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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-12-19 | St. Mary's v. Loyola Marymount +6.5 | Top | 71-60 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT LIONS as part of our CBB Saturday Trifecta. When it comes to teams from smaller conferences, lines are sometimes based on names since bettors do not follow these teams very closely and that is the case here. St. Mary's is off to a 10-7 start and those seven losses are already more than they have had in each of the last three seasons. The slow start should not be a big surprise as the Gaels lost three starters from last season as well as five of their top seven scorers yet they are still a public favorite. Loyola-Marymount has not been prominent in a long time but this could be a special season with all five starters back. The Lions opened 5-0 for the first time since 2003 which included wins over Georgetown and UNLV and those came without Eli Scott who is starting to get back into form. They are 8-0 at home and going back are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a losing road record. Meanwhile, the Gaels are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (760) Loyola-Marymount Lions |
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01-11-19 | Indiana +6 v. Maryland | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CBB Friday Star Attraction. The Hoosiers are coming off its first conference loss of the season as they were defeated in Michigan by 11 points on Sunday. Indiana is just 1-3 on the road but two of those losses came against the top two teams in the country while the third came by just one point at Arkansas. On Thursday, Hoosiers head coach Archie Miller said the team is hopeful it will have De'Ron Davis available in College Park and that will be a huge boost against the Maryland size advantage. The Hoosiers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. The Terrapins have won five straight games including a pair on the road in their last two to improve to 4-1 in the Big Ten. They do have a rebounding advantage but that it is as they are on the wrong side of effective offense and defense on both sides of the floor. Maryland does not force many turnovers and can be turnover prone because of its youth and decision making, so a performance similar to what the Hoosiers produced in Ann Arbor (season low 11.9 turnover percentage) is a clear key. The Terrapins are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 home games. 10* (801) Indiana Hoosiers |
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01-10-19 | SMU v. Connecticut -2.5 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT HUSKIES for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. As is the case almost every year, SMU has played a very weak schedule is it is ranked No. 342 in the nation. The Mustangs have opened AAC action with a pair of wins over East Carolina and Tulane but those are the two worst teams in the conference. This is just the third true road game for SMU and the biggest test to date on the highway. The Mustangs are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning straight up record. The Huskies have opened their conference schedule with a pair of losses at South Florida and at home against Central Florida, arguably the top team in the AAC. Connecticut has faced six teams ranked in the top 50, which is the most in the conference, and while it has gone just 1-5 in those games, playing those teams will help going forward. Take note that SMU is not part of that group, it is part of the group that the Huskies have gone 8-1 against. The Huskies are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (622) Connecticut Huskies |
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01-09-19 | Marquette v. Creighton -2.5 | Top | 106-104 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS as part of our CBB Wednesday Trifecta. The Bluejays opened Big East play with a win at Providence but lost at Butler by 15 points on Saturday to fall to 10-5 on the season overall. That record looks average but they have played the 6th ranked schedule in the nation as they have played 10 teams that won at least 21 games last year. They have been a great bounce back team, going 8-0 ATS in their last eight games after allowing 80 or more points. Marquette is coming off an 18-point win over Xavier on Saturday but that was at home where it is 11-0 on the season. The Golden Eagles have been blown out in their only two road games this season, including an 89-69 loss at St. John's to open conference play on January 1st. Marquette is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games after a win by 10 points or more and here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams outscoring opponents by 8 or more ppg, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game. This situation is 35-9 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (800) Creighton Bluejays |
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01-08-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech -6.5 | Top | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS as part of our CBB Tuesday Trifecta. Oklahoma is another team that came into the season unranked but it is off to a 12-2 start and has cracked the top 25. The Sooners are 1-1 in the Big XII as they bounced back from a loss at Kansas with a home win over rival Oklahoma St. on Saturday. They are 3-1 on the road and while a win at Northwestern was nice, it took overtime and the other two wins came at UTSA and Texas Rio Grand Valley. Texas Tech is now ranked in the top ten with a 13-1 record thanks to a pair of wins to open conference play over West Virginia and Kansas St. The Red Raiders only loss came against Duke in a close one. Texas Tech is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 home games after failing to cover six or seven of its last eight games. Here, we play on favorites after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games going up against an opponent after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games. This situation is 96-54 ATS (64 percent) since 1997. 10* (642) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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01-06-19 | George Washington v. St. Joe's -12 | Top | 70-56 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. JOSEPH'S HAWKS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. We are not sure what happened to St. Joseph's in its conference opener as it fell to George Mason by 25 points as a seven-point favorite. The Hawks could not buy a basket as they shot just 34.6 percent from the floor including 23.3 percent from long range but we expect a big rebound today at the expense of one of the worst teams in the conference. They are laying a big number for a reason. George Washington is 0-5 away from home and it has lost those games by an average of 22.4 ppg. This is nothing new for the Colonials as they won just two games away from home last season while getting outscored by 18.6 ppg. The situation today makes it even better as George Washington has covered five straight games while the Hawks have failed to cover in their last four games which puts this number even lower than it should be. Here, we play on favorites after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games going up against an opponent after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games. This situation is 96-53 ATS (64.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (812) St. Joseph's Hawks |
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01-05-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State -7 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS for our CBB Game of the Week. Arizona St. pulled off a big upset at home against Kansas but could not sustain the momentum as it lost at home against Princeton as a 14.5-point favorite and then lost by 10 points against Utah in its conference opener as an 11-point chalk. To say the Sun Devils are hungry is an understatement. Colorado also lost its PAC 12 opener at Arizona and the Buffaloes are road weary at this point with this being their sixth straight game away from home. Arizona St. falls into two superb situations. First, we play against road teams as an underdog or pickem that are averaging between 74 and 78 ppg going up against a team allowing between 67 and 74 ppg, after three straight games where both teams scored 70 points or less. This situation is 25-2 ATS (92.6 percent) since 1997. Second, we play on teams after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games going up against an opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games. This situation is 44-11 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (698) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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01-03-19 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin -9.5 | Top | 59-52 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. We played against Wisconsin on Saturday as it lost to Western Kentucky to fall to 2-2 on the road. The Badgers are back home where they are 6-0 and those six home games are tied for the fewest in the conference. Despite playing more games away from home than in Madison, Wisconsin is the only team with that distinction that is ranked. Wisconsin is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 games after scoring 75 points or more three straight games while going 4-0 ATS in its last four home games against teams with a losing road record. Minnesota has won five straight games but considering it did not cover any of the last four shows that record is overblown. The Gopher were favored by at least 15 points in all of those games which shows they clearly did not live up to what they were supposed to do. Now they hit the road and the venue has played a big role this season as Minnesota is 8-0 at home and 0-2 in true road games. The Gophers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after one or more consecutive wins this season while going 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (656) Wisconsin Badgers |
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01-02-19 | Colorado State v. UNLV -9.5 | Top | 76-78 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the UNLV RUNNIN' REBELS for our CBB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. UNLV is back home for the first time in over a month as its last five games have taken place on the road. The Rebels lost their two most recent home games but those were against Valparaiso and Cincinnati and they take a big step down in competition in their conference opener/ Last season, UNLV ranked 6th in the country in free throw rate, a testament to their focus on attacking the basket, aided by the 20th-best offensive rebounding percentage in the country. The free throw rate is down slightly this season but the Rebels are ranked 2nd in offensive rebounding percentage. Colorado St. is 5-8 to open the season with none of those victories coming against a quality opponent. The Rams finished 10th in the Mountain West and had the dishonorable distinction of sporting the worst defense in the league. They are not much better this season ac their .528 effective field goal percentage allowed is in the bottom sixth in the nation. The Rebels are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Rams are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play on favorites off two or more consecutive losses as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home loss. This situation is 142-84 ATS (62.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (830) UNLV Runnin' Rebels |
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12-30-18 | Detroit v. Cleveland State -4 | Top | 73-61 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND ST. VIKINGS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Detroit opened Horizon League play with an upset win at Youngstown St. by 12 points. That snapped a six-game losing streak for the Titans, four of which came on the road by double-digits. Detroit finished last in the conference last season with a 4-14 record and they are predicted to finish in the basement again this season. Going back, Detroit is 10-26 ATS in its last 36 games off a road win by 10 points or more. Cleveland St. meanwhile is coming off a loss in its conference opener against Oakland. The Vikings closed as a small favorite but ended up losing by 12 points as the Golden Grizzlies shot 50 percent from the floor. Cleveland St. should not have to worry about that tonight as Detroit is shooting under 40 percent for the season including 36.5 percent over its last five games. The Vikings are 6-0 ATS after allowing 80 points or more this season while going back, they are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up loss. 10* (730) Cleveland St. Vikings |
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12-29-18 | Nevada v. Utah +8 | Top | 86-71 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH UTES as part of our CBB Saturday Triple Play. It is no secret that Nevada is one of the best teams in the country and while it won and covered its two road games this season, Saturday is the biggest test thus far. The Wolf Pack have yet to lose but they have failed to cover their last four games because of being overpriced and that is the case again here. Utah is undefeated at home and has an eight-game winning streak dating back to last season. One area it has been good is getting second-chance opportunities as Utah has excellent size and grabs 30.1 percent of its misses which is a key factor against a big Nevada team that normally has an edge down low. Playing in the thin air of Salt Lake City is a big edge for the home team. Here, we play against road teams as a favorite or pickem with a winning percentage of .800 or better off a home no-cover where it won straight up as a favorite, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 113-65 ATS (63.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (616) Utah Utes |
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12-22-18 | UNLV v. Hawaii +1 | Top | 73-59 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS as part of our CBB Saturday Triple Play. Hawaii is again playing host to the Diamond Head Classic and it has had the luxury of no travel since November 28 which gives it a big edge against the other seven teams in the tournament. The Rainbow Warriors are 5-1 at home so far this year with its lone loss coming to 11-1 North Texas. They are balanced as they have had a different leading scorer in each of its last six games. UNLV is coming off an upset win over BYU and this is just its third game away from home. The Rebels had lost three straight prior to that after opening the season 5-1. UNLV is without forward Shakur Juiston who was injuries two games back. He is the leading rebounder and third leading scorer on a team that is thin down low. Here, we play against road teams as a favorite or pickem after allowing 90 points or more going up against an opponent after a win by 15 points or more. This situation is 50-18 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (694) Hawaii Rainbow Warriors |
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12-21-18 | Ole Miss v. Middle Tennessee +13 | Top | 74-56 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. BLUE RAIDERS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. This is the classic overreaction line based on early season performances. Mississippi has one of the best spread record at 9-1 ATS while Middle Tennessee St. is one of two teams in the country that has yet to cover a game, going 0-9 ATS. Considering the newness of the roster as Mississippi has five returners compared to seven newcomers, a first-year coach in Kermit Davis and the 2017-18 results of 12-20 overall record, 5-13 SEC mark, it has been a surprisingly good start for the Rebels. Playing a schedule ranked No. 179 in the country helps and while a win over Baylor looks impressive, the Rebels were fortunate that the Bear were 2-18 from long range and they outscored them 29-18 from the free throw line. They have been picked to again finish dead last in the SEC. The Blue Raiders have lost seven straight games and while there are no excuses, they have faced the 3rd toughest schedule in the nation. Here, we play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points after three straight losses by 15 points or more. This situation is 51-21 ATS (70.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (822) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders |
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12-19-18 | Auburn +1 v. NC State | Top | 71-78 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the AUBURN TIGERS for our CBB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. NC State is back home after defeating Penn St. on a neutral floor in New Jersey on Saturday for its third consecutive win. The Wolfpack are now 9-1 on the season and despite making the NCAA Tournament last season with a 21-12 record, they are still unranked. But this is for good reason. NC State returned three starters from last year but those are the only three players that returned on the whole team so facing an elite team for the first time this season is going to show its shortcomings. Thus far, the Wolfpack have played the No. 352 ranked schedule in the country compared to Auburn which has faced a schedule ranked No. 90. And the Tigers are the real deal. They are ranked No. 7 in the nation coming off a 26-win season and the only Auburn loss this season came against Duke in the Maui Invitational over the week of Thanksgiving. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 in a game involving two teams outscoring opponents by 8 or more ppg, after scoring 80 points or more three straight games. This situation is 76-31 ATS (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (701) Auburn Tigers |
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12-18-18 | East Carolina v. Charlotte -1 | Top | 49-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CBB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. The Pirates enters Tuesday's game with a 6-4 record with wins over Delaware St., Lamar, Texas-Rio Grande, Prairie View A&M, Appalachian St. and Maryland Eastern Shore, not exactly the most imposing of opponents. All of those wins have come either at home or on a neutral floor as East Carolina comes into tonight with a 0-2 record on the road. Overall, the Pirates have played the No. 351 ranked schedule in the country and that is out of 353 Division I teams. East Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games while going 0-6 ATS in its last six games following two or more consecutive wins. Charlotte is back home following three straight losses on the road and while the 49ers check in at just 2-2 at home, one of those wins came against Oklahoma St. so as long as the offense does not completely shut down, the 49ers are in good shape for a bounce back. Additionally, this is a great tune up for the Diamond Head Classic which starts on Saturday against TCU. 10* (616) Charlotte 49ers |
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12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee +13.5 v. Toledo | Top | 62-84 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. BLUE RAIDERS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. Three teams currently possess 0-8 ATS records on the season and Middle Tennessee St. is one of those. The Blue Raiders have lost six straight games to fall to 3-7 on the season and after a week off, this is a good spot to get things going in the other direction. We played on Middle Tennessee St. last Saturday as it lost at home against Murray St. and while the losses are no excuse, the opposition has been brutal. The Blue Raiders have played a very tough schedule as they have played the No. 4 ranked slate in the nation. Toledo meanwhile has won seven straight games but the schedule has been a complete opposite as the Rockets have played the No. 235 schedule in the nation so this is the perfect contrarian setup as this line is set on records alone. The Rockets are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games against teams with a losing road record while the Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Additionally, we play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points after three straight losses by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 56-25 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (635) Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders |
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12-12-18 | Massachusetts v. Temple -10 | Top | 63-65 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. Temple is back on the court following a week off as it looks to bounce back from its second loss of the season, a 10-point loss at Villanova. The Owls are going to stoked to bounce back from that but also are glad to be back home for the first time in close to a month as their last five games have been on the road. Against Villanova, they had a four-point lead late but allowed the Wildcats to go on a 26-12 run to end the game as they were destroyed on the offensive glass. The good news is that Temple is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games after a game with five or fewer offensive rebounds. Additionally, the Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Massachusetts is coming off a one-point upset win at Providence as it rallied from a 20-point deficit which was its first true road game of the season. While that was an impressive win, the Minutemen have had some ugly losses including home defeats against Howard and Holy Cross. Do not be surprised for a letdown and going back, Massachusetts is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more. 10* (704) Temple Owls |
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12-08-18 | Murray State v. Middle Tennessee +4.5 | Top | 64-42 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. BLUE RAIDERS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. Middle Tennessee has gotten off to a poor start this season as it is 3-6 after losing just eight games all of last season. The Blue Raiders have played a very tough schedule as they have played the No. 6 ranked slate in the nation and they head back home following a blowout loss at Vanderbilt on Wednesday. They are catching a significant number of points at home with a lot of that based on the fact the Blue Raiders have yet to cover a game this season. Murray St. is once again expected to win the Ohio Valley Conference after posting a 16-2 conference record a season ago. The Racers are off to a 4-1 start and really have not been tested yet after losing their two top players from last season. Making matters worse, senior forward Anthony Smith will miss the remainder of the season due to season-ending ankle surgery, which not only takes a toll to the Racers frontcourt depth but it also hurts their efforts on the offensive glass. Going back, the Blue Raiders are 48-21-2 ATS in their last 71 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play on home teams after failing to cover the spread in seven or more consecutive games. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (818) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders |
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12-06-18 | Iowa State v. Iowa +2.5 | Top | 84-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Iowa St. is off to a 7-1 start including wins in four straight games but it finds itself in a tough spot against a better rival on the road. This is the first true road game for the Cyclones and they are catching Iowa at the wrong time. After starting the season 6-0 and rising to No. 14 in the AP Top 25 poll, the Hawkeyes have lost their first two conference games and been exposed in the paint. In losses to Michigan State and Wisconsin, the Hawkeyes were outscored 86-46 in the paint. Iowa St. has three players 6-9 and taller so it can do similar damage but that will not be the case according to head coach Steve Prohm as the Cyclones have relied on a four-guard rotation and they are sticking to it because of the early success. Iowa St. is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games after two straight games allowing its opponent to shoot 37 percent or worse while the Hawkeyes are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Here, we play on underdogs off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival going up against an opponent after two straight covers as a double digit favorite. This situation is 108-60 ATS (64.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (714) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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12-05-18 | VCU v. Texas -10 | Top | 54-53 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS LONGHORNS as part of our CBB Wednesday Triple Play. While it is still early in the season, this is a big game for Texas to get its season back in order. The Longhorns defeated North Carolina on November 22 and then blew an eight-point halftime lead against Michigan St. the next day and that seemed to carry over in their return home a week later as they lost to Radford. While a loss like that looks horrible, it was not as bad since Radford is the team to beat in the Big South Conference but that is still a team Texas should never lose to. With Purdue on deck, now is the time to get right. VCU looks about like what you would expect as the Rams are very good defensively, are athletic, and typically play 11 guys. However, they have struggled with shooting and with turnovers and coming into the season were picked to finish 6th in the Atlantic Ten Conference. Their typical style of defense is to pressure the passing lanes, which tends to open up driving lanes of the sort that Texas has been able to exploit this year, such as in the game against North Carolina. The Rams are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record while Texas is 22-11 ATS in its last 33 games coming off a game as a home favorite. 10* (558) Texas Longhorns |
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12-04-18 | Northeastern v. Syracuse -12 | Top | 49-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CBB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. After suffering a pair of bad losses against Connecticut and Oregon, Syracuse has bounced back with three straight wins including an impressive 10-point win at Ohio St. That victory is a likely reason the Orange put up a lethargic effort on Saturday against Cornell as they won by just eight points as 21.5-point favorites. We will see a better and more focused effort tonight as they need to start clicking on a more consistent basis and this is even more so considering they have a big game against Georgetown on deck. Northeastern got off to a 2-4 before winning its last two games against fairly poor opposition and the Huskies take a big step up tonight. They are picked to win the CAA this season as they bring back all five starters from their 23-win team last year. The problem is that two of those are out as the backcourt duo of Vasa Pusica and Shawn Occeus, who averaged a combined 28.7 ppg, are both on the shelf with injuries and those losses are significant here in this matchup when trying to solve the 2-3 zone. Syracuse is struggling from the field with a .419 shooting percentage including .291 from long range but they face a poor defense as Northeastern is allowing opponents to shoot 49 percent including 37.2 percent from behind the arc. 10* (720) Syracuse Orange |
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12-01-18 | Oregon v. Houston -3 | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CBB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. After a solid win over Syracuse, Oregon put up a lethargic effort against Green Bay and that spilled over into a home loss against Texas Southern on Monday as a 25-point favorite. A bounce back would be typical but not in the first true road game of the season and against a quality opponent. Houston is 5-0 with all five wins coming by double digits including an impressive one at BYU by 14 points. Oregon is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games against teams who make eight or more three-point shots per game on the season while Houston is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 games as a home favorite of three points or less. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 in a game involving two teams that are outscoring opponents by 8.0 or more ppg after scoring 80 points or more three straight games. This situation is 71-30 (70.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (596) Houston Cougars |
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11-30-18 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +2 | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our CBB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Iowa was picked to finished 11th in the 14-team Big Ten Conference following a dreadful 2017-18 season where it went 14-19 overall including 4-14 in the conference, one game ahead of Rutgers for last place. Fast forward to this season and quality wins over Oregon, Connecticut and Pittsburgh has got the Hawkeyes back on the national radar as they come into tonight ranked No. 14 in the nation after coming into the season unranked and not even receiving one top 25 vote. Iowa returned all five starters so this team is experienced and they are showing it by averaging 85.3 ppg. Whether it is a more experienced roster that includes Ethan Happ and D'Mitrik Trice playing at high levels, the tweaks to the scheme or a combination of the two, the Wisconsin offensive numbers have been positive early the season. The Badgers finished last season with an adjusted offensive efficiency rating of 109.7, according to Ken Pomeroy and that was the second-lowest mark in the KenPom era, which dates to the 2001-02 season. So we are not sure if the Badgers can keep it up and we know that the 60 percent long-range shooting from Trice will not hold up. 10* (736) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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11-28-18 | San Diego +7.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO TOREROS as part of our CBB Wednesday Triple Play. The public is all over Mississippi tonight as it is the second biggest consensus on the college hoops board and the only logical reason is a shorter than expected number for a power conference school playing a mid-major. The Rebels are young and are projected to finish in last place in the SEC and they are still feeling the aftermath from last year when long time head coach Andy Kennedy resigned during the season. San Diego is 5-1 with a home win against Colorado and a three-point loss at Washington and is ranked No. 65 in the NCAA's "Net Rankings," its new metric designed to help choose postseason at-large bids. While it may not be perfect, the fact that Mississippi is ranked No. 93 shows that the Rebels are totally overvalued here. The Toreros won 20 games last season and while their coaching situation is similar after Lamont Smith resigned after the regular season last year, they carried forward under Sam Scholl and made a CIT run which brought momentum into this season. Four starters are back as well as 81 percent of their scoring so this team is loaded. 10* (735) San Diego Toreros |
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11-27-18 | Nevada -4 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 79-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. Nevada will be out for some payback after losing in the Sweet 16 to Loyola-Chicago last season. The Wolf Pack are now ranked No. 5 in the nation which is probably to the surprise of many but they are legit and have won all six games by at least 10 points. Nevada is coming off a 110-87 victory over UMass in the title game of the Continental Tire Las Vegas Holiday Invitational Friday night. This is their first true road game of the season but after going 11-3 on the road last season with the same core, this is not a problem. The Ramblers are coming off a loss against Boston College down in Fort Myers to fall to 4-2 on the season. There is still talent left over from the Final Four team from a season ago but they lost more than the Wolf Pack did and the matchup will be different this time around. Nevada is not the fastest-playing team (118th in tempo), but it will have the athletic advantage in this one and would like to get the game moving. A lot of that will come down to either forcing turnovers or getting stops and running off misses. If this game gets into the 80s, it is a huge edge for the Wolf Pack. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams outscoring opponents by 8.0 or more ppg, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game. This situation s 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (523) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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11-26-18 | Nebraska v. Clemson -3 | Top | 68-66 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
This is play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CBB Monday Supreme Annihilator. The Tigers are coming off an 87-82 loss to Creighton in the championship game of the Cayman Island Classic last Wednesday. The Tigers won their first five games prior to that including impressive wins over Akron and Georgia and they are now up to No. 16 in the AP Poll. This is a very experienced team with four fifth-year senior starters and three of those nearly left after last season to go pro but all three changed their minds including the backcourt of Marcquise Reed and Shelton Mitchell, which currently lead the team in scoring at a combined 34.5 ppg. Clemson is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games after scoring 80 points or more. Nebraska is coming off a 73-49 win over Western Illinois on Saturday, less than a week after getting trounced by Texas Tech 70-52 in the championship game of the Hall of Fame Classic in Kansas City. The Huskers are also ranked at No. 24 and this will now be their first true road game of the season. Nebraska is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games after playing four consecutive games as favorite while going 7-19 ATS in its last 26 road games following three or more consecutive home games. Additionally, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams outscoring opponents by 8.0 or more ppg, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game. This situation s 34-8 ATS (81 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (716) Clemson Tigers |
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11-22-18 | Northwestern -6 v. Fresno State | Top | 59-78 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. After making its first ever trip to the NCAA Tournament in 2017, Northwestern took a big step back last season as it finished 15-17. Injuries played a big role along with the fact the Wildcats had to play their home games at Allstate Arena in Rosemont as Welsh-Ryan Arena was undergoing renovations. They are back to their regular home and opened the season with three straight blowout victories, albeit against some very poor opposition. Still, they have three starters back, bring in a pair of graduate transfers including Ryan Taylor who led the MVC in scoring last season with 21.3 ppg while at Evansville and welcomed a very strong freshman class. Fresno St. opened the season with a blowout win over Alaska in a glorified exhibition and then hit the road and was thoroughly outplayed at TCU. The Bulldogs have just two starters back from its 22-win team and are also breaking in a new head coach in Justin Hutson who has no head coaching experience. Fresno St. will struggle in this matchup with the defense of Northwestern as well as giving up too many easy looks down low. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points coming off a home win by 10 points or more, in the first five games of the season, after closing out last season with four or more straight ATS losses. This situation is 51-21 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (727) Northwestern Wildcats |
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11-22-18 | Auburn -8 v. Arizona | Top | 73-57 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the AUBURN TIGERS for our CBB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Auburn hung around with Duke last night before eventually falling by six points and we expect a bounce back tonight in the consolation game of the Maui Invitational. The Tigers shot just 36.4 percent from the floor but the defense did its part by holding the Blue Devils to 44.2 percent and the difference was at the free throw line where Auburn went to the stripe only nine times, making five of those while Duke was 23-34. The Tigers possess of the best backcourt duos in the nation in Bryce Brown and Jared Harper, two seniors that were All SEC players last season. Arizona could be in for a rough season and it is coming off its first loss of the season yesterday, a 17-point blowout loss against Gonzaga. The Wildcats lost all five starters from last season and had a few top rated recruits decommit following the FBI probe so only six players were on the roster following its early exit from the NCAA Tournament. Going back, the Wildcats are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Auburn falls into a great situation taking experience into account as we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (in a game involving two teams who had winning percentage between .600 and .800 from last season, with three or more starters returning from last year than opponent. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (577) Auburn Tigers |
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11-20-18 | Washington -3 v. Texas A&M | Top | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our CBB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. While Washington is considered the road team here in this neutral site game, the location gives it the big edge where the venue is being taken into consideration. The Huskies easily took care of Santa Clara in the first round of the Vancouver Showcase on Sunday to improve to 3-1 on the season and while the defense struggled in the lone loss at Auburn, this is becoming a staple. Head coach Mike Hopkins won 21 games in his first season at Washington and while it took a while to get going, the Huskies found their form and they should be even better this season. Hopkins brought over the 2-3 zone from his days at Syracuse and while it took a while for the players to pick up on the new concept, this is not the case this season with all five starters back and the top eight in minutes played from last season. On the other side, Texas A&M lost a ton of experience from its Sweet 16 team as three double-digit scorers departed along with a key senior. Two starters are back but one has yet to suit up as Admon Gilder, who was their second leading scorer, leading three-point shooter and leading free throw shooter from last season, remains out with a hamstring injury. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 where the line is +3 to -3 after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (767) Washington Huskies |
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11-16-18 | St. John's v. Rutgers +3.5 | Top | 84-65 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CBB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Rutgers has played Fairleigh Dickinson and Drexel, blowing both teams out. Neither of those squads are expected to be major players in their conference, but Rutgers did display some intriguing scoring, shooting 56 percent clip from beyond the arc and assisting on 60 percent of their made shots. 6'7", 234 pound Eugene Omoruyi shot 0-16 from outside the arc in his first two seasons and in two games this year, he is 6-7. St. John's is a talented team, but Rutgers usually plays local teams tough at home and this team has that youthful confidence to play loose. Based on the first two games, it should be clear that Rutgers is moving towards a Michigan type offense that can mix and match multi-skilled players on the perimeter, making them a matchup nightmare for opponents. The Red Storm have won their first two games as they are led by Mustapha Heron and Shamorie Ponds who are each averaging 20.5 ppg. St. John's struggled in its last game as it was favored by 18.5 points over Bowling Green but won by just four points and now it hits the road for the first. The Red Storm are 0-6 in their last six road games after playing a game where both teams scored 80 points or more. Meanwhile, Rutgers is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games while going 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games coming off a home win over. 10* (730) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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11-15-18 | William & Mary v. Illinois-Chicago -1.5 | Top | 95-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS-CHICAGO FLAMES for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Illinois-Chicago is off to a 0-3 start but all three of those games were on the road and the Flames are back in Chicago for their home opener. We played on them in their first game this season and while they lost by 17 points and failed to cover, the game was decided at the free throw line with Notre Dame going 36-38and Illinois Chicago going just 13-20. Illinois-Chicago lost two starters from last season but brings back four players with starting experience from its 20-16 team that was a win away from taking home the CIT Championship. The Flames have a deep and talented backcourt and while the loss of Dikembe Dixon looks big, he left the program to turn pro before the CIT run so they will be just fine. William & Mary is off to a 1-1 start with a home win over High Point and a road loss at Duquesne. The Tribe allowed the Dukes to shoot 52.5 percent from the floor and that has been an on going issue. The defense last season finished No. 335 in adjusted defensive efficiency. William & Mary has struggled on the road in recent years and with a big game at Notre Dame on deck, a lookahead is very possible. This is the first of three straight home games for the Flames and they get back on track tonight. 10* (514) Illinois-Chicago Flames |
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11-14-18 | Michigan +7.5 v. Villanova | Top | 73-46 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our CBB Wednesday Star Attraction. Despite losing four players to the NBA from last season's team, guards Donte DiVincenzo and Jalen Brunson along with forwards Mikal Bridges and Omari Spellman, the Wildcats are off to a strong start once again but it has come against a pair of cupcakes. Villanova is highly ranked yet again with a lot that due to the fact that it has won National Championships in two of the last three years. Like Villanova, the Wolverines feature a new-look team, though seven players are back from last season including three starters. They have also played an easy schedule and this matchup pits offense versus defense. Villanova is averaging 93 ppg and defensively, the Wolverines picked up right where they left off from last season and that is a good thing. Michigan is allowing just 40.5 ppg, which is third in the country. Teams are also shooting just 30 percent from the field. This early in the season in high profile games with elite players, the defense tends to trump the offense and it will up to Michigan to stifle the Wildcats offense as it does not want to get involved in a shootout. Obviously, Michigan wants payback from the National Championship last season and it will be playing with a ship on its shoulder. Going back, Michigan is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in two straight games. 10* (723) Michigan Wolverines |
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11-12-18 | Buffalo v. Southern Illinois +4.5 | Top | 62-53 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTHERN ILLINOIS SALUKIS for our CBB Monday Supreme Annihilator. Southern Illinois let a big upset slip away as it was leading Kentucky for a majority of the game but got hurt by late foul trouble. First Team All-MVC guard Armon Fletcher hit the bench with about seven minutes to go in the first half. He came back in briefly but fouled out in the second half with 9:20 to play. Fletcher, who missed the Salukis' exhibition game while in the concussion protocol, scored eight points and grabbed three rebounds in 15 minutes. which was well under his normal production. We can expect a big bounce back tonight. Buffalo pulled off an upset in its last game as it won at West Virginia in overtime as an 11-point underdog. The Bulls were the Cinderella of the NCAA Tournament last season with the upset over Arizona and hanging with Kentucky for 32 minutes before the Wildcats pulled away. With a lot of talent back from last season, the win over the Mountaineers cannot be all that surprising but because of it, the line has been overinflated. The Salukis are going to challenge for the MVC title so they should not be getting points at home against another mid-Major team. 10* (734) Southern Illinois Salukis |
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11-09-18 | Toledo -5.5 v. Oakland | Top | 87-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CBB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Oakland opened its season with a 54-point win over Kalamazoo College, a Division III team and a bad one at that which went 8-17 last season. That victory gives no indication of how the Golden Grizzlies are going to be and the likely answer to that question is going to be not good. They have only one starter back as they lost four key seniors, as well as losing four more players who transferred. In total, Oakland lost its top five players in minutes, scoring and blocks while losing its top four rebounders. Going back, Oakland is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games after scoring 80 points or more. Toledo is loaded with six of its top seven players returning. The Rockets finished 23-11 and will be playing with a chip on its shoulder from the start. They knew the NCAA tournament would bypass them last year but no did the NIT which was a slap in the face and Toledo declined to play in the lesser tournaments thus ending their season. With this being their first game, look for the Rockets to play with a ton of fire. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (535) Toledo Rockets |
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11-06-18 | Illinois-Chicago +13 v. Notre Dame | Top | 67-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS-CHICAGO FLAMES for our CBB Tuesday Season Opener. Notre Dame was supposed to make a huge run at the ACC title and go deep into the NCAA Tournament last season but injuries kept that from happening and the Irish ended a disappointing season with a second round exit at the NIT. This has been a team that usually reloads every year but that is not the case this season as Notre Dame has just one senior and this is the most inexperienced roster head coach Mike Brey has had in his 19 years at the school. Only seven players with experience are back so things are going to be touch and go early on. Illinois-Chicago lost two starters from last season but brings back four players with starting experience from its 20-16 team that was a win away from taking home the CIT Championship. The Flames have a deep and talented backcourt and while the loss of Dikembe Dixon looks big, he left the program to turn pro before the CIT run so they will be just fine. Before losing to Northern Colorado in the CIT Championship game, the Flames had won nine consecutive road games so the experience and that confidence is a great combination to start the season. This line is based on name and conference affiliations and not what the current rosters are made of making this inflated line an east take. 10* (715) Illinois-Chicago Flames |
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04-02-18 | Michigan +7 v. Villanova | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our National Championship Enforcer. Both Michigan and Villanova covered their numbers on Saturday as favorites and with the public flocking to the Wildcats after their dominating performance over Kansas, we are on the underdog tonight as the Wolverines are seeing a 12-point swing on the number. If Villanova goes 18-40 from long range again tonight, it will not lose but we do not anticipate another effort like that. Michigan has the defense to not let that happen and not necessarily for the actual three-point shooting defense but for the way it can attack the offense in allowing fewer attempts. During the Michigan 14-game winning streak, only twice has an opponent attempted more than its average from three-point range and the Wolverines have allowed only 27.8 percent shooting. They had it on display on Saturday as Loyola-Chicago came in averaging 18.4 three-point attempts per game and put up only 10 while making just one of those. Michigan has no issues with playing against teams that are elite as they have covered their last six games against teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better while going 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games against teams that shooting 45 percent or better from the floor. Additionally, they are 6-1 ATS this season as dogs of three or more points. 10* (601) Michigan Wolverines |
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03-31-18 | Kansas v. Villanova -5 | Top | 79-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the VILLANOVA WILDCATS for our CBB Final Four Enforcer. The only two No. 1 seeds to make it to the Sweet 16 square off in the Final Four and Kansas is the public consensus based on what is considered an inflated line. Typically, a battle between top seeds would have a shorter line but this is a game where Villanova has distinct advantages as we have seen thus far as it has cruised in all four games. Both teams rely on the three-point shot as a big part of their offense as they both shoot over 40 percent from long range. Villanova has a much more diverse offense, so it is the team that can survive a cold spell from outside should it occur. The Wildcats free throw shooting can be a difference as well if it is a close game late as they are hitting 83 percent over their last five games and they are No. 8 in the nation overall. They also have an extra advantage over the Jayhawks from an experience perspective since they already know what kind of pressure comes playing on a big stage like the one they are about to see in San Antonio. Kansas has had a tougher time as it had to deal with a pesky Penn team to open the tournament and it has escaped the last three games with four-point wins in each. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams that are outscoring opponents by eight or more ppg, after allowing 75 points or more three straight games. This situation is 56-21 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (814) Villanova Wildcats |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan -5.5 | Top | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our CBB Final Four Supreme Annihilator. We have been on the wrong side of Loyola-Chicago is each of the last two games, but the Cinderella season comes to an end this Saturday as the Ramblers have their worst matchup of the tournament thus far. They have not had to defend a stretch-five player like Michigan 6-foot-11 forward Moe Wagner, a likely NBA future player. Both teams shoot the ball well with excellent ball movement and both play tough defense, but this game comes down to taking care of the ball. Michigan does an excellent job protecting the ball, with the third-lowest turnover rate in the country. Loyola-Chicago can get sloppy at times, as it did in the first half of its Sweet 16 win over Nevada and it ranks 219th in turnover rate. Michigan loves to push the ball off turnovers and this is where it can have a big edge. Overall, the Wolverines have the better numbers in assist/turnover ratio on both ends of the floor. This is also a game where experience can come into play and while the Wolverine players do not have it, it is there on the sidelines. Michigan has arguably the best coach in the country in John Beilein and this is his second Final Four in six years as his team lost to Louisville in the National Championship in 2012-13. Michigan is 10-2 ATS this season against teams shooting 48 percent or better while going 13-5 ATS this season against teams allowing 42 percent shooting or better. 10* (812) Michigan Wolverines |
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03-30-18 | San Francisco v. North Texas -4.5 | Top | 77-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CBB Friday Enforcer. We had North Texas in Game Two of the CBI Championship and we are going to back the Mean Green for the same reasons so pardon the regurgitation of the analysis. In Game One, San Francisco was 12-18 from beyond the arc in the first half and to put that number in perspective, it had 16 made field goals in total through the first half. The Dons are typically not a good three-point shooting team to begin with and overall, they are ranked No. 247 in the country in effective field goal percentage while North Texas is ranked No. 80 in effective field goal defense so we can toss the Monday performances out. In the second game, San Francisco came back to earth as expected as it shot just 42 percent, but a shocker was that North Texas hit just 39.7 percent of its shots including going 2-18 from long range. They dominated the boards however and should again tonight which mean that just an average shooting night means a runaway win. San Francisco is just 4-8 on the road with those four wins coming against four of the bottom five teams from the WCC, none of which had winning records. The Mean Green are 13-6 at home with the four of the losses since December coming by 2, 2, 2 and 3 points and a fifth coming in overtime. 10* (520) North Texas Mean Green |
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03-29-18 | Penn State -4 v. Utah | Top | 82-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS for our NIT Championship Enforcer. We won with Penn St. on Tuesday and we will back the Nittany Lions again here what looks like another very favorable matchup. They rolled over Mississippi St. as the game was never in jeopardy as the Nittany Lions trailed for all of 16 seconds, and then used a 24-0 run to make the game unreachable for the Bulldogs. They are comfortable at MSG as they also played the Big Ten Tournament here and the real edge is in fan support as a Penn St. contingent was present on Tuesday and will definitely be there again tonight. The Utes needed every second of the 40 minutes in order to beat Western Kentucky, who started the game up 18-5. Utah methodically erased the deficit to go onto the half tied, and used the final seconds, and back-to-back turnovers by the Hilltoppers, to finally win the game. A deficit like that here will be deadly as Penn St. will not let them back in the game. Utah is ranked No. 85 in defensive efficiency which is solid, but the Nittany Lions are ranked No. 24 so the clear edge goes to the latter and the 24-0 run that Penn St. had against Mississippi St. showed what that defense is capable of. The Nittany Lions are 10-2 ATS this season after two or more consecutive wins. 10* (711) Penn St. Nittany Lions |
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03-28-18 | San Francisco v. North Texas -3 | Top | 55-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. San Francisco took Game One of this best-of-three series for the CBI Tournament Championship and now the series heads to Denton for the final two games should the game on Friday be necessary. We expect it to be as North Texas will rebound from the opener on Monday as it did not play great, but the difference was an absolute fluke. San Francisco was 12-18 from beyond the arc in the first half and to put that number in perspective, it had 16 made field goals in total through the first half. The Dons are typically not a good three-point shooting team to begin with and overall, they are ranked No. 247 in the country in effective field goal percentage while North Texas is ranked No. 80 in effective field goal defense so we can toss the Monday performances out. San Francisco is just 4-7 on the road with those four wins coming against four of the bottom five teams from the WCC, none of which had winning records. The Mean Green are 12-6 at home with the four of the losses since December coming by 2, 2, 2 and 3 points and a fifth coming in overtime. San Francisco is 1-8 ATS this season coming off a double-digit win while the Mean Green are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. 10* (518) North Texas Mean Green |
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03-27-18 | Mississippi State v. Penn State -2.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS for our NIT Tuesday Enforcer. Both Mississippi St. and Penn St. pulled off a pair of road upsets to make it to the NIT Semifinals. After playing a somewhat uninspired game against the Temple Owls, going on the road to beat Notre Dame and withstanding an assault from one of the best offensive teams in the country in Marquette, the Nittany Lions head back to MSG for a chance at an NIT championship. They had a good run here in the Big Ten Tournament with wins over Northwestern and Ohio St. and putting up a good fight against Purdue. Penn St. has shot at least 20 free throw attempts in each of their last five games and is averaging just under 25 attempts per game. while making just over 77 percent of those shots. Mississippi St. has peaked at the right time as well and a win at Louisville by 23 points it its last game was very impressive. The Bulldogs will have a tough time matching up against the Penn St. offense, a team that takes very good care of the ball as it commits just 11.5 tpg. Going back, Mississippi St. is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after a win by 20 points or more while Penn St. is 11-3 ATS after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season. 10* (780) Penn St. Nittany Lions |
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03-24-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Kansas State -1 | Top | 78-62 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS STATE WILDCATS for our CBB Saturday Elite Eight Enforcer. The Loyola-Chicago Cinderella story is a good one as it snuck out its third straight last second victory, this time a one-point win over Nevada. The Ramblers have shot 51 percent through the three games but the defense has been just as much part of the success as they have allowed just 64 ppg. While the Ramblers can dictate the pace on offense with any one of four shooters averaging better than 55 percent from inside the three-point line, Kansas St. has no problem playing at a slow pace. Kansas St. can certainly be considered a Cinderella as well as a No. 9 seed, making this the first ever 9-vs.-11 matchup in the history of the tournament. The Wildcats are not getting the pub though and that seems to be fine with them. They were even dissed by Kentucky following their victory on Thursday as players and coaches left the court without shaking the hands of Kansas St. players. This team is playing with a chip on its shoulder and it is doing so with a stout defense that has allowed 53.3 ppg and two of those games were against teams ranked No. 15 and No. 61 in offensive efficiency. Loyola-Chicago is No. 73 but the Wildcats showed what they are capable of and getting out to a lead will make it much more difficult for the Ramblers to come back from as opposed to the first three games in the tournament. Leading scorer Dean Wade has played only eight minutes in the tournament and the Wildcats have still been able to win and he will likely see more significant action on Saturday. 10* (514) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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03-23-18 | West Virginia +5.5 v. Villanova | Top | 78-90 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our CBB Friday NCAA Tournament Enforcer. Strength vs. strength will be on display on Friday night as West Virginia brings in its pressing defense going up against the top efficiency offense in the country. The Mountaineers are in the top 10 in the country in turnover margin and forced turnovers (16.5 per game) while also racking up more than eight steals a game and the Wildcats have not seen anything like this. The only Villanova opponent that forced turnovers at that level was St. Johns (16.2 per game) and in n two games, the Wildcats struggled as they won one game by seven points and lost the other by four points. West Virginia is far superior to the Red Storm so we can envision seeing the Wildcats struggle again. The Mountaineers can score, which makes them different than in past years, as they average 80.2 ppg so they have the capability to keep up is Villanova gets hot from the floor. West Virginia is 15-8 ATS against teams shooting 45 percent or better from the floor this season and it falls into a fantastic situation where we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after two consecutive covers as a favorite going up against an opponent after two straight covers as a double digit favorite. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (871) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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03-22-18 | Texas A&M +3 v. Michigan | Top | 72-99 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CBB Thursday NCAA Tournament Ultimate Underdog. Texas A&M has had the tougher road to the Sweet 16 than Michigan but it has made it look easier. The Aggies beat a very good Providence team and they dominated that game in shooting and rebounding but the Friars kept it close by committing only four turnovers. Against North Carolina, it was a complete domination as the Tar Heels were considered to have the size and rebounding advantage but were outrebounded 47-36. They grab 34 percent of their offensive rebound opportunities and they are the bigger team in this matchup as Robert Williams and Tyler Davis have the advantage down low over both Moritz Wagner and John Teske. Wagner has been prone to foul trouble in recent games and that will kill the Wolverines here. Michigan has not looked good though the first two games for a team that is riding an 11-game winning streak. They started out each game slowly and went through long stretches where they missed wide-open shots. It took a last-second three-pointer to advance over Houston so the Wolverines are fortunate to be here. Michigan is a well-coached team where John Beilein gets the most out of his players but the Aggies are playing their best basketball since December when they were once ranked No. 7 in the country. 10* (817) Texas A&M Aggies |
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03-22-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Nevada -1 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Thursday NCAA Tournament Enforcer. Two unlikely Sweet 16 teams square off in the first game on Thursday and while Loyola-Chicago is the Cinderella story of this tournament, we are backing Nevada as the better team with more talent from top to bottom. Twins Caleb and Cody Martin starred at Oak Hill Academy, one of the most prestigious prep schools in the country, went to NC State for two years before transferring to Nevada where they have starred. They are two of four transfers from major conference schools with Kendall Stephens, who relocated from Purdue, being the third that averages double-figures in scoring so this team is made up of top level talent. Nevada ranks 16th nationally, fourth among Sweet 16 teams, with 83 ppg and has scored at least 80 points in 21 games, losing only two of those. The Wolf Pack are ranked sixth in the Kenpom adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. The Ramblers possess a stingy defense and they bring in a 12-game winning streak highlighted by two last-second game winning shots to open the NCAA Tournament. The feeling though is that the Nevada 22-point comeback against Cincinnati was more impressive to move forward with. For the first time in the NCAA Tournament, Nevada enjoys a huge edge in size and athleticism which will prove to be the difference. 10* (816) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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03-21-18 | Western Kentucky v. Oklahoma State -4.5 | Top | 92-84 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS for our CBB Wednesday NIT Enforcer. Oklahoma St. was dissed by the NCAA Tournament committee and it is out to prove that it belonged. The Cowboys were one of three remaining No. 2 seeds heading into last night but Marquette lost as Tuesday saw both home teams fall, Louisville being the other. This is now guaranteed to be the final home game of the season for the Cowboys and it is a big one. If the Cowboys defeat the Hilltoppers, they will tally their 800th victory in Gallagher-Iba Arena and their 16th home victory this season. That would mark 2017-18 as their winningest home season ever, though it fell short of a spot in the NCAA Tournament. Students are getting in for free making sure the environment will be raucous. Western Kentucky has looked good in the first two rounds of the NIT but it has not been overly impressive. The Hilltoppers defeated Boston College at home but the Eagles came in with just two road wins on the season and while they defeated USC on the road, the Trojans were without their top two scorers as the 29.3 combined ppg from Chimezie Metu and Bennie Boatright were on the bench. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points from a major conference going up against a team from a mid-major conference, off two or more consecutive home wins. This situation is 59-27 ATS (68.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (766) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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03-19-18 | Washington v. St. Mary's -10 | Top | 81-85 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. MARY'S GAELS for our CBB Monday NIT Enforcer. This is not what St. Mary's envisioned toward the end of the season as it finished with a 28-5 record, closed as the No. 25 team in the final AP Poll and No. 42 in the RPI. Yet, the Gaels were not given an at-large berth into the NCAA Tournament because of their strength of schedule which was the lowest in the West Coast Conference. Because of the disappointment in the snub. It was questionable how they would come out in their first game in the NIT and they answered those questions with a 44-point win over Southeastern Louisiana showing they are out to win this thing. Washington caught a break in its first-round game as it was a higher seed than Boise St. but benefitted from playing the game at home as the Broncos facilities were unavailable. The Huskies still had a tough time as they won by just three points and now hit the road where they are 4-5 on the season. Going back, Washington is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games against teams that are outscoring opponents by 12 or more ppg while St. Mary's is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games coming off a home win by 20 or more points. Additionally, the Gaels fall into a solid situation where we play on home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points after a cover as a double-digit favorite, in March games. This situation is 62-29 ATS (68.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (622) St. Mary's Gaels |
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03-18-18 | Marshall +12.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 71-94 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. The Thundering Herd came through for us on Friday as they pulled off the outright upset over Wichita St. and instead of any sort of letdown, they will use that as confidence moving forward knowing they can beat top-level talent. Marshall missed out last season on the NCAA Tournament as it lost to Middle Tennessee St. in the C-USA Championship, but it ran the table to get to the Big Dance for the first time since 1987. The Thundering Herd had some tough losses this season as five of their 10 losses came by six points or less and they possess one of the most underrated players in the country in Jon Elmore who proved that on Friday. Now the Thundering Herd are playing a higher seed yet are getting more points. West Virginia had no issues with Murray St. and the line is going against it here as the Mountaineers are laying more than they were against the Racers. It has been an up and down season for the Mountaineers after a 15-1 start as they lost eight of their final 15 regular season games when the competition got tougher. Despite a run and gun style that where it would seem fatigue could come into play, Marshall is a perfect 10-0 ATS this season when playing with one day or no rest. Additionally, the Thundering Herd are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. West Virginia is 4-11 ATS this season in its 15 games after a cover. 10* (721) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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03-17-18 | Houston v. Michigan -3 | Top | 63-64 | Loss | -106 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. After a long layoff following winning the Big Ten Tournament., Michigan had the possibility of showing some rust and that was the case as it fell behind 10-0 but ran away with it after that as it defeated Montana 61-47. The defense has picked it up of late as the Wolverines have allowed opponents to shoot just 37.7 percent from the floor over their last five games and two of those games were against Purdue and Michigan St. They have allowed 66 or fewer points in eight of their last nine games and the lone exception was an overtime game. Rob Gray is the real deal as he poured in 39 points including the game-winner over San Diego St. and he has taken this team over offensively, scoring 30 or more points in four of his last eight games but he will have a tougher time here. The Cougars victory was the first one for them since 1984 and it was a nail-biter and while we will not expect a letdown, the matchup will be much more of a challenge. The fact Michigan played poor against the Grizzlies is in our favor as a rebound is expected similar to what happened in the Big Ten Tournament as the Wolverines were horrible against Iowa but came out next game against Nebraska and shot lights out. Michigan is 17-4 ATS this season against teams shooting 45 percent or better from the floor this season while going a perfect 9-0 ATS against teams who make eight or more three-pointers per game. The Wolverines show what they are made of on Saturday. 10* (530) Michigan Wolverines |
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03-17-18 | Seton Hall v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our CBB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Kansas had a scare for a while again Penn on Thursday before finally pulling away for a 16-point win. This was an example of a lot of games that the Jayhawks played this season as they failed to play a full 40 minutes and clearly came out flat. This game will be different as the matchup is tougher, but the line is taking this into consideration with a low number for a No. 1 seed in the round of 32. While there have been inconsistencies this season, Kansas looks to be peaking at the right time as it blew through the Big XII Tournament with three double-digit wins and then a late surge against the Quakers. The Jayhawks are all about the three-pointer as they make 10.1 per game and shoot 40.3 percent from long range, both tops in the Big XII Conference. The Pirates come off an impressive win over NC State which was considered a sleeper team by some. They were able to take advantage at the free throw line as Seton Hall was 31-39 as it outscored the Wolfpack by 17 points from the charity stripe and we will not see a repeat of that here. The venue and date are huge advantages for Kansas as this one is pretty much a home game for the Jayhawks taking place in Wichita and a late start on St. Patrick's Day will have this environment jazzed up. Here, we play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pickem in a game involving two teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg, after three straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 68-29 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (528) Kansas Jayhawks |
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03-17-18 | Rhode Island +9.5 v. Duke | Top | 62-87 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the RHODE ISLAND RAMS for our CBB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. We are backing Rhode Island again in the round of 32 following an overtime win and cover against Oklahoma. Because of the overtime and because Duke cruised over Iona in its first game, the Rams will be faded by some based on the fatigue factor but after 33 games, fatigue is not an issue. The win over the Sooners should give the Rams a spark of confidence even though the shooting was not great, but they did a great job in taking care of the ball with just six turnovers, something that needs to be repeated against Duke. The Blue Devils pulled away late as they went 13-30 (43 percent) from long range but do not expect to see a repeat of that against the Rams strong perimeter defense. Duke comes in with the No. 6 RPI which is right on track when compared to the seeding, but No. 7 seed Rhode Island has an RPI of No. 13 and that does not correlate with its seeding which shows the Rams are severely underseeded. Rhode Island is 11-4 ATS against teams that shoot 45 percent or better from the floor this season while going 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games after a game committing eight or fewer turnovers. Meanwhile, Duke is 9-19 ATS in its last 28 games as a neutral court favorite of 9.5 to 12 points. The Blue Devils clearly have the better overall roster but because of the slight RPI differences, these teams are not as far off as the line is reflecting which makes the Rams a live dog on Saturday. 10* (523) Rhode Island Rams |
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03-16-18 | College of Charleston +9.5 v. Auburn | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLESTON COUGARS for our CBB Game of the Week. Charleston comes from a small conference, but this is a very dangerous team that is playing with a chip on its shoulder. The Cougars finished a game behind UNC-Wilmington last season and eventually lost to the Seahawks in the CAA Championship, so they were out on a mission this season. They returned all five starters and rolled to 26 victories including an overtime win over Northeastern to punch their ticket. The real advantage here for Charleston is the fact it defeated Northeastern three times and the Huskies are very similar to Auburn in style which has actually prompted Tigers head coach Bruce Pearl to focus on those tapes. Auburn got off to a terrific start this season, winning 21 of its first 23 games but the last six weeks have been a struggle as it has gone just 4-5 over its last nine games. The Tigers have been tenacious on defense as they create a ton of turnovers but that does not favor them in this matchup. Charleston turns the ball over just 9.6 times per game, which ranks third in the country, so the Tigers strength is negated here. Auburn was the top seed in the SEC Tournament and were destroyed by Alabama, so the confidence of this team is a big concern as well. Going back, the Cougars are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (893) Charleston Cougars |
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03-16-18 | Texas v. Nevada +1.5 | Top | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Friday Enforcer. We had Nevada in the MWC Tournament against San Diego St. but clearly caught the Aztecs at the wrong time. There is unfinished business for the Wolf Pack as they will be facing a Big XII team for the second straight season in the NCAA Tournament after getting ousted by Iowa St. last year by 11 points. This team has the experience to compete with anybody and that includes the Big XII. They have never been blown out of the gym and have kept the game close even in losses to teams like Texas Tech and TCU which are both considerably better than Texas which comes in with an RPI of 51 which is more than the Red Raiders and Horned Frogs combined. Meanwhile, Nevada is No. 19 in the RPI and it is now catching a point as of Thursday afternoon so clearly the value is on the Wolf Pack. Texas has five good wins on the season and while every loss came against a team playing in either the NCAA Tournament or NIT, the Longhorns will have trouble matching up here. While they do have an advantage in height down low, the Wolf Pack are long on the perimeter, athletic, experienced, and highly skilled. The loss in the MWC Tournament stings for Nevada but it has thrived in these spots, going 7-0 ATS in its last seven games following a loss as a favorite and 17-3-1 ATS in its last 21 games following any sort of loss. 10* (880) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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03-16-18 | Butler -1.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 79-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUTLER BULLDOGS for our Supreme Annihilator. Butler is similar this season to past seasons as it is efficient on offense and takes good care of the ball. The Bulldogs lost to Villanova in the Big East Tournament, but they do have some quality wins this season including a victory against Villanova and they possess five top 50 wins. This team shares the ball very well, led by the backcourt trio of Aaron Thompson, Kamar Baldwin and Paul Jorgensen. One quick look on paper shows that Butler is not very good at defending the perimeter as it allows opponents to shoot 37.4 percent from long range while Arkansas shooting 40.1 percent from behind the arc which is No. 11 in the nation but that is skewed as Arkansas does not take many three-pointers as their three-point rate is just 32 percent which is 303rd in the country. The Razorbacks made a good run in the SEC Tournament to solidify a good seeding but this one of those games where the higher seed is actually the underdog and that is a red flag for Arkansas which has been thinned in the frontcourt with the suspension of forward Dustin Thomas. Butler is a well-coached team which goes back for years and that is a big reason for the success of the Bulldogs in the tournament. On the season, Arkansas is 7-14 ATS against teams outscoring opponents by four or more ppg while going 3-11 ATS against teams that average 77 or more ppg. While it looks like a toss-up, this is a game the Bulldogs should win going away. 10* (871) Butler Bulldogs |
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03-16-18 | Marshall +12 v. Wichita State | Top | 81-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our CBB Friday Ultimate Underdog. Marshall missed out last season on the NCAA Tournament as it lost to Middle Tennessee St. in the C-USA Championship, but it ran the table to get to the Big Dance for the first time since 1987. The Thundering Herd had some tough losses this season as five of their 10 losses came by six points or less and they possess one of the most underrated players in the country. Jon Elmore averages 22.8 ppg, 6.0 rpg and 6.9 apg so he can do it all, but he is not the only backcourt producer as C.J. Burks averages 20.5 ppg. Marshall runs and guns more than any team in the country and Wichita St. has been nowhere near what we think they would be defensively this season. Wichita St. had a solid first season in the AAC as it finished tied for second with Houston at 14-4. The two big things for the Shockers that can cause an early exit that hurt them during the season is streak shooting and turnovers and if their shooting is off on Friday, they can lose this game outright. The Shockers have been overvalued quite a bit this season which stems from their dominance in the MVC and while they won a lot, they were not able to cover especially against solid opposition which is the opposite of the Thundering Herd. Wichita St. is 6-16 ATS this season against teams with a winning record while Marshall is 12-7 ATS this season against winning teams. Additionally, Wichita St. is 3-13 ATS against teams who attempt 21 or more three-point shots per game this season. 10* (889) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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03-15-18 | St Bonaventure +5.5 v. Florida | Top | 62-77 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. BONAVENTURE BONNIES for our CBB Thursday Late Night Crusher. We won with the Bonnies in one of the First Four play-in games and we are going right back to them here. St. Bonaventure snuck into the NCAA Tournament as one of the last four teams in, which came as a surprise as the thought was that the Bonnies were securely in, but a few upsets the final two days knocked them down some. The Bonnies have arguably a top-five backcourt in the country in Matt Mobley and Jaylen Adams although that was not on display against the Bruins. They combined to go 6-28 from the floor but it was a clutch shot by Adams late that made a big difference. The fact that those two played so bad and they still defeated UCLA shows how good this team really is. The Bonnies push the ball and that is a style of play that can hurt the Gators on defense. Florida closed the season 3-4 over its last seven games and it had some poor losses along the way against many non-tournament teams. The Gators rely on the three-pointer as they hoist up over 24 per game and the St. Bonaventure guards can also play defense as the Bonnies allow 32.1 percent from long range which is No. 32 in the country. These teams met early last season in Olean and the Bonnies gave Florida all it could as Mobley and Adams combined for 48 points in a seven-point loss and they no doubt have the memories of that and they have the confidence. 10* (739) St. Bonaventure Bonnies |
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03-15-18 | San Diego State +4 v. Houston | Top | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS for our CBB Thursday Ultimate Underdog. We won with Houston in the AAC Championship game as it lost to Cincinnati by a point. The Cougars have had an excellent season as they are 26-7 and while two of those losses came against Cincinnati and another one against Wichita St., the other four defeats were anything but good and all against non-NCAA Tournament teams. This is a team that could have been a sleeper, but the Cougars got a brutal draw with one of the hottest teams in the country and a potential game against Big Ten Champion Michigan. While we won with the Cougars in their last game, we lost with San Diego St. as the Aztecs won three games in three days against some excellent competition to win the Mountain West Conference Tournament. There was a turning point in the season back in early February when they lost against Nevada by 25 points but since then, they have not lost as they have reeled off nine straight wins. It is important to note that san Diego St. was without senior guard Trey Kell as he missed four games and the Aztecs went 1-3 and his return came right after that Nevada game, so they have not lost since his return. San Diego St. owns a win over Gonzaga which shows it can complete with anyone, as long as it wants to. San Diego St. is 8-2 ATS this season against teams allowing 42 percent or less shooting while going 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (731) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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03-15-18 | Loyola-Chicago +1.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 64-62 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOYOLA-CHICAGO RAMBLERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Strong guard play and defense are two important factors for teams to have success in the NCAA Tournament and the Ramblers possess both. Their backcourt features three guards averaging double-digits in scoring and while it may have been considered a down year in the Missouri Valley Conference, they rolled through with an 18-3 record. And it cannot be ignored Loyola-Chicago defeated the Gators in Florida and it so with a defense known as the Pack Line Defense, the same that is employed by the Virginia Cavaliers. Going back, the Ramblers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games in the second half of the season against teams shooting 45 percent or better from the floor and they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Miami obviously played a much tougher schedule because of the ACC and it closed the regular season with four straight wins before getting bounced by North Carolina in the ACC Tournament by 17 points. Because of the strong schedule, the Hurricanes possess an RPI of 27 which is very solid, but the Ramblers are right behind them at No. 28 and this is a big reason why the line is so low which is putting the public squarely on Miami. The Hurricanes are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record while going 0-6 in their last six games against teams allowing 42 percent shooting or less. 10* (735) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers |
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03-15-18 | Oklahoma v. Rhode Island -2 | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the RHODE ISLAND RAMS for our CBB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. We get things going with the first tipoff on Thursday of the NCAA Tournament as we will be backing the Rhode Island Rams. They got off to a 21-3 start including a perfect 13-0 start in the Atlantic Ten and those three non-conference losses came against three other NCAA Tournament teams. Then, things took a turn as they closed the regular season going 2-3 including a bad loss at home against the Hawks by 30 points and then lost the A-10 Championship to Davidson, their second loss to the Wildcats in four games. This typically could be a stretch to fade but this team is too good to end its season right here. Rhode Island has a great backcourt than can neutralize Oklahoma. The Sooners took a lot of heat for getting into the tournament and rightfully so. After a 14-2 start, Oklahoma got waxed by Kansas St. by 18 points which led to a 4-10 finish and it got bounced by Oklahoma St. in the first round of the Big XII Tournament. Trae Young is a star and the Sooners are in the Big Dance because of him as the NCAA wants to showcase these players and not only that, they get the very first game of the day with all eyes watching. We play on favorites averaging between 74 and 78 ppg going up against teams allowing 78 or more ppg, after a loss by three points or less. This situation is 68-26 ATS (72.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (724) Rhode Island Rams |
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03-14-18 | Temple +9.5 v. Penn State | Top | 57-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our NIT Wednesday Ultimate Underdog. This is another play based on skewed seedings when comparing to the real RPI of the teams that are participating in the NIT. Only five teams have a higher RPI than Temple, which possess the No. 48 RPI thanks to playing the seventh toughest schedule in the nation and the toughest schedule within the American. The Owls have three wins over top 25 teams and have come close in others, so they come in with a solid body of work and now it all comes down to motivation. And with these two teams not fans of each other, there will be motivation for sure. Penn St. was a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament but in reality, it was not that close. The Nittany Lions ended up further from the bubble than expected as shown by a No. 4 seed here which is backed up by an RPI of No. 78, 30 spots lower than their opponent here yet are favored by double-digits in some spots. Penn St. had a very strong year but the Big Ten was a weak conference with only four teams getting into the Big Dance. The Nittany Lions will again be without the services of sophomore forward Mike Watkins, whose absence for the better part of the last six games has left a gaping hole in their post presence. The Owls are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record while going 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games after scoring 80 points or more. 10* (617) Temple Owls |
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03-14-18 | UL-Lafayette +4.5 v. LSU | Top | 76-84 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our NIT Wednesday Enforcer. While many would think this would be a rivalry considering Louisiana and LSU are separated by just 55 miles, that is not the case, but the Cajuns have been trying to make it one. Playing LSU in the NIT, though, means not playing in the much-preferred NCAA Tournament, which 27-6 Sun Belt Conference regular season-champion Lafayette was denied from doing following a SBC semifinal-round loss to Texas-Arlington. Playing the Tigers softens the blow and despite being the class of their conference, the Cajuns are the lower seed. Additionally, they have a No. 62 RPI which is the 11th highest RPI in this tournament and on top of that, it is 28 spots higher than LSU. The Tigers finished tied for ninth in the SEC and while that conference is much stronger than the Sun Belt, this is a very questionable seeding. Based on that, they are the No. 9 - No. 12 team in this tournament, yet of the 32 teams participating, LSU has the 10th lowest RPI. These teams should be flipped so there is a ton of value on the Cajuns and based on the location of this game, their fans will travel as LSU fans are not going to come close to filling this place up. Louisiana is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games coming off a loss to a conference rival as a favorite while the Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (615) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns |
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03-13-18 | St Bonaventure +3.5 v. UCLA | Top | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. BONAVENTURE BONNIES for our CBB Tuesday First Four Winner. St. Bonaventure snuck into the NCAA Tournament as one of the last four teams in, which came as a surprise as the thought was that the Bonnies were securely in, but a few upsets the final two days knocked them down some. The Bonnies have arguably a top-five backcourt in the country in Matt Mobley and Jaylen Adams. Their problem is injuries to Courtney Stockard and some of their frontcourt players in the Atlantic Ten Tournament hurt them against Davidson. Stockard 12.9 ppg, 6.4 rpg and 2.3 apg and his game really stepped up during their 13-game winning streak before losing to Davidson as he averaged over 15 ppg over that stretch. According to head coach Mark Schmidt on late Monday night, "Hopefully he'll be out there, and he'll be 100 percent." UCLA got in after sitting in the first four out group for most of the latter part of the season as a win over Stanford in the Pac 12 Tournament was apparently good enough. The Bruins finished No. 35 in the RPI which is respectable, but the Bonnies closed with a No. 23 RPI and that is a significant difference and UCLA defeated just two NCAA Tournament teams while St. Bonaventure had four such wins. The Bonnies are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Bruins are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up loss. 10* (545) St. Bonaventure Bonnies |
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03-13-18 | Vermont +6 v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 64-91 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the VERMONT CATAMOUNTS for our NIT Tuesday Enforcer. As is the case most years, the NIT is just as much about motivation as it is about talent as some teams that have to play two days after getting their NCAAS Tournament dreams smashed by being left out. Often times, we see teams decline a bid into the NIT, but Middle Tennessee St. accepted the invitation but the amount of effort it will produce is in question. The Blue Raiders lost in the C-USA Tournament but were thought to have a bid locked up into the Big Dance, but it was not invited. Players were crushed, and a picture went viral of senior Nick King sitting in the announcement room by himself an hour after learning the bad news. This team is exceptional, but it is rated only two points higher than Vermont which got upset in the America East Tournament by UMBC by three points. That was just its second conference loss, the other coming by one point and the Catamounts were solid in the non-conference so playing in a weak conference can be discounted. They lost at Kentucky by four points, Bucknell by four points, St. Bonaventure by two points while beating Northern Kentucky. They have had an extra day off and being a small school, they will be ready to keep playing. These two teams are not far apart in the RPI and the projected line is much lower than what we are getting. 10* (551) Vermont Catamounts |
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03-13-18 | Northern Kentucky +9 v. Louisville | Top | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN KENTUCKY NORSE for our NIT Tuesday Underdog Shocker. Northern Kentucky won the Horizon League regular season championship but was ousted by lowly Cleveland St. in its first tournament game to lose a chance at the automatic bid into the NCAA Tournament. The good news is that the loss came nine days ago so there has been plenty of time to shake it off knowing they were heading to the NIT anyway. The Norse played well against some teams this season as it lost to Vermont and Memphis by two points each while losing at Texas A&M by only six points. While the Norse are in a good position, Louisville is not as it was disappointed for not making the NCAA Tournament as it was one of the first four teams out and he Cardinals are not accustomed to playing in the NIT, so motivation can be an issue. That is a big factor when looking at NIT games as some teams could care less while other will want to keep playing and prove more to themselves and others. The Cardinals struggled down the stretch, albeit against excellent competition but that loss against Virginia where they blew a four-point lead with a second remaining is still haunting them as it cost them an NCAA Tournament berth. The Norse are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games while the Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (547) Northern Kentucky Norse |
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03-11-18 | Houston +4.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CBB AAC Championship Winner. Cincinnati may be the class of the AAC, but Houston is not far behind and it will be out to prove that today. It has not been a good tournament for the Bearcats as they barely beat a short-handed SMU team on Friday, and then needed a massive second-half comeback to defeat an inferior Memphis team on Saturday. They come in with the No. 7 RPI, but Houston is right there at No. 18 and it has proved it belongs. The Cougars have routinely been overlooked as serious competitors despite conference wins over Cincinnati and Wichita St. and victories over NCAA Tournament-bound teams Arkansas and Providence by double-digits. Few teams matchup as evenly with the Bearcats as Houston does. Devin Davis is a formidable interior presence who scored 16 points and grabbed 10 rebounds in the Cougars win over Cincinnati. While Rob Gray struggled with his shooting in that game, he is hot at the right time by scoring 30 or more points in three of his last six games, averaging 24.7 ppg over this stretch. The Cougars are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (827) Houston Cougars |
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03-10-18 | Providence +13.5 v. Villanova | Top | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the PROVIDENCE FRIARS for our Big East Conference Championship Winner. Providence has advanced to the Big East Championship after a pair of overtime wins as an underdog and while many will be fading the Friars because of that, the momentum will continue tonight. While those wins were upsets, the Friars are ranked No. 34 in the RPI and were an NCAA Tournament team before this tournament began so they fact they are here should come as no surprise. This is an under the radar team that is not getting the credit it deserves as all five starters from the 20-win season from a year ago are back and they are the most experienced team in the conference. While Villanova is the best team in the conference, it has been vulnerable at times and that includes a loss in Providence a month ago. The Wildcats are guaranteed a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament so there is no need to show any sort of domination tonight and they are actually laying more points here than in their first two games against teams ranked lower than Providence in the RPI. 10* (535) Providence Friars |
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03-10-18 | West Virginia +1 v. Kansas | Top | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our Big XII Conference Championship Winner. Kansas has rolled through its first two games of the tournament but tonight will be a challenge. The Jayhawks are without center Udoka Azubuike and that did not hurt them in the first two games based on the matchups, but his absence will be felt here. He combined for 31 points and 14 rebounds in the first two meetings this season against West Virginia and it is the defense that will be mostly missed. Kansas St. got a 29-point performance from center Makol Mawien yesterday which puts the strong Mountaineer frontcourt in a great spot today. West Virginia had opportunities in those first two meetings as it coughed up an 11-point lead in the final 13 minutes in the first game and then the Mountaineers squandered a 12-point lead with just over 10 minutes left in the second game where they were outscored 35-2 at the free throw line. While revenge is in play, the Mountaineers will be motivated to capture their first ever Big XII Championship especially after losing in the final game the last two seasons. 10* (531) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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03-10-18 | San Diego State v. New Mexico +4 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our Mountain West Conference Championship Winner. We were involved with both of these teams yesterday, winning with the Lobos and losing with the Aztecs and the two hottest teams square off for a trip to the NCAA Tournament. As expected, the New Mexico pace was too much for Utah St. and we will go with that same philosophy tonight as it is more equipped this time of season to outrun the opponent. The Lobos have won seven straight games with the offense scoring 83 or more points in each of the last six games. San Diego St. pulled off the upset last night as Nevada was never in the game, allowing 55 points in the first half and unable to mount any sort of comeback. The Aztecs have now won eight straight games and starting to look like the team of years past, but they are not as strong defensively which will prove to be the difference here. New Mexico nailed 13 three-pointers in the first meeting against San Diego St. and after hitting just 14 combined in the first two games of this tournament, we expect them to heat back up from long range. 10* (534) New Mexico Lobos |
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03-09-18 | Utah State v. New Mexico -3 | Top | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our CBB Friday Late Night Crusher. New Mexico won its sixth straight game last night as it defeated Wyoming by 10 points. The victory not only gives New Mexico its highest win total in four years, but it snapped a three-year losing streak in the tournament. The Lobos ran past the Cowboys last night and they will go at a high pace tonight. Their best probability of success when the season started was to run a style that increased their durability and made them stronger at the end of the year when other teams were starting to break down and get fatigued. That was the case last night and will be the case again tonight against Utah St. which is playing its third game in three days. The Aggies upset Boise St. on Thursday as eight-point underdogs and the line is taking that into consideration. Utah St. is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games after two or more straight covers while going 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after shooting 50 percent or better from long range. New Mexico is 8-0 ATS this season after allowing 75 or more points in two straight games and we play against underdogs coming off a conference win as an underdog of six points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more in a conference win. This situation is 29-10 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (876) New Mexico Lobos |
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03-09-18 | San Diego State v. Nevada -2.5 | Top | 90-73 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Friday Late Supreme Annihilator. San Diego St. is the hottest team in the conference with seven consecutive wins following a win over Fresno St. yesterday in the quarters. The Aztecs caught fire at the end of the season after a sluggish start in the conference and their run is keeping this line down. We played on them last Saturday where they defeated Nevada in their final home game of the season which was also a revenge game from a 25-point loss in Reno earlier in the season. San Diego St. is still just 7-8 away from home this season and comes in with a No. 91 RPI which is weak considering the streak it is on. Nevada had a tougher than expected time with UNLV yesterday but that is a huge rivalry, so the Wolf Pack got the best from the Rebels. Nevada is up to 27 wins and sits No. 14 in the RPI so it is assured of an NCAA Tournament berth but there are bigger stakes as it looks for a second straight Mountain West Conference Tournament Championship. The Wolf Pack were forced to lay some big spreads this season based on how good they are, but they were nearly unbeatable as lower favorites as they are 8-1 ATS this season when laying seven points or less. While the Aztecs run is solid, Nevada will show why it is clearly the best team in the conference. 10* (874) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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03-09-18 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion +1 | Top | 57-49 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the OLD DOMINION MONARCHS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. We won with Western Kentucky last night as it rolled over UAB, but things will be tougher today against a much better opponent that is seeking some big-time revenge. The Hilltoppers got their own revenge last night as they clobbered the Blazers by 28 points after losing their season finale by 28 points in Birmingham. As mentioned yesterday, Western Kentucky has a very explosive offense that shoots over 50 percent from the floor, but it has a test today going up against the best defense in the conference and one that plans on locking down. Old Dominion snuck by Louisiana Tech yesterday and the No. 2 seed has a cleaner path into the NCAA Tournament with Middle Tennessee St. losing on Thursday. The Monarchs are out for double revenge as they lost both meetings this season including the most recent toward the end of last month at Western Kentucky by 22 points. Those two losses were part of just three conference defeats this season which also snapped a six-game winning streak in this series. Old Dominion was tied with the Blue Raiders for the most wins away from home with 13 and it keeps the momentum going today into the championship game. 10* (856) Old Dominion Monarchs |
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03-09-18 | George Mason v. St. Joe's -6 | Top | 49-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. JOSEPH'S HAWKS for our CBB Friday Early Supreme Annihilator. St. Joseph's was able to snag the No. 4 seed in the Atlantic Ten Tournament thanks to wins in three straight and six of its last seven games. It was a rough start for the Hawks in conference play, but it was one that could have been so much better as a 4-7 start included five losses by three points or less and overall, six of their conference losses came by three points or fewer. Two of those came against George Mason by a combined five points so St. Joseph's will not only be playing to advance but playing with double revenge. The Patriots survived a bad Massachusetts team yesterday as they won by five points and while they were favored by just a point and a half, that shows how bad this team is. George Mason is one of five teams with an RPI of 200 or worse so its 10-9 record is deceiving. Over half of those nine conference losses came by 12 points or more and were by an average of 17.6 ppg so the Patriots are capable of big duds. The Hawks are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games away from home coming off a home win while George Mason is 1-9 ATS this season against non-loosing teams. Look for St. Joseph's to get its revenge in a big way today. 10* (832) St. Joseph's Hawks |
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03-09-18 | Memphis v. Tulsa -3 | Top | 67-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CBB Friday Afternoon Dominator. We have been high on Tulsa quite a bit this season and we will be backing the Golden Hurricane as this is also a big fade of Memphis. Amid the speculations of head coach Tubby Smith being let go, it was unclear how the Tigers would play yesterday, and it was not good. They shot lights out but there was no effort on defense as they allowed South Florida to shoot 49.1 percent from the floor and that is a Bulls team that is shooting 41.6 percent on the season, No. 319 out of 351 Division I teams. Memphis has been without leading scorer Jeremiah Martin for four games and while it has managed well with a 3-1 record, all four games were against teams that will not be sniffing any postseason tournament. The Tigers lost the last meeting against Tulsa 64-51and going back, it is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points. Tulsa had yesterday off, and it is guaranteed to compete after the AAC Tournament and while winning it may be a stretch, a run is possible. The Golden Hurricane have won eight of their last nine games to climb out of a tie for seventh place into fourth place and they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games off a double-digit home win. 10* (824) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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03-08-18 | UAB v. Western Kentucky -4.5 | Top | 70-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. This is another case of a quick turnaround revenge game as Western Kentucky lost its season finale against UAB by 28 points to end the season on a two-game losing streak. The Hilltoppers went into the final weekend with a chance to win the regular season championship but they lost at Middle Tennessee St. by 18 points which ended the chances and because they had third place locked up, there was no effort going into that UAB game. They had won six straight games prior to that so while momentum was lost, Western Kentucky knows it has team to win this championship. UAB survived Florida Atlantic last night as the Blazers shot 55 percent from the floor but will be presented with a much bigger test defensively. That was their first neutral court win in four tries and going back, UAB is 0-6 ATS in its last six neutral court games as an underdog. The Hilltoppers bring in an explosive offense as they are shooting over 50 percent on the season as they are one of 11 teams in the country that is shooting over 50 percent from the floor and they are tied alongside Arizona and Villanova for most games shooting 55 percent or better this season with 10. Western Kentucky is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games away from home revenging a double-digit road loss. 10* (748) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
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03-08-18 | LSU v. Mississippi State -1.5 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS for our CBB Thursday SEC Crusher. This is a quick turnaround revenge game for Mississippi St. which lost at LSU on Saturday by 21 points which put a big hit on its NCAA Tournament consideration. Despite possessing 21 wins, the Bulldogs are on the outside looking in based on their soft non-conference schedule, but they do have solid conference wins over Arkansas, Missouri, Alabama and Texas A&M and a decent run in this tournament could put them back in consideration. Winning away from home has been an issue but one look at the schedule shows it has been a tough slate in the SEC with the only bad loss coming at LSU, making the revenge angle that much stronger. The Tigers have no chance for the NCAA Tournament unless they win the SEC Tournament and they have also struggled away from home with four wins and have lost seven straight away from their home floor. The Bulldogs fall into a phenomenal contrarian situation where we play on teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams averaging between 74 and 78 ppg, after scoring 60 points or less two straight games. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) since 1997. Additionally, LSU is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 games coming off a conference win while Mississippi St. is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games coming off a double-digit road loss. 10* (714) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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03-08-18 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Oklahoma St. killed us last night as it likely played its way into the NCAA Tournament with the win over Oklahoma. The cowboys have a quick turnaround as they go from a night game to an afternoon game against a well-rested Kansas team that will be out for some payback. Oklahoma St. is the only team to ever sweep a Bill Self coached Kansas team with the most recent coming in Stillwater by 18 points in the regular season finale. That makes this a quick turnaround revenge spot for Kansas with that recent loss still fresh in its memory. There is a lot at stake for the Jayhawks as well as they are projected as a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament but a loss in the quarters could send them down to a No. 2 seed depending on what happens in the ACC Tournament. They will be without center Udoka Azubuike who suffered a knee injury in that last game against the Cowboys and while his loss will be felt, Oklahoma St. does not have the size to take advantage. We had this line pegged at seven points and Azubuike is not worth a huge swing. The Jayhawks fall into a great situation where we play on neutral court teams that are revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against that opponent which is coming off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 43-19 ATS (69.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (704) Kansas Jayhawks |
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03-08-18 | SMU v. Connecticut +2 | Top | 80-73 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT HUSKIES for our CBB Thursday False Favorite. If anyone has watched SMU over the last five weeks, it can be argued that the Mustangs have tossed in the towel for the season. They are coming off a loss at South Florida last week which was just the third conference win of the season. SMU has been a disaster since leading scorer Shake Milton went down with a hand injury as it has gone 1-8 with the only victory coming against 4-14 East Carolina which happens to possess the lowest RPI in the conference. After going to the postseason three of the past four seasons, there will be no postseason for the Mustangs this year, so motivation is lacking. Connecticut has had a rough season as well, but this was expected, and it has the psychological edge here. The Huskies finished 7-11 in the AAC but only one of those was a bad loss as 10 of those defeats came against teams that finished .500 or better while the exception was a defeat against 8-10 Temple. Connecticut comes in with the better RPI than SMU and will have the fan support as Huskies fans travel well. They are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 neutral court games as underdogs of three points or less while SMU is 3-10 ATS in its 13 games this season as a favorite of 10 or fewer points. Wrong team is favored here. 10* (670) Connecticut Huskies |
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03-08-18 | Dayton v. VCU -2 | Top | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the VCU RAMS for our CBB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. We won with Dayton on Saturday as it was playing its final home game of the season which was a big reason in backing the Flyers. A big reason to fade them here is that they have two wins this season away from home, one at Richmond and one on a neutral court against Ohio. This will be the first time in five years and the second time in 11 years that Dayton will not be going to a postseason tournament while snapping a streak of four straight appearances in the NCAA Tournament. Winning the Atlantic Ten Tournament will change that but that will not be happening. VCU had a better season but it was still a disappointment as the Rams finished 9-9 in the conference and 17-14 overall. They were supposed to contend with Rhode Island for the championship but instead finished in a four-way tie for fifth place as they lost incoming transfer Marcus Evans, who averaged 19.1 ppg at Rice in his last season, before the season even started because of eligibility. VCU did suffer some tough losses as it lost two games by one point, another in overtime and two others by four and five points. The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games coming off a road win by 20 or more points while the Flyers are 0-11 ATS this season coming off a home win. 10* (678) VCU Rams |
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03-07-18 | Oregon State v. Washington +2 | Top | 69-66 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our CBB Wednesday Pac 12 Crusher. It has been an incredible turnaround for Washington as after going 9-22 including just two conference wins last season, the Huskies have won 20 games including a 10-8 record in the Pac 12. They were looking at a spot in the NCAA Tournament but are now on the outside looking in following five losses over their last eight games. Because the Pac 12 is weak, Washington can make a run as it owns wins over three of the four teams that are projected to make it into the Big Dance, UCLA being the lone exception. The Huskies were tied for fourth in the conference in road wins and catch a good first round matchup here. Oregon St. closed the season with a 25-point win at Washington St. after starting the season 0-9 on the road. The Beavers were right behind Washington in terms of turnaround wins from last season as they have 10 more games in the win column. A lot of that had to do with the schedule as Oregon St. played the No. 315 non-conference schedule in the country but still had bad losses along the way. The Huskies closed the season by going 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games following a loss while Oregon St. is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games following a win. 10* (602) Washington Huskies |
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03-07-18 | Vanderbilt v. Georgia -2 | Top | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. The SEC had a terrific season as it is one of three conferences projected to get eight teams into the NCAA Tournament but one of those is not Georgia. It was a disappointing season for the Bulldogs which were expecting bigger things as they brought four starters back including Preseason Player of the Year Yante Maten, but they underachieved within the conference after a 9-2 start. Maten did his part but did not have much help but he is the type of player than can carry a team in tournament play. While Georgia had a few bad losses, five of its 11 conference losses were by five points or less, so it was close to flipping its record. Vanderbilt had a tough season as well as it finished one game worse than the Bulldogs in the SEC, but this was expected as the Commodores were picked to finish No. 11 then in January, they lost Matthew Fisher-Davis for the season with a shoulder injury. Vanderbilt played well at home but won only one game on the road which came at Mississippi in the final game of the season. Do not plan on any momentum to move forward from that win however as Georgia is better equipped to make a run and will be out to avenge a 15-point loss at Vanderbilt a month ago. 10* (622) Georgia Bulldogs |
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03-07-18 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State | Top | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CBB Wednesday Big XII Crusher. Oklahoma is hanging onto its NCAA Tournament berth by a thread and a first round loss could knock the Sooners out, so they need to get by their hated rival and find their early season success. They had a must win in their season finale against Iowa St. and came through with an easy win and while the Cyclones are not a very good team, the confidence was needed after a poor end to the season. Despite sitting on the bubble, Oklahoma still possesses a No. 38 RPI which is very strong compared to a No. 87 RPI for the Cowboys which have moved up into the Last Four Out category thanks to a win over Kansas which gave them the season sweep over the Jayhawks, the first time a team has ever done that to Kansas under Bill Self. Oklahoma St. finished tied with Oklahoma, Baylor and Texas at 8-10 in the Big XII, but is the lowest ranked team of the bunch. These two teams split the season series with Oklahoma winning the first meeting by 20 points and the Cowboys winning the second meeting but needed overtime to secure the two-point win. Here, we play on neutral court teams revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against an opponent off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 43-17 ATS (71.07 percent) since 1997. 10* (625) Oklahoma Sooners |
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03-07-18 | Notre Dame -2.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH for our CBB Wednesday Star Attraction. Notre Dame entered the season with a special team and one that could have gone down as one of the best in recent program history, but injuries derailed the Irish early and now they need a run. They received a scare yesterday against Pittsburgh, which did not win a single conference game this season, and that served as a wakeup call. As of today, the ACC is expected to get eight teams into the NCAA Tournament and Notre Dame is not in that group because of a 0-7 stretch where Bonzie Colson was out and Matt Farrell missed six of those games. Both are back and healthy and the Irish know what must happen. With Virginia Tech beating Virginia, Clemson and Duke over the last four weeks, the Hokies are safely in the field of 68 so there is not as much urgency on their side. They defeated Notre Dame in the lone meeting this season in South Bend but neither Colson nor Farrell played in that game, so this is a completely different team that Virginia Tech will face. The Irish could not make a shot in the second half yesterday and because of the narrow victory, the public is riding the Hokies, yet the spread is shifting the other way and the reverse line move is something to take into consideration here. 10* (579) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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03-06-18 | Northeastern v. College of Charleston -1 | Top | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLESTON COUGARS for our CBB Tuesday CAA Championship Winner. The top two teams in the Colonial have advanced to the finals with the winner locking up a trip to the NCAA Tournament and the loser heading to the NIT. Charleston won the regular season championship thanks to taking both games against Northeastern and it has the edge again tonight with the best backcourt in the conference. Joe Chealey and Grant Riller are averaging a combined 36.6 ppg and the two guards were both names to the All-CAA First team. They are out for unfinished business as they lost in the CAA Championship last season and will have a bog home crowd advantage. The Cougars play their home games at TD Arena and while the CAA is contested at North Charleston Coliseum, this can still be considered a home game especially with Northeastern having to travel from Boston. Northeastern has picked up its defense toward the end of the season as it has won nine straight games, so it comes in with a ton of momentum and certainly will be looking for revenge. The Huskies do not match up well here as the defense was shredded in the first two meetings, allowing the Cougars to shoot 58.1 percent on its two-point shots. The Huskies are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (526) Charleston Cougars |
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03-06-18 | Georgia Tech v. Boston College -2.5 | Top | 77-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CB Tuesday Afternoon Dominator. Georgia Tech brings some momentum into the ACC Tournament as after going 0-7 in February, the Yellow Jackets closed the regular season with a pair of March wins over NC State and Wake Forest. They have covered four straight games, but they have the look of a one-and-done team that will miss out on all postseason tournaments. The only ACC win away from home came at 0-18 Pittsburgh while the eight losses came by an average of 12.4 ppg. Boston College lost its season finale at Florida St. to finish a game ahead of the Yellow Jackets and was a game out of the No. 10 seed. The road work for the Eagles seems similar to that of Georgia Tech with the lone victory coming against Pittsburgh but they had close calls with one-point losses at Virginia and Miami. They are currently projected as a No. 6 seed for the NIT and that would be a huge accomplishment, so a loss here would be devastating and likely knock them out. Guard play is huge in the postseason and the Eagles have one of the best backcourts in the conference with Jerome Robinson and Ky Bowman. Robinson was listed as questionable, but he has been upgraded to probable. Boston College is 9-0 ATS in its last nine games after having lost four or five of its last six games. 10* (518) Boston College Eagles |
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03-05-18 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Wright State -4 | Top | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the WRIGHT STATE RAIDERS for our CBB Monday Supreme Annihilator. With Northern Kentucky already eliminated from the Horizon League Tournament, Wright St. has the inside track for the automatic bid into the NCAA Tournament, but it must get by one of its few nemesis' this season. The Raiders lost just four conference games this season and two of those came against Milwaukee, so it will have their attention tonight. Wright St. won its tournament opener over Green Bay on Saturday, so it has the additional advantage of having an extra day off heading into tonight. Milwaukee defeated Illinois-Chicago last night to move on to the semifinals as the up and down season continues for the Panthers. They finished 8-10 during the conference regular season and those two wins over the Raiders were their only victories against a winning team which makes those two upsets that much more surprising. We are catching an affordable line here since Milwaukee has cashed eight of their last 10 games. The Panthers are only 4-11 this season following a win and Wright St. falls into a great situation where we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a same season loss, playing their 2nd game away from home in three days. This situation is 114-64 ATS (64 percent) since 1997. 10* (726) Wright St. Raiders |
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03-04-18 | Temple v. Tulsa -1.5 | Top | 58-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. A small main slate on Sunday features just the AAC with all 12 teams in action and a lot on the line for some. That is not the case for Tulsa which has already locked down the No. 4 seed and a first-round bye in next week's American Athletic Conference Championship. It has won seven of its last eight games to climb out of a tie for seventh place and looks to close the with momentum going into the tournament while improving upon its 12-2 record at home. Because the seed is set, there is no pressure today which is a good thing after a long and strenuous season. Temple is coming off a loss at Connecticut as it fell to 4-8 on the road and has not defeated a team with a winning record on the highway. The Owls won the first meeting at home by a point, so revenge is in play as well and Tulsa is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 home games revenging a road loss. Additionally, the Golden Hurricane are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games as favorites of six points or less and they get it done on Senior Day. 10* (822) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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03-04-18 | Illinois State +9 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 49-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS STATE REDBIRDS for our CBB Sunday MWC Championship Winner. Illinois St. will be out for redemption today as it looks to get back what was taken away a year ago. The Redbirds went 17-1 in the conference last season for a share of the regular season championship with Wichita St. but lost to the Shockers in the MVC Championship game and was relegated to the NIT. Now they have a chance to make the NCAA Tournament in a year they were not expected to after losing four starters, but they exceeded expectations. They have won eight of their last 11 games including an overtime win over Southern Illinois yesterday to advance and take on top seed Loyola-Chicago. The Ramblers won the regular season championship by four games and are currently riding a nine-game winning streak. They have been the class of the conference all season but are now laying a number that is inflated for no apparent reason other than the fact of their winning streak. With everything on the line today, expect to see the Redbirds keep this one closer than what the line is saying. 10* (835) Illinois St. Redbirds |
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03-03-18 | Nevada v. San Diego State -2 | Top | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS for our CBB Game of the Week. San Diego St. has had a couple average seasons after dominating the Mountain West Conference for years, but it is picking up steam at the right time. The Aztecs have won five straight games to move to 10-7 in the conference as they are at full strength with injuries on and off hurt the consistency earlier in the season. San Diego St. is 12-2 at home with tonight being Senior Night with two solid streaks on the line. The Aztecs have won 12 straight regular season homer finales and they have won their last seven home games against AP Top 25 teams ranked outside the top seven nationally. Additionally, San Diego is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less while going 6-0 ATS in its last six home games revenging a same season loss and it will be out to avenge a 23-point loss from last month. Nevada has already locked up the No. 1 seed in the upcoming MWC Tournament so there is not much on the line, especially coming off a revenge win over rival UNLV on Wednesday. The Wolf Pack are without one of their better perimeter guards as Lindsey Drew is out for the season after he was starting to heat up though mid-February. 10* (626) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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03-03-18 | Louisiana Tech v. Southern Miss +2 | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES as part of our CBB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Southern Mississippi looks to snap a four-game losing streak as it plays its final home game of the season. The Golden Eagles are 10-3 at home with the three losses coming against Middle Tennessee St., Old Dominion and UTSA, all of which possess double-digit conference victories. The last two losses for Southern Mississippi were on the road and going back, it is 6-0 ATS in its last six games coming off consecutive road losses. Louisiana Tech has been a major disappointment this season as it was supposed to contend in C-USA, but three straight losses have knocked the Bulldogs down to 7-10 in the conference. The last two have come on the road where they have won just twice all season with those victories coming against 8-21 Alabama St. and 12-17 Florida Atlantic. The Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following consecutive losses and Louisiana Tech got the best of the Golden Eagles back on Jan. 27, racing out to a 57-27 halftime lead en route to the 89-66 victory so revenge is in play today as well. 10* (574) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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03-03-18 | Notre Dame +9 v. Virginia | Top | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH as part of our CBB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Notre Dame is coming off a pair of wins over two of the worst teams in the conference and while it takes a big step up in competition today, it is ready for the challenge. The Fighting Irish are close to full strength as they welcomed back All-ACC forward Bonzie Colson who played his first game in 2018 against Pittsburgh and was solid in limited minutes. He will see more action today as Notre Dame looks to close strong and make a run into the NCAA Tournament where it is currently on the outside looking in. A signature victory here could put them inside the bubble. Virginia is coming off a miracle win at Louisville as it scored five points in the final second to pull out the victory. That puts the Cavaliers in a tough spot and while it is Senior Day, they will be only the second ACC team to see Notre Dame at full strength. Here, we play against home favorites of 10 or more points after four straight games where both teams scored 70 points or less. This situation is 58-25 ATS (69.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (563) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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03-03-18 | George Washington v. Dayton -4.5 | Top | 78-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the DAYTON FLYERS as part of our CBB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Dayton closes out its regular season, one in which was a major disappointment. The Flyers are 13-16 overall including a 7-10 record in the Atlantic Ten as playing poorly on the road has hurt them. They are 1-10 on the highway this season but a much better 11-4 at home with two of those losses coming against Rhode Island and Auburn. They have won four straight at home and are catching a reasonable number here as they have dropped their last six games against the spread. Like Dayton, George Washington is horrible on the road as it is 1-10 and has covered just one game on the highway. The Colonials are coming off a Senior Night win over Fordham on Wednesday to close the home portion of their schedule on a four-game winning streak. Last season, Dayton lost at George Washington in the final game of the regular season and it will return the favor today. 10* (534) Dayton Flyers |
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03-03-18 | Baylor v. Kansas State -1.5 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS STATE WILDCATS for our CBB Saturday Star Attraction. The Wildcats have quietly gone about their business this season and have played their way into the NCAA Tournament after coming into the season with more questions than answers. Despite two straight losses on the road at Oklahoma and TCU, Kansas St. is still above .500 in the Big XII and it could finish as high as a tie for third place with a win over a Baylor and a win by TCU over Texas Tech. Kansas St. is 13-3 at home while going 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games coming off two straight conference losses. Baylor is coming off a blowout victory over Oklahoma to keep its NCAA Tournament hopes alive. The Bears are 18-12 overall and a game under .500 in the conference which currently has them in the Big Dance as one of the last four teams in. They are just 2-8 on the road and they are catching a small number for that poor of a record on the highway. 10* (548) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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03-03-18 | St. John's v. Providence -5 | Top | 57-61 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the PROVIDENCE FRIARS for our CB B Saturday Star Attraction. Heading into the final weekend of the regular season, Providence is in good shape to make the NCAA Tournament as it is the first of the final four teams in, but nothing is guaranteed. A loss here would be devastating as the Friars already have one bad loss against DePaul and can ill afford another to a bottom rated team in the conference. Providence is coming off a loss at Xavier to fall to 9-8 in the Big East but still has a shot at the No. 4 seed in the upcoming Big East Tournament. The Friars are 12-4 at home and the final home game for seniors Kyron Cartwright, Rodney Bullock, Jalen Lindsey and Tom Planek. St. John's is coming off a win over Butler in overtime, its second straight game to go extra time and after a 0-11 start in the conference, it has gone 4-2 over its last six games including a win at Villanova. The Red Storm are not in good shape here however as they have been without Marcus LoVett for the last seven weeks and are now without leading scorer Shamorie Ponds who also leads the conference in scoring with 21.6 ppg. Providence is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games in the second half of the season against teams allowing 42 percent or better shooting. 10* (520) Providence Friars |
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03-02-18 | Indiana State v. Illinois State -2 | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS ST. REDBIRDS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. Illinois St. was able to lock down the No. 3 seed in the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament which gave it a bye into the quarterfinals. The Redbirds went 17-1 in the conference last season for a share of the regular season championship with Wichita St. and not much was expected this season after losing four starters, but they exceeded expectations. They closed the season with wins in six of their final nine games with all three losses of those coming on the road where they finished 1-7 over their final eight road games but this game is on a neutral floor. While revenge is not a huge factor this time of season, Illinois St. lost by 30 at Indiana St. last month and a loss like that gets the juices going. The Sycamores won their final two games of the regular season to finish 8-10 in the conference and four games under .500 overall. They went 0-3 in neutral court games during the season and going back, they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games away from home after allowing 65 points or less in two straight games. Meanwhile, Illinois St. is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games revenging a same season loss while going 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games after one or more consecutive losses. 10* (862) Illinois St. Redbirds |
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03-02-18 | Michigan v. Nebraska +4.5 | Top | 77-58 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS for our CBB Friday Afternoon Dominator. This was a late line release because Michigan played yesterday and survived a scare from Iowa as it was taken to overtime before eventually pulling out the 77-71 victory. The Wolverines came into the Big Ten Tournament with the No. 5 seed as it lost the tiebreaker to Nebraska, but they still are guaranteed of an NCAA Tournament berth which cannot be said for the Huskers. They have won eight of their last nine games following a 12-point win over Penn St. on Sunday to go to 22-9 overall and 13-5 in the conference. Despite this, they are on the outside looking in as the Big Ten is having a down year, so Nebraska needs to make a run this weekend as two wins should get them in making this a must win. The Huskers success down the stretch came mostly after switching to a smaller lineup on Jan. 15 and are 10-2 since then. This includes a win over Michigan and while revenge may be in play, this time of year and what is on the line negates that. The Huskers have covered 13 of their last 16 games against teams with a winning record so while the schedule strength has kept their RPI down, they have held their own against top level talent. 10* (850) Nebraska Cornhuskers |
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03-01-18 | Valparaiso v. Missouri State -2.5 | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSOURI STATE BEARS for our CBB Thursday Tournament Crusher. There were a few disappointing teams in the Missouri Valley Conference this season with the two biggest being Missouri St. and Northern Iowa which were not expected to be playing in the first round of the tournament. The former was the biggest disappointment as for the first time since joining the league in 1990-91, Missouri St. was tabbed the favorite to win the Missouri Valley Conference. Instead, it finished in a tie for seventh place by going 7-11 after a 3-0 start. The Bears have lost their last four games and overall, five of those 11 losses came by four points or less, so close losses thwarted a better finish. It was a disappointing season for Valparaiso as well, but this was expected as the Crusaders moved from the Horizon League to the more difficult MVC and did so with the loss of four starters. They finished 6-12 in the conference and closed the regular season with an upset win at Drake but fall into a tough matchup tonight. Missouri St. won both regular season meetings as it dominated the glass, outrebounding Valparaiso by a combined 77-56. The Bears have one of the top players in the conference in Alize Johnson and have the talent to make a run this week. 10* (566) Missouri St. Bears |
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03-01-18 | Texas-San Antonio v. North Texas -4 | Top | 62-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. North Texas got off to a solid 7-4 start in C-USA, but it has lost its last five games as the schedule has played a big role. Three of the losses came on the road while the two home losses came against two of the four top teams in the conference. While the Mean Green are just 3-4 at home within the conference, three losses were by three points or less and the fourth came against Western Kentucky in overtime. These final two home games are big as they can get back to .500 while the Mean Green currently sit in a tie for seventh place at 7-9 in conference play, just one game behind sixth place UAB. They can finish as high as 6th but could drop to 11th with two losses. The Roadrunners are one of the hottest teams in the league having won seven of their last eight games and are currently in fifth place in C-USA. That is the good news. The bad news is that UTSA lost leading scorer Jhivvan Jackson, who is averaging 18.4 ppg, for the season in its last game with a knee injury. Give the Roadrunners credit as they pushed through that setback with a Senior Night win over Louisiana Tech but now comes the letdown. North Texas is 8-1 ATS against teams allowing 42 percent or better shooting and 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games coming off two straight conference losses. 10* (526) North Texas Mean Green |
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02-28-18 | George Mason v. VCU -8.5 | Top | 81-80 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the VCU RAMS for our CBB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Both VCU and George Mason are still in play for the No. 4 seed in the upcoming Atlantic Ten Tournament as both are 8-8 in the conference with winnable games in their season finales. The Rams are playing their final home game of the season where they are 11-6 on the season, which is rather average for a team that is typically more dominating at home. Two non-conference home losses came against Texas and Virginia while three A-10 losses were against Rhode Island, St. Bonaventure and Davidson which are the top three teams in the conference with a combined 40-11 record. VCU is coming off a loss against the Bonnies and going back, the Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss. George Mason has won two straight games to get even with the Rams and comes in with a 4-7 record on the road. This includes a 3-5 record in the conference but all three of those have come against losing teams and this is not a good spot for the Patriots as they are 0-9 ATS this season against teams with a winning record. Meanwhile VCU is 42-23 ATS in its last 65 home games after playing a game as an underdog. 10* (726) VCU Rams |
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02-27-18 | Oklahoma v. Baylor -3.5 | Top | 64-87 | Win | 102 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS for our CBB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. Baylor has been a middle of the pack team most of this season, but a recent five-game winning streak has put the Bears into the NCAA Tournament mix., Three of those wins were over Kansas, Texas and Texas Tech and even though they have lost their last tow games, they are still right there. Baylor is 17-12 on the season and nine of those 12 losses have been against ranked opponents, including six road games. Eight of 10 conference teams are looking at NCAA Tournament bids and of those, Baylor has played the fourth toughest schedule including the second toughest within the Big XII. Oklahoma snapped a six-game losing streak on Saturday at home against Kansas St., but it now hits the road where it is just 2-8 and has yet to win a road game in 2018. This is a revenge game for Baylor as it lost 98-96 in Norman and those 96 points were their most in a loss since Jan. 23, 1995. The Bears had a chance to take the lead late but missed the font end of a one-and-one and free throws were the difference as Trae Young made as many free throws as Baylor attempted. Going back, Oklahoma is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games off a conference home win while going 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after allowing 75 points or more three straight games. Meanwhile, the Bears are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games after playing five consecutive games as an underdog. 10* (540) Baylor Bears |
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