Cappers Sports Picks

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Washington Capitals,   arrive in South Florida on a three-game win streak and Im betting matchup well here vs a Florida side that just lost their first home game of the season last time out against the Seattle Kraken who they probably overlooked. Bouncing back here wont come easy vs a side that is 9-1-1 L/11 and send  goalie Ilya Samsonov between the pipes tonight. The Russian stopper is   is 9-0-1 this season and gets my support here tonight. 

WASHINGTON is 13-0 ATS n road games against inconsistent defensive teams - 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17%  or more pp over the last 2 seasons.Capitals are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Capitals are 107-45 in their last 152 vs. Atlantic.

Play on Washington to win ( Late Steam)

Detroit has been competitive of late despite of dropping 6 straight SU. Meanwhile, Portland despite of a 3 game losing streak  play their best hoops at home where they own a 9-1 record and my power rankings suggest a conclusive win for the Blazers here tonight. 

The Pistons rank 29 in net defensive rating, and 28th in SRS (-8.23 ) while the Blazers rank 4th in offense rating and 15th in SRS ( 0.84) . Add in home court edges and this line according to my numbers should be of the lower DD variety giving us value at anything under -10. 

 SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average .

DETROIT is 2-15 ATS  after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.6.

NBA team (PORTLAND) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Knicks run a slow pace ranking 22nd in the NBA and tonight against a  Brooklyn side with far more offensive weapons I expect the Knicks to turn this in to a slow grinding affair. This Im betting has a direct effect on the combined score staying on the low side of the offered number. 

Note: Brooklyn ranks 7th in the NBA in defensive efficiency. 

Under is 10-4-1 in Nets last 15 home games.Under is 7-3 in Nets last 10 games as a home favorite. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

NEW YORK is 8-1 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 33-16 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 210.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 13-4 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 season for a combined average of 207.8 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 10-1 UNDER after scoring 105 points or less this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored.

Under is 5-0 in Knicks last 5 games as a road underdog.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 road games.Under is 9-1 in Knicks last 10 overall.Under is 9-1 in Knicks last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 games as an underdog.

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BROOKLYN) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 64-28 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Sharks offense is not in good form as is evident by having  scored just 12 goals in their last six games  with six of those goals  coming  in one game vs Ottawa in a 6-3 victory. With that in mind the Sharks will play conservatively and in transition in front of G  Reimer who ranks   ninth in the NHL in Save Percentage (.933). Meanwhile, the host Devils, have been scoring with consistency of late, but once again the Sharks knowing this will be ready to make this in to a physical  defensive affair that Im betting ends a lower combined score than the offered Totals number.

Under is 6-0 in Sharks last 6 games as an underdog.Under is 5-0 in Sharks last 5 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 6-1 in Sharks last 7 overall.Under is 6-1 in Sharks last 7 games as a road underdog.

SAN JOSE is 7-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.SAN JOSE is 9-1 UNDER  against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% or more of chances this season.SAN JOSE is 14-4 UNDER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NHL Road teams against the total (SAN JOSE) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, off a road win where they shut out their opponent are 31-10 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Jersey.

Play UNDER