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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-21-24 | Morehead State +12 v. Illinois | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Big Ten tournament champions are just 2-6-1 ATS in tourney openers since 2014. What Morehead State has on its side is the fact that they rank No. 5 in Defensive Field Goal Percentage, No. 8 in Defensive Points Per Game, and No. 76 in Rebound Margin. Those sticky stats are what pulls off upsets during The Dance, even if troubled former NFL WR Antonio Brown has labeled the Eagles as his choice to win this tournament. Finally, the Illini are 3-12 ATS as a favorite under head coach Brad Underwood when facing a non-conference opponent coming off consecutive wins, including 1-9 ATS when Illinois owns a greater than .700 win percentage. |
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03-21-24 | Long Beach State +20.5 v. Arizona | 65-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units All the talking heads want to discuss is the possibility of No. 2 Arizona facing No. 1 North Carolina in the West Regionals. The stakes would be big – a trip to the Final Four – with Caleb Love, who last spring transferred from the Tar Heels to the Wildcats, trying to defeat his former teammates and his former teammates trying end his season. But that’s the future maybe and fortunately for today’s combatants, they get to stay somewhat close to home by meeting at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City. The 49ers are 18-7 ATS as a dog in Pac-12 performances, which puts us on Long Beach versus Arizona today. |
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03-21-24 | Duquesne +10 v. BYU | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Duquesne head coach Keith Dambrot (LeBron James’ high school coach in Akron) led his team to their first NCAA tournament bid in 47 years (1977) as they beat VCU to gather its 4th win in four days and win the A-10 title. Note that 33 such teams have accomplished this feat this century and they’ve pretty much kissed their sisters in NCAA tourney openers, going 15-8 SU and 16-16-1 ATS, but 7-13 SUATS when coming off a win of 6 or more points. Still, they were 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS as either a pick or dog this season and since we’re not interested in laying close to double digits today, we suggest you put up your Dukes with Duquesne |
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03-21-24 | Michigan State -1 v. Mississippi State | 69-51 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s Tom Izzo time, and the tournament knows it, as this marks his 26th consecutive appearance in the event. The Wizard is 21-7 outright in games against the SEC, including 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS during March Madness. In addition, he also stands 19-6 SU in opening round games in this tournament, not to mention 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS overall in this tournament as either a favorite or a dog of 4 or fewer points against foes seeded higher than his squad. It was a bit of a disappointing season for the Bulldogs, a 21-win team last season that welcomed all five of its starters back this campaign. Yes, they won 21 games again this season, but they entered this contest just 2-4 overall in their last six games. The bottom line is Sparty will be out to prove the aforementioned preseason prognosticators correct, and we’re not about to get in the way. |
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03-20-24 | Clippers v. Blazers +12.5 | 116-103 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles has dominated Portland, winning the last seven games. However, the Trail Blazers have won two of the last three games against the spread. It is the double-digit spread that is the concern. The Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight while Portland is 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10. The Trail Blazers may have won only three of their last 10 games, but they hold their own. That will be the case here as well, as they lose, but only by single digits. |
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03-20-24 | Colorado -2.5 v. Boise State | 60-53 | Win | 100 | 32 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Since this is the first year of No. 10 seeds being forced into Play-In games in this event, we’re looking at the matchup on its merits. For openers, the Buffaloes fell to Oregon in the Pac-12 championship game, a loss which snapped an 8-game winning skein by Colorado. They will be looking to even the score from a 13-point loss against the Broncos two seasons ago as small chalk. The Buffs have beaten the MWC in 20 of the last 27 games in this geographical matchup, with a 6-1-1 ATS ledger in those games when CU is coming off a loss. On the other side of the court, Boise State has taken the gas in all five of its NCAA tourney appearances this century while going 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS. They are also just 7-12 outright against .700 or greater Pac-12 opponents. With the Pac-12 intent on closing the books on a high note on its fabled conference, it’s preordained the Buffaloes run their footloose and fancy-free way in this final party. |
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03-20-24 | San Francisco v. Cincinnati -7 | 72-73 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The San Francisco Dons are the pick here, with their remarkable offensive firepower and sharpshooting capabilities setting them apart. Averaging 77.9 points per game on an impressive 48.9% shooting from the field and 35.4% from beyond the arc, the Dons' ability to light up the scoreboard cannot be overstated. Their free-throw shooting is reliable at 75.8%, ensuring they capitalize on opportunities at the line. Defensively, San Francisco is no slouch either, limiting opponents to 66.3 points per game. Key players like Jonathan Mogbo, who not only leads in scoring and rebounding but also contributes significantly in steals and blocks, exemplify the team's balanced attack. The Dons' performance against high-caliber opponents this season shows they're battle-tested and should be able to dominate in this game. |
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03-20-24 | UNLV +4 v. Princeton | 84-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Runnin' Rebels come into this game as the type of team equipped to handle the Princeton offense. The Tigers rely heavily on the 3-point shot, ranking 9th in the country in 3-point field goals made per game. The Rebels are 56th in the nation in 3-point defense and are 72nd in the country in scoring defense overall. The Rebels were done in against San Diego State by their inability to rebound but that shouldn't be a factor in this game with both teams near the bottom of the rebounding rankings. It will take a big effort given the fact that Princeton is undefeated at home but I like the Runnin' Rebels as well due to their must more stringent schedule this season. Princeton is 2-1 against NCAA Tournament teams this season but that includes two games against Ivy League representative Yale. The Rebels have had 11 games against tournament teams this year, going 5-6. UNLV is also effective on the road after going 7-3 away from home this season. They have also won 10 of their last 13 games in a tougher conference. |
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03-20-24 | Bucks v. Celtics -8 | Top | 119-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Celtics were riding high at 29-8 on the season. They had just come off a same-season revenge victory at home against Minnesota the night before and immediately hit the road for a back-to-backer versus Milwaukee. The Bucks stormed out to a 41-23 lead after the first quarter and never looked back, going on a 25-0 run before the white flag was raised and the starters were benched, taking a 75-38 lead into the half, the largest lead in franchise history. When it was over, Boston’s hide was thoroughly tanned after a 135-102 beating. The payback tips at 7:40 in Beantown tonight, and for what it’s worth, Boston is 3-0 ATS in this series when avenging a same-season defeat of 25 or more points, with every win by double-digits. They are also 16-5-1 ATS the last twenty-two games in this series, including 7-1-1 ATS when coming off a home contest. The Bucks are just 1-7-1 ATS as a dog against foes seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 30-plus points; and finally playing on any .545 or greater NBA team seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 33 points if they are facing a .545 or greater foe is 16-2 ATS. |
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03-20-24 | Loyola-Chicago +5.5 v. Bradley | 62-74 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The ability to control the glass is critical to win games and there is a bit of a difference as Loyola Chicago is averaging 36.7 total rebounds per game while Bradley is grabbing 34.7 total rebounds per game. The Ramblers have been able to keep the offensive numbers very similar and it makes it hard for the Bradley Braves to step up and pull out a lead. All in all, take Loyola Chicago to pull off the upset on the spread. |
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03-20-24 | SMU v. Indiana State -7.5 | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While some schools turned down the NIT, Indiana State star Robbie Avila said his team is "motivated as ever." Avila, a center, averages 17.5 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game, and he hits 40.5 percent of his 3-point attempts. "To be able to have that opportunity to come back and win some more hardware is a blessing," he said. Five players score in double digits per game, and the Sycamores are tied for eighth in Division I at 84.4 points per game. Finally, SMU is 3-11 ATS their L14 games. |
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03-20-24 | Grambling State +4 v. Montana State | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Here we go again, kowtowing to the wishes of the Well-Oiled Machine and fading a .500 favorite in the 17-17 Bobcats while using the double-champion Tigers from the SWAC. And why not? Grambling won 20 games with its first SWC conference title. Since 2018, the SWAC has won its opening round game three times in its five NCAA appearances, including two of the last three contests. They’ve also captured nine of their last ten overall games to conclude the season. This is from a unit that started the campaign on a 2-10 downer. Meanwhile, Montana State was picked to finish in eighth place in the Big Sky by the Scribes in a preseason vote but outplayed the press while winning its third-straight Big Sky title. However, they are another No. 16 seeded chalk artist that has struggled in these First Four games. We’ll be gambling with Grambling this evening. |
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03-19-24 | Nuggets v. Wolves +7.5 | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota returns home to begin a four-game homestand on Tuesday. They are 23-8 at home (2-0 ATS as a home underdog). Minnesota won the first matchup 110-89 on Nov. 1 on its home court. Edwards led the Timberwolves with 24 points on 8-for-16 shooting, and Mike Conley chipped in 17 points on 7-for-9 shooting. Jokic finished with 25 points and 10 rebounds in that contest. Murray scored 14 points for Denver, which shot only 39.6 percent from the field and 18.2 percent (6 of 33) from 3-point range. In addition, Denver is 11-15 ATS as a road favorite. |
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03-19-24 | Colorado State v. Virginia +2.5 | 67-42 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If it looks strange to find the Cavaliers taking points in this contest, it should. For openers, they are likely the most disrespected 23-win team in the nation. Virginia, a team that was 23-5 outright against sub .730 opposition this season, has faced a total of nineteen No. 9 or lower seeds in this event, winning thirteen games straight up while being installed as the favorite in all nineteen contests! The Cavs’ staunch scoring defense ranks No. 3 overall in the nation, allowing 59.5 PPG. It fits like a glove next to the Rams' 0-4 SU all-time mark in games where it failed to score 80 points in this tournament. Then there’s the fact that Colorado State will be laying points for the first time in the Big Dance this century, checking in five times as a dog. While losing 7 of the 10 games they played against ACC foes since 1990, the Rams must also overcome the fact that the Mountain West Conference is little more than Play Dough in the hands of the ACC in this tournament, going 1-13 SU and 3-11 ATS dating back to 1990. |
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03-19-24 | Kansas State +6 v. Iowa | 82-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units K-State (19-14) had plenty of Quad-1 victories to hold out hope for an at-large berth in the NCAA Tournament. But too many close wins in the lower quadrants, combined with an unusual number of bid thieves, eliminated any chance of the Wildcats making the field of 68. The Hawkeyes (18-14) also had a chance to make the big dance. They played six games against teams that ended up with top-3 seeds in the NCAA Tournament: Creighton, Purdue (twice), Iowa State and Illinois (twice). Iowa went a combined 0-6 in those games. |
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03-19-24 | Mavs v. Spurs +8.5 | 113-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Antonio, stands 4-2 SUATS in this series in this role, but also 15-8 SU and 13-9 ATS at home when seeking same-season triple revenge under head coach Greg Popovich, including 11-5 SU and 12-3 ATS in this role versus .577 or greater foes. Those strong numbers also include a 6-0 SUATS mark when Pop’s troops sport a sub. 600-win percentage. Dicey spot for Dallas who enters off the double avenger on Sunday against Denver with a whopping 37-point get-even game at Utah on deck. The Mavericks’ 2-6 ATS effort in their last eight games against triple revenging foes means they’ll be on our fade list tonight. |
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03-19-24 | North Texas +3 v. LSU | 84-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units North Texas will use its tough defense to contain LSU's average offense and the Mean Green will find a way to score enough points against a below-average LSU defense to pick up a victory on Tuesday and move on to the second round of the NIT. North Texas allowed an average of only 62.4 points per game which was 7th best in the country and gave up 40.7% shooting which was 31st in the nation. In contrast, LSU gave up 74.8 points per game which was 268th. The Tigers allowed 33.3% shooting from 3-point territory, which was 160th and that plays to North Texas's strength on offense as the Mean Green shot 37.5% from three-point range which was 21st in the nation. North Texas averaged 34.7 rebounds per game while holding their opponents to 29.4 boards per contest. |
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03-19-24 | Boston College +3.5 v. Providence | 62-57 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This game's line moved from 6.5 to 3.5 following the injury update to Carter, Providence's first-team all-conference guard. His absence limits a Friars squad that depended on the junior to score more after losing Hopkins to an ACL injury. Carter was averaging nearly 20 points on 14 shots per game — who will pick up the scoring slack? The obvious candidate is Oduro (11.2 FG attempts per game), but Providence will also count on more production from Pierre, who will likely attempt more three-balls (4.3 3PT attempts per game) with Carter sidelined. |
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03-19-24 | Xavier v. Georgia -1.5 | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Georgia (17-16) makes its first NIT appearance since 2017, which also marked the program's most recent postseason trip. The Bulldogs have endured a late-season slump, dropping five of their last seven games -- including their exit from the second round of the Southeastern Conference tournament with an 85-80 loss to Florida. However, defeats of a 20-win Ole Miss team on March 5 and Missouri in the first round of the SEC tournament on March 13 gave Georgia its highest win total since going 18-15 in 2017-18. The Musketeers head into the NIT at 3-7 over their last 10 games against a tough Big East Conference schedule. They closed with an 87-60 loss at reigning national champion UConn at the Big East tournament last Thursday. Georgia is 16-9 ATS in their L25 games overall. |
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03-18-24 | Hawks v. Lakers -8.5 | 105-136 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hawks still had to face the Clippers at the time this preview was written, so no line was available. However, one should expect Los Angeles to be favored by at least six in this game. Both teams are 5-5 in their last 10 games, but Atlanta is playing on back-to-back nights in Los Angeles against two teams battling for playoff position. The Lakers have won the last two meetings between these teams in Los Angeles and won both of those games by 16 points. In fact, when L.A. defeats Atlanta, they win big, so look for a dominating performance out of the Lakers. |
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03-18-24 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sixers (37-30) struggled for a bit Saturday but pulled away for a 109-98 win over the Charlotte Hornets. Tyrese Maxey scored 30 points, Kelly Oubre Jr. added 22 and Buddy Hield had 14 for the Sixers, who played without Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris, De'Anthony Melton and Robert Covington. Spoelstra tweaked his lineup again without Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic and Kevin Love. Herro has been out since Feb. 26 with injuries to his knee and feet. Spoelstra is cautiously optimistic about Herro's return before the end of the regular season. They'll need him if they have aspirations of another deep playoff run. |
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03-18-24 | Cavs +7 v. Pacers | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland improved to 77-30 in games with Mitchell, who is scoring 28 points per game in addition to career-high averages in assists (6.2), rebounds (5.4) and steals (1.8). They’ll need Max Strus (knee) and Evan Mobley (ankle) back in the lineup if they want to outduel the Milwaukee Bucks for the second seed in the Eastern Conference playoff race but they can rest tonight against a Pacers team that can’t seem to find their groove since February arrived, going just 8-11 ATS. They tend to suffer from the Monday Blues, too, with at 6-14 SU and 7-13 ATS effort in their last twenty performances, including 2-11 SUATS against avenging opponents. Indiana beat Cleveland twice in the opening weeks of the season and as we all know, revenge is a dish best served cold. The Cavs’ 3-0-1 ATS record as a pick-or-dog in this series with same-season double revenge exactly seals the deal. |
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03-17-24 | Nuggets v. Mavs +4 | 105-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dallas stands 9-3 ATS with same-season revenge in this series over the last seven years. In addition, Jason Kidd’s boys are currently riding a nifty 11-5 SUATS run, including cashing their last five tickets in a row. Meanwhile, the Nuggets arrive off a Friday visit to San Antonio and will be staring dead ahead to a same-season revenge contest with their chief combatant, Minnesota, in the Western Conference playoff race. That spells trouble, with Denver just 3-8 ATS away before Minny meetings, including 1-5 ATS versus winning foes. The Nuggets are on an impressive SU run right now, winning four straight before the Spurs and ten of their last eleven, but the Mavs check plenty of boxes here. Look for Kidd & company to reach the winner’s circle in the last regular season meeting between the two D’s. |
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03-16-24 | UTEP v. Western Kentucky -3 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Western Kentucky is having a strong Conference USA Tournament, winning the first game by 20 points and the second by 31, while holding opponents to an average of 61.5 points per game and scoring an average of 87 points per game. In Thursday’s semifinals victory, Western Kentucky shot 50% from three point land hitting 11 of their 22 attempts. On the defensive end of the court, Western Kentucky made 11 steals and held Middle Tennessee to 31% shooting overall and 25.9% shooting from 3-point territory. Western Kentucky lost its first meeting versus UTEP on the road 93-87, but bounced back at home with a 90-80 victory in the second game between the two. This time around it appears as though Western Kentucky is playing far better defense then when facing UTEP the first two times and will use its new-found defensive pressure along with its high octane offense that has the highest adjusted tempo in the nation, per Kenpom, to win by double digits today. |
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03-16-24 | Kent State v. Akron -4.5 | 61-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Zips have won three of their last five games. They’re playing well offensively, scoring 73 points per game in their last three games. They shot the ball better at the charity stripe, making over 76 percent of their free throws during that span. They’re the better rebounding team and they dominated the glass in their first two meetings, so expect them to get a lot of extra scoring chances in this game. They turned the ball over less than nine times per game and won’t give the Golden Flashes a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Golden Flashes played well defensively in their last game, but they’ve given up over 73 points per game in their last three games and gave up 80 points per game in two games against the Zips, so I don’t have a lot of confidence in their defense. The Golden Flashes have won two straight games, including an impressive win over the top-seeded Toledo Rockets. They aren’t playing well offensively and they were held under 70 points in three of their last four games. They’ve also struggled at the charity stripe, making less than 65 percent of their free throws in their last three games. They won’t win the rebounding battle and they’ve been careless with the ball. The Zips held three of their last four opponents under 64 points and they’ve had Kent State’s number this season, winning both of their games by an average margin of 9.5 points, so expect more of the same in this game. Go with the Zips to cover the spread. |
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03-16-24 | Cavs v. Rockets +4.5 | 103-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockets (31-35) won for the sixth time in seven games on Thursday, rolling over the Washington Wizards 135-119 for their fourth consecutive victory. Houston has generated momentum despite being without standout center Alperen Sengun (ankle/knee) for the last two games, relying on a smaller lineup with rookie guard Amen Thompson replacing Sengun. The three-guard lineup worked against the Wizards. Thompson (20 points, 11 rebounds, four assists, three steals) contributed an all-around effort to complement the scoring of Jalen Green and Fred VanVleet, who totaled 64 points, with Green adding eight boards and VanVleet nine assists. Houston's play of late has sparked hopes of challenging for a play-in berth in the Western Conference, with recent wins bolstering those odds. |
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03-15-24 | NC State v. Virginia -3 | 73-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units NC State has won three straight after flopping down the stretch but one has to be concerned about fatigue being a factor as they play for the fourth straight day here. Kevin Keatts doesn’t go with a deep rotation and that can take a toll when playing a physical team like Virginia who bleeds the life out of you on every possession. Sure, the Cavaliers have looked about as effective offensively as Angola did against the original Dream Team back in the ’92 Olympics over the last month but they can strangle teams on the defensive end of the floor. Look for Virginia, with fresher legs, to take down the Wolfpack and end their Cinderella run. |
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03-15-24 | Suns v. Hornets +9.5 | 107-96 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These are two of the worst teams in the NBA at covering the spread. With that said, someone needs to cover, and Charlotte is in a much better spot. The Suns will have to make some decisions with their rotation, they play three games in four days, and will need to find spots to get bench guys major minutes to not tire out their stars. The Suns play the Celtics, Hornets and Bucks in these three games, the obvious game to rest some of their players is when they play this Hornets team. The Hornets have been over achieving lately, they won two of their last three games, and find a surprisingly effective one-two punch with Bridges and Miller. Vaslije Micic has been a welcomed surprise for the Hornets, he has scored double figures in each of his last seven games, and is coming off a 25 point game last time out. The Suns are going to be tired as they have to play the Celtics the night before, then immediately travel to Charlotte. This is a good spot to fade a team on a back to back. |
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03-15-24 | Texas A&M v. Kentucky -5 | 97-87 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats are the stronger of the two teams nearly across the board offensively. They are a better shooting team by far, a strong 3-point shooting team, and are nearly equally efficient. They have a stronger bench and can compete with the Aggies in the paint. Defensively, the Aggies have the advantage. They are stronger in every defensive category excluding 3-point defense. That will be the Aggies' undoing on Friday night. The game went back and forth and was decided by the Aggies' advantage on the offensive glass and the free-throw line. The Aggies shot 30 free throws in the game compared to 21 for the Wildcats and they had 25 offensive rebounds. I expect a rested and fresh Kentucky team to shoot the ball better in the rematch and keep the pace fast to build a lead that the plodding Aggies can't come back from. |
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03-15-24 | St. John's v. Connecticut -9.5 | 90-95 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Fittingly, these teams have already played in Madison Square Garden this season, a home game for St. John's. The Huskies won 77-64. Although the Red Storm is playing better these days, UConn is still on a different level than almost every team in the country. This defense can beat up the best offenses, something that St. John's already knows. UConn held the Red Storm to 65 points in round one and 64 in round two. The Huskies have one of the nation's most efficient offenses, something that St. John's can't fend off forever. Expect the Huskies to win convincingly again. |
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03-15-24 | Middle Tennessee v. Western Kentucky -5.5 | 54-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sam Houston State has had a solid defense all season allowing just 69.6 points per game and the defense was on full display Wednesday when holding FIU to 59 points. The Bearkats offense is averaging 72.3 points per game. Sam Houston has covered the spread in eight straight games and on the season is 17-11-1 ATS. Sam Houston State defeated UTEP twice during the regular season. The Bearkats defeated the Miners in late January 60-56 and again in late February 65-54 but split the games against the spread, losing the first and winning the second. UTEP’s defense will be a thorn in the side of Sam Houston State but the Bearkats will use their own tough defense that held FIU to 59 points on Wednesday to shut down the below average UTEP offense. The Miners are shooting just 44.8% overall which is 169th and from 3-point territory hit only 32% of their attempts, which is 306th in the country. This game will be similar to the first two, which were very low scoring and will be close throughout with Sam Houston State pulling away over the final 10 minutes. |
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03-15-24 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee -10 | 73-56 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Vols dropped their only game against the Bulldogs this season and it was their defense that let them down. The Vols allowed the Bulldogs to shoot over 50% from the floor in the loss and were outscored 36-32 in the paint. Additionally, the Bulldogs' bench came alive and scored 33 points compared with just four points from the Volunteers' bench. With this game in Nashville, the Vols should have a significant home-court advantage and I expect a much better effort both from their defense and with the efficiency of their offense. The Vols finished the season first in the SEC in fewest turnovers per game but had 16 turnovers in the loss to Mississippi State. Look for the Vols' to bounce back nicely here with a comfortable double-digit win to advance to the SEC Conference Semifinals. |
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03-15-24 | UTEP v. Sam Houston State -4.5 | 65-63 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sam Houston State has had a solid defense all season allowing just 69.6 points per game and the defense was on full display Wednesday when holding FIU to 59 points. The Bearkats offense is averaging 72.3 points per game. Sam Houston has covered the spread in eight straight games and on the season is 17-11-1 ATS. Sam Houston State defeated UTEP twice during the regular season. The Bearkats defeated the Miners in late January 60-56 and again in late February 65-54 but split the games against the spread, losing the first and winning the second. UTEP’s defense will be a thorn in the side of Sam Houston State but the Bearkats will use their own tough defense that held FIU to 59 points on Wednesday to shut down the below average UTEP offense. The Miners are shooting just 44.8% overall which is 169th and from 3-point territory hit only 32% of their attempts, which is 306th in the country. This game will be similar to the first two, which were very low scoring and will be close throughout with Sam Houston State pulling away over the final 10 minutes. |
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03-15-24 | Michigan State +8 v. Purdue | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Michigan State needed that win over Minnesota yesterday to give that some confidence and momentum. In that first game, they were not manhandled on the boards. Purdue shot 51% from the field, but that was at home, where Edey went to the line 20 times and made 14. The motivation is for Michigan State to attempt to take down Purdue to get a better seed and Tom Izzo could use the bracket as motivation. If they don't win and 10 different things happen, they could be on the outside looking in. |
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03-14-24 | Mavs v. Thunder -9.5 | 119-126 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oklahoma City is 22-8 ATS at home, including 19-6 ATS as home chalk. Rest assured, they will be more than anxious to make amends for a 146-111 defeat at Dallas a month ago, the worst loss this season by the Thunder. On the other side of the coin, the Mavericks were riding a 0-7 ATS skein in this series until the aforementioned drilling in Dallas. Look for OKC to improve on its A-OK 12-4-1 ATS mark in games when seeking revenge from a same-season loss of 32-plus points here tonight. |
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03-14-24 | Georgia v. Florida -8 | 80-85 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Gators should come into this game knowing that there isn't anything certain about their NCAA Tournament status so a win here is imperative. The Gators have defeated the Bulldogs in both games, one in overtime, 102-98, and then by just six points, 88-82. The most surprising thing in the two games was the shooting of the Bulldogs. They shot a combined 51% in the two games overall and 36% from 3-point range. The area that should be concerning for the Bulldogs is in the paint. Florida outrebounded Georgia 87 to 58 in the two games and the Gators scored nearly 100 points in the paint combined in the two games. At their best, the Gators are a difficult matchup with tons of length and a top-notch backcourt. |
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03-14-24 | Villanova v. Marquette -4 | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Marquette scored 87 points against the Villanova Wildcats the first time. The Golden Eagles put up 85 the second time. Nova can not keep up with Marquette if they score 80 again. Not based on Wednesday's disastrous performance. So, just like both of January's matchups, Marquette will cover the spread. Turnovers and shooting are clear favorites for the Golden Eagles. This one won't be close, as Marquette dominates shorthanded. |
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03-14-24 | Boston College v. Virginia -4 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Virginia enters their portion of the ACC Tournament in a tenuous spot for a spot in the March Madness field after their offense disappeared in the second half of the season. The Cavaliers did down Georgia Tech in their finale to finish the regular season 22-9 overall and 13-7 in the conference on the year. Against Georgia Tech, Virginia took control of the game with a 13-3 run midway through the first half to break a 15-15 tie. The Cavaliers were up 14 at the half, saw the lead trimmed to nine briefly early in the second half, but reeled off a 16-5 run to take a 20-point edge before cruising from there. The Cavaliers have the rest advantage, having been off since Saturday while Boston College plays for the third straight day here. |
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03-14-24 | New Mexico State v. Western Kentucky -6 | 69-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Western Kentucky is 42nd in the nation in scoring with an average of 80.2 points per game and shoots 46.7% overall which is 67th in the nation. Western Kentucky gives up plenty of points at 75 per game but that is due in part to having the highest adjusted tempo per Kenpom at 75.2, which creates far more possessions than normal, yet the Hilltoppers are holding opponents to the 50th lowest field goal shooting percentage and 64th lowest three-point shooting percentage. New Mexico State scores only 67.6 points per game, is 299th in field goal shooting percentage and 247th in three-point shooting percentage. Western Kentucky lost by two points on the road to New Mexico State earlier this season but at home defeated the Aggies by 14 points. Western Kentucky covered the spread in both meetings between the two. |
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03-14-24 | Kansas State +6.5 v. Iowa State | 57-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats kept their NCAA Tournament hopes alive with their comeback win over Texas on Wednesday, but can they beat the Cyclones twice in one week to advance? K-State took down Iowa State last weekend at Bramlage, holding the Cyclones to 43.1 percent shooting, including 5-for-17 (29.4%) from long range. The Wildcats were also inefficient (40.7 FG% and 29.2 3PT%) but scored 20 points off Iowa State turnovers. It was enough on Saturday, but it's doubtful the Cats will be able to overcome poor shooting again on Thursday to move on. That said, Iowa State isn't a great offensive team, ranking 131st nationally in true shooting percentage. It got to the free-throw line a lot in the first meeting between these teams, but it isn't reliable at the charity stripe (69.0 FT%). As long as the Wildcats don't pick up too many cheap fouls, I don't envision the Cyclones winning by enough to cover. Expect K-State to use the atmosphere at T-Mobile Center to its advantage again tomorrow to at least cover the spread in a must win game for Kansas State. |
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03-14-24 | Arkansas v. South Carolina -6.5 | 66-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It has been a resurgent season for South Carolina, which finished 11-21 only a season ago. The Gamecocks are well on their way to their first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2016-17. Despite its upswing, South Carolina carries a chip on its shoulder into the conference tournament. Gamecocks guard Meechie Johnson said he and his teammates are determined to prove their regular-season success was not a fluke. He did not hesitate when asked about his motivation heading into the tournament. |
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03-14-24 | St. John's v. Seton Hall +4 | 91-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units St. John's is hot, but Seton Hall has cooled down their offense all season. In game one, the Red Storm finished with 65 points. In the second one, they only mustered 62. The Pirates are strong defensively and will keep St. John's in check yet again. Which is why, if they don't pull off another win, they'll at least keep it within one possession. Seton Hall is more reliable at the free throw line, which helps against the St. John's defense. The Pirates have controlled the glass in both meetings. Expect a Seton Hall to give St. John's fits again. |
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03-14-24 | Xavier v. Connecticut -15 | 60-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In round one, UConn scored 80 on Xavier. In the second meeting, the Huskies ran it up to 99 points. Considering that the Musketeers' defense guided them for most of the season, that's an ominous sign for today's battle. If (when) the Huskies score 80+ again, Xavier's offense won't be able to keep up. UConn has the best defense in the Big East as well. Rebounding and turnovers should favor the Huskies too. They say that the Huskies feel at home in The Garden, and that'll be crystal clear on Thursday. Take UConn to cover the spread comfortably. |
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03-13-24 | Cincinnati v. Kansas +2.5 | 72-52 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kansas Jayhawks, with their impressive season record of 22-9 and standing 6th in the Big 12, exhibit a compelling case for victory in this matchup. Their offensive arsenal, averaging 76.0 points per game with a field goal percentage of 49.4%, is a testament to their efficiency and ability to dominate on the court. Coupled with a solid defense that limits opponents to 68.6 points per game and a formidable 40.5% shooting from the field, Kansas has the depth and skill to control the game's pace. The resilience and tactical acumen shown by key players like Charlie McCarthy and Dajuan Harris Jr., with his 6.4 assists per game, are pivotal to the Jayhawks' success. Even considering potential injury concerns, the depth and quality of Kansas's roster, along with their proven track record and statistical superiority, strongly position them for a win in this high-stakes Big 12 showdown. |
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03-13-24 | Michigan v. Penn State -6.5 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Michigan has some talent, but they have been one of the worst Power 5/6 teams all season. DePaul might be worse and a few others, but when you don't play defense, there's usually something more than just a lack of talent as an issue. Juwan Howard's days may be numbered and maybe he gets the benefit of the doubt due to his health and alum status. Penn State is a year away from making a dent in this league once Rhoades gets his players. Baldwin Jr. is one of his players and he'll be the big difference in this game. |
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03-13-24 | Cavs +7 v. Pelicans | Top | 116-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Cleveland was 7-4-1 ATS this season as a road pick-or dog. The Cavs saw a three-game series win skein snapped in a 123-104 home loss to New Orleans in late December. Meanwhile, on the flip side, the Pelicans arrive off an 18-point same-season avenger against Atlanta with another same-season revenge contest on tap against the Clippers. Finally, New Orleans is 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS in non-conference games after facing Atlanta |
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03-13-24 | Kansas State +5 v. Texas | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats will be desperate and motivated, as they're playing close to campus and need a win to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive. They ended their regular season with a crucial win over Iowa State, riding their stingy defense to the upset. The first matchup between these teams was a dogfight. Kansas State, 20th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, defends well both inside and outside the arc. Its opponents shoot 40.6 percent overall and 31.3 percent from three-point distance. |
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03-13-24 | Vanderbilt +6 v. Arkansas | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Razorbacks never lived up to their recent success this season. They were rarely consistent on either end and were one of the worst defensive teams in the SEC. In the first matchup, they allowed the Commodores, ranked last in the SEC in scoring and field goal percentage, to shoot over 50% from the floor and dominate the paint. The Commodores finished with 44 points in the paint and dominated the weak interior defense of the Razorbacks. Arkansas had just 26 points in the paint in the first game and the team likely would have been blown out save for a 36-point performance from Battle. The Razorbacks shot just 40% as a team in the game against statistically the worst defense in the SEC. The Razorbacks can and probably should win this game but 6.5 points is too much for them to give up at this point. |
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03-13-24 | Rutgers v. Maryland -3 | 51-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Terps have been the better team and I do expect Reese to play. It sounds like Kevin Willard sacrificed the Penn State game to have Reese ready for the tournament since that's the only way they are making the NCAA Tournament. Rutgers wants to grind this one out, but when you look at tournaments, it's nice to have one difference-maker on the floor on offense who can carry you. Maryland has that in Jahmir Young, who can at least get them past one round, but probably not much further than that. |
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03-13-24 | Florida International v. Sam Houston State -7 | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sam Houston State’s defense, which allows an average of only 69.6 points per game on 42.9% shooting overall and 31.6% shooting from long distance will be too much for FIU. The Bearkats have covered the spread in each of their last seven games while winning each of the seven straight up. Sam Houston’s offense, while playing at an adjusted tempo of 67.8 per Kenpom, which is 167th, is able to score an average of 72.3 points per game despite only a slightly above average pace. The Bearkats grab 9.6 offensive boards per game which is 83rd in the nation, giving them plenty of second look opportunities which helps to offset a below average field goal shooting percentage. Sam Houston State split its regular season two-game series with FIU, losing the first 68-61, but bouncing back to win the second on the road in South Florida 70-56. FIU was able to shoot well against Jacksonville State in its opening round victory, hitting 50% of its 3-point attempts but will be hard pressed to do the same against a tough Sam Houston State perimeter defense that is 62nd in the nation in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 31.6. |
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03-13-24 | Oklahoma v. TCU -2.5 | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Neither team finished the regular season with any momentum, as both dropped their season finales and three of their last four overall. The Sooners were dominated by Texas, while the Horned Frogs dropped a winnable game on senior day to UCF. Which squad will "get right" today? I'm betting the answer to that question is TCU. The Horned Frogs defeated the Sooners 80-71 in their lone regular-season meeting (Jan. 10). TCU was outshot and outrebounded but took better care of the basketball (+7 turnover margin) and scored 25 points off of Oklahoma's 14 turnovers. Senior forward Emanuel Miller paced the Horned Frogs with 27 points on 11-of-17 shooting in the home win. I feel confident TCU, winners of four of the last five in this series, is due to bounce back. This game impacts both squads' NCAA Tournament resumes, but the Horned Frogs are better positioned to take advantage. OU has been without junior forward John Hugley IV (8.4 PPG) since early February and senior guard Rivaldo Soares aggravated an ankle injury in the Sooners' loss to the Longhorns. He averaged 17.6 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 1.3 assists per game on 73.5 percent shooting in Oklahoma's last three games, so his availability will be crucial to the Sooners' success. TCU is experienced and deep enough to take advantage, especially beyond the arc (36.4 3PT%). Miller is a consistent scorer, having reached double figures in 19 straight games. The Horned Frogs' tournament resume is less complete than the Sooners' is — they'll make the necessary plays to win and cover. |
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03-13-24 | Notre Dame v. Wake Forest -8.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Notre Dame took the only meeting between the teams this season and they have been better offensively down the stretch than they were most of the year. The problem for the Fighting Irish is that they sputtered defensively, giving up 80 points to Georgia Tech in their first-round victory. Notre Dame has to find a way to defend the Demon Deacons, who have a variety of weapons on the offensive end of the floor. Wake Forest is stellar at the charity stripe and they know they need at least one, if not two, victories, to improve their resume for the tournament committee. The Demon Deacons take advantage of a fatigued Notre Dame squad to pick up a win and advance to the quarterfinals. |
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03-13-24 | UCF v. BYU -5.5 | 73-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units BYU's 90 points on Feb. 13 were the most UCF allowed this season and the most the Knights have surrendered since Miami scored 88 points in November last season. Central Florida's hot shooting kept it alive in that game, but it can't count on another performance like that tomorrow. If the Knights are going to win or cover, they'll need to live up to their billing as one of the nation's best defensive squads. |
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03-12-24 | Celtics v. Jazz +6.5 | 123-107 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units A nasty 126-97 loss in Beantown, the worst by Utah in this series since at least 1990, dropped the Jazz to 7-4 ATS of late in this series. And it sets up nicely as well, with Boston wrapping up a 5-game west coast road wing here tonight. Consider that Utah is 119-37 SU and 89-65-2 ATS at home against non-rested non-conference foes since 1990, including 9-3 ATS as a dog. |
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03-12-24 | 76ers v. Knicks -6 | 79-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks are not losing back to back games at home against a team that doesn't have their star player. Coach Thibodeau will have his troops ready for this game. Maxey will likely return for the 76ers, but the Knicks should also be getting their best perimeter defender in Anunoby back for this game. The Knicks are too small in the backcourt to put Anunoby on Maxey all game, but if Philly's All-Star gets hot, they have an answer in Anunoby to slow his production. Brunson had an off game, he will bounce back here, he only shot 1-9 from three in the game, while he is shooting over 40% from three on the year. Brunson will get back to his averages and help lead the Knicks to a victory here. A win here would also give the Knicks the tiebreaker over the 76ers, which can be very important come playoff time, especially if the 76ers get hot when Embiid returns. The best unit in this game in terms of analytics is the Knicks' defense that ranks 9th in efficiency, they were able to hold the 76ers to 79 points, the defense will show up again, while the offense gets back on track with a win here. |
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03-12-24 | Miami-FL v. Boston College +2.5 | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami had high expectations heading into the season but vastly underperformed when all was said and done. Nine straight losses to end the season hardly inspire confidence heading into the conference tournament either. Boston College won their final two games of the regular season and they won a pair of meetings against Miami, including one six days ago on the road. While the Eagles are nothing great this season, they at least have momentum, not to mention having had success against the Hurricanes this season. With nine straight defeats, it’s impossible to back the Hurricanes here, especially as a favorite. Take the Eagles and the points but don’t hesitate to sprinkle on the moneyline as well. |
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03-11-24 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga -9 | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Will the third time be the charm for San Francisco? The Dons have Cinderella qualities, but if they're going to make a statement in March, they need to slay the Zags. USF is a combined 0-4 against WCC darlings Gonzaga and Saint Mary's, as everyone but leading scorer Jonathan Mogbo (14.7 PPG and 10.3 RPG) has struggled to play up to their potential. The Dons are at their best when their guards get in a rhythm, as they space the floor and create mismatches for Mogbo. They attempt nearly 40 percent of their shots from beyond the arc, but those shots have been difficult to hit against the Bulldogs and Gaels. Gonzaga is among the top teams in the nation in opponent two-point shooting percentage, forcing the Dons into off-rhythm shots. I won't expect that to change in today's semi-final game, as the rested Bulldogs haven't forgotten their identity. USF is a fun team to watch when it's at its best, but I don't expect too much cheering from the Dons' sideline tonight. |
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03-11-24 | Celtics -9.5 v. Blazers | 121-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It will be very likely that Boston wins this game, but many will question if 14 is a bit of a stretch. There is no denying that they have dominated the Trail Blazers of late, winning three of the last four games, and winning each of those games by at least 14. Plus, Portland has been terrible of late. However, in their last 15 losses, only three of those were by more than 13. That would make it seem like Portland could keep this game close. However, Boston is too talented at both ends of the court. They have dominated Portland in the past and will do so as well here. Boston is 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10. |
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03-11-24 | Mavs v. Bulls +4.5 | 127-92 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls return home after an impressive 3-1 run through the West Coast. They are still within striking distance of the Miami Heat, Indiana Pacers, and Philadelphia 76ers who are ahead of them in the standings. The Bulls are 24th in the NBA in points per game. They are 23rd in field goal percentage and 19th in 3-point field goal percentage. The Bulls are 25th in the league in 3-point field goals made per game. On the defensive end, the Bulls are 13th in scoring defense. They are 11th in field goal defense and 16th in 3-point defense. The Bulls are also 16th in total rebounds per game and second in fewest turnovers per game. |
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03-10-24 | 76ers +7 v. Knicks | Top | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The fact that the Sixers were nicked 110-96, at home three weeks ago, gets their attention, especially given the fact that Philly is 10-4 ATS of late with same season revenge from a double-digit loss, including 4-0 ATS as a dog of more than three points. New York is 0-6 ATS at home since February when hosting avenging foes. Finally, Philadelphia is 12-5 ATS in this series with same-season revenge from a loss of 14 or more points, including 6-0 ATS away. |
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03-10-24 | SMU v. UABÂ -1.5 | Top | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units UAB will be gunning to join SMU in the 20-win club, which would be a major accomplishment for head coach Andy Kennedy considering they welcomed zero returning starters this campaign. The Blazers are 13-2 ATS as either a dog or a favorite of fewer than 4 points this season. Battling tough opposition is no problem either, as the fi re-breathers are 10-5 SU and 12-2-1 ATS versus winning opposition this season. Finally, UAB is 9-2 SU in Last Home Games, including 5-0 SUATS the last five games. |
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03-10-24 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -9.5 | 70-78 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Purdue Boilermakers are going to be the #1 seed in the conference tournament. Purdue has won the Big Ten season title. They are 16-3 in conference play this season. Purdue was dealt an upset road loss by Ohio State last month and has replied by winning four games in a row propelled by the scoring. They beat Michigan State 80-74 this past weekend and were marked as 2.5-point dogs in a 77-71 road win against a ranked Illinois squad on Tuesday. The Boilermakers have covered the spread in two of their last five bouts. |
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03-10-24 | Nebraska -5.5 v. Michigan | 85-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nebraska Cornhuskers are attempting to conclude a successful regular season with a road win. Nebraska has issued a solid 11-8 conference record, placing them third in the Big Ten. Nebraska is in a groove, recording the win in five of its last six games. The only defeat in that span was in a road loss against Ohio State. Nebraska was a nine-point favorite in a 67-56 home win against Rutgers on Saturday. The Scarlet Knights have covered in four of their last five games. |
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03-09-24 | Jazz v. Nuggets -12.5 | 121-142 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets are 10-4 ATS in games when seeking revenge from a 13-point point loss when facing .484 or fewer foes. In addition, the Jazz are caught in the middle of a same season revenge sandwich, coming off an avenger with the Bulls with yet another same-season revenge affair on tap with the Celtics while sporting a 9-19 ATS ledger in road games before battling Boston. The feeling here is you do not want to be wearing a Jazz uniform tonight. |
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03-09-24 | Minnesota v. Northwestern -3.5 | 66-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams have struggled in recent games, with Northwestern on a 0-2 slide and the Gophers winning just one of their last four contests, but the Wildcats are one of three teams tied with 8 conference losses this season, and a win here helps them clear the pack. NU lost 75-66 as -1.5-point chalk at Minnesota in early February and besides being 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS with revenge this season, the purple Cats are also 11-4 ATS with revenge in this series, including 7-1 ATS at home. Minnesota tried and failed in its most recent game to gain a measure of revenge against Indiana, and the Gophers are a disturbing 10-38 SU and 17-31 ATS after facing the Hoosiers. Sure, it’s tough going against the biggest moneymaker in college hoops this season but no risk it, no biscuit. Senior Day in Evanston seals the deal. |
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03-09-24 | Celtics -5.5 v. Suns | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Booker has been the heart and soul of the Suns over the last few weeks and without him in this one, Phoenix will struggle to pull away, let alone get the win. The Celtics could be without Brown but have depth that they've been missing in past years that they can lean on heavily. Boston won in Phoenix last year and has that confidence to draw from, as well as absolute need to get out of the loss column. In the end, Boston's defensive tenacity will be the difference, as they have the scoring to build off of their ability to get stops against a Booker-less Suns team. Boston has covered the spread in two of the last three against this team, while the Suns have only covered once in their last five games, as those trends carry over into this one. |
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03-09-24 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia -8.5 | 57-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Virginia has to have this game to avoid dropping in the ACC standings as the Tournament gets set to kick off on Wednesday. A win assured the Cavaliers of the third seed in the ACC Tournament. A loss could drop them as low as the fifth seed which would force the Cavaliers to play on Wednesday rather than earning a two-game bye right into the quarterfinals as either a third or fourth seed. The Cavs won the first matchup on the road with a nine-point victory over the Yellow Jackets. The key to beating the Cavs is a top-flight offense. Their most recent losses include games against North Carolina and Duke, both with a top-five offense in the ACC. The Yellow Jackets don't have the firepower to do that and the Cavs are far more comfortable in a defensive struggle. |
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03-09-24 | Connecticut v. Providence +10 | Top | 74-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The timing is right with UConn hitting the road off a No. 1 seed-clinching home win over Marquette, especially since they own a dismal 0-5 ATS record in the Last Game of the Season versus .600 or greater foes. Not so for Providence, who is 11-2 SU in Last Home Games, including 4-1 SUATS the last five contests. The Friars have been a strong underdog this season, going 9-3 ATS, including 3-0 ATS at home, and they just so happen to own a perfect 5-0 SUATS mark as a dog of more than 1-point in Last Home Games. With Providence primed to get even with the Huskies for a 9-point loss on the last day of January, finally Providence is 10-1 SUATS as a home dog since 2021, including 4-0 SUATS versus .800 or greater foes; and 4-0 SUATS when seeking revenge |
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03-09-24 | Clemson v. Wake Forest -3.5 | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Wake Forest Demon Deacons (18-12, 10-9 ACC) have carved a niche in the Atlantic Coast with dynamic play. The defeat to Georgia Tech in the last outing demonstrated the team's fighting spirit, despite the unexpected setback at home. With an offense that averages 78.6 points per game, Wake Forest slightly edges out Clemson in scoring. The Demon Deacons excel in shooting efficiency, boasting a 47.5% field goal percentage and an impressive 37.4% from three-point range. Free-throw shooting is among the best in the country, with an 80.0% success rate, showcasing the ability to capitalize on all scoring opportunities. |
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03-09-24 | Boston College v. Louisville +4.5 | 67-61 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Louisville Cardinals are playing for nothing more than pride and the chance to build some momentum heading into Tuesday's opening-round matchup in the ACC. The Cardinals fell to Virginia Tech at home on Tuesday night, 84-60. The loss ensures the Cardinals the 15th seed in the upcoming ACC Tournament and a date with the 10th seed. On Tuesday night, the Cardinals gave up 13 3-point field goals to fall behind early and never fully recovered. Brandon Huntley-Hatfield led the Cards with 19 points while Mike James chipped in with 16. |
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03-09-24 | Colorado v. Oregon State +8 | 73-57 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Oregon State Beavers picked up a huge upset win on Thursday night, picking up a 92-85 win over Utah on the road. Jordan Pope had a huge night with 25 points in 7-of-13 shooting while going 10-of-11 from the free-throw line. Tyler Bilodeau also had a big night with 20 points and six rebounds. Dexter Akanno rounded out the double-digit scoring for the Beavers with 18 points. As a team, the Beavers shot 51 percent from the floor overall and over 40 percent from the line. |
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03-09-24 | South Carolina v. Mississippi State -5 | 93-89 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units SC has been quite the surprise this season, going from 11-21 / 4-14 last year to 24-6 / 12-5 this campaign. Meanwhile, Mississippi State sits in mid-pack with an 8-9 conference ledger and a loss here tags head coach Chris Jans with his second straight 8-10 effort in two seasons in Starkville. Even so, we’ve got some good stuff in our corner with the Bulldogs today. For openers, MSU is 27-12- ATS at home coming off a previous home loss, including 22-6-1 against foes that are not coming off a loss of more than 7 points. Next, it’s Senior Day at The Hump, and with five starters who returned from last year’s squad being honored, the cowbells should be at full volume. And finally, there’s a matter of revenge, as the Bulldogs look to even the score for a 68-62 defeat in Columbia back on January 6. All of this leads to max value on this payback rematch, in addition the Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS with revenge in this series. |
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03-08-24 | Magic v. Knicks +1.5 | 74-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York finds themselves just two games ahead of the No. 8 seed Orlando in the Eastern Conference playoff race. They’ll take the floor tonight with a case of same-season triple revenge on their minds against the suddenly capable Magic, sporting a 3-0 SUATS record in this series when playing with the aforementioned same season ‘hat-trick’ revenge. With Orlando just 12-18 ATS against same-season triple avengers, we're taking the Knicks. |
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03-08-24 | Pelicans -8.5 v. 76ers | 103-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New Orleans Pelicans stand atop the division. They continue to shine, winning three of their last four games. The Philadelphia 76ers have not been reliable at home, going just 2-3 in their last five home games after a home loss to the Grizzlies. The Pelicans are the stronger defensive squad here, allowing 111.9 points per 100 possessions compared to 114.5 points per 100 by the 76ers. This matters because Philadelphia is playing without Joel Embiid and has not been scoring nearly as many points. Also, Tyrese Maxey has missed the last two games and is questionable. The Pelicans have conceded an average of only 105.8 points in their last five games. |
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03-08-24 | Missouri State v. Indiana State -11.5 | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Missouri State is playing for the second straight day here as they take the floor looking to advance to the semifinals. The problem for the Bears, other than potential fatigue, is that they have to deal with an Indiana State team that can pile up points in a hurry. We’ve seen Indiana State do a ton of damage on the offensive end as they are deadly inside the arc, from the perimeter and at the charity stripe. While the Bears put up a stellar defensive showing in their win over Murray State, expecting them to slow down the Sycamores the way they handcuffed the Racers is foolhardy. Look for Indiana State to take care of business and punch their ticket to the semifinals with a win here. |
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03-07-24 | Arizona v. UCLA +9.5 | 88-65 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sitting way back on the ‘Bubble’, the 14-win Bruins (at press time) need every win they can muster, and one or two against ranked foes like the Wildcats. At least UCLA is 9-3 ATS as a dog this season, including 7-1 ATS in Pac12 contests, plus Mick Cronin’s crew is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home dog. There’s also a revenge factor at work here in favor of the Bruins: Arizona edged UCLA at home earlier this season, and the desert Cats are a flimsy 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS the last six games in the series when UCLA has same-season revenge. Yep, we’ll be on the take tonight. |
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03-07-24 | Raptors v. Suns -10 | Top | 113-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Raptors enter off a same-season revenge rumble at New Orleans while standing 6-12 SUATS in post-Pelican performances, including 0-5 ATS when Toronto owns a sub .540 win percentage. Making matters worse for the dinosaurs, they have another same-season get-even affair on deck against Portland, knowing they are 1-6 SUATS in games before the Blazers’ battles. We sign off, though, with Finally, Phoenix is 7-1 ATS with same-season revenge in this series, including 5-0 ATS in games in which Toronto owns a sub .700 win percentage. |
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03-06-24 | Bucks v. Warriors -3.5 | 90-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This game comes down to Giannis Antetokounmpo's health primarily. He's battling an Achilles injury, so Antetokounmpo may be out again. If that's the case, Golden State should be favored and will beat the spread. Giannis Antetokounmpo had 33 points, nine rebounds, and five assists in the first game against Golden State. Nobody on the Bucks can replace that production. Milwaukee's defense doesn't force enough turnovers to stress Golden State's offense, which will allow them to get the shots that they want. Injuries and the venue change will help the Warriors end the Bucks' winning streak comfortably. |
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03-06-24 | BYU v. Iowa State -7 | 63-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Iowa State is ranked No. 2 in the nation in Turnover Margin (+6.8), No. 8 in Defensive Points Per game (62.9), and No. 9 in overall Scoring Margin (+15). BYU arrives in Ames off a Saturday homer versus TCU, and the Cougars could still have their heads in the clouds following their monumental road upset of Kansas last Tuesday. The boys from Provo are 1-3 SUATS in this series, and after beating Iowa State in an earlier meeting at home, 87-82, they will likely pay the price tonight. |
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03-06-24 | Indiana v. Minnesota -5 | 70-58 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm going with the better record against the spread and the home record in this one. Let's face it, Indiana is not making the NCAA Tournament unless they win the Big 10 Tourney, so this game doesn't mean a whole lot. Minnesota needs to keep winning to have a shot at an at-large bid. This is also a revenge game where Minnesota shot just 3-of-20 from 3-point range and 13-of-24 (54%) from the free-throw line in that first meeting that ended up in a 12-point loss. At home, Minnesota shoots 35.6% from the three-point line and 70% from the free throw line. Indiana struggles to defend the three-point shot (34.8%) on the road. |
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03-06-24 | Clippers -6.5 v. Rockets | 122-116 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This young Rockets team is on the tail end of a back-to-back, and they gave everything they had last night to beat the Spurs. Sengun, Van Vleet, Green and Brooks all played 36 or more minutes in the game, the stars for the Rockets did not rest. Sengun is coming off a career game, but he played 37 minutes, took 32 shots, and was all over the floor, he will not be at full strength tonight for the Clippers. Los Angeles is rested, and coming off a loss in a game where they played the Bucks without Giannis. The Clippers will be hungry to get back on track in the tightly contested playoff race at the top of the Western Conference. The Clippers covered the spread in their last two wins, and have Leonard, George and Harden all healthy for this game. The loss of Russell Westbrook will not be as impactful here, as the Rockets do not have a strong bench and rely on their starters for the majority of their production. The last time the Rockets played a back to back, they lost the second game to the Hawks and did not cover the spread. The same will happen here. |
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03-05-24 | Suns v. Nuggets -9.5 | 117-107 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets have been playing tough defense lately, so I have to lay 7.5 points with the reigning champs. The Suns will miss Devin Booker a lot in this matchup. They lack a proper point guard, and the Suns will be in trouble should the Nuggets continue to impress on the defensive side of the ball. Denver has gone 8-2 ATS in its last ten encounters with Phoenix. The Nuggets are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their previous five home tilts versus the Suns, and I expect Denver to extend its home dominance over Phoenix. Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall. |
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03-05-24 | Kansas State v. Kansas -11 | Top | 68-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Kansas stands 31-1 SU and 17-11 ATS at home off a previous home loss by an average win margin of 20.1 PPG, including 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS with same-season revenge. The No. 7 Jayhawks have the weapons to do the job again tonight, ranking No. 4 in the land in Offensive Field Goal Percentage, just a bit under 50%. That fits just right with Kansas State’s 2-5 ATS record versus revenge-seeking foes this season (Kansas lost to K-State by 5 points in early February). Consider that Kansas State is 1-14 SUATS in its series against Kansas when the Jayhawks sport a sub .770 win percentage. Finally, Kansas is 5-0 SUATS in this series when seeking revenge from a same-season loss, by an average win margin of more than 15 PPG |
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03-05-24 | Celtics v. Cavs +8.5 | Top | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The young Cavs were on a major roll at the All-Star break, claiming 18 wins in over 20 games. The Break did them no good, though, as the momentum was chilled, and they dropped 3 of 5 games heading into Friday night’s visit to Motown. However, their best achievement this season has been a super sturdy 10-7 SUATS mark in games against quality opposition (.589 or greater foes), including 7-3 at home. To top it off, they will carry a same-season double revenge chip on their shoulder into tonight’s contest. Meanwhile, the Celts arrive off a same-season revenge tussle with the Warriors, bringing a 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS log in this role into this affair. And be sure to check this line, as Boston has proved to be a bust when laying points after Golden State gatherings, just 10-25-1 ATS overall since 1990. To top it off, the Beantown bunch is staring dead ahead to another same-season revenger with Denver on tap. Finally, Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in this series when playing with same-season double revenge. |
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03-04-24 | Texas v. Baylor -7 | 85-93 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bears are 15-5 SUATS in this series, including 14-2 ATS when Texas sports a greater than .555 win percentage, plus they’re 11-3 SUATS in games versus sub .720 foes this season, including 4-0 SUATS in Big 12 games. Yes, the Longhorns are an 18-win squad, but they’ve been major money burners this year, going 9-18-1 ATS at press time. NOTE: Texas owned a 3-14 ATS record this season in games following a win before hosting Oklahoma State on Saturday, and if Bevo banished the Cowboys, tonight’s game becomes an even stronger play on UT. The bottom line is Baylor has the look and feel of a team ready to make a lot of noise during March Madness. It starts tonight. |
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03-04-24 | Clippers v. Bucks -5 | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucks are playing their best basketball of the season and will have the advantage of rest as they take on the Clippers, who will be playing their second game of a back-to-back on Monday night. The Bucks are second in the NBA in scoring this season but, more importantly, have held six of their last nine opponents under 100 points. The recent defensive prowess of the Bucks has improved their scoring defense to 19th in the NBA. The Clippers will have difficulty with the length of the Bucks, especially at the rim. The Clippers are just 19th in the NBA in total rebounding and that will be amplified against the Bucks. Additionally, without Westbrook there to help defensively, Dame Lillard should have his way with the Clippers guards on the offensive end. Look for the Bucks to keep rolling on Monday against the Clippers. |
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03-03-24 | Stanford v. Colorado -12 | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This seems like a big spread, but Colorado dominated Stanford the last time these teams met in Colorado (February 5, 2023) when they earned a 22-point victory. In addition, not only have they defeated Stanford in eight of the last 10 meetings, but they are 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Cardinals have lost five straight games, and they have lost each of those contests against the spread as well. The Buffaloes have not been great against the spread recently as well (2-6-0), but they have proven they can handle Stanford. |
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03-03-24 | Knicks v. Cavs -6.5 | 107-98 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I will take the Cavaliers even if Donovan Mitchell remains on the sidelines. Cleveland will torture New York in the paint on the back of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen, who combine for 20.8 rebounds and 2.7 blocks per game this season. The Knicks just got outscored in the paint by the Warriors. I don’t see them containing the Cavaliers’ big men. Cleveland should torture New York at the low post, and the Cavs have enough weapons to slow Jalen Brunson down. The Cavaliers boast the second-best defensive rating in the NBA (111.2 points allowed per 100 possessions). |
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03-03-24 | Rutgers v. Nebraska -8.5 | 56-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units At first glance, this seems like a big number, but Nebraska has been taking care of business at home recently and winning by double digits. Their last three home games included an 18-point win against Minnesota, a 19-point win over Penn State and a 20-point win over Michigan. Rutgers is another unranked team playing on the road, and their 275th-ranked offense will not be able to produce much against Nebraska's 30th ranked defense. Rutgers' offense is by far the worst-ranked unit in the game, Jeremiah Williams doesn't shoot from the outside, and Omoruyi can only score around the bucket. Nebraska has four players averaging 11.9 PPG or more, they can score inside and out, especially with Tominaga on the perimeter and Mast inside. Rutgers looked good against Michigan, but so has every team in the league, in their previous game they lost by 17 to Maryland and only managed 46 points on offense. Nebraska has more to play for as they will find their way into the tournament and will win comfortably here. |
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03-03-24 | Michigan v. Ohio State -11.5 | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ohio State is heating up, motivated for revenge against their rivals, and desperate to win this game for any chance of dancing. Michigan is 2-8 on the road and amid a six-game losing streak. Each defeat during this slide came by double figures. The Wolverines allow 81.7 points per game on the road, so the Buckeyes will feast offensively. Michigan has only reached 70 points once during this losing streak. Ohio State's season average for points allowed is 69.9, so that stretch should continue. Expect the Buckeyes to beat Michigan by at least 15. |
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03-03-24 | Clippers v. Wolves -2.5 | 89-88 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Clippers have been a good road this season, particularly since December, but I like the Wolves to pick up the win here. The Clippers will need to make some adjustments in their rotation with Westbrook's absence and that will take a bit of time. The team will certainly not look to extend either Leonard or George's minutes given both of their injury histories. The Wolves will also likely welcome back Edwards after missing him for the second half of the Kings game. Edwards' presence will force the Clippers to account for him all over the floor and should open things up for the likes of Mike Conley Jr. and Towns. The Wolves should now have a significant advantage with the league's best defense going up against a depleted Clippers' offense. |
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03-02-24 | Tennessee v. Alabama -3 | 81-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This should be fun, but the Crimson Tide get their revenge at home where they are 13-1. Alabama shot just 4-of-21 (19%) from beyond the arc in that first meeting. Their backcourt of Sears and Estrada shot just 11 of 21 and turned the ball over nine times combined. Expect Alabama to shoot much better considering they are at home, where they shoot 41.1% from beyond the arc. Tennessee struggles to defend the three-point shot on the road (37.2%) and will lose their first game in March. |
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03-02-24 | Michigan State +10.5 v. Purdue | Top | 74-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units As we’ve alluded to previously, MSU was ranked No. 4 in the AP Preseason Top 25 poll, its highest ranking since 2020. And at 17-11 and residing in sixth place in the Big Ten entering this contest, they’ve certainly underperformed this campaign. That makes them a dangerous ‘Bubble Team’ here, playing with a double revenge chip on their shoulder from a pair of losses laid on them by the Boilermakers last season. No doubt that Purdue is one of the nation’s most talented teams and that head coach Matt Painter’s troops want to make amends for last year’s embarrassing first-round exit in the NCAA Tournament, but the Boilers are just 0-3 SUATS in this series when MSU is seeking double revenge from the previous season. Purdue has not performed well this year against avenging Big Ten foes coming off a loss, going just 3-6 ATS, and the Boilermakers might be looking ahead to Tuesday night’s huge road trip to Illinois. Finally, playing on the Michigan State Spartans from Game 20 out if they're coming off an ATS loss of 9 or more points and are seeking revenge in a conference game is 13-1 ATS. |
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03-02-24 | Jazz v. Heat -7.5 | 120-126 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Heat should have the majority of the players back that missed out on the final game of their six-game trip. Herro and Richardson certainly look more than likely to be back for this game and that should give a boost to the Heat in this matchup. The Jazz seem unlikely to get Kessler back on Saturday and that will make their matchup against the Heat all the more difficult. Kessler's presence helps the Jazz on the glass and at the rim. Without him, I expect a big night from Adebayo and for Butler and the Heat wings to be able to slash to the basket without fear of being slowed down. The Jazz are in the final game of a highly unsuccessful trip and look like a team that is fading from the Western Conference playoff picture. Miami, on the other hand, is in a dog fight with Orlando and Indiana trying to get out of the play-in round. The Heat will be more motivated on Saturday and have the advantage in the paint. |
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03-02-24 | Mississippi State v. Auburn -9 | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The No. 11 Tigers (21-7, 10-5) led No. 4 Tennessee by eight points midway through the second half before losing 92-84 in a road game that featured 12 lead changes on Wednesday night. The Tigers are tied for fourth in the SEC with Kentucky and Florida, two games ahead of Mississippi State. Auburn has alternated wins and losses in its last six games. The last time it had consecutive wins or losses was a three-game winning streak that began after a 64-58 loss at Mississippi State on Jan. 27. |
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03-02-24 | Delaware v. Stony Brook -1 | 56-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Stony Brook Seawolves, with a 16-14 overall record and positioning seventh in the Coastal Athletic Association, have displayed a resilient and competitive spirit throughout the season. Their recent clash against Drexel, although ending in a 90-86 road loss, was a hard-fought battle that highlighted the Seawolves' tenacity and skill. Despite the defeat, Stony Brook's performance in this game underscored their offensive capabilities and their never-say-die attitude, as they pushed a higher-ranked team to the brink. This game served as a microcosm of their season, reflecting their ability to compete at a high level, even in the face of adversity. |
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03-02-24 | Duquesne v. George Mason -3 | 59-51 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units George Mason head coach Tony Skinn is aware that the Patriots are 17-6 SU and 12-7 ATS at home when coming off a pair of losses, including 10-2 ATS in games in which Georgie sports the better record. Duquesne won 20 games last year and went to the CBI Tournament, and the Dukes just avenged a conference tourney loss when they beat La Salle 75-63 on Wednesday. unfortunately, they are just 2-9 ATS when coming off a win of 6-plus points this season. The Pats are a solid 13-2 at EagleBank Arena with an average winning margin of 12.2 PPG |
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03-02-24 | Fordham v. St. Joe's -8 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units St. Joe’s did not qualify for postseason play last year following an exit in the conference tourney quarterfinals and the Hawks finished the campaign at 16-17, no thanks to a pair of losses laid on them by Fordham. The Rams won 24 games last season under promoted first-year head coach Keith Urgo but have felt the cold sting of reality this year, going 12-16 and just 3-8 SUATS when coming off a win. The Rams’ highly distasteful 1-14 ATS ledger the past two seasons in outright conference losses as an underdog is also a major concern. We’ve always been fans of 5-returning starter teams looking for revenge. Finally, St. Joseph’s is 18-3 SU and 14-7 ATS in this series, including 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS when Joe’s owns a .500 or better win percentage. |
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03-02-24 | Villanova v. Providence -2.5 | 71-60 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Providence is 10-2 with an average winning margin of 10.4 PPG. The Friars will also be looking for some payback from Villanova after the Wildcats rolled in their first meeting earlier this season, 68-50, and they take the court today boasting a 12-1 ATS record with same-season revenge from a loss of 9-plus points in this series, including 9-0 ATS at home. Nova is only 3-7 SU and 3-6-1 ATS away this campaign. |
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03-01-24 | Fresno State v. Nevada -14.5 | 66-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Fresno State has lost four straight games, while Nevada has won four straight games. There is a time to fade the trends, but there is also a time to realize why the trends are happening in the first place. Fresno State is down this year, the Mountain West is a tough conference, and they are struggling to keep up. Fresno only won four league games so far this season, and San Diego State just beat them by 32 points in a game played on Fresno's home court. The Bulldogs are started to sense the end of the season, as one loss in the conference tourney will wrap up their year. Nevada has everything to play for, they are on the right side of the bubble, and need every convincing win they can get at this point to strengthen their case for the Big Dance. It looks like Fresno will be without their big man Boakye, which will leave a huge hole in the middle defensively. Nevada has the best player in this game in Lucas, and has the most motivation as their season is far from over. |
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