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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-08-21 | Suns v. Clippers -6 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
The Phoenix Suns had a huge win last night over the NBA's best record team in Utah Jazz, taking the game to OT before winning, 117-113. I gave out the Suns in that game but tonight I'm going against them. Not only will they have a bit of a letdown tonight, but with the OT, travel and back-to-back spot, this is a game where the situations are against the Suns. The Clippers have won their last two on this homestand with a 133-116 win over the Blazers and 104-86 over the Lakers. I'm basically looking for a bit of a letdown here tonight by the Suns. Play LA Clippers. |
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04-08-21 | Bulls -4 v. Raptors | 122-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls look to extend their win streak to three games here tonight against the Raptors. The Bulls are coming off a win over the Pacers, 113-97. They have also covered four straight games and are 18-6 ATS their last 24 road games. The Toronto Raptors are the only team in the NBA that can't play at home. Their home games are played in Florida. The Raptors have lost five of their last seven and 14 of their last 17 games. The Bulls have covered 17 of the last 24 meetings in this series and I look for them to do jus that here tonight. Play Chicago. |
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04-07-21 | Jazz v. Suns +2 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Utah Jazz saw their nine-game winning streak snapped last time out at Dallas, 103-111. Still, the Jazz have the best record in the NBA at 38-12. Meanwhile, Phoenix extended its win streak to six games with a win over Houston on Monday, 133-130, though they failed to cover the 14-point spread. This is the big showdown right now in the Western Conference and will be on ESPN tonight. Phoenix has been one of the hottest teams in the NBA, winning 24 of their last 29 games. This will be a huge game here tonight at Phoenix and I'll take the Suns in this one. |
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04-06-21 | 76ers -1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers look to bounce back from their loss at home to Memphis on Sunday, 100-116. The loss snapped a two game losing streak for the Sixers. Still, they are 6-3 S/U their last nine games. The Boston Celtics look to win their third straight game here tonight. The Celtics are coming off a Sunday win over Charlotte, 116-86. Philly is 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 games as a favorite and 5-0-1 ATS their last six as a road favorite. I'll lay the points here on the road with Philly as I look for them to bounce back tonight. Play Philadelphia. |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga -4 | 86-70 | Loss | -118 | 30 h 5 m | Show | |
Both these teams advanced to the NCAA Championship game on different paths. The Baylor Bears had little trouble with their intra-state rivals, Houston, winning in a never close game, 78-59. Gonzaga took a much more exciting route, beating UCLA in OT 93-90. This game was close the entire way and it looked like we were headed to Double OT as UCLA made a basket with just over three seconds left. However, a nearly half court 3-points banked in and the Zags advanced to the title game here today. Baylor has more offensive weapons then UCLA and likes an up-tempo pace, as does Gonzaga. I've been high on the Zags all season and I don't see any reason to let the UCLA dissuade me. Take the Zags here on Monday. |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga OVER 159 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 5 m | Show |
 Both these teams advanced to the NCAA Championship game on different paths. The Baylor Bears had little trouble with their intra-state rivals, Houston, winning in a never close game, 78-59. Gonzaga took a much more exciting route, beating UCLA in OT 93-90. This game was close the entire way and it looked like we were headed to Double OT as UCLA made a basket with just over three seconds left. However, a nearly half court 3-points banked in and the Zags advanced to the title game here today. Baylor has more offensive weapons then UCLA and likes an up-tempo pace, as does Gonzaga. I expect this pace tonight to be fast and with that I'm taking the OVER. |
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04-05-21 | Jazz v. Mavs UNDER 223.5 | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Utah Jazz improved to 38-11 as they bring a nine-game win streak into tonight's contest. They have also gone under in four of their last five road games. The Jazz look the best in the NBA at this point. Dallas also has a modest win streak of four games coming into tonight's contest. They have gone under in three of their last four games. The Mavs have now gone under inf 7 straight home games. I will lay off the side here tonight and take the UNDER. |
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04-04-21 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 212 | Top | 86-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
Lakers finally got a needed win last time out over Sacramento, 115-94. Since James and Davis have been out they have not been scoring well at all, in fact that game went under too, their fourth in a row. The Clippers look to snap a two-game losing streak here today. They have not been scoring either, with just 94 and 96 points in their last two games. This looks to be another low scoring affair. Play UNDER. Â Â Â |
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04-03-21 | Thunder v. Blazers -11.5 | 85-133 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City comes into this game tonight at Portland losing three of four of their last five games. They are coming off a blow-out loss at Phoenix yesterday, 103-140. Now they have to hit the road again and head North to take on the Blazers. Portland saw its four-game win streak snapped last time out at home by Milwaukee, 109-127. I expect the Blazers to bounce back here at home tonight against a reeling OKC team. Play Portland. |
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04-03-21 | UCLA v. Gonzaga UNDER 145.5 | 90-93 | Loss | -103 | 48 h 19 m | Show | |
Lets face it, this NCAA Tournament is Gonzaga's to lose. They are by far the best team in this tournament, winning every game by double digits and making them look easy. Now come UCLA, who has been lucky to win some OT and close games going back to the PAC-12 and NCAA tourneys. Totals have been going under in this tourney, mainly due to 3-pointers having dropped. Teams finally seem to catch on how to defense beyond the arc. UCLA has not scored much and I don't see them doing so here today. I think Gonzaga will keep this UCLA team bottled up all night. Play the UNDER. |
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04-03-21 | UCLA +14.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 90-93 | Win | 100 | 48 h 19 m | Show |
Lets face it, this NCAA Tournament is Gonzaga's to lose. They are by far the best team in this tournament, winning every game by double digits and making them look easy. Now come UCLA, who has been lucky to win some OT and close games going back to the PAC-12 and NCAA tourneys. My feeling here is that Gonzaga will destroy this UCLA club as they have everyone else. No reason to look at numbers or anything else, just taking Gonzaga. |
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04-03-21 | Cavs v. Heat -12 | 101-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Cavs have hit a bit of a snap of late, losing four straight games and going 1-3 ATS during that time. They are coming off a loss at home to Philly, 94-114. In fact, they have scored fewer then 98 points in their last four games including a 75-point performance against Utah two games ago. Meanwhile, has won three straight both S/U and ATS. I don't expect a high scoring game here today the way Cleveland is playing and I'll lay the points with the Heat. Play Miami. |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor UNDER 135.5 | 59-78 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Scoring has been down in this tournament, mainly because 3-point shooting percentages have dropped a lot. We've seen that even in Gonzaga games. These two teams both these teams. Houston has gone under in three straight games. Baylor has been one of the few teams to get more overs in this tournament, with both their last games going over. Still, I expect these teams to be more deliberate here today and more defense to be on display. Take the UNDER. |
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04-01-21 | Nuggets -1.5 v. Clippers | Top | 101-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Denver bring a 3-game win streak into tonight's contest at the LA Clippers. The Nuggets have won seven of their last nine and covered six of their last nine. The Clippers look to bounce back after a home loss to the Orlando Magic, 96-103 as a 11.5 point favorite. The Clippers look to be without star forward Paul George who will be out with a foot injury tonight. The Clipper had been on a nice six-game S/U and ATS win streak before George went down and they lost to the Magic. I'm going to lay the small price on the road with the Nuggets here tonight. Play Denver. |
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03-31-21 | Bulls v. Suns -7 | Top | 116-121 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
The Chicago Bulls look to snap a four game s/u and ats losing streak here tonight a Phoenix. The Bulls on a West coast trip that saw them lose to San Antonio and Golden State. Meanwhile the Phoenix Suns have won three straight games including last night over Atlanta, 117-110 as a 6-point favorite. The Suns have also won six of their last seven games while covering five of those games. The Suns are now 20-7 ATS their last 27 games as a favorite and 22-8 ATS in their last 30 home games. Phoenix is also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games with no days rest. Despite having played last night, I still like Suns here tonight. |
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03-31-21 | Knicks -3.5 v. Wolves | 101-102 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
The NY Knicks look to avoid dropping to the .500 mark here tonight as they play at Minnesota. The Knicks are coming off a loss at home to the Miami Heat, 88-98. That loss snapped a 3-game losing streak. The Knicks have done well off a ATS loss, evidenced by their 9-1-1 ATS mark their last 12 times. The Knicks are also 19-7 ATS their last 26 games when the favorite. Minnesota has lost five of their last six games, dropping them to 11-36 on the season. The Wolves are also 2-4 ATS their last six games. In addition, they are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall and 2-6 last eight as a home dog. I'll take the visitor here today. Play NY Knicks. |
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03-31-21 | Blazers v. Pistons OVER 221 | 124-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Portland has improved to 28-18 thanks to a three game winning streak. All three of those games have gone over, including their games at Toronto and Orlando. Detroit is coming off a home win over Toronto, 118-104 with that game going over. Three of their last four games have gone over. The Pistons are still just 13-33 on the season. The Blazers have been a very good over bet of late, with four of their last five road games going OVER. They are also 10-3 O/U in their last 13 road games against a team with a losing home record. Portland is 7-3 O/U their last 10 as a favorite. Detroit it 10-4 O/U in their last 14 at home vs a team with a road record of 60% or better. Seven of the last 10 in this series have gone over in Detroit. My play here is on the OVER. |
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03-30-21 | 76ers v. Nuggets -5 | Top | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
 Philly is on their West Coast swing, having started with a win at Golden State, 108-98, then beating the Lakers 109-101, before losing to the Clippers last time out, 112-122. The Sixers lead in the East conference has gotten smaller with time to where they now lead Brooklyn by just a 1/2 game. Have to think Philly is getting road weary, with their fifth straight on the road tonight. They are also just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a road dog. Denver has won two straight games and six of their last eight games. Denver always a tough place for visitors with their high altitude. I'll take the Nuggets tonight. |
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03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor UNDER 148.5 | 72-81 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Arkansas got pushed to their limit last game, but narrowly escaped with the win over Oral Roberts, 72-70 as a 11.5 point favorite. Now they face the top seed in the region, Baylor. Baylor beat Hartford, 79-55 then Wisconsin, 76-63 and then last game over Villanova, 62-51. All three games held their opponents to 63 or fewer points. One thing has been evident in this NCAA tournament, 3-point shot making percentage has dropped significantly. Normally around the 30% mark or more, we've been seeing 20% of shots dropping from 3-point. Oregon State hit 21.7% against Loyola Chicago and then 27.7% against Oklahoma State and 19.2% vs Tennessee. Houston, which has seen numbers in the 40% ranges, hit just 21.7% against Syracuse, resulting int their 62-46 win. Seems like teams are getting better at defending the 3-point shot and that has resulted in lower scoring games. With a lower score expected here, the points become critical. I'm going to take the UNDER here today. |
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03-29-21 | Oregon State v. Houston UNDER 130 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
Reason: Midwest Regional Final has Oregon State taking on Houston. Oregon State the surprise team left in the tournament as they got red-hot right at Conference tourney time. Oregon State has won six straight games and covered all six. They have gone under in two of their last three games, holding Loyola Chicago to just 58 and Tennessee to 56 in their three NCAA tourney games. Houston has also slowed the pace of late, going under in their last two NCAA tourney games, holding Syracuse to just 46 points on Saturday and Rutgers to 60 in their game before. In fact, Houston has now held four of their last six opponents to 56 or fewer points and one other to just 60. |
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03-29-21 | Oregon State +8 v. Houston | Top | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
Midwest Regional Final has Oregon State taking on Houston. Oregon State the surprise team left in the tournament as they got red-hot right at Conference tourney time. Oregon State has won six straight games and covered all six. They held Loyola Chicago to just 58 and Tennessee to 56 in their three NCAA tourney games. Houston has also slowed the pace of late, going under in their last two NCAA tourney games, holding Syracuse to just 46 points on Saturday and Rutgers to 60 in their game before. One thing has been evident in this NCAA tournament, 3-point shot making percentage has dropped significantly. Normally around the 30% mark or more, we've been seeing 20% of shots dropping from 3-point. Oregon State hit 21.7% against Loyola Chicago and then 27.7% against Oklahoma State and 19.2% vs Tennessee. Houston, which has seen numbers in the 40% ranges, hit just 21.7% against Syracuse, resulting int their 62-46 win. Seems like teams are getting better at defending the 3-point shot and that has resulted in lower scoring games. With a lower score expected here, the points become critical. I'll take the dog points with the PAC 12 teams doing so well. Play Oregon St. |
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03-28-21 | UCLA v. Alabama -6.5 | 88-78 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
UCLA and Alabama face off today in the NCAA Tourney East Regional Semifinals. UCLA was an early exit in the PAC-12 tourney, losing to Oregon State in their first game, 79-83 in OT. It's been a different story here in the NCAA tourney, beating Michigan State in OT, 86-80, then BYU, 73-62 and Abilene Christian 67-47 last game. Now they face a very good Alabama team. The Crimson Tide won the SEC tournament and have now won eight straight games and 11 of their last 12. They are coming off a big win over Maryland, 96-77. This might be the best team UCLA has had to face in some time. I like the Tide here to cover and move on. Play Alabama. |
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03-28-21 | Creighton v. Gonzaga -13 | Top | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 36 h 15 m | Show |
Creighton bounced back from their Big East conference blowout loss to Georgetown with a pair of wins here in the NCAA. They just go bye Cal Santa Barbara, 63-62 and then easily beat Ohio U, 72-58. Now they have the arduous task of facing No 1 see Gonzaga. Gonzaga is 29-0 on the season and has rolled through the first two rounds of the NCAA with wins over Norfolk, 98-55 and then Oklahoma, 87-71, covering both. Gonzaga laying around 13 looks like a gift to me. I'll take them here today. Play Gonzaga. |
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03-28-21 | Mississippi State v. Memphis -4.5 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
NIT Championship game has Mississippi State taking on Memphis for the Title. Miss State Bulldogs got here with wins over St Louis, Richmond and Louisiana Tech. They covered two of those three games, missing the cover over Richmond. Memphis has NIT wins over Dayton, Boise State and Colorado State. The latter was a blowout winner, 90-67. Memphis has covered eight of their last nine games. I look for the Tigers to take the title today and get the cover. Play Memphis. |
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03-27-21 | Syracuse +6.5 v. Houston | 46-62 | Loss | -102 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
Syracuse has won both of its NCAA games as dogs with wins over San Diego State, 78-62 and then West Virginia, 75-72. The Orange have now covered six straight games. Today they face Houston as a 6.5 point dog. Houston has now won nine straight games. During that span they are 6-3 ATS. The Cougars had a rough outing last time, just getting by Rutgers 63-60 as a 7.5 point favorite. Syracuse won't want to get into a scoring contest here today. Rather I look for them to slow things down as Rutgers did. I'm going to take the dog here with Syracuse. |
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03-27-21 | Oral Roberts +11.5 v. Arkansas | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts looking to continue its Cinderella run in the NCAA with their game against Arkansas today. Oral Roberts boasts the nation's leading scorer in Max Abmas. The lightly recruited star is the sparkplug behind OR run here in the postseason. The team has now won seven straight games and covered six of those. Arkansas had its hands full with Texas Tech in the last round, winning 68-66 as a 2-point dog. That came after an easy win over Colgate, 85-68 in round one. I believe in fairy tale stories and I'm going to ride this one another round. Play Oral Roberts. |
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03-26-21 | Nuggets v. Pelicans OVER 231.5 | Top | 113-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
 Denver Nuggets fell to 26-18 after losing to Toronto on Wednesday, 111-135. The Nuggets are 3-3 S/U and ATS in their last six games. They are also 4-2 O/U in those six games. The Nuggets have now gone over in 21 of their last 29 road games as a favorite. The New Orleans Pelicans are 19-24 after winning two straight games, including a game at Denver last Sunday, 113-108. The Pelicans have gone over in eight of their last nine home games as a dog. They are also 30-8 O/U overall their last 38 games. These teams have gone over in five of their last seven meetings in New Orleans. That's what I'm on here tonight. Play OVER. |
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03-25-21 | 76ers -5.5 v. Lakers | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Not very often you find the Lakers as a home dog. But these days that's because they are missing their top stars. Lebron James is out with an ankle injury while Anthony Davis continues to miss time with an Achilles issue. The Sixers are not without their own issues, namely forward Joel Embiid, who will also miss tonight's contest with a knee injury. You kind of have to throw out numbers here with all these stars missing. For me, the Lakers go with James and Davis and missing them is just too much. Take the 76ers. |
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03-25-21 | Boise State v. Memphis -4 | Top | 56-59 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NIT Quarterfinal action has Boise State taking on Memphis tonight. Boise lost in the Mountain West tourney to Nevada, 82-89. They bounced back in the opening round of the NIT with a win over SMU, 85-84, covering the 1-point dog line. Still, the Broncos are just 5-6 ATS in their last 11 games. They have also won just one of their last five games. Memphis lost in the American Athletic Tourney to a very good Houston team, 74-76, covering the 7-point dog line. It was the team's seventh cover in a row. They are also 8-2 S/U over their last 10 games. Memphis playing the better here between these two teams. Play Memphis. |
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03-25-21 | Wizards v. Knicks -3 | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Washington Wizards are 15-27 S/U and 21-21 ATS on the season. The Wizards are 7-13 S/U and 11-9 ATS on the road. Washington coming off a loss to the Knicks, 113-131 on Tuesday. It was the team's second straight loss and eighth in their last nine games. They are also 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games. The Knicks are 4-5 S/U and 5-3-1 ATS in their last nine games. Knicks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. They are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall as a favorite. Knicks not laying many points here tonight. They play well in the favorite role. Take New York. |
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03-25-21 | NC State -1.5 v. Colorado State | 61-65 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
 NC State Wolfpack had a nice run to finis the season, going 6-1 over their last seven. Unfortunately, the one loss came in their conference tourney to Syracuse, 68-89. The Pack opened NIT action with a easy win over Davidson, 75-61 as a 2-point dog. Colorado State lost in the Mountain West tourney to Utah State, 50-62 as a 4.5-point dog. The Rams are 2-2 S/U and 1-2-1 ATS over their last four games. Close line here with the Pack now a small favorite. I like NC State coming from the tougher Atlantic Coast conference. Play NC State. |
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03-24-21 | Coastal Carolina +5 v. Pepperdine | Top | 61-84 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Coastal Carolina had to go to OT last night to get the exciting win over Stetson, though they failed to cover the spread. The Chanticleers came an OT away from the NCAA tournament after losing to App State. Pepperdine advanced with a win over Bellarmine on Tuesday, 82-71. Hard to dismiss the fact that Carolina came so close to the NCAA tournament - and that wasn't by accident. This is a very good team. Pepperdine is average, but one can argue they played the likes of St Marys and Gonzaga all season. Still, I'm going to take the points with the dog in this one. Play Coastal Carolina. |
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03-24-21 | Nuggets -2.5 v. Raptors | 111-135 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets look to win their second game in a row and fifth in their last six games tonight against the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors are the only team in the NBA not allowed to play on their home court, as they must play all their home games in Florida. The Raptors have been in a free fall of late. They have lost nine straight games and 11 of their last 12. In addition, they are 1-5 ATS their last six games. The Nuggets are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games against the Raptors. I'll be on Denver here tonight. Play Denver. |
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03-23-21 | Pepperdine v. Bellarmine +4.5 | 82-71 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
CBI Semifinals has Pepperdine Waves of the WCC taking on Bellarmine Knights of the ASUN conference. Pepperdine is 13-12 after beating Longwood in their last CBI game, 80-66. Beallarmine is 14-7 after beating Army, 77-67. The Knights trailed by 9-points at one time, 40-31, but used a big 2nd half to rally for the win. Bellarmine isn't very good defensively, but they have a very good offense. Pepperdine really hasn't been a very good team all season, as they have hovered right around the .500 mark all year. Edges here go to Bellarmine in shooting and experience. Add to the fact that Bellarmine is playing its first year at the division 1 level and they will be out to prove something here tonight. Take Bellarmine. |
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03-23-21 | Wizards v. Knicks -2.5 | Top | 113-131 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Washington Wizards travel to NY tonight to take on the Knicks. The Wizards are just 15-26 S/U and 21-20-0 ATS on the season. The Wizards are coming off a loss at Brooklyn, 106-113. They are just 1-6 in their last seven games and 3-4 ATS. The NY Knicks are 21-22 on the season and can climb back to the .500 mark with a win tonight. The Knicks are coming off a loss to Philly, 100-101. They are 3-4 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS in their last seven games. The Knicks are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. Knicks laying just 2 1/2 points here tonight. Play NY Knicks. |
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03-22-21 | Celtics v. Grizzlies -2 | 126-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics look to stay above .500 tonight as they are 21-21 S/U on the season. The Celtics are also 19-23 ATS. They are not as good on the road, with a 8-14 S/U mark and 7-15 ATS record. In addition, they are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games and 0-5 ATS playing on no days rest. The Memphis Grizzlies can get to .500 tonight with a win. They are 19-20 S/U and 21-17-1 ATS. At home, the Grizzlies are 10-13 S/U and 12-10-1 ATS. The Grizzlies have covered five of their last six home games and are 6-1 ATS in their last seven as a home favorite. Take Memphis. |
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03-22-21 | LSU +5 v. Michigan | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
The LSU Tigers opened NCAA tournament Round one play with a big win over St Bonaventure, 79-61, as 2-point favorite. The win took the bitterness out of their one-point SEC Championship game loss to Alabama. The Tigers have now covered six straight game and eight of the last 10. Michigan looks to continue in on the tournament today. The Wolverines have 21 wins, after beating Texas Southern in round one, 82-66. Though they failed to cover the 25-point favorite line. It was their second spread loss in a row and third in their last four game. Michigan around a 5.5-point favorite here today. I'll take the points against a team that has struggled to cover spreads. Play LSU. |
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03-22-21 | Ohio +6 v. Creighton | Top | 58-72 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
Ohio pulled a big upset win on Saturday, beating Virginia 62-58 as a 6-point dog. Creighton had all it could handle in round one just getting past Cal Santa Barbara, 63-62 as a 7-point favorite. Creighton trailed Santa Barbara by as many as eight points in the first half and were down by six with just 5:30 left to play in the game. The Blue Jays have failed to cover their last two games and four of their last seven. The Ohio defense made a big stand on Saturday, holding Virginia without a field goal for 10:09 seconds of the 2nd half. Creighton has been inconsistent this year and underachieving most of the season. The Ohio Bobcats look like they are primed for another straight up win as a dog. Play Ohio. |
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03-22-21 | Abilene Christian v. UCLA -4.5 | 47-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
Abilene Christian pulled what could be the 2nd biggest shocker in round one with their win over Texas, 53-52. It was the team's fifth win in a row and 13th in their last 14. They have also covered five in a row and eight of the last nine. Still. this is a Southland Conference team that lost early in the season to Texas Tech, 44-51 and to Arkansas, 72-85. UCLA looks to burst their bubble here today. The Bruins beat Michigan State in the first four, 86-80 in OT and then beat BYU in round one, 73-62. The PAC 12 is doing very well with USC and Oregon State both looking strong. I like the PAC-12 team here over a Southland club. Play UCLA. |
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03-22-21 | Oklahoma v. Gonzaga OVER 154 | 71-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Gonzaga is the top seed in the tournament and now 28-0 on the season. They will play a 17-10 Oklahoma team here on Monday. Oklahoma rebounded from it's Big 12 tourney loss with a win over Missouri, 72-68, covering the 1-point dog lone. They still have won just two of their last seven games. Gonzaga is the leader of this pack. While I'm not looking at the spread here today, I am looking at the total. Gonzaga is a good over team, with six of their last eight games going over. They have scored 86 or more points in 11 of their last 13 games. Gonzaga is now 11-3 O/U in their last 14 neutral site games. The Bulldogs are also 37-16 O/U in their last 53 games as a favorite. I'm looking for lots of points from Gonzaga. Take the OVER. |
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03-21-21 | Oregon State +6.5 v. Oklahoma State | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
Oregon State shocked the PAC-12 by winning all three conference tourney games to get the automatic bid to the NCAA tourney. Many thought they didn't deserve it, but they opened round win with a resounding win over a 9-point favored Tennessee team, 70-56. It was the Beavers' fourth cover in a row and 11th in their last 12 games. Oklahoma State lost in the Big 12 Conference championship game to Texas, 86-91. They still got the at-large bid to the NCAA and they opened with a closer than expected win over Liberty, 69-70. Liberty led at the half, 30-27, but Ok State rallied late to not only get the win but the cover. There's something to be said for a team that gets hot at the right time. That is what we are seeing with Oregon State. I'll take the points here today with the Beavers. Play Oregon State. |
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03-21-21 | Oral Roberts +8.5 v. Florida | 81-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts is making believers out of everyone after they pulled off the shocker of the first round by beating Ohio State, 75-72 in OT as a 15-point dog. This Oral Roberts team looks real though after winning six straight games and covering five of those. They boast the nation's leading scorer in Max Abmas, who averaged 24.2 ppg. Oh, and Abmas only played all 45 minutes of that win over Ohio State. Abmas was the Summit League Player of the Year. He's also the only player in the NCAA to have multiple 40-point games this season. Florida also had to go to OT in their first NCAA game, beating Virginia Tech 75-70 as a 1.5 point dog. Florida has not been a very good covering team, with a 1-4 ATS mark their last five and 3-7 their last 10. I'm going to stick with this red-hot Oral Roberts team and the leading scorer in the country. Play Oral Roberts. |
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03-21-21 | Bulls -3 v. Pistons | 100-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls are 18-22 S/U and 22-17-1 ATS on the season. They have been one of the best road teams this year with a 13-4 ATS road record. The Bulls look to snap a two-game losing streak here tonight in Detroit. They have won two of their last four and covered three of the last four. The Pistons are 12-29 S/U and 22-17-2 ATS. Detroit has won two straight games and covered four of their last five. The Bulls have done well vs teams with losing records, going 20-7 ATS in their last 27 vs a losing team. The Bulls have covered the last five meetings with the Pistons and I look for that tonight. Play Chicago. |
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03-21-21 | Texas Tech v. Arkansas UNDER 141 | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas Tech advanced to the NCAA second round here on Sunday with a win in round one over Utah State, 65-53, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Red Raiders snapped a two-game losing streak. This has been a very good under team, with both tourney games going under and five of their last six games overall going UNDER. Arkansas had little trouble with the nation's 2nd highest scoring team in Colgate, winning 85-68 in round one. The game went under, as each of their tourney and NCAA games has done. The Razorbacks have also gone under in nine of their last 12 neutral site games. I'm looking to play the UNDER here today. Play UNDER. |
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03-21-21 | Syracuse +4.5 v. West Virginia | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Syracuse won their opening game in the NCAA tournament with a win over Mountain West Champ, San Diego State 78-62 as a 3-point dog. The Orange have now won four of their last five and covered all five. West Virginia lost their conference tourney opener to Oklahoma State, 69-72, but still got an at large bid thanks to their 18 wins. They opened NCAA with a win over a very good Morehead State team, 85-67 with Morehead never in the contest. Still, the Mountaineers have covered just one of their last five games. These teams have actually met five times with the dog taking four of those games vs the number. My own number has WVU about a one-point favorite while the oddsmaker has them around four points. I'll take the dog here today. Play Syracuse. |
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03-20-21 | Ohio +7 v. Virginia | Top | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
There is something to be said for getting hot at the right time. That's the case for this Ohio Bobcats team. The Cats were 4th in the MAC East but got to the NCAA tournament by winning nine of their last 10 games including all of their MAC tourney games. They were one of the better scoring teams in the nation, with around 80 ppg average. This Ohio team loves to run up and down the court and is an excellent passing team. Now they face one of the best defensive teams in the nation in Virginia. The problem for Virginia is that it had an undisclosed player test positive for Covid. That's a tourney ender for most teams. However, they have quarantined and if they had at least five players test negative for seven consecutive days they would be allowed to play. The Cavs look like they have passed that hurdle. Problem is they can't practice until they pass that protocol. Sure, they will be rested, but will they be game ready here today? I'm taking this hot Ohio team that has been shooting lights out against this Virginia team that frankly might not be ready to play. Take Ohio. |
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03-20-21 | Iona +17 v. Alabama | 55-68 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
 Iona got the NCAA bid by sweeping its Metro Atlantic Conference Tournament, beating Quinnipiac, Siena, Niagara and then Fairfield in the Championship game, 70-64. It was Iona's sixth win in eight games and 10th in their last 12 games. They have also gone 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games. Alabama has had a fine season with a 24-6 S/U and 17-12 ATS record. The Tide won the SEC tournament with a one point win over LSU in the final, 80-79, failing to cover the 6-point spread. The Tide have been fair at covering, going 4-4 ATS in their last eight games. Tide laying 17 points here today is just too much in my opinion. I already had one big upset winner with Friday's Oral Roberts outright win. Let's see if Iona can make it another shocker. Play Iona. |
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03-20-21 | UC-Santa Barbara +7.5 v. Creighton | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
Cal Santa Barbara comes into this NCAA tourney with a 20-4 S/U record and 14-10 spread mark. The Gouchos swept their Big West tourney with three wins, including the championship game over UC Irvine, 79-63. Their only loss dating back to December came on Feb 27 against UC Riverside, 52-68. They will face a Creighton team that was absolutely demolished in the Big East Championship by Georgetown, 48-73. The Blue Jays fell behind early and never came close the rest of the way. They have now lost three of their last six games both S/U and ATS. This Creighton team has been very inconsistent this season. Not so for Santa Barbara who has had little problems. I'll take the points here and not be surprised if Creighton struggles again. Play Santa Barbara. |
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03-20-21 | Georgetown +6 v. Colorado | 73-96 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
If there is one team that has Cinderella written all over it, it is Georgetown. This Patrick Ewing led team shocked the Big East by taking the tournament despite going into the tourney with a 8-13 record. Four wins later, including that wipeout of Creighton in the finals, 73-48, and here they are at the big dance. Not much you can say about this team other than they are redhot and have nothing to lose. Sometimes a team with nothing to lose are the most dangerous teams. You know that 22-9 Colorado will be constantly reminded of this by their coaching staff. The Buffaloes are a 6 or 6 1/2 point favorite and have all the pressure on their shoulders. I'm going to stick with the Cinderella team and take the points here. My Shocker play here on Friday. |
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