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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-28-19 | Clemson v. Ohio State +2.5 | Top | 29-23 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 10 m | Show |
Clemson vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET Game# 243-244 Play On: Ohio State +2.5 (10*) Ohio State has played the much tougher schedule of these pair of 13-0 teams and that will pay dividends in the outcome of this game. The Buckeyes have beaten #8 Wisconsin twice, #10 Penn State, #14 Michigan, and #21 Cincinnati. Clemson has recorded just 1 win over a team that’s currently ranked in the Top 25 and that was over #24 Virginia in the ACC Championship game. Bet on Ohio State plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-27-19 | USC +2.5 v. Iowa | Top | 24-49 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
USC vs. Iowa 8:00 PM ET Game# 233-234 Play On: USC +2.5 Iowa has relied heavily on their defense this season to do its heavy lifting. The Hawkeyes are allowing a mere 13.2 points per game this season. Yet, they somehow managed to lose 3 games this season. Iowa’s offensive production has left much to be desired. The Hawkeyes have averaged only 304.2 total yards of total offense per game. Iowa went 6-3 in Big 10 Conference play but only 1 of those wins came against a team that finished with a winning record. After suffering through an underachieving 5-4 start, USC finished their regular season slate by winning their last 3. Despite how goo the Iowa defense is, USC will present a stiff challenge with their multifaceted passing game. During their current 3-game win streak, USC has averaged an incredible 466 yards passing per contest. Bet on USC plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-21-19 | Washington -3 v. Boise State | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
Washington vs. Boise State 7:30 PM ET Game# 215-216 Play On: Washington -3.0 (10*) For starters, former Boise State and current Washington head coach Chris Peterson will be roaming the sidelines for a final time on Saturday. Peterson surprisingly resigned from his position in November due to personal issues. It’s har to imagine the Huskies not coming up with a huge effort in Peterson’s swan song. Secondly, #19 Boise State enters this Las Vegas Bowl with a terrific 12-1 record. Nonetheless, the oddsmakers have made unranked and 7-5 Washington as the favorite. Like I’ve alluded to on many occasions, I trust the oddsmakers a heck of a lot more than college football poll voters. By the way, Boise State suffered their only defeat at BYU 28-25. Conversely, Washington won easily at BYU earlier this season by a decisive score of 45-19. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-19-19 | Lakers v. Bucks -4 | Top | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Lakers @ Bucks 8:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Bucks -4.0 (10*) The Lakers are coming off a loss at Indiana on Tuesday that put an end to 14-game road winning streak. Today will be the finale of a 5-game in 9-day road trip. The Lakers are 1-5 ATS versus Eastern Conference teams this season. Milwaukee is coming off a shocking 120-116 home loss to Dallas on Monday in a game they were a sizable 10.0-point favorite. That defeated ended an 18-game Bucks winning streak. Any NBA favorite that’s coming off a straight up loss as a favorite of 10.0-points or greater, and thy possess a win percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent (Lakers) with a winning record, resulted in those favorites going 32-9 ATS (78%) since 1996. Bet on the Bucks minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-18-19 | Heat v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 108-104 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
Heat @ 76ers 7:05 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: 76ers -7.5 (10*) Miami will be playing their 4th game in 6 days and is coming off a loss at Memphis in their previous game. The 76ers will be well rested after coming off Sunday’s 109-85 loss at Brooklyn. The 76ers are 3-0 in their last 3 games following a loss and won by a massive 24.0 points per contest. Philadelphia is also a perfect 14-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 12.2 points per game. Bet on the 76ers minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-17-19 | Purdue v. Ohio +8 | Top | 69-51 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Purdue @ Ohio 9:00 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Ohio +8.0 (10*) Purdue is 1-3 on the road and at a neutral site this year. The Boilermakers are coming off a shocking 70-56 loss at Nebraska in a game they were a sizable 13.0-point favorite. Furthermore, Purdue center Matt Haarms went down with a concussion in that contest and is doubtful for today’s game. Haarms is averaging 10.5 points and 6.2 rebounds per game this season. Ohio is currently on a 4-game win streak which has improved their overall season record to 7-3. It’s rare that a team from the MAC gets to host a power conference school so look for that to provide added motivation for Ohio. Bet on Ohio plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-15-19 | Texans v. Titans -2.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Houston @ Tennessee 1:00 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Tennessee -2.5 (10*) I know that Houston has yet to lose back to back games this season. However, getting blown out at home by Denver last Sunday was inexcusable, and hardly bodes well for a team fighting to make the postseason. The Texans defense isn’t playoff caliber. Houston has gone a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 division away games when facing an opponent with a winning record. Since Ryan Tannehill has taken over for Marcus Mariota at quarterback the Titans offense has an entirely different feel to it. More importantly, Tennessee has gone a red-hot 6-1 SU&ATS with Tannehill as their starter, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS at home. Houston may have more pure talent on paper than Tennessee, but the Titans are the better team right now, and they’re peaking at the right time. Additionally, Tennessee has gone 3-0 SU&ATS during its last 3 home games against Houston. Bet on Tennessee minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-13-19 | Lakers v. Heat +6 | Top | 113-110 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
Lakers @ Heat 7:05 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Heat +6.0 (10*) Kudos to the Lakers on their fantastic start to the season. However, what seems to be overlooked on a national scale is the terrific 18-6 record of Miami. Furthermore, the Heat are a perfect 11-0 at home while winning by a enormous by NBA standards 15.7 points per game. This is a game for the unheralded heat to make a statement in front of a national TV audience and receiving this generous amount of points provides ample betting value. Bet on the Heat plus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
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12-11-19 | Michigan v. Illinois -1 | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Michigan @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Illinois -1.0 (10*) This looks like a trap if there ever was one. We have an unranked team in Illinois that enters this contest having lost 2 in a row as a favorite over #5 Michigan. The books are begging you to take the ranked team in this matchup. I’m not falling for the bait with knowing that odds-makers aren’t generous, nor do they leave themselves vulnerable to public betting. Bet on Illinois for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-10-19 | Indiana v. Connecticut +2 | Top | 57-54 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Indiana vs. Connecticut 9:30 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Connecticut +2.0 (10*) The Hoosiers are beneficiaries of a relatively soft schedule on their way to a 8-1 start. Their lone quality win came at home against #18 Florida State. They followed that up in their previous game with a 20-point loss at unranked Wisconsin. Furthermore, that loss was the first game not played on their home floor. This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York. There will be a pro UConn crowd at the Garden tonight with many Huskies Alum in the area in addition to a reasonably short enough drive from Connecticut to downtown Manhattan. UConn owns a win over then national ranked Florida, and they also lost to #23 Xavier by a narrow 1-point margin on a neutral floor while covering as a 5.0-point underdog. Bet on Connecticut for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams +1 | Top | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Rams 8:20 PM ET Game# 157-158 Play On: Rams +1.0 (10*) Seattle is coming off a 37-30 home win over Minnesota. That victory improved the Seahawks record to 10-2 (.833). However, it must be noted, 9 of their 10 wins have come by 8 points or fewer. My point being, despite their stellar record it’s not like they’ve been dominant while doing so. The Rams desperately need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive. They’re coming off last Sunday’s impressive 34-7 win at Arizona that improved their record to 7-5 (.583). It was just one of a couple times this season they resembled the defending NFC champion. Los Angles is currently 1.0 game behind the Vikings (8-4) for the final NFL Wildcard spot. With Minnesota hosting Detroit as a double-digit favorite this week, the Rams can ill afford to lose and hope to have a realistic chance of making the postseason parade. Any home team (Rams) that’s coming off a road win by 22 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .583 or better, versus an opponent coming off a home game in which they scored and allowed 24 points or greater, and they (Seahawks) own a win percentage of .833 or worse, resulted in those home teams going 30-0 straight up since 1986. Bet on the Rams for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-04-19 | Texas Tech v. DePaul +2 | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
Texas Tech @ DePaul 8:30 PM ET Game# 855-856 Play On: DePaul +2.0 (10*) Texas Tech has just 1 returning starter from last season’s team that lost in the national championship game. The Red Raiders are coming off 2 straight losses at the hands of Iowa and Creighton both of which are currently unranked. DePaul is off to an excellent 8-0 start to the season. They’ve had 3 notable road wins thus far over Minnesota, Boston College, and Iowa. Tonight will be a terrific opportunity for the Blue Demons to make a statement and make themselves relevant again. Bet on DePaul for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-01-19 | Patriots v. Texans +3.5 | Top | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
Patriots @ Texans 8:20 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Texans +3.5 (10*) The one quarterback that gave New England’s elite defense problems this season was Lamar Jackson. DeShaun Watson provides a similar skill set. He may not be as dynamic a runner as Lamar Jackson is, but he can still make plenty of plays with his legs whether it be taking off to run or keeping plays alive with elusive scrambling ability. It’s hard to poke holes at the 10-1 Patriots other to say that their offense is far from dynamic, and age seems to be creeping up on Tom Brady based on recent performances. Bet on the Texans plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-30-19 | UNLV v. Nevada -7 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 42 m | Show |
UNLV @ Nevada 3:00 PM ET Game# 389-390 Play On: Nevada -7.0 (10*) UNLV is coming off a 38-35 win over San Jose State and did so as a 7.0-point home underdog. That win improved the Rebels season record to 3-8 (.272). Conversely, Nevada is coming off a 35-28 upset win at Fresno State in a game they were a 13.0-point underdog. The Wolfpack have now gone 3-0 SAU&ATS in their last 3 and 7-4 overall. Nevada will also be out to revenge last year’s 34-29 loss at UNLV. Any college football home favorite of 7.0 to 24.0 that’s coming off a conference road SU&ATS win in which they covered by 6.5-points or more, versus an opponent (UNLV) who’s coming off a conference underdog of 6.0 or greater straight up win, and they own a win percentage of .250 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 28-1 ATS (96.5%) since 2006. Bet on Nevada minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-24-19 | Cowboys +6 v. Patriots | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Patriots 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Cowboys +6.0 (10*) The Patriots defense has been outstanding with an exception of their 37-20 loss at Baltimore. The Ravens offense racked up 372 yards of offense on that day which is 122.6 more than Patriots defense current season average. Dallas will present similar challenges for New England. Dak Prescott doesn’t have the running capabilities of Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson, but he’s still very mobile and has the uncanny ability to keep plays alive with more than adequate scrambling abilities. You can also make a strong argument that Prescott is surrounded by better skilled players than Jackson possesses. It wouldn’t shock me at all if Dallas win this game outright. Nonetheless, I won’t be greedy and will surely accept the generous amount of points being given. Bet on the Cowboys for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-23-19 | Boston College v. Notre Dame -20.5 | Top | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
Boston College @ Notre Dame 2:30 PM ET Game# 161-162 Play On: Notre Dame -20.5 (10*) Notre Dame is coming off blowout wins over Navy 52-20 and Duke 38-7 during its last 2 games. Those wins improved #16 Notre Dame to 8-2 this season. Boston College is coming off a 38-31 home loss to Florida State. That defeat dropped the Eagles season record to 5-5 (.500). Any college football favorite of 15.0 to 28.0 (Notre Dame) that’s coming off back to back wins by 28 points or greater on each occasion, versus an opponent (Boston College) with a win percentage of .125 or better and is coming off a straight up loss, resulted in those sizable home favorites going an outstanding 42-6 ATS (87.2%) since 1986. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-21-19 | Colts +4 v. Texans | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 55 h 29 m | Show |
Colts @ Texans 8:20 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Colts +4.0 (10*) The Colts have gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 division games. This is also a Indianapolis team which has gone an outstanding 15-5 straight up during its previous 20 regular season games. They will be without their starting running back Marlon Mack who injured his hand in last week’s 33-13 win over Jacksonville. However, backup Jonathan Williams stepped in ran for 116 yards on just 13 carries. Which further proves that the Colts offensive line is an elite unit and has been since last season. They certainly will have an opportunity to expose a Texans run defense that allowed 263 yards rushing during last Sunday’s 41-7 blowout loss at Baltimore. Granted 86 of those rush yards came from the best running quarterback in the NFL named Lamar Jackson. Nevertheless, 3 Ravens running backs combined to run for 178 yards and 6.9 yards per rushing attempt. The Colts defense has been outstanding over their previous 4 games. During that time, they’ve allowed their opponents to accumulate just 272.3 yards of total offense per game. Throughout that same 4-game span, Indianapolis allowed 16 points or fewer on 3 occasions, and that includes in each of its previous 2 outings. Contrarily, the Texans defense has allowed 25.7 points and 385.0 yards per game over their last 6 contests. Any NFL team (Colts) which has allowed 17 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 contests and is facing an opponent which has allowed 35 points or greater in their previous game, resulted in those teams going a terrific 45-14 (76.3%) since 2010. This NFL straight up betting angle takes on added value since it backs the underdog in this contest. Bet on the Colts plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-19-19 | Suns v. Kings -2 | Top | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Sacramento -2.0 (10*) Sacramento started this season by going 0-5 SU&ATS in their first 5 games. Since that time, they’ve gone 7-0 ATS and 5-2 straight up. There only 2 straight up losses in that sequence came by 4 at defending world champion Toronto, and by 2 on the road to the Lebron led Lakers. By the way, those 2 teams currently have a combined record of 20-6 (.769). The Kings are also a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games which includes a 100-99 victory over red-hot Boston on Sunday. That Celtics loss snapped their 10-game win streak. Conversely, Phoenix is coming off last night’s 99-85 home loss to those very same Celtics. Bet on Sacramento minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-17-19 | Patriots v. Eagles +4.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
Patriots @ Eagles 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Eagles +4.5 (10*) Granted New England is 8-1, and they’re the reigning Super Bowl champions. However, they’ve beaten just 1 team that currently has a winning record and that’s Buffalo (6-3). Their other 7 wins have come against teams with a combined record of 15-40. The Patriots are coming off their first loss of the season after a 37-20 blowout defeat at Baltimore. Philadelphia is coming off back to back wins over Buffalo 31-13 and Chicago 23-14. Their defense played exceptionally well in those wins while allowing only a combined 417 yards. Since 2016, the Eagles are 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-division home games following wins in each of its previous 2 contests. Any NFL team (Eagles) playing in a non-division game and is coming off 2 consecutive games in which they allowed 17 points or less, versus an opponent (Patriots) with a win percentage of .375 or better who allowed 35 points or more during its last contest, resulted in those teams going 16-1 (94.1%) straight up since 2010. Bet on the Eagles plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-16-19 | Stanford v. Washington State -10 | Top | 22-49 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
Stanford @ Washington State 4:30 PM ET Game# 403-404 Play On: Washington State -10.0 (10*) Washington State enters this week on a 2-game losing streak. Those losses dropped their season record to 4-5 (.444). This sets up a straightforward and extremely profitable college football betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football favorite of 10.0 to 20.5 that owns a win percentage of .400 to .490, and they’re coming off losses during each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those favorites going 35-5 ATS (87.5%) since 2009. Bet on Washington State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-10-19 | Vikings v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 1 m | Show |
Vikings @ Cowboys 8:20 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Cowboys -3.0 (10*) You may be surprised to know, Minnesota is 0-9-1 SU&ATS during its last 10 away games when facing a team with a winning record. They’re coming off last Sunday’s 26-23 away favorite 26-23 upset loss at Kansas City. The Vikings will be facing a Cowboys team that won 2 straight to improve its season record to 5-3 (.625), and they’re coming off a 37-18 road win this past Monday night over the New York Giants. Any non-division home favorite of 4.5 or less that’s coming off a division away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 2.0-points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .416 or better, versus an opponent (Vikings) coming off a SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 18.0-points or fewer, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1981. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests came by a decisive 18.5 points per game. Bet on the Cowboys minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show |
Patriots @ Ravens 8:20 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Ravens +3.5 (10*) New England has started the season 8-0 and are deserving of all the accolades that they’re receiving. However, they’ve only defeated 1 team (Buffalo 5-2) that currently has a winning record. Their other 7 wins have come against opponents that presently have a combined record of 9-35 (.205). Additionally, during that 16-10 win at Buffalo, the Patriots were outgained by 151 yards and scored only 9 offensive points. The difference was a blocked punt returned for a touchdown by New England, and 4 Buffalo turnovers. By the way, Baltimore is averaging just 1 turnover committed per contest, and have also not had an offensive turnover in 4 of its 7 games. Since John Harbaugh has taken over as head coach of Baltimore in 2008, the Ravens have gone 7-0 straight up in regular season action following a bye week and when facing a team with a win percentage of .400 or better. They won those contests by a decisive margin of 13.4 points per game. Bet on the Ravens plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-02-19 | Georgia -5.5 v. Florida | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
Georgia vs. Florida 3:30 PM ET Game# 371-372 Play On: Georgia -5.5 (10*) Florida’s defense looked terrific through their first 6 games. Nevertheless, that hasn’t been the case over their previous 2 outing in which they allowed 34.5 points and 449.0 yards per game. During those 2 contests they permitted South Carolina to rush for 217 yards and LSU amassed 218 on the ground. The Gamecocks and Tigers also combined to average a huge 6.5 yards per rushing attempt. That’s troublesome when considering Georgia has averaged 237 yards per game rushing and a massive 6.1 yards per running attempt. This is a perfect opportunity for Georgia to forge themselves right back into to the 4-team college football playoffs discussion. Despite being the favorite in this contest, they’re facing a higher ranked opponent (Florida). Nothing would elevate their status more than a convincing win which I truly believe they’re primed to do. The Georgia defense has been dominant thus far in 2019, allowing a mere 10.6 points and 266.7 yards per game. They suffered a shocking 20-17 home loss to South Carolina in a game they closed as a 20.5-point favorite. That’s been their only blemish of the season. The Bulldogs outgained South Carolina in that defeat by a decisive 468-297 yards. Unfortunately, they committed 4 turnovers in that setback while failing to create any of its own. Georgia dominated Florida in the last 2 head to head meeting by outscoring them 78-24 and outgaining the Gators 822-383. Bet on Georgia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-27-19 | Packers v. Chiefs +4.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 21 m | Show |
Packers @ Chiefs 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Chiefs +4.5 (10*) The Chiefs are still claiming that Patrick Mahomes has a chance to play in this game. However, that seems unlikely to me considering he suffered a dislocated knee cap a little over a week ago. However, by chance that does occur, then we have a tremendous underdog betting value because this line will be moved considerably as a result. But I handicapped this game and decided on this pick based on veteran backup quarterback Matt Moore being under center. Moore will still be surrounded by plenty of offensively skilled players capable of stepping it up for him. Secondly, look for the Chiefs to make a concerted effort to run the ball against a Green Bay defense that’s given up 142.7 yards per game on the ground throughout their previous 6 contests. Kansas City is coming off a Thursday night 30-6 blowout win at Denver. This will be the first time since 2014 that Kansas City will be a home underdog and that itself should provide plenty of motivation. Furthermore, since 2016, Kansas City is 8-0 ATS and 7-1 straight up in its last 8 games as an underdog when facing an opponent with a win percentage of less than .900. Green Bay is 6-1 which is good for a win percentage of .857. Any NFL home team with a win percentage of .583 or better (Chiefs) that’s coming off an away win by 15 points or more, and they allowed 24 points or fewer in that win, versus an opponent (Packers) coming off a home game in which they scored and allowed 24 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 55-3 (94.7%) straight up since 1984. The straight up results take on added significance since it supports the underdog in this contest. Bet on the Chiefs plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-22-19 | Nationals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Nationals (Scherzer) @ Astros (Cole) 8:08 ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Astros -1.5 (+115) (10*) These 2 starting pitchers are superb power arms. However, Houston has struck out the least of any team in baseball this season. Washington batters have struck out 132 more times than Astros hitters while playing in 1 less game.  Gerrit Cole is a terrific 17-2 in his home team starts this year with a 2.38 ERA and 0.76 WHIP. Cole has made 3 postseason starts in 2019 and recorded a microscopic 0.40 ERA during those outings while striking out 32 batters in 22 2/3 innings of work. Furthermore, since the start of last season, Cole has gone a perfect 16-0 in his home team starts when pitching on 5 or 6 days of rest. The Astros outscored their opponents in those 16 games by an enormous 5.8 runs per outing. By the way, Cole will be pitching on 6 days of rest in tonight’s World Series opener. I like the Astros to win this game by 2 or more runs. Bet on the Astros for a 10* Top Play run line wager. |
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10-20-19 | Ravens v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 30-16 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
Ravens @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Seahawks -3.0 (10*) Baltimore enters this week atop the AFC North with a 4-2 record. However, they’ve faced just 1 team in their first 6 games that currently has a winning record. Seattle has maintained one of the strongest home field advantages in the NFL during the past 8 seasons. Specifically, the Seahawks are 51-13 at home since 2012, and that includes 35-6 when facing non-division opponents. That’s something I just can’t ignore when considering the small point-spread they’re being asked to cover in this contest. Furthermore, Seattle is 9.0 ATS as a non-division home favorite of between 1.5 and 5.0 since 2012. The average margin of victory in those 9 contests was a substantial 20.3 points per game. Seattle is coming off a 32-28 win at Cleveland last Sunday and it improved their season record to 5-1 (.833). Their only loss came to the 5-1 New Orleans Saints. Any NFL home favorite of 2.5 to 7.0 with a win percentage of .800 or better, and they’re coming off a game in which they scored 28 points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .666 to .818, and they’re playing after Game 6 of its season, resulted in those home favorites going 16-0 ATS since 1992. The average margin of victory in those 16 contests came by an enormous average of 20.3 points per game. Vet on the Seahawks minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-19-19 | Arizona State v. Utah -13 | Top | 3-21 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
Arizona State @ Utah 6:00 PM ET Game# 359-360 Play On: Utah -13.0 (10*) This double-digit point-spread caught my eye immediately. Especially when considered each team owns identical 5-1 (.833) records, and both are nationally ranked with Utah coming in as #13 and ASU #17. It’s like the sportsbooks are begging you to take the sizable underdog in this contest. Upon further examination, I’m not falling for the trap. Utah has been terrific defensively this season. They’re allowing a mere 13.2 points and 271.5 yards per game. The Sun Devils defense has also been impressive at time during this 2019 campaign. However, they’ve allowed 30 or more points in half their games and permitted their opponents to amass 404 yards or more of total offense in 4 of its last 5 games. Furthermore, Utah hasn’t allowed any of their 6 opponents to eclipse 400 yards, and the Utes have racked up 457 yards or more of offense in each of their previous 4 games. Utah is coming off a 52-7 win at Oregon State and easily covered as a 14.0-point favorite. Arizona State defeated Washington State 38-34 in their previous game and covered as a 1.0-point home underdog. This created a terrific college football betting angle displayed below. Any conference home favorite of 8.0 to 31.0 with a win percentage of .900 or less (Utah), coming of conference favorite ATS win in which they covered by 2.0 or more and scored 35 points or greater, versus an opponent (Arizona State) with a win percentage of .636 or better who’s coming off a conference straight up underdog win, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 15-0 ATS since 1985. The average margin of victory in those contests was 31.5 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-13-19 | Eagles v. Vikings -3 | Top | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show |
Eagles @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Vikings -3.0 (10*) The Eagles are coming off a convincing 31-6 home win over the Jets and easily covered as a large 13.0-point favorite. However, they were held to an alarmingly low 265 yards of total offense in that contest. That’s worrisome considering they will be facing a Vikings defense that’s #4 in the NFL in yards allowed at 292.4 per game. As a matter of fact, during their last 3 contests Minnesota has allowed just 13.3 points and 260.7 yards per game. Since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach of the Vikings in 2014, they’ve been a stellar 30-12 SU&ATS during regular season home games. Furthermore, they’ve gone a terrific 19-1 SU&ATS as a non-division home favorite of 11.0 or less under Zimmer, and that includes 10-0 ATS if they were facing an opponent with a winning record. Bet on the Vikings for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-12-19 | Washington v. Arizona +6.5 | Top | 51-27 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 39 m | Show |
Washington @ Arizona 11:00 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Arizona +6.5 (5*) Washington is coming off a listless effort last Saturday night during a 23-13 loss at Stanford as a substantial 12.5-point favorite. It marked the 2nd time this season that the Huskies were upset as a double-digit favorite with the other coming against California. After losing 45-38 in their season opener at Hawaii, Arizona has reeled off 4 straight wins, and includes last week’s 35-30 win at Colorado as a 2.5-point underdog. The Wildcats are an explosive offense team that averages 37.2 points and 539.2 yards per game. Additionally, since 10/7/2017, Arizona is 6-1 SU&ATS as a home underdog of 1.5 to 10.0.  Bet on Arizona plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers -4.5 | Top | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Browns @ 49ers 8:15 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: 49ers -4.5 (10*) The Browns are coming off an excellent performance last week at Baltimore in which they won by a decisive 40-25 margin. The win evened their record at 2-2. Cleveland has won road games in consecutive weeks since 2002. They had one opportunity to accomplish the feat last season, but they lost at Houston 29-13. The Browns will be without the services of 2 of their young star defensive backs in Greedy Williams and Denzel Ward. The 49ers are in a rare situation in which they’re playing at home on a Monday following a bye week. San Francisco is coming off a 24-20 win over Pittsburgh in their home opener 2 weeks ago that improved their season record to 3-0. They won that game against Pittsburgh despite turning the ball over 5 times. Any Monday night home favorite of 4.0 to 9.0-points that’s coming off a bye week, and they won their previous game, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those Monday home favorites going 6-0 ATS since 2009. They won those 6 contests by an average of 21.7 points per game. The 49ers have been strong defensively thus far while allowing only 18.0 points and 283.3 yards per game. During their last games San Francisco has amassed a combined 1008 yards of total offense. Any non-division home favorite of 5.5 or less that’s coming off a straight up win by 17 points or fewer, and they possess a winning record, Versus an opponent coming off a division away underdog straight up win, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1981. The average victory margin in those 12 contests came by 13.3 points per game. Bet on the 49ers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-06-19 | Broncos v. Chargers -6 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
Broncos @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Chargers -6.0 (10*) Denver is coming off a 26-24 home loss to Jacksonville in a game they failed to cover as a 2.5-point favorite. The loss dropped the Broncos season record to 0-4. Adding insult to injury, Denver lost Bradley Chubb to a season ending injury in that loss to the Jaguars. The Chargers are of to their usual slow start and are 2-2 thus far. They’re coming off a 30-10 win at Miami last Sunday in a game they covered as a 14.5-point favorite. Los Angeles will get an extra boost by the return of star running back Melvin Gordon following a holdout. Any NFL home favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off an away favorite of 3.0 or greater ATS win in which they scored 21 points or more, and they have at least 1 loss on the season, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 20 points or fewer, resulted in those home favorites going 14-0 ATS since 2002. The average victory margin in those 14 contests was 24.6 points per game. Bet on the Chargers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-05-19 | Northwestern v. Nebraska -7 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
Northwestern @ Nebraska 4:00 PM ET Game# 361-362 Play On: Nebraska -7.0 (10*) Northwestern is coming off a 24-15 loss to Wisconsin which dropped their season record to 1-3. The Wildcats only win came over UNLV who annually one of the poorest football programs in the country. Northwestern’s offense is averaging just 15.5 points and 292.7 yards per game. Furthermore, they’ve committed an alarmingly high 11 turnovers in their first 4 games of the season. Nebraska was outclassed last week against Ohio State in a 48-7 home loss while also failing to cover as a 17.0-point home underdog. Despite that low scoring output in addition to being held to a mere 231 total yards, Nebraska is still averaging 31.8 points and 438.2 yards per game. The Cornhuskers will also be playing with double revenge stemming from 2 straight losses to Northwestern by narrow margins of 34-31 and 31-28. Any conference favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off a conference home underdog of 11.0 or greater ATS loss in which they scored 16 points or fewer, and they’re facing an opponent (Northwestern) coming off a loss by 34 points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came by a decisive 24.8 points per game. Bet on Nebraska minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-04-19 | Twins v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 105 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Twins (Berrios) @ Yankees (Paxton) 7:07 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Yankees -1.5 (+105) (10*) Minnesota’s Jose Berrios has a large 9.39 ERA and 2.22 WHIP in 2 starts against the Yankees since 2017. Minnesota is an outstanding 79-44 (.642) versus right-handed starters this year. However, they’ll be facing left James Paxton this season, and they’re just 22-17 (.564) versus southpaw starters in 2019. Since 2017, the Yankees have gone a dominating 10-1 at home versus Minnesota and 8 of those 10 wins have come by 2 runs or more. The Bronx Bombers are also a tremendous 40-12 (.769) at home this season when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. James Paxton has been in excellent form over his last 5 starts while posting a 1.05 ERA and 0.78 WHIP. Paxton has made 3 starts versus Minnesota since 2017 and had an impressive 1.80 ERA in addition to a 0.87 WHIP in those appearances. Bet the Yankees as a run line favorite for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | Top | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Saints 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Saints +3.0 (10*) Dallas is coming off a 31-6 home rout of hapless Miami which improved their season record to a perfect 3-0. New Orleans is coming off last Sunday’s 33-27 upset win at Seattle as a 5.5-point underdog. Even more impressive about that New Orleans victory is they did so with backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater under center like we’ll continue to see in the imminent future due to Drew Brees being sidelined. That victory enabled the Saints to start this season 2-1. Any regular season home underdog of 2.0 to 5.5-points (Saints) that’s coming off a away underdog straight up win, and they possess a win percentage of better than .500, versus an opponent (Cowboys) coming off a home win, and they own a win percentage of .571 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going an outstanding 28-4 ATS (87.5%) since 1988. Those home underdogs also won 25 of those 32 games straight up. Bet on the Saints plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-28-19 | Minnesota -1.5 v. Purdue | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Purdue 3:30 PM ET Game# 137-138.0 Play On: Minnesota -1.5 (10*) Purdue is coming off a 34-13 home loss to TCU in which they failed to cover as a 3.0-point underdog. They also blew a 14-point 4th quarter lead at Nevada in their season opening 34-31 loss. The Boilermakers are a disappointing 1-2 thus far with their only win coming at home over Vanderbilt. The Boilermakers starting quarterback Elijah Sindelar remains questionable while attempting to recover from a concussion. Minnesota enters their Big 10 Conference opener with a 3-0 record and those wins came by 7 points or less. The Gophers are unlikely to blink in a close game. They defeated Fresno State 38-35 in their only 2019 road game to this point. Dating back to last season, Minnesota has won 5 straight games under 2nd year Gophers head coach P.J. Fleck. Any conference away team that’s coming off 3 or more wins in a row, versus an opponent coming home a home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 21.0-points or fewer, and they have a win percentage of .400 or worse, resulted in those away teams going 50-1 straight up since 1982. Bet on Minnesota for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-22-19 | Rams v. Browns +3.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 12 m | Show |
Rams @ Browns 8:20 PM ET Game# 487-488 Play On: Browns +3.5 (10*) If the Browns want to prove they aren’t overhyped this is certainly a spot to do so against the reigning NFC champion Rams. They will also be out to atone for a 43-13 embarrassing loss to Tennessee in their home opener. On a positive note they’re coming off last Monday night’s convincing win or the Jets in a game they easily as an away favorite of 6.5-points. Since 1988, home teams coming off a Monday night away favorite ATS have gone an outstanding 51-16 straight up. That’s surely a compelling statistic considering Cleveland will be a home underdog on Sunday night. This is the first time this season that Cleveland will be an underdog. The Browns were a very profitable 7-2 ATS a year ago as an underdog of 7.0-points or less. The Rams are coming off a convincing 27-9 home win over New Orleans in what was a rematch of last season’s NFC Championship game. That realistically opens the possibility of a flat spot for Los Angles this week. Any non-division home underdog of 3.5 or less (Browns) that’s coming off a non-division away favorite ATS win in which they scored 34 points or less, and they’re facing an opponent (Rams) coming off a win in which they scored 27 points or fewer, resulted in those home underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 1980. Those home underdogs also won 12 of those 14 contests straight up. Bet on the Browns plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-15-19 | Jaguars v. Texans -8 | Top | 12-13 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 11 m | Show |
Jaguars @ Texans 1:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Texans -8.0 (10*) Jacksonville took a huge hit for their chances of contending for a playoff spot this season after their prized offseason acquisition Nick Foles suffered a broken clavicle. Their chances now ride on the shoulders of rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew out of Washington State. Minshew was impressive in relief last week while going 22-25 passing for 275 yards during a 40-26 home loss to Kansas City. However, the Texans will have ample time to prepare for Minshew in addition to tape on him while the Chiefs didn’t have that luxury. Houston lost a heartbreaker 30-28 at New Orleans last week with the winning points coming via a 58-yard field goal as time expired. I look for a huge effort out of the Texans in their season opener. Any NFL home favorite of 7.0 or more that’s coming off an away straight up loss in which they covered as an underdog, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog ATS loss that they failed to cover by 8.0-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 7-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 7 contents came by a massive average of 29.4 points per game. Bet on the Texans minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-14-19 | NC State -6.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 27-44 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 47 m | Show |
NC State @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: NC State -6.5 (10*) This 2019 Mountaineers team is terrible in comparison to the successful precedent that was set before them at West Virginia. They barely got by James Madison 20-13 in their season opener thanks to a +3 margin in turnovers, and then was blown out 38-7 last week at Missouri. That was a Missouri team that had been upset at Wyoming the week before as a 15.5-point chalk. NC State has been extremely impressive during its 2-0 start to 2019. They outscored their first 2 opponents East Carolina and West Carolina by a decisive margin of 74-6 while committing no turnovers in doing so. Any college football away favorite of 3.5 or greater that’s coming off 2 straight win in which they allowed 14 points or fewer, versus an opponent that gave up 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those away favorites going 50-14 ATS (78.1%) since 2008. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-08-19 | Steelers v. Patriots -5 | Top | 3-33 | Win | 100 | 79 h 14 m | Show |
Steelers @ Patriots 8:20 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Patriots -5.5 (5*) Betting against the Patriots at home during the past 4 seasons has been a recipe for claiming bankruptcy. New England has gone an extremely profitable 26-9-3 ATS in Foxboro since 2015, and that includes an even better 12-2 ATS (83%) when they closed as a favorite of 6.5 or less. New England has also had the Steelers number in recent seasons. Specifically, since 2013, the Patriots have won 5 of the last 6 head to head meetings versus Pittsburgh, and they also went 4-1-1 ATS in those contests. Those results include New England going 3-0 at Gillette Stadiums while winning by a decisive average of 16.7 points per contest. Counting the postseason, New England went 14-5 a season ago. Conversely, Pittsburgh went 9-7 and didn’t qualify for postseason actions. Those 2 records sets up a successful NFL season opener betting angle listed below. Any NFL team (New England) playing in their season opener that’s a home favorite of 7.5 or less, and they won 12 or more games in the previous year, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) that won 12 games or fewer during the previous year, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 11-0 ATS since 2005. The average victory margin in those 11 contests was 13.1 points per game. Bet on the Patriots minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-28-19 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
Indians (Civale) @ Tigers (Zimmerman) 7:10 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Indians -1.5 (-118) (10*) The Tigers Jordan Zimmerman has displayed good form over his last 3 starts. However, each of those outings occurred on the road. Zimmerman is 0-7 in his team starts at home this season with a terrible 8.18 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Zimmerman is also 0-5 in his career home team starts against Cleveland and compiled a horrible 10.38 ERA while doing so. Detroit is a miserable 17-44 at home in 2019, and that includes an abysmal 1-15 if they were facing an American League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.20 or better. The Tigers were outscored in those 16 games by a massive average of 5.6 runs per outing. By the way, the Indians pitcher today is slated to be Aaron Civale, and he’s collected an exceptional 0.91 ERA in 5 starts this season. Speaking of Civale, he’s recorded a sparkling 1.82 ERA in those 5 previously mentioned. That includes an appearance against Detroit in which he pitched 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball. Cleveland has gone a dominating 13-1 versus Detroit this season, and 12 of those 13 victories came by 2 runs or more. Detroit enters today having averaged 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019. Cleveland is an extremely profitable 18-1 this season against American League teams that average 3.9 or fewer runs scored per game and they averaged outscoring those opponents by 4.2 runs per outing. Bet on the Indians for a 10* Top Play run line wager. |
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07-19-19 | Mets v. Giants +1.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Mets (DeGrom) @ Giants (Beede) 10:15 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Giants +1.5 (-110) (10*) As good as Mets ace Jacob DeGrom has been this season, he’s gone a dismal 4-13 in his last 17 team starts. He’s either been victimized by a lack of run support or a Mets bullpen that converted on just 23 of 41 (56.1%) of their save opportunities in 2019. The Giants Tyler Beede has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 2.84 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Beede has been an extremely profitable 6-1 this season as a money line underdog of +100 or greater. The Giants are a red-hot 13-2 in their last 15 which includes a current 6-game win streak. The San Francisco bullpen has made good on an excellent 26 of their 33 (78.8%) of their save opportunities this season. Bet on the Giants for a 10* Top Play run line underdog wager. |
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07-07-19 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
Padres (Lucchesi) @ Dodgers (Stripling) 4:10 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Dodgers -1.5 (+123) (10*) The Padres Joey Lucchesi is 0-4 in his career team starts against the Dodgers while posting a large 7.64 ERA and 1.75 WHIP while doing so. Lucchesi has a terrible 6.10 ERA this year in 6 road starts The Dodgers starter Stripling has a sparkling 2.96 ERA in starts at home this season. Stripling has made 4 starts against the Padres since last season and had a terrific 0.90 ERA during those outings. The Dodgers have lost 2 straight and haven’t lose 3 in a row since April 13th. As a matter of fact, they’ve gone 4-0 in their previous 4 after losing 2 games in a row and won the last 3 of those by 4 runs or more. Bet on the Dodgers on the run line for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-15-19 | Padres v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 8-14 | Win | 117 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
Padres (Lauer) @ Rockies (Marquez) 8:10 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Rockies -1.5 (+117) Eric Lauer has made 2 career starts at Coors Field in Denver and didn’t make it to the 4th inning during either of those appearances. As a matter of fact, Lauer compiled a massive 21.00 ERA and 3.33 WHIP in those 2 outings. Lauer has also been significantly better at home than on the road this season. Through 5 road starts in 2018, the Padres hurler has posted a sizable 6.84 ERA. Lauer doesn’t figure to receive much help from a struggling Padres bullpen which has collected an uninspiring 6.67 ERA throughout its last 7 games. Since 2018, German Marquez has made 4 starts against Colorado and had a very good 2.49 ERA and 0.97 WHIP while doing so. Since 2017, Marquez is a remarkable 15-1 in his teams starts as a money line home favorite of -150 or greater, and Colorado outscored those 16 opponents by a substantial 4.3 runs per game. Bet on Colorado for a 10* Top Play run-line wager. |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors +1 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
Warriors @ Raptors 9:07 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Raptors +1.0 (10*) Toronto overcame a 2-0 series deficit in the Eastern Conference Finals to defeat Milwaukee in 6 games. The Raptors have been terrific defensively at home during these 2019 NBA Finals while holding its opponents to 95.8 points scored per game, 40.1% shooting, and 32.0% from beyond the 3-point line. Toronto went 2-0 against Golden State during regular season action, and one of those wins came without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. Counting the postseason, Toronto has gone a terrific 40-11 (.784) at home this season. Any home team in an NBA Finals series opener has gone 13-1 straight up and 12-2 ATS since 2005. If the home team won their conference finals series in exactly 6 games, they improve to 6-0 SU&ATS at home in Game 1 of the NBA Finals and the average margin of victory was 14.0 points per contest. Bet on the Raptors for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers +3 | Top | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Golden State @ Portland 9:00 ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Portland +3.0 (10*) Portland could easily be up 2-1 instead of down 3-0 in this series. They blew big leads in each of the last 2 games. Since 2013, any NBA Playoff home underdog of 4.5 or less playing in a Game 4 and they’re down 3-0 in the series, resulted in those home underdogs going 7-2 SU&ATS. If those home underdogs have a win percentage of .570 or better, they improved to 4-0 SU&ATS and outscored their opponents by a decisive 13.0 points per contest. Bet on Portland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2 | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Bucks @ Raptors 7:00 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Raptors -2.0 (10*) The Bucks are 10-1 SU&ATS during these 2019 NBA Playoffs, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS in away games. Yet, they find themselves as an underdog against a Toronto team which despite reaching the Eastern Conference Finals is only 8-6 during postseason action. If it smells like a rat and looks like a rat, then it’s a rat. I’m not falling for the trap of being lured into taking the red-hot underdog. It’s also worth noting, Toronto has lost the first 2-games of this series, and they’ve suffered 3 straight defeats just once this season. The last time that occurred was way back on 11/16/2018 which is a little over 6 months ago. Since that time, Toronto has gone 7-0 following 2 consecutive losses and won by a substantial margin of 15.2 points per contest. Any NBA Playoff home favorite that playing in Game 3 of the series and is coming off away underdog ATS losses in the opening 2 games, resulted in those favorites going 44-25 (63.8%) since 2003. Taking this betting angle one step further, if those home favorites were facing an opponent with a win percentage of .730 or better, they improved to 4-0 ATS and won by 15.6 points per game. Bet on the Raptors for a 5* wager. |
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05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -2 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
Golden State @ Portland 9:00 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Portland -2.0 (10*) Portland is currently down 2-0 in this Western Conference Final. Considering that no NBA playoff team has ever overcome a 3-0 series deficit, you can essentially label this as a must win contest for the Trailblazers. Portland has gone an outstanding 37-10 at home this season. Any NBA Playoffs home favorite that’s down 2-0 in a series is 47-26 ATS (64.4%) since 2003, and that includes an even better 11-4 ATS (73.3%) since 2016. Bet on Portalnd for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-15-19 | Raptors +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
Raptors @ Bucks 8:30 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Raptors +6.5 (10*) Toronto has gone under the total by a cumulative 135.0 points during their previous 10 games. Conversely, Milwaukee has beaten the point-spread by a a combined 54.0 points over its last 10 contests. This sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting angle which is illustrated in the next paragraph. Any NBA away underdog that’s gone under the total by a collective 48.0 points or more throughout their previous 10 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Bucks) who’s cover their last 10 games by a combined 54.0 points or more, resulted in those away underdogs going 43-11 ATS (79.6%) during the past 5 seasons. The average line in those 54 contests was 8.4. Furthermore, this exact NBA betting angle is 6-1 ATS during the 2018-2019 regular season and playoffs. Although conference finals teams that are coming off a 7- game series haven’t any success of late in reaching the NBA Finals, if they were an away underdog in the opening game, they’ve been a profitable point-spread wager. Since 2003, any NBA Conference Finals away underdog (Raptors) that won their previous series in 6 or more games have gone 14-5 ATS (73.7%). Those underdogs also won 10 of those 19 games straight up. Bet on Toronto plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets -7 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
Warriors @ Rockets 9:00 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Rockets -7.0 The Rockets have won 11 straight home games and covered in 10 of those contests. They were a favorite on all 11 occasions and won by a decisive average of 17.0 points per game. This line has certainly been adjusted due to the absence of Kevin Durant. It still won’t be enough points for the underdog Warriors against a Rockets team who will be playing with desperation and urgency in order to stave off elimination. I look for Houston to make a statement tonight and cast doubt into the Warriors for a deciding Game 7. Bet on the Rockets minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-09-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 108-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
Nuggets @ Trailblazers 10:30 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Trailblazers -3.5 (10*) Denver is coming off a 124-98 rout of Portland on Tuesday night. The Nuggets easily covered that contest as a 5.0-point home favorite. Denver is 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 games this season as an underdog following a home favorite ATS cover. They were outscored in those 6 contests by 12.2 points per game. Conversely, Portland is a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 home games following a straight up loss in a contest that they were an away underdog. The Trailblazers won those 6 contests by a decisive average of 13.7 points per game. Any NBA Playoff home favorite of 2.5 to 8.5 (Portland) that’s coming off a postseason away loss by 20 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 20-9 ATS (69%) since 2008. Bet on Portland minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-29-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 94-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Toronto 8:00 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Philadelphia +6.5 (10*) The 76ers lost the opening game of this series on Saturday by a score of 108-95. Philadelphia is 3.-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by a substantial average of 19.3 points per game. Additionally, they’re 12-4 ATS this season following a loss by 10 points or more and average outscoring opponent by 9.5 points per game while doing so. The 76ers went under in their last 3 games of its series win versus Brooklyn. Each of those 3 contests went under by 7.5-points or greater. Toronto heads into today on a current 5-game win streak and has also covered 3 straight. They cover those last 3 contests by a combined 31.5 points. Additionally, the Raptors are 2-10 ATS this season after winning 5 or more games in a row. Any NBA away underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Philadelphia) that went under in each of their last 3 games by 6.0-points or greater, versus an opponent (Toronto) that’s a collective +18.0 points or more against the spread during its previous 3 outings, resulted in those underdogs going 23-4 ATS (85.2%) throughout the past 5 seasons. The average line in those 27 contests was 6.3 and the underdogs won straight up on 13 of those occasions. Bet on Philadelphia plus the points for a 10* Top Play Total. |
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04-26-19 | Warriors -9.5 v. Clippers | Top | 129-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Warriors @ Clippers 10:00 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Golden State -9.5 (10*) The Warriors squandered an opportunity to close out this series on Wednesday when they lost 129-212 as a 15.0-point home favorite. Golden State is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by 30.3 points per game. Conversely, the Clippers are 0-3 SU&ATS during their previous 3 following a win and lost by an average of 25.3 points per game. By the way, since the 2017 NBA Playoffs, road favorite are 37-13 ATS (74%). Any NBA Playoff #1 to #3 seed that’s a favorite of 4.0-points or more, and they lost their previous game by 4 points or more as a favorite of 4.0 or greater, resulted in those postseason favorites going 62-18 ATS (77.5%). This includes going 4-0 ATS during these 2019 NBA Playoffs and there was an average victory margin of 18.7 points per game. Bet on the Warriors minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-19-19 | Raptors v. Magic +5.5 | Top | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
Raptors @ Magic 7:00 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Magic +5.5 (10*) Orlando has gone a superb 13-1 in their last 14 home game. That by itself provides substantial betting value on the home underdog. The Magic is coming off a 111-82 loss at Toronto in game 2 of this series. Orlando has gone an extremely profitable 8-2 SU&ATS in its last 10 and 4-0 SU&ATS (+17.3 PPG) during their previous 4 following a loss in their preceding game. That loss also ended a Magic 5-game win streak. Orlando is 10-2 ATS this season after winning 4 of its last 5 games. Conversely, Toronto is 3-1 SU&ATS in their last 4. The Raptors are a dismal 5-14 ATS this season after covering 3 of their previous 4 games. Bet on Orlando plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-18-19 | 76ers v. Nets +3.5 | Top | 131-115 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
76ers @ Nets 8:05 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Nets +3.5 (10*) Brooklyn has scored 110 points or more in all 6 of their games this season against Philadelphia. As a matter of fact, the Nets have scored 110 points or greater in 11 of their last 13 games overall. Conversely, Philadelphia has allowed 110 points or more during 13 of their previous 16 games. On 2 of the 3 times in which they didn’t, they surrendered 109 points on each occasion. The Nets have gone 28-10 ATS (73.7%) and 27-10 straight up in their last 38 games this season when scoring 110 points or more. They’ve also covered both home games against the 76ers this season. Bet on the Nets plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-15-19 | Nets v. 76ers -8 | Top | 123-145 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
Nets @ 76ers 8:00 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: 76ers -8.0 (10*) The 76ers are coming off Saturday’s opening game 111-102 loss to Brooklyn and they did so as a closing 7.5-point home favorite. Any NBA Playoffs favorite of 4.0 points or more, coming off a straight up loss by 4 points or greater in a game in which they were favorite by 4.0-points or more, resulted in those favorites going 58-17 ATS (77.3%) since the 2009 NBA Playoffs. The average line in those 75 games was 8.0 and the favorites outscored their underdog opponents by a decisive 14.5 points per game. Bet on the 76ers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech +1.5 v. Virginia | Top | 77-85 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Virginia 9:20 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Texas Tech +1.5 (10*) Texas Tech is coming off an impressive 61-51 win over Michigan State on Saturday. The Red Raiders are now a perfect 5-0 ATS during this NCAA Tournament and that includes their last covers coming as an underdog. Texas Tech is allowing a mere 55.8 points per game and have held opponents to just 36.4% shooting during this 2019 NCAA Tournament. Conversely, Virginia has been extremely fortunate in their previous 2 wins over Purdue in overtime and by 1 against Auburn. Both wins came via some last second heroics. Any NCAA Tournament underdog of 8.5-points or less that’s playing in the Sweet 16 or beyond, and they allowed 54 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 21-4 ATS (84%) since 2009. Bet on Texas Tech plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-06-19 | Auburn v. Virginia -6 | Top | 62-63 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Auburn vs Virginia 6:09 PM ET Game# 803-804 Play On: Virginia -6.0 (10*) The public has fallen in love with the underdog Auburn Tigers and it’s reflected in the betting patterns for this Final Four contest. However, Virginia is healthier and the better team in this matchup. The Cavaliers haven’t been at their best during their 4 NCAA Tournament games, yet, they’re 2 wins away from a national championship. I look for the Cavaliers to be sharp as a razor today. Bet on Virginia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-02-19 | Texas v. TCU -1 | Top | 58-44 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
Texas vs. TCU 9:30 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: TCU -1.0 (10*) This will be the 3rd meeting of the season between these Big 12 rivals. TCU won and covered each of the first 2 and held Texas to a mere 58.5 points scored per game and a combined 39.4% shooting. TCU has won by 13 points or more in each of their first 3 NIT games. The Horned Frogs are allowing 69.9 points per games this season while Texas gives up 67.1 points per contest. Any college basketball team (TCU) that’s coming off 3 straight wins by 10 points or more and they’re and they’re allowing 67 to 74 points per game on the season, versus an opponent (Texas) that’s allowing 67 to 74 points per game on the season, resulted in those teams going 96-16 (85.7%) straight up since 1997. Bet on TCU for my 2019 NIT Game of the Year. |
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04-01-19 | Pistons +5.5 v. Pacers | Top | 102-111 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
Detroit @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Detroit +5.5 (10*) Indiana has lost 7 of its last 8 and each of their previous 3 games. Conversely, Detroit is 17-8 during their last 25 and that includes an extremely profitable 19-6 (76%) L25. Detroit has won 2 of 3 games against Indiana this season. Indiana is coming off Saturday’s 121-116 home loss to Orlando. Detroit is coming off a 99-90 win over Portland in their previous outing, and they held the high scoring Trailblazers to just 34 first half points. Any NBA team (Detroit) that allowed 35 points or fewer in the first half of their previous game, and they’re facing an opponent (Indiana) which allowed 120 points or greater in their last contest, resulted in those teams going 58-21 (73.4%) straight up since 1996. Considering this straight up betting angle sides with tonight’s road underdog it takes on even more significance. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky -4.5 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
Auburn vs. Kentucky 2:20 PM ET Game# 693-694 Play On: Kentucky -4.5 (10*) Auburn’s chances of winning this game took a huge hit when starting forward Chuma Okeke suffered a knee injury with 8 minutes left to play in the Tigers 97-80 blowout win over North Carolina on Friday night. At the time of his injury, Okeke amassed 20 points and 11 rebounds against North Carolina’s massive frontcourt players. Kentucky has beaten Auburn twice already this season. During those wins the Wildcats averaged 81.0 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 54.4% from the field. Furthermore, Kentucky held an enormous 76-50 rebounding advantage. That’s even more concerning for Auburn who will be without the services of Okeke. Bet on Kentucky minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech +4.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Gonzaga 6:09 PM ET Game# 683-684 Play On: Texas Tech +4.5 (10*) Gonzaga is #1 nationally in scoring offense (88.2 PPG) and field goal percentage (52.8%). However, they’ll be facing a Texas Tech team that’s #3 nationally in scoring defense (58.7 PPG) and #1 in defensive field goal percentage (36.7%). Texas Tech has exhibited even tighter defense throughout their first 3 NCAA Tournament games. During that time, they allowed a mere 53.0 points per game while holding opponents to a combined 35.5% shooting. They covered in each of those contests and their average victory margin was 18.0-points per contest. Additionally, the Red Raiders have shot 48.1% during that identical time frame. I’m going with the Big 12 regular season champion in this one. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-29-19 | Virginia Tech +7 v. Duke | Top | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Virginia Tech vs. Duke 9:39 PM ET Game# 669-670 Play On: Virginia Tech +7.0 (10*) Duke is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games and that includes 1-4 ATS since Zion Williamson’s return from injury. Duke barely escaped with a 77-76 win over Central Florida in their previous game and were extremely fortunate to do so as a 13.0-point favorite. Virginia Tech is a whole different team with star point guard Justin Robinson in the lineup. Following a convincing home win over Syracuse earlier this season, Robinson missed several games due to injury and the Hokies weren’t nearly as efficient offensively. Nevertheless, they did manage to beat Duke without Robinson. Well Robinson is back and so are the Hokies. Additionally, Virginia Tech is 7-1 straight up this season when playing at a neutral site. This is a balanced Virginia Tech team that’s totally capable of pulling off an upset today. However, I’ll take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Virginia Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-28-19 | Texas Tech +2 v. Michigan | Top | 63-44 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Michigan 9:39 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: Texas Tech +2.0 (10*) Both teams are excellent defensively. The difference in this game will be Texas Tech is more consistent on the offensive end. The Red Raiders have scored 70 or more in 10 straight games. Conversely, Michigan has scored 70 or less in 14 of their last 19 games. Texas Tech is coming off a 78-58 win over Buffalo. Any Sweet 16 or Elite 8 underdog of 8.5 points or less that allowed less than 60 points in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 31-9 ATS (77.5%) since 2006. Bet on Texas Tech plus the small number for a 10* Top Play. |
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03-24-19 | Oklahoma +11 v. Virginia | Top | 51-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Oklahoma vs. Virginia 7:45 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Oklahoma +11.0 (10*) Oklahoma has gone a terrific 12-1 SU&ATS versus non-conference opponents this season. The Sooners are coming off Friday’s 95-72 blowout over Ole Miss in which they shot a blistering hot 57.6%. Oklahoma is 6-1 straight up this season following a game in which they shot 50% or better. The Sooners have also gone a very profitable 8-4-2 ATS this season as an underdog. There’s nothing bad to say against Virginia except that I’m fading them today. Bet on Oklahoma plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-23-19 | Auburn -2 v. Kansas | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Kansas vs. Auburn 9:40 PM ET Game# 849-850 Play On: Auburn -2.0 (10*) Although Kansas was extremely impressive in their blowout win over Northeastern on Thursday, I haven’t been crazy about this 2018-2019 Jayhawks team, and especially when not playing on their home floor. Survive and advance appropriately fits Auburn’s opening round game after escaping with a narrow 1-point win over New Mexico State. Speaking of New Mexico State, that’s the same Aggies team that gave Kansas all they can handle during a 3-point loss in early December and entered the NCAA Tournament on a 19-game win streak. Auburn has gone an eye-catching 8-1 straight up this season when playing at a neutral site, and their only defeat came by 6-points against 2019 NCAA Tournament #1 overall seed Duke. Bet on Auburn minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-22-19 | Liberty v. Mississippi State -6 | Top | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 55 m | Show |
Liberty vs. Mississippi State 7:27 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Mississippi State -6.0 (10*) Liberty earned their automatic bid by winning 74-68 at Lipscomb as a 6.0-point underdog in their conference championship game. That victory improved the Flames season record to an outstanding 28-6 (.824). However, Liberty has yet to face an opponent this season which is part of the 68-team NCAA Tournament field. Mississippi State enters the NCAA Tournament with a solid 23-10 record. The Bulldogs own non-conference wins over 2019 NCAA Tournament teams such as Cincinnati (28-6), Wofford (29-4), and St. Mary’s (22-11). They also played 9 games against fellow SEC teams which are in the NCAA Tournament and won 3 of those contests. Any college basketball favorite (Mississippi State) with a winning record that’s facing an opponent with a win percentage of .800 or better, and they’re (Liberty) coming off a conference win as an underdog of 6.0 or more points, resulted in those favorites going 33-9 ATS (78.6%) since 1997. The average point-spread in those 42 games was 5.4. Liberty has been a trendy upset pick this week. Nevertheless, I firmly believe that’s fool’s gold. Mississippi State has seen 39.3% of their games played this season come against teams who are in the 2019 NCAA Tournament. The tougher schedule will pay huge dividends against an opponent that’s feasted on low level competition. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-21-19 | New Mexico State +6 v. Auburn | Top | 77-78 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
New Mexico State vs. Auburn 1:30 PM ET Game# 781-782 Play On: New Mexico State +6.0 (10*) Auburn won games in 4 days to win the SEC Tournament title which concluded with an upset of Tennessee in Sunday’s Finals. Now on just 3 days rest they’ll be facing an extremely dangerous New Mexico State team which has won 19 straight games. The Aggies are a dominating +13.8 rebounds per game over their last 8 outings. Conversely, Auburn is a -6 rebound per game in throughout their previous 6 contests. New Mexico State has shot 50.8% or better in 5 of their last 7 games. Auburn has allowed its previous 5 opponents to shoot a combined 47.8% and that includes an alarming 42.1% from 3-point territory. Bet on New Mexico State plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-16-19 | Florida State +8 v. Duke | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Florida State vs. Duke 8:30 PM ET Game# 633-634 Play On: Florida State +8.0 (10*) Duke revenged 2 regular season losses to archrival North Carolina by defeating the Tar Heels 74-73 in yesterday’s ACC Semifinals. Now they are laying a sizable number against a red-hot Florida State team they beat on the road in their only regular season meeting with the Seminoles. That surely equates to a potential emotional letdown despite the ACC crown being at stake. Since starting ACC play 1-4, Florida State has rebounded to win 14 of their next 15 games. Their only loss in that sequence came at North Carolina. There’s a ton of betting value today on the underdog Seminoles. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. However, I won’t be greedy and will gladly take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Florida State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-15-19 | Colorado +3.5 v. Washington | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Colorado vs. Washington 9:00 PM ET Game# 847-848 Play On: Colorado +3.5 (10*) Washington has gone 3-2 during their previous 5 games. However, they failed to cover on each occasion and were a favorite in all 5 contests. Colorado comes in red-hot having won 10 of its last 12 and that includes a current 5-game win streak. The Buffaloes will be playing with double revenge after losing both regular season meetings with Washington by margins of 7 and 9 points. The Buffaloes have been outstanding defensively during their present winning streak while allowing a mere 61.4 points per game and holding its opponents to 37.0% shooting. They also held an enormous +11.0 rebounds per game over their opponent throughout this present win streak. Bet on Colorado plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-12-19 | Blazers v. Clippers +2.5 | Top | 125-104 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Portland @ LA Clippers 10:35 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: LA Clippers +2.5 (5*) Portland has been terrific at home this season. Nonetheless, they’re a dismal 6-14 straight up and 7-13 ATS this season when facing Western Conference teams on the road. The Trailblazers are also 2-3 during its last 5 games overall and allowed a sizable 119.2 points per contest. The only negative I see for the Clippers in this one is they played last night while Portland enters tonight’s contest on 2 days rest. However, the Clippers were a 140-115 blowout winner over Boston last night which enabled them to rest their top players late in that contest. With that win over the Celtics, they’re now 5-0 SU&ATS during their last 5 at home while winning by a decisive 18.0 points per game. Since 2/2/2019, the Clippers are 5-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 4.0 points or fewer and won by 10.4 points per contest. Bet on the Clippers plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-11-19 | Celtics v. Clippers +2.5 | Top | 115-140 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Celtics @ Clippers 10:35 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Clippers +2.5 (10*) The Celtics are a dismal 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 7.0 or less and they lost straight up on 4 of those occasions. Monday will be the finale of a 4-game in 7-day west coast trip for Boston. Conversely, the Clippers will be playing on 2 days rest and it will be just their 2nd game in 5 days. Additionally, the Clippers are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 home games while winning by a substantial 16.2 points per contest. During those 4 home tilts, they averaged 125.2 points scored per game while shooting 49.5% and converted on an excellent 44.1% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on the Clippers plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-07-19 | Pacers v. Bucks -10 | Top | 98-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Pacers @ Bucks 8:05 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Bucks -10.0 (10*) Indiana has gone a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 as an underdog of 2.5 or greater and they lost by a substantial average of 15.8 points per game. The Pacers are coming off a 105-96 home win over Central Division cellar dweller Chicago in their last outing. Milwaukee has lost their last 2 games and it’s the first time that’s happened all season long. However, it must be noted, those defeats occurred on the tail end of a grueling 5-game in 8-day road trip. The Bucks lost 114-105 as a 13.5-point favorite at Phoenix in their previous outing. Milwaukee will be playing today’s game on 2 days of rest. They’ve gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS this season as a double-digit home favorite when playing on exactly 2 days of rest, and won by an enormous 25.2 points per contest. Any favorite of 10.0 or greater that’s coming off a road game in which both teams scored 100 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Pacers) that’s coming off a division win, resulted in those double-digit favorites going 33-11 ATS (75%) since 1996. The average point-spread was 12.9 and the favorite outscored those 44 underdogs by 16.9 points per game. Play on the Bucks minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-05-19 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Wright State -8.5 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
IUPUI @ Wright State 8:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: Wright State -8.5 (10*) IUPUI has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 away games. IUPUI has been terrible on the defensive end of the floor throughout their previous 5 games. During that time, they allowed opponents to shoot a combined 48.9% and that includes an alarming 43.4% from 3-point territory. They will be facing a Wright State team tonight that’s made an impressive 48.4% of its field goal attempts over their last 5 outings. Wright State is also a red-hot 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and already has defeated IUPUI twice during regular season action. Bet on Wright State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-01-19 | Blazers +5 v. Raptors | Top | 117-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
Portland @ Toronto 8:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Portland +5.0 (10*) Portland has gone an impressive 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 outings while winning by an average of 13.8 points per game and 4 of those 5 were on the road. On the other hand, Toronto is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5-points or more. Bet on Portland for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-28-19 | Washington State +8.5 v. Stanford | Top | 50-98 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Washington State @ Stanford 9:00 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Washington State +8.5 (10*) No analysis on this game. |
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02-26-19 | San Diego State v. Utah State -8 | Top | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
San Diego State @ Utah State 9:30 PM ET Game# 643-644 Play On: Utah State -8.0 (10*) There’s no analysis today. |
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02-23-19 | San Diego State v. UNLV +1 | Top | 60-59 | Push | 0 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
San Diego State @ UNLV 10:00 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: UNLV +1.0 (10*) San Diego State is coming off a huge home upset win as an 8.0-point underdog over #6 ranked Nevada 924-2) in their previous game. The Aztecs will be facing another elite Mountain West Conference team in Utah State (21-6) next. Sandwiched between is tonight’s contest versus 15-11 UNLV. This certainly shapes up as a flat spot for the Aztecs. Speaking of UNLV, they’re currently on a modest 3-game win streak. The Rebels will be out to revenge a 17-point loss at San Diego State earlier this season. Despite that decisive defeat, the game was clearly decided by free throws. San Diego State was able toi get to the charity stripe 30 times and made 24 of those attempts. Conversely, UNLV was awarded just 14 free throws and converted only 6 of those attempts. That’s a highly unlikely scenario to occur again. Bet on UNLV for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-22-19 | Nuggets v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Denver @ Dallas 8:30 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Dallas +4.5 (10*) Denver has gone a superb 25-4 at home this season. However, they haven’t been as nearly successful on the road by going a mediocre 14-14. As a matter of fact, the Nuggets are a dismal 10-18 ATS (35.7%) during those 28 away games. Despite their overall losing record, Dallas is a solid 20-9 at home this season. Furthermore, since 11/6/2018, the Mavericks are a perfect 10-0 ATS as a home underdog of 7.0-points or fewer, and they won 8 of those contests straight up. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-20-19 | New Mexico v. Utah State -14.5 | Top | 55-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
New Mexico @ Utah State 11:00 PM ET Game# 837-838 Play On: Utah State -14.5 (10*) New Mexico has gone a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 Mountain West Conference road games. The Lobos lost those 5 contests by a decisive average margin of 18.4 points per game. Utah State is 11-1 at home this season and has outscored their opponents by a massive average of 21.7 points per game in those 12 contests. Utah State has converted on a superb 43.1% of their 3-point attempts throughout its previous 5 games. Bet on Utah State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-16-19 | Fresno State -2 v. New Mexico | Top | 81-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Fresno State @ New Mexico 7:00 PM ET Game# 719-720 Play On: Fresno State -2.0 (10*) New Mexico has gone an uninspiring 7-6 at home this season. The Lobos are coming off a 92-60 win at Mountain West cellar dweller San Jose State. However, they’ve gone 0-3 in their last 3 games following a win. As a matter of fact, they’ve lost 7 of their last 10 overall and 2 of those wins came against opponents (San Jose State/Wyoming) who’ve combined to go an abysmal 9-38 this season. Fresno State is 16-4 in their last 20 and that includes 5-1 during true road games. They’re also 4-1 in their previous 5 games with their lone defeat coming by 1 against a very good 19-6 Utah State team. Thru that 5-game stretch, Fresno State has shot a stellar 47.8% and made an outstanding 40.3% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Fresno State for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-15-19 | Monmouth v. Rider -7.5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Monmouth @ Rider 7:00 PM ET Game# 867-868 Play On: Rider -7.5 (10*) This qualifies as one of those situations in which using a contrarian approach would is the most logical thing to do. Monmouth has gone 4-0 SU&ATS during their previous 4 games played. One of those wins was over Rider and they do so as a 4.5-point home underdog. Conversely, Rider is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 contests. As a matter of fact, Rider has failed to cover in 9 straight games. Yet, Rider opened as a 5.5-point favorite and it’s since moved to 7.5 despite better than 60% wagers being made on Monmouth thus far. If it looks like a trap and seems like a trap, then it’s a trap. Bet on Rider minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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