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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-24-24 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 204 | Top | 111-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
Heat vs Celtics 7:00 ET | TNT | TD Garden 8-unit bet on the UNDER currently priced at 203 points Consider betting 70% preflop on the Under and then look to bet the remaining 30% at 209.5 points during the first half of action. The Celtics made 19 three-pointers in Game 1 and they have been arguably the best three-point shooting team in NBA history. However, even these historic shooting teams are prone to regression after a big shooting game. Double-digit favorites that made 19 or more three-pointers in a playoff game have seen the Under go 6-1 for 86% winning bets. Moreover, the Under is 38-28 in playoffs games priced at 205 or fewer points since 2017, which was the start of the steady rise in scoring in the NBA. Since 2019 the Under is 14-8 when priced at 205 or fewer points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 10-2 Under (86%) record over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet Under with a total of 200 or more points. · The home team is an excellent three-point shooting team making 37.5% or more of those shots on the season. · The home team made 19 or more three-pointers in their previous game. · The opponent makes between 33 and 37.5% of their three-point shots on the season. |
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04-21-24 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 222.5 | Top | 97-109 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Mavericks vs Clippers 3:30 ET | ABC | Crypto.com Arena 8-Unit Bet OVER priced at 222.5 points. No sport has demonstrated completely different styles of games between the regular and the post season than the NBA. In the playoffs, players will play in games despite nagging injuries and the matchups see both teams bringing their best efforts. So, allow the scoring volatility to work for you,. Especially when playing totals. In this game I suggest betting 60% preflop at 222.5 points and then look to add 15% more at 218.5 points and 15% more at 215.5 points. The Clippers have some major locker room issues right now and the rumors that Paul George cannot wait to get out of that locker room and join the 76ers next season are getting quite loud. However, this is the playoffs and their opponent, the Dallas Mavericks, have been playing great basketball in the second half of this season. 218-point totals have become the pivot point for the NBA playoffs. Home underdogs with a total of 218 or more points in a first-round matchup have seen the Over go 27-17 for 61.4% winners. The following NBA betting algorithm has posted a 47-29 Over record good for 62% winning bets since 2017. The requirements are: · Bet Over in a game with a total of 220 or more points. · The home team has lost to the spread in two or more consecutive games. · The home team is playing with three or more days of rest. If the game occurs in the playoffs, these home teams have seen the Over go 7-2 for 78% winning bets since 2017, which was the year that NBA scoring began its meteoric rise. From my predictive mode we are expecting the Mavericks to score at least 113 points and for the Mavericks to have fewer turnovers than the Clippers. In past games since 2019, the Over has gone 82-32 for 72% winning bets when the Mavericks met those performance measures. The Clippers have seen the Over produce a 72-19-4 record good for 79% winning bets when they have allowed 113 or more points and committed more turnovers than their opponent. |
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04-21-24 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 209.5 | Top | 94-114 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
Heat vs Celtics 1 ET | ABC | TD Garden 8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 209 points. Consider betting 70% Under preflop and then look to add 30% more at 216.5 points during the first half of action. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 27-14-2 Under record good for 66% winning bets over the past 7 seasons (since 2017). The requirements are: · Bet the Under in games with a total less than 218 points. · The road team is priced as five or greater-point underdog. · The road team is avenging two previous losses. · The total price is 2.5% greater than the average points scored by the road team in their road game plus the average points that the home team allows in their home games. Look at this rather complex algorithm as taking the standard deviation and scoring variant of these two teams and that when the market has over priced those quotients by more than 2.5%, the Under has won the money in 66% of the games. Of note too is the fact that double-digit favored #1 seeds in the first round of the NBA playoffs have gone 55-5 SU (92%) and 35-24-1 ATS for 59%. Drilling deeper into the data, double-digit #1 seeds playing game one of a first round series have gone 16-1 SU and 11-6 ATS and 11-5-1 Under since 2004. The Heat play one of the slowest-paced styles of game in the NBA averaging just 85 shot attempts per game. The Celtics rank 8th fastest averaging 90 shots per game. However, the Celtics have one of the best defenses per possession in the NBA. The Celtics rank 5th in scoring defense allowing 109.2 PPG and the Heat because of their slower style rank 2nd allowing 108.1 PPG. Both teams play suffocating defenses without generating a large amount of fouls. The Celtics rank best in the NBA allowing 17.3 free throws per game while the Heat rank third-best allowing 19 free throws per game. The Under has gone 512-206-20 for 71% winning bets in games in which both teams attempt less than 40 free throws. My predictive model projects an 85% probability that there will be fewer than 40 free throws attempted in this game. |
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04-09-24 | Pistons v. 76ers OVER 222.5 | Top | 102-120 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
Pistons vs 76ers 7:00 ET | Wells Fargo Center 8-Unit bet on the OVER priced at 222.5 points and is valid to 224.5 points The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 47-23-1 Over record good for 67.1% winning bets over the past seven seasons. The requirements are: · Bet the Over with the home team favored by at least 7.5 points. · The home team had 2 or more players scoring 25 or more points in their previous game. · The home team is playing on fewer days of rest than their foe. Maxey scored a career-high 52 points and Oubre had 26 points in the 76ers double-overtime win against the Spurs in their previous game. |
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04-03-24 | Magic v. Pelicans UNDER 208.5 | Top | 117-108 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Magic vs Pelicans 8 ET | Smoothie King Center 8-Unit bet on the UNDER priced at 208.5 points and is valid to 206.5 points. Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to get the remaining 30% betting amount booked at 211.5 or more points during the first half of action. The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 58-36-1 UNDER for 62% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on the UNDER that is priced between 205 and 219.5 points. · The home team allowed more than 100 points in each of their previous two games. · The home team is outscoring their foes by 3 to 7 PPG. · The opponent has posted a scoring differential between -3 and +3 PPG. If the Under is priced between 205 and 214.5 points the record improves to 24-13-1 for 65% winning bets and if our team has posted an effective FG% of 50% and higher, the Under goes to 23-12-1 for 66% winning bets. |
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03-21-24 | Knicks v. Nuggets OVER 207.5 | Top | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
Knicks vs Nuggets9 ET | Ball Arena8-Unit Bet on the OVER priced at 207.5 points and is valid down to 206 points.
The following NBA Sports betting algorithm has produced a 58-12 SU (83%) and a 46-23-1 Over record good for 67% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: ü Bet on home favorites of 7.5 or more points. ü That home team had two players score 25 or more points in their previous game. ü That home team is playing on fewer days of rest. If the total is priced between 205 and 214.5 points, the Over has gone a near-perfect 5-1 ATS for 83% winning bets. |
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03-19-24 | Nuggets v. Wolves OVER 212.5 | Top | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
Nuggets vs Wolves 9 ET |NBA TV | target Center Be sure to get the March Madness subscription covering you through the Championship Game and including all NCAA Tournaments for just $200 or 5%0 off last year’s price. Or get the rest of March Free by paying for April and get All Access covering every sport through April 30, 2024. Why should you do this? Ryan is ranked in the Top-5 OVERALL Cappers here at SportsCapping and has been doing this with us since 2004. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 38-14 SU and 20-21-1 ATS and a solid 33-18-1 Over record good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: ü Bet the Over. ü The road team is favored. (Denver is favored by 7.5 points) ü That road team has played three consecutive games in which they posted a 2.5 or higher assists-to-turnover ratio. ü The host has posted a season-to-date assist-to-turnover ratio that is below 2.00. (Wolves have posted a 1.844 assist-to-turnover ratio ranking 22nd) The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 72-65 SU and 60-75-2 ATS record and a solid 83-5-3 Over record good for 62% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: ü Bet Over the total when it is 210 or more points. ü The home team is playing on back-to-back nights. ü The home team has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games. If the opponent (Denver) has a different starting five then in their previous game, the Over improves to 36-17 for 68% winning bets. |
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03-12-24 | Pacers v. Thunder UNDER 241 | Top | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Pacers vsThunder 8:00 ET | Paycom Center 8-Unit Bet Under 240.5 points. Consider betting 60% Under preflop and then look to add 20% more at 244.5 points and 20% more at 247.5 points. With a total above 240 the game’s scoring volatility is expected to be quite high and ought to provide a solid opportunity to get the two Live bets on the books during the first half of action. The Sports Betting Algorithms The following betting algorithm has produced a80-30-3 Under mark for 73% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: Bet the Under. One of the teams is coming off a 20 or more-point home win. In that win they held the foe to 7+ fewer points than their season scoring average. The opponent is coming off a double-digit road win. The total is greater than the opponent’s season total average. The matchup is a non-divisional fray. The following betting algorithm has produced a 39-17-1 Under mark for 70% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: Bet the Under with a total of 230 or more points. One of the teams is coming off two consecutive home wins. The opponent is coming off a road win in which they scored 110 or more points. |
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03-11-24 | Suns v. Cavs OVER 220.5 | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
Suns vs Cavaliers 7:30 ET | Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse The following betting algorithm has produced a 374-142 SU (73%) SU record and a 316-189-11 ATS mark for 63% winning bets since 1997. The requirements are: · Bet on a road team from the Western Conference avenging a same-season loss. · That road team is favored between -1.5 and -11 points. · The host is from the Eastern Conference. If the road team is playing on one or more days and the host is playing the second of back-to-back days, the road team’s record improves to 42-14 SU (75%) SU record and a 36-19-1 ATS mark for 65.5% winning bets since 1997. |
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03-06-24 | Clippers v. Rockets UNDER 223.5 | Top | 122-116 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Clippers vs Rockets
7:30 EST | Toyota Center (Houston) 8-Unit Bet on the Under 224.5 points and is valid to 222.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 96-48-2 Under record good for 67% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: « Bet the Under during the regular season. « The road team is playing their last road game of a three-game road trip. « That road team has won at least one of their last two games. « That road team has won 60% or more of their games. « The opponent is coming off a home game. If the combined days of rest by each team is one or none, the Under then has produced an exceptional 26-11 record good for 71% winning bets. |
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03-04-24 | Grizzlies v. Nets UNDER 206.5 | Top | 106-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Grizzlies vs Nets 7:30 PM EST | Barclays Center 8-Unit bet on the Under currently priced at 208.5 points The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 35-22-1 Under record good for 62% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are: Bet the Under. The road team has lost 60% or more of their games. The road team is avenging a same-season loss to the host. The road teams average points scored in their road games added to the average points scored at home by the home team is 2.5% higher than the current total. The home team has seen the Under win 40% or more of their home games. |
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03-03-24 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 230.5 | Top | 88-140 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
Warriors vs Celtics3:30 PM EST | ABC8-Unit Bet on the Under currently priced at 230.5 points and is valid to 228.5 points.
Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 15% at 234.5 points and then 237.5 points during the first half of action. The following NBAA Basketball betting algorithm has produced a 79-30-3 record for 72% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a divisional matchup. · A team last played at home and won by 20 or more points. · That team held their previous opponent to 7 or more points less than their season average. · The current foe last played on the road and won by double digits. |
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03-01-24 | Bucks v. Bulls UNDER 222.5 | Top | 113-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Bucks vs Bulls8 PM | United Center8-Unit Bet on the Under currently priced at 221.5 points and is valid to 219.5 points.
The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 18-8 Under for 70% winners since 2017, which was the season when NBA scoring started to climb rapidly The requirements are: · Bet the Under with the dog priced between 2.5 and 6.5 points. · That dog won 41 or fewer games last season. · The favorite did post a winning record last season. · The favorite is coming off a road win scoring 125 or fewer points. · The combined days of rest between the two teams is no more than a single day. |
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02-29-24 | Hawks v. Nets UNDER 222.5 | Top | 97-124 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
Hawks vs Nets 7:30 ET | Barclays Center 8-Unit bet Under 222.5 points and is valid to 220.5 points. Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to exploit the scoring volatility of the game and add 15% more at 224.5 and 15% more at 227.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 130-127 record for 51% SU record and 134-119-4 ATS mark good for 53% and 150-97-10 Under for 61% winning bets since 2017. The requirements are: · Bet the Under where the road is avenging a same-season loss. · The average points scored in road games by the road team added to the average points scored in home games by the home team is 2.5% greater than the posted total. · The home team has seen the Under win at least 40% of their games played. |
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02-23-24 | Clippers v. Grizzlies UNDER 223.5 | Top | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
LA Clippers vs Memphis Grizzlies 8 EST | FedEx Forum 8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 223.5 points and is valid to 221.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 41-17 Under record for 71% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on the Under. · The road team has won no more than one of their last two games. · The road team is playing the last game of a three-game road trip. · The road team has won 60% or more of their games. · The foe is playing their third straight home game. If the game occurs in the second half of 22-7 record for 76% winning bets. Clippers are 11-2 Under when facing a Southwest Divisional member this season; 14-4 Under in games where the total has been 220 or more points. Memphis head coach Jenkins is 43-18 Under when facing a team shooting 48% or better form the field in the second half of the season. |
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02-22-24 | Clippers v. Thunder UNDER 236 | Top | 107-129 | Push | 0 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
LA Clippers vs OKC Thunder 8 EST | Paycom Center The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 107-37-2 record for 74% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are: § Bet the Under with a total higher than the home team’s average total for the season. § The matchup features two teams having won 60% of their games on the season. § That team is playing just their third game having 7 or more days of rest in total. If the game takes place after the all-star break the under has gone 64-19-2 for 77% winning bets since 2016. |
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02-14-24 | Spurs v. Mavs UNDER 242.5 | Top | 93-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks 8 ET | FedEx Forum Consider betting 70% Under preflop and then look to add 15% more at 244.5 and 15% more at 247.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 36-16-1 Under record good for 69% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: ü Bet Under in games with a total price of 230 or more points. ü One of the teams (Mavs) is coming off back-to-back home wins. ü The road team is coming off a road win scoring 110 or more points. If our team (Mavs) is playing again at home the Under soars to a 23-8 record good for 74% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. |
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02-12-24 | Wolves v. Clippers UNDER 224.5 | Top | 121-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
Minnesota Wolves vs LA Clippers 10 ET | Crypto Arena 8-Unit Bet on the Under currently priced at 224.5 points and is valid to 222.5 points. Consider betting 70% preflop on the Under and then look to add 15% more of your 8-Unit amount at 228.5 points and 15% more at 233.5 points during the first half of action. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 106-70-5 record good for 60% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: ü Bet on the Under in a game where the home team’s previous total was 12 or more points higher than the current total price in their past two games. ü The home team is favored between 3.5 and 9.5 points. ü The home team has won at least 60% of their games on the season. If the opponent’s rest is greater than the home team’s test the Under has gone 22-10-1 Under for 69% winning bets. |
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02-12-24 | Nuggets v. Bucks UNDER 231.5 | Top | 95-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks 8 ET | NBA TV 8-Unit Bet on the Under currently priced at 231.5 points and is valid to 229.5 points. Consider betting 70% preflop on the Under and then look to add 15% more of your 8-Unit amount at 235.5 points and 15% more at 239.5 points during the first half of action. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 20-8 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2019 and 77-40-1 Under for 66% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: ü Bet on the Under in a matchup of teams that have won 60% or more of their games on the season. ü The total is higher than the road teams’ average total for the season. ü The road team is playing their third game with 4 or more days of rest. |
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02-05-24 | Warriors v. Nets UNDER 238.5 | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors vs Brooklyn Nets Barclays Center | 7:30 ET | NBA TV 8-Unit Best Bet Under the posted total of 237.5 points and is valid down to 235 points. The Warriors Stephen Curry scored 60 points, but that was not enough as they lost to the Atlanta Hawks on the road by a final score of 141-134 Saturday. He outscored the second and third highest scores by teammates by 43 points. Note that the Under is 22-10 for 69% winning bets following a game in which Curry was the high scorer by 21 or more points over the second and third highest teammates scores added together.
The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 59-25-2 for 70% winning Under bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under with a total of 210 or more points. Ø The home team is making 36.5% or more of their 3-point shots. Ø The game takes place in the second half of the season. Ø The Home team made 19 or more 3-point shots in their last game. Ø The foe allows 33 to 36.5% 3-point shooting. If the total is 220 or more points, the Under has gone an impressive 45-17-2 for 73% winning bets. |
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01-24-24 | Hornets v. Pistons OVER 230.5 | Top | 106-113 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons 5-Unit Bet on the Pistons -3 points and is valid up to -4.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% Over 230.5 and 15% Under at 227.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Over is the following algorithm that has gone 31-18-1 Over for 63% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are: · Bet the Over · The home team is coming off three excellent games posting a 2.5 or better assists to turnover ratio. · The guest has posted a season-to-date assists to turnover ratio below 2.
If the total in the game is between 225.5 and 239.5 points the Over has gone 16-7 for 70% winning bets since 2018. If the team on with three straight games posting an excellent 2.5 or more assist to turnover ratio has lost their last two games has seen them go 10-3 SU and ATS for 77% wins and if on a three-game losing streak they have gone 5-1 SUATS. Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers 8-Unit bet on the Bucks minus the 6.5 points and is valid to 7.5 points. After firing Adrian Griffin, the Milwaukee Bucks have reached out to Doc Rivers and are engaging him in conversations about the franchise's head-coaching job, sources told ESPN on Tuesday. Griffin had a 30-13 (.698) record, but the Bucks had dropped from fourth to 22nd in defensive efficiency from a season ago, although some of that can be attributed to the loss of All-Star guard Jrue Holiday. So, a breath of fresh air and the removal of the uncertain status of their head coach has been removed from the team culture and many times this lends itself to an outstanding first game under the new head coach or even an interim coach. The following betting algorithm has produced a 54-29 SU record and a 55-26-2 ATS mark for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on a team that has lost to the spread by a total of 47 or more points over their last seven games. · That team has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season. · The guest has a winning record. If the game takes place in the second half of the season these teams have earned a 38-22 SU mark and 29-19-2 ATS mark good for 67.2% winning bets since 2019. The following betting algorithm has produced a 33-19 SU record and a 34-17-1 ATS mark for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on a home team that has lost three or more games to the spread. · The visitor has covered the spread in 7 or more of their last 8 games. Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on Dallas at +5.5 and 15% on Dallas at 9.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Mavericks is the following algorithm that has gone 30-14-1 for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs between pick and 7.5 points. · That dog has allowed 115 or more points in each of their last five games. · The opponent has scored 115 or more points in each of their last two games. OKC Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs The following betting algorithm has produced a 70-91 SU record and a 95-65-1 ATS mark good for 60% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on road teams playing the second game of back-to-backs. · The road team has played Under by 48 or more points spanning their 10 previous games. · The host that has covered the spread by 54 or more points over their 10 previous games. If our road team is playing on the second of back-to-back games they improve to 16-20 SU and 25-10-1 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Jax State vs Middle Tennessee State MTST is 40-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams making at least 45% of their shots after the 15th game of the regular since 1997; 24-11 ATS when facing solid defensive teams allowing 64 or fewer points per game; 15-4 ATS in home games following a conference game spanning the past three seasons; 26-12 ATS when coming off two or more consecutive road losses. JAX State head coach Harper is just 4-13 ATS when the total has been fewer than 130 points. MTST head coach McDevitt is 12-3 ATS after the 15th game of the season playing at home and facing a foe that is shooting 45% or better from the field. Illinois vs Northwestern The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 158-91 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on home teams from pick-em to any size underdog. · Game is after the 15th game of the season. · The home team allows an average of 67 to 74 PPG. · Facing a foe that is averaging 78 or more PPG. · That foe is coming off two straight Over results. Northwestern plays a bit slower style of game than Illinois and having the home court advantage will allow NWU to control the tempo of the game to their advantage. This is a critical game for Northwestern and with a win puts them into the coference champion conversation and off the NCAA bubble chat. Auburn vs Alabama
The line and total for this game conveys an 83-79 Alabama win. My predictive models show an 84% probability that Auburn will score 78 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Auburn met or exceeded these performance measures in their road games has seen them go 22-3 SU and 19-4-1 ATS for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Alabama is 7-9 SU and 2-14 ATS for 13% winners in home games when they allowed 78 or more points and had the same or more turnovers in games played over the past 10 seasons. Carolina vs Boston The following NHL betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 52-30 record for 64% winners and has made 31 Units earning a 40% ROI in each of the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on road teams using the money line. · That road team has played their two previous games at home. · The home team is playing their fifth consecutive home game. |
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01-17-24 | Nets v. Blazers UNDER 221.5 | Top | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
New Jersey Nets vs Portland Trailblazers Portland is 9-1 Under when on the road and having failed to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games spanning the past two seasons. Portland is 27-13-1 Under in non-conference games over the past two seasons. Nets head coach Vaughn is 28-12 Under in road games and having lost four of their last five games for his career. From the predictive models, we are expecting Portland to score 108 or fewer points and in past games when they have has seen the Under go 50-9-1 for 85% winning bets in home games over the past five seasons. |
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01-17-24 | Wolves v. Pistons UNDER 222 | Top | 124-117 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
Timberwolves vs Pistons
Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons. This algorithm has earned a 144-92-8 Under record for 61% winning bets and if our team is the road favorite in the matchup, the Under has gone 66-33-5 for 67% winning bets and our team has gone 64-37-3 ATS for 63% winning bets since 2017. One strategy would be to bet 75% of you 8-Unit bet size on the Under preflop and then look to get the remaining 25% booked at a price of 229.5 points during the first half of action. The side strategy would be not bet 2.5-Unit amount preflop and look to get the Timberwolves at -7.5 points for the remaining 2.5 units during the first half of action. |
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12-14-23 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 217 | Top | 124-116 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Consider betting 6.5 units preflop and then look to add the remaining 1.5 units at 224.5 points during the first half of action. Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons has earned a 143-90 record good for 61% winning bets. If our team has won 40% or fewer of their games, the Under has gone 32-12-2 for 73% winners. |
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12-13-23 | Hornets v. Heat UNDER 222.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
Hornets vs Heat Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons has produced a 142-90-9 record good for 62% winning bets since 2017. If our team has a losing record, the Under has gone 52-22-4 for 70% winning bets since 2015. |
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12-09-23 | Pacers v. Lakers UNDER 243.5 | Top | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Pacers vs LA Lakers 9:00 ET 8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 231 points Betting the Under in a game with a total of 230 or more points coming off two consecutive home wins and facing a foe coming off a road win in which they scored 110 or more points has earned a solid 28-11-2 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2019. Lakers are 35-55 ATS following an ATS win over the past three seasons. They are 5-16 ATS after covering the spread in four of their last five games spanning the past three seasons. |
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12-07-23 | Pelicans v. Lakers UNDER 231 | Top | 89-133 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
New Orleans vs LA Lakers 9:00 ET 8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 231 points Betting the Under in a game with a total of 230 or more points coming off two consecutive home wins and facing a foe coming off a road win in which they scored 110 or more points has earned a solid 28-11-2 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2019. |
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11-20-23 | Heat v. Bulls UNDER 208.5 | Top | 118-100 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
Heat vs Bulls Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons has earned a 140-87-9 record for 62% winning bets since 2017. If our team is on the road in a game with a posted total of 215 or fewer points and is priced between a 3-dog and a 3-point favorite, the Under has gone 43-21-1 for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
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11-03-23 | Nets v. Bulls OVER 221.5 | Top | 109-107 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs Chicago 8:00 PM EST 8-Unit Best Bet OVER the total currently priced at 223.5 points Betting on road teams with a posted total of 220 or more points, has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games and is playing their third game in 5 days has produced a highly profitable 60-41-2 Over record good for 60% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the total is between 221 and 230 points, the Over has gone 43-19 for 69.4% winning bets. I know it sounds crazy, but as a pizza-money prop bet, consider no more than a unit for Ben Simmons to record a triple-double at +1600 as offered at FanDuel. He has played four games and is shooting 56% from the field averaging a 7.2 PPG, 10.2 Rebounds per game, and 7.5 assists-per-game. Moreover, he is averaging 31 minutes per game, which is five more minutes than he averaged last season. He looks different on the court, is playing incredible defense as he once did. In an expected high scoring game, this would be the best opportunity to get his first one of the season and let’s not forget he ranks 13th on the all-time list with 33 career triple doubles. |
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05-23-23 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 215.5 | Top | 116-99 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 58 m | Show |
Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat The Celtics gave up. Period. They scored 63 points through three quarters. A team with a high payroll and those high-priced players had no chance of containing FOUR undrafted Heat players. So, just five days ago, a franchise picked as heavy favorites to advance to the NBA Finals, and now a franchise in chaos. Blame will be assigned to many within the organization and players and moves and firings will take place. Jaylen Brown, who is just 2-for20 from beyond the arc in the first three games of this series will most assuredly be traded. He will command a $280MM extension and there will be many teams, the 76ers one of the leaders, that would welcome Brown with open arms to pair up with Maxey. So, the Celtic launched 98 shot attempts and made 40% of them in Game 3. The Heat took 81 shots and made 57% of them. The Celtics were outscored in the paint 52-42. The Celtics' biggest lead was three points and that occurred early in the first quarter. The Heat led by as many as 33 points in a game that Boston was highly expected to show up and get a huge dominating win. Thank goodness we were on the Heat again. From the predictive model, the Heat has seen the OVER post a 25-5 record for 83% cashed tickets when scoring 111 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers in home games spanning the past three seasons. |
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05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 101-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers Since 2013, the Warriors are 9-3 SU (75%) and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners when facing elimination. |
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05-02-23 | Lakers v. Warriors OVER 226.5 | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Teams in Game-1 of an NBA series that are coming off a road win in Game-7 are 12-6-1 Over for 67% winning bets. if they are the home team in Game-1, then the Over is a perfect 5-0. Betting the Over when the total is between 220 and 229.5 points with a home team that lost the previous meeting to the current foe and is coming off a road win to a divisional foe has earned a 45-19-4 Over record good for 70% winning bets since 2017, which is the year scoring in the NBA began to increase significantly. |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves OVER 224.5 | 108-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
Minnesota vs Denver From my predictive models, we learn that Denver is 74-9 SU and 59-22-2 for 73% winners when scoring 114 or more points and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons. The Wolves are just 14-62 SU and 18-58-2 ATS (22%) when allowing 114 or more points and having the weaker assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons. |
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03-27-23 | Pelicans v. Blazers OVER 226.5 | Top | 124-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
New Orleans vs Portland 8-Unit Bet OVER the posted total currently at 226.5 points |
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03-21-23 | Cavs v. Nets OVER 218.5 | Top | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Cleveland vs Brooklyn |
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02-06-23 | Clippers v. Nets UNDER 221 | Top | 124-116 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
LA Clippers vs Brooklyn Nets 4% 8-Unit bet Under the posted total currently priced at 221 points. The Nets are 15-5 Under in home games and coming off a home win in games played over the past two seasons. Kyrie Irving is now a Dallas Maverick and didn't play Saturday night, with the team citing calf soreness. With Irving off the roster and Kevin Durant missing a 12th straight game due to a sprained right medial collateral ligament, the Nets stormed back for a wild 125-123 victory over the Washington Wizards. The Nets pulled off the comeback with only eight players available as Ben Simmons (sore left knee) and T.J. Warren (left shin contusion) did not play and Seth Curry (left adductor) and Morris (sore left knee) were injured during the game as the Nets allowed 73 points by halftime. Cam Thomas scored a career-high 44 points on 16-of-23 shooting while playing 29 minutes. Nets are in a regression situation on the offensive end. Clippers have blown huge leads in each of their last two games and Kawhi Leonard made note of the need to play better defense in his press meeting. |
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10-26-22 | Lakers v. Nuggets OVER 227 | Top | 99-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
LA Lakers vs Denver Nuggets 4% 8-Unit best bet on the Under Betting the Under when the total is 210 or more points in a matchup between two teams getting outscored by 7 or more points per game has earned a highly profitable 29-19 Under record for 61% winning Under bets over the past 10 seasons. If either team allowed 1`25 or more points in their previous game, the Under then has gone 13-3 for 81% winning bets over the the past three seasons. |
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05-09-22 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 212.5 | Top | 116-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Boston vs Milwaukee 7:30 PM EDT 4% Bet on the Under In certain situations, the market does speak to the possible best bet for a total play. The Celtics are on the road and they have averaged 112 PPG in their road games this season. The Bucks have averaged 110 PPG in their home games. If the combined score of the road team and home team is greater than or lower than the posted total by 2.5% we have one of the conditions met. Why would the market price a matchup lower than what the teams average in their respecive home or road situation? Well, it points us to the Under because there must be some team circumstances, player injuries, uncertain player availability, and recency bias. The total is 4.5% or 10 points lowr than the combined score of the Celtics average road game and the Bucks average home game. Plus, we need the road team coming off a loss to the current opponent and the home team having seen the OVER win at least 45% of the ome games played in the current season. This matchup has all those conditions and situations met and the Under has earned a 125-79-2 record for 61.3% winning bets over the last 10 regular and playoff seasons. If the game identified is a playoff game and the rtoad team is a dog of 2.5 points and includes Pick-em the Under has gone 9-2 for 82% winners over the last 10 playoff seasons. |
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05-07-22 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 212.5 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks 3:30 PM EST, May 7, 2022 4% Bet Under the posted total Here is a highly profitable betting system that has produced a 83-51-3 Under record for 62% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet the Under with home teams that are coming off two consecutive games in which the games played Under the posted total by 20 or more points and with the team having won 60% or more of their games. Plus, in playoffs games and the home team seeded lower than their opponent, the Under has gone 7-3 for 70% winners. Moreover, the Under in regular and playoff seasons with a total of 210 or more points and meeting the criteria above has gone 24-12-2 for 67% winners. The markets pricing the Bucks as 2-point favorites and the total of 213 points implies a Bucks 107.5-105.5 win. My predictive models are projecting that the Bucks and Celtics will both score fewer than 105 points. In past games played in the second half of each of the last three seasons the Bucks have seen the Under go 22-1 for 96% winners when scoring fewer than 105 points. The Celtics have seen the Under go 25-2 for 93% winning bets. |
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05-03-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 227.5 | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Golden State vs Memphis 9:30 PM EST, May 3, 2022 4% Best Bet Under the Total Warriors are 43-28-1 Under when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons. Grizzlies are versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists per game this season. Betting the UNDER in a game with a total of 220 or more points, is playing their 4th game over the past 10 days and in a game involving two of the playoff contenders or playoff teams sporting win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season has earned an outstanding 75-30-3 Under record good for 71.4% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and a 45-16-3 Under record for 74% winning bets over the last three seasons. If in the playoffs spanning the last three seasons, the UNDER is 23-5-3 for 82% winning bets. |
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05-01-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 222 | Top | 117-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors 4% Best Bet OVER the posted total, currently at 220.5 and is valid up to and including 224.5 In Game-1 of an NBA Playoff series from Round two through the Finals the OVER is 20-12 for 63% wins when the home team is playing on just one day of rest and in round two Game-1's, the OVER has earned a 15-7 Over record for 68.2% winning bets. Plus, 9-3 OVER run spanning the last 10 playoff seasons. Grizzlies are on a 10-2 OVER run when having faced a team allowing 108 or fewer points I the second half of this season. Warriors are on a 23-12-1 OVER run in the second half of this season when taking on an opponent. From my predictive models, Warriors are 15-4 Over for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons in regular season and playoff games in which they and their opponents attempted 190 or more field goal attempts. The Grizzlies are 22-6-1 Over for 79% winning bets. The models alspo project that 27 or more 3-pointers will be made by these two teams. In past home games that the Grizzlies and their opponents made 27 or more 3’s and combined for 180 or more FGA, the OVER has gone 43-4-3 for 92% wins and when the Grizzlies have met or exceeded these under same projections, the OVER has gone 52-10-1 for 84% wins. |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves UNDER 229 | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
Memphis vs Minnesota 4% 8-UNIT Best Bet UNDER the posted total The following NBA betting system has earned a 31-9 Under record for 78% winning bets over the last 5 NBA seasons. Bet Under with games lined with a total of 220 to 229.5 points in games played in the second half of the season and playoffs, with a team scoring an average of 114 to 118 points, that team is coming off a loss of six or fewer points and is facing a defensive team allowing an average of 110 to 114 points per game. Memphis is 14-4-1 Under when facing an opponent that is averaging 15 or fewer forced turnovers per game in games played over the last two seasons. From my predictive models, both teams are projected to shot 45% or lower. The Under has earned an outstanding 64-12-5 record for 84% winning bets over the last five seasons in games in which they and their opponent shot no better than 45% from the field. |
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04-28-22 | Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 210.5 | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Dallas vs Utah 4% Best bet UNDER the posted total Betting the Under with a total of 205 or more points in a game involving a team that went Under the total by 25 or more points in their previous game and both teams have wo a minimum of 55% of their games on the season has earned a solid 31-15-4 Under record good for 67.4% winning bets over the last 10 NBA playoff seasons. Plus, over the past three NBA playoff seasons, this system has earned a highly profitable 17-7-4 Under record for 71% winning bets. |
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04-27-22 | Bulls v. Bucks OVER 217.5 | Top | 100-116 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
Chicago vs Milwaukee Game-5 5% Best Bet Over the posted total. This betting algorithm has produced a 45-18 record for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on teams that led by 15 or more points at the half of their previous game, the game involved has a total of at least 200 points, and the previous opponent scored 43 or fewer points in the first half of that previous game. 56% of these games played Over the posted total by a minimum of 7 points. Here are a few more situational angles supporting the Over bet. Bucks are 12-2-1 Over following two consecutive double-digit wins over divisional opponents and 44-22 Over following two consecutive wins in games played over the last two seasons. Bucks head coach Budenholzer is 49-29-1 Over following two double-digit wins. From my predictive models we are expecting the Bucks to shoot at least 48% from the field and to score at least 115 points. In past games played over the last five seasons, the Bucks are 123-30-8 for 80.4% winning bets when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. |
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04-26-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies UNDER 232 | Top | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Memphis 4% OVER the posted total Memphis is 31-22 UNDER when taking on an opponent that is a good passing team averaging 23 or more assists per game this season. Memphis is 19-8-1 Under when facing teams that are forcing 15 or fewer turnovers per game in games played over the last two seasons. From my predictive models we are expecting Minnesota to score 108 or fewer points and shoot less than 45% from the field. In past games in which the Wolves met or underperformed these performance measures has seen the UNDER go 42-12 for 78% winning bets over the last three seasons and when the total has been 230 or more points, the Under has earned a 15-4 record for 79% winning bets. |
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04-07-22 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 220.5 | Top | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Toronto 4% bet on the UNDER The Raptors defeated the Atlanta Hawks 118-108 Tuesday, which secured a playoff berth and avoids the dreaded Play-In Tournament. The victory was the 12th of their last 15 games for the Raptors, who have won two of the first three meetings against the 76ers this season. However, the 76ers are in a log jam for the 2-seed among three other teams and need this win far more than the Raptors. If the season had ended yesterday, the 76ers would be the 4-seed and would hot the 5-seed Toronto Raptors in the first round of the playoffs. The 76ers have a 3-game lead over the Raptors and have the cellar dwelling Pacers and Pistons up next to conclude the regular season. The Boston Celtics is 50-30 for the season and clinging to a ½ game lead over the Milwaukee Bucks and 76ers, both with 49-30 records. So, I fully expect this game to have a defensive playoff-type atmosphere tonight. The line opened at 215.5 points and has steamed its’ wat to a current price of 220 points with a few rogue 221 numbers appearing. I like waiting till after noon EST to see where this line may top out, which I believe will be at the 221.5 points area. My recommendation is to bet 50% of your normal 4% best amount at 221.5 points and then look to add 25% more at 222.5 points and the remaining 25% at 223.5 points. 76ers are 23-13 Under when facing a team that is allowing an average of 108 PPG in games played this season. The Raptors are 22-12-1 Under when facing a great passing team, like the 76ers, that are averaging 23 or more assists per game in the second half (after game number 41) of this season. |
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03-19-22 | Bucks v. Wolves UNDER 245 | Top | 119-138 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Minnesota 5:10 ET 4% bet UNDER the posted total, currently at 244.5 points after opening at 242.5 points. I like this bet at 244.5 points and higher. Bucks are 7-0 Under when facing teams who attempt 39 or more 3-point shots per game on the season, 8-0 Under when facing teams who make 14 or more 3-point shots per game on the season, 14-2 Under in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Here is an awesome NBA Betting algorithm that has produced a 55-17 Under record good for 76% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The requirements are to bet Under Play Under with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 and with a well-rested team, Milwaukee, playing 4 or fewer games in 10 days, and is an excellent team winning 60% to 75% of their games playing a team with a winning record. It has produced a 24-6 record good for 80% winning bets over the last three seasons and 46-14 Under record good for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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03-12-22 | Bucks v. Warriors UNDER 236.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Golden State 10-Unit “Total of the Year” UNDER the posted total. This line opened at 231.5 points and has moved up to 234.5 points making this a terrific betting opportunity for all of us. I emphasize betting opportunity, not a LOCK, or guaranteed to win nonsense. These plays hit at 65% to 70% over the course of a calendar year in All Sports and that means that they lose 30 to 35% of the time. So, as I always conclude my shows and I sincerely mean this, “bet with your head and not over it”, is mandatory. Stay disciplined and allow the wins to grind your building profits over the course of the season and not just one single day. Bucks are 24-6-1 Under when playing against a playoff-type team that is winning more than 60% of their games spanning the last two seasons. Betting the Under in games lined at 230 or more points, with a team coming off a road win and a matchup in which both teams have won 60% to 75% of their games in the current season has produced a 27-3 Under record for 85% winning bets and is a perfect 15-0 Under record spanning the last three seasons. 24 of the games bet over the last five seasons has gone Under the total by at least seven points. |
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02-27-22 | 76ers v. Knicks OVER 219 | Top | 125-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs New York 4% best bet OVER the posted total RJ Barrett will look to build off a career-high performance when the Knicks host James Harden and the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday at Madison Square Garden set to tip at 1:00 EST. RJ Barrett's career-high 46 points weren't enough on Friday for the host Knicks, who dropped a 115-100 decision to the Miami Heat. Having him back in the lineup does make the Knicks a much better offensive team. The presence of James Harden has been impressive despite being just a 1-game sample size. Still, I think the 76ers are a team that is one of the best offensive ones in the NBA and are capable of averaging 120+ points when Jarden is in the lineup. Betting the Over in a game lined between 210 and 219.5 points after going over the total by 35 or more points in their last five games (Knicks), and has a losing record on the season has earned a 85-39 Over record for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. 76ers are 43-242 Over for 64% in road games and coming off a 20+ point blowout win over the past 25 seasons, and when priced as a road favorite are 21-11-1 Over for 66% winners. |
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02-07-22 | Raptors v. Hornets OVER 225.5 | Top | 116-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Toronto vs Charlotte 4% best bet OVER the Total Raptors are 29-18 OVER when facing teams that are averaging fewer than 21 free throws per game this season. Betting the OVER with a team that is coming off two or more consecutive OVER games, is a solid defensive team allowing 104 to 108 PPG and now facing an opponent that is a poor defensive team allowing 114 to 119 PPG has earned a 57-29 OVER record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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12-01-21 | Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 216.5 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
Houston vs Oklahoma City 8:00 PM EST, December 1, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet UNDER the posted total Here is an NBA betting angle with specific parameters that has been extraordinarily consistent over 25 seasons. Bet the UNDER in a game lined between 210 and 219.5 points in a matchup of teams that struggle from long range and make no better than 33% of those shots and with both teams in the matchup having average rebound differentials between -3 and +3 for the season. Over the last 25 seasons this set of parameters has earned a 47-11 ATS record for 81% winning bets and is a perfect 16-0 over the last five seasons. |
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07-11-21 | Suns v. Bucks OVER 221.5 | Top | 100-120 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks I will get right to it and the models are heavily on the OVER in Game-3 of the 2021 NBA Finals. Betting the OVER with a home team in a game with a total of 220 or more points, that has lost three consecutive times to the current opponent and playing their fourth game in the past 10 days has earned a 74-37-3 record OVER in regular and post-season games spanning the past five seasons. If the game is a playoff game, then the OVER is a near-perfect 14-1 OVER for 93% winning bets. In addition, home favorites of not more than 4-points and including all home dogs and having no more than 4-days between their previous series game have earned a 32-10-1 OVER record for 62% winning bets. From the predictive tools, the Bucks re expected to attempt at least 90 shots in Game-3 and over the past three seasons, they are 49-28-1 OVER for 64% winning bets when playing at this fast pace. They were the fastest paced team in the NBA this season. In road games, the Suns are 31-15-2 OVER when their opponent has attempted at least 90 shots over the past three seasons. Bet the OVER as a 5-UNIT Best Bet |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks OVER 216.5 | 118-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Milwaukee vs Atlanta Game-6 I stated on a few shows that with both teams’ best player ruled out for Game-5, the Bucks had the far easier adjustment for their game plan. The reason is obvious in my opinion. The Bucks top-2 players in possession percentage (time that a player is dribbling the ball/holding the ball) are Holiday and Middleton accounting for an average 11.8 minutes-per-game. Yannis is 4th most on the Bucks. The Hawks Trey Young handles the ball nearly 9-minutes-per-gamem which is double the amount of any other player on the roster. That allowed the Bucks to get out to their fast start and won Game-5 never trailing. I expect both teams to come out playing fast in Game-6 and let’s not forget that the Bucks were the fastest paced-team during the regular season. The predictive models reflect a high probability that both of these teams will score at least 111 points. The Bucks are 11-2-1 OVER in games lined within 3.5 points on either side of pick, this season, and in which they scored a minimum of 111 points. If the game was played on the road the OVER was 7-1 for 88% winning bets. Under the same conditions, the Hawks are 20-2-2 OVER and 11-0-2 OVER in home games this season. An alternative betting strategy is to bet the OVER with 50% of your normal betting amount, and then add 25% more at 209.5 and 25% more at 204.5 points. The worst case is that the market never drops to either of those price levels, but that almost ensures the 50% OVER bet will be a winner. A -120 vig will appear often, but if you are patient you will get a -115 or lower price. Do not pay -120 vig is my advice for in-game live betting. Bet the OVER as a 4-UNIT Best Bet |
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06-06-21 | Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 128-124 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 51 m | Show |
Atlanta vs Philadelphia Sunday, 6/5/2021 1:00 PM 4-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER Getting right to the point, the UNDER sports a perfect 11-0 UNDER record in Game-1 of a playoff series spanning the past five seasons. Three seasons past, the NBA scoring average jumped from 106 PPG to 111 PPG and has inched higher in each of the last three seasons to this seasons 112.2 PPG. So, it is important that the aforementioned angle is considering only the past five seasons because previous to that slice of games, there were few playoff games with totals of 220 or more points. The 76ers will be without Joel Embiid for at least this game and clearly points to head coach Doc Rivers putting 100% of the focus on the 76ers tremendous defensive presence led by Ben Simmons and Matisse Thybulle. Simmons started Game-5 as the Center in their close-out and dominating win over the Washington Wizards. Moreover, as I had suggested for weeks on the Predictive Playbook shows (Monday through Friday starting at 4:15 ET), the 76ers finally started Thybulle and it worked better than my expectations. Atlanta’s best player is Trey Young and all season long, Simmons has been assigned to defend the best player on the opponent’s team. No doubt this will happen once again in this game and the series. Earlier this season, Simmons, defended Yannis and held him to career lows in scoring for a first half and the Bucks scored just 29 pts in that first-half of action. The Knicks are listed as the best defensive unit in the Eastern Conference, but that is before you factor in [pace-of play, which the 76ers play much faster tempo than the Knicks have this season. The 76ers are the best defensive unit by a large margin in the Eastern Conference and that defense will come to the forefront this afternoon. The Hawks are 6-1 UNDER when revenging two double-digit losses to the current opponent. |
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06-04-21 | Clippers v. Mavs UNDER 216.5 | Top | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
LA CLIPPERS (49 - 28) at DALLAS (45 - 32) Friday, 6/4/2021 9:00 PM 5-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER The American Airlines Arena in Dallas, Texas, will be filled with passionate Maverick fans, but the LA Clippers will still be considered the favorites in this Game-6 Elimination game despite trailing 3-2 in the series. Granted, 2-points is not much of a road favorite, and I do see the Mavericks as undervalued by the betting markets. The last time the first five games of an NBA playoff series went to the visitors was the 1994-95 season Western Conference finals between the San Antonio Spurs and Houston Rockets, which the Rockets did win 4-2 and then went on to sweep the Orlando Magic in four games for the NBA Championship. Houston won on the road by 21 points at San Antonio and then closed at the series in Houston in Game-6 by the final score of 100-95. The following NBA Betting angle is one of my more complex mathematical gems, but it is not that difficult to understand. What matters I that the angle has won 68% of the UNDER bets made over the last five seasons on a remarkable 74-35-2record. Bet the under with a road team playing with revenge. The road team’s average points scored in their road games added to the opponents average points allowed in their home games is 2.5% greater than the posted total. The UNDER has won the money in at least 50% of the opponent’s home games on the season. This set of game parameters has gone an incredible 20-2-2 for 91% winning UNDER best in the 2020 season including winning the last 10 games. This season, Dallas is 17-3 UNDER when facing an opponent that is making 48% or more of their field goal attempts; 10-3 UNDER when facing teams making at least 39% of their 3-point shot attempts and 6-2 UNDER since the mid-point of the 2020 regular season. |
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05-31-21 | 76ers v. Wizards UNDER 230 | Top | 114-122 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
PHILADELPHIA (52 - 23) at WASHINGTON (35 - 42) Monday, 5/31/2021 7:00 PM Game-4 First Round 4-UNIT Best Bet UNDER the posted total. The 76ers certainly have dominated this series over the first three games and there is little reason to believe this series will extend beyond tonight’s game. However, the UNDER is the preferred best bet to make. Betting on the UNDER with all teams where the total is 230 or more points after having won four or five of their last six games, and is playing no more than their 6th game in the past 14 days. The 76ers are 13-3 to the UNDER when on the road in a game with a total of 230 or more points over the past three seasons. Over the past 25 season, the 76ers are 18-4 UNDER in Game-4 of a playoff series. The Wizards are 15-7 UNDER coming off a double-digit loss this season. Bet the UNDER in Game-4. If the total is below 230, it does not invalidate this bet. So, even if it is 228 points, for instance, the bet is on the UNDER. |
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05-29-21 | 76ers v. Wizards UNDER 228 | Top | 132-103 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
SATURDAY, MAY 29TH, 2021 7:00 PM ET Game 3: PHI leads series 2-0 76ers @ Wizards Capital One Arena, Washington, DC The 76ers have dominated the Wizards through the first two games and there is no reason not to expect that domination again here in Game-3. The 76ers are the best defensive team in the NBA, in my opinion, and will focus even more attention on the defensive end in this road game. This season, the 76ers are 13-4 UNDER when facing an opponent that averages a minimum of six or more made 3-point shots-per-game OR attempts an average of 18 3-point shot attempts-per-game. Betting the UNDER in a playoff game with a total of at least 225 or more points and one of the teams averages at least 7 steals-per-game has earned a 27-17-1 UNDER record good for 61% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. Plus, 76ers are 15-4 UNDER in a road game and coming off an UNDER game this season. Ben Simmons and Matisse Thybulle are two of the best defensive players in the NBA. Simmons is a definite contender for the Defensive Player of the Year award and Thybulle’s defensive measures are insanely good because he is averaging about 20-minutes-per-game. His minutes are increasing in the playoffs and despite being a guard, he is averaging a series-leading 3.5 blocks-per-game. In addition to his defensive prowess, Simmons has averaged a triple-double in this series averaging 12 assists-per-game, 12 rebounds-per-game, and 14 PPG. Simmons is very strong 6-11 point guard and Bradley Beal has admitted that it is much more difficult to score poinnts when he is defended by Simmons. My machine learning applications are ex[ecting no more than 88 shot attempts by the 76ers. They are 18-6 UNDER for 75% winning bets, this season, when they have attempted no more than 88 shots. Bet the UNDER in Game-3 |
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05-25-21 | Lakers v. Suns UNDER 209.5 | Top | 109-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
LA LAKERS (43 - 31) at PHOENIX (52 - 21) Tuesday, 5/25/2021 10:00 PM Western Conference - First Round – Best-Of -7 - Game 2 4-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER The Lakers are: 30-12 UNDER when facing 3-point shooting teams making 36% or more of their attempts this season. 13-4 UNDER when facing elite shooting teams making 48% or more of their shots this season. Bet the UNDER with any team where the total is greater than or equal to 205 points, after going under the total by more than 22 points in their previous game, a good team with a win percentage between 60% to 75% and is playing a team with a winning record. This system has earned a 78-30-8 UNDER for 72% winning bets over the last three seasons. If the total is 225 or lower, the record has been 52-21-6 for 71% winning bets over the last three seasons. If the game is taking place in the playoffs, the record has been 10-5-2 UNDER over the last three seasons. So, here is one of my more advanced betting angles that has produced a 107-48-6 UNDER record good for 69% winning bets. The average points scored in road games by the road team and the average points scored by the home team in their home games is at least 2.5% greater than the current posted total, and the team (Lakers) lost the previous matchup, and the opponent (Suns) has seen the UNDER win 40% or more in their home games on the season. |
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05-23-21 | Hawks v. Knicks UNDER 213.5 | Top | 107-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
ATLANTA (41 - 31) at NEW YORK (41 - 31) Sunday, 5/23/2021 7:00 PM 5-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER Betting the UNDER in a game with a total between 210 and 219.5 points and a team is coming off back-to-back double-digit home wins and revenging a loss to the current opponent, who scored 112 or more points in that loss has earned a solid 34-11 UNDER record for 76% winning bets. Betting the UNDER in the following situational betting system has earned a highly profitable 25-11-1 record for 70% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Bet UNDER in the first game of the Round 1 playoffs in which the previous matchup between the two teams went OVER the posted total. If the total has been 210 or more points, the record has been 11-3 UNDER for 80% winning bets. From the predictive metrics, the Knicks are 65-24-1 UNDER for 73% in home games in which their opponent shot 47% or lower from the field and shot 37% or lower from beyond the arc in games played over the last five seasons. |
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05-23-21 | Lakers v. Suns UNDER 213.5 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
LA LAKERS (43 - 30) at PHOENIX (51 - 21) Sunday, 5/23/2021 3:30 PM 4-UNIT Best Bet UNDER the posted total The Lakers are: 25-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. 29-12 UNDER facing 3 point shooting teams making 36% or more of their attempts this season. 34-16 UNDER facing teams scoring an average of 112 or more points-per-game (NBA League Average) this season. 14-1 UNDER after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season. Betting the UNDER in the following situational betting system has earned a highly profitable 25-11-1 record for 70% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Bet UNDER in the first game of the Round 1 playoffs in which the previous matchup between the two teams went OVER the posted total. If the total has been 210 or more points, the record has been 11-3 UNDER for 80% winning bets. |
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05-15-21 | Bulls v. Nets OVER 233.5 | Top | 91-105 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Chicago Vs Brooklyn 1:05 PM EST, May 15, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the OVER For the first time in 41 games, the dynamic trio of Harden, Irving, and Durant will play together for the Nets as they seek to avoid slipping to the third playoff slot. The Bucks, currently in the third seed, own the tie-breaker over the Nets. So, the strategy will be quite interesting for the later game between the Miami Heat and the Bucks. No team in the East wants to face the Heat in the first round. It is likely the Nets win this game over the Bulls and then we will see how Milwaukee chooses to play this out. There are two scenarios we could see unfold later on Saturday. First, the Bucks playing to win and putting the pressure back to the Nets to play a full lineup Sunday against Cleveland. Second, the Bucks could elect to rest Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton against the Heat and accept the No-3 seed. Nevertheless, the Nets must win this game first, to force the chess matchup to continue with the Bucks. The OVER is supported by an outstanding NBA betting angle that has produced a 22-5-1 OVER record for 82% winning bets spanning the last three seasons. Bet the OVER with a team coming off back-to-back games in which they achieved an elite 2.75 or higher assist-to-turnover ratio, and the gamne is lined at 234 or more points. Even with a total of at least 230 points, the record is still a strong 36-15-2 for 71% winning bets over the last three seasons. We saw last night, the OVER, in the Warriors vs Pelicans game easily eclipse the total of 220 points. The final score was a 125-122 Warriors win without Steph Curry in the game. The news that he was not playing, sent the total plummeting from an opening price of 230 points to 220 points. Betting against these market moves has been a very successful strategy this season. So, if there is news that the big-3 are not playing does not invalidate the strength of this Total. |
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05-02-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 243.5 | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs Milwaukee 3:30 PM EST, May 2, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the OVER Based on this matchup, the final score may see well over 250 total points scored. Betting the OVER with a home team where the total; is greater than 200 points that is outscoring their opponents by an average of at least 6 or more PPG on the season and facing a foe that is coming off a brutal loss of 15 or more points has earned an outstanding 7-32-1 SATS record for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. In the 2020 NBA season , betting the OVER in games with a total of at least 235 points has earned a remarkable 51-25 record for 67% winning bets. If the total was 240 and higher, the OVER has earned a 17-6-1 ATS for 74% winning bets this season. When the Bucks have been at home with a total of 235 or more, the OVER is a perfect 7-0 ATS. In road games and a total of at least 235 points, the OVER is 7-1 in Nets road games. |
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04-19-21 | Jazz v. Lakers UNDER 215 | Top | 111-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Utah vs the LA Lakers 10:00 PM EST, April 19, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER the posted total Here are a few quick hitter supporting the UNDER. Lakers ar e16-6 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 25-12 UNDER when playing against a team ytjhat is scoring at or above the league average of 111 points-per-game; 12-4 UNDER when facing solid rebounding teams that are averaging at least three more rebounds than their opponents this season. Betting the UNDER with road teams involved in a game lined between 210 and 219.5 points, playing their sixth game in the last 10 days, and revenging a road loss to the current opponent has earned a 62-30-2 record for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. Take the UNDER |
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03-17-21 | Nets v. Pacers UNDER 234.5 | Top | 124-115 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs Indiana The total opened at 229.5 points and has seen continuous bets being made on the OVER. The price has increased 4-points and now becomes an even better value bet on the UNDER and is definiltey a contrarian bwet, which I always like quite a bit. Indiana is 33-12 UNDER in home games when facing teams that are allowing 110 or more PPG over the last three seasons. Betting the UNDER with a total of 230 or more points, with a team that has won foiur or more of their last six games and is playing their fourth or fewer game in the last 10 days as earned bettors a 95-46-2 UNDER record for 67% winning bets in games palyed over the last 25 seasons. |
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02-03-21 | Wizards v. Heat OVER 228 | Top | 103-100 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Washington vs Miami Washington owns the worst win percentage record in the NBA in large part because they have been playing without their two stars in Bradley Beal and Russell Westbrook. Miami defeated Washington on January 9 by a 128-124 score and both Beal and Westbrook did not play in that game. So, the matchup lends itself to a higher scoring pace with the winner having at least 120 points. On Tuesday night, Westbrook put up a triple-double and Beal scored a game-high 37-points including six 3-pointers made, but it was not enough as Washington lost to the Portland Trailblazers 132-121. Note that Westbrook is doubtful for this game tonight and being given the night off. Betting on the OVER in game that has a total line ranging between 220 and 229.5 points with a team coming off two days of rest and a game in which 225 points were scored and now facing an opponent coming off a scoring fest with 235 or more points scored and playing on back-to-back nights has earned a 29-15-4 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the last 7 seasons. A 230-point total and Miami favored by 8-points implies a 119-111 Miami win. My machine learning applications confirm that Miami will score at least 121 points and will have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. When Miami has scored 121 or more points and had the better ATR ratio has produced a remarkable 23-1 OVER record for 96% winning bets in non-overtime games played over the last seven seasons. |
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01-19-21 | Pelicans v. Jazz OVER 217 | Top | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
New Orleans vs Utah 9:00 PM EST, January 19, 2021 Betting OVER the posted total between 210.5 and 219.5 points with a team that is on the road and has gone OVER the total by 30 or more points over their last five games and has a losing record on the season between 40 and 49.9% has earned a solid 27-14 OVER for 65.9% winning bets spanning the last five seasons. The system has not posted two consecutive losses (UNDER) over the past five seasons. The previous game that this system was active as a loss with the host Lakers defeated the Pelicans 112-95 going UNDER the 218.5 point total. New Orleans PG Lonzo Ball is lined as questionable for this game with a knee injury. Utah has two players in SF Joe Ingles and F Juwan Morgan listed as questionable. This TOTAL bet is based on Ball not playing. So, if he does surprisingly play tonight, would make the OVER more likely to win. From the machine learning applications we discover that Utah is 32-2 SU and 23-8-3 OVER for 74.2% winning bets over the last five seasons. 4% Best Bet OVER |
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09-09-20 | Raptors v. Celtics OVER 209 | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Toronto Raptors bs Boston Celtics 6:30 PM EST, September 9, 2020
The Raptors are also 28-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last six games in games played over the last two seasons. From the machine learning tools the Raptors are projected to score a minimum of 111 points and get 12 to 16 offensive rebounds, and have a TO differential of not more or less than 3 of the opponent. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone to earn a 60-14 straight-up (SU) record and 52-21-1 ASTS mark for 721.2% winning bets and the ‘OVER’ is 64-10 for 87% winning bets. So, play a 7-Star amount on Toronto plus the points and a 5-Star amount on the ‘OVER’. Then as an optional consideration place a reverse action parlay Toronto with the points and the ‘OVER’ which pays 4:1. |
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09-04-20 | Bucks v. Heat OVER 222.5 | Top | 100-115 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Milwaukee vs Miami 6:30 PM EST, September 3, 2020 From the machine learning tools the Heat are 40-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season. The Bucks are 34-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season. Here is a betting system that has earned a solid 47-22 ‘OVER’ record for 68% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and instructs us to bet ‘OVER’ with any team in a game that has a total of 210 or more points and is on a 6 or more game win streak and has played just five games in the past 14 days. |
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08-24-20 | Pacers v. Heat OVER 217 | Top | 87-99 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat August 24, 6:30 PM EST The NBA database queries reveal several supporting situational betting systems that have all earned high winning percentages. This betting system has earned a solid 47-19 ‘OVER’ record for 72% winning tickets and instructs us to bet the ‘OVER’ with any team in a game with a total between 210 and 219.5 after scoring 120 points in their last game and with the opponent coming off a game where 235 points were scored and each team playing the current game with 1-day of rest each; and when these games have been playoffs games, the ‘OVER’ is 16-4 for 80% wins and have gone over the total by an average of 12 points. |
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08-22-20 | Lakers v. Blazers UNDER 224.5 | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers
Let sus tart with a highly successful betting system that has earned a 41-19 ‘UNDER’ record for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting system query instructs us to bet the ‘UNDER’ with a 200 or higher total and after the team has gone under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games and is facing an opponent that went under the total by at least 24 points in their previous game. Obviously, this system applies to both the Trailblazers and the Lakers. When the system is active in a playoff game the ‘UNDER’ has gone 15-5 for 75% winning bets. From the machine learning tools, the Lakers are 18-5 ‘UNDER’ when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game this season; 11-1 ‘UNDER’ when shooting 43 to 47% form the field and scoring 60% of their points in the paint. |
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08-21-20 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 217 | Top | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
Boston vs Philadelphia
6:30 PM EST, 08-21-20
Embiid must not take 3-point shots as I tweeted in Game 2. When he takes more than THREE 3-pointers the 76ers record is terrible and when he takes 3 or fewer their record is quite good. That stat is not random either. When Embiid wants to post or use the block to score easy two foot shots and dunks it opens up the perimeter. The point is that supports the ‘UNDER’ is that Tatem must be contained tonight fi the 76ers have any faint hopes of making this a series. Here is an outstanding betting system that has earned a 42-18 record for 70% winners over the last five seasons. The system query instructs us to play ‘UNDER’ with any team after beating the spread by 42 or more points spanning their last seven games and has earned a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season and is facing an opponent with a win percentage between 51 and 60%. 19-10 ‘UNDER’ for 66% winners in the playoffs since 2007. Take the 76ers + Celtics to play ‘UNDER’ as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-17-20 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 230 | Top | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers
9:00 PM EST, 08-17-20
In the playoffs in the first game of a series the ‘UNDER’ is 9-0 and going under the posted total by an average of 18 points when the total is at least 225 points, the team made 46% or more of their regular season FGA and are coming off a game making 12 or more 3-point shots. This series is going to be much closer than most observers believe possible and in large part because the Mavericks have one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA that has scored a league-leading 8,776 points in 75 games played. Dallas lives by the 3-point shot and 46% of their total shots attempted have been from beyond the arc ranking second-most in the NBA. Only the Rockets rank higher and by a wide margin with 50% of their shot attempts being from long range. However, the Mavs made 37% of their 3’s while the Rockets made a below league-average 34.5%. The Rockets and Mavs led the league averaging a 15.2 foot shot attempts while the league average was 13.9 feet. The Clippers ranked 18th averaging 13.8 feet per shot attempt. Dallas has excellent ball handling skills and moves the ball on offense extremely well resulting in open shot attempts. The same can be said of the Clippers as well, but they are not quirte as good as the Mavs in the assists-to-turnover ratio on the season. The Clippers rank 19th forcing an average of 14.1 opponent turnovers-per-game. The lack of a high-pressure defense the likes of Toronto, for instance, will allow Dallas to move the ball well and get the best shot. Given that both teams will looking to get the best shot available with each possession implies that far more shots will be attempted with 10 or fewer seconds left on the shot clock. Moreover, the Mavs rank 22nd averaging just 11.72 fast-break points per game, so expect many more than average half-court offensive sets from the MAVS. However, on missed shots, the MAVS must get back on defense and minimize Clipper fast break scoring opportunities. The Clippers do look to run off of missed shots, especially missed 3-point shots, which tend to be further from the rim. The Clippers rank 11th averaging 13.7 fast break PPG. Take the ‘UNDER’ for a 7* Best Bet Titan |
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08-17-20 | Nets v. Raptors OVER 221 | 110-134 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors I do not think Raptors head coach Nick Nurse gets the credit he deserves. He won the World Championship with Leonard and now is looking to repeat without the Superstar. Many of the team metrics, especially defensive ones, are even better than last season. Focus has been there (unlike the Lakers, for instance) going 7-1 in the Bubble and fully prepared to go for the back-to-back Championships. Raptors have won three of the four meetings this season against the Nets and all four games occurred before the stoppage. Teams that have defeated the current playoff opponent in 3 of the last 4 meetings and are installed as 9.5 favorites or more are 70-6 SU for 92%. So, this is not a recommendation to use the money line, but a dominant set of situations showing why the Raptors will come up in dominating form right from the opening tip. Teams that sport a 70% or higher win percentage (Raptors 73%) and facing a team with a losing record have earned a 40-24 ATS mark good for 63% winning bets and when favored by at least 9.5 points have earned a 20-11 ATS mark for 65% winners. Despite already having the NBA-best overall defense, they are also best averaging 19 fast break points per game. They also rank 11th-best allowing opponents to score an average eof 12.7 fast break points per game. The machine learning tools project that the Raptors will score at least 111 points and shoot at least 50% from the field. Playoff teams that are favored by at least 9.5 points and have met or exceeded these measures are 35-1 SU and 27-9 ATS for 75% winning bets. In addition, the ‘OVER’ is 14-1 for 93% since 2016. Take the Raptors for a 7-Star Best Bet Titan, 5-Star Bet ’Over’ the total and no more than a 3-Star reverse parlay using the Raptors and the ‘OVER’. |
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08-15-20 | Grizzlies v. Blazers UNDER 232.5 | Top | 122-126 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trailblazers
2:30 PM EST, 08-15-20
The Memphis Grizzlies are a solid 21-10 ‘under’ when facing teams that attempt 18 or more 3-point shots in games played in the second half of this season. So, after game 42 and of course the eight bubble games. Scoring has been up in the ‘bubble’, but this game is going to take on a slower paced style of play given what is at stake for both teams. Memphis knows how to defend the pick-and-roll that was used by Portland saw Lillard score 61 points. Memphis will look to take that out of the Portland offense as often as possible and force other players to make shots. As a result, each possession will see more passes than what has been normal in the bubble games that winds the shot clock down into single digits. Memphis is also a near-perfect 12-1 UNDER in road games when playing eight or more games in 14 days over the last two seasons. This trend is meaningful despite being a neutral court setting as even neutral means ‘not at home’. Machine learning projects that the Grizzlies will get at least 55 total rebounds and will out rebound Portland by at least 5. IN past games in which the Grizzlies met or exceeded this par of measures the ‘UNDER’ has earned a solid 33-12-4 ‘UNDER mark good for 74% winning bets. Take the 'UNDER' for a 7* Best Bet Titan |
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01-20-20 | Pacers v. Jazz OVER 215 | Top | 88-118 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
Indiana Pacers vs Utah Jazz 9:05 PM EST, January 20, 2020
From the predictive side of my research, the Pacers are 10-2 ‘over’ when their opponent has made 40 to 45% of their 3-point shot attempts in games played this season; 12-1 ‘OVER when they have allowed an opponent to score 111 or more points in games played this season. Utah is a near-perfect 17-1 ‘OVER’ when they score 112 or more points in a game this season. |
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01-13-20 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 217 | Top | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
Chicago vs Boston Boston is 29-11 UNDER after a huge blowout win by 30 or more points since 1999. Chicago is 40-17 UNDER for 70% when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last three seasons. |
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10-23-19 | Grizzlies v. Heat UNDER 214 | Top | 101-120 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
UNDER Memphis vs Miami 7:35 PM EST, October 23, 2019 7-Star play on the UNDER (214) Here is the summary from the machine learning projections. The Heat will have between 13 and 17 turnovers, Memphis will also have between 13 and 17 turnovers, and the Heat will shoot under 65% from the free throw line. In past home games in which the Heat achieved (actually underperformed) these performance measures they have earned a 32-15 UNDER record good for 69% wins and covered the spread by an average of 8 points. Simple situational query here as the UNDER is 57-20 for 74% winning bets in games where both teams had a previous season win total between 32 and 40 games and are not in the same conference. |
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06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 212 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
7-STAR WAGER ON THE TORONTO RAPTORS (531) AND A 7-STAR ON THE ‘UNDER’ Ther recommended strategy is to play a 7-Star amount on the side and total each. Then consider a reverse parlay using the side and total with an amount not to exceed a 4-Star amount. The reverse parlay pays 4:1 and offers a great risk-reward profile based on the summary projections fro the machine learning network. Teams that are up 3 to 2 in the playoffs and lost Game-5 at home in the previous game are a solid 10-3 SUATS winning the game by an average of 8.4 points and covering the spread by an average of 8.1 points since 2003 From the machine learning side of the ledger the Raptors are projected to have a maximum of 13 turnovers and will make the same number or more three-point shots than Golden State and with the Raptors shooting not higher than 46% from the field. In past games where the Raptors have achieved these performance measures in away games they have earned a 52-37 SU record good for 58.4% wins and a 65-22-2 ATS record for 74.7% wins + covered the spread by an average of 5.5 points. The ‘UNDER’ is 11-2 for 85% when meeting these performance measures since 2016. In home Warriors games where they have met these performance measures and for the most part underperformed they have gone 27-44 for 38% SU losing the game by an average of 7.7 points and 24-44 ATS for 35% and failing to cover by an average of 4.2 points. The ‘UNDER’ is 48-19-4 for 72% and covering the total by an average of 9.5 points. Since 2016, the Warriors are 3-5 SU, but an imperfect 0-7-1 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 10.8 points and the ‘UNDER’ is 7-1 for 88% and has covered the total by an average eof 17.9 points. |
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05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 220.5 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports 10-Star Wager on the ‘OVER’ in the Golden State Warriors (589) Versus Houston Rockets in Game-3 of the Western Conference Semifinals set to start at 8:30 PM ESTThe machine learning summary projections call for the Warriors to score at least 111 points, have the more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio (ATR) and out rebound the Rockets by at least 7. In past road games where the Warriors have met or exceeded these performance measures has delivered a 27-8-1 ‘OVER’ record for 77% wins and went over the posted totals by an average of 11 points. Teams that have lost their two previous playoff games against the same opponent and had an assist-to-turnover ratio =2 are 7-1 ‘OVER’ since 2014 season. |
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04-15-19 | Nets v. 76ers UNDER 226 | Top | 123-145 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports 7-Star Wager on the ‘UNDER’ in the Philadelphia 76ers versus NY Nets Game-2 playoff game set to start at 7:05 PM EST.This database situation has earned a 47-20 record for 70% wins since 1996 and instructs to play ‘UNDER’ the total line with any team when trailing in a playoff series and is a good team with a win percentage between 60% to 75% and playing an opponent with a lower win percentage between 51 and 60%. The 76ers are projected by the machine learning tools to get at least 58 boards and that both teams will shoot under 45% from the field. In past 76ers games where these parameters are met or exceeded the UNDER is 8-2 covering the total by an average of 15.7 points. |
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04-13-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets OVER 211 | Top | 101-96 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports 7-STAR WAGER PLAYING THE ‘OVER’ IN THE SAN ANTONIO VERSUS DENVER NBA PLAYOFF GAME SET TO START AT 10:30 PM EST The 7-seed Spurs are taking on the 2-seed Denver Nuggets in the first round of the NBA playoffs. The Western Conference is deep in talented teams from top to bottom and we are likely to see many more upset wins in games this season than in previous ones. This play, is on the total and the machine learning summary projections call for 224 or more points to be scored. The current line is at 211-points. The Spurs are 14-5 OVER in road games when facing good shooting teams making a minimum of 46% of their shots this season; 17-7 OVER in road games when facing good shooting teams making a minimum of 46% of their shots in games played after game number 41 over the last 2 seasons; 16-7 OVER in road games when facing up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots per game this season. The summary projections call for both teams to attempt at least 180 shots, score a minimum of 105 points each, shoot at least 46% from the field, and at least 37% from three-point territory. In past games where the Spurs have shot 46% from the field and 37% from beyond the arc, the ‘OVER” has earned a 483-248-14 record for 66% wins since 1996. When Denver has been performing at the same level, the ‘OVER’ has earned a 353-108-14 record for 77% wins since 1996. When the Spurs have achieved these measures in playoff games, the ‘OVER’ is a solid 16-5 ATS for 76% wins since 1996 and 7-1 for 89% since the 2011 season. |
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02-26-19 | Celtics v. Raptors OVER 226 | Top | 95-118 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
JOHN RYAN SPORTS 1.The Play and How to Play It 7-Star wager on the OVER in the Boston-Toronto matchup set to start 8:05 PM EST. 2.Machine Learning Projections and Outcomes Toronto is 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) in home games where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season. Both teams are projected to connect at a minimum rate of 38% from beyond the arc and make a minimum of 80% of their free throw shots. In past games where the Celtics have met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a 34-10 OVER mark for 77% covered by an average of 16 points. Under the same performance measures, the Raptors have earned a 56-11 OVER record for 84% and covering the total by an average of 16 points. 3.Data Base Situational Queries Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development This database situational query covers the spread at nearly 74.4% for a 58-20 OVER record spanning the last 22 seasons. Play Over with all teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) in a game involving two average defensive teams allowing between 43.5 to 45.5% and after 42 or more games have been played, and in a game involving two average rebounding teams posting a team differential ranging between +3 and -3 rebounds per game. |
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02-07-19 | Spurs v. Blazers OVER 225.5 | Top | 118-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Thursday, February 7, 2019 San Antonio at Portland
Play a 7-Star wager amount on the OVER in the San Antonio-Portland (584) matchup in NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM EST. 2. Machine Learning Projections and OutcomesProjections calls for the Trailblazers and Spurs to score more than 230 The following precedents support the OVER Spurs are 14-1 OVER (+12.9 Units) in road games when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season; 14-1 OVER (+12.9 Units) in road games where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season; 23-4 OVER (+18.6 Units) when they score 112 or more points in a game this season. 1. Data Base Situational QueriesOur vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This DB situational query has gone 93-36 ATS for 72.1% over the last 5 seasons. Play Over the total with all teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) after a combined score of 225 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more. |
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01-28-19 | Warriors v. Pacers OVER 228 | Top | 132-100 | Win | 100 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Monday, January 28, 2019 1. The Play and How to Play It7-Star wager on the OVER in the Golden State at Indiana Pacers matchup set to start at 7:05 PM EST. 2. Machine Learning Projections and OutcomesMinimum projections call for 235 points to be scored. The following data precedents equate with the projections produced by the ML Algorithms. Golden State is a robust 19-10 OVER in up-tempo games where they attempt 88 or more shots this season. The average score was GS 123.3, Opponent 115.1 Golden State is 18-3 over (+14.7 Units) when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season. The average score was golden state 122.4, opponent 122.8 Golden State is 13-5 over (+7.5 units) when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game this season. The average score was Golden state 120.9, opponent 113.7 Golden State is 25-4 over (+20.6 units) where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season. The average score was golden state 126.2, opponent 117.8 Golden State is 25-9 over (+15.1 Units) when they score 112 or more points in a game this season. The average score was Golden State 126.1, opponent 113.2 1. Data Base Situational QueriesOur vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This DB query has earned a 54-16 record for 77% over the past 22 seasons. The query parameters are to play OVER the posted total where the total is 220 to 229.5 points and involves two average defensive teams allowing 43.5-45.5% shooting and after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 rebounds-per-game) after 42 games have been played in the regular season. Indiana is 8-1 OVER when the shooting percentage between them and the opponent has been a narrow difference between +2.5 and -2.5% and with them shooting a minimum of 48% from the field and has covered by an average of 27 points. |
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01-18-19 | Grizzlies v. Celtics UNDER 208 | Top | 116-122 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Friday, January 18, 2019 Play a 10-Star wager amount playing the UNDER (current price of 208.5 points) in the NBA matchup between the Boston Celtics and Memphis Grizzlies. (634), 2. Machine Learning Projections and OutcomesProjection calls only one team to score 100 or more points and with a total of 200 points combined. Memphis is 12-5 UNDER coverig by an average of 8 points when shooting 32 to 37% from three-point range and shooting 41 to 45 from the field overall. Boston is 17-6 UNDER when they have allowed an opponent the aforementioned shooting measures over the past 2 seasons. 1. Data Base Situational QueriesOur vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This query resulting in a 32-7 UNDER mark for 82.1% spanning the last 5 seasons. Play UNDER with home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 and is a good team outscoring their opponents by 3 to 7 PPG after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games and is now facing an average team posting a scoring differential between 3 and -3 PPG. This query has gone UNDER the posted total by an average of 9.3 points. |
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01-06-19 | Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 213 | Top | 105-121 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup UNDER (571) INDIANA (26 - 12) at TORONTO (29 - 12) Sunday, 1/6/2019 7:35 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the UNDER, which is currently priced at 213 points. SIM Projections and Results Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. Pacers have been shooting the ball extremely well making at least 50% of their shots in five of the last 6 games. Teams that have been this hot and then take to the road installed as a DOG have seen the UNDER go 13-7 for 65% since 2016. In addition, when the host has had zero rest (playing on B2B nights), the UNDER has cashed in 15 of 21 games since 1995. |
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01-03-19 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 225 | Top | 135-134 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup
UNDER (272) Houston Rockets (9 - 3) at Golden State (9 - 3)HOUSTON (21 - 15) at GOLDEN STATE (25 - 13) Thursday, 1/3/2019 10:35 PMSIM grading and Recommended StrategyPlace a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the UNDER, which is currently priced at 225-points. SIM Projections and ResultsWarriors are 17-2 UNDER in home games when their opponent has attempted between 81 and 87 shots since start of the 2017 season. Rockets are 16-7 UNDER when playing on the road and attempting between 81 and 87 shots since start of 2107 season. Our vast NCAAM and NBA databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This query has earned a 42-9 mark playing the UNDER since 1998. Play Under with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 after a win by a minimum of 10 points and now facing an opponent after 2 straight wins by a minimum of 10 points. |
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12-22-18 | Bucks v. Heat OVER 217 | Top | 87-94 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
The Play and the Matchup OVER Milwaukee - Miami (529) MILWAUKEE (22 - 9) at MIAMI (14 - 16) Saturday, 12/22/2018 8:05 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy SIM Projections and Results Bucks are a solid32-12 OVER (+18.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons; 27-10 OVER (+16.0 Units) after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-06-18 | Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 216 | Top | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup UNDER Houston – Utah (705) HOUSTON (11 - 12) at UTAH (12 - 13) Thursday, 12/6/2018 10:35 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the UNDER, which is priced at 216-points. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Rockets are 28-4-2 UNDER covering by an average of 12.3 points when they score between 101 and 106 points since the start of the 2016 season. Jazz and Rockets are projected to shoot 45% or lower from the field and will combine for 30 or fewer fast-break points. In Utah games where these performance measures have been satisfied, the UNDER has gone an impressive 39-5 for 88.7% and covering by an average of 16.7 points. |
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12-03-18 | Wizards v. Knicks UNDER 229 | Top | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup UNDER Washington – New York (503 - 504) SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the ‘UNDER’, which is priced at 229 points. SIM Projections and Results Washington is 44-25 UNDER when they have allowed opponents to make 41 to 45% of their shots. Both teams are expected to shoot under 45% and when the Wizards have been part of these games and installed as a road dog, the UNDER has gone 161-37-6 for 81.3%; 13-1-2 for 93% since the start of the 2015 season. This DB query has attained a 28-3 ATS record good for 90% since 1996 Play UNDER with road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 after 1 or more consecutive wins and is a struggling team winning 25 to 40% of their games and now playing a team with a losing record. |
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11-02-18 | Clippers v. Magic UNDER 217 | Top | 120-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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10-30-18 | Blazers v. Rockets UNDER 223.5 | Top | 104-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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05-24-18 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 218.5 | Top | 94-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
ustrates why this based on fact and zero conjecture. John Ryan Sports Research Report OVER The Matchup GOLDEN STATE (68 - 28) at HOUSTON (75 - 21) Start Time Thursday, 5/24/2018 9:05 PM SIM grading 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager on the OVER, which currently is priced at 219 points. SIM Matching Game Situations Warriors are a solid money making: 30-15 OVER when shooting between 50 and 54% in a game since 2016. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. College Basketball went 81-63 ATS for 56.3% winners. NCAA Tournament Plays went 13-6 ATS for 63%. NCAA Basketball record from March 1. 26-12 ATS for 68.4% 14-5 ATS mark for Top-Rated 10-Star College Hardwood Titans. NBA since March 1 28-16 ATS for 64%. NBA Playoffs 16-8 ATS 67%. NBA 10-Star plays 9-4 ATS for 69.2%. MLB 10-Star plays 4-0 or $4,000.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager. MLB 2018 season 18-19 and 0.52 units or $362.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ wager. |
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05-23-18 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 206.5 | Top | 83-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report UNDER The Matchup CLEVELAND (60 - 37) at BOSTON (65 - 33) Start Time Wednesday, 5/23/2018 8:35 PM SIM grading 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager on the UNDER which is currently priced at 206 points. Game Intelligence Discussion Points
Play Under withHome teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 and is a solid team posting a scoring differential of 3 to 7 PPG and is facing a team with a 3 to -3 PPG differential, after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. College Basketball went 81-63 ATS for 56.3% winners. NCAA Tournament Plays went 13-6 ATS for 63%. NCAA Basketball record from March 1. 26-12 ATS for 68.4% 14-5 ATS mark for Top-Rated 10-Star College Hardwood Titans. NBA since March 1 27-16 ATS for 63%. NBA Playoffs 15-8 ATS 65%. NBA 10-Star plays 8-4 ATS for 67%. MLB 10-Star plays 4-0 or $4,000.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager. MLB 2018 season 18-17 and 2.52 units or $1764.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ wager. |
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05-07-18 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 204.5 | Top | 92-103 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1 The Play OVER Game 4 The Matchup BOSTON (62 - 30) at PHILADELPHIA (56 - 34) Start Time Monday, 4/28/2018 6:05 PM SIM grading 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager on the ‘OVER’, which is currently lied at 204 ½. Game Intelligence Analytics In the playoffs the ‘OVER’ is 21-11 when a team has won 8 or more ATS in their last 10 playoffs games and is facing an opponent that is suffering a 3-game losing streak. SIM Matching Game Situations The ‘OVER: is a solid money making: Boston is 23-10 OVER (+12.0 Units) versus good offensive teams scoring 106+ points per game - 2nd half of the season this season. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. College Basketball went 81-63 ATS for 56.3% winners. NCAA Tournament Plays went 13-6 ATS for 63%. NCAA Basketball record from March 1. 26-12 ATS for 68.4% 14-5 ATS mark for Top-Rated 10-Star College Hardwood Titans. NBA since March 1 24-15 ATS for 62%. NBA Playoffs 12-7 ATS 63%. NBA 10-Star plays 7-4 ATS for 65%. MLB 10-Star plays 4-0 MLB 2018 season 15-17 47% -1.79 units.
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04-21-18 | 76ers v. Heat OVER 213.5 | Top | 106-102 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
JOHN RYAN SPORTS RESEARCH REPORT
@JOHNRYANSPORTS1 The Play Start Time SIM grading Recommended Strategy
Game Intelligence Analytics 60-22 since 1996 for 73.2%, 3580 per $100 wagered.
Play Over with any team (MIAMI) after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games. 486-357 over the last 5 seasons for 57.7%, +9330 per $100 wagered.
This query improves to 130-90 ‘Over’ for 59% when team is playing at home.
SIM Matching Game Situations Supporting the ‘OVER’ Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. College Basketball went 81-63 ATS for 56.3% winners.
NBA since March 1 18-9 ATS for 67%.
MLB 10-Star plays 2-0
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03-25-18 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 216.5 | Top | 108-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: UNDER The Matchup: PORTLAND (44 - 28) at OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 30) Start Time: Sunday, 3/25/2018 7:05 PM SIM grading:7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Recommended Strategy:Place a 7-star wager on the UNDER using the line. The current line shows the UNDER at 216 points. Game Intelligence Analytics Play Under with all teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PORTLAND) after 2 or more consecutive losses, in March games. 218-157 since 1996 for 58.1%, $4530 per $100 wagered. SIM Matching Game Situations UNDER Portland is 23-13 UNDER (+8.7 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game this season. PORTLAND is 433-371 UNDER (+24.9 Units) in games where they commit 13 to 17 turnovers since 1996. OKC is 50-33 UNDER (+13.7 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. OKC is 42-27 UNDER (+12.3 Units) when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. OKC is 49-33 UNDER (+12.7 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. OKC is 34-20 UNDER (+12.0 Units) in home games in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL and have propelled our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017.
Here are the current records for March and season-to-date 13-4 ATS mark for the Top-Rated 10 Star College Hardwood Titans. 10-5 ATS NCAA Tournament; 22-11 ATS since March 1. 4-2-2 ATS in the NBA since March 1 |
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03-24-18 | Wolves v. 76ers OVER 223 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: OVER The Matchup: MINNESOTA (42 - 31) at PHILADELPHIA (41 - 30) Start Time: Saturday, 3/24/2018 6:05 PM SIM grading:7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Recommended Strategy:Place a 7-star wager on the ‘OVER’ using the line. The current line shows the total line installed at 223 points. SIM Matching Game Situations Favoring the OVER 30-13 OVER (+15.7 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. 36-15 ATS when they are installed as home favorite. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL and have propelled our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017.
Here are the current records for March and season-to-date 12-4 ATS mark for the Top-Rated 10 Star College Hardwood Titans. 8-5 ATS NCAA Tournament; 20-11 ATS since March 1. 3-1-2 ATS in the NBA since March 1 |
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01-28-18 | Pistons v. Cavs OVER 217 | Top | 104-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: OVER The Matchup: DETROIT (22 - 25) at CLEVELAND (28 - 19) Start Time: Sunday, 1/28/2018 6:05 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the OVER. The current line shows the total lined at 216 points. It always is prudent to shop for the best line available. There will be games we lose by the hook and games we win by the hook. Over the course of the season and a calendar year spanning all major sports, the wins and losses by the hook will more than offset each other. So, simply wager the games we release at the line you can get and keep your focus on grinding out profits over the long-term and never just one single day or even week of results.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play Over with Road teams. Where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT). After allowing 120 points or more in previous game. And now facing an opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games. 50-23 over the last 5 seasons for 68.5% and having made $2470 per $100 wager SIM Matching Game Situations Cleveland 29-9 OVER (+19.1 Units) when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. 20-9 OVER (+10.1 Units) when they make 78% to 83% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also 18-8 ATS for 71% winners in College Hoops and on a 7-4 ATS run in the NBA. |
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12-05-17 | Wizards v. Blazers UNDER 202 | Top | 106-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: UNDER Washington- Portland (705 and 706) Start Time: Tuesday, 12/5/2017 10:05 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the ‘UNDER’ using the total line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 30-9 ‘under’ hitting 77% winners and has made $2,010 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play ‘under’ with home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PORTLAND). And is a good team posting a +3 to +7 PPG differential. And is now facing an average team posting a PPG differential between -3 and +3. And after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games. 61.5% of these plays went ‘under’ the total by at least 7 points. SIM Matching Game Situations The SIM projects that both teams will shoot below 41% from the field. Since the start of the 2013 season, in game splayed involving the trailblazers where both teams shot below 41% for the game, the UNDER has gone 22-4 for 84.6% winners. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 36-15 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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