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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-19-19 | Arizona State v. Utah -13 | Top | 3-21 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
Arizona State @ Utah 6:00 PM ET Game# 359-360 Play On: Utah -13.0 (10*) This double-digit point-spread caught my eye immediately. Especially when considered each team owns identical 5-1 (.833) records, and both are nationally ranked with Utah coming in as #13 and ASU #17. It’s like the sportsbooks are begging you to take the sizable underdog in this contest. Upon further examination, I’m not falling for the trap. Utah has been terrific defensively this season. They’re allowing a mere 13.2 points and 271.5 yards per game. The Sun Devils defense has also been impressive at time during this 2019 campaign. However, they’ve allowed 30 or more points in half their games and permitted their opponents to amass 404 yards or more of total offense in 4 of its last 5 games. Furthermore, Utah hasn’t allowed any of their 6 opponents to eclipse 400 yards, and the Utes have racked up 457 yards or more of offense in each of their previous 4 games. Utah is coming off a 52-7 win at Oregon State and easily covered as a 14.0-point favorite. Arizona State defeated Washington State 38-34 in their previous game and covered as a 1.0-point home underdog. This created a terrific college football betting angle displayed below. Any conference home favorite of 8.0 to 31.0 with a win percentage of .900 or less (Utah), coming of conference favorite ATS win in which they covered by 2.0 or more and scored 35 points or greater, versus an opponent (Arizona State) with a win percentage of .636 or better who’s coming off a conference straight up underdog win, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 15-0 ATS since 1985. The average margin of victory in those contests was 31.5 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-19-19 | Oregon v. Washington +3 | 35-31 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
Oregon @ Washington 3:30 PM ET Game# 367-368 Play On: Washington +3.0 (5*) Not a lot of people projected Washington to have 2 losses at this early juncture of the season. However, they were upset as double-digit favorite by both California and Stanford. They’ll be an unfamiliar role has a home underdog against #12 Oregon. It will mark the first time that the Huskies have been a home dog since 2015. Furthermore, Washington has gone an inspiring 21-2 (.913) straight up at home since 2016. Additionally, the Huskies will be out to revenge last season’s 30-27 loss at Oregon. Washington is coming off last Saturday 51-27 PAC-12 win at Arizona. The Huskies easily covered that contest as a 6.0-point favorite. That win improved their season record to 5-2 (.714). Conversely, Oregon is coming off a 45-3 conference win over Colorado. The Ducks enter this week with a 5-1 (.833) record. The combination of this data sets up a never lost college football betting angle which is illustrated below. Any home team (Washington) playing in a conference game that has a point-spread of +7.5 to -7.5, and they’re coming off a conference win by 20 points or greater while also covering by 31.0 or fewer, and they possess a win percentage of .454 or better, versus an opponent (Oregon) coming off a conference win by 21 points or more and they own a win percentage of .833 or worse, resulted in those home team within those point-spread parameters going 17-0 SU&ATS since 2014. The home team won those 17 contests by an average of 17.8 points per game. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-19-19 | Temple v. SMU -8.5 | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
Temple @ SMU 3:30 PM ET Game# 417-418 Play On: SMU -8.5 (5*) Temple owns wins this season over then #17 Maryland and #23 Memphis. However, both victories came at home, and neither of those opponents are currently ranked in the Top 25. It also must be noted, the Owls suffered a 38-22 loss at Buffalo, and that’s a Bulls team which is presently 1-4 against FBS teams, and obviously their only win came at the expense of Temple. The Owls upset Memphis 30-28 last Saturday as a 4.0-point home underdog. They hung on for that win after almost squandering a 16-0 lead. SMU is currently ranked #23 and sports a perfect 6-0 record. Nonetheless, they received a huge scare in their previous game played 2 weeks ago when they defeated Tulsa 43-37 in 3 overtimes. The Mustangs failed to cover as an 11.5-point home favorite, but stormed back from a 21- points 4th quarter deficit to tie the contest and send it to overtime. That was their first non-cover of the season and broke a 5-game ATS win streak to start 2019. Any college football home favorite of 4.5 or more that’s playing with rest, and is coming off a home win in which they failed to cover as a favorite by 22.0 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Temple) who’s coming off a SU&ATS win that they covered by 3.0 points or greater, resulted in those home favorites going an unscathed 14-0 ATS since 2008. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests came by a decisive 25.4 points per game. Bet on SMU minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-19-19 | Kent State +8 v. Ohio | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
Kent State @ Ohio 12:00 PM ET Game# 345-346 Play On: Kent State +7.5 (5*) Ohio was one of the preseason favorites to win the MAC. But they haven’t come close to living up to those expectations up to this point. They’re a dismal 1-4 straight up versus FBS opponents and their only win came in overtime at Buffalo 21-20. The Bobcats are also coming off a heartbreaking 39-36 home loss to Northern Illinois during their previous game. Kent State is coming off last week’s 26-3 win at Akron evened their season record at 3-3. Their only 3 defeats came at the hands of #17 Arizona State, #11 Auburn, and #6 Wisconsin. This is a game which will receive very little attention from the public or sportsbooks worldwide. However, I see this as a golden opportunity to take advantage of an underdog with ample betting value. I wouldn’t be shocked to get an outright win in this game but won’t be greedy and will gladly take the points. Bet on Kent State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-18-19 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +3.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Syracuse 7:00 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Syracuse +3.5 (5*) Pittsburgh is coming off an away underdog straight up 33-30 upset win at Duke in their previous game. The Panthers were beneficiaries of 6 Duke turnover that heavily contributed to that win. Now they’re a road favorite against a Syracuse team that entered the season with high expectations but has vastly underachieved. Syracuse is off top a disappointing 3-3 start after an excellent 2018 campaign which saw them going 10-3. The biggest disappointment has been an experienced defense which was torched by Maryland, Clemson, and even Western Michigan for that matter. This looks to be a perfect spot for atonement for the Orange on Friday night at home and in front of a national television audience. They will be out revenge 1 of their 3 losses last season which came in overtime at Pittsburgh. Any college football home underdog of 4.0 or less that’s facing an opponent coming off a week of rest, and they were an away underdog straight up winner in their previous game, resulted in those home underdogs going 5-0 SU&ATS since 1998. The average margin of victory for those 5 home underdogs was a decisive 18.2 points per game. Bet on Syracuse plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-16-19 | South Alabama v. Troy -14.5 | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show | |
South Alabama @ Troy 8:00 ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Troy -14.5 (5*) South Alabama has gone 0-5 this season versus FBS teams. As a matter of fact, they enter this week on a 4-game losing streak during which their offense was anemic. During that stretch, they averaged only 10.7 points scored and 277.5 yards of total offense per game. Troy is coming off losses in each of its last 2 games against Arkansas State 50-43 and 42-10 during their previous out at Missouri. Those 2 defeats dropped their season record to 2-3 (.400). With an exception of their loss at Missouri, Troy has averaged 40.7 points scored and 487.5 yards of total offense per game in its other 4 contests. Any college football favorite of 10.5 to 20.5 with a win percentage of .400 to .490 (Troy), coming off straight up losses in each of their previous 2 contests, and they scored 6 points or more during their last outing, versus an opponent (South Alabama) who scored 6 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those favorites going an extremely profitable 26-1 ATS (96.2%) since 2010. Bet on Troy minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-19 | Washington v. Arizona +6.5 | Top | 51-27 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 39 m | Show |
Washington @ Arizona 11:00 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Arizona +6.5 (5*) Washington is coming off a listless effort last Saturday night during a 23-13 loss at Stanford as a substantial 12.5-point favorite. It marked the 2nd time this season that the Huskies were upset as a double-digit favorite with the other coming against California. After losing 45-38 in their season opener at Hawaii, Arizona has reeled off 4 straight wins, and includes last week’s 35-30 win at Colorado as a 2.5-point underdog. The Wildcats are an explosive offense team that averages 37.2 points and 539.2 yards per game. Additionally, since 10/7/2017, Arizona is 6-1 SU&ATS as a home underdog of 1.5 to 10.0.  Bet on Arizona plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-19 | Florida v. LSU -13 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
Florida @ LSU 8:00 PM ET Game# 179-180 Play On: LSU -13.0 (5*) Florida is coming off last week’s 24-13 upset win at home over Auburn. However, they were facing a freshmen quarterback Bo Nix who was making his first ever start in an SEC road game. This week it will be LSU senior quarterback Joe Burrow who’s enjoying a terrific start to the season. Florida’s defense has been terrific thus far and a major reason why they’re sitting at 6-0. Nevertheless, the LSU offense is averaging 54.0 points scored and 571.0 yards per game on their way to their 5-0 start. LSU is also allowing only 81.0 yards rushing per game and a mere 2.6 yards per attempt. The Tigers will also be out to revenge last season’s 27-19 loss at Florida. LSU has historically very good during big games on their famed Saturday night contests in Baton Rouge. They can chalk this one up as another of those successful situations. Bet on LSU minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-19 | Penn State -3 v. Iowa | 17-12 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Iowa 7:30 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: Penn State -3.0 (5*) Iowa is coming off a 10-3 loss at Michigan last week which ended a 4-game win streak to start the season. College football home underdogs of 6.0 or less playing after game 5 of their season, and are coming off an away underdog ATS loss when they were undefeated, resulted in those home underdogs going 1-9 ATS since 1980, and 0-6 ATS if they scored 13 or fewer in their previous contest. Penn State seems to be getting better every week. They’re 5-0 and have allowed 13 points or fewer in each of those wins. The Nittany Lions are also averaging 47.0 points and 499.6 yards per games offensively. Bet on Penn State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-19 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +17.5 | 47-28 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
Alabama @ Texas A&M 3:30 ET Game# 183-184 Play On: Texas A&M +17.5 (5*) Texas A&M is 3-2 but their only losses came at #2 Clemson 24-10 and versus #12 Auburn 28-20. Alabama deserves all the accolades they’ve received this season after winning each of their first 5 games by a combined score of 259-74. However, Saturday will be the first time this season they’ll be facing a ranked team. Texas A&M has failed to cover in each of their previous 2 games with both being as a favorite. Those pair of non-covers came against Arkansas and Auburn. They had last week off and narrowly escaped with a 31-27 win over Arkansas as a 22.0-point favorite in their previous game.  The week before, they lost at home to Auburn 28-20 as a 4.0-point favorite Any home underdog of 11.0 to 19.0 (A&M) with a win percentage of .250 or better, coming off ATS losses as a favorite in each of their last 2 games, and they scored 26 points or more in their previous contest, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .727 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 18-0 ATS since 1981. Bet on Texas A&M plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-12-19 | Mississippi State -6.5 v. Tennessee | 10-20 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ Tennessee 12:00 PM ET Game# 157-158 Play On: Mississippi State -6.5 (5*) Tennessee is 0-3 SU&ATS at home this year versus FBS opponents. One of those setbacks came in their home opener against Georgia State in a contest they were a sizable 24.0-point favorite. Since 2016, Tennessee is 0-6 ATS as a home underdog of 5.5 or greater and lost by an enormous 33.2 points per game. Mississippi State had last week off to recover from a 56-23 shellacking they suffered at Auburn in their previous outing. The Bulldogs defense isn’t anywhere near the caliber they were a season ago but is still adept at creating turnovers. They’ve forced 15 turnovers throughout their 3-2 start in 2019. Conversely, Tennessee has a poor turnover differential of -6 in their 4 games against FBS teams this season. Look for that to factor into deciding the outcome of this contest. Any conference road favorite of 3.0 or more (Mississippi State) that’s coming off a road loss by 21 points or greater, resulted in those road favorites going 13-0 ATS since 2016. The average margin of victory was 20.8 points per game. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-11-19 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -2 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Miami 8:00 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Miami -2.0 (5*) This line makes no sense at all. You have an unranked Miami team with a 2-3 losing record as a small favorite against #20 Virginia who’s only loss came at #9 Notre Dame. However, the sportsbooks are never that gracious and seem to be baiting bettors into taking the nationally ranked underdogs. I’m not falling for it. Despite their 4-1 record, Virginia has a turnover differential of -6. Additionally, the Cavaliers have endured monumental struggles attempting to run the ball in their previous 2 games against Old Dominion and Notre Dame. Specifically, those pair of outings saw them accumulate just a combined 73 yards rushing and they averaged a miserable 1.3 yards per attempt. Conversely, the Miami defense is allowing only 79 yards rushing per game and an excellent 2.5 yards per attempt. Miami lost to Virginia Tech last Saturday 42-35. On a positive note, they rallied from being down 28-0 in that contest to tie the score at 35-35 but eventually came up short. The Hurricanes were plagued by committing 5 turnovers in the contest including 3 interceptions on its first 3 offensive possessions. Miami did outgain Virginia Tech by a wide margin of 563 to 337. I don’t see them being mistake prone tonight against a Virginia defense that’s forced only 5 turnovers in 5 games. Bet on Miami for a 5* wager. |
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10-10-19 | UL-Monroe -3 v. Texas State | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
UL-Monroe @ Texas State 9:15 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: UL-Monroe -3.0 (5*) UL-Monroe is 2-3 but their 3 defeats have come against very formidable opponents (Florida State, Iowa State, Memphis). Even in those losses they’ve shown an ability to move the ball by amassing 419 yards or more on each occasion. UL-Monroe is a very balanced offense that averages 224 yards rushing and 246 passing per game. Conversely, Texas State has a terrible rushing attack which averages just 81 yards per game in addition to a mere 2.7 yards per attempt. Neither of these defenses are very good. However, the more dangerous and balanced offense of UL-Monroe will be the difference tonight’s outcome. Bet on UL-Monroe minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-19 | Washington -14.5 v. Stanford | 13-23 | Loss | -106 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
Washington @ Stanford 10:30 PM ET Game# 351-352 Play On: Washington -14.5 (5*) This isn’t your typical David Shaw coached Stanford team that we are used to seeing in the Top 25. The Cardinal are 2-3 and their only 2 wins have come against teams (Oregon State, Northwestern) that are a combined 1-6 this season. As a matter of fact, one of those wins came in their previous game against perennial PAC-12 cellar dweller Oregon State by a narrow 31-28 margin, and that failed to cover as a 3.5-point road favorite. Now they return home to face a red-hot nationally ranked Washington team in a game which they’re tabbed as a better than 2-touchdown underdog. Speaking of Washington, since a Week 2 upset loss at home against California, the Huskies have gone 3-0 SU&ATS and cashed in as a favorite on each occasion. Washington is 4-1 and has also gone 16-6 in its last 22 games. Any conference away favorite of 14.0 to 21.0-points (Washington) that’s gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games, and they covered as a favorite on all 3 of those occasions, and they won 19 or fewer of their last 22 contests,, versus an opponent (Stanford) with a win percentage of .600 or worse, resulted in those sizable road favorites going 26-2 ATS (92.4%) since 2000. Any college football home underdog of 13.5 to 21.5-points (Stanford) that’s coming off an away win by 17 points or fewer, versus an opponent that’s gone 3-0 SU&ATS during its previous 3 games, resulted in those home underdogs going 0-9 ATS, and they lost by an enormous average of 40.0 points per game. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-19 | Pittsburgh +5 v. Duke | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Duke 8:00 PM ET Game# 325-326 Play On: Pittsburgh +5.0 (5*) Pittsburgh has beaten Duke in each of their last 4 meetings. The Panthers enter this week with a 3-2 (.600) record. Their only 2 defeats came at the hands of #12 Penn State and #23 Virginia. The Panthers did manage to upset #18 UCF 2 weeks ago. Duke is coming off a 45-10 blowout win at Virginia Tech in a game they were a 2.5-point underdog. After losing their season opener to #1 Alabama, the Blue Devils have rebounded to win 3 straight games. Duke has ran the ball on 58% of their offensive plays this season. They’ll be challenged by a Pitt defense that’s allowing a mere 2.9 yards per rush in 2019. Any conference away underdog of 2.5 to 7.5 (Pittsburgh) with a win percentage of .571 or better, versus an opponent (Duke) that’s playing with revenge and they’re coming off a conference away underdog straight up win by 3 points or more, and they own a win percentage of .750 or worse, resulted in those away underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 2005. Those underdogs also won 13 of those 14 games straight up. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-19 | Michigan State v. Ohio State -20 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 31 h 42 m | Show | |
Michigan State @ Ohio State 7:30 PM ET Game# 391-392 Play On: Ohio State -20.0 (5*) Michigan State is coming off a lackluster 40-31 home win against Indiana but failed to cover as a 14.0-point favorite. As a matter of fact, that was a 34-31 game until the Spartans scored a defensive touchdown on the last play of the game. Comparatively, Ohio State owns a 51-10 road win at Indiana on 9/14. The Spartans have also suffered a 10-7 home loss to Arizona State as a 16.0-point favorite. Ohio State is clicking on all cylinder. Offensively they’re averaging 52.4 points scored and 537.2 yards gained per game on their way to a perfect 5-0 start. The Buckeyes defense is allowing just 8.6 points and 223.8 yards per game. Ohio State has covered each of their last 4 games with all coming as a favorite and won by a massive average of 48.8 points per contest. Any conference home favorite of 18.5 to 36.0 with a win percentage of .600 or better (Ohio State), and they’re coming off an away favorite of 14.0 or greater ATS win in which they covered by 3.0 points or more, versus an opponent (Michigan State) that failed to cover their previous contest, resulted in those large home favorites going 28-1 ATS (96.5%) since 2002. Bet on Ohio State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-05-19 | Northwestern v. Nebraska -7 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
Northwestern @ Nebraska 4:00 PM ET Game# 361-362 Play On: Nebraska -7.0 (10*) Northwestern is coming off a 24-15 loss to Wisconsin which dropped their season record to 1-3. The Wildcats only win came over UNLV who annually one of the poorest football programs in the country. Northwestern’s offense is averaging just 15.5 points and 292.7 yards per game. Furthermore, they’ve committed an alarmingly high 11 turnovers in their first 4 games of the season. Nebraska was outclassed last week against Ohio State in a 48-7 home loss while also failing to cover as a 17.0-point home underdog. Despite that low scoring output in addition to being held to a mere 231 total yards, Nebraska is still averaging 31.8 points and 438.2 yards per game. The Cornhuskers will also be playing with double revenge stemming from 2 straight losses to Northwestern by narrow margins of 34-31 and 31-28. Any conference favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off a conference home underdog of 11.0 or greater ATS loss in which they scored 16 points or fewer, and they’re facing an opponent (Northwestern) coming off a loss by 34 points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came by a decisive 24.8 points per game. Bet on Nebraska minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-05-19 | Eastern Michigan -6 v. Central Michigan | 16-42 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan 3:00 PM ET Game# 335-336 Play On: Eastern Michigan -6.0 (5*) Central Michigan is 2-3 (.400). Their only 2 wins have come over Albany who plays at the FCS level and winless Akron. The Chippewas have turned the ball over an alarming 11 times in their 5 games. Eastern Michigan is coming off wins over Central Connecticut State 34-31 and at Illinois 34-31 during its last 2 games. That improved their season record to 3-1. Their only defeat came at Kentucky in Week 2. I look for a solid Eastern Michigan passing attack to have its way against a Central Michigan defense that’s allowing 275 yards passing per game. Any conference away favorite of 10.5 or less that’s coming off a week of rest (Eastern Michigan), and has non-conference wins in each of their last 2 games, and they scored 34 points or more during their previous contest, versus an opponent (Central Michigan) with a win percentage of .200 or better, resulted in those away favorites going 19-1 ATS (95%) since 1994. Bet on Eastern Michigan minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-04-19 | Central Florida v. Cincinnati +4 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
UCF @ Cincinnati 8:00 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Cincinnati +4.0 (5*) Cincinnati is coming off an inspiring 52-14 win at Marshall last Saturday and easily covered as a 4.0-point favorite. The Bearcats will enter this huge conference showdown with #18 UCF having won 9 straight home games. That adds to the betting value for the home underdog Bearcats. Cincinnati is 3-1 this season with their lone defeat coming at #4 Ohio State. As a matter of fact, during their 3 wins over Marshall, UCLA, and Miami-Ohio, Cincinnati has allowed 14 points or fewer and 256 yards or less on each occasion. The Cincinnati offense is averaging an enormous 34:16 in time of possession which has aided its defense in a big way. Conversely, UCF averages 25:16 in time of possession per game which speaks mostly to their quick strike explosive ability. I look for Cincinnati to minimize UCF chunk plays on offense, and to win the time of possession battle. The Bearcats will also be out to revenge 3 losses in a row to UCF. Any college football home underdog of 9.5 or less, coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 27.5 points or more, and they’re playing with revenge, resulted in those home underdogs going 10-0 ATS since 1990. The home underdogs also won 9 of those 10 games straight up. Bet on Cincinnati plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-19 | Washington State +6 v. Utah | 13-38 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 19 m | Show | |
Washington State @ Utah 10:00 PM ET Game# 145-146 Play On: Washington State +6.0 (5*) Washington State is coming off a stunning 67-63 home loss to UCLA as an 18.0-point home favorite which dropped their season record to 3-1 (.750). Since 2015, Washington State has gone 6-0 ATS following a loss in their previous game in which they scored 28 points or more. They also won 5 of those 6 contests straight up and were an underdog on 4 separate occasions. Since the start of last season, Washington State has gone a very profitable 5-1 SU&ATS during true road games. Additionally, since 2013, the Cougars are 6-1 straight up and 7-0 ATS as an away underdog of 16.0 or less following a loss in their previous game, and all under the guidance of current head coach Mike Leach. Furthermore, the Cougars are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games against Utah. Utah is coming off a 30-23 upset loss at USC as a 3.5-point favorite. The Utes have lost 3 straight at home to Washington State. Any college football away underdog of 3.5 to 7.0-points (Washington State) with a win percentage worse than .800, and they’re coming off a home straight up loss as a favorite of 14.0 or greater in which they allowed 22 points or more, versus an opponent 9Utah) possessing a winning record, resulted in those away underdogs going a perfect 15-0 ATS since 1992. Bet on Washington State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-19 | Kansas State +5 v. Oklahoma State | 13-26 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State 7:00 PM ET Game# 165-166 Play On: Kansas State +5.0 (5*) Oklahoma State is coming off last Saturday’s 36-30 loss at Texas, but they managed to cover as a 7.0-point underdog. That defeat dropped their record to 3-1. The Cowboys defense has surrendered 396 yards or more to all 3 of their 2019 FBS opponents while allowing a lofty 31.0 points per game. Oklahoma State will be out to revenge last year’s loss at Kansas State. Kansas State enters this Big 12 Conference game after having last week off. The Wildcats last played 2 weeks ago when they came away with a 31-24 win over Mississippi State as a 7.0-point away underdog. Since last season, Kansas State is an unblemished 6-0 ATS as a conference underdog of 10.5 or less. Kansas State has averaged an enormous 280.0 yards per game rushing per game during their 3-0 start. Conversely, Oklahoma State has allowed 158 yards or more rushing in all 4 of their games this season. Any college football conference away underdog of 5.5 points or fewer that’s coming off a win and possesses a winning record, versus an opponent (Oklahoma State) with a win percentage of .250 or better and they’re playing with revenge, resulted in those away underdogs going 16-1 ATS since 1992. Those away dogs also won 14 of those 17 games straight up. Bet on Kansas State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-19 | Mississippi State +10 v. Auburn | 23-56 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ Auburn 7:00 PM ET Game# 167-168 Play On: Mississippi State +10.0 (5*) Auburn is coming off a 28-20 win at Texas A&M and did so as a 3.5-point underdog. Mississippi State is coming off a 28-13 win over Kentucky and they covered as a 6.0-point home favorite. Any college football conference away underdog of 3.5 to 13.0 points that’s playing before Game 10 of their season, and they’re coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 9.5 points or more while scoring 21 points or greater, versus an opponent (Auburn) coming off an away conference straight up win as an underdog, resulted in those away underdogs going 11-0 ATS since 1989. The underdogs also won 6 of those 11 contests straight up. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-28-19 | Minnesota -1.5 v. Purdue | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Purdue 3:30 PM ET Game# 137-138.0 Play On: Minnesota -1.5 (10*) Purdue is coming off a 34-13 home loss to TCU in which they failed to cover as a 3.0-point underdog. They also blew a 14-point 4th quarter lead at Nevada in their season opening 34-31 loss. The Boilermakers are a disappointing 1-2 thus far with their only win coming at home over Vanderbilt. The Boilermakers starting quarterback Elijah Sindelar remains questionable while attempting to recover from a concussion. Minnesota enters their Big 10 Conference opener with a 3-0 record and those wins came by 7 points or less. The Gophers are unlikely to blink in a close game. They defeated Fresno State 38-35 in their only 2019 road game to this point. Dating back to last season, Minnesota has won 5 straight games under 2nd year Gophers head coach P.J. Fleck. Any conference away team that’s coming off 3 or more wins in a row, versus an opponent coming home a home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 21.0-points or fewer, and they have a win percentage of .400 or worse, resulted in those away teams going 50-1 straight up since 1982. Bet on Minnesota for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-28-19 | Indiana +14 v. Michigan State | 31-40 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Michigan State 3:30 PM ET Game# 153-154 Play On: Indiana +14.0 (5*) Michigan State is coming off a decisive 31-10 road win at Northwestern while easily covering as an 8.0-point favorite. Up next for the Spartans is #5 Ohio State. This has all the making of a flat spot for Michigan State. The last Spartans home game saw them being upset 10-7 by Arizona State as a 16.0-point favorite. They’ve now gone an uninspiring 4-4 in their last 8 home games. Indiana has no issues in a 38-3 win over Connecticut in their previous game and covered with no sweat as a 27.5-point home favorite. The Hoosiers are 3-1 with their lone defeat coming against Ohio State. Bet on Indiana plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-27-19 | Penn State v. Maryland +7 | 59-0 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Penn State @ Maryland 8:00 PM ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Maryland +7.0 (5*) Penn State has been less than impressive in my humble opinion relative to their current #12 national ranking. This will be their first road test of the season after opening with 3 consecutive home games. They held on to beat Pittsburgh 17-10 and trailed Buffalo 10-7 at halftime before eventually pulling away. They’ve shown a defensive vulnerability against the run thus far and look for Maryland to exploit that early and often. Speaking of Maryland, they’ll enter their Big 10 Conference opener on a week of rest. They were upset at Temple 20-17 in their previous outing. However, we must keep in mind that in wins over then nationally ranked Syracuse and Howard they outscored them by a combined score of 142-20 while racking up an enormous 1273 yards of total offense. Maryland will also be out to revenge lopsided losses to Penn State during each of the previous 2 seasons. Any conference home underdog of 9.0 or less (Maryland) that’s playing with rest, and is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 3 points or more, and is also playing with revenge, resulted in those home underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 1999. Even more compelling is the fact that those home underdogs won 12 of those 13 games straight up. Bet on Maryland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-26-19 | Navy v. Memphis UNDER 54.5 | Top | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Navy @ Memphis 8:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Under 54.5 (10*) Memphis is off to a 3-0 start which has been spearheaded by a defense that’s allowed only 13.3 points and 226.3 yards per game. Navy has gone under the total in each of their first 2 games and their defense appears to be vastly improved from a season ago. Both teams are terrific in respect to time of possession. Memphis is averaging 21 first downs and 33:57 time of possession per game. Conversely, Navy averages 27 first downs and an eye popping 37:08 time of possession per contest. Each team is fully committed to running the ball. Navy has run the ball on 88.9% of their offensive plays thus far, and 63% of Memphis’ offensive plays have been rushing attempts. Defensively, Navy is allowing a mere 2.6 yards per rushing attempt while Memphis has held its opponents a more than respectable 3.1 yards per try. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-21-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State -7 | 34-31 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 31 m | Show | |
Colorado @ Arizona State 10:00 PM ET Game# 351-352 Play On: Arizona State -7.0 (10*) Colorado is coming off a 30-23 home loss in overtime to Air Force. That defeat thwarted the Buffalos from starting 3-0. This will be Colorado’s first road test of the season. They’re a dismal 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an away underdog of 3.5 or greater. They’ve allowed 30 points or more in each of their first 3 contests, and they’ll be facing an Arizona State team which has allowed exactly 7 points in each of its first 3 games on their way to a 3-0 start. Former New York Jets head coach Herman Edwards has done a more than admirable job since taking over at Arizona State. The Sun Devils have gone 10-5 in regular season games under Edwards and that includes 6-1 at home. Arizona Sate is coming off a 10-7 upset win at Michigan State last Saturday in a game they were a sizable 16.0-point underdog. Arizona State is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS at home versus Colorado since the Buffaloes joined the PAC-12 and with an enormous victory margin of 26.0 points per contest. |
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09-21-19 | Nebraska v. Illinois OVER 62 | 42-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
Nebraska @ Illinois 8:00 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Over 62.0 (5*) Nebraska won last season’s meeting 54-28 in Lincoln and that game went over the massive total of 72.5. I expect more of the same on Saturday night in what will be the Big 10 opener for both teams. During their last 2 games Nebraska has averaged 37.5 points scored and 492 yards of total offense per game. Illinois is 2-1 and is averaging 34.7 point scored and 407 yards of total offense per game. Nebraska has allowed 21.0 points per game on their first 4 contests. Conversely, Illinois has given up 20.0 points per game in their first 3 games. This statistical data qualifies for a very successful college football totals betting angle which is illustrated below. Any college football game with a total of 56.5 to 63.0 that involves teams allowing 16 to 21 points per game, resulted in those contests going 30-6 (83.3%) over the total since 2010. The average total in those 36 contests was 59.2 and there were a combined 73.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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09-21-19 | UL-Lafayette +3 v. Ohio | 45-25 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette @ Ohio 2:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: UL-Lafayette +3.0 (5*) UL-Lafayette is averaging a robust 8.1 yards per offensive play on their way to a 2-1 start. As a matter of fact, in their last 2 games they amassed 593 and 748 yards of total offense during blowout wins over Liberty and Texas Southern. Ohio has begun the season 1-2 and is allowing opponents to average 6.4 yards per offensive play. Any road team (UL-Lafayette) that collected 575 yards or more of total offense during each of its last 2 games, and they’re averaging 6.2 yards or more per offensive play, versus a team (Ohio) which is allowing opponents to gain 6.2 yards or more per offensive play, resulted in those road teams going 30-1 straight up (96.8%) since 1992. The straight up results take on added significance because they back the road underdog in this instance. Bet on UL-Lafayette plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-21-19 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -3 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
Michigan @ Wisconsin 12:00 PM ET Game# 343-344 Play On: Wisconsin -3.0 (5*) Michigan is 2-0 but failed to cover each contest by 17.0-points or more. They narrowly escaped with a 24-21 home win over Army in overtime and didn’t come close to covering as a 22.0-point favorite. Wisconsin is 2-0 while covering both games as a favorite and holding each of their opponents scoreless. They outscored South Florida and Central Michigan by a combined score of 110-0 and covered each of those contests by 26.0-points or more. Since 2004, Wisconsin has gone a superb 90-12 (.882) at home. Considering how small a spread we’re being asked to cover, that outstanding record at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wisconsin takes on special significance. Any conference home favorite of 5.5 or less (Wisconsin) that coming off 2 straight covers as a favorite in which it held their opponents scoreless, and they covered each of those contests by 11.5-points or greater, resulted in those home favorites going 21-3 ATS (87.5%) since 1981. Bet on Wisconsin minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-20-19 | Utah v. USC +4.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 30 h 28 m | Show | |
Utah @ USC 9:00 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: USC +4.5 (5*) USC was caught in a trap game last week. They had just come off an emotional 45-20 win over Stanford in their PAC-12 opener and was set to host #10 Utah next. In between those pair of PAC-12 contests was a non-conference road game at BYU. The Trojans fell to BYU 30-27 in overtime as a closing 5.0-point favorite. USC will also be out to revenge a 48-17 blowout loss at Utah last year. Backup quarterback Kedon Slovus has more than held his own while replacing injured starter J.T. Daniels. In 2 plus games, Slovus is 58-75 (77.3%) passing while throwing for 5 touchdowns. Utah is coming off a 31-0 home win over Idaho State who plays at the FCS level. The Utes failed to cover that contest as a 36.5-point favorite. Since 2015, Utah is 0-4 SU&ATS as a conference road favorite of 7.5 or less when facing an opponent off a straight up loss by 17 points or fewer. The Utes lost those 4 contests by an average of 9.3 points per game. Any conference home underdog of 4.5 or less that’s playing in game 2 through 9 of their season, coming off an away favorite straight up loss by 3 points or more in which they failed to cover by 8.0 or more, versus an opponent (Utah) coming off a win by 31 points or fewer and they possess a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 16-2 ATS (88.9%) since 2000. Those home underdogs also won 15 of those 18 games straight up. Bet on USC plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-19-19 | Houston v. Tulane -4 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Houston @ Tulane 8:00 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Tulane -4.0 (5*) Houston is a team that’s run the ball on 61.2% of their offensive plays in 2019. During its first 3 games, Tulane’s experienced defense has allowed only 95 rushing yards per game and 3.1 yards per attempt. The Green Wave matches up very well in this game and will also be out to revenge last year’s 48-17 loss at Houston. Tulane is coming off last week’s 58-6 home win over Missouri State in a game they easily covered as a 31.5-point home favorite. Houston is coming off last Friday’s 31-24 home loss to Washington State. The combination of these results sets up an extremely profitable college football ATS betting angle which is exhibited below. Any conference home favorite of 3.5 or more (Tulane) that’s coming off a SU&ATS win in which they scored 45 points or greater, and they’re facing an opponent (Houston) that scored 19 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 22-1 ATS (95.7%) since 2001. Bet on Tulane minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-14-19 | Georgia State +9.5 v. Western Michigan | 10-57 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 43 m | Show | |
Georgia State @ Western Michigan 7:00 PM ET Game# 177-178 Play On: Georgia State +9.5 (5*) Western Michigan turned in a dismal performance last week during a 51-17 loss at Michigan State while not coming close to cover as a 15.5-point underdog. They surrendered an alarmingly high 582 yards of total offense to the Spartans who failed to reach 300 yards in their season opening win over Tulsa. It’s apparent in year 3 of the Tim Lester era, he’s not close to the master recruiter that former head coach P.J. Fleck (Minnesota) is and was, and the steady decline of talent has been obvious. Georgia State opened their season with a 38-30 massive upset win at Tennessee as a 24.0-point underdog. As to be expected, they were flat during last week’s 48-42 home win against Furman in a game they failed to cover as a 7.0-point favorite. On a positive note, they rallied from a 20-3 first half deficit in that contest and displayed plenty of character while doing so. With their 2-0 start, the Panthers have already equaled its win total from a season ago. Any college football away underdog of +1.5 to +13.5 that’s coming off a non-conference home win in which they scored 45 points or more but failed to cover, resulted in those away underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 2011. Those road dogs also won 11 of those 15 contests straight up. Bet on Georgia State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-14-19 | Memphis v. South Alabama +19 | 42-6 | Loss | -109 | 46 h 15 m | Show | |
Memphis @ South Alabama 3:30 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: South Alabama +19.0 (5*) Memphis opened their season with an emotional 16-10 home win over Ole Miss. They followed that up with last week’s 55-24 home win over Southern University who plays at the FCS level. Now they go on the road for a first time this season and are laying a substantial number to boot. Keep in mind, up next for Memphis is their conference opener at home versus Navy, and they’ll be out to revenge last year’s 22-21 upset loss at Annapolis. This appears to be a potential flat spot and trap game for the Tigers. South Alabama deserved a better fate during its season opening 35-21 road loss at Nebraska. The Cornhuskers scored 2 touchdowns via interception returns and another on a punt return. South Alabama held a formidable Nebraska offense to just 276 yards in that loss. The won their home opener last Saturday over Jackson State by a score of 37-14 and held them to a mere 265 yards of total offense. The Jaguars will also be out to avenge last season’s 52-35 loss at Memphis while covering comfortably as a 31.5-point underdog. Bet on South Alabama plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-14-19 | NC State -6.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 27-44 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 47 m | Show |
NC State @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: NC State -6.5 (10*) This 2019 Mountaineers team is terrible in comparison to the successful precedent that was set before them at West Virginia. They barely got by James Madison 20-13 in their season opener thanks to a +3 margin in turnovers, and then was blown out 38-7 last week at Missouri. That was a Missouri team that had been upset at Wyoming the week before as a 15.5-point chalk. NC State has been extremely impressive during its 2-0 start to 2019. They outscored their first 2 opponents East Carolina and West Carolina by a decisive margin of 74-6 while committing no turnovers in doing so. Any college football away favorite of 3.5 or greater that’s coming off 2 straight win in which they allowed 14 points or fewer, versus an opponent that gave up 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those away favorites going 50-14 ATS (78.1%) since 2008. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-13-19 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest -3 | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 19 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Wake Forest 6:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Wake Forest -3.0 (5*) North Carolina a dismal 1-9 in their last 10 and 0-7 during its previous 7 conference road games. Dating back to last season, Wake Forest enters this week with a modest 4-game winning streak. Wake Forest is coming off last week’s 41-21 win at Rice. North Carolina has opened the season with 2 consecutive straight up wins as an underdog, and the last of which came over ACC rival Miami. These results set up an extremely strong college football ATS betting angle which is displayed below. Any conference home favorite of -2.0 to -31.0 that’s coming off a road win by 13 points or more, versus an opponent coming off 2 or more win in a row, and they’re last victory came as a conference home underdog by 31 points or fewer, resulted in those conference home favorites going 28-3 ATS (90.3%) since 1981. Bet on Wake Forest minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-07-19 | Western Michigan +16.5 v. Michigan State | 17-51 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 4 m | Show | |
Western Michigan @ Michigan State 7:30 PM ET Game# 367-368 Play On: Western Michigan +16.5 (10*) Michigan State is coming off a listless 28-7 home win over Tulsa in their season opener and failed to cover as a 22.5-point home favorite. Since the start of last season, the Spartans have now gone a dismal 0-5 ATS as a home favorite. Their defense certainly has held up its end of the bargain and did so once again in their season opener. However, the offense continues to struggle as they amassed just 303 yards gained against Tulsa. They’ll be facing a Western Michigan defense that returns 10 starters from a season ago. This looks like a trap game for the home favorite. The Spartans will host Arizona State in their next game. They will be playing with revenge after suffering an upset loss at Arizona State last year. After that it’s their Big 10 schedule for the rest of 2019. Michigan State has gone just 14-8 over its previous 22 games. Western Michigan is coming off a 48-13 win over Monmouth and they covered as a 26.5-point home favorite against their FCS opponent. Any college football non-conference away underdog of 4.5 or greater (Western Michigan) that’s coming off a home favorite of -15.5 or more ATS win, versus an opponent (Michigan State) that’s coming off a straight up win, and they’ve won 8 or more of its last 22 games, resulted in those away underdogs going 21-0 ATS since 1988. Bet on Western Michigan plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-07-19 | LSU v. Texas OVER 55.5 | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 2 m | Show | |
LSU @ Texas 7:30 PM ET Game# 369-370 Play On: Over 55.5 (10*) Both starting quarterbacks are coming off impressive performances during their team’s season opener last Saturday. Joe Burrow of LSU was extremely sharp while completing 23 of 27 pass attempts for 278 yards and 5 touchdowns in a 55-3 win over Georgia Southern. Burrow exited the game early because of the Tigers huge lead. He gave way to backup Myles Brennan who threw for an additional 72 yards on 12 pass attempts. It’s quite apparent the Tigers switching to a fast tempo spread offense has paid early dividends. The LSU defense was dominant against a one-dimensional Georgia Southern offense that relies heavily on its triple option rushing attack that ran the ball on 39 of their 43 offensive plays from scrimmage. That won’t be the case when facing Texas on Saturday. Texas is coming off a 45-14 rout of Louisiana Tech. The Longhorns star quarterback Sam Ehlinger was 28-38 for 276 yards and 4 touchdowns. Like Burrows, he was pulled from the game early because of the lopsided score and airing on the side of caution to prevent possible injury. Texas also runs an up-tempo spread offense that ran 73 offensive plays in last week’s victory. On a negative note, the Longhorns defense allowed 340 yards passing to Louisiana Tech. The accelerated pace of this game will lead to much better than average offensive possessions for both teams. We should see somewhere between a combined 150 to 160 offensive plays run in this contest. Both quarterbacks are capable of amassing huge passing yards. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play. |
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09-07-19 | Nebraska v. Colorado +4.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 53 h 6 m | Show | |
Nebraska @ Colorado 3:30 PM ET Game# 331-332 Play On: Colorado +4.5 (5*) Nebraska hardly looked like a Top 25 team during their season opening 35-21 home win over South Alabama. The Cornhuskers didn’t come close to covering as a 35.0-point favorite. They only scored 2 offensive touchdowns in that victory and amassed only 276 yards of total offense. Dating back to 2017, Nebraska has lost 7 straight on the road and allowed an average of 45.4 points per game while doing so. Colorado is coming off a season opening 52-31 win over Colorado State and easily covered as an 11.5-point favorite. The Buffaloes have a solid senior quarterback in Steven Montez. Any college football non-conference home underdog of 5.0 or less (Colorado) that’s coming off a favorite ATS win in which they scored 34 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Nebraska) that’s coming off a straight up win by 5 points or greater, resulted in those home underdogs going 22-7-1 ATS since 1982. Those home dogs also won 20 of those 30 contests straight up. Bet on Colorado plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-07-19 | West Virginia v. Missouri -13 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 50 h 38 m | Show | |
tWest Virginia @ Missouri 12:00 PM ET Game# 319-320 Play On: Missouri -13.0 (5*) West Virginia narrowly escaped with a 20-13 win against James Madison. I expect this inexperienced Mountaineers team to suffer through some early growing pains with former Troy head coach Neal Brown in his 1st year in Morgantown. Since 2015, West Virginia is 1-5 ATS as an away underdog and lost all 6 contests straight up by a decisive average of 22.7 points per game. Missouri is coming off a 37-31 upset loss in their season opener at Wyoming and did so as a sizable 15.5-point favorite. Since 10/21/2017, Missouri has gone 6-1 ATS as a home favorite of 9.0 or more and won all 7 games straight up by a substantial average of 31.2 points per contest. I look for former Clemson quarterback Kelly Bryant to have a huge game for the Tigers. Any college football non-conference double-digit home favorite that’s coming off a straight up loss, and they’re facing an opponent who scored 37 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1999. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests was a massive 39.6 points per game. Bet on Missouri minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-06-19 | Marshall +11 v. Boise State | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 78 h 56 m | Show | |
Marshall @ Boise State 9:00 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Marshall +11.0 (5*) Since 10/24/2015, Boise State has gone a lousy 5-15-1 ATS as a home favorite, and that includes 0-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.0 to 17.0-points. The Broncos are coming off a stirring 36-31 upset win at Florida State last Saturday in which they overcame a 31-13 deficit. Now they return home on short rest to face a very respectable Marshall team that has no problems in their season opener last week during a 56-17 home win against overmatched VMI. I firmly believe Boise State will suffer some type of emotional letdown from last week’s huge comeback win on the road. Marshall is a good enough team to stay inside this current point-spread with all being considered. Bet on Marshall plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-02-19 | Notre Dame -18 v. Louisville | 35-17 | Push | 0 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Notre Dame @ Louisville 8:00 PM ET Game# 217-218 Play On: Notre Dame -18.0 (5*) Louisville finished last season by going 0-7 SU&ATS while losing by an average of 34.3 points per game. During that futile 7-game stretch, they allowed an enormous 57.0 points per contest. Furthermore, since 2016, the Cardinals are 0-6 ATS as a double-digit underdog and lost by an average of 38.8 points per game. Former Appalachian head coach takes over the reigns at Louisville. I think he’s an excellent hire, but it will take time for him to turn things around at a program which has gone 8-22 during its last 22 games. He’ll have the unenviable task of facing a Top 10 team in his head coaching debut at Louisville. Notre Dame returns 13 starters from a team that went 12-1 a season ago. Their lone loss came in the College Football Playoffs semifinal game to eventual national champion Clemson. Since 2017, the Irish went 5-1 ATS as an away favorite of 6.0 or greater and won each of those contests straight up by an average of 20.0 points per game. Since 1992, any college football away favorite of 7.0 or greater (Notre Dame) that’s playing in their season opener, and they won 12 or more games in the previous year, versus an opponent (Louisville) who’s won 6 or more of their previous 22 contests, resulted in those away favorites going 5-0 ATS. Those 5 road chalks won by an average of 35.4 points per game. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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