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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks -1.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 149 h 37 m | Show |
To say that football can be a game of inches has never been more true than the Seattle Seahawks game with San Francisco in week 17. The Seahawks win that game and they get a bye this week and home games the rest of the playoffs. Lose and they hit the road this week for a Wildcard game. Well, with just seconds left, the Seahawks missed scoring a touchdown literally by inches. The Seahawks had first and goal at the 1-yard line with just a few seconds left and in comes Marshawn Lynch. But that would not be as the Hawks committed a cardinal sin and let the clock run out for a 5-yard penalty. Now it's 1st and goal at the 6-yard line with time for just one play. Wilson completed the pass to Hollister, but he was stopped just inches from the goal line and the 49ers win and clinch home field in the playoffs. Whew! You would think that would deflate the Seahawks. But I don't believe that. The Eagles won the NFC East with their win in week 17 over the Giants. Seattle will be No 5 seed with an 11-5 record but must travel to Philly this week. The Seahawks are a 1 1/2 point favorite here next Sunday. This is a rematch of their week 12 matchup in Philly where the Eagles were a 3-point favorite. The Seahawks won that previous meeting, 17-9. The Eagles have never beaten Russell Wilson, so they have their work cut out for them here today. The Eagles have won four straight to close the season and the Seahawks have lost two straight. For me, the Seahawks have had to play in the tough NFC West, while the Eagles played in the weakest division in football, the NFC East. The Seahawks, in my opinion, are the far better team and with this small line I look for them to sweep the Eagles this year. I love this matchup and will make it my WildCard Game of the Year. Take Seattle. |
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12-29-19 | Titans -6 v. Texans | Top | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 41 h 44 m | Show |
These two AFC South foes close out the regular season here today. Tennessee has their playoff hopes on the line today. Good news for the Titans is that Houston QB Deshaun Watson is questionable with a back injury. Considering that Watson likely will miss this game, that will help the Titans immensely here. The Titans need this game and the Texans don't. Get on this one early, play the Titans. |
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12-27-19 | Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M OVER 53.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
The Texas Bowl on Friday has No 25 Oklahoma State taking on Texas A&M. The Ok State Cowboys have won four of their last five games, but lost last time out. The offense was the highlight of this team, averaging 33.6 ppg, with 227 yards passing and 236 yard rushing. The Cowboys have one of the most balanced attacks in the nation. The problem has been defense with the Cowboys, allowing 27 ppg this season. They will have to improve if they hope to beat A&M here today. Texas A&M went from nine wins last season to just seven wins this year as they look to grab that eighth win today. The Aggies averaged 30 ppg and also has an excellent offense. For me, I'm going to pass on a side here today and look for these offenses to light the score board. I'm taking the OVER today. |
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12-21-19 | Bills +7 v. Patriots | Top | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
 The Buffalo Bills moved to within one game of the New England Patriots with a win last week over the Pittsburgh Steelers, 17-10. It was the Bills fourth spread win in their last five games. The Patriots improved to 11-3 with their win last week over Cincinnati, 34-13. It was the first spread win for the Pats in their last four games and five of the last six. The Pats offense has been stagnant, scoring 24 or fewer points in five of their last six games. Both of these teams have excellent defenses. Buffalo ranks 3rd overall and New England ranks 1st in the NFL. I think nearly a TD is too many points for a good defense like the Bills. Plus the Pats just not scoring like they were. I'm taking the Bills. |
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12-16-19 | Colts v. Saints OVER 46.5 | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Both these teams had rough losses last week and look to bounce back here tonight. The Colts are 6-7 and have lost five of their last six games. They had hopes of a playoff spot until this recent bad run. They lost last week at the Bucs, 35-38 and allowed 542 yards of offense. The Saints have clinched the NFC South but have given up the NFC best record. They also came out on the losing end of a shootout last week at home to the 49ers, 46-48. The Saints defense is banged-up, losing two defensive linemen in Sheldon Rankins and Marcus Davenport - both will miss rest of season. Defense probably won't be on display here today. I'm taking the over and enjoying the show. Play OVER. |
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12-15-19 | Seahawks -6 v. Panthers | Top | 30-24 | Push | 0 | 50 h 27 m | Show |
The Seahawks NFC West division hopes were dealt a blow last week as they lost to the Rams in a key contest. The Hawks dropped to 10-3, now a game back of the 49ers. The Rams are just two games back of the Hawks at 8-5 and hold that head-to-head advantage. The Hawks have Carolina this week, at home vs Arizona next week and then finish with a big game at home vs the 49ers in the final week. Seattle looks to bounce back here at Carolina this week. The Panthers got beat bad last week at Atlanta, 20-40. It was the team's fifth straight loss. Carolina allowed 461 yards and turned the ball over four times in their loss at Atlanta. The Panthers just not a good team at this point and Seattle has a lot on the line. Take Seattle. |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -15.5 | Top | 21-34 | Loss | -107 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
 Big 10 Championship from Indianapolis, IN has Wisconsin taking on the nation's top ranked team in Ohio State. Wisconsin is coming off a win over Minnesota last week, 38-17. It was the team's fourth win since they lost to these Buckeyes back on October 26th, 7-38. The Wisconsin offense is ranked 35th in the country and is predominantly a running team, averaging 244 yards per game. The defense comes in ranked 6th in the country. They will have their work cut out for them today against the 5th ranked offense of Ohio State. Ohio State also has the nation's top ranked defense, holding rushing teams to just 91 yards on the ground. I'm looking for a repeat of the first meeting where Ohio State dominated. I'm having no problem laying the points here with the Buckeys who have covered three of the last four in this series. Play Ohio State. |
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12-06-19 | Oregon v. Utah UNDER 46 | Top | 37-15 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
PAC 12 Championship has 13th ranked Oregon taking on 5th ranked Utah. Oregon beat intrastate rival Oregon State last week, 24-10 as a 18.5 point favorite. The Ducks failed to cover the spread for the 2nd straight game. Utah beat Colorado last week, 45-15 as a 28 1/2 point favorite. It was the 8th straight cover for Utah. Their defense is the backbone of this club, holding five of their last seven opponents to 7 points or fewer. Utah has the 3rd ranked overall defense in the country and a redzone efficiency rating of just 55.7%. They will face the 27th ranked offense in Oregon here tonight. For me, a great defense beats a great offense. Utah actually has the better ranked offense too, ranking 25th in the country. But it's the defense I will look for here tonight. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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11-29-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis -11 | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
We could be seeing a preview of the AAC Championship game here on Friday as Memphis plays Cincinnati. A Memphis win here on Friday means that Cincinnati would have to stay in town and play the AAC Championship next week. A Cincinnati win means they get to host the AAC Championship and that would either be against Navy or these Memphis Tigers. Memphis has scored at least 42 points in each of its last five games, including last week's win over South Florida, 49-10. Cincinnati is more a of the defensive team, holding each of its last three opponents to 17 points or fewer. This looks to be a great matchup on Friday, but more at state here for Memphis. I will take the Tigers in this one. Play Memphis. |
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11-25-19 | Ravens -3 v. Rams | Top | 45-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
Baltimore has scored 90 points the last two games, 49-13 over Cincinnati and then last week over Houston, 41-7. The Ravens have covered four straight games and their offense has at least 30 points in each of those games. The Ravens now have the league's second best offense at 445 yards per game. The Ravens are 1st in rushing yards per game in the league with 204 per game. The Rams offense has dropped to 13th with Todd Gurley and Jared Goff both under-performing this year. The Ravens are about a 3-point road favorite here today. The Ravens offense has been hitting on all cylinders. Can't say the same about the Rams. Ever since Goff signed that big contract he's performed well below his last two seasons. The Rams have 29 total points the last two weeks, though they did win at home over Chicago last week, 17-7. The Rams offense continues to drop in the rankings and I believe they will have issues keeping up with the Ravens potent attack here tonight. I'm taking the Ravens and laying the field goal. |
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11-24-19 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | Top | 35-22 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
All of a sudden the Atlanta Falcons look like a real NFL team. After a horrible season that saw the club go 1-7 S/U and ATS their first eight games, the team has won back to back games against New Orleans and Carolina. What's even more impressive is that they got both those wins on the road and held the Saints to just nine points and the Panthers to three points. Now they return home where they get another very winable contest against Tampa Bay. The Bucs lost last week to the Saints, 17-34. It was the sixth straight game they have failed to cover the season and the eight straight game they have gone over the total. Tampa Bay's offense is ranked 8th in the league but their defense is ranked 23rd. Atlanta has improved to 10th in the league in offense and 21st in defense. Atlanta is laying 3 1/2 or 4 here today at home. The way the Falcons are playing, I have no problem laying those points. Play Atlanta. |
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11-23-19 | San Diego State +3 v. Hawaii | Top | 11-14 | Push | 0 | 32 h 21 m | Show |
The late game on the college slate for Saturday has 8-2 San Diego State playing at 7-4 Hawaii. Both these clubs will be playing in Bowl games. But I'm a bit surprised to see the very good defensive San Diego State team getting 2 to 3 points in this contest. Hawaii is a very good offensive team, ranked 10th in the country in overall offense. However, they are facing the 8th ranked defense in the country in the Aztecs. This really comes down to just that, can San Diego State contain the Hawaii offense? If they can, they get the win and cover. San Diego State is not a team built to outscore their opponents. I do think a great defense beats great offenses. So I'm taking the dog here on Saturday night. Play San Diego State. |
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11-17-19 | Texans v. Ravens OVER 51.5 | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
A pair of first place teams meet here on Sunday as the Baltimore Ravens host the Houston Texans. Houston is 6-3 and leads the Colts by one-game in the AFC South. The Ravens are 7-2 and have a 2 1/2 game cushion over the Steelers. Baltimore's offense has been hitting on all cylinders, scoring 30 points or more in each of their last three games, including last week's win over the Bengals, 49-13. Baltimore has the 2nd ranked overall offense in the league. Houston might have something to say in this one, ranking fourth in the NFL in offense. Houston has scored at least 23 points in each of their last five games including two week's ago over Jacksonville, 26-3. The Texans had the week off following their London trip. That should do nothing but help the offense here today. I'm looking for a high scoring game in this one. Play the OVER. |
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11-16-19 | Georgia -3 v. Auburn | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 38 h 32 m | Show |
Huge game here between ranked teams as No 5 and 8-1 Georgia takes on No 13 and 7-2 Auburn. Georgia cruised to an easy win last week at home over Missouri, 27-0. It was the teams 2nd cover in a row, as improved to 5-4 ATS on the season. This is really Georgia's final tough game. They finish with a home game against Texas A&M and then close on the road at Georgia Tech. They have an outside shot at the Final four, but either way will be in a top Bowl game. Auburn followed their 20-23 loss two weeks ago to LSU with a win last week at home over Ole Miss, 20-14. A little concerning is the offense that has now scored 20 or fewer points in three of the last four games. Two tough games left for the Tigers as they host Georgia today and then Alabama to close the year. Georgia laying a field goal or less is just too much to pass on such a quality club. Play Georgia. |
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11-07-19 | Temple v. South Florida OVER 49 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Temple coming off a loss last week, their second blowout loss in a row. They lost to SMU, 21-45 and then last week lost to UCF, 21-63. In all fairness, those are two of the most prolific offenses that the Owls faced all year. What the Owls do have in their favor is a very uptempo offense. Expect them to run a hurry up offense here tonight on just about every down. That leads to more scoring opportunities. South Florida is coming off a win at home over East Carolina, 45-20. I like these teams to fly over the total here tonight. Play OVER. |
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11-02-19 | Georgia v. Florida +6.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
It's a big SEC Matchup here on Saturday as No 6 Florida takes on No 8 Georgia from Jacksonville in the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. The winner of this game should become the SEC East champion, which will mean an SEC Championship showdown with either Alabama or LSU for the conference championship. To the loser, that means elimination from the top 4 playoff picture. The Gators will rely on pressuring the Georgia QB as they lead the SEC in sacks with 29. They will go up against a Georgia offensive line that has allowed just four sack all season. Georgia is just 3-4 ATS on the season and has failed to cover its last two games. Florida started the season 0-2-1 ATS and has since gone 3-1 ATS. Last year Georgia won this matchup, 36-17 as a 6.5-point dog, outgaining the Gators, 423-275 yards. Georgia has covered the last two seasons with Florida taking the previous three. This should be a great matchup, best of the day in fact. I like the points here with a Florida team I expect to win outright. Play Florida. |
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10-27-19 | Raiders v. Texans OVER 51 | Top | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 62 h 11 m | Show |
The Oakland Raiders were hit hard last week by Aaron Rodgers who wracked-up the yards and Touchdowns against them in a 42-24 loss. The Raiders had no answer for Rodgers who threw five TD's and over 400 yards. It's not surprising, given the Raiders have the 24th ranked defense. The Raiders also have the third worse pass defense, allowing 289 yards per game. Offensively, the team isn't bad, ranked 13th in the NFL behind QB Carr and a good RB in Jacobs. The Raiders defense will once again be tasked here on Sunday against the league's 4th ranked offense in Houston. The Texans are coming off a loss at Indianapolis, 23-30. These clubs have gone over the last four meetings. Houston has also gone over in 16 of their last 23 vs the AFC. I expect a lot of points in this one. The total is high at around 51, but I don't think these clubs will have any problem going over that. Play the OVER. Â Â Â Â |
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10-26-19 | San Diego State -13 v. UNLV | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 14 m | Show |
The San Diego State Aztecs look to be the best team in this Mountain West Conference. The Aztecs are 6-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season. The Aztecs have covered three straight games now, mainly because of their defense. SDG State's defense now ranked 8th in the nation in total defense. The clubs only loss came three weeks ago at home to Utah State where they lost to the Aggies, 17-23. Meanwhile, UNLV has a 2-5 S/U on the season and 3-4 ATS. The Rebels do not have a good defense, giving up 30 or more points in four of their six games. UNLV's defense ranked a poor 106th in the nation. UNLV has three of their five remaining games at home, so they do have an outside shot at a record that will make them bowl eligible. However, I don't feel this club will attain that after they lose this week to the Aztecs. Take San Diego State this week. |
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10-24-19 | Redskins v. Vikings OVER 42 | Top | 9-19 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Minnesota improved to 5-2 both S/U and ATS with a win last week over the Detroit Lions, 42-30. The Vikings offense was clicking with 166 yards rushing and 337 yards passing by Kirk Cousins. The offense improved to 6th ranked overall in the NFL. The 6th ranked defense didn't perform as well, allowing 352 yards through the air to the Lions and 81 yards on the ground. It was the third straight win and cover for the Vikings, who have scored at least 28 points in four of their five games this year. The Redskins covered the spread last week, but barely. And considering they were shutout by the 49ers 0-9, that's even more amazing. But the 10-point line was their savior. The Skins covered their first game of the season last week against four losses. The managed just 154 total yards of offense in the loss and the ranking dropped to 29th overall. These teams last met in 2017 when the Vikings won in Washington, 38-30. The last three meetings have all gone over the total. That's what I'm sticking with here tonight. If we can get 10 points out of Washington then this one should go over. Play OVER. |
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10-21-19 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 43.5 | Top | 33-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
New England Patriots look like they are making another run at the NFL Super Bowl as their defense has just been outstanding this year. Last week the Pats beat the other New York team, the Giants, 35-14. The Pats defense held the Giants to just 213 total yards and had four takeaways. The Pats defense is ranked 1st overall in the NFL with the Jets at 19th. The last six games in this series have gone UNDER. The Patriots are 1-7 O/U as a road favorite of seven or more points their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Jets are 1-5 O/U when coming off a S/U home dog win as they did last week vs the Cowboys. I'm going to take the UNDER tonight in this one. Play UNDER. |
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10-12-19 | Memphis v. Temple +5.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 38 h 51 m | Show |
 Two very good teams meet in Philadelphia today as Temple hosts Memphis. Memphis is 5-0 on the season S/U and 4-1 ATS. This will be the Tigers first real test of the season after wins over LA Monroe, Southern, South Alabama, Navy and Ole Miss. Their biggest test came at home vs Ole Miss where they just got the win, 15-10. Temple plays an upbeat offense that can produce points. They should have got the cover last time vs East Carolina, but poor coaching with the clock at the end of the game gave E.Carolina the back-end cover. Still, this Temple team is tough at hoe where they beat Georgia Tech 24-2, Maryland 20-17 and Canisius 56-12. Temple has a solid defense, ranked 20th in the country. They also have an excellent red-zone efficiency rating of 46.6%, well below the national average. Memphis is ranked 36th in the nation defensively, but has a 74.7% red-zone efficiency. Both teams are also in the top 43 in offense yardage. Not sure why Memphis is this big a favorite as I like Temple to win this game outright. Play Temple. |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers OVER 47 | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
The San Francisco 49ers look to keep their perfect record in tact here on Monday night football as they host the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland pulled the upset win last week at Baltimore, 40-25. They have now covered both road games and not covered both home games. The Browns are 2-2 S/U and ATS. The entire offense was clicking last week at Baltimore with 337 yards passing and 193 yards rushing. The Browns offense now ranked 12th in the league with the defense ranked 13th. The 49ers had last week off to prepare for this game. Jimmy Garoppolo has a 9-2 record in his starts for the Niners. Shanahan is an offensive specialist and now you give him an extra week to prepare for this game? To me that means we'll be seeing plenty of points here on Monday. I'm expecting to see a high scoring contest in this one. take the OVER. |
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10-06-19 | Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 120 h 50 m | Show |
I really learned something last week, that this Baltimore Ravens team is a fraud. Everyone watched in week one as they demolished an overmatched and winless Miami Dolphins team. Then in week 2 we saw that effort get tougher as the winless Arizona Cardinals covered the 13 point dog line and almost won the game outright, 17-23. Then in week 4 when the real competition started, they lost at Kansas City, 28-33 failing to cover the 4-point dog line and then got killed at home last week by the Cleveland Browns, 25-40. This team is not nearly as good as they are now getting credit for. Meanwhile, the Steelers defense and offense both looked very good last Monday night for the win over the Bengals, 27-3. They have now covered two-straight games and now that Mason Rudolph is getting more action from the coach, he's looking like a real NFL quarterback. Let's throw out stats in this one because the Ravens are still inflated by that Miami game. Instead, lets look at who's real and who's a fraud. The Ravens are a fraud and should not be favored at Pittsburgh here in week 5. I personally will have my biggest bet of the NFL season so far on this game. Good luck and GO Steelers! |
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09-30-19 | Bengals v. Steelers UNDER 45.5 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
One of these teams should come away with their first win of the season here on Monday Night (barring a OT tie). Both Cincinnati and Pittsburgh are both 0-3 S/U to start the season. The Bengals looked great in their opener at Seattle, losing 20-21. The defense held Seattle to 72 yards rushing and 161 yards passing. Since the it's been downhill with a blowout loss at home to San Francisco, 17-41, and then a loss at Buffalo, 17-21. The Bengals have gone UNDER in two of their three games. Pittsburgh opened with a loss at New England, 3-33, then lost at home to Seattle, 26-28 and last week lost at San Francisco, 20-24. They have also gone under in two of their three games. Both teams rank near the bottom of the NFL in both offense and defense. Cincy has the 27th ranked defense and the 18th ranked offense. Pittsburgh is ranked 29th in defense and 30th in offense. For me, I'm looking UNDER here on Monday. The Bengals are 0-4-1 O/U in their last five road games. They are also 2-7-1 O/U the last 10 vs the AFC North. Pittsburgh is 2-5 O/U in their last seven games and now without Big Ben that should even be more magnified. The last 10 meetings between these teams in Pittsburgh has seen these teams go under eight time. Poor matchup here, so I'm sticking just with the UNDER. |
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09-28-19 | Georgia Tech v. Temple -8 | Top | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
Temple got upset last week at Buffalo, 22-38 as a 14-point favorite. The Owls might have had letdown after beating ranked Maryland the week before. This for a team that ranks 33rd in the country offensively with 470 yards per game. Meanwhile Georgia tech still looking for its first cover of the season after a 0-3 start. Tech's defense isn't the best, ranked 86th in the nation while the offense ranks a dismal 126th in the country with just 284 yards per game. Tech had last week off to stew over its loss to The Citadel, losing 24-27 as a 27-point favorite. GT managed just 118 yards passing in the lass and allowed 320 yards rushing. Temple may have lost to Buffalo last week, but I believe that was in part due to a letdown. This Temple club returns home where they will demolish this Georgia Tech team. Play Temple. |
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09-22-19 | Dolphins v. Cowboys -21 | Top | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 88 h 4 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins look like a team that has no desire to compete. The Dolphins have been blown out in both games, losing in the opener to the Ravens, 10-59 and then last week to the Patriots, 0-43. The offense has been horrendous, totaling 63 rushing yards combined for both games. The Passing game has 179 and 142 yards. As for defense, it's been shredded by the Ravens and Patriots. Won't get any easier today as the Cowboys and Ezekiel Elliot should just run all over this Miami team. Dallas has won and covered both games thus far, scoring 35 against the Giants and last week beating the Redskins, 31-21. This is one of the biggest lines we've seen in the NFL in ages and realistically, it should be higher. That being said, if the Cowboys want to cover this game they will. The Dolphins likely won't score again this week. I'm going to take a chance and lay the big number with Dallas |
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09-08-19 | Falcons v. Vikings -4 | Top | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 395 h 25 m | Show |
Arizona's offense not producing much in the preseason with just 200 yards average per game thus far. That's bodes bad for them here today against a Minnesota team that is 19-4 in preseason under HC Mike Zimmer. Zimmer is 5-0 with the Vikings in week 3 of the NFL preseason. That tells me that the Vikes take this dress rehearsal game serious. I'm looking at a big mismatch here on Saturday with the Vikes holding this Arizona team to low yards and score. I'm making a big play here on Minnesota. This will be my Preseason Game of the Year. Take Minnesota. |
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09-07-19 | Nebraska -4 v. Colorado | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
Colorado had its hand full last week with rival Colorado State, but pulled away late for the win and the cover. Still, CSU played with them for most of the first half and into the 2nd half before winning 52-31. However, the final score wasn't indicative of how the Buffs played in that game. Nebraska hosted South Alabama last week and won the game 35-21, but failed to cover the 35-point line. Have to wonder how interested the Huskers were in that game with Colorado up here this week. This game used to be a rivalry when both were in the same conference. Still, these teams look at this matchup as a rivalry. The Huskers ranked No 24 in the polls make their first visit to Folsom Field since 2009. Nebraska only laying 4.5-points here on Saturday. The Colorado defense needs work after allowing CSU to go up and down the field on them. I'm taking Nebraska here on Saturday. |
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08-31-19 | Louisiana Tech +20.5 v. Texas | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -102 | 25 h 42 m | Show |
Texas had its string of 17 straight home opening wins broken a few seasons ago, but rebounded back last year to beat Tulsa by just seven points as a 22 1/2 point chalk. The Longhorns return just eight starters (three on Defense). The good new though is the return of QB Sam Ehlinger. Tech returns 11 starters including QB J'Mar Smith who is a 1st Team all conference player. Tech getting 20 1/2 points is too many for Texas to lay. We saw last season how they barely survived their opening game over a much less talented Tulsa club. I'm taking the points here with Louisiana Tech. |
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08-31-19 | Toledo +12 v. Kentucky | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -107 | 48 h 4 m | Show |
Toledo won seven games last year and you might think that's not bad, but not for a Toledo club that saw those seven wins as their lowest win total in the last five years. The Rockets have their top two QB's back this year and 11 starters returning. Kentucky will be hurting early on defense as they return just four starters on defense. The Wildcats are 0-7 ATS in their last seven vs FBS teams. So why in the world is Kentucky laying double digits here? I don't know, but I do know I'll be taking the points with Toledo. Play Toledo. |
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08-29-19 | Utah v. BYU +7 | Top | 30-12 | Loss | -106 | 35 h 23 m | Show |
This is the 94th edition of what has become known as the "Holy War" between these Utah schools. BYU looking to snap an 8-game losing streak to Utah here on Thursday. Both teams have decent returning starters with the Utes returning 14 and the Cougars return 17 starters. BYU QB Zach Wilson and his top 3 wide outs return. The Cougars are 23-11 as a dog. The dog in this series is 7-2. I'm taking the home dog here on Thursday. Take BYU. |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints OVER 51 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -108 | 69 h 52 m | Show |
Divisional Series Game of the Year: It wasn't that long ago that these teams met and the Saints pummeled the Eagles, 48-7. So what's different this time? The Eagles are a different team this time around. The Eagles still have the third worst pass defense in the league and now have to face Drew Brees and Company. Even QB Mitchel Trubisky threw for 303 yards in the Bears loss to the Eagles last week. Last time Brees threw for 363 yards vs the Eagles and could easily eclipse that this time. But this time, the Eagles have a rejuvenated Nick Foles. Foles seems to come alive come playoff time. The Saints haven't faced Foles since 2013. Foles has won nine of 10 starts in this late season period. Plus, RB Darren Sproles is going to play this time, something the Eagles lacked last time. So for this game, I'm going to take the OVER. The total is right at 51 or 51 1/2. Last time these teams met the game went under the 56.5 total as they came up just short with 55 points. This time, I expect the Eagles to get much more points the way the team is playing with Foles. And, Brees will still put up points for the Saints with that explosive offense they have. My best play of this round is the OVER. |
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01-05-19 | Colts +2 v. Texans | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 68 h 57 m | Show |
Indianapolis won their big game with the Titans on Sunday night to earn their spot into today's playoff game. The Colts are playing very well, winners of four straight and nine of their last 10 games. The Colts offense has also been very good behind QB Andrew Luck, now ranked 7th in the NFL. The Colts defense is also solid at No 11 in the NFL. As for Houston, they have the no 12 defense and the No 15 offense. Houston closed out their season with an easy win on Sunday against the punchless Jaguars, 20-3. Still, the team has lost two of their last four games including at home to these Colts, 21-24 four weeks ago. The Colts are now 5-0-1 in their last six meetings in Houston and 8-2-3 overall vs the Texans the last 13 meetings. The road team is also 7-1-2 the last 10 meetings. I like the Colts here plus the points. |
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01-01-19 | LSU v. Central Florida +7.5 | Top | 40-32 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
Once again I am looking for motivation in these bowl games. We have a disinterested SEC team in LSU going against a Central Florida team looking to make it two undefeated seasons in a row. Last season the UFC Knights completed their perfect season with a win over another SEC team in the Peach Bowl, beating Auburn 34-27. Can they do it again this year? UFC will be without their star QB in McKenzie Milton. Milton got hurt in the season finale. That means Darriel Mack Jr will be starting and he has been a very good fill-in. The big question is whether or not UFC can stop LSU. LSU isn't known as an offensive powerhouse, however they do play a physical game and that could hurt UFC. They do have Greg McCrae running the ball still, ask McCrae rushed for 1101 yards and 9 TD's on the season. I don't know if UFC can win outright here today, but I do know they will have enough to stay with the Tigers and that 7 1/2 points they are getting looks like a lot to me. Play Central Florida. |
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12-30-18 | Lions v. Packers -7.5 | Top | 31-0 | Loss | -108 | 46 h 4 m | Show |
This last week of the NFL regular season you have to look past numbers and figures and look for what motivates a team in this week. Some teams have the playoffs to look forward, while others (like these two) teams are just playing out the season. So why do I like my side so much here today? Simple. Aaron Rodgers has had a tough season. He's been injured, he's been hit hard all year and he's been without at times any decent receivers. This definitely not the type of season that Rodgers is used to having. I believe that he will want to finish this season strong and put his detractors doubts to rest. The Lions have one of the worst offenses in the NFL, they haven't been covering at all and Mathew Stafford has rumors surrounding him that he will be traded. Everything points to a Packers complete blowout here today. One of my favorite games of the season right here today is on the Packers. |
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12-29-18 | Oklahoma v. Alabama -13.5 | Top | 34-45 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 17 m | Show |
The Orange Bowl will have No 1 Alabama vs No 4 Oklahoma for a spot in the finals of the Bowl Championship. The Crimson Tide is 10-4 S/U and 8-5-1 ATS in Bowls under Nick Saban. The Tide have been installed as a 14-point favorite here. Alabama had little trouble this season, beating eight teams that made it to the bowls postseason. The Tide were chalks of 21-points or more 11 times this season and still were 8-5 ATS. These are the two best offenses in the country, however, the big difference is on defense where Alabama is ranked 6th in the country and Oklahoma is ranked 109th. This is going to be the difference here today. The Tide will roll with the points and while Oklahoma is one of the best offensively, I don't see them staying with the Tide. The Sooners are just 3-9 ATS their last 12 neutral site games. I expect the Tide to roll into the Championship game here today. Play Alabama. |
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12-26-18 | Minnesota v. Georgia Tech -5.5 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -101 | 50 h 41 m | Show |
Minnesota has not been good to bettors as they did not cover two games in a row since week 3 of the season. In fact, they were just 3-4 S/U the last seven weeks of the season. The offense ranked just 86th in the country has to go against a Georgia Tech offense that is 53rd. The Gophers were 64th defensively while Georgia Tech was 46th. Tech was 5-1 ATS in their last six December games and 4-0-1 ATS their last five neutral site games. Tech holds all the edges in this matchup and I look for a mismatch here as the Gophers just don't have enough to stay with a very good Yellow Jackets team. Play Georgia Tech. |
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12-19-18 | Ohio v. San Diego State +3 | Top | 27-0 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
Ohio makes the long trip West to play in the Frisco Bowl here tonight while San Diego State makes the short trek North. This will be the first meeting ever between these two football teams. This game pits the strong Ohio U running game against the stingy San Diego State running defense. Ohio U ranks 16th nationally in offense and averages 262 yards per game on the ground. San Diego State ranks 21st defensively and allows just 95 yards per game on the ground. When it comes to these Bowl games, I tend to stick with the better defensive teams. That's just what I'm doing here today. I'm taking San Diego State. |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +7 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
The Saints path through the playoffs got a bit easier with the Rams losing on Sunday night. The Saints are now 11-2 while the Rams are 11-3. Plus, the Saints have already beaten the Rams. The Panthers are not out of a Wild Card yet, but can't afford a loss tonight. The Panthers are 6-7 and you have three other teams at 7-7 for that final Wild Card spot. The Saints rebounded from their loss at Dallas two weeks ago with a win last week at Tampa Bay, 28-14. New Orleans plays its third straight road game here tonight. Carolina has lost five straight games, with four of those losses on the road. They return home here tonight where they are 5-1 S/U this season. The Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. The dog has done well in this series, covering seven of the last eight between these teams. Panthers are tough at home and they will fight for that final playoff spot. I like the points here on their home field. Take Carolina. |
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12-16-18 | Cowboys v. Colts -3 | Top | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys hold a two-game lead in the NFC East with three games to play. The Cowboys had to go to OT last week to dispatch Philadelphia, 29-23. Now they have the Colts, Bucs and close out at the Giants. They could easily lose two of these games if not careful. The Colts bounced back from their 0-6 loss at Jacksonville two weeks ago with a big win at Houston last week, 24-21. The Colts can't catch Houston for the AFC South lead, but they are in the running for the last AFC Wildcard. Right now the Chargers have the first wildcard and four teams are tied with a 7-6 record. The Colts have been good at home against winning teams, evidenced by their 16-5-1 ATS mark their last 22 games. The favorite and the home team have each covered four of the last five in this series. I like the Colts and Andrew Luck here in today's game. Play Indianapolis. |
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12-13-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
 For me, this game comes down to a few things. First, both teams have running back issues. The Chargers likely without Gordon and Eckler while the Chiefs have no Hunt and Ware is hurt. The Chargers get a big revenge game for that loss earlier this season and that really does make more difference in division games. The Chargers have the much better defense and pass rush. Plus, the Chiefs are coming off a very physical OT game last week vs the Ravens. The Chargers coasted last week vs the Bengals. For me, all the positives line up on the Chargers tonight. Take LA Chargers. |
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12-10-18 | Vikings v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 140 h 55 m | Show |
Monday Night Game of the Year: The Vikings are coming off a loss at New England last week, 10-24. The Vikings are 2-2 in their last four games. The Vikings are in 2nd in the NFC North 1.5 games back of the Bears. The Vikings are still in the hunt for a WildCard spot though as they battle a host of other teams. Seattle has the unfortunate luck of being in the NFC West with the Rams.. However, right now they are 7-5 and holding onto one of the Wild Card spots. The Seahawks have won three straight after last week's win over the 49ers, 43-16. The have average over 30 points a game in their last four outings. The Vikings are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs a team with a winning record and 2-9 ATS here on Monday nights. The Hawks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six vs the NFC and 22-9-1 ATS in their last32 games in December. Seattle laying 3 or 3.5-points here on Monday night. I love the way the Seahawks are playing and the Vikings on the road again here this week. Bad spot for Minnesota. Take the Seahawks. |
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12-09-18 | Panthers v. Browns +1.5 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 36 h 43 m | Show |
It's been a roller coaster season for the Browns, firing Hue Jackson earlier in the season and having to endure all those OT games. They have won two of their last three games with wins over the Falcons and Bengals. They did lose last week at Houston, 13-29. Now they return home for two of their last four games. They get the reeling Panthers here today. Remember back to week six when the Panthers trailed the Eagles 0-17 in the fourth quarter? Then they rallied to win that game 21-17. It looked like that could be the turnaround of their season. However, since that win, they are 2-4 both S/U and ATS and on a four-game losing streak. The Panthers lost last week to the Buccaneers, 17-24 as 3-point chalks. Now it looks like Carolina is out in the playoff picture with New Orleans twice on the schedule and Atlanta left. Browns have been tough at home and I'm taking them here today against this Panther team that is chasing its own tail at this point. Play Cleveland. |
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12-02-18 | Chargers v. Steelers -3 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
The Chargers had little trouble last week with Arizona, winning 45-10. The win got the bad taste out of their mouth from the previous week's loss to the Broncos, 22-23. The Chargers have the 6th ranked offense in the league and the 9th ranked defense in the league. The big loss though is that of RB Melvin Gordon, who is out with a knee injury. That will put all the more pressure on QB Phillip Rivers today. The Steelers enter this game with the 4th ranked offense and the 6th ranked defense. Pittsburgh lost last week to the Broncos, 17-24. The Steelers had four turnovers in that game and no take aways. They outgained the Broncos 527 yards to just 308. The Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games. The Chargers are will be hard pressed to score the way they have without Gordon in the lineup. Take the Steelers here on Sunday. |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks -2.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
Seattle comes off another cover vs the LA Rams last week. It was the teams fourth cover in their last five games. They will host the Green Bay Packers tonight. The Packers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six away games. The Hawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The home team has also covered six of the last seven meetings in this series. The Packers have also had a lot of defensive issues between recent trades and releasing players and injuries. I look for the Seahawks to control this game at home. I'm taking the Seattle. |
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11-11-18 | Dolphins v. Packers -10 | Top | 12-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
 Packers definitely in a down season, having just a 3-4-1 record S/U this season. Green Bay has lost two straight, 17-31 to the Patriots and 27-29 to the Rams. Still, they have Aaron Rodgers and when you have Rodgers you have a team that can explode. The Dolphins are having issues here of late, especially with their offensive line that will be missing three starters today. The Dolphins got a win last week over the Jets, 13-6, snapping a two game losing streak. After starting the season 3-0, the Dolphins are just 2-4 since. The Dolphins will still be without QB Ryan Tannehill, who is doubtful with a shoulder injury. Another issue for the Dolphins is their history of playing in cold weather cities. That's what they do today as they go from balmy Miami to Green Bay. The temperatures are expected in the low 30's and dropping to the upper 20's. This game was also moved from a 1pm Eastern start to a 4:25 pm ET start, which means they will be playing in the colder weather. I like the Packers in this situation. They catch the Dolphins in cold weather with a backup QB and a banged-up offensive line. Take the Packers in a romp tonight. |
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11-07-18 | Ohio -4.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 28-30 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Ohio dismantled Western Michigan last week, beating the Broncos 59-14 on the road. The Bobcats grabbed six turnovers and committed none. They had 420 total yards to just 270. Miami lost last week at Buffalo, 42-51 in a shootout. Miami played Buffalo pretty even in stats, but just couldn't get there to cover the 7.5-point dog line. Last year, Ohio won this meeting with ease, 45-28 as 7-point favorites. The Cats actually had fewer yards in the game, but had two takeaways to zero turnovers. Ohio is the 25th ranked offense in the country and has 52 Redzone trips this year with 37 TD's. Compare that to Miami's 92nd ranked offense that has only 34 redzone trips and 26 TD's. This one looks to be another shootout, but Ohio is the best team and that's who I'm on tonight. Play Ohio U. |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys -4.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 7 m | Show |
 The Tennessee Titans have lost three straight games after going to London two weeks ago and losing to the Chargers, 19-20. A bit of controversy as the Titans went for two at the end of the game rather than the tie to send the game into overtime. This Titans' club not scoring much, they have more than 20 points just one time in their seven games. Meanwhile, Amari Cooper is expected to make his Cowboys debut tonight. Many believe instant impact will come with his arrival in Big D. The Cowboys lost that big NFC rivalry game two weeks ago to the Redskins. Good news is that the Redskins lost today at home to the Falcons. A win tonight by the Cowboys and they are just one game back in a crowded NFC East. Both these clubs in the bottom five in total offense, though Dallas looking to improve that now that they have a legitimate threat at wide receiver. Dallas does have the better defense, ranked third in the NFL. The Titans are only 11-23 ATS in their last 34 road games. The Cowboys are 13-6 ATS their last 19 following a bye week. I like the fact that the Cowboys have finally got a good threat at wide out. That will take pressure off the running game and I expect to see a bump in Dak Prescott too. Play Dallas. |
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11-03-18 | Georgia Southern -6.5 v. UL-Monroe | Top | 25-44 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
Georgia Southern improved to 7-1 with a big win last week over Appalachian State, 34-14. The Eagles were a 9-point home dog in that game, their fifth win in a row. In addition, Ga Southern has covered seven of their eight games this year. The only loss for the team was at Clemson in week three, 7-38. UL Monroe is coming off a win at home over Texas State, 20-14 as 11-point favorites. It was the club's second win in a row. However, they are just 2-5 ATS on the season. In addition, Monroe is just 9-23-1 ATS in its last 33 home games. Georgia Southern laying 6 1/5 or 7 here and that's a good number for me. Take Georgia Southern. |
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10-25-18 | Appalachian State -10 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
 Appalachian State failed to cover a spread for the first time this season in their last game, a 25-17 home win over La Lafayette. App St couldn't cover the 24.5 point line, now making them 5-1 ATS and 5-1 S/U. This App St team has a very good defense, allowing nine point or less in four of their six games this season. App St has the 8th ranked defense in the country and a very good redzone efficiency of just 58.1%. This club is also excellent offensively, ranking 18th in the country in total offense with a 79.1% redzone efficiency. Can't say the say for Ga Southern, which ranks 110th offensively and 53rd defensively. App State is now 9-1 ATS their last 10 games and 6-0 ATS their last six games vs a winning team. The favorite has covered the last four in this series and I look for App State to score a lot of points here and cover this game. Take App St |
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10-22-18 | Giants v. Falcons OVER 52.5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -104 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
Monday night matchup here has the Atlanta Falcons hosting the Giants. The Giants seem to be that one piece away from a winning team. Many are saying it's Eli Manning and his poor play is the reason. It surely isn't the play of rookie Saquon Barkely who continues to impress everyone or that of Odel Beckham. The Giants defense has given up 34, 33 and 33 points in each of their last three games. The offense isn't bad, but Eli is making too many mistakes. Today they face the 30th ranked defense in Atlanta. The Falcons offense is ranked 8th, but the defense has lost them games. I like the over here tonight. Both defenses give up lots of points. Both offenses can strike and strike quickly. Play the OVER here tonight and enjoy the show. Play OVER. |
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10-21-18 | Patriots v. Bears +2 | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
 The Bears saw their three-game win streak snapped last week at Miami, 28-31. The Bears didn't know Tannehill wasn't going play. So they prepared for Tannehill, but got Osweiller. Still, the Bears had opportunities to win that game. Now they return home to play the high flying Patriots. The Pats really got it rolling their last three weeks, beating Miami 38-7, then the Colts 38-24 and then winning a shootout last week against the Chiefs, 43-40. Of course, all three of those games were at home. In their two road games this year, they lost at Jacksonville and lost at Detroit. The Bears have now gone 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall. The home team has covered five of the last six in this series. And with the Patriots playing on the road where they have looked totally different this year, I'm taking the Bears today. |
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10-20-18 | Oregon v. Washington State -2.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 59 m | Show |
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10-13-18 | Washington v. Oregon +3.5 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
Oregon rebounded nicely from that devastating loss at home three weeks ago to the Stanford Cardinal, 31-38. They had that game in hand before some strange events led to that loss. Still, Oregon has the 15th rated offense behind Heisman hopeful quarterback Justin Herbert. Oregon has scored at least 31 points in all five of their games this season. Washington opened the season with that loss at Auburn, 16-21. Since then, they are 5-0 S/U and 2-3 ATS. The Huskies had some trouble last week with UCLA, winning just 31-24 as 21.5 point road favorites. The defense has been very good, ranked 14th and allowing 24 points or fewer in every game this season. This game promises to highlight the Oregon offense vs the Washington defense. Oregon had the week off to prepare for this game. I like the Ducks here with Hebert at the helm. Play Oregon. |
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10-09-18 | Appalachian State -10 v. Arkansas State | Top | 35-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Appalachian State has covered all four games so far this season and in big fashion. They opened with a tough game at Penn State, giving the Nittany Lions all they could handle in a 38-45 loss as 23.5 point dogs. Then they proceeded to outscore their next three opponents 169-23! Conversely, Arkansas State is 1-4 ATS and has a 3-2 S/U mark. They are coming off a loss at Georgia Southern, 21-28, as 3.5 point road favorites. Ark State will have its hands full with the 11th ranked offense in the country today. Not only that, but their offense will have to face a Appalachian State squad that also has the 6th ranked defense in the country. Sure, you can take that with a grain of salt since they play a weaker than FBS schedule. Still, this is not a good FBS team in Arkansas State. I think this is a very overmatched Arkansas State team here today that will find the going tough. Take Appalachian State. |
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10-08-18 | Redskins +6 v. Saints | Top | 19-43 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 52 m | Show |
The Redskins have had two weeks to prepare for the Saints, as they had last week off. Washington is 2-1 both S/U and ATS so far after their big win over the Packers, 31-17. Washington is ranked 13th in the NFL in offense with 383 yards per game. It's the defense that has been very good, ranked 3rd in the NFL. The Saints offense is once again very good, ranked 4th in the NFL with 418 yards per game. The defense is ranked 24th, allowing 391 yards per game, of which 311 are through the air. The Saints started the season 0-2, but have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and the Giants. The Redskins have covered the last six in this series and are 4-0 ATS the last four in New Orleans. With the week off to prepare, I like the Redskins here with the points. Play Washington. |
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10-07-18 | Raiders +6 v. Chargers | Top | 10-26 | Loss | -116 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
Oakland got that much needed first win for Jon Gruden last week at home over the Browns in OT, 45-42. The Browns blew a late lead and the Raiders rallied. The Raiders had come close in just about every game this year, with the exception of the Rams contest on opening day. The Chargers, I fully expected this team to be much better then they have shown thus far. The Chargers did pull out the home win last week over the 49ers, 29-27. However, they were a 10-point favorite, so again they didn't live up to expectations. The Chargers are now 2-2 on the season and 1-3 ATS. The Chargers are now 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. The Raiders have covered seven of the last nine in this series at both San Diego/LA. The dog has also been really good play here, covering 15 of the last 18 meetings. I'm taking the points here with the Raiders who now have that win under their belt. Play Oakland. |
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10-06-18 | Florida State +14 v. Miami-FL | Top | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
Florida State is 3-2 S/U on the season, but just 1-4 ATS. The Seminoles are coming off a win at Louisville, 28-24, but failed to cover the 5-point spread. Miami is 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS after their win last week at home over North Carolina, 47-10. Miami finally got a win in this season last year, 24-20, snapping a FSU six game wins treak. FSU has also covered three of the last four in this series. Miami is a 14-point favorite here today. Which is strange considering that in the last 16 meetings, this game has been decided by seven points or less 14 times. Personally, I believe this is way too many points to give FSU here today. You can throw out the stats and the records because this is between the two biggest football powers in the state. I'm taking the points here with FSU. |
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10-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU UNDER 55.5 | Top | 45-20 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Utah State had last week off. The Aggies are 3-1 S/U and 4-0 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Air Force, 42-32. BYU is 3-2 S/U and ATS and is coming off a loss at Washington, 7-35. The Cougars were looking for that second stunning win after they won at Wisconsin a few weeks ago, 24-21. The BYU defense has been solid, holding four of their five opponents to 23 or less points. BYU ranks 57th defensively allowing 358 yards per game. Utah St ranks 56th with 357 yars per game. In addition, Utah State has just a 64.7 defensive redzone efficiency as they have allowed just eight TD's in 17 red zone trips. Six of the last 10 meetings between these teams have gone under. This is big Intrastate rivalry and I like the under with a pair of above average defenses. Play UNDER. |
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10-04-18 | Colts v. Patriots -10 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
One thing I realize is that when the Patriots begin to roll, you best get on board or get out of the way. We saw that last week as New England steamrolled over Miami. As for the Colts, they rallied to tie Houston last week and then in OT a 4th and 5 in their own territory didn't work out, giving Houston the ball and the win. It was a controversial move by HC Frank Reich who later stated that he would do that 10 out of 10 times. Well, I'm not sure a tie is a bad thing in that spot, but a loss sure feels worse. Now they play the short week by traveling to Foxboro to play the Patriots. Good news for the Patriots is the return of Julian Edelman after serving his four-game suspension. Edleman has long been a favorite target of Tom Brady. Colts QB Andrew Luck continues to look more and more comfortable. Luck passed for 464 yards last week against the Texans. Luck may be without his top target in T.Y Hilton, who was injured last week. However, even with Luck looking better and better, I like the Patriots here. With Edelman back and the way they looked last week I have no problem laying the number here. Play New England. |
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09-30-18 | Ravens +3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 60 h 29 m | Show |
The Baltimore Ravens improved to 2-1 after last week's win at home over the Broncos, 27-14. Baltimore shut down the Broncos in the second half, holding them scoreless after leading 20-14 at the half. The Ravens have the top rated defense in the league thus far, allowing just 273 yards per game this season. They will put that to the test at Pittsburgh this week. The Steelers were in a dogfight at Tampa Bay last Monday. The Steelers used a lot of pressure to force Bucs QB Ryan Fitzpatrick into first half mistakes that got the Steelers out to a 30-10 halftime lead. The Bucs rallied in the second half, cutting that lead to 30-27 into the fourth quarter. One glaring issue for the Steelers has been penalties. They have had at least 12 penalties in three straight games. Penalties have been a killer for the Steelers this season. The Steelers defense has also been burned by the TD pass, allowing nine in the last two weeks. The Steelers were able to hold onto that late lead in Tampa Bay, but their problems run deep. I like the Ravens, who have the defensive advantage. Play Baltimore. |
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09-29-18 | Oregon v. California +2 | Top | 42-24 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
Can Oregon rebound after last week's shocking home loss to Stanford? I don't know, but they likely will have some carry over here to this game. The Ducks outplayed the Stanford Cardinal the entire game. The Ducks could have taken a 31-7 lead in the third quarter, but a called back TD followed by a fumble and 80-yard Stanford return for a TD started the fall. Now they have to hit the road at Cal. The Bears are 3-0 S/U after beating Idaho State last week, 45-23. The Ducks are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 conference games and 2-5 ATS following an ATS loss. In addition, Oregon is 8-22-1 ATS their last 31 overall. The home team has covered eight of the last 10 meetings in this series. I'm taking Cal here on Saturday. |
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09-27-18 | Vikings v. Rams OVER 48.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
I think we have to really discard last week's lackluster effort by the Vikings. They were clearly looking past the inept Bills to tonight's game with the Rams. Only problem was, the Bills showed up and kicked their behinds to the tune of 27-6. In fact, the Vikings didn't even score until late in the 4th quarter. Minnesota had three turnovers to no takeaways and rushed for a paltry 14 yards. The Rams, they cruised to victory over their intra-city rivals, the Chargers, 35-23. The Rams offense continues to thrive, however their much anticipated defense took some hits last week.The Rams lost CB Marcus Peters (calf) who will not likely play tonight. They also lost CB Aqib Talib to an ankle injury and the IR list. That's a big loss at both starting corners. The Vikings should get their running game back tonight with the return of Dalvin Cook who returns from a hamstring injury. All in all the Vikings are still one of the best in the NFC and the Rams can score at will. I'm taking this game over and I'll just sit back and enjoy the show. Play the OVER. |
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09-23-18 | Broncos v. Ravens -5 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 76 h 37 m | Show |
 The Denver Broncos could easily be 0-2, but instead are 2-0 as they head East to play the Ravens. The Broncos beat the Seahawks in a back-and-forth battle in week one and then came from behind in the second half last week to beat the Raiders, 20-19 on a last second field goal. Raiders QB Carr was very good in this game, hitting on 29-of-32 passes for 281 yards. The loss of LB Kahlil Mack has really hit this Raiders team hard, no matter what head coach Jon Gruden says. The Ravens dismantled the Bills in week one and then lost to the Bengals last week, 23-34. Three turnovers to none hurt Baltimore in this loss. The Ravens had more yards than the Bengals, 425-373 and more offensive plays 77 to 70. But turnovers can be a killer and those three were big in this contest. The Broncos were lucky to be 2-0 and the Ravens are really unlucky to be 1-1. I believe the Ravens are the much better team here early in the season. Take Baltimore. |
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09-15-18 | Boise State +2 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
 Boise State has had little trouble in their first two games, beating Troy 56-20 and then last week defeating U Conn, 62-7 as a 33.5 point home favorite. The Broncos return to the road this week to face Oklahoma State. The Cowboys opened with a 58-17 win over Missouri State and then beat South Alabama last week, 55-13. They are 1-1 ATS, covering the 30.5 point line last week. This should be an interesting matchup between two teams with explosive offenses who really face their first challenge of the season. This is the bigger game for Boise, because they know that Oklahoma State might be their real only obstacle to a 12-0 season. The Broncos have looked forward to this game since Spring and will have everyone ready. Not only has Boise covered seven of their last nine games, but they are 45-22 ATS in their last 67 road games. I think this game just means a lot more to this Boise squad and I'm taking them here on Saturday afternoon. |
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09-13-18 | Ravens v. Bengals OVER 44.5 | Top | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
 Two AFC North rivals meetup here to begin Week 2 of the NFL as the Bengals host the Ravens. Both teams won last week. The Ravens dismantled the Bills, 47-3 and the Bengals used a big 2nd half to win at the Colts, 34-23. The Bengals offense shot itself in the foot in the first half with turnovers. However, they fixed that in the second half and scored the points they should have early on. The Ravens have gone over in five of their last seven road games and are 9-4 O/U in their last 13 games overall. Both these QB's are playing well after week 1 and both offenses have generated plenty of offense. I like tonight's contest to go OVER the total. |
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09-10-18 | Rams v. Raiders UNDER 47.5 | Top | 33-13 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
 The Rams open the season and will debut their new defense under Wade Phillips. The Raiders get to debut new head coach Jon Gruden and a defense without their top player from last year in Khalil Mack. The Rams defense was bolstered during the offseason with the addition of All-Pro corners Aqib Talib and Marcus Peters plus Ndamakong Suh on the defensive line. While it was the offense last year that grabbed headlines, this defense has the ability to be one of the best in the NFL this season. The Rams didn't play any of their offensive stars during the preseason. This game should be exciting, but early on I do like defenses ahead of the offenses and I think the Rams unit will be on display here tonight. I'm taking the UNDER as I don't see the Raiders getting many points. Play UNDER. |
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09-09-18 | Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 48 | Top | 38-28 | Win | 102 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
The Chiefs have dominated the Chargers in recent times, winning eight straight dating back to 2014. QB Patrick Mahomes begins his tenure as the Chiefs starting signal-caller. The Chiefs will be without star defensive players Joey Bosa. Charger's QB Phillip Rivers begins his 15th season in the NFL. Combined with Melvin Gordon at running back and the Chargers have a potent offensive attack. The Chiefs are 8-3 Over/Under in their last 11 road games. I'm playing the OVER here on Sunday in this game as both teams should be able to put up plenty of points. The Chiefs won't be the same run team we've seen the in past. Play OVER. |
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09-08-18 | Wyoming v. Missouri -19.5 | Top | 13-40 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
Wyoming is 1-1 with that extra game under its belt. The Cowboys are in a rebuilding year after losing Josh Allen to the NFL. The Cowboys opened with a nice road win at New Mexico State, 29-7. However, that game lost some luster when we have seen how bad New Mexico State is this season. The Cowboys then lost at home to Washington State, 19-41 as just 3-point dogs. It seems the oddsmakers may have given Wyoming a bit too much credit after that New Mexico State win too. Missouri opened with a easy win over Tennessee Martin, 51-14, covering the 33.5 point spread. The Tigers totaled 558 yards of offense and held UTM to just 277 yards. Hard to gauge these games against non-FBS opponents, but it's clear that Wyoming isn't as good as first thought. Wyoming is a big road dog here today and for good reason. Missouri should easily handle the Cowboys. Take Missouri. |
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09-02-18 | Miami-FL -3 v. LSU | Top | 17-33 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
 Miami was 10-0 last year before the wheels fell off and finished with three straight losses. QB Malik Rosier returns this year and will be pushed by some younger QB's in the stable. They return a lot of experience on the offensive line and the defense will be another beast this year. LSU will be depending on Ohio State transfer Joe Burrow at QB and a pair of Texas Tech wide receivers that transferred. They also have a new OC in Steve Ensminger. I don't look for this LSU team to be as good as last year, especially with questions at skill positions like QB and WR. Miami just too good out of the gate to pass on this 3-point line today. LSU might be good, but not this early. Play Miami Florida. |
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09-01-18 | UMass +17.5 v. Boston College | Top | 21-55 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
If there is a season that UMASS might break out, this could be the one. The Minutemen return most of their star players to a team that was 6-6 and on the verge of that breakout last season. The good news is that this team started the season 0-6, but rallied to win its final six games of the season. They have a very good offense led by QB Andrew For. They return all their running backs, wide receivers and offensive lineman. This unit will be even better than last year. The defense might not be quite as good as they had to replace three very good starters. Meanwhile, Boston College finished 7-6 last year and while the team struggled offensively at times last year, they should be better in 2018. Just like U Mass, this team had to rally for five wins in the last six games to have that winning season. The defense is not deep and lost some big play makers from last season. The Eagles should be about as good as last year, but not much more. I like the points a lot here with U Mass and their strong offense against a weak BC defense. Take U Mass. |
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08-30-18 | Wake Forest v. Tulane +6.5 | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
Wake Forest already starts the season with a handicap, as their star QB Kendall Hinton will not play due to a suspension. He will miss the first three games of the season. They will also be without backup QB Jamie Newman (quad). These are big losses to a team that ranked 21st in offense last year. Freshman QB Sam Hartman will get the start here tonight. Expect to see a lot of RB Matt Colburn here tonight with the QB issues. Tulane is led by a very good QB in Jonathan Banks. Banks can throw and run and likely will give Wake lots of problems tonight. With Wake having a freshman start at QB, I give a big edge here to Tulane playing at home. Play Tulane. |
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01-14-18 | Jaguars v. Steelers UNDER 41.5 | Top | 45-42 | Loss | -108 | 38 h 58 m | Show |
 You could tell the Jags plan of attack last week was to play defense and not get QB Blake Bortles into any problems. Bortles made most of his passes behind the line of scrimmage or on short pass plays. These teams met back in week five with the Jags defense dominating Pittsburgh with five INT's and two pick-six touchdowns in a 30-9 win. I don't expect this Steelers team to play like that today, but I also don't expect this Jaguars team to get many points against a very good Steelers defense. I look for a low scoring game here today with Bortles again being asked to not do too much and let the defense take over. Play the UNDER. |
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01-06-18 | Titans v. Chiefs -7.5 | Top | 22-21 | Loss | -115 | 115 h 16 m | Show |
 Both of these teams have had issues this season, but I look at the Titans as the team here that has not played well on the road. The Titans have played without RB DeMarco Murray who missed the last game with a sprained knee. QB Mariotta has also had injury issues off and on all season. The Chiefs had up and downs all year, but finished with three wins and has momentum coming into this game with nice wins over Denver, Miami and the Chargers. The Titans won just one of their last four games, that against a Jacksonville team last week that had nothing to play for. I look at this game as one which the Chiefs are ready to win. I don't see that with the Titans, who haven't shown me anything most of this season. They have injuries and don't play well on the road. I'm taking the Chiefs here in the Wildcard game. |
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12-04-17 | Steelers -4 v. Bengals | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
The Steelers have a 1.5 game lead going into tonight's contest over the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North. A loss tonight would put the Ravens just one game back. The Bengals are done at 5-6, though they could still have an outside shot at a Wildcard but it will take some help from other teams. Pittsburgh has won six straight games, but could be without star receiver Antonio Brown (Toe) who was downgraded to "?" tonight. The Bengals have won two straight, but that was against winless Cleveland and a terrible Denver team. The last two decent teams they played they lost, against Jacksonville and Tennessee. The offense has been terrible, ranked 26th in passing and 32nd in rushing. Though, rookie RB Joe Mixon is coming off his best game as a pro and may be ready to lead this ground game for the Bengals. The Steelers have the 4th best scoring defense, allowing just 17.5 yards per game. The Steelers have pretty much owned the Bengals, going 16-3-2 ATS their last 21 visits to Cincinnati and 20-7-2 ATS their last 29 meetings overall. I'm taking Pittsburgh tonight with or without Brown. |
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11-18-17 | SMU v. Memphis -12 | Top | 45-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
American Athletic Conference Game of the Year : SMU has lost its last two games, a wild 43-40 loss last week to Navy and hten a 31-24 setback two weeks ago vs Central Florida. Now they face a Memphis team that has won it's last five games, scoring over 41 in four of those wins and 30 in the other. In fact, the Tigers have outscored their last five opponents by a 239-136 margin. The Tigers are 8-1 on the season with their only loss coming at the hands of Central Florida. Memphis averages over 500 yards a games with 329 coming via the air and 173 on the ground. This Tigers club is just rolling right now and I don't see that changing here on Saturday before the home crowd. Take Memphis. |
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10-22-17 | Falcons v. Patriots -3 | Top | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 98 h 2 m | Show |
Sunday Night Personal Elite : This is our rematch of the Super Bowl where the Falcons all but handed the trophy to New England. Patriots looking to re-establish their home field dominance they once had before a pair of losses this year. The Pats made a nice comeback win last week at the Jets (thanks in part to a blown replay). Don't count out the Pats though, their offense is still riding high and while the defense hasn't been good, they can still outscore teams. Expect this one to be a high scoring affair, but I'm taking Brady and Co to win it again. |
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10-16-17 | Colts +7.5 v. Titans | Top | 22-36 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
Colts come into tonight with an 11-game win streak vs the Titans and a 9-1-1 ATS mark the last 11. We may not see either team's starting QB as Andrew Luck and Marcus Mariota are both hurting. Look for the Titans to try and control the ball with their running game of DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry. Surprisingly, even without Luck, the Colts are just one game back in the AFC South. I have to side with coaching in this one and I give a big edge to Colts Chuck Pagano over the Titans Mike Mularkey. Pagano has handled his situation much better and has his team ready to play. Take the points here with the Colts who can win outright. |
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10-15-17 | Giants v. Broncos -11.5 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 14 m | Show |
NFL Blowout Game of the Year: Things have gone from bad to worse for the NY Giants. Adding injury to insult, the Giants are now 0-5 on the season after losing at home to the Chargers, 27-22. The Giants lost their two top three receivers to season-ending surgeries, with Brandon Marshall, Dwayne Harris and Odell Beckham Jr all done for the year. The Giants don't have a rushing game to fall back on, as they have averaged just 77.8 ypg. Now they have to travel to Denver and face the "NO Fly Zone" defense of the Broncos. This game could get really ugly for New York and early. This is a game I want everyone down on early with the 4-1 Broncos. Denver will have to play their next three on the road, so this game has a lot of meaning for them to get to 5-1. I don't see any way the Giants put up even double digits here. I'll gladly lay the points with the Broncos |
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09-30-17 | New Mexico State +17 v. Arkansas | Top | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 58 m | Show |
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09-23-17 | UCLA v. Stanford -7.5 | Top | 34-58 | Win | 100 | 46 h 52 m | Show |
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09-16-17 | Oregon -13.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 49-13 | Win | 100 | 71 h 17 m | Show |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons OVER 60 | Top | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 116 h 40 m | Show |
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01-09-17 | Clemson v. Alabama OVER 50.5 | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 53 m | Show |
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01-08-17 | Dolphins v. Steelers -10 | Top | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 66 h 42 m | Show |
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01-01-17 | Packers -3 v. Lions | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 96 h 2 m | Show |
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12-08-16 | Raiders +3 v. Chiefs | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
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11-27-16 | Giants -7 v. Browns | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 47 h 60 m | Show |
11/27 10:00 AM NFL (265) NEW YORK GIANTS VS (266) CLEVELAND BROWNS. Take: (265) NEW YORK GIANTS Reason: NFL Mismatch Game of the Month: Play the NY Giants. |
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11-27-16 | Bengals v. Ravens UNDER 40.5 | Top | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 42 h 28 m | Show |
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11-20-16 | Steelers -8 v. Browns | Top | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 137 h 57 m | Show |
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11-19-16 | Ole Miss v. Vanderbilt +10 | Top | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 47 h 11 m | Show |
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11-13-16 | Vikings v. Redskins -2.5 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 141 h 53 m | Show |
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11-12-16 | South Florida -3 v. Memphis | Top | 49-42 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
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11-05-16 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +7 | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -125 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
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10-29-16 | Marshall v. Southern Miss -16 | Top | 14-24 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
10/29 04:00 PMÂ CFÂ Â (173) MARSHALL VS (174) SO MISSISSIPPI. |
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10-17-16 | Jets v. Cardinals -7 | Top | 3-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
The Jets are 1-4 overall and head out on a long road trip. New York has scored 33 points during the three-game losing streak and was blanked in the second half of last week's 31-13 loss at Pittsburgh. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has been a turnover machine and the Arizona Cardinals are 20-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. QB Carson Palmer is poised to return to the lineup, so jump on the home team. Play the Cardinals. |
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10-15-16 | Tulsa +22 v. Houston | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 74 h 39 m | Show |
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09-12-16 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 44.5 | Top | 0-28 | Win | 100 | 180 h 4 m | Show |
NFL Platinum Club High Roller Total: Rams/49ers Under the total. |
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