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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-24-16 | Florida v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 97 h 16 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #384 Take Tennessee Volunteers over Florida Gators (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) I just cannot get out of my head how well Tennessee played to close out the 2015 season. Sooner or later they will get back to that level since they return most of their 2015 talent. It has not really happened this season but this is the game they will breakout and performance at a high level. They have no excuses not to be up for this game since Florida has beaten them 11 straight years. But the Gators will be without their starting quarterback and that does not bode well playing in a hostile environment. All three of Tennessee’s victories this season have come over the posted number for today’s game. Tennessee is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Florida is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.  |
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09-17-16 | Oregon +3 v. Nebraska | Top | 32-35 | Push | 0 | 68 h 3 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #167 Take Oregon Ducks over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Saturday 12:30 pm ABC) Nonconference Game of the Year. Do not be misled by the final score of the Wyoming – Nebraska game last week. It was 24-17 before Wyoming had four consecutive turnovers giving Nebraska 28 fourth quarter points and the cover. Oregon will not be as giving and will make Nebraska go the length of the field in order to score points. That is something QB Tommy Armstrong struggles to do, as he did not look that impressive last week and has trouble hitting is receivers in stride. Throw in the fact that Mike Riley is just 4-10 against Oregon and we will gladly take the points with the better and more talented team. The Ducks will never reach the heights they did under Marcus Mariota but they still have an explosive system that can put on points in the blink of the eye. Despite being a decent Michigan State team last year with the help of a controversial call, Nebraska has underperformed in big games through most of the last decade and whenever fans start to believe in this team they just lay an egg. Oregon is 22-5 ATS in their last 27 road games. The points are just icing on the cake as Oregon will win this game straight-up. |
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09-10-16 | South Carolina v. Mississippi State -6.5 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 71 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #364 Take Mississippi State Bulldogs over South Carolina Gamecocks (Saturday 7 pm ESPN 2) SEC Game of the Year. We went against the Bulldogs last week and won outright despite getting 28.5 points! Now the odds makers feel that the public will overreact to that game and put a pile of money on South Carolina since they won on the road last week in Nashville. That just sets up great for us and we will gladly lay less than a touchdown with a much better team that is used to the Dan Mullen system. Mississippi State should have knocked out South Alabama last week as they jumped out to a 17-0 lead before falling apart in the second half. South Carolina does not have a high powered offense and Will Muschamp was fired at Florida for his lack of innovation. South Carolina will not be able to cover this spread unless the score in the twenties and I expect them to struggle doing that. Both teams play multiple quarterbacks but Dan Mullen is the better offense coach and thus the Bulldogs will bounce back in a big way on Saturday. South Carolina is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. Mississippi State is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 SEC games. Beating Vanderbilt is one thing, but Mississippi State is clearly a step-up from that bottom feeder program and will be USC by double digits allowing us to collect big in the process.  |
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09-03-16 | Hawaii v. Michigan -40 | Top | 3-63 | Win | 100 | 112 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #156 Take Michigan Wolverines over Hawaii Warriors (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) This is a ton of points to be laying but I just do not see anyway Hawaii keeps it close. Hawaii is faced with a brutal travel situation having played in Australia last Friday late night and now must come to Michigan this week. Hawaii faced two Big 10 teams last year in Wisconsin and Iowa and they failed to score a single point in either of those two games. I do not believe this Hawaii team is better than the 2015 version despite an upgrade in coaching. This is a complete rebuild for new coach and I believe they will lose this game by 50 points. Michigan is expecting big things this year and they could not ask for an easier start to the season with six of their first seven games at home. Michigan is 23-3 in home openers and if a bad Hawaii team can get pounded by Cal last week (backdoor covered that game) I just do not see that happening today. Jim Harbaugh is not the type of coach to take the foot of the peddle and allow Hawaii to backdoor cover this game. Michigan gets close to 60 points and wins this game and covers the spread. |
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12-26-15 | Indiana -2 v. Duke | Top | 41-44 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #231 Take Indiana Hoosiers over Duke Blue Devils (Pinstripe Bowl, Saturday, 12/26 3:30 pm ABC) Nothing better than watching a football game in a baseball stadium but that will be the case today when the Hoosiers invade the Big Apple. Indiana has a very shaky defense but a good offense that can put up points. But this play is more about going against Duke, as they have yet to recover from their loss to Miami that featured some bad calls by the officials. The Blue Devils would go on to lose their next three games and only beat Wake Forest by six points in their season finale. Duke gave up over 350 yards per game passing in their last four games and expect the Hoosiers to move up and down the football field. Duke has lost three straight bowl games and actually has not won a bowl game since 1961. Indiana finished the season strong with two blowout wins and was very competitive with Ohio State, Iowa, and Michigan. Indiana played a very difficult schedule and thus their 6-6 record does not look that bad. Duke is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Indiana is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 nonconference games. |
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12-05-15 | Air Force v. San Diego State -6.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 102 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #328 Take San Diego State Aztecs over Air Force Falcons (MWC Championship Game, Saturday, 7:30 pm ESPN 2) Nobody expected the Aztecs to run the table in the MWC going a perfect 8-0 and they have yet to have a competitive game. Air Force still is a triple option and I expect the Aztec defense to be ready for it, as they have the best defense in the conference. The host team has won both MWC Championship games and tonight should be no different. SDSU has the best player in the league in Donnel Pumphrey and Air Force will have no answer for him, as the Falcons gave up 377 rushing yards last week against New Mexico. San Diego State is 4-1 against Air Force and a perfect 5-0 ATS. SDSU is 6-2 in their last 8 home games against Mountain West teams. Air Force is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road Mountain West games. San Diego State has won 8 straight games by double digits and 10 straight home games against MWC teams (25 point margin of victory). This is a high powered train and we will ride them to another victory. |
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11-28-15 | Northwestern -3.5 v. Illinois | Top | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 75 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #195 Take Northwestern Wildcats over Illinois Fighting Illini (3:30 pm ESPN U) The Wildcats have rebounded nicely after a two-game losing streak to win their last four games. They are coming off a nice victory at Wisconsin and have a big advantage since this neutral game in being played in Chicago. The Illini need this game to become bowl eligible, but they will not get it since Northwestern is the better-rounded team. Illinois has lost five of their last six games, with their only win during this time coming against hapless Purdue. Northwestern is 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games following an ATS victory in their previous game. |
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11-21-15 | Notre Dame -17 v. Boston College | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -106 | 123 h 19 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #407 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Boston College Eagles (Saturday 7:30 pm NBC) The Eagles have a solid defense and a terrible offense. This team has trouble moving the football at all through the ground or the air and they are one of the worst offenses in the entire country. They have major quarterback issues and this is causing their defense to wear down as the season goes on. We went against Boston College in their last two home games as top plays and easily collected on both of them despite so-so teams in Virginia Tech and NC State. Notre Dame has a clear path into the playoffs if they just win out, but expect them to go for some style points in this night game on national TV. Both teams will be pumped about playing at Fenway Park, but I just do not see Boston College being able to score enough points to stay within this posted number. Boston College is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Notre Dame is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games. Notre Dame gradually increases their lead to wins this by close to 28 points. |
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11-07-15 | Michigan State -4.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 38-39 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 32 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #421 Take Michigan State Spartans over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Saturday 7 pm ESPN) If it has not become clear by now that the Mike Riley hire is a failure and the AD who made that hire is in serious trouble. Nebraska is 3-6 on the season and they have lost four of their last five games. This team has lost in a variety of ways but how you can give up 55 points to Purdue and lose by double digits is beyond me. Now they face the toughest team on their schedule and we will gladly lay this number with a team is starting to hit their stride. The Spartans are coming off of a bye and they have won two straight games against Nebraska. Last year’s final was 27-22 but it was not as close as it would seem with Nebraska trailing 27-3 in that game. The Spartans have not been as dominating as they were last year but they are still undefeated and played their best game of the season last time out putting up 52 points against Indiana. Michigan State still has a great quarterback in Connor Cook and he has 17 touchdowns on the season and just two interceptions. Nebraska QB Tommy Armstrong will likely return but much of his production has come in the second half or against bad teams. Michigan State is 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 road games. Nebraska is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning road record. These two teams are heading in opposite directions and Nebraska cannot get out of its own way. |
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11-07-15 | NC State -3.5 v. Boston College | Top | 24-8 | Win | 100 | 113 h 0 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #357 Take NC State Wolfpack over Boston College Eagles (Saturday, November 7th, 2015, 12:30 pm ESPN 3) We went against Boston College for our 6-unit selection last week against Virginia Tech and will come right back fading them this week. Boston College has a good defense but they have one of the worst offenses in the entire country. They have major quarterback issues and they have lost five straight games including just 300 yards of total offense combined in their last two games. NC State took a body blow from the best team in the ACC last week. They hung with Clemson for a little bit but just could not get off the field enough to win the game. They should have a much easier time stopping Boston College on Saturday, an Eagles team that cannot get out of their own way. North Carolina State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. Lay the points with the better team. |
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10-31-15 | Virginia Tech -2 v. Boston College | Top | 26-10 | Win | 100 | 94 h 3 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #193 Take Virginia Tech Hokies over Boston College Eagles (Saturday 12:30 pm ESPN 3) Both teams are coming off heartbreaking losses last week but Virginia Tech has a much better offense than does Boston College. QB Michael Brewer is back from injury and this will be his second start since returning and he should be even better in this game. Boston College has a strong defense but a terrible offense evident by the fact they had only 79 total yards last week and 4 first downs against Louisville. Their 14 points were the result of two short fields with a blocked punt and a fumble return. Boston College has major quarterback issues and they are completing just 43% of their passes and that includes games against Maine and Howard. Boston College is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their 5 home games. If Virginia Tech can ovoid turnovers they should roll to a victory. |
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10-24-15 | Utah +3.5 v. USC | Top | 24-42 | Loss | -106 | 120 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #345 Take Utah Utes over USC Trojans (Saturday 7:30 pm FOX) Utah will put their undefeated record on the line tonight in Los Angeles taking on USC. The Trojans have an interim coach and they have already lost two games at the Coliseum this season. USC had some moments last week against Notre Dame but still suffered a double digit loss and I do not see them being able to turn things around tonight. USC has lost three of their last four games I believe Utah is a better team that Washington and Notre Dame. Utah has a very aggressive style of defense that will pose problems for Cody Kessler. Utah is very balanced on offense and getting points with the better team is just icing on the cake. Utah is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. USC is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning road record. |
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10-10-15 | San Jose State -2.5 v. UNLV | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 73 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #407 Take San Jose State Spartans over UNLV Rebels (Saturday 9 pm the MWC) The Rebels were lucky to escape last week against Nevada as they did nothing in the second half but got a key pick-six to hang on for the victory. I do not see them being as fortunate in this game against San Jose State. I am a real big fan of Spartan QB Joy Gray and he has held his own against some stiff competition including Auburn last week. San Jose State actually outgained Auburn last week and should be the same this week since Rebel starting quarterback Blake Decker is out again this time with a shoulder injury. It is important for San Jose State to stop the running game of UNLV and if they do that they should be victorious. The Spartans have a pair of big name coordinators in Greg Robinson and Al Borges and expect them to come up with a solid gameplan to defeat a coach that was at a high school one year ago. SJSU is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a losing record. UNLV has covered just 1 of their last 4 home games. |
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10-03-15 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State -8 | Top | 34-36 | Loss | -106 | 123 h 58 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #148 Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over Kansas State Wildcats (Saturday 4 pm FS1) We will come right back with the Cowboys in this game and feel they will be more relaxed than they were last week playing in Austin. We pushed with the Pokes in a game we should have won as the Longhorns offense was completely shut down in the second half. But key turnovers kept Texas in that game and we had to settle for a push. After a bad beat (push) I always like to use the same team against in the following week as things have a way of evening themselves out. The Wildcats have reverted back to Bill Snyder form in scheduling cupcakes during the nonconference portion of the season and they have not really looked that impressive in those games. They are coming off a bye but I do not believe they are ready for Big 12 play. They already share a common opponent in UTSA with the Pokes beating them by 55 points compared to a 27 point victory by the Wildcats. Oklahoma State also has revenge on their minds losing by 34 points last year in Manhattan but the home team has won 8 of the last 9 meetings. I am a big fan of DC Glenn Spencer and feel he will come up with a solid gameplan to stifle this questionable Wildcats offense. Oklahoma State takes better care of the football on Saturday and wins this game by double digits. |
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09-26-15 | Colorado State v. Texas-San Antonio +9 | Top | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #384 Take UTSA Roadrunners over Colorado State Rams (Saturday 7 pm CBSSN) The MWC has been one of the most disappointing conferences this season and the Rams must travel on the road for the first time this season. Colorado State should not be laying this many points to anybody on the road. CSU is coming off an overtime loss to Colorado and I expect them to come into this game a little flat. The Roadrunners have played a brutal schedule to open the season and they sit at 0-3 but those losses came against Oklahoma State, Kansas State, and Arizona. This is a fade play against the MWC. |
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09-12-15 | Arizona v. Nevada +11.5 | Top | 44-20 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #372 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over Arizona Wildcats (Saturday 7 pm CBSSN) Nonconference Game of the Year! We saw last week that many power five teams struggled to put away and cover the spread against mid-majors in true road games. Tonight we have a line that is way off the mark, as Arizona is not the team they were last year. These two teams have met twice in the last three years and both times Arizona was a big favorite but Nevada covered the game with relative ease. That included losing by just seven points last year in Tucson despite being a 19 point underdog. Arizona looked awful against UTSA last week and this is a Road Runner team that returned just 6 of 22 starters from a 4 win team last year. Arizona got two defensive touchdowns but gave up 29 first downs and 525 total yards to UTSA. Nevada always prides themselves on holding onto the football and winning the turnover battle and if they accomplish this they will take this game right down to the wire. Nevada’s game against UC-Davis was a little misleading, as they gave up two late meaningless scores to make the game closer than what it actually way. Nevada has a solid defense and despite breaking in a new quarterback should be able to move the football on this suspect Wildcat defense. Throw in the fact that Arizona will be without PAC-12 Defensive Player of the Year in Scooby Wright and that just means this line is way off the mark. Take the points and I truly believe Nevada has a great chance to win this game straight-up. |
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09-05-15 | Georgia Southern v. West Virginia -19.5 | Top | 0-44 | Win | 100 | 221 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #196 Take West Virginia Mountaineers over Georgia Southern Eagles (Saturday 4:30 pm ROOT Sports) The Mountaineers had an up and down season last year with some impressive wins but really feel apart down the stretch of the season losing 4 of their last 5 games. Now Dana Holgorsen is on the hot seat and he needs to get off to a good start and has three winnable games to open up the season. They returns most of their starters on defense but have to replace Clint Trickett at quarterback. To me this is a good thing as I never though much of the former transfer from Florida State. The open with Georgia Southern, a triple option team that ran the table in the Sun Belt last season. To me I always like playing against triple option teams coming off a long layoff as West Virginia has been able to focus all summer on stopping this attack. The Mountaineers are 15-1 in home openers winning by an average of 29 points per game. That will be good enough for a cover in this contest. |
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01-02-15 | UCLA -1.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 40-35 | Win | 100 | 76 h 26 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #269 Take UCLA Bruins over Kansas State Wildcats (Alamo Bowl, Friday January 2nd 6:45 pm ESPN) Bowl Game of the Year. The talent edge in this game greatly favors the Bruins in this game. Kansas State is a very well coached team and they do not beat themselves but that does not get it done when playing top tier teams. UCLA dominated in their bowl game last year and that is how I see this game going as well. This will be the last game for QB Brett Hundley and I expect him to go out with a bang. The Wildcats finished 9-3 on the season but all three of those losses came against teams that had better talent than they did. They lost by double digits to Baylor and TCU and we have now found out that beating Oklahoma is not that impressive. Kansas State gave up 553 yards to TCU and 584 yards to Baylor and most of their impressive defensive numbers came against lesser teams. Despite laying an egg in their last game against Stanford, UCLA had won five straight games and righted the ship in a big way after back to back losses at home. I just do not believe Kansas State has the playmakers to threaten this UCLA defense and feel the Bruins will pull away in the second half and win this game comfortably. Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games. UCLA is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a double digit loss at home. |
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12-20-14 | Nevada v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 3-16 | Win | 100 | 117 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #202 Take Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns over Nevada Wolf Pack (New Orleans Bowl, Saturday 11 am ESPN) This is a major home field edge for the Ragin’ Cajuns as they are playing in New Orleans for a fourth straight year and look to complete the Superfecta on Saturday with four straight wins. Nevada players are happy to be in New Orleans, but the fan base will not be able to support them as the team had just 13 days and fans have bought just over 100 tickets. Nevada has been a slow starting team all season long and have not played well down the stretch losing two of their last three games against so-so teams in Air Force, UNLV, and Fresno State. Nevada could have lost to UNLV as well were it not for the Vegas quarterback falling apart in the second half despite having a lead at halftime. Nevada has not seen a quarterback as good as Terrance Broadway since October 11th and he should be able to pick apart this suspect Wolf Pack defense. Louisiana has only lost 1 game since September 21st and they will enter this game with a lot of confidence. This is a dual threat team and I expect them to move the ball up and down the field for 60 minutes. Nevada is a penny pinching team and thus their bowl experience will not be enjoyable as most team get to experience. The Pack have lost two straight bowl games and just do not have the weapons at wide receiver to exploit ULL. Nevada is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 bowl games. ULL is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played during December. |
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12-06-14 | Florida State -3.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 15 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #125 Take Florida State Seminoles over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (ACC Championship, Saturday, 8 pm ABC) I am done proclaiming that Florida State is due for a breakout game because they have not done that at any point down the stretch. That being said they are much more talented than Georgia Tech especially without DeAndre Smelter as he is doubtful for this game with a knee injury. That is a major void for Georgia Tech and I do not feel that they will be able to overcome this loss at wide receiver. Florida State is 13-2 straight-up against Georgia Tech. People seem to believe that playing a triple option team is impossible to prepare for but I do not believe that is true. Florida State has speed and that is how you prevent big plays. The Noles will be able to move the football through the air at will and win this game by double digits. Florida State is 12-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 neutral site games. Georgia Tech is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of December. |
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11-29-14 | Nevada -9.5 v. UNLV | Top | 49-27 | Win | 100 | 127 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #406 Take UNLV Runnin Rebels over Nevada Wolf Pack (Saturday 10:30 pm ESPN U) We have a great feel for this Nevada team and have not lost any selections for or against them this season. The Wolf Pack had an appearance in the MWC Championship Game in their grasp but feel apart last week against Fresno State (We had the Bulldogs +8). Now they face an angry UNLV team that pissed away a game last week in Hawaii and this is the game that have had circled for over a month. Nevada is not a good passing team and is not good on defense defending the pass. These two things will all UNLV to keep this game close and take it down to the wire. Nevada may get the cannon back but it will come in a battle that is close throughout. Nevada is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a losing record at home. |
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11-22-14 | Louisville v. Notre Dame -3.5 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -106 | 97 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #180 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Louisville Cardinals (Saturday 3:30 pm NBC) Notre Dame is coming off a humiliating loss to Northwestern and many believe that their season is crumbling at the moment. I am not one of those people and feel they will bounce back in a big way today against Louisville. Both teams have issues at quarterback as the Cardinals will be playing their back-up quarterback in this game in Reggie Bonnafon. Despite their performance the last couple of weeks I still believe in this Notre Dame defense and feel they will be able to contain the running game of Louisville. Everett Golson is an effective quarterback when he does not turn over the football and he will be able to move the football on this aggressive Louisville defense. Notre Dame is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Louisville is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of November. |
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11-15-14 | Florida State -1 v. Miami (Fla) | Top | 30-26 | Win | 100 | 102 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #371 Take Florida State Seminoles over Miami Hurricanes (Saturday 8 pm ABC) Everyone keeps saying Florida State will run the table but yet the pointspreads in their games say otherwise. Miami was ranked No. 7 in the country when these two teams met last season and got pounded by 27 points in a game that was not close. Florida State has won their last 4 games in Miami and I just do not believe this young Miami quarterback can exploit this FSU defense. Since Miami moved out of the Orange Bowl to play at Sun Life Stadium, there home crowd edge has been nonexistent. Florida State still has the best player on the field in Jameis Winston and he has not lost a game when he is the starting quarterback. Miami is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Expect FSU to have a strong following in South Florida, as the Noles punch their ticket to the ACC Championship Game. |
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11-08-14 | Iowa -1.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 14-51 | Loss | -106 | 94 h 3 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #123 Take Iowa Hawkeyes over Minnesota Golden Gophers (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 2) Big 10 Game of the Year. Minnesota is doing the same thing again! They beat up on a weak schedule to start the 2013 season and history is again repeating itself. Minnesota is coming off an embarrassing loss to Illinois two weeks ago and that is not when you want to have a bye week which occurred last week. Iowa on the other hand is also 3-1 in the Big 10 and they are coming off their best performance of the season dominating Northwestern from start to finish. Minnesota was playing much better than Iowa when these two teams met in the Twin Cities last year (Minn was 6-1) and Iowa dominated that game from start to finish winning 23-7. Iowa has outscored Minnesota 41-0 in the first half in their last two meetings. Iowa has also been outstanding on the road covering the pointspread in 8 of their last 9 road games. This is just a case of two teams heading in opposite directions. Minnesota will be lucky to win one of their last four games (they will be an underdog in all four games). Iowa always losses a game they should not lose early in the season but by the end of November this team has things figured out and you can expect another monster effort today in Minneapolis, a short drive for many Hawkeye fans. Iowa has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. |
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11-01-14 | Utah State -2.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 112 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #409 Take Utah State Aggies over Hawaii Warriors (Saturday 11 pm the MWC) Yes I know Utah State has lost three quarterbacks to injury this season and they are likely down to people in the parking lot, but they still have enough to beat Hawaii. Nevada did not play very well last week especially in the first half and still pounded Hawaii (a late TD by the Warriors made the score closer). Utah State has by far and away the best defense in the Mountain West and I was encouraged by the Kent Myers who came in and moved the football once Craig Harrison went down. Hawaii is in total shambles with zero home crowd edge (the stands last week were almost empty) and a coach that is just past his prime. Hawaii hung with a couple of PAC-12 teams early in the season but that seems like a decade ago and this team is just not the same without Joey Iosefa. The Aggies have one of the best defense in the country, especially against the run and will win this game by double digits. It does not matter who starts at quarterback for the Aggies, the talent at the other spots is too much for the Warriors to stay close. Lay the small change in this game. |
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10-24-14 | BYU v. Boise State -7 | Top | 30-55 | Win | 100 | 79 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #114 Take Boise State Broncos over BYU Cougars (Friday 9 pm ESPN) Boise State did not look that impressive last week against Fresno State but they still won the game! That is more than BYU can say as they lost to Nevada as a double digit favorite at home. The fact remains that BYU is continuing to get too much respect from the odds makers. This is a completely different team without Taysom Hill and his back-up is just not up to par with numerous turnovers. BYU does not have the same rushing attack and thus have to rely more on the passing game. This is the best team BYU will have faced in 2014 and they are also playing a team with revenge from last season. The Broncos have won two straight games after their Air Force debacle including beating Nevada on the road and QB Grant Hedrick is playing much better of late with just one interception in his last two games. Boise State got run over last year in Provo and you can bet that does not sit well with the 2014 team. BYU is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Boise State is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning road record. We will keep fading the Cougars with these short numbers. |
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10-11-14 | Oregon -2.5 v. UCLA | Top | 42-30 | Win | 100 | 97 h 34 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #165 Take Oregon Ducks over UCLA Bruins (Saturday 3:30 pm FOX) This game has lost a little of its luster with both teams suffering setbacks last week and thus the loser of this game has no chance to make it into the 4 team playoff. That being said I expect Oregon to bounce back in a big way and get back into the win column. Oregon has shown signs of being dominant this season evident by their big win over Michigan State but the same cannot be said about UCLA. The Bruins has struggle in all of their games at some point including Arizona State. This UCLA team just does not have it this year and I have never thought Jim Mora Jr was a big time coach. QB Marcus Mariota is still a big time player and has the ability to beat you with his arm or his legs. Oregon has won 10 of the last 12 meetings with UCLA. Oregon is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games. UCLA is 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games played in October. Â |
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10-04-14 | Stanford v. Notre Dame +2 | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 95 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #368 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Stanford Cardinal (Saturday 3:30 pm NBC) Actually surprised that Stanford opened as a favorite in this game. Notre Dame is undefeated and played a decent schedule thus far and they have not had a competitive game thus far in 2014. Stanford already lost at home to a so-so USC team and they are vastly overrated this year and in this game. I also believe that Notre Dame has a major edge in coaching with Brian Kelly compared to David Shaw, as the latter tightens up in close games with a very conservative gameplan. Notre Dame has covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 non conference games. The defense of the Irish has made great strides under new DC Brian VanGorder and expect that to continue this week. |
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09-27-14 | Nevada -4.5 v. San Jose State | Top | 21-10 | Win | 100 | 105 h 9 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #205 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over San Jose State Spartans (Saturday 10:30 pm CBS Sports Network) College Football Game of the Year. Nevada is just a better team in 2014. They have a much better quarterback and they have vastly improved their defense this season. They are also playing a team that they have had great success against dating back to the WAC. Nevada has won five straight games in this series and 10 of the last 11 match-ups (8-3 ATS). Nevada was left for dead late last season and was a 7-point underdog against San Jose State and still beat them by 22 points! To make matters worse for San Jose State, they have had a quarterback change as Joe Gray will likely get the start today over Blake Jurich. The Spartans are just lost on offense without their quarterback and top wide receiver from last year. Nevada could easily be 3-0 on the season despite playing two PAC-12 teams. They dominated Washington State much better than Oregon did last week and if not for some questionable calls in Tucson they hung with Arizona as well. Nevada is also coming off a bye and that has allowed a couple of offensive linemen to get healthy and should allow their dominating running attack to find holes early and often in this game. QB Cody Fajardo has torn apart this team and tonight will be no different. |
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09-20-14 | Oregon -23.5 v. Washington State | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -106 | 103 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #363 Take Oregon Ducks over Washington State Cougars (Saturday 10:30 pm ESPN) The Ducks got things going against Wyoming after a slow start in the first quarter and I just do not see Washington State being able to stop Oregon whatsoever. Wazzou will throw every down and move the football a little big but sooner or later Oregon will go on a scoring run and never look back. Oregon has scored an average of 50 points in their last 4 games against Washington State. Oregon is usually a mid-30 point favorite against Wazzou and thus I do not see them getting backdoored in this game. |
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09-13-14 | UCLA -7 v. Texas | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #189 Take UCLA Bruins over Texas Longhorns (Saturday 8 pm FOX) Texas will put forth a better effort this week against UCLA but the fact remains that they just do not have much talent. New Coach Charlie Strong has laid down the law with suspensions and they have also been bitten by the injury bug as well. That came to a head last week when BYU destroyed them by a score of 41-7. The fact remains that UCLA is a better team than BYU and they also have a duel threat quarterback that can beat you with his arm or his legs. UCLA has not been that impressive this season in their two victories but I feel that have just been going through the motions waiting for ta big time game with a national audience. They have that here and expect a focus and determined effort. Texas is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against ranked teams on a neutral field. Texas was embarrassed by BYU in 2013 and even with revenge on their minds they still got run over last week. That just tells me they do not have the horses. Texas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. UCLA is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 nonconference games. |
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09-06-14 | Arizona State v. New Mexico +25 | Top | 58-23 | Loss | -106 | 99 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #360 Take New Mexico Lobos over Arizona State Sun Devils (Saturday 7 pm CBS Sports Network) No top 25 team lost as many starters as Arizona State did from 2013. Therefore I do not believe they will be able to run over teams especially on the road. New Mexico is not very good, but like Georgia Southern last week, they have a run based offense that an shorten the game especially if they can stay close early. Arizona State has dropped six straight road openers and this is just too many points for them to cover on the road. New Mexico always has a strong fan base and this should be a good crowd for both teams. Arizona State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. QB Taylor Kelly is good but I just do not believe he can cover this spread by himself. |
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08-30-14 | Western Michigan v. Purdue -10 | Top | 34-43 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #188/#160 Take Purdue Boilermakers over Western Michigan Broncos (Saturday 12 pm ESPN U) I am expecting big things from Purdue this year as Coach Darrell Hazell is in his second year of this major rebuilding project. Purdue has a ton of experience on both sides of the football and this is an important game since it will be one of the few games they are favored to win. Actually Purdue should win three of their four nonconference games but this is a must win if they are going to show any kind of improvement in 2014. Purdue is a perfect 3-0 in this series and Western Michigan was terrible last year matching Purdue’s 1-11 record. The Broncos have lost 19 straight road openers and I feel that Purdue will want to make a statement in this game to rally the fan base for 2014. Western Michigan is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against Big Ten teams. |
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12-30-13 | Ole Miss -3 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 146 h 47 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #233 Take Ole Miss Rebels over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Music City Bowl, Monday 12/30 3:15 pm ESPN) Mag 7 Game. Bowl Game of the Year. Fans in Atlanta are running out of patience with Paul Johnson and his triple option attack. For the most part he teams have been a middle of the pack team in a terrible conference and they struggle to move the football against teams with speed. That is what the Rebels have on defense and having a month to prepare for a triple option attack is a great thing. Fans have become so angry with the Yellow Jacket system and Coach Johnson has thrown the ball more this year than in past years. The quarterback position is a big edge for Ole Miss with a great run/pass option in Bo Wallace. Georgia Tech had five games this season where they allowed over 480 yards of offense. Georgia Tech is 1-4 in their last 5 bowl game and that lone win came last year against USC who did not have their quarterback in Matt Barkley. The Rebels have had a disappointing after a great nonconference portion of the season but they play in the SEC West, a much tougher division than the ACC Coastal that Duke won this season. Ole Miss pounded Pittsburgh last year in their bowl game and I see this as a double digit victory as well. Ole Miss is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 bowl games. Georgia Tech is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.
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12-07-13 | Utah State v. Fresno State -3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 19 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #130 Take Fresno State Bulldogs over Utah State Aggies (Saturday 10 pm CBS) Top College Football Play of the Week. The first ever Mountain West Championship takes place late Saturday night in Fresno, CA. The Bulldogs are coming off their first loss of the season last week when they failed to show up against San Jose State last Friday. They lost any chance of making a BCS Bowl game after that showing, but I still believe they have enough pride to knockdown the Aggies and their back-up freshman quarterback. Derek Carr is still a much better quarterback than Darell Garreston and that will be the difference in this game. Once Boise State lost their quarterback Joe Southwick, the Mountain Division of the MWC became very easy and winnable for Utah State since Air Force, Wyoming, and New Mexico are all terrible teams. That fact remains that Fresno State played a much more difficult schedule than did Utah State during conference play. Boise State pounded Utah State in Logan this season and the Aggies just beat up on the soft teams in the MWC. Still have concerns that Fresno will not be able to bounce back after such as bad performance but playing at home and winning a championship with a group of talented seniors should allow them to performance at high level.
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11-30-13 | Texas A&M v. Missouri -4 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 77 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #384 Take Missouri Tigers over Texas A & M Aggies (Saturday 7:45 pm ESPN) I have been late to the party on Missouri, but this is their most important game since the Chase Daniel era, as a win tonight will earn them a spot in the SEC Championship Game next Saturday in Atlanta, GA. For some reason Missouri is in the SEC East despite having a location in the west but this team has an explosive offense that can match up easily with Johnny Football. All Texas A & M has in a quarterback and wide receiver, the rest of their talent is subpar and that became evident last week against LSU. Johnny Football will make some plays and put up some number but it will be nowhere near enough. Coach Sumlin has not had a good defense while he has been a head coach at Houston and A & M and that is certainly the case this season. Missou is 12-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games overall. A & M is 16-37 ATS (1 push) in their last 54 road games against teams with a winning home record.
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11-23-13 | Hawaii v. Wyoming -6 | Top | 56-59 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 26 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #158 Take Wyoming Cowboys over Hawaii Warriors (Saturday 2 pm themw. com) Top College Football Play of the Weekend. To make no bones about it, both of these teams suck; however, Wyoming troubles have been self-inflicted with numerous turnovers each and every game. The Cowboys played alright against Boise State last week on defense, however, the offense turned it over way too much and that eventually caught-up with them. Hawaii played well last week at home in a game they desperately wanted but fell apart in overtime and I just do not think they will have much left in the tank. San Diego State played terrible last week on offense and that is the strong point of Wyoming. The Cowboys still have a shot at a bowl game and they need one badly or their coach may be shown the door. The line is creeping down and that just make me like Wyoming that much more. If Wyoming does not turnover the football I feel they will be able to light up the scoreboard in this game and Hawaii simply will not be able to keep up. The Warriors have only been competitive in one road game this season and were beaten by double digits against bad teams like Navy & Nevada. Hawaii is 3-10 in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. Wyoming is 7-2 in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record. We must protect this football!
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11-16-13 | San Diego State -4 v. Hawaii | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 103 h 54 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #401 Take San Diego State Aztecs over Hawaii Warriors (10:30 pm CBS Sports Network) The Warriors are 0-9 and the Norm Chow era is truly on life support. They have keep some games close this year; however, they last two games have not been pretty. The Aztecs have stayed under the radar, but they are 4-1 in the MWC and they have lost just one game since September 22nd. That loss came against undefeated Fresno State and has a game that could have easily won missing a field goal as time expired in the fourth quarter. Playing in Hawaii is not what it once was, as teams are now treating it as a business trip and not a party. Hawaii
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11-09-13 | BYU v. Wisconsin -7.5 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 45 h 58 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #92/#159 Take Wisconsin Badgers over BYU Cougars (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN) Big 10 Game of the Year. Wisconsin just does not lose many games at Camp Randall, and that is especially true during nonconference games. This Badger team is starting to get healthy on defense with Chris Borland probable for this game, and this game has great significance for Coach Gary Anderson as he has significant ties to the Utah area. BYU has the better quarterback in Taysom Hill, but he is more of a running threat than he is a passing threat, and Wisconsin is more than capable of stopping the run. Wisconsin should also have a great scouting report since his former team Utah State already played BYU this season. BYU won that game, but the Aggies suffered an injury in the first quarter to their all-everything quarterback Chuckie Keaton. If Coach Anderson has a chance to run up the score, you can be sure that he will do that like he did last week against Iowa with a late touchdown with less than minutes to play in a game that was already decided. That is the type of coach we like for a big play. BYU should be undefeated at this point in the season, but they have a pair of shaky losses, one at Virginia and one at home against Utah. This is the same Virginia team with only two wins on the season, and their other victory came against VMI. Wisconsin is in the Top 21 teams in the country in both points scored and points allowed. BYU is a poor man
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11-09-13 | Penn State v. Minnesota -1.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 41 h 25 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #82/#140 Take Minnesota Golden Gophers -1.5 over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 2) This is a case of name recognition of these two teams keeping this line much lower than what it should be. Minnesota continues to be underrated, and Penn State continues to be overrated. This is not the same offensive team as Penn State was in 2012, and this team has been blown out in both of their true road games this season (Indiana and Ohio State). Yes, the same Indiana team that Minnesota beat last year beat Penn State by 20 points on Oct. 5. Minnesota has been an underdog three straight weeks, and they have not only covered the spread in these games, but they have also won each game straight-up.
The difference between these two teams is that Minnesota has an identity of running the football and playing strong defense, and Penn State does not have an identity on offense or defense. Christian Hackenberg is just a freshman, and playing on the road is typically where you see young quarterbacks struggle. He has thrown four interceptions in his last three games, and this team was lucky to beat Illinois last week in overtime at home. This is the same Illinois team that has not won a conference game since 2011. Granted, Indiana had a chance to beat Minnesota last week (they were favored by 10 points), but the Gophers created a turnover down the stretch, and Penn State is nowhere near as explosive as Indiana is on offense. For whatever reason, this team has really responded to their new coach Tracy Claeys, and this is a magical season where Minnesota has a chance to make a New Year |
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11-02-13 | Michigan +6 v. Michigan State | Top | 6-29 | Loss | -103 | 72 h 34 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #359 Take Michigan Wolverines over Michigan State Spartans (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) To me this game is a carbon copy of our top selection in college football last week, Texas @ TCU. Texas is Big Brother and so is Michigan. TCU has a great defense as does Michigan State and both teams have a shaky offense. Michigan likes Texas has shown flashes of greatness at times but also looked lethargic at other times.
But to me this game comes down to Michigan have better players 1-75 as a whole. Michigan State dominated Illinois last week and because of that game this spread just 3 points. Does beating Illinois deserve that much movement? Michigan State does not have a dynamic offense and they rely a great deal on their defense and field position in order to score points. This will be the best offense that Michigan State has faced all season and one must remember that Indiana had this Michigan State defense on the ropes early and could have put them down big but missed a golden opportunity in that game. As for Michigan it is important that they do not turnover the football and give the Spartans a short field. Michigan is coming off a bye week and this is a perfect setup for them. QB Devin Gardner has got his confidence back throwing 6 touchdowns in his last 3 games and he also have 4 rushing touchdowns during this span. He has the ability to escape the pocket and that will be essential against this strong Michigan State defense. Michigan State wins by defense and thus I am always weary of taking them as a favorite against a good team (no Illinois does not count as a good team). Michigan State is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games. Take Big Brother and the points! |
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10-26-13 | Texas +2 v. TCU | Top | 30-7 | Win | 100 | 97 h 42 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #165 Take Texas Longhorns over TCU Horned Frogs (Saturday 7:30 pm Fox Sports 1) Top College Football Play of the Weekend. We will fade the Horned Frogs for a second straight week with our top selection in college football. If you read my article this week, you will know how Oklahoma State should have beaten TCU by 30 points last week but 4 turnovers and 2 missed field goals from under 35 yards did them in. Texas has a much better offense than does Oklahoma State especially now since they are healthy. It was easy to pile on Texas earlier this season with Mack Brown being all but fired before his big victory over Oklahoma. But that fact was Texas was banged up especially without Daje Johnson. Texas is getting healthy and their defense has shown improvement under new DC Greg Robinson. The same cannot be said for TCU, as this team is just lost without QB Casey Pachall. TCU had just 325 yards of total offense and 69 of them came on a fluke pass play last week. They scored just 10 points in that game despite creating 4 turnovers against the Pokes. Texas is 20-2 all time against TCU and the Horns have covered 14 of those 22 games (1 push). TCU has a rock solid defense, but if Texas does not turn over the football, they will win this game straight-up. Getting points is just icing on the cake!
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10-19-13 | TCU v. Oklahoma State -7 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 93 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #380 Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over TCU Horned Frogs (Saturday 12 pm FOX) Big 12 Game of the Year. The Cowboys have much better talent than how they have been playing this season and I expect that they are due for a breakout performance and it will come on Saturday. The Horned Frogs are well coached but they just do not have the talent this year especially to be competitive in the Big 12. I do not believe that this team will be bowl eligible come December and this is one game they have no business keeping it close. In the meeting last year, the Pokes started off terrible and still won in Fort Worth by 22 points. Oklahoma State is 21-8 as a home favorite including 6-0 in 2012. They have great defensive backs that can play man coverage and allow the front seven to blitz at will. TCU is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a victory. Oklahoma State is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss in their previous game.
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10-12-13 | Florida v. LSU -7 | Top | 6-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 25 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #160 Take LSU Tigers over Florida Gators (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) This is a match-up of teams that will likely finish close to the top of their respective divisions but will likely not win them. LSU has made great strides on offense under new OC Cam Cameron scoring over 45 points per game. Florida is without their starting quarterback in Jeff Driskel but one must remember that they also lost DE Dominique Easley. I fully expect QB Zach Mettenberger to pick this team apart. LSU does not have the same defense as they did in past years; however, Florida just does not have the offensive firepower to match points with LSU. There is no reason that Florida should not be undefeated at this point since they schedules was super easy thus far, but they lost to Miami and really have not dominated in any game that they played this season. Florida is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. LSU is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a victory of more than 20 points in their previous game. Take the home chalk in this affair.
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10-05-13 | Michigan State v. Iowa | Top | 26-14 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #316 Take Iowa Hawkeyes over Michigan State Spartans (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 2) Top College Play of the Weekend. Many people believed that Kirk Ferentz would be shown the door after their opening loss of the season to Northern Illinois, but the Hawkeyes have rebounded nicely winning four straight games including two against BCS Conference teams. What this play comes down to is that Iowa has a much better offense than does Michigan State. As we saw last week with USC, sooner or later the defense will cave in when playing good teams and in order for Michigan State to be successful they must be able to move the football on offense. Had the Michigan State offense done anything against Notre Dame they would have won that game but that was not the case. This team is just lost without Le
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09-28-13 | Air Force v. Nevada -10 | Top | 42-45 | Loss | -117 | 53 h 29 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #188 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over Air Force Falcons (Saturday 8 pm CBS Sports Network) College Football Game of the Year. The line was off the board until Wednesday and opened at -7 for Nevada. This number was quickly bet up to where it is now so that should tell you where the smart money is going. The Force has been picked apart by good quarterbacks in the MWC and now is Cody Fajardo
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09-21-13 | Wyoming -3.5 v. Air Force | Top | 56-23 | Win | 100 | 75 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #343 Take Wyoming Cowboys over Air Force Falcons (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN U) Top College Play of the Weekend. Much like our top play last week, revenge will be served on the field, as we side with the better balanced team on Saturday night in Colorado Springs, CO. Coach Christensen was upset at how the game ended last year, a 28-27 victory for the Force and you can be sure his team will be ready to make a statement on Saturday night. But this play just comes down to Air Force not being able to stop the passing attack. They have no pass rush whatsoever accumulating just 1 sack on the season. Boise State and Utah State just picked apart this team with QB Southwick going 27 for 29 and Chuckie Keaton going 32 for 40 with 5 touchdowns. Bad weather kept the Falcons closer to the Broncos last week, but we have a short number to work with backing the road favorite tonight. Wyoming is completing 63% of their passes and throwing for over 316 yards in just three games and one of them came against Nebraska, a team expected to challenge for the Big Ten title. Wyoming is up and coming team that will be bowl eligible this season. They have covered 4 straight against the Falcons and will win this game by double digits. Wyoming is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games. Air Force really feel apart last year toward the end of the season and they are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Force goes down tonight in Colorado Springs.
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09-14-13 | Ole Miss v. Texas -2.5 | Top | 44-23 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #146 Take Texas Longhorns over Ole Miss Rebels (Saturday 8 pm LHN) These teams appear to be heading in opposite directions, but that being said I just do not believe Ole Miss has the offensive firepower on the ground to threaten this Longhorn defense. Texas was embarrassed last week at BYU giving up over 500 yards rushing and thus fired their defensive coordinator and brought in veteran coach Greg Robinson. The Texas pass defense actually played pretty well and expect an even better pass defense performance this week against Ole Miss.
The two things that make this such a strong play are the fact that Texas is 16-1 at home against non-conference teams since 2007. Also the fact that this same Texas team went into Oxford last year and pounded the Rebels by a score of 66-31 last year. Many of the Rebels same defensive personal will be playing in this game as well. The Rebels can move the football a little of offense, but they just cannot stop teams on defense and thus will not be able to keep pace in this game. Texas does have some injuries but I just believe that is keeping this line three points lower than what it should be. David Ash left the game in the fourth quarter last week against BYU and is questionable for this game (I think he will play) but his back-up Chance McCoy does have a lot of experience playing in big games. Ole Miss also has a few starters banged up in Christian Miller, Aaron Morris, Charles Sawyer (legal), and Denzel Nkemdicke. Texas seems to be inconsistent from week to week, but I am expecting a big bounce back this week similar to what Georgia did one week ago. The Longhorns are talented and experienced and they know that this is a must game in order to avoid having the season slip away from them. Ole Miss still feels the wounds that Texas gave them last year and expect the Longhorns to jump out early and cruise to a victory. Ole Miss is 2-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against Big XII teams. Texas is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 450 yards in their previous game. Take the Longhorns and all the drama on Saturday, as they will win this game by double digits. |
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09-14-13 | Maryland -6 v. Connecticut | Top | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 52 h 19 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #127 Take Maryland Terrapins over Connecticut Huskies (Saturday 7:30 pm ESPN3) Non-Conference Game of the Year. Revenge will be best served on the field tonight in Storrs. Maryland suffered numerous injuries last season especially at the quarterback position and every team was able to kick them around. But that will not be the case this season. Maryland is loaded on offense and expect them to light-up the scoreboard all night long against a team that has quit on their coach in 2013. Nobody was real excited about the hiring of Paul Pasqualoni when current Maryland Coach Randy Edsall left Connecticut. Things reached an epic low in week 1 of this season when they lost to Towson State by double digits. The Huskies had a strong defense last season but that is not the case in 2013 as 4 players off of the 2012 defensive squad were NFL draft picks.
This game is all about Coach Randy Edsall, as he struggled through some tough games in his first two years including a loss at home to Connecticut in 2012. He is still angry about that game and will not let off the gas for 60 minutes tonight waiting to show the crowd why he is the all-time winningest coach in UCONN history. UCONN is 2-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games overall. Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Expect Maryland to have a great scouting report since Towson State |
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09-07-13 | South Carolina v. Georgia -3 | Top | 30-41 | Win | 100 | 73 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #326 Take Georgia Bulldogs over South Carolina Gamecocks (Saturday 4:30 pm ESPN) Top College Football Play of the Weekend. Both of these coaches have had trouble winning big games in the past, especially during SEC play. However, I fully believe in my heart Georgia is too good of a team to start the 2013 season 0-2. The Gamecocks may have the best player on the field in Jadeveon Clowney, but I believe Georgia has the next best 3-4 players after the top spot. Neither Clowney nor QB Connor Shaw looked that impressive last Thursday against North Carolina. Georgia was unstoppable on offense last week against Clemson, but they were hampered by penalties and third down conversions. The Dawgs looked lost on defense, but USC does not have a player like Tajh Boyd on offense. Historically, Georgia has dominated the series with South Carolina, going 46-16 (2 ties). Georgia has covered 5 of their last 6 home games. We are aware that WR Malcolm Mitchell is out for season, but I do not expect that to slow down this high-powered offense one bit. Georgia makes a statement in the SEC and wins this game by double-digits!
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08-31-13 | Boise State v. Washington Huskies -3.5 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 101 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #210 Take Washington Huskies over Boise State Broncos (Saturday 10 pm Fox Sports 1) Top College Football Play of the Weekend. I hate going against the Broncos as all they do is win games under the Chris Petersen. However, too many factors favor the Huskies in this game. This is not a typical veteran Boise State team as they are really young and undersized on defense. They do still have their quarterback in Joe Southwick. However, he is just not in the same league as Ryan Dinwiddie and Kellen Moore. The MWC does not have many strong teams, and Boise State will win their fair share of games this season. However, I clearly believe that Fresno State is the team to beat.
Moving over to Washington, I believe that this team is in for a monster season, and it will start on Saturday night. They still have their quarterback in Keith Price, and he played much better in his sophomore season than he did in his junior season. I look for him to get back to his stats from two years ago and tear apart this undersized Boise defense. Washington is also back where they belong, at Husky Stadium, as they played at CenturyLink Field last year during renovations. Expect the home crowd to be excited for this game. Finally, these teams met in the Las Vegas Bowl last December and Boise came away with a hard fought 2-point victory. The Huskies have had all offseason to think about that, and you can be sure they will be ready for Boise tonight. This will be a double-digit victory for the home team, and we will collect big in the process. |
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01-07-13 | Alabama v. Notre Dame +10 | Top | 42-14 | Loss | -108 | 104 h 38 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #270 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Alabama Crimson Tide (BCS Championship Game, Monday, 1/7, 8:30 pm ESPN) The last game of the College Football game is the most intriguing as it features two of the most storied programs in college football history. I truly believe that the SEC was overrated this season evident by the fact that Florida got destroyed by Louisville last week and as a whole the SEC is just not as strong as it has been the last decade. If Nick Saban were not the coach of Alabama, this spread will be around 6 points and thus we are getting great value with this selection. All the Notre Dame has done this season is win and it would not surprise me if their defense controls this game again for 60 minutes. It is important that Notre Dame withstand the first quarter and not get blown out. If they accomplish that I believe that they have a great chance to win this game straight up and getting around double digits it too good to pass up. Alabama is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Notre Dame is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. This game goes down to the wire and the underdog is never in danger of not covering this number.
Notre Dame by 1 |
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12-29-12 | TCU v. Michigan State +3 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 294 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #238 Take Michigan State Spartans over TCU Horned Frogs (Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl, 12/29, 10:15 pm ESPN) Bowl Game of the Year. The Spartans have battled valiantly all season long losing five games by 4 points or less and I fully expect them to get over the hump in this game and close out the season with a victory in the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl. The Spartans have a rock solid defense that is 10th in the country in points allowed and I expect them to control the Horned Frogs offense that is not as strong as it has been in year
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12-01-12 | Nebraska -3 v. Wisconsin | Top | 31-70 | Loss | -105 | 103 h 25 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #33/#337 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Wisconsin Badgers
(Big Ten Championship Game, Saturday, 12/1, 8 pm FOX) Top College Football Play of the Weekend Nebraska The Cornhuskers are clearly the second best team in the Big Ten and despite a couple of shaky performances against UCLA and Ohio State, they earned their spot in the Big Ten Championship Game. The Huskers went 7-1 during Big Ten play and that included a victory over Wisconsin back in September. Nebraska is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. Wisconsin This selection is more about going against Wisconsin, as the fan base has no confidence in their head coach. Wisconsin has not had an answer when they have to throw the football and if they cannot run the ball; their offense will struggle to move the football. The Wisconsin defense is solid, but Nebraska picked up them apart in the second half of their first meeting and we fully expect them to pick up right where they left off. Wisconsin is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Final Comment The Badgers have proven all season long that they can beat up on the bad teams (there are a bunch of them in the Big Ten) but struggle to beat the top tier teams. Wisconsin is one dimensional and that will not get the job done against Nebraska. The Huskers are excited to be in this game compared to the Badgers that know they are only in this game by default. Nebraska by 20 |
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11-24-12 | Illinois +19.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 14-50 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #71/#155 Take Illinois Fighting Illini over Northwestern Wildcats
(Saturday, 11/24, 12 pm Big Ten Network) Top College Football Play of the Weekend Illinois Make no bones about it, this has been the most disappointing team in the conference as they currently sit at 2-9 on the season and 0-7 in the Big Ten. But they are allowing just over 30 points per game and getting this many points in a rivalry game is very inviting. Illinois did beat the Wildcats last season by three points and talent wise they just match-up really well with their opponent. Illinois has covered this posted number in four of their last six games and they should be able to run the football a little in this game against Northwestern. Northwestern The Cats are looking to finish out the Big Ten with a 5-3 record and all that they have to do is win this game against their in-state rival. The Cats are not the offensive juggernaut they have been in recent years and they are getting it done in 2012 with a more traditional style and thus their scoring is way down. They are scoring just under 30 points per game and that does not bode well when trying to cover this big of a number. Northwestern is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing road record. Final Comment Northwestern has never been a good team to play as a big favorite and because of their ATS success this season this number is really inflated. Illinois has a first year head coach looking to end the season on a high note and expect his players to go all out in this game. Northwestern is banged up after an emotional game last week against Michigan State and thus they will take this game lightly. Northwestern by 6 |
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11-10-12 | Penn State v. Nebraska -7 | Top | 23-32 | Win | 100 | 96 h 58 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #26/#150 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Penn State Nittany Lions
(Saturday, 11/10, 3:30 pm ABC) Top College Football Play of the Weekend Nebraska Nebraska has angered their fan base with two losses already on the season but they are still in great position of earn and spot in Rose Bowl and all they have to do in win their last 4 games on the season. They are 4-1 and have the tie-breaker against Michigan and I do not believe they will face much competition in the Big Ten Championship Game since Ohio State is ineligible. This team is loaded with talent on both sides of the football; they just do not play to that ability on a consistent basis. Nebraska won last year in State College many of those players are still on the roster for both teams. Nebraska is 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Penn State Penn State has done a remarkable job keeping the program afloat. But their 4-1 record in the Big Ten is more about the Big Ten being terrible than it is Penn State being good. The Lions did not perform well against Ohio State and they will likely lose two of their remaining three games. QB Matt McGloin has played well this season but I am still not a believe that he can perform well in big games. Penn State is just 5-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games against team with a winning record. Final Comment Nebraska has the Rose Bowl in their sight and Penn State is not the team that will be able to knock them off of their path. When Penn State plays good teams, their depth becomes a major issues and expect Nebraska to take control of this game down the stretch and pull away late to win this game by double digits. Nebraska by 19 |
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11-03-12 | Syracuse v. Cincinnati -5 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 92 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #94/#374 Take Cincinnati Bearcats over Syracuse Orange
(Saturday, 11/4, 12 pm Big East Network) Top College Play of the Weekend Cincinnati The Bearcats started the season 5-0 but now sit at 5-2 with back-to-back losses to Toledo and Louisville. Cincinnati played well at Louisville in terrible conditions and expect them to bounce back in a big way today since they have not played a home game since October 13th. The Bearcats are 6-1 straight-up and 5-2 against the spread in this series against Syracuse. They won at Syracuse last year by 17 points and that was without their starting quarterback Zach Collaros. Munchie Legaux is now under center and he has the ability to beat teams with his arm or his legs. He has thrown and run for a touchdown in four straight games and expect him to pick apart this Orange defense. Cincinnati has covered 7 of their last 9 games. Syracuse The Cuse have turned the corner after a slow start to the season having won three of their last four games but that will come to an end in a big way on Saturday. As we mentioned Syracuse has had no success against Cincinnati and they are not a strong offensive team scoring just 26.8 points per game (73rd). They lost to Rutgers and must play Cincinnati and Louisville in consecutive weeks. The Orange are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games. Final Comment Syracuse is set to leave the Big East after this school year and you can bet the remaining teams are ready to knock them around whenever they get the chance. Cincinnati has dominated this series and Syracuse is a team that has never handled prosperity well. The Orange are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a victory in their previous game. Cincinnati earns some Big East pride and we collect big in the process as well. Cincinnati by 20 |
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10-27-12 | USC v. Arizona +7 | Top | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 73 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #110/#170 Take Arizona Wildcats over USC Trojans
(Saturday, 10/27, 3:30 pm ABC/ESPN 2) Arizona The Rich Rod era is well underway in Tucson and for the most part it has been a success as the Wildcats are on pace to make a bowl game despite having to learn a new system. Arizona averages over 350 yards per game passing and they have only been blown out one time this season and that came against Oregon. Arizona is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of October. USC The Trojans were the No. 1 team in the land to start the season but they have not played like it this season. They have struggled on the road this season in four games and they have yet to blow out anybody on the road despite playing mediocre teams (Syracuse, Washington, Utah, & Stanford (L)). USC is 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games played during the month of October. Final Comment I am just not a believer in Lane Kiffin and never like to use the Trojans as a favorite because of him. Arizona will be ready for this game and expect Rich Rod to develop a few wrinkles that will surprise the Trojans. The home crowd has been waiting for years to get excited and I believe that this Wildcat team can deliver the goods. Arizona by 3 |
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10-20-12 | Purdue v. Ohio State -18 | Top | 22-29 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #62/#356 Take Ohio State Buckeyes over Purdue Boilermakers
(Saturday, 10/20, 12 pm ABC) Big Ten Game of the Year Ohio State The Buckeyes have one of the most explosive offensives in the country and we fully expect them to pick apart this Purdue defense and score close to 60 points. This will allow them to cover this big number and I really believe this is a game where Coach Urban Meyer can just name his score. Coach Meyer is one of the best offensive minds in the entire country and he has a great leader in QB Braxton Miller, my sleeper pick for the Heisman Trophy. Ohio State is 8th in the country running the football and expect them to put forth similar numbers to what Wisconsin did last week in West Lafayette. The defense has given up points and yards including a surprising 49 points to Indiana last week. That performance bodes well for us in this game, since Coach Meyer will let the defense have it all week and expect a much better performance on Saturday against a team that has thrown in the towel. Ohio State is 44-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 64 Big Ten games. Purdue Well I must admit that I was way off the mark with Purdue, as this team is terrible and belongs at the bottom of the conference standing. Purdue had a golden opportunity to make a statement that they are a top team in the Big Ten with back-to-back home games against Michigan & Wisconsin. But they laid an egg in both of those games and now must go on the road to play the best team in the conference. In that Wisconsin game three quarterbacks threw six or more passes and the old adage is true, if you have more than one quarterback, that means you do not have any good quarterbacks. Purdue is 10-26 ATS (1 push) in their last 37 games played during the month of October. Final Comment Purdue has certainly shown that they are a pretender and we will likely go against them for rest of the Big Ten Conference season. They cannot stop the run and things will only get worse from here in this run heavy conference. Coach Meyer has shown in the past he is not afraid to run up the score and expect that to occur in this game. Ohio State will play much better on defense and this will be a 30-point woodshed beating. Ohio State by 35 |
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10-13-12 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -2 | Top | 38-14 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 20 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #20/#130 Take Purdue Boilermakers over Wisconsin Badgers
(Saturday, 10/13, 12 pm Big Ten Network) Revenge Game of the Year Purdue Purdue is coming off a disappointing showing last week at home against Michigan, but that performance sets up well this week, as the coaches will get the players attention for this game. Throw in the fact that Purdue lost to Wisconsin last season by a score of 62-17 and you can be sure that revenge will be on the minds of each and every one of the Purdue players. This is Coach Danny Hope |
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10-06-12 | Nebraska v. Ohio State -3 | Top | 38-63 | Win | 100 | 77 h 0 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #56/#394 Take Ohio State Buckeyes over Nebraska Cornhuskers
(Saturday, 10/6, 8 pm ABC) Top College Play of the Weekend Ohio State The Buckeyes are the best team in the Big Ten this season and they are coming off an impressive victory at Michigan State last Saturday. They have the most dynamic quarterback in the league in Braxton Miller and expect him to put up big numbers tonight against this suspect Cornhusker defense. Ohio State is 43-18 (1 push) in their last 62 Big Ten Conference games. Nebraska The Huskers disappointed us last weekend as they played a terrible first 33 minutes of the game before they dominated Wisconsin in the last 27 minutes. They will face a much tougher defense tonight in a hostile environment. Nebraska has not handled prosperity fell going 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when they won their previous game straight-up. Final Comment Ohio State will have revenge on their minds in this game, as they gave up a late lead last year in Lincoln and that was with a lame duck coach. Their coaching staff is much better this season led by Urban Meyer and Bo Pelini is not in the same league as him when it comes to performing well in big games. Ohio State by 14 |
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09-29-12 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska -13 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -105 | 100 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. (#86/#182) Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Wisconsin Badgers
(Saturday, 9/29, 8 pm ABC) College Game of the Year Nebraska The Cornhuskers have rebounded nicely after a disappointing performance in Los Angeles with back-to-back blowout wins against inferior competition. I do not believe that Wisconsin will be able to provide much more of a challenge than did Southern Miss, Idaho State, & Arkansas State. Nebraska is healthy as a team with Rex Burkhead back rushing for over 100 yards last week. The key to this game for Big Red will by the play of QB Taylor Martinez, as he had a game to forget when these two teams met last year in Madison. He has worked at throwing the football better all summer long and the early results have come, as he has nine touchdowns and only one interception this season. Nebraska has covered 4 straight home games. Wisconsin As much as we like Nebraska as a team in this game, most of this selection is based on going against Wisconsin. The Badgers just do not have much talent this season outside of the running back position. QB Danny O |
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09-22-12 | East Carolina v. North Carolina -16.5 | Top | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 73 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. (#14/#326) Take North Carolina over East Carolina Pirates
(Saturday, 9/22, 3:30 pm ESPN U) Top College Football Play of the Weekend North Carolina The Tar Heels find themselves at 1-2 on the season but with any luck they could be 3-0. The lost back-to-back road games by a combined total of six points but expect things to be much easier on Saturday facing a weak East Carolina team. The Pirates are not strong on pass defense and expect UNC to have numerous big plays through the air. QB Bryn Renner has been solid this year throwing nine touchdowns and just three interceptions. North Carolina is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference USA games. East Carolina The Pirates should be an improved team from 2011 since they return a lot of starters and they are coming off a nice victory on the road last week against Southern Miss. But they did not perform well against the only BCS Conference team that they faced in South Carolina, getting blown out in Columbia by a score of 48-10. East Carolina is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against ACC teams. Final Comment UNC is ready for some home cooking after back-to-back losses on the road. ECU will be playing their third straight road game and that will take its toll on them. Look for North Carolina to have a field day with their passing attack and I just cannot see the Pirates being able to trade points with them. North Carolina by 24 |
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09-15-12 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech -9.5 | Top | 20-56 | Win | 100 | 51 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. (#42/#140) Take Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets over Virginia Cavaliers
(Saturday, 9/15, 3:30 pm ESPN U) Top College Game of the Weekend Georgia Tech The Yellow Jackets should be 2-0 on the season but did not make any plays down the stretch against Virginia Tech in their opener and, thus, need to take care of business the rest of the way in order to keep their championship hopes alive. This is always an important game for Al Groh (DC for Georgia Tech), as he was head coach at Virginia for nine seasons. The triple option is always tough to prepare for, especially when their opponent is coming off a hard-fought victory the week before. The Yellow Jackets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of September. Virginia The Cavaliers are 2-0 on the season, but they are lucky to be in this position. Penn State totally outplayed them last week in Charlottesville, but the Nittany Lions missed 4 field goals and an extra point, allowing Virginia to win the game, 17-16. Virginia will have their hands full with this triple option and they did not perform well against it last year, giving up 477 yards on the ground (yet still won the game). Final Thought This is a series that has been dominated by the home team, and I do not see that changing this year. The home team is 14-3ATS, and that stat just cannot be ignored. Expect Georgia Tech to rack up big yardage on the ground and coast to a victory in Atlanta. Georgia Tech by 21 |
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09-08-12 | Wisconsin v. Oregon State +7.5 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 52 h 36 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #88 Take Oregon State Beavers over Wisconsin Badgers
(Saturday, 9/8, 4 pm FX) Top Big Ten Underdog Oregon State Oregon State has struggled the last couple of years, but expect an improved squad in 2012 for Coach Mike Reily. The Beavers return 15 starters, and that includes two of the best cover corners in the Pac-12. With Jordan Poyer and Rashaad Reynolds, I expect them to being playing a lot of one-on-one coverage on an island, and this will allow the Beavers to stack the line of scrimmage for the strong Wisconsin running attack. When the Beavers went to Madison last year, they were a depleted team with 8 starters out and they had to play 8 true freshman. I see this team getting back to 8 wins and challenging atop the standing in the Pac-12. Wisconsin Wisconsin struggled to put away a FCS opponent last Saturday in Northern Iowa. The Panthers stacked the line of scrimmage and were able to contain the running attack of Wisconsin and not let them get any big plays on the ground. I look for Wisconsin to have more success this week running the football, but this opponent is a much more balanced team. If Wisconsin plays like they did last week, they will lose this game straight up, never mind the point spread. The Badgers have another transfer quarterback in Danny O |
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08-31-12 | Boise State v. Michigan State -6.5 | Top | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #52 Take Michigan State Spartans over Boise State Broncos (Friday 8 pm ESPN)
On paper this is one of the biggest games of the weekend. These are two great programs but a deeper look into these team, I see uncertainty on both sides because each of them is trying to replace experienced senior starters at quarterback. I give Michigan State the edge here. They have eight starters back on a defense that finished No. 5 in the country in yards allowed and No. 10 in the country in scoring last year. That gives Sparty a big advantage, especially in an opening game like this where Boise State is still trying to figure things out. Michigan State really might have the best group of linebackers in the country and they should control this game. The Spartans have been shafted the last two years with regards to receiving a berth in a BSC Bowl and they will take out their frustration in this game. Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Boise State really is a great program. Chris Peterson has done an amazing job. But the Broncos only have about five starters back from last year |
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01-02-12 | Wisconsin +6.5 v. Oregon | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 174 h 12 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #255 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Oregon Ducks (Rose Bowl, Monday, January 2nd, 5 pm ESPN) Bowl Game of the Year.
It is hard to imagine either defense stopping either offense but we will take the points in what will likely be a high scoring shootout. Wisconsin has a dominating offensive line and this is something Oregon does not see on the west coast. The Badgers have won their last three Rose Bowl against PAC-12 opponents and they were underdogs in two of those games as well. Wisconsin has a strong identity of ground and pound and this will eventually wear down the Ducks come the second half. Oregon has a strong face-paced offense that will be able to move the football on this suspect Wisconsin defense; however, the Badgers do have a strong front four that should be able to put some pressure on Darron Thomas. Oregon has not won a Rose Bowl since 1917 and they are just not a good match-up against a traditional Big Ten team. A suspect Ohio State team beat them in the 2010 game holding them to just 17 points and I felt that offensive was more explosive than this year |
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12-31-11 | Texas A&M v. Northwestern +10 | Top | 33-22 | Loss | -107 | 121 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #238 Take Northwestern Wildcats over Texas A & M Aggies (MEINEKE CAR CARE BOWL Saturday, December 31st, 12 pm ESPN) Big Ten Game of the Year.
Both teams underachieved this season and it ended up costs Coach Mike Sherman his job. Northwestern struggled with injuries all season long with QB Dan Persa but he is now healthy and I fully expect him to pick apart this weak A & M defense that allows 29 points per game. Coach Pat Fitzgerald knows who important this game is for his Wildcats, as they have not won a bowl game since 1949. This is the fourth straight year Northwestern has qualified for a bowl game and the last three have been nail bitters, losing two of them in overtime and lost by just 7 points last year. They have played much better teams in those games (Missouri, Auburn, and Texas Tech) than what they will get today from the Aggies. Also expect QB Persa to be hungry as he missed the bowl game last year (Achilles' injury). Texas A & M has talent, but they were never able to put it together this season and I do not expect them to be able to figure it out with an interim coach and a staff that will be looking for new jobs come next season. They are also banged up on offense with the loss of Christine Michael (torn ACL) Cyrus Gray (shoulder |
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12-03-11 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | Top | 10-44 | Win | 102 | 101 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over Oklahoma Sooners (Saturday 8 pm ABC)
With no Big 12 Title Game this season, this is the winner take all game with the victory getting a BCS Bid and the loser getting a lesser bowl bid. Neither team has played well down the stretch, but the Pokes have had over two weeks to prepare for this game since their loss to Iowa State on November 18th. The Sooners are still without their playmaking WR Ryan Broyles and this is a major loss and it will show its face in this game. Both teams have dynamic offenses, but I trust the experience of Brandon Weeden more than I do Landry Jones. He has thrown 34 touchdowns on the season and expect him to put on a show against a shaky Sooner defense in this Bedlam match-up. The home team has been the play in recent match-up in Bedlam covering 9 of the last 13 match-ups (1 push). The Pokes have covered 17 of their last 22 games. Oklahoma State by 10 |
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11-26-11 | Ohio State v. Michigan -7.5 | Top | 34-40 | Loss | -105 | 93 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #76 Take Michigan Wolverines over Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 12 pm ABC)
The Buckeyes have dominated this series in recent years, but coaching changes at both schools lead me to believe that Michigan is the play this weekend. The Buckeyes are coming off two bad losses in consecutive weeks to Purdue and Penn State and they must win this game to avoid a .500 record on the season. They will likely make a coaching change at the end of the season and they will have to rebuild with a new identity, as without the vest as head coach, they team has lost its identity. Giving up 46 points the last two weeks to Purdue and Penn State would not give you confidence when having to face Denard Robinson and the high powered Wolverine offense. Michigan dominated Nebraska last week for 60 minutes and it would not surprise me if this final score was similar to the game last week. Michigan is coming off two straight impressive victories (Illinois & Nebraska) and they have a lot of play for in this game, as a victory will all but assure them a BCS bid. Coach Brady Hoke has given this team confidence and expect them to put on a show and pound Ohio State. Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games at the Big House. This is a celebration of the revival of Michigan and we will collect big in the process as well! Michigan by 21 |
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11-19-11 | Wisconsin v. Illinois +15 | Top | 28-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 41 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #20 Take Illinois Fighting Illini over Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 2)
The Badgers are the best team in the Big Ten, but Illinois has a lot of talent and this is just too many points to be laying in Champaign. The home team has won three straight in this series and the Illini beat the Badgers the last time in Champaign when Wisconsin was ranked No. 5 in the country. The Illini have a strong defense and Wisconsin will not be able to run all over them similar to what they did last week against Minnesota. This is also the second straight road game for Wisconsin and that usually catches up with teams that have to cover a big number. The Badgers are strong on offense but their defense is questionable and their special teams are awful. Last week UW allowed a fake field goal and a kickoff return for touchdowns and this unit has been dreadful throughout the Big Ten portion of the season. Illinois is coming off a poor performance against Michigan, but that is the only game that they have not been in this season and I expect them to bounce back in a big way today. Wisconsin is just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games when they are a favorite of 10.5 points or more. Illinois is 9-1 in their last 10 games when they are an underdog. Certain teams do not handle prosperity well and expect Illinois to thrive in the underdog role and keep this one close for sixty minutes. Wisconsin by 6 |
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11-12-11 | Michigan State -2.5 v. Iowa | Top | 37-21 | Win | 100 | 92 h 6 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #19 Take Michigan State Spartans over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 2)
For the second straight week, we will fade the Hawkeyes in Iowa City as our top play in college football. Last week did not turn out well, but Michigan State is a much better all-around team than Michigan is. Michigan State has a strong defense that can shut down this questionable Iowa offense. The Spartans will have revenge on their minds, as Iowa handed them their only loss of the season last year and knocked them out of the Rose Bowl. Last week Michigan was halted by an injury to Denard Robinson and despite that nearly mounted a comeback and could have tied the game, but two touchdowns were overturned on the last drive. Iowa was not afraid of the Michigan passing game but that will not be the case this Saturday. Michigan State QB Kirk Cousins is one of the best passing quarterback in the conference and I expect him to pick apart this Iowa defense. Michigan State is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Iowa is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games coming off a victory. This will be the first good team Iowa will play at home this season and it will also be Iowa |
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11-05-11 | Michigan -4 v. Iowa | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -102 | 93 h 41 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #15 Take Michigan Wolverines over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 12 pm ESPN)
The Wolverines have come back well after losing to Michigan State with a convincing 22-point victory against Purdue last week. Iowa is on the other end of the spectrum coming off an embarrassing loss to Minnesota last Sunday. Yes this is the same Gopher team that lost to New Mexico State and North Dakota State at home this season. To make no bones about it, Iowa has been lacking in recruiting lately against other top teams in the Big Ten and now Coach Kirk Ferentz is squarely on the hot seat. The Wolverines will have revenge on their minds as well losing to Iowa the last two years. But that came under Rich Rodriguez and Brady Hoke has returned Michigan to its identity. Iowa has never beaten Michigan three straight years and that will stay intact as the Wolverines offense is the only good squad on the field. Iowa does not have enough playmakers on offense to threaten this suspect Michigan defense and thus Michigan can simply outscore their way to a victory. Michigan is 4-0 in their last 4 games when they are favored to win. Iowa is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 Big Ten games. QB Denard Robinson and company stay atop the standing in the Big Ten and we collect with them as well! Michigan by 13 |
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10-29-11 | Stanford v. USC +8.5 | Top | 56-48 | Win | 100 | 101 h 10 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #92 Take Southern Cal Trojans over Stanford Cardinals (Saturday 8 pm ABC)
PAC-12 Game of the Year. It has been a long time since USC has been this big of an underdog at the Coliseum and I do not believe that Stanford is capable of beating them by double-digits in Los Angeles. USC is coming off their best performance of the season last week in South Bend and they are much more battle tested than the Stanford Cardinal. Stanford has struggled in numerous first haves this season against inferior competition and if they struggle against USC, they will likely lose this game straight-up. This game reminds me a great deal of the Wisconsin |
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10-22-11 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State +8.5 | Top | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 100 h 0 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #88 Take Michigan State Spartans over Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 8 pm ESPN) Underdog Game of the Year.
Note: We are aware of the suspension to Bill Gholston and feel we are getting an extra 1/2 point because of it and still really like this play a lot! I must admit that in the opinion of this writer, this line is way off the mark. Wisconsin has yet to be tested on the road this season and in fact this will be their first true road game of the season. Michigan was in the same boat as Wisconsin was last week and lost by double digits to the Spartans in East Lansing. The home team has won the last six meetings in this series and it would not surprise me if that streak reaches seven games. The Badgers have not won a game in East Lansing since 2002 and this is a place they traditionally do not play well at. Michigan State has weapons that can exploit this Wisconsin defense that has yet to be tested, especially through the air. Nebraska and QB Taylor Martinez cannot throw the football like QB Kirk Cousins can and this will become evident during the course of this 60 minute affair. This will be the first true test Wisconsin will receive this season and I just do not believe that they will be up to the task. Wisconsin had become a very public team and thus we continue to get great value with this selection, as it is now approaching double-digits. Michigan State is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. The Spartans are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Big Ten Games. Michigan State hands Wisconsin their first loss of the season and we collect big in the process as well! |
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10-15-11 | Northwestern +7 v. Iowa | Top | 31-41 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 58 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #69 Take Northwestern Wildcats over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 7 p.m. Big Ten Network)
The writing is on the wall! This is not a very good Hawkeyes team, as the running attack is non-existent and their defensive line is not as good as in past years. They stayed with Penn State last week, but Penn State is not any good either. Northwestern had Michigan on the ropes last Saturday in Evanston, but turnovers and some questionable officiating calls did them in over the last 30 minutes. They could not contain Denard Robinson, but Iowa has nobody like him on their roster. Northwestern can score points on most clubs as long as QB Dan Persa is healthy and only their defense is of concern. But, as I mentioned, Iowa does not have the playmakers to threaten them with big plays. Northwestern is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog. Iowa is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a losing record. Northwestern by 10 |
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10-08-11 | Florida v. LSU -13.5 | Top | 11-41 | Win | 100 | 74 h 7 m | Show |
10 Unit Play.#86 Take LSU Tigers over Florida Gators (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS)
It may be hard in most cases justifying laying this many points against Florida. However, these two teams are heading in opposite directions. Florida went all out last week to try and upset Alabama in the swamp, but they wore down and the game was not very close. Now they must go on the road to face LSU, a team that might have the best defense in the country. Throw in the fact that the Gators will be starting a true freshman at quarterback, as fifth-year senior John Brantley is out for this game, and it looks like it could be a long day for Florida. LSU has been tested like no other team in the country has been this season. They have played away from Baton Rouge against Oregon, Mississippi State, and West Virginia. Florida is 2-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. The Tigers prove why they are the top team in the country with a dominating victory against Florida. LSU Tigers 27, Florida Gators 6 |
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09-24-11 | USC v. Arizona State -2.5 | Top | 22-43 | Win | 100 | 81 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #94 Take Arizona State Sun Devils over USC Trojans (Saturday 10:15 p.m. ESPN)
Now is the time for Coach Dennis Erickson and his Sun Devils to finally play to their potential and knock off the Trojans for the first time in their last six trips to Tempe. This will be the Trojans first road game of the season and they have not played well in their three home games, including struggling to beat a Minnesota team that lost to New Mexico State. I look for the Sun Devils to put pressure on QB Matt Barkley, forcing them to run the football, and that is something the Trojans are not very good at doing. Losing last week to Illinois will not have any effect on this game for ASU. In fact, it will likely have them determined to make a statement in this game. The talent for ASU is there and the time is now! USC is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. ASU is 8-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games at Sun Devil Stadium. Both trends hold true on Saturday night, as we collect with our top play! Arizona State Sun Devils 28, USC Trojans 17 |
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09-17-11 | Auburn v. Clemson -3 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 71 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #8 Take Clemson Tigers over Auburn Tigers (Saturday 12 pm ABC)
Revenge Game of the Year. This Auburn team continues to roll and will enter Death Valley on a 16 game winning streak. No doubt that a team has to be good to accomplish this; however, luck does play a part in this game and the Auburn Tiger |
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09-10-11 | Toledo +19.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 22-27 | Win | 100 | 69 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #45 Take Toledo Rockets over Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 12 pm Big Ten Network)
Last week |
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09-04-11 | SMU +16 v. Texas A&M | Top | 14-46 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
4-Unit Play. Take #209 SMU over Texas A&M (7:30 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 4)
These spots are just made for June Jones. He was a thorn in the side of BCS teams when he was at Hawaii and he is a thorn in their side now. This is a lot of points to be laying out to an SMU team that can score with anyone. Sophomore Kyle Padron is much more experienced and comfortable than he was at this time last year and I think he will have a solid game. This same SMU team only lost to TCU - a BCS team - by 25 points on the road last year. They are far more experienced and now that they are in the third year of Jones' system (with eight three-year starters in the lineup) they will be ready to roll. This is an in-state rivalry game and that makes me like the dog even better because this is basically like a bowl game for them. |
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09-03-11 | Boise State v. Georgia +3.5 | Top | 35-21 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 56 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #98 Take Georgia Bulldogs over Boise State Broncos (Saturday 8 pm ESPN)
This is an important game for both teams, but the Bulldogs have a major edge since this game is being played in the state of Georgia. The Bulldogs are coming off a disappointing season in 2010 and it is important that they start off on a good note in 2011 or things could get ugly. Boise State is loaded again with QB Kellen Moore returning to lead the offense, but they will have to replace their top two receivers from last year in Titus Young and Austin Pettis. Georgia has no slouch at quarterback either, as Aaron Murray threw 24 touchdowns last season and only 8 interceptions. These two teams met in 2005 and Georgia defeated Boise State by a score of 48-13. It will be hard for Georgia to repeat that performance, but I expect their defense to key on stopping the run and I believe that they have the athletes to cover the new Bronco receivers one on one. Georgia pulls this game out late and getting points is too good to pass up. Georgia Bulldogs 24, Boise State Broncos 21 |
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09-02-11 | TCU v. Baylor +6 | Top | 48-50 | Win | 100 | 75 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #42 Take Baylor Bears over TCU Horned Frogs (Friday 8 pm ESPN)
TCU has been a darling of the mid-majors the last few years and their Rose Bowl victory over Wisconsin put them into national championship contention for 2011. The problem with that is that this year they do not have the guns to back it up. This team was really hit hard by graduation losing 14 of their 22 starters from last year. The main loss is QB Andy Dalton, as he will likely start for the Cincinnati Bengals this year. Now Casey Pachall will be under center and he threw just nine passes in 2011 and has yet to be put in any pressure situations. They will face a Baylor team that is hungry to put to bed a terrible bowl performance against Illinois last year. This team returns 14 of their 22 starters including QB Robert Griffin III, who threw for over 35 yards last season. The Bears also return their top five wide receivers and if they can protect Griffin, he will be able to move the football on TCU. Defense has always been an issue for Baylor since they pass a lot on offense and that means that their defense is on the field a lot. It will be important for them to get off of the field on third downs and whatever defense can accomplish this will likely be the winner. Baylor got blown out at TCU last season and will be determined to make sure that does not happen at Floyd Casey Stadium this year. Since 1975, TCU is just 3-9 straight up when playing Baylor in Waco. TCU is just 1-5 ATS in their last six non-conference games. Baylor wins this game straight-up and getting points is just icing on the cake. Baylor Bears 38, TCU Horned Frogs 31 |
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12-31-10 | Central Florida v. Georgia -6.5 | Top | 10-6 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 11 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #242 Take Georgia Bulldogs over Central Florida Golden Knights (Liberty Bowl, Friday, Dec. 31st, 3:30 pm ESPN) Bowl Game of the Year.
This is one of the games where the favorite has a big edge in talent but the only question is will they come to play? If they do Georgia will probably win by double digits, but if they do not they could lose straight-up. I believe that this Bulldog program has too much price to lie down, as a loss here will mean a losing record for 2010 and Coach Richt will be feeling the heat. Georgia has played much better since they return of WR AJ Green, as he had to sit out the first part of the season because he sold his game jersey to an agent. Granted the Golden Knights will come in here relaxed with nothing to lose. But the fact remains that they played a very weak schedule. UCF did not face a defense that was ranked in the top fifty in the country. Georgia has played well recently in bowl games covering five of their last seven when they are the favorite. Coach Richt keeps the Georgia faithful happy, as they build off of a big victory Friday in the hopes of a success 2011 season. GEORGIA BULLDOGS 31, UCF GOLDEN KNIGHTS 17 |
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12-22-10 | Utah v. Boise State UNDER 59 | Top | 3-26 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' in Utah vs. Boise State (8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22) I'm just playing on the letdown for both teams in this spot. For Boise, playing in a pre-Christmas bowl game has to be a huge drag. For Utah, their last game - a 17-16 win against rival BYU in their last meeting as conference opponents - was probably the defining moment of their season. Neither team is going to be too hyped up for this mid-week, pre-Christmas, Who Cares Bowl. Both defenses are underrated and I expect it to be a bit lower scoring.
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12-04-10 | Connecticut v. South Florida -1 | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #10 Take South Florida Bulls over Connecticut Huskies (Saturday 8 pm ESPN 2)
(2008 USF -3, 17-13) (Connecticut -7, 29-27) The cupboard is full of reasons as to why USF will emerge victorious. 1) The Huskies have never won at Raymond James Stadium 2) Coach Skip Holtz is 5-0 in his last five home games 3) Since 2001, the home team is 6-0 in this match-up Throw in the fact that all the pressure will be on the Huskies, as a win will give them a BCS Bowl. USF will come in loose and ready to spoil UConn |
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11-13-10 | Wyoming v. UNLV Rebels +6 | Top | 16-42 | Win | 100 | 104 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #114 Take UNLV Rebels over Wyoming Cowboys (Saturday 8 pm the MTN)
(2008 |
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11-06-10 | Arizona State Sun Devils +6 v. USC Trojans | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 82 h 21 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #53 Take Arizona State Sun Devils over USC Trojans (Saturday 10:30 pm FSN)
(2008 |
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10-23-10 | Wisconsin Badgers v. Iowa Hawkeyes -5.5 | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 42 m | Show |
4 Unit Play. #14 Take Iowa Hawkeyes over Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC)
(2008 |
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10-23-10 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish -6.5 v. Navy Midshipmen | Top | 17-35 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 11 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #19 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Navy Midshipmen (Saturday 12 pm CBS)
(2008 |
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10-09-10 | Pittsburgh U v. Notre Dame -6 | Top | 17-23 | Push | 0 | 73 h 51 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #56 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Pittsburgh Panthers (Saturday 3:30 pm NBC)
(2008 Notre Dame -4 |
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10-05-10 | Troy v. Middle Tenn State -4 | Top | 42-13 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
3 Unit Play. #2 Take Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders over Troy Trojans (Tuesday 8 pm ESPN 2)
(2008 |
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10-02-10 | Penn State Nittany Lions v. Iowa Hawkeyes -7 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 79 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #82 Take Iowa Hawkeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 8 pm ABC)
(2008 Penn State -7, 23-24) (2009 Penn State -9, 21-10) College Game of the Year. I really believe in this 2010 Iowa Hawkeye Club. They have the fortune of playing all of the Big Ten elite teams at Kinnick Stadium this season. I expect them to win here going away and they host Wisconsin (Oct. 23rd) and Ohio State (Nov. 20th) down the road. The Hawkeyes are in good hands with QB Ricky Stanzi and he has a very talented group of wide receivers to throw to. If the club does have a weakness, it would be the running game but it will only be needed to run out the clock on Saturday night. The Iowa defense is one of the best units in the country. Thus far nobody has rushed for over 100 yards against them and expect that to continue this week even though they will be facing RB Evan Royster. As I look at Penn State, QB Robert Bolden is a freshman and I expect him to really struggle against this Iowa defense. Things will be compounded with the loss of RT Lou Eliades. Granted RB Royster did rush for 187 last week against Temple, but 60 of those yards came of the first play of the game. I see no possible way he will have success this week against Iowa |
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09-24-10 | TCU Horned Frogs v. SMU Mustangs OVER 54.5 | Top | 41-24 | Win | 100 | 31 h 27 m | Show |
3 Unit Play. #304 Take Over in TCU @ SMU (Friday 8 pm ESPN) A battle of Texas is set to take place on Friday night between two Dallas based teams. We will not worry about if the Horned Frogs can cover this big number on the road and just collect with the over. Mustangs are coached by June Jones of the run and shoot fame with the Houston Oilers and the Hawaii Warriors and his team has been lighting up the scoreboard this season average 30 points per game in their first three outings. TCU has been one upping SMU as they are averaging over 45 points per game in their first three outings. SMU passes a lot and that sets up well with the over since the clock will be stopped on most plays. The Over is 17-5 ATS in the Mustangs last 22 games when they are coming off a straight-up win. That will be case tonight, as the both teams reach the thirties in scoring.
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09-18-10 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish v. Michigan State Spartans -3 | Top | 31-34 | Push | 0 | 78 h 41 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #90 Take Michigan State Spartans over Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Saturday 8 pm ABC) I had this game marked on the calendar back in August. I would have preferred that the Irish won last week against Michigan, as this would have created a more favorable line with Notre Dame being 2-0 on the season. Granted, the Irish have played a much tougher schedule thus far, but in reality that may become a big negative. The opening week Notre Dame played Purdue and that was fueled with emotion with it being the first game for new Coach Brian Kelly. The next week they played Michigan and that is a much bigger game to the Irish then Michigan State.
Now Notre Dame must take to the road for the first time this season against a team that has just gone through the motions for two straight weeks. If Coach Mark Dantonio is going to elevate this team into elite status, this is the year it must be done. Michigan State has a balanced offense and I expect their defense to be much better in 2010. The Spartans lost to the Irish last year in South Bend, 33-30 despite outgaining them. It is also interesting to note that Michigan State was coming off a loss to Central Michigan the week prior, but that will not be the case tonight. Notre Dame will continue to get better under Coach Kelly and I do expect them to be a powerhouse; however, Kelly does not have enough of his recruits yet. Home gets the call! MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANTS 28, NOTRE DAME 20 |
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09-18-10 | Toledo Rockets v. Western Michigan Broncos -3.5 | Top | 37-24 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 38 m | Show |
4 Unit Play. #84 Take Western Michigan Broncos over Toledo Rockets (Saturday 7 pm)
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09-18-10 | USC -12.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 32-21 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 8 m | Show |
4 Unit Play. #41 Take USC Trojans over Minnesota Golden Gophers (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN) Over the years going against a team at home that is coming off an embarrassing loss such as the Gophers did last week against South Dakota, can only lighten the wallet. But the fact remains; Coach Brewster lacks personal, especially on defense, to stay with a heavyweight like USC. The Trojans have not looked like a ranked team thus far but they still have loads of talent. USC viewed last week
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09-18-10 | North Texas v. Army -5.5 | Top | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 70 h 37 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #7 Take North Texas Mean Green over Army Black Knights (Saturday 12 pm CBS College Sports) This one could truly be a gift, as the wrong team is favored in this game. Let
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09-17-10 | Kansas v. Southern Mississippi -5.5 | Top | 16-31 | Win | 100 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
5 Unit Play. #104 Take Southern Miss over Kansas (Friday 8 pm ESPN) The Jayhawks are 1-1 having played North Dakota State and Georgia Tech at home to open up the 2010 season. One would certainly not expect them to have beat Georgia Tech and lost to North Dakota State but that is the case. The fact remains that Kansas is still a rebuilding team and I expect them to struggle in 2010 especially on the road. The Jayhawks beat the Golden Eagles last year in Lawrence 35-28 but did not cover the 13-point spread. They had QB Todd Reesing last year and he is gone this year. Southern Miss returns 9 starters on defense and I expect them to keep this weak Jayhawks offense in check. Mid-majors enjoy playing BCS conference teams at home and you can be sure the fans will be rocking at Roberts Stadium. Kansas is just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Hawks go down and we collect big in the process as well.
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09-11-10 | Oregon Ducks -12.5 v. Tennessee Volunteers | Top | 48-13 | Win | 100 | 75 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #71 Take Oregon Ducks over Tennessee Volunteers (Saturday 7 pm ESPN 2) Both teams won big last week with Tennessee beating UT-Martin, 50-0 and Oregon pounded New Mexico, 72-0. That being said, I do not believe that the Vols big win is a sign to buy them. Tennessee is coached by Derek Dooley, who took over after Lane Kiffin left for USC after just one season. What is interesting about this is that three talented coaches turned this job down because the cupboard is empty thanks to Lane Kiffin. This is why they hired an unknown coach who is mostly known for his famous father Vince Dooley.
Oregon comes in with 17 starters from the 2009 squad that won the PAC-10. I believe the 2010 squad can win the title as well assuming they can replace QB Jeremiah Masoli, as he now plays for the Rebels. Both Darron Thomas and Nate Costa played well against New Mexico and if they can solidify this position, LOOK OUT! It will start on Saturday and again it is not my style to lay this much on the road, but the Oregon Ducks are just too talented. OREGON DUCKS 41, TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS 17 |
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