Cappers Sports Picks

7* Georgia/Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Georgia -2.5

7* LSU/Kansas State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas State -3.5

6* Baylor/Ole Miss NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Ole Miss -1

7* Utah/Ohio State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Utah +4.5

7* Bowl Game of the Year on Michigan +7.5

6* Cincinnati/Alabama NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Cincinnati +13.5

7* Purdue/Tennessee NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Tennessee -6

7* Maryland/Virginia Tech NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Maryland -3.5

7* West Virginia/Minnesota NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota -5

6* Texas Tech/Mississippi State NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Mississippi State -9.5

7* Ball State/Georgia State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Georgia State -5.5

7* Miami Ohio/North Texas NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 54

7* Missouri/Army NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 56

7* Wyoming/Kent State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Wyoming -3.5

6* Tulsa/Old Dominion NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Old Dominion +9

6* Oregon State/Utah State NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Utah State +7.5

6* UAB/BYU NCAAF *CA$H COW* on UAB +7

7* Coastal Carolina/NIU NCAAF Friday Night Lights on OVER 63

7* Houston/Cincinnati AAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston +10.5

6* Georgia/Alabama SEC *CA$H COW* on Alabama +6.5

6* App State/Louisiana Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Louisiana +3

7* Oregon/Utah NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNDER 58

6* WKU/UTSA C-USA *CA$H COW* on OVER 72.5

6* Saturday ACC *CA$H COW* on Syracuse +13.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Saturday Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Louisiana-Monroe +22

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Saturday Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Purdue -15

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* NCAAF Rivalry Game of the Year on Florida State +3

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Saturday AAC *CA$H COW* on Navy -12.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Coastal Carolina/South Alabama Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on South Alabama +15.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* NCAAF Situational Game of the Year on UTEP +13.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* Kansas State/Texas Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Kansas State +3

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* Fresno State/San Jose State MWC *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 51.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

7* Buffalo/Ball State MAC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 58.5

The Key: No game report from Monday, November 22 through Sunday, November 28.  Home with family for Thanksgiving week.

6* New Mexico/Boise State MWC *BAILOUT* on UNDER 48.5

The Key: New Mexico may get shut out in this game.  The Lobos have one of the worst offenses in the country at 13.6 PPG.  They cannot throw the ball, and they run it 38 times per game, so the clock will be moving in this one considering Boise State runs it 38 times per game as well.  Both of these defenses are underrated.  Boise yields only 20.1 PPG on the year.  New Mexico holds foes to 26.9 PPG and 349 YPG behind Rocky Long's proven scheme.  The UNDER is 5-0 in Lobos last 5 road games.  The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 matchups.  The UNDER is 5-0 in the last 5 matchups at Boise State.  The UNDER is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 games overall.  Take the UNDER.

7* NCAAF Game of the Year on UCLA -3

The Key: The UCLA Bruins want to avenge their 43-38 loss to USC last year in which they had the game won but somehow lost it in the final seconds.  This is a different USC team.  The Trojans are just ready for their season to be over at 4-5 this year.  They have lost 3 of their last 4 games by 15 points or more, and their lone win was a 7-point victory over terrible Arizona.  The Bruins own bad teams, going 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record.  And the Trojans will be without starting QB Slovis and 1,000-yard receiver London.  Take UCLA.

6* NCAAF Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Connecticut +30.5

The Key: UConn is actually 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games overall to make backers some good money down the stretch.  The public doesn't want to bet this team so their lines are inflated consistently.  They were getting too many points against Clemson last week, and they're getting too many points against UCF this week.  UCF is 6-4 on the season so has already clinched a bowl and is just playing out the string.  The Knights lost 55-28 to UCF last week after only beating a bad Tulane team 14-10 the previous week.  The Knights are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games off a loss.  UCF is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games against a team with a losing record.  The Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs.  The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 matchups.  Take Connecticut.

6* Texas/West Virginia Big 12 *CA$H COW* on West Virginia -2.5

The Key: Texas is 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games overall and coming off that upset loss to Kansas as a 31-point favorite.  They cannot be trusted to even get off the bus this week against West Virginia.  They face a Mountaineers team that always seems to play well at home because it's such long travel for every other member of the Big 12.  The Mountaineers recently beat Iowa State at home, the same Iowa State team that beat Texas 30-7 the week prior to the Longhorns losing to Kansas.  The Mountaineers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games off a game where they didn't force a single turnover.  Take West Virginia.

6* Rutgers/Penn State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on UNDER 47.5

The Key: Points will be hard to come by between Rutgers and Penn State just as they are every year these teams get together.  Each of the last 7 matchups in this series have seen 41 or fewer combined points, so it's no surprise the UNDER is 7-0 in the last 7 matchups.  It should be more of the same here with 2 great defenses and one very bad Rutgers offense.  Take the UNDER.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Arizona/Washington State OVER 52

The Key: Two teams not used to being on the prime time stage will square off tonight when the Arizona Wildcats visit the Washington State Cougars.  I think we see offensive fireworks between these two teams tonight.  Washington State has seen 4 of its last 5 games combined for 55 or more points.  Arizona combined for 67 points with Utah and 75 points with USC in 2 of its last 3 games.  There was a low-scoring game with Cal in between, but the Bears were missing almost everyone on offense due to COVID.  Washington State is 6-0 OVER in Weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 years.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last 5 matchups with combined scores of 97, 95, 76, 87 and 96 points.  Take the OVER.

6* Louisville/Duke ACC *CA$H COW* on Louisville -19.5

The Key: Duke is 0-6 in its last 6 games overall.  5 of the 6 losses have come by 25 points or more.  So the Blue Devils haven't even been competitive and won't be tonight either.  This Louisville team is looking to clinch a bowl berth with a win tonight and won't want to have to wait until Kentucky next week, where they could be underdogs.  The Cardinals are way better than their 5-5 record as they have so many close losses this year.  They took out their frustration with a 41-3 win over Syracuse, which was coming off a bye last week.  And it should be more of the same here against this Duke team that appears to have quit.  Duke gives up 44 PPG and 551.7 YPG in conference play this year.  The Blue Devils are 0-6 ATS against good offensive teams that average 425 YPG or more over the last 2 years.  Take Louisville.

7* Central Michigan/Ball State MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Central Michigan -1.5

The Key: The Central Michigan Chippewas have gone 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall with their lone loss coming by a single point.  They are still alive to win the MAC West due to this run.  They would need to win out and have Northern Illinois lose its final 2 games, which is very possible considering NIU is only a 1-point favorite at Buffalo tonight and has Western Michigan next week.  The Chippewas will show up tonight.  I question whether or not Ball State will show up.  The Cardinals were just eliminated from MAC West title contention after losing on a last-second field goal to NIU 29-30 last week.  The defending champs now have nothing to play for other than bowl eligibility, which they can accomplish next week at home against Buffalo.  I think they will suffer a hangover from that NIU loss last week and not show up this week.  The Chippewas are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games as road favorites.  The Chippewas are 14-2-1 ATS in their last 17 Wednesday games.  The Cardinals are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.  The road team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 matchups.  Take Central Michigan.

7* MAC Total of the Month on Western Michigan/Eastern Michigan OVER 66

The Key: Two OVER teams square off tonight in Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan.  Western Michigan is 4-1 OVER in its last 5 games with combined scores of 65, 95, 72 and 95 points in the 4 OVERS.  Eastern Michigan is 3-1 OVER in its last 4 games overall with combined scores of 69, 79 and 101 points in the 3 OVERS.  Expect more of the same with a shootout between these two great offenses tonight and suspect defenses.  WMU has yielded 31 or more points in 5 straight games.  EMU has yielded 34 or more points in 3 of its last 4.  The OVER Is 17-4 in Broncos last 21 November games.  The OVER Is 8-2-1 in Eagles last 11 games off a loss.  These teams combined for 95 points last year in a 53-42 EMU victory.  Take the OVER.

6* Kentucky/Vanderbilt SEC *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt +22.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Vanderbilt today.  They are coming off their bye week and it is Senior Day, so they will put forth a good effort.  I question where Kentucky is mentally after starting 6-0 and dropping 3 straight to fall out of the SEC East race.  They won't be that excited to be playing Vanderbilt this week.  Vanderbilt nearly upset them last year in a 35-38 loss as 17.5-point road dogs.  This one will be closer than expected too given all the situations in the Commodores' favor.  Take Vanderbilt.

7* SEC Game of the Year on Tennessee +20.5

The Key: Tennessee has the best offense that Georgia has faced this year and should be able to put up enough points to stay within this number.  The Vols also have a better defense than they get credit for yielding only 5.3 YPP and 3.8 YPR.  Their fast tempo will be something that Georgia hasn't seen this season and may not be prepared for.  It is the type of style that can actually find some holes in this amazing Georgia defense.  QB Hendon Hooker has thrown 21 TD against only 2 INT this year with 69.4% completions.  He has also rushed for 457 yards and 4 TD while being one of the most underrated QB's in the nation.  Take Tennessee.

6* Boston College/Georgia Tech ACC *CA$H COW* on Georgia Tech -1.5

The Key: Georgia Tech is coming off 3 straight close losses to Virginia, Virginia Tech and Miami.  The Yellow Jackets will be hungry for a win with Boston College coming to town today.  The Eagles are coming off a huge national TV win over Virginia Tech on Red Bandana night.  This is a letdown spot for the Eagles.  Boston College is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games off an upset win as an underdog.  The Eagles are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games off a conference win.  Take Georgia Tech.

6* Syracuse/Louisville ACC *CA$H COW* on Louisville -3

The Key: Louisville is so much better than its 4-5 record.  The Cardinals outgain teams by 35 YPG and 0.5 YPP this year.  They have played a much tougher schedule than Syracuse has.  The Orange are 5-4 and 8-1 ATS and getting respect now with that ATS mark.  They will fall flat on their faces here and Louisville will be hungry for a win knowing it needs 2 more in its final 3 games to make a bowl.  Louisville is 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups.  The favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 matchups.  Take Louisville.

6* NCAAF Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Connecticut +41

The Key: UConn has gone 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games overall and has been competitive more than expected.  That includes 2-point losses to both Wyoming and Vanderbilt.  I don't know if Clemson can even score 41 points with their offense this year.  They have been held to 30 or fewer points in 8 of their 9 games with the only exception being the 49 against South Carolina State as a 50-point favorite.  They didn't score enough in that game to cover that large number, either.  The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.  The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as underdogs.  Take Connecticut.

7* Wyoming/Boise State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNDER 48.5

The Key: Wyoming and Boise State are two UNDER teams because they run the ball a lot and have good defenses.  Wyoming attempts 42 rushes per game while Boise State attempts 38.  Wyoming yields 21.3 PPG and Boise State 20.9 PPG.  The last 4 matchups between Wyoming and Boise State have seen 26, 37, 48 and 38 combined points.  Take the UNDER.

7* UNC/Pitt ACC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 71.5

The Key: Two of the best offenses in the ACC go at it tonight when North Carolina travels to face Pitt.  The Panthers score 45 PPG and average 541.1 YPG behind an NFL quarterback in Kenny Pickett who has 29 TD and only 3 INT this year.  North Carolina averages 38.9 PPG and 488.8 YPG behind an NFL quarterback in Sam Howell who can beat you with his arms and his legs.  He did just that last week in a 58-55 win over Wake Forest.  And it should be a shootout again tonight against this Pitt squad.  UNC's last 3 games have all seen 78 or more combined points.  6 of Pitt's last 8 games have seen 72 or more combined points.  UNC is 7-0 OVER In its last 7 road games against good passing teams that complete 58% or better. Take the OVER.

6* Toledo/Bowling Green MAC *CA$H COW* on Bowling Green +10.5

The Key: The Bowling Green Falcons have had 2 full weeks to get ready for Toledo.  They are coming off a 56-44 win over Buffalo as 13.5-point dogs on the road 2 weeks ago.  Now they come in with confidence and the fresher team.  Toledo is coming off a 52-49 loss to Eastern Michigan last week that definitely would have taken a lot out of them.  They should not be double-digit road favorites here when you consider they are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last 3 games with their only win coming against Western Michigan in a game they were outgained by 68 yards.  They were upset by Northern Illinois, Central Michigan and Eastern Michigan in their 3 losses.  The Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  Bowling Green is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games as an underdog.  Take Bowling Green.

7* Tuesday MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Akron/Western Michigan OVER 62

The Key: Western Michigan will gets its points against Akron's defense and can pretty much name its number.  The Zips should get their points as well being an improved offense under QB Zach Gibson, who has 72% completions, 8 TD and 0 INT in basically 3 starts this year.  The Zips scored 35 points against Bowling Green, 21 against Miami and 25 against Ball State in his 3 starts.  He threw for 291 against a good Miami defense and 331 against Ball State.  The OVER is 5-1 in Zips last 6 road games.  The OVER is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 home games against a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 Tuesday games.  Take the OVER.

6* Clemson/Louisville ACC *CA$H COW* on Louisville +4.5

The Key: Clemson would be 0-8 ATS this year if not for a defensive TD on the final play of the game last week to turn a 24-20 win over lowly Florida State into a 30-20 win as 9.5-point favorites.  Louisville is much better than Florida State and one of the best teams that Clemson has faced this year.  The Cardinals will get the cover at home Saturday and likely win this game outright.  Louisville has the much better offense.  Clemson would be held to 24 points or fewer in 6 straight games if not for that defensive TD against FSU.  Louisville has put up 434 or more yards in 6 of its last 7 games.  The Cardinals have outgained 5 of their last 7 opponents with the only exceptions behind -19 yards against Virginia and -58 against FSU.  The Tigers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games.  The Cardinals are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games off an ATS loss.  The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points last game.  Take Louisville.

6* Houston/USF AAC *CA$H COW* on South Florida +13.5

The Key: South Florida has played a much tougher schedule than Houston has this year.  The Bulls opened 1-4 with all 4 losses to ranked teams in Florida, BYU, SMU and NC State.  They were competitive ATS in 3 of those 4 games.  The schedule has lightened up and they have played better.  They only lost by 1 to Tulsa s 7-point dogs.  They crushed Temple 34-14 as 1.5-point favorites.  And they lost 29-14 to ECU only because they had 4 turnovers in a game that was closer than the final score.  Houston is coming off a massive last-second win over SMU in which they returned a kickoff for a TD in the final seconds to win 44-37 and hand the Mustangs their first loss of the season.  Now this is an obvious letdown situation for the Cougars.  Houston is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 games off an ATS win.  South Florida is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games off an ATS loss.  Take South Florida.

7* ACC Game of the Year on North Carolina -2.5

The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels have played a much tougher schedule than the Wake Forest Demon Deacons this season and they have had tough luck in close games, while the Demon Deacons have won all their close games.  That's the difference in UNC being 4-4 while Wake is 8-0.  But the Tar Heels will hand the Demon Deacons their first loss of the year this week.  The Tar Heels are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games against a team with a winning record.  The home team has covered 6 of the last 7 matchups in this series.  Take North Carolina.

7* VT/BC NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Boston College +3

The Key: This is Boston College's Red Bandana game that stems back to 9/11 and the heroes.  Look up the story it's pretty good.  The Eagles have been great in this game year after year as it adds to their motivation.  And they won't have any problem being motivated with rival Virginia Tech coming to town for a National TV Friday night game.  I expect them to win this game on the field, but I'll take the 3 points.  The Hokies are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games off 2 straight games where they committed zero turnovers.  The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in 3 straight games.  The Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.  Virginia Tech is 8-25 ATS in its last 33 games as a road favorite.  The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.  Take Boston College.

6* Wednesday MAC *Total* Annihilator on Central Michigan/Western Michigan OVER 66

The Key: These are two balanced offenses in Central Michigan and Western Michigan and it should be a classic MAC shootout tonight.  Central Michigan puts up 449.5 YPG, 288 PYPG and 161.5 RYPG.  Western Michigan averages 432.5 YPG, 249.6 PYPG and 182.9 RYPG.  These teams played in a shootout last year with Western Michigan winning 52-44 for 96 combined points.  We only need them to top 66 to cash this OVER tonight.  The OVER is 7-1 in Chippewas last 8 Wednesday games.  The OVER is 6-0 in Broncos last 6 Wednesday games.  Take the OVER.

7* Tuesday MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio/Miami (Ohio) UNDER 53

The Key: Two poor offensive teams go at it tonight in MACtion when Miami (Ohio) visits Ohio.  Both teams are averaging just 21.1 PPG and I think this total is too high.  8 of the last 11 matchups between these teams have resulted in 47 or fewer combined points.  The Redhawks are 8-1 UNDER in their last 9 MAC road games.  The UNDER is 9-1 in Redhawks last 10 games off a conference win.  The UNDER is 9-0 in Redhawks last 9 games off an ATS win.  The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 matchups.  The UNDER is 5-0 in Bobcats last 5 games overall.  Take the UNDER.

7* Big 12 Game of the Year on Kansas +30.5

The Key: Oklahoma State hasn't won a game by more than 11 points this season.  They may win this game by more than 11, but it's not going to be by 31-plus.  Kansas nearly upset Oklahoma last week and is getting better under their first-year head coach.  They will keep battling and keep this game competitive for 4 quarters.  The Cowboys are in a hangover situation after suffering their 1st loss of the season last week against Iowa State.  Take Kansas.

6* Arkansas State/South Alabama Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Arkansas State +9

The Key: Arkansas State gets a few extra days to prepare after a 27-28 loss as 18-point dogs to Louisiana on Thursday last week.  They are hungry for that first conference victory and will have a good chance of getting it today against South Alabama.  The Jaguars are 4-3 this year but their wins have come against Southern Miss, Georgia Southern, Bowling Green (by 3) and Alcorn State (by 7).  They tend to play in close games and it is hard to see them winning by double-digits today.  Three of the last 4 matchups in this series were decided by one score.  Take Arkansas State.

6* Texas Tech/Oklahoma Big 12 *CA$H COW* on OVER 66

The Key: This is 2 great offenses against 2 bad defenses and should result in yet another shootout in this rivalry between Texas Tech and Oklahoma.  The Sooners are putting up 41.8 PPG and the Red Raiders are scoring 34.3 PPG.  Texas Tech gives up 30.6 PPG and Oklahoma yields 24.6 PPG.  Texas Tech and Oklahoma have combined for at least 68 points in 8 straight matchups, which is an 8-0 angle backing the OVER with this 66-point total.  The last 8 have seen 90, 71, 97, 76, 125, 90, 72 and 68 combined points, respectively.  Take the OVER.

6* Saturday NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on FIU/Marshall OVER 64

The Key: Marshall is a great OVER team because they play at a fast tempo averaging 76 plays per game.  Their offense puts up 36.9 PPG and 510 YPG.  They'll be able to name their number against a FIU defense that yields 40.8 PPG and 521.8 YPG.  This FIU offense has scored at least 21 in 4 of their last 5 and should get to at least that number today to help aid the OVER.  FIU is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 Saturday road games.  FIU is 6-0 OVER in its last 6 road games off a loss.  The OVER is 5-2 in the last 7 matchups.  Take the OVER.

6* Michigan/Michigan State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on UNDER 51

The Key: Michigan and Michigan State are bitter rivals and familiar with each other.  That familiarity should lead to a low-scoring game in this rivalry Saturday.  Michigan has one of the best defenses in the nation.  The Wolverines yield just 14.3 PPG and 299.1 YPG.  They are good against the run allowing 117 YPG and 3.6 YPG.  Michigan State also has a good defense that yields 18.7 PPG.  Bets on the UNDER when the total is 49.5 to 56 in a game between two good rushing teams that outrush their opponents by 50 YPG or more after 7-plus games are 40-8 over the last 5 years.  Take the UNDER.

7* Navy/Tulsa NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNDER 46.5

The Key: Tulsa has had the last 2 weeks off to prepare to face Navy's triple-option.  It is one of the weakest offenses in recent memory for Navy, and the Golden Hurricane should shut it down.  The Midshipmen average just 17.9. PPG and 280.3 YPG this year.  They do have a good defense and shorten games with their offense.  They give up 356 YPG on defense.  Tulsa has an above average defense and is good at stopping the run, giving up 3.8 YPC this year.  Take the UNDER.

6* USF/ECU American Athletic *CA$H COW* on South Florida +10

The Key: South Florida played 4 Top 25 teams in their first 5 games and didn't fare well, which is understandable.  They have since gone 1-1 SU & 2-0 ATS and should have beaten Tulsa, but lost 31-32 as 7-point dogs.  They came back with their best performance of the season last week in a 34-14 win over a Temple team that was in a good spot coming off their bye.  South Florida had 526 total yards and outgained Temple by 295 yards.  East Carolina is 3-4 and cannot be trusted as a double-digit favorite.  The Pirates are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as favorites, including 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as home favorites.  The Bulls are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 matchups, including 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups at ECU.  The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  Take South Florida.

6* West Virginia/TCU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on UNDER 57.5

The Key: West Virginia is a great UNDER team as they have a great defense and a terrible offense.  They are 4-1 UNDER in their 5 games this year.  Their offense is averaging just 20.8 PPG.  Their defense has done great against the competition they have faced, holding opponents to 0.7 YPP below their season averages.  TCU has played a bunch of shootouts lately against great offenses as their last 4 games have come against SMU, Texas, Texas Tech and Oklahoma.  So this total is inflated due to the high scoring games they have played recently.  This head-to-head matchup has been low scoring in recent years.  WVU and TCU have combined for 30, 37, 57, 55, 54, and 50 points in the last 6 matchups, respectively.  The UNDER is 6-1 in the last 7 matchups.  The UNDER is 10-1 in Mountaineers last 11 games as an underdog.  Take the UNDER.

6* NC State/Miami ACC *CA$H COW* on NC State -3.5

The Key: NC State is one of the best teams in the nation at 5-1 this year.  Their only loss came on the road against SEC foe Mississippi State.  They eat Clemson and are coming off a 33-7 win at Boston College last week following their bye.  So they should still be fresh here.  Miami's season is lost at 2-4 and I wouldn't be surprised to see them pack it in.  Especially coming off 2 straight gut wrenching losses to Virginia by 2 and UNC by 3.  Losing QB D'Eriq King really hurts them.  They have 16 players on the injury report while NC State only has 3.  The Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after playing their last game on the road.  NC State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 against a team with a losing record.  The Hurricanes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record.  Miami is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 home games.  Take NC State.

6* San Diego State/Air Force MWC *CA$H COW* on San Diego State +3

The Key: San Diego State is 6-0 this year and looks to improve to 7-0 with a win against Air Force on Saturday.  The Aztecs have one extra day to get ready after playing last Friday.  I like the matchup for the Aztecs as the Falcons can basically only run the ball, averaging 336 yards per game on the ground.  San Diego State only gives up 61 RYPG and 2.1 YPC.  They are the best team in the country against the run.  It's no surprise San Diego State is 8-0 SU in its last 8 matchups with Air Force.  The Aztecs are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 matchups.  Take San Diego State.

7* Oregon/UCLA Pac-12 *HEAVY HITTER* on UCLA -1

The Key: The Oregon Ducks have been getting too much love since winning at Ohio State.  They have lost to Stanford, nearly lost to Cal and played terribly against Arizona in their last 3 games while going 0-3 ATS.  UCLA is the more legit of these 2 teams and is a field goal away from being 6-1 this year.  They want to avenge their 35-38 road loss at Oregon last year and I expect them to.  The Ducks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games off a win.  Take UCLA.

6* Wisconsin/Purdue Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Purdue +3.5

The Key: There was nothing fluky at all about Purdue's 24-7 win at Iowa.  The Boilermakers had 464 total yards against an elite Iowa defense.  They held the Hawkeyes to 271 yards and forced 4 turnovers.  Now they are home dogs against a worse Wisconsin team.  I like the price and I like the fact that Purdue had a bye 2 weeks ago and should still be fresh.  They only have one Big Ten loss and feel like a contender in the West.  Wisconsin is 3-3 this year with its 3 wins coming against Eastern Michigan, Illinois and Army.  They barely survived a physical 20-14 home win over Army last week and have been a huge disappointment with 3 losses already.  The Badgers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 against a team with a winning record.  The Boilermakers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games as a dog.  Take Purdue.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Colorado State -2.5

The Key: Colorado State is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games overall.  The only loss came by 10 points at Iowa when they had the Hawkeyes on the ropes as 24-point dogs.  They won by 16 at Toledo as 14.5-point dogs.  They won by 18 over San Jose State as 3.5-point favorites.  They won by 29 at New Mexico as 13-point favorites.  Utah State is 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games overall with its only win coming by 4 points against a very bad UNLV team.  They also lost by 14 to BYU and by 24 to Boise State, both at home.  The Aggies are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as home underdogs.  Take Colorado State.

7* Sun Belt Game of the Month on Arkansas State +18

The Key: Game report coming soon.

6* Coastal Carolina/App State NCAAF *CA$H COW* on OVER 60.5

The Key: Two great offensive teams go at it Wednesday night in this Sun Belt showdown.  Coastal Carolina is putting up 48.8 PPG and 552.3 YPG against a soft schedule, but it has been impressive nonetheless.  App State is putting up 31.5 PPG and 436.3 YPG against a much tougher schedule, equally impressive.  But this App State defense has taken a step back this year and that was evident when they yielded 41 points and 455 yards to Louisiana-Lafayette last week.  The OVER is 6-0 in Mountaineers last 6 games off an ATS loss.  Take the OVER.

6* Saturday NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on Texas Tech/Kansas OVER 68

The Key: Texas Tech has been a great OVER bet.  They are 3-1 OVER in their last 4 games overall while combining for 75 points with FIU, 105 points with Texas and 83 points with TCU.  They should combine for 68-plus with Kansas here.  This is a terrible Kansas defense that has yielded 45 or more points in all 4 games against FBS competition.  Texas Tech will get to 45, which means Kansas would just need 23-plus here.  The Jayhawks have actually been decent on offense in averaging 5.1 YPPG against teams that give up only 4.7 YPP.  Their schedule of opposing defenses has been brutal, which is why the PPG is down.  But Texas Tech does not have a good defense as they yield 34.3 PPG, so the Jayhawks should have one of their best offensive performances of the year.  Kansas is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games as an underdog.  The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 matchups in Kansas.  Take the OVER.

6* Kent State/Western Michigan MAC *CA$H COW* on Kent State +7

The Key: Kent State is one of the better teams in the MAC.  The 3-3 start has them lacking the respect they deserve from oddsmakers.  The 3 losses have come to Texas A&M, Iowa and Maryland all on the road.  They have handled their business in the other 3 games with 3 wins by a combined 67 points.  They will be able to hang with Western Michigan, which is coming off a 20-45 home loss to Ball State.  The Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games off a double-digit home loss.  The Golden Flashes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games.  Take Kent State.

6* Kentucky/Georgia SEC *CA$H COW* on UNDER 45

The Key: Two of the best defenses in the country square off Saturday when Kentucky visits Georgia.  The Bulldogs have the best defense in the nation yielding only 5.5 PPG, 203.5 YPG and 3.6 YPP.  The Wildcats yield 17.5 PPG, 305 YPG and 4.6 YPP.  Kentucky has a terrible offense against this year.  They may get shut out here.  It's no surprise recent matchups in this series have been extremely low scoring.  Georgia won 14-3 last year and 21-0 in 2019.  So Kentucky has only managed 3 points total in 2 matchups with them the last 2 years.  Kentucky is 9-1 UNDER in its last 9 road games against teams that average 32 possession minutes and 21 first downs per game.  The Wildcats are 10-1 UNDER in their last 11 road games against elite run defenses that yield 2.75 YPC or less.  Take the UNDER.

7* MAC Game of the Month on Ball State -1

The Key: After a rough start to the season, the Ball State Cardinals are back to looking like the team that won the MAC last season.  They are coming off a 12-point win over Army as a 10.5-point dog and a 25-point win at Western Michigan as a 12.5-point dog.  Now they basically are a pick 'em against Eastern Michigan, a team that isn't nearly on those other two teams' levels.  Eastern Michigan is 4-2 but the wins have come against 4 of the worst teams in the nation.  They are in over their head here against the defending champs.  Ball State is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 against a team with a winning record.  The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games off an upset win as a dog.  Take Ball State.

6* Rutgers/Northwestern Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +2

The Key: The situation is a great one for the Northwestern Wildcats.  They are coming off their bye week and hungry to get their first Big Ten victory here against Rutgers.  I like their chances because Rutgers is tired.  The Scarlet Knights will be playing their 7th straight week.  They are coming off 3 straight grueling games against Michigan, Ohio State and Michigan State.  They won't have much gas left in the tank for Northwestern.  Rutgers is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games against bad pass defenses that allow 62% completions or higher.  The Scarlet Knights are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing 6.25 YPP or more last game.  The Wildcats are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 575 or more yards last game.  Take Northwestern.

7* California/Oregon NCAAF Friday Night Lights on California +14

The Key: The Oregon Ducks just had their dreams of making the college football playoff crushed with a 24-31 loss to Stanford last game.  The game prior was a misleading 41-19 win over an 0-5 Arizona team.  They were outgained by 42 yards by the Wildcats but were +5 in turnovers.  This Oregon team continues to get too much respect for its upset win at Ohio State.  Oregon just lost leading rusher C.J. Verdell and his 397 yards and 5 TD to a season-ending injury, too.  California always seems to play Oregon tough.  The Bears are 1-1 SU & 2-0 ATS in the last 2 matchups the last 2 seasons.  They won outright 21-17 as 9-point home dogs last year.  The only lost 7-17 as 21.5-point road dogs in 2019.  They have the defense to keep them in this game for 4 quarters.  They need their offense to play like it did at Washington 2 games back when they had 457 yards against a very good Huskies defense in an OT loss.  The Golden Bears are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as road underdogs.  The Ducks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites.  Take California.

7* Georgia Southern/South Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on UNDER 51

The Key: Two teams that love to run the football and are both good against the run square off in this Sun Belt showdown Thursday night.  The clock will be moving constantly to help aid in cashing this UNDER.  Georgia Southern averages 47 rushing attempts per game and only 23 passing.  South Alabama averages 40 rushing attempts per game and only 30 passing.  Georgia Southern is holding opponents to 150 RYPG, while South Alabama is holding foes to 121 RYPG.  The UNDER is 2-0 in the 2 matchups between these teams the last 2 years with 41 and 37 combined points scored.  The UNDER is 18-7-1 in Jaguars last 26 games overall.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 home games.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Jaguars last 9 games on grass.  We've seen 51 or fewer combined points in 7 of the 11 games played between these teams this year.  Take the UNDER.

6* App State/Louisiana Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Louisiana +5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Louisiana as a home underdog to Appalachian State tonight.  The money has poured in on the Mountaineers as they have been bet up from -1 to -5.  It's now time to take the points with the Rajin' Cajuns.  They certainly don't have as good of numbers as the Mountaineers this year, but they have kind of been going through the motions against some mediocre teams.  I know we'll get the Rajin' Cajuns 'A' game tonight, and it will be good enough to cover this 5-point spread.  The Mountaineers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after yielding fewer than 20 points in their previous game.  The Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record.  Appalachian State is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games as a favorite.  The Rajin' Cajuns are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as underdogs.  Take Louisiana.

6* Memphis/Tulsa AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulsa -3

The Key: Tulsa will put its best foot forward Saturday with its season on the line after a 1-4 start.  The Golden Hurricane deserve better as they had both Oklahoma State and Ohio State on the ropes late in the 4th quarter on the road.  Those 2 efforts showed their potential.  And that potential will be unleashed here against a down Memphis team that is coming off 2 straight upset losses to UTSA and Temple.  The Golden Hurricane are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a game where they forced one or fewer turnovers.  The Tigers are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as road underdogs.  Tulsa is 22-8 ATS in its last 30 against a team with a winning record.  The Golden Hurricane are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games off an ATS loss.  Take Tulsa.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Month on Utah +3

The Key: The Utah Utes are coming off their bye week and have had time to put the distractions and the poor start behind them.  Look for them to put their best foot forward against USC Saturday.  Utah is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games off a conference win.  The Utes are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games as road dogs.  Utah is 46-22-2 ATS in its last 70 games as a dog.  The Utes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 October games.  Take Utah.

6* UTSA/WKU Conference USA *CA$H COW* on Western Kentucky -3

The Key: Western Kentucky has gone through the gauntlet the last 3 weeks with competitive losses to Army by 3, Indiana by 2 and Michigan State by 17.  This is actually a step down in class despite the fact that UTSA is 5-0.  The Roadrunners are 5-0 against a very weak schedule.  Western Kentucky will test them with a high-octane offense that averages 39 PPG and 521 YPG despite the tough schedule of opposing defenses.  WKU averages 7.6 YPP while UTSA only averages 5.5 YPP on offense.  UTSA does have the better defense at 4.9 YPP compared to 5.8 YPP for WKU, but when you factor in schedule of opposing offenses faced it's actually pretty close.  The 1-3 team is favored over the 5-0 team for good reason in this matchup.  Take Western Kentucky.

6* West Virginia/Baylor Big 12 *CA$H COW* on West Virginia +3

The Key: Baylor is 4-1 but should have lost to Ohio State.  West Virginia is 1-3 but could easily be 5-0 with 3 losses by 6 to Maryland, by 3 to Oklahoma and by 3 to Texas Tech.  Because of this fact, we are getting the Mountaineers at a nice underdog price here despite the fact that they are the better team.  This is a circle the wagons game for the Mountaineers with their season on the line.  Bets against home favorites like Baylor after scoring 14 points or less last game against an opponent that scored 3 points or less in the first half last game are 37-11 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take West Virginia.

6* Michigan State/Rutgers Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Rutgers +5.5

The Key: I like the spot for Rutgers.  They just played 2 of the best teams in the Big Ten in Ohio State and Michigan.  This is a step down in class against Michigan State despite the Spartans being 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS.  They have done it against a weak schedule and are clearly getting too much respect from the books now after the unbeaten start and #11 national ranking.  Rutgers has played the toughest schedule and is only giving up 21.2 PPG and 319 YPG.  They are holding opponents to 82 YPG below their season averages.  Michigan State gives up 429 YPG, allowing 110 YPG more than Rutgers.  So the Scarlet Knights make up for their worse offense than Michigan State with the much better defense.  This line should be closer to PK.  So the price is right to back the Scarlet Knights +5.5 at home.  The Scarlet Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after playing their last game at home.  Rutgers is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games off an ATS loss.  Take Rutgers.

7* Stanford/Arizona State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Stanford +13.5

The Key: The Arizona State Sun Devils are starting to get too much love after 2 straight blowout wins over Colorado and UCLA.  They are being asked to win this game by at least 14 points and it's too much.  Stanford has been underrated all season.  They have upset wins over both USC and Oregon, which were expected to be the 2 best teams in the Pac-12 coming into the year.  So they have proven what they are capable of.  And they are more than capable of going on the road and hanging with Arizona State and possibly pulling the upset.  The Cardinal are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.  The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning record.  The Sun Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as home favorites.  Take Stanford.

6* Coastal Carolina/Arkansas State NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 73

The Key: Coastal Carolina puts up 48.2 PPG this year and can name their number against an Arkansas State defense that gives up 45.6 PPG and 563.8 YPG.  The Chanticleers won't take their foot off the gas because this is a National TV standalone game.  Arkansas State is capable of keeping up as they average 32.0 PPG this year and 72 plays per game.  They play at one of the fasted paces in the country.  The OVER is 20-9 in Chanticleers last 29 road games.  The OVER is 8-2 in Chanticleers last 10 games against a team with a losing record.  Take the OVER.

7* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Year on Louisiana Tech +19

The Key: The LA Tech Bulldogs are close to being 4-0 despite a brutal schedule.  Their 2 losses are to Mississippi State and SMU by a combined 3 points.  And they had both of them on the ropes with late leads in the 4th quarter.  This couldn't be a worst situation for NC State.  They are feeling fat and happy off their win over Clemson last week.  They won't give the Bulldogs their full attention this week.  The Wolfpack are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games against good passing teams that average 8 YPA or more.  Take Louisiana Tech.

6* Oregon/Stanford Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Stanford +8

The Key: The Oregon Ducks are 4-0 this season and getting too much respect from the books because of it.  Their 41-19 win over Arizona last week was very misleading.  They were +5 in turnovers and didn't pull away until late.  They were outgained by 42 yards by the awful Wildcats.  Stanford has shown me enough the last 3 weeks to know they can hang here.  The Cardinal pulled the 42-28 upset at USC, then went on the road and won 41-23 at Vanderbilt.  They did lose by 11 at home to UCLA, but I like the fact that they are home again here for a 2nd straight week.  They were a tired team from all the travel going into that UCLA game.  The Ducks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as favorites.  Take Stanford.

6* Nevada/Boise State MWC *CA$H COW* on Nevada +5

The Key: Nevada has 2 full weeks to get ready for Boise State.  The Wolf Pack are a serious contender in the Mountain West and will prove that Saturday.  Boise State's numbers have not been good this season.  They are 2-2 and getting outgained by nearly 50 YPG.  Their 27-3 win over Utah State last week was very misleading as Utah State managed just 3 points despite 435 yards.  The Wolf Pack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as dogs.  Nevada is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games off an ATS loss.  The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off a win.  Take Nevada.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Iowa -3

The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes are 4-0 this season behind an elite defense that is one of the best in the country.  And defense clearly travels, so I like Iowa to cover this short 3-point spread on the road at Maryland tonight.  The Hawkeyes are giving up just 11.0 PPG and 271.5 YPG while forcing 9 turnovers in 4 games.  These teams have a common opponent in Kent State.  Iowa only gave up 264 yards to Kent State.  Maryland allowed 458 yards to the Golden Flashes.  While Iowa has already played two Top 25 teams in Indiana and Iowa State, Maryland has feasted on a weak schedule during its 4-0 start.  The Hawkeyes are more battle-tested and will get the job done here.  The Hawkeyes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as road favorites.  The Terrapins are 9-27 ATS in their last 36 games off a win.  Maryland is 7-20 ATS in its last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Iowa.

6* Indiana/Western Kentucky NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Western Kentucky +9.5

The Key: Indiana remains overrated with a 28-point loss at Iowa and a 14-point home loss to Cincinnati.  Western Kentucky is underrated, nearly upsetting Army in their last game.  And the Hilltoppers now have a bye week to get ready for the Hoosiers, who will be reeling from that Cincinnati loss last week.  Senior QB Bailey Zappe has already thrown for 859 yards and 10 touchdowns in 2 games for the Hilltoppers.  Take Western Kentucky.

6* Akron/Ohio State NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Akron +49.5

The Key: The Akron Zips face a poor Ohio State defense that is allowing 471 YPG this year.  QB Demarcus Irons had a huge game last week accounting for 432 total yards and 4 touchdowns as a dual-threat.  The Buckeyes will be without their starting QB in CJ Stroud for this game.  Underdogs of at least 49 points in a matchup of 2 FBS teams are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 tries dating back to 1996.  Take Akron.

7* SEC Game of the Month on South Carolina +5.5

The Key: The South Carolina Gamecocks are underrated this season.  They are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS and just played Georgia last week in a cover.  Now they get to host Kentucky, which will be playing its first road game of the year.  The Wildcats weren't impressive in their 7-point home win over Missouri or their 5-point home win as a 31-point favorite against UT-Chattanooga last week.  They barely escaped with victory over that bad FCS team, and they shouldn't be road favorites here against the Gamecocks.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups.  Take South Carolina.

6* Saturday NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on Tennessee/Florida OVER 63

The Key: Josh Heupel brought his up-tempo offense from UCF with him to Tennessee.  Dan Mullen is also an up-tempo guy.  This game has offensive fireworks written all over it.  Florida has put up 35 points on FAU, 42 against USF and 29 against Alabama while averaging 74 plays per game and 553 YPG.  Tennessee is scoring 42.7 PPG this season and running 78 plays per game.  The OVER is 6-0 in Gators last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the OVER.

6* UCLA/Stanford Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Stanford +5

The Key: The Stanford Cardinal backed up their 42-28 upset win as 17-point dogs at USC with a 41-23 road win as 12.5-point favorites at Vanderbilt in a tricky spot last week.  Inserting Tanner McKee into the starting QB role against USC has made all the difference for this team.  He is completing 71.4% of his passes for 570 yards with 5 TD's and zero INT's.  Stanford is 12-1 SU & 10-2-1 ATS in its last 13 matchups with UCLA.  Take Stanford.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNLV +30.5

The Key: The Fresno State Bulldogs are in the ultimate letdown spot tonight.  They just upset UCLA late Saturday night in a 40-37 win as 10.5-point dogs.  That was one of the most exciting, back-and-forth games of the season.  QB Jake Haener played through an injury and just kept coming in one of the most remarkable games you will ever see by a quarterback.  He had to basically be carried off the field and cannot be 100%.  Look for the Bulldogs to be cautious with him.  They just won't be able to get up for UNLV.  This is actually a step down in competition for UNLV after facing Arizona State and Iowa State the last 2 weeks.  The Rebels are expected to get back QB Doug Brumfield after he missed the last 2 games with injury.  He played well in the opener against Eastern Washington with 117 passing yards and 9.0 YPA as well as 27 rushing yards and a score.  The Rebels only lost that game 33-35 (OT) as 2.5-point dogs against one of the best teams in FCS.  Fresno State has only won one of its last 10 matchups with the Rebels by more than 29 points.  Take UNLV.

7* Marshall/App State NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 59

The Key: Marshall is a dead nuts OVER team this year.  They average 43.7 PPG and 603.7 YPG on offense and run 80 plays per game.  Appalachian State's offense will have no problem keeping up with them as they average 33.3 PPG and 446.3 YPG along with 68 plays per game.  Marshall just scored 80 combined points with East Carolina last game and gave up 553 yards to a mediocre Pirates offense.  The OVER is 21-5 in Thundering Herd last 26 non-conference games.  The OVER is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 September games.  Take the OVER.

6* Oklahoma State/Boise State NCAAF *BAILOUT* on Boise State -3

The Key: Oklahoma State is fortunate to be 2-0 SU despite being a 38-point favorite in a 23-16 win over Missouri State and a 10.5-point favorite in a 28-23 win over Tulsa.  They needed 21 points in the 4th quarter to beat Tulsa.  This team just isn't very good, and they have all kinds of injury problems on offense at receiver and along the offensive line.  Even QB Spencer Sanders is playing through injury and cannot be trusted in a hostile road environment here at Boise State to not turn the ball over.  Boise only lost 31-36 at UCF before crushing UTEP 54-13 last Friday.  Now they have had an extra day to get ready for this game against the Cowboys and will be amped up with a Big 12 team coming to the Blue Turf.  The Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  The Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as home favorites.  Take Boise State.