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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-05-20 | Florida -17.5 v. Tennessee | 31-19 | Loss | -107 | 52 h 39 m | Show | |
Florida. NL. Game377. 12:30 pm pst. Want to make money? Keep going against Tennessee. The Volunteers are on a five-game slide both SU and ATS, never coming within double-digits. And they won’t here. Dan Mullen enjoys crushing Jeremy Pruitt. Since arriving in Gainesville, he has won and covered both meetings by a combined, 81-24. UF has just two games remaining on their schedule in which to make a case for a CFP spot. This matchup and their regular season finale in The Swamp against LSU. Add into the mix Kyle Trask and the nation’s No. 2 passing attack face one of the worst secondaries in the SEC, giving the star quarterback an ideal opportunity to boost his Heisman votes. The Gators are 5-1 ATS the last six in Knoxville. The Vols are 3-9 ATS the last 12 as a home ‘dog. Take Florida. Thank you. |
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12-05-20 | Ball State v. Central Michigan +2.5 | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
CMU. LVSM. Game 366. 11:00 am pst. Jim McElwain has outclassed and outcoached just about everyone since taking the reins at CMU. His offense has put up 27 or more on every opponent going back over a year. The Chippewas are 7-2 ATS L9 vs. winners. Cardinals are 8-20 ATS L28 as a favorite. Take CMU. Thank you. |
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12-05-20 | Oklahoma State v. TCU +2.5 | 22-29 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
TCU. TD. Game 394. 9:00 am pst. A home ‘dog getting points is always on the radar, but the Horned Frogs have played their best football of 2020 over the last month going 3-1 both SU and ATS against some decent foes. The once-feared Cowboys “D” has gotten lit up. They have allowed three of their last four opponents to put up no less than 41 points. Take TCU. Thank you. |
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11-28-20 | Duke +1.5 v. Georgia Tech | 33-56 | Loss | -121 | 95 h 58 m | Show | |
I have seen this line move a bit in Duke’s direction. That is because they should be a favorite here. The oddsmakers are looking to trap you. We’re not falling for it, folks. Statistically, the Blue Devils are better on both sides of the ball and have taken five of the last six meetings SU and more importantly, all six ATS. The combination of quarterbacks, Brice and Holmberg are starting to click, while running back, Durant (651 yards rushing, 6 TD’s) has barreled for three 100 plus yards performances over the last four games. He is going to run amok over the Yellow Jackets lax run defense (97th). Duke’s ball-hawking “D” (7 takeaways) will get to Georgia Tech’s mistake-prone quarterback, Jeff Sims (10 INT’s in only 177 pass attempts this season) and create turnovers. The Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS the last five at the Yellow Jackets and 9-2 ATS the last 11 following a bye week. The Yellow Jackets are 3-13 ATS the last 16 at home and 6-16 ATS the last 22 overall. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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11-28-20 | Maryland v. Indiana -10.5 | Top | 11-27 | Win | 100 | 88 h 52 m | Show |
Move over Archie Miller, there’s a new sheriff in town. Tom Allen has his Hoosiers 4-1 and ranked 12th in the nation. After suffering their first defeat of 2020 (6-0 ATS) to Ohio State, Indiana will floor it here against a stale Maryland team that hasn’t played since a November 7 win at a winless Penn State. The other Tagovailoa will come in here rusty and overconfident. He is exciting but does not have the experience to compete in this matchup and is certainly not in the class of his counterpart, Penix Jr. The IU quarterback (1,564 yards passing, 14/4) has running back, Scott (373 yards rushing, 5 TD’s) and a quartet of incredible wideouts including superstar, Fryfogle (642 yards receiving, 7 TD’s). The Terrapins are awful defensively and will have no answer for the Hoosiers either on the ground or in the air. This is a “D” that got burned for over 43 points by the Wildcats and 44 points by the Golden Gophers. This just might be one of the biggest mismatches on the board this week. The home team is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings. Maryland is 3-9 ATS the last 12 on the road and 5-11 ATS the last 16 as a ‘dog. Indiana is 5-1 ATS the last six at home, and 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. winners. Take the Hoosiers. Thank you. |
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11-27-20 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina OVER 68 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
Take OVER in the ND/UNC matchup. This is my ACC TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 135/136. 12:30 pm pst. Two ACC (this season) powerhouses meet here as the No. 2 Fighting Irish and the No. 25 Tar Heels take the field. Notre Dame, which averages over 37.6 PPG, has put up points against just about every opponent this in 2020. They will be able to pass the ball with success here against the 92nd ranked pass defense in college football, while their devastatingly talented rushing attack moves the chains. North Carolina, which accounts for over 43.1 PPG can light up the scoreboard on any team in the nation with their well-balanced (11th passing, 15th rushing) offense. The Fighting Irish have gotten burned for over 71 points the last two outings against the Tigers without Trevor Lawrence and an Eagles squad that is not known for their offensive prowess. The Tar Heels one flaw is their “D”, which has gotten torched for over 30.8 PPG. These teams have combined to play 10 overs and just 6 unders this season. Five of the last seven ND games have gone over the total while UNC has played to four straight overs. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-27-20 | Nebraska v. Iowa -13.5 | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 12 m | Show | |
Take Iowa. This is my LVSM. Game 148. 10:00 am pst. Iowa seem tot be getting better as the season progresses. Over the last three weeks, the Hawkeyes are 3-0 both SU and ATS, winning by an average margin of 30.3 PPG. The offense is rolling behind QB, Petras and the tandem of RB’s, Goodson and Sargent (762 YR, 12TD’s combined). Nebraska owns a very poor defense, particularly against the rush (115th). Offensively, the Cornhuskers only threat is on the ground. But the 14th ranked rush “D” of the Hawkeyes will contain the run. Overall, Iowa allows only 16.0 PPG. Nebraska is 1-7 ATS L8 vs. winners, 1-6 ATS L7 on the road, and 3-10 ATS L13 in conference play. Iowa is 7-3 ATS L10 vs. losers, 3-1-1 ATS L5 at home, and 3-0-1 ATS L4 in conference play. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you. |
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11-27-20 | Iowa State +1.5 v. Texas | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
Take ISU. This is my NL. Game 143. 9:00 am pst. Last years meeting was won by Iowa State. The Cyclones own the Big 12’s top-spot at 6-1 in conference play. They have the Mountaineers on deck, a team they easily handled last season. So, I wouldn’t worry about a look-ahead situation here. Brock Purdy will be able to pass the ball with ease against the 111th ranked pass defense of Texas. They have Breece hall to keep the Longhorns “D” honest. The running back has amassed over 1,169 yards rushing and 15 TD’s. They will keep Sam Ehlinger in check with a very nasty stop-unit that ranks 30th, yielding a mere, 23.4 PPG. Not too shabby for the Big 12. The Longhorns are 1-3-1 ATS L5 following a bye week, 1-6 ATS L7 on Friday, and 1-4-1 ATS L6 inn conference play. Take the Cyclones. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | Tennessee v. Auburn -10.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 80 h 18 m | Show | |
Auburn. SEC GOM. Game 416. 4:00 pm pst
Both teams were on a streak prior to a small Covid-19 hiatus. Tennessee is on a four-game loss and no cover streak while Auburn won and covered their last two outings. I would be remiss if I didn’t mention that those four Vols losses were all by double-digits (11, 21, 24, 23 points). Bo Nix has led the Tigers offense with confidence making zero miscues the last several outings. The quarterback can rely on running back, Tank Bigsby (114.2 yards per game the last four) to keep the UT defense honest and allow him to open up the passing game. The Volunteers have had trouble scoring (20.7 PPG) against just about every opponent, especially when facing the tougher SEC foes. And the Tigers own a tough “D”. The last time these two teams met, Tennessee prevailed, 30-24 as a 14.5-point underdog. Auburn hasn’t forgotten that stinging loss and will exact their revenge here. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS the last six following a bye week, 10-3 ATS the last 13 as a home favorite, and 20-8 ATS the last 28 vs. teams with a losing record. Take Auburn. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +1.5 | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show | |
Nevada. GI. Game 388. 12:30 pm pst. Dillon Gabriel is putting up numbers not seen in Reno since Colin Kaepernick reined. Playing on their home field is a big edge for any MWC team. Not only that but SDSU is a one-dimensional offense and Nevada matches up very well on the stop side of the ball and will contain the Aztecs offense. The Wolfpack are 6-2 ATS the last eight in conference play. Take Nevada. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | UCLA v. Oregon -17 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -114 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
Oregon. 10 STAR WINNER Game 332. 7:30 pm pst. Chip Kelly returns to the stadium and the team he helped build. As the head coach of the Oregon Ducks, he racked up a 46-7 record, won the Pac-12 a few times, went to two Rose Bowls, a National Championship game, and a Fiesta Bowl. After a short stint in the NFL with the Philadelphia Eagles and the San Francisco 49ers, he went back to the college football ranks to coach the UCLA Bruins. The team is just 1-1 this season and if you ask me, the offense relies a bit too much on their mediocre quarterback, Dorian Thompson-Robinson. He’s got some talent but makes a lot of mistakes. It seems that once again, the Bruins can not defend the run at all. Well sports fans, in comes the juggernaut which is the Oregon Ducks ground assault. Through just two outings already, Oregon ranks 6th in the nation in rushing, donning three 100+ yard ballcarriers. Quarterback, Tyler Shough is the next big name in the Pac-12. This kid is a stud, folks. Both in the air and on the ground, this dual-threat play-caller can do it all. He will be his own highlight reel in this matchup. UCLA will not have an answer for him. Oregon has taken the last eight meetings in this series SU, going 5-3 ATS. The Bruins are 2-5 ATS the last seven following a SU loss, 1-4 ATS the last five in conference play, and 1-3-1 ATS the last five on the road. The Ducks are 5-1 ATS the last six following a SU win, 5-2 ATS the last seven in conference play, and 4-1 ATS the last five at home. I figured this game to be around a three touchdown or more blowout guys. My advice is to start working your arms out now because come Saturday you are going to do so many pushups, you won’t be able to count your winnings. QUACK QUACK. Take the Ducks and win. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | Cincinnati -5.5 v. Central Florida | Top | 36-33 | Loss | -107 | 77 h 53 m | Show |
Cincinnati. EIM. Game 343. 12:30 pm pst. This is one of the most exciting games on the board this week and certainly one of the most anticipated in the AAC this season. I have won with the Bearcats four or five times in this column in 2020 and I’m going to ride that train again here. Cincy ranks 7th nationally and must stay undefeated to have a chance at the CFP. Not only are they winning games, they are covering too, riding a four game ATS streak. Central Florida does score a bit more behind college football’s top-ranked passing units and also owns the top “O” in total yards. Their two losses happened in two shootouts with Tulsa and Memphis. They have yet to face a defense as ferocious and well-balanced as they will here. The Bearcats stop-unit allows a mere 12.4 PPG and has snagged 12 turnovers. The defense will contain the UCF offense. Expect Cincinnati havoc-wreaker, DE Myjai Sanders (five sacks) to get to UCF quarterback, Dillon Gabriel and force mistakes. The Knights are 1-5 ATS the last six in conference play and 1-6 ATS the last seven at home. Under a TD is a gift.Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | Indiana +21 v. Ohio State | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
Indiana. TD play. Game 357. 9:00 am pst. Giving a team that is 4-0 both SU and ATS with wins over Penn State, Rutgers, Michigan, and Michigan State, nearly three touchdowns astounds me. Yes, Ohio State is one of the most-well-balanced teams in the nation. But, they, knowing how good Indiana is playing, will come in here with a conservative game plan as not to make mistakes. The Hoosiers have momentum and are 7-2 ATS the last nine meetings with the Buckeyes. Take Indiana. Thank you. |
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11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan +1.5 | 52-44 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
CMU. WWW. Game 314. 4:00 pm pst. Jim McElwain and his Chippewas team are looking a bit sharper at this point in the season, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. The Broncos are 2-7 ATS L9 on the road and 4-17 ATS L21 following an ATS win. The Chippewas are 7-1 ATS L8 at home and 5-1 ATS L6 in conference play. Take Central Michigan. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | SMU +3 v. Tulsa | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -120 | 41 h 38 m | Show |
Take SMU. AAC GOM. 4:00 pm pst. SMU’s sole defeat this season came against the AAC’s top team and the 7th ranked team in the nation, Cincinnati. Yet again this season, the Mustangs own an explosive offense posting over 40.5 PPG. There are NFL teams that would be envious of their backfield. Quarterback, Shane Buechele (2,581 yards passing, 66.8% completion rate, 20/3) and running back Ulysses Bentley IV (774 yards rushing, 10 touchdowns) are one of the most exciting and talented 1-2 punches in college football. That would be impressive enough for anyone to side with them here. But they are also joined by one of college football’s top receiving corps (13th). The quartet of Rice, Granson, Page, and Gray (126 receptions, 1,801 yards receiving, 14 touchdowns combined) will give the Tulsa secondary nightmares for years to come. The Golden Hurricane is no slouch. But in all reality, they just don’t have the firepower to keep pace offensively here. You can count on Tulsa’s mistake-prone quarterback, Zach Smith to continue his INT streak (he has tossed at least one pick in every game thus far). The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. SMU is 5-2 ATS the last seven at Tulsa and 5-2 ATS the last seven overall. Tulsa is 0-4 ATS the last four as a home fav and 4-9 ATS the last 13 overall as a favorite. Take the Mustangs. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | Army v. Tulane -4 | 12-38 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Tulane. TD. Game 204. 9:00 am pst. We have all heard the saying “Looks can be deceiving.”The Black Knights 6-1 record is impressive. But being impressive on paper and impressive on the field are two totally separate things. On paper, it’s all about statistics. On the field, it’s about who you have played. Let me shed some light on the subject, sports fans. They beat Middle Tennessee State, Louisiana Monroe, Abilene Christian, The Citadel, Texas San Antonio, and Mercer. They weren’t an underdog in any of those matchups. As a matter of fact, the disparity in the opposition was so vast, they were a fav of 24-31 points in four of those outings. Army stepped up in class just once this season and got smoked by Cincinnati, 24-10. And guys, the game wasn’t nearly as close as the score made it look. Tulane has gotten bettors paid, covering five of the last six games coming in to this meeting. Not only that, but they have gone up against much stronger adversaries. Head coach, Willie Fritz has won and covered the last three meetings in this series. He has outcoached and outclassed the BK’s head coach, Jeff Monken. Defensively, once again, the Green Wave owns a tough stop-unit against the run. They rank 35th nationally, yielding only 128.0 yards per game on the ground. Quarterback, Michael Pratt and his tandem of 500-yards rushers, Stephon Huderson and Cameron Carroll possess the firepower to light up the scoreboard here. As importantly, they have the ground game to control the pace, keep the Black Knights defense on the field, and their offense off of it. Army is 1-3-1 ATS the last five vs. the AAC, 2-5 ATS the last seven on the road, and 1-4 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Tulane is 4-0 ATS the last four vs. INDEP, 17-5 ATS the last 22 at home, and 11-3 ATS the last 14 as a fav. Take the Green Wave. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | Miami-FL +2.5 v. Virginia Tech | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
Take Miami-Florida. GI. Game 155. 9:00 am pst. 9th-ranked Miami comes in here red-hot and brimming with confidence winning three straight and six of seven overall in 2020. Virginia Tech is banged-up and comes off a loss to Liberty as a 17-point favorite. Dual-threat quarterback, D’Eriq King (1,828 yards passing 16/4 in the air, 406 yards rushing two TD’s on the ground) will decimate the Hokies cardboard defense. On the flipside, V Tech is a one-dimensional offense, solely relying on the run. The ‘Canes have held some solid rushing attacks and will contain this one here. The Hokies are 6-13 ARS L19 as a favorite. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | Wake Forest +13.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 53 h 42 m | Show |
Take Wake Forest. EIM. Game 149. 9:00 am pst.
You’d be hard-pressed to find a team that is more Jekyll and Hyde than the Tar Heels. Consistency is important in both football and in sports betting. And, one thing for sure, the Demon Deacons have been a consistent moneymaker, covering five of six outings this season. Wake Forest has been competitive in every contest on the campaign, including an opening-season loss, which they covered to Clemson. Smart and savvy Wake quarterback, Sam Hartman (1,253 yards passing, 62% completion rate, 4/0) doesn’t make mistakes, nor does the rest of the offensive unit (one turnover through six games). As a matter of fact, the team is +14 in turnover margin. Not bad for a squad that puts up over 37.0 PPG. Giving a clever head coach like Dave Clawson two touchdowns is a mistake. The Demon Deacons are 11-4 ATS the last 15 as a road ‘dog. The Tar Heels are 2-5 ATS the lasts seven following an ATS win. Take Wake Forest. Thank you. |
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11-11-20 | Central Michigan -7.5 v. Northern Illinois | 40-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
CMU Game 155. 5:00 pm pst. CMU thrashed Ball State last year, 48-10 to give the team their sixth consecutive ATS cover over their conference rival. NIU starts five freshmen on defense. Chippewas head coach, Jim McElwain is one of the sharpest minds in college football today and will exploit the inexperienced stop-unit here. CMU is 19-6-2 ATS L27 as a road favorite, 5-1 ATS L6 overall as a favorite, 4-1 ATS L5 in conference play, and 7-3 ATS L10 overall. Take CMU. Thank you. |
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11-11-20 | Eastern Michigan +9.5 v. Ball State | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
EMU. Game 117. 4:00 pm pst. Too many points to lay for a BSU team that can’t lay wood, especially at home where they are 6-15 ATS the L21 in the role as a home fav. As a matter of fact, the Cardinals are a dismal, 12-25 ATS L27 overall when playing host. EMU is a very game team, covering four of the L5 coming in to this matchup and outside of last season’s six-point loss, they took the previous three meetings in this series both SU and ATS. The Eagles are 5-1 ATS L6 at the Cardinals and 23-7 ATS L30 as an underdog. Take EMU. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Washington State v. Oregon State -1.5 | 38-28 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 22 m | Show | |
Take Oregon State. This is my Pac-12 Payday. Game 362. 7:30 pm pst. Oregon State is a moneymaker, riding a 9-2 ATS streak. Washington State lost their QB and their three top receivers from a unit that ranked No.1 in the nation in passing a season ago. They really don’t seem to have the tools to come near duplicating those stats. The Beavers have a good defense, and a very good rushing attack. Oregon State is 4-1 ATS L5 in November and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take the Beavers. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Western Kentucky v. Florida Atlantic -6.5 | Top | 6-10 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 60 m | Show |
Take FAU. This is my BB play. Game 396. 3:00 pm pst. Western Kentucky covered just one game by a half-point since last November. The Hilltoppers now rank towards the bottom in every major offensive category (106th total yards, 101st passing yards, 91st rushing yards, 105th scoring, 115th turnovers). Things will go from bad to worse facing an Owls defense that allows a mere, 13.3 PPG. They have also won and covered the last three meetings in this series and are 5-1 ARS L6 at home, 6-2 ATS L8 in November, and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take FAU. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Houston v. Cincinnati -13.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 72 h 27 m | Show |
We cashed in with the Bearcats last week here in the and once again this week, we will do it again. Cincinnati is a perfect, 5-0 in 2020. For the next month, this team faces four AAC creampuffs until their season-finale against the other undefeated conference rep, Tulsa. They must keep their engine revved for both style points and as not to get stale. They catch an overrated Houston team here that has stepped up in class three times this season, and as a result went 0-3 both SU and ATS (Navy, BYU, UCF). The Cougar defense is getting burned for over 34.8 PPG. In comes Desmond Ridder and the high-flying Bearcats “O” (39.6 PPG). That would be enough. But the Houston offense is going to get stuffed by the nation’s 7th raked stop unit of Cincy (12.0 PPG allowed). The Cougars are 1-4 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Take the Bearcats. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Fresno State -11 v. UNLV | 40-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 60 m | Show | |
Take Fresno State. This is my NL. Game 363. 12:30 pm pst. This just might be the worst UNLV squad I have seen in decades. They have already suffered two beatings at the hands of San Diego State and Nevada. They really don’t possess and physicality and are once again going to be manhandled here. Fresno State, which has won and covered the last two meetings in this series, showed an enormous amount of heart, as they bounced back from an opening-season loss to Hawaii, to shellack Colorado State last week. With very little threat of a pass rush and a lax secondary, look for improved Bulldogs quarterback Jake Haener to have a career day here against the Rebels. Fresno State is 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 on the road, 23-11-1 ATS the last 35 in conference play, and 33-16-2 the last 51 overall. Take Fresno State. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Kansas v. Oklahoma -37.5 | 9-62 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show | |
Take Oklahoma. This is my GI play. Game 372. 12:30 pm pst. Without an undefeated team and because two of the one-loss reps are facing each other this week, Oklahoma has a real chance to rise in the conference standings. They need victories, big victories. Facing a team that accounts for just 16.2 PPG while yielding 46.2 PPG can also give the Sooners the well-needed style points they need. The 0-6 ATS Jayhawks just can’t get withing a slew of TD’s against any foe. FYI, this team started to look like the team they are known to be last week when a few key players returned to their offensive unit. The home team is 7-2 ATS L9 meetings. Take Oklahoma. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Nebraska v. Northwestern -3.5 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
Take NW. This is my ETVGW. Game 380. 9;00 am pst. Northwestern isn’t just a good football team, they are also believing they are a good football team. The thumped Maryland 43-3 then came from a 17-point deficit to beat Iowa in Iowa last week. The Nebraska team is shaky, particularly on defense. Well, NW possesses a very well-balanced offense that will steamroll here. The Cornhuskers are 2-6-1 ATS L9 meetings in this series, 15 ATS L6 on the road, and 2-8 ATS L10 overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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