HANDICAPPING MLB PROPS
Hey there! Have you stopped by CappersPicks.com today looking for 2020 MLB Pitching Saves Prop Betting Odds & Free Picks? Congratulations, you’re in the right place! We’re here to help you figure out who will lead the Majors in saves in 2020. Keone Kela (+3300) just turned 27 in April and will have his first opportunity to close games full-time for the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2020.
MLB Predictions – 2020 Handicapping Insight
He only appeared in 32 games last season but posted an ERA+ over 200 as a set-up man to Felipe Vazquez. His career WHIP is 1.11 and he has averaged 11 strikeouts per nine innings.
He throws hard, will get opportunities for a team that may win its fair share of close games and he offers one of the better payouts on the board. In a shortened season, bettors have to like all of that.
The Rays may not have a traditional closer. According to RotoChamp, Nick Anderson (+3300), Diego Castillo and Jose Alvarado are all closers but boards only list Anderson, who was highly successful in his first season as a Ray after coming over in a trade from Miami in July.
Anderson is tempting because if one guy is going to get the job, he is the favorite. The Rays will offer plenty of save opportunities but the possibility of multiple guys splitting them takes all of the names off the table.
For four consecutive seasons since his rookie year in 2015, Raisel Iglesias (+2200) has saved more games than the year before.
He saved 34 games in 2019 and while he won’t save more in a shortened 2020, if he improves his pace, he may wind up the Major League leader.
He has always put up big strikeout numbers and his saves didn’t suffer a season ago, despite a relatively poor ERA. If he pitches closer to the standard he has established for himself the same season the Reds win a bunch more games, he’ll cash at 22-1.
Alex Colome (+1200) has moved on boards after the White Sox’ big offseason. He saved 30 games a season ago and figures to get more opportunities, at least on a per game basis, this year.
After a little dip in production with Tampa Bay, he has regained his footing with consecutive 160 ERA+ seasons in Seattle and Chicago. Apparently, that fastball/changeup combination is still fooling hitters. He led the league with 47 saves in 2017.
The Brewers’ Josh Hader (+1200) will always be a popular play because of his downright nasty stuff. Milwaukee figures to be a team in the middle of the pack this season but a smaller schedule offers more volatility.
Hader saved 37 games a season ago but it is unclear how Corey Knebel’s return in 2020 will impact the left-hander’s share of the opportunities. At the outset, Knebel does not appear to be a threat to vulture saves in his return from surgery.
Cleveland’s Brad Hand (+1400) has saved 66 games the last two seasons between San Diego and Cleveland. He’s been an All-Star for three consecutive years.
What I like about Hand is all the opportunities he could get with the Tribe, which is going to have to win close, low-scoring games with its pitching staff. The offense just isn’t explosive enough to win many blowouts.
But he hasn’t saved more than 80 percent of the save opportunities in his career. That number is just a little low to win my confidence.
Complete list of odds posted at our recommended sportsbooks!
2020 MLB Pitching Saves Prop Betting Odds | Free Picks & Prediction
Prediction: Give me Iglesias at a good price for a good team and let us hope he converts a high percentage of his opportunities in a season that will be all about making the most of small sample sizes.
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