Cappers Sports Picks

The Avs has not been consistent for a while, and despite of being off a win last time out by a 7-1 count vs LAK have shown an inability to keep momentum going as they are 0-7 L/7 after a victory and  COLORADO is 1-8 ATS after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game this season.  Nashville, despite a bumpy run of late, match up exceptionally vs their hosts the Avalanche and have a recent history of doing well here in the Mile High City as is evident by winning 9 of their L/10 visits to Denver.  The Preds also have the ability to slow down the Avs key to success the line Rantanen , Gabriel Landeskog and Nathan MacKinnon . Teams that can slow this trio down can beat Colorado more often than not and that what Im betting the Preds do here today.

Avalanche are 3-10 in their last 13 overallRoad team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Nashville to win on the moneyline 

My projected Totals estimate for this game, is closer to 215 thus according to those projections we have value with an under wager here. 

Utah is well rested and will be ready to play a free flowing Portland team physically here today in an effort to slow their offensive efficiency. The Jazz have held 4 of their L/6 opponents to 99 points or under, and are currently playing the kind of D we have come to expect from this hardcore blue collar group behind the 3rd ranked ppg allowed and 3rd best defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Portland owns the 18th rank pace, and when they are not allowed to flow and connect are a team that can falter, as was the case here in Utah when they visited here back in December scoring just 96 points which followed up scoring just 90 points against the Jazz at home a couple days earlier. Im betting on a repeat type of combined score here tonight in Salt Lake City.

UTAH is 14-6 UNDER  after playing a home game this season with a combined average of 205.7 ppg scored.UTAH is 15-5 UNDER  in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 season

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH/PORTLAND) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%), in January are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 206.2 ppg scored.

Play on the UNDER 

The struggling Orlando Magic, visit the up trending Atlanta Hawks in a holiday matinee Monday afternoon in a tilt that Im betting favors the home team.Atlanta is currently  in 12th place in the East, one spot behind Orlando, but has been the better of the two of late, going 8-8 SU in its last 16 games. 

ORLANDO is 18-31 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Atlanta is 3-1 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46%or less  on the season, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%  or better of their shots are just 32-86 L5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 32-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Monday's showdown features the top two scoring offenses in the league with Creighton averaging 83.5 ppg with the Hoyas right behind with 82.8 ppg. Georgetown continues to be the top rebounding squad in the BIG EAST with 40.6 rpg and also leads the conference in assists with 17.5 apg and Im betting that their ferocity under the glass and ability to spread the ball around will be the difference maker for a home team win in this spot for Georgetown.

The Hoyas behind a revenge factor are my choice tonight vs a Bluejays program that won both contests last season and have won three-straight in the series which activates a personal 17-2 ATS triple revenge angle that I have used over the L/7 seasons. 

Note: Creighton has lost four-straight BIG EAST games following a league-opening victory over Providence and have not traveled well vs power 5 teams losing 4 of their L/5 with Providence being the exception. 

CREIGHTON is 2-11 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 season.CREIGHTON is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.s 3-11 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Georgetown to cover

 West Virginia is off a huge win vs Kansas this past Saturday and are now in a huge letdown situation. With  Baylor  out looking for revenge for  a 13-point loss in the first round of the Big 12 tourney last season which was their 3rd loss in this series last season, I now expected the Bears to be bad news for  Huggins and company. Before West Virginias last game they did not look like contenders and are down a notch this season talent wise, so its not like Im calling for a miracle here or anything today by backing a highly cmpetetive  Baylor team that is 6-0-1 ATS L/7 overall.W VIRGINIA is 13-25 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Baylor is 12-3 ATS under head coach Scott Drew when not favored by more than 6 points against sub .500 opponents.BAYLOR is 10-2 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 season

Play on Baylor to cover