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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-13-19 | Eagles v. Vikings -3 | Top | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show |
Eagles @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Vikings -3.0 (10*) The Eagles are coming off a convincing 31-6 home win over the Jets and easily covered as a large 13.0-point favorite. However, they were held to an alarmingly low 265 yards of total offense in that contest. That’s worrisome considering they will be facing a Vikings defense that’s #4 in the NFL in yards allowed at 292.4 per game. As a matter of fact, during their last 3 contests Minnesota has allowed just 13.3 points and 260.7 yards per game. Since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach of the Vikings in 2014, they’ve been a stellar 30-12 SU&ATS during regular season home games. Furthermore, they’ve gone a terrific 19-1 SU&ATS as a non-division home favorite of 11.0 or less under Zimmer, and that includes 10-0 ATS if they were facing an opponent with a winning record. Bet on the Vikings for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-12-19 | Washington v. Arizona +6.5 | Top | 51-27 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 39 m | Show |
Washington @ Arizona 11:00 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Arizona +6.5 (5*) Washington is coming off a listless effort last Saturday night during a 23-13 loss at Stanford as a substantial 12.5-point favorite. It marked the 2nd time this season that the Huskies were upset as a double-digit favorite with the other coming against California. After losing 45-38 in their season opener at Hawaii, Arizona has reeled off 4 straight wins, and includes last week’s 35-30 win at Colorado as a 2.5-point underdog. The Wildcats are an explosive offense team that averages 37.2 points and 539.2 yards per game. Additionally, since 10/7/2017, Arizona is 6-1 SU&ATS as a home underdog of 1.5 to 10.0.  Bet on Arizona plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers -4.5 | Top | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Browns @ 49ers 8:15 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: 49ers -4.5 (10*) The Browns are coming off an excellent performance last week at Baltimore in which they won by a decisive 40-25 margin. The win evened their record at 2-2. Cleveland has won road games in consecutive weeks since 2002. They had one opportunity to accomplish the feat last season, but they lost at Houston 29-13. The Browns will be without the services of 2 of their young star defensive backs in Greedy Williams and Denzel Ward. The 49ers are in a rare situation in which they’re playing at home on a Monday following a bye week. San Francisco is coming off a 24-20 win over Pittsburgh in their home opener 2 weeks ago that improved their season record to 3-0. They won that game against Pittsburgh despite turning the ball over 5 times. Any Monday night home favorite of 4.0 to 9.0-points that’s coming off a bye week, and they won their previous game, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those Monday home favorites going 6-0 ATS since 2009. They won those 6 contests by an average of 21.7 points per game. The 49ers have been strong defensively thus far while allowing only 18.0 points and 283.3 yards per game. During their last games San Francisco has amassed a combined 1008 yards of total offense. Any non-division home favorite of 5.5 or less that’s coming off a straight up win by 17 points or fewer, and they possess a winning record, Versus an opponent coming off a division away underdog straight up win, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1981. The average victory margin in those 12 contests came by 13.3 points per game. Bet on the 49ers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-06-19 | Broncos v. Chargers -6 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
Broncos @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Chargers -6.0 (10*) Denver is coming off a 26-24 home loss to Jacksonville in a game they failed to cover as a 2.5-point favorite. The loss dropped the Broncos season record to 0-4. Adding insult to injury, Denver lost Bradley Chubb to a season ending injury in that loss to the Jaguars. The Chargers are of to their usual slow start and are 2-2 thus far. They’re coming off a 30-10 win at Miami last Sunday in a game they covered as a 14.5-point favorite. Los Angeles will get an extra boost by the return of star running back Melvin Gordon following a holdout. Any NFL home favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off an away favorite of 3.0 or greater ATS win in which they scored 21 points or more, and they have at least 1 loss on the season, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 20 points or fewer, resulted in those home favorites going 14-0 ATS since 2002. The average victory margin in those 14 contests was 24.6 points per game. Bet on the Chargers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-05-19 | Northwestern v. Nebraska -7 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
Northwestern @ Nebraska 4:00 PM ET Game# 361-362 Play On: Nebraska -7.0 (10*) Northwestern is coming off a 24-15 loss to Wisconsin which dropped their season record to 1-3. The Wildcats only win came over UNLV who annually one of the poorest football programs in the country. Northwestern’s offense is averaging just 15.5 points and 292.7 yards per game. Furthermore, they’ve committed an alarmingly high 11 turnovers in their first 4 games of the season. Nebraska was outclassed last week against Ohio State in a 48-7 home loss while also failing to cover as a 17.0-point home underdog. Despite that low scoring output in addition to being held to a mere 231 total yards, Nebraska is still averaging 31.8 points and 438.2 yards per game. The Cornhuskers will also be playing with double revenge stemming from 2 straight losses to Northwestern by narrow margins of 34-31 and 31-28. Any conference favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off a conference home underdog of 11.0 or greater ATS loss in which they scored 16 points or fewer, and they’re facing an opponent (Northwestern) coming off a loss by 34 points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came by a decisive 24.8 points per game. Bet on Nebraska minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | Top | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Saints 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Saints +3.0 (10*) Dallas is coming off a 31-6 home rout of hapless Miami which improved their season record to a perfect 3-0. New Orleans is coming off last Sunday’s 33-27 upset win at Seattle as a 5.5-point underdog. Even more impressive about that New Orleans victory is they did so with backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater under center like we’ll continue to see in the imminent future due to Drew Brees being sidelined. That victory enabled the Saints to start this season 2-1. Any regular season home underdog of 2.0 to 5.5-points (Saints) that’s coming off a away underdog straight up win, and they possess a win percentage of better than .500, versus an opponent (Cowboys) coming off a home win, and they own a win percentage of .571 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going an outstanding 28-4 ATS (87.5%) since 1988. Those home underdogs also won 25 of those 32 games straight up. Bet on the Saints plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-28-19 | Minnesota -1.5 v. Purdue | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Purdue 3:30 PM ET Game# 137-138.0 Play On: Minnesota -1.5 (10*) Purdue is coming off a 34-13 home loss to TCU in which they failed to cover as a 3.0-point underdog. They also blew a 14-point 4th quarter lead at Nevada in their season opening 34-31 loss. The Boilermakers are a disappointing 1-2 thus far with their only win coming at home over Vanderbilt. The Boilermakers starting quarterback Elijah Sindelar remains questionable while attempting to recover from a concussion. Minnesota enters their Big 10 Conference opener with a 3-0 record and those wins came by 7 points or less. The Gophers are unlikely to blink in a close game. They defeated Fresno State 38-35 in their only 2019 road game to this point. Dating back to last season, Minnesota has won 5 straight games under 2nd year Gophers head coach P.J. Fleck. Any conference away team that’s coming off 3 or more wins in a row, versus an opponent coming home a home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 21.0-points or fewer, and they have a win percentage of .400 or worse, resulted in those away teams going 50-1 straight up since 1982. Bet on Minnesota for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-26-19 | Navy v. Memphis UNDER 54.5 | Top | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Navy @ Memphis 8:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Under 54.5 (10*) Memphis is off to a 3-0 start which has been spearheaded by a defense that’s allowed only 13.3 points and 226.3 yards per game. Navy has gone under the total in each of their first 2 games and their defense appears to be vastly improved from a season ago. Both teams are terrific in respect to time of possession. Memphis is averaging 21 first downs and 33:57 time of possession per game. Conversely, Navy averages 27 first downs and an eye popping 37:08 time of possession per contest. Each team is fully committed to running the ball. Navy has run the ball on 88.9% of their offensive plays thus far, and 63% of Memphis’ offensive plays have been rushing attempts. Defensively, Navy is allowing a mere 2.6 yards per rushing attempt while Memphis has held its opponents a more than respectable 3.1 yards per try. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-22-19 | Rams v. Browns +3.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 12 m | Show |
Rams @ Browns 8:20 PM ET Game# 487-488 Play On: Browns +3.5 (10*) If the Browns want to prove they aren’t overhyped this is certainly a spot to do so against the reigning NFC champion Rams. They will also be out to atone for a 43-13 embarrassing loss to Tennessee in their home opener. On a positive note they’re coming off last Monday night’s convincing win or the Jets in a game they easily as an away favorite of 6.5-points. Since 1988, home teams coming off a Monday night away favorite ATS have gone an outstanding 51-16 straight up. That’s surely a compelling statistic considering Cleveland will be a home underdog on Sunday night. This is the first time this season that Cleveland will be an underdog. The Browns were a very profitable 7-2 ATS a year ago as an underdog of 7.0-points or less. The Rams are coming off a convincing 27-9 home win over New Orleans in what was a rematch of last season’s NFC Championship game. That realistically opens the possibility of a flat spot for Los Angles this week. Any non-division home underdog of 3.5 or less (Browns) that’s coming off a non-division away favorite ATS win in which they scored 34 points or less, and they’re facing an opponent (Rams) coming off a win in which they scored 27 points or fewer, resulted in those home underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 1980. Those home underdogs also won 12 of those 14 contests straight up. Bet on the Browns plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-15-19 | Jaguars v. Texans -8 | Top | 12-13 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 11 m | Show |
Jaguars @ Texans 1:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Texans -8.0 (10*) Jacksonville took a huge hit for their chances of contending for a playoff spot this season after their prized offseason acquisition Nick Foles suffered a broken clavicle. Their chances now ride on the shoulders of rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew out of Washington State. Minshew was impressive in relief last week while going 22-25 passing for 275 yards during a 40-26 home loss to Kansas City. However, the Texans will have ample time to prepare for Minshew in addition to tape on him while the Chiefs didn’t have that luxury. Houston lost a heartbreaker 30-28 at New Orleans last week with the winning points coming via a 58-yard field goal as time expired. I look for a huge effort out of the Texans in their season opener. Any NFL home favorite of 7.0 or more that’s coming off an away straight up loss in which they covered as an underdog, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog ATS loss that they failed to cover by 8.0-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 7-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 7 contents came by a massive average of 29.4 points per game. Bet on the Texans minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-14-19 | NC State -6.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 27-44 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 47 m | Show |
NC State @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: NC State -6.5 (10*) This 2019 Mountaineers team is terrible in comparison to the successful precedent that was set before them at West Virginia. They barely got by James Madison 20-13 in their season opener thanks to a +3 margin in turnovers, and then was blown out 38-7 last week at Missouri. That was a Missouri team that had been upset at Wyoming the week before as a 15.5-point chalk. NC State has been extremely impressive during its 2-0 start to 2019. They outscored their first 2 opponents East Carolina and West Carolina by a decisive margin of 74-6 while committing no turnovers in doing so. Any college football away favorite of 3.5 or greater that’s coming off 2 straight win in which they allowed 14 points or fewer, versus an opponent that gave up 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those away favorites going 50-14 ATS (78.1%) since 2008. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-08-19 | Steelers v. Patriots -5 | Top | 3-33 | Win | 100 | 79 h 14 m | Show |
Steelers @ Patriots 8:20 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Patriots -5.5 (5*) Betting against the Patriots at home during the past 4 seasons has been a recipe for claiming bankruptcy. New England has gone an extremely profitable 26-9-3 ATS in Foxboro since 2015, and that includes an even better 12-2 ATS (83%) when they closed as a favorite of 6.5 or less. New England has also had the Steelers number in recent seasons. Specifically, since 2013, the Patriots have won 5 of the last 6 head to head meetings versus Pittsburgh, and they also went 4-1-1 ATS in those contests. Those results include New England going 3-0 at Gillette Stadiums while winning by a decisive average of 16.7 points per contest. Counting the postseason, New England went 14-5 a season ago. Conversely, Pittsburgh went 9-7 and didn’t qualify for postseason actions. Those 2 records sets up a successful NFL season opener betting angle listed below. Any NFL team (New England) playing in their season opener that’s a home favorite of 7.5 or less, and they won 12 or more games in the previous year, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) that won 12 games or fewer during the previous year, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 11-0 ATS since 2005. The average victory margin in those 11 contests was 13.1 points per game. Bet on the Patriots minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams +3 | Top | 13-3 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
Patriots vs. Rams 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Rams +3.0 (10*) New England has unequivocally more postseason experience let alone Super Bowl experience than the Rams do. However, I firmly believe the Rams are the more talented team on both sides of the ball, and that will trump all on Sunday. It’s also worth noting, since last season’s Super Bowl, New England has gone a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS as a favorite of 2.0 to 9.0-points when not playing at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro. New England was outscored in those 5 contests by an average of 11.2 points per game. Bet on the Rams plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -103 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Rams @ Saints 3:05 PM ET Game#311-312 Play On: Saints -3.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off last week’s Divisional Round 30-22 home win over Dallas. The Rams covered their closing point-spread line of -7.0. NFL Playoff home favorites of 9.0-points or fewer (Saints) that’s facing an opponent (Rams) m coming off a playoff game in which they covered as a home favorite by 6.5-points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 11-1 ATS (91.7%) since 1988. Bet on the Saints minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints -8 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
Chargers @ Patriots 1:05 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Under 48.0 (10*) The Chargers have seen 13 of their last 20 away games (65%) go under the total. They’ve also gone under in 8 of their last 11 overall which includes each of its previous 3. Additionally, they’ve allowed 19 points or fewer in 8 of their previous 13 games. New England’s defense quietly performed extremely well during the 2nd of this season. Specifically, the Patriots allowed 17 points or fewer in 7 of their previous 9 games. Furthermore, New England went under the total during 8 of those 9 contests and that includes each of the last 3. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots UNDER 48 | Top | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
Chargers @ Patriots 1:05 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Under 48.0 (10*) The Chargers have seen 13 of their last 20 away games (65%) go under the total. They’ve also gone under in 8 of their last 11 overall which includes each of its previous 3. Additionally, they’ve allowed 19 points or fewer in 8 of their previous 13 games. New England’s defense quietly performed extremely well during the 2nd of this season. Specifically, the Patriots allowed 17 points or fewer in 7 of their previous 9 games. Furthermore, New England went under the total during 8 of those 9 contests and that includes each of the last 3. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys +8.5 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Rams 8:15 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Cowboys +8.5 (5*) Despite Rams management spending an enormous amount of money on their defense, they still allowed a lofty 24.0 points per game during its regular season slate. As a matter of fact, the Rams have allowed 30 points or more in each of their last 4 home games. The Rams have also gone 1-5-2 ATS during this NFL campaign versus opponents that finished their regular season slate with a winning record. During the past 3 seasons, Dallas has gone a perfect 7-0 ATS in away games against teams that were allowing 24.0 or more points per game. The Cowboys are also 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as an away underdog of 3.5 or more, and they won 10 of those 19 contests straight up. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 58 | Top | 16-44 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
Clemson vs. Alabama 8:00 PM RT Game# 151-152 Play On: Under 58.0 (10*) Both defenses are capable of dominating games. Clemson has allowed a mere 12.9 points per game which is tops in the country. Conversely, Alabama is giving up only 16.2 points per contest which ranks 5th nationally. Since the start of last season, Clemson has gone 8-1 under the total when facing opponents with a win percentage of .750 or better. Those 9 contests averaged a combined 43.9 points scored per game. Since taking over as head coach at Alabama, Nick Saban’s teams have gone 32-17 (65.3%) under the total against teams that average 200 or more rushing yards per game. By the way, Clemson is averaging 257 yards rushing per game this season. Relative to the current total of 57.5, I look for this game to be a lower scoring affair. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens -2.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 57 m | Show |
Chargers @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Baltimore -2.5 (10*) Baltimore is #2 in rushing offense and #1 in total defense in the NFL. When it comes to playoff football, that’s unequivocally a recipe for success. The Ravens have won their last 4 at home and 6 of their last 7 overall. They also dominated the Chargers in a Week 16 road win in which they held a potent Los Angeles offense to less than 200 yards. Bet on the Ravens minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 43 | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Cowboys 8:15 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Over 43.0 (10*) Seattle saw their last 3 regular season games all go over the total. They also went over their total during their previous 3 road games and there were a combined 57.7 points scored per contest. The Seahawks have scored 20 points or more in 14 of 16 games this season and have allowed 24 or more during 5 of its 7 true road games. Since 2015, Dallas has gone 8-2 over at home when the total was 42.0 to 45.0. Those 10 contests averaged a combined 50.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-01-19 | Washington +7.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
Washington vs. Ohio State 5:00 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Washington +7.5 (10*) Washington was one of my 4 predictions to make the college football playoffs before the season began. Obviously, they fell short in that regard. However, this is an experienced Huskies team with an imposing defense which allowed just 15.5 points and 301.8 yards per game on their way to a 10-3 season and PAC-12 title. Conversely, Ohio State’s defense is a major concern and that was especially evident late in the year. The Buckeyes allowed 38.0 points and 451.3 yards per game during its last 3 contests against Maryland, Michigan, and Northwestern. The also gave up 49 points and 539 yards to Purdue during their lone loss of the season. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -6 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -106 | 51 h 54 m | Show |
Cincinnati vs. Virginia Tech 12:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Cincinnati -5.5 (10*) Cincinnati has averaged 238 yards rushing per game on their way to an impressive 10-2 regular season campaign. That’s not good news for a Virginia Tech defense that’s surrendering an alarming 206 yards rushing per game this season. ASA a matter of fact, since 2016, Virginia Tech is a dismal 0-7 ATS when facing an opponent that’s averaging 230 or more rushing yards per game and they were outscored by 12.6 points per contest. Cincinnati finished their regular season slate with a 56-6 blowout win over East Carolina. The Bearcats average an enormous 8.2 yards per offensive play during that victory. Cincinnati is averaging 458.2 yards of total offense per game. They’ll be facing a Virginia Tech defense which has allowed 436.7 yards per game during regular season action. The combination of all the previously mentioned statistical data sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is illustrated below. Any favorite of 3.5 to 10.0-points (Cincinnati) that averages 440 yards or more of total offense per game, and they’re coming off a game in which they averaged 6.75 yards or more per offensive play, versus an opponent (Virginia Tech) which is allowing 390 to 440 yards per game, resulted in those favorites going 33-8 ATS (80.5%) since 2009. The average point-spread was -7.9 and those favorites outscored the underdogs by an average of 15.0 points per game. Bet on Cincinnati minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-18 | Colts v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 33-17 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 1 m | Show |
Indianapolis @ Tennessee 8:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Tennessee +3.5 (10*) The uncertain status of Tennessee starting quarterback Marcus Mariota has already been factored into the current point-spread. Tennessee enters this final week of regular season action on a 4-game winning streak and with their playoff hopes on the line. Tennessee has gone an outstanding 16-3 during its previous 19 home games and that includes a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS (+10.7 PPG) when facing a fellow AFC South team. Conversely, the Colts are a dismal 4-12 in their last 16 away games which hardly bodes well for a road favorite of better than a field goal. Any NFL regular season home underdog of 4.0 or less that’s playing after game 6 and is coming off 4 or more wins in a row, versus an opponent (Colts) coming off a win by 31 points or fewer, resulted in those home underdogs going an unblemished 14-0 ATS since 1981, and they won 13 of those contests straight up. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-18 | Florida v. Michigan UNDER 51 | Top | 41-15 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
Michigan vs. Florida 12:00 PM ET Game# 249-250 Play On: Under 51.0 (10*) Any neutral field team with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that’s playing after game 6 of their season and they’ve won 3 of its last 4 games, versus an opponent (Michigan) which has won 8 or more of their previous 10 games, resulted in those contests going 34-7 (82.9%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 41 contests was 52.9 and there were a combined 42.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-23-18 | Packers v. Jets OVER 46 | Top | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
Packers @ Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Over 46.0 (10*) Green Bay has gone over the total in their last 6 games as a non-division road favorite and there were a combined 55.7 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, since the start of the 2016 season, Green Bay has gone 12-1 over in non-division road games when there was a total of 55.5 or less. New York has seen each of their previous 3 games go over the total. The Jets are 9-3 over in their last 12 at home and that includes 6-0 over if they were a pick or underdog of 6.5 or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 55.8 points scored. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-20-18 | Marshall v. South Florida +3 | Top | 38-20 | Loss | -107 | 51 h 45 m | Show |
Marshall vs South Florida 8:00 PM ET Game# 215-216 Play On: South Florida +3.0 (10*) South Florida won their first 7 games and then when on to lose its last 5 regular season contests. Before jumping to conclusions, keep this in mind, any team entering a bowl game that lost 5 or more games in a row has gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS since 1980. By the way, all 4 of those contests occurred since 2011. The average margin of victory was 13.5 points per game. In the Bulls defense, the 5 losses were to Houston (8-4), Tulane (7-6), Cincinnati (10-2), Temple (8-4), and Central Florida (12-0). Those 5 teams are currently a combined 45-16 (.737) this season. This 2018 Gasparilla Bowl will be played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa which is South Florida’s home field. Moreover, teams playing in a bowl game on their home field have gone 21-12 straight up and 20-13 ATS since 1998. If those teams were an underdog and faced an opponent with a win percentage of .636 or better, they improved to 6-1 ATS and 5-2 straight up. Marshall enters this bowl game having finished 8-4 (.666) during regular season play. Bet on South Florida plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-16-18 | Bucs v. Ravens -7.5 | Top | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
Buccaneers @ Ravens 1:00 ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Baltimore -7.5 (10*) Tampa Bay has gone a dismal 2-14 in their last 16 away games and that includes 1-7-2 ATS if they were an underdog of 9.5-points or fewer. As a matter of fact, after winning their season opener at New Orleans, Tampa lost their next 5 on the road and allowed a enormous 39.8 points per game while doing so. Baltimore has maintained a strong home field advantage since John Harbaugh has taken over the head coaching duties. Under the guidance of Harbaugh, Baltimore is a perfect 7-0 ATS as a non-division home favorite of 5.5 to 10.5 points when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. They won those 7 contests by a substantial 20.6 points per game. Baltimore’s playoff hopes will be hanging in the balance during the final 3 weeks of regular season action. They can ill afford to lose a game like this against a Tampa team that struggles on the road and comes in with a lousy 5-8 record. Bet on Baltimore minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State UNDER 53.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 41 m | Show |
Arizona State vs. Fresno State 3:30 PM ET Game# 205-206 Play On: Under 53.5 (10*) Fresno State has seen each of their previous 5 games stay under the total and there was a combined average of 41.6 points scored per contest. They’ve also seen each of their 7 games played away from Bulldog Stadium this season result in going under the total. A huge part of those low scoring affairs can be attributed to their outstanding defensive unit was has allowed a mere 13.7 points and 325 yards per game this season on the way to winning a Mountain West Conference Championship. Fresno State has gone 10-1 during its last 11 while Arizona State won 3 of their last 4 games. Any college football neutral site team (Fresno) State with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that’s won 8 or more of its previous 10 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Arizona State) that won 3 of their last 4 games, resulted in those contests going 33-7 (82.5%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 40 contests was 52.8 and there was only a combined 42.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-09-18 | Patriots v. Dolphins +9 | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
Patriots @ Dolphins 1:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Dolphins +9.0 (10*) You may be very surprised to know that Miami is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against New England, and that includes winning 4 of the last 5 meetings straight up. Miami has been awful on the road this season but has fared extremely well at home. Miami is 5-1 SU&ATS at Hard Rock Stadium in 2018. Conversely, New England is a perfect 6-0 at home but a beatable 3-3 on the road. Bet on Miami for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-02-18 | Vikings +5.5 v. Patriots | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
Minnesota @ New England 4:25 PM ET Game# 375-376 Play On: Minnesota +5.5 (10*) New England is coming off a 27-13 win over the Jets in a game they covered as a 13.0-point road favorite. Minnesota is coming off a 24-17 win over Green Bay in a game they covered as a home favorite. That win improved their season record to 6-4-1 (.600). Minnesota has gone an extremely profitable 35-9 ATS (79.5%) in their last 44 non-division games and all under current head coach Mike Zimmer. Any regular season NFL away underdog of 10.0-points or fewer with a win percentage of .600 or better, and is playing after game 8 of their schedule, and is coming off a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 25.0 or less and allowed 17 points or fewer, resulted in those away underdogs going 12-1 ATS since 1984. Those road underdogs also won 11 of those 13 games straight up. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-01-18 | Northwestern +15 v. Ohio State | Top | 24-45 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
Northwestern vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Northwestern +15.0 (10*) Northwestern has thrived in the underdog role under current head coach Pat Fitzgerald. Since the latter part of the 2014 season, Northwestern has gone an outstanding 20-7 ATS (74%) as an underdog and that includes 18-3 ATS (85.7%) when facing an opponent that’s not undefeated. Northwestern lost their Big 10 opener to Michigan and then preceded to win its last 7 conference games. Ohio State is coming off a huge upset win against Michigan in their regular season finale. By doing so the Buckeyes have keep their college football playoff hopes alive. It would be difficult for me to imaging they will be able to match the intensity level they displayed a week ago. Ohio State may come out on top but this game will be much closer than people will anticipate. Bet on Northwestern plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-26-18 | Titans +4 v. Texans | Top | 17-34 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Tennessee @ Houston 8:15 ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Tennessee +4.0 (10*) After staring the season 0-3, Houston has reeled off 7 straight wins and will be seeking a franchise record 8-game winning streaks tonight. Houston is coming off a narrow 23-21 win at Washington in their previous game but failed to cover as a 3.0-point favorite. Conversely, Tennessee is coming off an embarrassing 38-10 loss at Indianapolis last week which dropped their record to 5-5. Yet, the sportsbooks have Tennessee currently listed as just a 3.5 or 4.0-point underdog for tonight’s game. It’s never that easy when it comes to sports betting and that’s especially so as it applies to NFL wagering. Any Monday night NFL road team with a point-spread of +4.5 to -4.5, versus an opponent (Houston) coming off a non-division ATS loss and they possess a win percentage of .300 or better, resulted in those road teams going 16-0 SU&ATS since 2009. The road teams won those 16 contests by an average of 12.6 points per game. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 10* wager. |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks v. Panthers -3 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Panthers 1:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Panthers -3.0 (10*) Carolina has gone 28-6 during its last 34 home games and that includes a current 10-game win streak in Charlotte. On a negative note, the Panthers are coming off road losses in each of their previous 2 games. Conversely, Seattle is coming off a 27-24 home win over Green Bay. That victory evened the Seahawks season record at 5-5. Any non-division home favorite of 2.0 to 5.0-points that’s coming off road losses in each of their previous 2 games played, versus an opponent who’s coming off a win and that possesses a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 2004. The average margin of victory was 14.2 points per game. Bet on the Panthers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-24-18 | Michigan v. Ohio State +5 | Top | 39-62 | Win | 100 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
Michigan @ Ohio State 12:00 PM ET Game# 161-162 Play On: Ohio State 5.0 (10*) Since 2011, Michigan is a dismal 2-12 straight up in away games against teams with a win percentage of better than .666. Conversely, since 2012, Ohio State has gone a terrific 28-1 during conference home games. Furthermore, Ohio State has won 13 of their last 14 against Michigan and is a perfect 6-0 against the Wolverines with Urban Meyer as their head coach. There’s just way too much home underdog value on the Buckeyes in this contest to pass up on. Bet on Ohio State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-23-18 | Nebraska v. Iowa -9.5 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 1 m | Show |
Nebraska @ Iowa 12:00 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Iowa -9.5 (10*) Nebraska is coming off last Saturday’s 9-6 home win over Michigan State. That victory improved the Cornhuskers record to 4-7 and all 4 wins occurred on their home field. Iowa is coming off a 63-0 blowout win at Illinois in a game in which they covered as a 16.0-point road favorite. The combination of these teams results in their last games sets up an extremely successful college football point-spread betting angle which is illustrated below. Any conference home favorite of 34.0-points or less (Iowa) that’s coming off a conference ATS win as an away favorite of 7.0-points or more in which they held their opponent scoreless, and they’re facing a team (Nebraska) that wasn’t shutout in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 32-2 ATS (94.1%) since 1992. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-22-18 | Redskins +7.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 47 m | Show |
Redskins @ Cowboys 4:30 ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Redskins +7.5 (10*) Dallas is coming off a thrilling 22-19 road win at Atlanta while doing so as a 3.0-point underdog. That win evened the Cowboys record at 5-5 (.500). Dallas is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games as a favorite this season, and they lost 2 of those contests straight up. The Redskins are coming off a 23-21 home loss to Houston. Although they covered that contest as a 3.0-point underdog. That defeat dropped their season record to 6-4 which is still good for 1st place in the NFC East standings. Adding insult to injury with no pun intended, they lost their starting quarterback Alex Smith for the year in that contest after he suffered a gruesome leg injury. Colt McCoy will assume the starting quarterback and he’s proven to be very capable when given the opportunity which included nearly rallying the Redskins to a win in that loss against Houston. By the way, Washington is 6-1 ATS as an underdog this season and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS (+12.7 PPG) if they’re coming off a loss in their previous game. |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs v. Rams -3 | Top | 51-54 | Push | 0 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Rams 8:15 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Rams -3.0 (5*) After running several NFL handicapping algorithms on this game, it was clear that games played in this precise situation clearing favorited the home favorite. Additionally, according to one major offshore sportsbook, 72% of point-spread betting ticket have gone the way of the underdog Chiefs. Since I’m not a big fan of siding with public betting, it’s just added that much more sugar to my spice. Let’s start with all the betting parameters I used for the 3 extremely successful betting angles illustrated below. For starters, both teams enter this game with identical 9-1 (.900) records. The Rams suffered their only loss 2 weeks ago during a 45-35 setback at New Orleans. Kansas City is coming off last Sunday’s 26-14 home win over Arizona. Any NFL home favorite (Rams) of 5.0-points or less that’s playing after game 9 of their season, and own a win percentage of .900 or better, versus an opponent (Chiefs) with a winning record, resulted in those home favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1990. The average victory margin in those 8 contests was 16.4 points per game. Any home favorite (Rams) that’s won 3 of its last 4 games and is facing an opponent (Chiefs) that’s won 8 or more of its previous 10 contests, resulted in those home favorites going 25-4 ATS (86.2%) since 2009. Any Monday night home favorite (Rams) that’s playing after game 9 of the season with a win percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent (Chiefs) coming off a win and has a win percentage of .643 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 10-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 10 contests was 22.2 points per game. Bet on the Rams minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-18-18 | Texans v. Redskins +3 | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
Houston @ Washington 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Washington +3.0 (10*) Houston enters this week on a red-hot 6-game winning streak. However, none of those 6 opponents currently have a winning record. It will get much tougher on the road this Sunday against a 6-3 Redskins team. Speaking of the Redskins, they have plenty of successful experiences as a home underdog since 2015. Excluding season openers, Washington is 10-1 SU&ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog, and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS if they were facing a non-division opponent. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-17-18 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida -7 | Top | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Central Florida 8:00 PM ET Game# 353-354 Play On: Central Florida -7.0 (10*) Central Florida is coming off last Saturday’s 35-24 win over Navy. That victory improved their season record to a perfect 9-0. Cincinnati is coming off last week’s 35-23 win over South Florida. The Bearcats head into this huge American Athletic Conference showdown with an impressive 9-1 record. Any home favorite of 3.5 to 11.0-points (UCF) with an undefeated record that’s playing after Game 9 of the season, and they’re coming off a win by 38 points or less while scoring 21 points or more, versus an opponent with at least 1 loss on the season, and they’re coming off a win in which they scored 31 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1988. The average margin of victory in those contests came by a decisive margin of 19.5 points per game. Bet on Central Florida minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-11-18 | Seahawks v. Rams -9 | Top | 31-36 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
Seattle @ LA Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: LA Rams -9.0 (10*) The worst thing that happened for Seattle regarding this matchup is the Rams suffering their first loss of the season last Sunday at New Orleans. Since 10/15/2017, the Rams are 3-0 SU&ATS in regular season games following a loss in their previous contest and they won by an average of 17.0 points per game. They’re also 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS during their previous 6 games as a home favorite and their winning margin was 14.5 points per contest. The Rams have outscored Seattle 75-38 during the last 2 times these division rivals have met while winning both of those contests. The Seahawks defense had no answer for stopping Todd Gurley in those 2 losses to their division rival. Gurley rushed for a combined 229 and scored 7 touchdowns in those Rams wins. I look for more of the same on Sunday. Take the Rams minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-10-18 | Miami-FL v. Georgia Tech -3 | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
Miami Fla. @ Georgia Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 139-140 Play On: Georgia Tech -3.0 (10*) Miami has gone 0-3 SU&ATS during their last 3 games and were a favorite in each of those contests. Their offense has been anemic throughout this current losing streak and scored 14 points or fewer on each occasion. Furthermore, the Hurricanes last win came on 10/6 in a 28-27 home win over a not very good Florida State team, and they had to overcome a 27-7 second half deficit in that contest. Miami comes into this game with a disappointing 5-4 (.555) record after being ranked in the Top 20 throughout the first half of this season. Georgia Tech is coming off SU&ATS wins in their previous 2 games. Even more impressive is both those wins came on the road at Virginia Tech and North Carolina. Additionally, they’ve gone 4-1 SU&ATS during their last 5 games and forced 13 turnovers throughout that time. The Yellowjackets enter this week with a 5-4 (.555) record. Any conference home favorite of 4.5-points or less with a win percentage of .750 or worse, coming off conference away SU&ATS wins in their previous 2 games and last they covered their previous contest by 2.0-points or more, and they’re playing after Game 7 of their season, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .777 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 20-1 ATS (95.2%) since 1981. Bet on Georgia Tech minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-04-18 | Rams v. Saints +2.5 | Top | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
LA Rams @ New Orleans 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: New Orleans +2.5 (5*) New Orleans is coming off an impressive 30-20 win at Minnesota last Sunday night. That marked their 6th straight win following a loss to Tampa Bay in their season opener. The Saints are also a very good 21-11 during their previous 32 games overall. The Rams remained unbeaten following last week’s 29-27 home win over Green Bay. Any home team (New Orleans) that’s coming off a road win by 10 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .600 or better, and they’ve won 24 game or fewer of their previous 32 contests. versus an opponent (LA Rams) who’s coming off a home game in which they scored and allowed 24 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 70-9 (88.6%) straight up since 1983. Considering the home team is an underdog in this spot, the straight up results in this betting angle take on an enormous amount more significance. Bet on New Orleans plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-03-18 | Michigan State v. Maryland +3 | Top | 24-3 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 22 m | Show |
Michigan State @ Maryland 12:00 PM ET Game# 347-348 Play On: Maryland +3.0 (10*) Michigan State is coming off a tough 3-game stretch in which they went 2-1 against Penn State, Michigan, and Purdue. Furthermore, following Saturday’s game at Maryland they’ll be hosting Ohio State and will be presented with an opportunity to squelch the Buckeyes national championship aspirations. With that in mind, this shapes up for a potential flat sport for a Spartans team which has already endured 3 losses this season. Maryland has gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season. Granted the competition in those wins was less than stellar. However, they defeated Minnesota, Rutgers, and Illinois by an average of 28.7 points per game. The Terrapins also upset #15 Texas earlier this season and did so as a 12.0-point underdog. Maryland enters this week with a solid 5-3 record. The Terrapins racked up 712 yards of total offense in last Saturday 63-33 home win over Illinois. Maryland is averaging 377.6 yards of total offense per game and they’ll be facing a Michigan State defense which is yielding 353.2 yards per contest throughout its first 8 games. Which leads us to a powerful college football betting angle illustrated below which heavily favors the home underdog in this matchup. Any college football home underdog playing after Game 6 of their season that averages 330 to 390 yards of total offense per game, and they amassed 475 yards or more of total offense in their previous game, versus an opponent (Michigan State) that surrenders 330 to 390 yards per game, resulted in those home underdogs going 39-4 (90.7%) straight up since 1992. Bet on Maryland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.  |
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10-28-18 | Packers v. Rams -8.5 | Top | 27-29 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 53 m | Show |
Green Bay @ LA Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: LA Rams -8.5 (10*) This is largest underdog role that Aaron Rogers has seen since he’s been Green Bay’s starting quarterback. Hence, the public has been hammering the sportsbooks with Packers bets like they’re stealing money from an open safe. The Packers enter this week with a mediocre 3-2-1 record and they’ve gone just 14-18 during their last 32 away games. The Rams are a perfect 7-0 thus far and are coming off last Sunday’s 39-10 win at San Francisco while easily covering as a 9.0-point favorite. Any undefeated NFL non-division home favorite (LA Rams) that’s playing in games 2 through 8 of their season, and they’re coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they won straight up by 13 points or more, versus an opponent (Green Bay) with at least 1 loss, and they’ve won 14 or less of its last 32 away games, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 13 contests came by a decisive margin of 21.0 points per game. Bet on the LA Rams minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-27-18 | Navy v. Notre Dame -23.5 | Top | 22-44 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
Navy vs. Notre Dame 8:00 PM ET Game# 207-208 Play On: Notre Dame -23.5 (10*) The only team that will prevent Notre Dame from winning this game by 4 touchdowns or more is Notre Dame. The Irish are coming off a bye week and look for them to put forth an inspired effort after barely surviving against Pittsburgh in their previous game. As a matter of fact, that narrow 20-14 win as a 20.0-point home favorite may have been the worst thing for Navy. I look for Notre Dame to be a focused and hungry team in this nationally televised primetime matchup. This has been a down year for Navy this far and look for a continuation of just that on Saturday night. The Midshipmen won’t be able to match the physicality of Notre Dame’s offensive and defensive line. They’ll be worn out by the time 2nd half action rolls around. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-21-18 | Rams v. 49ers +9.5 | Top | 39-10 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
LA Rams @ San Francisco 4:25 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: San Francisco +9.5 (10*) San Francisco gave Green Bay all they can handle this past Monday night at Lambeau Field before losing 33-30 on a last second field goal. The 49ers easily covered that contest as a sizable 9.0-point road underdog. The Rams came away with an uninspiring 23-20 road win at Denver last week and they failed to cover as a 7.0-point road favorite for a second consecutive week. In any event, they improved their season record to a perfect 6-0. Since 1983, NFL teams playing in their 3rd consecutive road game they gone just 81-152 straight up. If those teams are coming off a straight up win they’ve gone 3-9 straight up and 2-10 ATS since 2014. Any NFL home underdog of 10.0-points or fewer that scored 19 points or fewer in their previous game, and they’re facing an undefeated opponent playing in Game 7 of their season, and that opponent scored 36 points or less in their previous outing, resulted in those home underdogs going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1981. Bet on San Francisco plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-20-18 | Oregon v. Washington State -2.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
Oregon @ Washington State 7:30 PM ET Game# 367-368 Play On: Washington State -2.5 (10*) Washington State is coming off SU&ATS wins in each of their previous 2 games. They barely coved in their previous game as an 18.5-point favorite during a 56-37 victory at Oregon State. That win improved the Cougars season record to 5-1 (.833). Oregon is coming off last Saturday’s thrilling 30-27 overtime win over then #7 Washington and they did so as a 3.5-point home underdog. The Ducks also enter this contest with a 5-1 (.833) record. I entered previously mentioned data into my college football handicapping software and it spit out a never lost ATS betting angle which is detailed below. Any college football home favorite of 5.5-points or fewer that owns a win percentage of .833 or less after Game 5 of their season, and is coming off SU&ATS win in each of their previous 2 contests, and they covered their previous game by 32.0 or less while scoring 24 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a straight win and who possesses a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 19-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 19 contests was 20.1 points per game. Bet on Washington State as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | Top | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 54 h 46 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Patriots 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Patriots -3.0 (10*) New England has historically been a huge money maker as a home favorite since Bill Belichick took over as head coach. That’s been especially evident during recent years. Since the 2013 season began, New England has gone an extremely profitable 35-13 ATS (73%) as a home favorite. Moreover, during that identical time frame, the Patriots are a perfect 10-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5-points or fewer when facing a non-division opponent, and they won by 14.6 points per contest. The current total on Sunday’s game against the Chiefs is 59.5, and that’s significant. Since 11/18/2012, New England is 14-0 SU&ATS at home when there’s a total of 50.5 or greater, and they won by an enormous 20.7 points per game. The Chiefs are coming off last Sunday’s 30-14 win over Jacksonville and they covered as a 3.5-point home favorite. That victory improved Kansas City to a perfect 5-0 in 2018. New England is coming off a 38-24 home win over Indianapolis and they covered as a sizable 10.0-point favorite. This previously mentioned data sets up a rare but unblemished NFL betting angle which is displayed below. Any home favorite of 4.5-points or fewer (Patriots) that’s coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 21.0-points or less, and they’re facing an undefeated opponent (Chiefs) who’s coming off a home favorite ATS win, resulted in those home favorites going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1983. Those 9 home favorites won by an average of 13.1 points per game. Bet on the Patriots minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-13-18 | Georgia -7.5 v. LSU | Top | 16-36 | Loss | -103 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
Georgia @ LSU 3:30 PM ET Game# 197-198 Play On: Georgia -7.5 (10*) Georgia is undefeated at 6-0 thus far and have outscored their opponents by a combined score of 257-78. The Bulldogs have allowed 17 points or fewer in 5 of those 6 contests while they scored 38 points or more on all 6 occasions. Georgia doesn’t beat themselves and that’s evidenced by them committing just a combined 3 turnovers in 6 games. Since 10/18/2014, Georgia has gone a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS as a conference away favorite of 3.0 to 16.5-points when facing an opponent coming off a straight up loss. That’s applicable to Saturday’s game at LSU and the Bulldogs won those 6 contests by an average of 21.2 points per game. LSU has gone 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a conference underdog of 9.5-points or less after scoring 17 points or fewer in its previous contest. The Tigers lost those 4 contests by an average of 15.5 points per game. Georgia is coming off home wins over Tennessee 38-12 and Vanderbilt 41-13 in their last 2 games they’ve played. Conversely, LSU is coming off a 27-19 SUATS loss at Florida and did so as a 1.0-point favorite. The combination of those 3 results leads us to a a unbeaten college football betting angle which is shown below. Any away favorite (Georgia) playing after Game 3 of the season who’s coming off home wins by 14 points or more in each of their previous 2 games played, and they allowed 14 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent (LSU) coming off a conference SU&ATS loss in which it failed to cover by 8.0 points or more while they also scored 23 points or less, resulted in those away favorites going 15-0 ATS since 2010. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests was a sizable 29.9 points per game. Bet on Georgia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-07-18 | Giants v. Panthers -6 | Top | 31-33 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
Giants @ Panthers 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Panthers -6.0 (10*) Carolina will enter this game well rested after enjoying a bye week. The last time the Panthers took the field they defeated Cincinnati 31-21 and cover as a 3.0-point home favorite. The Giants are coming off a 33-18 home loss to New Orleans. Any NFL regular season home favorite (Panthers) that’s coming off a bye week, and their previous game was a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent (Giants) who’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 9-0 ATS. The 9 home favorites won by a substantial average of 20.3 points per game. Bet on the Carolina Panthers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-06-18 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -9 | Top | 48-42 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 21 m | Show |
Iowa State @ Oklahoma State 3:30 PM ET Game# 383-384 Play On: Oklahoma State -9.0 (10*) Iowa State is coming off a 17-14 loss at TCU last Saturday in a game they were held to 198 yards of total offense. Since 1996, Oklahoma State is 32-11 ATS (74.4%). Since 1996 as a home favorite when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. If that opponent covered that previous game as an underdog the Cowboys improve to 12-1 ATS (92.3%) in that identical situation. Oklahoma State is an explosive offensive team that’s averaging 44.4 points and 545.4 yards per contest. Conversely, Iowa State averages a paltry 17.5 points scored and 299.5 of total offense per game. Oklahoma State is coming off a 48-28 win at Kansas and they covered as a 17.0-point favorite while doing so. The win improved the Cowboys season record to 4-1 (.800). The loss to TCU last week dropped Iowa State to 1-3 (.50) this year. These records and last week’s Oklahoma State SU&ATS winning result creates an extremely profitable college football betting angle that sides with the favorite in this matchup. Any home favorite of 9.0-points or more that’s coming off a favorite of 15.5-points or greater ATS win, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent (Iowa State) with a win percentage of .250 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 43-9 (82.7%) ATS since 1992. Bet on Oklahoma State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-30-18 | Dolphins v. Patriots -6.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
Miami @ New England 1:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: New England -6.5 (10*) We have a 1-2 team in New England who’s favorite against the 3-0 Miami Dolphins. An impulse reaction would lead you to taking the underdog in this spot just based on common sense alone. However, solely relying on common sense when it comes to NFL handicapping is the shortest route to betting poverty. New England has gone a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS during their last at home against Miami, and they won those contests by an average of 21.6 points per game. After beginning the season with a home win over Houston, New England preceded to lose 2 straight road games to Jacksonville and Detroit. Since 2011, New England is 4-0 SU&ATS following back to back losses and won by a decisive margin of 16.7 points per game. The Patriots are also 7-0 SU&ATS (+18.8 ppg) in their last 7 as a home favorite when facing an opponent who’s won 3 or more games in a row. Miami is 0-6 SU&ATS since 2015 as an away underdog of 6.0 to 13.0-points and when going up against an opponent who’s recorded at least 1 win on the season. Bet on New England minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-29-18 | Stanford v. Notre Dame -5.5 | Top | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 51 h 32 m | Show |
Stanford @ Notre Dame 7:30 PM ET Game# 207-208 Play On: Notre Dame -5.5 (10*) Stanford was extremely fortunate to come away with a 38-31 overtime win at Oregon last week. Granted, kudos to them for overcoming a 4th quarter 24-7 deficit. However, that comeback was more of a byproduct of a bevvy of Oregon turnovers and a botched coaching decision by in the last minute that resulted in a fumble, when essentially all they needed to do was take a knee. That brain cramp by Oregon’s coaching staff allowed Stanford to mount a drive which led to a last second field goal that sent the contest into overtime. The win improved #7 Stanford to 4-0. Notre Dame head coach made a bold move last week by replacing former starting quarterback Brandon Winbush with Ian Book. The move paid off handsomely as Book passed for 325 yards and 2 touchdowns in addition to running for an additional 3 touchdowns during a 56-27 rout at Wake Forest. The Irish easily covered that contest as a 6.0-point favorite. That victory improved #8 Notre Dame to 4-0. Any home favorite of 8.0-points (Notre Dame) or less that’s coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 32.0-points or less and scored 52 points or more, versus an opponent with at least 1 win, resulted in those home favorites going 30-6 ATS (83.3%) since 1997. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-23-18 | Patriots v. Lions UNDER 54 | Top | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 58 h 58 m | Show |
New England @ Detroit 8:20 PM ET Game# 487-488 Play On: Under 54.0 (10*) New England is coming off a 31-20 loss at Jacksonville and did so as a 1.5-point favorite. Since 2014, New England has gone under the total on the road following a road loss, and those games averaged a combined 38.8 points scored per game. Additionally, since 2016, New England has gone 5-1 under when there’s a total of 49.5 or greater. Detroit is coming off last Sunday’s 30-27 loss at San Francisco. The combination of this data leads us to an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle which is displayed below. Detroit is 5-0 under in their last 5 at home when there’s of 48.0 or greater, and they’re coming off a road loss in which it allowed 38 points or fewer. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 39.6 points scored per game. Any team (New England) playing before Game 14 of their season with a total of 35.0 or greater, coming off an away double-digit loss as a favorite of 1.5-points or more, versus an opponent (Detroit) coming off an away loss in which they allowed 30 points or less, resulted in those games going 32-5 (86.5%) under the total since 1984. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-22-18 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt +2.5 | Top | 37-14 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 26 m | Show |
South Carolina @ Vanderbilt 4:00 PM ET Game# 387-388 Play On: Vanderbilt +2.5 (10*) South Carolina unexpectedly had last week off after Hurricane Florence swept through the Carolinas and resulted in their home game versus Marshall being cancelled. The last time the Gamecocks took the field 2 weeks ago they were hammered 41-17 at home against Georgia and fell far short of covering as an 8.5-point underdog. There’s no embarrassment in losing to Georgia but the manner of which it occurred was alarming for South Carolina fans. Vanderbilt began the 2018 season with home wins over Middle Tennessee State 35-7 and Nevada 41-10. Last Saturday they put up a valiant effort before better than 80,000 fans at Notre Dame before losing 22-17. Nevertheless, the Commodores covered with ease as a 14.0-point underdog. They’re now a perfect 3-0 ATS on the season. Vanderbilt’s defense has been outstanding thus far while surrendering a mere 13 points and 308 yards per game. The Commodores will be out to end a 9-game losing streak against South Carolina. However, their previous 3 losses to the Gamecocks all came by 9 points or fewer. This is potentially the best team Derek Mason has possessed since taking on the head coaching job at Vanderbilt. Bet on Vanderbilt for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-16-18 | Dolphins v. Jets -2.5 | Top | 20-12 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 43 m | Show |
Miami @ NY Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Jets -2.5 (10*) Miami has gone a dismal 1-12 ATS in their last 13 games as a division away underdog. The Dolphins christened their 2018 regular season campaign with a 27-20 win over Tennessee. The Jets are coming off an extremely impressive 48-17 road win at Detroit and did so as a sizable 7.0-point underdog. You may be surprised to know that the Jets are 6-1 during its previous 7 home openers. Any home favorite of 5.5-points or less that’s coming off a non-division away underdog straight up win in which they scored 41 points or more and allowed 10 or greater, and they’re facing an opponent who scored 21 points or more during its previous contests, resulted in those home favorites going 8-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those contests was 13.5 points per game. Bet on the Jets minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-15-18 | Ohio State v. TCU +13 | Top | 40-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 9 m | Show |
Ohio State @ TCU Game# 203-204 Play On: TCU +13.0 (10*) You can’t be much more dominating than #4 Ohio State showed during fits first 2 games of the season. The Buckeyes recorded home blowout wins over Oregon State 77-31 and Rutgers 52-3. Since 2005, TCU has gone an outstanding 28-2 straight up in non-conference home games. The Horned Frogs opened their 2018 slate with a 55-7 home rout of Southern University. Then just 5 days later they hammered SMU 42-12 while covering as a substantial 23.5-point road favorite. Any college football home team (TCU) that’s coming off 2 straight wins by 21 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Ohio State) who scored 42 points or more during each of its last 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 40-9 (.816) straight up since 1980. As a matter of fact, since 2010, the home teams in that precise situation are an even better 22-1 (.957) straight up. The straight up records pertaining to this college football betting angle take on added significance when accounting for the home team (TCU) being a double-digit underdog. Bet on TCU plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-09-18 | Chiefs v. Chargers -3 | Top | 38-28 | Loss | -126 | 55 h 56 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Chargers -3.0 (10*) Talk about big time revenge, the Chargers have lost 8 straight times to Kansas City. The Chargers will look to build on the momentum of going 9-3 during their final 3 games last season, and that included a perfect 5-0 in its last 5 at home. Meanwhile, Kansas City ended last season by going a dismal 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 away games. Any home favorite of 3.0 or less that won 9 regular season games of more during the previous season resulted in those teams going 15-0 SU&ATS since 1987. The average victory margin in those 15 contests came by a decisive average of 12.4 points per game. Bet on the Chargers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-08-18 | Mississippi State v. Kansas State +9 | Top | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
Mississippi State @ Kansas State 12:00 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Kansas State +9.0 (5*) Kansas State narrowly escaped last Saturday with a 27-24 home win against South Dakota, and they’re now 15-7 over their previous 22 games played. The Wildcats are now an impressive 26-2 straight up during their previous 28 non-conference home games. I look for Kansas State to bounce back from last week’s lackluster performance when they host #18 Mississippi State on Saturday. Speaking of Mississippi State, they christened their 2018 season with a resounding 63-6 rout of Stephen F. Austin. Any home underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 points (Kansas State) that’s coming off a home win by 3 points or less in which they allowed 17 points or more, and they’re playing in game 2 through 6, resulted in those home underdogs going 19-1 ATS (95%) since 1993. The underdogs also went 15-5 straight up in those contests. Bet on Kansas State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-01-18 | Washington +2.5 v. Auburn | Top | 16-21 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 23 m | Show |
Washington vs. Auburn 3:30 PM ET Game# 193-194 Play On: Washington +2.5 (10*) This is one of those rare betting situations where I dispose of my technical handicapping hat and rely solely on my professional intuition. I predicted in mid-July for Washington to be one of my 2 sleeper teams to win the national championship at odds of +1600. If that indeed is going to transpire, or even have a chance of doing so, losing their season opener isn’t the path for my prediction to be realized. Additionally, a win against a quality opponent like Auburn during a game played in the hear of SEC country (Atlanta) would be a gigantic resume builder. If the football adage of defense wins championships hold true, then Washington has a solid foundation to do so. The Huskies return 9 starters from a defense that allowed 16 points or less in 9 of 13 games a season ago. Nevertheless, their key to a potential national championship run will mainly rest on the shoulders of 4th year starting quarterbackJake Browning. When Washington won the PAC-12 championship and reached the College Football Playoffs 2 seasons ago, Browning was nothing short of spectacular. During that 2016 campaign, Browning threw for 3430 yards while tossing 43 touchdown passes and was intercepted only 9 times in 391 attempts. Besides his career high 68.5% completion rate in 2017, Browning’s overall numbers dipped substantially last year. I expect the seasoned signal caller to bounce back with an outstanding 2018 season. Bet on Washington for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-04-18 | Eagles +4.5 v. Patriots | Top | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs. New England 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Philadelphia +4.5 (10*) New England defeated Jacksonville 24-20 in the AFC Championship Game but failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite. Since 2002, Super Bowl teams coming off a game in which they failed to cover as a favorite have gone 0-4 SU&ATS. The Eagles took the unusual route of entering this Super Bowl after winning each of their last postseason contests as an underdog. Since 2002, any Super Bowl team that’s coming off a straight up underdog win has gone 9-0 ATS and won straight up on 7 of those occasions. If those teams were a favorite or underdog of less than 6.0 points they were 5-0 SU&ATS and won by 10.8 points per game. Turnovers will play a huge part in winning Super Bowl LII. Philadelphia is averaging just 1.23 turnovers per game this season. Meanwhile, New England has forced just 18 turnovers in 18 games this season. As a matter of fact, the Patriots have not forced a turnover in their previous 4 games. Any team (Philadelphia) playing after Game 8 of their season, and they average 1.25 or fewer turnovers committed per game, and they’re facing an opponent (New England) who averages forcing 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, resulted in those teams going 60-15 (80%) straight up since 2008. Since this straight up betting angle sides with the underdog on Sunday, there’s a ton of betting value to be had on the Eagles. Bet on Philadelphia plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles +3.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 35 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Philadelphia 6:40 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Philadelphia +3.5 (10*) For starters, this is an Eagles team that’s 8-1 at home this season, and their only defeat came against Dallas in a meaningless Week 17 regular season game. They were also a 2.5-point home underdog during last Sunday’s 15-10 Divisional Round win over the defending NFC champion Atlanta Falcons. Counting last week’s playoff game, Philadelphia is 14-3 (.823) this season. Since 1980, NFL playoff home underdogs have gone an extremely profitable 27-13 ATS (67.5%). If those postseason home underdogs had a win percentage of .750 or better, they improved to 9-2 ATS (81.8%) and won straight up on 8 of those occasions. Minnesota is also an identical 14-3 (.823) this season. Since 1985, any NFL home underdog of 2.0-points or more that’s playing after Game 5 of their season, possessing a win percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 8-0 SU&ATS. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests was 13.5 points per game. Bet on Philadelphia plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 53 h 3 m | Show |
Jacksonville @ New England 3:05 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Under 46.5 (10*) Despite the Jaguars defense looking less than impressive during last week’s 45-42 Divisional Round win at Pittsburgh, they’re still a force to be reckoned with. Jacksonville has allowed 10 points or less in 9 of 18 games this season, and they’re at or near the top of every defensive category. New England’s explosive offense led by future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady gets a plethora of attention and rightfully so. Nevertheless, the Patriots defense has allowed 17 points or less in 11 of their last 13 games played, and that includes each of it previous 5 at home. Any road team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, coming off a road win in which they scored and allowed 31 points or more, resulted in those road teams going 31-5 (86.1%) under the total since 1985. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-14-18 | Saints v. Vikings -4 | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 49 h 31 m | Show |
New Orleans @ Minnesota 4:40 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Minnesota -4.0 (10*) New Orleans is 8-1 at home this season but a mediocre 4-4 on the road. As a matter of fact, the Saints are a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS in its last 3 away games. Ironically, New Orleans opened the season at Minnesota, and lost that contest 29-19 in a game wasn’t nearly as close as the final score indicates. New Orleans was outgained by Minnesota in that game by a decisive margin of 470-344. Since Mike Zimmer has taken over the Minnesota Vikings head coaching duties in 2014, Minnesota is 14-1 ATS as a non-division home favorite. Considering the sample size and continuity pertaining to this precise situation, it’s a team betting trend that I certainly can’t ignore. Additionally, we can’t dismiss how dominating the Vikings defense has been this season, and especially so at home. Minnesota has allowed a paltry 12.5 points and 248.5 yards per game in their 8 home contests this season. Furthermore, the Vikings have given up 10 points or less in 5 of its last 7 games, and that includes in each of their previous 3 outings. Bet on Minnesota minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles +3 | Top | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 71 h 4 m | Show |
Atlanta @ Philadelphia 4:35 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Philadelphia +3.0 (10*) Granted there’s significant drop off from going with Nick Foles as opposed to Carson Wentz at quarterback. However, Foles is experienced enough to play within himself and not try to do too much. He’s also confident in knowing that this is an Eagles defense which has allowed 13.4 points and 321 yards per game at home this season. Philadelphia was a stellar 7-1 at home this season, and their only defeat came in their meaningless regular season finale to Dallas. The Eagles used primarily backups in that 6-0 loss to ensure it starters could avoid injury. Besides all that I’ve already pointed out, home playoff teams in this precise scenario have won at an extremely high rate over the past 26 years. Any playoff home team (Philadelphia) playing that had a bye the week before, versus an opponent (Atlanta) coming off a playoff win, and they possess a win percentage of less than .705 (Atlanta .647), resulted in those home teams going 43-7 (86%) straight up since 1992. Considering the home team is an underdog in this instance, it takes on added betting value. Bet on Philadelphia plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-08-18 | Alabama v. Georgia +5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Alabama vs. Georgia 8:00 PM ET Game# 155-156 Play On: Georgia +5.0 (10*) In my mind, this is an even matchup across the board with a lone exception, Georgia’s passing game is more consistent than Alabama’s aerial attack. This is also a Georgia team that averages 267 yards rushing per game, and has run for 238 yards or more in each of their previous 4 games. As a matter of fact, they torched Oklahoma for 317 yards son the ground in their thrilling double overtime win in the New Year’s Day national semifinal. Any neutral field underdog (Georgia) that averages 225 yards or more rushing per game, and has rushed for 225 yards or more in each of their previous 4 games, resulted in those underdogs going 23-3 ATS (88.5%) since 1992. Bet on Georgia plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-07-18 | Panthers +7 v. Saints | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
Carolina @ New Orleans 4:35 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Carolina +7.0 (5*) New Orleans has already defeated Carolina twice this season. It’s extremely difficult to be a very good football team 3 times in a season. Make no mistake, the 11-5 Panthers are a very good football team. If not for losing on the road to the defending NFC champion Atlanta Falcons last week, it would be Carolina hosting this playoff contest on Sunday and not New Orleans. New Orleans is very lucky that didn’t transpire after losing to a then 4-11 Tampa Bay team last Sunday. After going on a torrid 8-game win streak, New Orleans went just 3-3 during its last 6 games. At the very least, I like Carolina to take this game right down to the wire, and I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. Bet on Carolina plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-06-18 | Falcons v. Rams UNDER 48.5 | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show |
Atlanta @ LA Rams 8:15 ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Under 48.5 (5*) Atlanta enters this postseason after seeing each of their last 5 regular season games go under the total. As a matter of fact, during the past 3 seasons Atlanta is 19-6 under following an under in their previous game, and that includes 11-1 under if there’s a total of 46.5 to 53.5. The Falcons defense has flown under the radar this season with no pun intended. Atlanta has allowed just 19.6 points and 318.0 yards per game during its regular season slate. This Falcons offense is far from the offensive juggernaut we saw a season ago. Much can be attributed to the loss of last season’s offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan who accepted the head coaching job in San Francisco. The Rams have been a dynamic offensive team this season. However, they have very little playoff experience on their roster, and this will be the Rams franchise first postseason appearance since 2005. This is an extremely talented Rams defense, and they’re masterminded by one of the best coordinators in football in Wade Phillips. Atlanta concluded its regular season last Sunday with a 22-10 home win over division rival Carolina. That victory improved their final regular season record to 10-6 (.625). They will be facing a Rams team that went 11-5 (.687). Any road team (Atlanta) playing in a playoff game that coming off a division home win, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent (LA Rams) with a win percentage of .687 or worse, resulted in those postseason games going 12-0 under the total since 2008. There was a combined average of 37.1 points scored per game during those 12 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-01-18 | Alabama -3 v. Clemson | Top | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
Alabama vs. Clemson 8:45 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Alabama -3.0 (10*) This line tells me everything. We have the #4 seed Alabama as a favorite against top seeded Clemson in a playoff semifinal game. The Crimson Tide will also be out to revenge last year’s national title game last second loss to Clemson. Alabama is just as good as they were a season ago. Despite what the so-called experts on television are professing, I don’t believe that to be the case for Clemson. Bet on Alabama minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-31-17 | Bills -2 v. Dolphins | Top | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
Buffalo @ Miami 4:25 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Buffalo -2.0 (10*) Buffalo is still alive for an AFC Wild Card berth. First and foremost, the Bills must win, or they’ll be eliminated from any postseason possibilities. Buffalo starting quarterback Tyron Taylor has enjoyed much success in his 5 starts against Miami since 2015. Taylor completed 65% of his passes for 1232 yards and 9 touchdowns while throwing 0 interceptions. Taylor also ran for 193 yards and 2 touchdowns in those outings. Buffalo went 3-2 in those games, and their only 2 losses came by just 3 points each. During Taylor’s 14 starts this season, Buffalo turned the ball over just 10 times. Miami quarterback Jay Cutler had a miserable day against Buffalo just 2 weeks ago. Cutler was intercepted 3 times during that 24-16 loss and looked totally disinterested and frustrated for most of the game. Miami has an awful -13 turnover margin this season, and they’ll be facing a Bills team which is +8 in that category. Don’t be surprised if you don’t see Dolphins backup quarterback at some point in this game. Fales has been taking a high volume of first team reps in practice this week. I’m going with the team that will be playing with a sense of urgency. Bet on Buffalo minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-30-17 | Iowa State v. Memphis -4 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 44 m | Show |
Iowa State vs. Memphis 12:30 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Memphis -4.0 (10*) Memphis will be playing on its own home field and that’s significant. Since 2014, Memphis is 21-4 at home and that includes 10-0 when facing non-conference opponents. The Tigers are also 7-0 at home this season which included wins over bowl teams in Navy, SMU, and UCLA. Memphis has an outstanding season record of 11-2 with their only 2 defeats coming against undefeated and 10th ranked Central Florida. Any team playing at home in a bowl game with a win percentage of .666 or better, and they’re a favorite of 6.5-points or less, resulted in those teams going 5-0 ATS since 1980. There was a decisive average margin of victory of 18.4 points per game. Bet on Memphis minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-17 | USC v. Ohio State -7.5 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
USC vs. Ohio State 8:30 PM ET Game# 255-256 Play On: Ohio State -8.0 (10*) Both these teams are offensively explosive. It comes down to who will be better defensively, and my money unequivocally goes to Ohio State in that regard. USC has surrendered 26.0 points and 404.8 yards per game this season. Conversely, the Buckeyes defense is allowing just 19.9 points and 292.3 yards per game. Another key factor will be Ohio State’s potent rushing attack versus the porous run defense of USC. The Buckeyes are averaging 250 yards rushing per game and average a lofty 5.9 yards per carry. USC is allowing 158 yards rushing per contest. This isn’t a good matchup for USC, and I see a similar result to when they faced Notre Dame earlier this season. The Trojans were blown out in that contest 49-14, and they allowed Notre Dame to rush for 377 yards and average 8.0 yards per carry. Bet on USC as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-27-17 | Southern Miss v. Florida State UNDER 49 | Top | 13-42 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
Southern Miss vs. Florida State 1:30 PM ET Game# 235-236 Play On: Under 49.0 (5*) Southern Miss averaged outgaining their first 12 opponents of the season by a decisive 116.4 yards per game. Conversely, Florida State has outgained their opponents by a narrow 6.6 yards per game. Any non-conference team with a total of 42.5-49.0 that’s playing after Game 6 of the season, and they’re outgaining their opponents by an average of 100 yards or more per game, versus an opponent which possesses a +50 to -50 yard per game differential, resulted in those contests going 25-4 (86.2%) under the total since 1992. There was a combined average of 38.0 points scored per game during those 29 contests. |
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12-24-17 | Rams v. Titans +7 | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
Rams @ Titans 1:00 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Titans +7.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off a 42-7 blowout win at Seattle that put them in full control of the NFC West. That victory improved their season record to 10-4 (.714). The Rams start running back Todd Gurley has been on fire. However, he’ll be facing a Titans defense which allows just 87.2 yards rushing per game. Only Philadelphia and Minnesota have been better at stopping the run this season. Tennessee is coming off damaging road losses against San Francisco and Arizona. Despite those defeats, the Titans 8-6 (.571) record is still good enough to hold onto one of the AFC wild card spots. The Titans return home where they’ve gone 9-1 in their last 10 games, and that includes winning its previous 5 played in Nashville. Regardless of the quality of the opponent, that type of success at home couple with being a touchdown underdog creates substantial betting value. Any home team playing after Game 9 of the season, coming off road losses in each of their previous 2 games, and they own a winning record, versus an opponent coming off a win, and they have a win percentage of .444 to .714, resulted in those home teams going 20-1 ATS (95.2%) since 1983. Those home teams also won 18 of those 21 contests straight up. Bet on the Titans plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-23-17 | Texas Tech +3 v. South Florida | Top | 34-38 | Loss | -115 | 91 h 20 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. South Florida 12:00 PM ET Game# 221-222 Play On: Texas Tech +3.0 (10*) South Florida enters this Birmingham Bowl with a terrific 9-2 (.818). Nonetheless, upon careful examination the Bulls played an extremely soft schedule. Their 8 victories over FBS opponents this season came against teams that currently have a combined 27-69 (.281) record. The Bulls other win came against a FCS team in Stony Brook, and that contest was tied in the 4th quarter before South Florida scored 2 unanswered touchdowns. Meanwhile, yes Texas Tech is only 6-6 (.500) this season, 10-12 over their last 22 games, but they’re better than those records indicate. The Red Raiders faced 3 FBS non-conference opponents in Arizona State, Houston, and Oklahoma State who all posted winning regular season records. Texas Tech managed to win 2 of those 3 contests. They also finished regular season with a 27-22 upset win at Texas as a 7.5-point underdog, and that qualified them for a bowl game. Subsequently, that win may have very well saved the job of head coach Cliff Kingsbury. The Red Raiders have much to be thankful for this bowl season, and will be plenty motivated against nationally ranked opponent. Any college football bowl underdog of 7.5-points or less that’s won 13 or less of their previous 22 games, possessing a win percentage of .500 or less, and they’re facing an opponent with a win percentage of .666 or better, resulted in those bowl underdogs going 9-0 ATS since 2013. The underdogs also won 8 of those 9 contests outright, and their only straight up loss came by a narrow 2-point margin. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-17-17 | Rams v. Seahawks -1 | Top | 42-7 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
Rams @ Seahawks 4:05 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Seattle -1.0 (10*) Whoever wins this contest will be in control of their own destiny in terms of being the AFC West Division winner. One thing is for sure, Seattle has been in a plethora of critical late season games during recent years. Meanwhile, the Rams roster has very little experience in that regard. It’s rare that we’ve seen the Seahawks as such a small home favorite over the past 6 seasons. A straight up win by Seattle on Sunday gives you an extremely high probability of covering. Keep this in mind as well, since 2012 the Seahawks are a superb 43-8 (.843) at Century Link Field in Seattle. The Seahawks are coming off last Sunday’s 30-24 loss at Jacksonville and that’s pertinent when handicapping this game. After all, the Seahawks are an unscathed 12-0 in their last 12 games following a loss. Bet on Seattle for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-16-17 | Chargers v. Chiefs | Top | 13-30 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 25 m | Show |
Chargers @ Chiefs 8:25 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Chargers (10*) The Chargers are playing excellent football right now, and should be commended since bouncing back from an 0-4 start to get where they are right now. It seemed unfathomable in October to ponder the Chargers would be playing a game in Week 15 that with a win could give them sole possession of first place. However, that will be exactly the case come Saturday night in Kansas City. The Chargers have won 4 straight and did so by a decisive average of 19.5 points per game. The Chargers are 7-6 heading into this week’s action. Nevertheless, keep in mind, 4 of their 6 losses have come by 3 points or less. Meanwhile, after jumping out to a 5-1 start, the Chiefs have lost 6 of their last 8 games. Kansas City won the first meeting against the Chargers 24-10. Any road pick/favorite of 6.0 or less, possessing a win percentage of .510 to .600, and their playing after Game 8 of the season, resulted in those road teams going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1999. The average margin of victory in those 9 contests was 12.0 points per game. Bet on the Chargers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-10-17 | Vikings v. Panthers +3 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Carolina 1:00 PM ET Game# 115-116 Play On: Carolina +3.0 (10*) Minnesota is coming off a 14-9 win at Atlanta and they did so as a 2.0-point underdog. The win improved the Vikings record to 10-2 (.833). Carolina is coming off last Sunday’s 31-21 road loss at New Orleans. That defeat dropped their season record to 8-4 (.666). Since 2013, Carolina is a perfect 7-0 ATS at home following a loss, and when facing non-division opponents. Any home team (Carolina) during regular season action with a win percentage of .666 or better, playing after Game 8 of the season, and they allowed 21 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent coming off a straight up underdog win by 3 points or more in which they scored 14 or more, and they (Minnesota) possess a win percentage of .200 or better, resulted in those home teams going 42-0 straight up since 1981. Since this NFL straight up betting angle supports the home underdog, it takes on an enormous amount of more value. Bet on Carolina plus the points as a 10* Top Play underdog. |
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12-03-17 | Vikings v. Falcons -2.5 | Top | 14-9 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Atlanta 1:00 PM ET Game# 355-356 Play On: Atlanta -2.5 (10*) The defending NFC champion Atlanta Falcons are showing signs of coming to life, and are beginning to resemble the team we witnessed a season ago. Atlanta is coming off a 34-20 home win over Tampa Bay, and they covered as a large 10.0-point favorite. Minnesota enters this week with an excellent 9-2 (.818) record. The Vikings won their last game 30-23 at Detroit on Thanksgiving Day, and covered as a 2.5-point favorite. Any home favorite of 2.5 to 6.0-points, coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 4.0-points or more, versus an opponent (Minnesota) coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 17.0-points or less, and they (Vikings) have a win percentage of .400 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 10-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 10 contests was 12.9 points per game. Bet on Atlanta minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-02-17 | TCU +7.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 17-41 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 15 m | Show |
TCU vs. Oklahoma 12:30 PM ET Game# 333-334 Play On: TCU +7.5 (10*) TCU has won each of their previous 2 games, and the most recent of which was a 45-22 victory over Baylor. Oklahoma is coming off a 59-31 win over West Virginia which improved their season record to 11-1 (.917). The Sooners are 21-1 during its last 22 games. Any underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points (TCU), coming off 2 straight wins, and they scored 42 points or more during their previous game, versus an opponent (Oklahoma) that’s coming off a win by 17 points or more, owns a win percentage of .857 or better, and has won 11 or more of its last 22 games, resulted in those underdogs going 19-2 ATS (90.5%) since 2013. Those underdogs also won 12 of those 21 games straight up. Bet on TCU plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager |
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11-26-17 | Seahawks v. 49ers +7 | Top | 24-13 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 0 m | Show |
Seattle @ San Francisco 4:05 PM ET Game# 265-266 Play On: San Francisco +7.0 (10*) The 49ers are coming off their bye week, and it was preceded by 31-21 home win over the Giants. It marked the first victory of the season for San Francisco. However, the 49ers have been more competitive than its 1-9 record may indicate. They’ve lost 5 games this season by 3 points or less. One of those narrow defeats came at Seattle when they fell to the Seahawks 12-9. Seattle is coming off a tough 34-31 home loss to Atlanta last Monday night. The Seahawks are now 6-4, and their defensive secondary has been ravaged by injuries. Any regular season division home underdog of 5.5 to 10.5 points (49ers) that’s coming off its bye week, possessing a win percentage of .400 or worse, and they’re playing with revenge, resulted in those home underdogs going 17-0 ATS since 1987. The underdog also won 8 of those 17 games straight up. Bet on San Francisco plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-25-17 | Colorado v. Utah -10.5 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
Colorado @ Utah 10:00 PM ET Game# 187-188 Play On: Utah -10.5 (10*) Utah has lost each of their last 2 games and is currently 5-6 (.454) The Utes must win their regular season finale on Saturday to become bowl eligible. Colorado is coming off a 38-24 loss to USC in its previous game. Any conference home favorite of 10.5 to 19.5-points, and they have a win percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent coming off a loss by 31 points or less. resulted in those home favorites going 27-6 ATS (81.8%) since 2008. If those home favorites are coming off 2 straight losses, they improve to 10-0 ATS since 2009. The average victory margin in those contests was 28.2 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-23-17 | Chargers v. Cowboys | Top | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 54 h 28 m | Show |
LA Chargers @ Dallas 4:30 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: LA Chargers (10*) Dallas is coming off an embarrassing 37-9 home loss this past Sunday night to their division rival the Philadelphia Eagles. The Cowboys are now 0-2 SU&ATS without their suspended star running back Ezekiel Elliott and were outscored by a combined 64-16. Since the start of the 2013 season, Dallas is 0-4 SU&ATS at home following a loss by 14 points or more. The Chargers jumped out to a 37-7 halftime lead last Sunday at Buffalo on their way to a 54-24 blowout win. That win improved their record to 4-6 and moved them within 1.0 game of the final AFC wild card spot. The Chargers are much better than their record may indicate. They’ve suffered 4 of those 6 defeats by 3 points or less, and can very easily could be 8-2 at this juncture. Any team (Chargers) that lead at the half by 14 points or more in their previous game, and is facing an opponent (Cowboys) who allowed 35 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those teams going 25-3 (89.3%) straight up since 2013. Bet on the Los Angeles Chargers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-19-17 | Rams v. Vikings -2.5 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
LA Rams @ Minnesota 1:00 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Minnesota -2.5 (10*) The Vikings have been extremely good at home during recent seasons. Specifically, the Vikings are 18-6 SU&ATS in their last 24 regular season home games. During that exact time frame, the Vikings are a perfect 9-0 SU&ATS as a regular season non-division home favorite of 4.5 or less, and they won by an average of 10.8 points per game. The Rams have won each of their previous 3 games while covering as a favorite on all those occasions. Any home favorite of 4.0 or less that possesses a win percentage of better than .666, and they’re facing an opponent coming off 3 straight covers as a favorite, resulted in those home favorites going 10-0 SU&ATS since 2001. The average victory margin in those 10 contests came by a decisive 15.3 points per game. Bet on Minnesota minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-18-17 | NC State v. Wake Forest -1.5 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
NC State @ Wake Forest 7:30 PM ET Game# 333-334 Play On: Wake Forest -2.0 (10*) Wake Forest is coming off a 64-43 away favorite ATS win at Syracuse last Saturday. The win improved their record to 6-4 (.600) and made them bowl eligible. The Demon Deacons offense has caught fire over their past 3 games while scoring 37 points or more on each occasion. NC State escaped with a narrow 17-14 win at Boston College last week which put an end to a 2-game losing streak. The Wolfpack benefitted from Boston College losing starting quarterback Anthony Brown to a 1st half injury. Any conference home team with a win percentage of .444 or better that’s playing after Game 6 of the season, and they’re coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they scored 60 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 32-4 (88.9%) straight up since 1987. The straight up results in this betting angle takes on added significance due to the tiny number we’re being asked to cover. Bet on Wake Forest for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-12-17 | Cowboys v. Falcons -3 | Top | 7-27 | Win | 100 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
Dallas @ Atlanta 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Atlanta -3.0 (10*) Atlanta is coming off 2 straight games in which they failed to cover as an away favorite. The Falcons lost 20-17 last Sunday at Carolina. Surprisingly, the defending NFC champions enter the 2nd half of their season with just a 4-4 record. It’s about that time in which they go on a winning run and resemble the team we saw a season ago. Any home favorite of 13.5-points or less (Atlanta) that’s failed to cover as an away favorite in each of their previous 2 contests, and they’re coming off a straight up loss by 9 points or less in its last game, and they possess a win percentage of .750 or less, resulted in those home favorites going 14-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests came by a decisive 17.6 points per game. Bet on Atlanta minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-11-17 | NC State v. Boston College +3 | Top | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
NC State @ Boston College 12:00 PM ET Game# 133-134 Play On: Boston College +3.0 (5*) NC State is coming off a 38-31 home loss to Clemson in their previous game. Boston College is coming off wins of 41-10 at Virginia and 35-3 over Florida State during their previous 2 contests. Any team (Boston College) coming off 2 straight wins that each came by 31 points or more, versus an opponent (NC State) that allowed 37 points or more in their previous contest, resulted in those teams going 72-6 straight up (92.3%) since 1992. The straight up results take on added significance due to this betting angle supporting the home underdog. Bet on Boston College plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys -2 | Top | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
Kansas City @ Dallas 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Dallas -2.0 (10*) Dallas has scored 30 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. The Cowboys have won 2 straight and now find themselves with a 4-3 record. Kansas City is coming off last Monday night’s 29-19 win over Denver. That victory improved their season record to 6-2 (.750). Any home team possessing a win percentage of .500 or better, coming off 4 straight games in which they scored 30 points or more on each occasion, versus a non-division opponent with a win percentage of .800 or less that scored 33 points or less in their previous game, resulted in those home teams going 26-0 straight up since 1993. The straight up numbers take on added significance due to the current point-spread on this contest. Bet on Dallas minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-04-17 | Texas v. TCU -6.5 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 60 m | Show |
Texas @ TCU 7:15 ET Game# 379-380 Play On: TCU -6.5 (10*) TCU will be in a sour mood after last week’s 14-7 upset loss at #14 Iowa State. What better way to bounce back from their first loss of the season than with a convincing win over in state rival Texas. Meanwhile, Texas is coming off a 38-7 road favorite ATS win over winless Baylor. Any home favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off an away favorite straight up loss by 21 points or less, versus an opponent coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 4.0-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1982. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came by a substantial 27.7 points per game. Bet on TCU as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-30-17 | Broncos +7.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 19-29 | Loss | -120 | 52 h 34 m | Show |
Denver @ Kansas City 8:30 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Denver +7.5 (10*) Denver is coming off a 21-0 road loss against the Chargers. That defeated dropped the Broncos season record to 3-3 (.500). Kansas City is coming off an excruciating 31-30 loss at Oakland in their previous game. The Chiefs enter this week with a 5-2 (.714) record. Any away underdog of 10.5-points or less playing before Game 9 of the season, possessing a win percentage of .538 or less, and they’re coming off an away loss by 21 points or more, versus an opponent coming off an away loss, and they have a win percentage of less than .750, resulted in those away underdogs going 18-0 ATS since 1986. The underdogs also won 15 of those 18 games straight up. Bet on Denver plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-28-17 | TCU v. Iowa State +7 | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
TCU @ Iowa State 3:30 PM ET Game# 193-194 Play On: Iowa State +7.0 (5*) TCU is coming off a 43-0 lopsided win over Kansas last Saturday. The Horned Frogs held a massive 475-21 total yards advantage while coasting to that victory. However, TCU is a poor 1-8 ATS since 2015 following a game in which they outgained their opponent by 225 yards or more. Additionally, the #4 undefeated Horned Frogs have in state rival Texas and #10 Oklahoma up next. Iowa State is 5-2 and enters this week riding a current 3-game win streak. The Cyclones have cracked the Top 25 for the first time this season after last Saturday’s 31-13 upset win at Texas Tech. Keep in mind, this is also the same Iowa State team that knocked off then unbeaten and #2 Oklahoma as a 31.0-point road underdog. I look for the Cyclones to give TCU all they can handle and then some. Bet on Iowa State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-22-17 | Bengals v. Steelers -5 | Top | 14-29 | Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh 4:25 PM ET Game# 455-456 Play On: Pittsburgh -5.0 (10*) Cincinnati started the season 0-3 and has since rebounded to win 2 games in a row. The Steelers will enter this AFC North showdown with a season record of 4-2, and have also gone 22-10 in their previous 32 games played. Any home favorite of 4.0 to 7.0-points with a win percentage of .666 or better, and they’ve won 17 or more of their previous 32 games played, versus an opponent coming off 2 or more straight up wins in a row, and they possess a win percentage of .454 or less, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests came by 16.6 points per game. Bet on Pittsburgh -7.0 for a 10* Top Play. |
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10-21-17 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State -11 | Top | 7-45 | Win | 100 | 47 h 29 m | Show |
Kentucky @ Mississippi State 4:00 PM ET Game# 375-376 Play On: Mississippi State -11.0 (10*) Mississippi State is coming off a 35-10 win over BYU. The Bulldogs covered in that contest as a sizable 22.5-point favorite. Kentucky is coming off a 40-34 home win over a Missouri team that’s 0-5 against FBS opponents this season. That win improved the Wildcats season record to 5-1 (.833). Any conference favorite of 10.5 to 21.0-points (Mississippi State), coming off a favorite of 10.0 or more ATS win in which they covered by 2.0 points or more, versus an opponent (Kentucky) with a win percentage of .500 or better, and they are coming off a home game where both teams scored 31 points or more, resulted in those conference favorites going 25-0 ATS since 1995, and they won by an average of 26.6 points per game. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-15-17 | Bucs v. Cardinals +2 | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
Buccaneers @ Cardinals 4:05 PM ET Game# 267-268 Play On: Cardinals +2.0 (10*) Since 2013, the Cardinals are 7-0 SU&ATS at home when they’re +2.5 to -2.5. Since 2014, Arizona is 19-7-1 straight up at home, and that includes 11-0-1 during Games 5 through 13 of the season. Sunday will mark the Bucs 34th road game since 2013, and it’s only the 2nd time they will be installed as a favorite. Saying they’re entering unchartered waters would be a vast understatement. The Bucs are 0-2 SU&ATS in its first 2 games on the road this season. The Cardinals are coming off a humiliating 37-7 road loss at Philadelphia. The defeat dropped their season record to 2-3 (.400). Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is coming off a 19-14 Thursday night home loss to New England, and they failed to cover as a 3.5-point underdog. The combination of this data leads us to a rare but perfect NFL ATS betting angle. Any home team (Cardinals) with a win percentage of .333 or better that’s facing a non-division opponent (Buccaneers), and that opponent is coming off a Thursday home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 9.0 points or less, resulted in those home teams going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1989. The home teams won those contests by the convincing average of 16.2 points per game. |
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