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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-06-18 | Seton Hall v. Butler -2.5 | 90-87 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Excellent Big East Matchup here on Saturday as the 13-2 Seton Hall Pirates take on the 12-4 Butler Bulldogs. Seton Hall is 2-0 in Big East play so far with wins over Creighton and St Johns. Even with their excellent record, the club is just 1-4 ATS their last five games. Butler is 2-1 in conference play, having lost at Xavier last time out, 79-86. The loss snapped a four game win streak for the Bulldogs. One of my numbers really stands out here today and that's the recent play number that has Butler as a 16 point favorite. Sure, that line is way too big, but it gives me an indication of which way these teams are playing. We are laying just a couple here on Saturday so I'll take that number with Butler. |
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01-06-18 | Nevada -14 v. Air Force | 86-75 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Nevada having a great season at 14-4 overall and 3-0 in conference play. The Wolfpack has roared through conference play with blowout wins over Wyoming and Fresno and a narrow win over New Mexico. Air Force, well not so good so far. The Falcons have been grounded so far with just a 6-8 overall record and 4-4 ATS mark. The Falcons are 0-2 in conference play with a 29 point loss at New Mexico and a 12 point loss at Fresno. Air Force has won just one time in their last six games. Nevada is a hefty 15 point road favorite here. However, my numbers say that is not nearly enough as I come in at 23 on Nevada and 26 in my recent trend numbers. It's a lot, but don't worry about laying the price with Nevada. |
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01-05-18 | Northern Kentucky +1.5 v. Oakland | 87-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
Horizon League action on tap today as 9-5 Northern Kentucky takes on 9-6 Oakland. NKU is 2-0 in conference play after a pair of home wins. They have also covered four straight and nine of 11 games this year. Oakland is 1-1 in conference play after a pair of away games. NKU has double revenge on its mind after losing both games to Oakland last year. NKU also played a very tough non-con schedule compared to that of Oakland. We see Oakland has moved to a 1.5 point favorite here today. My power lines has NKU as a nearly 3-poinf favorite and winning both recent trend lines too. I am taking the points here today with Northern Kentucky. |
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01-04-18 | UC-Santa Barbara -4.5 v. Cal Poly | 79-80 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
 Cal Santa Barbara (11-3 S/U, 9-2 ATS) opens Big West play tonight at Cal Poly. CSUB had an excellent non-con schedule, winning 10 of their last 11 games. They also did very well against the number, covering three straight and eight of the last nine. Cal Poly limps into conference play tonight, losing five of their last six and seven of their last nine games. In addition, the club has covered just one time in their last seven tries. Oddsmakers have CSUB as 4.5 point favorites, but my numbers shows them closer to 10. Take Cal Santa Barbara. |
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01-04-18 | Northern Iowa v. Missouri State -5 | 55-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Missouri Valley Conference play tonight as Northern Iowa (8-6 S/U, 3-6 AST) takes on Missouri State (12-3 S/U, 7-4 ATS). N.Iowa lost their conference opener at home to Southern Illinois, 53-72, making that their four loss in a row and fifth vs the number. Meanwhile, Missouri State is 2-0 in conference play with a home win over Loyola Chicago, 64-59, and a road win over Valparaiso, 67-50. While my overall power line is right about the same as the oddsmaker, I look also at my recent lines, which show me as Missouri State 15-point and 13 point favorites. I'm taking Missouri State here tonight. |
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01-04-18 | Houston +10.5 v. Wichita State | 63-81 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
American Athletic play continues tonight for a pair of 12-2 teams. Houston has won their two conference games, with a road win at South Florida 79-60 and a home win over Temple, 76-73. The Cougars have now won four straight games and 11 of their last 12 games. Wichita State comes off their first conference win at U Conn, 72-62. The Shockers have failed to cover four straight games and five of the last six however. Two of my recent trend numbers have Houston a one-point dog and a four-point dog, well inside the range the oddsmakers put up tonight of Wichita State -10. I'm taking the points here with Houston. |
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01-04-18 | East Tennessee State -8.5 v. Samford | 90-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
East Tennessee State rolled in their Southern Conference opener over Mercer, 74-55. But that's been the way for ETS as they have rolled over opponents this year, covering seven straight games on their way to a 10-4 record. Can't say the same for Samford which is 5-9 on the season and 2-6 ATS. Samford did win their conference opener at home over Chattanooga, 73-56. My numbers show E.Tenn St as a 14 point road favorite and almost 20 points if I look at recent play. I'm taking the visitor here in East Tennessee State. |
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01-03-18 | Miami-FL -5.5 v. Georgia Tech | 54-64 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
Miami Florida won their ACC opener at Pittsburgh, 67-53, making the Hurricanes 12-1 on the season and 6-2 ATS. The Canes haven't played a true home home since December 5th and tonight play another away game at Georgia Tech. Miami is 6-2-ATS on the road. Georgia Tech lost it's third game in four nights in their ACC opener at Notre Dame, 59-68. It was also the club's sixth loss in their last eight games. Oddsmakers have Miami a 5.5 to 6 point favorite while my numbers come in at Miami nearly 16 points. All my situational numbers are double digit on Miami and that's who I'm taking tonight. Play Miami Florida |
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01-03-18 | St Bonaventure -2 v. Dayton | Top | 72-82 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 28 m | Show |
Atlantic 10 play tonight has 11-2 St Bonnys at 6-7 Dayton. St Bonny's opened conference play with a win at home over U Mass, 98-78. It was the teams eighth straight win and third cover in a row. St Bonny's had some quality non-conf wins too, with a neutral site win over Maryland and a road win over Syracuse. Dayton lost their opener in conference play, 62-70. It was the team's third loss in their last five games. In addition, the Flyers have a 1-4 ATS record their last five games. Oddsmakers have St Bonny's as a 2-point chalk here. My number has them at nine with their recent streaks at 18 and 14. All my numbers point to an easy St Bonny win tonight. Play St Bonaventure. |
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01-03-18 | St. John's v. Creighton -12 | 71-78 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
 Big East play tonight has Creighton (11-3 S/U, 8-5 ATS) hosting St Johns (10-4 S/U, 6-6 ATS). St John's is 0-2 in Big East play after losses at home to Providence and on the road at Seton Hall. Now they have to take on one of the top teams in the conference in Creighton. Creighton lost their conference opener at Seton Hall, 84-90 and returned with a win at home over Providence, 83-64. Oddsmaker has Creighton 12-point favorite here tonight. My recent streak numbers have Creighton at 22 and 15 with the season number at 14.8. I like the home team here tonight as all my numbers point to a cover. Take Creighton. |
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01-03-18 | VCU +1 v. St. Joe's | 81-87 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
VCU looks to improve in Atlantic 10 play to 2-0 tonight after an opening conference win at home over Fordham, 76-63. It was the team's fourth win in a row and sixth in the last eight. St Joe's has struggled this season to a 5-7 overall record and opening conference loss at George Washington, 62-70. It was the team's fourth loss in five nights. Oddsmakers have St Joe's a 1-point favorite here tonight. My numbers all have VCU has the favorite with a high of 5 points. Take Virginia Commonwealth tonight. |
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01-02-18 | Penn State +4 v. Maryland | 69-75 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
 Nice Big-10 matchup here today as 11-4 Penn State takes on 12-3 Maryland. The Nittany Lions actually played two conference games back in early December, beating Iowa 77-72 and losing to Wisconsin, 63-64. The rest here out are Big-10 games with Maryland tonight. The Lions have won four of their last five games and covered two of their last three. Maryland also played two Big-10 games back in early December, losing at home to Purdue, 75-80 and winning at Illinois, 92-91. The Terps have won five straight non-conf games, but all against low level competition. Maryland has had to endure lots of injuries this year, including season-ending injuries to forward Justin Jackson and Ivan Bender. That left the team with just nine healthy scholarship players and 12 on the roster heading into today's game. Also is a possible look aheader with No 1 Michigan State coming up Thursday. I'm taking the points here with Penn State as they may just jump up and win this outright. Play Penn State. |
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01-02-18 | William & Mary +2 v. James Madison | 84-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
William and Mary opened Colonial conference play with a nice win at home over Hofstra, 90-87. W&M has scored well all season, with points over the 90 point level on five occasions. They have also covered well, with a 6-1 ATS record this season. James Madison is just 4-10 thus far with a 5-7 ATS mark. JM lost their conference opener at home to Northeastern, 70-81. It was the team's fourth loss in five games. My own numbers make William & Mary a favorite here, yet we are getting 2-points from the oddsmaker. I'll take them, play William & Mary. |
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12-31-17 | Utah +1 v. Oregon State | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Utah opened PAC-12 conference play with a win over Oregon, 66-56 on Friday. The win was the club's ninth this season. Oregon State also opened with a PAC-12 conference win over Colorado, 76-57. Oregon State also has nine wins this season, though they are just 4-4 ATS. This is another example of the oddsmaker and my lines being way off. They have OSU a 1-point favorite, while my numbers make Utah a 4.5 point favorite. I'm taking the visitor here on Sunday with Utah. |
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12-31-17 | Eastern Washington v. North Dakota | 77-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Right off the bat the line hits me like a brick wall. I have E.Washington a six point favorite here today while the oddsmaker has put a pick on this game. Neither team is all that great, E.Wa has five wins while North Dakota has just four wins. Eastern has played better of late, winning two of three straight up and three of four against the spread. North Dakota got hammered in its Big SKy home opener on Friday, 57-74 by Idaho. It was the club's sixth spread loss in their last seven tries. They have also lost six games in a row straight up. We just need a win out of the visitor today to cover this one. Play Eastern Washington. |
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12-31-17 | Georgia State +2 v. Troy State | 66-68 | Push | 0 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Georgia State opened its Sun Belt conference play with a loss to South Alabama, 64-84. Ga State had won four of its previous five games before the loss. Ga State also has done well against the spread, covering three of the last four and seven of 10 this year. Troy lost its conf opener at home to Georgia Southern, 80-86. It was the fifth loss in the last six games for the Trojans. In addition, Troy has now failed to cover five straight games. Troy a small favorite here while my numbers tell me that Georgia State should be the favorite. Play the visitor, Georgia State. |
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12-30-17 | Arizona State +6.5 v. Arizona | Top | 78-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
Arizona State puts its perfect 12-0 record on the line this evening against intrastate rival Arizona. ASU not only is perfect straight up, but has an outstanding spread record at 9-1. The Sun Devils have beaten Kansas, Xavier, Kansas State and San Diego State this season. Three of those wins by at least double-digits. Arizona had a rough patch early in the season when they played in a preseason tournament where they lost all three games to NC State, SMU and Purdue. However, since then they have won all seven games. Their spread record isn't very good, covering just five of 12 tries. Bit surprised at the line here today with Arizona a 6 to 6.5 points chalk. My numbers actually show ASU the favorite. Play Arizona State. |
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12-30-17 | Temple +7.5 v. Houston | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Temple already has one American Athletic conference game under it's belt, a 75-85 loss at Tulane. The Owls played in a lot of preseason tourneys, and they did well, winning five of six games and going 4-2 ATS. The Owls have also beat Wisconsin this season. Houston is 1-0 in conference play, beating South Florida, 79-60. One of Houston's losses this year was to Drexel, a team they were favored by 13.5 points. Which leads me to today's line of 8.5 or 9 on Houston. That line is just too high here for this matchup. Houston is the better team, but not by that many points. Take the number with Temple. |
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12-30-17 | New Mexico v. Nevada -13.5 | 74-77 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
 New Mexico limps into Reno this afternoon at 6-8 S/U, 4-7 ATS to play a very good Nevada Wolfpack team at 12-4 S/U. The Lobos opened their Mountain West play on Wednesday with a win at home over Air Force, 87-58. That was just the team's fourth win in their last 12 games. Moreover, NMU covered just its second game in their last six tries. Nevada also opened conf play with a win, 80-65 over Fresno State. The Wolfpack started the season with eight straight covers before running into a rough patch that saw the club cover just once in their next five before the Fresno blowout. They return home where they have pretty much dominated teams this year. My personal line is six higher then what the oddsmaker made Nevada a favorite. I like the home team here in a easy blowout win. |
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12-30-17 | Towson +4 v. College of Charleston | 62-73 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Two three-loss teams face off in conference play today as 10-3 Towson takes on 9-3 Charleston. Neither team has any real big opponents on their resumes this year with the exception of Charleston who played Wichita State early and lost 64-81. Line is too high here on the host, which is laying four today. My line has this game at pick, which seems much more in line with the opponents and results of these two clubs. Take the points here with Towson. |
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12-29-17 | Georgia Southern -1 v. Troy State | 86-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern and Troy both open their Sun Belt Conference play tonight. Georgia Southern Eagles finished non-conf play 9-4 S/u. The Eagles big resume win was over Wake Forest, 85-83 as a 11 point dog. The Troy Trojans lost four of their last five non-conf games. They also were 0-4 in their last four spread games. My own numbers give me a play tonight on Georgia Southern. |
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12-29-17 | Idaho -2.5 v. North Dakota | 74-57 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
The Idaho Vandals take on North Dakota Fighting Hawks as both teams open Big Sky Conference play today. Idaho finished non-conf play with a 8-4 record. Their big resume win was a win at home over Washington State, 91-64. North Dakota was just 4-7 in non-conf play including losing their last four games and going 1-5 ATS their last six spread games. The Fighting Hawks best showing was an OT loss to Gonzaga, 83-89. Idaho is a three point favorite tonight, my numbers have them at 10. Play Idaho. |
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12-29-17 | Texas State +4 v. Appalachian State | 62-66 | Push | 0 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Texas State Bobcats (7-6 S/U 2-4 ATS) take on Appalachian State Mountaineers (5-8 S/U, 5-5 ATS). Texas State is coming off a win over intrastate rival Rice, 74-66. App State looks to break a four game losing streak. The Mountaineers lost badly at Hampton last time out, 53=86. The Mountaineers are also 1-5 ATS their last six Sun Belt games. The Bobcats have done much better in conference play, going 5-2 in their last 7 vs the Sun Belts. My number on this game shows a play taking the points here with Texas State. |
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12-28-17 | Montana State v. Southern Utah | Top | 104-99 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Big Sky conference play openers tonight for Montana State (7-6 S/U, 4-7 ATS) and Southern Utah (6-5 S/U, 8-1 ATS). MSU lost three of its last four games heading into tonight's contest including losses at Nebraska-Omaha, Cal Santa Barbara and Central Michigan. In addition, Montana State has covered just two of their last seven games. Southern Utah has failed to cover just once this season, against Iowa, losing 64-92 as 17-point dogs. Southern Utah is pick in this game, my own line has S.Utah as a 7-point favorite. Play the home team here in Southern Utah. |
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12-28-17 | Creighton +5 v. Seton Hall | 84-90 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Big East conference play begins for both these clubs. Creighton (10-2 S/U, 7-4 ATS) takes on Seton Hall (11-2 S/U, 6-7 ATS). Creighton rolled through non-conf schedule, losing only to Gonzaga and Baylor. Creighton was a double digit favorite in their last five games, covering three of those. Seton Hall played in a lot of preseason tournaments, with four games in all coming on neutral courts. The Pirates had non-conf losses to Rhode Island and Rutgers. The Pirates also failed to cover their last three games. Oddsmakers have Seton Hall a five point favorite here today while numbers have this game pick or even Creighton a small favorite. I'm taking the points with Creighton. |
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12-27-17 | San Diego State -3 v. Wyoming | Top | 69-82 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
San Diego State has long been known as a great defensive team. However, that has changed this year. Not only are the Aztecs still a potent defense, but they have added an offense. The Aztecs were 9-3 S/U and 6-3 ATS in their non-conf schedule including their last win over Gonzaga, 72-70 as six point dogs. Wyoming comes into today's game at 9-4 S/U and 4-7 ATS. The Cowboys coming off a disappointing loss to Northern Colorado, 84-91 as 9.5 point favorite. Oddsmaker has the Aztecs at 3 point chalks today, my number is closer to 10. Play San Diego State. |
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12-27-17 | Villanova -15 v. DePaul | 103-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Villanova finished their non-conf schedule a perfect 12-0 S/U and 8-3 ATS. The Nova offense was on fire, scoring 80 points or more in eight of their 12 wins. They also covered spreads of 32.5 twice, 21.5, 21 and 20.5, so they have no problem covering these big spreads. Depaul finished non-conf with a 7-5 mark S/U and 7-4 ATS record. The Blue Demons don't do well following up wins, evidenced by their 5-14-1 ATS record their last 20. The Wildcats have not only covered four of the last five at Depaul, but the road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven. I like Villanova to win this one in a blowout. |
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12-23-17 | UC-Santa Barbara -8.5 v. CS Sacramento | 82-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Late action tonight finds 9-3 Cal Santa Barbara playing at 3-10 Sacramento State. UCB has two games left on the non-conf schedule before Big West play. The Gouchos have only three losses and those were to Pitt, Texas A&M and USC - all from big conferences. UCB wins against teams just like today's in Sac State. Sac State has only wins over Cal Northridge and a pair of teams not even in any of the major conferences. This kind of game I need to rely on my own Power Lines a lot. Oddsmakers make UCB a eight-point favorite, my numbers have UCB at 13. Take Cal Santa Barbara and enjoy a late Saturday winner. |
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12-22-17 | Bethune-Cookman v. Washington State -14.5 | Top | 58-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Bethune Cookman steps way up in class tonight as they play at Washington State. BC is 5-8 S/U on the season and this will be their first game with a line posted. BC has played some quality teams, just losing at Georgia Tech, 62-65, losing to South Florida 63-83 and losing just a few nights ago to Washington, 55-106. The problem tonight is that Washington State is every bit as good as Washington and they beat Bethune Cookman by 51 points. This will be the perfect spot for the Cougars to regain some confidence, having lost four of their last five games after starting the season 6-0. Really surprised that the line has gone down to 14.5 here tonight. I look for Washington State to run up the score just like Washington did a few nights ago. Take Washington State. |
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12-21-17 | Kansas v. Stanford +15 | 75-54 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
One of the last big non-conference games here as 9-2 Kansas takes on 6-6 Stanford. The Jayhawks started the season 7-0 and then lost back-to-back games to Washington and Arizona State, both PAC-12 schools. Now they play another PAC-12 School, Stanford, in the Sacramento Showcase from Sacramento, CA. While this is not a home game for Stanford, they should have most of the crowd. I don't think Kansas will get a lot of traveling fans with the holiday so close. Stanford hasn't been all that good this year, they lost four in a row including to Portland State, 78-87. The have won three of their last four, but haven't really beaten anyone of consequence. The problem I have with Kansas is motivation as they really have nothing to play for in this four team tournament against Portland, Sacramento State and Stanford. They will be double digit favorites against them all. TOnight the Jayhawks are 14.5 point favorites. Kansas hasn't done well covering spreads, going 1-3 their last four games. I think I'm going to take a chance on Stanford tonight plus the points as I look for Kansas to be less than motivated for this contest. |
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12-20-17 | Towson +3.5 v. Oakland | 86-97 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
Towson State (10-1 S/U, 5-1 ATS) takes on Oakland U (6-5 S/U, 3-5 ATS). The Tigers lost their opening game of the season, since then they have won 10 straight games. Towson's only game as a dog this year was to Lasalle, where they won 67-60 on a neutral court. Oakland has lost two of its last three games, one at Eastern Michigan and the other to Michigan State, 73-86. The Golden Grizzlies covered against Michigan State, only their second cover in the last seven tries. Oakland is a 3.5 point favorite here tonight, while my numbers have this game as a pick'em. Take the points with Towson. |
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12-20-17 | North Texas +9.5 v. Georgetown | 63-75 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
North Texas (6-6 S/U, 5-1 ATS) takes on the Georgetown Hoyas (8-1 S/U, 1-5 ATS). North Texas lost it's first cover of the season in just its second game of the year to Nebraska, 67-86. Since then, they have covered five straight including Georgia Tech, Oklahoma and a straight-up win last game over San Diego, 86-83 as 10-point dogs. Georgetown is 8-1 on the year, but their resume has only one decent team and that is Syracuse, their ony loss, 79-86 in OT. The Hoyas have also failed to cover the spread in five straight games, four of those as 19 point favorites or higher. Georgetown is a 9.5 point favorite here tonight, which is high for a team that really hasn't played anyone of consequence. North Texas has quality teams on its resume and has covered against much better teams. I'm taking the points here tonight with North Texas. |
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12-19-17 | Northern Colorado +9.5 v. Wyoming | 91-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Regional game here on tap as these teams are separated by less than 60 miles. That means recruiting on the line and that usually favors the smaller team. Northern Colorado is 8-3 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season. Wyoming is 9-3 S/U and 4-6 ATS on the year. The Cowboys have already lost to one regional opponent, dropping a game to Denver U, 78-88 as a 6.5 point favorite. The Cowboys also have just one cover in their last six games with a line. Wyoming is a 9.5 point favorite here tonight, but my own line makes this closer to 4.5. NCU has much more to play for in this contest, take Northern Colorado. |
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12-18-17 | Boise State +9 v. SMU | 63-86 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Boise State Broncos bring their 10-1 record to Texas today to play the SMU Mustangs, 8-3. Boise has beaten up on some low feeding opponents this year, but does have quality wins over Oregon and UTEP. Their one loss came in a tournament against Iowa State, 64-75. The Broncos failed to cover last time out vs Grand Canyon State, otherwise they had covered five straight games. SMU has beat a good USC team (72-55) and their biggest win came in a tournament over Arizona, 66-60 as seven point dogs. They did lose in that same tourney to Northern Iowa and their worst blemish was also in that tourney to Western Kentucky, 61-63 as 10.5 point favorites. Oddsmakers have SMU as nine-point favorites, but that conflicts with my own numbers that have SMU closer to four. Take the points here with Boise State. |
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12-17-17 | Vanderbilt v. Arizona State -10.5 | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
The Arizona State Sun Devils put their perfect 9-0 record on the line today as they host 3-6 Vanderbilt. The Commodores come into this game looking for their first cover of the season (0-8 ATS). Vandy has lost outright to Belmont, Middle Tennessee State, USC, Kansas State and barely got by UNC Asheville. Vandy only has three games left before they start a very tough SEC schedule. Arizona State has some big wins on its resume, beating Kansas by seven as a dog, St Johns by 12, Xavier by 16 as a dog, Kansas State as a dog. These are all huge wins for the program. Yet, despite the discrepancy in quality wins, the oddsmaker has ASU as a 10 point favorite. How is that? My number makes the Sun Devils a 25-point favorite because of those wins. This is going to be a blowout win today for ASU. |
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12-16-17 | UNLV -7.5 v. Pacific | 81-76 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
UNLV still trying to pad that wins before heading into conference play. The Rebels are 8-2 both S/U and ATS and have won two straight including a nice win over the Big 10's Illinois, 89-82. Unlv's only two losses came back-to-back at Northern Illinois in OT and then at home to Arizona, 88-91, also in OT. If those OT's go the other way this Rebel team is easily undefeated at 10-0. Pacific has had it's problems. They started the season with three straight losses and now have a two-game losing streak going, They have been horrible against the spread, covering just one of their last six games and two of their last nine games. Oddsmakers make UNLV a 7.5 point favorite, I have them nearly 13. Play on UNLV. |
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12-16-17 | Eastern Michigan -1.5 v. Long Beach State | 85-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan having a nice pre-conference schedule, going 7-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Can't really say the same for Long Beach, as they have struggled to a 5-7 S/U and 5-5 ATS marks. Eastern Michigan's one big game was at Indiana, where they lost 67-87 as 9.5 point dogs. They have covered decent, going 3-1 in their posted games. Long Beach started the season with a pair of wins, but it's been downhill since, losing seven of their next 10. They have also covered just two of their last five games. Line has E.Mich as a 2 point chalk, but my line has them closer to five. Play Eastern Michigan today. |
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12-16-17 | Oregon v. Fresno State -2 | 68-61 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks (8-3 S/U, 4-6 ATS) take on the Fresno St Bulldogs (9-2 S/U, 5-3 ATS) today. Oregon has just two games left until PAC-12 play begins. The Ducks have won three straight games after losing three of four. They lost to Boise State, Oklahoma and U Conn. They haven't done well for bettors either, covering just one of their last seven games. Fresno has played well with their only two losses coming early at Arkansas and Evansville. The Bulldogs don't has the strength of early schedule as the Ducks have, but at least they have covered four straight games. My personal power line makes Fresno nearly four points better than the posted line here today. I'm taking Fresno State. |
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12-15-17 | UC-Davis +5.5 v. San Francisco | 61-74 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 5 m | Show | |
 Regional game here between Cal Davis (7-2 S/U, 5-0 ATS) and San Francisco (5-3 S/U, 1-3 ATS). These games usually are for recruiting purposes and today I'm looking at Cal Davis. Davis has played well, covering at Washington and beating Washington State straight up 81-67 as a 7.5 point dog. They are 5-0-2 ATS in their seven games with lines this season. The SF Dons have only one quality opponent this year and that was a loss to Arizona State, 57-75 as 16.5 point dogs. USF got their first cover of the season last time out vs Eastern Washington. Oddsmakers have USF as a 5 to 6 point favorite here on Friday. My line actually has UC Davis as a favorite and that's what I rely on a lot in these non-conference games. Play UC Davis. |
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12-15-17 | South Dakota State +3 v. Colorado | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
South Dakota State (9-4 S/U, 6-3 ATS) takes on Colorado (7-3 S/U, 4-5 ATS) here on Friday. The Jackrabbits are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 road games and 16-5 ATS their last 21 games overall. The big wins on the SDS resume have been against Iowa, 80-72) and Mississippi, 99-97. Colorado is coming off a home loss to San Diego U, 59-69. They also have lost to Xavier, 69-96 and Colorado State, 63-72. The Buffs have covered just three times in 10 tries. The Oddsmakers have adjusted Colorado down to a three point favorite. However, I still make this game closer to pick with SDST have played tougher opponents closer. I'm taking the points here with South Dakota State. |
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12-14-17 | South Dakota -11.5 v. Northern Arizona | 90-77 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
The South Dakota Coyotes (9-3 S/U, 6-2 ATS) takes on Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (2-7 S/U, 3-4 ATS). The Coyotes have been gold to bettors, going 23-9-2 ATS their last 34 games. They have also done well against the Big Sky, going 7-2 ATS their last nine. On the road, SDU is 7-1 ATS their last eight. South Dakota covered against Duke this year, losing 80-96 as 23-point dogs. They beat Southern Miss and narrowly lost to TCU. Northern Arizona has had a tough season, losing their first six game before beating Cal Bakersfield. They just came off a loss at San Diego, 51-79. The Lumberjacks have played some very good teams, but have been blown out by Arizona, Arizona State and Kansas State. Tonight NAU gets 11.5 points at home, but my numbers show that's not close to being enough. Play South Dakota. |
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12-13-17 | Portland State +15 v. Oregon | 84-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Intrastate battle here as Portland State (8-2 S/U, 8-0 ATS) takes on Oregon (7-3 S/U, 4-5 ATS). The Vikings have covered every game this year, that includes a 81-99 loss to Duke as 24.5 point dogs. The Pilots only lost to Butler by two (as a 12.5 dog) and beat Stanford, 87-78. The intrastate games always seem to be bigger for the dogs since they are trying to impress recruits from the state. Portland State has an excellent shot to win this game, though they are 13-point dogs. My personal number has Oregon closer to an 8-point favorite, which automatically makes Portland a team to look at here. Oregon has covered just one time in their last six games. The Ducks last game was a home win over Texas Southern, 74-68 as 20-point favorites. I'm taking Portland State here on Wednesday. They have proved they can play the top teams tough and my line has a five point difference. Play Portland State. |
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12-13-17 | Western Kentucky +6.5 v. Wisconsin | 80-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky (6-3 S/U, 5-2 ATS) looks to win its seventh game tonight against Big 10 opponent Wisconsin (4-7S/U, 3-6 ATS). The Hilltopers have some impressive games on their resume, playing Villanova to just eight points in a 58-66 loss as 21.5 point dogs. They then beat Purdue on a neutral count, 77-73 as 19 point dogs and Southern Miss 63-61 as 10 point dogs. Tonight they get 7.5 points at Wisconsin. My nymber on this game has dropped drastically, now having Wisconsin as just 1.5 point favorites. The Badgers are coming off a home loss to Marquette, 63-82. They have also lost at home to Ohio State, 58-83 and Xavier, 70-80. This isn't the great defensive team we've come to expect from Wisconsin teams. Now, they have trouble scoring too. I don't see them coming close to covering this line on Wednesday. Take Western Kentucky. |
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12-12-17 | San Diego v. Colorado -8.5 | 69-59 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
 A pair of 7-2 teams meetup tonight as the San Diego Toreros take on the Colorado Buffaloes. San Diego has covered just two of their last eight games against a team with a .600 winning percentage or better. They are also 1-4 ATS their last five following a win. The Buffs return home after a big loss at Xavier, 69-96. CU has had four home games and is 3-0-1 ATS in those games. While both of these clubs are 7-2 S/U, their is a big difference in the quality of opponents. With just a few games left before conference play, these home wins vs lesser opponents will pad the resume. Play Colorado. |
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12-12-17 | Georgia Southern v. George Mason | 74-51 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern (7-2 S/U, 2-3 ATS) takes on George Mason (5-5 S/U, 3-4 ATS) tonight. Ga Southern has won two straight games after losing a pair to Towson and Bradley. The Eagles best game to date was a win on opening night over Wake Forest, 85-83 as 11-point dogs. George Mason snapped their two game losing streak with a win over NC Central, 77-65. The Patriots had lost four of their last five before that win. Mason has failed to cover in their two games as a favorite, losing to Cal Northridge (-12.5) and to William & Mary (-6). Tonight's game is basically a pick'em, so I have to fall back on my own numbers here. I have Ga Southern as a 3.5 point favorite here. I'm playing Georgia Southern. |
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12-12-17 | Fordham v. Rutgers -11 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Fordham (4-5 S/U, 1-5 ATS) takes on Rutgers (8-3 S/U, 3-2 ATS) tonight. The Fordham Rams have not been a good team out of conference, evidenced by their 5-16 ATS record their last 21 games. Once again this year they have not performed well, covering just once in their six tries. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights have covered five of their last six home games. I don't expect Rutgers to do well in the Big 10 this year, but against these non-conf teams, they should clean up. I have tonight's game as Rutgers -18 while the oddsmakers have them much lower at -11. Rutgers will win tonight's game going away. Play Rutgers. |
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12-10-17 | La Salle v. Villanova -21 | 68-77 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
LaSalle (5-5 S/U, 3-7 ATS) tries to hand Villanova (9-0 S/U, 6-2 ATS) its first loss of the season today. This is only the second true road game for the Lasalle this season, with four games coming in tournament action. Lasalle has lost three straight and seven of their last eight against the spread. Villanova has pretty much rolled over their competition. They just played their toughest game of the season against Gonzaga and won going away, 88-72. I don't usually like laying 21 points in a game, but my numbers make this one closer to 30, so I'll take Villanova in what should be a easy win. |
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12-09-17 | Illinois v. UNLV -5 | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Late action here on Saturday night means you can go to bed and wake up a winner because I'm on UNLV here tonight. Vegas has to move to the MGM Grand tonight because of the Rodeo in town, but that means an even more intimate venue. And, the UNVL faithful finally coming back after some terrible seasons. Lots to be excited with freshman McCoy showing he's already in NBA form for the Rebels. Both Clubs have seven wins with Illinois having three losses and the Rebels a pair of setbacks. This is one of those games where I trust my number way more than the oddsmaker. They have UNLV as a four-point favorite, I have them a 12-point favorite. Illinois has no quality wins while UNLV lost in OT to a good Arizona club. Trust my numbers over the oddsmaker. Play UNLV. |
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12-09-17 | Ole Miss v. Middle Tennessee -5 | 58-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Ole Miss (4-3 S/U, 1-6 ATS) takes on Middle Tennessee State (6-1 S/U, 3-1 ATS) today. The Rebels have lost two straight and three of their last four games, including a loss at home to South Dakota State as 10 1/2 point favorites. In fact, the Ole Miss Rebels have now failed to cover in their last six straight games. The Blue Raiders of MTS have won four straight and covered three of four line postings. They are coming off a big win over intrastate rival Vanderbilt, 66-63. We gave out MTS in that contest. The line is moving closer to what my personal line has this game. Still, it isn't there so get down on Middle Tennessee State! |
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12-09-17 | Pacific +8.5 v. Wyoming | 72-86 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Not sure what the oddsmaker were thinking here, making Wyoming 9.5 point favorite. I have less than half that number on the Cowboys. Wyoming has lost two of the last three games and failed to cover in four straight games now. The most glaring fail for this team was a loss to Denver U, 78-88 as 6.5 point favorites. They also just got by New Mexico Highlands, 83-70. Not very impressive for a Mountain West team against inferior competition. I'm going to take the points here today with Pacific. |
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12-09-17 | California v. San Diego State -15.5 | 63-62 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
The Cal Bears (3-7 S/U, 4-3 ATS) have definitely had better starts to their season than just three wins in 10 games. Today they have to take on one of their toughest opponents in San Diego State (8-2 S/U, 5-2 ATS). In the past SDGST has had issues covering these big spreads because this is a defensive team and not known for offense. Not so this year, the Aztecs are both good on defense and scoring points. Sorry, Cal, not good for you. The 15.5 point line here isn't close to my number and the Aztecs with their new up tempo offense should have little trouble covering this number. Play San Diego State. |
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12-09-17 | Pennsylvania +6.5 v. Dayton | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Yep I'm on a Ivy league team today against a non-Ivy opponent. Penn has had a decent start to their season with a 7-4 start. Meanwhile, Dayton is just 4-4 on the year. This game if played on day one of the season should have been a double-digit favorite on Dayton. But now, they have dropped to 6 and my numbers have them even lower. Dayton lost to Hofstra and Ball State, both big blemishes on their report card. Penn did get beat bad by Villanova, but that was expected. Against this quality of opponent they have played well and I like the points here. Take Penn. |
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12-08-17 | TCU v. Nevada +2 | 84-80 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
TV Bailout Game of the Month : Late night West coast game here as TCU takes on Nevada in the 10pm PT start, 1am Saturday start of the Hall of Fame Classic on ESPNU. The Horned Frogs of TCU are 9-0 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season, while the Wolf Pack of Nevada is 8-1 S/U and ATS on the year. I have to look at two main things this early in the season. 1) the level of their competition and 2) my own power ratings/lines. TCU's only real competition was their last game against SMU, where they were just a four-point favorite. The rest of tehir games they were at least 9.5 point chalks and 15 or higher in four games. Nevada lost their last game and only game this year, a hard fought game at Texas Tech, 76-82 as 5 1/2 point dogs. Unlike TCU, the Pack had only one game of more than 11.5 point favorites. My first goes to Nevada for their competition. The next is my line, which I have Nevada as nearly a 5-point favorite over TCU, while the oddsmakers made TCU a 2-point favorite, well off my own lines. A clean sweep goes to Nevada here on Friday/Saturday. |
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12-08-17 | St. John's v. Arizona State -5 | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Hall of Fame Classic from Los Angeles has St Johns (8-1 S/U, 4-3 ATS) taking on Arizona State (7-0 S/U, 6-1 ATS). St Johns making the long trip West for this tournament while ASU is just next door in Arizona. The Red Storm has won three straight after their only loss of the season to Missouri 82-90. St John's doesn't have any real strong teams on their resume thus far, with that loss to Missouri being their top competition. ASU has quality wins over Xavier, 102-86, and Kansas State, 92-90 - both as underdogs. Their only spread loss came in the season opener to Idaho State. I make the line higher than the current 5 on ASU. Plus, I like the quality of competition for ASU. Play Arizona State. |
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12-07-17 | Eastern Washington +6 v. San Francisco | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Eastern Washington (3-5 S/U, 2-4 ATS) plays at San Francisco (4-3 S/U, 0-3 ATS) tonight. EW has already played a quality schedule, with losses to Washington, UNLV and UTAH. They had a nice win over Stanford, 67-61 as 16.5 point dogs. San Fran has only one quality opponent on its current resume, that being a 57-75 loss at Arizona State. Moreover, the Dons have yet to cover any spread (0-3) despite being favored in two of those games. This game opened SFU -7.5 and has dropped to 5.5. My line makes this game a pick and that's still well within the range of difference. Play Eastern Washington. |
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12-07-17 | Texas-Arlington +5 v. Northern Iowa | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Excellent matchup here on Thursday as UT Arlington (7-1 S/U, 4-3 ATS) takes on Northern Iowa (6-2 S/U, 3-1 ATS). UTA has won five straight after their only loss of the season coming at the hands of Alabama, 76-77. The covered against the Tide as a 11-point dog. The UTA defense has held its last three opponents to 60, 49 and 49. Meanwhile, Northern Iowa is coming off a OT win over UNLV, 77-68. NI lost the last game of their recent tournament to Villanova, 50-64. Difficult to pass on the points here sine UTA has played so well in the role of a dog. I'm taking Texas Arlington tonight. |
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12-06-17 | Middle Tennessee +2.5 v. Vanderbilt | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State (5-1 S/U, 2-1 ATS) takes on Vanderbilt (3-5 S/U, 0-7 ATS) in an instrastate battle. MTSU off a home and home doubleheader with Florida Gulf Coast, winning both games by nearly identical scores, 85-72 and 81-76. The Blue Knights look to continue their momentum tonight against the Commodores. MTSU is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games and 24-9 ATS their last 33 overall. Vandy just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs non-conf teams and 0-9 ATS their last nine overall. Vandy still looking for that first cover of the year won't find it tonight. I'm take Middle Tennessee State. |
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12-06-17 | William & Mary +7 v. George Mason | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
William & Mary Tribe (5-2 S/U, 3-0 ATS) takes on George Mason Patriots (4-4 S/U, 3-3 ATS) tonight. The road team has dominated this series, going 9-1-2 ATS the last 12 meetings. In addition, the Tribe is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six visits to George Mason. Mason has lost three of their last four games, all against decent competition. Oddsmakers have GM as a 6.5 point favorite here, my numbers have this game closer to 3! W&M has been a very good covering team against their Virginia rivals. This game always has some recruiting implications involved since the teams are just 145 miles apart. I'm taking the Tribe here tonight. Play William & Mary. |
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12-06-17 | Wisconsin v. Temple -4.5 | Top | 55-59 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
The Wisconsin Badgers (4-5 S/U, 3-5 ATS) take on the Temple Owls (4-2 S/U, 4-2 ATS) tonight. Wisconsin had won just one of the last five games before their upset win at Penn State last time out, 64-63. The Badgers still not playing up to recent history standards though, losing by 35 at home to Ohio State and scoring just 37 against Virginia. Temple has been busy playing in pre-season tournaments, in fact five of their six games have been tournaments. This will be the Owls first home game of the season and begins a four game home stand. Temple does well against non-conference teams, going 13-5 ATS their last 18 attempts. Badgers have not been a good road team, going 3-9-1 ATS their last 13 away contests. This kind of game means more to Temple than it does to Wisconsin, plus my number makes the Owls at least 3 points higher favorite than then the oddsmaker made them. Take Temple |
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12-05-17 | Texas A&M -1 v. Arizona | 64-67 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Texas A&M will try to run its undefeated record to 8-0 tonight at Arizona (5-3). A&M has covered four of their six lines this season, narrowly missing the cover against Cal Santa Barabara and Pepperdine. IN those two contests the Aggies were over 20 point favorites. A&M has quality wins over West Virginia, Oklahoma State, Penn State and USC. Arizona needed overtime to beat UNLV last time out, 91-88. Though they failed to cover the 4.5 point spread. I called that game even and that's just what it was, even at the end of regulation. Arizona is not good against the spread, covering just twice in their eight attempts. I believe that's the oddsmaker valuing this club too much. Tonight A&M is a 1.5 point favorite and while that's a move in the right direction, it's still not enough. This game being played on a friendly Arizona court in Phoenix, but still not the home court for the Sun Devils. I'm taking A&M here tonight. |
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12-05-17 | Nevada +5.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 76-82 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Road Warrior Game of the Month: Nevada puts its perfect 8-0 record on the line tonight at Texas Tech (6-1). Not only are the Wolfpack perfect S/U, but they have covered all eight games. I have been on Nevada more than once this season. Texas Tech is a good team, losing its first game last time out on a neutral court to Seton Hall, 79-89. Still, to make Tech a 5.5 point favorite here is way too high. I had this one closer to a pick game. Play Nevada |
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12-05-17 | Michigan State -14 v. Rutgers | 62-52 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Michigan State (7-1 S/U, 6-2 ATS) takes on Rutgers (6-2 S/U, 2-2 ATS) today. The Spartans have won six straight games and covered five straight. The only loss for Michigan was against top ranked Duke, 81-88. MSU has played many quality games, including a big win over Notre Dame, 81-63 and North Carolina, 63-45. Meanwhile, Rutgers started the season 6-0, but have lost two straight to Florida State and Minnesota. Their six wins were all against inferior competition. Now they face their biggest task against this MSU club. Spartans favored by 13.5 points, but I have them even higher at 17.5 points. Take Michigan State today. |
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12-05-17 | Gonzaga +5 v. Villanova | 72-88 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
This is the marquee matchup on the board today from the Jimmy V Classic in New York. The 8-0 Wildcats of Villanova take on the Bulldogs of Gonzaga (7-1). Villanova really hasn't had many tests thus far, beating St Joe's by 41 and Tennessee by nine. The rest of the schedule has been push overs. Can't say the same for Gonzaga. The Zags have already played Ohio State, Florida, Texas and Creighton. Their lone loss came in OT to Florida, 105-111. This is the kind of game where I really rely on my own numbers and I have Gonzaga a 1-point favorite. The oddsmakers have Villanova as a 5-point chalk. Way off on this line tonight for the oddsmaker, but good news for you. Take Gonzaga plus the points. |
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12-04-17 | Wisconsin v. Penn State -4.5 | 64-63 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Big 10 Conference play game today as Wisconsin (3-5 S/U, 2-5 ATS) takes on Penn State (7-2 S/U, 4-2 ATS). Wisconsin off to one of their worst starts ever. The Badgers have lost two straight including at home last game to Ohio State, 58-83. The game before, they scored just 39 points at Virginia. They have also covered just one of their last six games and that was against Wisconsin Milwaukee. On the other hand, Penn State enjoying some early season success. The Nittany Lions are coming off a road win at Iowa, 77-73. The club is also 4-2-1 ATS in their seven posted games. My personal ratings have them about three points higher than the oddsmakers does. That combined with how poorly Wisconsin has played this year will have me on the Lions. Play Penn State. |
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12-03-17 | Stanford -6 v. Long Beach State | 68-76 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
 Both of these teams in need of a win today as Stanford (4-5 S/U, 2-7 ATS) takes on Long Beach State (3-6 S/U, 3-4 ATS). I had a big play on Fresno last night over Long Beach and the 49ers in a rare back-to-back spot here on Sunday. Long Beach was never in their game against Fresno, losing 70-106. The 49ers have now been outscored 196 to 126 in their last two games. Stanford is coming off a win over Montana last Wednesday. The Cardinal have had three days off while Long Beach has had no rest. For me that's a big reason I'm backing Stanford here tonight. Play Stanford. |
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12-02-17 | Arizona v. UNLV +5.5 | 91-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
UNLV had just gotten some top-25 votes and then went out and lost their first game of the season to Northern Iowa in OT, 68-77. It was their first true road game of the year and their first loss against six wins. Now they return home for their most difficult task of the season thus far against Arizona. Arizona didn't have a good time in their recent tournament, losing all three games to NC State, SMU and Purdue. They did rebound with a win at home over Long Beach, 91-56. Oddsmakers have Arizona as a 5 point favorite on the road tonight. Strange for a team that has lost three games to quality clubs. UNLV has yet to lose at the Thomas and Mack or the T-Mobile Arena. I have UNLV as a 7 point favorite so one of us is way off and I don't thinks it's me. Take UNLV. |
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12-02-17 | Nevada -10.5 v. Cal-Irvine | 76-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Nevada puts its perfect 7-0 record on the line as they travel to Irvine to take on the 4-5 Anteaters. Nevada has had some impressive wins, covering the spread in all six games they have had a line. The offense can score too, getting at least 81 points in six of their seven wins. Cal Irvine is just 4-5 on the season and has covered just one of seven lines. They have been a double-digit dog in three games and failed to cover any of those. Nevada just a 10-point favorite here. My line has the Wolfpack -20. Play Nevada. |
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12-02-17 | North Texas v. Texas-Arlington -17.5 | 60-65 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
North Texas (4-4 S/U, 2-1 ATS) takes on intrastate rival Texas Arlington (6-1 S/U, 4-2 ATS). NTU has lost two of their last three games, but played Oklahoma closer than many thought they would, losing 72-82 ast a 29 point dog. They did get beat badly at Nebraska, 67-86 as a 15-point dog. In the three games with lines, NTU has been at least a 15-point dog each time. Today, they get 18.5 from Arlington. UTA is a top notch team, winning four straight and six of seven. Their only loss coming at Alabama, 76-77 as a 11-point dog. They are coming off a 69-49 win over Rice as a 17.5 point favorite. The defense is good, holding the last two opponents to just 49 points. I have them as 22.5 point chalks today and don't see any reason they can't cover this big line. Play Texas Arlington. |
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12-02-17 | Fresno State -6.5 v. Long Beach State | 106-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Fresno (5-7 S/U, 3-3 ATS) travels South to play Long Beach State (3-5 S/U, 3-3 ATS). Fresno has three straight wins over George Mason, Montana State and Weber State. The Bulldogs have lost to Arkansas and Evansville. Long Beach started out the season with a pair of wins, but have since gone 1-6 S/U. The 49ers are coming off a lopsided loss at Arizona, 56-91. Oddsmakers have Fresno as a 5-point favorite. My personal numbers make Fresno a 8.5 point favorite and that makes this a play for me. Play Fresno State. |
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12-02-17 | Virginia Tech -2 v. Ole Miss | 83-80 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech (6-1 S/U, 5-1 ATS) takes on Mississippi (4-2 S/U, 1-5 ATS) today. Tech's only loss this season coming at the hands of St Louis, 71-77. Every other game they have won and covered. That includes a nice win last time out over Iowa, 79-55 and a win over Washington, 103-79. Ole Miss has struggled, losing two of their last three games after opening the season 3-0. They are coming off a loss at home to South Dakota State, 97-99 as 10.5 point favorites. Big difference in the line (Va Tech -2.5) and my own line which makes Teach closer to a 10-point chalk. Play Virginia Tech. |
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12-01-17 | Towson -2 v. La Salle | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
Towson (6-1 S/U, 4-0 ATS) takes on LaSalle (4-3 S/U, 3-3 ATS) tonight. The Towson Tigers have not only covered all four games this year, but they are a very nice 15-5-2 ATS their last 22 games. The LaSalle Explorers are just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games against a team with a win percentage over 60%. Towson can score points as it has at least 70 point in the last six games. LaSalle has had three decent opponents and lost all three boht S/U and ATS. That was to Northwestern, Boston College and Miami-Florida. My personal line has Towson about a 9-point favorite, while the oddsmakers have them at two. That's a big difference for me and there fore I'm on Towson tonight. |
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11-30-17 | North Dakota State +9.5 v. Mississippi State | 59-83 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
North Dakota State Bison (3-3 S/U, 2-1 ATS) takes on Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-0 S/U, 0-2 ATS) tonight. The Bison saw their three game win streak snapped on Tuesday at Stephen Austin, 50-54. The Bison played USC early in the season and hung around the Trojans, easily covering the 23.5 point spread in their loss, 65-75. They also had an impressive win over a very good Missouri State team, winning outright 57-54 as a 9.5 point dog. Mississippi State one of those teams to skip on all the holiday tournaments. The Bulldogs have yet to play a opponent that is equal to them, except maybe Jacksonville State. Jax St was a 7.5 point dog and lost by just three, 56-59. I have to rely on my on unique Fast Ratings for a lot of these early games and tonight I have the Bison as 4-point dog. The oddsmakers disagree, making the Bison a 9.5-point dog. I'll take double my own number here. Play North Dakota State as they keep this game a lot closer then the Bulldogs will like. |
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11-29-17 | Duke -8.5 v. Indiana | Top | 91-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Top ranked Duke 8-0 S/U, 5-1 ATS takes on Indiana (4-2, S/U, 3-3 ATS) tonight on national tv. Duke just finished up their tourney play, sweeping Portland State, Texas and Florida for the title. They also have beaten Michigan State on the road this season, 88-81. Their only spread loss came as a 24.5 point favorite over Portland State where they won by just 18 points. Indiana has won three straight after starting the season just 1-2. The Hoosiers had a home loss to Indiana State, 69-90 and a road loss to Seton Hall, 68-84. The best team they have played thus far was Seton Hall and they lost by 26 points. Duke has a ton of size this year and overwhelms teams with that size. They have the top offensive rebounding team in the nation (43.2%). Now they play a poor defensive Indiana team that ranks 193rd. This game does not bode well for the Hoosiers. They don't match up well and they give up lots of points. Take Duke in a blowout win. |
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11-29-17 | George Mason -1 v. James Madison | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
 George Mason 3-3 S/U, 2-2 ATS, takes on James Madison (2-5 S/U, 1-4 ATS) tonight. Madison really hasn't played any quality opponents, yet they have just two wins in seven games. Their top competition came from Old Dominion and they lost that game at home, 53-69. G.Mason just lost all two games in their tournament covering their last against Fresno State. My personal ratings make George Mason about a 3 point favorite. But I also like the way this team is playing compared to Madison. Both those factors have me on George Mason tonight. |
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11-28-17 | Iowa v. Virginia Tech -9.5 | 55-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Iowa (4-2 S/U, 1-2, ATS) takes on Virginia Tech (5-1 S/U, 4-1 ATS) tonight. Iowa just finished up play in a tournament in which they went 1-2 both S/U and ATS. They lost to teams they really shouldn't have,inclduing UL Lafayette (71-80) and South Dakota State (72-80). They did finish the tourney with a win over UAB (95-85). Virginia Tech has been beating up on some lower level teams, but does have a nice win in their tourney over Washington, 103-79. This Tech team has scored 96 or more points in five of their six games. Despite some big lines in their games, VA Tech has covered games of 19.5, 26 and 22.5. Tonight they lay just 9.5 points to a Iowa team that gives up a lot of points. My personal Rating has Tech as nearly double the favorite they have been instilled as. I like Tech a lot tonight. Play Virginia Tech. |
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11-28-17 | Utah State v. Valparaiso -7.5 | 65-72 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Utah State (4-3 S/U, 3-2 ATS) takes on an unbeaten Valparaiso (7-0 S/U, 3-1 ATS) squad tonight. Utah State really has just one quality team they have played thus far and that was Gonzaga, a 66-79 loss to the Zags. They really haven't played any team of consequence other than that. Valpo has beaten up on some low level teams too, but has a nice win over Kent, 75-69, who was evenly matched in the power ratings. I have to rely on my own power ratings early in the season until these teams get some quality opposition. My rating has a line of 13 on Valpo tonight, well above the posted 7.5 that the oddsmakers put on the contest. My numbers have over 35 years of experience behind them and I will go with mine over theres any day. Play Valpo. |
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11-26-17 | Texas A&M +2.5 v. USC | 75-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Texas A&M (5-0 S/U, 3-2 ATS) takes on USC (4-0 S/U, 3-1 ATS) in a late Sunday contest. Early in the season I like to look at the quality of the wins by a team. A&M has beaten some decent squads. They have a 23pt win at West Virginia, 17pt win over Oklahoma State, 11pt win over Penn State and then wins over Pepperdine and Santa Barabara. USC has one win which I would consider quality and that's over Vanderbilt, 93-89 in OT. Their other wins came against Fullerton, North Dakota State and Lehigh. USC is a 2.5 point favorite here tonight. My personal Game rating backs up my quality of wins and has A&M as the 3 pt favorite. I agree with that number and will take the Aggies here tonight. Play Texas A&M |
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11-25-17 | Cal Poly +4.5 v. Idaho | 66-75 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Great Alaska Shootout action tonight has 3-3 Cal Poly vs 3-2 Idaho. Cal Poly opened this tournament with a win over College of Charleston, 73-68 and then lost last ngith to Central Michigan, 53-56. Poly has already played some tough games with losses at Stanford (62-78) and at Cal (82-85). Idaho opened tourny play with a win over Santa Clara, 69-59, and loss last night to Cal Bakersfield, 62-64. I'm taking the points here with a Cal Poly as they have played tougher competition and can easily win this game as a dog. Take Cal Poly. |
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11-25-17 | NC-Wilmington v. Valparaiso -8 | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
The Savannah Invitational has NC Wilmington and Valparaiso matching up here tonight. UNCW is 2-2 S/U and 0-2 ATS. They lost at Davidson 81-108 and then in the opening game of this tournament to Loyola Chicago 78-102. In their four games, UNCW has allowed at least 81 points. Valpo already at 6-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS on the season. Valpo opened play last night with a win over Kent, 75-69. Last night's 75 point were the fewest this team has scored yet. Valpo should easily score big points here against a terrible UNCW defense. The eight points that Valpo is laying looks very slim to me. I'm taking Valparaiso. |
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11-24-17 | Florida v. Gonzaga +3 | 111-105 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Excellent early season matchup on tap late this evening as the 4-0 Florida Gators play the 4-0 Gonzaga Bulldogs. A regional home court goes to the Bulldogs here as they play in the Northwest and Florida has to make the East Coast to West Coast trip. Didn't hurt Florida much last night, beating Stanford 108-87. It's the third time in four games the Bulldogs have scored more than 100 points this season. Gonzaga is 1-1 ATS, beating Ohio State last night, 86-59 and failing to cover vs Utah State in a 79-66 win. So how will Gonzaga keep this high octane Florida team from running up the score? They will have to take Florida out of its game plan. The Zags will have to slow down this tempo and force Florida to play a half court type game. Gonzaga also has a big size advantage they must use wisely. Gonzaga as a dog doesn't happen all that often and I am going to take the points here with the Zag. Play Gonzaga. |
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11-24-17 | Georgia v. San Diego State -3 | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
The 4-0 Georgia Bulldogs meet the 4-1 San Diego State Aztecs tonight in the Wooden Classic. Georgia had to make the trip west for this tournament, while San Diego State had the very short trip to the LA area. Georgia beat Cal Fullerton in the opening round a few nights ago, 64-57. It was their first spread game and they lost. San Diego State got out to a 14-0 least last night and cruised to a 89-52 win over Sacramento State. The Aztecs are now 2-1 ATS. Both teams get their real first test of the season here tonight. I'm taking the Aztecs mainly because they are the better defensive team and have some offense to go with it this year. Play San Diego State. |
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11-23-17 | Harvard v. St. Mary's -12 | 71-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Harvard made the long West trip to play in today's Wooden Classic in Fullerton, CA. Harvard has lost two straight games, to Holy Cross 73-69 and Manhattan, 73-69. St Mary's is 4-0 S/U, but 0-2 ATS this young season. The Gaels have scored at least 76 points in each of their four games. The two non covers had point spreads of 28 and 23.5. Today we get St Mary's as a much more manageable 12 point chalk. The Gaels have won by 27, 18, 19 and 38 points. I don't see them having any trouble covering this 12 point line against a Ivy team that made a long, Western trip just for this tournament. Play St Marys |
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11-23-17 | Oregon State v. St. John's -5 | 77-82 | Push | 0 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
St Johns has started 4-0 on the season and 2-0 ATS. The Red Storm beat New Orleans and Nebraska quite easily. Oregon State is 2-1 S/U and 0-3 ATS. The Ducks beat Southern Utah and Long Beach, but lost at home to Wyoming, 75-66. The club has yet to cover a spread in three tries. Oregon State had the long Eastern trip here to play this Advocare Tournament in Orlando, FL. St John's had a much short trip South. I always like to play against these Northwest teams that have to travel all the way to the East Coast. The Beavers don't play well in non-conf games either, going just 3-12 ATS in their last 15. I'm going to lay the points here with St John's as I think this Oregon State team isn't very good and has the long trip. |
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11-21-17 | Davidson v. Nevada -5 | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Davidson (2-0) travels west to play the 4-0 Nevada Wolfpack. The Pack have been tough at home, posting a 27-7-1 ATS mark their last 35 games. In addition, they are 42-16-2 in their last 60 games overall. This year is no different, off to a perfect 4-0 ATS mark. They have wins over Idaho (88-64), Rhode Island (88-81), Santa Clara (93-63) and Pacific (89-74). They have scored at least 88 points in each game. Davidson has really put up points, winning at home over Charleston Southern, 110-62, and over UNC Wilmington, 108-81. Now they hit the road for three straight games with tonight's likely the toughest of the bunch. This should be an exciting game with two of the country's best three-point shooting teams. This game promises to be very high scoring. I give a big edge to the Nevada defense though. I'm siding with Nevada in what should be end to end action. |
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11-21-17 | Niagara v. BYU -13.5 | 88-95 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Niagara plays its fourth road game in a row to start the season. The Purple Eagles are just 2-5 in their last seven games ATS. They are also just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 non conference games. BYU is 2-1 S/U and 1-1 on the season. The Cougars lost at home to a decent Texas Arlington team, 75-89. HC Dave Rose looks at that UTA loss as a big learning lesson for his club. BYU had issues with the size of UTA. That won't be the issue here against the Purple Eagles, though they will face a faster team. No way Rose lets his team lose two in a row at home. Niagara will be the team he lets his team beat up after that last loss. Play BYU. |
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11-21-17 | Montana v. UC-Santa Barbara +2.5 | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Final round action of the Legends Classic finds 3-1 Montana taking on 2-2 Cal Santa Barbara. Montana has a quality win at Pittsbugh, 83-78. The Grizzlies won their first game of this tournament over Oral Roberts, 69-64, but failed to cover the 9.5 point spread. Now they are laying three to CSB. The Gauchos also played Pitt, but lost 70-62 as a 5.5 dog. The Gauchos are 3-1 ATS though with their lone loss coming in that Pitt contest. My fast ratings has this game about even or slight favorite to CSB. Now that the line has moved to Montana three, I can play the dog here. Play Cal Santa Barbara. |
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11-21-17 | Samford v. Valparaiso -10 | 67-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Mismatch here on the hardcourt today as 1-3 Samford takes on 4-0 Valpo. Samford is 0-3 ATS, losing by 39 to Arkansas, 19 to LSU and 21 to Loyola Chicago. Their lone win came at home over Alabama A&M. Valpo started off with a pair of non-board teams, winning by 41 and 37. Then they played at Southern Illinois and won by 25 and then returned home with an easy 33 point win over SE Louisiana. I really can't believe the line is just 10 points on Valpo. My personal fast ratings has Valpo at least double that number. Take Valpo in what should be an easy win. |
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11-20-17 | Baylor v. Wisconsin | 70-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Baylor comes in 3-0 and faces their first real competition of the season. The Bears had easy wins over Central Arkansas, Texas A&M CC and Alcorn State. Now they play Wisconsin on a neutral court. The Badgers lost their first game to nationally ranked Xavier last game, 70-80. That makes them 2-1 S/U and 1-1 ATS. The Badgers have historically done well vs the Big 12, going 10-2 ATS their last 12. They also rebound well, going 7-3 ATS their last 10 after a double digit home loss. Baylor is just 3-7 ATS their last 10 and 2-6 ATS their last eight vs teams with a winning record. Early in the season, but I like Wisconsin to rebound after their loss with a convincing win here over Baylor. |
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11-19-17 | Temple +3 v. Clemson | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Charleston Classic final round action as Temple takes on Clemson here today. Temple has played both its games from this year on the neutral sites, winning over Old Dominion, 76-65 and Auburn, 88-74, covering both. Clemson is 4-0 S/U on the season and 2-1 ATS. They have wins at home over West Carolina and North Carolina A&T. Neutral site wins over Ohio U and Hofstra. This will be their toughest contest to date. What impresses me most with these early season wins is that Temple beat a decent Auburn team by double digits. Clemson has yet to face a team of this caliber and are still in a rebuilding year. I like Temple to win this one here today. |
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11-19-17 | Boise State +2 v. Iowa State | 64-75 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Boise State has been impressive thus far with their 4-0 record. They quality wins over UTEP, 58-56 and Illinois State, 82-64. They did fail to cover 21.5 points over Southern Utah in a 90-69 win, missing by one point. They also missed the cover by two points over UTEP, winning by two with a three point line. So, for a few points, the club would be 3-0 ATS instead of 1-2. Iowa State lost its first two games out of the shoot. They lost at Missour, 59-74 and then at Wisconsin Milwaukee, 56-74. They just got by Appalachian State, 1-4-98 and Tulsa, 80-78. The club is 0-4 ATS to start the season and could also easily be 0-4 S/U. Boise's offense has been hot, averaging 84 ppg and 48.9% shooting. Boise State has one of the best players in the conference in Chandler Hutchinson and this club is solid both on offense and defense. Iowa State just not at the same level right now as the Broncos. I'm taking Boise State here on Sunday. |
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11-18-17 | Long Beach State +12 v. Oregon State | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
Long Beach State enters tonight's game at Oregon State 2-0 after wins over San Francisco State at home and San Francisco on the road. Oregon State had a somewhat easy win over Southern Utah at home, winning 99-82, though failing to cover the 23.5 spread. The Beavers then lost their second game, a 75-66 setback at home to Wyoming. The OSU defense allowed three different Wyoming players to score more than 16 points. I can't understand how Oregon State is a 12 point favorite here when Long Beach has a legitimate chance of winning outright. But, don't look a gift horse in the mouth. I'll take the points here with Long Beach State. |
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11-18-17 | Nevada -11.5 v. Pacific | 89-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Nevada travels to Pacific today for their second road contest in a row. The Wolfpack is 3-0 both S/U and ATS after beating Santa Clara, 93-63. Pacific is still looking for its first win of the young season. The Tigers opened with a road loss to Stanford, 89-80 and then lost at home to UC-Davis, 62-58. The Tigers have not been a good bettors team, going just 1-5 ATS in their last six non-conf games, 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 against a winning team. Conversely, the Wolfpack are 41-16-2 ATS their last 59 overall and 15-7 ATS their last 22 vs the West Coast Conf. Nevada just too good for this overmanned Pacific squad. Take Nevada. |
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11-16-17 | Xavier +2.5 v. Wisconsin | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Both these clubs come into this big matchup at 2-0 with Xavier also 2-0 ATS and Wisconsin at 1-0 ATS. NO 15. Xavier has big wins over Morehead, 101-49, and Rider, 101-75. The Musketeers play nine of their first 10 games at home with just Wisconsin as their long road game. Wisconsin has wins over South Carolina State 85-50 and Yale 89-61. This is the first of a stretch of top teams the Badgers will play with their next game at No 25 Baylor. This should be a good one, but I like Xavier to win this one pretty easy. Play Xavier. |
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11-14-17 | Kansas -4.5 v. Kentucky | 65-61 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
Kentucky plays its third game of the season tonight after tuneup wins over Vermont and Utah Valley. Vermont put a bit of a scare into the Cats, losing by just four points, 73-69. Kansas plays just its second game of the season after a blowout win over Tennessee State, 92-56. This Champions Classic is being played in Chicago Illinois. This game pits the No 4 Jayhawks against the No 5 Wildcats in an early season marquee matchup. The Jayhawks lost Frank Mason and Josh Jackson to the pros and that means Sr Devonte Graham will be the leader of this team. Kentucky should have easily won it's first two games, but had surprisingly tough competition. Kentucky has five new starters on this team but has lots of talented freshmen. This early the big nod here goes to a more experienced Kansas team against a newly formed Kentucky squad. The Cats have already shown they aren't exactly at peak condition here. Take Kansas and enjoy the show. |
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11-14-17 | Purdue -5 v. Marquette | 86-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Marquette hosts No 19 Purdue here on Tuesday evening. Marquette has one game under its belt, a 80-59 win over Mount St Marys. Purdue has two wins and both easy victories with a 111-42 win over Chicago State and a 105-74 win over Southern Illinois-Edwardsville. This will be the first meeting between these clubs in almost 50 years, despite being less than 100 miles apart. Marquette will have to improve on their interior defense. They allowed Mt St Mary's to hit on 69.6% of their two-point field goals. Marquette also doesn't matchup well against Purdue here tonight. Both clubs will finally be tested, but I like the Boilermakers on the road here tonight. Play Purdue. |
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11-10-17 | Western Carolina v. Clemson -20.5 | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Clemson got some prep time in for this contest with some exhibition games in Spain. Plus they will have support with the football team playing in town this weekend too. This is actually the 12th meeting between Clemson and the Western Carolina Catamounts. Though Clemson has won all previous 11 meetings between the clubs. The one bright spot is that WCU returns all five starters. These teams last met in 2010-11 with Clemson winning 87-64. Clemson laying 20 points here, but they should cover easily as the outmatched WCU club loses another in the series. Play Clemson. |
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04-03-17 | North Carolina v. Gonzaga +2 | Top | 71-65 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 10 m | Show |
It's East vs West as North Carolina takes on Gonzaga for the National Championship. Gonzaga leads the national in defensive efficiency, that best describes this Gonzaga club. They have a cohesive group that plays well together, especially on defense. It was the defense that shined in their wins over West Virginia and South Carolina. The Zags will need the offense to step up though and I look for that to happen here. You can make a case for either side, but I like the defense this Gonzaga team plays and the way they refuse to lose. Take Gonzaga and enjoy the show. |
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04-01-17 | Oregon +4.5 v. North Carolina | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 129 h 57 m | Show | |
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04-01-17 | South Carolina +6.5 v. Gonzaga | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 126 h 57 m | Show | |
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03-31-17 | St. Peter's v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi +4.5 | 62-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
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