During that stretch, their defense allowed only 280.0 yards per game while the offense accounted for just 271.3 yards per contest. San Francisco is coming off a 19-17 upset loss at Cleveland in a game they closed as a 9.5-point favorite. However, San Francisco is #2 in scoring defense thus far while allowing a mere 14.5 points scored per contests. Any NFL team like the 49ers that’s playing after Game 2 in a Monday night contest, and they’re coming off a SU favorite loss in which they allowed 38 points or fewer, resulted in those games playing 18-0 to the under since 2019. There was a combined average of 39.5 points scored per game. Additionally, 8 of those contests had a total of 46.5 or less and those averaged a combined 35.9 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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10-14-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State UNDER 54.5 | 24-36 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 11 m | Show | |
UCLA @ Oregon State 8:00 PM ET Game# 189-190 Play On: Under 54.5 UCLA has allowed 17 points or fewer in all 5 games this season and forced an eye-popping 13 turnovers. Throughout their previous 4 games, the UCLA defense has allowed 295 yards or less on each occasion. The last 2 of which came versus nationally ranked Washington State and Utah. Oregon State has allowed 7.7 points and 234.0 yards per game in their 3 contests at home this season. Both offenses run the ball a tad more than they throw it, and each defense has been very good against the run. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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10-08-23 | Chiefs v. Vikings UNDER 52.5 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Vikings 4:25 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Under 52.5 The Chiefs are 3-1 and have held all 4 of their opponents to 21 points or fewer. As a matter of fact, over their previous 3 Kansas City has allowed 13.0 points and 270.0 yards per game. Since the start of last season, this will be the 4th time that Kansas City will be an away favorite of 5.5 or less with a total of 50.0 or more, and on each of the other 3 occasions those contests went under the total with a combined average of just 38.0 points scored per game. Minnesita’s offense has moved the ball well this season. However, they have shot themselves in the foot by committing 11 turnovers in their first 4 games. Any NFL away team like Kansas City with a win percentage of .600 to .750 that’s playing before Game 8 of their season, and they’re coming off an away win, versus an opponent like Minnesota that has a losing record, resulted in those games playing 14-0 to the under since 2013. The average combined score in those 14 contests was 35.8 points per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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10-05-23 | Bears v. Commanders OVER 44 | 40-20 | Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
Bears @ Commanders 8:15 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Over 44.0 Washington is coming off a 34-31 overtime loss at Philadelphia. The Commander’s defense has been a major disappointment thus far. During their previous 3 contests, Washington has allowed 34.7 points and 400.0 yards per game. Conversely, the Bears have given up 33.0 points and 401.3 yards per game over their last 3 contests. The Bears blew a 28-7 second half lead at home to Denver last Sunday and lost 31-28. However, Justin Fields had his best game of the season while going 28-35 (80%) passing for 300 yards. The Bears have gone over the total in all 4 games this season and with a combined average of 51.3 points scored per contest. Washington has seen a combined average score of 52.3 points score per game during their first 4 contests. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech OVER 60 | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech 8:00 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Over 60.0 Western Kentucky is only giving up a deceiving 29.2 points per game. I say only because they’re also surrendering 472.8 yards per game but have been bailed out by forcing a significantly high average of 2.8 turnovers per game. The Hilltoppers have been and continue to be a pass happy offense. Specifically speaking, they have passed the ball on 64.7% of their offensive plays over their first 5 contests. During their lone conference away game, they lost to Troy 27-24 but allowed a concerning 521 yards on defense but once again limited the damage by forcing 3 turnovers. Louisiana Tech is coming off a rather low scoring 24-10 road win at UTEP. However, since 2021 they’ve played 8-0 to the over at home after playing on the road in their previous contest and there was a substantial combined average of 71.7 points scored per game. Louisiana Tech is 2-1 at home this year and amassed 432 yards or total offense on each occasion. They also averaged 36.7 points scored per game during those 3 home contests. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants OVER 47 | 24-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ Giants 8:15 PM ET Game# 279-280 Play On: Over 47.0 Seattle has allowed 316 yards or more passing in each of their first 3 games while giving up 29.3 points per contest. The Seahawks offense has produced 37 points scored in each of their previous 2 games while amassing 393 and 425 yards of total offense during those contests. The Giants offense is far from explosive but still not as bad as their early season numbers indicate. They’ve faced arguably the 2 best defenses in the NFC in San Francisco and Dallas during their first 3 games. However, when going up against Arizona’s stop unit in Week 2 the G-Men put up 31 points, 439 yards of total offense, and passed for 312 yards. The Giants are allowing 32.7 points per game. Any NFL home team like the Giants with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 that averages 285 yards or less of total offense per game, and they were outgained in their previous contest by 200 yards or more, resulted in those games playing 30-7 (81.1%) to the over since 1983. Those 37 contests averaged 6.1 points more than the closing total. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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10-01-23 | Broncos v. Bears OVER 46.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 22 h 38 m | Show | |
Broncos @ Bears 1:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Over 46.5 Denver has been pathetic in their last 2 games while surrendering a combined 105 points and 1114 yards. Even a struggling offense like the Bears possess should have moderate success against them. The Broncos offensive production during their previous 2 contests has put up respectable numbers of 26.5 points scored and 381.0 yards gained per game. The Bear defense has left much to be desired over their previous 2 games while giving up a combined 65 points and 890 yards. Chicago has gone over in each of their 3 contests in 2023 and there was a combined 51.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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10-01-23 | Falcons v. Jaguars UNDER 43 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
Falcons vs. Jaguars 9:30 AM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Under 43.0 The Falcons are averaging 18.0 points per game and allowing 18.3 points per contest during their 2-1 start to the season. They’re also averaging just 287.7 yards gained and 283.3 yards allowed per contest thus far. Those numbers don’t exactly translate to an exciting brand of football. Jacksonville is coming off an embarrassing 38-17 division home loss to Houston which marked a 2nd consecutive defeat and dropped their season record to 1-2 (.333). The Jaguars have been regular travelers to Europe and recent seasons and have seen their last 4 go under the total with a combined average of 38.0 points scored per game. Any team like Jacksonville with a win percentage of between .250 to .400 that’s coming off a division loss by 10 points or more in which they allowed 28 points or greater, and there’s a total of 42.0 to 48.0, versus an opponent like Atlanta who has a winning record, resulted in those contests playing 25-1 (96.2%) to the under since 2012. That exact scenario except for a total is 44.5 or less, played 10-0 to the under since 2012 and with a combined average of 33.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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09-30-23 | South Carolina v. Tennessee OVER 59.5 | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
South Carolina @ Tennessee 7:30 PM ET Game# 137-138 Play On: Over 59.5 The last 4 meetings between these schools have all gone over the total with a combined average of 71.4 points scored per game. I’m looking for a similar type of high scoring affair in this year’s matchup as well. Both teams’ offenses are balanced and very dynamic. Each defense is vulnerable. South Carolina allowed 519 yards including 487 through the air in last week’s 37-30 win over Mississippi State. The Gamecocks offense led by star quarterback Spencer Rattler is averaging 319 yards passing per game and an impressive 9.7 yards per aerial attempt. Tennessee averages 35.0 points scored and 463.8 yards per game thus far in 2023. Conversely, the Gamecocks defense allows 338 yards passing per game and an alarmingly high 8.7 yards per attempt. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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09-30-23 | Florida v. Kentucky UNDER 46 | 14-33 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
Florida @ Kentucky 12:00 ET Game# 139-140 Play On: Under 46.0 Kentucky has allowed a mere 15.0 points and 287.3 yards per game in their 3 contests versus FBS opponents this season. Kentucky’s offensive numbers can be a bit misleading considering they’ve played Ball State, Eastern Kentucky, Akron, and Vanderbilt. Kentucky has played 7-0 to the under since the start of last season when facing a team with a winning record and there was a combined average of just 36.4 points scored per game. Conversely, Florida has allowed 15.7 points and 256.0 yards per game in its 3 contests versus FBS teams. The Gators saw all 3 of those games stay under and with a combined average of 36.3 points scored per contest. Florida has seen their last 3 versus Kentucky all go under the total and with a combined 35.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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09-24-23 | Texans v. Jaguars UNDER 44 | 37-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 15 m | Show | |
Texans @ Jaguars 1:00 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Under 44.0 Jacksonville is coming off a 17-9 home loss to Kansas City. Houston comes off last Sunday’s 31-20 home loss to Indianapolis. Both games between these division rival went under the total last season and with an average combined score of 26.5 points scored per contest. Since 2019, any NFL team like Jacksonville that’s playing after Game 2 with total of between 38.0 to 48.5 and is coming off a home loss, versus an opponent like Houston that’s coming off a home loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those game playing 23-0 to the under. The average combined score during those 23 contests was 35.7 points per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 38.5 | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 56 h 25 m | Show | |
Browns @ Steelers 8:15 PM ET Game# 291-292 Play On: Over 38.5 Cleveland is coming off an extremely impressive 24-3 home win over Cincinnati in their season opener. Conversely, Pittsburgh was awful in their Week 1 season opening 30-7 blowout loss at home to San Francisco. The 2 games between these division rivals both went over the total a season ago. The average total during those 2 contests was 39.0 and there was a combined 44.0 points scored per game. Any NFL team like Cleveland that’s playing in a division away game in Games 2 through 4 of the season with a total of 37.5 to 46.0, versus an opponent like Pittsburgh that allowed 33 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests playing 19-2 (90.5%) to the over since 1991. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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09-16-23 | Georgia Tech v. Ole Miss OVER 63 | 23-48 | Win | 100 | 47 h 13 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech @ Ole Miss 7:30 PM ET Game# 189-190 Play On: Over 63.0 This will be an extremely high scoring and entertaining game to watch. Both teams can put up huge offensive numbers against mediocre to below average defenses. Georgia Tech lost their season opener to Louisville 39-34 in a game there was a combined 964 yards of total offense and easily sailed over the total of 60.0. The Yellowjackets are coming off last Saturday’s 48-13 shellacking of South Carolina State in which they had 578 yards of total offense. Nonetheless, they also allowed their FCS opponent to rush for 198 yards which is extremely concerning when considering it will be facing a dynamic offense like Ole Miss this week. Ole Miss has amassed 798 passing yards and averaged 55.0 points scored per game in wins over Mercer and Tulane to start the season. The Rebels have a pair of high-quality quarterbacks in Jaxson Dart and former Oklahoma State starter Spencer Sanders. As Ralph Kramden would say in old Honeymooners episodes, “boom, zoom, and to the moon Alice”. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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09-16-23 | Western Kentucky v. Ohio State OVER 65 | 10-63 | Win | 100 | 44 h 44 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky @ Ohio State 4:00 PM ET Game# 163-164 Play On: Over 65.0 Western Kentucky scored 41 and 52 points during its first 2 games and averaged 68 offensive plays per contest. The Hilltoppers continue to have a prolific passing game and high scoring offense just like the one we’ve been witnessing in recent seasons. Granted they’ll be stepping way up in class at Ohio State on Saturday, but we only need 2 to 3 scores from them to cash our ticket. They also allowed 529 yards rushing in those contests which included a game against Houston Baptist that plays at the FCS level. Ohio State hasn’t been overly impressive offensively in their first 2 games. Nevertheless, they’ll have a field day against a traditionally porous defense like Western Kentucky. Since 2020, Western Kentucky is allowing 34.7 points per game when facing non-conference FBS opponents and none of those teams were close to the caliber of what they’re about to face on Saturday. Furthermore, Ohio State has played 6-0 to the over since the start of last season after amassing 475 yards or more in their previous contest and there was a combined average of 75.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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09-07-23 | Lions v. Chiefs OVER 54.5 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 53 m | Show | |
Lions @ Chiefs 8:20 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Over 54.5 Kansas City has gone over the total in 8 straight season openers under current head coach Andy Reid and there was a combined average of 61.1 points scored per game. Since 2017, the Chiefs are 5-0 to the over during the first 2 games of the season and when there was a total of 53.5 or greater. The average total in those 5 contests was 54.5 and there was a combined 63.6 points scored per game. The Detroit Lions have gone over the total in all of their last 12 season openers. That run of high scoring season openers includes the first 2 of current head coach Dan Campbell’s tenure in Detroit. and there was a combined 73.5 points scored per game. Campbell has also seen his Lions play 4-2 to the over since he took over as head coach whenever the total was 50.0 or higher. Since 2009, NFL home favorites of 4.0 or greater that were playing in their serason opener and there was a total of 50.0 or higher, resulted in those games playing 8-1 to the over. The average total in those 9 contests was 53.4 and there was a combined 59.4 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 51.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Kansas City vs. Philadelphia 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 51.5 Super Bowls with a total of 50.0 or greater have played 6-1 to the under since 2000, and there was a combined average of 43.8 points scored per game. Kansas City has played 8-3 to the under this season whenever there was a total of 50.0 or greater. As a matter of fact, the Chiefs have played 6-0 to the under in their last 6 games this season versus non-division opponents when the total was 50.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 42.8 points scored per game. The Chiefs offensive prowess gets most of the attention and rightfully so. Although their defense isn’t regarded as an elite unit, they have accumulated 55 sacks this season which was 2nd in the NFL and only Philadelphia was better in that category. They also rank #11 in total defense while allowing just 328.2 yards per game. The best defense against a high-powered offense like the Chiefs possess is an offense that can dominate time of possession. The Eagle have a tremendous running game and Kansas City is average ata best versus the run. The Eagles have seen each of their last 4 go under the total and allowed a mere 12.5 points per game in those contests. Philadelphia has been far and away the best pass rushing team in all the NFL which is evidenced by them amassing 70 sacks this season. That’s a major reason why the Eagles allow just an NFL best 179.8 net passing yards per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 48.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
Bengals @ Chiefs 6:30 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) It will be extremely cold in Kansas City on Sunday night with temperatures in the low 20’s and winds of 11 MPH which will make it feel approximately 10 degrees colder. Even with these 2 great offenses and star quarterbacks, the weather isn’t ideal for either passing attack. Add in the uncertainty of how much Patrick Mahomes will be affected by the high ankle sprain, and we may witness a lower scoring game relative to the total than most would expect. As a matter of fact, you may be surprised to know that the Chiefs played 6-0 to the under at home this season in non-division home games with a combined average of 40.3 points scored per game. The Bengals defense has allowed 18 points or fewer in their last 4 and 6 of its previous 8 games. They have given up their fair share of yards during that stretch but bailed themselves out on many occasions by forcing 14 turnovers, and with 12 of those occurring over their past 5 games. Cincinnati has played 4-0 to the under this season whenever the total was 48.0 or greater with a combined average of 41.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles OVER 45 | 7-31 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
49ers @ Eagles 3:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Over 45.0 (5*) San Francisco is coming of last week’s Divisional Round 19-12 home win over Dallas in a game that easily went under the total. The 49ers have now played 9-4 to the over in their last 13 games. Additionally, the 49ers have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 following an under in their previous game and there was a combined 54.8 points scored per contest. The Eagles enter this game off 2 wins in a row and both came over the Giants. Since Nick Sirriani became head coach last season, Philadelphia has played 6-0 to the over at home following back-to-back wins and there was a combined 51.4 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs OVER 52 | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
Jacksonville @ Kansas City 4:30 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Over 52.0 (10*) Since 1/20/2019, Kansas City has played 6-1 to the over in home playoff games with a total of 56.5 or less. Those 7 contests had an average total of 52.2 and there was a combined 66.1 points scored per game. Jacksonville has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 non-division away underdog of 9.0 or less, and there was a total of 42.0 or greater. The Jaguars have also played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 when there was a total of 45.5 or greater, and there was a combined 63.0 points per game. The Jaguars enter this Divisional Round matchup riding a 6-game win streak. NFL Playoff teams like Jacksonville who have won 6 or more games in a row, and there was a total of 52.0 or greater, saw those situations play 4-0 to the over and there was a combined 62.3 points scored per occurrence since 2017. NFL Playoff home favorites of 4.5 or more like Kansas City that are coming off a bye, with a total of 42.0 or more, and they’re coming off 5 or more wins in a row, resulted in those situations playing 11-0 to the under since 1990. The average total in those games was 47.5 and there was a combined 55.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-15-23 | Giants v. Vikings OVER 48 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
New York @ Minnesota 4:30 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: Over 48.0 (5*) These teams met just a few weeks ago in Minnesota and the Vikings squeezed out a 27-24 win when kicker Greg Joseph made a 61-yard field goal as time expired. The Vikings managed to win despite allowing the Giants offense to rack up 445 yards of total offense. This is nothing new for Minnesota’s defense. They finished regular season action having allowed 25.1 points and 388.7 yards per game. Minnesota has seen 7 of their last 8 at home go over the total and there was a combined average of 55.0 points scored per game. The Viking are coming off a 29-13 win at Chicago in their regular season finale and it barely went under the total of 42.5. That broke a string of 6 straight overs for Minnesota. The Giants finished the regular season with a 22-16 loss at Philadelphia and the contest stayed under the total of 42.5. New York has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 immediately following an under and there was a combined 56.3 points scored per game. Additionally, the Giants have averaged 26.7 points scored in their last 3 non-division games and amassed 394 yards or more of total offense on each occasion. The Giants offense has steadily improved as the season wore on and they scored 20 points or more in 6 of its last 7 games. Bet on this game to go over the total. |
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01-09-23 | TCU v. Georgia OVER 63 | 7-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
TCU vs. Georgia 7:30 ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Over 63.0 (4*) TCU averages 41.1 points scored per game this season. The Horned Frogs have allowed 31 points or more in 6 of their last 12 games. That includes allowing 528 yards to Michigan during its 51-45 Semifinal win over Michigan. Conversely, Georgia has averaged 46.0 points scored and 533.0 yards of total offense in wins over LSU in the SEC Title Game and Ohio State in the Playoff Semifinal. The Bulldogs also allowed 71 points and 1016 yards in those last 2 wins. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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01-01-23 | Bears v. Lions UNDER 52.5 | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
Bears @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 115-116 Play On: Under 52.5 (5*) Any team like Detroit that’s coming off a SU favorite loss by 14 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .636 or worse, and there’s a total of 46.0 or greater, versus a division opponent with a win percentage of .714 or worse and they’re coming off a game in which they allowed 40 points or fewer, resulted in those games playing 17-0 to the under since 2015. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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12-31-22 | TCU v. Michigan OVER 58 | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
TCU vs. Michigan 4:00 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Over 58.0 (5*) These offenses rank #6 and #7 nationally in scoring with both averaging a tad over 40 points per game. On the other side of the ball, despite their 12-1 record TCU is currently #74 nationally while allowing 384.6 yards per game. The Horned Frogs have allowed 31 points or more 5 times this season. TCU has also allowed their opponent to gain 396 yards or more in 7 of their 13 games. That includes giving up 476 to SMU, 501 to Baylor, and 540 to Kansas. Michigan allowed 326 yards or less in each of their fist 11 games of the season. Hence, their dominant season long defensive statistics. However, in their last 2 games versus Purdue and Ohio State they showed some vulnerabilities. They gave up 494 yards to Ohio State in their regular season finale and 426 to Purdue in the Big 10 Championship Game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-28-22 | Kansas v. Arkansas OVER 69 | 53-55 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Kansas vs. Arkansas 5:30 PM ET Game# 247-248 Play On: Over 69.0 (5*) It’s a simple equation, both defenses are suspect at best, and each offense is formidable and won’t be stopped. The starting quarterbacks Jaden Daniels of Kansas and K.J. Jefferson from Arkansas are very good dual threat College Football quarterbacks. Kansas has played 8-4 to the over this season with an average combined score of 68.0 points scored per game. That includes 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 when the total was 60.0 or greater and a combined average of 77.0 points scored per contest. The Jayhawks have allowed 42 points or more on 5 separate occasions this season and they also tallied 31 points or greater 7 times. Arkansas has played 4-1 to the over this season when there’s been a total of 60.0 or greater and 2-0 over when 66.5 or more. Kansas finished their regular season slate with a 47-27 loss to the Big 12 champs Kansas State. Since the start of last season, Kansas has played 7-0 to the over in games not played at home following a conference loss, and those contests averaged a combined 78.3 points scored per occurrence. Arkansas finished regular season action by going 1-3. Since the start of last season, the Razorbacks have played 6-0 to the over after losing 2 of its previous 3 games played. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-27-22 | Georgia Southern v. Buffalo OVER 66.5 | 21-23 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
Buffalo vs. Georgia Southern 12:00 PM ET Game# 237-238 Play On: Over 66.5 (5*) Georgia Southern has a dynamic passing attack that ranks #4 nationally while averaging 327.4 yards per game. Conversely, the Eagles are #129 in total defense allowing 497.7 yards per game. The only teams in the nation that were worse was Colorado and South Florida. Georgia Southern starting quarterback Kyle Vantrease has passed for 3901 yards and 25 touchdowns this season. Ironically enough, the 6th year senior played his previous 5 seasons at Buffalo where he never had more than 8 touchdown passings and failed to reach 1900 yards passing at any time. Buffalo has seen each of their last 4 games as an underdog go over the total with a combined average of 66.0 points scored per game. The Bulls allowed 35 points or more in 7 of 12 regular season games while playing a soft schedule. Buffalo allowed 30 points or more in 7 of 12 games. They’ve also scored 30 points or greater in 6 of its 12 regular season contests. College Football neutral site teams like Buffalo with a total of 63.5 to 70.0 that are facing a non-conference team, and both teams have between a +50 to -50 totals yards per game differential, resulted in those contests playing 28-8 (77.8%) to the over since 1992. Those contests had an average total of 66.3 and there were a combined 75.9 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts UNDER 44.5 | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Colts 8:15 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: Under 44.5 (5*) The Chargers have gone under the total in each of their previous 3 and there was a combined average of 39.3 points scored per game. During their last 2, the Chargers have allowed only 15.5 points and 251.5 yards per game. Indianapolis is coming off last week’s complete meltdown in which they blew a 33-0 halftime lead and eventually lost 39-36 in overtime. Despite that 36-point offensive output, the Colts only scored 1 offensive touchdown. They allowed the Vikings to pass for 426 yards in that loss and it marked the first time this season they allowed more than 266 yards passing. The week before they lost 54-19 at Dallas in a game in which they committed 5 turnovers and put their defense in tough short field positions. NFL home teams like the Colts with a losing record playing after Game 4 with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, and they’re coming off 2 consecutive losses in which they allowed 35 points or more, resulted in those contests playing 34-7 (82.9%) to the under since 1983. Give me this game to go under the total |
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12-25-22 | Packers v. Dolphins OVER 49.5 | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
Green Bay @ Miami 1:00 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Over 49.5 (5*) Miami is coming off a 32-29 loss at Buffalo that dropped their season record to 8-6. The Dolphis have now gone 5-1 to the over in their last 6 games when there was a total of 53.5 or less and there was a combined average of 56.2 points scored per contest. Green Bay has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 with a combined average of 51.8 points scored per game. NFL home teams like Miami that are coming off a division loss by 3 points or fewer in which they scored 17 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .200 or better, versus a team like Green Bay playing after Game 8 and they scored 45 points or fewer in their previous contest, resulted in those games playing 29-1-2 (96.7%) to the over since 2012. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-24-22 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 47.5 | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Cowboys 4:25 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Under 47.5 (5*) Philadelphia is coming off a 25-20 win at Chicago last Sunday but failed to cover as an 8.5-point favorite. NFL road teams like Philadelphia with a total of between 43.0 to 49.5 that were facing a division opponent, and they’re coming off a SU win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those games playing 28-5 (84.8%) to the under since 2011. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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12-18-22 | Falcons v. Saints OVER 43.5 | 18-21 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 46 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ New Orleans 1:00 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Over 43.5 (5*) New Orleans is coming off a gut-wrenching 17-16 division loss at Tampa Bay. Atlanta dropped a 19-16 home decision to Pittsburgh last Sunday. This sets up an excellent NFL totals betting algorithm which hasn’t loss during the past 10 seasons and is displayed below. NFL home teams like New Orleans playing after Game 8 with a total of 46.5 or less that are coming off a division loss by 3 points or fewer, and they scored 16 points or more in that loss, versus teams like Atlanta that scored 34 points or less in their previous game, resulted in those contests playing 19-0-2 to the over since 2013. The average total in those 21 contests was 41.9 and there was a combined 57.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-18-22 | Chiefs v. Texans OVER 49 | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
Kansas City @ Houston 1:00 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Over 49.0 (5*) NFL away favorites of 13.0 or greater with a total of 45.0 or more that are playing after Game 5, versus an opponent that scored 16 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those games playing 10-0 to the over since 2007. The average total in those 10 contests was 48.5 and there was a combined 61.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks OVER 43 | 21-13 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
San Francisco @ Seattle 8:15 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Over 43.0 (5*) Seattle has scored 23 points or more in 9 of their last 11 games. Rookie running back Kenneth Walker returns to the lineup from injury tonight which will add more juice to the Seahawks offense. The Seattle defense has endured its fair share of struggles over their last 3 contests while allowing 31.0 points and 407.7 yards per game. All 3 contests played over the total with a combined average of 59.3 points scored per game. Seattle has also played 5-1-1 to the over in their last 7 at home versus San Francisco. The 49ers have played 6-3 to the over in their previous 9 contests and that includes 4-1 over if the total was 45.0 or less. San Francisco has scored 33 and 35 points while gaining 404 and 451 yards during its last 2 games. NFL away favorites of 3.5 or less like San Francisco that have gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 with all coming as a favorite, and they scored 32 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those game playing 12-0 to the over since 2006. Those 12 contests averaged a combined 59.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-12-22 | Patriots v. Cardinals UNDER 44 | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
New England @ Arizona 8:15 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Under 44.0 (5*) New England is coming off a 24-10 home loss to Buffalo and the game stayed under the totals of 43.5. New England has now seen 4 of their last 5 go under the total and with a combined average of 34.8 points scored per game. Conversely, Arizona is coming off a 25-24 home loss to the Chargers. This sets up an NFL totals betting angle which hasn’t lost since 2018 and is shown below. NFL teams like Arizona with a total of between 37.0 to 48.0 that are coming off a home loss, versus teams like New England that are coming off a home loss by 10 points or more and have at least 1 win on the season, resulted in those games playing 26-0 to the under since 2018. All 26 games produced a combined 41 points or less being scored. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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12-11-22 | Jaguars v. Titans UNDER 41 | 36-22 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
Jacksonville @ Tennessee 1:00 PM ET Game# 115-116 Play On: Under 41.0 (5*) Jacksonville is coming off an embarrassing 40-14 loss at Detroit. Conversely, Tennessee is coming a 20-16 home loss versus Cincinnati and a 35-10 defeat at Philadelphia during its last 2 games played. NFL teams like Jacksonville that allowed 35 points or more in their previous contest, versus teams like Tennessee who scored 17 points or fewer in each of its previous 2 games, and there’s a total of between 39.5 and 44.5, resulted in those games playing 15-1 (93.8%) to the under since 2018. Furthermore, if it was a divisional matchup, then this NFL totals betting angle improves to 7-0 under, and there was just a combined average of 30.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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12-11-22 | Texans v. Cowboys UNDER 44.5 | 23-27 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
Houston @ Dallas 1:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Under 44.5 (5*) Houston enters this week on a 7-game losing streak. They’ve also seen each of its last 4 stay under the total and with a combined average of just 39.7 points scored per game. Houston has scored only 17 points or fewer in each of their previous 6 games. The Texans will be facing a Dallas defense that over its last 3 has allowed a mere 14.0 points and 264.0 yards per game. Those Dallas defensive numbers certainly don’t bode well for Houston’s hopes of snapping out of a prolonged stretch of being anemic offensively. Additionally, Houston’s defense has played much better than their 26.0 points per game allowed over their previous 4 would indicate. They were put in precarious and unfavorable positions during that stretch due to their offensive teams committing 11 turnovers. NFL away teams (Houston) playing after Game 12 who are coming off 4 or more losses in a row, versus an opponent (Dallas) with a win percentage is .300, and the total is between 44.0 and 48.0, resulted in those contests playing a perfect 16-0 to the under since 2013. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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12-05-22 | Saints v. Bucs UNDER 41 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Tampa Bay 8:15 PM ET Game#477-478 Play On: Under 41.0 (5*) These NFC South rivals have seen 4 of their last 5 meetings go under the total. Furthermore, the last 9 times these teams have met in Tampa saw those games play 8-1 to the under with a combined average of 37.9 points scored per contest. Tampa Bay is has witnessed 6 of its last 7 and includes each of their previous 3 games stay under the total. New Orleans has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 with just a combined average of 30.8 points scored per game. The Saints are coming off an away underdog 13-0 loss at San Francisco and failed to cover as an 8.5-point underdog. Tampa Bay is coming off a 23-17 loss at Cleveland. NFL away underdogs with a total of 38.5 or greater that are coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they were shutout, versus an opponent coming off a loss, resulted in those contests playing 7-0 to the under since 1980, and there was a combined average of only 28.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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12-04-22 | Colts v. Cowboys UNDER 44.5 | 19-54 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 16 m | Show | |
Colts @ Cowboys 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Under 44.5 (5*) The Colts have played 9-3 to the under this season. That includes 7-0 to the under if the total was 42.0 or greater and there was just a combined 32.1 points per game. The Colts offense has been anemic all season while averaging just a paltry 15.8 points scored per game. Conversely their defense has been great this season while allowing 20.3 points and 308.9 yards per game. Considering how they’ve had little support from an offense that has struggle to sustain drives, shows the resiliency, character, and talent on that side of the ball. Dallas is #2 in scoring defense at 17.0 points per game and #6 in total defense at 309.6 yards allowed per contest. The Cowboys are also #1 against the pass while allowing at 177.7 yards per game. The Cowboys offense will be up against a Colts defense which is #5 against the pass (190.6 YPG) and #2 in yards allowed per rushing attempt. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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12-03-22 | Kansas State v. TCU OVER 61.5 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
Kansas State vs. TCU 12:00 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Over 61.5 (5*) Kansas State enters this Big 12 Conference Championship Game red-hot offensively. Throughout their previous 5 contests Kansas State averaged 40.2 points scored and 449.8 yards gained per game. Despite their 12-0 record, TCU has allowed an average of 385.6 yards per game this season. The Horned Frogs have also given up 24 points or greater in 8 of its last 10 games. Nonetheless, TCU has scored 34 points or more in 10 of its 12 games. When facing Kansas State earlier this season, TCU overcame a 28-10 deficit to win 38-28 and the game went under the total of 70.0. The sportsbooks have made a substantial adjustment to the total the 2nd time around, and as a result creates betting value on the over. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 43.5 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 50 h 27 m | Show | |
Buffalo @ New England 8:15 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Under 43.5 (5*) Since the start of last season, Buffalo has played 9-2 to the under as a road favorite. Furthermore, during that identical time span, if they were a road favorite of 5.5 or less, they went to 5-0 under with a combined average of 40.6 points scored. Buffalo is coming off last Thursday’s 28-25 win at Detroit in a game they failed to cover as a 9.0-point favorite in a game, and that final score stayed under the total of 54.0. Despite Buffalo’s explosive offense this season, the Bills have played 6-0 to the under in true road games this season New England has played 3-0 to the under this season when facing division opponents with a combined average of only 26.3 points scored per game Since the start of last season, NFL Thursday away favorites with a total of 52.0 or less have played 9-1 to the under with a combined average of 36.5 points scored per contest. Buffalo has played New England 7 times since 2019 and they held them to just 17.4 points per game. NFL road teams with a total of 43.0 to 49.0 that are coming off a favorite of 10.5 or less ATS loss but SU win, and they’re facing a division opponent that allowed 16 points or more in their previous contest, resulted in those games playing 25-2 (93%) to the under since 2011. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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11-27-22 | Chargers v. Cardinals OVER 48 | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Arizona 4:05 PM ET Game# 267-268 Play On: Over 48.0 (5*) The Chargers enter this week on a 2-game losing streak. Since 2020, the Chargers have played 5-0 to the over immediately following a 2-game losing streak and there was a combined average of 56.6 points scored per contest. Los Angeles is coming off a disheartening 30-27 home loss to division rival Kansas City and that contest went over the total of 53.0. Arizona has gone over the total in each of its previous 5 contests and with a combined average of 56.0 points scored per game. The Cardinals are coming off an embarrassing 38-10 division loss to San Francisco which marked their 3rd defeat in the last 4 games which dropped their season record to 4-7 (.636). Arizona has played 5-0 to the over at home since 2020 following a stretch in which they lost 3 of its previous 4 games. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 64.2 points per game. NFL teams after Game 8 with a total of 49.5 or less that are coming off a division loss by 3-points or fewer, and they allowed 20 or more points in their previous contest, versus teams with a win percentage of .545 or worse, resulted in those games playing 14-0 over the total since 2018. There was a combined average of 56.6 points scored per game during those 14 occurrences. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-24-22 | Bills v. Lions UNDER 54.5 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Buffalo 12:30 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Under 54.5 (5*) Buffalo has garnered the reputation as being one of the best offenses in recent seasons. As a matter of fact, this season the Bills are #2 in both total offense and scoring offense with only Kansas City being better. Nonetheless, the Bills have played 5-0 to the under in true road games this season with a combined average of 41.0 points scored per game. Additionally, the Bills are also #5 in scoring defense despite their secondary being ravaged with injuries. NFL teams like Buffalo with a total of 49.5 or greater that are playing after Game 8, and they scored and allowed 10 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent (Detroit) with a losing record, resulted in those teams playing 36-9 (75%) to the under since 2017. Here’s another NFL totals betting angle which is applicable to this matchup. Since 1980, NFL teams like Buffalo that are favorites of 9.0 or greater and with a total of 51.0 or more resulted in those contests playing 17-1 (94.4%). Give me this game to go under the total. |
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11-13-22 | Jaguars v. Chiefs OVER 50.5 | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 5 m | Show | |
Jacksonville @ Kansas City 1:00 PM ET Game# 243-244 Play On: Over 50.5 (5*) Jacksonville has played 4-0 to the over in true road games this season with a combined 48 points or more being scored on each occasion. Additionally, Kansas City has played 3-0 to the over this season when facing non-conference opponents and there was a combined 65 or more points being scored every time. Kansas City is ranked #1 in the NFL scoring while averaging 30.2 points scored per game. The Chiefs racked up 499 and 539 yards of total offense in their last 2 games played. Conversely, the Jacksonville offense has amassed 379 yards or more of total offense in 4 of their last 5 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-12-22 | South Carolina v. Florida OVER 59 | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 15 m | Show | |
Florida @ South Carolina 4:00 PM ET Game# 199-200 Play On: Over 59.0 (5*) This game has the earmarks of a high scoring entertaining game. Florida has played 3-0 to the over in its previous 3 and with a combined average of 69.0 points scored per game. The Gators have also played 4-0 to the over this season if the total is 58.5 or greater when facing an FBS opponent. Those contests averaged a combined 64.3 points scored per game. The Gators defense has been awful for an extended stretch now after allowing 411 yards or more in 6 of its previous 7 games. The lone exception in that 7-game was versus Missouri and even then, they allowed 370 yards. South Carolina has played 11-1 to the over since 2020 in conference away game and there was a combined 63.1 points scored per contest. The Gamecock run defense has allowed 200 yards or more rushing in a game 4 times this season. That’s a huge concern for that unit since it will be facing a Florida team which average 210 yards rushing per game on a lofty 6.1 yards per attempt. South Carolina has seen both games versus Florida go over the total during the past 2 seasons. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-07-22 | Ravens v. Saints OVER 46 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Baltimore @ New Orleans 8:15 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Over 46.0 (5*) New Orleans has quietly put up some impressive offense number throughout its previous 4 games. During that stretch, they’ve averaged 31.0 points scored and 422.0 yards gained per game. The Saints have seen 4 of their last 5 go over the total with an average combined score of 56.0 points per game. During their last 3 road contests, Baltimore has averaged 28.0 points scored and 417.7 yards gained per game. The Ravens have played 11-1 to the over with John Harbaugh as their head coach in non-conference away games when both the Ravens and their opponents scored 31 points or fewer in their previous game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 49 | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
Seattle @ Arizona 4:05 Game# 467-468 Play On: Over 49.0 (10*) Seattle has seen each of their previous 3 away games go over the total and there was an enormous average of 74.7 points per contest. Seattle is coming off a 27-13 home win over the New York Giants which has improved their season record to 5-3 (.625). Arizona has seen its last 2 go over the total with a combined average of 68.0 points scored per contest. The Cardinals are coming off last week’s 34-26 loss at Minnesota and they now find themselves with an uninspiring 3-4 (.375) season record. Since 2016, NFL teams with a total of 47.5 or greater who are playing after Game 6, and they’re coming off a home win by 13 or more points in which they scored 48 points or fewer, and their win percentage is between .600 to .750, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .333 or better (Arizona), resulted in those games playing 32-7 (82%) to the over. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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11-03-22 | Eagles v. Texans OVER 45.5 | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Eagles @ Texans 8:20 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Over 45.0 (5*) Philadelphia is currently a 13.5-point favorite, and the total is 45.5. The Eagles are coming off last Sunday’s 35-13 home blowout win over the Pittsburgh Steelers which improved their season record to 7-0. Philadelphia has scored 24 points or more in all 7 games this season in addition to amassing 400 yards or greater on 5 of those occasions. The Eagles have played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 as a non-division favorite with a total of 48.0 or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 57.3 points scored per game. Houston has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 as a non-division home underdog. The average total in those contests was 43.4 and there was a combined 56.2 points scored per game. The Texans are also 3-0 to the over in their last 3 non-division contests this season with a combined average of 53.0 points scored per game. NFL undefeated road favorites with a total of 42.5 to 47.0 that are playing after Game 3 and are coming off a home win by 10 or more points, resulted in those games going 33-7 (82.5%) over the total since 1985. |
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10-31-22 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 45.5 | 13-32 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Bengals @ Browns 8:15 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Under 45.5 (5*) The Browns are coming off a 23-20 division loss at Baltimore that dropped their season record to 2-5 (.286). After an 0-2 start to the season, Cincinnati has rebounded to win 4 of its last 5 to better than season record to 4-3. NFL home teams (Browns) with a total of 42.5 to 48.0 that are coming off a division loss in which they allowed 21 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Bengals) with a winning record, resulted in those contests playing 27-2 (93.1%) to the under since 2013. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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10-28-22 | East Carolina v. BYU OVER 63 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 26 m | Show | |
East Carolina @ BYU 8:00 PM ET Game# 111-112 Play On: Over 63.0 (5*) BYU has gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 while allowing an average of 40.3 points and 562.3 yards per game. The Cougars went under the total in a loss at Liberty in their previous game. BYU has played 2-0 to the over this year following an under in its previous contest and there was a combined average of 74.0 points scored per game. BYU has scored 35 points or more in 4 of 8 games this season and shouldn’t have any issues moving the ball on a suspect East Carolina defense. The East Carolina offense has been humming while averaging 33.5 points and 481.3 yards per game. The Pirates went under the total in their previous game. However, they’ve gone 3-0 to the over this year immediately following an under and there was a combined average of 76.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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10-27-22 | Ravens v. Bucs UNDER 45 | 27-22 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 54 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Tampa Bay 8:15 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 45.0 (5*) Tampa Bay has been a one-dimensional offensive team since their running game has been anemic 49.8 yards rushing per contest while averaging of late. During their last 5 games, they’ve averaged a mere 49.8 yards rushing per contest on 2.6 yards per attempt. On some positive notes, The Bucs haven’t committed a turnover in their last 3 games. Additionally, their defense has performed well over their last 3 contests while allowing just 291.3 yards per game, and they currently rank 7th in the NFL in yards allowed per game this season. Tampa Bay has played 6-1 to the under this season. Conversely, Baltimore has gone under the total in their last 4 with a combined average of 41.5 points scored per game. Tampa Bay is coming off a 21-3 loss at Carolina in a game they closed as a large 13.0-point favorite. Since 2016, NFL home teams coming off a SU favorite loss by 14 points or more, and there was a total of 47.5 or less, resulted in those contests playing 25-1 (96.2%) to the under. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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10-24-22 | Bears v. Patriots OVER 40 | 33-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Bears @ Patriots 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Over 40.0 (5*) Both teams will be able to run the ball successfully tonight which will set up glorious play action pass opportunities. Chicago is coming off a 12-7 home loss to Washing, but they did manage to amass 383 yards of total offense in that defeat. Chicago held the Commanders to a mere 86 yards passing in that contest. The Bears have played 4-0 to the over on the road since 2020 after allowing 150 yards or less passing yards in their previous game, and there was a combined average of 62.6 points scored per contest. New England’s starting quarterback Mac Jones returns tonight after missing the last couple of games due to injury. New England has played 7-3 to the over at home when Mac Jones has been their starting quarterback. The Patriots have scored 24 points or more in each of their last 4. New England is 3-0 to the over in their last 3 whenever there was a total of 45.5 or less and there was a combined average of 55.7 points scored per game. The Patriots will be facing a Chicago team which is averaging only 15.5 points per game this season. New England has played 6-0 to the over since 2020 whenever facing an opponent that averages 17 or fewer points per game and there was a combined average of 54.0 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go over the total. |
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10-23-22 | Chiefs v. 49ers UNDER 49 | 44-23 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ 49ers 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Under 49.0 (5*) San Francisco is coming off a disappointing performance in last week’s 28-14 loss at Atlanta as a 3.5-point favorite. The 49ers have played 5-1 to the under this season and that includes 3-0 under if the number was 40.0 or higher. The latter 3 contests produced just a combined average of 32.0 points scored per game. San Francisco has also played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 following a SU favorite loss and there was a combined average of 36.8 points scored per game. All 5 of those contests took place since last season. The 49ers defense has been stout thus far while allowing just 308 yards or fewer in all 6 of their games. Since 2015 NFL home teams coming off a SU favorite loss by 14 points or more went 41-5 (89.1%) to the under in their next game. Additionally, if they allowed 31 points or fewer during that previous SU favorite loss, this betting angles improves to a perfect 15-0 to the under. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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10-09-22 | Bears v. Vikings OVER 44 | 22-29 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
Bears @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 461-462 Play On: Over 44.0 (5*) There’s been 68% of the tickets and 95% of the money wagered on the under as of this writing. Yet, the total has gone from its opening number of 43.0 up to 44.0. This is textbook reverse line movement and a true indicator of sharp money go on the over which includes mine. Since 2020, Minnesota has played 15-5 (75%) to the over whenever the total was 42.5 to 49.0 and that includes 8-2 (80%) to the over if those games were played at home. You also might be surprised to know that Chicago has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 division away games and there was a combined average of 59.8 points scored per game. Furthermore, the last 3 games between these teams played in Minnesota have all gone over the total with a combined average of 49.3 points scored per game. |
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10-02-22 | Chargers v. Texans UNDER 45.5 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
Chargers @ Texans 1:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Under 45.5 (5*) Since 2019, the Chargers have played 12-3 to the under during its first 4 games of the season, and that includes 6-1 to the under on the road. The Chargers are coming off an embarrassing 38-10 home loss to Jacksonville in a game they closed as a 6.5-point favorite. Houston is coming off a 23-20 loss at Chicago in their previous game. Listed below is a perfect NFL totals betting angle pertaining to this matchup. Any NFL team (Chargers) with a losing record that’s coming off a game in which they failed cover by 28.0 points or more, and they scored 13 points or fewer in that contest, versus an opponent that scored 27 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests playing 15-0 to the under since 2013. The average total in those 15 contests was 42.4 and there was just a combined 32.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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09-25-22 | Chiefs v. Colts UNDER 51 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Colts 1:00 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Under 51.0 (5*) The Colts have played 2-0 to the under in its first 2 games and is coming off a 24-0 loss at Jacksonville in a game they closed as a 3.0-point favorite. Despite a poor 0-1-1 start to the season, the Colts defense has been solid despite being on the field an average of 34:19 per game. They’ve held their opponents to 315.0 yards per game, 4.8 yards per offensive play, and permitted them to convert on just 36.7% of its 3rd down attempts. Additionally, the Indianapolis defense has surrendered 77 and 96 yards rushing in their first 2 games while allowing a mere 2.7 yards per rushing attempt. Since 2020, the Colts have played 6-0 to the under after holding opponents to 99 yards or less rushing in their previous 2 contests and there was a combined average of 40.0 points scored per game. However, offensively they have an atrocious ratio of 1 point scored per 36.8 yards gained. Putting those numbers into perspective, Kansas City has averaged 1 point scored per 11.4 yards gained per play. Kansas City managed only 319 yards of total offense in the previous game versus the Chargers which is well below the standard they’ve set since Andy Reid has been their head coach. During the first 2 games the Chiefs defense has been outstanding on 3rd down while their opponents converted a mere 28.6% of those attempts into 1st downs. Any NFL home team (Colts) coming off a SU favorite loss by 14 points or more, and there’s a total of 52.0 or less, resulted in those games playing 36-4 (90%) to the under since 2016. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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09-18-22 | Falcons v. Rams UNDER 46.5 | 27-31 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 1 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ LA Rams 4:05 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Under 46.5 (5*) Since the 2019-2020 NFL regular season begam. The Rams have played 20-5 (80%) to the under at home whenever there was a total of 53.5 or less. On the other side of the table, during that identical time frame, Atlanta has played 6-0 to the under during road games when there was a total of 44.0 to 47.5 and there was a combined average of 38.5 points scored per contest. The Rams are coming off a season opening 31-7 home loss to Buffalo. Atlanta squandered a 16-point 4th quarter lead and fell 27-26 in their season opener. This sets up an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle displayed below. Any NFL team with a total of 37.0 to 48.5 that’s coming off a home loss, versus an opponent (LA Rams) coming off a home loss by 10 points or more in which they allowed 45 points or fewer, resulted in those contests playing 29-1 (96.7%) to the under since 2018. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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09-03-22 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State UNDER 59.5 | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 34 h 48 m | Show | |
Notre Dame @ Ohio State 7:30 PM ET Game# 171-172 Play On: Under 59.5 (5*) Both Notre Dame and Ohio State bring back 8 returning starters on defense. Ohio State will look to replace a pair of starting wide receivers that were 1st round draft choices in the 2022 NFL draft. This will be only the 5th time that Notre Dame has been a double-digit underdog since 2016 and they average a paltry 14.2 points scored per game in those outings. Furthermore, the last 4 times Notre Dame found themselves in that exact situation, they played 4-0 to the under and there was a combined average of 40.5 points scored per game. Any college football game with a total of 56.5 to 63.0 where both defenses have 8 of more returning starters, and each team is from a “Power 5 Conference”, resulted in those contests playing 26-2 (92.9%) to the under since 2018. The average total in those 28 contests was 59.5 and there was a combined 48.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals UNDER 49 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 29 h 5 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ LA Rams 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 49.0 (5*) Cincinnati has gone under in each of their 3 postseason games, and I don’t expect this result to produce anything different. The Bengals have scored only 5 touchdowns in those contests. However. their rookie placekicker Evan McPherson was a perfect 12-for-12 on field goals. Which simply equates to moving the ball consistently but struggling mightily to finish off drives with a touchdown. Now Cincinnati’s offense be facing arguably the best defense it has gone up against this postseason. Additionally, Cincinnati has gone under the total in each of their previous 5 road games. The Rams have played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 at home. The Rams have gone under in both postseason home games, and they allowed only 14.0 points and 232.5 yards per game. Give me this game to go under the total. |
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01-30-22 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 46 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 51 h 56 m | Show |
San Francisco @ LA Rams 6:40 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Under 46.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off a thrilling 30-27 win at Tampa Bay and that game went over the total of 48.0. Los Angeles has played 6-0 to the under (40.8 PPG) in their last 6 following a game in which they went over. As a matter of fact, the Rams haven’t gone over in consecutive games since 10/3/2021. Since the start of the 2019-202 season, the Rams have played 16-6 (72.7%) to the under as a home favorite. San Francisco has played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 and with a combined average of 39.1 points scored per game. The 49ers run defense has been outstanding in recent games. They’ve allowed 90 yards rushing or less in their previous 7 and 10 of its last 11 games. San Francisco entered the season as the NFC #6 seed. Since the 2013 postseason, NFL #6 seeds have played 26-6 (81.2%) to the under. The average total in those 32 contests was 46.1 and there was a combined average of 40.1 points scored per game. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. Furthermore, throughout their previous 6 games, the 49ers stop unit has allowed 15.2 points per contests and 307 yards or fewer on each occasion. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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01-22-22 | 49ers v. Packers OVER 47 | 13-10 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 15 m | Show | |
San Francisco @ Green Bay 8:15 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Over 47.0 (5*) Since Matt Lafleur took over as head coach in Green Bay, his teams have played 7-0 to the over in January games and with a combined average of 54.0 points scored per game. Since 2017, Green Bay has played in 4 home playoff games with all going over the total and there was a combined average of 52.3 points scored per contest. Furthermore, Green Bay has played 6-1 to the over in its last 7 games and scored 30 points or more on 6 of those occasions. You may be surprised to know that San Francisco has scored 23 points or more in 8 of their last 9 games. Bet on this game to go over the total. |
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01-02-22 | Rams v. Ravens OVER 46.5 | 20-19 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
Rams @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 127-128 Play On: Over 46.5 (5*) The once proud Baltimore defense has been anything but on several occasions. Last week at Cincinnati was one of those times. They lost that contest in a decisive manner 41-21 while allowing Cincinnati to rack up 575 yards of total offense. The Ravens have allowed 31 points or more on 6 separate occasions this season. Baltimore has used 3 different starting quarterbacks the last 3 weeks yet each of those contests went over the total and with a combined 56.3 points scored per game. Conversely, Los Angeles has gone over the total in each of their previous 3 road contests with a combined average of 57.7 points scored per game. The Rams have scored 26 points or more in 7 of their 8 road games. Regardless of who’s at quarterback for Baltimore, bet this game to go over the total. |
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01-01-22 | Baylor v. Ole Miss OVER 55.5 | 21-7 | Loss | -109 | 33 h 37 m | Show | |
Baylor vs. Ole Miss 8:45 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Over 55.5 (5*) This has all the earmarks of an entertaining and high scoring game. I make that statement despite Baylor having gone under in each of their last 4 and Ole Miss going under in 7 straight leading up to this 2022 Sugar Bowl matchup. Nonetheless, it’s important to note, those last 7 Ole Miss contests had an average total of 68.9. Ole Miss has averaged 35.9 points scored and 506.7 yards gained per game this season. The Rebels play at a frantic offensive pace which has seen them average 78 plays per game. This will be the lowest total of the season for Ole Miss with their previous low 58.0 versus Texas A&M. As a matter of fact, 11 of 12 Ole Miss games had a total of 64.5 or greater. Ole Miss has a potential 2022 #1 NFL draft choice in quarterback Matt Corral. All Corral has done this season is throw for 3339 yards and 20 touchdowns this season. Additionally, Corral also ran for an eye-catching 597 yards and 11 touchdowns. The Baylor defense has received much acclaim this season and rightfully so. But their offense has been no slouch while averaging 32.5 points scored and 430.2 yards gained per game. Furthermore, the Bears will be facing a suspect Ole Miss defense which has allowed 428.8 yards per game. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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01-01-22 | Oklahoma State v. Notre Dame OVER 44.5 | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma State 1:00 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Over 44.5 (5*) Notre Dame’s defense was terrific during the final stretch of regular season action. However, 6 of their last 7 games were against teams that finished the season with a losing record. The Notre Dame offense has been consistently productive this season. The Fighting Irish have scored 27 points or more in 11 of 12 games this season. The only time they didn’t reach that 27-point barrier occurred in a 24-13 home loss to #4 Cincinnati which occurred way back on 10/2. Oklahoma State is coming off a 21-16 loss to Baylor in the Big 12 Conference Championship Game which snapped a 5-game win streak. That contest also stayed under the total of 45.0. Oklahoma State has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 after going under in their previous 3 games. Those 3 contests ha- an average total of 52.5 and there was a combined 69.3 points scored per game. Here’s a college football totals betting angle which is highly profitable and fits perfectly in this matchup. Any college football (Oklahoma State) that’s playing in January with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, and they won 4 of its last 5 games, resulted in those teams playing 30-5 (85.7%) to the over since 1992. The average total in those 35 contests was 46.6 and there was a combined 56.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total. |
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12-20-21 | Vikings v. Bears OVER 45.5 | 17-9 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Chicago 8:15 PM ET Game# 331-332 Play On: Over 45.5 (5*) Minnesota has played 5-0 to the over this season whenever there’s been a total of 48.5 or less and there was a combined 59.6 points scored per game. The Vikings have scored 26 points or more in each of their previous 6 games. The bad news for Vikings backers is their team has allowed 28 points or more in each of their previous 4 and 6 of its last 8 games. Furthermore, Minnesota has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 games with a combined average of 61.3 points scored per game. Chicago has gone over in each of their last 2 which resulted in losses to Arizona 33-22 and Green Bay 45-30. Chicago has shown some life offensively of late. During their previous 6 games, the Bears averaged 21.7 points scored per contest and 357.5 yards gained per game. Those offensive numbers would be substantially better if not for the fact they turned the ball over 12 times during that stretch. However, some of those turnovers they committed resulted in short fields and glorious scoring opportunities for opposing offenses. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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12-19-21 | Saints v. Bucs UNDER 45.5 | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Tampa Bay 8:20 PM ET Game# 329-330 Play On: Under 45.5 95*) This would’ve been unimaginable to say over the last decade plus, but New Orleans passing offense is below average at best. Their running game is unequivocally their strength and even those numbers aren’t spectacular by any means. Tampa was #1 against the run the past 2 seasons and they’re allowing just 91 rushing yards per game this season. The Saints have played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 with a combined 40.0 points scored per game. Tampa Bay is coming off last week’s thrilling 33-27 home overtime win over Buffalo and that contest went over the total of 53.0. The Bucs have played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 this season following an over during their previous contest. New Orleans enters this game with a 6-7 record while Tampa Bay is 10-3. These teams met earlier this season in New Orleans and the saints came away with a 36-27 upset win as a 3.5-point underdog. Any Any NFL team (Tampa Bay) with a total between 42.5-49.0 that’s playing with revenge stemming from a road favorite SU loss and they possess a winning record, versus an opponent (New Orleans) with a losing record that’s playing in the 2nd half of the season, resulted in those games playing 21-3 (87.5%) to the under since 1983. The average total in those 24 games was 45.3. Bet this game to go under the total. |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 52.5 | 34-28 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Chiefs @ Chargers 8:20 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Under 52.5 (5*) Kansas City enters this week on a 6-game win streak in which they allowed 17 points or fewer on each occasion. Specifically speaking, during this current win streak the Chiefs have allowed an average of 12.5 points per game, and that includes giving up exactly 9 points in each of its last 3 contests. If you take away their 2 games versus the Raiders, it’s not like the Chiefs have been the consistent offensive juggernaut we’ve become accustomed to in recent seasons. In their last 5 games against teams not names Las Vegas, the Chiefs have scored 22 points or less. Kansas City has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 this season when there’s been a total of 50.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 38.8 points scored per game. Conversely, the Chargers have played 5-0 to the under this season when there’s been a total of 51.0 or greater, and there was a combined average of 44.0 points scored per game. Bet this game to go under the total. |
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12-12-21 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 43 | 22-24 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 13 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Browns 1:00 PM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: Under 43.0 (5*) These teams met just 2 weeks ago and Baltimore walked away with a 16-10 win. The Ravens have now played 4-0 to the under during its last 4 contests and there was a combined average of only 31.5 points scored per game. Additionally, Baltimore has stayed under in each of their last 5 road contests with a combined average of 33.2 points scored per game. The Ravens offense has scored 19 points or fewer in each of its previous 4 while averaging just 308.0 yards of total offense per game. Cleveland has witnessed each of its last 3 at home go under the total with a combined average of 26.3 points scored per game. During their previous 3 contests, the Browns offense averaged 10.0 points scored and 276.0 yards of total offense per game. Conversely, the Cleveland defense is #4 in the NFL in total defense. Bet this game to go under the total. |
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12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings UNDER 43.5 | 28-36 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 39 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Minnesota 8:20 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Under 43.5 (5*) Pittsburgh has been an extremely profitable under play on the road under current head coach Mike Tomlin. Specifically speaking, since the start of the 2015-2016 season, Pittsburgh has played 41-13 (75.9%) to the under in all away games. If they were facing a non-division opponent on the road with a total of 49.0 or less, they improved to 25-4 (86.2%) to the under and includes 18-1 (94.7%) under since 2017. Minnesota has played 3-0 to the under in non-division home games this season and there was a combined average of just 34.7 points per game. The Vikings defense is tied for 2nd in the NFL when it comes to sacking the quarterback. Conversely, the Vikings offense will most likely be without key playmakers (Dalvin Cook, Adam Thielen) and they’ll be facing a Steelers defense that leads the league in sacks. Bet this game to go under the total. |
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12-04-21 | Kent State v. Northern Illinois OVER 74.5 | 23-41 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
Kent State vs. Northern Illinois 12:00 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Over 74.5 (5*) There will be no weather conditions to factor in since this game will be played indoors at Ford Field in Detroit. These teams have made it to the MAC Championship game and by no means can it be attributed to their defensive prowess. Neither defense is anything close to championship caliber. Northern Illinois finished the regular season by playing 5-1 to the over in their last 6 and there was a combined average of 72.0 points scored per game. The Huskies are coming off a 42-21 loss to Western Michigan in their regular season finale in a game their defense surrendered 636 yards. It marked the 2nd time in 4 games that the Huskies defense allowed 600 plus yards and 3rd time in 5 contests opposing offenses cracked the 500-yard barrier. The Huskies finished 6-2 in conference play. One of those losses came at Kent State 52-47 in a game that combined for 1345 yards or total offense and both teams amassing 600 plus yards. Kent State is coming off a thrilling 48-47 win over Miami-Ohio in their regular season finale in a contest that had a combined 1191 yards of total offense. Since the start of last season, Kent State has played 8-0 to the over following a conference win and there was a cumulative 95.0 points scored per game. That isn’t a typo, it’s truly 95.0 points scored per outing. That last result also marked the 5th time in 7 games that Kent State went over the total, and there was a combined 79.7 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, 4 of those contests produced 84 points or more. This has all the earmarks of an an extremely high scoring and entertaining game. Don’t let the large number scare you away. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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11-29-21 | Seahawks v. Washington Football Team UNDER 47 | 15-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Seattle @ Washington 8:15 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Under 47.0 (5*) Seattle has played 4-1 to the under on the road this season with a combined average of just 40.0 points scored per game. The Seahawks have also played 4-0 during its previous 4 games played. Those 4 contests produced a combined average of only 28.5 points scored per game. Seattle has also played 6-1 to the under whenever Russell Wilson was their starting quarterback. Washington has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 with a combined average of just 40.2 points scored per game. Throughout their previous 4 the Washington defense held their opponents to a combined average of only 286.5 yards of total offense per game. Washington faced Seattle last season and walked away with a 15-10 win, and the game easily stayed under the total of 43.0. Bet this game to go under the total. |
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11-28-21 | Browns v. Ravens OVER 47 | 10-16 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
Browns @ Ravens 8:20 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Over 47.0 (10*) Baltimore has played 4-1 to the over at home this season. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 58.0 points scored and 837.6 yards of total offense per game. Conversely Cleveland has played 4-1 to the over in away games. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 57.2 points scored and 767.6 yards of total offense per game. These AFC North Division rivals have met 4 times over the past 2 season with Baltimore averaging 35.3 points scored per game and Cleveland 25.7 per contest. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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11-28-21 | Vikings v. 49ers OVER 48.5 | 26-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ San Francisco 4:25 PM ET Game# 267-268 Play On: Over 48.5 (5*) Minnesota has played 4-1 to the over in road games this season and there was a combined average of 58.4 points scored per contest. Since 2019, Minnesota has played 7-1 to the over in road games when there was a total of 45.5 to 49.0 with a combined 56.9 points scored per contest. Minnesota has played 4-1 to the over in road games this season and scored 24 points or more on each occasion. Those 5 away contests averaged a combined 58.4 points scored per game. San Francisco is coming off a 30-10 win at Jacksonville and that result stayed under the total of 45.0. Since Kyle Shanahan has been the head coach of San Francisco, his teams have played 11-3 to the over at home following an under in their previous game. That includes 5-1 to the over since 2019 with a combined 53.5 points scored per contest. The 49ers have scored 30 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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11-25-21 | Bears v. Lions OVER 41 | 16-14 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Detroit 9:30 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Over 41.0 (5*) This total opened at 45.0 and quickly moved to 41.5.due to the uncertain status of Rams starting quarterback Jared Goff and Chicago starter Justin Fields being ruled out. In Chicago’s case, you can do a lot worse than Andy Dalton as your backup. This is also a meeting of the #29 and #30 scoring offenses in the NFL and bettors have pounded the under like it’s found money on their doorstep. Furthermore, Detroit has played 7-1 to the under during its last 8 games. Additionally, Chicago has played 7-2 to the under during their previous 9 games. It’s very seldom as easy as the data suggests and I’m banking heavily on that being the case in this contest. Chicago will be able to run the ball with a high degree of success which will open up some play action passing opportunities. Conversely, the Lions have allowed 34 points or more in 3 of 4 home games. The same can be said for Detroit with the emergence of running back D’Andre Swift looking so good over the last 2 games. Since 2019, Chicago has played 3-0 to the over as a road favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 and there was a combined 43.8 points scored per game. The Bears have also played 5-1 to the over in division road games since 2019 with a combined average of 51.4 points scored per game. Lastly, since 2019, Detroit has played 10-2 to the over as a home underdog of 7.0 or less and there was a combined 56.6 points scored per contest. Bet this game to go over the total. |
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