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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-27-23 | Twins v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
8-Unit best bet on the OVER in the Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves matchup starting Tuesday. Betting the OVER with a NL team that is scoring between 4.3 and 4.6 RPG and starting apitcher with a 1.200 or lower WHIP and facing an AL team starting a pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or lower has earned a solid 36-20-3 record good for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons. Since 2016, there has been just one losing record season and that was in 2018 when it went 5-6, which is barely losing.  |
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06-27-23 | Reds v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
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Orioles vs Reds |
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06-25-23 | Nationals v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
Washington vs San Diego |
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06-25-23 | Mets v. Phillies -163 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Zack Wheeler will be on the hill for the Phillies and he is 6-4 in 15 starts with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.114 WHIP including 20 walks and 98 strikeouts spanning 88 innings of work. He has pitched remarkably well over his last three starts posting a remarkable 0.47 ERA and a 0.776 WHIP including four walks and 19 strikeouts spanning 19 1/34 innings of work. |
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06-25-23 | Twins -133 v. Tigers | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Detroit |
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06-17-23 | Reds +107 v. Astros | Top | 10-3 | Win | 107 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
10-UNIT Best Bet on the Cincinnati Reds to defeat the Houston Astros using the money line.  |
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06-12-23 | Marlins v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Miami Marlins vs Seattle Mariners  |
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06-10-23 | Red Sox +113 v. Yankees | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Red Sox vs Yankees Red Sox ranks 6th scoring 4.98 RPG, 7th in total bases, 6th in hits per game, and first in doubles per game. With the elimination of the defensive shift, doubles have become even more valuable than the home run. Doubles get men instantly in scoring position, can already have scored men and put themselves in scoring position, or can dictate the start to a multiple-run scoring inning. So, this is a monumental advantage for the Red Sox in this series. |
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06-10-23 | Dodgers v. Phillies +101 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
Los Angeles vs Philadelphia |
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06-10-23 | Diamondbacks v. Tigers +115 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
Arizona vs Detroit 8-Unit Bet on the Detroit Tigers using the money line |
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06-07-23 | Royals v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres (Wednesday) This is on eof the thirty-three betting situations that comprise the fully automated and 100% OBJECTIVE betting portfolio that has been selling for just $99.00 for the rest of the MLB season and since you are already a subscriber, I will take off another $20 bucks today only and the cost to you is a paltry $79.00 for all of baseball to the all-star break! From the predictive models we are expecting the Mariners and Padres to each have at least one multiple-run inning and for the starters to combine for fewer than 11 innings of work, In past road games, the Over is 156-24-3 for 87% winning bets when the Mariners have met these performance measures and in home games, the Padres are 128-21-5 Over for 86% winning bets. |
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06-04-23 | A's v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
Okland vs Miami There are many statistical aberrations each MLB season that moves the market and value of the teams that offer highly profitable betting opportunities. The A’s have been outscored by 210 runs on the season, scoring an anemic 201 runs while allowing 411 runs. The following betting system exploits specific opportunties betting against these teams in games played in June. The system supports bets on the Overs and has earned a 10-4-1 record for 71.4% winning bets. The requirements are to bet the Over with a team that is favored by no more than –195 on the money line and facing a foe that has been outscored by 150 or more runs with the game played in the month of June.  The Starting Pitchers in this Matchup The Marlins will have their ace, Sandy Alcantara, on the hill, and has struggled mightily this season. He threw an enormous number of pitches over the past two seasons and has the most complete games of any other starter in MLB. He has posted a 2-5 record in 11 starts with a terrible 5.06 ERA and a 1.269 WHIP including 25 walks and 60 strikeouts spanning 69 1/3 innings of work. Since pitching a complete game 9-0 shutout against Minnesota on April 4, he has allowed two earned runs in nine consecutive starts. Alcantara maintains an electric fastball that ranks in the 95th percentile of all starters, but the movement and spin rates are down from his average amounts this season. This is reflected in the fact that he is allowing a 41% hard hit percentage, which is the highest since his rookie season. Don’t ever forget that the A’s despite having just 12 wins have MLB caliber players on their roster. They would not be at this level or even Triple-A ball if they were not talented players. So, I do see the A’s scoring a few runs today facing Alcantara.  Paul Blackburn will be on the hill for the A’s and making his second start of the season. He was the starting pitcher in the A’s 7-2 win over the Braves. His fastball averages 91 MPH and has an array of other pitches that keep batters on their toes. My take is to watch the first inning or two and look for the Marlins to be looking to take his offerings to the opposite field. If they are, and there is no score at the end of the first inning, then adding an additional bet on the Over using the money line is an exceptional opportunity. The Betting Strategy for this Game My plan is to bet 60% preflop Over the posted total currently offered at 7.5 runs paying –115 vig by FanDuel. If the first inning is scoreless then the total will drop to 7 or preferably 6.5 runs. I will add 20% more at a price of 6.5 runs. Then if the scoring continues to be anemic and we will get a chance to bet Over 5.5 runs at any point during the first five innings. If the scoring erupts., then we will not get the 20% remaining bet placed, but we will have 80% placed at exceptional price levels. Player Props I am Betting Pizza Money On When I mention a pizza money bet, it is just that, betting the cost of a single pizza $15 to $25 depending on how toppings you may like on your pizza. Points is these are small bets, but ones that will add to your total profits over the course of the season. Bet Sandy Alcantara Over 2.5 earned runs allowed +127 at Caesars |
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05-31-23 | Yankees +130 v. Mariners | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Betting on any AL team that is batting no better than 0.260 for the season and has scored seven or more runs in three consecutive games has earned a highly profitable 154-94 averaging a –103 wager and earning a 17.25% ROI since the start of the 2004 season. If our team is priced as the dog, the record improves to 54-46 averaging a +139 wager and earning a 26% ROI. Moreover, if our dog is priced between 125 and 175 on the money line, they get even better producing a 26-15 record averaging a +151 wager and earning a 59% ROI. The Dime bettor has made $67,200 betting on this situational system and has not had a losing season ever.  Here is a second situational betting system that has earned a 58-25 record averaging a +142 wager and earning an outstanding 33% ROI. The requirements are to bet on road dogs between 125 and 175 that is facing a starter in solid form posting a WHIP of 1.100 or lower spanning his last ten starts and has posted as 1.100 or better WHIP for the current season.  |
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05-23-23 | A's +220 v. Mariners | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
Oakland A’s vs Seattle Mariners  |
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05-23-23 | Giants v. Twins OVER 8 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Minnesota |
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05-23-23 | White Sox +120 v. Guardians | Top | 4-2 | Win | 120 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
CWS vs Cleveland |
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05-19-23 | Cubs v. Phillies -122 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -122 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies The Cubs will have Marcus Stroman on the hill, who has posted a 2-4 record with a 3.24 ERA and 1.18 WHIP including 19 walks and 47 strikeouts over 50 innings pitched. The Phillies will counter with Ranger Suarez, who will be making his secod start of the season after returning from the injury list. He allowed three earned runs over four innings of work in the loss to the Coloardo Rockies. The Phillies are 19-11 in home games when on a two game losing streak averaging a –137 wager when Bryce Harper has had two or fewer hits over his two previous games played spanning the last three seasons. When Harper and fellow teammate Kyle Schwarber are coming off a game in which both had no more than a single hit, the Phillies are 24-13 averaging a –136 favorite in home games played over the past three seasons.  A Highly Profitable Situational Super System The following situational super system has produced a 75-39 record for 66% winning bets averaging a –115 wager and earning a highly profitable 24% ROI over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet on any team winning between 45 and 50% of their games that has lost four or five of their last six games and is playing a struggling team winning between 40 and 45% of their games.  Drilling deeper into the data if the guest is a divisional foe the record soars to 44-16 for 73% winning tickets averaging a –117 wager and earning a 37% ROI over the past five seasons. Bet the Phillies Friday. |
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05-15-23 | Twins v. Dodgers -112 | Top | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Minnesota vs LA Dodgers Betting on teams that allowed two or fewer runs in each of their past two games and facing a foe coming off a slugfest in which 15 or more runs were scored has earned a 52-32 record averaging a –100 bet and earning a 17% ROI over the past five seasons. If our team ws the host, the record soars to 33-9 for a 44% ROi over the past five seasons. |
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05-15-23 | Mariners v. Red Sox +107 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Seattle vs Boston |
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05-15-23 | Angels v. Orioles +115 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
LA Angels vs Baltimore Orioles Only five current players on the Orioles roster have faced Ohtani but have batted a combined 0.500 against him. Adam Frazier has 8 at bats and four hits, Cedric Mullins is 2-for 3 with a homerun and Anthony Santander is 2-for-2 with a home run.  Baltimore’s bullpen is far superior to the Angles. They allow 31% of inherited runners to score. The Angels pen allows 50% ranking third worst in MLB.  Betting on home teams priced between a 125 dog and –125 favorite that have won four of their last five games in the first game of a series has earned a 28-16 record for 64% and earning a highly profitable 27% ROI in games played over the past five seasons. |
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05-05-23 | Orioles v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Baltimore vs Atlanta 8-Unit best bet on the Braves using the –1.5 Run line  |
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05-05-23 | Twins v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Cleveland |
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05-05-23 | Red Sox +139 v. Phillies | Top | 5-3 | Win | 139 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
Red Sox vs Phillies 8-UNIT best Bet on the Red Sox using the money line currently at +125 The 76ers will be hosting the Celtics a few hundred yards from Citizen’s Bank Park at the same time so the atmosphere will be more than just festive. However, the Phillies are not closing games well and the Red Sox offense has been steadily getting better and more consistent since the start of the season. Again, we are betting numbers and not mascots and not if the other’s city’s NBA franchise is playing at the same time. It is noteworthy however.  Boston is scoring 6.1 RPG and batting .286 against RH starters and over the past seven days has averaged 7 RPG and batted 0.350. So, Wheller will have his hands full even if he is in top form tonight |
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04-18-23 | Cubs v. A's +170 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Chicago Cubs vs Oakland A’s |
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04-18-23 | Twins v. Red Sox -105 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Boston  |
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04-18-23 | Phillies -117 v. White Sox | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs CWS Phillies skipper Thomson is 23-7 making 16 units on the money line when his team has lost four or five of their last 6 games. Phillies are 45-25 making 19 units following a game in which the bullpen did not allow an earned run in games played over the past two seasons. The CWS will have Lance Lynn on the hill and he is nowhere close to top form sporting a 7.31 ERA and 1.625 WHIP over his three starts and is now facing the strongest hitting team in the NL and perhaps all of baseball in the Phillies. |
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04-14-23 | Angels -110 v. Red Sox | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
LA Angels vs Boston Red Sox |
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04-14-23 | Guardians -151 v. Nationals | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
Cleveland vs Washington |
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04-11-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -136 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -136 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Miami vs Philadelphia Situational Betting Angles Betting on home favorites up to and including –155 on the money line in a divisional matchup and not the first game of a series, that are coming off a game priced as a home dog in which they scored at least 5 runs in a single inning and won the game are 43-22 for 66.2% winning bets averaging a –127 wager, making the Dime bettor a profit of $16,125 for a robust 22% ROI. Aaron Nola led the league with a remarkable strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 meaning he recorded more than 8 strikeouts for every free pass he issued on the season. His ERA was 3.25 over 32 starts, but had a 2.58 fielding independent pitching stat. The fact that the FIP is significantly lower than his true ERA reflects an above average of plays, like errors and dropped third strikes, that he had no control over while on the mound. So, he was even better than many of his metrics and I believe he will steadily pitch better over his remaining starts in Aril and start off May in Cy Young-contender form. Bet the Phillies. |
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04-03-23 | Twins -119 v. Marlins | Top | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
MLBÂ |
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10-12-22 | Phillies v. Braves OVER 7 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Atlanta 4% 8-Unit best bet OVER the total There could be several rain delays in this game and it may finish after the Dodgers and Padres game is complete. I think that adds to the Over probability and although remote do not be surprised if one of these managers opts in with an opener if the radar looks bad enough so that an imminent rain delay will occur within the first three innings. Phils are 52-30 Over following a win this season. Braves are 12-3-1 Over in home games when the total has been 7 or 7.5 runs this season.  From the predictive mode, games that saw both teams use 9 or more pitchers in the playoffs and had a total between 7.5 and 8.5 runs saw the Over go 124-82-4 for 60% winning bets over the past five seasons. If either of the starters did not walk a batter in their previous start the Over has soared to 36-20 record good for 65% wining bets over the past five playoff seasons. |
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10-11-22 | Guardians +180 v. Yankees | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
Cleveland vs Yankees 4% 8-Unit best Bet on the Guardians using the moneyline The New York Yankees dominated the Cleveland Guardians during the regular season winning five of six meetings, but all six games took place in the first half of the season when the Yankees dominated everyone building a 15.5 game lead in the AL East standings on July 8. The Yankees had the 17th best record of the 32 teams with a 38-40 record from July 9. The Guardians had the second-best record in MLB since July 9 with an outstanding 55-29 record. The Yankees’ Aaron Judge masked many of the fundamental flaws his team possessed, but in the playoffs those weaknesses are revealed. MLB Betting and Money Percentages Currently, the Yankees are getting the bulk of the public betting interest with 67% of the tickets bet on the Yankees. However, those Yankees bets only account for 24% of the money bet reflecting that the ‘sharps’ (large bettors) are on the Guardians. The 43% difference between ticket and money percentages is by far the highest on the board with the other three games all less than 10% differentials. Situational Trends and Angles ·      The Guardians are 29-15 making 14 units on the moneyline when facing an AL opponent allowing 4.4 or fewer runs per game and is batting .255 or lower in games played in the second half of this season. o   The under in this situation has earned a 27-15-2 record good for 64% winning Under bets. ·      The Guardians are 40-19 making 21 units on the moneyline when facing a team that is averaging .6 or fewer errors per game in games played in the second half of this season. |
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10-07-22 | Padres +137 v. Mets | Top | 7-1 | Win | 137 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
San Diego vs NY Mets 4% 8-Unit Bet on the Padres using the moneyline Betting on road underdogs between +125 and +175 coming off a loss to a divisional rival priced as a favorite, starting a pitcher that walked no more than a single batter in each of his last two starts has earned 73-62 record for 54% averaging a +142 wager and earning a 30% ROI since the 2004 season. If it is the first game a series in the regular and playoff seasons, these dogs have gone 45-33 avg a +145 wager and a 40% ROI. |
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10-07-22 | Mariners v. Blue Jays OVER 7 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Seattle vs Toronto 4% 8-Unit bet Over the posted total Toronto is 20-8-1 Over in home games after batting .315 or better over their last five games in games played over the past two seasons; 14-5 Over following a game in which their bullpen blew a save; 60-27 when the total has been 7 or fewer runs. Seattle us 15-5 Over in road games when facing an AL starter with a 1.100 or lower WHIP in games played over the past two seasons. |
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10-07-22 | Phillies +100 v. Cardinals | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
Phillies vs Cardinals  With the Phillies second ace Aaron Nola in top form and scheduled to pitch Game 2, the Cardinals must win Game 1 and defeat Zack Wheeler. The Cardinals were the last team in the playoffs to name their Game 1 starter and surprisingly they elected to go with left-hander Jose Quintana. The Phillies went 28-18 for 61% wins and 13-7 for 65% since the all-star break when facing a left-handed starter ranking 6th best in MLB. After eight MLB seasons, Wheeler, will make his first career playoff start today. Since joining the Phillies to start the 2020 season, Wheeler has earned a 30-19 record in 69 starts and has posted an ERA of 2.92 or lower in each of those seasons and finished second in last season's Cy Young Award voting.  The one fundamental fact that I like most about the Phillies is that they rank best in the NL with 20.1% of their hits, including home runs, hit to the opposite field. The Phillies will be successful against Quintana by going with the pitch and hitting to all parts of the field, especially with men on base. Last, the Phillies made it to the playoffs while playing in the NL East division that had two teams, the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets, win 101 games. The Cardinals played in the NL Central that had two teams, the Cincinnati Reds, and Pittsburgh Pirates each lose 100 games. The NL East had a 413-377 record while the NL Central posted a weak 377-433 record, which was the worst divisional record this season. Phillies are 9-1 making 11 units in road games and coming two games in which they were outhit by 7 or more.  |
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09-14-22 | Dodgers -125 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
LA Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 4% 8-Unit best Bet on the Dodgers using the money line Dodgers are scoring an average of 5.4 RPG on the season, 6.6 RPG over their last seven games, and the bullpen has been popwerful sporting a 1.40 ERA and a .983 WHIP over their last seven games. The Snakes are scoring 4.4 RPG on the season and 4.4 RPG over their last seven games with a bullpen in shambles sporting a horrid 8.06 ERA and a 1.925 EWHIP over their last seven games.  Snakes skipper Lovullo is 40-94 losing 55 units on the money line after a game scoring no more than single run. |
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09-13-22 | Dodgers -190 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
LA Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 4% 8-Unit best Bet on the Dodgers using the money line Betting on all favorites in a NL matchup with a moneyline between –175 and –250 starting a strong pitcher [posting an ERA of 3.75 or lower for the season and is a team that is batting .255 to .270 for the season and is facing a very good starter posting an ERA of 3.00 or lower for the season has produced a 32-8 record averaging a –194 moneyline bet and producing a 33% ROI since the start of the 2016 season.  |
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09-13-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox 4% best bet Under the posted total Betting on the Under when the total is between 8.5 sand 10 runs in games played in September with and AL road teams that are starting a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.100 or lower on the season has earned a 72-39-7 record good for 65% winning bets and a nice juicy 27% ROI since the start of the 2017 season. |
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09-13-22 | Orioles v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Baltimore vs Washington 4% 8-Unit Best Bet Over the posted total  Betting the OVER when it is between 7 and 8.5 runs with a toad team starting a pitcher that allows.5 or fewer home runs per start and now facing an opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after five or more starts on the season has earned an 84-58-6 record for 62% winning bets over the last 15 seasons and a nice 25% ROI. |
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09-07-22 | Marlins v. Phillies OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies 5% 10-UNIT MAX Best Bet on the OVER Please be disciplined with these 10-UNIT MAX Bets and resist the temptation to ‘go for it’ based on my 11-2 MLB 10-UNIT Max Best Bet Record. Deal? Great! The Phillies hold a 9-5 edge in 14 games played against the Marlins and have won seven of the past eight games. Marlins skipper Mattingly holds a 49-29 Over record in road games played in September and 34-20 Over when scoring two or fewer runs in three consecutive games and 28-13 Over in road games facing elite fielding teams averaging .5 or fewer errors per game. The Phillies are 37-24 Over as a home favorite between –125 and –175 and 53-34-5 OVER for 61% when lined as a home favorite between 120 and –200 over the last three seasons. Phillies are 20-12 Over as a home favorite and coming off a win against a divisional foe in which they allowed two or fewer runs and playing that same foe again in the current game.  From the predictive models, we are expecting the Phillies to score in at least three innings and with two of those three innings being multiple run innings. In past home games in which the Phillies met or exceeded these performance measures saw the Over post a 93-14-2 record good for 87% winning bets over the past five seasons and a remarkable 19-1 OVER for 95% winning bets just this season alone.  |
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09-06-22 | Braves v. A's +1.5 | Top | 10-9 | Win | 118 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Atlanta Braves vs Oakland A’s 4% 8-Unit bets best on the A’s using the +1.5-run line Betting against road favorites using the run line with a money line price between a 130 dog and 255 favorite and with a total of  8 or fewer runs that is averaging a minimum of 4.5 RPG on the season and is coming off two consecutive games allowing no more than one run in either game has produced a 65-47 record, but has averaged a 116 Run Line bet producing an 18% ROI over the past five seasons. Oakland is 22-11 making 14 unit son the run line when facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by at least 0.5 RPG in games played in the second half of each of the past two seasons. |
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09-06-22 | Mets v. Pirates +1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 110 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
NY Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4% 8-Unit bets Bet on the Run Line with the Pirates An alternative strategy and the way I will be betting this game is to place a 2% amount on the moneyline and a 2% 4-Unit amount using the run line. Betting on home teams that are scoring 3.8 or fewer RPG and has been hitting poorly at .215 or worse over their last 15 games and now facing a good team with a good bullpen that has posted an ERA of 3.75 or lower on the season has earned an outstanding 90-59 record good for 60% winners, averaging a +115 dog and producing a 35% ROI over the last 25 seasons. |
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09-01-22 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks +120 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 120 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Arizona  4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Arizona Diamondbacks using the money line Brewers are 8-15 losing 21 units when facing a NL team that is batting .245 or lower in games played in the second half of this season. Diamondbacks are 22-10 making 16 units in home games when facing a NL foe with an OBP of .315 in the second half of each of the past two seasons. Arizona is 9-2 making 8.7 units following a game that had a combined score of 17 runs over the past three seasons. |
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08-31-22 | Red Sox +112 v. Twins | Top | 6-5 | Win | 112 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Boston vs Minnesota 4% 8-Unit best bet on the Red Sox using the money line. The Red Sox will have Michael Wacha on the hill and he is 10-3 making 7.7 units on the moneyline in games pricing his team between a –125 favorite and +125 underdog. Twins are 20-30 losing 17 units on the moneyline after playing five or more consecutive home games spanning the past two seasons. Twins skipper Baldelli is 14-20 losing 17 units on the moneyline following a five-game stretch in which his bullpen had an ERA of 2.00 or lower.  |
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08-31-22 | Dodgers +150 v. Mets | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
LA Dodgers vs NY Mets I am betting the Dodgers on the moneyline s a 4% 8-Unit bets bet Wednesday The Dodgers are 38-9 making 21 units on the moneyline when facing a team that averages seven or more strikeouts per game in the second half of this season. The Dodgers starter Anderson is 10-2 making 11 units on the moneyline when facing a team that has outscored their opponents by .5 or more runs-per-game in starts made over the last two seasons. Anderson is 18-5 making 14 units on the moneyline following a start in which he allowed no more than one earned run in starts made over the past two seasons.  |
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08-31-22 | A's -105 v. Nationals | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
Oakland A’s vs Washington Nationals 4% bets bet on the A’s using the money line Betting on AL road teams that are starting a pitcher with a season-to-date ERA between 4.70 and 5.70, that are taking on a host, who is batting no better than .250 for the season and with the game being not the first or last game of the series has earned an outstanding 29-11 record good for 73% winning bets averaging a +120-underdog bet and producing a 62% ROI spanning the last 25 seasons and is a perfect 4-0 over the past three seasons.  |
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08-25-22 | Rockies +1.5 v. Mets | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Colorado vs New York Mets 4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Colorado Rockies using the +1.5-run line For this game, I am splitting into two bets with the Rockies as a 1% 2-unit wager on the money line and a 3% 6-Unit wager on the +1.5-run line getting +160 or more. Since 2004, favorites of –400 or more in a game with a total between 7 and 8.5 runs has seen that favorite go 19-8, but by averaging a –432 wager has lost 15 units resulting in a -23% ROI. In the same scenario, these huge favorites have gone 13-11 averaging a –205 bet using the –1.5 run line resulting in a –20% ROI since 2004.  Rockies are 30-16 making 14 units on the moneyline revenging a loss in which they scored no more than a single run in games played over the last two seasons.  |
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08-25-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
Toronto vs Boston 4% 8-Unit best bet Over Betting Over the total when priced at 9 or 9.5 runs with a team, Blue Jays, that has posted an OBP of .300 or lower spanning his last 15 games and is starting a pitcher that allowed no more than one earned run in his previous start has seen the Over go 135-78 for 64% winning bets over the past 5 seasons.  Jays are 31-16 Over when facing a starter that is averaging 1.75 or fewer walks per start in games played this season.  |
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08-25-22 | Cardinals v. Cubs +102 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
St. Louis vs Chicago 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Chicago Cubs using the moneyline. Betting on teams lined between a –125 favorite and a +125 underdog that are coming off an upset win over a divisional foe by six or more runs has produced a 52-26 record averaging a 110-dog bet producing a 37% ROI over the last five seasons. If the previous win had our team priced as a 135 or greater underdog the record soars to 25-11 averaging a 107 wager and producing a highly profitable 45% ROI over the last five seasons. Bet the Cubs. |
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08-24-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox +136 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Toronto vs Boston 4% 8-UNIT best bet on the Red Sox on the money line 4% 8-UNIT best bet UNDER the total Toronto is 7-15 when playing their fifth or more game on the road this season. Betting on underdogs of at least +150 on the money line, scores an average of 4.4 to 4.9 RPG on the season, following a loss of at least six runs, and now facing an AL opponent that is starting a pitcher that has an ERA between 4.75 and 5.75 on the season has earned a 17-17 record, but by averaging a +173 moneyline wager has produced a highly profitable 40% ROI over the last 20 seasons. Over the past five seasons, these dogs are 6-1 averaging a +177 dog producing an amazing 141% ROI. The Under is 7-0 in these games |
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08-24-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
Toronto vs Boston 4% 8-UNIT best bet on the Red Sox on the money line 4% 8-UNIT best bet UNDER the total Toronto is 7-15 when playing their fifth or more game on the road this season. Betting on underdogs of at least +150 on the money line, scores an average of 4.4 to 4.9 RPG on the season, following a loss of at least six runs, and now facing an AL opponent that is starting a pitcher that has an ERA between 4.75 and 5.75 on the season has earned a 17-17 record, but by averaging a +173 moneyline wager has produced a highly profitable 40% ROI over the last 20 seasons. Over the past five seasons, these dogs are 6-1 averaging a +177 dog producing an amazing 141% ROI. The Under is 7-0 in these games |
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08-24-22 | Reds v. Phillies -235 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Reds starter Zeuch pitched against the Phillies for the first time in his career on Aug. 16, when he allowed six runs on 11 hits in four-plus innings. He was sent back to the minors on Sunday before being brought back on Tuesday. The Reds also called up catcher Chuckie Robinson and outfielder Stuart Fairchild from Louisville, and catcher Michael Papierski was shipped to the minors. Matt Reynolds (hip) was placed on the injured list. When Robinson makes his debut with the Reds, he will be the 58th player to appear in a game this season. That would set a franchise record. The Reds management is clearly looking at debuting many of their top-level minor league prospects and why not, since they have been out of playoff contention for months. Interim Phillies manager Thomson is 19-3 when facing a team that is averaging 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game and 22-5 when facing a NL foe that has a .390 and lower slugging percentage. Phillies are 30-12 following three or more consecutive home games this season and 18-5 when playing their 6th consecutive game home this season. I am on the Phillies tonight. |
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08-23-22 | Reds v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
MLB had one best bet Monday and it came through on the winning side as the Philadelphia Phillies knocked off the Reds. Here is tonight’s best bet featuring a pair of situational angles with one nailing down winners at a 75% clip.  |
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08-20-22 | Astros v. Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves 5% 10-UNIT MAX Best bet on UNDER the posted total Austin Riley hit a three-run homer off Lance McCullers Jr., Kyle Wright won his 15th game to tie for the NL lead, and the Atlanta Braves defeat the Houston Astros 6-2 on Friday night in the teams' first meeting since last year's World Series. The Braves have the third-best record at 30-14 since July 1 and are 18-9 since the all-star break. They have won 10 of their last 11 games. Teams that have won 10 of their last 11 games and are home favorites of not more than –145 have seen the Under produce a 22-12 record goof for 65% winners over the last five seasons. From my predictive models we are expecting both starters to complete a combined total of at least 12 innings in this matchup. In past games occurring after the all-star break and with both teams having won 60% or more of their games on the season has seen the Under produce a 22-8-1 Under record good for 73% winning bets over the last 15 seasons and is 5-1 Under over the last three seasons. |
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08-19-22 | Nationals +1.5 v. Padres | Top | 6-3 | Win | 140 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Washington Nationals +270 vs San Diego Padres -330 The Washington Nationals are arguably the worst team in MLB, but they were heroes last night as they were my best bet on the MLB Angle of the Day show. This quick-hitting video can be seen Monday through Friday and always features a highly profitable time-tested situational angle and system that you can track and use for your own betting opportunities. The Washington Nationals are my bet again tonight when they host the San Diego Padres and are priced as enormous underdogs. Situational Trends and Angles The following situational betting trends and angles support a bet on the Marlins in this matchup. The Padres are 27-46 losing 40 units on the moneyline when facing an NL team that is batting .250 or lower in games played in the second half of each of the last two seasons The Nationals are 7-2 making 11 units on the moneyline following two consecutive Under results in games played this season. The Padres are 5-10 losing 11.1 units on the moneyline in home games after allowing four or fewer runs in three consecutive games this season. I am going to the window betting the Nationals on the +1.5 run line +140 as offered at FanDuel. |
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08-19-22 | Royals v. Rays OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay Betting the Over in games with a total of 7 or fewer runs in a game played on Friday or is the first game of a series and with a struggling bullpen sporting an ERA of 7.00 or higher over their last 10 games has produced a 39-15-1 Over record good for 72% winning bets over the last 25 MLB seasons.  |
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08-19-22 | Mets v. Phillies -117 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -117 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies  These NL East divisional rivals begin a four-game series that potentially determine their playoff fates. Betting on home teams that are outscoring their opponents by at least 0.5 RPG following a game in which they were shutout has earned an outstanding 100-41 record for 71% winning bets and producing a 26.4% ROI over the last five seasons.   Aaron Nola has been one of the best pitchers in baseball and if not for the remarkable season that Sandy Alcantara has put in, would be a contender for the Cy Young award. His season-to-date stats are among the best and he has walked the fewest batters per start in the Majors. His strikeout to walk ratio ranks tops in MLB.    |
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08-05-22 | Yankees v. Cardinals +137 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 137 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals 5% MAX 10-UNIT best bet on the St. Louis Cardinals using the money line Ok, so just a reminder not to extend the amount bet on this 5% MAX Best Bet, especially on the reason that I am 9-0 in MLB last 12 months with these special situations.  The Cardinals are off a divisional sweep of the Chicago Cubs and won both ends of the double-header played yesterday. Teams off a three-game divisional sweep and now playing in an inter-league game against an opponent with more wins on the season they have earned has produced a 23-13 record averaging a 117-underdog wager resulting in a highly profitable 38% ROI over the last 18 seasons, 19-10 record for 65.5% wins averaging a 118-money line wager and producing a remarkable 43.3% ROI over the last 10 seasons.  Cardinals are 62-41 making 23 units when taking on a foe that averages 7+ strikeouts per game in the second half of each of the last two seasons. The Yankees are 3-10 losing 13 units following four or more consecutive OVER results in games played over the last two seasons. Cardinals are 25-14 when the total has been lined at 8 or 8.5 runs this season.  |
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07-28-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | 13-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies 4% Best Bet Dodgers on the –1.5 Run Line I also like a team total bet of 1% amount OVER Dodgers team total Dodgers are 55-36 on the run line when facing a bullpen that is overused and averages 3.2 innings per game on the season; 54-34 when facing a foe that averages 7+ strikeouts per game, and LA Dodger starter Tyler Anderson is 12-4 on the run line when facing a team that strikeouts 7+ times per game.  Dodgers are also 31-12 on the run line after allowing two or fewer runs I games played this season and 12-3 on the run line following a win of 6 or ore runs in games played this season. |
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07-21-22 | Giants v. Dodgers -120 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
National League Best Bet Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants The all-star break is completed, and MLB looks to resume their great season Thursday. One of the key matchups features the NL West rivals Giants host the Dodgers, who have the best record in the NL at 60-30 and lead the Giants by 12.5 games in the divisional race. The Giants are only a ½-game out for one of the three Wild Card berths so this series is moumentally important for them to win. The Trends and Angles  The following situational trends and angle support a betting opportunity on the Dodgers. The Giants are 0-7 when playing on Thursdays this season. The Giants are 7-12 after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Dodgers are 46-11 in home games when on a two or more-game win streak over the past two seasons. I am going to the window betting the Dodgers using the moneyline as an 8-Unit Bet offered at -140 at BetMGM.  |
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07-16-22 | Dodgers v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Dodgers vs Angels 5% 10-UNIT MAX Best Bet UNDER the posted total Betting the Under when the total is between 8.5 and 10 runs with the road team starting a pitcher with a solid WHIP of 1.05 or lower on the season and is an excellent fielding team averaging .5 or fewer errors per game on the season has earned a 69-36-2 record for 65.7% winners over the last five seasons. If the game is taking place in the second half of the regular season, after game number 81, the Under has earned a 14-7 record for 67% winning Under bets.  In Dodgers SP Urias last start he allowed 5 ER on just 3 hits over 2 innings. The last time he went two or fewer innings was back on April 10 at Colorado allowing 6 Runs and 3 ER on six hits. In his next start he completed five innings allowed zero ER, one hit, one walk, and five strikeouts in a 5-2 win over Cincinnati. I fully expect him to repeat this type of bounce back tonight. Angels are really struggling at the plate scoring 4.0 RPG and batting .230 for the season. Over the last seven games they have scored just 3.4 RPG and batted just .223. Dodgers pen has posted a 2.70 ERA with a .943 WHIP should Urias need any relief early. Dodgers are 15-5 for 75% Under winning bets on the road when the total has been 8 or 8.5 runs this season. Urias is 8-1 Under when working on five or six days of rest this season. Take the UNDER for a 5% 10-UNIT max Best Bet tonight |
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07-03-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -190 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -190 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
San Diego vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4:10 EDT, July 3, 2022 4% best bet on the Dodgers on the money line Kershaw has the ball for the Dodgers, and he was roughed up in his last start allowing six earned runs on nine hits including two home runs. The last time he yielded 6+ earned runs in a start was on June 19 of the 2017 season when he allowed six earned runs to the New York Mets. In his next start against the Rockies, the Dodgers won, with Kershaw completing six innings, allowing zero earned runs, 1 walk, and 8 strikeouts. I expect a similar bounce back from him today. In home games at Dodgers Stadium, Kershaw is 100-40 in 197 starts with an incredible 2.22 ERA and 1,472 strikeouts.  Betting on favorites that are a strong offensive team scoring an average of 5.0 or more RPG on the season, has allowed two or fewer runs in back-to-back games, and facing a NL starting pitcher with a 3.70 ERA or better has produced an exceptional 56-26 record for 68% winning bets since 2004. If our favorite is playing at home, the record gets even better with a 38-11 record for 78% winning bets and a highly profitable 25% ROI. |
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07-03-22 | Angels +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
LA Angels vs Houston Astros 2:10 EDT, July 3, 2022 4% best bet on the Angels using the +1.5-run line Angels lost the first two games of this three-game series badly by a combined scored of 17-2. The predictive models have targeted the Angels to play significantly better and have a much better day at the plate and on the scoreboard. Betting on road teams using the +1.5-run line that are facing a host that defeated them by eight or more runs in the previous game and starting a pitcher in strong form with an ERA of 3.00 over his last 10 starts has produced a 30-10 record good for 75% winning bets since 2004.  Angels are 38-234 on the +1.5 run ine after losing three of their last four games.  Angels wake up and realize they need to win, but I will still take the +1.5 run line. |
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07-03-22 | Yankees -165 v. Guardians | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -165 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians 1:40 PM EDT, July 3, 2022 4% best bet on the New York Yankees on the money line The Yankees scored four runs in each of two innings and had a total of four multiple run innings in yesterday’s 13-4 win over the Guardians. Road teams that have outscored their opponents by at least 100 or more runs, had four or more multiple run innings in their previous game and the host is priced as a 100 to 170 underdog has earned a 33-17 record for 66% winners since 2004 and if the game was played in July, the record is a perfect 11-0!  The Guardians McKenzie is on the hill, and he has been rocked for 6 and 7 earned runs in his last two starts. Since 2004, teams playing in July that are scoring 4.75 or more RPG and facing a starter that allowed 6 or more earned runs in each of his last two starts are 15-4 for 79% winning bets.  |
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07-02-22 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
San Diego vs Los Angeles 7:15 EDT, July 2, 2022 4% best bet on the OVER Padres are 16-7 Over when facing an elite fielding team averaging 0.5 or fewer errors on the season. Dodgers are 38-21 when facing a NL starter that has a WHIP of 1.15 or better over the last two seasons. San Diego is 29-14 in road games after a five-game span where their bullpen has struggled to a 6.50 or worse ERA. San Diego is 28-12 Over in road games following a five-game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last two seasons. |
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07-02-22 | Rangers +120 v. Mets | Top | 7-3 | Win | 120 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Texas Rangers vs New York Mets 4:10 PM EST, July 2, 2022 4% best bet on the Rangers using the money line and boxed with Perez and Williams starting for the Rangers and Mets respectively. Here is a strong situational betting angle that I really like and has been a largely consistent money maker over many seasons. Bet on road teams when the total is 8.5 or 9 runs, have lost between 1 and 3 of their previous games, had no multiple run innings in their previous loss, and facing a foe that has a win percentage of 60% or higher on the season, and our road team is allowing an average of 1.75 or fewer runs per game by the bullpen (earned and unearned) This set of game parameters has earned a 38-34 record, averaging a +130 underdog bet and producing a 26% ROI. |
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07-02-22 | Angels +141 v. Astros | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
LA Angels vs Houston Astros 4:10 EDT, July 2, 2022 4% best bet on the LA Angels using the money line Here is another big money maker that applied to this matchup and supports the bet on the Angels, who lost 8-1 to the Astros Friday. Bet on teams when the total is between 8 and 9 runs in a divisional matchup, coming off a game with no multiple run innings, is on a 1 to 3-game losing streak, playing a foe that has won 60% or more of their games, and our team’s bullpen is allowing 2 or fewer runs per game has earned a 67-50 record averaging a +115 dog wager and a very good 21% ROI over the last five seasons. Angels are 23-13 in road games and having batted .225 or worse over their last five games in games played over the last two seasons. |
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07-01-22 | Rangers +176 v. Mets | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Rangers vs Mets 7:10 EDT, July 1, 2022 4% Best bet on the Texas Rangers on the money line Both teams had off Thursday to end the month of June. The New York Mets went 13-12 and saw their NL East Division lead of 11 games shrink to just 3 games over the Atlanta Braves entering July. The Braves went 21-6 and only the New York Yankees were better with a 22-6 record in June. The Mets are not playing consistently for weeks now and they cannot overlook a Texas Rangers squad looking to get back to .500 and be a contender for the Al Wild Card berths. The Mets are in good shape, though, knowing that they will be getting Max Scherzer back and then Jacob DeGrom returns most likely in August. They are the two aces of the pitching staff and it only stands to reason that the Mets will win a lot more games with them in the rotation.Â
·      The Rangers are 25-17 when facing a starting pitcher that allows and average of 5.5 or fewer hits per start this season. ·      The Rangers are 45-25 when facing a NL starting pitcher with a 1.15 or better WHIP spanning the last 25 seasons. ·      The Rangers are an impressive 16-7 as underdog between +125 and +175 producing an outstanding 48% ROI this season. |
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07-01-22 | Brewers v. Pirates +185 | Top | 19-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh 7:10 EDT, July 1, 2022 4% best bet on the Pittsburgh Pirates on the money line Pirates are 43-37 making 27 units following game in which they hit four or more home runs. Betting on home underdogs that are scoring an average of 3.8 RPG, after back-to-back games allowing at least seven runs in each, and facing an opponent with a solid bullpen sporting an ERA of 3.75 or lower on the season has produced a 23-8 record for 73% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. It has averaged a +135 underdog wager. |
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06-28-22 | Twins v. Guardians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 26 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Cleveland 1:05 EDT 4% Under Best Bet Here is a terrific betting angle that has produced a 30-10 Under record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet the Under in games with a total of 8 or 8.5 runs with the team scoring between 4.4 and 4.9 RPG and facing a solid AL starter with an ERA of 4.25 or lower on the season. Twins skipper Baldelli is 21-10 Under following a game in which they allowed no more than a single run in a win over a divisional rival. Twins won 11-1 in game-1 of this four-game series. |
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06-27-22 | Orioles v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners 10:10 PM EDT, June 27, 2022 4% best bet on the Under The Seattle Mariners have won five of six games by sweeping the Oakland A’s and taking two of three games from the LA Angels. The Mariners, though, continue to struggle offensively and have scored more than 5 runs in just three games over their last 15 games. The Orioles have been hot as well having won four of their last five games and took three of four games form the CWS. They now will play the Mariners for three games before ending their 9-game road trip with a 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins. Tyler Wells will start for the Orioles, and he is 5-4 in 14 starts with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.098 WHIP. He has gone 3-0 over his last three starts with a stellar 2.12 ERA and a 1.176 WHIP. George Kirby starts for the Mariners and he is 2-2 in nine starts with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.122 WHIP. Over his last three starts he is 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA and a 1.176 WHIP including just three walks and 16 strikeouts spanning 17 innings of work. The Mariners bullpen has been nearly hitless over their last seven games sporting a 0.44 ERA and a .885 WHIP. The Orioles pen has been nearly equally as strong sporting a 1.11 ERA and a .740 WHIP over their last seven games. This matchup points to the UNDER and the models grade it as a 4% betting opportunity tonight. |
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06-27-22 | Twins v. Guardians +114 | Top | 11-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Cleveland 7:10 EDT, June 27 4% best bet on the Cleveland Guardians using the money line Betting on home teams that are facing a foe that has had two straight games in which they had Zero home runs and is starting a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.00 or lower spanning his last five starts has produced a 68-34 record good for 67% winning bets and making the $100 bettor a $3900 profit over the last five seasons. Bet the Cleveland Guardians as a 4% best bet |
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06-27-22 | A's +253 v. Yankees | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Oakland vs NY Yankees 7:05 EDT, June 27, 2022 4% best bet on the Oakland Athletics using the money line Consider splitting this wager to be a 2.75% amount on the run line and a 1.25% on the money line for a more conservative combination wager. I like the money line and is based on season-long results in betting these massive dogs and knowing they will make us money over the course of a season. Oakland will start Blackburn, who is 6-0 in road games when facing a team that strikeouts an average of 7 or more times per game this season. The Yankees start left-hander Montgomery, who is 6-10 when facing a foe that is being outscored by at least 0.5 RPG in games played over the last two seasons. |
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06-26-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Padres | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs San Diego 4:10 EDT, June 26, 2022 4% best bet on the Phillies using the +1.5 run line Harper has a broken thumb and will be out indefinitely, which is a huge loss, but somehow, this may be the situation, that wakes up the entire roster and has everyone stepping up their game. Even without Harper in the lineup, the Phillies are a formidable offensive force. Harper is a loss, but they have plenty of depth in this lineup to get through the next 4 to 6 weeks without him and remain in playoff contention. Betting on road teams using the +1.5 run line facing a host whose bullpen did not give an ER in two straight games and is starting a pitcher with excellent control sporting a 1.100 over his last 10 starts has earned a highly profitable 78-40 record for 65% winning bets over the last five seasons. The SU record has been 58-60. |
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06-26-22 | A's +151 v. Royals | Top | 5-3 | Win | 151 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
Oakland vs KC 2:10 EDT 4% best bet on the Oakland A’s using the money line A’s are 26-12 making 14 units when facing a struggling bullpen posting an ERA of 4.70 or higher on the season over the last two seasons. Royals are a horrid 15-32 when facing a starting pitcher that has lost 80% or more of their decisions on the season. They are also just 10-21 losing 20 units when priced as a favorite between -125 and -175 over the last two seasons. |
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06-26-22 | Astros +160 v. Yankees | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 0 m | Show |
Houston vs Yankees 1:35 EDT, June 26, 2022 4% Best Bet on the Houston Astros on the money line The Yankees were no hit Saturday and we were on the Astros +150, which was quite nice to see. The Yankees have scored a total of one run over their last two games and if not for the bottom of the ninth heroics in Game-1, they would be in danger of getting swept by the Astros at home. This is all part of my statements made on the Full Count MLB show where I said the Yankees were ripe for regression. They are simply not DUE to score a monster number of runs in this series final because they scored just 1 run in their last two games. They could certainly, and if they do, it is not because they scored just 1 run or were not hit in their last game. Home teams that are 20 games over .500, that scored 1 or zero runs in each of their last two games, playing in the last game of a series are just 13-15 averaging a -160 favorite and producing a -20% ROI. So, the fade is in full force again for this series finale on the Astros. |
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06-25-22 | Mets v. Marlins +132 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Mets vs Marlins 4:10 EDT 4% best on the Marlins on the money line Betting on home underdogs of +125 to +175 starting a pitcher that averages fewer than 5 innings per start and facing a NL foe that is starting a pitcher with an ERA between 3.70 and 4.20 on the season has earned an outstanding 50-28 record averaging a +141 underdog bet over the last 25 seasons and is 19-9 over the last five seasons. The Mets start Bassitt and he has lost three of his last four starts and has posted a 4.39 ERA and a 1.133 WHIP over his last three starts. He just lost 6-2 to the Marlins June 19 in his last start at Citi Field. The Marlins pen is doing great recently with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.182 WHIP over their last 7 games. |
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06-25-22 | Pirates +158 v. Rays | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay 1:10 EDT, June 25 4% best bet on the Pirates using the money line Betting on NL underdogs of 125 to 175 with a slugging percentage of .400 or lower, starting a pitcher with a solid WHIP between 1.35 and 1.45 on the season and facing an elite AL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.300 or lower on the season has earned an outstanding 40-25 record averaging a +150 underdog bet over the last 25 seasons. JT Brubaker starts for the Pirates and he is top form posting a 2.45 ERA and a 1.364 WHIP over his last three starts. We are getting paid to assume the risk of this losing record underdog. |
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06-25-22 | Astros +152 v. Yankees | Top | 3-0 | Win | 152 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
Houston vs NY Yankees 1:05 EDT, June 25, 2022 4% best bet on the Astros using the money line This system has earned a 48-31 record good for 61% winning bets averaging a +145 wager over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road underdogs of 125 to 175 facing a foe with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games and with a strong bullpen that has posted a 2.00 or lower ERA over their last five games. Regression does happen even to the best teams in MLB. Baker is 12-2 when facing a foe with a starting pitcher that has won 80% or more of their decisions and 30-12 when facing AL starter with an ERA of 3.40 or lower. |
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06-21-22 | Mariners v. A's +132 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
Seattle vs Oakland 9:40 EDT, June 21, 2022 Oakland is a terrible team, period, but even the worst teams in baseball do not lose every game. Seattle is a struggling team and I do not see why in the world they are favored – even against the A’s – in this matchup. They have lost three straight and nine of their last 13 games. They are batting just .183 and scoring 2.3 RPG over their last seven games. The one thing that Oakland does well is relief pitching as that unit has posted a 2.22 ERA with a 1.233 WHIP over their last seven games. James Kaprielian will start for the A’s and is 0-4 with a 6.32 ERA and a 1.500 WHIP in nine starts this season. He is averaging 4.6 innings per start and note that Seattle is 1-12 losing 14 units when facing a starter that averages less than five innings per start in games played this season. I like the Oakland A’s as a 4% bets bet on the money line. |
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06-21-22 | Giants v. Braves -153 | Top | 12-10 | Loss | -153 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Atlanta 7:20 EDT, June 21, 2022 This is a 4% best bet on the Atlanta Braves using the money line. This bet is supported by one of my more than 4,000 betting algorithms and systems that has earned a 42-11 record for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on home teams priced as a favorite that has a solid bullpen posting a season-to-date ERA of 3.50 or lower on the season and is now facing a solid offensive team scoring an average of 4.7 RPG and has batted no better than .220 over their last 10 games. Braves Strider is on the hill and he throws 98 to 100 MPH with heavy and late breaking action generating a ton of ground ball outs, especially against launch angle-happy batters like the Giants lineup. I also like betting OVER 6.5 strikeouts -135 for a 0.5 amount. |
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06-21-22 | Dodgers v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
LA Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds 6:40 EDT, June 21 This betting algorithm/system has done very well over the past five seasons producing a 47-19 record for 71% winning bets. The requirements are to bet the Under in a game where the home team is from the NL and is starting a pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 to 4.20 on the season and is coming off two starts allowing not more than a single earned run in each start. The Reds will start Tyler Mahle, who has a 4.10 ERA and a 1.219 WHIP in 14 starts this season. However, he has found his top form and posted a 1.71 ERA and 0.857 WHIP over his last three starts and has allowed just one earned run in his last two starts. Tony Gonsolin starts for the Dodgers and is a perfect 8-0 in 12 starts with a 1.42 ERA and a 0.821 WHIP. Over his last three starts he has posted a 0.49 ERA and a 0.900 WHIP with only 4 walks and 16 strikeouts spanning 18 2/3 innings of work. Runs will be tough to find I this pitcher’s duel and I like the Under as a 4% best bet. |
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06-20-22 | Royals v. Angels -183 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -183 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Kansas City vs LA Angels 9:38 EDT, June 20, 2022 4% best bet on the Angels The Angels are the most undervalued teams in the marketplace right now. That does Not mean they will win every game, but it does me that my predictive models are expecting the Angels to win more than lose with a projection of 13 or more wins over their next 20 games. Trout is on fire like he always is June and despite batting 0.255 in June, his OPS is an amazing 1.076. He has hit five home runs in the last five games. The rest of the lineup is doing better as a result his performances of late and the Angels are not dependent on Trout to win the games for them. Syndergaard gets the nod for the Angels and is 2-1 with a 2.50 ERA in three career starts against the Royals. Left-hander Kris Bubic (0-4, 8.36) will make his ninth start of the year for the Royals and has faced the Angels once, getting tagged for the loss in a game last season when he gave up six runs in four innings. I see more of the same in this matchup for Bubic. |
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06-18-22 | Phillies v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Philadelphia vs Washington 4:35 EDT, June 18, 2022 4% Best Bet OVER Philadelphia on a 12-2 win streak and the offense that is one of the best in MLB is coming together quite well. They took both games of the double-header Friday and will be playing Game-4 of this rare five-game series. Nationals are a bad team period. They have lost five straight and are 5-10 in June. Philadelphia is 13-3 Over in road games when facing a NL foe with a team batting average of 0.255 or lower in games played this season, 12-2 Over when facing a poor bullpen that has posted an ERA of 4.20 or worse in games this season, and 9-1 Over when facing teams that are allowing 4.5 or more RPG this season. |
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06-18-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -129 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -129 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays 3:07 EDT, June 17, 2022 4% best bet on the Blue Jays Tremendous pitching matchup with Taillon (7-1, 2.93 ERA) on the hill for the Yankees going against the Blue Jays Manoah (8-1, 1.67). Yankees are scorching hot and are 40-10 since April 22 and is the first time they have won 40+ games over a 50-game span since 1998. The last MLB team to win at least 40 of 50 games was the Cleveland Guardians in 2017, who went 42-8. Yankees are just 38-40 losing 25 units in day games over the last three seasons. Manoah is 18-3 (team record) making 15 units  in games with a total between 8.5 and 10 runs over the last two seasons. |
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06-18-22 | Braves -160 v. Cubs | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Atlanta vs Chicago Cubs 2:20 EDT, June 18, 2022 4% best bet on the Braves on the money line I like a combination wager of betting a 3% best bet on the money line and then a 1% best bet on the run line. Either strategy is valid, and this play will be graded on the money line. Atlanta had its’ 14-game win streak snapped in a 1-0 loss to the Cubs Friday and had the bases loaded with two outs in the top of the ninth inning. A loss is a loss. A strong team remains a strong team even after a shutout loss. Teams that have won 12 of their last 15 games, coming off a shutout loss, and now favored by -175 or more on the money line have gone 15-3 for 79% winners and 11-5 on the run line for 30% ROI and 69% winners going back to the 2004 season. Plus, 8-0 and 6-2 on the Run Line since 2016. |
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06-17-22 | Rangers +105 v. Tigers | Top | 7-0 | Win | 105 | 2 h 34 m | Show |
Texas vs Detroit 7:10 EDT, June 17, 2022 4% bets bet on the Texas Rangers on the money line Rangers are an outstanding 14-9 making 12.5 units when facing an AL SP that has an ERA under 3.00 in games played over the last two seasons. Detroit is a miserable 3-11 in home games taking on a foe that averages 3 or fewer walks per game this season. Betting on AL underdogs starting a pitcher with an ERA of 4.75 to 5.75 and facing a foe that has posted a .310 OBP over his last 20 games and scoring 4.2 or fewer RPG has earned a 36-18 record for 67% winners and has averaged a very descent +135 underdog bet. |
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06-17-22 | Cardinals v. Red Sox -110 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
St. Louis vs Boston 7:10 EDT, June 17, 2022 4% best bet on the Boston Red Sox on the money line Bet on teams in a game lined between a -125 favorite and a 125 underdog that is taking on an opponent that is coming off a loss to a divisional rival and was priced as a -150 or greater favorite and is a matchup of winning record teams has produced a 42-26 record good for 62% winners and has produced a 24.3% ROI over the last five seasons. |
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06-17-22 | Phillies -106 v. Nationals | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
Philadelphia vs Washington Game-2 4% best bet on the Phillies on the money line Washington is 9-32 as a home underdog of 125 or more in games played over the last two seasons and 19-39 in home games after losing four or five of their last 6 games in games played over the last two seasons. This will be the third game of a rare five-game series featuring divisional foes. As a result, emergency starters are used and that may not be that urgent if they are coming out of the bullpen as a long reliever or even as an opener. The Phillies Bailey Falter is that guy and he makes the start tonight. He has made two starts this season and has posted a 3.52 ERA on a small sample size, but he has the tools to be an effective pitcher at this level going up against a very weak hitting and just terrible team in the Nationals. Paolo Espino makes the start for the Nationals and he is making his second start after being brought up June 12. He averages 89 MPH with his fastball and is not going to overwhelm any batter at this level, especially a Phillies lineup that ranks 4th in MLB averaging 4.91 RPG and third averaging 1.31 home runs per game. |
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06-09-22 | Diamondbacks +130 v. Reds | Top | 5-4 | Win | 130 | 2 h 58 m | Show |
Arizona vs Cincinnati 12:35 PM EST, June 9, 2022 4% best bet on the money line with the Arizona Diamondbacks The following betting system has earned a highly profitable 25-19 record good for 72% winning bets over the last five seasons for a profit-producing 29.31% ROI spanning the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road underdogs that have lost five or six of their last seven games, has won 45 to 49.9% of their games on the season (one-game under 0.500) and facing a team with a losing record. This points solidly to backing the Diamondbacks in this early after game Thursday. |
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06-05-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 4-5 | Win | 130 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Detroit Tigers vs NY Yankees 11:35 AM EST, June 5, 2022 3% best bet on the Detroit Tigers on the run line and a 1.5% best bet on the Money line. I will be discussing the handicapping concept of regression each on the Full Count Show this week as well as my 2-minute quick-hitting free pick MLV videos airing M-F on the Predictive Playbook channel. Bes uyre to tune in for more in-depth analysis of this profitable strategy. So, home teams favored by –175 or more that have outscored their opponents by 100 or more runs in games played in the month of June are horrid ones to back with your money. They have earned a 49-30 record for 62% wins, BUT have averaged a –225.3 favorite and the result is a massive loss of $2,.115 wager just $100 per game played on these juggernaut teams. Fading these powerful teams has averaged a +205 underdog bet, making $1570 per $100 wagered for a solid 23% return-on-investment (ROI). If our favorites are lined on the –1.5 run line at =140 or more (more negative, more favored), then the run line record has been 7-8 betting against them, producing a 25% ROI averaging a +140 +1.5 run line wager on our barking underdog.  |
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04-30-22 | Mariners v. Marlins UNDER 7 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Seattle vs Miami 5% MAX Bet on the Miami Marlins on the money line The Miami Marlins is hot having won 6 straight games and coming off a sweep of the Washington Nationals. Seattle had been nearly as hot having won four straight games and 7 of the past 8 games until losing the last two games of a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays.  The Marlins have tremendous pitching depth, and it has shined during their current 6-game win streak. Tow left-handers will do battle in this matchup with Robbie going for the Mariners and Jesus Luzardo going for the Marlins. In 8 career starts against the Marlins, Ray has amassed a 4-3 record (5-3 team record) with a strong 2.08 ERA and a 1.007 WHIP. Even more impressive is that he has allowed just 5 earned runs over his last six starts.  Luzardo is one of the only pitchers on the Marlins roster to be struggling somewhat sporting a 3.77 ERA and a 1.256 WHIP in three starts. However, he is coming off impressive road win over Atlanta in which he completed 5 innings, allowed 1 earned run with 4 walks and 8 strikeouts. I see that solid outing carrying over to this start as well. The Marlins are batting just 0.180 and scoring 2.7 runs per game in 4-games against left-handed pitchers this season. Over the past 3 seasons, the Under has earned a 15-3 record for 83.3% winning bets when the Marlins have faced a left-handed starter and were priced as home dogs. The Marlins is 13-3 Under when facing American League teams allowing 4.4 or fewer runs per game in games played over the last two seasons. From my predictive models expect the starters in this matchup to complete 11.33 or more innings of work. Marlins are 35-16 Under for 70% winning bets over the last 15 MLB season and 7-2 Under over the last three seasons.  |
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10-27-21 | Braves v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Atlanta vs Houston 8:09 PM EST, October 26, 2021 4-Unit Best Bet on the OVER Betting the UNDER in October games in road games with one of the teams coming off two or more consecutive wins and the game has a total between 8.5 and 10-points has earned a 120-65 record for 65% winning bets spanning the past 25 playoff seasons. Braves are 22-12 UNDER for 65% winning bets in road games when facing a team with a winning record this season. |
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10-19-21 | Braves v. Dodgers -175 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
Atlanta vs LA Dodgers Game-3 NLCS 5:08 PM EST, October 19, 2021 4% Best Bet on the LA Dodgers 2% Best Bet UNDER 7.5 runs The Dodgers will have Walker Buehler on the hill and he has dominated the Braves sporting a 3-0 record in 6 career starts, 3.06 ERA, and a 0.934 WHIP. In his only previous start against the Braves this season he dominated allowing two earned runs over seven innings pitched including five Ks. Over his last three starts he has posted a 2.87 ERA and a 1.022 WHIP, a 2-1 team record, including 20 Ks over 15.2 innings of work. In day starts, his team and personal record is 5-1 sporting a 2.45 ERA and a 1.242 WHIP including 34 Ks over 33 innings of work. In home starts he is 11-2 and the Dodgers 14-6 (blown saves) with a 2.05 ERA and a 0.966 including 134 Ks spanning 127.3 innings of work. Teams that lose the first two games of a series and now installed as home favorites of -150 or more, the UNDER is 7-3 for 70%. Buehler is 32-16 UNDER in home games pitching against teams that average 7 or more strikeouts per game for his career. From the predictive side of things, my models, predict that the Dodgers will score first. Note that teams starting a pitcher, who has not lost to the opponent in any previous matchup and installed as -170 favorites or greater, are 5-1 SU. If the starter has 3 or more matchup wins and zero matchup losses, that home team, regardless of favorite or underdog, is 5-0. Player prop bets for 0.75 units: Buehler will have more than 5.5 strikeouts getting +100 money at Draft Kings. 1.0 units on Dodgers -0.5 runs -110 first five innings 0.25 that Mookie Betts over 1.5 total bases paying -105 money at DraftKings 0.25 units that one of the teams will not score +400. Obviously, I think that is possible for the Braves not to score. |
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10-06-21 | Cardinals +210 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
St. Louis vs LA Dodgers Cardinals are an outstanding 23-13 when playing against a winning record team during the second half of this season. Wainwright is 17-4 when facing a NL team that is batting no better than 0.245 on the season and 11-1 in the second half of this season. Betting against home favorites with a money line between -175 and -250 with a winning record on the season and is on a 6 or more-game win streak has earned a 28-28 record for 50% winning bets over the last five seasons. There is more, of course. The average wager has been a +197 DOG wager and has made the Dime bettor a $24,500 profit betting on these 56 games. Take the St. Louis Cardinals using the money line. |
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09-24-21 | Astros v. A's OVER 8 | 2-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Houston vs Oakland 9:40 PM EST, September 24, 2021 4% (4-UNIT) Best Bet on the OVER Betting on the OVER with a total of 8 or 8.5-tunsd and coming off a game in which the bullpen was hammered for 5 or more runs and playing the first game of a series has earned an outstanding 62-21 record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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09-24-21 | Royals v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Kansas City vs Detroit 7:10 PM EST, September 24, 2021 4% (4-UNIT) Best Bet OVER From the predictive models both teams are expected to have at least 1 multiple-run-inning and the OVER has won 77% of the bests in these games. Kansas City took two of three games at Cleveland prior to the postponement. Salvador Perez made history on Monday with his 46th homer this season, breaking Johnny Bench's single season record for most long balls by a primary catcher. The Tigers are painfully aware how dangerous Perez is at the plate. He's hit three homers off their pitchers this season and 26 in his career, second only to the 28 he's hit against Minnesota. With both teams games getting cancelled Wednesday and had a scheduled day off Thursday, so they are well rested offensively, but the starters are pitching on normal rest. |
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09-24-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox +108 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
NY Yankees vs Boston 7:10 PM EST, September 24, 2021 4% (4-Unit) Best bet on the Red Sox using the money line The Yankees playoff aspirations or the lack of them can be pointed to their poor record against the divisional opponents. Yankees are just 30-37 losing 27 units facing an AL East foe this season. Boston is 35-17 after three or more home games this season. Eovaldi has been exceptional in his last three starts against the Yankees allowing no more than two earned runs in each start. Plus, over 12 starts against the Yankees, he has amassed a 2.59 ERA and a 0.973 WHIP. Bet the Red Sox |
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09-23-21 | Astros -157 v. Angels | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -157 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Houston vs LA Angels 9:38 PM EST Thursday, September 23, 2021 4% Best Bet on the Houston Astros using the money line. The Angels have been a money-burning 9-22 losing 11.2 units-per-unit bet against the money line in home games when facing an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better in games played this season. They are also 22-41 in home games facing a RH starting pitcher this season. Houston skipper Baker is 27-10 when facing a SP sporting a solid ERA of 3.70 or lower in games played this season. Betting on any team with a very good starter with an ERA |
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09-08-21 | White Sox v. A's -154 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
CWS vs Oakland 9:40 PM EST, Wednesday, September 8, 2021 4-Unit Best Bet on Oakland using the money line Betting on home teams with an OBP of not better than 0.300 over their last 15 games, who is facing a SP that is struggling with a 6.50 or worse ERA over his last 10 starts has earned an outstanding 40-18 record good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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