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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-28-18 | Syracuse -1 v. West Virginia | 34-18 | Win | 100 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
Syracuse ended their regular season with a win at Boston College, 42-21 as 7-point dogs. The Orange got shutdown by Notre Dame the week prior, but other than that game, Syraucse has scored at least 37 points in six of the last seven games. This will not be the same West Virginia squad that finished the regular season. QB Will Grier and OT Yodny Cajuste both opted to not play in this game and keep from possible injury as they both look forward to the NFL draft. That means QB Jack Allison will take over the starting duties. A far cry from one of the best QB's in the country that Grier had become. Considering that Syracuse is scoring a lot of points, I'm not sure West Virginia will be able to keep up against one of the best passing offenses in Syracuse. I'm taking Syracuse here as I don't even expect the rest of the West Virginia team to show up. Take Syracuse. |
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12-27-18 | Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +2.5 | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Miami closed out their season with a pair of wins over Virginia Tech and Pitt. However, prior to those two wins, the Hurricanes had lost four straight both S/U and ATS. Wisconsin ended the season with a loss at home to Minnesota, 15-37. The Badgers were also a bit shaky the second half of the season losing three of their last five games. The Canes have not been a very good bowl play in recent years, evidenced by their 1-6 ATS mark in their last seven bowls. In addition, they are 1-8 ATS in their last nine neutral site games and 1-5 ATS in their last six vs the Big 10. Miami doesn't have a very good offense, ranked just 93rd in the country, while Wisconsin ranks 43rd. Miami does have a very good defense, ranked 2nd in total yards with Wisconsin coming in at 40th. It's often difficult to determine which team is motivated in these meaningless bowl games. However, with the Cans having such a dismal bowl spread record, it appears they are not usually motivated. I'm taking Wisconsin here today. |
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12-26-18 | TCU v. California -1 | 10-7 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 26 m | Show | |
TCU has normally been known for their stellar defenses. While this year's edition might not be as good defensively, the offense has not been all that good - ranked just 94th in the country. The defense was a respectable 28th while Cal actually came in better at 16th. Though the Cal offense wasn't quite as good at 113th. The Cal defense held each of their last six opponents to 23 or less points. In fact, four of those were under 20. The offense is where they struggled, scoring more than 15 points just one time in their last five games. TCU also has some offensive problems, scoring 16 or less in three of their last four games and 17 or less in six of their last nine games. This game likely to be a low scoring affair and I'll take the better defensive team in this one. That's Cal. |
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12-26-18 | Minnesota v. Georgia Tech -5.5 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -101 | 50 h 41 m | Show |
Minnesota has not been good to bettors as they did not cover two games in a row since week 3 of the season. In fact, they were just 3-4 S/U the last seven weeks of the season. The offense ranked just 86th in the country has to go against a Georgia Tech offense that is 53rd. The Gophers were 64th defensively while Georgia Tech was 46th. Tech was 5-1 ATS in their last six December games and 4-0-1 ATS their last five neutral site games. Tech holds all the edges in this matchup and I look for a mismatch here as the Gophers just don't have enough to stay with a very good Yellow Jackets team. Play Georgia Tech. |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
The Seahawks continue their playoff push today at home against the Chiefs. Seattle is 8-6 and right now has the top NFC Wild card spot. That means their playoff chances are in their hands. And really, they should make it with the Chiefs here at home today and the Cardinals visiting next week. Still, they would love to beat the Chiefs today. Every since Kansas City lost RB Hunt to his off-field issues, they have not looked like the team we saw earlier in the season. The Chiefs scored 27 in a win two weeks ago at home vs the Ravens and 28 in their loss last week at home to the Chargers. A far cry from the 40's and 50's we have become accustomed to seeing them score. The Chiefs have the second worst defense in the league and now face the fourth highest rated QB in Russel Wilson. The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are 4-1-1 ATS their last six overall. The Hawks are also 23-10-1 ATS their last 34 games in December. I see these teams heading in opposite directions right now. I'm taking the Seahawks here today. |
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12-23-18 | Texans v. Eagles -1.5 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Eagles kept their playoff hopes alive with a huge win last week at the LA Rams, 30-23. QB Nick Foles started in place of injured Carson Wentz and just like he did last year at LA, pulled out the win. Can he do what he did last year and lead this team back into the playoffs? The Eagles have won three of their last four games and could easily be 4-0 if not for that OT loss at Dallas a few weeks ago. They play at home against Houston today and close out at Washington. Both games very winable. Baring a total collapse, the Texans should win the AFC South as they lead the Colts and Titans by two games with two to play. Houston plays at Philly today and then closes at home against Jacksonville next week. The Texans have not done very well on real grass, going 2-8 ATS their last 10. In addition, they are just 1-8-1 ATS their last 10 games in December. The Eagles are 7-2 ATS their last nine at home vs a winning road team. This game has much more meaning for the Eagles and with Foles looking much more confident behind center, I'm taking the home club here today. Play Philadelphia. |
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12-23-18 | Vikings -6 v. Lions | 27-9 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
The Vikings are still in the hunt for a NFC Wild Card spot. The Bears will take the division, but at 7-6-1 the Vikings right now hold the second Wild Card by virtue of that tie with Green Bay earlier this season. The Vikings snapped their two-game losing streak with a blowout win at home last week against the Dolphins, 41-17. The Vikings are 13-5-1 ATS their last 19 games against teams with a losing record. They are also 20-9 ATS their last 29 games in December. The Lions are in last place in the NFC North at 5-9-1. The Detroit offense has been horrible, despite one of the better QB's in Mathew Stafford. The Lions have scored 17 points or less in each of the last four weeks. In addition, they have not scored more than 22 points in any of their last eight weeks. It won't get any easier today against the fourth ranked defense in the league in Minnesota. The Lions have the 24th ranked offense. The Lions just can't seem to find the right combinations on offense and today the Vikings will keep them down as they look to put a hold on that Wild Card spot. Take Minnesota. |
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12-22-18 | Louisiana Tech +1 v. Hawaii | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
 Hawaii bowl here this evening has Louisiana Tech vs Hawaii. Tech comes in on a two-game losing streak. They lost to Southern Miss on Nov 17th and then in their last game at home to Western Kentucky, 15-30. La Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last six bowl games and 15-2 ATS their last 17 games coming off a double-digit home loss. Hawaii has not been good to bettors, posing a 15-34-2 ATS mark their last 51 games overall. In addition, they are just 9-23 ATS their last 32 against a team with a winning record. This will be the Tech defense against the Hawaii offense. Tech will get plenty of points and if they can keep Hawaii from scoring in bunches, then they get the cover. Take Louisiana Tech. |
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12-22-18 | Ravens +4.5 v. Chargers | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Late Saturday game here on Saturday as the Baltimore Ravens make the long trip West to take on the LA Chargers. The Ravens in a fight for the AFC North with Pittsburgh. The Steelers lead the division by just a half game over the Ravens. Steelers have to play at New Orleans so there's a real chance the Ravens take over first place with a win here today. The Ravens have the top ranked NFL defense with just 290 yards allowed per game. The Chargers are known for their offense, but also have a good defense, ranked 8th allowing 329 yards per game. Baltimore held a very good Tampa Bay offense to just 12 points last week in their 20-12 win. The only team the last four weeks to score more than 17 points vs the Ravens was the Chiefs. The Ravens are 18-7-4 ATS in their last 29 road games when facing a home team with a winning record. They are also 7-3-1 ATS overall their last 11 road games. The Chargers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and 2-8 ATS their last 10 games played on Saturday. The road team has covered four of the last five in this series and the dog is also 4-1 the last five. I'm taking the road dog here today. Play Baltimore. |
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12-22-18 | Buffalo v. Troy +1.5 | 32-42 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Buffalo had an outstanding season in the MAC, though they did struggle toward the end. The Bulls lost two of their last three games including the MAC Championship to Northern Illinois, 29-30 as 3.5-point favorites. Meanwhile, Troy used a very good defense to get into today's bowl game. Troy is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 games and 42-20-2 ATS vs a winning team. The Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last five neutral site games. This game being played in Troy's backyard gives them a built-in home field advantage today. Though this game has gone to almost pick, I like Troy to take today's game. |
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12-22-18 | Houston v. Army -6.5 | 14-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Army having one of its best seasons in years.The Black Knights coming off that big win over their service rivals Navy have won eight straight games. While the Black Knights are ranked only 82nd in total yards, that's because this is a running team. They average 384 yards per game on the ground and will keep the ball out of the Houston hands today with their ground and pound game. Houston has the 7th ranked offense and they are balanced with 228 yards on the ground and 301 yards through the air. However, their defense is ranked 124th and that is going to be the problem here today. They allow 198 yards on the ground and that will not bode well against one of the best rushing attacks in the nation. This is not a good matchup for Houston today. They won't be able to stop Army and keep them from controlling the clock. I'm taking Army today. |
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12-19-18 | Ohio v. San Diego State +3 | Top | 27-0 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
Ohio makes the long trip West to play in the Frisco Bowl here tonight while San Diego State makes the short trek North. This will be the first meeting ever between these two football teams. This game pits the strong Ohio U running game against the stingy San Diego State running defense. Ohio U ranks 16th nationally in offense and averages 262 yards per game on the ground. San Diego State ranks 21st defensively and allows just 95 yards per game on the ground. When it comes to these Bowl games, I tend to stick with the better defensive teams. That's just what I'm doing here today. I'm taking San Diego State. |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +7 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
The Saints path through the playoffs got a bit easier with the Rams losing on Sunday night. The Saints are now 11-2 while the Rams are 11-3. Plus, the Saints have already beaten the Rams. The Panthers are not out of a Wild Card yet, but can't afford a loss tonight. The Panthers are 6-7 and you have three other teams at 7-7 for that final Wild Card spot. The Saints rebounded from their loss at Dallas two weeks ago with a win last week at Tampa Bay, 28-14. New Orleans plays its third straight road game here tonight. Carolina has lost five straight games, with four of those losses on the road. They return home here tonight where they are 5-1 S/U this season. The Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. The dog has done well in this series, covering seven of the last eight between these teams. Panthers are tough at home and they will fight for that final playoff spot. I like the points here on their home field. Take Carolina. |
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12-16-18 | Eagles +14 v. Rams | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
Big Sunday night game here today as the reeling Rams take on the Eagles. The Rams are 11-2 and still fighting with the Saints (11-2) for that all important home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. With their loss to the Saints, the Rams will need some help from someone. The Rams struggled last week against that mighty Bears defense, held to a season-low six-points. In fact, that was the first time all season the Rams have scored less than 23 points. The Rams have also covered just one of their last six games and are 2-6-1 ATS their last nine. For the Eagles, it looks like QB Carson Wentz is done for the season with a back injury. That means in comes Super Bowl hero Nick Foles who led the Eagles down the stretch last year. The Rams are now 2-8-1 ATS their last 11 home games vs a losing team. The Eagles have done very well vs the Rams, going 10-1 ATS the last 11 meetings. Too many points here for a Rams team that needs to show me they are caving in late in the season. I'm taking Foles and the Eagles here tonight. |
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12-16-18 | Lions v. Bills -2.5 | 13-14 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions and the Buffalo Bills won't be going to the postseason this year. That doesn't mean they won't be playing this game tough. The Lions are 5-8 and in last place in the NFC North. The Lions snapped a two-game losing streak with a win at Arizona last week, 17-3. Detroit is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. The Buffalo Bills are playing tough after a rough start to the season. The Bills lost at home last week to the Jets, 23-27, but have won two of their last four. QB Josh Allen has this team competing well for head coach Sean McDermott. Since his return from injury, Allen has rushed 31 times for 335 yards, something that gives opposing teams fits. The Bills defense has also been amazing, as they lead the league now in total yards. They also have the best yardage differential in the NFL the last five games. The Lions are banged up these days with Stafford having back injuries and problems at running back. You have to go back eight weeks to find the last time the Lions scored more than 22 points and that was October 21st. I really like this situation for the Bills. Their defense is playing great and they face a hurt Lions team that isn't scoring anyways. Perfect spot for a big win today. Take Buffalo. |
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12-16-18 | Packers +5.5 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The Packers have to wonder how they will score after watching the high-octane Rams get just six points at Chicago last week. Green Bay has an outside shot at a Wildcard, but too many things have to happen for that to become reality. The Bears clinch the NFC North with a win today or a Vikings loss. But for all intents and purposes, the Bears are the division champions. Have to wonder if it's time for them to start giving some rest to starters with the postseason not far off. The Packers have historically done very well vs the Bears. Just think back to the opening week when they came from way back with an injured Aaron Rodgers to win. The Packers are now 16-5 ATS in their last 21 trips to Chicago. The Packers are also 12-4 ATS in the last 16 overall meetings. I'm going to take the points in today's game with the Packers and see if they can continue to snakebite the Bears. Play Green Bay. |
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12-16-18 | Cowboys v. Colts -3 | Top | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys hold a two-game lead in the NFC East with three games to play. The Cowboys had to go to OT last week to dispatch Philadelphia, 29-23. Now they have the Colts, Bucs and close out at the Giants. They could easily lose two of these games if not careful. The Colts bounced back from their 0-6 loss at Jacksonville two weeks ago with a big win at Houston last week, 24-21. The Colts can't catch Houston for the AFC South lead, but they are in the running for the last AFC Wildcard. Right now the Chargers have the first wildcard and four teams are tied with a 7-6 record. The Colts have been good at home against winning teams, evidenced by their 16-5-1 ATS mark their last 22 games. The favorite and the home team have each covered four of the last five in this series. I like the Colts and Andrew Luck here in today's game. Play Indianapolis. |
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12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Appalachian State | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
The 8-5 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders take on the 10-2 Appalachian Sate Mountaineers here today in the New Orleans Bowl. I'm taking Middle Tennessee State here for two simple reasons. You can make a case statistically for either team. However, MTSU is getting a touchdown and I just think that's too much to give their senior QB Brent Stockstill. Stockstill has over 12,000 yards in his college career and plays for his dad, who you know he wants to get this last ever win together for him. Stockstill should be a high draft pick in the NFL this coming year. App State will also be without their head coach Scott Satterfield, who has moved on to the head coaching job at Louisville. Just too many intangibles for Middle Tenn State here today. I'm taking the dog in this one. |
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12-15-18 | Browns +3 v. Broncos | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 32 h 50 m | Show | |
 Denver looked like a team poised at a chance to run the table for the rest of the season. Then they hit the 49ers last week and lost 14-20. Now they have the Browns today and then finish up at Oakland and at home vs the Chargers. The loss last week snapped a three-game spread win streak for Denver. The Broncos have not been good at home cover spreads of late, evidenced by their 3-7-1 ATS mark in their last 11 at Mile High. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 December games. The Browns pulled out another win last week, with a home victory over the Panthers, 26-20. That makes three wins in the club's last four games. Both teams ranked right about the same on offense with Denver 15th and Cleveland 16th. Neither team's defense all that good this year, Denver ranked 24th and Cleveland at 31st. I have to think Denver is deflated after losing a game they should have won last week. Cleveland just seems to be happy winning these days. I'm taking the points here today with the Browns. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State -4 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
 Fresno State ended their season with a big win over Boise State, 19-16 as 2.5-point dogs. The Bulldogs won their last three games after a previous loss to Boise State back in November. Fresno has the 44th ranked offense in the country with a nice 80.5% redzone efficiency. They have been in the redzone 52 times this season with 38 TD's and nine FG's. Fresno has one of the best defenses in the country, ranked 17th. The defense has only allowed nine TD's in the redzone this season. Only Mississippi State has allowed less. Arizona State has the 48th ranked offense in the country with a 70.8% redzone efficiency. They have only been in the redzone 46 times with 27 TD's and 13 FG's. Big difference in these teams is on defense where the Sun Devils are ranked 70th and have allowed 24 TD's in 43 trips. Compare that to just the nine TD's Fresno has allowed. Arizona State has not been a good bowl covering team, evidenced by their 2-7 ATS their last nine bowl games. Fresno State is 26-7-1 ATS their last 34 overall games and 16-5 ATS their last 21 vs a winning team. I'm taking the better defensive team here today and that's Fresno State. |
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12-15-18 | North Texas +8.5 v. Utah State | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Expect an offensive shootout in this game today as two top offenses collide. Utah State is ranked 11th in offense and has a redzone efficiency rating of 76%. They have been in the redzone 56 times this season and scored 37 TD's. North Texas is ranked 15th and has a 73% redzone efficiency with 59 redzone trips and 37 TD's. These teams are very evenly matched when it comes to offense. One issue here is that the Utah State Aggies haven't done well against winning teams, evidenced by their 4-15 ATS the last 19 times. They are also slowed a bit on the grass, as they have covered just three of the last 10 on the real stuff. Meanwhile, North Texas Mean Green is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games. These teams have a bit of history and the dog has covered five of the last seven meetings. Utah State laying 7.5-points is way too much. These teams are evenly matched and I'm taking the points here today. Play North Texas. |
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12-13-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
 For me, this game comes down to a few things. First, both teams have running back issues. The Chargers likely without Gordon and Eckler while the Chiefs have no Hunt and Ware is hurt. The Chargers get a big revenge game for that loss earlier this season and that really does make more difference in division games. The Chargers have the much better defense and pass rush. Plus, the Chiefs are coming off a very physical OT game last week vs the Ravens. The Chargers coasted last week vs the Bengals. For me, all the positives line up on the Chargers tonight. Take LA Chargers. |
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12-10-18 | Vikings v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 140 h 55 m | Show |
Monday Night Game of the Year: The Vikings are coming off a loss at New England last week, 10-24. The Vikings are 2-2 in their last four games. The Vikings are in 2nd in the NFC North 1.5 games back of the Bears. The Vikings are still in the hunt for a WildCard spot though as they battle a host of other teams. Seattle has the unfortunate luck of being in the NFC West with the Rams.. However, right now they are 7-5 and holding onto one of the Wild Card spots. The Seahawks have won three straight after last week's win over the 49ers, 43-16. The have average over 30 points a game in their last four outings. The Vikings are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs a team with a winning record and 2-9 ATS here on Monday nights. The Hawks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six vs the NFC and 22-9-1 ATS in their last32 games in December. Seattle laying 3 or 3.5-points here on Monday night. I love the way the Seahawks are playing and the Vikings on the road again here this week. Bad spot for Minnesota. Take the Seahawks. |
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12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers +4 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 39 h 47 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos are still in the hunt for a Wildcard spot at 6-6 this season and one of the easiest scheduled left in the NFL. The bad news is that Emmanuel Sanders, their star WR, was hurt in practice and is out with a leg injury. The Broncos are ranked 15th in offense and 25th on defense. In fact, the 49ers rank much better on defense, 11th, then Denver. San Francisco isn't far behind in offense either, ranked 17th. Denver hasn't been the favorite all that often, in fact, just three times in the last 10 weeks. With San Francisco, Cleveland, Oakland and the Chargers left on their schedule, a 9-7 or 10-6 season is definitely in the cards. The 49ers return home today after two tough road games where they were outscored 25-70. I really like the 49ers coach and he knows how to get the most out of his teams. I'm taking the points here at home with San Francisco. |
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12-09-18 | Colts +4.5 v. Texans | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 36 h 43 m | Show | |
 An AFC South matchup here between the division leading Houston Texans and the third place Colts. The Colts are still in the AFC Wildcard hunt at 6-6, but every game is important. After today's game, the Colts play at home against Dallas and the Giants and then finish at Tennessee. None of those will be easy wins. The Texans have the Jets, Eagles and Jaguars left - all very winable games. The Colts season is on the line here and after they were shutout last week, 0-6 at Jacksonville, I expect a much better effort today. Take the Colts. |
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12-09-18 | Saints v. Bucs +10.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -130 | 36 h 42 m | Show | |
A rematch of week one where these two teams put on a offensive explosion won by the Bucs. Now the Saints travel to Tampa and look for redemption after their worst game of the season last week. Tampa has the top ranked offense in the league with New Orleans not far behind at No 5. Problem is with defense, as the Bucs are 27th and the Saints 15th. The Saints lost last week at Dallas, 10-13, only the third time this year that the Saints have scored less than 30 points. Tampa Bay has gone back to Jameis Winston at QB. It's paid off too, with two straight wins over San Francisco and Carolina. In fact, the defense, which was once the worst in the league, has allowed just 27 points the last two weeks. I look for another high scoring game here this week, but I'm taking the home team. Play Tampa Bay. |
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12-09-18 | Patriots v. Dolphins +9 | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 36 h 42 m | Show | |
It didn't seem that long ago when the Dolphins were 3-0 and went cruising into New England where they took a good old fashioned whipping, 7-38. Since that loss, it's been tough on the Dolphins, with QB Ryan Tannehill hurt and the team going 3-6. They did win last game out at home over Buffalo, 21-17. It was their second cover in a row after a 2-5 ATS string. The Patriots are cruising to another AFC East division title at 9-3. They lead the Dolphins by three games with four to play. The Pats have won two straight games after that loss at Tennessee, 10-34. They beat the Jets and then last week the Vikings, outscoring both teams 51-23. The Pats really have a easy schedule left with Miami, Pittsburgh, Buffalo and the Jets. Their only test will be that game at Pittsburgh which is next week. We might even see a bit of a look ahead spot here today with the Patriots. The home team has really been the play in this series, covering 13 of the last 16 meetings. In addition, New England is 1-5 ATS in their last five trips to Miami. I'm taking the home team here. Play Miami. |
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12-09-18 | Panthers v. Browns +1.5 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 36 h 43 m | Show |
It's been a roller coaster season for the Browns, firing Hue Jackson earlier in the season and having to endure all those OT games. They have won two of their last three games with wins over the Falcons and Bengals. They did lose last week at Houston, 13-29. Now they return home for two of their last four games. They get the reeling Panthers here today. Remember back to week six when the Panthers trailed the Eagles 0-17 in the fourth quarter? Then they rallied to win that game 21-17. It looked like that could be the turnaround of their season. However, since that win, they are 2-4 both S/U and ATS and on a four-game losing streak. The Panthers lost last week to the Buccaneers, 17-24 as 3-point chalks. Now it looks like Carolina is out in the playoff picture with New Orleans twice on the schedule and Atlanta left. Browns have been tough at home and I'm taking them here today against this Panther team that is chasing its own tail at this point. Play Cleveland. |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans -4 | 9-30 | Win | 100 | 44 h 57 m | Show | |
Disappointing season for Jacksonville as they sit at 4-8 and last in the AFC South. This despite their win last week over the Colts, 6-0. The win snapped a seven game losing streak for the Jags. Jacksonville still has the 5th ranked defense, it's the offense that has been poor at 22nd. Tennessee was in the AFC South race until the last few weeks. The Titans are now 6-6 and tied for second, 3-games back of the Texans. The Titans did come back last week and beat the Jets, 26-22. That snapped a two game losing streak for Tennessee. Tennessee is now 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games and 6-2 ATS the last eight vs the AFC South. The Titans are 4-1-1 ATS the last six vs Jacksonville. In addition, the home team is 5-2-1 ATS the last eight in this series. Take Tennessee here on Thursday. |
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12-02-18 | Chargers v. Steelers -3 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
The Chargers had little trouble last week with Arizona, winning 45-10. The win got the bad taste out of their mouth from the previous week's loss to the Broncos, 22-23. The Chargers have the 6th ranked offense in the league and the 9th ranked defense in the league. The big loss though is that of RB Melvin Gordon, who is out with a knee injury. That will put all the more pressure on QB Phillip Rivers today. The Steelers enter this game with the 4th ranked offense and the 6th ranked defense. Pittsburgh lost last week to the Broncos, 17-24. The Steelers had four turnovers in that game and no take aways. They outgained the Broncos 527 yards to just 308. The Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games. The Chargers are will be hard pressed to score the way they have without Gordon in the lineup. Take the Steelers here on Sunday. |
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12-02-18 | 49ers v. Seahawks -10 | 16-43 | Win | 105 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers made that big splash three weeks ago with Mullens at QB when they beat the Raiders, 34-3. However, since then, they have lost to the Jets (23-27) and then lost at Tampa Bay, 9-27. The 49ers are now 7-18-1 ATS their last 26 against a team with a winning record. The Seahawks have won two straight games. Seattle is 5-1-1 ATS their last seven games. The Hawks are 12-5-1 ATS their last 18 home games vs a team with a losing record. Seattle has owned this series, going 10-2-1 ATS the last 13 games vs the 49ers and 5-1-1 ATS the last seven at home. I'm on the Hawks here today. Play Seattle. |
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12-02-18 | Colts -4 v. Jaguars | 0-6 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Colts now have won five straight games with Andrew Luck throw at least three TD's in eight straight games. The Colts offense has been in high gear since week 4. They have scored 27 or more points in seven of their last eight games. Jacksonville now has lost seven straight games. The Colts now have the 9th ranked offense and the 16th ranked defense. The Jags are 22nd ranked offense and 5th ranked defense. The Colts have done well vs losing teams, posting a 32-13-1 ATS mark their last 56 games. The Jags are 0-5-2 ATS their last seven games. I like the way the Colts have been playing and the Jags are just too messed up these days to back. Take Indianapolis. |
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12-01-18 | Fresno State +1 v. Boise State | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
Mountain West Championship as Fresno takes on Boise State. Boise gets a edge here as the game is played on their home turf at Boise. Fresno had a great spread record of 8-1 until the last three weeks when they have gone 0-3. They lost at Boise State back in early November, 17-24 when these two teams last met. Fresno was a 3-point favorite in that matchup and now they are a 1.5 to 2-point dog. Boise has struggled a bit at times this year, losing to Oklahoma State and San Diego State. Then barely getting by BYU and Nevada. Fresno has been a very good road team, going 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 away games. They are also 14-3 ATS in their last 17 vs a winning team. Boise has not been a good covering home team, getting the money only seven times in 22 attempts. The dog has covered the last six in this series and that's who I'm on today. Play Fresno State. |
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12-01-18 | Georgia +13 v. Alabama | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
SEC Championship here as Georgia now has come back into the Final Four playoff picture thanks to Michigan losing last week. A loss though by Georgia could let Oklahoma sneak into that fourth spot. Lots on the line for these Championship games. Georgia is 6-0 ATS in their last six neutral site games and 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. Georgia has also covered five of the last seven in this series. The dog is 5-0 ATS the last five in this series. Last season, Georgia lost at home to the Tide, 23-26 as 3.5-point dogs. Georgia getting nearly two TD's here is hard to pass on with the 4th ranked team in the country. I'm going to take the points in what I expect will be a close game. Play Georgia. |
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12-01-18 | UAB v. Middle Tennessee State -1 | 27-25 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
UAB brings a two-game losing streak into today's Conference USA Championship. The Blazers lost last week against this same Middle Tennessee State team, 3-27. The Blazers lost the prior week at Texas A&M, 20-41. That means the last two weeks they have been outscored 23-68. Middle Tennessee has been a very good covering team this year, evidenced by their 8-4 mark and they have covered their last five straight. The Blue Raiders are also 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. UAB may also be without their top RB in Spencer Brown, who is questionable today. Brown has 15 TD's on the season and nearly 1000 yards rushing. MTSU only a 1-point favorite here and that's good enough for me. Take Middle Tennessee State. |
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12-01-18 | Texas +8 v. Oklahoma | 27-39 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
 Oklahoma has been an offensive powerhouse this year, scoring 50 points or more in six of their 12 games and scoring under 37 points just once all year (28 vs Army). It's not a far stretch then to realize that OU is the top ranked offense in the country. Texas has the 60th ranked offense. The Longhorns can put up points too, but they rely more on their defense, which has held six opponents to 21 or less points. Oklahoma won this matchup last year in Texas, 29-24 as a nine-point favorite. Texas has now covered six straight seasons vs OU. Texas is also 5-2 ATS their last seven trips to Oklahoma. I'm going to take the points here with Texas. |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -3.5 | 30-29 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
Mac Championship pits Northern Illinois vs Buffalo. These teams didn't meet during the regular season. NIU has lost two straight games scoring just 28 total points and giving up 41. Northern Illinois beat Buffalo last year 14-13, but failed to cover the 6.5-point spread. NIU does not do well on neutral sites, posting a 4-16-1 ATS mark in their last 21 tries. Buffalo has been a very good spread team, going 19-7 ATS in the last 26 games, 5-1 ATS last six vs winning teams and 8-1 ATS vs the MAC their last nine tries. Buffalo is coming off a trouncing of Bowling Green last game, 44-14. I like the Bulls here so I'll the points with Buffalo. |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +8 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Tough to go against the Saints as well as they are playing. However, the Cowboys looking better and better after their win last week over Washington 31-23. The Cowboys had a +3 tunrover ratio in that game and 404 yards of offense. This is the type of game that the Saints look on paper that they should take. But the line in my opinion is just too high for the way the Cowboys are looking right now. I'm making a very small play on the Cowboys tonight. |
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11-26-18 | Titans +4 v. Texans | 17-34 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 44 m | Show | |
Tennessee looking to rebound from that beating they took last week at Indy, 10-38. That loss snapped a two-game win streak for the Titans, including wins over Dallas and New England. In their defense, they ran into a red-hot Colts team and Andrew Luck. Luck has had at least 3 TD passes in each of his last eight games. Houston puts its seven-game win streak on the line here tonight. The Texans are coming off road wins at Denver and Washington (both games by two points). The Titans have covered their last seven Monday Night football games and are 6-1 ATS vs the AFC South. Conversely, the Texans have not done well on Monday Night, posting a 2-10 ATS mark their last 12 tries. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. I look for the Titans to rebound here tonight. I'm taking the 3.5 or 4 points with Tennessee. |
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11-25-18 | Packers +3.5 v. Vikings | 17-24 | Loss | -118 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Two teams that were expected to compete for their division titles have both struggled this year. The Packers lost last time out at Seattle, 24-27 but pushed as a 3-point dog. The Packers have a great rushing attack averaging 109 yards per game. The Packers are 8th in the league in offense. Minnesota is 5th in the league in offense, but that is mainly through the air as they average just 92 yards on the ground. Minnesota came up short last week at Chicago, losing 20-25 and failing to cover the 2.5 point line. The Vikings have covered just four games this season. The dog has covered six of the last eight in this series and that's who I'm going with today. Take the Packers plus the points. |
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11-25-18 | Jaguars v. Bills +3 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Jags have been struggling, going only 0-4-2 ATS in their last six games. They are also 0-3-1 ATS their last four games following a spread loss. The Bills are coming off a 41-10 win over the Jets. That was more points then they scored in the last three games combined. You have to go back to September 30th vs the Jets for the Jaguars to have covered a game. That means they haven't covered in their last six. Buffalo covered this meeting last year at Jacksonville, losing 3-10 but covering the 8-point spread. Jags just not playing well, I'm taking the points here with the Bills. |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Panthers | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Seattle has been a good road covering team, evidenced by their 7-3-2 ATS mark their last 12 away games. In addition, they are 4-1-1 ATS their last six games and 3-0-1 ATS their last four vs the NFC. Seattle got the push last week vs the number when they beat the Packers 27-24 as 3-point favorites. After winning three straight, the Panthers have now lost two straight. They lost last week at Detroit, 19-20 and the previous week at Pittsburgh 21-52. Seattle getting points here has been a good spot for the Hawks. I don't like laying with Seattle, but they covered both times vs the Rams and now get points against a reeling Panthers squad. Play Seattle. |
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11-25-18 | Giants +5.5 v. Eagles | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Seems like no one wants to win the NFC East. The Dallas Cowboys are tied with the lead with Washington at 6-5, but the Giants are not completely out of it at 3-7 and the Eagles are 4-6. Both these clubs need a win today badly. The Giants have been getting much better play from QB Eli Manning, who has looked more like the QB we saw win Super Bowls then what we have seen the last year and half. The Giants have won two straight games and scored 65 points in the process. They have lots of offensive weapons in Saqon Barkley and Odell Beckham Jr. The Super Bowl Champion Eagles got humbled last week in New Orleans by the Saints, 7-48. It was the team's third loss in their last four games. The defense has been hurting and this team is filled with injuries. Five corner backs are on the injured list and they have running back by committee right now. At this point, the Giants seem to be the team playing better and I'm getting five points. I'm on the Giants today. |
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11-24-18 | Notre Dame -11 v. USC | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
Win and you're in! That's what it comes down to for No 3 Notre Dame. They beat USC today and they make the College Football Final 4 Playoffs. USC, well it's been a down year for the Trojans at just 5-6. Notre Dame has covered three straight after last week's beating of Syracuse, 36-3. The Irish haven't allowed over 23 points in their last seven games and over that number just once, 27 points to Wake Forest. Meanwhile, USC lost their intrastate rivalry last week to UCLA, 27-34. That makes two spread losses in a row and four of their last five. Really, this game comes down to the motivation of the Irish to get to that playoff series and to see if the Trojans have enough horses to stop this Irish team. I don't believe they do. They couldn't beat UCLA last week, the can't come close to a motivated Irish team this week. Play Notre Dame. |
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11-24-18 | Temple -30.5 v. Connecticut | 57-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
The Temple Owls will be heading to a bowl game this year. They face the worst defense in the country in U Conn. Temple is coming off a win over South Florida, 27-17 but failed to cover the 14-point line. Still, the Owls are 7-4 ATS on the season. The Huskies are allowing a nation's worst 627 yards per game average and a 83.1% redzone scoring efficiency. Temple looks to avenge their home loss to the Huskies last season, 24-28 as 11-point home chalks. Despite last year's spread loss, Temple is 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings with U Conn. A lot of points to lay here with Temple, but against the worst defense in the country, should be no problem Play Temple. |
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11-23-18 | Oklahoma -2.5 v. West Virginia | 59-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Two big top 10 teams clash here on Friday as No.6 Oklahoma takes on No 13. West Virginia. Oklahoma plays its last regular season game today after a 55-40 win against Kansas last week. OU has gone over in seven straight games and 10 of the last 11. OU has also scored at least 40 or more points in all but two of their games. West Virginia is also a offensive powerhouse, going over in four straight games and scoring at least 35 points in all but one game this year. Expect to see an offensive explosion today between these two. I'm taking Oklahoma -3 points here today, but this could come down to the last possession of the game. |
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11-23-18 | Virginia -4 v. Virginia Tech | 31-34 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
 7-4 Virginia takes on their rivals, 4-6 Virginia Tech. Tech would like to put a loss on the Cavaliers record as their last action of the season. Va Tech's disappointing season comes to an end today and they would like nothing more than a win over their rivals to finish it. Tech has lost four straight games and has failed to cover in its last six games. Virginia is bowl eligible either win or lose today. The Cavs are off a loss at Georgia Tech last week, 27-30 so a win today would help put the team on the winning track heading into the bowl season. Plus, Virginia was shut out at home last season by Tech, 0-10. They had just nine first downs and 191 total yards. You know they have a bad taste in their collective mouths from that one. Take Virginia today as they look for some payback. |
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11-22-18 | Redskins v. Cowboys -7 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show | |
 Big NFC EAST contest here as the first place Washington Redskins take on the 2nd place Dallas Cowboys. This division is wide open so this is a big game. The Redskins of course lose QB Alex Smith for the season with that devastating ankle injury last week. QB Colt McCoy will step into the starting spot. The issue is that the new QB has a short week to practice. That's going to cost him a couple of days of normal practice. Dallas coming off a 22-19 win over the Falcons. The Redskins coming off that loss at home to Houston, 21-23. The Cowboys have the bigger edge in this contest because of that QB situation. McCoy is a decent quarterback, but he needs those reps and he won't get them this week. Take the Cowboys. |
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11-22-18 | Colorado State +15 v. Air Force | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
Big rivalry game here as the Colorado State Rams take on the Air Force Falcons in this intra-city battle of Colorado Springs teams. Colorado State plays what they consider their bowl game here today as they play their last game of the season. The Rams are coming off that near shocking win over Utah State. The Rams looked to connect on the game winning Hail Mary pass at the end of the contest only to have it reversed because the receiver stepped out of bounds. Still, it put a shock into heavily favored Utah State. Air Force is 5-6 coming into this game after losing at Wyoming last week, 27-35. Air Force has to feel deflated after leading the Cowboys 27-14 in the fourth quarter of that loss. That loss cost the Falcons their Bowl season and that means this is the end of the line for Air Force this year. That will be hard for them to swallow as they had that Wyoming game all but in the bag. I look for a letdown here and laying 14.5-points is just too much to in their cross city rivals. Play Colorado State. |
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11-22-18 | Bears v. Lions +2.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 59 m | Show | |
Tough spot here for the Bears. They played the late game on Sunday, then had to turn around and travel to Detroit to play the earliest game on Thursday. Very short week for them. Add to that the injury to QB Mitchell Trubisky. Trubisky is doubtful for this game with a shoulder injury. That means QB Chase Daniel will have to start in his place. Detroit not only played at home last week, they beat Carolina, 20-19. They didn't have to travel. That to me gives them the advantage here on Sunday. I'm taking the Bears today. |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Rams | 51-54 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
What a great game we are treated to tonight as both 9-1 teams meet here at the Coliseum in LA. Originally scheduled for Mexico, this game had to be moved to LA because of field conditions. The Chiefs have been great for bettors, going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 overall and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 on grass. They have also been great on the road, covering 20 of their last 27 away games. As good as the Rams have been, they haven't been good against the spread. They are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games; 1-4 ATS their last five vs a team with a winning record and 1-6 ATS their last 7 overall. In addition, the Chiefs have covered the last six in this series. Bottom line here, you can make a case for either team. However, only one of these teams does well for bettors and that's the Chiefs. I'll take the points here with Kansas City. |
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11-18-18 | Vikings +2.5 v. Bears | 20-25 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
Huge NFC North game here as the first place Bears take on the second place Vikings. Only 1/2 a game separates these teams. The Bears have won three straight games while the Vikings have won one straight. The Bears are more known for their defense, but they have the second highest scoring team in the NFL at 29.9 ppg. The Vikings average 24.6 ppg. The Vikings have also done well on the road, going 8-3 ATS their last 11 away. The Bears are only 2-5-1 ATS their last eight games vs a team with a winning record. Vikings getting 2 1/2 or 3 today. I like Minnesota to win this one outright. Play the Vikings. |
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11-18-18 | Raiders v. Cardinals -5 | 23-21 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
These are two NFL teams that would like to forget 2018. The Raiders have just one win, that coming over the Browns, which they could have easily lost. The Raiders will be without Marshawn Lynch who is out for the rest of the year. They traded away Amari Cooper to the Cowboys and gave their best defensive player to the Bears. The Cardinals have just two wins. They did cover their last two games including playing the Chiefs close last week, 14-26. The problem has been with the offense that has not score more than 18 points in any of their last four games. The Raiders look to be stockpiling draft picks to rebuild. They lost last week to the Chargers, 6-20. That makes nine points the Raiders have score the last two weeks combined. The Raiders are just 7-18-2 ATS their last 27 games overall. The Cardinals are 5-1 ATS their last six. I'll lay the points here with the home team. |
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11-18-18 | Texans -3 v. Redskins | 23-21 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
he first place Houston Texans look to extend their AFC South lead as they play an inter-conference game here today at Washington. The Redskins are also in first place at 6-3 in the NFC East. The Texans had last week off to prepare for this game. Houston has also been red-hot, winning six straight games after starting the season 0-3. The Redskins are 4-1 in their last five games. However, they are winless against the AFC. The problem here is that the Redkins have lots of injury problems. They have already lost both starting Offensive guards for the season. In addition OT Trent Williams is out and Morgan Moses is playing through an injury. Add to that RB Chris Thompson and WR Paul Richardson and there are lots of missing pieces for the Redskins. Have to lay three here with Houston, but with all the injuries on the Washington side and Houston coming off a bye week, I don't mind. Play Houston. |
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11-17-18 | Arizona +11 v. Washington State | 28-69 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
Arizona plays a late Saturday game at Washington State. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. The Cats beat Colorado two weeks ago 42-34 as 4-point favorites. It was the team's third cover in a row. Arizona had last week off to prepare for this game. Washington State beat Colorado last week on the road, 31-7. Arizona still has a shot to win the PAC-12 South under first year coach Kevin Sumlin. They have to get through No 8 Washington State first here tonight. The Cats need to win their final two games. Washington State is 9-1 S/U on the season. Arizona getting double digits here is too good to pass on. Play Arizona. |
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11-17-18 | San Diego State v. Fresno State -13 | 14-23 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
 What a huge loss for San Diego State last week losing at UNLV, 24-27 as 22-point favorites. The Aztecs have now failed to cover the spread in their last five games and are just 2-8 ATS on the season. Fresno also had a setback last week at Boise, 17-24. The Bulldogs led 17-7, but were outscored by 17-0 down the stretch. It was their first cover loss in the last eight games. And unlike San Diego State, the Bulldogs are now 8-2 ATS on the season. Fresno is the 50th ranked offensive team in the country and San Diego State is the 108th offense. Fresno has one of the best defenses, ranked 17th while San Diego State is 11th. Two good defenses here, but the big edge goes to the Fresno offense. And when we look at the two teams covering, a huge edge to the Bulldogs. Play Fresno. |
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11-17-18 | Utah State -28 v. Colorado State | 29-24 | Loss | -114 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Utah State is the crown jewel of the Mountain West Conference as they continue to just blowout teams. Utah State has the 10th ranked offense in the country and is coming off a 62-24 win over San Jose State, covering the 31-point line. In fact, the Aggies are now 9-1 ATS on the season, their lone loss a 24-16 win over Wyoming as 15-point favorites. Colorado State is in for a long day today. The Rams routinely give up points in bunches (49 last week to Nevada) and have given up over 40 points five times this season. The Rams are 0-3 ATS their last three games and 3-7 ATS on the year. This is not going to be pretty for CSU, lay whatever you need to today with Utah State. |
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11-17-18 | Northwestern v. Minnesota -2 | 24-14 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Northwestern pulled the big upset last week with a road win at Iowa, 14-10 as 10-point dogs. Just two games left in the regular season with today's game at Minnesota and then closing out at home vs Illinois. At 6-4 the team is Bowl eligible. Minnesota also pulled an upset last week with a blowout win over Purdue, 41-10 as 11.5-point dogs. The Golden Gophers are now 5-5 and need at least one more win to be bowl eligible. They have games at home this week vs Northwestern and then close out at Wisconsin. Assuming a loss next week, that makes today's game imperative to win. Good news for the Gophers is that they have been a good November team, going 24-9-2 ATS their last 35 games. The club is also 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. The Gophers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings with the Wildcats and I'm taking them here today. Play Minnesota. |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks -2.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
Seattle comes off another cover vs the LA Rams last week. It was the teams fourth cover in their last five games. They will host the Green Bay Packers tonight. The Packers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six away games. The Hawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The home team has also covered six of the last seven meetings in this series. The Packers have also had a lot of defensive issues between recent trades and releasing players and injuries. I look for the Seahawks to control this game at home. I'm taking the Seattle. |
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11-12-18 | Giants v. 49ers -3 | 27-23 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
Both teams are facing losing seasons, however, the 49ers have something to smile about in third string starting QB Nick Mullens. Mullens passed for 262 yards and three TD's in last week's win over Oakland, 34-3. The Giants bring a five-game losing streak into tonight's contest. However, three of their last four they could have won. They come off a bye week here. Eli Manning keeps taking all the criticism with his less than stellar play. He can't complain about a lack of run game with Saquon Barkley living up to all expectations this season. Don't expect the Giants to pressure Mullens much, they have only 10 QB sacks on the season, that's only better than the Raiders. The 49ers also can run the ball, averaging 135 yards per game on the ground this season - fourth most in the NFL. Even with a week off, I like the Niners here with Mullens looking very good and a ground game to support him. Play San Francisco. |
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11-11-18 | Cowboys v. Eagles -7 | 27-20 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
 The Eagles return home from their London trip after beating the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-18. That was a rebound from their tough loss the week before to the Panthers, 17-21, a game they led 17-0 in the 4th quarter. Surprisingly, the Eagles didn't make any major moves prior to the trade deadline. Some though they would go after Le'Von Bell or Dez Bryant. The did pick up Golden Tate from the Lions, which should help open up the passing game a bit. The Cowboys are having major issues, now 0-2 their last two games and 1-3 their last four games. The Cowboys lost at home last week to Tennessee, 14-28. Dak Prescott didn't look very good, despite adding Amari Cooper to his receivers the week before. The favorite is 5-0 ATS the last five in this series. While neither team playing great, the Eagles look the better of the two at this stage. Take the Eagles on Sunday night. |
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11-11-18 | Seahawks +10 v. Rams | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
The Rams coming off that big blowout loss last week at New Orleans, 35-45. The Saints handed the Rams their first loss of the season. It was also the Rams fourth cover loss in their last five games. While the Rams are one of the favorites to win both the NFC and Super Bowl, they have struggled to just a 2-point win over the Packers, three points over the Broncos and two points over these Seahawks. Seattle had been on a roll, winning two straight games by a combined 55-17 margin. Last week the Hawks lost at home to the Chargers, 17-25. The Hawks usually bounce back well after a straight up loss, evidenced by their 12-4-2 ATS mark the last 18 in that situation. The Rams usually fade big numbers and it's reflected in their spread records. They are just 2-5 ATS their last seven at home, 1-5 ATS overall last their last six and 2-5 ATS their last seven after a straight up loss. I'm going to take the points once again in this matchup and see if the Seahawks can stick with them as they did the first time. Play Seattle. |
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11-11-18 | Dolphins v. Packers -10 | Top | 12-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
 Packers definitely in a down season, having just a 3-4-1 record S/U this season. Green Bay has lost two straight, 17-31 to the Patriots and 27-29 to the Rams. Still, they have Aaron Rodgers and when you have Rodgers you have a team that can explode. The Dolphins are having issues here of late, especially with their offensive line that will be missing three starters today. The Dolphins got a win last week over the Jets, 13-6, snapping a two game losing streak. After starting the season 3-0, the Dolphins are just 2-4 since. The Dolphins will still be without QB Ryan Tannehill, who is doubtful with a shoulder injury. Another issue for the Dolphins is their history of playing in cold weather cities. That's what they do today as they go from balmy Miami to Green Bay. The temperatures are expected in the low 30's and dropping to the upper 20's. This game was also moved from a 1pm Eastern start to a 4:25 pm ET start, which means they will be playing in the colder weather. I like the Packers in this situation. They catch the Dolphins in cold weather with a backup QB and a banged-up offensive line. Take the Packers in a romp tonight. |
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11-11-18 | Falcons -5.5 v. Browns | 16-28 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
The Falcons finally starting to put things together now as they have won three straight games, including last week at division leading Washington, 38-14. The defense, that was so bad through most of the first half of the season, has played much better of late. The Falcons allowed just 14 points to the Redskins and 20 to the Giants the week before. Now they travel to Cleveland to face the Browns. The Browns have been through a lot this season. They changed QB's early on and went to their top draft choice, Baker Mayfield. They also fired head coach Hue Jackson. Still, they continue to lose, dropping last week's game at home to the Chiefs, 21-37. The loss was the team's fourth straight since their upset win over the Ravens. The Browns are now 14-36-1 ATS their last 51 games overall, 7-19 ATS their last 26 at home and 7-23 ATS their last 30 in November. This isn't a matchup we see often. In fact, they have only met once in the last five years and that was a Cleveland win, 26-24 at Atlanta. I don't see that happening here on Sunday. The Falcons have too many weapons on offense for the Browns to stop. I look for an Atlanta blowout here Sunday. |
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11-11-18 | Jaguars v. Colts -2.5 | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
The Colts easily beat the Raiders last week, 42-28. It was the teams 2nd win in a row. The Jaguars are a team in disarray. After a start that say the team win two straight, they are just 1-5 S/U and ATS since. They offense has also gone South, scoring 32 points over the last three games. The once very good defense allowed at least 20 points in each of the last four games and 30 or more twice. The Colts usually do well against teams with losing records, going 32-13 ATS their last 45 games. They are also 8-3 ATS after a bye week, which they are coming off. That extra rest is going to help the Colts here today. As for the Jags, I don't see anything changing today. Play the Colts. |
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11-10-18 | South Florida v. Cincinnati -14 | 23-35 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
The wheels have come off the last few weeks for South Florida. After being ranked, they went to Houston and were handed their first defeat of the year. Then last week at home they were trounced by Tulane, 41-15. They allowed 365 yards rushing to Tulane and had three turnovers in the loss. Meanwhile, Cincinnati rolled over Navy last week, 42-0. The Bearcats rushed for 262 yards and passed for another 189 yards in the win. Cincinnati is ranked 32nd in the nation in total offense and South Florida is ranked 11th. The issue with SFU is their defense, which is ranked 104th. South Florida has failed to cover in each of its last four games and is 0-7 ATS after allowing more than 200 yards rushing. They are also 0-5 in their last five conference games. Cincinnati has covered five of the last seven meetings at home vs South Florida and I look for another here on Saturday. Play Cincinnati. |
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11-10-18 | UCLA v. Arizona State -11 | 28-31 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
UCLA had all kinds of trouble last week at Oregon, losing to the Ducks 42-21 as 9.5 point dogs. The Bruins had three turnovers and no takeaways yet outgained the Ducks 496 yards to 492 yards. Turnovers were the difference in the Bruins loss. Arizona State pulled a big upset over Utah last week, 38-20. The Sun Devils were seven point home dogs and out gained Utah 536 yards to 325 yards. UCLA is only 3-8 ATS in its last 11 road games and 3-8 ATS in the last eight overall. Meanwhile, ASU is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games and 6-2 ATS in its last eight conference games. ASU will have little trouble here at home against an overmatched Bruins squad. Play ASU. |
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11-10-18 | Wisconsin +9 v. Penn State | 10-22 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Wisconsin coming off a win at home against Rutgers last week, 31-17. The Badgers didn't cover the 29-point spread. They did rush the ball exclusively for 317 yards compared to just 23 yards passing. Penn State ran into a defensive powerhouse last week in Michigan. The Nittany Lions were beat on the road, 7-42. That had just 184 total yards and three turnovers in the loss. Today Wisconsin is getting nine points, which seems like a lot to give a good team. Both teams are 6-3 S/U on the season. The Badgers are also a very good road team, going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 away games. This line is way off to me as these teams are very evenly matched. Take Wisconsin. |
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11-10-18 | SMU -19 v. Connecticut | 62-50 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
SMU pulled off the big upset last week in the conference with a win over Houston, 45-31. The Mustangs were a 13-point home dog to the Cougars and outgained them 527 yards to365 yards. They also ran 84 plays to just 69 for Houston. Now they get to face the worst defense in the country in U Conn. The Huskies are dead last in total defense, allowing 627 yards per game and a rezone TD efficiency of 81.7%. U Conn got trounced last week at Tulsa, 49-19, allowing 648 yards to the Golden Hurricanes. Likely will get ugly again this week for U Conn that faces a potent SMU offense. Lay the points, take SMU. |
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11-10-18 | TCU +12 v. West Virginia | 10-47 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
TCU just got by Kansas State last week, 14-13 as eight-point favorites. West Virginia had an emotional game at Texas last week, just getting by the Longhorns 42-41. The game was back and forth with West Virginia pulling it out late. Now they have to turn around and lay 11.5-points to TCU. If there was ever a spot where a team was ready for a letdown, this is it. A huge emotional win last week and now they are big favorites. I like TCU in this spot as they are getting double digits and catch West Virginia in a vulnerable spot. Take the points with TCU. |
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11-10-18 | Ole Miss v. Texas A&M -11.5 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Texas A&M gave Auburn all it could handle last week, losing at Auburn 24-28 and just covering the 5.5-point spread. Ole Miss found itself in a shootout last week with South Carolina, coming out on the shortend to the gamecocks, 44-48. The two teams combined for 1116 totals yards of offense in that contest. Today, Ole Miss travels to A&M to face the Aggies. A&M snapped an Ole Miss five game spread win streak last year, beating the Rebels 31-24 at Mississippi. The Rebels are just 6-14-1 ATS their last 21 road games and 1-6 ATS their last seven overall. The Aggies are 7-2 ATS int heir last 9 games on grass and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall. Take Texas A&M here today. |
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11-09-18 | Fresno State -2 v. Boise State | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
 Fresno State is atop the Mountain West - West division standings at 8-1 overall, 5-0 in conference. They will play the Mountain division Boise State Broncos. Boise State is 7-2 on the season, 4-1 in conference and in 2nd place to Utah State. Right now it looks like Utah State and Fresno will play for the Mountain West crown. Fresno has covered six in a row and seven of their eight games this season. They are coming off a easy win at Hawai'i last week, 50-20. They have held their last four opponents to a combined 33 points. Boise has covered two straight after beating Air Force last week 48-38. The defense has not bee all that good, though they are ranked 41st in total yards allowed. Fresno is the 13th ranked defense. The Bulldogs have been excellent on the road, going 13-2-1 ATS their last 16 away games and 25-4-1 ATS their last 30 overall games. Meanwhile, Boise is just 5-15 ATS in its last 20 home games. Fresno has covered the last four in this series and the dog is 5-0 ATS the last five. I like Fresno here tonight. |
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11-07-18 | Ohio -4.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 28-30 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Ohio dismantled Western Michigan last week, beating the Broncos 59-14 on the road. The Bobcats grabbed six turnovers and committed none. They had 420 total yards to just 270. Miami lost last week at Buffalo, 42-51 in a shootout. Miami played Buffalo pretty even in stats, but just couldn't get there to cover the 7.5-point dog line. Last year, Ohio won this meeting with ease, 45-28 as 7-point favorites. The Cats actually had fewer yards in the game, but had two takeaways to zero turnovers. Ohio is the 25th ranked offense in the country and has 52 Redzone trips this year with 37 TD's. Compare that to Miami's 92nd ranked offense that has only 34 redzone trips and 26 TD's. This one looks to be another shootout, but Ohio is the best team and that's who I'm on tonight. Play Ohio U. |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys -4.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 7 m | Show |
 The Tennessee Titans have lost three straight games after going to London two weeks ago and losing to the Chargers, 19-20. A bit of controversy as the Titans went for two at the end of the game rather than the tie to send the game into overtime. This Titans' club not scoring much, they have more than 20 points just one time in their seven games. Meanwhile, Amari Cooper is expected to make his Cowboys debut tonight. Many believe instant impact will come with his arrival in Big D. The Cowboys lost that big NFC rivalry game two weeks ago to the Redskins. Good news is that the Redskins lost today at home to the Falcons. A win tonight by the Cowboys and they are just one game back in a crowded NFC East. Both these clubs in the bottom five in total offense, though Dallas looking to improve that now that they have a legitimate threat at wide receiver. Dallas does have the better defense, ranked third in the NFL. The Titans are only 11-23 ATS in their last 34 road games. The Cowboys are 13-6 ATS their last 19 following a bye week. I like the fact that the Cowboys have finally got a good threat at wide out. That will take pressure off the running game and I expect to see a bump in Dak Prescott too. Play Dallas. |
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11-04-18 | Rams v. Saints +1.5 | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 71 h 29 m | Show | |
This is the game of the week as far as I'm concerned. Two of the best in the NFC meet here on Sunday in New Orleans. The 8-0 Rams will put it on the line against the Saints. The Rams survived last week vs the Packers, which ultimately cost Ty Montgomery his job with the Packers after fumbling a kickoff late in the games. Which of course led to the infamous kneel down by Todd Gurley instead of going into the endzone and as a result much money changed hands among bettors and books. That being said, the Saints have been 6-0 since their opening week loss to Tampa Bay. They are coming off a nice road win at Minnesota, 30-20. They also won the previous week on the road at Baltimore, 24-23, two impressive road victories. Now they return home and look to give the Rams their first loss. The Saints are a small favorite, 1 or 2 right now. Which really, you just need to figure out who is going to win. I'm taking the Saints. They have much more to prove in this game and lets face it, they want to be the blemish on the Rams schedule. So take the Saints and enjoy a great game. |
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11-04-18 | Chargers v. Seahawks | 25-17 | Loss | -115 | 71 h 10 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks have no real chance of winning the NFC West as they trail the Rams by 3.5 games. However, in a bunched up West, a Wildcard is a definite goal for this team. They need to face the 5-2 Chargers here on Sunday first. The Seahawks have won two straight after narrowly losing to the Rams three weeks ago. They have also covered three straight games. The defense has played much better, holding their last two opponents to just 17 total points. The Chargers just got past the Titans two weeks ago in London, 20-19. The Titans opting for a two-point win at the end of the game instead of tying and playing for OT. The Chargers had last week off to prepare for today's game. The Chargers have the 6th ranked offense and the 16th ranked defense. The Chargers are now 3-8 ATS their last 11 vs a team with a winning record. They are also 3-8 ATS their last 11 after a bye week. I'm sticking with the Seahawks at home here on Sunday as they defense has been playing much better. |
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11-04-18 | Steelers +3 v. Ravens | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 68 h 4 m | Show | |
 Have to wonder how the broken finger in the non-throwing hand of Steelers QB Ben Roethlesberger is going to affect him here today. He's going to have to face the top ranked defense in the league on the road. The Ravens allow just 196 passing yards per game, which is 2nd best in the league. The Steelers now have the 4th best offense with 318 yards passing per game. Pittsburgh is coming off that home win over Cleveland last week, 33-18. It was the club's third straight win and cover. The Ravens looks to snap their two game losing streak after losses to New Orleans and the Carolina Panthers. The road team is 4-0 ATS the last four in this series and the dog is 6-1-1 ATS the last eight. Pittsburgh has also been very good on the road, covering 24 of the last 32 away games. Pitt gets about a field goal here on Sunday. The Ravens have been struggling and I don't see that improving here on Sunday. Take Pittsburgh. |
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11-04-18 | Utah State -19 v. Hawaii | 56-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Utah State looks to be the class of the Mountain West this year as they have scored 40 points or more six of their eight games. They have also covered seven of their eight games with their only straight up loss coming opening week at Michigan State, 31-38. The Aggies dismantled New Mexico last week, 61-19. Utah State has the 19th ranked offense in the country. Hawaii started the season 3-0 SU 2-1 ATS. Since then, the Rainbow Warriors are 2-5 S/U and 1-5-1 ATS. Hawaii lost last week at Fresno, 20-50. Hawaii is just 8-22 ATS their last 30 vs a team with a winning record and 14-39-1 ATS their last 54 in the Mountain West Conference. Plus, they have covered just five of their last 27 home games. The Aggies have covered the last four in this series and I look for that again here on Saturday. Play Utah State. |
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11-03-18 | Louisiana Tech +23.5 v. Mississippi State | 3-45 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
 Louisiana Tech has won three straight games S/U and is 2-1 ATS. The Bulldogs are coming off a road win as a 3.5 point dog to Florida Atlantic, 21-13. The team is now 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS in its five road games. Tech has a solid defense, ranking 35th nationally. Mississippi State ranks 71st offensively and 6th defensively. The MSU Bulldogs allow just a 46.1% redzone efficiency this season. MSU is coming off a home win over A&M, 28-13 following the heals of their loss at LSU, 3-19. The Bullodgs offense has been held to 7 points or fewer in three of the last five games. La Tech is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games and 37-17 ATS in the last 54 road games. This game should be a good defensive battle, but MSU laying way too many with the 23.5-point line. La Tech has already proved they can stand toe-to-toe with the likes of LSU, this line should be easy for them to cover. Take La Tech |
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11-03-18 | Tulane +6 v. South Florida | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
South Florida dropped from the ranks of the unbeaten last week, losing big at Houston 36-57. The Bulls have now covered just one time in their last six games and twice in eight games this season. The Bulls are also 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs a team with a losing record. Tulane is coming off a road win at Tulsa, 24-17 as 2.5-point road dogs. The Green Wave lost at home to South Florida last season, 28-34, so looking for a bit of revenge here today. Expect a shootout in this one as both teams can put up points. I'll take the six-points with the road dog Tulane today. |
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11-03-18 | Georgia Southern -6.5 v. UL-Monroe | Top | 25-44 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
Georgia Southern improved to 7-1 with a big win last week over Appalachian State, 34-14. The Eagles were a 9-point home dog in that game, their fifth win in a row. In addition, Ga Southern has covered seven of their eight games this year. The only loss for the team was at Clemson in week three, 7-38. UL Monroe is coming off a win at home over Texas State, 20-14 as 11-point favorites. It was the club's second win in a row. However, they are just 2-5 ATS on the season. In addition, Monroe is just 9-23-1 ATS in its last 33 home games. Georgia Southern laying 6 1/5 or 7 here and that's a good number for me. Take Georgia Southern. |
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11-03-18 | Michigan State -2.5 v. Maryland | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Michigan State is coming off a big win at home last week against Purdue, 23-13. The Spartans rebounded from their previous week's loss to Michigan, 7-21. Michigan State's offense is just 105th ranked while Maryland is 91st. Michigan State is 40th defensively while Maryland is 29th. The Spartans have been very good on the road, especially versus teams with winning home records - evidenced by their 19-9-2 ATS mar the the last 30. Conversely, the Terrapins are just 4-12 ATS vs a team with a winning record and 6-23 ATS their last 29 games following a ATS win. The Spartans are laying three points here and I'm going to take them over Maryland. |
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11-03-18 | Louisville v. Clemson -38.5 | 16-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Louisville has really not had much of a defense this year, allowing 160 points over their last three games. Now the Cardinals have to face the NO 2 ranked team in the country and 8-0 Clemson. Clemson should have little problems posting big numbers in this game as the the Tigers have scored 59, 41 and 63 in their last three games - all covers. The defense is stellar, holding each of the last three opponents to 10 points or fewer. In fact, the defense ranks third nationally while Louisville ranks 102nd. Louisville is just 7-20 ATS in its last 27 games and with their terrible defense, it's going to be a long game today. Take Clemson. |
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11-02-18 | Western Kentucky v. Middle Tennessee State -13.5 | 10-29 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky lost last week to Florida International, 17-38. The Hilltoppers are now 1-7 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season, though they have lost three straight vs the number. Middle Tennessee State (MTS) is coming off a blowout win over Old Dominion, 51-17. It was the club's fourth win in the last five games with the only loss a three point road setback at Florida International. MTS will be looking for a bit of revenge after losing to the Hilltoppers last year in Western Kentucky, 38-41. This has been a home team series of late, with the host covering the last four meetings. MTS is far and above the better team here. I like them in a blowout win. Take Middle Tennessee State. |
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11-01-18 | Raiders +3 v. 49ers | 3-34 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
 Raiders lost their third straight game last week at home to the Colts, 28-42. The game was close through three quarters, but the Colts blew it open in the 4th. The Raiders also dealt WR Amari Cooper before the trade deadline to the Dallas Cowboys. Looks like the Raiders are stock piling their draft picks for the future. But this season isn't even half over yet. So tonight they take on their rivals from across the bay, San Francisco. Oakland ranks 17th in the NFL in offense while the 49ers are 22nd. The Niners are the better defense, ranked 17th compared to the Raiders 26th ranking. These clubs have only met one time in the last five years and that was a Oakland win at home, 24-13. No real history here of late, but you can bet no matter what the records of these clubs, this will be a hard fought game. I'm going to take the points here with the Raiders which is around a field goal. Take Oakland. |
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11-01-18 | Ohio -3 v. Western Michigan | 59-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
 Ohio had an easy time last week at home against Ball State, winning 52-14 as 11-point favorites. The Bobcats have a great rushing attack that accounted for 411 yards last week. Ohio has the 22nd ranked offense in the country, averaging a balanced 234 yards rushing and 235 yards passing per game. They also have a 77.7 redzone efficiency rating, scoring 30 TD's in 43 attempts this season. Western Michigan is coming off a home loss to Toledo last week, 24-51. The Broncos saw their six game win streak snapped. The Broncos have not done that well for bettors though, covering just one of the last five games. Ohio is now 13-6 ATS in its last 19 road games and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 conference games. Have to lay a small price here on the road, but I like Ohio to win tonight. Play Ohio U. |
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10-28-18 | Packers +9 v. Rams | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show | |
Never in the career of Aaron Rodgers has he come into a game this big an underdog. The Packers got a much needed week off last week. That gave Rodgers another week to rest his knee and also maybe get back one of his wide receivers in Randal Cobb. The Packers had a tough game before the break against a stubborn 49ers club that nearly beat them, 33-30. This is a big game for Packers as they trail the Vikings in the NFC North by just one game. The LA Rams looks to keep their unbeaten streak alive today. The Rams are 7-0 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a blowout win over the 49ers, 39-10. The spread win snapped a two-game spread losing streak. The Packers have covered the last five in this series and I just believe this is too many points to give a Packers team and Rodgers after they had an extra week to prepare. Take Green Bay. |
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10-28-18 | 49ers -1.5 v. Cardinals | 15-18 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
The 49ers have been playing well under backup QB Beathard. Well, until last week when they had to play at the Rams, arguably the best team in the NFL. Once they fell behind, it was tough to generate much of any offense. The 49ers lost the week before at Green Bay, 30-33 and gave the Packers all they could handle. It's been a very disappointing season for the Cardinals, with just one win on the season. So much so, they canned their offensive coordinator and brought in a new one. The offense had scored over 17 points just one time this season. The new OC promises to get running back Johnson more involved in the game plan. That will remain to be seen. As for today, I don't see the new OC making much impact so soon. The 49ers have been playing the much better football and while I believe the Cardinals will improve with their new OC, I don't see that here today. I'm taking the 49ers. |
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10-28-18 | Seahawks +3 v. Lions | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks had last week off. They week prior, they had little trouble with the Oakland Raiders, winning on the road, 27-3. That came on the heals of their big effort and near upset of the Rams, 31-33. The Seahawks seem to be improving each week. Now they travel to Detroit to take on the Lions. The Lions are coming off a road win last week at Miami, 32-21. It was the team's second win in a row and their fifth cover in a row. Detroit is ranked 10th in offense while Seattle is ranked 6th in defense. The Lions don't usually do well after scoring 30 points or more, evidenced by their 7-19-2 ATS mark their last 28 in that spot. I like the field goal I'm getting here with the Hawks, since I look for them to win this game outright. Play Seattle. |
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10-28-18 | Ravens v. Panthers +3 | 21-36 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
What am amazing comeback win for the Panthers last week on the road at Philadelphia. Trailing by 17-points in the fourth quarter, the Panthers rallied for 21 unanswered points behind Cam Newton for the win. The win helped to forget the loss the week before to Washington, 17-23. The win also kept the Panthers just one game back of the Saints in the NFC South. Meanwhile, the Ravens suffered a home loss to the Saints last week, 23-24. The Saints also rallying to come back and win that game. Now the Ravens have to go on the road where they have lost at Cincinnati, won at Pittsburgh, lost at Cleveland and beat Tennessee. They are just 2-2 on the road and don't play nearly as well. I'm a bit surprised that the Panthers are a home dog here. The Ravens are not nearly as good on the road and the Panthers playing with a lot of confidence after last week's win. I like the Panthers in this spot. Play Carolina. |
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10-27-18 | Rice v. North Texas -30 | 17-41 | Loss | -103 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
 Rice has seen its offense abandon the club here lately, scoring just 20 points total in the last three games, all blowout losses. The Owls are now 1-7 S/U and 3-5 ATS on the season. The problem is, that once this team gets down, they are not the kind of club that can come from behind. That's going to be a problem here again for Rice today against a very good North Texas team. NTU is 6-2 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. You can expect North Texas to be looking for a blowout here today after losing at UAB last week, 21-29. It was the lowest scoring output this season for NTU. I don't see this one being close at all. NTU in a blowout win here on Saturday. |
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10-27-18 | Iowa +6 v. Penn State | 24-30 | Push | 0 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
 Iowa has been a bettor's friend this year, covering six of its seven games. The Hawkeyes have a very good defense, ranked 3rd in overall yardage in the nation. Only Michigan and Miami-Florida allow fewer yards per game than Iowa. The only blemish on the Hawkeyes' schedule was that 17-28 home loss to Wisconsin. Penn State comes into today's game with a 5-2 S/U record and 4-3 ATS mark. The Nittany Lions are coming off a win at Indiana, 33-28 as 14-point road favorites. Penn State ranks 71st in total defense and 15th in offense. Iowa has now covered eight of its last nine games overall. This game will match the Iowa defense vs the Penn State offense. I like the 5-to-6 points the Hawkeyes are receiving. Play Iowa. |
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10-27-18 | South Florida v. Houston -8 | 36-57 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
 No 21 South Florida brings a perfect 7-0 record into today's contest at Houston. The Bulls are just 2-5 ATS though. If you don't think that this perfect record for USF will have Houston primed, then you are wrong. The Cougars have lost just once this year and look to put a loss on the Bulls record. The Bulls have been fortunate this year, as four of their last five games have been decided by one possession. South Florida can't keep winning games the way they have and today is the day I look for Houston and their 6-1 record to take down this undefeated team. I don't think it will even be close. I'm taking Houston in a blowout win. |
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10-27-18 | Oregon State v. Colorado -24 | 41-34 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
 Oregon State has struggled, losing four straight both S/U and ATS. The Beavers have allowed at least 35 points in those last four losses and their defense is ranked 129th out of 130 teams in the nation. Colorado started the season 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS, but has since lost at USC 20-31 and at Washington, 13-27. The Buffaloes have played well though, even in those losses. Unlike Oregon State, the Buffaloes are ranked 37th defensively and 51st offensively. OSU is now 0-8 ATS in its last eight conference games. I like Colorado to be able to score pretty much at will here tonight and cover this big number. Play Colorado. |
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10-26-18 | Louisiana Tech +3.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
La Tech has already showed they can play with the big boys when they gave LSU all it could handle earlier in the season. Florida Atlantic suffering more injuries as they lost one of their best defensive players and their starting QB is hurting. FAU is coming off a loss at Marshall, 7-31 as a favorite. La Tech has won two straight after last week's win over UTEP, 31-24. La Tech will have revenge on it's mind today after last year's beating they took from FAU, 23-48. Especially with FAU piling on the score at the end of that game. I like the points here today with Louisiana Tech. |
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10-25-18 | Appalachian State -10 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
 Appalachian State failed to cover a spread for the first time this season in their last game, a 25-17 home win over La Lafayette. App St couldn't cover the 24.5 point line, now making them 5-1 ATS and 5-1 S/U. This App St team has a very good defense, allowing nine point or less in four of their six games this season. App St has the 8th ranked defense in the country and a very good redzone efficiency of just 58.1%. This club is also excellent offensively, ranking 18th in the country in total offense with a 79.1% redzone efficiency. Can't say the say for Ga Southern, which ranks 110th offensively and 53rd defensively. App State is now 9-1 ATS their last 10 games and 6-0 ATS their last six games vs a winning team. The favorite has covered the last four in this series and I look for App State to score a lot of points here and cover this game. Take App St |
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10-21-18 | Rams v. 49ers +10 | 39-10 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
 The San Francisco 49ers displayed a quick strike ability in their passing attack last Monday night at Green Bay. The Niners lost a game they could have easily won, 30-33 as 9-point road dogs. Now they return home to take on the undefeated Rams. The Rams have lost their last two vs the number, beating Seattle by just two points and then at Denver last week by just three points. The Rams are the best offense in the league, averaging 464 yards per game. San Francisco isn't bad though, ranked 13th. Defensively, the Rams aren't quite as good as many thought they would be at the start of the season, ranking 11th while the Niners are 19th. The Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings with the 49ers and 1-4 ATS in their last five at San Francisco. I like the points here tonight. The Rams haven't blown out either of their last two teams and the Niners can throw the ball. Play San Francisco. |
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10-21-18 | Panthers +5.5 v. Eagles | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
Philadelphia finally put it all together in their last game, beating the Giants 34-13. It was only the team's second cover against four losses this season. It was also the Eagles' highest point output of the season. Now they return home to face the Panthers. Carolina lost at Washington last week, 17-23. The loss snapped a 2-game win streak for Carolina. Both these teams are evenly matched both on offense and defense. The Panthers are 10-4 ATS their last 14 games following an ATS loss. They are also 5-0 ATS their last five off a straight up loss. Getting 5 or 5.5 here with the Panthers. Carolina can win this game outright, so the points are a bonus. Play Carolina. |
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10-21-18 | Patriots v. Bears +2 | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
 The Bears saw their three-game win streak snapped last week at Miami, 28-31. The Bears didn't know Tannehill wasn't going play. So they prepared for Tannehill, but got Osweiller. Still, the Bears had opportunities to win that game. Now they return home to play the high flying Patriots. The Pats really got it rolling their last three weeks, beating Miami 38-7, then the Colts 38-24 and then winning a shootout last week against the Chiefs, 43-40. Of course, all three of those games were at home. In their two road games this year, they lost at Jacksonville and lost at Detroit. The Bears have now gone 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall. The home team has covered five of the last six in this series. And with the Patriots playing on the road where they have looked totally different this year, I'm taking the Bears today. |
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10-21-18 | Titans v. Chargers -6.5 | 19-20 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Early start here on Sunday as the Titans and Chargers will face off from London, England. The Chargers are the 7th best offense in the league led by QB Phillip Rivers. He has plenty of targets plus the running of RB Gordon. Tennessee has struggled offensively, ranked just 30th in the league. The Chargers are coming off a blowout win at Cleveland, 38-14. It was the team's third win in a row and their second cover in a row. The Titans were shut out at home last week against Baltimore, 0-21. They have now scored 20 points or fewer in all but one of their six games. The Titans are now 0-9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs the Chargers. The favorite has also covered three of the last four with one push. I don't see the Titans being able to contain both Gordon's rushing and Rivers' passing. Take LA. |
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