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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-07-22 | South Dakota State +4 v. Akron | 80-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Akron opening their season at home here tonight. The Zips finished 24-10 last year and 14-6 in the MAC. They lost two big players from that squad, Ali who avg 13.9 ppg and Bryan Trimbles who avg 10.4 ppg. The Zips won the 2022 MAC Tournament last year under 6th year HC John Groce. Akron is 3rd in the preseason MAC Poll. South Dakota coming off a great season that saw the team win 30 games and 21 games in a row. The JackRabbits lost in the NCAA Tournament to Providence in the first round. Both teams had excellent seasons in 2022 but SDK State looks pretty good getting points in this spot. Take South Dakota State. |
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11-06-22 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -10 | Top | 97-103 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
The Washington Wizards hit the road today for a game at Memphis. It's an East vs West contest in the NBA and like usual, the West is just the way better conference. That is panning out again this year. The Wizards are 4-5 S/U and 3-6 ATS on the season. They are coming off a brutal beating in Brooklyn, 86-128 as a 3-point favorite. That makes them just 1-4 S/U and ATS their last five games. The Wizards don't have much magic on the road either where they are 5-11 ATS their last 16. They are also 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Memphis Grizzlies are 6-3 S/U and 3-4-2 ATS on the season. Memphis is 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS at home with a point differential of 14.7 ppg as they score an average of 126. 3 points on their home court. It pans out then that the Griz are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 home games. Memphis is 17-5-1 ATS their last 23 meetings at home vs the Wizards and 5-1 ATS their last six overall. I look for a Memphis blowout here today. Play Memphis. |
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11-05-22 | Thunder v. Bucks -7.5 | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks are the only undefeated team in the NBA left at 8-0 after they easily cruised to another win on Friday over the Minnesota T'Wolves, 115-102. The Bucks have the best point differential in the East at +11.3 and 2nd in the NBA. Milwaukee is coming off a back-to-back set vs the Pistons where they won both but only covered Wednesday's contest, 116-91. The Bucks have covered seven of their eight games this year and are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. The Bucks will be without Khris Middleton tonight who will sit out with a wrist injury. The OKC Thunder are 4-4 on the season after losing at home on Thursday to Denver, 110-122 as a 6.5-point dog. That snapped a four game s/u and ATS win streak by the Thunder after they started the season 0-3. The Thunder are 1-2 S/U and 3-0 ATS on the road with just a 2-point differential. The Thunder have played well, but I'm sticking with the Bucks who should be 9-0 after this game tonight. Play Milwaukee. |
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11-04-22 | Bucks -3.5 v. Wolves | 115-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks are the only undefeated team in the NBA left at 7-0 and sitting atop the Eastern Conference. The Bucks have the best point differential in the East at +11.3 and 2nd in the NBA. Milwaukee is coming off a back-to-back set vs the Pistons where they won both but only covered Wednesday's contest, 116-91. The Bucks have covered six of their seven games this year and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Bucks will be without Khris Middleton tonight who will sit out with a wrist injury. They will have Giannis A though who has nursed a knee injury. The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4-4 on the season and have lost two straight games. They are coming off losses at home to the Spurs, 98-107 and then last time out at Phoenix, 107-116. The Wolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 3-7 ATS their last 10 games coming off a ATS loss. The Wolves also battling injuries. Center Rudy Gobert (Illness) and guard Anthony Edwards (Illness) are both questionable tonight. I'm going to stick with the Bucks until they prove me otherwise. Take Milwaukee |
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11-02-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -5.5 | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
The Utah Jazz are in 3rd place in the Western Conference with a 6-2 mark and have won two straight games. The Jazz are coming off back-to-back wins over Memphis at home, 121-105 and 124-123, covering both games. Now they hit the road again where they are 2-2 both S/U and ATS and have allowed 119.5 ppg this season. The Dallas Mavericks are 3-3 so far and coming off a win at home over Orlando, 114-105, pushing the number. The Mavs remain at home where they are 2-1 S/U and 1-1-1 ATS. The Mavs have averaged 120.7 ppg at home while allowing 106.0 point. Even though Utah has the better record, they are just +3.9 point differential this year compared to the Mavs +7.3 point differential. The Jazz have not been kind to bettors on the road, going 8-22-1 ATS their last 31 away games. They are also 4-12 AT in their last 16 games coming off 1-day rest. The Mavs have been good at home, going 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games. The Mavs are 10-1 ATS the last 11 in this series and 5-1 ATS the last six at Dallas. I'll be on the Mavericks here tonight. |
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11-01-22 | Wolves v. Suns -5 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
The Minnesota T'Wolves in 6th in the West with their 4-3 record. The Wolves coming off a loss at the Spurs, 98-107 as a 6-point favorite. The Wolves only have played twice on the road and are 1-1 both S/U and ATS. The Phoenix Suns are tied for 1st in the West with a 5-1 record. They also have the highest point differential at +12.4 points. The Suns have won and covered four straight games including their last game vs Houston, 124-109. The Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games. They have also gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with the T'Wolves and 9-4 ATS the last 13 meetings in Phoenix. Take the Suns here on Tuesday. |
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10-31-22 | Pistons v. Bucks -12.5 | 108-110 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
 The Milwaukee Bucks are the only undefeated team in the NBA right now with a 5-0 record. They host Detroit in a home back-to-back series and I fully expect them to be 7-0 after this series. The Bucks have a +10.4 point differential. The Detroit Pistons are 2-5 on the season and coming off a win at home over the Golden State Warriors on Sunday, 128-114. The Pistons have to turnaround and play again here on Monday. The Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. The Bucks had Sunday off after beating the Hawks on Saturday, 123-115, covering the 5.5-point line. The Bucks have covered all five games this season. They have also average 119.3 ppg at home this season. Milwaukee has owned the Pistons, going 14-3-1 ATS their last 18 meetings and 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 meetings in Milwaukee. Look for a Bucks blowout here on Monday. |
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10-30-22 | Knicks v. Cavs -4.5 | 108-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers sit in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference with a 4-1 record and the best point differential thus far in the East and tied in the overall NBA with +11.8 points. The Cavs started the season with a loss at Toronto, 105-108, but have won four straight games including last game at Boston, 132-123. The Cavs have also covered their last four games. The Knicks are 3-2 both S/U and ATS on the season. They lost last time out at Milwaukee, 108-119 as a 6-point dog. I like the Cavs here at home laying the points. |
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10-29-22 | Hawks v. Bucks -4.5 | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks lead the early standings in the NBA East with a 4-0 record and with Atlanta right on their heels at 4-1. Both teams play yesterday and both teams coming off wins. Atlanta played last night in Detroit, beating the Pistons 136-112, as a 6-point road favorite. Their only loss thus far coming at home vs Charlotte, 109-126. The Milwaukee Bucks are 4-0 after their win last night at home over the Knicks, 119-108 as a 6-point favorite. They have covered all four games this year. The defense has yet to allow more than 109 points and two opponents have been held under 100 points. The Hawks are now just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games and 6-23 ATS in their last 29 games on the road vs a team with a winning home record. The Bucks have covered four of the last five meetings with the Hawks in Milwaukee. I look for another Bucks win and cover here tonight. |
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10-28-22 | Lakers v. Wolves -8.5 | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
The LA Lakers looking for that first win of the season are now 0-4 S/U and ATS. As if things weren't in enough disarray, now they could be without star forward Anthony Davis who is questionable with a back injury. They played their last game without guard Russell Westbrook who has a hamstring issue. Not that Westbrook has contributed much, with just 10 point average in the three games this season. He's hitting 28.9% from the field and 8.3% from three point arc. Westbrook didn't work too well last year either and some are calling for his trade to get someone who can help Lebron get this team back on track. Minnesota is 3-2 S/U and 2-3 ATS so far this season. They are coming off a back-to-back series with the Spurs in which they lost the first game, 106-115, but won the last game on Wednesday, 134-122. The Lakers are so lost right now with injuries, looking to maybe get rid of Westbrook and now they head to The Midwest to take on the Wolves. I'm going to go against the Lakers until they show me some team play. |
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10-27-22 | Clippers -7.5 v. Thunder | Top | 110-118 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
These teams play the 2nd of a back-to-back set here on Thursday as the Clippers lost at OKC a few days ago, 94-108. The loss dropped the Clips to 2-2 on the season and got the Thunder their first win, 1-3. LA played without some starts as Kwahi Leonard, Paul George and Marcus Morris (all starters) missed the game. But the defense really shut down OKC, holding the Thunder to just 38% from the field and 13% from three-point arc. It was turnovers and defensive rebounding that killed the Clippers though with 18 give aways and 13 fewer rebounds, especially on the defensive boards where they gave the Thunder 21 offensive boards or 2nd tries. Leonard is out again here tonight, but Paul and Morris are both questionable and likely will try to make it on the floor Thursday. The Thunder are not that good and I don't expect the Clippers to lose two in a row here tonight. They just need to shore up the turnovers and boards and even without Leonard they should pull out the win here tonight. Play the Clippers. |
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10-26-22 | Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
The season is just a few games old and the Lakers are already panicking after starting the season 0-3. They are already considering trades that can help bolster LeBron James and cast to at least be competitive. The Lakers opened the season with a loss at Golden State, 109-123, then lost to the Clippers, 97-103 and then again dropped their last game at home to the Trailblazers, 104-106. The Lakers might be without guard Russell Westbrook who is nursing a hamstring injury. Not that he's contributed much as it is, with just 10 point average in the three games this season. He's hitting 28.9% from the field and 8.3% from three point arc. Westbrook didn't work too well last year either and some are calling for his trade to get someone who can help Lebron get this team back on track. Meanwhile, Denver is 2-2 after four games played, coming off a loss to the Blazers, 110-135. The Lakers have had a couple days off, but they are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 when having two days off. Denver is 3-1-1 ATS the last five vs the Lakers and until this Westbrook situation is cleared up, I believe the Lakers will continue to struggle. Play Denver tonight. |
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10-25-22 | Pistons v. Wizards -5.5 | Top | 99-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
NBA Season just underway and the Detroit Pistons are 1-2 after three games. The Pistons opened with a win over the Washington Magic, 113-109, but have lost two straight games. The Washington Wizards are 2-1 after three games. Washington won its first two games but lost its last game at Cleveland in OT, 107-117. Bradley Beal leads the team with 23 ppg average. Center Kristaps Prozingis is averaging eight rebounds and 1.7 blocks per game. Still early in the season but I like the talent on this Wizards team more than the Pistons. I'll lay the points at home tonight with Washington. |
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10-21-22 | Pelicans -6.5 v. Hornets | 124-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
The good news for New Orleans is that they will have Zion Williamson in the lineup. He dominated in his Pelicans return last Wednesday night. He had 25 points, nine rebounds and four steels in their 130-108 win over the Nets. The Hornets will be without forward Miles Bridges and point guard LeMelo Bell. Charlotte also looked good in their opener, beating the Spurs in San Antonio, 128-102. The Pelicans are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games. They are also 6-0 ATS in their last six trips to Charlotte and 23-11-1 ATS overall their last 35 meetings with the Hornets. With WIlliamson back, I'll take the Pelicans tonight. |
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10-18-22 | Lakers v. Warriors -6.5 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Opening night of the NBA season and we get a good one to start with the LA Lakers heading North to take on the Golden State Warriors. Golden State begins defense of their NBA Championship from last year. The season hasn't started and it's back to the same old issues for the Lakers, injuries. The Lakers will be hurting at guard with both Russell Westbrook and Dennis Schroder uncertain about playing. The Warriors will get their Championship rings before the game so the place will be rocking. I'm going to take the Warriors with questions still lingering on the Lakers side. Play Golden State. |
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06-10-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics jumped out to a big lead in game three of the NBA Finals, only to have Golden State rally in the third and take a lead entering the fourth quarter. However, like game one, the Warriors collapsed in the fourth quarter and Boston won going away to also cover the spread, 116-100. Thus far none of the three games have been close, with Boston winning game one by 12, Golden State game two by 19 and the Celtics game three by 16. First, Stephen Curry hurt his foot in game two and while he's probable today. The Warriors have proved they can come back from big deficits. They just need to get their act together in the fourth quarter. With the experience of this team and leadership of Curry, I can't see another fourth quarter collapse. I'll take the points here on Friday and won't be surprised by a straight-up win by Golden State. Take the Warriors. |
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05-29-22 | Celtics v. Heat +2.5 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
 I believe the Boston Celtics could have cost themselves a NBA Finals appearance by losing game six at home the Miami Heat. The series returns to Miami for game seven and the winner moving on to the Finals against the Golden State Warriors. Two things stand out to me; 1st is that the Heat took all the momentum in this series after losing game six. The other and bigger thing is that NBA home teams have a distinct advantage in game 7 of a series. Let take a quick look. The Celtics have the most games 7's in NBA history, with 33 and that will be 34 after Sunday's game. There have been 133 games 7's with the home team winning 79% of the time or 105-28. That is a huge stat when it comes to home court advantage. And yet, here we have the Miami Heat a home dog in game seven. Not only do they not have to win, but they have a couple of points to play with as they currently are +2.5 or +3 points. For me, the momentum has shifted to Miami and with home court here in game seven, I'll take the points. |
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05-27-22 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 111-103 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 59 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics took a 3-2 lead in this NBA Eastern Conf Finals Championship series with their win on Wednesday night, 93-80. In what was a very low scoring contest, the Heat led at the half, 42-37. However, the Celtics came out of the half firing and won the third quarter 32-16 and then the fourth quarter 24-22. Now the Heat are force to win the last two games in this series, including Friday's contest at Boston. The Celtics are a 3-point shooting team, they live and die beyond the arc and that's why we've pretty much seen blowouts in every contest. The Celtics opened game six line as a 9-point favorite and that's for good reason. Miami guard Tyler Herro missed Wednesday's game and that's a big loss for this team. With his status in question for game six here on Friday and the game in Boston, this becomes my favorite play in the championship series. Take Boston. |
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05-26-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6.5 | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors have to wait at least one more game to wrap-up their NBA Western Conference Finals and move on to the NBA Championship series. The Warriors led 3-0 in this series before not showing up in game four in their loss to Dallas, 109-119. Despite the loss, the Warriors did shoot fairly well in game four, hitting 48.8% from the field and 35.7% from 3-point arc. Both those numbers were actually better then their game three win at Dallas. The big jump came in the Mavs shooting as they had their best game in this series hitting 50% from the field and 46.5% from 3-point arc. Line has gone up significantly here tonight but for me I'm going to lay this in what looks like another blowout win. Take Golden State. |
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05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat +2 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat are tied 2-2 in this best-of-seven Eastern Conference Finals Championship. The Heat got beat bad ly in game four on their home court, 82-102. In fact, these teams have alternated win/losses with the winning team covering the spread. The Heat had to play game four without their guard Tyler Herro, who has a groin injury. Herro is questionable today and the Heat could really use his 20.7 ppg average. The Heat also need this game to maintain home court advantage or else they face going back to Boston down 2-3. For me, this is a key game for the Heat, lose and they are likely done in the series, win and they only have to win one of the last two games. I'll take Miami here tonight, especially since I believe Herro will return. Play Miami. |
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05-24-22 | Warriors +1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-119 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
The Golden State Warriors can wrap-up their Western Conference Finals with the Dallas Mavericks tonight. The Warriors took a 3-0 lead in this series after beating the Mavs in Dallas last game, 109-100. The Mavs led early, but once they fell behind in the 2nd quarter they never were able to fully recover. The question for me here tonight is how much does the Warriors want to win this game. A win and they get a nice rest while the Eastern Conference teams battle it out for their rep in the Title match. Sometimes too much rest can take away from a teams momentum too. But tonight, I think the Warriors want the rest and will do all it takes to put this series to an end. Play Golden State. |
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05-23-22 | Heat v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 82-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics look to even this best of seven series at 2-2 with a win tonight at home over the Miami Heat. The Celtics lost game one in Miami, 107-118, took game two 127-102 and then lost at home in game three, 103-109. The Heat will be with0out guard Tyler Herro tonight who has a groin injury. They do look to have guard Jimmy Butler playing though who was upgraded to probable with a knee injury. The Celtics Jayson Tatum is expected to play with a cervical sprain. Celtics can't afford to lose another game on their home court. This line is a bit stiff, but I look for the Celtics to win here tonight. Play Boston. |
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05-21-22 | Heat +6.5 v. Celtics | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Game three of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals changes venues here tonight as this best-of-seven series moves to Boston. The Heat took game one at home 118-107 and then lost in game two, 102-127. The Celtics live and die from the 3-point line and that proved out thus far. In their game one loss, the Celtics hit 32.4% from beyond the 3-point arc. Then in their game two blowout, the Celtics hit 50% from 3-point land. The Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a road dog. They are also 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 road games overall. The Heat have also done well in this series, covering 10 of the last 13 games in Boston. If the Heat can keep the Celtics three-point shots from getting out of control, they should cover if not win this game outright tonight. Play Miami. |
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05-20-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
 The Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors play game two of their series here tonight in Northern California. The Warriors blew out the Mavs in game one, 112-87. The Warriors were red hot, hitting 56.1% from the field and 34.5% from 3-point arc. The Mavs had their worst shooting performance in the playoffs, hitting just 36% from the field and 22.9% from the 3-point line. The Mavs have been a good covering team, going 9-4 ATS their last 13 games. The Warriors are 2-6 ATS their last eight as a favorite. The Mavs have done well vs the Warriors, going 11-4 ATS their last 15 meetings and 6-2 ATS their last eight meetings in Golden State. I don't see the Mavs shooting that bad again here tonight. I'll take the Points with Dallas. |
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05-19-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Heat | Top | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
Game two of the Eastern Conference Championship has the Miami Heat with a 1-0 lead in the best of seven series. The Celtics took pretty good pounding in game one, though the 107-118 final made the game look closer than it was. The Celtics have lived and died by the three-point shot this year. They had 110 attempts vs the Bucks and that was third all time in the NBA playoffs for 3-pointers attempted. In game one they hit 32.4%, well below their game seven win over the Bucks of 40%. Still, the Celtics do well as road dogs, going 7-1-1 ATS their last nine. They also bounce back well, going 4-1 ATS their last five after losing straight-up by 10 points or more. The Celtics have done well vs the Heat, going 13-6 ATS their last 19 meetings in Miami and 23-11-1 their last 35 overall. I look for the Celtics to bounce back here in game two. |
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05-13-22 | Grizzlies +8.5 v. Warriors | 96-110 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies facing elimination here tonight as they play game six of this Western Conference best of seven series from Golden State. The Grizzlies staved off elimination in game five with a blowout of the Warriors, 134-95. Now they return back to Golden State where they once again get 8 to 9 points as they did in game four. Sure, they are without star Ja Morant, but they are now like 25-4 without him in the lineup this year. And they have played a lot without and done well. I don't see that changing here tonight. They will be close when this game is over. I'll take the points. Play Memphis. |
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05-13-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Bucks | Top | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Game six of this Eastern Conf Semifinal has the Celtics taking on the Bucks from Milwaukee. The Celtics somehow lost game five, despite a large 4th quarter lead. Now the Celtics face elimination with a loss here tonight. In their previous two games at Milwaukee, Boston lost 101-103 and won 116-108. The Celtics live and die outside the paint. They did well last game hitting 51% from the field but just 32% from 3-point line. Only one other game they shot worse and that was also a losing effort. I look for the Celtics to rebound here today and take this game six and force a game seven back in Boston. |
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05-12-22 | Suns v. Mavs +2 | Top | 86-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Game 6 of this best of seven series tonight shifts back to Dallas after the Mavericks lost game five in Phoenix, 80-110. The Mavs now face elimination tonight with a loss. Like a lot of other series, this has been dominated by the home team. The Mavs lost the first two games in Phoenix and failed to cover either game, then won and covered the next two at home, before getting blown out in game five at Phoenix. The Suns are a small favorite, but I'm sticking with the home team in this series and that means a small dog here on Dallas. |
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05-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +4.5 | Top | 95-134 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
The Memphis Grizzlies face elimination here tonight in this Western Conference Semifinal matchup with the Golden State Warriors. The Grizzlies lost game four, 98-101, but played well and were in the game from the start. And, they played without star Ja Morant. That makes them 24-5 this year when Morant has been out of the lineup. It appears Morant will miss again here tonight with that knee injury. The Grizzlies played both games on their home court tough, winning 106-101 and losing 116-117. In fact, they have covered three of the four in this series. I'm going to take the Grizzlies again here in game five plus the points and won't be surprised by a straight-up win. |
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05-09-22 | Grizzlies +10.5 v. Warriors | 98-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies jumped to a double digit dog here today because of Ja Morant status now doing to doubtful with a knee injury. But really the Grizzlies seem to step up play when Morant hasn't been in the line. They are 25-4 this year when Morant has been out. The Grizzlies are down 1-2 in this series after losing on Saturday at Golden State, 112-142. I highly doubt the Warriors can his 63% from the field again here today and 53% from 3-point arch. The Grizzlies look to be without Morant and even if that's so, I'll take the extra points here on Monday. Play Memphis. |
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05-09-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Bucks | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics are down 1-2 in this best of seven semi-final matchup with the Bucks. They played tough in game three, but came up just short in a 101-103 loss, pushing the 2-point dog line. The Bucks look to be without forward Khris Middleton here today who has a knee injury. Middleton averages 20.1 ppg and 5.4 assists per game. Otherwise both teams come into today's contest healthy. Line here is pick'em or either side one-point favorite. For me, I'm taking the Celtics as I look for them to even this series tonight at 2-2. |
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05-04-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Suns | 109-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
 The Dallas Mavericks lost game one of this best of seven series with the Phoenix Suns, 114-121. Despite trailing by double digits most of the game, the Mavs rallied and just missed cover the 5.5-point dog spread. The Mavs won 4-2 in their series with Utah, covering five of the six games. In fact, the Mavs are 11-3-1 ATS their last 15 games. The Suns finally got healthy and it showed in game one, though the Mavs made it closer at the end then the game ever was. Game two here today and the Mavs are looking to steal a game and gain home court. I believe they put forth their best effort here tonight. Play Dallas |
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05-03-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 86-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
 The Boston Celtics lost home court in the first game of their semi-final series with the Milwaukee Bucks. The Celtics getting beat soundly in game one, 89-101. You have to go back to December 29th for the last time the Celtics scored fewer points. They hit a miserable 33% from the field and were out-rebounded. Now they can ill afford to go down 0-2 on their home court. The Celtics are too good a team having won 55 games to do so. Plus, the Bucks are happy to escape Boston 1-1 so I don't look for a win here today by the Bucks. I'll lay the points with Boston and see if they can even the series. Play Boston. |
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05-02-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Game one of this best of seven series between the Mavericks and the Suns from Phoenix tonight. The Mavericks took six games to beat Utah including winning the last two games. The Jazz also covered every game in that series except the first game. The Suns had the best record in the regular season, but had to go to six games to beat the New Orleans Pelicans. They did have some injury issue with Devin Booker is recovering from a hamstring injury. Booker looked limited in game six of the Pelicans series but looks ready to go at full speed here in game one tonight. With the Suns back at full strength I do like them here in game one. Play Suns. |
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05-01-22 | Warriors -2 v. Grizzlies | Top | 117-116 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
 Game one of this best of seven Semi-Final series between the Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies. The Warriors won their quarterfinal matchup with the Denver Nuggets 4 games to 1. The Warriors also covered three of the five games in the series. With the exception of the last game, the Warriors hit 50% or better from the field in the other four games. The Warriors were never the dog in any of the five games either. The Memphis Grizzlies won their series with the Minnesota Timberwolves, four games to two. The Grizzlies were tied 2-2 before taking the last two games in the series. The Grizzlies covered three of the six games and were favored in all six games. Game one should be excellent between these team and I'll take the road club here on Golden State. |
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04-28-22 | Mavs v. Jazz | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks can close out this best of seven series here tonight, but it will take a win at Utah. The Mavs opened this series with a loss at home to the Jazz, 93-99. Then rebounded with a pair of wins, including one at Dallas to take a 2-1 lead. They lost game four at Utah, 99-100 to even the series and then won game five on their home court, 102-77. If they win tonight they will be the only road team thus far to close out a series on the road. The Jazz Donovan Mitchell has been upgraded to probable for tonight's contest as he's been ailing with a quad injury. Otherwise both teams are healthy for this game. This game is virtually a pick'em so I'll take the Mavs here tonight to see if they can win the series. |
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04-26-22 | Hawks v. Heat -6.5 | Top | 94-97 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
The Miami Heat can wrap-up their best of seven series tonight on their home court. The Heat lead the series 3-1 after taking the first two games at home and then splitting the next two at Atlanta. They won game four in Atlanta, 110-86. They have also covered three of the four games in the series. That makes nine out of the last 11 games the Heat have covered. The one mark against the Heat tonight will be the loss of guard Kyle Lowry, who is out tonight with a leg injury. Is this an issue tonight? Well, consider that Lowry also missed game four and the Heat still won by 24 points. I believe this will be more of an issue going forward in their next series. For me, I'm taking the Heat to wrap it up tonight and cover this game. Play Miami. |
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04-20-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +2 | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
The Toronto Raptors return home for game three of their best of seven series with the Sixers down 0-2. They lost game on in Philly, 111-131 and then lost game two, 97-112. This is a pivotal game three as they can ill afford to go down 0-3 in this series. Up until this series, the Sixers had not been a good covering team. Yet they covered both games so far in this series. The Raptors do have a few good things here in game three. They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games vs a road team with a winning record. They are also 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games playing on one day rest. The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs the Sixers in Toronto. I'll take the Raptors here as it's do or die. Play Toronto. |
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04-19-22 | Pelicans v. Suns -9.5 | Top | 125-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
The Phoenix Suns showed the league why they are the best team in the NBA this year as they opened the playoffs with a decisive win over the Pelicans in game one, 110-99, covering the 10-point spread. Despite the close cover, the Suns led by double digits most of the way. Phoenix has now covered four of their last five playoff games as the favorite and is 4-0 ATS their last four quarterfinal games. New Orleans will try and avoid returning home down 0-2. They haven't done well lately against good teams, going 1-6 ATS the last seven against a winning team. They are also 0-4 ATS their last four as a dog. I don't look for Phoenix to have any more trouble then they did in game one. Of all the games in round one, this is the one that believes plays out just as it should, a Phoenix blowout. |
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04-18-22 | Jazz v. Mavs +5.5 | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Utah looks to take a commanding 2-0 lead back to Utah with a win here tonight at Dallas. the Jazz won game one, 99-93 as a 5-point favorite. The Jazz held Dallas to just 38.2% shooting from the field and 28.1% from the 3-point line. The Jazz are just 3-9 ATS their last 12 games as a road favorite. Dallas looks to eve the series tonight. The Mavs loss on Saturday was just the teams 2nd loss in their last nine games. The Mavs are also 6-2-1 ATS their last nine games. The Mavs also bounce back well, covering 16 of the last 22 times after a ATS loss. The Mavs are 10-4-1 ATS the last 15 vs the Jazz in Dallas and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. I look for a Dallas rebound tonight as they even the series. |
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04-18-22 | Raptors +7.5 v. 76ers | 97-112 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors and Philadelphia 76ers play game two of their best of seven series here tonight. The Sixers had little issue with the Raptors in game one, cruising to a 20-point win, 131-111 as a 4.5 point favorite. Tonight that line has jumped to seven as the oddsmaker compensates for that blowout win. The Raptors had been good for bettors. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven quarterfinal games. They are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 playoff games as a underdog and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. Still, they get no respect from the oddsmaker here tonight. Philadelphia has been winning but not covering until recently. The Sixers are 6-1 S/U their last seven games but just 3-4 ATS. Philly is also 3-7 ATS their last 10 games overall. The Raptors have covered four of the last five in this series. I look for a rebound here by Toronto tonight, if not a straight-up win. Play Toronto. |
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04-17-22 | Pelicans v. Suns -10 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
 The New Orleans Pelicans made it to the main playoff even with a pair of play-in wins over San Antonio (113-103) and a come-from-behind win over the Clippers, 105-101. Now they face the best regular season team in the NBA, the Phoenix Suns. The Pelicans have been a decent spread covering team this year. Though they were just 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record. The Pelicans have also covered just one of the last five meetings against the Suns. The Phoenix Suns were the standout in the NBA this year, holding the best overall record at 64-18 overall and beating the next closest team by a lot. While the Suns did lost four of their last six games of the season they were resting players as those games had no bearing on their best record in the NBA. Phoenix is now 13-5 ATS in their last 18 playoff games when installed the favorite. They are also 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference quarterfinal games. I'm going to lay the points here today with the best team in the NBA. |
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04-17-22 | Bulls v. Bucks -10.5 | 86-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bulls and Bucks begin game one of their best of seven series here today at Milwaukee. The Bulls ended the regular season with a win over Minnesota, 124-120. That win snapped a four game losing streak by the Bulls. The Bulls are now just 4-10 ATS their last 14 games against a team with a winning record. They are also 7-21 ATS their last 28 games as a underdog and 3-10 ATS the last 13 when those dog games were on the road. Milwaukee finished the regular season with a 51-31 record and lost a meaningless game at Chicago on the final day, 115-133. The Bucks are now 6-1-1 ATS their last eight games in the Conference Quarterfinals. The Bucks have also covered five of the last seven games in this series. I'll take the Bucks and lay the points here today. |
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04-16-22 | Raptors +5 v. 76ers | 111-131 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors had a fine season, finishing 48-34 and right behind Philly in the Atlantic division. The Raptors finished the regular season with a loss at the Knicks, 94-105. However, they did go 14-4 S/U and 12-6 ATS their last 18 games. Philly finished 51-31 and tied for first in the division with the Boston Celtics. While Philly won five of their last six games, they only covered two of those. The Raptors have covered the last four games in this series with the Sixers. I'll take the points and Raptors here in game one. |
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04-16-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -6.5 | Top | 130-117 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
The Timberwolves and Grizzlies begin their best of seven series here today at Memphis. The T'Wolves split their last four games 2-2 S/U and 1-3 ATS. The Wolves are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a dog. They are also 3-8 ATS their last 11 rod games vs a team with a winning home record. Memphis finished the regular season with a loss to the Celtics, 110-139 in what was a meaningless game for the Grizzlies. Still, they would like to get back to the streak that saw them win seven straight games. Unlike Minnesota, Memphis has been hot vs the number. They are 17-4 ATS their last 21 games at home. They are 14-3 ATS their last 17 as a home favorite. They have also dominated the T'Wolves of late, covering the last 16 of 21 meetings. They are even better at Memphis, going 24-8 ATS their last 32 vs the T'Wolves. I'm taking Memphis here in game one. |
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04-15-22 | Pelicans +4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
Win and move on, lose and you go home. That's the theme here tonight for these two teams. The Pelicans won their first play-in game last Wednesday, beating the San Antonio Spurs 113-103 as a 5.5-point favorite. The Pelicans are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games and 10-4 in their last 14 road games as a dog. The LA Clippers got some bad news today when star shooting guard Paul George tested positive for Covid and will have to miss this game. That's a huge loss since they are already playing without their Superstar forward Kawhi Leonard. The Clippers lost their opening Play-In Round game to the T'Wolves, 104-109. This line dropped to a pick'em with George out tonight. I'm taking the Pelicans as they move onto the seeded playoffs. |
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04-13-22 | Spurs +6 v. Pelicans | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Play-In tournament continues here today as the San Antonio Spurs take on the New Orleans Pelicans. The Spurs finished the regular season with a 34-48 record. They did lose their last three games though they covered two and pushed the other. In fact, this Spurs team has bee a very good team vs the number, going 5-0-1 ATS the last six games and 9-1-1 ATS their last 11 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have a lot of injury questions coming into today. However, two seem solved with center James Valancions and forward Brandon Ingram now both probable for today. Forward Zion Willamson does remain out though with a foot injury. The Pelicans finished the regular season with two losses both S/U and ATS. The Spurs have covered eight of the last nine in this series and all seven of the last seven meetings in New Orleans. I'll take the Spurs here in the Play-In game. |
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04-13-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. Hawks | 103-132 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Play-In tourney game here today pits the Charlotte Hornets against the Atlanta Hawks. The Hornets surprised everyone this year with a 43-39 record and 3rd place SouthEast division finish. The Hornets finished the season strong, winning and covering their last three games. The Hornets do well with rest, evidenced by their 11-4-1 ATS record when they get two days of rest. They are also 10-4-1 ATS their last 15 games as a road dog and 15-5-1 their last 21 overall on the road. The Atlanta Hawks finished with an identical 43-39 record. The Hawks won and covered their last game of the regular season against the Rockets. The Hornets are 3-1-1 ATS the last five meetings between these teams. Atlanta will also be without forward John Collins who is out with a foot injury. I'm going to take the points here today with the Hornets. |
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04-12-22 | Clippers +3 v. Wolves | 104-109 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 2 m | Show | |
The NBA play-in tournament begins here on Tuesday with the LA Clippers taking on the Timberwolves from Minnesota. The winner gets the No 7 seed in the West Playoff bracket. The Clippers beat the Wolves in three of their four meetings this year. The Clippers continue to play without Kawhi Leonard who will remain out. As for the Wolves, their point guard D'Angelo Russell is questionable for this game with an illness. The Clipper finished strong down the stretch, winning their last five games and covering four of those. The Wolves struggled a bit their last few games, going 1-2 S/U and 0-4 vs the spread. In fact, they were just 2-7 ATS their last nine regular season games. The Clippers have pretty much owned this series, going 4-1 ATS the last five meetings and 15-6-1 ATS the last 22 meetings in Minnesota. I'll take the short points with the Clippers here on Tuesday. |
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04-09-22 | Pacers v. 76ers -14 | Top | 120-133 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
Early action on the NBA hard court today as the 76ers host the Pacers. The Indiana Pacers are just playing out these last two days before their vacation. However, the Philadelphia 76ers still have something to play for this weekend. The Sixers are in 4th in the East, just a half game behind the Celtics for third place. They are 1.5 games back of Milwaukee and 1.5 games ahead of Toronto. The Sixers had their three-game win streak snapped at Toronto on Thursday, 114-119 as a 3.5-point favorite. Philly will close out their season at home against Detroit tomorrow. Both these games should be wins for the Sixers, which will put some pressure on those teams in front of them. The Pacers won't win here today. They haven't won since March 20th, losing eight straight games. They have also covered just three of their last eight games. The Sixers can't let down now. I'll lay the points with Philly today. |
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04-06-22 | Suns v. Clippers -2.5 | Top | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
The Phoenix Suns have the best record in the NBA locked and put away. They really have nothing left to play for in these final days of the regular season. In fact, I won't be surprised to see key players doing a lot of sitting here tonight. The Suns snapped a two-game losing streak last game with a win over the Lakers, 121-110. Still, they haven't covered a game in four straight. The Clippers have already clinched a Playin berth as they currently sit 8th, four games ahead of the Pelicans. The Clippers have won two straight games and covered both after a stretch that saw them go 1-6 S/U and ATS. The Clippers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings in LA with the Suns and 19-9 ATS the last 28 overall meetings. I'll take the Clippers here tonight. |
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04-06-22 | Mavs v. Pistons +8.5 | 131-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Interconference game here has the West's Dallas Mavericks taking on the East's Detroit Piston. The Pistons are done for the year after this week. They are already eliminated from the playoffs. The Dallas Mavericks are 4th in the West, just one game back of the Warriors and two games ahead of the Jazz. The Mavs have split their last two games, losing at Washington, 103-135 and then beating Milwaukee, 118-112. The Mavs are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. While the Pistons are out of the NBA playoffs, they still are playing hard, winning three straight games including their last over Indiana 121-117 as a 4.5-point road dog. The Pistons are now 5-0 ATS their last five and 17-3 ATS their last 20 games. I'm taking Detroit here as they are fighting to the end. |
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04-05-22 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Jazz | 115-121 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
West Conference matchup here has 2nd place Memphis taking on 6th place Utah. The Grizzlies have nowhere to go as they are 7-games back of Phoenix and 5.5-games ahead of Golden State. The Grizzlies are hot though and look to keep the momentum as the playoffs start soon. Memphis has won seven straight games and 10 of their last 11 games. They are also 7-2 ATS their last nine games. The Griz are also 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games as a underdog and 41-18 ATS their last 59 games overall. The Utah Jazz can go up or down in the standings since they are right in the middle of a three pack with Denver and Minnesota. The Jazz have not been hot, going 1-6 S/U and 0-7 ATS their last seven games. The Jazz are 15-33-3 ATS their last 51 games overall. They are also 5-16-1 ATS their last 22 games vs a team with a win percentage over 60%. These two usually play high scoring games and I expect we'll see plenty of action tonight too. I'll take the points with a very hot Memphis club. |
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04-05-22 | Hornets v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 115-144 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
As we come down to the finals games of the NBA regular season, Miami finds themselves sitting in 1st place in the East, 2-games against of the Boston Celtics and 2.5 games ahead of Milwaukee and Philly. While the Heat have clinched the SouthEast division, they would like to lock of that top spot in the East. Charlotte looks to hold one of the two Play-In berths in the East. The other currently held by Brooklyn. Charlotte is coming off a loss at Philly, 114-144, failing to cover the 5.5-point dog line. While Charlotte has been good at covering, they don't do well against very good teams. They are just 8-18-2 their last 28 games vs a team with a 60% or better winning mark. Miami had to endure a four-game losing streak in last March. However, they have rebounded and have won four straight both S/U and ATS. More good news tonight, star Jimmy Butler, who has been rested, is probable tonight. I like Miami here, they need to win to lock up that top East Spot. |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
The NCAA Men's Final comes down to two teams that are not strangers to the Big game, North Carolina and Kansas. North Carolina is 29-9 overall on the season and after losing in the ACC Tournament has won five straight in the NCAA's. They have covered all five also after they beat Duke in the Final Four, 81-77, as a 4.5-point dog. The Tarheels have the 18th ranked efficient offense according to the Kenpom rankings. They have averaged nearly 78 points per game and allowed 68 points. In the NCAA tournament they have averaged 82.2 ppg while allowing 68.2 ppg. They are 39th in defense. North Carolina is looking for its 7th National Title and first with HC Hubert Davis. The Kansas Jayhawks were the only No 1 seed team to make the Final Four this year. They have a 33-6 record and are coming off a blowout win over Villanova, 81-65. The Jayhawks won the Big 12 Tournament this year, just the first time in their last four years. Both of these teams peaked at just the right time and both are loaded with great coaches. The one area Kansas has trouble is foul shooting, where they are just 60% in the tournament. This could prove crucial down the stretch. In a close game like this, I'll take the points. Play North Carolina. |
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04-03-22 | Knicks v. Magic +5 | 118-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The New York Knicks have lost two straight games and dropped to 34-44 overall. Those losses have eliminated the Knicks from the playoffs as they sit 12th, six games back. The biggest loss though came a few days ago when they lost Julius Randle with a quad injury. Looks like Randle is done with the Knicks out of the playoffs. Orlando also wont' be going to the playoffs with their 20-58 record. And while they don't win often, they do better against the spread. They are 4-0 ATS their last four games as a dog. They are also 8-3 ATS their last 11 games with one day of rest. The Magic have also covered four of the last five in this series with the Knicks. Neither team going anywhere, but with Randle now out the Knicks shouldn't be laying these kind of points on the road. I'll take the points with the Magic and they might even win a rare game straight up here today. |
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04-03-22 | Wizards v. Celtics -12.5 | Top | 102-144 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
Early game here on Sunday has the Washington Wizards taking on the Boston Celtics in a NBA Eastern conference clash. Washington was eliminated from the playoffs as they sit 11th, 5.5 games back of 10th place Brooklyn. The Celtics are 3rd in the East and can improve or fall back. They are a half game back of 2nd place Milwaukee and two back of 1st place Miami. The Wizards are just 3-7 ATS their last 10 games as a road dog. They are also 6-16 ATS their last 22 games on one day of rest. The Celtics snapped a two game losing streak with a win over Indiana, 128-123, though they failed to cover the 15-point favorite line. Still, the Celtics are 6-3 ATS their last nine games. The Celtics have also gone 12-4-1 ATS their last 17 games against the Pacers at Boston. I'll lay the big number here today with a Boston team that can still change their playoff position. |
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04-02-22 | Nets v. Hawks +2.5 | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here today has the 8th place Brooklyn Nets and Atlanta Hawks both tied in the standings. The Nets, Hornets and Hawks are all holding those last three playoff spots in the East and all three are two games back of Cleveland. All three will make the playoffs, but the question is in which position. That makes this game huge here today for both clubs. The Nets are coming off a loss to Milwaukee in OT, 119-120, as a 2-point favorite. The Nets are 2-3 S/U and 1-4 ATS their last five games. The Nets have not done well as favorites, evidenced by their 9-25 ATM mark their last 34 games in that role. The Atlanta Hawks have been hot, winning and covering their last four games. They are also 9-3 S/U their last 12 games. Atlanta is also 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games vs a team with a winning road record. The Hawks are also 14-6 ATS their last 20 home games. I'll take the home dog Hawks here today. |
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04-01-22 | Clippers +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 153-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
The Basketball Classic Championship here tonight between Fresno State and Coastal Carolina. Fresno State lost three of their last four games to close out their season. They have hit the NIT running though, beating Eastern Washington, Youngstown State and then last game over Southern Utah, 67-48 as a 7-point favorite. Fresno not the best offensive team, as they rank just 148 in the Kenpom offensive efficiency rankings. They do better in defense though, ranking 32nd overall. The Dogs haven't done well covering against winning teams, evidenced by their 3-9 ATS mark their last 12 games. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have just 19 wins on the season. Though six of those have come in the last seven games. They lost in their conference championship game to Georgia Southern and have since won three straight in this tournament. The last coming over South Alabama, 69-68, as a 1-point dog. Carolina just out of the top 100 in both. Carolina is 6-1 ATS their last seven games. Have to figure Carolina with chance to win today, so I'll take the points with them. |
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04-01-22 | Fresno State v. Coastal Carolina +3 | 85-74 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 30 m | Show | |
The Basketball Classic Championship here tonight between Fresno State and Coastal Carolina. Fresno State lost three of their last four games to close out their season. They have hit the NIT running though, beating Eastern Washington, Youngstown State and then last game over Southern Utah, 67-48 as a 7-point favorite. Fresno not the best offensive team, as they rank just 148 in the Kenpom offensive efficiency rankings. They do better in defense though, ranking 32nd overall. The Dogs haven't done well covering against winning teams, evidenced by their 3-9 ATS mark their last 12 games. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have just 19 wins on the season. Though six of those have come in the last seven games. They lost in their conference championship game to Georgia Southern and have since won three straight in this tournament. The last coming over South Alabama, 69-68, as a 1-point dog. Carolina just out of the top 100 in both. Carolina is 6-1 ATS their last seven games. Have to figure Carolina with chance to win today, so I'll take the points with them. |
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03-31-22 | Cavs v. Hawks -5.5 | 107-131 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
The NBA comes down to the wire as teams jockey for playoff position. The Cleveland Cavaliers are in 7th right now, two games ahead of the Nets and three games ahead of the Hawks. The Hawks are holding down that last playoff spot at number 10 and should make the playoffs as they lead 11th place New York by 5.5 games. The Hawks can greatly improve their lot though as they are just a half game back of 9th place Charlotte, one game back of 8th place Brooklyn and three games back of 7th place Cleveland. Cleveland comes in off a loss to Dallas, 112-120, as a 1.5-point dog. The Cavs are just 1-4 S/U their last five games and 0-6 ATS their last six. Atlanta has won three games in a row both S/U and ATS after their blowout win at Oklahoma City on Wednesday, 136-118. The Hawks can improve their playoff spot against a key leader here. I'll take Atlanta. |
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03-31-22 | Xavier +4.5 v. Texas A&M | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
NIT Championship here today from Madison Sq Garden in NY, NY. The Xavier Musketeers take on the Texas A&M Aggies. Xavier had a rough road to this final, having to beat Cleveland State, Florida, Vanderbilt and St Bonnies. The Muskateers have a very good offense, ranked 39th in the Kenpom adjusted efficiency rankings. The defense isn't bad either, ranked 79th. Xavier is now 35-14-2 ATS in their last 51 games on a neutral site as a dog. Texas A&M still smarting by being passed over for the NCAA now has 27 wins on the season. The Aggies have won four straight at the NIT over Alcorn State, Oregon, Wake Forest and Washington State. They covered three of those four. The A&M Defense is very good, ranked 27th in Kenpom. The offense, not quite as good, ranked 68th. One Achilles heal is that they are not a good offensive rebounding team, 340th in the nation. That doesn't translate into a lot of second chance points. Two very good teams here tonight but for me I like to take the points with a team I know can win outright too. Play Xavier. Â Â Â Â |
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03-30-22 | Grizzlies -4.5 v. Spurs | 112-111 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies have clinched a playoff spot as they sit in 2nd in the NBA West. While 1st place Phoenix is too far away (8.5 games ahead), they do have just a 5-game lead over 3rd place Golden State. However, it's looks like a solid 2nd place spot in the West for the Grizzlies. Memphis has been excellent of late, going 5-0 both S/U and ATS their last five games. They are also 12-3 S/U their last 15 games. The Grizzlies are also 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite. They have also played well on the road, going 22-9 ATS in their last 31 away games. The San Antonio Spurs are tied for the last playoff spot in the West with the Lakers. Both teams sit one game back of 9th place New Orleans. The Spurs have won their last four games, covering three of those. However, they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a dog and 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as a home dog. The Grizzlies look too tough for the Spurs here on Wednesday. Play Memphis. |
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03-30-22 | Wolves v. Raptors -2.5 | 102-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The Minnesota T'wolves are in 7th place in the NBA Western Conference, a good six games ahead of 8th place LA Clippers. They are just two games back of 5th and 6th place Utah and Denver. The Wolves are coming off a loss at Boston, 112-134, as a 6-point dog. That makes them 1-3 S/U over their last four games. They are also just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a dog. Toronto is in 6th place in the East, one game ahead of Cleveland and just a half game back of Chicago. Toronto has won three straight games and nine of their last 11 games. They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. The Raptors are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games vs a team with a winning record. The Raptors have covered five of the last six meetings in this series. I'll take Toronto here tonight. |
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03-30-22 | Heat v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 106-98 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
The Miami Heat have not only clinched their Division, but they have the best record in the NBA Eastern Conference, a half game ahead of Philly and one game back of today's opponent, Boston. The Heat snapped a four game losing streak with a win over Sacramento, 123-100, last game as a 13.5-point favorite. The Heat have not been good at covering spreads, going 1-7 ATS their last eight games. A win tonight by Boston and they will be tied with the Heat. The Celtics had their six game win streak snapped in their last game at Toronto, losing 112-115, but covering the 8.5-point dog line. They have now covered three straight and six of their last seven games. I'll lay the points here tonight with Boston. |
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03-29-22 | Washington State v. Texas A&M -1.5 | Top | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
NIT Semifinals here tonight from Madison Square Garden in NY, NY has Washington State taking on Texas A&M for the right to go to the NIT Finals. Washington State has had a very good run, starting in the PAC-12 tournament where they beat Oregon State, Oregon and Cal before losing to UCLA, 65-75. They then have won three straight in the NIT, beating Santa Clara, SMU and BYU, covering all three games. The Cougars are decent offensive team, ranked 77th in the Kenpom adjusted offensive efficiency rankings. They are a better defensive team, ranking 26th. Offensively they are one of the worst 2-point shooting teams in the nation, ranking 313th with a 46.2%. Texas A&M has been equally impressive as Washington State in their recent run. They beat three very good SEC teams in their tournament against Florida, Auburn and Arkansas, before losing to Tennessee in the finals. They opened NIT with a win over Alorn State, then beat Oregon and lastly Wake Forest. They have covered nine of their last 11 games. They have also won 10 of their last 11 games. The Aggies also have a very good defense, ranked 32nd in the Kenpom rankings and a slightly better offense, ranked 72nd. A&M has been a very streaky team, losing eight in a row mid-season and then closing with a nice win streak. I like A&M here tonight. |
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03-29-22 | Bulls -3 v. Wizards | 107-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls look to rebound from their loss on Monday to the Knicks, 104-109, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Bulls are currently 5th in the East, tied with the Raptors. They are one game ahead of the Cavaliers and four games up on Brooklyn. They can improve their lot in the playoffs, but they are one 3.5-games back of Philly, Boston and Milwaukee. Washington has won two-straight games including a win last game over Golden State, 123-115. The Wizards are now 32-42 overall and 29-42-3 vs the spread. They are also 3-7 ATS their last 10 games as a home dog. The Wizards are 12th in the East and 5.5-games back of Atlanta for that final playoff spot. Even though the Bulls are slumping of late, they have covered eight of the last 11 meetings with Washington. I'll take the Bulls here tonight. |
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03-29-22 | St Bonaventure -1.5 v. Xavier | 77-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
St Bonnys and Xavier meet here tonight in Madison Sq Garden for the right to advance to the NIT Finals. St Bonnies is 23-9 overall on the season after winning three straight in the NIT over Colorado, Oklahoma and last game over Virginia, 52-51, as a 2.5-point Dog. They covered all three games and are now 10-3 ATS their last 13 games. The Bonnies are a very well balanced team, ranking 73rd offense and 78th defense in the Kenpom efficiency rankings. The Xavier Musketeers are 21-13 overall on the season and have beaten Cleveland State, Florida and last game over Vandy, 75-73 in their three NIT Games. They are just 1-3 ATS their last four games. They are also 5-15 ATS their last 20 games. Have a hard time backing a poor covering team like Xavier. I'll lay the small line here tonight with St Bonnies. |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah +7.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 48-67 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
The Basketball Classic Semifinals tonight have Fresno State hosting Southern Utah. Winner moves on to the tournament finals. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are 23-11 overall after winning three straight in this tournament. They opened with a win over Kent State, 83-79, then beat UTEP, 82-69 and last game beat Portland, 77-66, covering all three games. In addition So Utah is 7-2 ATS their last nine games. So Utah has the nation's 87th most efficient offense according to Kenpom. They are 34th in 2-point FG%. This would account for why the team has scored 71 points or more in 10 of the last 12 games. Fresno State also has 23 wins on the season after winning both of their TBC tourney games. They beat Eastern Washington, 83-74, to open the tourney and then beat Youngstown State, 80-71, last game. They have failed to cover both games as a favorite. The Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games and 2-9 their last 11 games vs a team with a winning record. I'm taking the generous points here today with Southern Utah. |
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03-28-22 | Magic v. Cavs -8.5 | 101-107 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
The Orlando Magic have dropped two games in a row and now sit last in the SouthEast Division at 20-55 S/U and 33-41-1 ATS. They are coming off a loss to the Kings, 110-114 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Magic are now 1-5 ATS their last six games. Cleveland looks to snap a 3-game losing streak here tonight. The Cavs have dropped to 41-33 overall after their most recent loss to Chicago, 94-98 as a 1.5-point home favorite. The Cavs are now 7th in the Eastern conference playoff picture, 4 games ahead of 10th place Atlanta and 5.5 back of first place Boston. Lots of movement possible for the Cavs so wins are important this time of year. I'll take Cleveland tonight. |
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03-27-22 | Wolves v. Celtics -5.5 | 112-134 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Timberwolves having a much better season than many thought they might have had as they sit at 43-32. The NBA regular season is winding down and the Wolves find themselves in 7th in the West, comfortably within the top 10 of the playoff picture. They snapped a two-game losing streak last game with a win over Dallas, 116-95, as a 4-point home favorite. They haven't done too well as a dog of late, going 3-7 ATS in that role their last 10 games. They are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games as a dog. Meanwhile, the Celtics are cruising towards the playoffs, winning five games in a row and improving to 46-28. They have moved into a tie for 3rd in the East, just a half game back of both Philadelphia and Miami for he best record in the East. They are also 10-1 their last 11 games. The Celtics are 7-3 ATS their last 10 games as a favorite. I like Boston here today at home. Play Boston. |
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03-27-22 | St. Peter's +8.5 v. North Carolina | 49-69 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
The Cinderella team of 2022 is the St Peter's Peacocks. They opened beating a very good Kentucky team, 85-79, and then upended 30+ win Murray State, 70-60, before beating Purdue in the Sweet 16, 67-64. While the Peacocks have just 22 wins on the season, they have now won 10 straight games both S/U and ATS. The Peacocks do crack the Kenpom defensive rankings, coming in at 25th overall in defensive efficiency. They are holding opponents to just 29.3% from 3-point (15th), 44.3% overall shooting (12th). The defense is so good they have held nine of their last 10 opponents to 65 points or fewer. Only first round win over Kentucky did the Cats score 79 points. North Carolina had better not look past St Peters here today as already having punched their ticket to the Final Four. Purdue made that mistake and they are all home today. North Carolina lost to Virginia Tech in the ACC Conference Tournament, 59-72. Since then they have beaten Marquette, 95-63, Baylor, 93-86 in OT, and last game over UCLA, 73-66. The Tar Heels have the 19th rated efficient offense, according to the Kenpom ratings. They also have the 42nd ranked defense. The key for me in this matchup is the very good St Peters defense holding North Carolina under 70 points. If they can do that, they will cover this game. Play St Peters. |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL +6 v. Kansas | 50-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
If not for being overshadowed by St Peters, Miami Florida would be the longshot team to make it to the Elite 8 with a chance to advance to the Final Four. Miami has beating USC, 68-66, Auburn, 79-61, and last game over Iowa State, 70-56 to advance to today's Elite 8 contest vs Kansas. Miami has covered four straight and six of their last seven games. They are also 19-6-1 ATS their last 26 games as a underdog. Miami has an excellent offense, ranked 18th overall in the country according to the Kenpom adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. They are also 22nd overall in the country in 2-point FG% (55.0%). They are a good but not great defense, ranked 114th overall in defensive efficiency. The Kansas Jayhawks continue in the NCAA where they left off in the Big 12, winning games. After running the table in their conference tourney, the Hawks have beaten Texas Southern, 83-56, Creighton, 79-72 and last game over Providence, 66-61. They have failed to cover their last two games. In fact, they are now 1-5 ATS in their last six NCAA tourney games. Kansas has the 6th ranked most efficient offense and 23rd ranked defense, making them a very well balanced team. Kansas is the last remaining No 1 seed in the tournament and the now favorite to win it all. Miami has outscored their last two opponents (Auburn and Iowa State) by 32 points. Miami as the defense to stay close to Kansas here today. I'll take the points with Miami to cover here today. |
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03-26-22 | Arkansas v. Duke -3.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
Coach K's run toward his final season glory is still alive. Coach K retires after this year for Duke and they aren't ready to let him go just yet. After losing to Virginia Tech in the ACC, Duke has won three straight in the NCAA over Cal Fullerton, 78-61, Michigan State, 85-76, and Texas Tech last game, 78-73. They covered two of the three games. Arkansas pulled off the huge upset last round, beating top seeded Gonzaga, 74-68 as a 9.5-point dog. They held Gonzaga to just 23.8% from three-point line and 37.5% shooting overall. Arkansas has a outstanding defense, ranked 11th in the Kenpom efficiency listings. However, the height advantage definitely goes Duke's way in this game. The Blue Devils are the highest ranked offensive team left in the tournament after Purdue got ousted by St Peter's yesterday. It seems like Duke has been fortunate to advance at every level, however they are playing very well right now. I look at Duke as having all the offensive power in this game to go with their height advantage. Arkansas is the better defensive team, but I see Duke's firepower being too much here today. Play Duke. |
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03-26-22 | Pacers v. Raptors -10.5 | 91-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers are 25-49 overall on the season and 33-39-2 vs the number. The Pacers bring a two-game losing streak into today's contest both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a loss at Memphis, 103-133 as a 11.5-point road dog. The Pacers are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games vs a team with a winning record. They are also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a dog. The Raptors are 41-32 overall on the season and 40-32-1 ATS. Toronto is coming off a win at home over Cleveland, 117-104, as a 5-point favorite. They have won seven of their last nine games both S/U and ATS. The Raptors are 29-14 ATS their last 43 meetings with the Pacers in Toronto. I'll lay the points here with Toronto. |
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03-26-22 | Houston v. Villanova +2.5 | 44-50 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Houston has now won six straight games after winning their own conference tournament and now winning round one and two of the NCAA tourney. They beat Illinois in round one, 68-53, as a 3.5-point favorite and then beat Arizona, 72-60 as a 1.5-point dog in round two. The Cougars defense has been the reason they are winning. They held Illinois to jut 34% from the field and then held Arizona to 33.3% from the field. At the same time they hit 46% vs Arizona and 42.4% vs Illinois. Meanwhile, Villanova has won eight games in a row and 13 of their last 14 games. The Wildcats beat Delaware in round one, 80-60, Ohio State in round two, 71-61 and then Michigan in the last round, 63-55. What I like most about Villanova is how deep their bench is. They have six players that will play a lot of minutes and their defense is excellent. I also look for Villanova to slow the pace in the game and spread the floor a lot. This is a veteran Villanova team that is no stranger to the Elite eight in the NCAA tournament. Play Villanova plus the points. |
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03-25-22 | Iowa State v. Miami-FL -2.5 | Top | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Iowa State is the worst offensive team left in the NCAA tournament. The Cyclones are lucky to get out of the 50's in most games these days. In addition their offense is just the 160th ranked efficient offense in the Kenpom rankings. This offense turns the ball over a lot (294th in the country), doesn't hit 3-pointers (265th in the country) and is a poor free thrown shooting team (290th in the country). Yet, here they are in the Sweet 16. They beat LSU, 59-54, holding the Tigers to just 54 points. Then last game they beat Wisconsin, holding the Badgers to just 49 points. Bottom line for this Cyclones team is that they won't outscore anyone. So here comes Miami, a team that has scored at least 71 points in 11 of their last 12 games. They beat USC in round one, 68-66 (their only game under 70) and then last game over Auburn, 79-61, as a 6.5-point dog. I think time has run out for this Iowa State team. I'm taking Miami here tonight. |
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03-25-22 | Knicks v. Heat -7.5 | 111-103 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
 The New York Knicks are 31-42 S/U and 34-39 after winning their last game at Charlotte, 121-106. That snapped a two game losing streak for the Knicks. The Knicks could be without a key cog in their team tonight, center Julius Randle is questionable with a quad injury. Randle average 20.3 ppg and 10 rebounds. The Miami Heat are having a fine season at 47-26 overall and 40-31-2 vs the spread. The Heat look to snap a two-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss to the Warriors, 104-118, as a 10-point favorite. The Heat usually bounce back after such a poor home performance the game before, evidenced by their 5-0 ATS mark the last five games after a double-digit home loss. The Heat have the edge in this series, going 8-2 ATS their last 10 meetings and 4-1 ATS the last five in Miami. I'll take the Heat here tonight. |
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03-25-22 | Providence +7.5 v. Kansas | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
The Providence Friars look to punch their ticket to the Elite 8, but it will take a upset win over Kansas today. Providence has beaten South Dakota State, 66-57, and then Richmond, 79-51, to get to the Sweet 16. They covered both those games and have covered five of their last seven games. Providence has the 31st ranked most efficient offense in the Kenpom rankings and 57th in defense. Kanas hit the 30 win mark with their NCAA tourney win over Creighton, 79-72. They did fail to cover that game as a 12.5-point favorite. The Big 12 Tourney Champion has won seven straight games. Kansas has the 6th ranked most efficient offense and the 28th ranked defense. Providence is now 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a dog. As good as Kansas is, they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA tourney games. I'm taking the points here with Providence today. |
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03-25-22 | Wizards v. Pistons -3.5 | 100-97 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards dropped to 30-42 after losing two straight games. The Wizards are coming off a loss at Milwaukee, 102-114, as a 8.5-point dog. In addition, the Wizards have been horrible vs the number, going 2-7 ATS their last nine games. In addition, they are just 8-21-1 ATS their last 30 road games. Washington will be without star guard Bradley Beal, who remains out with a wrist injury. They could also miss forward Kyle Kuzma, who is nursing a knee injury. The Detroit Pistons are just 20-53 overall on the season. However, they have been decent vs the spread, going 40-33 overall. They have covered 14 of their last 16 games. They are also 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. Detroit has been great at covering spreads and I don't see that changing tonight against a injured Washington team. Play Detroit. |
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03-24-22 | Houston +1.5 v. Arizona | Top | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
It's the Sweet 16 of the NCAA tournament and we get a great matchup here on Thursday as Houston takes on Arizona. Houston advanced here by beating UAB in round one, 82-68, and then Illinois in the 2nd round, 68-53. That makes five straight wins for the Cougars both SU and ATS since they rolled through their conference tourney also. Houston is now 11-1 their last 12 games S/U and 9-2 ATS their lasts 11 games. Houston has one of the best balanced teams in college basketball, ranked 10th both in offensive and defensive efficiency by Kenpom. They also hit the boards really well, 3rd in the nation in offensive rebounds 37.7% and 8th in blocked shots. Arizona Wildcats have beaten Wright State, 87-70, and TCU, 85-80 in the NCAA Tournament. However, they didn't cover either of those games. Arizona is slightly better on offense than Houston, 7th overall, but worse in defense, 17th overall. Should be a great game to watch, but for me I'm taking the Cougars plus the couple of points. Play Houston. |
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03-24-22 | Texas Tech v. Duke | 73-78 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
Coach K looks to continue his final year as the head coach of Duke with a semifinal win here on Thursday. The Blue Devils have beaten Cal Fullerton and Michigan State to get here today. The latter was their only cover in their last six games. Duke hasn't fared well lately in the NCAA tournament, covering just one of their last eight games. They face a Texas Tech team who beat Montana State in round one, 97-62 and then Notre Dame in round two, 59-53. Texas Tech has a very good offense, ranked 45th overall in the adjusted Kenpom efficiency. However, it's their defense that stands out, No 1 in the nation in the Kenpom defensive efficiency rankings. There is very little negative you can point out about this Tech team. The few problem areas are free throws (253rd) and 3-point FG (252nd). But its the defense that will win this game today for the Red Raiders. Take Texas Tech. |
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03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova -5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show | |
Michigan got by Colorado State in round one of the NCAA, 75-63, as a 1.5-point favorite. Then they played a near perfect game to defeat heavily favored Tennessee, 76-68, as a 7-point dog. The Wolverines weren't expected to get past Tennessee, but when you play such a exceptional game it's not hard to see why they are now in the Sweet 16. Michigan is really lucky to be in the NCAA Tournament as they have just 19 wins overall on the season. Many didn't think they deserved to even be here while other, arguably better teams were passed by. Villanova improved to 28-7 after running the Big East tourney for the Title and now rattling off two NCAA wins over Delaware and Ohio State. That makes seven straight wins for the WildCats. They are also 5-3 ATS their last eight games. The Wildcats are now 19-7 ATS in their last 26 NCAA tournament games. I believe the Michigan luck runs out here today. Play Villanova. |
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03-24-22 | Arkansas v. Gonzaga -9.5 | 74-68 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
The Arkansas Razorbacks get the distinction of trying to take down top seeded Gonzaga here today. Arkansas lost to Texas A&M in the SEC tournament, but has beaten Vermont, 75-71, and New Mexico State, 53-48 in the NCAA Tournament. Arkansas has a very good defense, ranked 14th overall in the nation the Kenpom adjusted defensive rankings. On offense, they rank 53rd overall. Their one area of concern is 3-point shooting where they were just 30.5%, ranking them 314th in the nation. The Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a dog and 14-5-1 ATS their last 20 games overall. Gonzaga had troubles in its last game against Memphis. They couldn't shake Memphis as the game was within the spread almost the entire way. Gonzaga did win, 82-78, but couldn't cover the 10-point favorite line. My feeling here is that the Memphis game will serve as a wake up call for this Gonzaga team today. Gonzaga has the top ranked offensive efficiency team in the nation and is fist in 2-point shooting (61%) and 22nd in 3-point (37.4%). This offense has too much firepower for Arkansas and while Arkansas is a very good defensive team, they can't handle Gonzaga. Play Gonzaga. |
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03-23-22 | Rockets v. Mavs -10 | Top | 91-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
Southwest Division battle here between a pair of Texas teams as the Dallas Mavs host the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets are 18-54 S/U on the season and 28-43-1 ATS. The Rockets snapped a five-game losing streak with a win over Washington, 115-97, as a 4.5-point dog. The Rockets are just 13-31 ATS their last 44 games as a dog and 0-5 ATS their last five road games as a dog. The Dallas Mavericks are 44-28 S/U and 38-33-1 ATS. The Mavs snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Minnesota last game, 110-108. That makes Dallas 9-3 S/U their last 12 games. The Mavs are 7-3 ATS their last 10 home games. I'll take the home team here tonight and lay the points with Dallas. |
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03-23-22 | Hawks v. Pistons +5.5 | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks played at New York and came from behind in the 4th quarter to win, 117-111, covering the 3.5-point favorite line. That was just the 2nd cover for the Hawks in their last 10 games. The Detroit Pistons had last night off after losing to Portland the night before, 115-119 as a 10-point favorite. The Pistons had covered 13 or their previous 14 games prior to that spread loss. The Pistons have covered five of their last seven meetings with the Hawks. I look for Detroit to get the cover here tonight. |
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03-23-22 | Wake Forest +3.5 v. Texas A&M | 52-67 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
NIT Quarterfinal action here on Wednesday has Wake Forest playing at Texas A&M. After an early exit from their own tournament, Wake Forest opened NIT action with a win over Towson State, 74-64, and then beat VCU on Saturday, 80-74. They covered both those NIT Games and four of their last five games. Texas A&M is 25-12 after winning both their NIT games over Alcorn State, 74-62, and then last game over Oregon, 75-60. They are just 1-2 ATS their last three games. Both of these teams just missed out on at large bids to the NCAA tournament. The Demon Deacons defense is the backbone of this team, ranked No35 in the Kenpom efficiency ratings. Texas A&M went all the way to the SEC title game, losing to Tennessee, 50-65. This should be the best NIT matchup yet, with both teams having felt they should have gone to the NCAA tournament. The SEC has been horrible in tournament play while the ACC has been very good. I'll take the ACC rep here. Play Wake Forest. |
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03-22-22 | Middle Tennessee -1.5 v. Abilene Christian | Top | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Middle Tennessee State takes on Abilene Christian in this CBI Semifinals from Daytona Beach, FL. Winner heads to the CBI championship game against either Northern Colorado or UNC Wilmington. Mid Tenn State Blue Raiders beat Cal Baptist in the first round, 64-58, and then Boston U, 76-46 in the 2nd round, covering vs Boston and pushing vs Baptist. Mid Tenn State has been very good to bettors, going 22-6-2 ATS in their last 30 games. They are also 15-5-1 ATS their last 21 as a favorite. Abilene Christian Wildcats beat Troy in the opening round, 82-70 and then Ohio U yesterday, 91-86, covering both games. Both teams have good offenses, but I give the defensive nod to the Blue Raiders. The Raiders also have been so good against the spread. I am taking Middle Tennessee State in this one. |
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03-22-22 | Hawks v. Knicks +3.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks can get back to the .500 mark here today with a win as they sit at 35-36 overall on the season. The Hawks are also 28-42-1 ATS on the season. Atlanta is coming off a loss to New Orleans, 112-117, as a 5.5-point favorite. While the Hawks have gone 4-2 S/U their last six games, they are only 1-8 their last nine games vs the spread. The Hawks are also just 10-26 ATS their last 36 games on the road. The New York Knicks still have a ways to go if they want to get back to .500 as they sit at just 30-41 overall on the season. The Knicks are coming off a loss to the Jazz, 93-108, as a 3.5-point home dog. New York has been decent vs the number, covering seven of their last nine games. They are also 6-2 ATS their last eight home games. The Knicks are 5-2 ATS their last seven meetings with the Hawks in New York and 10-4-1 ATS the last 15 overall meetings. Take New York here today. |
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03-21-22 | Blazers v. Pistons -7.5 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
The Portland Trailblazers have dropped to 26-44 after losing four straight games. That includes last time out at Indiana, 98-129, as a 8-point dog. In fact, the Blazers are 1-10 S/U their last 11 games. Portland also has been hurting vs the number, going 3-8 ATS their last 11 games and 2-6 their last eight as a road dog. The Detroit Pistons are just 19-52 overall on the season but have a winning spread record at 39-32 ATS. The Pistons are coming off a loss at Cleveland, 109-113, but covered the 6-point dog spread. Even though the Pistons are 1-5 S/U their last six games they are 13-1 ATS their last 14 games! They are also 5-1 ATS their last six home games. The Pistons has covered four of the last five games in Detroit. Also to note here tonight, the Blazers will be without their best player in Guard Damian Lillard who is out with an abdominal injury. Take Detroit tonight. |
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03-20-22 | TCU v. Arizona -9.5 | 80-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The TCU Horned Frogs were next expected to be playing in the 2nd round of the NCAA tournament. They are 21-12 and they finished the regular season losing their last two games. They opened conference tourney play with a win over Texas, 65-60 before losing to Kansas 62-75. Then they opened NCAA play first round action with a win over Seton Hall, 69-42, as a 1.5-point dog. Now they have a much tougher task in Arizona. Arizona is 32-3 on the season and rolled right through the PAC-12 tourney to win the title over UCLA, 84-76 as a 2-point favorite. That makes seven straight wins for the Wildcats including their opening round of the NCAA win over Wright State, 87-70. That makes seven straight games that Arizona has scored at least 81 points. I don't expect this TCU team to be able to hold down Arizona's scoring today. I'll lay the points with Arizona. |
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03-20-22 | Miami-FL +7 v. Auburn | 79-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Miami Florida closed out the season winning six of their last eight games. Then won their opening conference tourney game over Boston College, 71-69 before losing Duke in the next round, 76-80. Still. They have covered four of their last five games and eight of their last 11 games. The Auburn Tigers rebounded from their opening SEC tourney loss to Texas A&M, 62-67, with a NCAA 1st round win over Jacksonville State, 80-61, as a 14.5-point favorite. The Tigers have not been good at covering spreads, going 2-5 ATS their last seven games. They are also 0-7 ATS their last seven games following a straight-up win. Miami might not win this game, but they have been very competitive and covering spreads. Play Miami. |
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03-20-22 | Iowa State v. Wisconsin -4 | 54-49 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
A Sweet 16 spot open to the winner of this game today as Iowa State takes on Wisconsin. No 11 Iowa State pulled a 1st round upset win over LSU on Friday, 59-54, as a 3.5-point dog. Third seeded Wisconsin just did get past a stubborn Colgate, 67-60, but failed to cover the 7.5 point spread. Iowa State has had a dramatic turnaround after winning two games last year and now heading to the 2nd round of the NCAA tournament. Iowa State has struggled on offense though, averaging only 66.2 ppg on the season. Wisconsin trailed much of their game to Colgate before rallying late for the win. Wisconsin finds ways to win and that's important in these games. I do not like this Iowa State offense as they have had some really bad games of late. I'll take Wisconsin here as they hold down this Iowa State team. |
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03-20-22 | Michigan State +7 v. Duke | 76-85 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
This 2nd Round NCAA matchup is one of legendary NCAA coachs in Tom Izzo of MSU and Mike Kryzewski of Duke. No 2 Duke had an easy win over CSU Fullerton on Friday, 78-61, as a 18.5-point favorite. Duke has now failed to cover their last five spreads while going 3-2 S/U. No 7 seed Michigan State just got by No 10 Davidson, 74-73. Michigan State has been very good this year hitting 3-point shots, 37.4% overall. Duke looking to push for that title in Coach K's final season before he retires, so some extra incentive here today for the Blue Devils. With two great coaches going here today I'll take the points with Michigan State. |
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03-20-22 | Grizzlies -11.5 v. Rockets | 122-98 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Early game today on the NBA slate has the Memphis Grizzlies traveling to Houston to take on the Rockets. Memphis has been one of the best teams in the NBA today, now 48-23 on the season S/U and 44-26 ATS. The Grizzlies are coming off a loss last game at Atlanta, 105-120, as a 5.5-point road favorite. That snapped a four game win streak for the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies do well after a loss, going 8-1 ATS their last nine games. They also do well vs bad teams, going 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games vs a team with a losing record. The Grizzlies are also 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite. Meanwhile, the Rockets are one of the worst teams in the NBA at 17-53 S/U and 27-42-1 ATS. The Rockets have lost four games S/U and are 1-3 ATS their last four. They are 17-39 ATS their last 56 games as a home dog and 12-28 ATS their last 40 games overall. No doubt Memphis can name the score in this one. I am hoping they don't lose interest and just play well enough to win. I'll give that a shot and take Memphis. |
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03-20-22 | Dayton v. Vanderbilt -3.5 | 68-70 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
NIT 2nd Round action here on Sunday has Dayton taking on Vanderbilt. Still at home sites, so Vandy gets the home site advantage in this one. Dayton has won eight of their last nine games and beat Toledo in the opening round of the NIT, 74-55 as a 2-point dog. How the Dayton Flyers didn't make the NCAA I don't know and they will either run the board and prove how good they are or lose interest in a hurry. One injury that concerns them is Malachi Smith, who is questionable with an ankle injury. Vandy finished the season at 18-16 overall and in 11th place in the SEC. Vandy did play well down the stretch, winning four of their last five games and covering five straight and eight of their last nine. They won two games in the SEC tournament over Georgia and Alabama before bowing-out against Kentucky. I will be on Vandy here today with home court. Play Vanderbilt. |
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03-20-22 | Ohio State v. Villanova -4.5 | Top | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
NCAA Second round action here on Sunday has 7th seeded Ohio State taking on 2nd seeded Villanova. Ohio State came out of round one with a won over Loyola Chicago, 54-41 while Villanova downed Delaware, 80-60. Ohio State struggled of late, losing four of its last five games before winning in round one. They held the Ramblers to just 27% shooting from the floor. However, the Buckeyes hit just one of 13 three-point shots in the game. Villanova won for the sixth straight time after round one. They held Delaware to just 44% from the field and 15% from 3-point arc. This game seems taylor made for Villanova. Ohio State doesn't have the height to contend in the paint vs the Wildcats. They also don't possess the shooting to dent this Villanova defense. Ohio State will have to rely on its defense to keep them close, but I don't see that happening against a very good Villanova offense. Play Villanova. |
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03-20-22 | Houston v. Illinois +3.5 | 68-53 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 0 m | Show | |
NCAA 2nd ROund Action concludes today as Houston takes on Illinois for the right to move on. Houston beat UAB on Friday, 82-68, in the first round . That makes four wins in a row both S/U and ATS for the Cougars as they hit the 30-win mark for the year. Illinois beat Chattanooga, 54-53, after trailing most of the game to win at the end and advance. They didn't cover the 7.5-point favorite line though. The motto of this team is survive and advance and now they get to finally be a underdog today to the Cougars. I like Illinois because they have depth to the bench over Houston. Houston is predominantly a 3-point shooting team and you live and die by the 3's. I'm going to take the points here with Illinois. |
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03-19-22 | Memphis +10 v. Gonzaga | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
No 9 Memphis hopes to pull some inspiration from St Peters as it looks to upend a top seed here today in the form of Gonzaga. The Tigers got here with a win over Boise State, 64-53 last Thursday. Gonzaga struggled for bit but finally pulled away in its first round win over Georgia State, 93-72. Memphis looked dead in the water until it won 10 of its final 11 games down the stretch. They then added two more wins in the AAC Tourney before losing to champion Houston in the Title game. Gonzaga is the top offensive team in basketball this year with the best 2-point percentage. They face a Memphis team ranked 28th in defense. The Tigers have had an up and down season, but have proved they can beat any team on a given day. I'm going to take a shot with the points here on Saturday on Memphis. |
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03-19-22 | St. Peter's v. Murray State -8 | 70-60 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
15th seeded St Peters pulled the biggest upset of the NCAA Tournament thus far with their win over Kentucky in OT 85-79. Murray State beat San Francisco, 85-79 to set up this improbable contest here today in round 2. The Peacocks were a 18-point dog to Kentucky and improved to 20-11 overall and 14-6 in their conference. Murray State can punch their ticket the sweet 16 here today. The Racers improved to 31-2 and 18-0 in the OVC with their win over San Francisco. They also are a very high scoring team, averaging 79.7 ppg, good for 14th in the nation. They also posses the 25th ranked defense, holding teams to just63 ppg. This Racers team is very well balanced and while the Peacocks shocked Kentucky, don't expect Murray State to let that happen today. Play Murray State. |
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