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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-15-21 | Nets -4 v. Kings | 136-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Second of back-to-backs for the Kings after going at it vs. Western Conference rival Memphis last night in a battle of wannabe #8 West seeds clawing at that bottom rung. The rested Nets were probably in their hotel rooms watching it. It’s the first of back-to-backs before Brooklyn flies overnight to Phoenix, where the road trip becomes testier in a Suns-Clippers-Lakers ending. |
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02-15-21 | Blackhawks -134 v. Red Wings | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago recorded two home victories over Detroit last month by scores of 4-1 and 6-2. At the time, the Wings were missing a handful of players due to the league's health and safety COVID-19 protocols. The lopsided nature of those wins stands out for the Blackhawks, since most of their subsequent games haven't been decided in regulation. Their last three victories have come in overtime, and three of their other 10 games since facing Detroit have gone to overtime or shootouts. Alex DeBrincat scored the game-winner 35 seconds into overtime on Saturday in Chicago's 3-2 home win over Columbus. DeBrincat has collected the decisive goal in three of the Blackhawks' last five outings. Consider that 14-53 in their last 67 overall. |
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02-15-21 | Hawks v. Knicks +2 | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta has lost 6 of 7 and the win in this time frame came against a team that was playing the second of a back-to-back game. When Atlanta lost to the Knicks early in the season they had no answer for Julius Randle. The Knicks have won 4 of 6 and one of the losses in that span was by a bucket to Miami. New York can throw a lot of guards at a team and that should help the play making factor too. In the win over Houston on Saturday, starting point guard Elfrid Payton had 15 on 7 for 11 shooting. Reserve point guards Derrick Rose and Immanuel Quickley combined for 38 points, 5 boards and 5 assists. |
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02-15-21 | Islanders -125 v. Sabres | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Immediate success for Buffalo might be tough to come by considering how many important contributors could be missing. The Sabres last lost consecutive games in defeats at Philadelphia on Jan. 19 and a setback at Washington three days later. They are also 2-3-1 at home this season. Buffalo hasn't had much success while amid an 0-2-1 rut against the Islanders, who have won three of their last four games and are 3-0-3 over the last six. Jean-Gabriel Pageau scored twice and Jordan Eberle had a goal with an assist as New York posted two third-period goals in a 4-2 victory over the Boston Bruins on Saturday. Consider that Buffalo is 5-12 in their last 17 overall and 2-10 in their last 12 games as an underdog. |
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02-15-21 | Panthers v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NHL Total of the Day The under is 6-2 in Panthers last 8 road games, 4-1 in Panthers last 5 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game, and 7-3-1 in Panthers last 11 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. While the under is 5-2-1 in Lightning last 8 Monday games. |
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02-15-21 | Virginia v. Florida State -1 | Top | 60-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit ACC Play of the Day Florida State’s ability to utilize their versatility on the defensive end should prove beneficial on Monday night. The Seminoles can switch defenders across the board and that creates an issue for a Virginia offense that has gained an advantage by creating matchups with big men Jay Huff and Sam Hauser in the half court. On the offensive end, Florida State’s ability to space the floor and shoot from distance is equally helpful against Virginia’s pack line defense. Florida State is making 38.7% of three-point attempts this season, 15th-best nationally. Florida State is a rare ACC foe that Virginia has struggled with, winning four of the last seven in this series. Consider that Florida State is 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. |
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02-15-21 | Murray State -11 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 86-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is Edwardsville’s eighth game of the month of February. That’s too many for a team with no college hoops pedigree. They’re off a 20-point road loss at Jacksonville State. They’ve lost by 28 at Belmont during this stretch, by 15 on this floor vs. Austin Peay. During this stretch, they’ve been able to win against Tennessee-Martin, Tennessee State and Tennessee Tech, three of the Ohio Valley slum dogs. Murray State is a penthouse team whose stats say that their record should be better than it is. |
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02-14-21 | Lakers -3 v. Nuggets | Top | 105-122 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Knockout of the Day The Lakers hit the road after they had mucho trouble with Oklahoma City at home, twice, then didn’t put Memphis away until late. Therefore, they will go to Denver and lose, because they are allegedly "struggling"? Maybe, but we wouldn’t bet on it. Remember – the Lakers scrimmage against opponents like OKC. They tend to play for real against the opponents they really need to measure themselves against. When they meet those opponents on the road, they don’t need to win by as much to get the money for their backers. With Utah hot-hot-hot, leading the West at 21-7, where are these Lakers? Ho-hum, a relative afterthought, a half-game behind, 21-6, poised to take over when the peak-too-soon Jazz begin falling to Earth. |
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02-14-21 | Bucks -11.5 v. Thunder | Top | 109-114 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Mismatch of the Day Before the Bucks lost a second straight game (and didn’t cover the spread) at Utah, we noted that they were 36-18 ATS when coming off a loss the last two-plus seasons. But we didn’t pick them to cover at Utah because Utah is too good. The "trend" didn’t take into account who they were playing. Tonight, they play off two straight losses and the opponent is not good. However, the opponent is 14-10 ATS, not bad. But most of that "trend" for OKC has been compiled covering road games at larger numbers against opponents who don’t take the Thunder seriously (they’re 11-3 ATS on the road). Off two straight losses (to 21-7 and 16-9 opponents), the Bucks will take them seriously. Also consider that Milwaukee is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. |
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02-14-21 | Minnesota v. Maryland -2.5 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day The overall length and athleticism gave the Gophers issues in their first meeting, as the Terps won by a final of 63-49 on the road. Maryland limited Minnesota to 39.1% shooting from two-point distance in the win. Maryland has their back against the wall after losing two in a row and will welcome a Minnesota team that has yet to win a road game this season. While Maryland’s 10-10 record doesn’t look great on paper, they have yet to lose to a team that sits outside of the KenPom Top 50. Consider that Minnesota is also 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games |
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02-14-21 | Wolves v. Raptors -8 | 116-112 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Minnesota will be without D’Angelo Russell for this game and that is a big problem for the Wolves. The point guard is averaging 19 and 5 dimes a night. Ricky Rubio took his place in the loss Wednesday and Ricky has some explaining to do. He only had 5 points in the game and Ricky only had 5 points Friday in the loss to Charlotte. The Wolves come to Tampa Bay at the wrong time as Toronto will be focused after losing to Boston on Thursday by 14 points. They had won 5 of 6 going into the Thursday outing and they have had time for that loss to set in. The Raptors share the ball and they are in the top 10 in the league in scoring. This is a game they need with the next pair against Milwaukee. |
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02-14-21 | Oregon State +5 v. Arizona State | Top | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day The leader of Hurley’s girlies, now 2-12-1 ATS, head coach Bobby, seems to be semi-delusional. After losing by 11 points at home to an Oregon team that’s barely played, he said: “To be that close is a statement to just how hard these kids are playing despite a ton of adversity.” There are teams with only eight available scholarship players who do just fine. And then there’s Arizona State, who was losing games, and money vs. the spread, when they had more of them. Beavers head coach Wayne Tinkle was extremely disappointed at how his players shied away from the paint and chucked the ball at Arizona, while fouling Arizona’s bigs on the other end for a 10-34 disparity in free throw attempts in Thursday’s 9-point loss (but they covered!). He will kick their butts and make sure they go that route in an easier match-up down there. |
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02-14-21 | Bradley v. Missouri State -10 | Top | 57-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAB Mismatch of the Day Bradley announced on Saturday that all Elijah Childs, Danya Kingsby, Terry Nolan and Ja’Shon Henry had been suspended for the weekend series against Missouri State. That accounts for three starters and a key reserve for the Braves. Without that group of players, the Braves would trail by 44-24 at the half and lose by 80-58. While the spread has been adjusted for Sunday, it’s likely still too low for a decimated Bradley roster. |
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02-13-21 | Flames -130 v. Canucks | 1-3 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Calgary Flames goaltender Jacob Markstrom has had his way against his old team already this season, and tonight in Vancouver, he hopes the trend continues. Not that the erstwhile Canucks goalie has hard feelings against his former teammates. Quite the opposite. But after signing a six-year, $36 million free agent contract to join the Flames in the offseason, he has been at his best when facing Vancouver. With Markstrom between the pipes, the Flames have won all three meetings so far this season, including a 3-1 affair Thursday night. Markstrom has stopped 90 of 93 shots faced in those contests, one of them a shutout. He was a major factor in the most recent result, even though the Canucks were the better team through two periods. Consider that Calgary is 13-4 in their last 17 games as a favorite while the favorite is 40-19 in the last 59 meetings between these two clubs. |
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02-13-21 | Heat v. Jazz -5 | Top | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Utah is coming off last night’s signature victory over Milwaukee, but not to worry, as the Jazz are not only 17-1 SU in their last 18, they are 16-2 against the points and have covered 3 of their first 4 chances playing the second night of back-to-back games. Jazz have made 18 treys per game over the past 15 and shot 41% from long range. Still, it’s never easy in the NBA, and Miami has won 4 straight, with Jimmy Butler starting to warm up (23 ppg, 9 rpg, 9 apg in his last 7 games). Utah has won 11 in a row against Eastern Conference teams, with a 10-0-1 spread mark, so all things considered, just lay the points. |
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02-13-21 | Lightning v. Panthers OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Day The over is 6-1 in Lightning last 7 games playing on 1 days rest, 4-1-1 in Lightning last 6 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game and 46-22-4 in Lightning last 72 Saturday games. While the over is 18-7-1 in Panthers last 26 Saturday games, 36-16-1 in Panthers last 53 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game, and 41-20-4 in Panthers last 65 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. |
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02-13-21 | SE Missouri State v. Austin Peay -10 | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Murray State-Austin Peay weekend road continuum is a tough deal for Ohio Valley also rans when there is one day in between games. When the visit to Austin Peay becomes the second of back-to-backs, Friday-Saturday, after playing at Murray State the night before, it gets a lot harder despite the relatively short bus trip (80 minutes) from one place to the next. SEMO dropped the second game of this trip by 22, 18 points the last two seasons. |
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02-13-21 | Arkansas +3.5 v. Missouri | 86-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Razorbacks haven’t won two straight on the SEC road since 2016-17, when they played three games in the NCAA Tournament. Off the 1-point win at Kentucky on Wednesday, they come to Cuonzo’s place with the #10-ranked Tigers of Missouri coming home off an embarrassing loss at Ole Miss. Mizzou won 81-65 at Arkansas when the Razorbacks played mostly with four guards in the absence of forward Justin Smith. Adjustments from that game are all for Arkansas head coach Eric Musselman, who notes that “We had two guys go 1-for-21” on a day they nevertheless got 21 turnovers, 11 made by two of Missouri’s starting guards. He’ll no doubt take a cue from Ole Miss head coach Kermit Davis, who, following his team’s 80-59 win vs. the Tigers, said, “You can’t let Missouri play downhill.” |
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02-13-21 | Senators v. Jets -220 | 2-1 | Loss | -220 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Winnipeg Jets have defeated the Ottawa Senators four times in as many meetings this season. But to hear the Jets tell it, they'll have to be at their best when the teams wrap up a two-game series this afternoon in Winnipeg. The Jets won the opener 5-1 on Thursday as Connor Hellebuyck made 41 saves and Paul Stastny and Nikolaj Ehlers each had a goal and an assist. Captain Blake Wheeler, Mathieu Perreault and defenseman Neal Pionk also scored for Winnipeg and Mark Scheifele had two assists. Consider that Ottawa is 12-48 in their last 60 road games. |
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02-13-21 | 76ers v. Suns +1 | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Told ya’ the 76ers would not get revenge in Portland. Merely sticking Ben Simmons into a game against an opponent that beat them the last time they met is not the way it works. Here, Philadelphia tackles another winning team out West. The Sixers are 11-2 home, 7-6 on the road. Milwaukee, who they lead by 2 games atop the East, and who has a +9.5 scoring differential (compared to Philly’s +3.8), couldn’t win here earlier in the week. So, why should Philly win against a 15-9 SU and ATS home side that has been playing consistently good defense, contrary to the ol’ Suns basketball brand? |
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02-13-21 | Iowa v. Michigan State +5 | 88-58 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The fact that Iowa could not kill Michigan State in their first meeting -- when the situation dictated that the Hawkeyes should have a very fine opportunity to do so -- would seem to bode poorly for them as they enter the return match in Sparty-land. Michigan State is 10-7, with zero (0) wins against anyone ranked. Their ownership of Iowa is causing us to think they have a chance. And we know that they’re 4-13 ATS, so shame on us if you know what |
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02-13-21 | Tennessee -2.5 v. LSU | Top | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Week No. 16 Tennessee and LSU are both part of a tight battle for second place in the SEC as they prepare to meet Saturday in Baton Rouge, La. The Volunteers (14-4) and the Tigers (12-6) are 7-4 in league play as is Arkansas. Missouri and Florida are 6-4. First-place Alabama is 11-1. The Volunteers held a 44-26 halftime lead against Georgia and led by as many as 23 points in the second half before a sloppy finish. Barnes said he thinks Yves Pons, the reigning SEC Defensive Player of the Year who has led the Vols in scoring in each of the last five games in which he played, will return from a knee injury that sidelined him against Georgia and play against LSU. Consider that LSU is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. |
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02-13-21 | Northern Illinois v. Kent State -15 | 58-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Northern Ill is 2-10 overall, 1-6 in the MAC, hasn’t played since losing by 20 points at Ball State on Jan. 16. They average a mere 59.4 ppg, with a -4.5 Assist/Turnover ratio, 39.8% field goal shooting and a low 62.4% free-throw percentage. They’ve played four MAC road games so far, and trailed them all at halftime by margins of 14, 11, 16, and 15 points. Hey, other than all that, they’re fine! |
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02-13-21 | Canisius +1.5 v. Quinnipiac | 89-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Your host lumbered out to a 19-6 lead against the visiting Post-Pause Puppies after 12 minutes yesterday afternoon, as Canisius was shooting 2-for-23. This was to be expected! But Quinnipiac already had 7 team fouls at that point, because they’re really not very good, shoot bricks from all angles and do things like take lane violations on free throws. They’d go on to lose the game 74-67. Therefore, we now have… an anger play! Against Quinnipiac! Because they’re not good, and because we should have known better with Mike Dunleavy’s son and Tom Pecora on the same home coaching staff, and because Canisius won’t open the game shooting 2-for-23 off a layoff this time |
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02-12-21 | Blues -126 v. Coyotes | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With Robert Thomas sidlelined by a broken thumb, Berube moved checkers Ivan Barbashev and Oskar Sundqvist into scoring-line roles and added physical winger Mackenzie MacEachern to Monday's lineup. The Blues looked more like their old selves as a result. They put 43 shots on goal at one end and blocked 28 at the other. They picked up their physical play and recorded 21 hits. Captain Ryan O'Reilly scored two goals and added an assist in that game, giving him six points in his last five games. David Perron has five points in his last five games. Consider that St. Louis is 20-7 in their last 27 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation and 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Arizona. |
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02-12-21 | Thunder v. Nuggets -11.5 | Top | 95-97 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day The Nuggets ended a three-game losing streak by pummeling bottom-dweller Cleveland. Another bottom-dwelling foe makes the climb to 5,280 feet elevation preparing to be swallowed by a still-hungry bottom feeder that will take them seriously, unlike the Lakers, who use a team like OKC to work on their games and practice winning the close ones. Off two overtime losses vs. the scrimmaging Lakers, this doesn’t seem like a good spot for the depth-shy visitor. Consider that Oklahoma City is 1-12 ATS in the last 13 meetings. |
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02-12-21 | Bucks v. Jazz -3 | 115-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s a match-up of the teams with the NBA’s two highest power ratings. Utah is the hottest team in the league, of course. But they figure to be laying a trey or more against a high-quality foe, never their best scenario. Bucks off a loss: 36-18 ATS since beginning of 2018-19 season. But how many times were they playing a road game against the NBA’s best-record team that entered the game 16-1 SU and 15-2 ATS last 17 games? Aha. Not once. |
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02-12-21 | Georgia Tech +3.5 v. Clemson | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
ACC Play of the Day “No. 20 Clemson falls at Georgia Tech,” said a headline from Jan. 20. If they’d asked us, we’d have told them that the Tigers were beaten by the better team. “Number 20. Ha. Who they kiddin’? “The Tigers won the rebounding battle 28-18 and racked up 30 points in the paint,” they wrote. “The Tigers also collected 17 bench points and 16 assists.” Hey, they lost the game 83-65! The Yellow Jackets shot the lights out but even if they don’t do that again, we’ll take point guard Juan Alvarado making his way through Clemson’s D in a near pick’em. Consider that Georgia Tech is 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games following a ATS loss. |
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02-12-21 | Pelicans +3 v. Mavs | 130-143 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mavericks delivered as promised on Wednesday night, dropping to 1-9 ATS on their home floor winning and failing to cover vs. Atlanta, pretty much as expected although it would have nice for the Hawks to get the straight-up win and not lose by 1 point. After scoring 120 points twice in their first 15 games, the Pelicans have scored 123 or more four times in their last nine. “I’ve had zero to do with that,” says head coach Stan Van Gundy. We believe that! “Our guys have just gotten comfortable playing together. We’re making plays for each other. We’re getting higher quality shots.” Alrighty, then. Off a losing visit to an Eastern Conference team (Chicago) in which the Bulls had two quarters of 40+ points (Hello? From what butt was that pulled?), the Law of Averages -- considering Dallas has the worst 3-point percentage in the league -- should swing the visitors’ way tonight. |
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02-12-21 | Bruins -171 v. Rangers | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Boston is 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record, 37-14 in their last 51 games following a win, and 57-25 in their last 82 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. While New York is 9-20 in their last 29 vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 11-27 in their last 38 Friday games, and 4-12 in their last 16 overall. In addition, the favorite is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings. |
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02-12-21 | Canisius v. Quinnipiac -4.5 | 74-67 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Welcome back, Canisius! Unable to play since Jan. 3. For their tribulations, they are asked to make just about the longest possible in-conference trip, from their Buffalo, NY home all the way down to southern Connecticut to face an opponent giving up less than 1.0 points per possession in MAAC play. ‘The wheels on the bus go round and round…’ Good luck! |
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02-11-21 | 76ers v. Blazers +5.5 | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philly won its 11th game in its last 14 starts at Sacramento on Tuesday, with Joel Embiid scoring 25 pts. and grabbing 17 boards. Embiid has scored 34 ppg and taken 10.4 rpg while shooting 56% in his last 9 games, including scoring 37 a week ago in Philly against Portland in a 121-105 home loss to the Blazers. Portland was without Damian Lillard as well as previously injured CJ McCollum (still out indefinitely). Lillard has scored 32 ppg in his last 12, and has dished 8 assists a game, and Gary Trent heads four other Blazers contributing DDs. One of those is backup C Enes Kanter, who outboarded Embiid 18-5 in the win in Philly to lead the Blazers to a 53-37 edge off the glass. Sixers will be looking for revenge, but number seems high. |
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02-11-21 | Ducks v. Golden Knights -215 | 1-0 | Loss | -215 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Vegas Golden Knights, who have yet to lose in regulation at home this season, will look to try and complete a sweep of its two-game series with the Anaheim Ducks tonight in Las Vegas. Vegas improved to 7-0-1 at home with a wild 5-4 victory on Tuesday night, blowing a three-goal lead in the third period before defenseman Zach Whitecloud, with the aid of a screen by Ryan Reaves, scored the winner with 3:56 remaining on a rebound of a William Carrier shot. It was the third straight victory for the Golden Knights, who improved to 8-1-1 overall, the best 10-game start in franchise history. The only regulation loss came at Arizona, 5-2 on Jan. 22, with the only home setback four nights later to the St. Louis Blues, 5-4 in a shootout. Consider that Vegas is 21-6 in their last 27 games as a home favorite. |
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02-11-21 | Magic v. Warriors -7.5 | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Orlando training room looking like a M*A*S*H unit these days, with injuries to Gordon, Fournier, Anthony, Fultz, Aminu and Carter-Williams stripping HC Steve Clifford’s dance card. Aminu and Fournier could be available for this one, but the Magic are just 3-13 since promising start through first week of January. Golden State returning home after splitting a pair in Dallas against the Mavs and then another set with the Spurs in San Antonio. Now the Warriors have 4 straight at the Chase Center beginning with very beatable Orlando. Steph Curry has been rocking since Christmas and has scored 32 or more in 5 straight games, averaging 37 ppg and shooting 58% overall and 50% from beyond the arc in his last 5, and he’s still getting some nice help from Kelly Oubre Jr. (20 ppg L5) and Andrew Wiggins. Warriors covered 4 straight as chalk; Magic dropped 6 of L7 as a dog. |
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02-11-21 | Senators v. Jets -200 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ehlers found the net in all three meetings with Ottawa this season, including scoring in overtime to lift Winnipeg to a 4-3 victory on Jan. 19. Ehlers collected a goal and an assist in both the Jets' 4-1 win over the Senators two nights later and their 6-3 triumph on Jan. 23. "(Ehlers is) gifted. ... He's got all the tools," said Andrew Copp, who set up both of Ehlers' goals on Tuesday. "If we can continue to get better as a line, find that rhythm, as a line we can be really dangerous." Mark Scheifele extended his point streak to four games (two goals, three assists) after setting up Ehlers' second goal against the Flames. Scheifele boosted his club-best totals in assists (10) and points (15) by notching five assists and seven points in the three encounters with Ottawa last month. The struggling Senators showed heart on Tuesday before dropping a 3-2 decision to the Edmonton Oilers, marking their third straight loss and 12th in the last 13 games (1-11-1). Ottawa held a 42-22 edge in shots, including 30-10 over the last two periods. Consider that Ottawa is 5-21 in their last 26 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. |
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02-11-21 | Red Wings v. Predators -168 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Wings, who finished with the worst record in the NHL last season, handed Florida its first regulation loss of the season Sunday and lost by a narrow 2-1 margin to the host Panthers on Tuesday, with the game decided by a fluke goal that bounced off an attacker's shoulder and into the net. The Red Wings remain in last place in the Central Division but have a chance to get out of the cellar when they wrap up a six-game trip with a two-game series at seventh-place Nashville. Detroit coach Jeff Blashill was pleased with the defensive effort but is looking for more consistency on the offensive end. The Red Wings have scored just seven goals through the first four games of their trip, with four of those coming in Sunday's victory. They have scored a lone goal in the three other games. Consider that Detroit is 13-52 in their last 65 overall. |
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02-11-21 | Oregon State +12 v. Arizona | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Beavers lost 98-74 to Arizona at home, when OSU was coming off a pause. Arizona freshman guard Benn Mathurin scored 31 points in that game. “He’s no longer an unmarked freshman,” says his head coach, Sean Miller. “So the scouting report (changes) and the defense will try to take away certain things that we do for him and that he’s very good at.” Aha. |
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02-11-21 | Louisiana-Monroe v. UL - Lafayette -9 | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CBB Play of the Day The visitor has lost 10 straight and scored from 49 to 63 points in the last six. This is their fifth straight road game, prior to a home re-hook with ULL in two nights. Bob Marlin’s Ragin Cajuns are coming home off a pair of road losses at Arkansas State by 8 and 6 points. In the second, a back-to-back, they trailed 46-29 at haltime but ‘won’ the second half 48-37. Ah, some momentum to ride on, outta that loss and into the winner’s circle again. Consider that UL Monroe is 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. while the home team is 4-0 ATS L4 meetings |
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02-11-21 | Lightning v. Panthers OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NHL Total of the Week The over is 7-3-1 in Lightning last 11 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game, 7-3 in Lightning last 10 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game, and 7-3-2 in Lightning last 12 games following a win. While the over is 21-7 in Panthers last 28 Thursday games, 8-3-2 in Panthers last 13 games a home underdog, and 35-16-1 in Panthers last 52 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. In addition, the over is 39-18 in the last 57 meetings between these two teams. |
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02-11-21 | Iowa State +15 v. Kansas | 64-97 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A 78-66 win over Oklahoma State on Monday was a great sign that there are brighter days ahead, but the Jayhawks must still close against Texas Tech, Texas and Baylor before the conference tournament even rolls around. All five KU starters scored in double-figures on Monday, led by center David McCormack’s 23 points and 10 boards. Freshman forward Jalen Wilson and sophomore guard Christian Braun recorded double-doubles and the defense held the Cowboys to 35 percent shooting. If Kansas can replicate that, it will be dangerous come March regardless of where it finishes in the Big 12. If it can’t, games like these against an Iowa State team that has overcome a COVID outbreak and is back intact as a dangerous spoiler that nearly won at Oklahoma an should’ve beaten TCU won’t be gimmes. The Cyclones have dropped eight consecutive games but Self is calling this the “biggest weekend of the season.” He’s trying to make sure his team is prepared for taking a stiff punch from a 15-point underdog that is much better than their record indicates and has nothing to lose as it takes back-to-back shots at the struggling conference power. |
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02-10-21 | Pelicans -2.5 v. Bulls | Top | 116-129 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day The Bulls will be without two 7-footers, Lauri Maarkenen and Wendell Carter. Otto Porter has been out for the last four games, too. Are you excited about backing a starting group of Patrick Williams, Daniel Gafford, Coby (I Barely Played One Season of College Basketball) White, Denzel Valentine and Zach LaVine, with Thaddeus Young, Cristiano Felicio, Ryan Arcidiacono, Garrett Temple and Tomas Satoransky coming off the bench? If so, then why? Consider that New Orleans is 23-8 ATS in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. |
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02-10-21 | Hawks +4 v. Mavs | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We thought Atlanta would beat this Mavericks team at home last week. Didn’t happen. They sat Trae Young on us with no notice given. Is this a mulligan we can hit straight and true? Dallas has been one of the most overrated teams in the NBA so far at 10-15 ATS. The bulk of that “disappointment” has occurred on this floor, where the Mavericks are 1-8 ATS laying points. If Atlanta can’t make this situation work – three days off since they last played, the better to target revenge from only one week ago – then we can just dislike them intensely and wish them the worst, until the next time they look like the right side. |
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02-10-21 | Houston -12.5 v. South Florida | Top | 82-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CBB Play of the Day South Florida is coming off a program pause, first game since Jan. 9. For their first assignment after it, they are forced to travel to the nation’s #8-ranked team, whose starters are coming off a loss at East Carolina. Kelvin Sampson didn’t play the “A” group in the next game, against NAIA’s Our Lady of the Lake. This means that five guys who’ve made serious contributions to a 16-2 team allowing only 57.5 points per game are playing for the first time since a ‘shocking’ defeat, and will be out to redeem themselves against a rusty foe that scored only 57, 68, 51, 69 points in its four games prior to the pause. Consider that UCF is 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 Wednesday games. |
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02-10-21 | Wichita State -2 v. UCF | 61-60 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston (16-2) is 10-2 in AAC play and unlikely to be challenged for the regular season title. However, Wichita St has quietly moved to 11-4 and 7-2 in AAC play. Wichita St's season was marred before it got started, as head coach Gregg Marshall resigned as coach of Wichita State after multiple allegations of verbal and physical abuse spanning years on November 17, 2020. Marshall's success started at Winthrop (seven NCAA berths in nine years) and continued at Wichita St, winning the NIT title in 2011 then winning 30-plus games in three straight seasons, including a Final 4 appearance in 2013. Lead assistant Isaac Brown was named interim head coach. Wichita State has the same number of league defeats as No. 8-ranked Houston but the Shockers aren't drawing votes for the top-25 but are building their credentials for an NCAA Tournament at-large bid. They've won 10 of their last 12 and will make it 11 of 13 in this winnable game at UCF. Consider that Wichita State is 40-17-1 ATS in their last 58 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. |
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02-10-21 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech +4.5 | 57-49 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The tallest and smallest players on the roster helped the Cavaliers (13-3, 9-1 ACC) hold off the Yellow Jackets (9-6, 5-4) in a 64-62 victory on Jan. 23 at Charlottesville, Va. Virginia guard Kihei Clark missed his first eight shots in that game and finished 1 of 10 from the field, but the one bucket by the 5-foot-9 junior was a doozy. His short jumper with 68 seconds left provided the final points of the game. The Yellow Jackets were in another battle Saturday against Notre Dame, this time pulling out an 82-80 victory and improving their home record to 8-2. Georgia Tech overcame a 50-35 halftime deficit against the Fighting Irish, with Michael Devoe scoring 14 of his 19 points in the second half to fuel the rally. Alvarado also scored 19 points and added six rebounds, six steals and five assists. Consider that Georgia Tech is 50-24 ATS in their last 74 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. |
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02-09-21 | Celtics v. Jazz -6 | Top | 108-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day The hottest team in the NBA takes the court for the first time since a 3-0 road trip raised the recent run to 15-1 SU, 14-2 ATS since Jan. 8. Utah is 19-5, a half-game ahead of the Lakers for best record in the West, and the league. They are peaking too soon, but is the peak still peaking or is the tail-off is ready to start? With the Celtics adding Jaylen Brown to their absentee list on top of Marcus Smart, perhaps it’s a reason for the Jazz to continue with the peaking. Without those two the floor for Boston, the Suns shot just 27.6% from three-point range yet still beat the Celtics by 9 points. The next time Utah shoots as low as 27.6% from three-point range will be the first time this season. |
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02-09-21 | Lightning -167 v. Predators | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After starting arguably the NHL's best goaltender for each of the season's first nine games, Tampa Bay Lightning coach Jon Cooper knew he had an important issue at hand. Andrei Vasilevskiy needed a night off, and he got one Monday when the Lightning beat the host Nashville Predators 4-1 for their fifth consecutive win. The teams meet again Tuesday in Nashville, and Vasilevskiy figures to back between the pipes. Vasilevskiy, the 2019 Vezina Trophy winner, has been rock solid again for Cooper after guiding the Lightning to the franchise's second Stanley Cup championship last season. Due to the coronavirus pandemic, Cooper had to lean on the 26-year-old Russian a little more than he expected. Backup Curtis McElhinney went on the COVID-19 protocol list Jan. 16 -- just two games into the season -- and came off two weeks later. With his backup sidelined, Vasilevskiy hunkered down and started night after night for Tampa Bay, going 7-1-1 and posting sterling numbers -- a 1.88 goals-against average and .931 save percentage. He has allowed two tallies or fewer in seven of his nine starts. Consider that Tampa Bay is 97-27 in their last 124 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. |
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02-09-21 | Rockets +6 v. Pelicans | 101-130 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Last night, the Rockets probably set a record for most late and failed close-out attempts on a rookie three-point shooter who has the lowest release point in the league. LaMelo Ball killed them because they let him. Now, brother Lonzo has his opportunity and if he was watching Houston’s terrible defensive rotations last night during the Pelicans’ bye, then he’ll be excited about the possibility of having himself a great shooting night, too. But Houston guards John Wall and Eric Gordon sat last night. They don’t do back-to-backs. Guess they don’t make enough money to extend themselves. But with the experience of those two back on the floor tonight, Houston’s defense can better extend. Sorry, Lonzo. |
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02-09-21 | Oilers -195 v. Senators | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Edmonton is a perfect 3-0-0 against the Senators this season, including a 3-1 victory on Monday night. All three of those victories are part of the Oilers' 4-1-0 record over their past five games. Scoring continues to be an issue for the Senators despite their improved play. Monday marked the sixth time in 10 games that Ottawa was held to a single goal. Even the Senators' only goal on Monday wasn't technically their own score, as Evgenii Dadonov was given official credit after Oilers defenseman Adam Larsson accidentally tipped the puck into his own net. Goalie Matt Murray started for the Senators on Monday, so Marcus Hogberg is Ottawa's probable starter in the second end of the back-to-back set. Hogberg has an 0-4-0 record, a 4.54 goals against average and an .844 save percentage in five games this season. Consider that Ottawa is 7-24 in their last 31 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. |
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02-09-21 | Nets v. Pistons OVER 229.5 | Top | 111-122 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NBA Total of the Week Consider that the over is 14-3 in Nets last 17 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, 9-2 in Nets last 11 games following a ATS loss, 13-3 in Nets last 16 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game, 13-3 in Nets last 16 games as a favorite, 16-5 in Nets last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, and 19-7 in Nets last 26 overall. While the over is 19-7 in Pistons last 26 games playing on 2 days rest, 8-3 in Pistons last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, and 16-6 in Pistons last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. |
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02-09-21 | Penn State +4 v. Michigan State | 58-60 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This as been a different MSU team since coming back from its three-week layoff due to COVID-19 postponements. The Spartans were blown out by Rutgers 67-37 in their first game back on January 28, then suffered a 79-62 loss at Ohio State and an 84-78 loss at Iowa before finally picking up a win over Nebraska last Saturday, 66-56. Despite the straight up win over the Cornhuskers and the cover as a 9-point dog at Iowa, MSU is just 2-5 ATS since the start of January. This Penn State team can shoot the 3, is playing with confidence following wins over Wisconsin and Maryland, as well as a competitive, four-point loss at Ohio State, and is taking on a MSU team that has yet to find its footing since returning to play last month. Consider that Michigan State is 4-12 ATS. |
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02-08-21 | Gonzaga -10 v. BYU | Top | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CBB Play of the Day The Cougars nearly notched a backdoor cover the first time these teams met, losing “only” 86-69 back on Jan. 7. Gonzaga let its guard down in the closing minutes and BYU applied some serious make-up to help cosmetically conceal what really went down in Spokane since it trailed by as many as 32 points and fell behind 23-2. That was the first of what Mark Few’s Bulldogs can rightfully look at as their lone revenge games this season since the undefeated group still hasn’t lost since a 91-78 setback in Provo on BYU’s Senior Night last Feb. 22. Zags look to extend their streak of double-digit wins to 16 as they attempt to cover the lowest spread (-11) oddsmakers have saddled them with since their 98-75 rout over Virginia on Dec. 26. Look for them to get some revenge via sweep behind another lopsided win. Consider that BYU is 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19 games as a home underdog. |
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02-08-21 | Bucks v. Nuggets +4 | Top | 125-112 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day Interesting: Not Milwaukee’s 9-40 SU record in Denver lifetime. That’s not interesting at all, just a multi-decades compilation involving many former players now collecting social security. What’s interesting is that Milwaukee was 0-2 against the Nuggets last season, by 12 and 14 points. They hit Mile High City shaking the back-to-back loser dust of Cleveland off them, with no margin for error. They can’t just kill the Nuggets for revenge simply because they want to. The Nuggets are home off two road losses with plenty of confidence in the match-up based on last year’s positive results. Consider that Denver is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. |
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02-08-21 | Ohio State v. Maryland +3 | 73-65 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ohio St. will mark the fifth top 10 team Maryland has faced. Ohio St. has won four straight games and seven of its last eight to move into third place in the Big Ten with a 9-4 record. The Buckeyes are a decent shooting team and it has to be to win because they are ninth in the Big Ten with a turnover margin of just 0.16 per game. On top of that, they are last in the conference with just 4.37 steals per game so they do not create points off turnovers. consider that Maryland is 15-7 ATS in their last 22 Monday games. |
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02-08-21 | Wolves +10 v. Mavs | 122-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Who is more overrated? The Mavericks or the T’Wolves? It’s the Mavericks, 10-14 ATS to the T’Wolves’ 11-11-1 ATS. Dallas is at the bottom of the league in three point percentage (33.8%) and yet they keep firing away from out there, 37 times per game – and a lot more than 37 times in each of their two non-covers vs. Golden State on Thursday and Saturday, which defies all logic given Golden State’s lack of inside players. |
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02-08-21 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs -189 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Auston Matthews will look to continue his torrid play on Monday night when the Toronto Maple Leafs bid for a three-game sweep of the visiting Vancouver Canucks. Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of the past seven games in which he has played, including twice in Toronto's 5-1 romp versus Vancouver on Saturday. The former top overall pick has scored nine goals during that run, and has 10 tallies and three assists during his past nine games overall. Toronto, which sports a 6-0-1 mark during that stretch, has outscored Vancouver by a 12-4 margin over the past two contests. The Maple Leafs' dominance of the Canucks in Toronto is nothing new, as they have won their past nine home encounters with Vancouver dating to Feb. 8, 2014. |
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02-08-21 | Islanders v. Rangers -109 | 2-0 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Following the first two matchups, the Islanders won two straight but then went 0-3-2 in their next five games, a stretch that included blowing a three-goal lead through 20 minutes by allowing five goals in the second period of a 6-3 loss at Washington on Jan. 28. The skid continued with a pair of overtime losses at Philadelphia and then ended with a 4-3 win over the Pittsburgh Penguins on Saturday night in their first game following consecutive postponements due to COVID-19 issues with the Buffalo Sabres. Consider that the NY Islanders are 8-18 in their last 26 games as an underdog. |
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02-08-21 | Islanders v. Rangers OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Day |
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02-08-21 | Oregon State +12.5 v. Colorado | 49-78 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oregon State (10-7, 6-5) moved above .500 in conference play with a 68-66 home win over Washington State on Saturday. That victory capped a two-game home sweep of the Washington schools last week. Now, the Beavers embark on a finish that has them on the road for six of their last nine games. Their only Pac-12 road win in four tries so far has come on the short trek over to Oregon last month. Oregon State coach Wayne Tinkle declared last week every game is winnable in a season of lesser home-court advantage and great parity in the Pac-12. Consider that Colorado is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 96 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There is two weeks between the championship games and Super Bowl this year. Kansas City is 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS in the postseason since 2018. No team has compiled a better record the past three seasons than the Chiefs, who are 44-11 during this span. Maybe the Chiefs got back on track with their impressive title-game victory versus the Bills. Maybe. Until that performance, Kansas City was 1-8 ATS in its last nine games with the lone cover occurring by half a point against the Saints. Yes, the Chiefs were being overpriced by the oddsmaker and probably overvalued in the marketplace. Still, both their offense and defense had declined from their performance during the first half of the season when they covered six of their first eight games, while outscoring foes by an average of 31.6 points to 19 points. The Buccaneers, on the other hand, definitely are in peak form with Brady fully in sync with Bruce Arians and his new offense. Brady has never had these many outstanding receivers at his disposal. He can match Mahomes plus he has the huge advantage of being backed by the superior defense. Also consider that Tampa Bay is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs OVER 55.5 | 9-31 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mahomes is firmly in his prime, the most dangerous quarterback in the league for the past three seasons with 114 TD passes in 45 regular season games. Sparked by Mahomes, the Chiefs have scored at least 21 straight points in their past five playoff games. The Chiefs have averaged 36.1 points in the last six playoff games in which Mahomes did not get injured. Tampa Bay is averaging 35.7 points in its last six games with Brady firmly comfortable in his new offense with his many dangerous weapons. He is facing a less than stellar Kansas City defense. So even though this is a high total, it’s a tough sell to try to make an Under work given these two offenses and the league’s emphasis on high-scoring entertainment. Consider that the over is 23-10 in Buccaneers last 33 games overall. |
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02-07-21 | Blackhawks v. Stars -147 | 2-1 | Loss | -147 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dallas though has won all four of its home games this year, anchored by one of the best offenses in the league that averages 3.8 GPG. Not to be outdone though, the Stars are also one of the best defensive clubs this season by allowing only 2.6 GPG. Chicago is just 1-4 in its last five following a win. |
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02-07-21 | Hurricanes -139 v. Blue Jackets | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that Columbus is 12-25 in their last 37 overall and 3-7 in their last 10 games as an underdog. While Carolina is 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Central, 6-2 in their last 8 games as a road favorite, and 58-28 in their last 86 games as a favorite. |
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02-07-21 | Red Wings v. Panthers -220 | 4-1 | Loss | -220 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that Detroit is 14-37 in their last 51 games playing on 1 days rest, 27-74 in their last 101 vs. a team with a winning record, 12-40 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game, and 15-52 in their last 67 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. While Florida is 6-2 in their last 8 vs. Central, 5-2 in their last 7 home games, and 55-26 in their last 81 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. In addition, the Favorite is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings |
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02-07-21 | Temple v. Wichita State -8.5 | 67-70 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A team is supposed to rise when it’s legend dies. Instead, to follow up on John Chaney’s death, Temple lost a home game to relatively hapless Tulane – by a lot! -- then followed up with a home loss to a 3-7 Cincinnati team that hadn’t played a game in who knows how long? Sheesh! |
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02-07-21 | Georgetown v. Villanova -13 | Top | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAB Play of the Day Let’s do some zig-zagging. Georgetown is off an outright win at Creighton as +9.5 point road underdog. Villanova is off a road loss at St. John’s as -9.5-point road favorite. Jay Wright’s Wildcats shot 8-for-30 on three-pointers at St. John’s. Georgetown made 10 of their 21 three-pointers at Creighton (47.6%). The Hoyas average 35.5% from there. When they met in December, it took Villanova a while to figure out the Hoyas. They trailed by 18 in the first half, by 13 at halftime… and eventually won by 13 after a 43-17 second half. Highly ranked team comes home off loss; unranked team with losing record stays on road off win. Consider that Villanova is 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS loss |
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02-07-21 | Celtics +3 v. Suns | 91-100 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Boston G Jaylen Brown’s sore knee will force him to miss his second straight game, but not sure the oddsmakers haven’t over-corrected here. Phoenix is just 2-3 SU L5 at the Talking Stick, and rank just 18th in net rating over the last 15 games (Celtics 6th). Boston has worked through injuries before this season, and it’s not as if the Suns are an intact unit, with starting F Jae Crowder and contributors Dario Saric and Cam Payne out or doubtful. Would rather take it with Boston. |
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02-07-21 | Heat v. Knicks +6 | Top | 109-103 | Push | 0 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day Second of back-to-backs for the Knicks following yesterday’s 110-99 win vs. end-of long-road-trip Portland. Miami flies up with rest following a lousy homestand that they managed to close out well with a 122-95 win vs. Washington (with Westbrook playing for the Wizards after they’d lost to the Wizards with Westbrook resting two nights earlier!). One win against Washington probably doesn’t solve Miami’s issues and as favorite, they can’t be in “nobody expected us to do this!” mode. Knicks don’t win three in a row very often but it’s a fact that it has happened at least once in the last 10 years – last month, actually. Miami: 7-14-1 ATS, the NBA’s worst percentage. |
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02-07-21 | Wizards v. Hornets +2 | 97-119 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that Washington is 17-38-1 ATS in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. While Charlotte is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog, 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games playing on 1 days rest, 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 games as an underdog, and 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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02-07-21 | Iowa v. Indiana +3 | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Iowa enters this game ranked #8. They peaked in mid-January and could probably use a break. They’re the kind of team that usually loses six straight in February anyway. They are scheduled to close with four road games in their last six from Feb. 13 to Mar. 7. Therefore, we predict that the Hawkeyes will go “on pause” very soon after losing this game to the home dog that needs it more and guards better. |
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02-06-21 | Grizzlies +1.5 v. Pelicans | 109-118 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s a home invasion by the Grizzlies, who were in the Big Easy yesterday casing the joint while Van Gundy & Co. were battling and beating the Pacers at the wire in Indiana before taking a late-night flight back to New Orleans. The Pelicans aren’t always comfortable in their offense, and the Grizzlies have a way of disrupting the opposing offensive flow with deflections and steals. Fresh legs can propel the NBA’s steals-leading team to a fun night of transition buckets |
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02-06-21 | Warriors v. Mavs -4 | Top | 132-134 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NBA Game of the Week That home invasion situation against back-to-backing Dallas was certainly beneficial to the Warriors here on Thursday night, wasn’t it? It didn’t matter that they were lacking in frontcourt personnel. What mattered most is that the Warriors’ Kelly Oubre shot 14-for-21, including 7-for-10 on three-pointers. What mattered almost as much was Dallas firing 50 of their 92 shots from behind the three-point line against an opponent that wasn’t really prepared to stop them inside. If Rick Carlisle is half the coach we think he is, then he, hopefully, is making his players aware that they are the world’s biggest fools for playing that way, or telling himself that he’s the world’s worst coach and will prepare them better next time, which is this time. “This was a difficult lesson,” he said afterwards. No kidding! Put your learning to work! Consider that Golden State is 25-51-3 ATS in their last 79 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. |
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02-06-21 | Spurs +2 v. Rockets | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 10 Unit NBA Game of the Year Christian Wood scored 17 points on 7-of-10 shooting for Houston the other night before rolling his right ankle in the third quarter. He then left the arena in a wheelchair. Losing one big doesn’t have to harm a team in the short-term, and the Spurs haven’t covered the last three and LaMarcus Aldridge will be out for a while. There isn’t much veteran presence in his absence. But the last time the teams met, coach Popovich said that four or five of his Spurs players were "out to lunch" when a more depleted Rockets team beat them here 103-91 (Cousins, Wall, Gordon all out, Oladipo yet to show). Ya’ think they’ll be more focused for the Rockets this time around? Consider that Houston is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 1 days rest. |
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02-06-21 | Arizona v. Colorado -5 | Top | 79-82 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week The Buffs couldn’t be more ready to play a game, at least from the mental standpoint and pretty much from the preparation situation, too. First of all, they hate Arizona. Secondly, they were beaten in Tucson, 88-74 on Dec. 28. (Revenge!) Next, their Thursday game vs. Arizona State was postponed due to a cooties problem in or around ASU’s Hurley girlie program. While Arizona was fighting (flailing, really) at Utah on Thursday, the Buffs got some extra time to make whatever use they could out of it, as they come off that stinging home loss to Utah that was probably 99.9% theirs with 8:46 remaining until the 31-9 run hit. Ya’ think maybe they’ll guard whomever it is on Arizona that might be hot, so he doesn’t stay hot, if he even gets hot? Consider that Colorado is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite. |
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02-06-21 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs -184 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Maple Leafs have defeated every team in the North Division this season and have eight wins. The Canucks have two games left on a six-game trip that started last Saturday with a win over the Winnipeg Jets and continued with losses to the Montreal Canadiens on Monday and Tuesday. The Canucks will have to contend with Matthews, who has scored in five straight games for a total of six goals, and Mitchell Marner, who has points in six straight games (two goals, eight assists) after getting a goal and two assists on Thursday. The game on Thursday was the first for the Maple Leafs after taking seven of a possible eight points on an Alberta road trip. Toronto won twice at Calgary, then split a pair of games at Edmonton with an overtime loss. Consider that Toronto is 39-17 in their last 56 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game while Vancouver is 0-8 in the last 8 meetings in Toronto. |
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02-06-21 | Marshall v. Old Dominion UNDER 144 | Top | 87-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CBB Total of the Day The under is 4-1 in Monarchs last 5 overall, 8-2 in Monarchs last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 4-1 in Monarchs last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 5-2 in Monarchs last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. While the under is 7-3 in Thundering Herd last 10 games following a ATS loss. |
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02-06-21 | Nebraska v. Michigan State -11.5 | Top | 56-66 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Leaving home following a lengthy layoff at 0-5 in the Big Ten, for a road game against a desperate home team with back-class that’s on a four-game losing streak, is not what Nebraska head coach Fred Hoiberg envisioned as being the state of his team with one month left in the regular season. Off three straight losses, the last two against Top 10 opponents, the Spartans return home, drop in class, and get what they need, with lessons learned from the 84-77 win at Nebraska on Jan. 2. Consider that Nebraska is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall. |
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02-06-21 | Nuggets v. Kings +3.5 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings are riding an up-curve in their ongoing match-ups vs. the Nuggets. Last season, a bad one for them and a good one for Denver, they lost by only 7 and 5 points, and won in overtime. This season, they’ve already beaten the Nuggets twice outright as the underdog -- in Denver on opening night in overtime, then by 10 points at home six days later. With these competitive outings under their belt vs. the guys in Denver uniforms, Luke Walton’s bunch certainly won’t lack for confidence, which will be further buoyed by the five wins in their last six games. Do the Nuggets have what it takes to bear down and deal with this new nuisance? They are coming off a season-low 93 points at the Lakers, a very good defensive team. The possibility for an offensive bounce-back exists but can they get enough scoreboard separation if shooting guards Gary Harris and P.J. Dozier are out? |
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02-06-21 | Coastal Carolina v. South Alabama | 66-70 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Look for better shooting results for the visitor after netting only 32.8% from the field in last night’s 71-65 loss. The energy that South Alabama didn’t have to prevent 21 offensive rebounds by the Chanticleers will be down a few notches for this instant re-hook. Guard Michael Flowers is a good player for the home team but he played all 40 minutes for his game-high 28 points after the sun went down yesterday. South Alabama is 1-2 SU and ATS in second of back-to-backs, the win/cover against a Georgia Southern team that can’t hit water from a boat, and one of the losses to tonight’s opponent. |
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02-06-21 | Lipscomb v. Stetson UNDER 137.5 | Top | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Rebound Total of the Day The under is 4-0 in Bison last 4 Saturday games. While the under is |
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02-06-21 | North Dakota v. Denver +2.5 | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The home side is desperate! Denver has yet to beat a Division 1 foe this season (0-13). This is the second opportunity for them to take advantage of a second of back-to-backs on their home floor at 5,200 feet of altitude. They covered the other (vs. Oral Roberts) when they lost by 9, taking 10.5. They’re not good, so if they’re gonna take advantage, it probably won’t be easy but ya’ gotta try out these rare "favorable" situations that don’t exist in other years |
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02-06-21 | Belmont -16.5 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 94-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Schedule-overload seventh game in 12 days for Edwardsville, a perpetual Ohio Valley also ran with no college hoops class and very little depth. To be playing it against Belmont – perennial challenger for the OVC title and multi-NCAA Tournament performer – seems like the worst possible draw for their situation. To be playing it against Belmont when Belmont is 19-1, 13-0 in conference) with a +17.8 scoring differential in OVC play, and the Bruins don’t play again until Thursday, would seem to increase the blowout potential. The score when they met at Belmont on Jan. 23 was 114-62, so if Belmont wins by half as much this time, it’s still 26 points. |
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02-06-21 | Canadiens -240 v. Senators | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Murray (2-4-1, 4.40 goals-against average) could be back in net for the Senators, who are playing their first home game since Jan. 21. Backup Marcus Hogberg (0-4-0, 4.54 GAA), though, could be in line for his fourth start of the season. Either will try to help the Senators hand Montreal back-to-back losses for the first time in 2020-21. Thursday's defeat marked just the second time this season that the Canadiens lost in regulation. Josh Anderson scored for the third time in two games and seventh overall for the Canadiens, who admit they were outplayed all over the ice after owning an 11-5 goal advantage in sweeping Vancouver over the previous two contests. The Canadiens' Carey Price (4-1-2, 2.81 GAA) saw his three-game winning streak come to a halt after yielding three goals on 22 shots. He's stopped 90 of 93 shots during a personal three-game winning stretch at Ottawa. Jake Allen, who's posted a 2.02 goals-against average and .930 save percentage while winning three of his first four starts for Montreal, could also get the nod on Saturday. Consider that Ottawa is 13-43 in their last 56 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. |
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02-06-21 | Alabama v. Missouri +3 | Top | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the Day ‘Tell me how will you score the upset that isn’t really an upset? Tell me, Cuonzo, Cuonzo, Cuonzo!’ Alabama has had an early “peak.” We were on them early, had Mississippi State against them recently when all MSU did was muck up the game, forcing Alabama play slow and ugly. At Oklahoma a week ago, it was basically the same thing. Missouri’s band has been together as long as anyone in the SEC and Cuonzo’s preferred game was always slow and ugly until this group finally got some cohesion and could play more up-and-down this season. Now, the Tigers are versatile but not to the point where they’ll try to trade threes in a fast-paced game, and they’ll run the Tide off the three-point line as often as possible. Consider that Missouri is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. |
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02-05-21 | Pistons +8 v. Suns | 92-109 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It really is a shame that Detroit’s Monday game at Denver was postponed and a great anti-Pistons situation couldn’t occur when they played at Utah the next night. For this, they’ve had two days to prep, in town Wednesday while the Suns were losing that night in New Orleans. Still no Dario Saric or Damion Jones for Phoenix. Forwards Frank Kaminsky and Cameron Johnson were -17 and -25 plus-minus in the loss at New Orleans, as they should be. There are enough points available to make the lousy road dog a tempting commodity in this spot. |
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02-05-21 | Boise State v. Nevada +4.5 | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There’s no place like Lawlor (Center), it seems, for Nevada, which can’t seem to win a game away from Reno these days but has been very tough to beat in Reno. To wit: the home team has won eight straight games involving the Wolf Pack. And, the good news for Steve Alford’s crew is that it is at home tonight, as Nevada was within the last week when twice taking out downstate UNLV by double-digit margins. Alford has been getting some big production in recent weeks from Wichita State transfer G Grant Sherfield (18.3 ppg), who has scored 20 or more in seven of the last ten games. |
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02-05-21 | South Dakota v. South Dakota State -6.5 | Top | 64-56 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Summit League Play of the Day The visitor is 8-0 atop the Summit League, and also beat South Dakota State in a hastily scheduled, neutral site, third-game-in-three-nights situation for both sides back on Dec. 12, a game which did not count in the conference standings. Here we are in February for a re-match. South Dakota’s 8-0 was accomplished vs. the bottom four teams in the conference (who are 4-24 combined). The home side watched South Dakota’s Stanley Umide go for 41 points in the game that didn’t really count for much, and is thinking, ‘You only got 11 and 15 points against us last year.” SDS’ second-leading scorer, senior forward Douglas Wilson didn’t play in that game. Consider that South Dakota State is 29-9-1 ATS in their last 39 games following a ATS loss. |
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02-05-21 | Wizards +6.5 v. Heat | 95-122 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite a 3-8 SU mark last 11 against Miami, Washington has compiled a 7-2 spread mark the last 9 against the Heat, including 5 straight covers at American Airlines Arena. That includes the Wizards 103-100 win at Miami on Wednesday night (their 2nd cover in 2 games vs. the Heat this season), when Washington G Bradley Beal scored 32 pts., leading his team to a win despite the fact that Russell Westbrook was rested. Look for another razor-thin, make-and-a-miss decision in this one. |
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02-05-21 | Jazz v. Hornets +8.5 | 138-121 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hornets fell to 0-3 vs. the 76ers this young season on Wednesday night. Philly is just not a good match-up for them, as one could easily surmise by envisioning Cody Zeller being posterized by Joel Embiid for 31 minutes. For this, the home dog is rested and catches the Jazz playing the second of back-to-backs, coming out of Atlanta last night. Hot, first-place teams like Jazz can overcome negative situations against habitual also rans like the Hornets. But Charlotte’s Gordon Heyward and LaMelo Ball present some challenges that didn’t exist when the Jazz won here (and home) with rest against the Hornets last season. The Hornets’ new trait of hanging in there in second halves can serve them well against the second of back-to-backers. |
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02-05-21 | Lipscomb v. Stetson UNDER 138 | Top | 68-73 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAB Total of the Day Notes to consider... This one gets re-scheduled for tonight after last Friday’s postponement, which caused some now-familiar re-shuffling of the A-Sun schedule last weekend. The Mad Hatters instead got FGCU and eventually broke a 4-game skid when beating the Eagles on Saturday, which also snapped a 5-game Stetson “under” streak. Prior to that 77-66 win, Stetson was only scoring 63 ppg in its previous six league games, as HC Donnie Jones has a tight rein on his troops, who often rely upon soph G Rob Perry (such as the win over FGCU, when he scored 30). Lipscomb not especially dynamic, either, scoring just 66 ppg its last six A-Sun games |
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02-05-21 | Predators v. Panthers -126 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bobrovsky, who made 35 saves but blew a 5-3 third-period lead, likely will get a rest on Friday. Backup Chris Driedger has been brilliant this season with a 2-0-1 record, a .937 save percentage and a 1.95 goals-against average. Quenneville, meanwhile, made a crucial strategic decision that backfired after Nashville's Roman Josi scored to cut Florida's lead to 5-4 with 2:06 left in the third period. After the goal, Florida challenged the play due to what the Panthers believed was a high stick. The challenge was denied, and, by rule, the Panthers were hit with a two-minute penalty. Nashville then pulled its goalie for a six-on-four advantage, and that's when Duchene scored to set up overtime. Consider that Florida is 35-17 in their last 52 vs. a team with a losing record. |
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02-05-21 | Bruins -132 v. Flyers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Philadelphia Flyers have struggled mightily against the Boston Bruins all season. The Flyers will look to snap a frustrating trend when they host the Bruins again on Friday. Philadelphia couldn't hold a two-goal lead and fell 4-3 in overtime to the Bruins on Wednesday, dropping the Flyers to 0-3 against Boston this season. Consider that Boston is 39-16 in their last 55 games following a win. |
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02-05-21 | Pelicans v. Pacers -1 | 114-113 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana just 6-8 SU in their last 14 games, but road wins have been hard to come by for New Orleans, which has dropped 7 of its last 9 on the road SU and failed to cover the last 3. That Pelican record thanks in large part to poor defensive efforts that have also correlated to a 4-0 “over” mark in L4 away from their nest. That being said, Pel F Zion Williamson developing into a force, scoring 26 ppg and shooting 62% over his last 12 games, and he’s receiving ample support from F Brandon Ingram and Gs Eric Bledsoe. Still feel Pacers hold edge and number seems a bit thin with talent like Domantas Sabonis (26 ppg, 11 rpg, 63% L5Gs) and Malcolm Brogdon (22 ppg L13) on board and Jeremy Lamb shooting 45% from beyond the arc and scoring 13 ppg since returning from his ACL rehab. |
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02-05-21 | CS Bakersfield v. Cal-Irvine -6 | Top | 53-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big West Play of the Day The Fabulous Bakersfield Boys have won four Big West road games and in a fifth, lost in overtime. They’ve also won at Pepperdine by 17 points, a team that beat Cal-Irvine by 15 points. Oh, if it was only that easy, right? The host Anteaters are the Big West’s top dog, never primed to play their best early in the season but usually ready to jump from the starting blocks when the conference light goes on. They’ve been forewarned about the uppityness of this visitor, and just had a seven-game winning streak snapped in overtime at Hawaii over the weekend. At 5-1 in conference to Bakersfield’s 7-3, the Anteaters need to make sure that when the visitor leaves here after tomorrow night, it will make the trip northward still with more losses than Irvine. Consider that Irvine is 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 home games. |
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02-05-21 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Green Bay -5.5 | 80-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The home side is off back-to-back road losses at Horizon League leader Cleveland State. The visitor is last in the Horizon League in both offensive and defensive field goal percentage (40.5% shooting, 50.2% shooting allowed). IUPUI is also last in the conference in rebounding margin (-4.8 per game). So, if they miss more than everyone else, and everyone else makes more against them, and they can’t grab enough boards, then this would seem to be a good spot for Green Bay to get back on the winning track, eh? |
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02-04-21 | Montana -1 v. Portland State | 70-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Through six Big Sky games, Portland State has the conference’s worst field goal percentage: 37.6%. That’s one of the nation’s worst, too. A habitually strong defensive squad like Montana doesn’t figure to allow them to suddenly start making shots more frequently. PSU’s Assist/Turnover ratio is -4.5. |
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02-04-21 | Rockets +3.5 v. Grizzlies | 115-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Memphis just had its 7-game win streak snapped in Indiana on Tuesday in a 134-116 setback, while Houston similarly is coming off a loss at Oklahoma City last night that ended the Rockets’ 6-game win skein. Houston G John Wall was rested against the Thunder last night, likely in anticipation that he would be good to go against Griz’ PG Ja Morant in this one. Memphis has been missing C Jonas Valanciunas and G Grayson Allen due to Covid protocols for a few games, and Morant almost reinjured his bad ankle on Monday and made just 2 of 10 shots on Tuesday. Feel Houston the more talented club (Wall, Oladipo, Eric Gordon, DeMarcus Cousins all AS-level in their careers and Christian Wood will be there soon). |
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02-04-21 | Hurricanes -181 v. Blackhawks | 4-6 | Loss | -181 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Carolina Hurricanes will go for their sixth win in a row when they visit the Chicago Blackhawks tonight. Carolina is coming off a 4-3 win in the shootout round against the Blackhawks two nights earlier. It marked the second straight shootout victory for the Hurricanes, who have only one loss on the season. Andrei Svechnikov, Warren Foegele and Vincent Trocheck each scored during the first 60 minutes for Carolina. Svechnikov added the goal during the shootout round that lifted Carolina to its fifth straight win. James Reimer earned the victory Tuesday against the Blackhawks by stopping 30 of 33 shots in regulation and overtime, as well as stopping all three attempts by the Blackhawks in the shootout round. Reimer improved to a perfect 4-0-0 this season with a 2.19 GAA and a .915 save percentage. |
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02-04-21 | Blazers +10 v. 76ers | 121-105 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia is coming off a 118-111 win at Charlotte last night, led by Joel Embiid’s 34 pts., while Portland was off last night. Blazers are 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 against the points the last few years against Philly, but things have changed with the Trail Blazers lineup compromised by injuries, while the maturing Sixers are fighting for the best record in the East. That being said, Philly has yet to cover (0-4) this season playing the 2nd of back-to-back games, despite Sixer trio of Embiid, Ben Simmons and Tobias Harris each playing in 3 of the 4 chances. |
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02-04-21 | Predators v. Panthers -109 | 6-5 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nashville is 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game, 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss of 3 or more goals, 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog, and 0-6 in their last 6 road games. While Florida is 6-2 in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game and 35-17 in their last 52 vs. a team with a losing record. |
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