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NFL : Cowboys vs. Redskins
final | SIDE | O/U | SCORE |
---|---|---|---|
Cowboys | 2.0 | 42.00 | 17 |
Redskins | -2.0 | 20 |
Free Picks
Jack Jones
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Washington Redskins -1.5Â
I usually like going against teams who are coming off a blowout win the previous week.  They are almost always overvalued the next week, and I think that’s the case here with the Dallas Cowboys.  This line should be Washington -3, and instead it’s Washington -1.5.  We’re getting some value here with the Redskins.Â
The Cowboys are coming off a 40-7 blowout victory over the Jaguars at home. Â They improved to 3-0 at home this season. Â Big deal. Â The Cowboys are 0-3 on the road this season, and they have been dominated for the most part, especially statistically.Â
The Cowboys are scoring just 12.3 points per game on the road this season.  They are getting outscored by 7.4 points per game and outgained by 74 yards per game.  And their three losses have come to the Panthers, Seahawks and Texans, so it’s not like they are playing world beaters away from home.Â
The Redskins are one of the most underrated teams in the NFL this season. Â They are 3-2 right now and sit atop the NFC East. Â They already head their bye week so they are fresher than most teams. Â And they have played very well at home this season.Â
Indeed, the Redskins are 2-1 at home this year. Â They have wins over the Packers 31-17 and the Panthers 23-17 who I believe are both better than the Cowboys. Â And their only loss came 9-21 to the Colts and it was very fluky. Â The Redskins outgained the Colts by 53 yards in that contest. Â They are outgaining opponents by 18 yards per game this season, so there is nothing fluky about their 3-2 start.Â
I think a big key here is that Washington’s defense is better than it gets credit for, and it is certainly good at stopping the run.  The Redskins give up just 90 rushing yards per game this season.  And the Cowboys only average 172 passing yards per game.  The Cowboys are a one-dimensional offense with their running game, and the Redskins have the players to stop it.  The Cowboys will have their passing game hampered even more this week with two key receivers in Tavon Austin and Terrance Williams expected to sit out.Â
Dallas is 7-23 ATS in its last 30 road games after allowing 9 points or less in its previous game. Â The Cowboys are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. Â The Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Â Bet the Redskins Sunday.
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For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.