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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-11-21 | Bruins v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins score just 2.8 goals per game on the road while the Flames score just 2.7 goals per game at home, but these are two of the best defenses in the league. The Flames allow just 2.15 goals per game, good for 1st in the league, while the Bruins allow just 2.57 goals per game, good for 6th best. Linus Ullmark hasn’t allowed more than 2 goals in any of his last 4 starts and Jeremy Swayman has been even better for the Bruins. Jacob Markstrom hasn’t allowed more than 3 goals in his last 12 starts. Both teams are top 10 in penalty kill %, if we can avoid a 3-2 empty netter, this should finish under. |
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12-11-21 | Idaho v. CS Bakersfield -11.5 | 58-59 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units  Idaho is getting a lot of love in the market after their recent win over South Dakota State, but I think that is giving us a lot of value going the other way. My model agrees, making this a 15.5 point expected win for Bakersfield. Bakersfield has not played in a while, but their last game was a win over Boise State, they won 46-39 when made 15.5 point underdogs! We've seen how solid Boise is, therefore I think the Roadrunners should be able to handle Idaho by 12. Idaho lost to a similarly ranked Utah Valley squad by 38 earlier this year, so I think theres a good chance at a beat down. |
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12-11-21 | Flyers v. Coyotes UNDER 6 | 5-3 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Flyers played last night and won, so they are expected to start Martin Jones in net today while the Coyotes played yesterday as well, so they are expected to start Karel Vejmelka today. The Flyers average just 1.8 goals per game on the road, so don’t let their 4 goal outburst against a backup goalie last night fool you. The Coyotes average just 2.3 goals per game this season at home and they haven’t scored more than 2 goals in their last 6 games. These are your 27th and 32nd ranked teams in terms of goals scored, take the under. |
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12-11-21 | Warriors -2.5 v. 76ers | 93-102 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units  The Warriors have played the majority of their schedule at home, which has helped them to a 21-4 start. They haven’t exactly struggled on the road, though, posting a 7-2 record there, including 6-3 ATS. The Sixers are a disappointing 5-6 at home, including 1-4 ATS as a home underdog. Despite the matchup problem that Joel Embiid presents, I still like the Warriors to win this in deciding fashion. |
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12-11-21 | VCU -4.5 v. Old Dominion | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units  The Rams have been playing well recently. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. They are also 4-0 ATS away from home. The Monarchs are still without one of their best players, Charles Smith, who is out with mononucleosis. It hasn’t hurt them yet but now they have to face one of the best defenses in the country. According to Kenpom, the Rams are the third ranked defense in the country. They are going to prevent the Monarchs from doing anything offensive and easily cover this spread. Lay the points. |
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12-11-21 | Cal-Irvine +3 v. Fresno State | 55-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both of these teams have done well against the spread this year. However, I have the wrong team favored in this one- my model is making UC Irvine a favorite by a full point. I think it'll be a nail biter of a game but it's always good to take the points in those scenarios, especially when you're getting what appears to be the more complete side. I'd play this all the way down to +1.5 here if it happens to fall, but grab the points while you can. |
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12-11-21 | Drexel v. Abilene Christian -4.5 | 56-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units My projections are showing a good chance that Abilene Christian can run away with this game over Drexel, so the line is definitely a bit small. The official number I'm getting is an 8.5 point victory for the Wildcats. They've covered all but their first game of the season against Utah and should be able to keep it rolling today. Drexel has looked solid but I'll fade them on the road in Texas, lay it with Abilene. |
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12-11-21 | Arizona v. Illinois | 83-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Wildcats look unbeatable right now. They are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS this season. Kenpom ranks them as the 18th best offense and the 7th best defense. All of the Illini's production has come from Kofi Cockburn. They are missing two rotation guards. The Wildcats will be able to slow down Cockburn and the Illini will have no answer. This line is way off. Take the undefeated Wildcats to win this game. |
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12-11-21 | Navy +7.5 v. Army | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 54 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Midshipmen have gone 18-5 ATS as dogs when coming off one SUATS win-exact, including 4-0 ATS in military matters, as well as 7-1 ATS with a losing record. Army counters with a lackluster 2-5 ATS effort in this series of late, and has gone a weak 1-4 ATS as chalk in 2021. The Mids are also not lacking in incentive: with Army playing with an Armed Forces Bowl bid in their back pocket, and knowing the CIC Trophy stays with them regardless, the Swabbies have only one thought in mind: Beat Army, Period. Finally, consider that playing on any sub .666 college football Military team as a dog if they are coming off a win and are facing a fellow Military team is 10-1 ATS since 1995. |
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12-11-21 | Canisius v. Youngstown State -6.5 | 43-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I missed picking on Youngstown State last time but I think they bounce back nicely here today, they've still covered two of their last three contests. My model is making this a 9 point win for Youngstown and I'll gladly take three points of value on a home team. Canisius has not covered in any of their last five games and the Penguins should take care of business. Lay the points. |
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12-10-21 | Jets v. Canucks UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Canucks unders are now 11-1 at home and as Ive said, we will ride that trend until it stops. All three of the Canucks home games this homestand have hit this under and the Jets played last night so they should be a little weary. The Canucks have played very good defense in front of Thatcher Demko since hiring Bruce Boudreau and I think that will continue tonight against a poor road team. The Jets score just 2.3 goals per game on the road while the Canucks score 2.2 goals per game at home. Eric Comrie should get the start for the Jets, but he has been solid so far this season. It looks like this line will rise to 6 but I actually want to get this play in at +115 at 5.5 instead of adding a push scenario at -125 at 6 because I feel like there is more value at plus money. If it goes over, I think there will be more than 6 goals scored. |
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12-10-21 | Red Wings v. Avalanche -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Aves got all their key players back from injury last game but Nazem Kadri did leave the game early and is listed as day-to-day. Cale Makar and Nathan MacKinnon are both healthy tho. The Aves are 7-2-1 at home this season and 7-3 ATS at home. They average 4.7 goals per game at home and they face the Red Wings on the back end of a back-to-back. The Wings are 4-8-1 on the road and 4-9 ATS, I like the Aves at home on the puck line against a weary Detroit team most likely starting their backup goalie. |
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12-10-21 | Bucks v. Rockets +9 | 123-114 | Push | 0 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units  I wonder if this is the first time in NBA history that a team on at least a seven-game winning streak is a home dog of at least nine points. I'd be surprised if it has happened before. I fully expect Milwaukee to win, but I have to take this number on Houston considering how well and hard the Rockets are playing. They are 4-0 ATS in their past four as home dogs. |
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12-10-21 | Cavs -1 v. Wolves | 123-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Timberwolves have said that D’Angelo Russell (ankle) probably won’t play in this game, which would mark his third straight absence. Losing one of their top scorers for a matchup with a team that has the third-best defensive rating in the league could have them facing an uphill battle. They will need more scoring from Karl-Anthony Towns, but he’ll likely spend of most of the game being defended by the stout duo of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. I like the Cavaliers chances here. |
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12-10-21 | DePaul +7.5 v. Louisville | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blue Demons look really good. They are 7-1 ATS and their offense is on fire. They are averaging 85.3 PPG on 49.2 percent from the field. The Cardinals haven’t been good at home. They are just 1-3 ATS at home. I am low on Louisville this year, especially against good opponents. The Cardinals only defensive struggle is that they let up too many points in the paint. DePaul does a great job of getting points at the basket. The Blue Demons will keep this game close enough to cover. Take the points. |
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12-10-21 | Penguins v. Capitals -142 | 4-2 | Loss | -142 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Caps won the first meeting between these teams 6-1 and it wasn’t even close. That was Sidney Crosby and company's first game back but now the Caps are the ones getting healthy. They lost a couple players to the COVID list in Garnet Hathaway and Trevor Van Riemsdyk, but they add a couple as well from injury in Connor Sheary and TJ Oshie. The Caps are 9-1-4 at home this season and they are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. The Penguins have been much better playing to a 7-2-1 record in their last 10 games as well, but the Caps score the fourth most goals in the league while allowing the 3rd fewest, both better than the Penguins. Take the Caps at home. |
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12-10-21 | Army v. NJIT -150 | 66-49 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units  The various models have the New Jersey Institute of Technology winning by about three points, so just in case I'll do the moneyline here. Not a great schedule today so may be the only pick -- there's actually one game that pits Yellowstone Christian (didn't know existed) against Montana. That's going to divide the Dutton family for sure! It's akin to Auburn-Alabama on the Yellowstone ranch. Great show. I digress. NJIT has won three straight games. Miles Coleman and Dylan O’Hearn are among the America East’s Top 10 scoring leaders with O’Hearn (19.9 ppg) first and Coleman (14.9 ppg) seventh. O'Hearn comes off a school Division I record 42-point game against Lafayette. NJIT also is good defensively, leading the America East in field-goal defense at 38.0 percent. Army is 0-3 on the road and has covered only one of its past six vs. teams with a winning record. |
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12-09-21 | Wild -139 v. Sharks | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wild have now won 7 straight games and they have allowed more than 2 goals just one time during that stretch. The Wild are the third highest scoring team in the league while the Sharks are ranked 24th, so the Sharks should have a tough time keeping up with them. Adin Hill played well in his last game but he has been very hit or miss all season. The Sharks are just 6-4-1 at home while the Wild are 8-4-1 on the road this season so the Sharks shouldn’t have a noticeable advantage. I like the Wild to extend their winning streak to 8 games. |
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12-09-21 | Grand Canyon v. Arizona State -3.5 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units At 3-6, Arizona State’s expectations are long gone for a salvageable season. On Thursday, the Sun Devils face a motivated Grand Canyon team that has two Arizona State transfers in Taeshon Cherry and Holland Woods. Look for ASU’s strength of schedule to pay dividends Thursday.. The Devils have faced heavyweight matchups in tournaments and have already played two Pac-12 games. Take ASU on the small line. |
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12-09-21 | Iowa v. Iowa State +5.5 | 53-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Iowa State was putrid last season but under first-year head coach T.J. Otzelberger, ISU brought in seven transfers and is one of a handful of unbeatens left in the nation. The Cyclones rank Top 15 nationally in turnover margin and steals per game. ISU is No. 21 in the NCAA's NET rankings and has three Quad 1-2 wins, one of eight teams with that many nationally. Iowa, meanwhile, has dropped two straight. Are the Hawkeyes the better team? Probably, but I'm absolutely taking this many points on a home team in a rivalry game. |
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12-09-21 | Merrimack +32.5 v. Gonzaga | 55-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Gonzaga has not looked great in its past three games, losing two and beating Tarleton by just nine. Will the Zags lose here? Obviously not, but Merrimack is a solid NEC team with all five starters back from last season. Thus, this veteran bunch shouldn't be intimidated and can hang within 25-30. The Warriors also will play VERY slow to keep the possessions to a minimum. The Zags may be looking ahead a bit to spanking in-state Big Brother Washington on Sunday. |
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12-09-21 | Monmouth v. St. John's -8 | 83-88 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units St. John’s will be in for a test Thursday against Monmouth. The Hawks are 7-1 overall and their only loss was by two points against Charlotte. Moreover, they start five seniors including former Big East Seton Hall guard Shavar Reynolds. Yet, St. John’s has a knack of speeding up teams. That does not bode well for Monmouth. Take the Red Storm. |
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12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings -3 | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 34 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Tomlin is 0-5 ATS in his NFL career after upsetting a division rival when facing a non-division foe coming off a SUATS loss. Worse, a loss by Mike Zimmer, and his tenure with Minnesota could be over by season’s end. It’s what happens to coaches who have delivered 2 playoff wins in 8 seasons. Tonight, he’ll look to rely on his 25-7-1 ATS career record in non-division tilts when coming off a loss, including 11-1 ATS versus AFC opponents. And for what it’s worth, Minnesota is also 4-0-1 ATS on Thursdays against non-division opposition coming off a win. Consider that teams who lose to a winless opponent during the second-half of the season are 5-1-1 ATS since 1980 at home in non-division contests the following game. |
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12-09-21 | Lakers -168 v. Grizzlies | 95-108 | Loss | -168 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I had no intention of playing this game, but Memphis just ruled out second-leading scorer Dillon Brooks due to protocols. That's on top of Ja Morant, Brandon Clarke, Ziaire Williams and perhaps Kyle Anderson (missed past four and is questionable) out. There's no way the Lakers should lose even on the road, but I'm not interested in giving four points, either. |
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12-09-21 | Predators v. Islanders -105 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units  I believe the Islanders will take off now that they finally got the monkey off their backs in ending an 11-game losing streak Tuesday. Too much talent on this team. Just needed to get healthy. Now the Isles have to get the home monkey off their backs: Yet to win at the new UBS Arena. Nashville played without No. 1 goaltender Juuse Saros in Tuesday's 5-2 win at Detroit due to an illness and there's a good chance he sits out again. The Preds are 2-5 in their last seven after scoring at least five goals in their previous game. |
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12-09-21 | Jazz -3 v. 76ers | 118-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both of these teams just played Wednesday, so rest days could be coming. The Jazz didn’t have to push their starters in a lopsided win over the Timberwolves, but the Sixers were forced to battle to the final minute against the Hornets. I think Mike Conley Jr. is the most notable potential rest candidate on the Jazz. On the Sixers, this could be a spot for them to sit Joel Embiid. He’s been healthy for two back-to-back sets this season and in one of them, he missed a game for rest. This line could move a lot if he’s ruled out, so I’ll grab it now and take a chance. |
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12-09-21 | Ducks v. Blue Jackets -103 | 2-1 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blue Jackets are a completely different team at home vs. on the road. They are 4-8-0 on the road this season but 9-3-0 at home. They average over a goal per game more at home as well, scoring 3.8 goals per game at home. The Ducks are just 5-4-3 on the road and John Gibson has lost 6 of his last 7 starts. Patrick Laine will be out for the Blue Jackets as he is tending to a family matter, but I still like the value on the Blue Jackets at home as a pick em. |
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12-09-21 | Blackhawks -130 v. Canadiens | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This might be the only time I back Chicago on the road this season, but the Canadiens' injured/COVID list is ridiculous right now. The Hawks, meanwhile, are getting a few injured defensemen back. I also expect a stellar night from Marc-Andre Fleury in net. He's from the Montreal area and has a chance to get his 500th career win near his hometown. You know it's important to him. Fleury would be only the third netminder to reach 500. Chicago has won its past four vs. teams with a losing record. |
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12-09-21 | Purdue -12 v. Rutgers | 68-70 | Loss | -117 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Boilermakers are the number one team in the country and for good reason. They are 8-0 straight up and have the best offense in the country. The Scarlett Knights have been terrible this season. They are 1-7 ATS and struggling on both ends of the court. Rutgers’ Geo Baker is unlikely to play again in this one. The Scarlett Knights are coming off of a 35 point loss to Illinois. The Boilermakers are going to dominate the Scarlett Knights and cover this spread easily. Lay the points. |
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12-08-21 | Stars v. Golden Knights -135 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dallas carries a seven-game winning streak into this one, but six of those wins were at home and the lone road victory at awful Arizona, so color me skeptical. The Stars are 4-5-1 on the road and 6-13 dating to last season in their past 19 as road dogs. Vegas is finally healthy for the most part after major injury and COVID issues and has won two straight. Las Vegas is one of the toughest places to play for opponents and the Knights are 8-5-0 there. Vegas won in Dallas early this season and that was with backup Laurent Brossoit in net. Should be Robin Lehner on Wednesday. |
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12-08-21 | Idaho State v. California -12 | 46-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm always pleased when the model decides to pick against an 0-7 ATS team. Idaho State has just looked terrible this year and I have them losing by 14.5. It would not be the least bit shocking to see this get to twenty points. I'd take almost any spread against them right now but it definitely helps that California is 6-2 ATS. The Bears can play cohesive basketball, which is all it takes to cover against the Bengals. Lay it. |
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12-08-21 | Michigan State v. Minnesota +7 | 75-67 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spartans rarely play well at Minnesota -- must be that silly raised floor. Last year, they lost by 25 in Minneapolis. This is only MSU's second true road game of the season and in their first one they faced a very short-handed Butler team. I do believe the unbeaten Gophers are playing over their heads right now, but first-year coach Ben Johnson did a great job rebuilding on the fly by landing some great transfers -- Minnesota's top four scorers are are all transfers. This should be a defensive slugfest and I'd be more surprised if MSU covers than I would if the Gophers win outright. |
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12-08-21 | Arkansas State v. Arkansas-Pine Bluff +13 | 84-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is simply one of those games where there's no doubt the visiting team will win but the home team is getting too many points by a handful. Arkansas State dating to last season is 3-9 ATS in its past 12 games vs. a team with a losing record. UAPB is just 1-9 SU but has played a brutal schedule with every game but one on the road. Last season Pine Bluff upset the Red Wolves in Jonesboro. |
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12-08-21 | Bulls v. Cavs -135 | 92-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago has won four games in a row but is without DeMar DeRozan, Alex Caruso and Javonte Green again tonight due to injury/COVID. They were able to beat the short-handed Nuggets without them Monday in Chicago but don't think they can win in Cleveland, which is healthy. Let's avoid a potential backdoor cover by using the moneyline. |
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12-08-21 | Connecticut +2.5 v. West Virginia | 53-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units nteresting to see UConn as the underdog in this matchup, my model has that as the wrong team favored... So I'll jump now with my projected number sitting closer to -1.5 for the Huskies. West Virginia has a tall task, and I would expect that if Connecticut doesn't win they will probably keep with within a bucket. |
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12-08-21 | Central Michigan v. Youngstown State -10.5 | 77-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units For this matchup in Youngstown between the Penguins and the Central Michigan Chippewas my model has the 11 point spread as a bit too low. I'm projecting a 14 point win for Youngstown at home. CMU has looked terrible, going 2-6 ATS so far this season and Youngstown is coming off a good win against Green Bay which could indicate they're a bit underrated still. This is a solid team with a great mascot, go Penguins! |
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12-08-21 | Tennessee Tech v. Western Carolina +1.5 | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Western Carolina has won the past two in this series, including a 3-point buzzer-beater last season. The SportsLine Projection Model has WCU winning by 11. Various other ones don't have it nearly by that much but all by a minimum of three points. The Catamounts are among the national leaders with 112 made three-pointers. They have won every game they have led at the half this year and lost the ones they haven't led. Teams generally get off to good starts at home. Tennessee Tech has lost three straight and is 0-4 in true road games. |
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12-07-21 | Flames -125 v. Sharks | 3-5 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units  Jacob Markstrom has won five of his last seven starts and he has been better on the road, with a 1.71 GAA.. The Flames are better on the road at 11-3-2 and they are coming off a loss, so they should be motivated. The Sharks are just 5-4-1 at home and they should have a tough time scoring against the Flames. Take the Flames on the road Tuesday. |
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12-07-21 | Celtics +2.5 v. Lakers | 102-117 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units  Everything points to the Celtics covering this line. First, they are 9-5 ATS on the road. Second, the Lakers are 4-11 ATS at home, including 3-9 ATS as home favorites. They only have four wins this season against teams with a winning record. The last time these teams met, LeBron James, Anthony Davis and Russell Westbrook all played, but the Celtics still won by 22 points in Boston. Jaylen Brown sat that game out for the Celtics and he’s questionable for the rematch, but regardless of his status I’ll take the points. |
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12-07-21 | Boise State v. CS-Northridge UNDER 125.5 | 74-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both of these teams struggle offensively and play with no urgency. The Broncos average 64.1 points per game and the Matadors are scoring 59.1 as both rank in the bottom 50 in the nation. The Broncos have gone Over the total in only two of their eight games, while the Matadors have done so just once in six contests. This game will be played at a very slow pace and stay Under this low total. |
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12-07-21 | Wild v. Oilers -118 | 4-1 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota is an excellent team, but getting Edmonton at this number at home, where the Oilers are 9-2, is something we have to take. Both the Oilers and Wild are undefeated when leading after both the first and second periods this season. Minnesota is the third-most penalized team (254 penalty minutes) in the NHL. The Oilers come off a 5-1 home loss to the Kings but are 7-0 in their past seven when scoring two goals or fewer in their previous game. |
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12-07-21 | Panthers v. Blues +140 | 3-4 | Win | 140 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers have now won 7 of their last 9 games, however all 7 of those wins were at home. They are just 3-3-3 on the road this season while the Blues are 7-3-1 at home. These two teams just faced off in Florida and the Panthers won a close 1-goal game, so I think the Blues are able to make the adjustments to get the win at home tonight. I also think there is a massive overreaction to Ville Husso starting with Jordan Binnington out, but Husso was actually playing better before Binnington entered COVID protocol. Sergei Bobrovsky hasn’t been at his best lately so get on this play now because if Spencer Knight gets the start, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he does, the line will go up. |
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12-07-21 | Hurricanes v. Jets -106 | 4-2 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units  The Hurricanes have a bit of a goalie problem right now. Frederik Anderson has allowed four goals in three of his last four games, so Antti Raanta got the last two starts. The Canes have also lost five of their last seven. The Jets have won three of their last four. They are getting plenty of shots on goal and scoring lots of goals. They’ve scored 18 goals the past 4 games despite getting shut out once.. The Jets are 9-3-1 at home and both teams will be peppering the goalies with shots, so I like the home team with the better goalies |
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12-07-21 | UTEP +19 v. Kansas | 52-78 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jayhawks are not where they want to be yet and are just 2-4 ATS in their last six games. Their defense has been struggling recently, allowing an average of 77.3 points over the last three contests. The Miners have been overperforming this season. Their defense has looked elite, as they are allowing just 61.1 points per game. This spread is too high, considering how Kansas is playing right now. Take the points with the Miners. |
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12-07-21 | Ducks -115 v. Sabres | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It's the second of a back-to-back for Anaheim, but I still prefer the Ducks' backup goaltender Anthony Stolarz, to Buffalo's Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, who was just called up from the AHL because the team is so thin at the position right now due to injury. Luukkonen was 1-3-0 with a 3.88 GAA in the NHL last year as a rookie and a mediocre 6-6 with a 3.42 GAA this year in the AHL. The Sabres have given up 20 goals over the last three games, their most in a three-game stretch since yielding a franchise-record 21 goals in February 1993. |
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12-07-21 | Predators v. Red Wings +113 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Wings are red hot right now having won 5 straight games, and they are 9-2-2 at home. The Predators haven’t won back-to-back games in about a month and they are just 5-5-1 on the road. Alex Nedeljkovic has been very good for the Wings only allowing more than 3 goals twice this season. He has also won 4 straight starts and allowed 2 goals or fewer in 5 of the last 6 games. Juuse Saros has been good too but he is much worse on the road with a 3.26 GAA. Take the Red wings at home. |
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12-07-21 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | 4-5 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blue Jackets score just 2.5 goals per game on the road, and they didn’t score more than three in any of the four games in their last road trip. The Maple Leafs are dominant at home where they are 9-5 to the Under, but they only allow two goals per game at home. This was 5.5 earlier but it has popped up to 6 so I will take it while its at 6. I think the Blue Jackets score 2 goals max, so we just have to hope the Maple Leafs sc, so let's take the Under at this number. |
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12-07-21 | Massachusetts v. Northeastern | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Northeastern is 3-0 in true home games this season, while UMass has played just one true road game and lost in blowout fashion at Yale. UMass has rallied back from down double digits to win in four games this season but that it was down double digits is obviously concerning. The Minutemen are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games. Since the 2014-15 season, the Huskies are 22-4 in non-conference home games. Led by transfer Chris Doherty, Northeastern has outrebounded its opponent in six of its nine games this season, including four of the last five. The Huskies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. |
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12-07-21 | Bradley v. Toledo -4.5 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toledo might be the MAC's best team and its only two losses were at good teams Oakland and Michigan State. Sophomore Ryan Rollins leads Toledo and ranks 26th nationally with a MAC-best 20.1 ppg. The Rockets are outrebounding their opposition by 7.9 rpg this season, which ranks ranks 33rd in the nation. Bradley has won three in a row but all were home and against pretty mediocre-to-bad competition. The Braves are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs. I probably wouldn't go any higher than this spread. |
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12-07-21 | Old Dominion -7 v. William & Mary | 74-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a fade on the Tribe, who are 0-8 SU and ATS in their eight games against Division I teams. Kenpom ranks William & Mary as the 321st team in the country. The Monarchs are expected to be getting back two of their best players, Charles Smith and Jason Wade, from injury. They have been playing really well even without the duo. Old Dominion is the much better team in this matchup. With the addition of Smith and Wade, the Monarchs easily should cover this spread. |
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12-06-21 | Clippers -3 v. Blazers | 102-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blazers are in trouble. The good news is that C.J. McCollum (ribs) is listed as probable. The bad news is that Damian Lillard (abdomen) and Anfernee Simons (ankle) will be out again, while Nassir Little (ankle) is listed as questionable. With those three out the last two games, the Blazers lost both contests by at least 28 points. Another blowout could be coming. |
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12-06-21 | Penguins v. Seattle Kraken -104 | 6-1 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With news that Casey Desmith is expected to start for the Penguins, I will happily take the Kraken at home. Casey Desmith is 0-4-1 with a 4.32 GAA this season. The Kraken are 6-6-0 at home this season and they have sneakily won 3 of their last 4 games and 5 of their last 7. Phillip Grubauer has been much better lately after a tough start to the season. He has won 3 of his last 5 starts and he hasn’t allowed more than 3 goals in a start in his last 8 games. Take the value on the Kraken at home. |
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12-06-21 | Kings v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | 0-4 | Win | 110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Canucks are 9-1 to the under at home this season and the Kings are 6-2 to the under on the road. The Kings played last night so they should be a little weary. Last night's game was also 2-1 until the very end of the third period so the 5-1 final score is deceiving. Cal Peterson is the Kings backup and he is expected to start tonight, but he has only allowed more than 3 goals twice this season. Thatcher Demko has been much better for the Canucks as of late, but the Canucks just fired their leadership so I would expect the Canucks to be more focused tonight with everyone now playing for their job security. I think one of these teams gets shut down, I like the under. |
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12-06-21 | Patriots +3 v. Bills | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Suddenly, the Patriots’ 2-4 start to the season seems like a distant memory as they ride a 6-game win streak entering tonight’s contest. New England is 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS when on a six-game-exact win skein since 2007. NFL teams on a 6-0 SUATS-exact win skein are 6-1 SUATS in division games when coming off an ATS win of 14 or more points. That’ a lot for Sean McDermott to digest given the fact that Buffalo is 3-31 SU and 12-21-1-1 ATS against the Pats since 2001, including 2-16 SU and 5-13 ATS home. After its 4-1 SUATS start, Buffalo enters tonight’s game just 3-3 SUATS in its past six contests. With Belichick riding a 9-1 ATS mark in his last ten games as a division road against foes coming off a win, we can’t fade that. |
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12-06-21 | Cavs +6.5 v. Bucks | 104-112 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavaliers covered as underdogs, yet again, Sunday in a one-point loss to the Jazz. They are now 15-6-1 ATS as underdogs this season. The fact that the Bucks are favored by this much, even with Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) listed as questionable, is surprising. Even if he plays, I think the Cavaliers can cover this line. |
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12-06-21 | Wizards +5.5 v. Pacers | 110-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers come into this game ice cold, losers of four straight. Three of those losses came at home. Their depth chart is limited right now, with both T.J. McConnell (wrist) and Justin Holiday (COVID-19) out, which isn’t helping matters. They have not operated well as favorites this season, posting a 5-9 record ATS in such situations. Despite the expectation that Spencer Dinwiddie sits this game out for the Wizards, who also just played Sunday, look for Washington to keep things close. |
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12-06-21 | Avalanche -195 v. Flyers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Flyers just fired their coach and while I do think it was necessary, I don’t think in the middle of a back-to-back with no practices with a new coach was the best timing. The Aves are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Senators so they should come out more focused tonight. Martin Jones should be starting for the Flyers after relieving Carter Hart last night, but he is 0-3-1 with a 3.76 GAA in his last 4 starts. The Aves are currently missing Cale Makar, Nazem Kadri, Bowen Byram, and Darcy Keumper to injury but all are day-to-day and could be back. Jonas Johansson has been very bad when he has struggled but he also allowed 2 goals or fewer in 3 of his last 5 starts since Keumper was hurt. The Flyers have lost 8 in a row. Lay the juice on the Aves, this line will only go up. |
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12-06-21 | Avalanche v. Flyers UNDER 6.5 | 7-5 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units You know the drill: If the total is 6.5 goals, I'm going Under. It's just not that easy for two teams to total seven goals in an NHL game regardless of whom is in net. The Flyers have been held to three goals or fewer in eight straight games -- all losses. That cost coach Alain Vigneault his job today. |
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12-06-21 | Senators v. Devils UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wow, two games with totals of 6.5 today! Not sure I've seen that this season. The Sens are not a good offensive team so I can easily see Mackenzie Blackwood holding them to one goal. Don't expect New Jersey to score six to go Over this number. I may come back and play the moneyline on this one as well. |
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12-06-21 | Mercer v. Coastal Carolina -134 | 74-69 | Loss | -134 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Coastal Carolina has looked very good in its past two games, double-digit wins over South Carolina and Winthrop. Kansas State transfer Rudi Williams totaled 49 points in those games. Williams is shooting 58.7 percent from the field this season and 57.1 percent from deep. Just for a point of reference, Mercer also has played Winthrop and lost in OT. The Bears are 1-3 on the road and that win was against Kennesaw State. They are 1-4 ATS in their past five after a win. |
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12-06-21 | Illinois v. Iowa -2.5 | 87-83 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units My model makes Iowa a six-point favorite Monday and it might end up finishing at an even wider margin. Illinois has struggled on the road, owning an 0-3 ATS record, and now the Illini head to Iowa for a Big 10 battle. Iowa has been playing well and will be looking to cover its fifth straight. Lay the points. |
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12-06-21 | Texas Southern +24 v. Florida | 69-54 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Texas Southern is 0-7 but that's very misleading as the Tigers have played a very tough schedule and not a single home game yet. They have been competitive in nearly every game as witnessed by their 5-2 ATS mark. TSU won the SWAC last season and a game in the First Four of the NCAA Tournament and is favored to win the SWAC again with four starters back. I don't think UF even wins by 20, much less 25 to lose this bet. |
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12-05-21 | Flames +115 v. Golden Knights | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Flames have won 7 of their last 8 games and they are 11-2-2 on the road this season. The Golden Knights are just about healthy, but Robin Lehner has struggled this season, and they are just 7-5-0 on home ice. Vegas has lost 3 of their last 5 games and the Flames will make it very hard for the Knights to score. I like the value in the Flames on the road. |
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12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 34 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Featuring two teams playing FANTASTIC defensive football as of late. Kansas |
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12-05-21 | Maple Leafs v. Jets -115 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Second of a back-to-back for the Leafs, who will not have forward Mitch Marner and his 21 points due to injury. Toronto also will be starting a backup goaltender, either Joseph Woll if healthy enough to go or Michael Hutchinson. Either is a downgrade from Jack Campbell -- Woll has been good but it seems unlikely he plays since he wasn't healthy enough to serve as the No. 2 on Saturday. |
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12-05-21 | Kings v. Oilers -185 | 5-1 | Loss | -185 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mikko Koskinen is expected to be back in net for the Oilers as they head home. They are 9-1-0 at home on the season. The Kings have lost 7 of their last 8 games and they are 3-3-2 on the road this season. The Kings have lost 8 of their last 9 trips to Edmonton as well. These teams are trending in complete opposite directions. Jonathan Quick allowed 4 goals and 6 goals in his last 2 games. This line should be at least -200 and probably higher, so we will take the value on the home team before it goes up. |
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12-05-21 | Ravens v. Steelers +4.5 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Mike Tomlin is 20-7 SU and 17-8-2 ATS in his NFL career after allowing more than 30 points in a contest, including 15-3 SU and 12-4-2 ATS at home. As a result of Sunday’s 41-10 pummeling, Pittsburgh now resides in last place in the AFC North. There is nothing better than a red-faced angry dog who embarrassed us as a 5* Best Bet last week, especially at home in division games. With that being said, Big Ben is 8-4 SU and 9-2-1 ATS as a home dog in this league. However, to seal the deal consider that Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin is 8-1 SU and 8-0-1 ATS as a division dog against foes coming off consecutive wins. |
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12-05-21 | 49ers v. Seahawks UNDER 46 | 23-30 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Seattle Seahawks are the #1 UNDER team in the league this season. Seattle games have gone 1-9-1 O/U TY, with an average of only 39.5 combined PPG. Talk about REGRESSION! Seattle’s offensive numbers are DOWN by -9.2 ppg compared to last year (19.0 ppg vs 28.2 ppg)... and their defensive numbers have IMPROVED by -3.1 ppg (20.5 ppg vs 23.6). It’s no wonder they’ve gone from 51.8 combined ppg to only 39.5 ppg. So we’ll be Going LOW (again) in this week’s Niners @ Seahawks game. |
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12-05-21 | Washington Football Team v. Raiders -1 | Top | 17-15 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 32 m | Show |
5* Inter-Conference Game of the Week Setting the table for the Raiders, is the fact that home teams coming off a Turkey Day win are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS since 1990 when hosting sub .666 foes off win. With the sinners in a three-way tie for second-place in the AFC West, one game behind Kansas City, and currently 5-1 ATS at home coming off a pair of previous home losses – they lost to Cincinnati and Kansas City at Allegiant Stadium last month – it’s time to hand it off to The Clincher: NFL teams coming off a SU underdog win on Thursday are 5-1 SU and 6-0-1 ATS since 1990 versus a foe coming off a Monday Night game. |
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12-05-21 | Jaguars v. Rams UNDER 48 | 7-37 | Win | 100 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Jacksonville Jaguars should be at the top of ALL bettors’ lists, when it comes to favorite UNDER teams. Since an OVER in Game One, the JAGS have gone 1-9 O/U in their last ten games... with an average margin of -11.3 ppg... and have not topped 17 points in SIX straight games. That’s what we call Offensive Futility. It didn’t get any better vs the Falcons last week either (14 total points and QB Lawrence had only 5.4 yards per passing attempt). We’ll keep riding Jaguar UNDERS until the streak is broken. |
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12-05-21 | Chargers +3 v. Bengals | Top | 41-22 | Win | 100 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit 4* AFC Play of the Day While on paper it appears the Chargers are wobbling at 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS since Bye week, they are actually 4-1 ITS (In The Stats) in those games. They are also 6-1-1 ATS away when coming off an away game. Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow appears to be leading the Bengals’ resurgence, yet he is just 2-6 ATS in games when coming off a win, including 0-4 SUATS against no-division foes. And then there is Cinci’s 2-11 SUATS ledger when coming off a pair of wins-exact. Speaking of which, we sew up the deal with The clincher: Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS since 1980 when coming off consecutive wins after facing Pittsburgh, including 0-5 SUATS in non-division games. |
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12-05-21 | Cardinals v. Bears +7.5 | Top | 33-22 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit 5* NFL Upset of the Week Chicago has out yarded each of its last three opponents, while holding all three foes to less than 300 yards. And then there is this from the WOM (Well Oiled Machine): Game Twelve NFL home teams who were in the playoffs the previous season are 6-1 SUATS since 1990 against opponents coming off a Bye week. And then there is a cold weather team hosting a warm weather team in December. Given Arizona’s 5-13 SU and 6-11-1 ATS all-time mark on the NFC North road. The clincher: Playing Against any .400 or greater NFL Road Favorite from Game Nine out who allows 4.6 or more yards Per Rush if the beat the spread by more than 6 points and scored 27 or fewer points in its last game, if they are facing a .444 or less opponent that averages 3.5 or more Yards Per Rush is a perfect 22-0 ATS since 1980. |
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12-04-21 | Iowa +11 v. Michigan | Top | 3-42 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Units 4* Big-10 Bash The Hawkeyes have held the upper hand in this series with the Wolverines, going 15-8-1 ATS as a dog in this series, including 8-2 ATS with an .800 or greater win percentage, and 6-0 ATS when the Maize-and-Blue are coming off back-to-back wins. In addition, teams entering their conference championship game, coming off a win of 14 or more points, are just 19-29 ATS all-time, including 1-9 ATS against a foe coming off a loss. Next, the favorite in Big Ten title games is 2-8 ATS (1-7 ATS versus .800 or greater foes). Finally, Iowa head coach Kirk Ferentz brings a 5-0 ATS record as a dog of more than 7 points with a win percentage of .750 or more into the fray. The clincher: Playing Against any favorite of 6 or more points with a better record than its opponent in its conference championship game – if coming off an ATS win of 15 or more points and facing an .800 or fewer opponent is 10-1 ATS since 1996. |
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12-04-21 | Houston v. Cincinnati -10 | Top | 20-35 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit 5* AAC Championship Cash Playing high-profile opponents has not been a problem for Cincinnati, either, considering they own a spotless 5-0 ATS record in the last five contests versus .900 or greater opponents. Series history also favors UC, as Houston stands 4-10 SU and 3-10-1 ATS versus the Bearcats, including 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS here. And despite this year’s success, Cougars coach Holgorsen is only 9-18 SU and 11-16 ATS versus undefeated opposition in his career. The clincher: Playing against CFB team with revenge in its Championship Game if they allow more than 17.5 PPG and they are facing a .916 or greater opponent who allows fewer than 19 PPG if the opponent they are facing was has won 20 or more of its last 22 games is a perfect 8-0 ATS since 1992. |
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12-04-21 | Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette +3 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit 5* Sun Belt Championship Smash Much like the Baylor-Oklahoma State contest, these two own very similar numbers in the most important offensive and defensive team stats, but there is one area where the Cajuns own an overwhelming edge: Appalachian State is dead even when it comes to turnover margin in 2021, while Louisiana checks in at +11. In addition to riding an 11-game win streak since an opening season loss at Texas, Louisiana beat ASU by 28 points in mid-October when they held the Mountaineers to a season-low 13 points and 211 yards. The Clincher: Playing against CFB team with revenge in its Championship Game if they allow more than 17.5 PPG and they are facing a .916 or greater opponent who allows fewer than 19 PPG if the opponent they are facing was has won 20 or more of its last 22 games is a perfect 8-0 ATS since 1992. |
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12-04-21 | Utah State +6 v. San Diego State | 46-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Unit 3* MWC Championship Whack New Utah State head coach Blake Anderson made quite the splash in his first season with the Aggies when he took over a one-win team and led them to the MWC championship game. With four SU underdog wins this season, this nineteen returning-starter dog checks all the canine boxes today, including the one where underdogs have bagged the cash 6 of seven times in this conference title game. Sure, Diego has a tough-as-nails defense (313 YPG) that ranks No. 13 in the nation, but the sloth-like offense ranks No. 110, failing to score 20 or more points in each of their last seven contests. And while the sun worshippers are 11-1 on the season, they’re only 5-7 ITS, which means the majority of their wins have been fortuitous. With the pressure squarely on the Aztecs to capture a record-setting victory, the points become the play here today. |
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12-03-21 | Clippers v. Lakers +2 | 119-115 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units his spread opened at Clippers -2 but is now Lakers -1.5 because LeBron James cleared COVID protocols already and will play. I usually wait until as late as possible before picking NBA games these days to see who might be ruled out last minute -- that strategy saved me on the Bucks on Thursday when Giannis was a last-minute scratch -- but I won't be around that late tonight so we will just have to assume that LeBron and Anthony Davis (questionable but always on the injury report) do play. The Clippers enter on a three-game skid. |
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12-03-21 | Oilers -125 v. Seattle Kraken | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This moneyline surprises me as the Oilers are 16-5-0 and the Kraken 8-13-0 and Edmonton is only -125. I'll happily take it. This will be the Oilers' first-ever game in Seattle. The Kraken visited Edmonton on Nov. 1 and lost 5-2 as NHL scoring leader Leon Draisaitl had two goals and two assists. Two of Seattle's best forwards, Jordan Eberle and Jaden Schwartz, may not play due to injury. The Kraken have lost seven straight vs. Western Conference foes. |
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12-03-21 | VMI v. Portland -3 | 90-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The SportsLine Projection Model has the Pilots winning by exactly three, but ESPN's BPI and a few others have it closer to 7. Portland's 7-2 record matches the best nine-game start to a season in the last 10 years. Shantay Legans has the best nine-game start among all Portland head coaches since the Pilots joined NCAA Division I in 1958. Legans brought in a ton of transfers and three especially have been thriving: Former Eastern Washington (where Legans was hired from) players Tyler Robertson (16.4 ppg, 7.0 rpg) and Mike Meadows (10.6 ppg, has a triple-double), and ex-UNLV big man Moses Wood (15.1 ppg, 6.6 rpg). VMI is winless on the road and obviously had to make the long trip across country. The Keydets haven't covered yet this year. |
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12-03-21 | Golden Knights v. Coyotes +197 | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Karel Vejmelka should be in the net for the Coyotes, and he is coming off a 40 save shutout in Winnipeg. The Coyotes have actually won 4 of their last 10 games now while the Golden Knights have lost 2 in a row and 4 of 10. The Knights are getting healthier, but they still struggle on the road at 5-5-0. Robin Lehner is 9-9-0 with a 3.08 GAA this season and he has lost 3 of his last 4 starts. The Puck line at -135 is tempting but I will go for it on the ML with the home dog. |
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12-03-21 | Iowa v. Purdue OVER 160.5 | 70-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Big Ten opener for both and these are the two highest-scoring offenses in the country. The Hawkeyes are averaging 94 PPG and the Boilermakers 92.4. This game is going to be amazing to watch, very fast paced and high scoring. It will explode past the total. |
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12-03-21 | Devils v. Jets -189 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Second of a back-to-back for New Jersey, which should mean backup goaltender Jonathan Bernier. He has lost four straight starts. Always the chance New Jersey loses someone to injury on Thursday as well. Winnipeg is fully healthy/COVID free for perhaps the first time all season. The Jets have lost six of seven but five of those games were away. They are 7-3-1 at home. New Jersey has just one victory in the past eight in the series. |
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12-03-21 | Oregon v. Utah -2.5 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Unit PAC-12 Pounding Oregon head coach Mario Cristobal is in a tough spot here, going 1-5 SUATS the last six games as a dog of 6 or fewer points when seeking revenge. And with late season coach-poaching currently in high gear (Notre Dame’s Brian Kelly to LSU, Oklahoma’s Lincoln Riley to USC), who knows if Cristobal will be lured away by the promise of a bigger payday before this game |
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12-03-21 | Heat v. Pacers -5 | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Heat are running out of healthy players. Bam Adebayo, (thumb), Jimmy Butler (back) and Markieff Morris (neck) are all expected to sit out. With them out Monday, the Heat loss by 26 points to the Cavaliers. They have little size up front to battle with Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner, so the Pacers have the chance to earn a decisive victory. |
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12-03-21 | Western Kentucky -3 v. UTSA | 41-49 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Unit Conference USA title game from San Antonio. This spread has been bobbing up and down between 2.5-3 all day, so let's grab 2.5 now in case it stays at 3. WKU lost a shootout at home to UTSA earlier this season and this one is on the Roadrunners' field, but the Hilltoppers have been dominating every opponent since then. All seven wins during WKU’s streak have been by at least 15 points, with the average margin of victory at 26.4. Bailey Zappe is having one of the best seasons ever by an FBS quarterback. UTSA, meanwhile, has looked sluggish in its past three games (0-3 ATS) and did lose its finale. Maybe the Roadrunners were simply coasting, but I'll take the hot team. |
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12-03-21 | Notre Dame v. Boston College +4.5 | 57-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a fade on the Irish as they 1-5 ATS and have lost three of their past four SU. The Eagles have been overperforming so far, and their defense has been outstanding in only allowing 60.1 PPG. Notre Dame should struggle again and BC will cover. |
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11-30-21 | Pistons +9 v. Blazers | 92-110 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons are pretty bad but there's talk that the Blazers will give Damian Lillard tonight off in the second of a back-to-back -- plus, Norman Powell missed Monday's loss to Utah and is in doubt, so I think Detroit can stay within this number if both are true. We'll have to take the chance now, though, because the spread will drop if Lillard becomes official. The Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their past five. |
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11-30-21 | Warriors v. Suns -120 | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Looking forward to watching this game and simply taking the Suns because they are at home. The Dubs are a bit thin right now with Andre Iguodala (still a great defender) and Damion Lee out along with of course Klay Thompson and James Wiseman. Draymond Green may not be 100 percent after taking a hard fall Sunday but is expected to play. Chris Paul defensively tends to give Steph Curry some trouble. |
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11-30-21 | South Dakota v. San Jose State -2 | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This pretty much comes down to where this game is being played -- San Jose State is unbeaten at home with wins over Cal State Fullerton and Northern Colorado, while South Dakota is 0-2 in true road games with double-digit losses at Drake and Nebraska. San Jose State has been boosted by five Power 5 transfers, topped by Ohio State's Ibrahima Diallo. The Coyotes are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. |
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11-30-21 | Duke v. Ohio State +2.5 | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a contrarian play, as there's going to be a good number of bettors rushing to take the team that just beat Gonzaga. However, we just saw Gonzaga struggle against Tarleton on Monday and, if you remember the game between Duke and the Zags, there was a good amount of foul trouble for Gonzaga. Just something to consider. Bottom line, this is a decent letdown spot for Duke coming off a big win. Grab the points with Ohio State at home. |
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11-30-21 | Hawaii +12 v. Santa Clara | 58-70 | Push | 0 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Broncos have looked terrible in their last two games, losing both as favorites. They have scored a total of just 116 points in those two games. The Rainbow Warriors have looked good, going 3-2 but not losing a game by more than three points. Their offense has been really good as they are averaging 81 PPG. This spread is too high, as the Hawaii offense will score enough points to cover. |
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11-30-21 | Northwestern +2 v. Wake Forest | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The model has the wrong team favored and thinks the Wildcats edge this one out by a point. Wake Forest looks to have the money on its side but this line still came down from +2 overnight. Both teams have played a bit of a weak schedule to open the year. Wake has failed to cover against both LSU and Oregon St in its last two games and Northwestern should pose a similar challenge. |
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11-30-21 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Wild | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona shocked the Jets in Winnipeg on Monday as a massive underdog; can the Yotes do it again Tuesday in the Twin Cities? Obviously doubtful, but getting Arizona on the puckline at +120 I can't turn down. The Wild are without their best offensive player in Mats Zuccarello and are starting backup goaltender Kaapo Kahkonen, who has been very shaky in two or four starts this year. |
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11-30-21 | Lightning v. Blues -126 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This ML has spiked a bit because the Lightning are starting backup goaltender Brian Elliott, and he's a massive downgrade from Andrei Vasilevskiy. Elliott hasn't played since Nov. 21 and has 3.30 GAA and .878 save percentage in three contests. The Blues are 7-2 in their past nine as home favorites. They aren't playing great overall but have won three straight at home. |
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11-30-21 | Texas State v. Rice -2 | 80-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rice comes off a solid third-place finish at a holiday tournament in Florida and is 2-0 in true home games. Owls guard Travis Evee leads the team and is eighth in Conference USA with 16.1 points per game. He is second in C-USA with 3.3 three-pointers per game, is third in three-point field goal percentage (43.4%) and sixth in field goal percentage (50.0%). The Owls lead C-USA in three-point shooting. Rice is 6-0 ATS in its past six games as a home favorite. The SportsLine Projection Model has Rice winning by six. |
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11-30-21 | Florida State v. Purdue -10.5 | 65-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Purdue's offense is unstoppable. It is averaging 92.3 PPG, and the Boilermakers have shot at least 50 percent from the field in all six of their games so far this season. The Seminoles have been bit by the injury bug, as they are missing three players in their rotation, including two starters. Florida State went to overtime with Boston University and only had four players record over 20 minutes. The Seminoles are very thin right now, and the Boilermakers should blow them out and easily cover. Lay the points. |
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11-30-21 | Capitals v. Panthers OVER 6 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These two teams have already played twice this season with both totals hitting this over, and 7 straight matchups in this series have hit this over. Both these teams score a lot, and both these teams have good power plays. The Panthers score 4.2 goals per game at home while the Caps score 3.4 goals per game on the road, I like this over. |
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11-30-21 | Chattanooga -5 v. Tennessee Tech | 82-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units  I believe this spread is only going to rise -- the SportsLine Projection Model has the Mocs winning in a rout. The schools played on Nov. 16 in Chattanooga and the home team won by seven. Kansas transfer Silvio De Sousa has been great in the early going for the Mocs, averaging 12.0 points and 6.5 rebounds. Chattanooga was picked No. 1 in the 2021-22 SoCon Preseason Coaches and Media Polls, while Tennessee Tech was picked to finish 8th in the Ohio Valley Conference Preseason Poll. |
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11-30-21 | Minnesota -2.5 v. Pittsburgh | 54-53 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
rating: 2 Units  I am a bit surprised to see Minnesota favored by just a few points Tuesday. The Gophers are undefeated and hold a 4-1 record against the spread so far this season. Meanwhile, the Panthers are 2-4 and have only covered once in their five home games. Pittsburgh was just beaten outright by UMBC. A 10-point loss when you're a 5.5-point favorite does not instill confidence. The model has this one as a five-point game, so we're getting a good 2.5 points of edge. Lay it. |
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11-30-21 | Elon v. NC-Greensboro -3.5 | 61-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Elon is 0-5 against NCAA Division I competition this season with the Phoenix's two wins against something called Randolph College as well as Bluefield College. I think the latter one was from the movie Animal House. UNCG is unbeaten at home and allowing just 53.2 points per game there. The Spartans are ranked fifth nationally in rebounding margin (15.7), 11th in rebounds per game (45.4) and 24th in defensive rebounds per game (30.3). They will have a huge edge there. At -6.5, I didn't like this but at -4 it's worth a shot. The SportsLine Projection Model has UNCG winning easily. |
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