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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-26-15 | Virginia Tech v. East Carolina +10 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
For East Carolina, WR Jones will be an extremely valuable asset in this game, Isaiah Jones has shown excellent concentration especially in his receiving routes. EC has a strong home field, where in the last 3 years under 6th year HC McNeill, they are 16-3 SU with only losses to UCF by 2, VA Tech by 5 (last time here in 2013) and Navy which they struggled to prepare for their option. With extra value in the line, look for the Pirates to bounce back in a game they can take to the wire as QB Kemp has admirably replaced 4 year starter Carden in putting up 300 PYPG. Look for another close game here in EC. 5* |
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09-26-15 | New Mexico -3.5 v. Wyoming | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-21-15 | NY Jets v. Indianapolis Colts -6.5 | Top | 20-7 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Andrew Luck simply does not lose back to back games. He has a great record coming off of a loss and the Jets will be without number 2 corner Cromartie. The Colts will play better on both sides of the ball in this one and they will have a huge boost from the home crowd in the home opener on MNF. The Colts are 18-3 ATS in their last 21 games after a loss and 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts are hoping their second matchup with an AFC East foe goes better than the first. Playing at home should provide an added lift for the Colts, who will try to rebound from a season-opening drubbing in Buffalo when they host the New York Jets on Monday night. Play the Indianapolis Colts -7 with confidence Monday night as Luck should bounce back with a big night on MNF. 5* |
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09-20-15 | Miami Dolphins v. Jacksonville Jaguars +6.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-20-15 | Atlanta Falcons v. NY Giants -2 | 24-20 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
3* |
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09-20-15 | St Louis Rams v. Washington Redskins +4 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-20-15 | San Francisco 49ers v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6 | Top | 18-43 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
With 10 days to prepare, the Pittsburgh Steelers play their home opener after losing last Thursday against the Patriots. SF is on the short week playing late on MNF plus traveling to the east coast. Even though the Steelers lost 28-21, they outgained the Patriots by 103 yards. New England lost the stats by a 464-to-361 margin, proving the Steelers offense looks dynamic. Mike Tomlin usually bounces back strong with extra time to game plan. The Steelers have enjoyed a lot of success at home when playing the NFC West. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS at home against NFC West teams in his career. Pittsburgh has scored 30 or more points in five of their last six home games. The Steelers actually could have won the game late. I just do not like the SF team this year and I look for Pittsburgh to even up their record at 1-1 with a big win on Sunday afternoon at home. 10* |
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09-19-15 | BYU v. UCLA -16.5 | 23-24 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-19-15 | Ole Miss +9 v. Alabama | 43-37 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-19-15 | Iowa State +7.5 v. Toledo | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 21 h 60 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-19-15 | Stanford +9.5 v. USC | 41-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-17-15 | Clemson v. Louisville +6.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
ACC Football takes over this Thursday night as the Louisville Cardinals host the no. 11 Clemson Tigers inside Papa John’s Stadium. Louisville has suffered two straight close losses to start the season including a tough match to open the season against no. 6 Auburn. This week the Cardinals continue the search for that first win with their 3rd straight home contest. Meanwhile the Clemson Tigers have got off to a quick 2-0 start as the 11th ranked team in the land. However, the Tigers have beaten the likes of Wofford and Appalachian State meaning this week’s Thursday night battle on the road in Louisville will be their first true test of the year. Everyone knew that Louisville coach Bobby Petrino was going to have his hands full this year after losing the most starters in the ACC and the 3rd most starters in all of college football from last year’s team. Louisville will be too much to handle in this game on both sides of the ball as a 7 pr home dog. This is a nice rebound spot for the Cardinals and they win big on Thursday night. 5* |
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09-13-15 | NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys -6 | 26-27 | Loss | -101 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
3* |
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09-13-15 | New Orleans Saints +2.5 v. Arizona Cardinals | 19-31 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-13-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. St Louis Rams +4.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-13-15 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Houston Texans +1 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Both the Jets and Browns had the misfortune of learning their potential starting quarterback wouldn't be available for the season opener because of injury - Cleveland's Johnny Manziel because of elbow tendinitis, and the Jets Geno Smith because of injuries suffered when he was punched in the face. The Browns, who saw an inspiring 7-4 start last season fade with five straight losses, shored up quite a few weak spots. They added receivers Dwayne Bowe and Brian Hartline in free agency, and drafted speedy running back Duke Johnson out of Miami. I honestly like this Browns team and their defense and special teams are strong too. They also drafted Cameron Erving to boost their offensive line. The Jets (4-12 last year) brought in a new head coach in Todd Bowles, whose subtle approach appears a welcome change from the circus-like atmosphere surrounding his predecessor, Rex Ryan. Ryan Fitzpatrick is decent but he turns the ball over a lot. I'll take the 3.5 points with the Browns. 10* |
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09-13-15 | Cleveland Browns +3.5 v. NY Jets | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Both the Jets and Browns had the misfortune of learning their potential starting quarterback wouldn't be available for the season opener because of injury - Cleveland's Johnny Manziel because of elbow tendinitis, and the Jets Geno Smith because of injuries suffered when he was punched in the face. The Browns, who saw an inspiring 7-4 start last season fade with five straight losses, shored up quite a few weak spots. They added receivers Dwayne Bowe and Brian Hartline in free agency, and drafted speedy running back Duke Johnson out of Miami. I honestly like this Browns team and their defense and special teams are strong too. They also drafted Cameron Erving to boost their offensive line. The Jets (4-12 last year) brought in a new head coach in Todd Bowles, whose subtle approach appears a welcome change from the circus-like atmosphere surrounding his predecessor, Rex Ryan. Ryan Fitzpatrick is decent but he turns the ball over a lot. I'll take the 3.5 points with the Browns. |
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09-12-15 | Temple v. Cincinnati -6.5 | 34-26 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-12-15 | Pittsburgh -11 v. Akron | Top | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
This is a very good Pitt team and one that no ones talks about. Akron did an outstanding job of slowing down the Sooners rushing attack, but struggled in the air. That got battered and bruised up good in that game. Look for the Pittsburgh Panthers to roll here and cover this double-digit line easily. 5* |
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09-12-15 | Iowa -3 v. Iowa State | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-12-15 | Oregon State v. Michigan -14.5 | Top | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show |
The Wolverines had to deal with all the first game pressures and played a tough Utah team on the road. Now with the extra rest and time to prepare for this game and play a much weaker Oregon State team who has a new coach this year and will be playing it's first road game of the season and doing do so with a true freshman quarterback. Oregon State doesn't move the ball well in the air. I expect Michigan QB Jake Rudock to adjust and not make the mistakes he made throwing 3 picks like he did against Utah. WR Amara Darboh will be tough to handle. Lastly, Oregon State is also playing what amounts to a start time of 9 a.m. PST here in this one here on the road very start on Saturday. Look for Michigan to come out strong and not look back as they have the better offense, defense and special teams in this battle. 10* |
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09-10-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. New England Patriots -7 | Top | 21-28 | Push | 0 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Tom Brady will have his team fired up for this NFL opening kickoff game on Thursday night. The Patriots will take advantage of the poor play of the Steelers defense and secondary. They lost their coordinator and several playmakers on their defense. The Steelers will also be without stud RB L Bell. Look for the Patriots to be super motivated after court decided to give him a pass from Deflategate. I expect Gronk to have a big night as well. 5* |
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09-06-15 | Purdue +7 v. Marshall | 31-41 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-05-15 | Arizona State v. Texas A&M -3 | Top | 17-38 | Win | 101 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
If Texas A&M wins its season opener for the third year in a row Saturday night, they'll need to control the ball. The Sun Devils may be out of their element in Texas versus a team that will be highly motivated to reverse course from last year. The Aggies dropped five of eight down the stretch, wasting a 5-0 start. Gone from A&M is quarterback Kenny Hill, who broke Johnny Manziel's single-game passing record in his very first start with 511 yards against South Carolina. His replacement, Kyle Allen, took over after the losing streak and ended up winning Liberty Bowl MVP honors as a true freshman. In that game, A&M beat West Virginia 45-37 as a 3.5-point underdog. Allen was actually a higher-rated recruit than Hill coming out of high school. I think Allen will torch the Sun Devils as Texas A&M has a ton of weapons on offense and the fans to back them in this game. Aggies by 10 here on ESPN Saturday night. |
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09-05-15 | Kent State v. Illinois -13 | 3-52 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-05-15 | Stanford v. Northwestern +11.5 | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-04-15 | Charlotte v. Georgia State -7 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
This is the first year in this conference for Charlotte U. They are undersized and are coming into this game with last minute changes to their QB position. Their team is built of inexperienced sophomores and Juniors. Georgia St. defensive line is stronger, and their backfield is loaded with depth. I expect Geo St to keep the ball on the ground and pounding which will open up the passing game and they should win by double digits here on Friday afternoon. 5* |
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09-03-15 | TCU -16.5 v. Minnesota | 23-17 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
4* |
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09-03-15 | Michigan v. Utah -4.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
I know Harbaugh will turn the Wolverines around but it will take time for players to learn his system and also for him to get the right guys there. I think Kyle Whittingham is one of the best coaches in CFB that no one outside of Utah talks about. Best special teams in the country and they are tough at home. The Utes are a rugged and fast team, and have steadily advanced in the Pac-12. Last season, their fourth in the conference, they posted their first winning record in Pac-12 play with a 5-4 mark. They ended up 9-4 overall, topping their season with a 45-10 rout of Colorado State in the Las Vegas Bowl. Utah returns an excellent dual-threat quarterback in Travis Wilson, and one of the best running backs in the country in Devontae Booker. Last season, the Utes went to the Big House and clobbered a listless Michigan team 26-10. Utah has a solid defense and a very tough pass rusher in Hunter Dimick. Altitude won't even need to be a factor but it will be. Utes rolled last year at Big House 26-10. I see more of the same here on Thursday night. UTAH by 17. 10* OPENING BLAST |
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02-01-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. New England Patriots -1 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 290 h 19 m | Show |
I am starting to wonder how long this game will remain a pick'em, so I want to give it out before we lose any more value. I believe the Pats and Brady come up with a game plan that can take advantage of the questionable health of the Seahawks secondary. I look for Brady to pick apart the middle of the field with Gronk and a combo of Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola on crossing routes. Russell Wilson is not playing to his full capability and making a lot of poor decisions with his passes. NE and Brady can spread you out and also attack you with 2 solid RB's. I like NE to win this years SUPER BOWL.
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01-18-15 | Indianapolis Colts +7 v. New England Patriots | Top | 7-45 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 23 m | Show |
Indianapolis had a great year and had a cold stretch 2/3 of the way thru the season, but are clicking again.
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01-12-15 | Ohio State v. Oregon -6 | Top | 42-20 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
On New Year’s Day, the Ducks pounded FSU 59-20 with one of their most complete performances of the year. At halftime, Oregon held just a slim 18-13 lead. However the Ducks offense, which is built for speed, quickly turned the game into a blowout in the 3rd quarter by scoring 27 points in the first 13 minutes of the 2nd half. Osu better be ready to run on Monday because, those FSU linemen were totally gassed 3 plays into the 3rd quarter. The Ducks offense consistently blew away Florida State’s talented defense with 639 total yards and 301 yards on the ground. The Ducks offense has been clicking and posted incredible numbers against opponents. In fact, the Ducks have scored a minimum of 42 points in each of their last 9 games while covering the spread in each of their last 9 games as well. Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota threw for 338 yards with two scores against Florida State while he ran for 62 yards with another touchdown. Mariota is the heart of this Oregon offense and Ohio State must do a good job of getting pressure on him as they did against Blake Sims. Otherwise, it is going to be a long night. The difference in this year’s Oregon team is not on the offensive side of the ball, but rather their defense has been really good. I think the Ducks defense is the difference in this game as I think they'll hold Ohio St to FG's and not TD's and the Ducks will pull away in the 2nd half as 10 days is not enough time for Ohio St to prep for this explosive Ducks team. Oregon wins by 14-22 points in a high scoring game! 5* BEST BET CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER! |
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01-11-15 | Dallas Cowboys +6 v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
Dallas main key here today will be keeping Rodgers off the field as much as possible. The Cowboys should bring pressure on the injuried Rodgers this afternoon. I expect the Cowboys offensive line to play better and we'll see a lot of DeMarco Murray, all day long, They obviously have been a great scoring team, regardless of the defense they have played all season. And for those who question, for what could be a pretty good linebacking unit, Rolando McClain was the key ingredient for the Boys, him being questionable is a certain worry. I also look for a big game from Witten and Dez Bryant and other receivers have been the bulk of their scoring plays. The calf injury to Aaron Rodgers is not to be taken lightly. He's a mobile QB that likes to get out of the pocket and buy some extra time. Additionally, the Dallas defenders know exactly where the injury is and may put their helmets in that area as they hit him. He only took 50% of the reps at practice this week so he might be rusty with 2 weeks off. Dallas has been very good on the road this year and so has Romo. Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road and I'll back them as a nice dog on Sunday. 5* |
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01-10-15 | Carolina Panthers v. Seattle Seahawks -11 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
4* |
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01-10-15 | Baltimore Ravens v. New England Patriots -7 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
I love the Patriots coming off a BYE here on Saturday afternoon at home. Their offense has been unstoppable and their defense has been tough. NE also played a very tough schedule and I expect them to put a lot of pressure on Flacco. Baltimore has consistently struggled against the Pass this yearand look for New England who took a beating in the last few years' playoffs run to finally step up here and do well. The Ravens are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win and the Patriots to their credit are 8-0 ATS intheir last 8 home games when facing a team with a winning road record and the Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. New England is coming in off a useless loss vs Buffalo, that meant nothing to them, so they will be good and rested coming into this matchup. They have been like machines, and have been excellent on 3rd down, all season long, keeping drives going. New England is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning road record. The Pats have a great secondary with Revis & Browner who have the certain ability to shut-down any top ended WR in the league, Look for Brady - Gronk and company to get a double digit win at home here Saturday afternoon. 10* NFL PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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01-04-15 | Cincinnati Bengals +4 v. Indianapolis Colts | Top | 10-26 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
Cincinnati has a surprising top end running game, and the emergence of Jeremy Hill has been great for Bengals fans. The Colts offense has been dead over the past month. |
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01-03-15 | Baltimore Ravens +4 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
Baltimore, of course, moves the ball on the ground excellently with Forsett. They have a strong defensive front stopping the run, only giving up 3.6/carry. The Ravens have largely been forgotten about this year despite their 10-6 record. They have a veteran QB with Joe Flacco while the Steelers will be without their #1 RB Bell. Baltimore's secondary will have a better game with Bell out of the game as they'll be able to focus on the Steelers WR's and TE more. Look for the Ravens defense get real aggressive and come up with some key stops. I expect to be a very hard hitting, brutal game that we seem to always expect when they play, close playoff game here, Ravens with the points. I like the Ravens +3 to win this one outright on Saturday night! |
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01-03-15 | Arizona Cardinals v. Carolina Panthers -4.5 | Top | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
5* Arizona have been awful, losers of 4 of their last 6 games. And obviously have serious QB issues to deal with. Carolina comes in running the ball well and Cam Newton on a mission. They are playing some great ball, winners of 4 straight and they have gotten hot at the right time, obviously. As well as beating 2 teams with strong offenses, New Orleans and Atlanta. O dont trust Arizona with Lindley here. Its a QB league this year and Newton is worlds better than Lindly. The Panthers defense has also been tough just surrendering an average of 10.8 points during the winning streak and limiting Atlanta to a season-low three points in last week's division clincher. Look for Kelvin Benjamin and tight end Greg Olsen to have big games today. |
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01-02-15 | Oklahoma State v. Washington -7 | 30-22 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
4* |
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01-02-15 | UCLA v. Kansas State +2 | Top | 40-35 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Kansas State lost 3 games this season, all to teams who were ranked no lower than 6th. In other words, only elite teams have been able to subdue the Wildcats this season. Kansas State's Jake Waters looks to continue the strong finish to his college career, having completed 73.9 percent of his passes for an average of 331.3 yards in his last three games. The dual-threat quarterback has thrown for 3,163 yards and 20 touchdowns with six interceptions while rushing for 471 yards and eight scores. Kansas State’s offesnse relies heavily on the pass, not that they can’t run the ball, as Charles Jones and DeMarcus Robinson have been productive in spots. Jones has 13 TD runs on just 521 yards rushing. Waters himself has run it in 8 times. But at under 4 yards per run team-wide, their strength is the aerial attack, with dynamic Tyler Lockett and Curry Sexton. Lockett has 1351 yards on 91 catches, while Sexton has 955 yards receiving. Both players are top-notch and very dependable. Defensively, Kansas State is pretty tough. They allowed only an average of 21.8 points per game, while being particularly stout against the run, allowing an average of 124 yards per game. When averaging 36 points per game offensively, I like them as a small dog here. Kansas St is well coached by Synder.K-State is just as physical as Stanford. This is NOT a good matchup for the Bruins. K-State does not beat itself They have committed just 11 turnovers this season, tied for second-fewest in the FBS. The Wildcats have allowed 32 points off turnovers, eight-fewest in the FBS. Kansas State has committed 11 defensive penalties this season, second-fewest in the FBS. If K State controls the ball it is lights out for the Bruins. Head Coach Bill Synder is a guy who can coach a team. Very disciplined. His only losses are to Auburn and he should have won that and Baylor and TCU on the road. Bill Snyder will have his team ready for this bowl game this evening. 10* |
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01-01-15 | Florida State v. Oregon -7.5 | Top | 20-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
Oregon is 12-1 on the year with their only loss coming from inner division play. Florida State has been a top notch team, obviously as their record indicates. But they also have 7 games that could have ruined the undefeated season. Jameis Winston has taken a step back since last year, his big play ability moving the ball downfield has declined greatly and has shown a lack of leadership at times. Granted, FSU has a shockingly fast defense, and have a massive O Line. Biggest thing here will be turnovers, FSU simply can't afford the typical mistakes it's made all season. Oregon has been nothing short of awesome, all year. Obviously with Heisman winner Marcus Mariota and his awesome season are the huge headline here. But don't overlook the importance of Royce Freeman hitting the ground for 1299 yds, and 16 tds. They will continue to put pressure on Jameis and stop the offense of FSU. Even with a tight thrower like Mariota, they actually are a run heavy team with a huge RB in Freeman, who will wear them down in the trenches. Both teams have had a long time to prepare, Oregon will win this game, by 10 or more i beleive. Florida State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games OREGON ROLLS THEM! 10* College Bowl BURIAL! |
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01-01-15 | Minnesota +5 v. Missouri | 17-33 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
4* |
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01-01-15 | Wisconsin +7 v. Auburn | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 1 h 42 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-31-14 | Boise State +3.5 v. Arizona | Top | 38-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
This should be a very good game. Boise State is looking to prove they belong with the big boys again, that they aren't your average mid-major. And I truly believe they aren't. They've recovered from the loss of a great coach and are back. Arizona might be feeling some letdown with the way the season ended. They were right on the cusp, on the verge of big things if they could beat a team in Oregon they had beaten in their last two games. To go from that to facing Boise is a bit of a come-down. Boise State is the highest-ranked team not from one of the big five conferences. Coming off an 11-win season, they earned a major bowl berth on the heels of a great season. First-year coach Bryan Harsin has whipped this Boise State team back close to its glory years of several seasons ago. Gunning for their 12th win, they are a heck of a team--they can run and throw the ball well and even play some defense. In their last game before this bowl game on December 6, they beat Fresno State, 28-14, to win the Mountain West Conference championship. The Broncos need to run the ball, which they usually don’t have much trouble doing with RB Jay Ajayi. Once he gets rolling, QB Grant Hedrick can open up with the passing attack with some little trick plays thrown into the mix. Senior quarterback Grant Hedrick has been solid this season. His accuracy is excellent, as he has completed 71% of his throws, along with 22 TD throws and 8 on the ground. It’s good enough for an average of 40 points per game and I love them this afternoon as Boise Wins this bowl game today. 10* |
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12-31-14 | Ole Miss +4 v. TCU | 3-42 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-29-14 | Texas +7 v. Arkansas | 7-31 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-29-14 | Clemson v. Oklahoma -4 | Top | 40-6 | Loss | -114 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
Monday, December 29th, tune into ESPN at 5:30pm to watch the Russell Athletic Bowl. I will take Bob Stoops with over 3 weeks to prepare for this ranked Clemson team and also an underdog for a reason. Clemson is going with their second string QB here for the Tigers as Watson is gone with an ACL surgery. While the Sooners' offense is getting healthy, the defense has been tough on the road this year. The Clemson Tigers could have trouble moving the ball on the ground considering Oklahoma is 10th against the run at 109.6 yards per game. The Sooners, who were No. 4 in the preseason poll but went 0-3 against Top 25 teams, were 10th in the FBS in scoring at 38.9 points per game and eighth in rushing, averaging 268.6 yards. The Sooners have plenty to prove here and their offense is averaging 39 PPG..They clearly have the offense to do it, behind what figures to be a now healthy QB Knight.Oklahoma averaged 39 PPG with a ground game that averaged 269/6.1, leading an offense to 481 YPG on 6.6 YP play. The DL and OL will be the difference in this game and catching OKL off a loss in their last game as Stoops should have them focused in Orlando Florida Monday afternoon. I look for OKLAHOMA to jump out early in this game and not look back. 10* |
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12-28-14 | Carolina Panthers +3 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
After coming off a big win in New Orleans to stay alive, the Atlanta Falcons open as a 4 pt favorite at home against Cam Newton and the Panthers. The total points are set at 47 overall for this match-up too. So far, 69% of the money is being wagered on the home team Falcons to cover the spread. The Carolina Panthers have come on strong the last couple of weeks. Carolina has the 9th best pass defense in the NFL and they need this to hold true. Their secondary also has gotten faster with a switch to younger defensive backs. Carolina is giving up an average of 13.3 points during its last three games in beating the Saints, Buccaneers and Browns. Carolina also has a strong history under Ron Rivera in December going 14-4 SU and 12-5-1 ATS. The Falcons defense is not that good and they struggle at stopping good TE's. Look for a big game from Greg Olsen. With a playoff spot on the line this one has all the makings of a hard-fought, close game with the winner claiming the division. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and that is the way to play this game on Sunday as well. Take the CAROLINA PANTHERS plus the points. 10* GAME OF THE YEAR! |
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12-28-14 | San Diego Chargers v. Kansas City Chiefs | 7-19 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-27-14 | Nebraska v. USC -7 | Top | 42-45 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
The Trojans face Nebraska tonight in the Holiday Bowl and come into the contest with a 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 games against Big Ten opponents. Nebraska obviously is led by one of the best backs I have seen play, in Ameer Abdullah, he can make plays happen all day. Nebraska, though, ever since the Wisconsin game, have been not themselves, after that 59-24 drubbing, they went into a nasty spiral, and they haven't looked the same since. Nebraska has had problems playing ranked opponents, we have seen them struggle with that all season. Their coached was fired and a new staff is coming in.
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12-27-14 | Penn State +3 v. Boston College | Top | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
The BC Eagles run the ball over 70% of the time, logging the 8th most rushing attempt per game and rank 11th in time of possession. :Penn has the defense and LB's to stop the run. Now they will face the #1 ranked rush defense of Penn State and the Lions have held the opposition to 84 yards per game on the ground. Linebacker Brandon Bell is slated to return for PSU after missing the final two games of the regular season, further improving that stout run defense. Christian Hackenberg makes the PSU offense go and his inconsistencies have largely led to the 6-6 record. With an extra month of practice I beleive that will really benefit Hackenberg with more time with WR's. Penn St also has Akeel Lynch and Bill Belton are serviceable runners DaeSean Hamilton has been a stud at receiver, grabbing 75 passes for 848 yards but has managed just one trip to the endzone and is about the only dependable option in the passing game. Penn St also has a very good kicker which may factor into this game. Take Penn State plus the 3 points here on Saturday evening. 10* |
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12-27-14 | Duke +7.5 v. Arizona State | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-26-14 | North Carolina State +3 v. Central Florida | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-26-14 | Rutgers v. North Carolina -3.5 | Top | 40-21 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
NC is off a terrible game their last time out getting pounded by NC St. Their QB play was poor, RB, penalties, turnovers, offensive line stunk! Now they've had some very tough practices the past 4 weeks and will be ready to unload on Rutgers. NC was so bad that they only had 30 rushing yards in that game. Look for NC QB Marquise Williams to have a big day and move the ball. THey also have a standout WR with Quinshad Davis. Favored by just 3, North Carolina is looking to finish the 2014 season with a win and an overall winning record. The Tarheels have come a long and improves as the season continued. Winning four of their last six games is what saved the season and allowed UNC to even make it to a bowl game. Rutgers came out early in the season and were winners of five of their first six games. Since that time, they have dropped four of six and find themselves as underdogs to UNC. Statistically, Rutgers is not really impressive in any area and I like NC to come up big here on Friday afternoon. 10* |
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12-24-14 | Fresno State v. Rice -2 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
I like Rice by 7-13 points. Played at Aloha Stadium in Honolulu Starting Time: 8pm EST on ESPN Sunny. Winds northwest at 1-5 m.p.h (Honolulu, HI) Game-time temperature: Around 75. Rice had a good season and though they came up monumentally short on the road against Marshall and Louisiana Tech, they had been in really good form. For Rice to win 6 games in a row with none of them being close is quite a feat for this Owls’ program. But their best win may be their November 21 win over UTEP, another bowl-bound team. In that 6-game winning streak, they beat teams who are a combined record of 23-50. So let’s call a spade a spade. Against teams over .500, the Owls are 1-4 while being outscored 203-77 in their 4 losses. Rice’s offense has some good balance, led by junior QB Driphus Jackson, who has thrown for over 2500 yards and 21 touchdowns, similar stats to Burrell’s, just with half the picks at 8. The run game is led by Jowan Davis and Darik Dillard--a capable explosive duo. Their best receiver is Jordan Taylor, while Mario Hull is an ultra-dangerous playmaker, with a quarter of his touches going for touchdowns. I like Rice laying a small number against a Fresno State team that really struggles defensively. The Bulldogs rank 111th in the nation in total defense with 455.8 ypg allowed. Rice has the more reliable defense, one that ranks 66th nationally with 396.8 ypg allowed. Lastly the Rice Owls are 11-3 ATS under Bailiff when getting more than a week to prepare for the opposition. 5* Best Bet Play o the Day! Merry Christmas and have a great day! |
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12-23-14 | Navy +3 v. San Diego State | Top | 17-16 | Win | 108 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
Navy comes into this matchup with their usual big time triple option running game, behind Keenan Reynolds and his 21 tds. This Navy squad definitely also comes in with a massive chip on their shoulder. Navy has always been looked at as a team that should be beaten by major schools, but we can look back and ask ND that. San Diego State has a poor passing game, no question, which has been nothing more than scraping by through the season throwing the ball. The U.S. Navy has there is a huge Naval base in San Diego and their will be plenty of support for the military in this game tonight. SD ST is a bit lacking on the offensive side of the ball. QB Kaehler is far from dramatic with 56% completions and only a 9/10 ratio. |
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12-22-14 | Denver Broncos v. Cincinnati Bengals +4 | 28-37 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-22-14 | BYU v. Memphis -1 | Top | 48-55 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
Memphis finished the season very strong and Monday afternoon they go for their 7th straight win. First Bowl since 2008 for Memphis, who turned it around for HC Fuente. The Tigers went 9-3 SU, as they enter today on a 6-game win streak. That 9-3 SU mark followed a 12-48 SU streak the previous 5 years. QB Lynch operates behind an OL that allows just 15 sacks. Memphis is also on a 6-1 ATS run vs. Non-conference foes. Memphis has a very good defensive team especially vs pass coverage. And have been also scoring like crazy recently, putting up 38 or more in 4 of their last 6 games and playing in the warm weather of Florida will only help them with their team speed. And their QB is an excellent athlete, can make plays with his feet, picking up 10 tds in his out of pocket plays. Coach Fuente has done an amazing job in making Memphis believe and in turning this school around. |
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12-21-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals +8.5 | Top | 35-6 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
With Lindley taking over at QB, now even more pressure is going to be put on the Cardinals defense to completely carry the entire load for this team. The Arizona tough defense and great special teams is what is going to keep this home dog in the game today. Lindley was 4-for-10 for 30 yards when he was called upon last week after Drew Stanton got hurt, and there’s talk out of Arizona that they may have a “package” for rookie quarterback Logan Thomas (Virginia Tech) who can run and pass to take advantage of his mobility on Sunday. Also note the home team has won 7 of the last 10 meetings in this series and the Cardinals are unbeaten at home, I'll take my chances. The Arizona defense is one of the best in the league, and even if they only score 7-10 points in this game, their defensive presence alone against a very average Seattle offense should keep this game close. Seattle with Marshawn Lynch boast the NFL’s top running attack at 169 yards a game, but the strength of the Cardinals defense is still their defensive line and their run defense, so they’ll likely try and find a way to make Russell Wilson beat them by throwing it. Arizona is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. Seattle is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during Week 16. Take the Cardinals here on Sunday night primetime action. 5* |
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12-21-14 | Cleveland Browns +4 v. Carolina Panthers | 13-17 | Push | 0 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-21-14 | Baltimore Ravens v. Houston Texans +6.5 | 13-25 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-21-14 | Kansas City Chiefs +3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 12-20 | Loss | -125 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
KC’s QB, Alex Smith, put together a decent game last week versus the Raiders. Smith was 18 of 30 for 297 yards passing and 2 TDs and no INTs. RB Jamaal Charles took a big hit to the head and left the game where he went through a number of concussion tests (he returned but briefly). RB Nile Davis relieved Charles and pulled in a 70-yard TD reception from Smith and also ran for a TD to add to the Chief’s scoring. KC dominated this game and made that quite evident when they put up 21 points in 4 minutes and 42 seconds in the 3rd quarter alone. KC’s offense, defense, and special teams all looked really good. KC’s defense is ranked No. 5 in points allowed on the road at 19.29 per contest. Kansas City is solid on both sides of the football, and the same cannot be said for Pittsburgh. Their defense ranks in the bottom half of the league despite playing some of the worst quarterbacks in the league. Kansas City has been a great road team under Andy Reid, covering the spread in 11 of 15 road games the last two years. KC plays tough on the road and I'll take the 3 points with the Chiefs here on Sunday. 10* |
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12-20-14 | Western Michigan -1.5 v. Air Force | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-20-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins +8 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
On Saturday, Robert Griffin III will again be the starter for Washington because of a neck injury suffered by Colt McCoy. Griffin NEEDS a good showing, in a bad way. The crazy thing about the terrible record for Washington is the fact that statistically they are not that bad of a team. They rank 10th in the NFL in passing, and their defense ranks 7th against the run and they would love to beat the Eagles here at home and lessoning their chances of making the playoffs. RG3 needs to lead the Skins on long TD drives and also, avoid turnovers. Almost 70% of the public money is on the Eagles. Home field in the NFL is huge...ask Buffalo and Green Bay. I like Philadelphia to go into Washington and get the win, but I think it will be a lot closer than most think. Philadelphia is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Take the RedSkins and the points here on Saturday! 5* |
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12-20-14 | Utah -2 v. Colorado State | Top | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
Utah played 6 ranked opponents this year in a very tough schedule while Colorado State played ZERO ranked teams. Utah is very good when they have more than 2 weeks to prepare for their opponent. Utah is facing a team that gives up 187 yards rushing per game. Utah needs to run the ball, and will, without question. QB Travis Wilson is going to be the X-factor simply because, if Utah is forced to rely on Wilson to throw the ball efficiently, he needs to find Kaelin Clay, it makes them that more dangerous to stop. 10* The Utah defense is very very good with one of the best defensive fronts in all of college football. UTah had 52 defensive sacks, a number that leads the nation and will make life miserable for QB Grayson. The Utes recorded 5 road wins.A negative is a 0-5 ATS record as road or neutral favorite.But, under HC Whittingham, this team is 8-2 ATS in Bowls, indicating his ability to motivate his team for these games and make them a priority. Utah St's coach left and I don't expect the team to be the same. UTAH ROLLS! |
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12-18-14 | Tennessee Titans v. Jacksonville Jaguars -3.5 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-15-14 | New Orleans Saints -3 v. Chicago Bears | Top | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
The Saints got the kick in the teeth that I believe will turn their season around. I see them coming back strong in this one and beginning a streak of wins to end the season. The Saints have more weapons on both sides of the ball. While both teams are 5-8 the Saints have the better QB who doesn't turn the ball over and still alive for the playoffs. Saints are favoured here but that’s a testament to just how bad this Chicago defense has become. The Bears have allowed the most points in the league, an average of 29.1 per games and that includes 75 points in its past two games when the Bears were still in playoff contention. It also helps that Chicago WR Brandon Marshall has been sidelined for the year, allowing the Saints to key on WR Alshon Jeffery. Saints better on road lately and they can control this one. The Saints rebound in a big way and win on MNF. 5* |
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12-14-14 | Dallas Cowboys +3.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
Dallas played their worst game of the season on Thanksgiving against the Eagles. Romo wasn't himself and the Cowboys didn't run the ball or use TE Witten much. Dallas now has had 10 days to prepare for this game while Philly has only had the standard time and got beat up good last week versus Season. This gives Dallas a decided advantage in game-planning. While Sanchez has been mediocre since taking over for Nick Foles, Romo has been having another very good season and despite his back injury is currently rated #3 in Total QBR. He had a bad game against the Eagles last time out and I expect a much better performance from him this time around. Dallas has played very well on the road this season (6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS) and with situation, value and a revenge spot all lining up on the Cowboys. Dallas has played much better on the road this season, going 6-0, and the visitor has been the play in this series, covering the spread in 6 of their last 7 meetings. I am still not a big believer in Mark Sanchez, and the Seahawks provided a blueprint last Sunday as to how to shut him down. The road team has won 7 of the last 9 meetings in this series, the Cowboys are 22-12 ATS as a pup since 2009 and the dog in Dallas games since 2010 is 51-23 ATS. |
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12-14-14 | Houston Texans v. Indianapolis Colts -7 | 10-17 | Push | 0 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-14-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Buffalo Bills +5.5 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
Kyle Orton captains the ship for the Bills and the veteran has kept thing moving in the right direction. Orton isn’t a top-level talent at QB but controls the game and makes good decisions, throwing for 14 touchdowns against 7 interceptions. Fred Jackson is back to near full health for the Buffalo and he is the do-it-all guy for this offense. Jackson is a capable runner but really poses a match-up problem in the pass game when he has 53 receptions despite missing time this season. Orton is off a terrible game last week and I expect him to bounce back at home this week. Buffalo is very good on the defensive side of the ball. Sammy Watkins can take the top off the defense but the Bills pass game is designed to pick up yards underneath and grind out clock. Robert Woods and Chris Hogan are serviceable possession options for Orton and he has spread it around plenty with nine different Bills catching at least one touchdown pass. Green Bay has won five straight games but the last three in that stretch have come by three, five and seven points, making this five-point line right in danger zone for the Pack. Look for a lot of Fred Jackson running and pass catching for the Bills with some short routes sprinkled in to move the chains. Scott Chandler could see a lot of action in the seam as Green Bay struggles to cover the tight end. I expect a letdown for GB here and this is a MUST WIN for Buffalo at home if they want to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. The Bills plus the points at home look very tasty to me this afternoon. |
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12-11-14 | Arizona Cardinals v. St. Louis Rams UNDER 41 | Top | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Both of these teams are tough on defense and the Rams are off back-to-back shutouts. Arizona has played Under in 3 of their last 4 games entering play tonight, and the Cardinals have scored just 52 total points in their last 4 games combined!
Lets the the UNDER in the short week here on Thursday night NFL action between the Cards/Rams. 5* |
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12-07-14 | New England Patriots v. San Diego Chargers +4 | 23-14 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-07-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 41.5 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-07-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 v. Cincinnati Bengals | Top | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show |
Steelers Head Coach, Tom Tomlin was criticized last week for his poor clock management at the end of the first half in which many thought the Steelers could have a had a better chance to put points on the board. Although a seasoned coach with plenty of significant games under his watch it is a bit surprising the Steelers were not more prepared for the mediocre Saints. Hopefully the Steelers show up and play better all-around this week at Cincy otherwise they may be in for yet another tough game. We expect the Steelers to bounce back well in what is a must-win game for them for their playoff hopes and Jarvin Jones is also back for them today and he is tough on defense. The Steelers have won 11 of their last 14 games in Cincinnati, and they are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games when they are coming off a loss. QB Andy Dalton has been poor playing at home this season with a 73.2 passer rating. Both of these teams know the importance of the next four weeks especially Pittsburgh as they are the team under the gun and facing all the pressures of missing the playoffs unless they win at least 3 of their last 4 contests. I think the Steelers manage to pull it together this week and despite the negative press and injuries facing them they get the job done in a grinder on the road—typical Pittsburgh style. I like the Steelers to cover on the road and send a message here on Sunday. Cincinnati is also 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played during Week 14. Take the STEELERS and the points. |
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12-06-14 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State +4.5 | Top | 0-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
The Ohio St offense overall has been great and playing indoors in the dome will only make them better with their team speed. Ohio State might get into some interesting looks this weekend in order to give Jones some help in deciphering the defense. Wildcat or max-protect packages should slow the defensive pressure and if nothing else, Jones can use his big body to go right up the gut and earn yardage against a solid but small-ish defensive front seven. Ezekial Elliott sits at 1,182 yards and 10 touchdowns entering the week. Urban Meyer will use Elliott to carry the mail but look for play-action off of that as Jones can certainly use his deep-ball prowess to find Devin Smith, averaging 25.5 yards per catch. I was very surprised to see the Badgers as a 4-point favorite. They are a solid team overall but the general lack of consistency at QB makes them very shaky favorites to even win the game straight-up, much less cover the spread. I like Ohio St st plus the points. 10* |
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12-06-14 | Temple v. Tulane UNDER 44 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
4* |
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12-06-14 | Missouri +15 v. Alabama | Top | 13-42 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Alabama comes into the SEC Championship game this weekend as the top ranked team in the nation, boasting a 11-1 record, going and going 7-1 in the conference ranked #1. Laying this many points is a recipe for disaster. Missouri heads into the game with the identical 7-1 mark in the conference and are 10-2 overall. Mizzu is very good on the turf and has a ton of speed. The Tigers have put together six straight victories and are coming off a 21-14 win over Arkansas last weekend. Quarterback Maty Mauk has taken every snap for the Tigers this season, going 193-361 for a total of 2,279 yards through the air. The Tigers are giving up less than 20 points per game, and ranked 13th in the nation in points allowed. While Mizzu might not win this game 14.5 points is a lot for these two tough teams and I like the underdog and the points. Mizzu is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games and will be pumped playing the #1 team in the Nation here this afternoon. |
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