Cappers Sports Picks

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Miami snapped a five-game winning streak with a win last night but it still managed just four runs and it is averaging 2.8 rpg over its last six games. The Marlins are 12-26 in their last 38 road games against teams with a losing record. San Francisco has lost three of its last four games on this current homestand but it is in a great pitching matchup today. Elieser Hernandez has been all over the place this season as he is coming off his third straight non-quality start and he has just two quality outings over his last 12 starts. He has a 6.55 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over 33 innings on the road. Johnny Cueto had a solid effort in his first start back from Tommy John surgery as he tossed five scoreless innings while allowing just one hit and one walk. He gets the benefit of another home start in his second outing and going back, the Giants are 13-4 in his last 17 home starts against teams with a losing record. Here, we play on home favorites that are hitting .215 or worse over their last 10 games going up against an opponent that is hitting .230 or worse over their last 20 games. This situation is 49-14 (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (962) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Sunday Road Warrior. The Bears hit the road following their disappointing home loss to the Packers last Thursday night. The offense looked pretty bad, especially the rushing game where they managed only 46 yards on 15 carries (3.1 ypc) but Chicago faced a vastly improved Packers defense. The rest advantage is a huge edge going from a Thursday game and facing a team coming off a late Monday night game. The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Denver did not look good either as it lost in Oakland with the secondary getting lit up by Derek Carr. Joe Flacco did have a good debut for the Broncos but he faces a defense that is on a different level. The Broncos are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams that allowed 7.0 or more passing ypa last season, in non-conference games. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (285) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This is the rematch of that controversial NFC Championship Game and while the word revenge will be tossed around leading up to the game, we are not a fan of road revenge in this spot. The Rams are coming off a win in Carolina last Sunday by three points and while the offense did not look very good, we can expect a bounce back this week against a Saints defense that allowed 414 total yards against the Texans. New Orleans defeated Houston on Monday Night Football but we still cashed on the Texans and the Saints are now on a 1-10 ATS run in the first two weeks of the season the last six years. The Saints now hit the road for the first time where they were excellent last season but going back, they have failed to cover four straight games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home favorites that outscored opponents by 4.0 or more ppg last season, after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (284) Los Angeles Rams

This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Dallas looked great last week, falling behind 7-0 only to outscore the Giants 35-3 before allowing a late touchdown. The Cowboys were actually -2 in first downs and outgained New York by just 24 total years to it was a skewed final score. Taking a look at this line shows that Dallas would be an 11.5-point favorite at home and it was favored by 7.5-points over the Giants last week and the Redskins are four points worse than the Giants. Washington blew a 17-0 lead against Philadelphia and got a fortunate backdoor cover with a touchdown with just a few seconds remaining. Despite nearly 90 percent of bets laying the points with Dallas, we have seen a steady flow of sharp Redskins money hit the market, causing big reverse line movement that dropped the line down to 4.5 early in the week. Washington falls into a simple yet very effective situation as we play against road favorites off a home win, in September games. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (272) Washington Redskins

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Game of the Week. Pittsburgh got hammered in New England last week by 30 points as the offense managed a mere field goal on 15 first downs. Playing that New England defense can do that to a team and we expect the Steelers to come out with a lot more fire than they showed last week. Returning home certainly helps where the Steelers are 23-9 over the last four seasons. Seattle is coming off a one-point win over Cincinnati at home and it did not look good in doing so. The Seahawks were outgained by 196 total yards and Ben Roethlisberger is licking his chops after Andy Dalton threw for a career high 418 yards. The public is down on the Steelers and is rushing to grab the points with Seattle as fast as they can. However, we have actually seen the line move to -4 in some places even though 75 percent of the bets are backing Seattle. Here, we play on teams that lost their opening game on the road and are back home in Week Two. This situation is 41-25-1 ATS (62.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (276) Pittsburgh Steelers