For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL |Â CFB |Â MLB |Â NBA |Â CBB |Â NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | Top | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
Broncos/Chiefs 8:20: Both of these teams turning up the heat defensively. Love how the Broncos held the potent Chargers' offense to 13 points last week. Broncos have the #3 scoring defense in the NFL allowing just 17.8 PPG. Chiefs are actually turning it up defensively holding their last 4 foes to 17, 7, 14 and 9 points, respectively. Broncos have a more conservative ball control offense and will be without RB Melvin Gordon. This series has gone "under" in 3 of the last 4 games. Denver is 3-15 O/U when the 'total' is set at above 45 vs a conference opponent. Broncos are also 4-14 O/U vs the AFC West. Chiefs are coming off a bye week and 3-11-1 O/U in that role. These teams are a combined 14-30 O/U in December. We'll stay "under". |
|||||||
12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints UNDER 47.5 | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
Cowboys/Saints 8:20: A few points of value with this Over/Under. Saints are limited in offensive weaponry. QB Taysom Hill should get the start but he doesn't have a lot of explosive options to go to. Kamara (knee) practiced on a limited basis this week and he is surely the best option for Hill to hook up with; however, he's been out 3 weeks and just had a few practices. Dallas' interim HC Quinn, who is also the DC, should adjust his defensive plan accordingly. The Cowboys' defense has given up more than enough explosive plays this year. Tonight, if Quinn has his deep defenders keep everything in front of them, he should be able to limit Saints' scoring. Dallas, on the other hand, should have Prescott's top receiver - Lamb - and on a limited basis - Cooper. Cowboys' run game, however, a concern. Just 64 rush yards last week and New Orleans' run-stop-unit allows just 91.9 YPG (#3). Saints' defense allows a respectable 22.6 PPG. Cowboys will be without both their offensive line coaches and HC McCarthy. Shouldn't affect play calling duties. Dallas, however, will be without RT Steele (Covid) and LT Smith really struggled last week after getting back into action recoverin from injuries. Technically, Dallas is 2-10 O/U vs the NFC South, 1-4 O/U as a road favorite and on a 1-4 O/U run. Saints 0-9 O/U Thursday run and this series is 1-4 O/U. We'll stay "under". |
|||||||
12-01-21 | Utah v. USC UNDER 137.5 | 73-93 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Utah/USC 11:30pm: These teams are both well-disciplined on the defensive end. USC's Enfield has his boys holding foes to a smothering 34.4% from the floor and hasn't allowed a single opponent to shoot 40% this season. Utah's first year HC Craig Smith - who came from defensively stout Utah State - has his team allowing just 60 PPG (48th nationally) and guard the perimeter well (24.8% - 4th nationally). Trojans aren't going to light it up from 3 point land for Ellis is their top gun hitting the trey at a 41% clip but averaging around 15 PPG. USC does have the interior presence with Mobley but Utah defense stingy at allowing 38% from floor. And USC can get to the foul line but clanks it at a disappointing 57.7% clip. On the offensive end for Utah, they're more workmanlike than sizzling shooting. 7' C Craig Smith and G Jenkins are key contributors but aren't going to light it up on USC's home floor. USC is 3-8 O/U after allowing less than 50 points in previous game while Utah is 1-4 O/U in their last 5 road tilts. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
11-25-21 | Bills v. Saints UNDER 45.5 | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
Bills/Saints 8:20: See a defensive battle here. Saints' offense stuck in neutral without any playmakers (Kamara and Michael Thomas out). Should see versatile Taysom Hill manage the offense but limited with skill support. And Buffalo #1 defense (total yards) stewing after allowing Jonathon Taylor to run all over them. Bills 1-8 O/U off SU loss and 2-5 O/U off double-digit loss at home. Buffalo offense lackluster lately without a run game. New Orleans' defense, which is #3 vs the run, was also embarrassed last week as the Eagles ran roughshod on them. Saints' Cam Jordan and company should buckle down here. Saints 4-9 O/U after allowing more than 350 yards, and 0-9 O/U on Thursdays. We'll stay "under".  |
|||||||
11-25-21 | Fresno State v. San Jose State UNDER 52.5 | 40-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Fresno State/San Jose State 3:30: Both teams have something on the line for them here besides the Valley Trophy. Fresno can with the Mountain Division title with a win and a loss by San Diego State on Friday. San Jose State needs a win to be bowl eligible. I'm going to look for a defensive battle. Since 2016, the last 4 in this series have gone "under" scoring a combined 30, 37, 44 and 33, respectively. San Jose State ranks 106th offensively. QB Nick Starkel missed October with a collar bone injury and is struggling on account of no run game and limited help from skill personnel. Starkel's completing just 52.9% of his passes. Fresno has a solid defense ranked 32nd in the nation in points allowed (21.3 PPG). On the other hand, Fresno offense solid but Spartans' defense a scrappy bunch that keeps them in games. Spartans 0-4 O/U as a home dog. We'll stay "under". |
|||||||
11-20-21 | Florida v. Missouri OVER 69 | 23-24 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 48 m | Show | |
Florida/Missouri 4:00: This series has historically been "under" in recent years but I'm going "over" today. Florida's defense has been abysmal to put it mildly. They've given up 49, 34, 40 and 52 over the last 4 weeks, respectively. The 52 was given up to subdivision lightweight Samford. And Florida knows their defense is in bad shape when their leading tackler last week was their safety (Rashad Torrence) with 11 tackles! Weeks earlier Mullen fired his DC and is searching for answers. It won't happen against Missouri. The Tigers' offense is led by a 1500+ rusher in Tyler Badie who should add to his season TD total (16). Missouri, on the other hand, can't stop the run. They give up nearly 250 YPG. And you know Mullen loves to run the rock. He has a versatile QB in Emory Jones that fuels a potent offense. Florida is 12-4 O/U on the road, 5-2 O/U in November, and 12-5 O/U after allowing 450+ yards. Missouri has gone 4-1 O/U in last 5 home games, and they're on a 7-2 O/U run. "Over" the call. |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 50.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
Rams/49ers 8:15: Rams having issues on offensive line that are preventing them from being the elite offense they're capable of. Tennessee surely exploited it last week. And much ado about nothing regarding bringing in Beckham Jr. He had one practice and surely will be used sparingly. What's of more concern is loss of Robert Woods (ACL). SF's defense at its best when edge rusher Bosa is healthy. Secondary injuries have mounted so 49ers' d-line will have to be at its best. On the other hand, Rams' defense under DC Morris not what it was last year under Staley yet still productive. Top receiver - Samuel should be matched up by lock down corner Ramsey. SF 1-4 O/U as a dog and 7-19 O/U off double-digit SU loss at home. They're also 5-15-1 O/U after allowing 30+ points. Rams are 1-4 O/U off a double-digit loss at home, 1-4 O/U November and 2-12 O/U when the O/U line is above 50. It's currently at 50.5. This series is 2-6 O/U in SF and we'll stay "under". |
|||||||
11-14-21 | Seahawks v. Packers UNDER 49.5 | 0-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
Seahawks/Packers 4:25: The "total" elevated on news Russell Wilson (finger) and Aaron Rodgers (Covid19) were cleared. Sure, both offenses immediately upgraded but can't ignore the stats: Green Bay's defense has been the best it has been in years under new DC Joe Barry. Packers' defense #5 in the NFL in total yards allowed and #6 in total points (20 PPG) allowed. Russell Wilson is magical on the field but he's limited as the Seattle run game can't get generated (21st in league) as injuries mount in the backfield. On the other hand, Seattle defense has improved the last few weeks showing an ability to make stops in crucial moments. Both these teams are a combined 3-14 O/U this season. We'll look for a lower scoring game on the frozen tundra today. |
|||||||
10-23-21 | Wisconsin v. Purdue UNDER 41 | 30-13 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Wisconsin/Purdue 3:00: Heavy "under" trends on both teams. Both teams possess top 20 defenses with mediocre offensive production. Wisconsin passing game with Mertz doesn't scare any team. And Purdue keeps teams out of the end zone (5th nationally). "Under" it is. |
|||||||
10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns UNDER 41 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
Denver/Cleveland 8:20: Both defenses got worked the last few weeks but against very good offenses. Denver had the duty to stop Baltimore, Pittsburgh and Las Vegas - and weren't able to match points with their offensive production. On the other hand, Cleveland is coming off two explosive offenses in LA Chargers and Arizona. Offensive injuries contributed to a stall out in offensive production for them. Tonight, on a short week. a patchwork Cleveland offense led by Case Keenum should struggle to engineer successful drives vs the well disciplined unit that Fangio puts on the field. On the other hand, Cleveland defense should get back to being solid on the defensive end against a significant drop off in offensive talent. Browns 3-10 O/U after a double-digit loss at home. Broncos a proud 0-5 O/U after allowing 30+ points previously and 6-21-1 O/U after allowing 350+ yards previously. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
10-17-21 | Raiders v. Broncos UNDER 44 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
Raiders/Broncos 4:25: Raiders hot start has fizzled with Gruden's exit. Raiders are producing just 19 PPG and can't generate a run game (78 rush yards per game). Denver's defense in good hands under defensive mastermind Fangio. On the other hand, Denver's offense struggling on 3rd down. And having their top 2 receivers - Jeudy and Hamilton out won't help matters. Raiders play the pass well (#3 in NFL). Heavy "under" trends by Denver, including 6-21-1 O/U after allowing 350 yards through the air, and they're 8-17 O/U at home. Raiders 2-7 O/U as a road dog. This series is historically low scoring at 1-8 O/U and 1-5 O/U in Denver. Fangio determined to avenge last year's season sweep and should deliver. He's 0-5 O/U with revenge vs division. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
10-03-21 | Ravens v. Broncos UNDER 44.5 | 23-7 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
Ravens/Broncos 4:25: Heavy "under" trends on both sides. Broncos are 6-18 O/U vs teams with a winning road record. Ravens on a 4-11 O/U run vs AFC foes. Both head coaches defensive oriented with ball control a priority. That equates to running football, eating clock and great red zone defense in which each team has success at. Fangio is a tremendous defensive mind and will have a great defensive plan vs Lamar Jackson despite defensive injuries. Fangio always gets the best out of his guys. On the other hand, Ravens getting healthy defensively as they get back three key components off Covid19 list: LB Justin Houston, NT Brandon Williams, DT Madubuike. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
09-18-21 | Nebraska v. Oklahoma OVER 62.5 | 16-23 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
Nebraska/Oklahoma Noon: Nebraska is proving they can run the football (236 YPG) in a balanced offense. Oklahoma defense is good but not that opportunistic (1 turnover forced); consequently, we'll look for Martinez and company to hold onto the ball and put points on the board, especially with top Oklahoma C Woodi Washington not at healthiest. On the other hand, the offensive juggernaut of Oklahoma will be hard to contain for 4 quarters. Fair value with the "over" |
|||||||
09-16-21 | Giants v. Washington Football Team UNDER 40.5 | 29-30 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
NY/Washington 8:20: Giants couldn't unleash their run game last week (60 yards) and most likely won't this week with dynamic RB Barkley (questionable) on limited, if any, reps. Washington defense doesn't give up many points and held up well last week vs an explosive Chargers' offense after an opening drive TD. NY offensive line shuffling won't help vs arguably the best defensive front in the NFL. On the other hand, NY defense keeps them in games and doesn't allow explosive plays. And without Curtis Samuel, Washington's QB Heinicke has one less vertical threat in a conservative offense. Heavy "under" trends on both of these teams and we'll stay "under" despite the low set total. |
|||||||
09-12-21 | Chargers v. Washington Football Team UNDER 44.5 | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
Los Angeles/Washington 1:00: Both of these defenses should be solid this season. Washington, led by nightmare to QBs DE Chase Young, allowed just 4.8 YPP last season (#2 in NFL). And they've made upgrades through the draft including C William Jackson III. On the flip end, veteran journeyman QB Fitzpatrick won't likely have one of his top targets Curtis Samuel (groin). Chargers' offense is loaded with skill personnel but may need time to adjust to new OC Lombardi's system. And QB Herbert won't have versatile RB Ekeler (hamstring). Chargers' defense, however, should be much improved with healthy Bosa, new DC and solid additions through draft and free agency. Washington 1-10 O/U run and 1-6 O/U at home. "Under" it is. |
|||||||
09-12-21 | Jaguars v. Texans UNDER 46 | 21-37 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
Jaguars/Texans 1:00: This series 1-5 O/U in its last 6 matchups and 0-4 O/U in Houston. I see upgrades defensively on both sides here while the offenses should struggle. Houston has former Chicago Bears HC Lovie Smith as their coordinator. He changed to an odd front and in pre-season it paid dividends with the Texans creating 10 turnovers in 3 games; that's 4 more than Houston achieved all last season! Jaguars didn't look in rhythm offensively in pre-season. Not devoid of talent but thin at RB with Etienne (season ending foot injury) out. Jacksonville's defense should also be better under well respected DC Gus Bradley. They face an offense that doesn't look explosive with Tyrod Taylor who is a pretty good QB; however, he doesn't have much explosive weaponry to go to. Value with the "Under". |
|||||||
09-11-21 | UAB v. Georgia UNDER 44.5 | 7-56 | Loss | -112 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
08-22-21 | Giants v. Browns UNDER 35.5 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Giants/Browns 1:00: Browns looked good in Week 1 with a solid win over Jacksonville. Case Keenum did a solid job in directing the offense for most of the game. Mayfield should get some reps. But Giants' defense appears to be upgraded from last season. A week ago, they were solid vs the Jets. Draft choice Ojulari definitely making life easier on DC Graham. And the Giants secondary working well. On the other hand, Browns' defense solid. Looked good last week and should follow up strong vs a Giants' offense that is struggling to evolve. QB Jones should get some reps and will most likely have Slayton, Shepard and TE Engram at his disposal. But vertical threat and one of the most underrated receivers in the NFL -Golladay will not play. NYG 0-7 O/U their last 7 as a dog. Browns 0-5 O/U in Week 2 of Pre-Season. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
08-14-21 | Jets v. Giants UNDER 35 | 12-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
08-13-21 | Bills v. Lions UNDER 37 | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
Bills/Lions 7:00: Bills 1-5 O/U in Week 1 of Pre-Season. And with a new coaching staff, limited skill talent and lots of injuries, I don't see them putting up points on a determined Bills' defense which is well aware that they took a step backwards last year. Fortunately, Detroit won't see much of the explosive Bills' starting offensive personnel. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
06-30-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 215 | 130-103 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
Suns/Clippers 9:00: As expected in Game 5, shots that were bricking in Game 4 found their way in the basket in Game 5 to go "over" the adjusted down over/under (215). Tonight, back in Los Angeles where this series has gone 2-8 O/U. Now 5 of the last 7 in the series went "under". And Game 5 seemed like an easy "over" throughout 3.5 quarters but stalled out late to create a sweat. In Los Angeles, the last three games total output has accumulated 213, 198 and 164 respectively. Got some wiggle room with the total and considering the history of the scrums in this series in LA and that the Suns are 0-4 O/U off a SU loss, we'll stay "under". |
|||||||
06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns OVER 214 | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
Clippers/Suns 9:05: Game 4 numbers were ugly. Suns were clanking to the tune of 36% from floor and 20% from 3 point range. That was good enough to whip a Clippers team shooting a brick laying 33%/16% and a disgraceful 66% from the free throw line considering they were #1 in free throw shooting % during regular season. Tonight, let's look for those rim rollers to align in the net; after all, this series has gone 10-4 O/U in Phoenix. And the 'total' has now dropped to a reachable 214. We'll look for the Clippers as the #1 three point shooting team in the NBA to play more relaxed. Phoenix should maintain their groove on their home floor. "Over" the call. |
|||||||
06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 234 | 83-86 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Nets/Bucks 7:30: Nets shot the lights out on their home floor in Game 1 and 2; unfortunately for Milwaukee, they couldn't keep up. Consequently, with four straight going "under" in this series, oddsmakers adjusted this 'total' to lowest level since August 4th, 2020 (230). On that day in Milwaukee, the teams combined for 235. Let's remember, in the regular season, Milwaukee controlled the #1 offensive output in the NBA at 120 PPP. They didn't forget how to manufacture points. They've had a few days to digest the loss and find ways to attack a Brooklyn defense that has its share of weaknesses (21st in league). The Milwaukee brick laying from the perimeter should cease tonight in their comfortable confines. Bucks 36-16 O/U on 2 days rest. "Over" it is. |
|||||||
06-09-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 222 | 98-123 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
Nuggets/Suns 9:30: This series has gone 6-1 O/U in the last 7 meetings and 6-0 O/U last 6 in Phoenix. Nuggets faded down the stretch of Game 1 but Malone should use his bench better late tonight. We'll look for newly crowned MVP Jokic to turn up his game after mediocre (to his standard) performance in Game 1. Of course he'll need supporting help and will need Porter Jr. and someone else to hit shots consistently. we'll bet they do. Suns continue with great offensive chemistry after coming off series against a number 1 defense (Lakers) and Paul seems like his shoulder is getting better. We'll stay on the "over" here. |
|||||||
06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers OVER 223 | 102-118 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
06-02-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 226 | 110-126 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
05-28-21 | Nets v. Celtics UNDER 227.5 | 119-125 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Nets/Celtics 8:35: Brooklyn defense, #21 ranked in the regular season, turned up its intensity in post season in two blowout wins. Brooklyn is 0-5 O/U after scoring 100+, and they're 1-4 O/U in their last 5 road trips. Boston 1-5 O/U as a playoff dog and 1-4 O/U after allowing 100+. As a home dog, Boston 5-11 O/U. We'll look for this one to stay "under". |
|||||||
05-27-21 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 225 | 113-84 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
05-23-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 215.5 | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
Grizzlies/Jazz 9:35: Grizzlies pulled out a huge OT win at Golden State on Friday. And that was without the services of big man Jonas who fouled out in 4th. Morant was huge and he's getting good support from multiple Grizzlies. Utah, of course, is tough defensively and pack a strong offense. And throw in the added services of Donovan Mitchell (ankle), who should be on limited minutes, and former Grizzly - Conley who's back in the fray, and the well rested Jazz should run the floor tonight in the high altitude to tire out the Grizzlies. This series is set at its lowest 'total' in a while at Utah. This series is 5-0 O/U at Utah and we'll go "over". |
|||||||
04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga OVER 159 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
Baylor/Gonzaga 9:20: Gonzaga, the #1 scoring team in the nation (91.6 PPG), has yet to be contained this season. And as good as Baylor's defense is, they will not contain them either; however, Bears are no slouch offensively, dropping 82 PPG (#4 nationally) and sporting the #1 three point shooting % in the nation at a near 43% clip. Baylor surely will not attempt to slow the game down and make it a half court game. Bears and Zags both thrive on turnovers leading to transition and have the personnel to finish at the basket. Timme is a matchup nightmare, and Suggs is big time prime time player along with the other future NBA baller -Kispert. Throw in Ayayi and defensive answers become nearly non-existent. On the other hand, Baylor is equipped with great talent too and they're in great rhythm. Gonzaga may be a step slow after their epic OT clash with UCLA Saturday. Gonzaga a ridiculous 40-18 O/U in their last 58 games. Baylor 14-3 O/U run. It's in the character of these teams to turn it up and with both offenses in great rhythm, we'll stay "over"! |
|||||||
03-27-21 | Syracuse v. Houston UNDER 141 | 46-62 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
Syracuse/Houston 9:55: Both of these teams are in great defensive rhythm. The Orangemen finally got their zone rotation in sync late; as a matter of fact, they've limited opponents to 72 points or less over their last 6 games. The Houston Cougars, however, control the #2 defense in the nation - allowing 57.6 PPG. Sampson will surely find ways to disrupt red hot coach's son- Buddy Boheim by meeting him half-court to disrupt timing. Grimes, one of Sampson's top defenders could get the task. Nevertheless, two brilliant defensive minds - Boheim vs Sampson should result in a defensive battle. |
|||||||
01-25-21 | Syracuse v. Virginia UNDER 131 | 58-81 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
Syracuse/Virginia 7:00: Boheim has his boys playing well. Historically for Syracuse basketball under Boheim, it starts with defense. When his zone defense starts clicking, Syracuse starts rolling. On a 2-0 SU/ATS including beating their first ranked opponent (V Tech) in a year. The Orangemen have held their last two opponents to a combined 36% from the floor and just 22.2% from the perimeter. We'll look for a carry over to Virginia where this series has totaled 130/129/118 OT in its last three games at John Paul Jones Arena, respectively. Virginia remains a lock down defense ranked #6 in the nation allowing just 59.6 PPG. We'll stay "under" here. |
|||||||
01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans OVER 54 | 20-13 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Ravens/Titans 1:05: Both of these offenses are firing on all cylinders. Derek Henry is virtually unstoppable and the Ravens' defense, at its best, has yet to slow him down. Tannehill has a healthy cast of receivers with A.J. Brown, Corey Davis and TE Jonnu Smith which is capable of torching a thin Ravens' secondary. On the other hand, no longer confident in the Titans' defense which has consistently been yielding this season. And the Ravens are starting to close in the Red Zone again. Lamar Jackson and company should turn it up a few notches here. Titans 22-6-1 O/U last 29 games, 5-0 O/U as a home dog. "Over" it is. |
|||||||
01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team UNDER 44.5 | 31-23 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay/Washington 8:15: Washington's top tier defense under DC Del Rio kept them in games and ultimately got them in the playoffs. TB got their pass game cooking as Brady got in rhythm with his talented receiving corps as the season progressed; however, the Buccaneers' run game still a question mark. Ranked 28th in the NFL making Tom Brady, a lot of times, a sitting duck in the pocket. Washington has a pass rush and Chase Young is the real deal. And I don't see Buc's top receiver Evans (knee) being at his best after an ugly hyperextension last week. No one can heal that quickly. Washington defense doesn't give up explosive plays often and their effective pass rush will have Brady checking down more often than not. As for Washington's pedestrian offense, limited vertical threat (McLaurin's ankle) and limited run game (Antonio Gibson's toe) will allow TB's DC Bowles to initiate lots of exotic blitzes behind man coverage. Alex Smith's (calf) mobility limited and not a lot of great offensive options to stretch the field. Washington 0-4 O/U as a dog and 5-11 O/U on the season. We'll stay "under". |
|||||||
01-02-21 | North Carolina v. Texas A&M UNDER 66 | 27-41 | Loss | -114 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
North Carolina/Texas A&M 8:00: This total a bit high considering the circumstances. North Carolina has an explosive offense (557 YPG) but will be without both of their star RBs Carter and Williams who accounted for 2,385 yards rushing this season. Brooks and Henderson, their replacements, got garbage time running in blowouts. Moreover, leading receiver Dyami Brown decided to opt out to prep for NFL as well. Sam Howell is a very good QB but not a magician and faces a Top 20 defense in A&M. On the other hand, Tar Heels got better as the season progressed in defense. They face an A&M offense that is not explosive with QB Mond but methodical working its way down the field. Aggies are 1-5 O/U after SU win of over 20+. Tar Heels 0-4 O/U vs SEC and 1-4 O/U as a neutral site dog. We'll stay "under" here. |
|||||||
12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | 38-9 | Loss | -112 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
Bills/Patriots 8:15: Heavy "Under" trends support NE. They're 4-10 O/U on the season including 0-6 O/U run. Patriots' offense struggling mightily as passing game in bottom tier of NFL. Patriots will do what they do best offensively and run the football. Bills' defense improving as the season progresses. They've held opponents to 19 or less in 3 of the last 4 games. Patriots' defense in good hands with Belichick. Despite numerous question marks in personnel, the discipline remains in the system. Bills' offense in great rhythm with QB Josh Daniels and WR Diggs leading the way; however, Patriots not going down without a fight and it starts with defense. Bills 0-4 O/U off SU win of 14+. This is the highest 'total' set in this series since 2017. We'll go "under". |
|||||||
12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals UNDER 40.5 | 17-27 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh/Cincinnati 8:15: Bengals should continue to struggle offensively with third string Finley getting the nod. In limited action (4 appearances), Finley looked shaky at best going 10 of 19 for 75 yards with 2 INTs and 0 TDs. Bengals' offensive line not getting it done as Bengals' QBs getting beat up while run game is nearly non-existent. And as banged up as the Steelers' defense is, they still have playmakers and a respectable pass rush to do damage. On the flip end, Steelers run game struggling bad and receivers Diontae Johnson and TE Ebron have the drops while Roethlisberger looks immobile in pocket. This series is 0-4-1 O/U in its last 5 games. Steelers 1-11 O/U vs division opponent off back to back SU losses. They're also 0-4 O/U on MNF. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
12-19-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame UNDER 60 | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Clemson/Notre Dame 4:00: Notre Dame got the best of Clemson earlier this season in a double overtime barn burner 47-40. However, three key defensive starters for Clemson were out. Without Clemson's top defensive lineman - Tyler Davis, defensive signal caller - Skalski, and versatile LB Mike Jones Jr., Irish ran all over the Tigers to the tune of 208 yards; moreover, couldn't get a grasp on QB Ian Book. Tonight, look for DC Brent Venables to have the well rested and healthy Clemson defense on its game. As for Notre Dame, they possess a Top 10 run stop unit - holding Etienne to just 28 yards rushing. Sure, Lawrence is back and he's great. But Notre Dame has an underrated ball hawking secondary and can generate a pass rush. They've also had plenty of time to work a containing scheme on Lawrence and company. ND 2-6 O/U on grass, 1-6 O/U on neutral fields. Tigers 1-6 O/U in December and 2-8 O/U off a bye week. They're also 1-4 O/U as a neutral site favorite. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
12-13-20 | Vikings v. Bucs OVER 52 | 14-26 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Vikings/Bucs 1:00: Vikings' defense not the usual Mike Zimmer aggressive, run stopping, sack swarming unit this year; as a matter of fact, bottom tier in a few key categories, including points allowed: 27.4. Not a good sign going against a well rested TB talented offense coming off two straight losses to top tier teams - Rams and Chiefs. Brady should be laser focused to pick apart the Vikings. TB looking to get their run game going to help Brady out and underutilized Ronald Jones III should be up for the task against the mediocre run stop unit of Minnesota. On the other hand, Minnesota has the #3 offense in the NFL. QB Cousins has a great RB Cook and super receivers in Thielen and Justin Jefferson. TB's DC Bowles gets overly aggressive in his coverages and it backfires with explosive plays. Minnesota is surely capable of that. Heavy TB "under" trends including 4-1 O/U off bye and 9-2 O/U off SU loss. Minnesota on a 5-2 O/U run. "Over" it is. |
|||||||
12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams UNDER 45 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
Patriots/Rams 8:20: Heavy "under" trends in this matchup and we'll go with the flow. Patriots on a 2-7 O/U run coming off a shut out of an offensively prolific Chargers' team. Belichick has had a tendency to slow down explosive offenses over his illustrious coaching career including holding these very same LA Rams to just 3 points a few Super Bowls back. On the other hand, Rams sport the #1 defense in the NFL in terms of total yards allowed and take on a now conservative run oriented New England offense with Cam Newton at the controls. Rams are 0-5 O/U last 5 home games and 0-5 O/U as home chalk. A few points of value with this total and we're going "under". |
|||||||
11-30-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 49 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
Seahawks/Eagles 8:15: Both games last season ended in 17-9 wins by Seattle. Seattle does own the worst defense in the NFL in terms of yards allowed but have shown improvement in areas including pass rush with the signing of Dunlap. Philadelphia is one of the poorer offenses they've faced this season and do play to their strength; after all, Seattle is #3 defending the run and should take away the Eagles' run game with Sanders and Scott. Eagles 0-4 O/U in last 4 games and 2-11 O/U at home vs non division conference opponent over the last 5 seasons. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
11-29-20 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 44.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
49ers/Rams 4:05: October 18th, the 49ers outdueled the Rams 24-16 in San Francisco. Garoppolo was sharp in that game but he won't play today. Nick Mullins will get the nod and surely won't instill fear in the #1 defense (in terms of yards allowed) in the NFL. Rams ball hawking secondary should keep SF offense quiet. On the other hand, SF's DC Saleh has done a great job vs McVay over the last 3 games. And having CB Richard Sherman back in action will surely help the SF secondary containing Woods and Kupp. Heavy "under" trends on SF including 2-5 O/U as a road dog. Rams are on a 1-6 O/U run and 7-19 O/U as a home favorite. Rams look to work methodically down the field with run game, boot and play action off it. SF has the defense to counter effectively. SF offense not explosive enough to gash this year's Rams' defense. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
11-26-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cowboys UNDER 46 | 41-16 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
Washington/Dallas 4:30: Washington with an underrated defense led by Jack Del Rio. They're #1 defending the pass and lately limiting explosive plays. Dallas offense surely not as dangerous with Dalton as they were with Prescott. Dallas 1-4 O/U since Prescott went down vs NYG. The Dallas defense, however, was horrific up until visiting Philadelphia. That was a game after Washington pounded the rock for 208 rush yards and 189 yards passing. Dallas has crept up the defensive standings since and should be much better today; after all, Washington does not have a vertical passing game and likes to control the clock with Alex Smith at the helm. Washington is on a 1-5 O/U run and 1-12 O/U vs division following a non-division game. Dallas is 0-6 O/U after allowing 350+ yards. We'll stay "under" here. |
|||||||
11-10-20 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo OVER 56 | 10-42 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
analysis to follow... |
|||||||
11-09-20 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 41.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
Patriots/Jets 8:15: Hard to see lots of points tonight; after all, both offenses are struggling badly. Patriots' QB Newton has just 2 TDs with 7 INTs and 1 lost fumble. He has limited weaponry with Edelman on IR and N'Keal Harry out. Jet's defense struggling on account of an offense that can't get the ball in the end zone. They average a league low 11.8 PPG and are at the bottom of virtually every offensive category. QB Darnold is listed as doubtful so Flacco, who has actually been decent, will most likely take over the controls. Problem is that he's got limited weaponry and a patchwork offensive line. Defensively, Patriots won't have C Gilmore (knee) and scattered injuries across the board; nevertheless, enough talent and coaching to ward off the pedestrian offense of the Jets. Technically, Patriots 1-10 O/U on the road vs team with losing home record. This series is 1-7 O/U. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 50.5 | Top | 38-3 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
Saints/Bucs 8:20: Thought this total would be set higher considering the trends and personnel. New Orleans has gone 7-0 O/U this season. Bucs are 6-0 O/U as a home favorite. This series has gone 5-1 O/U. The first game was a disappointment for Brady and TB; however, they've found their offensive rhythm since. Brady now connecting with his wealth of riches including Evans, Miller, Jones II, Gronk and Godwin could be available. Moreover, if that's not enough, all time vertical threat Antonio Brown is ready and that's not good news for a New Orleans' secondary that's given up an abundance of explosive plays (7 plays of 48+ yards). And the #1 TB defense looked ordinary Monday night vs the pedestrian Giants' offense, Brees will have his favorite target back - Michael Thomas to add to a solid stable of skill personnel. Both Brees (558) and Brady (559) will be competing for the all time TD mark on prime time TV. Bombs away. Over the call. |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Seahawks v. Bills OVER 55 | 34-44 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Seahawks/Bills 1:00: Decent day in Buffalo considering we're approaching the second week of November. An unseasonable 63 degrees with winds at 4 MPH; consequently, offensive football should be prevalent. Seahawks come to Buffalo with the worst defense (32nd); as a matter of fact their pass defense is the worst ever for this time of year - allowing an astounding 359 YPG! Buffalo's Josh Allen has some good skill personnel and they'll be sure to frequent the end zone. They also have a turnover problem (11) which could translate to quick Seattle points; after all, Seattle defense gives up yards and points but is opportunistic (forced 14 turnovers). On the flip side, Russell Wilson presides an offense that produces 414 YPG, completing 71% of his passes and has thrived on the long ball with Metcalf and Lockett. Buffalo defense not what it was the last few years. They're 23rd in the league in completion % allowed. Buffalo is 5-0 O/U off a SU win. Seattle 36-14 O/U vs non division in November. "Over" the call. |
|||||||
11-06-20 | BYU v. Boise State UNDER 63 | 51-17 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
BYU/Boise State 9:45: So far, BYU offense rolling but mostly against lightweight defenses. Boise defense no joke and will clearly test Zach Wilson and company. In addition, must now play on cold slippery turf tonight as the inclement weather should have an effect on offensive rhythm. Boise has a productive offense as well but faces a strong BYU defense with a strong front seven. Boise inexperienced along the offensive line could be the difference in moving the ball well. Under the call. |
|||||||
11-05-20 | Wyoming v. Colorado State UNDER 52.5 | 24-34 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
Wyoming/Colorado State 9:00: Heavy under trends for both of these teams; as a matter of fact, they're a combined 1-19 O/U in November. Both teams are more grind it out run oriented with solid defense. Rams' new HC Addazio had conservative offenses with good defenses while at Boston College and Temple. He does have a veteran defensive unit to work with this season but limited offensively. As for Wyoming, HC Bohl is 1-7 O/U off a SU win and he likes to run the rock. Valladay had 32 carries last week and should see a bulk of the offense tonight. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
10-18-20 | Broncos v. Patriots UNDER 45 | 18-12 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Broncos/Patriots 1:00: Two brilliant defensive minds - Fangio and Belichick battle it out. Extended rest should aid the defenses in this one. NE hasn't been an explosive stretch the field team this season as Cam Newton has more possession receivers than vertical threats. Well disciplined Broncos' defense limits explosive plays. On the other hand, Broncos do have Jerry Jeudy who can separate from the best defensive backs but NE secondary well disciplined as well. Broncos 0-12 O/U when O/U line 45 or greater. "Under" it is. |
|||||||
10-11-20 | Jaguars v. Texans OVER 54 | 14-30 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
Jaguars/Texans 1:00: Both of these defenses can't stop anybody. Jacksonville has given up 33, 31, 33 over their last 3 games. Houston has given up 31, 28, 33. And that's not counting September 10th when KC could have easily hung 50+ on them. Instead, ran out a lot of clock late with 34. The arms of Minshew II and Watson should go to work. This series is overdue for a high scoring game and it should come today. "Over" the call. |
|||||||
10-06-20 | Lakers v. Heat OVER 218 | 102-96 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
Lakers/Heat 9:00: Heat should have Adebayo back on the floor today. He gives the Heat energy on both ends of the floor. He's a pretty strong finisher on the glass. Lakers were a bit sluggish in Game 3 and should deliver sustainable energy for the duration here. Lakers are 9-3 O/U off a SU loss. Heat 9-4 O/U off a win of 10+ and 5-2 O/U as a dog. This playoff series has a range of 214 to 238. Based on the trends, we'll look for this one to be on the higher side of the range tonight. |
|||||||
10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 56.5 | 16-30 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
Falcons/Packers 8:50: Falcons' defense, last in the league in scoring, has given up 38, 40, 30 points for the first 3 weeks, respectively. And tonight, the Falcons' defense has 5 significant players banged up; consequently, red hot QB Rodgers and the #1 scoring offense should light up the secondary. Having All-Pro Davonte Adams (questionable) back in the fray should help tremendously to offset loss of Lazard (out). And RB Aaron Jones a big part of the GB machine. As for Atlanta, Julio Jones (hamstring) should play. Matt Ryan does manage, like Rodgers, to connect with the next man up. Ryan does have Gurley, Russell Gage, TE Hayden Hurst, and Ridley (ankle) should be good to go too. GB defense has given up its share of points this season (34, 21, 30) and like Atlanta, 3-0 O/U on the season. Heavy "over" trends for each and there still is value with the "over". |
|||||||
10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech v. BYU OVER 59.5 | 14-45 | Loss | -113 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
Louisiana Tech/BYU 9:00 pm: We should see tons of points. Both offenses are highly productive with good run games and vertical passing games. BYU's defense more sound but haven't been exposed to this well seasoned Skip Holtz offense. QB Luke Anthony can sling the ball. On the other hand, the young Bulldogs' defense should be exposed against a formidable BYU offense with a big line, good skill players - Milne and Romney- and a seasoned quarterback in Zach Wilson. "Over" the call. |
|||||||
10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets UNDER 41.5 | 37-28 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
Broncos/Jets 8:20: Both of these teams' offenses are ranked in the bottom of the NFL. Jets' QB Darnell does get back hit favorite target Crowder (hamstring) but his underachieving offensive line isn't giving him much help. Run game, like Denver's, is near the bottom of the league. Broncos' defense has many injuries along the front but picking up veteran DT Timmy Jernigan will help. On the other hand, Jets' underachieving defense should awaken under veteran DC Gregg Williams. Broncos are starting Boise State alum free agent Brett Rypien in place of ineffective Driskell. Broncos, despite their injuries, are well disciplined under head coach Fangio, who was one of the best DCs in the game. Broncos and Jets are averaging a paltry 15 and 12.3 PPG, respectively. Heavy "Under" trends of a combined 7-23-1 O/U after they allow 350+ yards. We'll look for defensive pride to take fold tonight. |
|||||||
09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns OVER 43 | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
Bengals/Browns 8:20: Browns should be able to move the football against a Bengals' defense that's thin on the defensive front; after all, Cincinnati won't have ultra dominant DT Geno Atkins roaming the Browns' backfield; moreover, his backup - Mike Daniels is out too. Mayfield has a plethora of weapons to go to including a strong run game with Chubb and Hunt. Bengals were run on vs the LAC on Sunday. We'll look for the play action game to open up as well. As for the Bengals, Joe Burrow showed on Sunday that he belongs in the NFL. And the Browns' depleted secondary (no Greedy Williams or Kevin Johnson) can be worked. Burrow has good skill weaponry with A.J. Green, Ross, Boyd and even explosive rookie Tee Higgins should get a chance to make plays. Browns' secondary not as good as the Chargers. And look for RB Mixon to be the workhorse to free up the pass game. Bengals will need to slow the charges of Browns' edge rushers Garrett and Vernon. This series went 4-0-1 O/U last 4 matchups. And the Browns are 4-0 O/U in their last 4 after scoring less than 15 points. "Over" it is. |
|||||||
09-07-20 | BYU v. Navy UNDER 48.5 | 55-3 | Loss | -102 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
BYU/Navy 8:00: Both offenses should be a bit sluggish tonight. Navy will not have the explosiveness of last year's attack led by Malcolm Perry (graduated). Dalen Morris has been getting the most reps and looks good; however, BYU has the formula to defend the vaunted triple option. The Cougars have mammoth run stoppers upfront and speedy linebackers who can fill. On the other hand, Cougars' offense will miss its top three receivers from last year and a huge loss is their TE Matt Bushman (Achilles); after all, they struggled in the red zone last year (120th out of 130 teams) and Zach Wilson will need a whole lot of magic to manufacture points; after all, Navy was good defensively last year (16th Total/ 34th scoring) and no longer a joke in the secondary. The Midshipmen have a top 40 pass defense. Technically, BYU 2-7 O/U in September and 7-15-1 O/U on road. Navy 2-7 O/U vs Independents and 2-5 O/U at home. "Under" it is. |
|||||||
08-17-20 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 231 | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
Mavericks/Clippers 9:00: On the surface, these teams look to light up the scoreboard as they did in the first matchup August 3rd putting up 237 points; however, this series has gone just 2-3 O/U in its last 5 meetings and tonight pits two defensive minded coaches come playoff time. They've had time to scout strengths and weaknesses. Carlisle and Rivers should find ways to keep their opposing stars off balance. Mavericks are just 2-5 O/U on 3+ days rest. LA 2-8 O/U as a favorite. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
08-14-20 | Indians v. Tigers UNDER 9 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -118 | 1 h 1 m | Show |
 Indians/Tigers 7:10: Indians' bats (30th ranked) not delivering the wins for Cleveland; however, pitching and defense (#1 ranked) is for them. Aaron Civale, who's looking sharp thus far, dominated the Tigers to the tune 3 ER over 20 2/3 IP last season. On the other hand, Ivan Nova for Detroit, has some juice left and should hurl a decent game against the struggling Indians' lineup. Nova sports a 4.24 ERA in 7 starts vs Cleveland. Both teams experiencing heavy "under" trends including this series which has gone "under" in 5 straight and 1-3-1 O/U in Detroit. "Under" it is. |
|||||||
08-13-20 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-11 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Padres/Dodgers 9:40: Two pretty good starters take the mound tonight. Paddack sports a 3.18 ERA and did a good job on August 3rd vs Los Angeles allowing 3 runs over 6 innings to capture the win. His counterpart, Julio Urias controls a 2.40 ERA on the year and a 1.76 ERA vs San Diego. Dodgers' bats have cooled off a bit since that early season surge but their defense remains spot on which accounts for heavy "under" trends this season. SD not consistent in scoring but does have a better than normal lineup. Urias and that LA bullpen tough to get runs on especially in this pitchers' park. Series is 1-4 O/U and 2-10 O/U in the last 12 in Los Angeles. "Under" it is. |
|||||||
07-31-20 | Rangers v. Giants UNDER 8 | 2-9 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
Rangers/Giants 9:10: Both of tonight's starters looked good in their first starts of the season. Minor has historically done well vs the Giants with a 2.41 ERA; moreover, in SF he sports a 1.88 ERA covering 2 starts. His counterpart will likely be Logan Webb who allowed only 1 ER in 4 innings vs the red hot bats of the Dodgers. Texas is batting a meager .181 as a team and driving in a paltry 2.6 RPG. Texas is 1-6 O/U in interleague play and 2-10-1 in last 13 on road. SF just 3-8 O/U vs ALW. Series in SF is 1-5 O/U. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
07-31-20 | Indians v. Twins UNDER 9 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
Indians/Twins 8:10: Indians winning games on defense (#2) on a 1-6 O/U run. Clevinger looked sharp in his debut and should fluster the Twins' lineup. He's 2-1 with a 2.39 ERA in his last 4 starts vs Minnesota. He faces a Twins' lineup that's turning in runs but batting .225 as a team. Twins counter with Dobnak who also looked good in his debut. He sports a 2.45 ERA in 3 starts - all last season - vs Cleveland. With this series at an amazing 18-40-2 O/U in its last 60 games, "under" it is. |
|||||||
03-11-20 | Kansas State v. TCU UNDER 126 | 53-49 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Kansas State/TCU 9:30: Both of these teams struggle mightily on the offensive end of the floor. You'll find both teams at the bottom of the Big 12 in scoring; on the other hand, defensively is where each team is respectable limiting opposition to roughly 65 PPG. And remember, these teams face some pretty good offensive opposition in the league, including Baylor and Kansas. However, when they face each other, it's usually an ugly defensive battle. Over their last 7 matchups, the average scoring output was 123.3 PPG with a range of 116 to 131. There was an OT game that reached 130 included. With limited offensive weaponry, on a neutral floor in tournament basketball, we'll stay "under". |
|||||||
03-09-20 | St. Mary's v. BYU OVER 145 | 51-50 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
03-04-20 | Xavier v. Providence OVER 132.5 | 74-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Xavier/Providence 6:30: Kind of surprised this "total" is set this low. The last four games in this series played at Providence have averaged 142.5 points with a range of 136 to 153. You throw out the 153 (high) and you still have a significantly higher number in 139 as an average. Xavier most likely won't have one of their solid defenders tonight - Scruggs, which adds some point value. "Over" the call. |
|||||||
03-03-20 | Mississippi State v. South Carolina OVER 146.5 | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
Miss State/S. Carolina 6:30: I see a few more points of value with the "over" here. Both teams are "over" heavy for the season and this series has gone 4-1 O/U over the last 5 meetings. SC HC Martin misses Minaya (thumb) who not only did some good things on the wing offensively but was a very good defender. Miss State has an efficient offense this season under Howland; however, defensively, on the road the Bulldogs have given up 83 (Ole Miss), 77 (Arkansas) and 87 to Texas A&M which incidentally ranks at the bottom of the SEC in scoring. We'll look for a higher scoring game here. |
|||||||
02-25-20 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma UNDER 138.5 | 51-65 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
Texas Tech/Oklahoma 9:00pm: This series has gone "under" in 4 of the last 5 meetings including the earlier season win by TT. It's that time of year when defenses have to lock in and Chris Beard is one of the great defensive minded coaches who will have his men prepared to handle the Sooners' sharp shooters (Doolittle, Manek, Reaves). Oklahoma's HC Kruger no slouch on the defensive side either but personnel has dictated his team's play the last few seasons - more on the offensive; however, Tech not a great shooting team and will need to lock down, create turnovers with transition buckets. Both teams on the plus side in turnover margin and this should be another defensive battle on this neutral floor (Oklahoma City Thunder's floor). "Under' the call. |
|||||||
02-13-20 | Drexel v. William & Mary OVER 138.5 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Drexel/William & Mary 7:00: Both teams have heavy "under" trends not because of great defense but sluggish outings against good defensive teams in their league. Both of these teams are below average defensively. This series, however, is 2-1 O/U at W&M and this is where the value comes to play. In the last 6 games of this series the range has been 141 to 193 with a mean of 158 PPG. Both teams average around 70 PPG yet struggle on the defensive end. We have a few points value with the "over" here and we'll take it! |
|||||||
02-12-20 | Bucknell v. Navy UNDER 131 | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
analysis to follow... |
|||||||
01-11-20 | Vikings v. 49ers UNDER 44.5 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
|||||||
01-03-20 | Ohio v. Nevada OVER 58.5 | 30-21 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
Ohio/Nevada 3:30: Hard to pick a side here considering that each team has been poor defensively. Sure, Ohio crushed offensive lightweights Akron and Bowling Green down the stretch of the regular season but that was surely not indicative of how their defense played all season. They, like Nevada gave up nearly 6 yards per play. And with the light schedule Ohio played, to finish 6-6 is no accomplishment. Solich, however, can take solace in knowing he has a capable QB in Nathan Rourke. He put up good numbers including a 20:5 TD:INT ratio. Solich also has his usual potent ground game (216.5 YPG) that's ranked 22nd nationally. Ohio U should move the football up and down the field on a gutted Nevada defense that's without direction. Nevada had multiple defensive suspensions with 3 key starters out in NG Sekong, S Arnold, and their best C Brown (4 INTs). Their starting LB Sewell will miss the first half. And Nevada HC Norvell already fired his DC Casteel along with 2 assistants. As for Nevada's offense. They rank in the lower tier of the NCAA but can put up points against this Ohio U defense. QB Carson Strong has some weaponry and a decent offensive line. Points at a discount on this blue turf today. Over the call. |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Browns v. Bengals OVER 43 | 23-33 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Browns/Bengals 1:00: Browns really started to struggle defensively when they lost DE Myles Garrett for the season. Their pass rush never was the same and today, I don't see them shaking QB Dalton. Bengals' are 4-1 O/U following scoring 35+; moreover, they're 5-1 O/U after allowing 350+ yards. Browns will lean on RB Chubb to continue eclipse the 1500 yard rushing mark and open up the pass game for Mayfield. He should do fine even without OBJ (injured). This series is 6-2 O/U in Cincinnati. Cincinnati has secured the #1 pick in the draft regardless of the outcome. We'll look for a higher scoring affair. |
|||||||
12-28-19 | Oklahoma v. LSU OVER 75.5 | 28-63 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
Oklahoma/LSU 4:00: Both offenses dynamic and explosive as Oklahoma drops 43 PPG on its opponents while LSU hangs nearly 48 PPG on theirs. Oklahoma will be missing some key defensive personnel including their top pass rusher Perkins. That's all Oklahoma needs, allowing Heisman winner Joe Burrow more time to connect with his super athletic receivers. Sure, LSU's Clyde Edwards-Helaire (hamstring) may not be at his best but LSU is equipped with enough offensive skill depth behind one of the best offensive lines in the country to continue the offensive juggernaut. Defensively, however, LSU has been generous to teams in the red zone allowing to convert points on 59% of attempts; surely, Lincoln Riley's #2 offense in the nation behind big game seasoned QB Hurts will find ways to get in the end zone. He's got a multitude of weapons to work with including Ceedee Lamb. Oklahoma 6-2-1 O/U as a dog. LSU 5-1-1 O/U vs non-conference. Over it is. |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Jaguars v. Raiders OVER 47 | 20-16 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Jaguars/Raiders 4:05: Both of these defenses are nearly non-existent over the last few weeks. Makes way for a shoot out with Minshew III and Carr. Jaguars are allowing tons of yardage on the ground and Raiders' RB Jacobs (shoulder) is begging to get back on the field for this one. Heavy "over" trends for both teams and this series is 4-1 O/U. Over the call. |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Dolphins v. Giants OVER 45 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 102 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
Dolphins/Giants 1:00: Offense should be at a discount today in East Rutherford. With a reasonable December forecast in the offing, gunslingers Fitzpatrick and Manning should be airing it out vs vulnerable secondaries. Fitzpatrick will have Parker and Wilson - both cleared - to operate with against a Giants' secondary - now missing CB Jenkins (released) - that's been torched repeatedly. Giants defense ranks in the bottom tier in yards and points allowed. And Eli Manning still has some juice with a healthy Barkley, Golden Tate and newfound weapon Darius Slayton helping him out. Should find plenty of green grass leading to the end zone vs a Dolphins' defense dead last in points allowed. Giants 5-1 O/U after scoring less than 15 points. These teams are a combined 15-5 O/U off a SU loss. "Over" easy. |
|||||||
12-14-19 | Gonzaga v. Arizona OVER 151.5 | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles OVER 44.5 | 17-23 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
Giants/Eagles 8:15: This series has gone "over" in 6 of the last 7 meetings and I expect another high scoring game here. Eli Manning returns and there might be a bit more magic left; after all, he's got some decent receivers to go to in Golden Tate and Darius Slayton along with now healthy RB Barkley. He faces a Philly defense that struggles against the pass. And remember, the Dolphins hung 37 on them last week. As for the Giants' defense, Wentz and company should thrash them. Giants haven't stopped any team worth note all season. They allow 28.3 PPG - bottom tier of NFL. Giants are 7-1 O/U on the road and 5-1 O/U after scoring less than 15 points previously. "Over" easy. |
|||||||
12-06-19 | Clippers v. Bucks OVER 232.5 | 91-119 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Clippers/Bucks 8:35: This series has gone "over" in 4 of the last 5 contests; moreover, 5-0 O/U at Milwaukee. Clippers gladly run with teams who like to run. Clippers are 7-1 O/U vs teams above .500. With all of the top guns healthy locked, loaded and well rested, we'll look for this one to bust "over" the total. |
|||||||
12-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors OVER 230 | 119-109 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
12-04-19 | South Carolina v. Massachusetts UNDER 141 | Top | 84-80 | Loss | -114 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
South Carolina/U Mass 7:00: Both of these teams are offensively challenged to a degree. SC struggles to put up points against winning teams and relies on sound defense, forcing turnovers to manufacture points. Frank Martin doesn't have that gifted go-to scorer. Lawson is the Gamecocks' leading scorer and Kotsar has recently shown promise. The Minutemen rely mostly on G T.J. Weeks to generate points. Both teams guard the 3 point line well at around 27%, yet don't have that pin point accurate 3 point shooter to do any damage in the first place. SC is 2-6 O/U vs the Atlantic 10 and this total is slightly higher than it should be. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
11-27-19 | Dayton v. Kansas OVER 147 | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
Dayton/Kansas 5:00: Dayton is the #1 FG% team in the nation shooting a ridiculous 56%. And they've taken on some pretty stiff competition. But defensively, they rank a dismal 282 in the land. Kansas has the talent to match points and can run the floor with the best of them. Kansas 4-1 O/U vs Atlantic 10 whereas Dayton 11-1 O/U in non-conference play. Over the call. |
|||||||
11-26-19 | Wichita State v. South Carolina UNDER 132.5 | 70-47 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
Wichita State/S. Carolina 6:00: Heavy "under" trends on Wichita State as they're locking down opponents to the tune of 58 PPG. The Shockers have not allowed a team to shoot 40% this season. On the flip side, defensive minded South Carolina is holding foes to 59.4 PPG. Martin's boys are once again hustling defensively but offensively challenged. SC shooting just 42% from the floor and a feeble 27% from 3 point range. On the neutral court in Cancun, we'll look for brick city here. |
|||||||
11-14-19 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh UNDER 50 | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
North Carolina/Pittsburgh 8:00: This has generally been a high scoring affair between the teams; however, NC's former HC Fedora ran a no huddle offense with limited success putting tremendous pressure on the defense which resulted in a defensive collapse late. This season, Mack Brown has slowed the tempo down allowing brilliant new DC Jay Bateman (adjusted to opposing defenses TDs just 23 PPG) to work magic with his unit. Pittsburgh went to a more wide open offense this year but borderline successful. Pittsburgh's defense, however, is a sack happy bunch that is stingy giving up yards. NC's QB has been sacked frequently this year (3.2 sacks per game!). NC 2-8 O/U on Thursdays. Pittsburgh with heavy "under" trends. |
|||||||
11-12-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron UNDER 47.5 | 42-14 | Loss | -118 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan/Akron 6:00: This game was moved up a few hours due to inclement weather in Akron. Double-digit winds and sleet do not make way for points. Neither does a Zips offense that cranks out a miniscule 10 PPG! Akron has major offensive line concerns. The Zips can't run the football (1.9 YPC) and QB Kato Nelson can't get the ball downfield because he's been sacked a whopping 40X! Akron is 1-5 O/U off a bye week. Eastern Michigan's ground game is not the greatest at 99 YPG and QB Mike Glass III won't have favorable conditions to get the ball to his pretty good receiving corps. We'll look for this one to stay Under. |
|||||||
11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 47 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
Seahawks/49ers 8:15: Both teams have their share of weaknesses defensively and we should see them emerge tonight. Seattle's defense leaves much to be desired vs the run and through the air. Meanwhile, the 49ers' defense is rock solid but allows lots of yardage on the ground; consequently, that should ignite a Seahawks' offense that thrives on play action with Wilson. We'll look for a night with explosive plays. Seahawks 13-5 O/U in their last 18 games. They're 8-2 O/U on the road vs a team .500 or greater. SF has gone Over in 8 of their last 11 against winning teams. And this series has gone "over" in 5 of the last 7 . "Over" it is. |
|||||||
11-05-19 | Ball State v. Western Michigan OVER 63.5 | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Ball State/Western Michigan 8:00: Both teams have strong ground games yet both can't stop the run. WM run stop unit allows a generous 171 YPG whereas BS allows 161. Competent QBs, strong run games, and experienced offensive lines make way for an "over". This series has gone 4-1 O/U in its last 5 meetings. Broncos 6-0 O/U off a bye week. Ball State 6-1 O/U in November. Over it is. |
|||||||
11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants OVER 48 | 37-18 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
10-27-19 | Eagles v. Bills UNDER 41 | 31-13 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Eagles/Bills 1:00: Inclement weather should be a driving force coupled with a pair of teams with limited offensive firepower. Rain is forecasted along with 21 MPH wins in Orchard Park. Bills aren't a juggernaut offensively (22nd scoring points) but do bring the 3rd ranked defense to the field. Philadelphia is struggling offensively (23rd) and turnovers have been an issue. This series is 1-4 O/U in its last 5 meetings and Bills are on a 1-5 O/U run. Eagles 2-5 O/U on the road. "Under" the call. |
|||||||
10-20-19 | Ravens v. Seahawks OVER 48 | 30-16 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
10-15-19 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
10-11-19 | Virginia v. Miami-FL UNDER 43.5 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Virginia/Miami-Fla 8:00: This series has gone 1-4 O/U in its last 5. I expect another lower scoring game primarily on account of Miami's QB issues. They're unable to manufacture points consistently and still undecided on who is the starter. As impressive as backup QB Perry coming of the bench to torch V Tech for 400+, he's green in a lot of areas - as exhibited last year vs Virginia. This season, the 'Canes face a Top 10 defense which plays the pass well. On the other hand, defensive minded HC Diaz upset with last week's performance vs V Tech. I expect a better defensive effort tonight. Virginia has offensive line issues - ND ravaged them up front - and Virginia won't have an easy time moving the football. These teams are a combined 4-14 O/U in October. "Under" it is. |
|||||||
10-09-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 7.5 | 13-1 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
09-29-19 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 42 | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Patriots/Bills 1:00: Both of these teams have demonstrated strong defensive efforts despite the weakness in the teams they've played. Patriots with Belichick as the architect and signal caller of this year's defense, has not allowed an offensive TD in 3 games! Buffalo's offense is clearly not a juggernaut but has been productive. Patriots' defense has shut down the run early against all opponents and I expect them to do the same here before they tear into QB Josh Allen. On the other hand, Buffalo picked up where they left off last year with strong defensive effort in all 3 games. They'll have their hands full but Brady has some targets dinged up and even Brady is hobbling on a injured calf. NE is now 4-11 O/U in their last 15 games. Buffalo is on a 1-5 O/U run and this series is 2-5 O/U. Under it is.  |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Central Florida v. Pittsburgh UNDER 61 | Top | 34-35 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
UCF/Pittsburgh 3:30: UCF is rolling coming in to Pittsburgh knowing they're undefeated and with the thought of a 45-14 waxing last year of Pitt in Florida. UCF posting 600+ yards a game with freshman QB Gabriel at helm as everything is going their way. But hold everything. Pittsburgh's HC Narduzzi is one of the great defensive minds in college football and very dangerous with revenge; as a matter of fact, 7-1 ATS in revenge mode vs opponent off SU/ATS win. He's also 2-10-1 O/U off a SU loss. And for all the points UCF puts up, they're 2-7 O/U after scoring 40+. Moreover, they're heavily tilted towards "under" because of their strong defense as well. Pitt should play them tough here in a lower scoring game. Big play on "under" and even tread lightly on Pitt (+11). |
|||||||
09-16-19 | Browns v. Jets UNDER 45.5 | Top | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
Browns/Jets 8:15: Both defenses respectable and should stall out offenses that are searching for game. Former Browns' DC Gregg Williams who is now the Jets' DC is still bitter in not being retained as Browns' HC and not a fan of current Browns' HC Kitchens who released him. We'll look for Williams to dial up successful schemes to limit the Browns' struggling offense. Browns are 1-9 O/U off a double-digit loss at home. On the other side of the ball, Jets' QB Darnold (mono) is out and replacement is former Denver QB Trevor Siemian who never put up big numbers while in Denver. Gase should take a conservative approach with him. "Under" it is. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Saints v. Rams OVER 52 | 9-27 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Saints/Rams 4:25: Unimpressed with the Saints' defense which regressed from a year ago. They gave up nearly 8 yards per play to Houston last Monday. Today, Rams' QB Goff and his explosive weaponry should be more in rhythm against a softer defense. On the flip side, Brees looked sharp with his set of weapons and that should carry over here against a Wade Phillips' defense that looked less fierce in Week 1 than a year ago. Saints exploded for 510 yards on the Texans. Saints are 7-2 O/U in September and 13-6 O/U in Week 2. Rams have gone 5-1 O/U in their last 6 home games. This series is 8-3 O/U. "Over" the call. |
|||||||
09-06-19 | Marshall v. Boise State OVER 56.5 | 7-14 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
08-20-19 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 10 | 7-8 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Colorado/Arizona 9:40: At first glance, an "over" seems to be the call based on the bloated ERAs both of today's starters exhibit; however, a further look reveals some heavy under trends to support a lower scoring game. Freeland, who gets lit up routinely at Coors, sports a 25-51-5 O/U mark in his career; moreover, 3-8-1 O/U in his last 12 road starts where his ERA is over a run less than when he's at home. Sure, Arizona lit him up like a torch at Coors in 3 starts this season, but the D'Backs also produce just 4.8 RPG at Chase Field. On the other hand, Arizona's starter Alex Young is better at home and 0-4 O/U vs the NLW. Colorado is 3-12-2 O/U vs lefty starters and 2-7 O/U on the road vs lefty starters. Furthermore, Rockies are an amazing 17-41-2 O/U on Tuesdays. This series is 0-4 O/U in Arizona and we'll grab the value with the "under". |
|||||||
08-16-19 | White Sox v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
08-04-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Boston/NYY 7:05: Both of these teams are trending in heavy "over" play. Collectively, they're 15-5 O/U in their last 20 games. Price has not fared well at Yankee stadium. In his last 5 starts there, he sports a lofty 8.59 ERA / 1.96 WHIP. All 5 of those starts went "over". On the other hand, Happ did well vs Boston at Yankee Stadium May 31st yielding just 1 run for the win; however, he's been hit hard over his last 3 starts and Boston can drive in runs vs lefties. Bo Sox are on a 23-9 O/U run in their last 32 games. We'll look for an "over" here. |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.