Cappers Sports Picks

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

NEW MEXICO is 6-0 OVER  in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 165.5 ppg.  NEW MEXICO is 9-1 OVER  after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite since 199 with a combined average of 145.3 ppg. scored.

NEW MEXICO is 9-1 OVER  after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite since 1997 with a combined average of 140.1 ppg.  

CBB Road teams against the total (NEW MEXICO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a non-conference game between two teams from second tier division 1-A conferences are 25-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored. 

Play over

The Knicks took down the Pistons, last night  but now on tired legs  as they now play back-to-back set  vs the  Milwaukee Bucks . This wont  be  as easy a task as playing a short handed squad yesterday. . The /bucks are currently in top form and off strong wins vs the Cavaliers and Mavericks and Im betting the magick of 3 is in play tonight. 

NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS   in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 5-21 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 5-17 ATS   in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 2-11 ATS  in home games in November games as the coach of NEW YORK.

MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS  in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game are 6-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to win/cover

My owns projections estimate a combined score of 227 plus points , which gives us value on this offering .Utah averages  116.7 (4th of 30) while allowing  115.5 (22nd of 30).  Meanwhile, the Clippers are essentially on the other side of the spectrum offensively and defensively, but as they showed us last night are reving up offensively and off a 118 output while allowing 112 points in a victory vs the Blazers. On tired legs tonight the Clippers in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City wont have the energy needed to play strong D, and this Im betting helps this combined score eclipse this offering. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Clippers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better  of their shots are 31-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored.

NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 22-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. 

Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Utah.

Play OVER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

St.Josephs have lost two straight by DDs, while Penn has won 4 straight and the last 3 by DDs. Im betting on both these trends continuing here today and are chosen side to cover.

PENNSYLVANIA is 9-1 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. PENNSYLVANIA is 6-0 ATS in home games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

CBB road team vs. the money line (ST JOSEPHS) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted

 Sharks goaltender Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 28 shots in Montreal to earn his third career shutout last time out but Im betting he wont be as lucky or good here tonight.  Kahkonen has a 3-5-2 record with an .884 save percentage. The Sharks won for just the second time in their past seven games (2-4-1) and are at a disadvantage in this road game vs a Leafs side that has won 4 straight games and 5 of their L/6 overall. 

TORONTO is 23-4 ATS  in home games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons with the average gpg clicking at +1.7. 

NHL home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (TORONTO) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 26-0 L/5 seasons for a 100% conversion rate with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.3. 

Play on Toronto -1.5 to win