NFL Handicapping Props
The NFL comeback player odds for 2025 are live — and this race is wide open. More than just a feel-good award, this futures market is built on one thing: storylines. Whether it’s an injured star returning to form, a benched QB bouncing back, or a breakout that rewrites the script, there’s real value with this NFL prop hiding in plain sight.
From Aidan Hutchinson to Dak Prescott, these NFL Comeback Player Odds offer a chance to back your narrative before the 2025 NFL season unfolds.
Recent Winners & Award History
Before diving into the current NFL Comeback Player Odds, it’s important to understand how this award has evolved. After all, you’re not betting yards or touchdowns here — you’re betting the story voters buy.
And more often than not, it’s the story voters want to reward that shapes the outcome.
Although the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award has existed in some form since 1963, the version that matters for bettors is the one handed out by the Associated Press (AP). Unlike other outlets — such as the PFWA or Sporting News — the AP’s selection is the one announced at NFL Honors, and therefore, it’s the market-mover in sportsbooks.
How NFL Comeback Award Criteria Has Shifted
For a long time, this award simply recognized players who bounced back from a bad year. Sometimes it was due to a benching, a scheme change, or even a team switch. However, that model has shifted. Over the past two decades, the criteria have tightened.
Voters now gravitate toward dramatic returns — those overcoming serious injuries, medical issues, or a near-complete career revival.
That’s why narrative matters more than ever. Not only do players need to produce, but they also need to capture attention — especially nationally. Moreover, it’s worth noting how quarterbacks have dominated this space in recent years.
Still, wide receivers, defensive backs, and even edge rushers have occasionally cracked the vote when the story was undeniable.
Last 10 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year Winners
- 2024 – Joe Burrow (QB, Bengals): After missing much of 2023 with a wrist injury, Burrow bounced back and re-established himself as a top-tier QB
- 2023 – Joe Flacco (QB, Browns): Out of football for most of the year, Flacco signed late, sparked a playoff run, and lit up defenses down the stretch
- 2022 – Geno Smith (QB, Seahawks): Career renaissance after years as a backup; led NFL in completion percentage and made the Pro Bowl
- 2021 – Joe Burrow (QB, Bengals): Returned from a torn ACL and led the Bengals to the Super Bowl
- 2020 – Alex Smith (QB, Washington): Overcame a life-threatening leg injury, returned to start six games and win a division title
- 2019 – Ryan Tannehill (QB, Titans): Took over midseason, revived his career, and carried the Titans to the AFC Championship Game
- 2018 – Andrew Luck (QB, Colts): After missing the entire 2017 season, Luck threw for 39 touchdowns and led Indy to the playoffs
- 2017 – Keenan Allen (WR, Chargers): Bounced back from a torn ACL and posted a career-high 1,393 yards
- 2016 – Jordy Nelson (WR, Packers): Came back from a torn ACL to lead the NFL in receiving touchdowns with 14
- 2015 – Eric Berry (S, Chiefs): Diagnosed with Hodgkin’s lymphoma in 2014, Berry returned to Pro Bowl form and anchored the KC secondary
NFL Comeback Player Odds – 2025
- Aidan Hutchinson +270
- Dak Prescott +300
- Christian McCaffrey +330
- Trevor Lawrence +600
- J.J. McCarthy +850
- Rashee Rice +2000
- Maxx Crosby +2000
- Tua Tagovailoa +2000
- Daniel Jones +2500
- Chris Godwin +2600
- Stefon Diggs +2800
- Brandon Aiyuk +3000
- Anthony Richardson +3200
- Nick Chubb +5500
- Chris Olave +6000
- Christian Kirk +9500
- Bradley Chubb +10000
- Dre Greenlaw +12000
- Christian Watson +12000
- Rashid Shaheed +12000
- Jermaine Johnson +12000
- Christian Barmore +12000
- Darren Waller +12000
- Jaelan Phillips +12000
- Tank Dell +13000
- Gabe Davis +18000
- Javon Hargrave +18000
- *** Odds provided by MyBookie
Aidan Hutchinson NFL Comeback Player Odds – 2025
Hutchinson’s star was shining last season before a late leg injury ended his campaign — just as the Lions needed him most. Although there was initial hope he’d return for a postseason push, the timing didn’t line up, and Detroit was left short-handed. The good news? There’s no expected long-term concern heading into 2025.
Now he’s not just one of the early names in the NFL comeback player odds market — he’s also near the top of the Most Sacks board. That makes him an interesting dual-threat in the futures market, but it also means the bar is already sky-high. Unless he breaks sack records, it’s hard to see voters giving him this award with those expectations already baked in.
Dak Prescott
Quarterbacks dominate this award. In fact, since 2018, every single Comeback Player of the Year winner has played under center. So, naturally, Dak Prescott deserves a look if you’re scanning the 2025 NFL comeback player odds.
Prescott is no stranger to bouncing back from adversity. He’s already gone through the grind of rehabbing from a serious injury and turning in a full-season performance the following year. However, with Dallas facing a brutally tough schedule and talent losses across the board, his path to earning this honor is far from clear.
Christian McCaffrey
This is where the list starts to feel legitimate. McCaffrey’s 2024 season was derailed by multiple lower-body injuries, but heading into 2025, he reportedly looks healthy and refreshed. That’s great news for 49ers fans — and bettors alike.
In an offense that leans heavily on the run, especially with a thin wide receiver group, McCaffrey could quickly reclaim elite RB1 status. If the volume returns and he stays on the field, his case will build itself week by week.
Trevor Lawrence
Lawrence’s candidacy doesn’t hinge on a major injury — it hinges on a bounce-back from bad football. Although he missed a few games, he suited up for 10, and the results weren’t pretty. But with Liam Coen now calling plays, Jacksonville is banking on a turnaround.
His status in the NFL comeback player odds is more about potential than recovery. If he looks anything like the QB1 many envisioned on draft night, his narrative will gain steam quickly.
J.J. McCarthy 2025 NFL Comeback Player Odds
McCarthy never got the chance to show what he could do as a rookie, missing the entire season due to a preseason injury. That gives him a clean slate in 2025, and now he has the keys to Kevin O’Connell’s offense in Minnesota.
This same offensive system elevated Sam Darnold’s name into Comeback Player conversations last season — so the door’s open. If McCarthy flashes even moderate upside while keeping the Vikings competitive, he’ll hang around the board.
Rashee Rice
The Chiefs wideout has a shot at major volume this season, especially with Travis Kelce aging and a couple of speedy newcomers drawing coverage downfield. Rice could become Mahomes’ go-to target — if he’s on the field.
His legal troubles and looming suspension muddy the waters. Still, if you’re diving deep into the NFL comeback player odds, Rice is a volatile longshot who could pay off — or be off the radar by October.
Maxx Crosby Comeback Award Odds
Crosby missed a chunk of 2024 due to injury, and even when active, his numbers fell short of his usual impact. While his energy and effort are never in doubt, the Raiders edge rusher hasn’t yet delivered the type of dominance this award usually demands.
He’ll need a career year — and likely 15+ sacks — to edge out more glamorous names on the ballot. Given the QB-heavy narrative history here, his path is an uphill one.
Tua Tagovailoa 2025 NFL Comeback Player Odds
We’ve been here before. Tua was a Comeback Player contender not long ago, and once again, he’s in position to prove doubters wrong. This might be the last shot for him and Mike McDaniel to make it work in Miami.
He’ll need both consistency and team success to stay relevant in the award race. If the Dolphins falter, his candidacy will disappear quickly — no matter how good the stat line looks.
Daniel Jones NFL Comeback Player Futures
It’s looking like Jones could start Week 1 in Indy, but that job may not be his for long. Anthony Richardson is already back in action and poised to reclaim his role as QB1 in short order.
That puts Jones in a tough spot. He’ll need to impress early — or get benched. Not exactly the kind of trajectory that screams Comeback Player of the Year.
Chris Godwin 2025 NFL Comeback Player Odds
Godwin returns from a torn ACL, but the Buccaneers offense around him looks different. With Emeka Egbuka entering the WR room, he’ll face more competition for targets than ever before.
That said, if he regains his explosiveness and puts up big yardage totals, there’s still a path. But as with many wide receivers on this list, it’s hard to shine when the quarterbacks are always front and center.
Looking To Bet NFL Futures?
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NFL Tweet Of The Day
The guys are back to work 🙌 pic.twitter.com/pxDA0j9E34
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) May 7, 2025
Betting Longshots & Final Thoughts
When betting the NFL Comeback Player Odds, don’t sleep on the deeper cuts. Nick Chubb (+5500), Tank Dell (+13000), or even Darren Waller (+12000) could catch fire in the right system.
These awards often hinge on narrative and timing — so if your guy puts up stats early, that +5000 ticket suddenly looks sharp. Futures move fast, and you’ll want to be ahead of the buzz, not chasing it.
NFL Futures Betting
NFL futures allow you to lock in outcomes before the season starts. From Super Bowl winners to MVPs, and yes — NFL Comeback Player Odds — these props reward early, confident bets.
For example, a $300 wager on a +330 comeback player returns $1,290 — $990 profit plus your $300 back. Now imagine hitting a +10000 pick? That’s retirement-level bragging rights.
To summarize, we don’t just cover NFL Comeback Player Odds on our handicapping site. We’ll be providing 4* free NFL plays on the blog all season long, so check out our experts for guaranteed premium & free NFL Football picks!
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