Cappers Sports Picks

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Two weeks ago, Kentucky lost to top-ranked Kansas in a tight game in the Champions Classic. Now, the Cats take on their second Top 10 foe of the season when eighth-ranked Miami visits Rupp Arena on Tuesday night in the SEC/ACC Challenge and this time they are now better prepared and organized. Kentucky has now scored at least 81 points in each of its first six games and will have no problems dealing with Florida States balanced attack. 

Kentucky to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UAB is 17-6 ATS L/23 in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots  

UAB to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (W CAROLINA) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games are 8-31 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Tennessee Tech to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-8 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Stoudamire is 10-2 ATS  in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) in all games he has coached since 1997

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GEORGIA TECH) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Georgia Tech to cover

Minnesota has won 12 of its first 16 games to jump to the top of the conference standings. That includes a 2-1 record in West Group C of the in-season tournament. The Wolves have played their best hoops at home this season winning 7 of 8 games, with the average ppg diff at more than 13 points. I know Oklahoma State has played well, also but my matchup power ranking suggest the Wolves are the superior side by 5+ points as hosts.

The Wolves rank 3rd in the NBA in SRS with 7.70 mark while the Thunder are ranked 4th with a 7.69 mark. When taking into consideration the home court edge where the Wolves are almost always in top form we have a line as mentioned above that should be closer to 5, thus giving us value laying lumber here with the home fav. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

MINNESOTA is 10-0 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.

NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 3-31 L/5 seasons for. a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff registering at +11 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on Minnesota to cover

Houston has struggled with explosive offensive sides like Dallas recently especially on the road where they are here tonight. Advantage Dallas.HOUSTON is 1-12 ATS ) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. I know Houston has been an ATM machine for their backs of late, but now the market has adjusted and laying under 5 at home with the Mavericks according to my projections is viable investment option. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Tuesday nights are 4-38 L/5 seasons for a 90% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (DALLAS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 47-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover

Atlanta can run and gun with anyone in the NBA and despite of tnheir defensive failures recently are side that must be respected getting points especially the way their star Trae Young is shooting the ball.Young's most recent top teir  offensive effort  came on Sunday in a 113-103 loss to the Celtics, when he connected on a  team-high 33 points and added seven assists in the second game of a back-to-back.Meanwhile, the market was slow to catchup with Cleveland as this season began , but now they have caught up and are starting to over adjust giving us value with this underdog selection. Advantage Atlanta. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 5-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

 .Atlanta has won five of seven games over Cleveland, dating to the beginning of the 2021-22 season.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover

This is an important tournament game between division rivals , and Im betting it will be a hard fought physical affair that keeps this combined score to the low side of the offered total. 

SACRAMENTO is 25-14 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored. 

GOLDEN STATE L/33 vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 229.8 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 41-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 63-30 L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 229.9 ppg. 

Play under

The Islanders are down two key defenseman ( Aho and Pelech) and are just not flowing with this aging lineup. Somethings not right, and it seems to be getting worse. Against a sometimes explosive NJ Devils line up I just don't believe  they have the fire power to keep up here . The Isles are also on tired legs as they play their 3rd in 5 nights. Note: NY ISLANDERS are 2-8 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season. I know the Devils have not looked great of late, but they did notch a 7-2 win vs Columbus last time out and have momentum on their sides, 

Play on the Devils -1.5 on the puckline