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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-22-17 | Falcons v. Patriots OVER 56.5 | 7-23 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
-Atlanta’s offense is taking a big step-down in class against New England’s defense in this game -New England returns home off two poor road games, so expect a strong offensive performance -Patriots defense is giving up 6.9 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.9 yards per play 9* Play OVER the total. |
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10-19-17 | Chiefs v. Raiders OVER 46.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
-Kansas City’s offense is taking a big step-down in class against Oakland’s defense -Oakland remains at home after a terrible offensive performance; scored just 16 points -Raiders defense is giving up 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.5 yards per play 9* Play OVER the total. |
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10-15-17 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 49 | 17-16 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
-Los Angeles’ offense is taking a big step-down in class against Oakland’s defense in this game -Oakland is getting QB David Carr back on the field, so expect a strong offensive performance -Raiders defense is giving up 5.9 yards per play versus offenses that only average 5.4 yppl 10* Play OVER the total. |
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10-12-17 | Eagles v. Panthers UNDER 45 | 28-23 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
-Philadelphia’s offense is taking a big step-up in class against Carolina’s defense -Carolina returns home off back-to-back road wins; they’ve scored 22 total points at home -Panthers defense is giving up just 18.8 points per game on 5.1 yards per play 10* Play OVER the total. |
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10-09-17 | Vikings v. Bears OVER 40.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
-Minnesota’s offense is taking a big step-down in class against Chicago’s pass defense -Vikings offense averaging 6.1 yards per play vs. defenses that give give up 5.7 yards per play -defense played their worst game of the season in their lone road game; 26 points allowed -Chicago returns home off a blowout loss at Green Bay; extra prep time off that Thursday game -offense averages 4.5 yards per rush vs. defenses that give up 4.2 ypr; opens up big passing plays -Bears defense is giving up 26 points per game overall; allowing 6.0 yards per play at home 9* Play OVER the total. |
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09-24-17 | Raiders v. Redskins OVER 54.5 | 10-27 | Loss | -102 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
-Oakland’s offense will face another terrible defense; Raiders have scored 71 points in 2 games -Washington lost their home opener after scoring just 17 points; offense is the focus in this game -Redskins defense giving up 8.3 yards per pass attempt and 6.3 yards per play  9* Play OVER the total. |
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09-17-17 | Packers v. Falcons OVER 53.5 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 116 h 47 m | Show | |
-Green Bay’s offense taking a big step-down in class going from the Seahawks to the Falcons -Atlanta opening their new stadium in primetime, so expect a strong offensive performance -Falcons defense taking a huge step-up in QB class going from Mike Glennon to Aaron Rodgers 9* Play OVER the total. |
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09-17-17 | Patriots v. Saints OVER 54.5 | 36-20 | Win | 100 | 108 h 25 m | Show | |
-New England’s offense had extra time to prepare after playing last Thursday night -New Orleans’ offense only scored 19 points in Minnesota; expect strong performance at home -Saints defense gave up 346 passing yards and 3 touchdowns to Sam Bradford; now face Brady 10* Play OVER the total. |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons OVER 58 | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 78 h 10 m | Show | |
New England is an efficient team that is extremely difficult to stop. Overall, the Patriots are averaging 28.4 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus defenses that are giving up just 22.9 points per game on 5.6 yards per play this season. New England is the best scheming team in the league and quarterback Tom Brady has one of the quickest releases. That ability will negate Atlanta’s pass rush which in turn makes the Patriots' passing game very dangerous. New England’s offensive line will hold up in protection, so Brady will throw the ball all over a weak Falcons' secondary just as every other elite quarterback has done this season. Brady and the Patriots offense will face an Atlanta defense that gives up 24.8 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. Those poor defensive numbers have come against a collection of offenses that only averaged 23.7 points per game on 5.6 yards per play this season. |
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01-22-17 | Steelers v. Patriots OVER 50 | 17-36 | Win | 100 | 115 h 12 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh was one of the hottest teams coming into the playoffs, and after a 30-12 home win over Miami and last week’s 18-16 win in Kanas City, the Steelers are on a 9-game winning streak. Pittsburgh’s offense has been outstanding recently as they’ve scored 24 points or more in nine of their last ten games. They should have done it again last week against the Chiefs, but their four red zone trips resulted in field goals, and their lone goal to go resulted in an interception in the end zone. Overall, the Steelers’ offense is averaging 24.8 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus defenses that give up 22 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. Pittsburgh’s offense will be a big step-up in class for New England’s defense, especially at the quarterback position with Ben Roethlisberger. The Patriots’ have faced a slew of terrible quarterbacks and bad offenses that only averaged 20.6 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. The Steelers will be a shock to New England’s system, and there’s many reasons to believe the Patriots will play one of their worst defensive games of the season.  New England is an efficient team that is extremely difficult to stop. Overall, the Patriots are averaging 27.9 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus defenses that are giving up 23 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. New England is the best scheming team in the NFL, and quarterback Tom Brady has one of the quickest releases. That ability will negate Pittsburgh’s pass rush which in turn makes a short passing game very dangerous. Furthermore, if New England’s offensive line can hold up in protection, Brady will throw the ball all over the weak Steelers secondary just as he did in an earlier season meeting in Pittsburgh. Brady completed 19 passes for 222 yards with 2 touchdowns in a 27-16 New England win; Roethlisberger did not play in that game. Pittsburgh’s defense has faced a slew of terrible quarterbacks and bad offenses that only averaged 22.1 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Patriots will be a shock to Pittsburgh’s system, and there’s many reasons to believe the Steelers will also play one of their worst defensive games of the season. Both offenses will be the best units on the field, so we expect a high-scoring AFC Championship game on Sunday night. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons OVER 60.5 | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Green Bay’s offense is averaging 28 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 21.9 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Packers’ offense has also traveled well this season as they are averaging 27.1 points per game on 6.1 yards per play away from home. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers has completed 65.7% (401-610) of his passes for 4,428 yards with an excellent 40/7 touchdown/interception ratio. Rodgers carved-up Atlanta’s secondary in the first meeting while throwing 4 touchdown passes and scoring 32 points. Overall, the Falcons’ defense allows 26.9 points per game on 6.1 yards per play at home this season. The Packers’ defense has been their weakness all season, especially on the road where they are giving up 28.6 points per game on 6.7 yards per play. To win, Green Bay will have to trade points with Atlanta all game long. Atlanta’s offense was explosive all season, and the Falcons will once again have a terrific offensive game. Atlanta is averaging 33.9 points per game on 6.9 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 23.6 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Falcons’ offense was even better at home where they averaged 35.1 points per game on a whopping 7.1 yards per play. Atlanta’s offense hung 33 points on the Packers’ defense in an earlier season meeting, and since Green Bay has given up 24 points or more in their last three road games, there’s no reason the Falcons won’t match the production of the first meeting. We expect a high-scoring NFC Championship game between the Packers and Falcons on Sunday afternoon. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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01-14-17 | Seahawks v. Falcons OVER 52 | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
Seattle and Atlanta match-up well for a high-scoring game on Saturday afternoon. Seattle hits the road after their 26-6 home win over Detroit last week. The Seahawks have scored 24 points or more in four straight games, and in five of their last six games overall. Seattle will now face an Atlanta defense that gives up 25.4 points per game on 5.8 yards per play versus offenses that only average 23.6 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Falcons’ defense has been even worse at home where they are giving up 27.7 points per game on 6.1 yards per play. Seattle will take advantage of Atlanta’s poor defense just like they did in the first meeting when they scored 26 points on just 333 yards of total offense. Atlanta’s offense has been explosive all season. The Falcons are averaging 33.7 points per game on 6.9 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 23.8 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. Atlanta has been even better at home where they are averaging 35 points per game on a whopping 7.2 yards per play. The Falcons will now face a Seattle defense that has allowed 23 points or more in four of their last five road games. Against three good quarterbacks (Brees, Brady, and Rodgers) on the road, Seattle’s defense gave up 25, 24, and 38 points. Atlanta scored 24 points on just 362 yards of offense in the first meeting in Seattle. We expect a high-scoring game between the Seahawks and Falcons on Saturday afternoon. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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01-08-17 | Dolphins v. Steelers OVER 45.5 | 12-30 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Miami and Pittsburgh match up well for a high-scoring game this afternoon. Miami has scored 108 total points in their last four games, so they come into this game in excellent current form. Quarterback Matt Moore has plenty of experience, and we haven’t seen much drop-off in production since he took over for the injured Ryan Tannehill. Overall this season, the Dolphins’ offense is averaging 22.7 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus defenses that allow 22.7 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Dolphins will take advantage of Pittsburgh’s poor defense just like they did in the first meeting when Miami scored 30 points on 474 yards of offense. Pittsburgh’s defense is giving up 21.2 points per game on 5.8 yards per play at home this season. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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01-07-17 | Lions v. Seahawks OVER 43.5 | 6-26 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
Detroit and Seattle match-up well for a high-scoring game on Saturday night. Detroit’s offense has underachieved for most of the season, but for them to have any chance to beat Seattle, their offense must be aggressive in the passing game. Detroit figures to be playing this game from behind, and that will force the Lions’ offense to open things up. Detroit played in chase mode in their last two games and they scored 21 points on the Cowboys and 24 points on the Packers. Detroit has scored 20 points or more in nine of their last twelve games overall, and if they reach that number tonight, there’s an excellent chance this game goes well Over the posted total. The Lions are catching a reeling Seattle defense that has given up 23 points or more in three of their last four games. Seattle returns home after playing their season finale in San Francisco last week. Seattle’s offense has been much better at home this season. The Seahawks are only averaging 22.1 points per game on 5.9 yards per play overall. But at home, Seattle is averaging 28.4 points per game on 6.1 yards per play. The Seahawks have scored 24 points or more in seven straight home games this season, and there’s no reason for that streak not to continue tonight. Seattle will now face a Detroit defense that gives up 24.2 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road. We expect a high-scoring game between the Lions and Seahawks on Saturday night.  10* Play OVER the total. |
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01-01-17 | Packers v. Lions OVER 49.5 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
Green Bay and Detroit match-up well for a high-scoring game on Sunday night. The Packers are averaging 26.7 points per game on 5.9 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 21.9 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Lions' defense is permitting a weak 6.0 yards per play this season versus opponents that average just 5.6 yppl overall. Green Bay has scored 106 total points in their past three games, so they come into this game in excellent current form. The Packers scored 34 points against Detroit in the first meeting this season. They did that on just 324 yards of total offense while having the ball for less than 25 minutes. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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01-01-17 | Saints v. Falcons OVER 57 | 32-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
New Orleans and Atlanta match-up well for a high-scoring game this afternoon. New Orleans has scored 23 points or more in ten of their fifteen games this season. The Saints have scored 79 total points in their last two games, so they come into this game in excellent current form. Overall, New Orleans’ offense is averaging 29.1 points per game on 6.3 yards per play versus defenses that allow 23.1 points per game on 5.7 yards per play this season. The Saints have been good on the road where they are averaging 27.0 points per game. New Orleans will take advantage of Atlanta’s poor defense just like they did in the first meeting when the Saints scored 32 points on 474 yards of offense. Atlanta’s defense is giving up 27.1 points per game on 6.1 yards per play at home this season. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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12-25-16 | Ravens v. Steelers OVER 44 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
Baltimore and Pittsburgh match-up well for a high-scoring game on Sunday. The Ravens’ offense has been in excellent current form over the last three weeks. Baltimore has scored 23 points or more in all three of those games; they scored a total of 88 points against the Dolphins, Patriots, and Eagles. Overall, Baltimore’s offense is only averaging 21.9 points per game, but they’ve faced a tough slate of opposing defenses that only give up 22.7 points per game. Baltimore is playing much better football on offense right now, so their seasonal average isn’t a true indicator of how this team is performing right now. Pittsburgh has scored 24 points or more in six straight games. Pittsburgh is finally healthy, and overall, the Steelers are averaging 24.4 points per game on 5.9 yards per play versus defenses that give up 21.6 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. In the first meeting versus Baltimore, the Steelers only scored 14 points on 277 yards of total offense. QB Ben Roethlisberger didn’t have his best game either as he only completed just 51.1% (23-45) of his passes with one interception. Roethlisberger has always played better at home, so expect a much better performance by the entire Pittsburgh offense, especially since Baltimore has given up 56 total points in their last two games. We expect a high-scoring game between the Ravens and Steelers on Sunday afternoon. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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12-24-16 | Colts v. Raiders OVER 53.5 | 25-33 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
Indianapolis and Oakland match-up well for a high-scoring game this afternoon. Indianapolis has scored 23 points or more in ten of their thirteen games with Andrew Luck under center. The Colts have scored 92 total points in their last three games, so they come into this game in excellent current form. Overall, Indianapolis’ offense is averaging 25.9 points per game on 5.8 yards per play versus defenses that allow 22.1 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Colts have been even better on the road where they are averaging 30 points per game. Indianapolis will now face an Oakland defense that is allowing 28 points per game on a whopping 7.0 yards per play at home this season. Oakland returns home off back-to-back poor offensive games; they scored just 13 points in Kansas City and just 19 points in San Diego last week. Prior to those two poor outputs, the Oakland offense had averaged 32.2 points per game over their previous six games. Oakland’s offense is averaging 29.2 points per game on 5.8 yards per play at home this season. The Raiders will face an Indianapolis offense that gives up 24.2 points per game on 6.1 yards per play versus offenses that only average 21.3 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. We expect a high-scoring game between the Colts and Raiders on Saturday afternoon.  10* Play OVER the total. |
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12-19-16 | Panthers v. Redskins OVER 50 | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Carolina and Washington match-up well for a high-scoring game on Monday night. Aside from their 7-point debacle in Seattle two weeks ago, the Carolina offense has been in excellent current form. The Panthers have scored 23 points or more in three of their last four games; they scored a total of 83 points in those three games. Overall, Carolina’s offense is averaging a respectable 23.9 points per game versus a tough slate of opposing defenses that only give up 23.5 points per game. The Panthers will now face a Washington defense that is giving up 24.4 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus offenses that only average 22.3 points per game on 5.6 yards per play this season. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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12-18-16 | Bucs v. Cowboys OVER 47 | 20-26 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay and Dallas match-up well for a high-scoring game on Sunday night. The Buccaneers are averaging a respectable 22.7 points per game on 5.7 yards per play on the road this season. Tampa Bay has scored 81 total points in their last three road games compared to just 66 total points in their last three home games. Those numbers show the Buccaneers have been a better offense on the road recently, and they are certainly going to need to trade points if they want any shot at winning in Dallas tonight. Dallas’ offense has been fantastic at home this season. The Cowboys are averaging 27.5 points per game on a terrific 6.2 yards per play. Those numbers aren’t a fluke considering Dallas’ overall average of 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that allow 5.7 yards per play. The Cowboys will have success against a Tampa Bay defense that is allowing 22.2 points per game on 6.3 yards per play on the road this season. We expect a high-scoring game between the Buccaneers and Cowboys on Sunday night. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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12-11-16 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 50.5 | 11-16 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
New Orleans hits the road after a terrible offensive performance at home against the Lions last week. The Saints scored just 13 points in that loss; it was tied for their lowest scoring game of the season. The last time they scored 13 points, the Saints scored 32 points in their next game, and we expect a similar outcome in this game. New Orleans has scored 20 points or more in ten of their twelve games this season. Overall, the Saints’ offense is averaging 28.9 points per game on 6.4 yards per play versus defenses that allow 23.4 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Saints will now face a Tampa Bay defense that is giving up 25.3 points per game on 5.9 yards per play at home this season. Tampa Bay’s offense comes into this game in excellent current form. The Buccaneers have scored 24 points or more in five of their last seven games, and 28 points or more in four of those seven games. Overall, Tampa Bay is averaging 23.1 points per game versus a tough slate of opposing defenses that only give up 23.7 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Buccaneers’ offense has been much better since their bye week as they are averaging 26.1 points per game over their last seven games. Tampa Bay will now face a New Orleans defense that is allowing 27.9 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus offenses that only average 23.4 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. We expect a high-scoring game between the Saints and Buccaneers on Sunday afternoon.  10* Play OVER the total. |
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12-11-16 | Chargers v. Panthers OVER 49 | 16-28 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
San Diego and Carolina match-up well for a high-scoring game this afternoon. San Diego has scored 21 points or more in eleven of their twelve games this season, and they’ve done that despite missing key personnel on the offensive side of the ball. The Chargers had a bye recently, so they were able to get some of those players healthy and back on the field. Overall, San Diego’s offense is averaging 27.8 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus defenses that allow 23.6 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Chargers will now face a Carolina defense that has given up 75 total points in their last two games, and overall the Panthers are allowing 23.3 points per game on 5.6 yards per play at home this season. Carolina scored 55 total points in their previous two games prior to last Sunday night’s 7-point debacle in Seattle. The Panthers now return home off that embarrassing performance while taking a big step-down in defensive class. Carolina’s offense will play much better in this game, especially since they’ll be facing a San Diego defense that is giving up 26.6 points per game on 5.8 yards per play versus offenses that average 24.3 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Chargers have been worse on the road where they’ve given up 27.2 points per game on 6.0 yards per play. Carolina’s offense is averaging a respectable 23.6 points per game versus a tough slate of opposing defenses that only give up 23.1 points per game. We expect a high-scoring game between the Chargers and Panthers on Sunday afternoon.  9* Play OVER the total. |
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12-08-16 | Raiders v. Chiefs OVER 45.5 | 13-21 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Oakland and Kansas City match-up well for a high-scoring game tonight. The Chiefs beat the Raiders 26-10 back on October 16th, but that game was played on a muddy field in a driving rain storm. The minimal offensive output was a direct result of the weather conditions. Despite that, the two quarterbacks were able to complete 41 passes for 449 total yards thru the air. While tonight’s game will be played in cold conditions, the ball and the field will be dry. Oakland is averaging 28.7 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus defenses that give up just 23.7 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Raiders’ offense has been just as good on the road where they are averaging 28.3 points per game on 6.3 yards per play this season. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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12-04-16 | Panthers v. Seahawks OVER 43.5 | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
Carolina and Seattle have a history of playing high-scoring games. In three meetings over the last two years, the teams have combined to score 55, 50, and 48 points. Tonight’s game shouldn’t be any different. The Panthers are averaging 25.1 points per game on 5.6 yards per play versus defenses that give up 23.9 points per game. On the road, Carolina is averaging 27.2 points per game. Seattle does possess a solid defense, but they’ve been vulnerable against good offenses this season. In recent games against the Falcons, Saints, Bills, and Patriots, the Seahawks gave up 24 points or more to each of those opponents.  Seattle returns home off an embarrassing 5-point offensive output in Tampa Bay last week. The Seahawks were pathetic in that game, but we expect a strong bounce back performance tonight, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Seattle has scored 26 points or more in four of their five home games this season. Overall at home, the Seahawks are averaging 26.4 points per game on 6.0 yards per play. They will face a Carolina defense that is giving up 31 points per game on 6.6 yards per play on the road this season. We expect a high-scoring game between the Panthers and Seahawks on Sunday night.  9* Play OVER the total. |
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12-04-16 | Redskins v. Cardinals OVER 48.5 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
Washington has scored 23 points or more in eight of their eleven games this season. Overall, Washington is averaging 25.5 points per game on 6.6 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 21.1 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. The Redskins’ offense is in excellent current form as they’ve scored a total of 121 points in their last four games. Washington’s offense will now face an Arizona defense that is in terrible current form. The Cardinals have given up 30 points or more in three of their last four games while allowing an average of 29.5 points per game. Arizona will likely be without safety Tyrann Mathieu who has a shoulder injury, so that opens the field up even more for Washington quarterback Kirk Cousins. Arizona returns home off back-to-back road losses where their offense underperformed. The Cardinals scored just 43 total points in those games, but we expect a strong bounce back performance this afternoon. Arizona is only averaging 22.3 points per game on 5.5 yards per play, but they’ve faced defenses that only give up 23.5 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Cardinals will have success against a Washington defense that is allowing 24 points per game on 6.1 yards per play versus offenses that only average 22.4 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. We expect a high-scoring game between the Redskins and Cardinals on Sunday afternoon.  10* Play OVER the total. |
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12-04-16 | Bucs v. Chargers OVER 48 | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay and San Diego match-up well for a high-scoring game this afternoon. The Buccaneers have scored 24 points or more in four of their last six games, and 28 points or more in three of those six games. Overall, Tampa Bay is averaging 22.6 points per game versus a tough slate of opposing defenses that only give up 23.6 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Buccaneers’ offense has been much better since their bye week as they are averaging 25.8 points per game over their last six games. Tampa Bay is also going from back-to-back games against strong defenses (Seahawks and Chiefs) to a San Diego defense that is allowing 26.5 points per game on 5.8 yards per play versus offenses that only average 24.7 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. San Diego has scored 21 points or more in ten of their eleven games this season, and they’ve done that despite missing key personnel on the offensive side of the ball. The Chargers had a bye prior to their last game, so they were able to get some of those players healthy and back on the field. Overall, San Diego’s offense is averaging 28.5 points per game on 5.9 yards per play versus defenses that allow 23.8 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Chargers will now face a Tampa Bay defense that is giving up 24.0 points per game on 6.1 yards per play and allowed a franchise record 626 total yards versus another AFC West opponent (Oakland) this season. Look for a high-scoring game between the Buccaneers and Chargers on Sunday afternoon.  9* Play OVER the total. |
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12-01-16 | Cowboys v. Vikings UNDER 44 | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Dallas will put their 10-game winning streak on the line tonight in Minnesota. Both teams come into this game with normal rest after playing last Thursday night, so expect this game to be played to true form tonight. The Cowboys are taking a step-up in defensive class against Minnesota after last facing the leaky Washington defense. Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott will have a difficult time throwing the ball with any consistency on the fantastic Minnesota secondary. That will force Dallas to run the ball a lot in this game. The Cowboys already play a ball control style with running back Ezekiel Elliott, so expect him to get a lot of carries this evening. Dallas will shorten this game with their style of play, so offensive possessions will be limited. 9* Play UNDER the total. |
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11-27-16 | Patriots v. Jets OVER 45.5 | 22-17 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
New England and New York match-up well for a high-scoring game this afternoon. The Patriots have scored 23 points or more in nine of their ten games, and 30 points or more in five of their ten games this season. Overall, New England is averaging 27.1 points per game on 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that give up 22.6 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Patriots’ offense has been even better on the road where they are averaging 30.8 points per game on 6.3 yards per play. New England will now face a New York defense that is allowing 24.4 points per game on 5.7 yards per play versus offenses that only average 20.9 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. New York’s offense has struggled this season, but they’ve faced a tough slate of opposing defenses that only give up 20.8 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Jets come into this game fresh off their bye, so we expect a strong offensive performance this afternoon. New York will face a New England defense that has faced a terrible group of opposing offenses that only average 21.6 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Jets’ offense is more than capable of scoring points as prior to their last game, they had scored 23 points or more in three consecutive games. We expect a high-scoring game between the Patriots and Jets on Sunday afternoon.  10* Play OVER the total. |
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11-24-16 | Redskins v. Cowboys OVER 48.5 | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 76 h 0 m | Show | |
Washington and Dallas match-up well for a high-scoring game on Thursday. The Redskins have scored 23 points or more in seven of their ten games this season. Overall, Washington is averaging 25.4 points per game on 6.5 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 21.7 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. The Redskins’ offense is in excellent current form as they’ve scored a total of 95 points in their last three games. Washington scored 23 points on 432 yards of total offense on Dallas’ defense back in their Week 2 matchup. Quarterback Kirk Cousins completed 28 passes for 364 yards in that game, and now he will face a depleted Dallas secondary that is missing a couple of starters. Dallas’ offense has been fantastic at home this season. The Cowboys are averaging 26.8 points per game on a terrific 6.2 yards per play. Those numbers aren’t a fluke considering Dallas’ overall average of 6.3 yards per play versus defenses that allow 5.8 yards per play. The Cowboys will have success against a Washington defense that is allowing 23.3 points per game on 6.1 yards per play versus offenses that only average 22.2 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. We expect a high-scoring game between the Redskins and Cowboys on Thursday.  10* Play OVER the total. |
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11-20-16 | Packers v. Redskins OVER 49 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
Green Bay and Washington match up well for a high-scoring game on Sunday night. The Packers have scored 23 points or more in seven of their nine games this season. Overall, Green Bay is averaging 24.8 points per game versus defenses that give up 23.5 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Packers’ offense is in excellent current form as they’ve scored a total of 109 points in their last four games. Green Bay will now face a poor Washington defense that is allowing 25.0 points per game on 5.9 yards per play at home this season. Washington’s offense has been fantastic at home this season. The Redskins are averaging 24.6 points per game on a terrific 6.7 yards per play. Those numbers aren’t a fluke considering Washington’s overall average of 6.3 yards per play versus defenses that allow 5.7 yards per play. The Redskins will have success against a Green Bay defense that is allowing 30.0 points per game on 6.3 yards per play on the road. Green Bay’s secondary has been terrible on the road where they are allowing 8.4 yards per pass attempt. We expect a high-scoring game between the Packers and Redskins on Sunday night.  9* Play OVER the total. |
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11-20-16 | Titans v. Colts OVER 52.5 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Tennessee and Indianapolis match-up well for a high-scoring game this afternoon. In the first meeting of the season, these two teams scored a total of 60 points on just 753 yards of total offense. Tennessee’s offense is averaging 26.4 points per game on 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that give up 24.7 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. The Titans have scored 26 points or more in six straight games, and that streak will continue in this game, especially against a terrible Indianapolis defense. The Colts are allowing 28.5 points per game on a whopping 7.0 yards per play at home this season. Indianapolis comes into this game fresh off their bye, so they’ll be ready to roll, especially since their last home game was an embarrassing 30-14 loss to Kansas City. The Colts have scored 23 points or more in seven of their nine games this season. Overall, Indianapolis is averaging 26.6 points per game on 5.7 yards per play versus defenses that give up 23.4 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. Indianapolis will now face a poor Tennessee defense that is allowing 25.1 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus offenses that only average 22.7 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. We expect a high-scoring game between the Titans and Colts on Sunday afternoon.  10* Play OVER the total. |
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11-14-16 | Bengals v. Giants OVER 47 | 20-21 | Loss | -105 | 40 h 25 m | Show | |
Cincinnati and New York match-up well for a high-scoring game tonight. The Bengals come into this game fresh off their bye week, so they’ll be ready to roll. Cincinnati has scored 58 total points in their last two games, and we expect more of the same tonight. Overall, Cincinnati is only averaging 20.9 points per game. However, the Bengals gain 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play, so their offense is much better than their scoring average suggests. Cincinnati will now face a New York defense that is allowing 5.7 yards per play at home, so the Bengals should move the ball consistently in this game. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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11-13-16 | Seahawks v. Patriots OVER 49 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
Seattle and New England will have the same game plan for tonight’s game, and that will be to throw the ball a lot. The Seahawks had a breakout offensive game last week when they scored 31 points on Buffalo. Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson had an efficient game as he completed 76.9% (20-26) of his passes for 282 yards with 2 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Wilson will also have success tonight against a New England secondary that has only faced one strong passing quarterback all season. That came against Cincinnati’s Andy Dalton who completed 21 passes for 254 yards while scoring 17 points. New England’s offense has been fantastic this season. The Patriots are averaging 27.1 points per game on 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that give up 22.7 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. Keep in mind that New England’s seasonal numbers include four games in which QB Tom Brady did not play. In four games this season, Brady has completed 73.1% of his passes while averaging 9.8 yards per pass attempt. Overall, Brady has thrown for 1,319 yards with a 12/0 touchdown/interception ratio. He will face a Seattle defense that was carved up by Matt Ryan and Drew Brees earlier this season. We expect a high-scoring game between the Seahawks and Patriots on Sunday night. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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11-13-16 | Chiefs v. Panthers OVER 44 | 20-17 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Kansas City and Carolina shouldn’t have much trouble scoring points on each other’s defense in this game. The Chiefs have scored 24 points or more in five of their eight games this season. They were held to 19 points last week against the Jaguars, but Kansas City played that game without QB Alex Smith and a slew of other offensive players. Smith will be back under center for this game, so we expect a much better offensive performance. Overall, the Chiefs are averaging 23.1 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. Kansas City will now face a Carolina defense that is giving up 25.7 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus offenses that average 23.7 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. Carolina returns home off an ugly 13-10 win in Los Angeles. The Panthers have played three of their last five games on the road, so a home game will bring out their best, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Carolina’s offense is averaging 25.5 points per game on 5.7 yards per play versus defenses that allow 24.1 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. Kansas City’s defense is giving up 21.5 points per game on 5.9 yards per play on the road. Both offenses will be the best units on the field, so we expect a high-scoring game between the Chiefs and Panthers on Sunday afternoon. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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11-13-16 | Packers v. Titans OVER 49.5 | 25-47 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Green Bay and Tennessee match-up well for a high-scoring game this afternoon. The Packers have scored 23 points or more in six of their eight games this season. Overall, Green Bay is averaging 24.7 points per game versus defenses that give up 22.9 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Packers’ offense is in excellent current form as they’ve scored a total of 84 points in their last three games. Green Bay will now face a poor Tennessee defense that is allowing 25.1 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus offense that only average 22.3 points per game on 5.6 yards per play.  Tennessee’s offense has struggled a bit this season, but they’ve actually played above average football on that side of the ball. The Titans are averaging 24.1 points per game on 6.1 yards per play versus defenses that give up 24.4 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. The Titans are averaging 6.2 yards per play at home this season, so they will have success against a Green Bay defense that is allowing 24.3 points per game on 5.8 yards per play on the road. Green Bay’s secondary has been terrible while allowing 7.9 yards per pass attempt, and since Tennessee QB Marcus Mariota is averaging 7.7 yards per pass attempt at home, the Titans offense will have success thru the air. We expect a high-scoring game between the Packers and Titans on Sunday afternoon.  10* Play OVER the total. |
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11-06-16 | Saints v. 49ers OVER 52 | 41-23 | Win | 100 | 96 h 40 m | Show | |
New Orleans and San Francisco match-up well for a high-scoring game this afternoon. The Saints have scored 21 points or more in six of their seven games, and 25 points or more in five of their seven games this season. Overall, New Orleans is averaging 28.7 points per game on 6.1 yards per play versus defenses that give up 23.4 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Saints’ offense will now face a terrible San Francisco defense that is allowing 31.3 points per game on 6.0 yards per play (versus opponents that average just 23.1 ppg and 5.7 yppl). |
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10-30-16 | Raiders v. Bucs OVER 49 | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Oakland and Tampa Bay match-up well for a high-scoring game this afternoon. The Raiders have scored 28 points or more in five of their seven games this season. In their game against Kansas City, the Raiders only scored 10 points, but that game was played in a monsoon which prevented Oakland from throwing the ball effectively. Overall, the Raiders are averaging 26.4 points per game on 5.9 yards per play versus defenses that give up 25.5 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. Oakland’s offense has actually been better on the road where they are averaging 28.2 points per game. Tampa Bay’s defense has allowed 37 and 27 points in their two home games this season.  Tampa Bay’s offense has struggled a bit this season, but they’ve faced a tough slate of opposing defenses that only give up 23.9 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. The Buccaneers scored 34 points on the 49ers last week, and we expect another strong offensive performance this afternoon. Tampa Bay will face a poor Oakland defense that has given up 25.6 points per game on a whopping 6.9 yards per play versus offenses that average 25.1 points per game on 5.9 yards per play. Oakland’s secondary has been atrocious while allowing 8.2 yards per pass attempt. We expect a high-scoring game between the Raiders and Buccaneers on Sunday afternoon.  9* Play OVER the total. |
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10-30-16 | Jets v. Browns OVER 44 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
New York and Cleveland shouldn’t have much trouble scoring points on each other’s defense in this game. The Jets have scored 22 points or more in just three of their seven games this season, but those three games all came against poor defenses. They were held to 17 points or less in their other four games against the Cardinals, Seahawks, Steelers, and Chiefs. Overall, the Jets have faced a group of defenses that is only giving up 19.1 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. New York will now face a horrendous Cleveland defense that is allowing opponents to score 29.6 points per game on 6.6 yards per play. They’ve allowed those poor numbers against offenses that only average 22.4 points per pass on 6.0 yards per play. Cleveland returns home off back-to-backs road losses, and in fact, the Browns have played four of their last five games on the road. Overall, this will only be Cleveland’s third home game of the season. Their last home game came against New England when Tom Brady was making his season debut. The Browns’ offense has poor numbers, but they’ve faced a tough slate of opposing defenses that only allow 20.2 points per game on 5.7 yards per play this season. New York’s defense is giving up 28.5 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road, so Cleveland’s offense will breakout, especially with veteran QB Josh McCown back under center. Both offenses will be the best units on the field, so we expect a high-scoring game between the Jets and Browns on Sunday afternoon. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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10-23-16 | Chargers v. Falcons OVER 54 | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
San Diego and Atlanta match-up well for a high-scoring game this afternoon. The Chargers come into this game off a poor offensive performance at home versus Denver on a Thursday night; they only scored 21 points on 265 yards of total offense. However, the Broncos have one of the best defenses in the league, so that performance can be forgiven. San Diego’s offense will bounce back with a much better performance today, especially since they are facing an Atlanta defense that is one of the worst in the NFL. The Falcons are giving up 32.0 points per game on 6.0 yards per play at home this season with those games averaging 68.0 total points scored. Atlanta’s offense has been fantastic at home where they are averaging 36 points per game on a whopping 7.7 yards per play this season. Quarterback Matt Ryan has completed 68.1% of his passes while averaging 9.9 yards per pass attempt this season. Overall, Ryan has thrown for 2,075 yards with a 15/3 touchdown/interception ratio this season. He will face a San Diego defense that is giving up 31 points per game on 6.2 yards per play on the road this season. The Chargers’ secondary is allowing 316 passing yards per game and 7.6 yards per pass attempt on the road, so Ryan will throw the ball all over the field in this game. The Falcons are 5-1 to the Over this season with an average of 60.9 total points per game, while the Chargers are 4-2 to the Over with an average 54.6 total points per game (4-1 Over and 58.8 ppg if you remover the Denver game). Look for a high-scoring game between the Chargers and Falcons on Sunday afternoon.  10* Play OVER the total. |
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10-23-16 | Redskins v. Lions OVER 49.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Washington and Detroit will both have the same game plan for this game, and that is to throw the ball a lot. The Redskins have scored 23 points or more in four of their six games this season, and all of those games have come outside in the elements. This will be Washington’s first game inside a dome, and on a fast track, we expect a strong offensive performance. Overall, the Redskins are averaging 23.7 points per game on 6.4 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 20.7 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. Quarterback Kirk Cousins is averaging 7.3 yards per pass attempt, and he will now face a terrible Detroit secondary that has given up a league-high 17 touchdown passes while allowing 7.9 yards per pass attempt against offenses that only average 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Detroit comes into this game off back-to-back home wins after their offense scored a total of 55 points in those two games. Overall, the Lions’ offense is averaging 25 points per game on 5.9 yards per play versus a collection of defenses that only allow 22.2 points per game on 5.8 yards per play this season. Washington’s defense is giving up 23.7 points per game on 6.1 yards per play despite playing struggling offenses like the Giants, Ravens, and Browns. Both offenses will be the best units on the field, so we expect a high-scoring game between the Redskins and Lions on Sunday afternoon. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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10-16-16 | Bengals v. Patriots OVER 47.5 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Cincinnati and New England will both have the same game plan for this game, and that is to throw the ball a lot. The Bengals were terrible on offense last week as they only scored 14 points at Dallas. Off that woeful offensive performance, Cincinnati’s offense is primed for a bounce back scoring performance on a fast track in New England. Quarterback Andy Dalton is averaging 7.6 yards per pass attempt despite facing defenses that only give up 21.2 points per game on 7.1 yards per pass attempt. Dalton will now face a New England secondary that has faced a slew of terrible opposing quarterbacks that cannot throw the football effectively. The Patriots’ defense has allowed 6.6 yards per pass attempts against offenses that only average 6.3 yards per pass attempt. New England is 4-1 on the season, including 1-0 with quarterback Tom Brady under center. Brady played for the first time last week, and he led New England to 33 points on 501 yards of total offense in Cleveland. Brady will now make his first home appearance of the season, and we expect a duplicate performance this afternoon. New England’s offense has faced a collection of defenses that only allow 22.4 points per game on 5.5 yards per play this season. Cincinnati’s defense is giving up 24.7 points per game on 5.8 yards per play on the road despite playing the Jets, Cowboys, and Steelers which came in a driving rain storm. Both offenses will be the best units on the field, so we expect a high-scoring game between the Bengals and Patriots on Sunday afternoon. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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10-16-16 | Panthers v. Saints OVER 53 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Carolina and New Orleans match-up well for a high-scoring game this afternoon. The Panthers come into this game off a poor offensive performance at home versus Tampa Bay last Monday night; they only scored 14 points despite putting up 414 yards of total offense with backup QB Derek Anderson under center. Carolina will get Cam Newton back on the field, so the Panthers will bounce back with a much better offensive performance today, especially since they are facing a New Orleans defense that is one of the worst in the NFL. The Saints are giving up 32.5 points per game on 6.5 yards per play versus offenses that average 27.5 points per game on 6.4 yards per play.  New Orleans’ offense has been fantastic at home where they are averaging 33 points per game on a whopping 7.0 yards per play this season. Quarterback Drew Brees has completed 65.9% of his passes while averaging 7.2 yards per pass attempt this season. Overall, Brees has thrown for 1,268 yards with a 10/3 touchdown/interception ratio this season. He will face a Carolina defense that is giving up 27 points per game on 5.7 yards per play versus offenses that only average 24.6 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. The Panthers’ secondary is allowing a woeful 10.2 yards per pass attempt on the road, so Brees will throw the ball all over the field in this game. We expect a high-scoring game between the Panthers and Saints on Sunday afternoon.  9* Play OVER the total. |
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10-09-16 | Giants v. Packers OVER 47.5 | 16-23 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 19 m | Show | |
New York comes into this game off a terrible performance in Minnesota last week. The Giants lost that game 24-10, but there’s little shame in having their worst offensive game of the season against one of the best defensive teams in the NFL. Off that terrible showing, we expect New York to bounce back with a strong effort, especially on the offensive side of the ball. The Giants’ offense has averaged 6.2 yards per play despite only averaging 18.2 points per game. New York’s offense has been able to move the ball up and down the field, but they’ve failed to turn that production into points. Green Bay’s defense is giving up 22.3 points per game on 5.8 yards per play versus offenses that average 22.3 points per game on 5.4 yards per play. The Giants will take advantage of that mediocre defense tonight. Green Bay is 2-1 on the season, and the Packers come into this game fresh off a bye. In their lone home game this season, Green Bay scored 34 points with quarterback Aaron Rodgers throwing four touchdown passes on a terrible Lions secondary. Rodgers gets another easy matchup tonight against a New York defense that got carved-up by Kirk Cousins two weeks ago. Overall, Green Bay’s offense is averaging 25.1 points per game versus defenses giving up 21.9 points per game on just 5.4 yards per play. We expect both offenses to be the best units on the field, so look for a high-scoring game between the Giants and Packers on Sunday night. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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10-02-16 | Chiefs v. Steelers OVER 46 | 14-43 | Win | 100 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
Kansas City and Pittsburgh both come into this game with 2-1 records, but last week had the teams with opposite outcomes. The Chiefs beat the Jets 24-3 at home while the Steelers lost 34-3 in Philadelphia. Tonight’s game will have the Chiefs’ defense taking a major step back as the Steelers’ offense will bounce back with a strong performance. Kansas City’s defensive numbers appear to be good; they are only giving up 16.3 points per game on 5.2 yards per play. However, the opposing offenses have been extremely weak while only averaging 21.2 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. Kansas City will now face a potent Pittsburgh offense off a terrible performance, so expect the Chiefs’ worst defensive game of the season. Pittsburgh has played just one home game so far, and that came in a driving rainstorm against divisional rival Cincinnati. The Steelers still scored 24 points in that game. Pittsburgh’s offense has been highly explosive at home, especially quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. He owns an incredible 42/13 touchdown/interception ratio while averaging 342 passing yards per game at home over the last three seasons. Kansas City’s defense was shredded by Philip Rivers in the season opener, and Roethlisberger will do the same tonight. Pittsburgh’s defense is allowing 6.5 yards per play, so Kansas City’s offense will also score their share of points. Look for a high-scoring game between the Chiefs and Steelers on Sunday night. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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09-25-16 | Bears v. Cowboys OVER 44 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears slogged thru a miserable 6-10 season last year, and they’ve picked-up right where they left off. Chicago is 0-2 on the season after losses to the Texans and Eagles with the latter being an embarrassing effort on Monday night. Quarterback Jay Cutler is out after hurting his thumb, but truth be told, that’s a positive thing for Chicago’s offense. Brian Hoyer plays with much more gusto and confidence than Cutler, and we expect a surprisingly strong offensive game from the Bears tonight. Chicago will face a Dallas defense that is allowing 21.5 points per game on 6.5 yards per play versus offenses that only average 18.8 points per game on 6.4 yards per play. Dallas is 1-1 on the season under rookie quarterback Dak Prescott. He was the talk of the preseason, and so far so good in the regular season. Prescott will look like he did in the preseason as he’ll be facing a Chicago defense that is decimated with injuries. The Bears will be without five defensive starters tonight after they all got hurt in the last game. Prescott dominated second unit defenses in the preseason, and that’s essentially what he’s facing tonight. Overall, the Bears have given up 26 points per game despite playing a pair of offenses that only average 21.5 points per game on 4.9 yards per play. Look for a high-scoring game between the Bears and Cowboys on Sunday night. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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09-25-16 | Redskins v. Giants OVER 45.5 | 29-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Washington has some major holes on the defensive side of the ball. The Redskins defense was dreadful last season as they gave up 24 points and 379 yards per game. On the road last season, Washington gave up 21 points or more in all eight of their games while giving up an average of 28.8 points per game. The Redskins gave up 32 points to the Giants in New York last season. In two games so far this season, Washington has given up 38 points to Pittsburgh and 27 points to Dallas. And both of those games were at home. Overall, Washington is allowing 32.5 points per game on 6.4 yards per play versus offenses that average 27 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. New York is 2-0 on the season after squeaking out close wins over the Cowboys and Saints. The Giants’ offense has yet to put things together while scoring just 20 and 16 points in their two games. However, we expect New York’s potent offense to breakout in a major way this afternoon against the pathetic Washington defense. Quarterback Eli manning is averaging 8.1 yards per pass attempt this season, and he’ll be throwing against a Redskins defense that is allowing a whopping 8.4 yards per pass attempt this season. The Giants offense will have little resistance, and we certainly expect them to easily eclipse 28 points or more in this game. We expect a high-scoring game between the Giants and Redskins on Sunday afternoon. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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09-18-16 | Titans v. Lions OVER 47.5 | 16-15 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Tennessee’s offense played much better than it appears on paper. The Titans only scored 16 points in a home loss to the Vikings, but they led 10-0, and started to play conservatively. They became predictable, and the strong Minnesota defense shut them down after that. Quarterback Marcus Mariota then threw a 77-yard pick-6, and the offense lost two fumbles with one being returned for a touchdown in the second half. That sequence of events turned the whole game around, and it prevented Tennessee’s offense from scoring more points. The Titans still averaged 5.0 yards per play, and quarterback Mario Mariota completed 25 passes for 271 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Detroit won 39-35 in a high-scoring shootout in Indianapolis last Sunday. The Lions offense was terrific as they racked up 448 yards of total offense while averaging a whopping 7.1 yards per play. Quarterback Matthew Stafford was excellent as he completed 79.5% (31-39) of his passes for 332 yards with 3 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Stafford averaged 8.5 yards per pass attempt while earning a 128.6 quarterback rating; the second best of Week 1. However, the Lions’ defense also gave up 35 points on 450 yards of total offense. Their secondary was carved-up by Andrew Luck; he threw for 368 passing yards with 4 touchdowns while averaging 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Both offenses will be the best units on the field, so we expect a high-scoring game between the Titans and Lions on Sunday afternoon. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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09-11-16 | Lions v. Colts OVER 50.5 | 39-35 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Detroit and Indianapolis have some major question marks on the defensive side of the ball. The Lions defense was dreadful last season as they gave up 25 points and 349 yards per game. On the road last season, the Lions gave up 20 points or more in six of their eight games. That included games against woeful offenses like the Chargers, Rams, and Bears. If the preseason was any indication, the Detroit defense may be even worse this season; they gave up 30 points in two of their four games. Indianapolis’ defense was also poor last season as they gave up 25 points on 379 yards of offense per game. The Colts held their opposition to less than 20 points in just four of their sixteen games in 2015. Indianapolis also has cluster injuries in their secondary, so they’ll have to play unproven talent against what projects to be a potent Detroit offense in this game.  The Lions and Colts will both possess potent offenses this season. Detroit installed an up-tempo spread attack that really took off last season. Their offense got better and better as the season went on, and in fact, the Lions scored 23 points or more in five of their last six games. Quarterback Matthew Stafford was excellent in those games, and overall he finished the season by completing 67.2% of his passes with an excellent 32/13 touchdown/interception ratio. The Indianapolis offense will have a healthy Andrew Luck at quarterback, and his presence alone makes the Colts an efficient scoring team. Luck threw 15 touchdown passes in just seven games in 2015 despite playing banged-up. Both offenses will be the best units on the field, so we expect a high-scoring game between the Lions and Colts on Sunday afternoon. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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09-08-16 | Panthers v. Broncos UNDER 41 | 20-21 | Push | 0 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Carolina and Denver will open the 2016 NFL season in a rematch of last year’s Super Bowl in which the Broncos won 24-10. That was a low-scoring defensive struggle, and we expect tonight’s game to play out in a similar way. Carolina’s offensive line was manhandled by Denver’s defensive line in the Super Bowl, and with the same personnel returning, it’s hard to see much difference tonight. The Panthers are a run first offense, and when they are successful running the ball, passing plays open up for quarterback Cam Newton. But even if that happens to a degree, Newton will be throwing against a very good Denver secondary that stifled him in the Super Bowl. Denver will be beginning a new chapter tonight with second-year quarterback Trevor Siemian under center. Siemian has limited experience, and he’ll be facing a tough and physical Carolina front seven. The Panthers have questions to answer in the secondary with a pair of rookies starting at the corners, but it’s unlikely that Siemian will be able to take advantage of that in his first start of the season. Denver will also look to run the ball with great frequency tonight as they do not want to pin this game on Siemian’s arm. The Bronocs know their defense will keep them in this game, so a conservative offensive game plan will be seen. We expect a low-scoring game between the Panthers and Broncos on Thursday night.  10* Play UNDER the total. |
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02-07-16 | Panthers v. Broncos UNDER 44 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Carolina’s two playoff games couldn't have started any better as they jumped out to a 14-0 first quarter lead over Seattle, and a 17-0 first quarter lead over Arizona. The Panthers didn't stop there as they extended their leads to 31-0 at the half over the Seahawks, and 24-7 at the half over the Cardinals. The Panthers had good fortune in both of those games with their opponents turning the ball over which led to easy scores for Carolina. However, this game should be much different against the stout Denver defense. The Panthers’ offense did lead the NFL in first half scoring while averaging 17.8 points per game. But Denver’s defense ranked 5th in the league in first half scoring; they allowed just 8.8 points per game. Overall, the Broncos are only allowing 18.3 points per game on 4.7 yards per play this season, so Carolina’s offense will have to earn every point they get in this game, especially in the first half against a fresh Denver defense.       Denver had to play two different playoff games to reach the Super Bowl. The Broncos trailed for most of the first 45 minutes against Pittsburgh before pulling out the win in the fourth quarter. Denver led wire-to-wire against New England as their defense simply dominated that game at the line of scrimmage. The Broncos gave up just 10 first half points to the Steelers, and just 9 first half points to the Patriots. Denver’s defensive profile showed that they started games off strong before wearing down late; nothing should change in this game. Denver’s best chance to win this game is to play ball control, and let their defense do the rest. That is especially true early on in this game, so we expect a conservative game plan by the Broncos. Carolina’s defense ranked #2 in the NFL while giving up just 7.1 points per game in the first half. Denver’s offense only averaged 10.9 points per game in the first half. We expect this game to have limited offense early on, and while the second half should produce more points, a low-scoring first half will provide enough cushion for this game to stay Under the full game total.
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01-24-16 | Cardinals v. Panthers OVER 47.5 | 15-49 | Win | 100 | 41 h 45 m | Show | |
Arizona’s offense is averaging 30.3 points per game on 6.4 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 22.3 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Cardinals’ offense has also travelled well this season as they are averaging 32.7 points per game on 6.4 yards per play away from home. Quarterback Carson Palmer has completed 63.5% (367-578) of his passes for 5,020 yards with an excellent 38/13 touchdown/interception ratio. Palmer is averaging a whopping 8.7 yards per pass attempt. Palmer will face a young and inexperienced Carolina cornerback in Robert McClain who the Panthers just signed on December 15th. The Panthers also play older veterans in the secondary, so the young and fast Arizona wide receivers will exploit that unit for big plays downfield just like Seattle did last week. Carolina also has a strong offense that is averaging 32.8 points per game on 5.9 yards per play at home this season. The Panthers have a good passing game at home where they are averaging 236.7 yards per game thru the air on 8.0 yards per pass attempt. Carolina quarterback Cam Newton has thrown for 3,998 yards this season with an excellent 36/10 touchdown/interception ratio. Carolina’s offense will score their share of points against an Arizona defense that has allowed 56 points in their last two games. The Panthers have scored 24 points or more in every home game this season. We expect a high-scoring NFC Championship game between the Cardinals and Panthers on Sunday night. 9* Play OVER the total.  |
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01-17-16 | Seahawks v. Panthers OVER 43.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
Seattle’s offense has been excellent over the second half of the season. The Seahawks have scored 29 points or more in seven of their last nine games, including 35 points or more in four of those games. Overall, Seattle is averaging 25.5 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 21.6 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Seahawks’ offense has also travelled well this season as they are averaging 24.9 points per game on 5.7 yards per play away from home. Quarterback Russell Wilson has completed 68.1% (329-483) of his passes for 4,024 yards with an excellent 34/8 touchdown/interception ratio. Wilson is averaging a whopping 8.3 yards per pass attempt. Wilson will face a young and inexperienced Carolina cornerback in Robert McClain who the Panthers just signed on December 15th. The Panthers also play older veterans in the secondary, so the young and fast Seattle wide receivers will exploit that unit for big plays downfield. Carolina also has a strong offense that is averaging 33 points per game on 6.1 yards per play at home this season. The Panthers have a good passing game at home where they are averaging 247.4 yards per game thru the air on 8.1 yards per pass attempt. Carolina quarterback Cam Newton has thrown for 3,837 yards this season with an excellent 35/10 touchdown/interception ratio. Carolina’s offense will score their share of points against a Seattle defense that has only faced one explosive offense in their last six games. The Panthers scored 27 points on the Seahawks in Seattle in an earlier season meeting, and their offense has been better at home where they’ve scored 24 points or more in every game this season. We expect a high-scoring game between the Seahawks and Panthers on Sunday afternoon. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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01-10-16 | Packers v. Redskins OVER 45.5 | 35-18 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Green Bay and Washington match-up well for a high-scoring game on Sunday. The Packers come into this game off back-to-back poor offensive performances. They scored just 8 points in Arizona two weeks ago, and they scored just 13 points at home against Minnesota last week. But Green Bay will bounce back with a much better performance in this game, especially since they are facing a Washington defense that has given up 72 points in their last three games against bad offenses like the Bills, Eagles, and Cowboys. Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers has a fantastic 31/8 touchdown/interception ratio this season. Rodgers and the Packers offense will go up against a Redskins defense that ranks 19th against the pass in efficiency while giving up 30 touchdown passes this season. Washington’s defense has also been gouged on the ground recently as they’ve allowed 385 rushing yards on 5.6 yards per rush over their last three games. Green Bay will be able to move the ball consistently on the ground and thru the air.  Washington’s offense has been fantastic at home where they are averaging 25.7 points per game on 6.2 yards per play this season. Quarterback Kirk Cousins comes into this game in tremendous current form; he has completed 73% of his passes with an exceptional 11/0 touchdown/interception ratio over his last three games. Overall, Cousins has thrown for 4,166 yards with a 29/11 touchdown/interception ratio this season. He will face a Green Bay defense that is giving up 23.2 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road. The Packers’ secondary is allowing 7.2 yards per pass attempt, so Cousins will throw the ball all over the field tonight. Washington’s running game has also been terrific at home where they are averaging 130.7 yards per game on 4.3 yards per rush. The Packers give up 124 rushing yards per game on 4.6 yards per rush on the road. Both offenses will move the ball consistently on the ground and thru the air, so we expect a high-scoring game between the Packers and Redskins on Sunday night.  10* Play OVER the total. |
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12-28-15 | Bengals v. Broncos UNDER 40 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Cincinnati bounced back strongly as expected last week when they won 24-14 in San Francisco. That win was preceded by a home loss to Pittsburgh after quarterback Andy Dalton left with a broken thumb. A.J. McCarron was good in relief against the Steelers, and last week he simply played mistake-free football while not being asked to do too much. The challenge for McCarron this week increases significantly against the stout Denver defense. The Bengals’ offense will have an extremely difficult time moving the ball with any type of consistency in this game. Denver’s defense is terrific against the run and the pass, and they lead the NFL in sacks with 47 on the season. McCarron has taken seven sacks in the two games he has played, so that will be an issue for the Cincinnati offense in this game. Overall, the Broncos are only allowing 18.5 points per game on 4.1 yards per play at home this season.       Denver returns home after blowing a 27-10 lead in Pittsburgh last week. The Broncos’ offense was shutout in the second half for the third consecutive week after opposing defenses made adjustments in defending quarterback Brock Osweiler. Denver’s offense has been non-explosive all season; they are only averaging 22 points per game on 5.4 yards per play. The Broncos’ offense has been even worse at home where they are scoring just 21 points per game on 5.3 yards per play. Cincinnati’s defense is also one of the best in the league; the Bengals are holding opponents to just 17 points per game on 5.4 yards per play on the road this season. With two young quarterbacks facing strong, veteran defenses, we expect a low-scoring game between the Bengals and Broncos on Monday night.   10* Play UNDER the total. |
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12-27-15 | Giants v. Vikings UNDER 44.5 | 17-49 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
New York comes into this game off a high-scoring close loss at home to undefeated Carolina. The Giants made a furious rally to tie the game after trailing 35-7 in the second half; they ultimately fell short in a 38-35 loss. That was a draining game, and it was also costly as New York will be without their best offensive player (Odell Beckham); he’s suspended for fighting last week. New York will be a flat team already, and without Beckham, the Giants will have a difficult time moving the ball in this game. New York will face a Minnesota defense that is only allowing 20.4 points per game on 5.3 yards per play at home this season. The Vikings’ defense has held ten of their fourteen opponents to 20 points or less this season.    Minnesota is 9-5 after beating Chicago last week. The Vikings’ offense will look to control this game on the ground with running back Adrian Peterson. Minnesota shouldn’t have any trouble doing exactly that as the Giants’ defense is allowing 114.4 rushing yards per game on 4.2 yards per rush this season. The Vikings’ offense is not explosive by any means, especially at home where they are only averaging 21.7 points per game on 5.2 yards per play. Minnesota quarterback Teddy Bridgewater is essentially a game manager, and the Vikings offense isn’t built to take advantage of a poor New York secondary. The two offenses will struggle, so we expect a low-scoring game between the Giants and Vikings on Sunday night.  9* Play UNDER the total. |
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12-21-15 | Lions v. Saints OVER 51 | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Detroit and New Orleans match-up well for a high-scoring game tonight. The Lions come into this game off a poor offensive performance in St. Louis last week; they only scored 14 points on 331 yards of total offense. But Detroit will bounce back with a much better performance tonight, especially since they are facing a New Orleans defense that is one of the worst in the NFL. Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford has played well since their bye back in Week 9; he has a terrific 11/2 touchdown/interception ratio in his last five games. Stafford and the Lions offense will go up against a Saints defense that has allowed 36 touchdown passes this season; the most in the league. New Orleans has also been gouged on the ground recently as they’ve allowed 367 rushing yards on 5.1 yards per rush over their last three games. Detroit will be able to move the ball consistently on the ground and thru the air.  New Orleans’ offense has been fantastic at home where they are averaging 32.3 points per game on 6.3 yards per play this season. Quarterback Drew Brees has completed 71.5% of his passes while averaging a whopping 8.4 yards per pass attempt at home. Overall, Brees has thrown for 3,794 yards with a 25/11 touchdown/interception ratio this season. He will face a Detroit defense that is giving up 25.8 points per game on 5.8 yards per play versus offenses that only average 23.2 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Lions’ secondary is allowing 7.2 yards per pass attempt, so Brees will throw the ball all over the field tonight. We expect a high-scoring game between the Lions and Saints on Monday night.  10* Play OVER the total. |
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12-20-15 | Cardinals v. Eagles OVER 51 | 40-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Arizona’s offense has been terrific this season. The Cardinals’ offense is averaging 31.2 points per game on 6.5 yards per play versus defenses that are only giving up 23 points per game on 5.9 yards per play. Arizona has taken their offense on the road as well; the Cardinals are averaging 31.7 points per game on 6.3 yards per play away from home. Quarterback Carson Palmer has completed 64.5% (292-453) of his passes for 4,003 yards with a terrific 31/9 touchdown/interception ratio. Palmer is averaging a whopping 8.8 yards per pass attempt, and he’ll throw all over an Eagles defense that has given up 19 touchdown passes in their last six games. Philadelphia’s offense is starting to come around with Sam Bradford under center. The Eagles have picked up the pace in recent games; they’ve scored 58 points in their last two games. The Eagles have scored 23 points or more in seven games this season. Arizona’s defense has faced three pedestrian offenses that can only run the football in their last three games; the Cardinals held the 49ers to 13 points, the Rams to 3 points, and the Vikings to 20 points last week. Now Arizona will face an up-tempo offense on the road which makes them vulnerable. We expect a high-scoring game between the Cardinals and Eagles on Sunday night. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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12-20-15 | Falcons v. Jaguars OVER 49 | 23-17 | Loss | -105 | 39 h 22 m | Show | |
Atlanta has had a disappointing season to say the least. The Falcons opened the season with a perfect 5-0 record, and they were 6-1 after their first seven games. But Atlanta has gone winless since, and they come into this game riding a 6-game losing streak. The Falcons’ offense bottomed out last week in Carolina when they got shutout; Atlanta has scored 21 points or less in eight consecutive games. However, this game against Jacksonville provides the Atlanta offense with a fantastic opportunity to break out in a major way. Despite their scoring struggles, Atlanta is still averaging a respectable 5.7 yards per play this season. QB Matt Ryan has thrown for 3,705 yards with 17 touchdown passes on the season. Ryan gets an ideal matchup in this game as the Jaguars rank 27th in pass defense efficiency. Overall, Jacksonville’s defense is giving up 27.5 points per game versus offenses that only average 22.7 points per game.  Jacksonville has an exciting, young and explosive offense that should be one of the best in the NFL in the next couple of years. The Jaguars are averaging 25.1 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. Over their last three games, Jacksonville has scored 115 points. The Jaguars have scored 22 points or more in seven of their last nine games overall. Quarterback Blake Bortles is have a terrific season; he has thrown for 3,524 yards with a 30/13 touchdown/interception ratio. He has thrown multiple touchdown passes in eight of his last nine games. Bortles and the Jacksonville offense will face a terrible Atlanta defense that is allowing 23.4 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road this season. The Falcons rank 24th in pass defense efficiency, and they are dead last in the league in sacks. That combination will allow Bortles to throw the ball all over an Atlanta secondary that is giving up 7.6 yards per pass attempt on the road. We expect a high-scoring game between the Falcons and Jaguars on Sunday afternoon. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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12-17-15 | Bucs v. Rams OVER 41 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay and St. Louis haven’t been lighting-up opponents this season, but tonight’s matchup gives both teams a nice opportunity to breakout offensively. The Bucs will lean heavily on their running game, especially since the Rams’ run defense has been torched over the last few weeks. St. Louis has allowed 375 rushing yards on 4.8 yards per rush in their last three games with two of those games coming against teams that have had little success running the ball this season; the Lions and Cardinals. Tampa Bay features running back Doug Martin who only had 11 carries last week because the Bucs trailed New Orleans by double digits for the majority of the game. Martin will carry the workload in this game; he ranks second in the NFL with 1,214 rushing yards on the season. Tampa Bay has also played better offense on the road where they are averaging 24.2 points per game on 6.3 yards per play this season. St. Louis’ offense has played well below average in the majority of their games, and that led to a new offensive coordinator. Rob Boras called his first game last week, and the Rams responded with a win while scoring 21 points. St. Louis will have a tough time running on a stout Tampa Bay rush defense that only allows 94.1 yards per game on 3.4 yards per rush. That means we expect quarterback Case Keenum to throw the ball a lot in this game, especially since the Bucs have been vulnerable to passing attacks all season. Tampa Bay has allowed 20 points or more in three of their last four road games, so the Rams’ offense will have success since they’ve scored 21 points or more in four home games this season. We expect a high-scoring game between the Buccaneers and Rams in this game on Thursday night.  10* Play OVER the total. |
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12-14-15 | Giants v. Dolphins OVER 47 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
New York comes into this game off a pair of terrible offensive games; two weeks ago they only scored 14 points in Washington, and last week they only scored 20 points at home against the Jets. The Giants have scored 20 points or more in ten of their twelve games this season. Overall, New York is averaging 25.6 points per game versus defenses that allow 23.6 points per game. The Giants will face a poor Miami defense that is giving up 25 points per game on 5.8 yards per play versus offenses that average 23.2 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. New York has a strong passing attack under QB Eli Manning, and he will face a Miami secondary that has given up 24 passing touchdowns this season while allowing opposing quarterbacks a 16/5 touchdown/interception ratio over their last seven games. Miami’s offense has also played well below average in their last couple of games, especially at home. The Dolphins have scored just 29 total points in their last two home games, but there are reasons to expect a much better offensive output in tonight’s game against New York. The Giants’ defense has given up 20 points or more in ten of their twelve games this season. Overall, New York’s defense is allowing 24.7 points per game on 6.2 yards per play versus offenses that average 22.1 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Giants have been worse on the road where they are giving up 25.7 points per game on 6.3 yards per play. We expect a high-scoring game between the Giants and Dolphins in this game on Monday night.  10* Play OVER the total. |
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12-13-15 | Steelers v. Bengals OVER 50 | 33-20 | Win | 102 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh’s offense has been excellent with Ben Roethlisberger this season. The Steelers have scored 30 points or more in their last four games. Overall, Pittsburgh is averaging 25.9 points per game on 6.7 yards per play this season. The Steelers have played two road games with Roethlisberger under center; they scored 30 points on 538 yards of offense at Seattle, and they scored 21 points on 464 yards of offense at New England. The common thing about those two games is that they were both played on artificial turf; Pittsburgh’s home games are played on natural grass. This game will be played on a fast track in Cincinnati, so the Steelers’ offense will match their offensive performances of their two good road games. Roethlisberger will face a depleted Cincinnati secondary that will be playing a pair of rookies because of injury. In just eight games this season, Roethlisberger has completed 65.9% (201-305) of his passes for 2,702 yards and 15 touchdowns. Roethlisberger is averaging a whopping 8.9 yards per pass attempt. Cincinnati also has a strong offense that is averaging 27.8 points per game on 6.1 yards per play. The Bengals have a good passing game at home where they are averaging 247 yards per game thru the air on 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton has thrown for 3,191 yards this season while only throwing six interceptions on 381 pass attempts. Cincinnati’s offense will score their share of points against a Pittsburgh defense that is allowing 23.2 points per game on 6.4 yards per play on the road this season. The Bengals have scored 24 points or more in ten of their twelve games while the Steelers have scored 30 points or more in five of the seven games that Roethlisberger has played from start to finish. We expect a high-scoring game between the Steelers and Bengals on Sunday afternoon. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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12-06-15 | Colts v. Steelers OVER 49 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
Indianapolis’ offense is starting to come around with Matt Hasselbeck under center. The Colts have picked up the pace as they are now playing with a much quicker tempo. The Colts have scored 21 points or more in seven consecutive games, and they are averaging 25.5 points per game over their last four. We fully expect another strong offensive performance from the Indianapolis offense since the Pittsburgh defense has allowed 80 points in their last three games. Overall, Pittsburgh is allowing their opponents to average 6.0 yards per play this season. That poor defensive efficiency plays right into the hands of what the Colts’ offense is doing now with Hasselbeck at quarterback. Pittsburgh’s offense is terrific when Ben Roethlisberger is under center. Their seasonal numbers are skewed from the games he missed, but Pittsburgh is still playing above average football. The Steelers’ offense is averaging 24.2 points per game on 6.7 yards per play versus defenses that are only giving up 22.7 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. In just seven games this season, Roethlisberger has completed 66.5% (177-266) of his passes for 2,343 yards and 11 touchdowns. Roethlisberger is averaging a whopping 8.8 yards per pass attempt, and he’ll throw all over a Colts defense that is allowing 7.7 yards per pass attempt on the road this season. We expect a high-scoring game between the Colts and Steelers on Sunday night. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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12-06-15 | Jets v. Giants OVER 46.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
The New York Jets and the New York Giants will both have the same game plan for this game, and that is to throw the ball a lot. The teams will both face stout rush defenses that do not give up much on the ground, so we expect the ball to be in the air throughout this game. The Jets’ offense broke out last week as they scored 38 points on 411 yards of total offense. We expect their scoring ways to continue against a Giants defense that has given up 20 points or more in nine of their eleven games this season. Overall, the Jets are averaging 24.7 points per game this season while scoring 20 points or more in four of their five road games. Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick will face one of the worst secondaries in the league as the Giants rank 25th in efficiency while allowing 7.8 yards per pass attempt to opposing quarterbacks. Overall, the Giants’ defense is allowing 24.8 points per game on 6.2 yards per play this season. New York’s other team, the Giants, come in off their second worst offensive game of the season when they only scored 14 points in Washington last week. That was just the second time this season in which the Giants failed to score at least 20 points in a game. New York went into that game off a bye, and they were simply out of rhythm. The Giants’ offensive flow will return this week, and we’ll see the team that averaged 33.5 points per game in the four weeks prior to their bye. New York has a strong passing attack under QB Eli Manning who is averaging 309.9 yards per game on 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Manning will face a depleted Jets secondary that will be missing Darrelle Revis due to a concussion. Both offenses will be the best units on the field, so we expect a high-scoring game between the Jets and Giants on Sunday afternoon. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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