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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-08-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Phoenix Suns -2.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
We won with Golden St. on Thursday and similar to playing against Chicago in that game after winning with the Bulls in their previous game, we will go against the Warriors in a comparable situation. Golden St. was coming off an embarrassing loss at home against Charlotte in its previous game to Thursday so we knew the effort was going to be a big one. The Warriors improved to 15-9 at home and while they are a decent 15-11 on the road, seven of those wins have come against the Eastern Conference while five others have come against Utah, New Orleans and Sacramento all of which are in last place in their respective divisions. Overall, Golden St. is just 7-11 against teams ranked in the NBA power rankings and Phoenix is part of that group. At 29-20, the Suns are the surprise story of the league as many had them tabbed for near the bottom of the Western Conference. They won seven of eight games starting in mid-January before losing their last two on Tuesday and Wednesday. Phoenix has won 10 of its last 14 games coming off a loss and has lost more than two games only once since late November and the other time was when all three games were on the road. Speaking of on the road, the Suns lost by 29 points on the road at Golden St. in the last meeting so it is payback time tonight. Golden St. is 0-6 ATS in its last six games following a win while Phoenix is 6-0 ATS in its last 12 games following a double-digit loss. 10* (512) Phoenix Suns
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02-08-14 | Indiana v. Minnesota -4 | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
There are six teams in the Big Ten with losing records and Minnesota is hands down the best of the bunch. Sans from a 21-point loss at Iowa, the Gophers have had a chance to win each of their other five games that they ended up losing. Losses at Michigan St. and Purdue were in overtime while losses to Northwestern, Nebraska and Michigan came by a combined eight points. Had all of the luck been with Minnesota, which isn't typical obviously, it could feasibly by 9-1 in the Big Ten but more realistic, it could be sitting no worse than in third place right now. Indiana has been up and down this season but that was expected with all of the players that it lost from last season. The Hoosiers are 5-5 in the conference and while they have also encountered some close losses, they have benefited from some close wins as well. Indiana is just 1-4 in true road games this season with that win coming at Penn St. by only three points. The Hoosiers have lost all four games when listed as the underdog and catching a Minnesota team in the midst of a three-game slide is not the way to break out of that. The Hoosiers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a win. This game being at night can only help as Minnesota is 0-7 ATS during the day but 7-3-1 ATS at night. 10* (634) Minnesota Golden Gophers
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02-08-14 | William & Mary v. Northeastern -2 | Top | 82-70 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
William & Mary came through with another road win on Wednesday as it defeated UNC-Wilmington by four points which made it three straight wins away from home. Overall, the Tribe are 7-5 on the road which is already two more road wins than they had all of last season. They are now playing their third straight road since Sunday and the travel has not been great as they have had to go from Virginia to North Carolina and now to Boston and I think it finally catches up to them here. William & Mary is 7-2-1 ATS on the road and that is helping keep this number at a good place to back the home team. Northeastern is eight games under .500 on the season but all of that futility came in nonconference action where it went just 3-11. The schedule had a lot to do with that as the Huskies nonconference slate was ranked 34th in the nation. They have since turned things around by going 5-5 in the CAA and even though they are just 2-3 at home, all three of those losses were within reach late in the game. With Towson and Drexel being the final two home games of the season, this is a game the Huskies need to have. The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (612) Northeastern Huskies
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02-08-14 | Auburn v. LSU -9.5 | Top | 80-87 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
LSU has to be one of the best inconsistent teams in the country but this oxymoron will only help us here. The Tigers are coming off a loss at Georgia where they were favored and that halted a two-game winning streak and put them at 5-4 in the SEC. They are still very much in the thick of the NCAA Tournament but they cannot afford more quality losses and that is what would be the case here. LSU is 5-1 following its previous six losses this season and it has won all four conference home games since losing its SEC home opener to Tennessee by 18 points. Don't look now, but the Auburn Tigers are making a run. Don't expect it to last however. We played against them on Wednesday at South Carolina as I expected a huge letdown following two straight SEC wins after suffering through 16 straight conference losses. Instead, the Tigers were able to make it three straight victories but I certainly gave the Gamecocks too much credit there as their 1-8 SEC record is all of a sudden legit. Now Auburn faces a real team and it has been blasted on the road against teams that are possessing a pulse. The winning streak is a nice turnaround but it comes crashing down here. Going back, the Tigers are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (566) LSU Tigers
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02-08-14 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State +13 | Top | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Mississippi St. has dropped four straight games to fall to 3-6 in the conference but this is a good spot to at least keep it close and sneak up on Kentucky. Three of the four losses during this stretch have been on the road with the lone home loss coming against Florida. The Bulldogs covered that game and the home and road splits have played a big role in their betting success as they are 0-6 straight up and 0-5-1 ATS as a road underdog but 3-1 straight up and 4-0 ATS as a home underdog. Overall, they are 11-2 at home and have covered five of six home games against teams with a winning record. This has always been a tough environment and last year's 7-7 record was a total aberration. We played against Kentucky three games back and that resulted in an outright loss at LSU. The Wildcats have since won and covered their last two games against Missouri and Mississippi but this is a team that cannot be trusted for too much consistency. They are just 2-4-3 ATS away from home including 1-4 ATS in true road games and going back, the Wildcats are 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 road games against teams with a winning home record and a lot of that has to do with the overinflated lines because of the public betting affection. 10* (530) Mississippi St. Bulldogs
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02-07-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Los Angeles Clippers -5.5 | Top | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
The Clippers did their best to try and come back from a 19-point deficit against Miami but fell short and suffered their second straight loss and just their fourth at home this season. Typically, Los Angeles has been a solid team coming off a loss this season and this is just their fourth two-game losing streak of the season and it has been able to keep the losses in check as they have followed up the previous three back-to-back losses with wins next time out, taking those games by 13, 20 and 8 points. Overall, the Clippers are 13-4 both straight up and against the number following a loss. Toronto is also coming off a loss as it fell to Sacramento on Wednesday in a game it never led and was not as close as the final score indicated. The Raptors have also been a solid team coming off a loss this season but the situations have been a lot more in their favor than it is here. Some of the follow up victories have come against Utah (twice), the Lakers, Milwaukee, Philadelphia (twice), New York, Detroit and Brooklyn. Of its 26 wins, only nine have come against the Western Conference and only one of those have been against a team that is higher than eighth place and while it was at Oklahoma City, it came right after the Thunder were coming off a win at San Antonio. Overall, the Raptors are just 3-13 against teams ranked within the top ten of the NBA power rankings. We also have a great situation on our side as we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season that are outscoring opponents between 3 and 7 ppg going up against teams with a scoring differential between +3 and -3, after scoring 110 points or more two straight games. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (820) Los Angeles Clippers
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02-07-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers +9 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Sometimes shakeups are good and in the case of Cleveland, this could be a beneficial turn. The Cavaliers fired general manager Chris Grant on Thursday as the season has been one of the most disappointing ones in the entire league. Cleveland is coming off a loss to the Lakers, who finished the game with four eligible players, to make it six straight losses as well as six straight non-covers. The firing sends a message and players tend to respond in these situations and that is what we are expecting from the Cavaliers tonight. We played on Washington on Wednesday against San Antonio and it had the game in control early, leading by as many as 17 points but it was outscored 14 points in the second half and eventually lost in double overtime. It was the Wizards first game being over .500 in more than four years and they could not respond and while a bounceback will be the goal, I can't see a huge effort here. This is rare territory for Washington as it is not typically favored by this many points and when it has been this season, it has not gone well as the Wizards are 0-5 ATS when favored by seven or more points. The Wizards are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record and they fall into a negative situation where we play against home teams in the second half of the season that are averaging between 98 and 102 ppg going up against teams allowing 102 or more ppg, after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 39-12 ATS (76.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (805) Cleveland Cavaliers
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02-06-14 | Chicago Bulls v. Golden State Warriors -8 | Top | 87-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
We won with Chicago on Tuesday as the Bulls never trailed and defeated the Suns in a wire-to-wire victory which came after one of their worst games of the season, a 29-point thrashing at Sacramento. So which Bulls team shows up tonight? A lot of that will be dictated by the opposition but this is the Bulls fifth game of this roadtrip and there has been very little rest in-between games with this being the third game in four nights and the fourth game in six nights. The Bulls are six games over .500 against the Eastern Conference but six games below .500 against the Western Conference. Golden St. meanwhile is coming off one of second worst games of the season offensively and its worst showing on offense at home. The Warriors lost by 16 points which was their worst loss of the season and their 75 points scored were the fewest of any home game this season. I expect a big bounce back game even though they are facing one of the best defenses in the NBA. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win while going 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games coming off an outright win as an underdog. Golden St. is 8-1-2 in its last 11 games following a loss of more than 10 points while going 8-0-1 ATS in its last nine games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (504) Golden St. Warriors
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02-06-14 | Temple +13 v. SMU | Top | 52-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
We won with SMU on Saturday as it easily covered the short price against Memphis and was able to bounce back from an upset loss at South Florida a few days prior. The Mustangs remain undefeated at home at 9-0 and are looking at their first NCAA Tournament appearance since 1993. They have been very good to their backers as they have gone 8-1 ATS over their last nine games and have covered every lined game on their home floor, going a perfect 7-0 ATS. That is aiding in getting us a good deal of value and SMU could not be in a worse spot, coming off that Memphis win and then hosting Cincinnati on Saturday. It was been a long season for Temple. The Owls are 6-14 overall including 1-7 in the AAC as they are coming off a home blowout loss against Villanova and could not carry over the momentum from the win against Rutgers in their previous game. While they have failed to win on the road in the conference, they are 2-2-1 ATS and they have been a great bounceback team, going 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit home loss. This has a lot to do with coaching and Fran Dunphy is one of the best and since he has been here, Temple is 10-2 ATS in 12 games following a loss by 15 or more points. Additionally, we play against home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points that are coming off a home win scoring 85 or more points, in February games. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (527) Temple Owls
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02-06-14 | Vancouver Canucks +128 v. Montreal Canadiens | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Vancouver is in need of something positive before taking off for the big break as it has dropped five straight games including the first three contests of this current five-game roadtrip. It has been an up and down season for the Canucks and this is the third five-game losing streak of the season. They were able to not extend it past that the first two times however and I am expecting the same here tonight. Montreal snapped a two-game skid with a win over Calgary on Tuesday but the Canadiens have also been in a longterm funk as they are 11-15 over their last 26 games while going 2-8 following a win. Scoring goals has been a big issue as home as Montreal has tallied two goals or less in nine of its last 12 home games. Vancouver falls into a simple yet effective situation as we play against home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after a win by two goals or more going up against an opponent after two straight losses by two goals or more. This situation is 67-42 (61.5 percent) since 1996. Also, Vancouver is 16-4 in its last 20 road games revenging a home loss of three goals or more. 10* (59) Vancouver Canucks
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02-06-14 | Cleveland State v. Oakland +2.5 | Top | 92-85 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
Cleveland St. has won and covered four straight games since suffering a home loss against Wright St. Three of the wins have taken place on the road but two of those came against the two bottom teams in the Horizon while the other was a nonconference win against 8-14 Eastern Illinois. The Vikings have been one of the best teams in college basketball in covering the spread this season but that is doing nothing but giving us value tonight. They are a road favorite for the fourth straight game but this is the biggest test of them all. While Cleveland St. has covered four straight games, Oakland has dropped its last five games against the number. Three of those games were on the road as an underdog and it won both games at home but failed to cover the spread as a favorite. The Golden Grizzlies have won their only game as a home underdog, and sitting at 8-2 on their home floor, they are in excellent shape to do it again. They are also playing with revenge after a 10-point loss at Cleveland St. last month. Oakland was a 5.5-point underdog there and the change of venue should make it home favorite here but that is not the case. We play on teams after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games. This situation is 124-71 ATS (63.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (510) Oakland Golden Grizzlies
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02-05-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Sacramento Kings +1.5 | Top | 101-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
Toronto is 2-1 on its current roadtrip following a win at Utah on Monday. The Raptors have covered five straight games and seven of their last eight as they are competing with Phoenix for the best ATS record in the NBA, and also two of the biggest surprises. Toronto is now four games over .500 and it leads Brooklyn by four games in the Atlantic Division, easily the worst division in the NBA. The Raptors are 14-5 against the Atlantic and Central but just 12-17 against the rest of the league. Sacramento is coming off a win on Monday against Chicago as it snapped a seven-game losing streak and the big thing is that it is once again healthy. DeMarcus Cousins returned on Monday while Rudy Gay is back after missing four games. The Kings have covered three straight games and five of their last seven at home despite a brutal slate as they have played the second toughest schedule in the NBA. Sacramento is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games after having lost eight or more of its last 10 games while going 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record. The wrong team is favored here. 10* (722) Sacramento Kings
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02-05-14 | San Diego State v. Boise State -1.5 | Top | 67-65 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
We played against San Diego St. in a similar spot in their last road game and it was an unfortunate loss as underdog Utah St. hit a late basket to send the game into overtime and eventually lost by five points. Now the Aztecs are a road underdog which is a rare spot and because of it, the public is pouring in on them tonight. While they defeated Kansas outright in their only other road underdog role, the spot not a good one tonight. San Diego St. has won 18 straight games and Boise St. would like nothing more than to end that tonight. The Broncos are a disappointing 5-4 in the MWC after suffering a loss at UNLV on Saturday but they return home where they are 11-1 on the season, the lone loss being a two-point setback against Wyoming. Boise St. will also be out for payback after suffering a tough three-point loss at San Diego St. on 1/8. This is an extremely veteran team and it will show here as the Broncos are the only team from the 2013 NCAA Tournament to return all five starters consisting of 92.4 percent of last season's scoring output, 90 percent of the minutes played and 157 of 160 starts from 2012-13. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (792) Boise St. Broncos
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02-05-14 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Denver Nuggets -12.5 | Top | 100-110 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Wins have been few and far between for Milwaukee this season but the Bucks are coming off a dramatic home win against the Knicks on Monday, snapping a six-game losing streak. Putting a winning streak together has been a problem for Milwaukee however as it has yet to win consecutive games this season, going 0-8 straight up following a victory while covering just one of those follow up games. The Bucks have only one win this season against the Western Conference while going 4-13 ATS in those games. Additionally, the Bucks are 2-10 ATS as a double-digit underdog. Denver is coming off a big win against the Clippers as it rallied from 13 points down to snap a two-game home skid. Ty Lawson was out for both of those losses but he returned Monday and his presence was felt with 27 points. The Nuggets have been surprisingly average at home this season and while coming off a big win can be a letdown for some teams, the feeling here is Denver uses it to close the first half strong. This is their last home game prior to the All Star break as they head out for four road games after this so they take care of business here. 9* (720) Denver Nuggets
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02-05-14 | Auburn v. South Carolina -2.5 | Top | 79-74 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
After losing 16 straight SEC games, Auburn has put together two consecutive wins as it defeated Alabama and Georgia last week. We played the Tigers in that game against the Tide and instead of coming back with a letdown, Auburn played solid once again against the Bulldogs. Those games were at home however and the Tigers have been much worse on the road, so much worse that they have yet to grab a victory away from their home floor. They are 0-6 including 0-5 in true road games and going back, they have dropped 12 straight SEC road games. The last conference road victory came right here nearly 13 months ago and don't think South Carolina has forgotten. The Gamecocks are having a tough season as they are 1-7 in the SEC but five of those games have been on the road. The three home games resulted in a 28-point win against Texas A&M, a one-point loss to Mississippi and a three-point loss to LSU. South Carolina is 4-1 straight up and ATS as a home favorite while going 5-1-1 ATS in all of its home games. The Tigers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Gamecocks are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (764) South Carolina Gamecocks
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02-05-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Washington Wizards +1 | Top | 125-118 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Many will be surprised that Washington is the favorite here. After all, the Wizards have lost 15 straight meetings including the last eight at home against San Antonio but I think they are in a good spot here. This is arguably the best Washington team we have witnessed in sometime and that is backed up by the fact that it has been a huge underdog in this series during the losing streak. On top of that, the Wizards are over .500 for the first time in over four years and because it is well documented, they want to keep things rolling. San Antonio is coming off a big win over New Orleans as it trailed by as many as 14 points and outscored the Pelicans by 19 points in the fourth quarter. That presents a letdown opportunity here. The Spurs have been great on the road overall but have just 2-4 ATS in their last six road games. Washington is 6-2 ATS as a favorite of lass than five points while the Spurs are 0-2 ATS as underdogs in the same price range. Additionally, the Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record while the Wizards are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (706) Washington Wizards
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02-04-14 | Chicago Bulls +8 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
The Bulls never got it going last night as they got down early in Sacramento and could never recover. It was one of their worst losses of the season as they lost by 29 points and the offense managed to shoot a mere 28.2 percent from the floor. The good news is that because of the horrendous loss, playing a back-to-back isn't as bad considering that the starters played limited minutes and even still, Chicago is 2-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games. Phoenix hit a bit of a lull in early January but it has picked things back up and in a big way. The Suns have won five straight games including sweeping a four-game roadtrip and defeating Charlotte at home last time out. The win at Indiana was very impressive but the other victories over this stretch came against teams that are at least seven games under .500. Phoenix has been one of the biggest surprises in the entire league this season and because of that, the ATS record is best in the NBA, hence the once again overwhelming support by the public. The Suns have a game in Houston tomorrow which could put them in a tricky spot here. Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games following a loss as well as going 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a double-digit loss. The underdog has covered seven of the last 10 meetings in this series and I expect that to continue tonight with a big rebound from the Bulls after last night. 10* (505) Chicago Bulls
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02-04-14 | Tampa Bay Lightning v. Minnesota Wild -115 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Minnesota is back home following a four-game roadtrip where things did not go well as it went 1-3 including losses in the last two. Those were all one goal losses, including two in overtime and after playing the Wild in their last game on Saturday and losing, we will back them in their return home. Minnesota had won eight of its previous 12 games and playing back home should get it back on track as it closes out before the break with two home games, The Wild are 19-7-2 at home this season while going 9-3 in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning road record. This is the fourth and final game of a four-game roadtrip for Tampa Bay and after losing the first two games, it won in overtime in the most recent one in Montreal on Saturday. The Lightning have been solid on the road for the most part but going back, they are 18-41 in their last 59 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Meanwhile Minnesota is 9-2 against the moneyline revenging a loss against opponent as a road favorite this season and it falls into a fantastic situation. We play against underdogs against the moneyline that are coming off a win by one goal over a division rival going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 59-17 (77.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (66) Minnesota Wild
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02-04-14 | St John's v. Providence -3.5 | Top | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Providence returns home following a two-game roadtrip where it split, losing to Marquette and then coming back to win against DePaul on Saturday. After this, it hits the road for two more games which makes this one of the utmost importance. The Friars are now 6-3 in the Big East which is good for third place, two games behind Villanova and Creighton. They are 11-1 at home with the lone loss coming against Seton Hall and overall, they are +13.1 ppg in scoring margin. St. John's has turned things around after a rough start to the conference season as it has won four of its last five games while also covering four of its last five. The Red Storm have covered two in a row on the road but they are just 3-6 ATS away on the season and the favorite has won 16 of its 20 lined games overall. St. John's is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games following a win while going 1-6 ATS in its last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Providence meanwhile is 5-1 ATS in its last six games after a victory and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Additionally, the Friars are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite of six points or less. 10* (518) Providence Friars
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02-02-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Denver Broncos OVER 47.5 | Top | 43-8 | Win | 100 | 294 h 10 m | Show |
Based on the fact that this game is being played outdoors in a cold weather environment, many will be expecting a low scoring game but weather rarely dictates how totals come through. A classic example this season was the Lions Eagles game where they played in a snowstorm the entire game and the game ended up going over. The one weather element that can have an affect on an outdoor football game is wind but it needs to be substantial and the long range forecast for Super Bowl Sunday is a temperature in the high 20's to low 30's and moderate wind. This can certainly change and if anything severe comes into play, we can buy this back but for now, we are playing the over and we likely are not going to see numbers as low as this as a steady rise of the total up until game time is expected. We are catching extraordinary value in this total from the Denver standpoint as this is the lowest total it has seen all season with the exception of opening day where it was the same and of course we saw 76 points scored in that one. The Broncos have gone under the total in five straight games after going over in 11 of their first 13 games and that is helping with the value. Also helping is the fact that the Seattle defense is ranked number one in the NFL in both yards allowed and points allowed. The Seahawks are allowing just 275.1 ypg and 13.6 ppg and while the points have not increased much in the playoffs, they have allowed 717 yards in their two playoff games and now they will be facing the most potent offense in the NFL on Super Bowl Sunday. Seattle has gone under in seven straight games and while this is the highest total of the bunch, it is for good reason and will only get higher. Denver has an average defense and Seattle has shown the ability it can score but the feeling here is that the Seahawks may not need that many points to push this one over. Two situations are on our side as well. First, we play on the over where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points involving a team (Seattle) that is coming off two or more consecutive unders, with a defense that is allowing 17 or less ppg. This situation is 30-10 (75 percent) to the over the last five seasons. Second, we play the over where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points involving a team (Denver) that is averaging 27 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 14 and 18 ppg, after allowing 17 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 27-5 (84.4 percent) to the over since 1983. 10* Over (101) Seattle Seahawks/(102) Denver Broncos
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02-02-14 | Seattle Seahawks +3 v. Denver Broncos | Top | 43-8 | Win | 100 | 122 h 2 m | Show |
I will be using some of the same analysis from the other play as it pertains here as well. While the Denver offense has been the best in the NFL this season, Seattle has the ingredients to slow it down, not necessarily stop it but that isn't imperative. The Seahawks offense has not looked it best of late but it will be facing a Broncos defense that has been playing over its head the last four games by allowing no more than 17 points the last four games. They had allowed 17 points or less only once in their previous 14 games and the Seahawks are ranked eighth in the league in points scored so they will get their production in what I feel is a very good matchup. Defense is the key when it comes to the big game. This is just the fifth Super Bowl since the AFL-NFL merger to match up the No. 1 scoring offense against the No. 1 scoring defense. It's been advantage defense with those teams going 4-1 in past Super Bowls. Additionally, this is the 16th time that the defense that allowed the fewest points in the NFL has made the Super Bowl since the merger. The previous 15 teams went 12-3 in those Super Bowls. As mentioned, I don't think Seattle can stop the Broncos offense, despite the top ranked overall and scoring defense in the NFL but I do think the Seahawks can certainly slow them down with the best secondary in football. They were first in yards allowed, first in interceptions and first in yards per attempt. Any sort of pass rush will get Peyton Manning flustered enough which will lead to mistakes or lack of production at the very least. Seattle is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games in the second half of the season when playing against a team with a winning record including a perfect 6-0 ATS record when the opposition has a winning percentage of .750 or better. Additionally, the Seahawks are 8-1 ATS in their last nine game when getting points. Looking at power rankings alone and Seattle is the better team that has played a tougher schedule to get here, including the playoffs. I was hoping to get a better line with the public lining up behind Denver and while that still may happen, we will pull the trigger now on the Seahawks getting points of any kind as they should be the team that is favored on Sunday. 10* (101) Seattle Seahawks
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02-01-14 | Minnesota Wild -106 v. Calgary Flames | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
Calgary is playing excellent hockey right now as it has won four straight games, all of which have come at home and all of which have come as underdogs. Now the price is shifting the other way and we will bite on the road team to end this winning streak on Saturday. Despite the run, the Flames are just 11-17 at home and they are 15-20 in their last 35 home games after four or more consecutive wins. The Wild are coming off a loss at Colorado on Thursday and they will be out to even their roadtrip at 2-2 before heading back home for their final two games before the extended Olympic break. While Minnesota's road record is not any better than the Flames home record, the Wild are the much better team and have a lot more to play for at this point in the season. They are sitting in seventh place in the Western Conference with not a lot of room to spare so beating the teams it is supposed to beat is imperative. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 when the moneyline is between -100 to -150 that are playing their 3rd road game in five days, playing a losing team. This situation is 75-33 (69.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (19) Minnesota Wild
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02-01-14 | Miami Heat -5 v. New York Knicks | Top | 106-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
I tend to stay away from Miami when it is listed as a road favorite since it is usually extremely overvalued. I do not feel that is the case tonight however plus the Heat have a lot of variables on their side. After jumping ahead of Oklahoma City by 18 points early, Miami fell apart and was outscored by 35 points the rest of the game and that can be chalked up as one of the most embarrassing losses in a while and was actually the largest home loss since LeBron James came to Miami. Not only do the Heat want to recover from that defeat, they will also be out for payback after suffering a 10-point loss here on January 9th, the second straight to the Knicks and the fourth in the last fifth meetings. The streaky Knicks are once again riding high. After winning five straight games, they lost their next five games only to rebound to win their last four games, three of which have come by 29, 26 and 31 points. The are catching Miami at the wrong time however. The Heat are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games revenging a same season loss while going 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a home loss. They also fall into a great situation where we play on teams that are revenging a straight up loss as a road favorite of seven or more points and coming off a home loss. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1996 with the average point differential being +14.4 ppg. 10* (515) Miami Heat
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02-01-14 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State -8 | Top | 75-81 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
What started off as the Cinderella story of the Big 12 has come crashing back to earth pretty quickly. Iowa St. opened the season a perfect 14-0 including impressive wins over Michigan, BYU, Iowa and Boise St. but it has since dropped four of its last five games to fall to 3-4 in the conference. That first loss this season came in Norman against the Sooners so the Cyclones find themselves in an early payback situation and because of the recent skid, we are getting excellent value as they were favored by 4.5 points then and are now only favored by four points more despite playing at home. On top of this, we are catching Oklahoma coming off four straight wins including a major one on Monday as the Sooners upset rival Oklahoma St. by 12 points as a four-point home dog. This has letdown written all over it. Iowa St. is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 home games revenging a same season loss while going 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games revenging a loss as a favorite. Oklahoma meanwhile is just 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win. 10* (602) Iowa St. Cyclones
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02-01-14 | Memphis v. SMU -2 | Top | 72-87 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Here we have the classic unranked home favorite playing a ranked road underdog and this is a situation that has been very solid in college hoops over the years for the hosts. SMU enters this game with a 5-3 record in the AAC after disappointing seven-point loss at South Florida as a seven-point favorite. The Mustangs could have been caught peeking ahead to this game and if so, it bit them and they are in need of a win to avoid falling four games behind Cincinnati. SMU is 8-0 at home this season while covering all six lined games as it has been dominating in every home game, winning by an average of over 21 ppg. Memphis has won four straight games while covering three in a row but it has had the luxury of a soft schedule. The Tigers have been awesome on the road, going 8-1 ATS in nine games including covers in eight straight so that makes this is ideal spot to play against Memphis. SMU is 4-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS after a loss this year and has a fantastic situation on its side as we play against road teams as an underdog or pickem that are averaging 76 or more ppg going up against teams allowing 63 or fewer ppg, after three straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 87-43 ATS (66.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (568) SMU Mustangs
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02-01-14 | George Washington v. Dayton -3 | Top | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
George Washington is off to a 5-1 start in the Atlantic Ten Conference which is a surprise to many and it currently sits a half-game back of first place St. Louis. The Colonials have been on a massive run as they are 5-0 both straight up and against the number over their last five games which put them in a precarious spot on Saturday, especially against a team in desperate need of a victory. Dayton is off to the opposite start in the conference as it is 1-5 in the A-10 as it has suffered four straight losses, all of which have been non-covers as well. Also, the Flyers have lost three straight games at home, the first time they have lost three straight at Dayton Arena since 2005-06. Also, this is the worst start ever in the A-10 for the Flyers so now it is time to step up. Dayton falls into a great contrarian situation as we play on teams after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games going up against an opponent after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games. This situation is 121-68 ATS (64 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, the Colonials are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (548) Dayton Flyers
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01-31-14 | Manhattan +2.5 v. Iona | Top | 73-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
Manhattan and Iona square off in hopes of getting closer to first place Canisius in the MAAC. Iona has won and covered three straight games to move to within a half game of first place so this is obviously a big game for the home side. Overall, the Gaels are 7-2 at home with one of those losses coming against Canisius and the other against St. Bonaventure. The short price is getting a lot of public action but the road Manhattan is in a great spot in my opinion. The Jaspers were picked to win the MAAC and they are right in the thick of it. They are coming off a loss at home against Quinnipiac in overtime, which was their fifth loss of the season. The 14-5 record could even be better as all five of the losses have come by five points or less, and surprisingly, three of those have been at home. Manhattan is 8-2 on the road and it has won all previous four games following a loss. The Jaspers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games in the second half of the season against teams with a winning record while Iona is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games off a road win. 10* (831) Manhattan Jaspers
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01-31-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5 | Top | 94-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
Memphis is rolling right now as it has won seven of its last nine games including four in a row to get back into the Western Conference playoff hunt. The Grizzlies trail Dallas by just a half game for the eighth and final playoff spot. They have surprisingly been a better road team than a home team this season but that does not give them reason to be favored here as in my opinion, the wrong team is laying the points. While Memphis is hot, Minnesota has quietly gone 5-1 over its last six games to move over .500 for the first time since November 23rd when it was 8-7. The Timberwolves have been getting it done at home with wins and covers in three of their last four games at the Target Center and this marks just the second time all season they have been a home underdog. The first was against Miami which is legitimate and considering Minnesota was favored at home over Oklahoma City earlier this month, being and underdog to Memphis does not add up. We are looking for an easy Minnesota win nonetheless. The Timberwolves fall into a great situation as we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 80 points or less going up against an opponent after allowing 90 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 56-26 ATS (68.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (806) Minnesota Timberwolves
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01-31-14 | New Jersey Devils v. Nashville Predators -128 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
New Jersey is coming off a big win last night in Dallas as it blew a 2-0 lead and allowed a goal with just over a minute left in regulation to tie the game but eventually won in overtime. That type of victory can be a momentum booster or provide a letdown and I see the former taking place tonight. The Devils have been solid when playing with no rest but they are just 2-5 in their last seven road games and their bigger issue has been putting together winning streaks. New Jersey is just 4-8 in its last 12 games following a win while going 0-8 against the moneyline in its eight road games after playing two consecutive road games this season. Nashville won in Winnipeg in its last game which evened its roadtrip at 2-2. This is a big game however as the Predators hot the road for two more road games against St. Louis and Minnesota and then faces Anaheim at home before the Olympic break so it has to take care of business here. They have been average at home which is a surprise from a team with a history of a huge home ice advantage but Nashville is 5-2 in its last seven games against losing teams. Additionally, it is out to avenge a 5-0 loss in New Jersey earlier this season and the Predators are 22-9 in their last 31 games revenging a loss of four or more goals. 10* (58) Nashville Predators
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01-30-14 | Alabama v. Auburn | Top | 55-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
This is the makeup game from Wednesday and the Tigers are chomping at the bit. Auburn finds itself in the basement of the SEC but not because of a lack of trying. The Tigers have been snakebit with some tough losses as they opened conference action by losing to Mississippi and Missouri by three and two points respectively and after a loss at Tennessee, gave Florida all it could handle at home before losing by seven points. Auburn has not won an SEC game since defeating Alabama last year, a program-worst span of 16 games Auburn is 5-2 ATS at home and it has won all three games as a home favorite and because of the size of this number, a win means a cover as well. Alabama meanwhile is coming off a big home win over LSU to even its record at 3-3 in the SEC and while four of Auburn's first six conference games have been on the road, four of Alabama's first six conference games have been at home. The two road games resulted in big losses and on the season, the Tide are 0-4 straight up and 1-3 ATS on the road. Alabama is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games in the second half of the season when playing against a team with a losing record while Auburn is 22-9 ATS in its last 31 home games after allowing 75 points or more two straight games. 10* (596) Auburn Tigers
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01-30-14 | Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee +2 | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee opened conference action with a 3-2 record but has since gone on to drop each of its last three games. The Panthers were coming off a three-game roadtrip but a return home did not help as they lost to Detroit last Friday by 19 points. They are now 0-3 ATS in their last three games but the extended break can only help. They are 5-2-1 ATS following a loss this season while going 6-3-1 ATS when off for three or more days. There is some added incentive here as their last road game was at Wright St. nine days ago and that resulted in a 26-point blowout loss. The Raiders are also coming off a loss as they fell at Youngstown St. on Saturday by a points. They have been playing better on the road as they have covered their last three games away from home but we cannot ignore the fact Wright St. is 2-9 on the road this season. The Raiders have been a road favorite once this season and that resulted in a loss at Miami Ohio. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 in the second half of the season that are averaging between 67 and 74 ppg going up against teams allowing 63 or fewer ppg, after two straight losses by 10 points or more. This situation is 46-18 ATS (71.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (522) Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers
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01-30-14 | Washington Capitals v. Columbus Blue Jackets -133 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
We are getting Columbus in a very favorable situation tonight and not paying an over the top to back them. The Blue Jackets had won eight straight games but they are stuck in a three-game skid that started out with a home loss to Buffalo of all teams. Prior to that, they were 10-3 in their last home games and I expect an all out effort tonight to snap their two-game skid at home. One of the wins during that recent winning streak was against Washington by a 5-1 score and they can use that to get their confidence back. Washington meanwhile has won two straight games which came after seven straight losses. The Capitals have scored 10 goals over the last two games, with one of those coming in overtime, after scoring a grand total of eight goals during that losing streak. Going back, Washington is 0-9 in its last nine games playing with one day of rest and it fall into a negative situation where we play against road teams against the moneyline with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 in the second half of the season revenging a road loss versus opponent by four goals or more. This situation is 52-18 (74.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (4) Columbus Blue Jackets
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01-29-14 | Iowa State +8.5 v. Kansas | Top | 81-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
After a 14-0 start to the season, Iowa St. suffered its first rough patch of the season as it lost three straight games before winning last time out against Kansas St. Two of those losses were on the road at Oklahoma and Texas while the one home loss came against these Kansas Jayhawks. While I am not a proponent of road revenge, this one is a little different as we are getting a lot points to work with. Based on the eight-point home/road swing, Kansas should be favored by 5.5 points here based on that first meeting so we are catching a very solid number. It helps that the Cyclones are 0-4 straight up ATS in their last four games. The Jayhawks have won six straight games since suffering a home loss against San Diego St. and should they really be favored by close to the same about of points the was favored against Baylor by? I don't think so. Iowa St. is 11-0 ATS in its last 11 games after a win by six points or less and is 6-0 ATS in its last six road games coming off a no cover where it won straight up as a favorite. 10* (789) Iowa St. Cyclones
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01-29-14 | Wisc-Green Bay v. Valparaiso +1.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
Wisconsin-Green Bay remains the only undefeated team in the Horizon League as it is 7-0 following a win over Detroit on Sunday. That makes it 12 straight victories for the Phoenix with nine of those coming by double-digits so they have certainly been rolling. We played against them a couple weeks back when they faced Milwaukee and we got a bad luck loss as it went into overtime and the Phoenix were able to win by seven. I think this presents another great opportunity to go against them in a very tough environment. Forward Alec Brown, who is second on the team with 16.4 ppg was hurt last game and is questionable and even if he goes, he is not close to 100 percent. Valparaiso is coming off a 19-point loss at Cleveland St. on Saturday so it is bounceback time to try and improve its 4-3 record in the conference. The Crusaders are 10-4 ATS when playing with two or more days rest and they get the bonus of having one extra day of preparation than the Phoenix do. Wisconsin-Green Bay is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games coming off a double-digit home win. 10* (766) Valparaiso Crusaders
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01-29-14 | Orlando Magic +10 v. Toronto Raptors | Top | 83-98 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Toronto is coming off a dramatic win at Brooklyn on Monday and while it has had a day to recover from that, this is not a good spot for the Raptors. This is the sixth game in 10 days and there has been travel every day as there has not been any back-to-back games at home. Following this, Toronto hits the road for a five-game west coast trip so facing a bad Orlando team is something they are not going to be stoked for. The Magic should come in with more motivation as they have lost nine straight road games and have not covered any of those on top of it. This one sets up as one of the best opportunities over these games to get a cover as this line has been placed too high. Toronto will likely be without leading scorer DeMar DeRozan again tonight as he is nursing an ankle injury. Orlando falls into a great situation as we play against home teams in the second half of the season that are averaging between 98 and 102 ppg going up against teams allowing 102 or more ppg, after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 39-11 ATS (78 percent) since 1996. 10* (701) Orlando Magic
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01-28-14 | Kentucky v. LSU +4.5 | Top | 82-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
After three straight home games, and victories, Kentucky hits the road once again as this is the first game of four road games in a five-game stretch. The Wildcats are undefeated at home at 13-0 but taking to the highway has been a different story as they are 2-4 overall including 1-2 in true road games. Kentucky is 0-3-1 ATS in its last four games outside of Lexington and while every road loss has been relatively close, being favored here does not help their cause. It has been a very interesting season for LSU and that borders frustrating. The Tigers are 12-6 which is good by most standards but looking at what has transpired shows that things could be a lot better. Four of the six losses have been by four points or less or in overtime with three of those coming on the road. LSU is coming off a loss at Alabama on Saturday and it is 4-1 following a loss this season. The Tigers have yet to win this season as an underdog however this is the first time they have been getting points at home. Kentucky is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games following a win while LSU is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games in the second half of the season against winning teams. 10* (532) LSU Tigers
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01-28-14 | Virginia v. Notre Dame +3.5 | Top | 68-53 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
Virginia is rolling right now after an uneven start to the season. The Cavaliers went 9-4 in nonconference action which included two home losses and a road loss to Green Bay as well as a 35-point road loss to Tennessee. Apparently, that loss to the Volunteers woke them up as they have gone on to win six of their first seven ACC games and more importantly for our purposes, they have covered all seven of those games. The last three wins have come by 12, 15 and 20 points but all of those games were at home and now Virginia hits the road for the first time in over two weeks to face a Notre Dame team desperate for a win. The Irish are struggling in their first year in the ACC which is a surprise since it is not an upgrade from the Big East. They are 2-5 straight up and against the number but they are 2-1 at home with one of those wins coming against Duke. All five losses have been single digits so things could be a lot better at this point. Notre Dame falls into a great situation as we play on home teams in the second half of the season that are averaging between 74 and 78 ppg going up against teams allowing 63 or fewer ppg, after scoring 60 points or less. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Notre Dame Fighting Irish
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01-28-14 | San Antonio Spurs +1.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 90-97 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
The Spurs are coming off a humbling loss in Miami on Sunday as they lost by 12 points in a game that was not as close as the score indicates. San Antonio never led and trailed by as many as 29 points despite shooting 50 percent from the floor. I expect a big rebound tonight and the Spurs have been the best bounce back team in the NBA this season as thy are 10-0 straight up and 9-1 against the number coming off a loss. San Antonio has been a road underdog three times this season and while it is 1-2 in those games, each time the Spurs were coming off wins in their previous game so the situation is a lot different at hand tonight. San Antonio has some added incentive as well as it has lost both meetings to Houston this season with both of those taking place at home. Houston has dropped two straight games, both to Memphis, and is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games. It has been a money burning machine since the start of December, going 10-13-1 ATS in its last 24 games. While the Rockets are 13-3 against the East, they are just 16-14 against the West. San Antonio is 42-24 in its last 66 games revenging a loss as a home favorite of seven or more points. 10* (507) San Antonio Spurs
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01-27-14 | Villanova v. Georgetown +6 | Top | 65-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
After a great start to the season, it has been a rough ride of late for Georgetown. The Hoyas opened the season 11-4 including going 2-0 in the Big East but they have lost four straight games, three of which have come by double-digits. They have not covered any of these games and the only win over their last six games came in overtime against Butler which is struggling just as bad. We are bucking the trends on Monday however as we are being presented with a great line and this is the first time this season they are a home underdog. While the Hoyas are reeling, Villanova is having an excellent season with a 17-2 record including going 6-1 in the Big East. The last two games though have not been very good as the Wildcats were crushed at home by 28 points against Creighton and they needed overtime to defeat Marquette on Saturday. Villanova has been killing it against the spread this season and that is another reason it is listed as a big road favorite tonight. While the Hoyas are struggling, the Wildcats should not be favored by more than they were favored by at St. John's and that is the case here. Villanova is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing its 2nd game in three days. 10* (720) Georgetown Hoyas
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01-27-14 | Colorado Avalanche +115 v. Dallas Stars | Top | 4-3 | Win | 115 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
We won with Colorado two games back as it won in Florida following a home loss against Toronto. The Avalanche however lost the following night in Tampa Bay which sets them up well for another big rebound effort. After a great start to the season, Colorado slowed down some in December but is picking up steam once again, going 9-4 over its last 13 games and this includes a 4-0 record in its last four games following a loss. The Avalanche had won its previous three games on the road before the Saturday loss and its 15-7-2 road record on the season is third best in the NHL. Dallas meanwhile has turned the corner slightly as it is 3-0 in its last three games after a dreadful 1-9 run that knocked them out of the playoff picture. The Stars are currently in eighth place in the Western Conference and while they have dominated these last three games by a combined winning score of 14-1, I do not think it continues here. Colorado is 13-4 against the moneyline this season revenging a loss while going 11-3 against the moneyline following two consecutive nonconference games. Meanwhile Dallas is 15-37 in its last 52 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (57) Colorado Avalanche
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01-27-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Philadelphia 76ers +5.5 | Top | 124-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
The Suns are coming off a win last night in Cleveland which puts them in a bad spot tonight. They are certainly the big surprise of the Western Conference at six games over .500 but they have been average of late, going 8-8 over their last 16 games including 3-5 on the road. They are also 1-4 on the road in their last five games against the Eastern Conference. Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win and it lost at Detroit in its first time this season in the second of back-to-back road games. The Sixers are living up to their preseason expectations as they are 14-30 which is the third worst record in the league. They are 2-9 in their last 11 games following a four-game winning streak and while the home floor has not been very kind, they are 9-7 ATS against teams coming off a win showing that teams are coming in with a little too much confidence. We are catching a good line as well as Phoenix was favored by 10.5 points in the first meeting this year which should make it about a 2.5-point favorite here based on the venue change. Additionally, Phoenix is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games in the second half of the season when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. 10* (702) Philadelphia 76ers
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01-26-14 | Orlando Magic v. New Orleans Pelicans -6.5 | Top | 92-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
We won with Orlando on Friday as it overcame a double-digit deficit and while it was partly a play on the Magic, a lot of it was going against the Lakers which were coming off a hard fought effort the night before at Miami. Now Orlando hits the road where is has been horrific all season long with a 3-18 record including losses in seven straight games while covering none of those. Despite the win against Los Angeles, Orlando is 3-15 against the Western Conference this season. New Orleans is also coming off a win as it won in Detroit on Friday which made it two straight wins on the road. The problem has been at home though as the Pelicans have dropped six straight. While the streak started against Washington, the last five have come against Western Conference opponents and on the season, New Orleans has won nine of 14 games against the East. Additionally, this is a revenge game for the Pelicans as they lost in Orlando by 20 points earlier in the season, their second worst road loss this season. New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games against losing teams while Orlando is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games after playing its last game as a favorite. 10* (806) New Orleans Pelicans
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01-26-14 | Cincinnati v. Temple +6.5 | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
It has been a rough season for Temple as it is 5-12 including a winless 0-6 in the AAC. The Owls have dropped seven straight games overall but five of those have been on the road including each of the last three. While the home floor has usually been a big advantage, that is not the case this season as Temple is 1-5 and is catching points for the third time after splitting the first two games ATS. Temple is currently the only team in Division I to have four players averaging 14 or more points per game and one of those, Will Cummings, is back in the lineup after missing two games. Cincinnati has won 11 straight games while covering seven of its last 10 games. This is not a good spot for the Bearcats however as they are 0-3 ATS this season as road favorites, and with a game at Louisville on deck, this can easily be a game they could look past especially given the fact they have already defeated Temple once this season. Cincinnati is 0-6 ATS in its last six games following a double-digit conference win while Temple is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 home games after a loss by 15 or more points. 10* (834) Temple Owls
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