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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-02-24 | Giants v. Red Sox -105 | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There is a common bet trend to fade teams when it appears they will go for a bullpen game, with several different pitchers heading out to the mound for limited innings. The belief is that they do not have one of their powerful starting pitchers on the mound, and the backup team will get hammered by the opposing offense. It is not a bad thought, but it will not work here. Having a bullpen game is not a scary thought when your team literally has the best ERA in baseball. The Red Sox have the best ERA in the majors by a wide margin, as they have a 2.59 ERA and the next best is the Mariners at 3.03. Winckowski has started the past two bullpen games, only pitching in three innings, but both games were wins as they went 17-0 over the Cubs and 6-1 over the Pirates. On top of this, the Giants have been struggling to score lately, as they have scored three or less runs in five straight games. The best bullpen in baseball will flex its muscles here. |
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05-02-24 | Cubs -102 v. Mets | 6-7 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago is right in the thick of the NL Central race as they get ready to open up their series with the Brewers Friday afternoon. The Cubs are missing several key pieces with Justin Steele, Kyle Hendricks, Drew Smyly and Jordan Wicks missing from the pitching staff while Cody Bellinger along with Seiya Suzuki are out of the lineup. Still, the Cubs still keep putting runs on the board and finding ways to hang in games. New York has struggled at putting runs on the board and Houser has had major issues when it comes to his control. Until we see him turn in a couple solid outings, you have to fade him accordingly. Give the Cubs the advantage here on getaway day. |
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04-30-24 | Avalanche -114 v. Jets | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Avalanche look to close out this series and I see them controlling this game from the first period. The Avalanche, who have scored 22 goals in this series, should pile on the goals with Nathan MacKinnon, Artturi Lehkonen, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Avalanche, who have allowed only five goals in the last three games, should limit the Jets offense with Cale Makar, Devon Toews, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Alexandar Georgiev to make plenty of big saves. The Avalanche should win the game and advance to the Second Round with a strong performance on the road. |
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04-30-24 | Pacers -170 v. Bucks | 92-115 | Loss | -170 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Indiana's offense has been just as efficient as Milwaukee's in this series. The Pacers are winning the rebounding and turnover battle. Indiana is much healthier, especially when it comes to the stars in this series. Expect game five to bring this series to an end, especially if Antetokounmpo and Lillard don't play again. Milwaukee can't reach 115 points in an April game, even at home, and can't prevent the Pacers from exceeding 120 points. The Pacers are up 3-1 despite 68.8% free throw shooting. It's over. Take Indiana to win and cover. |
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04-30-24 | Magic v. Cavs -4.5 | 103-104 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Magic looked dominant at home, but I don't put too much value in those outcomes. They weren't competitive in games one and two in Cleveland, and the Cavaliers are due for positive shooting regression. I expect Cleveland to get back to its winning ways by holding their own on the glass (+14 rebounding margin in game one and +7 in game two) and scoring more buckets in the paint. Limiting Orlando's fast break opportunities will also be a key to game five. The Magic are unlikely to shoot the ball as efficiently as on Saturday (55.8%). As long as the Cavs score early and often inside, offensively-challenged Orlando will crumble under the pressure of matching baskets with Cleveland. I predict the Cavs will get out to an early lead and use their home court to their advantage, holding off the Magic's comeback efforts. Cleveland will win and cover in game five! |
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04-30-24 | Twins -164 v. White Sox | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota will continue its dominance of Chicago today. Soroka has been home-run prone in the past two seasons, allowing 16 home runs in 13 appearances. He will have a tough time keeping the Twins (30 HR) in the ballpark on a warm and breezy evening at Guaranteed Rate Field today. Minnesota scored 32 runs in its three-game set versus the Angels and averaged 8.1 runs during its seven-game winning streak. Soroka will face the Twins in consecutive starts, a tall task for any pitcher. I have more faith in Woods Richardson to get through five innings. The Twins have a much more reliable bullpen (third in ERA) than the White Sox (4.40 ERA and 16 HR allowed), as well. With a significant pitching advantage and a hot lineup, the visitors will will win tonight! |
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04-30-24 | Cubs +114 v. Mets | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Javier Assad (2-0, 2.00 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Cubs against left-hander Sean Manaea (1-1, 3.33). Assad didn't factor into the decision in his latest start, when he gave up one run over 5 2/3 innings in the Cubs' 3-1 win over the Houston Astros on Thursday. He is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in two career games (one start) against the Mets. Manaea also got a no-decision the last time he took the mound. He tossed 4 2/3 scoreless innings -- but gave up four hits and four walks -- in the Mets' 8-2 win over the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday. He is 0-1 with a 4.67 ERA in four games (two starts) against the Cubs. |
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04-30-24 | Royals v. Blue Jays -128 | 4-1 | Loss | -128 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I like the Blue Jays to get some good swings against Ragans in their second meeting with the lefthander in a week. Last year, the Blue Jays batted .272 as a team against lefties and they still have a lineup of solid right-handed bats such as Vlad Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Justin Turner, and Alejandro Kirk to battle the lefty. Ragans has not been as sharp this season as he was in his 12-start stint with the Royals last year. He has given up 33 hits in 30 innings of work already and his WHIP has jumped up to 1.43 compared to 1.07 last year. Berrios took the hard-luck loss against the Royals in that rain-shortened game last week. He has been outstanding thus far with five quality starts in his six starts this season. Berrios has allowed just 26 hits in over 36 innings of work and his WHIP is a tidy 1.04. I'm going with the Jays to avenge last week's rain-shortened loss against Ragans. |
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04-29-24 | Phillies -132 v. Angels | 5-6 | Loss | -132 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Phillies have won four of their last six games. They are playing very well offensively and scored 30 runs in their last four road games. Expect them to play well offensively in this game because they have hit the ball well against right-handers and Canning has struggled on the mound for the Angels, giving up 12 runs in his last three starts. He gave up seven runs in his last two home starts and with Los Angeles having the second-worst bullpen in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Phillies in this game. The Angels have lost nine of their last 10 games and four of their last five home games. They have struggled offensively and scored only eight runs in their last three home games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because Sanchez has done a good job on the mound for the Phillies, giving up eight runs in his last three starts. He gave up five runs in two starts against the Angels and won’t have trouble keeping their offense in check. |
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04-29-24 | Thunder -183 v. Pelicans | 97-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units One has to wonder how much different this series would have been had Williamson not gotten injured in the play-in game against the Lakers. Without him, the Pelicans have sputtered mightily on the offensive end of the floor, failing to put up more than 92 points in any of their three games. Their O rating is a measly 96.7 and their effective field goal percentage of 45.7% fails to instill much in the way of confidence. New Orleans doesn’t have the pieces to match up on the defensive end either as Valanciunas logged only 12 minutes in Game 3 while Ingram has struggled to try and contain Holmgren. Oklahoma City has too many weapons and they have a ton of momentum on their side. Look for the Thunder to close things out, leaving the Pelicans to wonder what might have been. |
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04-29-24 | Twins -157 v. White Sox | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams come into this series playing better but the Twins are clearly the hotter of the two teams. White Sox starter Crochet is not hot coming in with the ChiSox losing each of his last five starts and Crochet not looking nearly as formidable as he did in his first couple of starts this season. He hasn't been able to get out of the fifth inning in any of his last three starts, including in Minnesota last week. Twins starter Ryan hasn't been dominant but he has been efficient and owns a 3-0 record against the White Sox in his last three starts against them. The Twins offense seems to have come alive and more help may be on the way as SS Correa appears close to return after spending time on the IL. The Twins offense will carry the day today and make it five straight wins over the White Sox. |
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04-29-24 | Lightning +1.5 v. Panthers | 1-6 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lightning won the rivals' two previous playoff encounters in 2021 and 2022. Though Florida leads the best-of-seven series 3-1 -- with Game 5 set for the Panthers' home ice in Sunrise today. The battle has been intense between the goalies -- Florida's Sergei Bobrovsky and Tampa Bay's Andrei Vasilevskiy. They have combined to win three Vezina Trophy awards -- two by Bobrovsky -- and their talents have been on full display in this series. Panthers broadcasters swear Bobrovsky has made some of the best saves in franchise history in this series, and he has stopped 18 high-danger shots overall. But Vasilevskiy, despite being down 3-1, has stopped an amazing 28 high-danger shots as per NaturalStatTrick.com. Vasilevskiy has historically been a great playoff netminder. In fact, he has a .926 save percentage in elimination games. As a team, Tampa Bay is 8-5 in elimination games, and that's the third-highest winning percentage in NHL history. |
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04-29-24 | Yankees +122 v. Orioles | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Yankees come into this series with a bit more momentum than the Orioles and could pounce on the opportunity to attack Rodriguez, who is coming off a poor performance. He was much better in his previous four starts, but his control of the strike zone has been lacking all season (nine walks). The Yankees get on base and have the power to drive in runners in bunches (30 runs in their last two games). If Rodriguez isn't locating his pitches well enough, the Bronx Bombers will make him pay dearly! While Schmidt isn't as hyped as G-Rod, he's been quietly solid for NY this season. He has racked up 20 Ks in his last three starts (15.1 IP) and held three of his last four opponents to two or fewer runs. The Orioles' lineup is formidable, but if he can last five or so innings, the rested Yankees' bullpen (2.74 ERA and 1.13 WHIP) will come through. |
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04-28-24 | Wolves -115 v. Suns | 122-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Timberwolves have won four of their last five games and five of their last seven road games. They are playing very well offensively, scoring 117 points per game while making over 48 percent of their shots in the playoffs. They’ve also done well at the charity stripe, making 88 percent of their free throws. Their rebounding has been very good and they grabbed more than 12 offensive rebounds per game in their last three games, so expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring chances in this game. The Suns aren’t very good defensively and they haven’t played well in this series, giving up 120 points or more in two of their three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Timberwolves in this game. The Suns have lost three straight games and three straight home games. They aren’t playing well offensively and averaged less than 100 points per game in their first three games. Their ball movement hasn’t been good and their rebounding has fallen off as well, so don’t expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring chances in this game. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Timberwolves, who average more than eight steals per game. The Timberwolves were one of the best defensive teams in the league during the regular season and they’ve played better in the playoffs, holding Phoenix to 99 points per game, so expect them to keep their offense in check. |
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04-28-24 | Cubs v. Red Sox -133 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Sox have won four of their last seven games. They have hit the ball well against left-handers and Wicks has struggled on the mound for the Cubs, giving up eight runs in his last three starts. He gave up 11 runs in his last three road starts and will have a hard time slowing down the Red Sox in this game. The Cubs will struggle offensively in this game because Houck has done a good job on the mound for the Red Sox, giving up only nine runs in five starts. He gave up one run in two career starts against the Cubs and will keep their offense in check once again. Go with Boston to cover the money line. |
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04-28-24 | Canucks v. Predators -117 | 4-3 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canucks, if they’re going to survive this series without Demko, have two strategies to choose from going forward. They can either be aggressive on the offensive end of the ice and hope that they can beat Saros enough to make up for any potential miscues on the defensive end. We saw that fail to work out in Game 2 as they fell behind early and never caught up in the loss. The alternative was what we saw in Game 3, where the Canucks were outshot badly but took advantage of a pair of power play goals to earn a low-scoring victory. DeSmith was solid in Game 3 but it’s tough to rely on him turning in that kind of performance on a night in, night out basis. With that in mind, you have to lean toward the Predators, feeding off the home crowd, to capitalize on a couple of miscues to even this series up heading back west. |
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04-28-24 | Phillies +124 v. Padres | 8-6 | Win | 124 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Taijuan Walker's first start of the season comes at the right time, as the Phillies are red-hot. The offense is consistently scoring 5+ runs, so he'll have run support. This bullpen is top 10 in FIP and WAR, so they can shut the door behind him. This is why Walker's initial outing of 2024 will be a multi-run win. Michael King has been walking batters at one of the league's highest clips all season, which is why two of his past three opponents have scored more than five runs against him. San Diego's bullpen is mediocre. Roll with the Phillies to win. |
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04-28-24 | Yankees -127 v. Brewers | 15-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I will take the Bombers running up against a rookie righty in the series finale. Yankees starter Stroman has a good track record against the Brewers and has been effective in his brief tenure with the Yankees thus far. The Yankees have been road warriors thus far with Friday's loss just their fifth on the road this season. The veteran middle of the order, particularly Soto and Judge, should get good swings against Myers on Sunday and help power the Yankees to victory. The two teams are nearly even in the bullpen, each ranked in the top five in bullpen ERA. Runs will be tough to come by in the final few innings so I'm leaning on the Yankees with the edge of Stroman facing the rookie righty. |
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04-28-24 | Knicks v. 76ers -5 | 97-92 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The likely loss of Robinson to an ankle injury is massive for the Knicks. Robinson was a menace on the glass in games one and two and gave the Knicks a legitimate option to harass Embiid when Hartenstein left the floor. With Robinson missing the entire second half, the Knicks' advantage on the glass disappeared. Game three was the first game of the series the Sixers won the rebounding battle, 36-32. Brunson broke out for 39 points but the Knicks bench had its worst game in game three as the Sixers seemed to focus in on the likes of Brogdanovic and McBride. Embiid and Tyrese Maxey continue to look for support and may have found some in Oubre in game three with his 15 points. The Sixers have a great opportunity to knot the series at two games apiece today and will do so with the Knicks bench taking a major hit without Robinson. |
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04-27-24 | Stars v. Golden Knights -105 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Knights have won five of their last six games and six of their last seven home games. They are playing well offensively and scored 15 goals in their last four home games. They’ve also played well on special teams, converting over 20 percent of their power play opportunities. The Stars have done a good job of killing penalties but they’re not playing well defensively, giving up seven goals in their last two games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Golden Knights in this game. The Stars have lost two straight games and three of their last five overall. They have struggled offensively and scored only six goals in their last three games. They have done a better job on special teams, converting over 24 percent of their power play opportunities. The Golden Knights have killed over 79 percent of their penalties and they’re playing well defensively, giving up eight goals in their last three games, so expect them to keep Dallas’ offense in check. Go with Vegas to cover the money line. |
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04-27-24 | Pirates v. Giants -140 | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jordan Hicks has not allowed more than two runs in a start this season. After three home starts, he has a 1.80 ERA. He is the most reliable force in this game and the reason that the Giants will have a lead after six innings. Pittsburgh's Martin Perez has been getting tagged lately (seven runs allowed in his last two starts), and the Giants have a .257 team batting average against lefties. Expect this offense to score a few runs early. San Francisco will hold on late against a slumping offense. |
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04-27-24 | Phillies +103 v. Padres | 5-1 | Win | 103 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Suarez (4-0, 1.36 ERA) has been the best pitcher on arguably the best starting staff in the majors. He shut down the Reds Monday night over seven innings of a 7-0 win in Cincinnati, allowing only two hits with a walk and five strikeouts. Suarez's current scoreless streak is the longest for a Phillies pitchers since another lefty, Cliff Lee, authored one that lasted 30 2/3 innings from Aug. 17-Sept. 10, 2011. Like Lee, Suarez succeeds more by mixing pitches instead of overpowering hitters. Suarez enters this game with a 2-0 record in five career outings against the Padres, two of them starts. He owns a 2.65 ERA in 17 innings, which doesn't include a win and save in the 2022 National League Championship Series. |
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04-27-24 | Nuggets -165 v. Lakers | 108-119 | Loss | -165 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Denver Nuggets know how to win playoff games. Denver has won all three games and game three was their best performance of this series. This is not a good sign for the Lakers. The Nuggets are 5-0 in their last five playoff road games. While James and Davis have been solid, they don’t have the depth to beat this Nuggets squad as seen in game three. Aaron Gordon dropped 29 points for Denver. The Nuggets continue to dominate the boards. They have out-rebounded the Lakers in all three games including 51 boards compared to only 38 by the Lakers on Thursday. Los Angeles has not been able to score enough points in this series despite shooting 49% due to the rebounding margin. The Nuggets have held the Lakers to an average of 102 points in the series. They have now beaten the Lakers in 11 straight meetings. |
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04-27-24 | Bruins +105 v. Maple Leafs | 3-1 | Win | 105 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I fully expect the Bruins to wave the goal tandem, at least for this series and have Jeremy Swayman in net on Saturday night. Swayman has had the Leafs number this season with five straight wins and a dazzling near-96 percent save percentage in the two playoff games. The Bruins have dominated special teams in the series, scoring on 50% of their power play opportunities while only allowing one goal in 11 penalty-killing opportunities. Captain Marchand has once again done his job and is completely in the heads of the Maple Leafs heading into game four. The veteran winger has been an expert at this throughout his career and will certainly continue to agitate the Leafs in game four. The Bruins have done a lot of this damage without a big series from leading scorer David Pastrnak, who has just one goal thus far, and he is likely a timebomb that will soon go off. Ride with the Bs until the Maple Leafs can solve Swayman. |
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04-27-24 | Panthers -120 v. Lightning | 3-6 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Lightning look to avoid a sweep but this series has been one-sided and I see the Panthers dominating this game on both ends of the ice. The Panthers, who have scored 11 goals in the series, should pile on the goals with Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers should limit the Lightning offense with Gustav Forsling, Brandon Montour, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game to sweep the series with a strong performance on the road. |
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04-27-24 | Cardinals -125 v. Mets | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units St Louis has won 10 of its last 15 games played at Citi Field in the Big Apple against New York. St Louis has struggled a bit at the plate but on the mound has a 4.11 team ERA, which is not the best, but its ace on the staff will be on the mound Saturday. St Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Sonny Gray has had a strong beginning to his season, allowing 14 hits and just two runs in 16.1 innings pitched, with the Cardinals winning two of his three starts. The only loss St. Louis has suffered with Gray on the mound was 2-0 to Milwaukee. New York starting pitcher Adrian Houser has been inconsistent in four starts. The right-hander allowed a combined three runs in two starts but in the other two starts, allowed a combined 13 runs in 9 Innings pitched. New York has lost three of the four games that Houser has started this season. |
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04-27-24 | Cavs v. Magic -130 | 89-112 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Orlando has to play its best basketball to win again in game four, and while it won't win by double digits, I do believe it can cover the two-point spread. Cleveland didn't put up much of a fight in game three, and while it should compete better today, it won't be enough. Like they did in the first two games, the Magic kept the Cavaliers under their shooting average from long range. However, in game three, they easily dominated on the boards and kept Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen from scoring too many easy buckets at the rim. The return of Jalen Suggs was crucial, as he added 24 points on offense and helped make Mitchell (6-for-16) more uncomfortable than he was in the first two meetings. I don't expect too much to change in game four, with the Magic bullying the Cavaliers on their home floor to even up the series. |
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04-26-24 | Phillies -105 v. Padres | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Phillies have won eight of their last 10 games and three of their last five road games. They are playing well offensively and scored 17 runs in their last three road games. They will play well offensively in this game because they’ve hit the ball well against right-handers and Musgrove has been shaky on the mound in recent starts, giving up 10 runs in his last three starts. He gave up six runs in his last start against the Phillies and will have a hard time slowing them down in this game. The Padres have lost two of their last three home games. They struggled offensively during that stretch, scoring only six runs. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because Nola has been dominant on the mound in recent starts, giving up five runs in his last four starts. He gave up four runs in his last two starts against the Padres and will keep their offense in check once again. |
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04-26-24 | Rays -215 v. White Sox | 4-9 | Loss | -215 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Tampa Bay Rays have not been at their best but this is a great spot to gain some confidence against the worst squad in baseball. The Chicago White Sox are rarely winning games, dropping nine of their last ten games. They could be on the way to 110 defeats this season. The Rays have Zach Eflin on the mound. The veteran has been dominant, posting 12.1 scoreless innings in his last two performances including a gem against the Yankees. He has conceded zero or one run in three of his last four outings. Chris Flexen has been shaky. He has been solid out of the 'pen but has surrendered 13 runs in 13.1 innings in his three starts this season. |
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04-26-24 | Canucks v. Predators -106 | 2-1 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If Demko was healthy for this game, the Canucks would be favored and likely would be up 2-0 in the series. Instead, he’s banged up and coach Rick Tocchet has said that DeSmith is going to be between the pipes for this contest. We saw how he struggled in the opener, stopping 12 of 15 shots before the empty net goal that closed the scoring. Vancouver was down a goal 74 seconds into the game and never managed to get even the rest of the way. With the backup goaltender between the pipes, Vancouver can’t be as freewheeling offensively as they usually are. Look for Nashville to feed off their home crowd and take Game 3 to earn the series lead. |
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04-26-24 | Bucks v. Pacers -5.5 | 118-121 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams have clashed seven times since November. Indiana is 5-2, including a 2-0 home record, because they've scored more than 120 points in all but one of those meetings. Considering that the Bucks have only scored more than 115 points once in April (117 on April 10), this game does not bode well for them. As is, Milwaukee has plenty of issues on the road, hence their 18-22 (16-24-0 ATS) record in away games. With a cold offense, no Giannis Antetokounmpo, and a defense that can't contain the Pacers, the Bucks are in danger. Milwaukee's weak offensive rebounding also doesn't challenge Indiana's awful defensive rebounding, an area where they could get points back. Take the Pacers to win by more than five points again now that this series is in Gainbridge Fieldhouse. |
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04-26-24 | Royals +108 v. Tigers | 8-0 | Win | 108 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Lugo has been outstanding thus far with four quality starts of his five starts. He's kept the ball on the ground, thus avoiding big innings despite giving up 30 hits in 31 innings of work. He will benefit from a Tigers team that has not hit the ball well at home and keep them in the park thanks to the daunting dimensions at Comerica Park as well as the ability to keep the ball on the ground. The Royals have shown surprising pop despite a relatively no-name lineup this season. They have 28 home runs but, more importantly, they can generate runs with a lineup that has some speed to complement the power. Olson has yet to win a game this season, has a WHIP of 1.45, and has given up more hits than innings pitched thus far. Look for the Royals to generate runs with speed and execution and Lugo to once again stay out of the big inning. |
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04-25-24 | Knicks v. 76ers -5 | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It is truly now or never for the Sixers in game three at home vs. the Knicks. This should be an angry bunch after coughing up a five-point lead in the final 30 seconds of the game on Monday night. The Sixers can blame the refs but they also know that they were dominated on the glass and physically dominated down the stretch. The Sixers' defensive strategy against Brunson has worked brilliantly and the Sixers have held the Knicks offense in check overall. Back at home, I expect the Sixers to get better performances out of the likes of Oubre and Harris to ease the burden of Maxey and Embiid to lead the Sixers to win. Batum should also have a stronger game after being limited offensively in the first two games. The Knicks have been a bit lucky in the first two games, losing in each game before rallying to victory. |
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04-25-24 | Panthers v. Lightning -105 | 5-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both goaltenders have played well in this series. The Panthers are just getting more shots on goal in the series, and the result has been them taking two, one-goal victories. The series has been close though and should continue to be so. The Lightning are now at home, where they have been much better. That will be the difference in game three, as they get the win. |
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04-25-24 | Cavs v. Magic -125 | 83-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Magic lost Suggs for nearly all of game two, but he's ready to play in game three. If he's close enough to 100 percent healthy, he'll give Orlando a capable defender to chase Mitchell and a three-point threat on offense. I expect he and Gary Harris to play much better in today's environment, providing a boost for the home team. With reliable performances from complementary players, Orlando will figure it out offensively. Protecting the paint on defense is another key, as Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen have scored too many easy buckets at the rim. Considering how poorly the Cavs have shot the three-ball in both games, reducing rim scoring is crucial. |
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04-25-24 | Padres -144 v. Rockies | 9-10 | Loss | -144 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Colorado's downfall is on the mound as the Rockies are 30th or last in each of the following: ERA, WHIP and batting average allowed. The Rockies cannot offset that poor pitching with hitting as Colorado is just 14th in batting average and 20th in slugging percentage, while producing 88 runs which is only 23rd. San Diego on the other hand has the eighth best team batting average and has scored the seventh most runs, while carrying the 10th best slugging percentage. On the mound, San Diego holds its own with the 10th best team ERA and 14th best batting average allowed at just .234. San Diego starting pitcher Randy Vasquez is just 0-1, but has a 1.80 ERA after allowing just one earned run in five innings last Saturday versus Toronto but the Padres played poorly in the field as San Diego gave up three unearned runs while Vasquez was on the mound. Colorado starting pitcher Dakota Hudson has been hit hard in each of the last three starts allowing a combined 12 runs in just 14 innings and needless to say Colorado lost each of the three games. |
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04-25-24 | Blue Jays +105 v. Royals | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Berrios (4-0, 0.85 ERA) hasn't allowed a run in his last three outings covering 19 2/3 innings. His overall scoreless-innings streak stands at 21 2/3 innings. After posting three consecutive wins, Berrios is off to the best start of his career. In 21 career starts against the Royals, Berrios is 7-5 with a 4.72 ERA, most recently going seven innings and allowing two runs on five hits with seven strikeouts in a 5-2 win on Sept. 10, 2023. Berrios has held Salvador Perez to a .200 average with just three extra-base hits -- all doubles -- in 40 at-bats. Cole Ragans (0-2, 4.32 ERA) will take the ball for Kansas City today. The left-hander recorded just five outs while matching a career high with seven runs allowed on nine hits in a 9-7 loss to the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday. |
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04-25-24 | Brewers -123 v. Pirates | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Peralta (2-0, 1.90 ERA) will hope to limit the bullpen's workload on Thursday. He is 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA in 20 career appearances, 11 starts, against Pittsburgh. In his past two outings combined, Peralta has allowed just one run on nine hits in 12 innings, with two walks and 18 strikeouts. Right-handed pitcher Mitch Keller (2-2, 4.80 ERA) is expected to get the nod on the mound for the Pirates. Keller is 0-4 with a 6.23 ERA in six career starts against the Brewers. |
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04-24-24 | Kings v. Oilers -180 | 5-4 | Loss | -180 | 37 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Oilers controlled Game One and I see them dominating this game on both ends of the ice. The Oilers, who averaged 3.56 goals per game this season, should pile on the goals with Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes. The Oilers also look to limit the Kings' offense with Evan Bouchard, Mattias Ekholm, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers at the blue line and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Stuart Skinner to make plenty of big saves. The Oilers should win the game and cover the spread with a strong performance on their home ice to take a commanding 2-0 series lead. |
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04-24-24 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Thunder | 92-124 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There wasn’t a whole lot to write home about offensively in Game 1 for either side. Both teams shot below 45% from the field and under 33% from beyond the arc. There has to be some positive regression for both teams in this contest but the fact remains that New Orleans is going to have to control the glass as they did in Game 1 to keep them in the mix. Oklahoma City has the best player on the floor with Gilgeous-Alexander and if their youth shakes off the rough shooting night in the opening game of the series, they should take the victory at home. With that said, expect the Pelicans to keep it close and cover the line. Straight up, the Thunder are the call but getting this many points after hanging tough in the opener, take the Pelicans with the points. |
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04-24-24 | White Sox v. Twins -185 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Twins have won three of their last five home games. They are playing well offensively and scored 12 runs in their last three home games. They will play well offensively in this game because Crochet has struggled on the mound in recent starts, giving up 14 runs in his last three starts. He gave up nine runs in his two road starts and will have a hard time slowing down the Twins in this game. The White Sox have lost five of their last six road games. They aren’t playing well offensively and scored only seven runs in their last four games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because they are batting under .200 against right-handers and Ryan has done a good job on the mound for the Twins, giving up 11 runs in four starts. He gave up six runs in three starts against the White Sox, and with Minnesota having the fourth-best bullpen in the league, they won’t have trouble keeping Chicago’s offense in check. |
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04-24-24 | Red Sox v. Guardians -133 | 8-0 | Loss | -133 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sox need a bullpen game and could be without Casas and possibly Devers. Carrasco fared well enough in his last start and while pitching against the same club in consecutive outings can be challenging, the Sox haven't had enough continuity in their lineup to expect an improved performance this time around. Besides, the veteran righty has looked much better since returning in 2024 and has an elite bullpen backing him up. Cleveland's pen sports a 2.11 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with the most Ks and fewest HR allowed. The Guardians will string together enough hits against Boston's group of relievers to outlast them at home. They rank fifth in hits, sixth in total bases, and ninth in stolen bases per game this year. They're crushing lefty pitchers (.304/.365/.469/.834) and have performed well under the lights (.267/.333/.434/.767), as well. 16-6 both straight-up and against the spread. |
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04-24-24 | Diamondbacks -117 v. Cardinals | 1-5 | Loss | -117 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Montgomery (1-0, 1.50 ERA) won his first start for Arizona over the San Francisco Giants on Friday. He will make his second today as the Diamondbacks face the St. Louis Cardinals to close their three-game road series. The Cardinals won the series opener 5-3 on Monday and the Diamondbacks rolled to a 14-1 victory Tuesday. Montgomery, who spent the bulk of last season with the Cardinals before his trade to the Texas Rangers, went six innings in his first start for the Diamondbacks. He held the Giants to one run on four hits while striking out three and walking nobody. The Cardinals will start Kyle Gibson (1-2, 5.04), who delivered a quality start in his last outing, a 2-1, 10-inning loss to the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday. Gibson allowed one run on three hits and four walks over six innings while getting in sync with catcher Willson Contreras. He is 3-3 with a 2.75 ERA in six career starts against the Diamondbacks. |
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04-23-24 | Avalanche v. Jets -101 | 5-2 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Avalanche look to even up the series but the Jets look to step up at home and control this game. The Jets, who averaged 3.16 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Kyle Connor, Adam Lowry, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Jets, who allowed only 2.41 goals per game, should limit the Avalanche offense with Dylan DeMelo, Josh Morrissey, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Connor Hellebuyck to make plenty of big saves. The Jets should win the game to take a commanding series lead. |
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04-23-24 | Orioles -149 v. Angels | 4-7 | Loss | -149 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams are trending in opposite directions, and the same could be said for the starting pitchers. The Orioles are hot, they have won six of their last seven games, and lead the major leagues in home runs with 33 home runs. They have four more home runs than the team in second place, the Red Sox. The Orioles generate runs at a high level, they rank 5th in the majors in run production. The Angels have not fared so well, they have lost four straight, including getting swept by the Reds. The Angels are only 20th in run production, and have not been putting up the same numbers as Baltimore. The Orioles will start Rodriguez here, they are 4-0 in his starts. In the other dugout, the Angels are starting Canning, and they are 0-4 in his starts. There pitching stats gives a big edge to the Orioles, as Rodriguez has 11 more strikeouts, has given up two fewer home runs, and has a much better ERA at 2.64, while Cannings is 8.05. |
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04-23-24 | Padres -155 v. Rockies | 4-7 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Colorado offense has stalled out, and will have a tough time keeping up with San Diego's offense in this one. The Rockies have only generated four runs over the past three games combined, and are taking on the Padres who are in the top ten in runs scored, home runs and batting average as a team. It is a landslide in almost all statistical categories, the Padres have outscored the Rockies 118-80 this season, with ten more home runs, and a much lower ERA. The Rockies have the worst ERA in all of baseball at 5.88, as the thin Denver air is hurting them more than it helps. Colorado's starter Feltner has an ERA over 5, and will struggle to get out of innings against Tatis, Machado and company. Michael King has been far better on the mound, even in his only loss he struck out ten batters and only allowed two hits. San Diego will cruise an an easy victory here. |
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04-23-24 | Pacers +1.5 v. Bucks | 125-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana's offense rarely gets held under 110 points, let alone 100. Game one was a welcome to the postseason for them, but they should be the same team that haunted the Bucks all regular season. As for Milwaukee, their offense's inability to score 110 points again is concerning. In a matchup that features two heavily offensive-minded squads, the Pacers are more trustworthy right now. Milwaukee can't take advantage of arguably Indiana's greatest defensive weakness, rebounding. Expect the Pacers to bounce back with a win. |
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04-23-24 | Lightning +1.5 v. Panthers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers look to take a commanding series lead but the Lightning look to bounce back and take over this game from the first period. The Lightning, who averaged 3.51 goals per game this season, should create plenty of scoring chances with Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Lightning should limit the Panthers' offense with Victor Hedman and Mathew Dumba stepping up at the blue line and cutting off angels to the net on the rush while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy to make plenty of big saves. The Lightning should win the game to even up the series. |
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04-23-24 | A's +190 v. Yankees | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oakland has been playing much better since its 1-7 start to the season. It gutted out a clutch win on Monday with just four hits, holding New York scoreless with zero extra-base hits. Now, it turns to Blackburn, who has been rock solid in 2024 and has fared well against the Yankees in the past. Plus, the Yankees are slashing just .227/.335/.351/.686 at home and really need Aaron Judge (.174 BA and 31 Ks in 86 ABs) to break out of his slump soon. With Stroman on the bump, I like Oakland's odds of at least keeping the final score close. The Yankees' starter got off to a solid start but wasn't as sharp in his last two appearances, putting eight runners on base in each outing. He gave up a home run in each of these starts and fanned just two Blue Jays in his last appearance. The A's may not be the most intimidating offense, but they're playing with some confidence. As long as Blackburn can give his team six innings of quality pitching, I like the value of a bet on the A's. |
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04-22-24 | Lakers v. Nuggets -7.5 | 99-101 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Los Angeles Lakers needed to beat the Pelicans in the play-in round just to get to this series. They were outmatched in game one. The Lakers struggled against the Nuggets this season, dropping all three meetings. These were not close games. All three defeats were by eight or more points and they dropped game one by 11 points. These combatants met in the conference finals last year with the Nuggets earning the dominating sweep. Denver has now beaten the Lakers in each of the last nine meetings. The Lakers rely on the scoring to win games but Denver has the better offensive rating and is the superior defensive squad by a big margin. Anthony Davis is not going to have his usual success considering he is up against Nikola Jokic. Davis only averaged nine boards against the Nuggets this season. Jokic averaged 29 points against the Lakers and scored 32 points in game one. |
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04-22-24 | Golden Knights v. Stars -128 | 4-3 | Loss | -128 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Stars have won seven of their last eight home games. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than three goals per game at home. They’ve also played well on special teams, converting over 24 percent of their power play opportunities. The Golden Knights are good at killing penalties, but they’ve struggled defensively, giving up 16 goals in their last three road games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Stars in this game. The Golden Knights have lost three straight road games and four of their last six road games. They have struggled offensively, scoring only eight goals in their last three road games. They’ve done a better job on special teams, converting over 20 percent of their power play opportunities. The Stars have killed over 80 percent of their penalties and they’re playing well defensively, giving up only five goals in their last three home games, so expect them to keep Vegas’ offense in check. Go with Dallas to cover the money line. |
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04-22-24 | Orioles +107 v. Angels | 4-2 | Win | 107 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Grayson Rodriguez bullied the Angels in his season debut on March 30. He punched out nine across six frames while giving up just an earned run on four hits and a walk. Since then, Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs in each of his next three starts. On the other side, Reid Detmers met the O’s on the last day of March and fanned seven across five innings. He emerged victorious, allowing one earned run on two hits and three walks. Detmers has been outstanding so far this season, and Rodriguez has been nothing short of spectacular, too. I’m backing the Orioles to come out on top because of their offense. Baltimore has been killing the southpaws over the last ten days, posting a ridiculous 259 wRC+ in 76 plate appearances (.444/.474/.750 triple-slash). |
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04-22-24 | Padres -173 v. Rockies | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockies have not been winning many games this season, and they are not going to win games in back to back days, especially while taking on San Diego. The Padres have far more offensive firepower, they have big name stars in Tatis and Machado, as well as up and comers who have been producing in Profar and Merrill. The pitching edge goes to San Diego here, Cease has 27 strikeouts to just 11 walks while giving up only one home run, while Gomber only has 18 strikeouts and has given up four home runs in the same amount of starts. Even with their recent struggles, the Padres are still sixth in the majors in home runs. and the Rockies are dead last in team ERA at 6.06. San Diego gets back on track and opens up this series with a big win. |
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04-22-24 | Blue Jays v. Royals +101 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (1-1, 2.08 ERA) will take the mound to open the series. In seven career starts against the Royals, Kikuchi is 1-2 with a 6.37 ERA, earning the lone win on April 4, 2023, while allowing a run on three hits over five innings. Hunter Renfroe has a home run among three hits in five at-bats against Kikuchi. Right-hander Brady Singer (2-0, 1.54 ERA) will start for Kansas City today. Singer is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in three career starts against the Blue Jays, having won the most recent outing on April 3, 2023, while allowing a run on two hits in five innings. Varsho has a home run in five at-bats against Singer. The Royals have won all four of Singer's 2024 starts as he has allowed no more than two runs in any outing. All four runs allowed over 23 1/3 innings scored on homers. Singer's .163 opponent batting average ranks third in the American League. The development of a split-change has helped him induce more weak contact. |
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04-22-24 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -134 | 3-2 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm going to lean on the Bruins again in game two. The goalie change should benefit a Bruins team that has stuck by the platoon goalie system in each of the last two regular seasons and has the most points in the NHL in that time. Ullmark, the defending Vezina Trophy winner, is certainly not a step down from Swayman and may benefit from actually watching the action in game one and seeing Swayman in action. The Bruins let up more shots than they are used to giving up in game one but some of that may be due to the desperation of the Leafs in the latter stages of the game after falling behind. The Bruins, as is their strength, took fewer shots overall but more quality shots. Leafs' goalie Samsonov is far from elite and did give up a couple of easy goals in this game. The Leafs will not win many if any, games if they score under three goals in this series. The Bruins should be able to once again control the pace, get ahead early, and dominate the neutral zone to pick up a 2-0 lead in this series. |
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04-21-24 | Pacers -117 v. Bucks | 94-109 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It says a lot that the team with the higher seed and home-court advantage is the underdog in this one. Indiana had their number all season long. Also, Giannis Antetokounmpo, the best player in this series for either team, is unlikely to suit up for the Bucks due to a calf injury. Milwaukee's main issue is that they can't exploit Indiana's weak defensive rebounding. The Pacers' offense is too explosive and efficient to let those opportunities slip. That's without accounting for the fact that the Bucks' defense isn't much better. Take Indiana to beat the tight spread in game one. |
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04-21-24 | Mavs -145 v. Clippers | 97-109 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Not having Leonard is a massive blow to the Clippers and without their top defender, it means they'll have issues slowing down the Doncic-Irving combination. Adding in that Harden is probable but battling an injury, means they could be without another key scorer too. Dallas has leaned heavily on the three-point shot, which translates well to the road and against the Clippers, who have taken a back seat on the defensive end. Before the back-to-back losses to end the season, Dallas had covered the spread in seven of their previous eight games, as they return to that trend to kickoff the playoffs. |
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04-21-24 | Tigers +106 v. Twins | 6-1 | Win | 106 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Tigers have won two of their last three road games. They are playing well offensively and scored 16 runs in their last three games. They will play well offensively in this game because Varland hasn’t looked good on the mound for the Twins, giving up 15 runs in three starts. He gave up six runs in his last start against the Tigers and will have a hard time slowing them down in this game. The Twins have lost six of their last eight games. They have struggled offensively and scored nine runs in their last three games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because they are batting under .200 against right-handers and Mize has been solid on the mound, giving up seven runs in three starts. He gave up five runs in two road starts and with Detroit having the best bullpen in the league, they will keep Minnesota’s offense in check. Go with Detroit to cover the money line. |
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04-21-24 | A's v. Guardians -180 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Stripling hasn’t earned a win in the majors since the 2022 campaign as he was 0-5 with the Giants last season ahead of being 0-4 this year. The A’s have hung tough early on this season and have been better than expected in the early going. Cleveland got the win in the opening game of this series as they were solid with runners in scoring position, going four of seven in those situations. The Guardians have had a lot of success in the early going this season and if Bibee can throw more strikes than he has in the early going, Cleveland should be in good shape here. Look for the Guardians to earn the victory in this contest. |
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04-21-24 | White Sox v. Phillies -1.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia will hand the ball to right-hander Aaron Nola (2-1, 3.47 ERA), who will have a tough act to follow after Zach Wheeler flirted with a no-hitter on Saturday. Against the Rockies last Monday, Nola gave up four hits and one run with nine strikeouts and one walk over 7 1/3 innings. He did not factor into the decision as the Phillies won 2-1 in 10 innings. The White Sox will turn to right-hander Nick Nastrini (0-1, 3.60 ERA) on the mound. Nola is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA in one career start against the White Sox. Despite scoring five runs in the ninth inning Saturday, the White Sox still fell to 3-17 for the worst 20-game start in franchise history. |
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04-21-24 | Rays +117 v. Yankees | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
MLB Free Pick - Tampa Bay at NYY Although they are 14-7 in their first 21 games, the Yankees are 2-4 in their past six games. During that span, New York had a four-run ninth in Wednesday's 6-4 victory at Toronto, then put together a five-run seventh on Friday. Right-hander Aaron Civale (2-1, 2.74 ERA), who has completed six innings in three of his first four starts of the season, concludes the series for the Rays. Civale last pitched on Tuesday, when he took a no-decision after allowing three runs on five hits in six innings of Tampa Bay's 7-6 win over the Los Angeles Angels. Civale was acquired from the Cleveland Guardians ahead of last season's trade deadline. Yankee starter, Right-hander Luis Gil (0-1, 3.86) hopes he can display better command of the strike zone when he makes his 11th career start on Sunday. Gil has walked 14 in 14 innings across his first three outings. He issued seven free passes in five innings on Monday, also allowing three runs and three hits while taking a loss against the Toronto Blue Jays. Michael has been SCORCHING HOT with his selections, making his $100 per Unit Clients OVER $3,500! Don't miss all off his WINNERS today! |
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04-21-24 | Lightning v. Panthers -165 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The offense was great but the defense led the Panthers all season, allowing only 2.41 goals per game. Gustav Forsling and Niko Mikkola combined for 12.5 defensive point shares and 226 blocked shots while Aaron Ekblad, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, and Dmitry Kulikov combined for 12.3 defensive point shares to add depth to the unit. In addition, goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky put together a remarkable season with a .915 save percentage and a 2.37 goals-against average on 1584 shots with 18.1 goals saved above average. |
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04-20-24 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -121 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 33 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Who will start in net for the Bruins may not be as big a factor as it may appear. Both Swayman and Ullmark are above-average goalies and either gives the Bruins a significant edge over Toronto's #1 goalie Illya Samsonov. Samsonov finished 38th in the NHL in GAA this season and just 45th in save percentage this season. Both Ullmark and Swayman finished in the top 10 in save percentage this season. Toronto has a huge edge offensively but Boston will have the advantage of the return of Patrick Maroon from his back surgery near the end of the season. His size and strength could be significant for Boston, particularly in the defensive zone against the likes of Matthews and others. Both teams come into this game cold with the Leafs losing each of their last four games and the Bruins losing three of four. The Bruins do have the edge in the head-to-head matchup having gone 2-0-2 this season against the Leafs and remaining undefeated against them in their last seven meetings. The Bruins will need to protect the puck in their end and be physical with Matthews every chance they get. I'll take the Bruins here thanks to their ability to get quality shots on net, the Leafs struggles protecting the net, and the Bruins dominance in net. |
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04-20-24 | Rangers +137 v. Braves | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In four starts, Texas pitcher Nathan Eovaldi has allowed eight runs in 24 â…” innings but five of those eight were in just one start, while holding three opponents to just three runs across 18 â…” innings. Atlanta starter Charlie Morgan has been roughed up in each of the last two outings, allowing 10 runs in 10 â…” innings while striking out 12 but walking six. Atlanta will play without second baseman Ozzie Albies, who thus far this season has five doubles, two home runs and 14 RBIs. Albies production at the plate will be missed in this series with Texas. Texas has won 16 of its last 20 played on the road and the Rangers have won four of the last six played on the road against Atlanta. The Braves have struggled a bit on the mound with a team ERA of 4.41 and WHIP of 1.33. Saturday's starting pitcher for Atlanta, Morton has an ERA that is even higher than the team average at 5.29. |
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04-20-24 | 76ers v. Knicks -155 | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I fully expect this to be a long series between the two teams. I like the Knicks in game one with what should be a sizable chip on their collective shoulders. The Knicks are relatively healthy coming in with Anunoby back at full strength and their two-headed monster at center, Isaiah Hartenstein and Mitchell Robinson, both ready to go and lean on Embiid as often as possible. The Sixers did a great job at the deadline at adding pieces that will be critical to their playoff success. Hield and Lowry give the team more depth in the backcourt and more bodies to throw at Brunson, who is critical to the Knicks' success. Anunoby and Josh Hart should be able to minimize the effectiveness of the likes of Oubre, Tobias Harris, and even Nicolas Batum. The series may ultimately be decided by the winner of the matchup between Tyrese Maxey and Brunson. In game one, I like Brunson to prevail in that matchup and the Knicks others, like Hart and DiVincenzo, to do enough to tilt this game in their favor. |
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04-20-24 | Diamondbacks -120 v. Giants | 3-7 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Diamondbacks’ starter Zac Gallen has been dominant, allowing zero or one run in three of his four outings this season. He issued six scoreless innings against the Cardinals in his previous outing. The Diamondbacks have won in three of his four starts. Giants’ starter Kyle Harrison is an inexperienced pitcher. He has given up 10 runs in his last 17 innings pitched. |
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04-20-24 | Marlins v. Cubs -157 | 3-2 | Loss | -157 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago will turn to right-hander Javier Assad (2-0, 2.16 ERA) for the opener of the twin bill. Assad's latest start was also against Seattle, and he came away with a victory after allowing two runs on four hits in 5 2/3 innings on Sunday. Assad has never faced Miami in his career. Going up against a pair of pitchers with sub-2.20 ERAs could pose a challenge for the Marlins, who fell to 4-16 on the season with an 8-3 loss to the Cubs on Friday. Miami totaled six hits in the setback, with three of them coming in the ninth inning. Southpaw Jesus Luzardo (0-2, 7.65 ERA) will attempt to keep Chicago at bay in Game 1 of the Saturday doubleheader. Luzardo escaped with a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday despite surrendering five runs and seven hits in five innings. |
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04-19-24 | Brewers -125 v. Cardinals | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With former Brewers ace Corbin Burnes pitching for the Baltimore Orioles and Brandon Woodruff recovering from shoulder surgery, Freddy Peralta has emerged as Milwaukee's staff ace. Peralta (2-0, 2.55 ERA) has been up to the task while striking out 26 batters and walking two in 17 2/3 innings in three starts. He will face a Cardinals lineup that is failing to generate much offense. The Cardinals have scored three runs or fewer in five straight games and in 10 of their past 11. While Peralta has been on point for the Brewers, Kyle Gibson (1-2, 6.16 ERA) has struggled for the Cardinals since signing as a free agent. He has allowed five homers in 19 innings over his three starts. Gibson took the loss in his last start on Saturday. He allowed four runs on six hits -- including Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s three-run homer -- and three walks in six innings against the Diamondbacks. Gibson is 1-2 with a 5.44 ERA in eight career starts against the Brewers. |
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04-19-24 | A's +157 v. Guardians | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The surprising A's begin a three-game series and 10-game road trip when they face the Cleveland Guardians on Friday. Oakland begins the series on a hot streak after winning seven of its past 11 games, including a 6-3 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday. The Athletics will send rookie right-hander Joe Boyle (1-2, 5.68 ERA) to the mound in the series opener. He allowed one run on five hits and one walk over five innings in a 3-1 loss to the Washington Nationals last Saturday. Boyle, 24, went 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in three starts with the A's last season. He is making his first appearance against the Guardians. Cleveland will counter with right-hander Triston McKenzie (1-2, 6.23), who is looking to bounce back after giving up six runs (five earned) on four hits and six walks over four innings in an 8-2 loss to the New York Yankees last Saturday. The 26-year-old McKenzie has struck out five batters and issued 12 walks in his first three outings covering 13 innings. |
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04-19-24 | Bulls +2.5 v. Heat | 91-112 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Heat stole a win from the Bulls' clutches in last year's Play-In Tournament and robbed the Bulls of a chance at the playoffs. This season, the Bulls look like a motivated team heading back to South Beach. The potential loss of Butler for the Heat is far more significant than the potential loss of Caruso for the Bulls. While Caruso has been a solid distributor and reliable defender, Butler is the heart and soul of the Heat. Butler nearly carried the Heat to a title last year and his ability to isolate greatly enhanced the play of the Bulls role players. The Bulls will have to lean on Bam Adebayo if Butler is unable to go. He averaged 22 points per game in three games against the Bulls this season. The Bulls have two players that can drive their offense in DeRozan and White. DeRozan averaged 22 points per game vs. the Heat this season and will certainly benefit if Butler is unable to go and defend him. White averaged over 20 points per game vs. the Heat and will either be covered by a banged-up Terry Rozier, who missed the Sixers' game with a sore neck, or possibly Herro, a defensive liability. Chicago would be more exposed without Caruso against a team that plays at a high-level offensively but the Heat are not that team, certainly not without Butler. The Bulls will avenge last year's loss and move on to face the Celtics this weekend. |
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04-19-24 | Marlins v. Cubs -165 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Jameson Taillon will finally make his season debut today when the host Chicago Cubs open a four-game set with the Miami Marlins. After a strong season with the New York Yankees in 2022, Taillon took a step back with Chicago in 2023, going 8-10 with a 4.84 ERA. He went 4-6 with a 4.62 ERA at home, and only one of those wins came before the All-Star break. Activated from the 15-day injured list on Thursday, Taillon (back) is 2-0 with a glistening 0.54 ERA in three career starts against Miami. Left-hander A.J. Puk (0-3, 5.91 ERA) will try to slow down Busch and the Cubs when he makes his fourth start of the campaign today. Puk had never started a game prior to this season, and he hasn't had a smooth transition into his new role. In each of his first three outings this year, Puk has lasted no longer than 4 2/3 innings, a mark he reached on April 9 in a loss to the New York Yankees. Puk yielded two runs (one earned) on four hits and five walks against New York. Puk is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in four career relief appearances against Chicago. |
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04-18-24 | Diamondbacks +150 v. Giants | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I like the value of a bet on the Diamondbacks ML at roughly +150 odds. Webb hasn't been terrible, but he's put too many runners on base this season (17 in his last two starts combined). He isn't striking out a lot of batters, either (five or fewer Ks in all four starts). Arizona has plenty of offensive weapons and is averaging 5.7 runs per game. Given the Giants' struggles on offense, I don't expect Nelson to struggle much. San Francisco has scored three or fewer runs in eight of its last twelve games and is slashing .233/.307/.370/.677 vs. right-handed pitchers this season. Webb may be the bigger name, but I believe Nelson will hold his own. With early run support, he should last long enough to give his tired bullpen a rest. Besides, I'm not confident the Giants will have better luck against the D-Backs' pen. If anything, bettors should be wary of the home team's relief group (5.05 ERA). |
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04-18-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Wild -145 | 4-3 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Seattle will face Wild veteran goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury. The 39-year-old Fleury was set to become a free agent this offseason, with questions swirling around about his future in recent weeks. Fleury and the team put an end to those questions when the netminder signed a one-year, $2.5 million extension for the 2024-25 season on Wednesday. Fleury is 17-14-5 with a 2.98 goals-against average and a .895 save percentage in 39 games (35 starts) this season. He ranks second all-time with 561 career victories, and he is one of only four goaltenders to appear in at least 1,000 games. Fleury has faced the Kraken seven times in his career. He is 5-1-1 with a 1.98 GAA and a .935 save percentage in those contests. Seattle could turn to Joey Daccord (18-18-11, 2.45 GAA) or Philipp Grubauer (14-16-2, 2.85 GAA) in net. Daccord has faced Minnesota twice in his career. He is 0-2-0 with a 4.52 GAA and a .842 save percentage in those games. Grubauer has gone up against the Wild 17 times. He is 9-7-0 with a 2.95 GAA and a .894 save percentage. This is the third meeting between the teams this season. The Wild won the first two contests on the road -- a 3-0 win on Dec. 10 and a 5-2 victory on Feb. 24. |
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04-17-24 | Heat v. 76ers -4.5 | 104-105 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is truly a fascinating first-round matchup that pits two of the best coaches in the NBA against one another. Few coaches understand how to navigate the playoffs and exploit mismatches better than Heat head coach Eric Spoelstra. On the other side of the court, Sixers head coach Nick Nurse is acutely aware of how to carefully navigate through the playoffs with an injured superstar, as he proved with Kawhi Leonard when the pair won a title with Toronto several seasons ago. With the coaching matchup even, this game will likely come down to talent. In that regard, I'm giving the edge to the Sixers in this one. Embiid is a rather large x-factor for the Heat to try to work around. He has a decided-size advantage over Adebayo in the paint and has looked extremely healthy since returning. The two teams split the season series this year at 2-2 but Embiid missed three of those games. He will force the Heat to either allow him to go one-on-one with Bam or double him which will free up an array of shooters the Sixers have at their disposal. As good as Jimmy Butler is in the playoffs, the Sixers are uniquely suited to at least give him problems with a ton of athletic twos and threes to put on him. Nurse understands that Embiid likely has only so many bullets in the gun for these playoffs and will likely play all out here to avoid having to play a second play-in game. The Heat have been there and done that having played two play-in games last year. The Sixers won't have to worry about that. |
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04-17-24 | Yankees -102 v. Blue Jays | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto is scheduled to start struggling Kevin Gausman (0-2, 11.57 ERA) today against fellow right-hander and former Blue Jay Marcus Stroman (1-1, 2.12). Stroman is 0-0 with an 0.82 ERA in two career starts vs. Toronto. This will be the second time Stroman has pitched in Toronto since he was traded to the New York Mets during the 2019 season. He held the Blue Jays to one run over five innings with the Chicago Cubs on Aug. 30, 2022. Gausman is 10-8 with a 3.27 ERA in 32 career outings (26 starts) against the Yankees. He allowed six runs (five earned) over 1 1/3 innings in a 9-8 loss in New York on April 6. He followed that last Friday by permitting six runs on 10 hits over 3 2/3 frames to the Colorado Rockies in a 12-4 loss. |
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04-17-24 | Braves -134 v. Astros | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta has won seven of the last 10 and 10 of the first 15 to start the season. Houston has lost five of the last seven and dating back to last season have lost 15 in the last 20 at home. At the plate, Atlanta is first in team batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage, while third in runs scored. Houston is next to last in team ERA at 5.35 and 28th in batting average allowed (.265). Atlanta starting pitcher Max Fried is coming off a solid outing in which the left-hander gave up four hits and one run in 6 plus innings last Friday with Atlanta defeating Miami 8-1. Houston starting pitcher J.P. France is off to a slow start. Across three outings, the right-hander has allowed 14 runs in 15 plus innings while striking out 12 but walking seven. Houston has lost each of France’s three starts. As mentioned twice previously, Houston is playing without four starting pitchers from last season's starting rotation, due to injuries, which puts more pressure on both the starting rotation and bullpen. |
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04-17-24 | Royals -188 v. White Sox | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Royals are off to a great start this season and part of that success is due to the return to form of starting pitcher Singer. Singer has found his strikeout pitch again after struggling in 2023 with just 133 strikeouts. He is well ahead of that pace this year and looks like a top-two starter in the rotation. The Royals are hitting home runs at a fast pace already with 20 on the season and that doesn't bode well for White Sox starter Fedde. Fedde has already given up five home runs in just three starts this season. The White Sox, as a team, are hitting just .200 as team this season and have struck out 132 times as a team. |
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04-16-24 | Cardinals -139 v. A's | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oakland’s lineup is one of the worst in baseball. The current Athletics are only 10-for-43 with three home runs and four RBI against Lance Lynn. The A’s own an 85 wRC+ against the right-handed pitchers in April, so it’s hard to trust them in this matchup. I cannot take the A’s even though their bullpen has been terrific so far this month. The Cardinals have a 98 wRC+ against the southpaws in April and are 4-for-11 with a home run and two RBI versus JP Sears. Their bullpen has registered a strong 2.23 ERA and 2.63 FIP so far this month (40.1 innings pitched), so I’m backing the Cards to come out on top.  |
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04-16-24 | Lakers +105 v. Pelicans | 110-106 | Win | 105 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lakers are only getting 1.5 points on the spread, if you are going to back LeBron here, the money line is the play. This will be the brightest lights of the season, as everyone will tune in to see who will advance in this Play-In Tournament game, and looking at the stars, only LeBron and AD have proven they can play on the biggest stage. Zion is having a strong finish to the year, and is finally healthy, but his game is still relatively one-dimensional, designed on attacking the rim and scoring in the paint. The Lakers are huge inside, Anthony Davis is one of the best post defenders in the league, and LeBron always has the opportunity to switch onto him late if needed. LeBron is more perimeter oriented, but he is three inches taller than Zion and still an elite defender when he wants to be. The Lakers have gone big in recent lineups, starting Hachimura, and bringing the athletic big Jaxson Hayes off the bench. The Lakers won three of four matchups against the Pelicans this season, and they cannot afford trying to dodge Denver and putting themselves in a must win next game. The Lakers get their spot in the playoffs in this one. |
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04-16-24 | Senators v. Bruins -205 | 3-1 | Loss | -205 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams are going in different directions after this game as the Senators are heading to the golf course with another disappointing campaign. Boston is heading to the postseason and looking to make a run. The Bruins are a solid 24-10-6 on home ice this season while Ottawa entered Monday 15-22-2 as the visiting team this season. Ottawa has mustered just six goals in the last four meetings with the Bruins and with nothing to play for here, it will be interesting to see what kind of performance we get from the visitors. Boston is the better team and will want to stay focused with the postseason looming. Give the advantage to the Bruins on home ice in this contest. |
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04-16-24 | Giants -132 v. Marlins | 3-6 | Loss | -132 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Giants split their last four games. They are playing well offensively and scored 16 runs in their last three road games. Expect them to pay well offensively in this game because they have crushed left-handed pitching this season and Weathers has been shaky on the mound, giving up six runs in three starts. He gave up three runs in his lone home start, and with Miami having the third-worst bullpen in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Giants in this game. The Marlins have lost nine of their last 10 home games. They are playing well offensively and scored 13 runs in their last three home games. But, they will struggle offensively in this game because they haven’t hit the ball well against right-handers and Hicks has been brilliant on the mound this season, giving up three runs in three starts. He gave up one run in his lone start against the Marlins and will keep their offense in check. Go with San Francisco to cover the money line. |
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04-15-24 | Cardinals -171 v. A's | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sonny Gray's first start as a Cardinal was strong, and he'll return home as a pitcher that limits damage consistently. Behind him is a solid bullpen. Against an Athletics offense that is still among MLB's worst, expect St. Louis' pitching to keep Oakland in check. Meanwhile, the Cardinals will get hits off Ross Stripling, as his H/9 (13.0) is the reason that Oakland keeps losing his starts. St. Louis will get runs early and often. They should parlay that into a multi-run victory on the road. |
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04-15-24 | Royals -170 v. White Sox | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The White Sox will send right-hander Nick Nastrini to make his major league debut today. Nastrini, 24, was acquired from the Los Angeles Dodgers ahead of last year's trade deadline for right-handers Lance Lynn and Joe Kelly. Nastrini has made two starts at Triple-A Charlotte, going 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA. He made five appearances (three starts) in spring training this year, going 0-1 with a 3.77 ERA. The Royals will send right-hander Seth Lugo (2-0, 1.45 ERA), who will be making his fourth start of the season. In his most recent start last Wednesday night against the Houston Astros, Lugo earned his second win of the year, allowing two runs on seven hits in six innings, striking out two. Lugo, who is 1-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his career against Chicago, will be making his second career start (third appearance) against the White Sox. Lugo allowed one run on eight hits over 6 2/3 innings, striking out three and walking two against the White Sox on April 4 to earn his first win with Kansas City. |
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04-15-24 | Padres v. Brewers +111 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Milwaukee Brewers will look to bounce back behind resurrected right-hander Joe Ross when they host the San Diego Padres today in the opener of a short three-game homestand. Ross (1-0, 1.80 ERA), who missed most of the last two seasons after a second Tommy John surgery, makes his third start for Milwaukee. Right-hander Joe Musgrove (1-2, 6.87), who gave up one hit over eight innings the last time he faced the Brewers, gets the nod for the Padres. Musgrove was charged with four runs on five hits in four innings in his most recent start, a 5-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday. He allowed a leadoff homer in the fifth then left three batters later with the bases loaded. Reliever Stephen Kolek then surrendered a grand slam to the first batter he faced. Musgrove is 1-3 with a 4.04 ERA in eight career starts vs. Milwaukee. |
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04-15-24 | Bruins -150 v. Capitals | 0-2 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This one is a game that has meaning for both teams, even with Boston locked into a postseason berth. The Bruins are still battling with the Panthers for the top spot in the Atlantic Division standings as they hold a single point advantage over Florida with a game in hand. Meanwhile, Washington is fighting for a playoff spot and it’s going to be a brawl over these final few days. The Capitals are a gritty team but you have to wonder if that six-game losing skid may have been too much for them to overcome. Boston is a veteran team with plenty of experience in big games. Look for the Bruins to go on the road and lock down the Atlantic Division crown by prevailing in this contest. |
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04-14-24 | Pistons v. Spurs -4.5 | 95-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There are several game-time decisions on both squads with key players that could affect the outcome of this game. However, given that this is the last game of the season, don't be surprised if the vast majority of those players miss this game. Either way, the best player on the floor for both teams, Victor Wembanyama, is available for the Spurs and that will make all the difference. The odds-on favorite to win the Rookie of the Year award has been brilliant down the stretch on both ends of the floor. He's dominated the paint on defense and taken on more of a scoring role offensively. The Spurs come in with a lot of momentum after their upset win over the Nuggets on Friday night and I expect them to end on a high note here. |
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04-14-24 | Rockets -138 v. Clippers | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockets have won two of their last three games and nine of their last 11 road games. They are playing well offensively and scored more than 118 points per game in their last three games. They’ve also done a good job at the charity stripe, making over 83 percent of their free throws. They rebound the ball well and grab more than 12 offensive rebounds per game on the road, which will lead to extra-scoring chances. They also cut down their turnovers in recent games and won’t give the Clippers a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Clippers have struggled defensively, giving up more than 112 points per game at home, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Rockets in this game. The Clippers have won four of their last six games, but they dropped their last two home games. They’re not playing well offensively and scored less than 110 points per game in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Rockets and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Rockets, who average more than seven steals per game. Even though the Rockets have struggled defensively, they played better in their last three games and they will be facing Los Angeles’ reserves in this game, so expect them to keep the Clippers’ offense in check. Go with Houston to cover the spread. |
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04-14-24 | Reds -156 v. White Sox | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago isn't going anywhere, but Cincinnati could be on the verge of a breakout season. The Reds have power, potential, and pitching — the White Sox have none of those things. The visitors will jump on Soroka early, giving Ashcraft the run support necessary to turn in a quality start. The Reds' SP hasn't been lights out, but he has fanned 11 batters in 11.1 IP and held the Phillies to two earned runs in his season debut. After facing Philadelphia and Milwaukee, he should find it much easier to work through the Sox lineup. |
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04-14-24 | Braves -143 v. Marlins | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units This Marlins squad has been miserable at home. Not only are they winless, but all but one of those defeats came by multiple runs. Matching up a struggling Jesus Luzardo, who has started three losses, against an Atlanta offense that's arguably MLB's best, is a nightmare matchup. Charlie Morton's lone road start of 2024 was what every team wants, scoreless. The Braves' bullpen has had issues, but Miami's offense is among MLB's weakest. This is another game where they can succeed. |
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04-14-24 | Brewers +179 v. Orioles | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Brewers have been road warriors this season. They have won three straight road games and six of their last seven overall. They are playing well offensively and scored 27 runs in their last three road games. Expect them to play well offensively in this game because they feasted on right-handed pitching this season and they’re batting over .290 against righties. Even though Corbin has pitched well this season, he hasn't been as sharp at home, and with Baltimore’s bullpen struggling in recent games, they will have a hard time slowing down the Brewers in this game. The Orioles have lost two of their last three home games. They are struggling offensively, scoring only six runs in their last three home games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because Rea has done a good job on the mound for the Brewers, giving up three runs in two starts. He didn’t give up a run in his lone start against the Orioles last season and will keep their offense in check. Go with Milwaukee to cover the money line. |
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04-14-24 | Bucks v. Magic -4.5 | 88-113 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucks feel confident in securing the two seed in the Eastern Conference race and with that, they could sit out a few players. Giannis has already been ruled out and that alone could be enough to take them out of a rhythm on both ends. For Orlando, they expect to have a near full complement of players and it'll be great for them to grab a win and finish the season strong. With a win against the Bucks already under their belts, they'll be confident in being able to replicate that in this one. Orlando has covered the spread in two of three meetings this season between these two, as they make it a third time in this one. |
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04-14-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Blues -123 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blues (42-33-5, 89 points) hope to use this season's strong finish as a springboard to better things in 2024-25. They have gone 10-4-2 in their past 16 games despite falling 5-2 to the Carolina Hurricanes on Friday. Today marks the third and final meeting between the teams this season. The Blues are 2-0 against the Kraken. |
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04-13-24 | Cardinals -104 v. Diamondbacks | 2-4 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona starter Ryne Nelson has an 8.33 ERA. The Diamondbacks have lost five of the last seven, five of the last six at home versus St Louis and Arizona is 2-4 in its last six against an opponent from the National League. St Louis is 14-6 in the last 20 versus Arizona and 5-1 in the last six on the road against the Diamondbacks. St. Louis is a solid 3.99 in team ERA. Arizona is allowing opponents to hit .246 and before winning two straight had lost five straight, allowing five runs or more in each of the five losses. Arizona is 25th in errors per game, committing an average of 0.85. |
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04-13-24 | Bruins -123 v. Penguins | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins have won five of their last seven games and three straight road games. They are playing well offensively and scored 10 goals in their last three road games. They have also played well on special teams, converting over 22 percent of their power play opportunities. The Penguins are great at killing penalties, but their defense is a liability, with the team giving up 11 goals in their last three home games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Bruins in this game. The Penguins have won five of their last six games. They are paying well offensively, scoring 14 goals in their last three home games. They haven’t been as good on special teams, converting less than 15 percent of their power play opportunities. The Bruins have killed over 82 percent of their penalties and they’re playing well defensively, giving up only three goals in their last three road games, so expect them to keep Pittsburgh’s offense in check. Go with Boston to cover the money line. |
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04-13-24 | Giants v. Rays -105 | 11-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tampa Bay is 4-1 in the last five games, while San Francisco is 3-7 in the last 10 games, and 2-4 in the last six in the six versus Tampa Bay. San Francisco has lost nine of the last 12 in April. Tampa Bay starter Ryan Pepiot was hit hard in his first outing, but bounced back strong last time out when holding Colorado, at Coors Field, to three hits and no runs in six innings. Logan Webb has allowed nine runs in 19 ⅔ innings for an ERA of nearly 5.00. San Francisco’s team ERA is 27th at 5.06 and is allowing teams to average .262 at the plate. Tampa Bay’s Isaac Paredes is off to a strong start with four home runs and 10 RBIs. |
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04-13-24 | Pirates v. Phillies -142 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia has fared much better against left-handed pitchers (.277 BA/.358 OBP/.361 SLG/.719 OPS) than right-handers this season (.208/.283/.350/.633), and while Gonzales has pitched well in his first two outings, his track record isn't reliable. He has been home run-prone during his career, allowing 29 long balls in 2021 and 30 in 2022. The home team's powerful lineup will inflict damage on the lefty hurler's ERA early in tomorrow's game, building a lead for Turnbull. Philly's pen has performed poorly this season, but with a comfortable lead, Turnbull should last long enough to take pressure off of it. |
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04-12-24 | Reds -161 v. White Sox | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cincinnati is not off to the best start but it's playing one of the weakest teams in baseball, as the White Sox have been decimated by injuries. Chicago is without Eloy Jimenez, Yoan Moncada, Luis Robert and Max Stassi, who all contribute considerably at the plate. The loss of several players for Chicago has resulted in the White Sox being 25th in slugging percentage, 26th in team batting average and 29th in runs scored, averaging 2.42 runs per game. Chicago has lost 12 of its last 14. Cincinnati starting pitcher Andrew Abboitt has had two solid outings allowing 10 hits and five runs in 10 â…“ innings. In contrast, Chicago starting pitcher Chris Flexen has allowed seven earned runs in 10 â…” innings resulting in losses to Atlanta and Kansas City. Flexen has a 5.91 ERA. |
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04-12-24 | Nets v. Knicks -10 | 107-111 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units With the two-seed still within arm's reach, New York will play spirited basketball in front of its home crowd on Friday. The Knickerbockers are getting right just in time for the NBA playoffs, as the return of OG Anunoby has cemented their status as an elite Eastern Conference team. In the last matchup with the Nets, NY's defense was the story. Brooklyn scored just 93 points, as it shot 12-for-35 from three-point range and was outscored 48-35 in the paint. The Nets also committed 15 turnovers and gave up 18 fast break points. Bettors can expect more of the same on Friday at MSG, as New York's interior defense is tough (6th in opponent rim FG%) and Brooklyn struggles from the mid-range (27th in mid-range FG%), which puts too much pressure on it to hit three-pointers. The Knicks will win the battle for NYC, securing a double-digit victory tonight at The Mecca! |
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04-12-24 | Royals +111 v. Mets | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Royals have won seven straight games. They’ve been on a roll offensively and scored 28 runs in their last three games. Expect them to play well offensively in this game because they’ve hit the ball well against right-handers this season and Severino struggled in his first home start, giving up six runs in the loss to Milwaukee. Even though he is 3-1 against the Royals, he didn’t pitch well in recent starts against them, giving up 13 runs in his last three starts against Kansas City, so expect him to have a hard time slowing them down in this game. The Mets have won five of their last seven games. They have also played well offensively, scoring 29 runs in their last three games. But, they will struggle offensively in this game because they’re batting under .200 against right-handers and Wacha has looked good on the mound for the Royals, giving up only three runs in two starts. He is 5-3 against the Mets and gave up 10 runs in his last four starts against them. With Kansas City’s bullpen playing well at the moment, they won’t have a hard time keeping New York’s offense in check. Go with Kansas City to cover the money line. |
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04-12-24 | Brewers +106 v. Orioles | 11-1 | Win | 106 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a tough scheduling spot for the Orioles, as they were on the road and playing well into the night against Boston before having to travel home to take on the well rested Brewer team. On top of that, Milwaukee has the best power hitter, and the better pitcher in the matchup. Christian Yelich has more home runs that the top two Orioles combined, he has been excellent lately and is fueling this Milwaukee attack. This will be bad news for Tyler Wells, as he lost both of his starts this season, allowing at least three runs and a home run in each of his two starts. Peralta has been much better for the Brewers, and has struck out 15 while only walking two, with the Brewers winning each of his two starts. The Brewers will steal the first game here on the road. |
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